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Finally... => General Discussion => Topic started by: Necrothurge on June 02, 2017, 07:54:48 am

Title: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Necrothurge on June 02, 2017, 07:54:48 am
Thread for the UK snap election. Brexit isn't all that relevant and is massively bloated.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Necrothurge on June 02, 2017, 07:57:52 am
Personally, I was gonna vote Labour but my constituency is completely Labour. They've voted Labour for decades now. I just don't see any point in wasting an hour or more of my time to go and vote especially when I work. Everyone else will vote Labour anyway.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on June 02, 2017, 08:08:26 am
Vote for the candidate you like, who is aligned with your worldview, regardless of party policy. It might mean that this candidate (or others like them) will consider themselves as heading in sort of the right direction, even if they aren't the sure-fire winner, and swing their party (or others) towards your desired outcome, even if they aren't doing that at the moment.

Anything else just means supporting the wrong kind of candidate to get the 'right' kind of party or leader support, who then notice that the WKOC seems to be getting support, so maybe they ought to bend away from the approach you originally liked them for.

(If only it was as simple as that, but it's as good a summary as any.)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Necrothurge on June 02, 2017, 08:18:10 am
Yeah, the problem with that kind of apathy is you're not the only one thinking that.

The percentage of Britons on the internet isn't really high enough to swing it either way, especially in poorer areas. I just don't see any reason to leave my house an hour earlier or come home an hour later.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on June 02, 2017, 08:28:32 am
Too late now, and doesn't help with last-minute changes of mind (like your chosen candidate suddenly attacking reporters), but setting up postal voting is an option.

Though a friend who set it up due to knowing he'd be on holiday, one election, had a helluva time reverting back to polling-station voting, he once told me. (Not tried it myself. I thought you had the option of casting a real-time ballot to override a postal one, dealing with both issues, but I may be thinking of a different electoral system...)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Necrothurge on June 02, 2017, 08:31:35 am
Yeah, I could definitely do a postal vote. There's also the fact that if Corbyn turns out to be as bad as they're predicting he'll be that I won't dirty my hands with it.

I might vote for one of the little guys instead.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on June 02, 2017, 08:35:13 am
By "little guys", you mean the actual representatives of your vote, not some "lesser umbrella party", I hope.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Necrothurge on June 02, 2017, 08:41:17 am
By "little guys", you mean the actual representatives of your vote, not some "lesser umbrella party", I hope.

I mean Green or UKIP or one of those. We've got four of them in our constituency. I think voting for one of them would be a better idea as a Labour supporter.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sheb on June 02, 2017, 08:47:08 am
PTW
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: NJW2000 on June 02, 2017, 08:51:31 am
If your constituency is like 90% Labour garaunteed or something, voting for any other party will still send a message. A very small one, admittedly, but still a message. Green and UKIP being very different messages.

Quote
what will one vote do dilemna more generally

It is true that one vote won't make a difference generally. But it's important that people generally don't reason this way, obvs. Also, there's a very small chance of making a large difference. Voting is worth doing.


Soo... should there be a poll on who people might/would like to support?

I'd definitely vote Labour if I could.

The promises the Lib Dems are making are actually pretty enticing: undo Brexit, and more importantly break the entire first-past-the-post system by preventing any majority or coalition. Still don't think they'd actually do any of that though  :P
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sergarr on June 02, 2017, 09:12:13 am
Aren't Tories projected to win by a Putin-like landslide, or has that changed?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: NJW2000 on June 02, 2017, 09:13:30 am
Changed. The gap, by some polls, is as low as three points. May's lead has definitely decreased massively.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 02, 2017, 12:54:55 pm
Changed. The gap, by some polls, is as low as three points. May's lead has definitely decreased massively.

A good leader presiding over a strong and stable decline, hopefully into a hung parliament.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sheb on June 02, 2017, 01:49:04 pm
The Tories' U-turn on social care, the fact that Corbyn hasn't said or done anything scandalous yet and May's refusal to do any debate or campaigning belong repeating "strong and stable" seems to hurt. The fact that she was Home Minister for so long (and so in a way, in charge of the apparatus that should have prevented the Manchester Bomber) means that the bombing isn't benifitting her much (Security and the like is usually more of a Tory strong point).
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 02, 2017, 02:10:47 pm
If any of you live or are willing to fraudulently pretend to live in South Thanet, have I got the party for you! Forget the seizure-like inflamed vibrations of the Tories and Laor and instead vote Nation of Ooog (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Al-Zebabist_Nation_of_Ooog).
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Necrothurge on June 02, 2017, 04:14:18 pm
Just watched the Question Time and some of the stuff Corbyn says upsets me just because it's so wrong. The way he evaded really simple questions, too.

"Was the IRA terrorists?" Just a simple yes or no.

Why does he do this?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Reelya on June 02, 2017, 04:17:40 pm
If your constituency is like 90% Labour garaunteed or something, voting for any other party will still send a message. A very small one, admittedly, but still a message. Green and UKIP being very different messages.

Quote
what will one vote do dilemna more generally

It is true that one vote won't make a difference generally. But it's important that people generally don't reason this way, obvs. Also, there's a very small chance of making a large difference. Voting is worth doing.

It's not that one vote in this election, the big issue with the "what does my vote count" argument is that the effect happens over multiple elections to shape who's turning up to vote, and what messages are sent. If your demographic doesn't tend to vote then they will start cutting allocatable resources to your demographic and target them to lure likely voters instead. This is how it works.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: NJW2000 on June 03, 2017, 04:05:18 am
Corbyn evading questions? That's some interesting mental acrobatics there. :P


Quote
despite it being perfectly natural to prioritise the well-being of yourself, your family, your neighbours and countrymen over that of someone half a world away.
Btw, naturalistic fallacy dude. You have to give better justification for your arguments than "it's normal".

Also, I thought Corbyn did say that the IRA were terrorists at some point. Weird how he gets asked questions like that but May never gets pressed on gay adoption etc. BBC, huh ;)





Anyways, people catch Philip Hammond on the no tax raising thing? Don't think it's been run past May; perhaps he reckons he's screwed either way and that a return to Thatcherism is the only thing that'll keep the Tories in.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Reelya on June 03, 2017, 06:55:56 am
Falklands is an expensive White Elephant however, it's entirely symbolic. 60+ million pounds per year to protect a symbol of the glory days of the Empire.

Yeah, let Argentina have at it, then use that 60 million quid for something actually in the UK. People will forget about Falklands within an election or two, but the money saved is forever.

Falklands is a symbol but does it have so much value that's it's worth the money? Brits don't get some daily boost by remembering the Falklands, they only remember about it when it's in the papers.

https://www.businessinsider.com.au/falkland-islands-cost-2012-2?r=US&IR=T
61 million pounds, with an annual increase of about 3 million pounds.

And when you count that as per-Falklander then it's about 25000 pound per person. You could hand that to Argentina, then offer all Falklanders an ongoing cash payment if they want to relocate, and still save money. After all they'll be spending that money in the UK.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sheb on June 03, 2017, 07:19:37 am
Falklands is an expensive White Elephant however, it's entirely symbolic. 60+ million pounds per year to protect a symbol of the glory days of the Empire.

Yeah, let Argentina have at it, then use that 60 million quid for something actually in the UK. People will forget about Falklands within an election or two, but the money saved is forever.

Falklands is a symbol but does it have so much value that's it's worth the money? Brits don't get some daily boost by remembering the Falklands, they only remember about it when it's in the papers.

https://www.businessinsider.com.au/falkland-islands-cost-2012-2?r=US&IR=T
61 million pounds, with an annual increase of about 3 million pounds.

And when you count that as per-Falklander then it's about 25000 pound per person. You could hand that to Argentina, then offer all Falklanders an ongoing cash payment if they want to relocate, and still save money. After all they'll be spending that money in the UK.


How dare you suggest using the money to help people at home rather than people half a world away! :p

(No, I don't actually agree with you, because hte Falklanders overwhelming wants to stay British)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Necrothurge on June 03, 2017, 08:03:08 am
Corbyn. :(
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Necrothurge on June 04, 2017, 01:25:27 am
Another terrorist attack. (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-40146916)

They're discussing suspending the election.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on June 04, 2017, 02:04:46 am
Another terrorist attack. (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-40146916)

They're discussing suspending the election.
They shouldn't. I don't like the stupid election but I utterly dislike 'rewarding' those who doubtless did this at this time. The message should be to pause party campaigning but continue to tell people to vote.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: martinuzz on June 04, 2017, 02:54:10 am
There's arguments for both sides.

You can argue that the elections must go on as planned, we will not be intimidated, or you can argue to postpone the elections a week so the outrage of the moment can settle down a bit. Making important decisions in an emotional state is generally ill advised.

Then again, for all we know there could be another attack next week, and the week after that, and then you'd be postponing idefinitly.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: NJW2000 on June 04, 2017, 03:18:23 am
Pausing campaigning is rewarding them to some degree. Perhaps the elections should be postponed as long as the pauses last.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on June 04, 2017, 03:50:42 am
Let's take the argument further. Let us look at what happens if this sort of attack were to be perpetrated at a polling station on the day of the vote. Or even multiple such locations, those responsible somehow having the resources and planning to do so. And do so again the next polling date. And again the next.

Now, I'm pretty sure that this won't happen to me, ever, so consider it false bravado if you will, but even if it did become a possibility then what good would it do to suspend, postpone or otherwise shy away from elections? If there are enough potential perpetrators out there to cause significant disruption to nullify all attempts to get an electoral result then we have problems many magnitudes greater than we have now.  Until then, our admittedly flawed and imperfect system should soak up the efforts of the disruptive elements, and if it gets to the point of police and military guards at every ring of steel around each and every primary school being used to vote in, metal/explosive-detecting archways puntuating their perimiter to allow access to the thoroughly swept and scanned grounds (manholes welded shut, attic spaces examined in millimeter-wave, IR, X-ray backscatter, the works), overlooking buildings examined for snipers, all non-essential air-traffic cancelled, anti-drone hawks on standby, anti-hawk drones too...  If all that has to happen, then our problem is not that we didn't postpone the prior electoral processes early enough "until we know what the hell is going on".

The conceptual terrain between here and there is too broad a field to plough in one day.  Right now the answer is to Keep Calm And Carry On Voting, and I would say the same if another outrage happened today, tomorrow, and right up to the day itself. To seriously contemplate otherwise just does not compute... But it's not for me to say, only to opine.

(re: Pausing campaigning, it needs to be across the board, by agreement, replace all partisan soapboxing with "vote for whoever, but vote" for the statutory 24 hours, and let the voters punish those that try to break that truce, but I'll let the party machines work out their responses and responses to the other responses, then the public work out who had the moral best way of dealing it, if it's enough to swing things. As above, if the perpetrators earn a delay, by their actions, that's bad.  A day of contemplative thought is not so bad, and may even be good.)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 04, 2017, 08:09:48 am
Another terrorist attack. (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-40146916)

They're discussing suspending the election.

Theresa May chose to start the snap elections, she should continue with it.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: martinuzz on June 04, 2017, 04:50:20 pm
Corbyn hit May pretty hard in a speech this evening, calling her a hypocrite for saying that the UK must increase it's fight against extremism, when she herself cut the police budget and caused the firing of 20.000 police officers as a minister.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on June 04, 2017, 04:56:02 pm
Her response to the terrorist attack was basically "Yeah, internet encryption shouldn't be a thing any more" which, to anyone with even the slightest knowledge of how the internet works, should be a major sign of her bloody idiocy.
Also "Enough is enough". As in, Manchester wasn't enough? Westminster Bridge wasn't enough? Tough words, but rather a non-sequitur when you think about it.

The election is only May's to lose, so long as Corbyn doesn't overreach himself and create a new folly of his own.

(And I haven't seen Martinuzz's reported speech, but those words will only have hurt him so much in the group of people who intrinsically dislike him already, by my estimation, so no loss there.)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Neonivek on June 04, 2017, 07:42:11 pm
Is May becoming unpopular? or is this like... Trump where he was "unpopular"
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 04, 2017, 07:51:06 pm
May was essentially defaulted into the position as everyone else in the leadership race stood down - perhaps noting it for the poisoned chalice it is - so I don't think she's necessarily had a popularity rating, as it were.

She was notable as Home Secretary for various things like the Snooper's Charter and vans with the slogan "illegal immigrants go home or be arrested" or some such.

She certainly isn't doing herself any favors by hiding from debates during the campaign, though. Evidently she thinks that the lead they had when she announced the election was big enough to absorb the hit from doing that.

Edit: I forgot her desire to scrap the Human Rights Act, too.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 04, 2017, 08:16:42 pm
Edit: I forgot her desire to scrap the Human Rights Act, too.

Really? That's... just dumb. Though that's probably an understatement.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Enemy post on June 04, 2017, 08:58:35 pm
What effect would a Labour victory have on Brexit?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Neonivek on June 04, 2017, 09:01:43 pm
What effect would a Labour victory have on Brexit?

Who is Labour?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 04, 2017, 09:02:20 pm
The current opposition party in British politics.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 04, 2017, 09:14:17 pm
I do believe you mean the Laor Party, who serve at the will of Corbyn Lord Of Direction.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Neonivek on June 04, 2017, 09:23:05 pm
Well if I am going for the worst possible thing... for the UK

a UKIP victory.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 04, 2017, 09:35:38 pm
The BNP still exist, man. I have no idea what they stand for other than "NO IMMIGRATION, FUCKING MUSLIMS" but they're there.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 04, 2017, 09:36:46 pm
They still exist, but after UKIP was founded they lost all of their more mainstream voters and all of their few elected positions. Didn't help that they got censured a few times for not allowing nonwhite members.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Neonivek on June 04, 2017, 09:39:03 pm
They still exist, but after UKIP was founded they lost all of their more mainstream voters and all of their few elected positions. Didn't help that they got censured a few times for not allowing nonwhite members.

Yeah as you can tell I am being INCREDIBLY nice to UKIP. Given that they are UKIP.

Though I did say that a election victory by them would be the worst possible thing to happen to the UK.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 04, 2017, 09:40:36 pm
They probably won't even win any seats, they're raison d'etre has already come to pass, so they can't campaign on it.

Chances are they'll swing to the Tories for the most part.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 05, 2017, 09:51:55 am
The BNP still exist, man. I have no idea what they stand for other than "NO IMMIGRATION, FUCKING MUSLIMS" but they're there.
Last I checked they failed to pay the thingy that means they're an official party.

So they're political vaporware now?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Necrothurge on June 06, 2017, 05:05:24 am
(https://i.imgtc.com/K2DHD3t.png)

Isn't this illegal? He's deleted the Tweet since but that seems like a really bad idea.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sheb on June 06, 2017, 05:39:52 am
1) Who is that TempletonPeck?

2) Why is there a archive link to a google search page?

3) Tweets are really easy to fake.

4) Not sure what the law on postal ballot is in the UK. Can they open them before d-day? That'd be weird.

P.S. From what I find on wiki, they're supposed to be sealed and only counted during the count. The one info that'd be public would be postal turnout I guess, which make sense since one of Labour's issue is to get young people to turn up.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Necrothurge on June 06, 2017, 05:51:58 am
1) Who is that TempletonPeck?

2) Why is there a archive link to a google search page?

3) Tweets are really easy to fake.

4) Not sure what the law on postal ballot is in the UK. Can they open them before d-day? That'd be weird.

P.S. From what I find on wiki, they're supposed to be sealed and only counted during the count. The one info that'd be public would be postal turnout I guess, which make sense since one of Labour's issue is to get young people to turn up.

1) TempletonPeck is some random guy who is the only result I can find responding to the guy in the original image (or even quoting him).

2) The Google Search displays the page with the TempletonPeck quote on it.

3) They are, hence the archive.

4) You're not allowed to unseal and count them, that's completely illegal.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on June 06, 2017, 06:41:10 am
Templeton Peck (http://a-team.wikia.com/wiki/Templeton_"Faceman"_Peck)

Now, obviously it's a Twitter alias (unless it's the result of some '80s parents with a sadistic fanboi/gurl streak to them), but hard to tell whether it' s.Poe's Law account.  Most of the tweets are political in nature, anti-Labour and even agreeing with Paul Nuttall, so I can't resolve the message and tone of that 'revalation' as having the correct tone for the platform except as a set-up/fiction of some kind. (But the dialogue encouraging me to register with Twitter keeps popping over, inhibiting my analysis.)


(Seriously some of the retweets I see behind the popover are in "I'm not gonna drink your godda Kool-Aid!" camp.)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Necrothurge on June 06, 2017, 07:07:51 am
The guy who posted the Tweet is this one: https://twitter.com/MerryMichaelW

He's since deleted it though.

Ealing Council has responded on it. (https://www.ealing.gov.uk/news/article/1644/statement_on_postal_vote_security)

I'm ahead of the news! (http://www.getwestlondon.co.uk/news/west-london-news/general-election-ealing-council-responds-13144299)

Spoiler: Bigger Image (click to show/hide)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Leafsnail on June 06, 2017, 01:05:32 pm
I don't think some guy claiming second or third hand information on postal votes in a blurry screenshot is really news. I saw someone on another forum claim the Conservatives were ahead on postal votes, I think these rumours just spread around.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 06, 2017, 04:25:42 pm
Mrs. May wants to toughen Human Rights' laws (http://www.bbc.com/news/election-2017-40181444) 'cause terrorists.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 06, 2017, 05:20:18 pm
Mrs. May wants to toughen Human Rights' laws (http://www.bbc.com/news/election-2017-40181444) 'cause terrorists.

That sounds like the opposite of 'toughen', she wants to bend human rights laws (that is, loosen them) to make it easier to go after terrorists.

Gitmo anybody? Kind of sounds similar to what the Bush admin did, and didn't the British cry out over it?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on June 06, 2017, 05:27:53 pm
Mrs. May wants to toughen Human Rights' laws (http://www.bbc.com/news/election-2017-40181444) 'cause terrorists.
What's amusing is that it isn't the traditional "Go directly to jail. Do not pass go. Do not collect £200" and more just forced to go down the snake to the bottom row of the board, to just annoy them but not really stopping the determined ones from coming back.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: TheDarkStar on June 07, 2017, 10:25:02 am
Also, telling younger people that "older people are right because they are older/anything you think is wrong unless you defer to old people" is a great way to make them collectively stop voting for you.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Leafsnail on June 07, 2017, 11:58:54 am
The Conservatives have really fucked over young people in particular in a myriad of ways and Labour is offering a lot of policies that will help them (eg tuition fee removal/forgiveness, minimum wage increases, investment to create jobs).
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 07, 2017, 10:00:13 pm
Theresa May admits to being an edge lord (https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jun/07/theresa-mays-wheat-field-failed-the-naughtiness-test-can-you-do-better) in her youth.

Some of those tweets are highly entertaining.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 07, 2017, 10:09:17 pm
I think I'm gonna be sick. How can a person do that and live with herself afterwards? What the fuck, are some people just born without the part of their brain that tells them what, not even morality, what basic anything is?

She's fucking sunk to reveal this right before the election though, I'll tell you that much. Even Tory loyalty isn't gonna keep that together. I wonder if any of them will actually denounce her, I know I would.

Laor majority here we come.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 07, 2017, 10:16:09 pm
Lolwut sarcasm MSH. But yeah, it's like she pulled a Hillary Clinton by picking something boring like running through a wheat field.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on June 08, 2017, 11:39:53 am
Falklands is an expensive White Elephant however, it's entirely symbolic. 60+ million pounds per year to protect a symbol of the glory days of the Empire.
Yeah, let Argentina have at it, then use that 60 million quid for something actually in the UK. People will forget about Falklands within an election or two, but the money saved is forever.
Falklands is a symbol but does it have so much value that's it's worth the money? Brits don't get some daily boost by remembering the Falklands, they only remember about it when it's in the papers.
https://www.businessinsider.com.au/falkland-islands-cost-2012-2?r=US&IR=T
61 million pounds, with an annual increase of about 3 million pounds.
And when you count that as per-Falklander then it's about 25000 pound per person. You could hand that to Argentina, then offer all Falklanders an ongoing cash payment if they want to relocate, and still save money. After all they'll be spending that money in the UK.
I disagree; the Falklands are not a symbol of the glory days of Empire, whatever that is. The Empire's been dead for a long time, not a lot of people remember it, thus to maintain a symbol of something dead would not make sense - but you must be mistaken in believing that this most obscure of Atlantic islands is a symbol of the prestige of Empire.
What these islands symbolize is simple: They symbolize the Falkland Islands.

You talk of the Falkland Islands as if they are as you say, a white elephant, as if they were a statue in Trafalgar square or a social media campaign. I stress that they are not.
They are a self-sufficient country under the protection of the United Kingdom, who under international law have the right to exist and govern themselves. In all areas they stand by their own feet, under the protection of the United Kingdom. So by what right then can any merchant come along and tell a people they will be sold, their lands sold, their country sold to a foreign invader against their will? For some rather obvious reasons, I doubt that would go down any well in the United Kingdom. Britons do not live in a world where might makes right, where everything has a price and everything can be sold.

But of course, might does not make right, but it does make. Should we then be planning for war with Argentina, if we are expected to surrender without a fight? Is the drastic cost of these islands such a white elephant that our armed forces are to crumble and die? That would be a compelling argument, if it were true.
The issue therein is that the cost of defending the islands is 0.034% of our defence budget.
And you would say we should surrender our country and countrymen over pennies that poor? Dare I say, Argentina should better learn international law.

Is May becoming unpopular? or is this like... Trump where he was "unpopular"
Wouldn't say May was ever popular, so much as people had confidence in her because all of her opposition imploded. All in all I wish the Tories were less retarded and hypocritical in ways. Difficult election all around, personally I had to pick between choosing an MP who is spectacularly competent but would provide a strong voice against Brexit, which obviously I would rather not see occur. My alternative then would be to choose a middlingly competent MP from labour who would provide a weak voice against Brexit, or else vote for the Conservative MP who doesn't even live in my area and reeks of "doing this for the money".
It's not the most enjoyable of situations to be true, which is what I'm getting at in that a great deal of May's support can probably be attributed to her being an inoffensive and competent statesman. A situation is comparable to Hillary Clinton versus Bernie Sanders, wherein their respective parties chose the candidate who had the most experience running the security apparatus of the state - which while a positive, came with the baggage of running the security of the state, especially in such a time as mass surveillance and data retention has erked the public. I imagine upon any possible victory, her popularity stands to decrease further - especially given current attitudes towards cutting public spending in social services to redirect towards investment, which will cause significant angst in the years to come as people die from terrorism, obesity and hospital waiting lines. On the bright side, it does at least demonstrate long term commitment towards further developing a high-tech economy in emulation of Japan or the USA, which is a positive. Just "ignore the dying people" will no doubt be the party slogan 2020

*EDIT
wtf someone got the old thread banned and killed :<
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sheb on June 08, 2017, 11:50:05 am
Yay, lagslayer started advocating genocide to keep the white race safe, which surprisingly caused Toady to intervene.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on June 08, 2017, 11:59:01 am
it is terrifying
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Enemy post on June 08, 2017, 11:59:25 am
it is terrifying

It was inevitable.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 08, 2017, 02:08:35 pm
I'm not sure if it was really inevitable, despite the effect a single glitch had on this forum's views on free will, but yes now there is only the shores of Non-EU Europe Thread and ??DPRK Thread?? to discuss Brexitifornication in.

Oh, and here.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: martinuzz on June 08, 2017, 02:10:55 pm
Technically you can still discuss the Brexit in the EU thread until 2019 (or indefinitly of Corbyn wins and cancels the Brexit. It can be done, the Dutch senate also agreed on ignoring the Dutch referendum on the Ukraine treaty last week, there's precedent now).
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Silverthrone on June 08, 2017, 03:00:32 pm
The moral you've caught, I can hardly doubt,
Never on politics rave and shout,
Leave it to others to fight it out,
If you would be wise.

Better, far better it is to let,
Liberals and tories alone, you'll bet,
Unless you are willing and anxious to get,
Two lovely black ee-ee-eeyes!

Two lovely black eyes!
O! What a surprise!
Only for telling a man he was wrong!
Two lovely black eyes!

I shall also take this opportunity to note that the British polling and voting system is quite peculiar, and that I do not understand it. Of course, since I do not know its merits and its more arcane workings, I cannot say that it ought to change. It appears to be working, and I find this focus on getting local men elected to parliament rather pleasing. It implies (or ought to imply) that they answer to their voters and community first, and their party second. Like they jolly well ought to.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sheb on June 08, 2017, 03:42:00 pm
Where are you from Silverthrone?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Silverthrone on June 08, 2017, 03:55:30 pm
Kingdom of Sweden (which is both regrettable and immensly fortunate at the same time; nationallity is odd), which uses a more standard method of election. Of course, 'standard' as far as I see it. 'Common' might be a better term.

Of course, the British method is not so impenetrable that I could not build a relatively good picture of how it works if I truly sat down and went to work with it. It is certainly a curiosity. As for my horse in this particular race, I am very unsure which one I am hoping for. Naturally, the one that would be the best choice for Britain and the region, but that question seems quite unclear at the moment...

Now that it is all being said and done, imagine how it will feel for Mrs. May if this goes badly for her.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: NJW2000 on June 08, 2017, 03:59:43 pm
Quote
I shall also take this opportunity to note that the British polling and voting system is quite peculiar, and that I do not understand it. Of course, since I do not know its merits and its more arcane workings, I cannot say that it ought to change. It appears to be working, and I find this focus on getting local men elected to parliament rather pleasing. It implies (or ought to imply) that they answer to their voters and community first, and their party second. Like they jolly well ought to.
While the last bit is perhaps agreeable, on the whole it's a load of shit and we'd be much better off like the Norwegians. Most people I know in Merrie England here concur, Conservative or Labour. I recall there was a referendum on either keeping First Past the Post or throwing the ballot boxes into the sea and consulting a witch-doctor a while back, but people preferred the current mess to whatever was proposed (hint - it wasn't PR).

Naturally, whatever "majority" gets into power - Labour or Tory - will be unwilling to change a system that will give them total control for so small a mandate. A system that gives a party probably hated by half the country a majority when supported by 25.9% of eligible voters.

Quote
or indefinitly of Corbyn wins and cancels the Brexit. It can be done
This seems unlikely, unless the Lib Dems a) get a majority and b) keep their promises. I mean, Corbyn was probably more pro-Brexit than May.
Title: EXIT POLLS
Post by: NJW2000 on June 08, 2017, 04:04:52 pm
Doublepost because exitpollsholyfuck.

Conservative 314
Labour 266
SNP 34
 Lib Dem 14
Plaid 3
 Green 1 UKIP 0
 Other 18

326 needed to majority.
Wowow
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 08, 2017, 04:08:36 pm
Conservative's traditionally don't poll well, usually 3 or 4 points below what was actually reported. 'scuse me, that didn't make sense. They poll 3 or 4 points below what they usually get.

But if those exit polls are accurate, holy fuck indeed. Mrs. May dropped the ball, presumably somewhere in a field of wheat.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: ed boy on June 08, 2017, 04:08:57 pm
Hung parliament predicted?

This is gonna be one hell of a night.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 08, 2017, 04:10:35 pm
ayyyy I can get to watch the Beeb coverage of the election results yaaaas.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: NJW2000 on June 08, 2017, 04:11:00 pm
Definitely going to bed now to find out what happens sooner. Wonder who will step up if May doesn't get a majority... does the Tory party have anyone waiting in the wings? BJ perhaps?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on June 08, 2017, 04:13:23 pm
I recall there was a referendum on either keeping First Past the Post or throwing the ballot boxes into the sea and consulting a witch-doctor a while back, but people preferred the current mess to whatever was proposed (hint - it wasn't PR).
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdom_Alternative_Vote_referendum,_2011
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 08, 2017, 04:14:26 pm
Doublepost because exitpollsholyfuck.

Conservative 314
Labour 266
SNP 34
 Lib Dem 14
Plaid 3
 Green 1 UKIP 0
 Other 18

326 needed to majority.
Wowow

Ouch, if accurate, Theresa May will definetly be like "why the bloody hell did I do this in the first place?"

Also, looks like you guys could be setting up for a hung Parliament as mentioned here (http://www.politico.eu/article/how-to-watch-british-uk-election-like-a-pro-theresa-may-jeremy-corbyn/).
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: NJW2000 on June 08, 2017, 04:18:00 pm
Ehhh... even if hung, will we see another Lib Dem - Tory coalition? Ew. Apparently not (https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=1&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwiqq8vPla_UAhWrCsAKHR9MBDYQFggoMAA&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.libdems.org.uk%2Fcoalition&usg=AFQjCNEE8jZCx0VRZ5GsF6c5wgkfvFitng&sig2=Xgg2l4k13ZZjMdmmSJKyNQ) - this would mean NO COALITION COULD TAKE PLACE. Assuming Labour and Tories wouldn't unite, which seems on the bloody obvious side of likely.

Maybe Farron will solve this quandary by giving unicorns the vote  :-\
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on June 08, 2017, 04:18:52 pm
Lib/Lab/SNaP-pact? ;)

(No, probably not. But would anyone Coallesce with the Tories? Some of the Others are probably the NI parties who would, but not enough, Shirley...)

Slightly ninjaed...
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: ed boy on June 08, 2017, 04:19:26 pm
It'll be an especially hung parliament - the major non-tory paries together still don't have a majority.

Could we see the tories have to go in with the irish parties?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 08, 2017, 04:23:25 pm
Also, to note, the Europe Politico live blog (http://www.politico.eu/article/uk-election-live-blog/), whic matches what NJW said, there are 65 undeclared. It says 650, but I highly suspect that's a typo.

edit: OH, 650 is total number of seats and I guess that number just didn't get updated.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: NJW2000 on June 08, 2017, 04:24:19 pm
It'll be an especially hung parliament - the major non-tory paries together still don't have a majority.

Could we see the tories have to go in with the irish parties?
I'd just like to speak on the part of Sinn Fein a moment here.

"Piss off" - Sinn Fein, always.

Dunno about the other Irish parties though... I don't think it would be honest for any other party to jump into bed with the Tories, yet for Labour to get a majority coalition, they'd have to heap precarious alliance upon precarious alliance... and that's not counting the possibility that Lib Dems keep their campaign promises, in which case NO COALITION CAN OCCUR.

Jesus Christ if Farron is true to his word and the figures are near enough, there might be some pretty big changes round here...

Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: martinuzz on June 08, 2017, 04:26:48 pm
Heh, not being able to form a new government seems a growing trend. First the Netherlands, now probably the UK. 2017, the year when Europe turned into Belgium.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 08, 2017, 04:27:11 pm
And the pound has an appearance of smacking into a wall (http://www.politico.eu/article/uk-election-live-blog/#liveblog-entry-997327), ouch.

Heh, not being able to form a new government seems a growing trend. First the Netherlands, now probably the UK. 2017, the year when Europe turned into Belgium.

And the US seems to be having some trouble with our own. :P

edit: *Gets to wondering what the shortest tenure of a British PM ever was...*
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on June 08, 2017, 04:36:49 pm
Also, to note, the Europe Politico live blog (http://www.politico.eu/article/uk-election-live-blog/), whic matches what NJW said, there are 65 undeclared. It says 650, but I highly suspect that's a typo.

edit: OH, 650 is total number of seats and I guess that number just didn't get updated.
The above figures are exit polls. Nobody should have declared the actual results, yet, although some may be very close to doing so (http://www.chroniclelive.co.uk/news/north-east-news/declare-first-election-sunderland-newcastle-13154454), as I type this... (and retype it, with the tags correct, this time...)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 08, 2017, 04:42:41 pm
Also, to note, the Europe Politico live blog (http://www.politico.eu/article/uk-election-live-blog/), whic matches what NJW said, there are 65 undeclared. It says 650, but I highly suspect that's a typo.

edit: OH, 650 is total number of seats and I guess that number just didn't get updated.
The above figures are exit polls. Nobody should have declared the actual results, yet, although some may be very close to doing so (http://www.chroniclelive.co.uk/news/north-east-news/declare-first-election-sunderland-newcastle-13154454), as I type this... (and retype it, with the tags correct, this time...)

Oh I see, my mistake then.

Also, Theresa May said that if Tories lose 6 or more seats, she'd resign, right now it looks like they'll lose over twice that.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on June 08, 2017, 04:44:46 pm
Couldn't happen to a nicer woman.

So that's fine with me...
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: ed boy on June 08, 2017, 04:48:03 pm
[quote author=smjjames link=topic=164378.msg7479271#msg7479271

Also, Theresa May said that if Tories lose 6 or more seats, she'd resign, right now it looks like they'll lose over twice that.
[/quote]

Is there a source on that? I really want there to be a source on that.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 08, 2017, 04:50:47 pm
I will +1 that.

Then again, I just want the two most recent Tory leaders to have resigned in shame because it's funny.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 08, 2017, 04:52:40 pm
Quote from: smjjames link=topic=164378.msg7479271#msg7479271

Also, Theresa May said that if Tories lose 6 or more seats, she'd resign, right now it looks like they'll lose over twice that.

Is there a source on that? I really want there to be a source on that.

Look no further than the blog post showing Theresa Mays own tweet. (http://www.politico.eu/article/uk-election-live-blog/#liveblog-entry-997335) Sure, it sounds a heck of a lot like campaign rhetoric than an actual promise, but she's definetly going to eat her own words.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sergarr on June 08, 2017, 04:59:02 pm
Loud Whispers must be feeling pretty unhappy at the result, his favourite seemingly Thatcher-like persona just got wrecked, and wrecked pretty hard, given the expectations. Folded horribly on her campaign, very unlike the Iron Lady.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 08, 2017, 05:01:28 pm
She hasn't been wrecked yet. As I said, there is such a thing as the Shy Tory Effect (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shy_Tory_Factor).

Presently the commentators are all "if the exit polls are right blah blah blah hung parliament oh my etc." so yeah, in a few hours, we can start talking about her failure in more solid words.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 08, 2017, 05:05:13 pm
It still looks pretty bad regardless. Also, first results are coming in, Newcastle just declared not long ago.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: ed boy on June 08, 2017, 05:09:20 pm
The labour swing is less than the exit polls expected.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 08, 2017, 05:11:03 pm
The labour swing is less than the exit polls expected.

For that particular district or overall?

edit: I assume you're looking at the BBC liveblog, because I see what you're saying about.

It's just one district though, so, we'd have to look at the overall trend.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sheb on June 08, 2017, 05:13:00 pm
She hasn't been wrecked yet. As I said, there is such a thing as the Shy Tory Effect (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shy_Tory_Factor).

Presently the commentators are all "if the exit polls are right blah blah blah hung parliament oh my etc." so yeah, in a few hours, we can start talking about her failure in more solid words.

Still not brilliant even if she ekes out a majority: she called the election to increase her majority when she had a 25 points lead that she manage to evaporate.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 08, 2017, 05:16:41 pm
She hasn't been wrecked yet. As I said, there is such a thing as the Shy Tory Effect (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shy_Tory_Factor).

Presently the commentators are all "if the exit polls are right blah blah blah hung parliament oh my etc." so yeah, in a few hours, we can start talking about her failure in more solid words.

Still not brilliant even if she ekes out a majority: she called the election to increase her majority when she had a 25 points lead that she manage to evaporate.

Hey man, don't knock the strong and stable leadership.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 08, 2017, 06:37:05 pm
Labour has said that they don't want to form a coalition in the case of a hung parliament and would do a minority parliament instead. (http://www.politico.eu/article/uk-election-live-blog/#liveblog-entry-997414) I think I saw something similar for the Conservatives, but not sure.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: ed boy on June 08, 2017, 06:39:36 pm
The lib dems have ruled out coalitions as well.

so far 6 labour, 4 tory, all holds.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 08, 2017, 06:42:27 pm
We may well have to change this thread's title to "The Tragedy of Darth May" by the end of this night.

"You mean she could actually...call elections, whenever she wanted?"
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 08, 2017, 06:47:47 pm
The lib dems have ruled out coalitions as well.

so far 6 labour, 4 tory, all holds.

The Conservatives say that their Treasury Minister has lost their seat (http://www.bbc.com/news/live/election-2017-40171454?ns_mchannel=social&ns_source=twitter&ns_campaign=bbc_live&ns_linkname=5939df81e4b01815982f39a4%26Conservatives%20say%20Treasury%20minister%20has%20lost%20seat%26&ns_fee=0#post_5939df81e4b01815982f39a4). That seat, Battersea, doesn't seem to have been called yet though.... edit: Yeah, on the BBC, the results haven't started coming in for that one, so, they just think they lost it, maybe?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on June 08, 2017, 07:09:10 pm
Candidates at a seat get to know how the result is going, before it is announced. Both by their own people prowling around the counting room(s) to monitor the ongoing tally, and the final result is given to the candidates, privately, before they troop out onto the stage behind the Returning Officer (i.e. they already know the winner, so know what 'game face' they're going to display, or so they can ask for a double-check/recount in event of it seemingly advantageous to do so).

Either of these bits of information (even the former generally being far more accurate than any Exit Poll) might be the basis of what Tory HQ is refering to, though I thought that it was at least 'bad form' to pre-empt the RO's official announcement.


Edit: Looks like, despite a LibDem surge, Nick Clegg is in danger of losing to Labour (he narrowly escaped the Long Knives in 2015, of course).
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: ed boy on June 08, 2017, 07:24:31 pm
Paddypower has just shifted its odds in favour of corbyn as next PM - 10/11 compared to may's 5/4 and bojo's 7/1
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 08, 2017, 07:27:21 pm
The Guardian is reporting the narrow loss of a "Safe" (+10-20%) seat from SNP to Laor. God damn, that's...pretty auspicious seeming.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 08, 2017, 07:28:33 pm
Paddypower has just shifted its odds in favour of corbyn as next PM - 10/11 compared to may's 5/4 and bojo's 7/1

What changed? Boris Johnson was like at 2/1 not that long ago. edit: Checked paddypower, Boris Johnson is still at 2/1
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Reelya on June 08, 2017, 07:40:14 pm
I hope you get Boris Johnson as leader. Him and Trump can have a hair-off.

Maybe the 7/1 was just a typo / misread.

I notice Labour has a strong early lead in the count, do they have a large amount of "safe" working class seats or is this something unexpected?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: ed boy on June 08, 2017, 07:41:59 pm
First real swing, as labour gains a seat in wales from the tories.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 08, 2017, 07:47:38 pm
I hope you get Boris Johnson as leader. Him and Trump can have a hair-off.

It would be pretty funny if Boris Johnson became the PM.

Quote
I notice Labour has a strong early lead in the count, do they have a large amount of "safe" working class seats or is this something unexpected?

Some areas come in faster than others, only explaination that I have. Seems like the results are starting to come in faster as more of them complete the counts.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 08, 2017, 07:55:13 pm
I hope you get Boris Johnson as leader. Him and Trump can have a hair-off.

It would be pretty funny if Boris Johnson became the PM.

You are a madman.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: ed boy on June 08, 2017, 08:03:12 pm
Battersea goes from tory to lab, the second major swing.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 08, 2017, 08:04:27 pm
We may be looking at a mounting disaster for SNP. One of their safest seats, Angus (+25%), has flipped to Tory.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 08, 2017, 08:12:55 pm
SNP is actually losing seats to both Tories and Labor, so, yeah, they're taking quite a hit.

Conservatives also lost another minister (though a junior one).
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 08, 2017, 08:23:40 pm
SNP are certainly unlikely to be able to hold everything. I think the last election (in which there were record-breaking swings across the board) was something of an outlier, and this is things returning mostly to normal.

It is terrifying :'(
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 08, 2017, 08:26:58 pm
Laor's second most vulnerable seat, Ealing Central & Acton (+0.54%), has held. Get hype for Comrade Corbyn.

Two more SNP seats have both flipped Tory. inb4 the Conservative hold is caused by Scotland, of all places.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 08, 2017, 08:29:28 pm
Update to BBC forecast:

(https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/live-experience/cps/624/cpsprodpb/vivo/live/images/2017/6/9/1c4d4e55-7d65-40f2-aebe-f7da794219a2.png)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 08, 2017, 08:31:20 pm
Two more SNP seats have both flipped Tory. inb4 the Conservative hold is caused by Scotland, of all places.

Don't even fucking suggest such lunacy :P

Right, North East and coastal. Unsurprising they voted Tory. Probably. Oil and fish.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on June 08, 2017, 08:33:22 pm
Some areas come in faster than others, only explaination that I have. Seems like the results are starting to come in faster as more of them complete the counts.
Compact constituencies (inner cities, etc) have an advantage of distances that ballot boxes are retrieved from as well as maybe a higher concentration of willing workers to work the counts.  They'd be generally urban working-class votes, however those end up expressed by party affiliation.

Large (by area, similar by population) rural county/part-county seats have logistical hurdles, but may be a little more right-wing (the rural working class may not have quite the same policy concerns) when they finally reveal themselves.

The various Highlands And Islands areas may even have weather and/or tide effects upon some tendrils of the vote collation process, more than almost any other British constituency could be subject to.

But it's not anywhere near as simple as that.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 08, 2017, 08:47:55 pm
High Peak (+9) flips Tory to Laor.

SNP loses yet another seat to the Tories, and one to LibDem. SNP has now lost seven seats in total.

First Laor flip to Tories, in Walsal North (+5).
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on June 08, 2017, 09:04:13 pm
Nice to see Mairi Black retained her (SNP) seat. Just for who she is and her petsonal politics/etc, without going into the consideration of party.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: RedKing on June 08, 2017, 09:04:57 pm
Looks like the big loser in all this is SNP rather than the Conservatives.

Oh, and UKIP, but then they were losers to begin with.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: ed boy on June 08, 2017, 09:07:29 pm
Clegg has fallen.

This is one hell of a night.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 08, 2017, 09:08:43 pm
Given that the Conservatives called this election to solidify their majority, any result outside of a massive gain is a loss and devastating to their optics. If tonight ends with less than 325 Conservative seats it's a disaster for them, even though they'll still be the largest singular party.

Speaking of the embarrassing failures of the Tories, Twickenham (+3.25) flips from Tory to LibDem. Oh the humanity!

(SNP loss increases to 9 seats, RIP)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: RedKing on June 08, 2017, 09:08:57 pm
Labour wins Glasgow Northeast by 0.8%. GLASGOW.
They had a 24% margin in Glasgow NE before.  :o

Anybody seen Owlbread, or is he busy playing a funeral dirge on his bagpipes?


EDIT: Ipswich? More like Flipswich, amirite? (flips Tor to Lab).

.....I'm sorry.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on June 08, 2017, 09:12:05 pm
As the old saying goes, though, "Ne'er cast a clout 'til May is out"...
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 08, 2017, 09:12:42 pm
Labour wins Glasgow Northeast by 0.8%. GLASGOW.

Anybody seen Owlbread, or is he busy playing a funeral dirge on his bagpipes?


EDIT: Ipswitch? More like Flipswitch, amirite? (flips Tor to Lab).

.....I'm sorry.

I haven't seen Owlbread around in like, forever.

SNP bleedout continuing, Dunbartonshire East went Lib Dem.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 08, 2017, 09:16:07 pm
For some fun, have a look at Cities of London and Westminster to see the 59 people who voted for Ankit Love The Maharaja of Kashmir, founder and leader of the One Love Party. They claim to be, and I quote, "techno-progressive".

Tories are embarrassed and filthy due to the loss of Bath (+8) to the LibDems, the second such humiliation of the night.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: RedKing on June 08, 2017, 09:18:05 pm
SNP at -11 now. Lost Midlothian to Labour. Ayr, Carrick & Cumnock to Tories.

All total so far, the Tories have picked up 6 from SNP, which almost negates their losses to Labour further south.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 08, 2017, 09:20:16 pm
All of a sudden, BBC replaces Lib Dem with Sinn Fein on their readout. Only thing though, I thought they chose not to represent in Westminister, which is their policy for some reason? Saw that in a tweet somewhere.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: RedKing on June 08, 2017, 09:21:54 pm
Corbyn retains his own seat with a 60.5% vote.

Labour takes Kirkcaldy from SNP, Bedford from the Conservatives.

Tories at -5, Labour at +18. And we're a little over halfway done.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 08, 2017, 09:23:39 pm
All of a sudden, BBC replaces Lib Dem with Sinn Fein on their readout. Only thing though, I thought they chose not to represent in Westminister, which is their policy for some reason? Saw that in a tweet somewhere.
Yes, Sinn Finn practices abstentionism (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abstentionism). They refuse to take their seats because they are a republican group and will not swear loyalty to the Queen, which is needed to take seats in the UK parliament.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Leafsnail on June 08, 2017, 09:26:00 pm
10 point swing to Labour in London. Apparently they've taken Canterbury which has been Conservative since 1850. They are taking some losses in the North but it's far less than expected.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 08, 2017, 09:27:59 pm
Portsmouth South (+12.5%) flips Tory to Laor. Not as big a gap as Battersea, but the bell of Corbyn tolls for the Tory majority once more.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 08, 2017, 09:28:59 pm
SNP have 25/59 seats so far, 22 seats left to call it.

Still on track for more than half the seats in Scotland guys :P hardly a crushing loss.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 08, 2017, 09:29:56 pm
So far, the BBC shows Tories as losing 5 seats while The Guardian shows 6. They're right about where Theresa May said she would step down as PM if Tories lost that much.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 08, 2017, 09:30:12 pm
Even so, it looks a bit nasty. Though I suppose for the second indyref it's more important to hold control of the Scottish Parliament. Maybe they could swing it as a coalition deal with Laor?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: RedKing on June 08, 2017, 09:30:21 pm
SNP holds onto Glasgow Southwest and Glasgow East by 0.2% in each. All in all, they'll keep all the Glaswegian districts except NE. But holy hell they're taking a beating in their heartlands.


MSH: After tonight, does Labour win their "b" back?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 08, 2017, 09:32:20 pm
I'm strongly considering it. If Laor goes beyond the impossible and wins a straight majority I may even grant jubilee and restore the "u" as well.

The Tories, on the other hand, are at immense risk for losing their "r", mostly for the hubris of calling this election.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: RedKing on June 08, 2017, 09:33:03 pm
T'would be a bit awkward to go round being Labur. Pepl mite thenk thay kant spel.


Theresa May holds her Maidenhead by a 45.5 margin. (so many double entendres, so little time...)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 08, 2017, 09:33:56 pm
Even so, it looks a bit nasty. Though I suppose for the second indyref it's more important to hold control of the Scottish Parliament. Maybe they could swing it as a coalition deal with Laor?

I can assure you quite comfortably that no British party has taken leave of their senses enough to enter into an official coalition with the SNP.

I am going to go out on a limb, perhaps contradicting my earlier statement that the last election was an outlier, and say this was technically a Brexit election, even if there wasn't much campaigning on it. The SNP are not going to be able to do anything at that particular table, so people are choosing between the Tories and Laor (why Laor, by the way?)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: RedKing on June 08, 2017, 09:36:13 pm
He revoked their "b" and "u" after they got hammered in the last general election. Joke was that they were so crippled they didn't even have all their letters left.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 08, 2017, 09:36:30 pm
They became Laor back when David "Midnight Squeal" Cameron was PM, as a punishment for their failures. As an American, I already had deprived them of their "u".
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: RedKing on June 08, 2017, 09:37:43 pm
Tories lost their third seat of the night to LibDems (Eastbourne).
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 08, 2017, 09:38:09 pm
Ah, I see.

It bothers me to the point of feeling betrayed that Scotland has elected more Tory MPs this year than they have in the last 20 years combined.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 08, 2017, 09:39:31 pm
Scottish Conservative was probably giving it their all (as was Scottish Laor and Scottish LibDem), since if SNP had taken all those seats and held them it would just be the end for their parties. SNP, Green, and SSP would have become the new normal.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: RedKing on June 08, 2017, 09:40:24 pm
Ah, I see.

It bothers me to the point of feeling betrayed that Scotland has elected more Tory MPs this year than they have in the last 20 years combined.
Yeah, but in most of those constituencies, it was largely a 3-way race. No Tory has gotten 50%+ in Scotland so far.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 08, 2017, 09:41:44 pm
Speaking of dead parties, UKIP's challenge in Boston & Skegness has failed miserably, not even reaching 10% and coming in behind Laor.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: RedKing on June 08, 2017, 09:43:30 pm
At least with Farage there, they were entertaining racist gits.
Without him, they're just boring racist gits.

Now the bloodletting is really beginning for the Tories. LibDems stole their *fourth* seat of the night (Kingston & Surbiton), while Labour has snatched a total of 16 from their posh hands. If it weren't for the inroads they've made in Scotland, Corbyn would already be on his way to Westminster.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 08, 2017, 09:44:14 pm
LibDem Leader Tim Farron holds on to his district by a margin of 1.5%. Talk about playing it down to the wire, man. Also, 4th place in his district goes to "Mr Fishfinger" with 309 votes.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 08, 2017, 09:45:15 pm
Conservatives are now blowing the BBCs revised projection of their losses, their re-re-revised was losing 8 seats, they're now at -9 on BBC and -10 on The Guardian.

LibDem Leader Tim Farron holds on to his district by a margin of 1.5%. Talk about playing it down to the wire, man. Also, 4th place in his district goes to "Mr Fishfinger" with 309 votes.

Theresa May had a "Lord Buckethead" in her district.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 08, 2017, 09:47:00 pm
I want the SNP to hit 30 so I can go to bed.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: RedKing on June 08, 2017, 09:48:42 pm
Conservatives are now blowing the BBCs revised projection of their losses, their re-re-revised was losing 8 seats, they're now at -9 on BBC and -10 on The Guardian.

LibDem Leader Tim Farron holds on to his district by a margin of 1.5%. Talk about playing it down to the wire, man. Also, 4th place in his district goes to "Mr Fishfinger" with 309 votes.

Theresa May had a "Lord Buckethead" in her district.
I would totally vote for Buckethead (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Buckethead). Have you heard that guy play?



LibDems take Caithness back from SNP (iirc, the isles were sort of a LibDem haven before the SNP's wave last time?).
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 08, 2017, 09:52:51 pm
Conservatives are now blowing the BBCs revised projection of their losses, their re-re-revised was losing 8 seats, they're now at -9 on BBC and -10 on The Guardian.

LibDem Leader Tim Farron holds on to his district by a margin of 1.5%. Talk about playing it down to the wire, man. Also, 4th place in his district goes to "Mr Fishfinger" with 309 votes.

Theresa May had a "Lord Buckethead" in her district.
I would totally vote for Buckethead (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Buckethead). Have you heard that guy play?



LibDems take Caithness back from SNP (iirc, the isles were sort of a LibDem haven before the SNP's wave last time?).

Not that buckethead, this Lord Buckethead (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lord_Buckethead). He's kind of the British version of Vermin Supreme.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 08, 2017, 10:00:32 pm
Eh, weaksauce. I miss Screaming Lord Sutch, and I wasn't even around for him.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: RedKing on June 08, 2017, 10:01:54 pm
Would also vote for that guy. Especially if the alternative was Theresa May.


Labour at +23 on the night so far.
SNP at -14, as they lose Berwick, Roxburgh and Selkirk to the Tories.


I this point, I have to wonder if Nicola Sturgeon steps down. Perhaps after donning Forrest Whitaker's armor and limping out to gasp "Save the rebellion, save the dream"....
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 08, 2017, 10:03:37 pm
ffs Scotland. I would've been alright with a swing to Laor, but why vote for the Tories?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 08, 2017, 10:08:21 pm
ffs Scotland. I would've been alright with a swing to Laor, but why vote for the Tories?
Split vote between Lab and SNP, perhaps.

And possibly some leave/remain sentiments.

Tory losses seem to have stabilized, although it's made even more painful by the loss of several ministers. Is it me or does it seem like Tory ministers got particularily targeted, not surprised neccesarily, just a funny coincidence that a lot of the ones losing seats are also ministers.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 08, 2017, 10:09:05 pm
ffs Scotland. I would've been alright with a swing to Laor, but why vote for the Tories?
Split vote between Lab and SNP, perhaps.
A quick run-through of the Scottish conservative seats suggests this is the case, with only Berwickshire, Roxburgh & Selkirk breaking the pattern.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: RedKing on June 08, 2017, 10:10:39 pm
Now....the majority of the remaining seats to be called are currently Tory seats

Breakdown of the remaining uncalled races:

93 Conservative
37 Labour
4 LibDem
11 SNP

The Tories are virtually guaranteed (possibly mathematically...haven't done the numbers) to be denied a majority in Parliament. Labour is virtually guaranteed to be denied a majority as well. Question is who will have the plurality.

Scratch that -- barring an utter collapse, the Tories will have the plurality. BUT -- if Labour can get everyone else on board with a coalition government (and hopefully the LibDems learned their lesson of the price of allying with Tories) then it's bye-bye May.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: RedKing on June 08, 2017, 10:13:55 pm
Yeah, most of the remaining seats are the Conservatives' to lose.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 08, 2017, 10:15:11 pm
Basically whoever the minority parties want to work with.

It's a hung parliament I think. The SNP (31 seats so far, thank fuck) are going to be the third largest party, nobody will work with them 'cause Indyref2 is on the table, nobody wants that. I think the Lib Dems are going to demand another Brexit referendum, so it's unlikely anyone will work with them.

Not sure about the rest of the parties, to be fair... the DUP I think most closely align with the Tories, so maybe they get the slimmest of margins, perhaps on a case-by-case basis with them.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 08, 2017, 10:15:39 pm
Now....the majority of the remaining seats to be called are currently Tory seats

Breakdown of the remaining uncalled races:

93 Conservative
37 Labour
4 LibDem
11 SNP

The Tories are virtually guaranteed (possibly mathematically...haven't done the numbers) to be denied a majority in Parliament. Labour is virtually guaranteed to be denied a majority as well. Question is who will have the plurality.

Scratch that -- barring an utter collapse, the Tories will have the plurality. BUT -- if Labour can get everyone else on board with a coalition government (and hopefully the LibDems learned their lesson of the price of allying with Tories) then it's bye-bye May.

Labor has already said that they don't want to form a coalition and would rather form a minority parliament. The Tories get the first shot at forming a coalition though I believe.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: RedKing on June 08, 2017, 10:19:15 pm
I'm not convinced Labour wouldn't partner with SNP.

Labour and Conservatives trade a pair of surprising wins: Labour in Reading East, Tories in Mansfield.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Reelya on June 08, 2017, 10:22:49 pm
Not that buckethead, this Lord Buckethead (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lord_Buckethead). He's kind of the British version of Vermin Supreme.

Well shit ... is this what Lord buckethead looks like :-

(https://img.buzzfeed.com/buzzfeed-static/static/2017-05/15/6/campaign_images/buzzfeed-prod-fastlane-03/a-person-called-lord-buckethead-is-standing-again-2-6970-1494843314-0_dblbig.jpg)
(https://c1.staticflickr.com/5/4050/4496806668_7e4788ecef_z.jpg)
(https://img.buzzfeed.com/buzzfeed-static/static/2017-05/12/11/asset/buzzfeed-prod-fastlane-01/sub-buzz-3251-1494601451-1.png)

(Lord Buckethead is the top right photo if you didn't guess)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 08, 2017, 10:23:12 pm
Laor has about as immense a commitment to the unity of the UK as the Tories do. It's not impossible they could partner with SNP...but there's only one thing SNP really wants in exchange, and it's the one thing both main parties will never grant. Only the most extreme stresses on one or both sides could make that deal happen.

LibDems have already said they will not coalition unless it comes with a second Brexit referendum, which neither Tories nor Laor would agree to. Maybe Laor could be pushed into it, if it was do or die.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 08, 2017, 10:24:45 pm
Nah, the whole Brexit thing is about the U.K. pulling together, and the SNP want to break the U.K. up. Indyref2 will be a guaranteed demand for anything official, probably a seat/some degree of influence at the Brexit table too.

I just can't see it happening, maybe on a case-by-case, but even then it's a long-shot.

ayyy SNP beat the prediction and get a 33rd seat.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: RedKing on June 08, 2017, 10:26:10 pm
I dunno....I could totally see Labour saying "this changes everything, we need a new Brexit referendum". Not sure how well that'd go over with the public though. From what I gather, the only thing worse than Brexit for many people is the idea of going through the whole Brexit campaign again.

Kinda how, yeah having Trump is shit, but having to go through 2016 again? Fuck that noise with a sharp stick.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 08, 2017, 10:26:18 pm
@reelya: you mean top left, lol.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 08, 2017, 10:30:18 pm
It did occur to me that the Laor politicians don't really like Corbyn so... maybe there's a chance enough of them will rebel and support the Tories, but that's also a risky prospect, seeing as that will very likely be looked upon as massive betrayal by the grass roots members.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: RedKing on June 08, 2017, 10:31:34 pm
Under the Radar News of the Night: The SDLP and UUP lose all their seats in Parliament. Sinn Fein gains 3 seats, and now holds 7 of N. Ireland's 18 seats. Which, as someone pointed out, basically means N. Ireland has 11 seats.

2nd Under the Radar News: UKIP electorally annhilated. Less than 2% of the vote nationally, after having over 12% in 2015.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 08, 2017, 10:32:49 pm
Alex Salmond loses the constituency of Gordon to Tory Colin Clark by 5%. SNP's Messiah has fallen further still.

It did occur to me that the Laor politicians don't really like Corbyn so... maybe there's a chance enough of them will rebel and support the Tories, but that's also a risky prospect, seeing as that will very likely be looked upon as massive betrayal by the grass roots members.
I get the impression that some Laor figures might be suddenly liking Corbyn all along after tonight is done.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 08, 2017, 10:34:18 pm
In terms of actual representation, the whole absentationism thing Sinn Fein is doing seems really dumb because they're depriving their North Ireland consistuents of actual representation.

Also, what's with these various shadow secretaries and ministers that I keep reading about?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 08, 2017, 10:36:06 pm
In terms of actual representation, the whole absentationism thing Sinn Fein is doing seems really dumb because they're depriving their North Ireland consistuents of actual representation.
You have to understand, Sinn Fein aren't just political radicals or independence voters, they're separatists. Separating from and not being represented in London is what their voters want.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 08, 2017, 10:37:06 pm
The biggest betrayal of all! The grand poobah bites the dust.

Jesus Christ Scotland.

Ah well, bedtime.

Re: shadow ministers: not sure if you're aware, but the opposition party has their own "cabinet" of sorts, mirroring (or shadowing, as that makes more sense) the actual ministers. Not sure if they have access to that ministry's resources or whatever, but they are basically responsible for debating with their counterpart in parliament and keeping up to date with what they're doing.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: RedKing on June 08, 2017, 10:37:21 pm
In terms of actual representation, the whole absentationism thing Sinn Fein is doing seems really dumb because they're depriving their North Ireland consistuents of actual representation.

Also, what's with these various shadow secretaries and ministers that I keep reading about?
Agents of the Shadow Broker. Possibly in league with Cerberus.


Nah, it's a thing (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shadow_Cabinet) in parliamentary systems. I rather like it myself.


Tories continue to staunch their bleeding with bandages made of Scottish tartan. SNP is at -18 on the night, and 11 of those have gone to the Conservatives. The eastern Highlands are just a mass of blue.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 08, 2017, 10:51:56 pm
SNP bleedout is STILL not done, they just lost Coatbridge and Chryston, which is near Glasgow I think.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: RedKing on June 08, 2017, 10:53:57 pm
Just noticed that there's a "Yorkshire Party" which advocates the creation of a Yorkshire Parliament, on par with the Welsh Assembly and Scottish Parliament.  ???


EDIT: This also reminds me that I fucking love British constituency names.
"The honourable member for Coatrack, Doorknob & Pennywhistle recgonizes the honourable member for Thistleborough-on-Wuffington...."

Seems like most of England is named like a map for a shitty D&D campaign.  :P
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Reelya on June 08, 2017, 10:55:51 pm
@reelya: you mean top left, lol.

No, I know what I meant.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 08, 2017, 10:57:37 pm
@reelya: you mean top left, lol.

No, I know what I meant.

Okay, lol. Now someone needs to photoshop Theresa May with a bucket on her head.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 08, 2017, 10:58:30 pm
Keighley flips Tory to Laor with a margin of 0.5%.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: RedKing on June 08, 2017, 11:00:58 pm
Just noticed that there's a "Yorkshire Party" which advocates the creation of a Yorkshire Parliament, on par with the Welsh Assembly and Scottish Parliament.  ???
Kingdom of Norþumbria.
More Jórvík than Northumbria. Northumbria extended further north to Hadrian's Wall.

But still, you don't see Cornwall or Essex or Norfolk calling for such a thing, and they were all proto-English kingdoms as well.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: RedKing on June 08, 2017, 11:03:44 pm
Labour so far at +31 on the night, +22 of that coming from Tory seats.

EDIT: If you remove Scotland from the equation, it's a straight transfer: +21 for Labour, -21 for Conservatives. +1 for LibDem, -1 for UKIP.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 08, 2017, 11:08:27 pm
Oxford West & Abingdon (+16.7) flips Tory to LibDem, the gimp-suit caning on top of Tory's other losses to the party tonight.

The Tory majority is now ten seats from dissolution.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: RedKing on June 08, 2017, 11:15:10 pm
The unmitigated winners in all this? Liberal Democrats. Despite taking less share of the national vote than they did two years ago, they've nearly doubled their representation in Parliament. LibDems are back, baby! Still mostly a third nipple in British politics (as they were before), but they're back!


Also, SNP holds onto Argyll. Go figure -- the eastern Highlands bow the knee, while the auld Campbell lands hold to Scotland's dream.

EDIT: About a quarter of the remaining seats are in Cornwall.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 08, 2017, 11:32:58 pm
Four seats of twenty-nine until the Tory majority is lost. It's all over but the crying.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 09, 2017, 12:05:51 am
The Guardian is now displaying the outcome to show if a Tory-DUP coalition is possible.

Corbyn has called for May's resignation.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Neonivek on June 09, 2017, 12:07:19 am
The Guardian is now displaying the outcome to show if a Tory-DUP coalition is possible.

Corbyn has called for May's resignation.

May shouldn't resign. She should in fact double down on not resigning.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 09, 2017, 12:08:18 am
Tories hold on to Southampton Itchen by a mere 0.1%.

The Green Party holds Brighton Pavilion. Good job Green Party. :)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Leafsnail on June 09, 2017, 12:14:17 am
Tory-DUP seems like the only viable government. That's gonna be really unstable though.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 09, 2017, 12:17:24 am
If that even ends up being possible. Tory+DUP will probably make it above 326, but I counted the remaining seats and there's enough in-play ones to deny it with a few to spare.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Leafsnail on June 09, 2017, 12:21:29 am
The thing is SF don't ever show up to parliament, so effectively there are 643 seats and you only need 322 for a working majority. Tories + DUP will cross that threshold, but that government would have a tonne of trouble passing anything since just a couple of rebellions in either party could lose it for them.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 09, 2017, 12:24:28 am
Laor was upset by the Tories surviving in Southampton, and held Newcastle-under-Lyme by an equally sharp 0.1%.

Edit: Not content to be upstaged, Plaid Cymru steals Ceredigion (+8%) from the LibDems by 0.3%.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 09, 2017, 12:33:20 am
Hmm...it's good, but not quite an unprecedented landslide. I might hold a poll on if Laor should get "b" or "u" back.

Judgement will be passed on the state of "Tory" once all seats are in.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: misko27 on June 09, 2017, 12:34:50 am
The unmitigated winners in all this? Liberal Democrats. Despite taking less share of the national vote than they did two years ago, they've nearly doubled their representation in Parliament. LibDems are back, baby! Still mostly a third nipple in British politics (as they were before), but they're back!
Despite being minimally informed about British Politics, this makes me happy for some reason.

If that even ends up being possible. Tory+DUP will probably make it above 326, but I counted the remaining seats and there's enough in-play ones to deny it with a few to spare.
On a scale of Switzerland to North Korea, exactly how much of a shitshow is this for the politics of the Anglophone Isle?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 09, 2017, 12:41:47 am
If that even ends up being possible. Tory+DUP will probably make it above 326, but I counted the remaining seats and there's enough in-play ones to deny it with a few to spare.
On a scale of Switzerland to North Korea, exactly how much of a shitshow is this for the politics of the Anglophone Isle?
A decent Greece. This range of outcomes was a considered scenario since May announced the election and people were like "uh, May, just because we're ahead in the polls while the government is static doesn't mean an election will take our majority to a supermajority, please stop refusing to debate Corbyn", but it's still a pretty sharp uptick for Laor.

Tonight's winners are Laor, LibDems, DUP, Green, Plaid Cymru, and Sinn Fein.

Tonight's losers are the Tories, SNP, UKIP, UDP, and SDLP.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Reelya on June 09, 2017, 12:59:55 am
Hmm...it's good, but not quite an unprecedented landslide. I might hold a poll on if Laor should get "b" or "u" back.

Judgement will be passed on the state of "Tory" once all seats are in.
I have a request that if they lose a letter, it's the R.

I want to talk about how the Toys are faring in parliament.

The last thing you need is a puppet government.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Frumple on June 09, 2017, 01:22:09 am
Hmm...it's good, but not quite an unprecedented landslide. I might hold a poll on if Laor should get "b" or "u" back.
U is the only choice, here. If you give them back the b they're just americans squatting in the UK.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: martinuzz on June 09, 2017, 01:27:06 am
Congrats UK on your election outcome. I hope we can now put this whole silly Brexitamathingie behind us and get back to business as usual thx
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 09, 2017, 01:35:44 am
Hmm...it's good, but not quite an unprecedented landslide. I might hold a poll on if Laor should get "b" or "u" back.
U is the only choice, here. If you give them back the b they're just americans squatting in the UK.
I mean...
Congrats UK on your election outcome. I hope we can now put this whole silly Brexitamathingie behind us and get back to business as usual thx
It's far from over. The Tories will still support Brexit and Laor now supports continuing Brexit. It is only the ravaged SNP,  LibDem, and the one Green who stand against the tide that shall sweep Britain from Brussel's shores.


Oh, and the Tories have taken revenge on LibDem in Richmond Park, snatching the seat away by 0.1% (that number sure is showing up a lot) and a mere forty votes. "Hurr hurr voting doesn't matter"
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Frumple on June 09, 2017, 01:49:47 am
Yeah, some of the margins were pretty impressive. Apparently one seat got decided by like literally two votes? It was single digit, anyway, if I'm not misremembering already. Definitely one of the elections in recent history to kick that But just one vote! nonsense in the crotch the hardest.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Descan on June 09, 2017, 01:50:42 am
...

So what the fuck happens now?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 09, 2017, 01:53:16 am
Theresa May probably resigns, a hung parliament convenes, and either Tory-DUP happens or it doesn't.

If it does, they stagger forth trying to reconcile their coalition in an arguably conservative manner.

If it doesn't, minority government ensues and every single issue on tap becomes a drag out fight of deadlock and dissident courting.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: NJW2000 on June 09, 2017, 02:00:14 am
Yeah, whether the Tories form a majority is down to the land of saints and scholars... good new for Ireland, bad news for the Tories. But that's a three seat majority, and given at least three Tory backbenchers are probably pissed off with their own party at any one time, it'll be bloody difficult for the Tories to push their agenda even if the DUP are compliant.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: ChairmanPoo on June 09, 2017, 02:04:20 am
A mysterious man with the left side of his face burned off, arrives to deliver a box with a button inside. He tells you that, if the button is pushed, he will give you a tax free payment of $1 million in cash. However, some Tory MP you don't know will lose his seat. Do you still push it?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Arx on June 09, 2017, 02:05:45 am
Hmm...it's good, but not quite an unprecedented landslide. I might hold a poll on if Laor should get "b" or "u" back.

Judgement will be passed on the state of "Tory" once all seats are in.
I have a request that if they lose a letter, it's the R.

I want to talk about how the Toys are faring in parliament.

It ought to be the 'o'. They tried so hard, and got so far...
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 09, 2017, 02:08:37 am
A mysterious man with the left side of his face burned off, arrives to deliver a box with a button inside. He tells you that, if the button is pushed, he will give you a tax free payment of $1 million in cash. However, some Tory MP you don't know will lose his seat. Do you still push it?
If I push the button more times than there are Tory MPs, what happens?

Actually, nevermind, I'll just do this the scientific way. Time to cash out!
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Necrothurge on June 09, 2017, 02:43:23 am
Tory-DUP is worse than just Tories! DUP are very anti-EU! This is very bad. I think people should've just voted Tory now.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 09, 2017, 02:54:28 am
Did you ever hear the Tragedy of Darth May The Wise?

No?

I thought not. It’s not a story the Laour would tell you. It’s an Ory legend. Darth May was a Prime Minister of the Ories, so powerful and so wise she could use Parliament to influence the voters to create elections… She had such a knowledge of the right wing, she could even call an election whenever it suited her.

She could actually...save representatives from the electoral cycle?

The right wing of politics is a pathway to many abilities some consider to be...unnatural.

What happened to her?

She became so powerful… the only thing she was afraid of was losing her power, which eventually, of course, she did. Unfortunately, she called an election when it seemed to be certain victory, and a powerful socialist struck her down. Ironic. She could save them from bad elections, but not a good one.

Is it possible to learn this power?

Not from a leftist.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Descan on June 09, 2017, 03:23:05 am
If only you'd gone with Laur originally, you could have taken the O from the Tories to get Laour and the Tries.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on June 09, 2017, 03:36:38 am
Seems like most of England is named like a map for a shitty D&D campaign.  :P
Naw..  It's that even Tolkien couldn't out-Fantasy some of the actual Shire names, thus hamstringing the derivative works... ;)

(Good morning, all.)

ETA:
More Jórvík than Northumbria. Northumbria extended further north to Hadrian's Wall.
Also, as being "North of the Humber", it excludes significant parts of Yorkshire, including The Peoples Republic Of South Yorkshire (as previously ruled by King Arthur. Scargill, that is).
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Necrothurge on June 09, 2017, 03:49:00 am
Breakdown of the DUP Manifesto (http://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/814948/election-2017-dup-democratic-unionist-party-manifesto-brexit-conservatives-theresa-may)

Quote
Arlene Foster, 46, is the leader of the staunchly pro-union and pro-Brexit party and declared it was a “good night for the Union”.

Quote
According to a DUP source anything is possible in Westminster talks except a coalition with Jeremy Corbyn.

Quote
The DUP has opposed the introduction of same sex marriage in Northern Ireland, as well as lifting the ban on abortion.

Quote
In their manifesto they said they supported the nuclear deterrent putting them at odds with Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn.

Basically, everything is over.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 09, 2017, 03:54:19 am
It's more likely that the DUP will just fail to maintain the coalition than the Ories turning around and adopting everything they believe in.

The results in NI are rather interesting, though. The elimination of UUP and SDLP in favor of DUP and Sinn Fein seems to me to be a polarization outcome.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on June 09, 2017, 04:47:24 am
Tl;dr is that "not campaigning" is a bold campaign strategy unlikely to pay off in the long run. Comrade Corbyn managed to reunite Labour with the orbs of direction under his command. Theresa May's only hope is to tear open a portal to fling the foolish socialist comrade into the far future, where her policy is law

*EDIT
Clegg has fallen.

This is one hell of a night.
F

A mysterious man with the left side of his face burned off, arrives to deliver a box with a button inside. He tells you that, if the button is pushed, he will give you a tax free payment of $1 million in cash. However, some Tory MP you don't know will lose his seat. Do you still push it?
Gordon? Is that you?

Loud Whispers must be feeling pretty unhappy at the result, his favourite seemingly Thatcher-like persona just got wrecked, and wrecked pretty hard, given the expectations. Folded horribly on her campaign, very unlike the Iron Lady.
I like Thatcher's decisive wartime leadership but that's about it, not least of all for her being one of the chief architects behind the UK's entry into the European Union, or the most significant proponent of neoliberalism the UK's seen besides Blair. Wouldn't say May's Thatcherite either, in policy they are opposites and in style they are opposites. The former is neoliberal, confrontational and famously the iron lady, the latter is conservative, elusive and famously camera-shy. I would've voted for Libdems this time round on the basis that they didn't want to regulate the internet if it were not for their pro-EU stance, especially given my local Tory MP being scarcely local. If I've cause to be unhappy, I've got little, but I do have cause to be anxious - naturally, this outcome opens up many possibilities which hither now were impossible, not least of which is the possibility of not leaving all of the EU.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sheb on June 09, 2017, 05:03:14 am
Yeah, the best news for Corbyn is that his position as leader (and his brand of leftist) in now entrenched. I'm sure there were a lot of Laor MPs who would have like for Laor to take a beating everywhere except their constituency to habe an excuse to oust Corbyn.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Grim Portent on June 09, 2017, 05:15:51 am
Yeah, the best news for Corbyn is that his position as leader (and his brand of leftist) in now entrenched. I'm sure there were a lot of Laor MPs who would have like for Laor to take a beating everywhere except their constituency to habe an excuse to oust Corbyn.

Heh, up here in Scotland Labor was telling people to vote Conservative in more than a few constituencies.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sheb on June 09, 2017, 06:03:06 am
Yeah, the best news for Corbyn is that his position as leader (and his brand of leftist) in now entrenched. I'm sure there were a lot of Laor MPs who would have like for Laor to take a beating everywhere except their constituency to habe an excuse to oust Corbyn.

Heh, up here in Scotland Labor was telling people to vote Conservative in more than a few constituencies.

Really? What was the logic? Screw the SNP to get some breathing room?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Grim Portent on June 09, 2017, 06:10:12 am
Yeah, the best news for Corbyn is that his position as leader (and his brand of leftist) in now entrenched. I'm sure there were a lot of Laor MPs who would have like for Laor to take a beating everywhere except their constituency to habe an excuse to oust Corbyn.

Heh, up here in Scotland Labor was telling people to vote Conservative in more than a few constituencies.

Really? What was the logic? Screw the SNP to get some breathing room?

Basically. Happened last election as well. Lib Dems, Labour and Conservatives up here all ganged up on the SNP and flung tactical voting suggestions all over the place. Their election leaflets around here this time around said some variation on 'only we (Lib/Lab/Con) can keep the SNP out', where the SNP said 'only we can keep the Tories out'. Says a lot about the state of things really.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: scriver on June 09, 2017, 06:19:56 am
Seems like most of England is named like a map for a shitty D&D campaign.  :P
Naw..  It's that even Tolkien couldn't out-Fantasy some of the actual Shire names, thus hamstringing the derivative works... ;)

(Good morning, all.)

ETA:
More Jórvík than Northumbria. Northumbria extended further north to Hadrian's Wall.
Also, as being "North of the Humber", it excludes significant parts of Yorkshire, including The Peoples Republic Of South Yorkshire (as previously ruled by King Arthur. Scargill, that is).

I have been wikipediing up my memory and decided that the old British kingdoms of Elmet and Ebrauc might do, as well as Rheged. Or why not go full out Hen Ogledd?

Most fitting is, of course, The Kingdom of Northern England, the realm of John Uskglass, immortal king of York, Faerie, and a tiny piece of Hell itself.

But still, you don't see Cornwall or Essex or Norfolk calling for such a thing, and they were all proto-English kingdoms as well.

Neither Essex nor Norfolk is proto-English unless by that you mean proto-England - the difference is pretty significant.

As for Cornwall, well (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mebyon_Kernow):
Quote
a Cornish nationalist, centre-left political party in Cornwall, United Kingdom. It primarily campaigns for devolution to Cornwall in the form of a Cornish Assembly, as well as social democracy and environmental protection.

If anything the reason they want a Geordie Assembly has more to do with the north/south England split than anything else. They want to keep our from under the loaferne  soles of those posh bastards down south.


Yeah, the best news for Corbyn is that his position as leader (and his brand of leftist) in now entrenched. I'm sure there were a lot of Laor MPs who would have like for Laor to take a beating everywhere except their constituency to habe an excuse to oust Corbyn.

Nah, 40 years of rot don't wash easily. If anything it is much more likely to corrupt Corbyn instead. Can't stop the trend train, neoliberalism knows no brakes.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sheb on June 09, 2017, 06:35:55 am
He, Corbyn has been a MP forever now.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 09, 2017, 06:55:38 am
So... what does this mean for Brexit? Are the Tories going to waste more time with coalition talks and a leadership contest before, you know, getting a team together to figure out what their negotiating positions actually are, and actually starting the talks?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: scriver on June 09, 2017, 06:56:40 am
He, Corbyn has been a MP forever now.

I don't see what that has to do with anything.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sheb on June 09, 2017, 06:57:05 am
Yeah, I guess so. Given the short time period, this raise the chance of not so much a hard brexit as a messy one.


Scriver: He had plenty of opportunity to get corrupted by the specter of neoliberalism.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: scriver on June 09, 2017, 07:06:04 am
Yeah, but now he's in charge.

And I resent your spectre word choice.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sheb on June 09, 2017, 07:37:08 am
Yeah, but now he's in charge.

And I resent your spectre word choice.

You think he's going to be corrupted now? I think he'll still have a lot of work to do to fight the institutional inertia of Labour, but I don't think he himself will change much. And his position to fight such inertia is now much, much better. Three weeks ago, some were calling Labour's left-wing manifesto "Electoral suicide" (http://www.economist.com/blogs/speakerscorner/2017/05/manifesto-madness). Right before Labour skyrocketed in the polls.

As for the specter, I'm not entirely certain what you resent. I mean I'm not a huge fan of neoliberalism myself (although I AM quite centrists in many ways).


Edit: May announced a Tory government with the DUP. By my count that gives her 327 seats, so a wafer-thin majority but a majority. Not clear if it's going to be a coalition or a minority gov propper by the DUP.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Azzuro on June 09, 2017, 09:37:51 am
I think scriver meant you spelt 'spectre' instead of 'specter'.

Anyway, I think this does raise the possibility of the European side going hard in the Brexit negotiations, seeing as May can't exactly claim a strong mandate of the British people now. She also doesn't seem to be handing in her resignation anytime soon.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Frumple on June 09, 2017, 09:44:58 am
I mean... brexit can't claim a strong mandate of the british people, either. If that's going to stay on course may sticking around would be pretty even?

Kinda' curious what you'd count as going hard, though. The UK's not going to get better than norway at this point, ferex.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 09, 2017, 09:49:34 am
I think scriver meant you spelt 'spectre' instead of 'specter'.

It's the other way around, but yeah, I think scriver was just ribbing you over it sheb.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 09, 2017, 10:47:49 am
Continuing on my HYS adventure, I found another idiot. This time he was saying that the minimum voting age should be raised as the "Youth" don't know how to vote right.

I can't tell if he was joking or not.

HYS?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: martinuzz on June 09, 2017, 12:32:17 pm
So this minority government idea with DUP, will that mean that gay marriages are going to be banned in the UK (Cameron refused to cooperate with DUP because of that), abortion made illegal again, and will they retreat from Paris, like Trump did (DUP are notorious climate change deniers)? If that's the case, I suggest kicking the UK out of the EU before they can even say 'Brexit'. No negotiations, just kick and full boycot.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 09, 2017, 12:35:50 pm
Tories won't be that stupid.

/me remembers the Brexit referendun and recent election

... er... again?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Leafsnail on June 09, 2017, 12:42:21 pm
The DUP will probably just want more funding for Northern Ireland and an open border with the RoI after Brexit. The second demand could make the negotiations very difficult, especially when the Brexiters in her own party could rebel  against a deal that allows free movement.

The bigger issue that I see is that the DUP are insanely toxic in Britain, with their hardline religious views and terrorist past.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: NJW2000 on June 09, 2017, 12:43:55 pm
So this minority government idea with DUP, will that mean that gay marriages are going to be banned in the UK (Cameron refused to cooperate with DUP because of that), abortion made illegal again, and will they retreat from Paris, like Trump did (DUP are notorious climate change deniers)? If that's the case, I suggest kicking the UK out of the EU before they can even say 'Brexit'. No negotiations, just kick and full boycot.
Sheesh... I think (hope) the Tories will be too metrosexual/socially liberal to let DUP tosspots have their way on stuff like that... I mean, even with the DUP they have a 3-seat margin, so stuff like that probably wouldn't go through...


Wiser heads than I have told me that the DUP will probably just want their way with Ireland, Leafsnail's probably right. And Ireland will be tricky around Brexit.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Grim Portent on June 09, 2017, 12:47:42 pm
It is unlikely, to say the least.

While the Conservatives are the only main party that would have a significant chunk of MPs who would back such policies, a substantial chunk of it would staunchly oppose them and likely refuse to vote in favour in parliament. Ruth Davidson, the head of the Scottish Conservatives is a lesbian for example, and while she isn't part of the Westminster establishment (due to being a MSP and therefore not standing for Westminster) she isn't alone among the party in being fiscally conservative and socially liberal.

The likely outcome is that the DUP back May in forming her government, then support it on a case by case basis, essentially leaving the government a minority one anytime the DUP dislikes what it wants to do. Also, due to EVEL being passed when Cameron was PM, any matters only considered relevant to England can only be voted on by English MPs, so May might actually have a harder time passing bills that affect the English alone than she will passing UK wide bills, a quirk of the way MPs are spread this time around.


The DUP will probably just want more funding for Northern Ireland and an open border with the RoI after Brexit. The second demand could make the negotiations very difficult, especially when the Brexiters in her own party could rebel  against a deal that allows free movement.

The bigger issue that I see is that the DUP are insanely toxic in Britain, with their hardline religious views and terrorist past.

My understanding is the DUP want to close the border with Ireland, not keep it open.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Leafsnail on June 09, 2017, 12:53:36 pm
Nah they're not that crazy. The open border is an important part of the peace settlement and closing it would lead to blood on the streets.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 09, 2017, 12:57:30 pm
They are basically the NI nationalist party, with pretty solid religious leaning too.

They also apparently favour a soft Brexit so... yeah, Mrs. May has kinda fucked up on a grand scale. I find it hard to believe she's going to survive politically having just presided over a massive collapse in opinion polls and having to team up with something of an extreme party to get things done.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: inteuniso on June 09, 2017, 01:01:42 pm
I mean, with weather only projected to get more extreme over the next three years with the solar grand minimum, I can't see brexit continuing. There's simply not enough agricultural area (greenhouses/etc. since land clearing is mostly[?] done on the isle) that can be created in the UK in time to guarantee food security to everyone. Pre-EU comparisons are also pre-Irish independence times, as well as times of less controls on food imports.

The discussions will continue until the weather causes too much damage to fix without the help of the greater union.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sheb on June 09, 2017, 01:09:18 pm
You know LW was just kekking around when he talked of a EU blockade, right?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Grim Portent on June 09, 2017, 01:11:26 pm
You know LW was just kekking around when he talked of a EU blockade, right?

Blockade or no, prices would take a hefty bump and a lot of families in Britain are already relying on foodbanks to survive. The effects on the poorest parts of society won't be pretty, especially with an anti-welfare party in charge.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on June 09, 2017, 02:00:23 pm
https://twitter.com/liamyoung/status/873146824059760642

*snort*
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on June 09, 2017, 02:24:09 pm
So this minority government idea with DUP, will that mean that gay marriages are going to be banned in the UK (Cameron refused to cooperate with DUP because of that), abortion made illegal again, and will they retreat from Paris, like Trump did (DUP are notorious climate change deniers)? If that's the case, I suggest kicking the UK out of the EU before they can even say 'Brexit'. No negotiations, just kick and full boycot.
Yes please

Blockade or no, prices would take a hefty bump and a lot of families in Britain are already relying on foodbanks to survive. The effects on the poorest parts of society won't be pretty, especially with an anti-welfare party in charge.
Would take a hefty bump from what? You bring up a good point and I think it's worthwhile to look at this further. Weaker sterling has increased food prices by 0.2% (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2017/01/10/food-prices-rise-inflation-returns-supermarkets/) thus far, which isn't all that noticeable, owing to how fiercely all our retailers compete with one another to keep prices down. Looking into this further Beeb suggests (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2015-32413080) that the hundreds of thousands using food banks would not disappear with favourable fluctuations in the economy, largely owing to the long term trend of incomes for most people stagnating or declining while living costs increase:
Quote
Since 2007, the cost of food has gone up by 8% in real terms. Research conducted by Cambridge University shows that the price of healthy foods has gone up more in the last 10 years than unhealthy foods. Public Health England acknowledges that the price of food is an important part of
why people eat as they do.   In contrast, incomes have stagnated or even declined in value. The Government’s data show that disposable income for the poorest 20% of UK households has gone down every year since 2004. The 2013 Living Costs and Food Survey showed that the poorest 10% of households only spent an average of £46 on food and non-alcoholic drinks each week but that accounted for 15% of their household expenditure. In contrast, the richest 10% spent more than £80 but this amounted to less than 7% of their expenditure.
From the food foundation (http://foodfoundation.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/FoodInsecurityBriefing-May-2016-FINAL.pdf)
Also from the report is that we don't really know why this is happening for millions because the gov isn't collecting data and seems to be avoiding collecting any data in order to justify inaction

Also while the overall price for foods is not terribly noticeable, certain food produces that are not produced anywhere else in the world but European nations will no doubt increase in price, probably regardless of deals struck, since customs is customs and customs cost. French wine, cheese, Spanish tomatoes, pork and other stuff like Dutch beers. How much will they increase? I dunno

*EDIT
Hahahaha DUP look like UKIP on overdrive and they hold the cards against May what is this timeline lmao

*EDITx2
Just cried a little watching Nick Clegg hear he'd lost
RIP in peace (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aVRmZtllu_k)
That is seriously one of the slowest, most torturous career declines I have ever witnessed
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on June 09, 2017, 03:05:33 pm
Strawpoll: Should Theresa May resign after her lacklustre win? (http://www.strawpoll.me/13149137)
*EDIT
Fixed link
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 09, 2017, 03:07:09 pm
Strawpoll: Should Theresa May resign after her lacklustre win? (http://www.strawpoll.me/13149137/r)

I thought the vote amounts were supposed to be hidden until you actually voted? Because it shows me the total.

Edit: You linked to the result page by accident LW.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 09, 2017, 03:22:10 pm
In what is probably the equivalent of the whole of NYC flipping Republican, in a final sting, Labor has taken Kensington from the Tories (https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2017/jun/09/election-2017-theresa-may-speaks-outside-downing-street-after-shock-result-hunh-parliament-live?page=with:block-593afee9e4b0be3ed1924c25#block-593afee9e4b0be3ed1924c25) by, get this, 20 votes.

The analogy may not be a great (or accurate?) one, but it sounds like a hell of a sting since it's supposed to be a Tory stronghold.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on June 09, 2017, 03:36:51 pm
In what is probably the equivalent of the whole of NYC flipping Republican, in a final sting, Labor has taken Kensington from the Tories (https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2017/jun/09/election-2017-theresa-may-speaks-outside-downing-street-after-shock-result-hunh-parliament-live?page=with:block-593afee9e4b0be3ed1924c25#block-593afee9e4b0be3ed1924c25) by, get this, 20 votes.
Muh voting doesn't matter ppl btfo

The analogy may not be a great (or accurate?) one, but it sounds like a hell of a sting since it's supposed to be a Tory stronghold.
Not analogous to the whole NYC flipping Republican, given that NYC is like a whole London
Not much of a sting given how Kensington voted 37,601 Remain to 17,138 Leave, and Kensington is in the heart of London full of rich liberals which do not a make a Tory stronghold
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Grim Portent on June 09, 2017, 03:40:34 pm
Would take a hefty bump from what? You bring up a good point and I think it's worthwhile to look at this further. Weaker sterling has increased food prices by 0.2% (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2017/01/10/food-prices-rise-inflation-returns-supermarkets/) thus far, which isn't all that noticeable, owing to how fiercely all our retailers compete with one another to keep prices down. Looking into this further Beeb suggests (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2015-32413080) that the hundreds of thousands using food banks would not disappear with favourable fluctuations in the economy, largely owing to the long term trend of incomes for most people stagnating or declining while living costs increase:
Quote
Since 2007, the cost of food has gone up by 8% in real terms. Research conducted by Cambridge University shows that the price of healthy foods has gone up more in the last 10 years than unhealthy foods. Public Health England acknowledges that the price of food is an important part of
why people eat as they do.   In contrast, incomes have stagnated or even declined in value. The Government’s data show that disposable income for the poorest 20% of UK households has gone down every year since 2004. The 2013 Living Costs and Food Survey showed that the poorest 10% of households only spent an average of £46 on food and non-alcoholic drinks each week but that accounted for 15% of their household expenditure. In contrast, the richest 10% spent more than £80 but this amounted to less than 7% of their expenditure.
From the food foundation (http://foodfoundation.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/FoodInsecurityBriefing-May-2016-FINAL.pdf)
Also from the report is that we don't really know why this is happening for millions because the gov isn't collecting data and seems to be avoiding collecting any data in order to justify inaction

Also while the overall price for foods is not terribly noticeable, certain food produces that are not produced anywhere else in the world but European nations will no doubt increase in price, probably regardless of deals struck, since customs is customs and customs cost. French wine, cheese, Spanish tomatoes, pork and other stuff like Dutch beers. How much will they increase? I dunno

Tariffs, customs and so on. Anything originating from or shipped through the EU would become more expensive.

25% of UK food consumed comes from the EU, and unless we get a trade deal, which is unlikely given the way the EU handles trade with other nations, basically being a 'Norway deal or our flat rate for non-members' situation, we'd fall back on WTO rules. Now, since the UK and EU are members of the WTO, they have to give each other a special rate on import/export duty. It's apparently an average of 2% on non-agricultural products, and an average of 22% on agricultural ones. There is a lot of range in that though, with wine being just 14% and beef 59%. (Figures taken from https://www.ft.com/content/7f0c732c-93b8-11e6-a80e-bcd69f323a8b?mhq5j=e2)

Obviously the exact rate will depend on the exact proportions of stuff we import, but we import mostly fruit/veg (£8.7 billion in 2014) and meat (£6 billion 2014), followed by beverages (£5.2 billion 2014). (https://www.theatlas.com/charts/S1vGKAcS)

Tariffs also hit in the opposite direction of course and will hurt food exports, 40% of which we normally sell to the EU. Lot of farmers and brewers will be hit hard by that as their normal export market looks elsewhere for suppliers.

This isn't going to cause some kind of price explosion, except maybe in regards to meat like beef and lamb. But it's going to cause an increase of food prices across the board, and that's the last thing people already struggling to pay their rent, their car insurance, their TV license and so on need. It'll be mostly irrelevant to anyone who's paid well and has a good house with a low rate mortgage, beyond giving them a reason to bitch about the price of steak, but they're not the people who need worried about, it's the single mothers on zero hours contracts, the people struggling to keep the heating on and feed their kids, the elderly living on state pensions and so on who'll suffer. There's tons of people struggling to stay above the poverty line, and for some of them it will only take a small rise in the cost of essentials to sink under it.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 09, 2017, 03:59:40 pm
In what is probably the equivalent of the whole of NYC flipping Republican, in a final sting, Labor has taken Kensington from the Tories (https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2017/jun/09/election-2017-theresa-may-speaks-outside-downing-street-after-shock-result-hunh-parliament-live?page=with:block-593afee9e4b0be3ed1924c25#block-593afee9e4b0be3ed1924c25) by, get this, 20 votes.
Muh voting doesn't matter ppl btfo

The analogy may not be a great (or accurate?) one, but it sounds like a hell of a sting since it's supposed to be a Tory stronghold.
Not analogous to the whole NYC flipping Republican, given that NYC is like a whole London
Not much of a sting given how Kensington voted 37,601 Remain to 17,138 Leave, and Kensington is in the heart of London full of rich liberals which do not a make a Tory stronghold

It being a Tory stronghold are The Guardians words, not mine.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Grim Portent on June 09, 2017, 04:15:22 pm
Every prior MP for Kensington has been Conservative. 1974, 1988, 2010 and 2015. 2017 is the first non-Con to win. (It was abolished in 97 and reinstated in 2010.) There have been 9 prior elections, and the Cons have held it through all of them with just 4 MPs over the time period.

Conservatives seem to trend in the high 40s very low 50s for vote percentage there, with Labour usually in the 20-30% range.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kensington_(UK_Parliament_constituency) (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kensington_(UK_Parliament_constituency))

EDIT: Fixing the link.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: CptAWatts22 on June 09, 2017, 04:39:55 pm
They really should get rid of TV licenses lol.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 09, 2017, 04:43:04 pm
They're basically government mandated cable subscriptions, from what I understand.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on June 09, 2017, 04:52:30 pm
They really should get rid of TV licenses lol.
Apropos of what? And then what do we do about our politically neutral* and ad-free BBC TV and radio, S4C (ads), World Service (now forced onto the licence fund), etc, etc, etc..


* -  Stop laughing at the back, LW...
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: NJW2000 on June 09, 2017, 04:53:30 pm
May apologised to the Tories who lost their seats.

I do wonder if those are the people a political leader should be apologising to after they screw the pooch...
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Grim Portent on June 09, 2017, 05:00:00 pm
May apologised to the Tories who lost their seats.

I do wonder if those are the people a political leader should be apologising to after they screw the pooch...

Sort of is, considering the way she handled the election is basically why those people are now unemployed.  :P
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: CptAWatts22 on June 09, 2017, 05:00:22 pm
Yeah I think she should. Especially since a place like where I was born hasn't lost their seat since the 1980s lol.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on June 09, 2017, 05:26:50 pm
Tariffs, customs and so on. Anything originating from or shipped through the EU would become more expensive.
Assuming the UK raises tariffs against EU agricultural produce. What would occur next would be in the hands of British lawmakers regarding imports

25% of UK food consumed comes from the EU, and unless we get a trade deal, which is unlikely given the way the EU handles trade with other nations, basically being a 'Norway deal or our flat rate for non-members' situation, we'd fall back on WTO rules.
We would decide what we set our tariff rates at though, the EU would have to impose a tax on agricultural produce to the UK in order to achieve the same and the result would be that European farmers would be unable to compete with British farmers in the British market

Moreover why is it unlikely? By "basically" treating this as a Norway or non-members situation, are we not willingly ignoring the rest of the world? Don't see anyone arguing that Mexico, Canada or Singapore must join the EU to enjoy mutual trade benefits with the EU, unless that is to say that our situation is unique because we are a European country and thus for political reasons the EU will never allow a European nation to enjoy less than antagonistic relations without membership of the EU. This is especially in light of the Canadian (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-38979901) and Singaporian (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/05/16/boost-brexit-free-trade-deal-chances-landmark-eu-court-ruling/) precedents giving Brussels the power to give free trade deals to trading partners whether or not its constituent members like the terms or not.

Now, since the UK and EU are members of the WTO, they have to give each other a special rate on import/export duty. It's apparently an average of 2% on non-agricultural products, and an average of 22% on agricultural ones. There is a lot of range in that though, with wine being just 14% and beef 59%. (Figures taken from https://www.ft.com/content/7f0c732c-93b8-11e6-a80e-bcd69f323a8b?mhq5j=e2)
Obviously the exact rate will depend on the exact proportions of stuff we import, but we import mostly fruit/veg (£8.7 billion in 2014) and meat (£6 billion 2014), followed by beverages (£5.2 billion 2014). (https://www.theatlas.com/charts/S1vGKAcS)
Tariffs also hit in the opposite direction of course and will hurt food exports, 40% of which we normally sell to the EU. Lot of farmers and brewers will be hit hard by that as their normal export market looks elsewhere for suppliers.
This isn't going to cause some kind of price explosion, except maybe in regards to meat like beef and lamb. But it's going to cause an increase of food prices across the board, and that's the last thing people already struggling to pay their rent, their car insurance, their TV license and so on need. It'll be mostly irrelevant to anyone who's paid well and has a good house with a low rate mortgage, beyond giving them a reason to bitch about the price of steak, but they're not the people who need worried about, it's the single mothers on zero hours contracts, the people struggling to keep the heating on and feed their kids, the elderly living on state pensions and so on who'll suffer. There's tons of people struggling to stay above the poverty line, and for some of them it will only take a small rise in the cost of essentials to sink under it.
The EU exports more food to the UK than the UK exports to the EU, ergo any trade war would hurt French and Spanish farmers the most, assuming we made that choice to go tit for tat. Also assuming of course, that the EU wants to start a trade war, which is in odds with their wish for a free trade deal with the UK (http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-eu-trade-britain-idUKKBN17T1HN). Increases of food prices across the board will not help them, yet even a drastic decrease in food prices would not rescue them, the precariat can only be helped by one of two things: A drastic increase in employment and wages, or reliable social security. With much of the EU's food and wine producers dependent upon UK consumers, it's clear to see why they want to help us here; we'd lose out in relative terms, they'd lose out in absolute terms, and their agricultural lobbyists have not been quiet about it. Meanwhile we'd be able to conduct our own trade deals with the rest of the world which is where the vast majority of all our trade in all industries is conducted meaning that in the centuries to come we will be able to choose for ourselves what is best for ourselves, good that you mention the WTO for on the WTO, we'd be sitting in for 1 seat, not 1/28th of a seat. It's rather embarrassing that Iceland and New Zealand have been able to better represent themselves than we have on the WTO, and it'll be rather nice to no longer be paying subsidies to unprofitable farmers through the Common Agricultural Policy. Hell, we'd even be able to start adopting technologies that improve farm efficiency like genetically modified crops

So yeah I think the last bit is an issue that goes far deeper than food prices, it's the gap between the precariat and the working class, not even considering the gap between them and the elite class (http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/389002/Elite-or-Precariat-Britain-now-has-seven-social-classes-so-which-do-you-fit-into)

They really should get rid of TV licenses lol.
Really should've done so already

Every prior MP for Kensington has been Conservative. 1974, 1988, 2010 and 2015. 2017 is the first non-Con to win. (It was abolished in 97 and reinstated in 2010.) There have been 9 prior elections, and the Cons have held it through all of them with just 4 MPs over the time period.
Conservatives seem to trend in the high 40s very low 50s for vote percentage there, with Labour usually in the 20-30% range.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kensington_(UK_Parliament_constituency) (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kensington_(UK_Parliament_constituency))
EDIT: Fixing the link.
Remain won 69% there m9
This is an exact mirror of Copeland which Labour held onto continuously since 1935; lost it to Tories which is altogether unsurprising given how it voted 62% out (http://election.news.sky.com/referendum/copeland-2775)
Well, not an exact mirror considering how Kensington got the Tories rekt by a pub full of people ahahaha I love it, but yeah it's very comparable. EU referendum flipped shits around

It being a Tory stronghold are The Guardians words, not mine.
Your words or the guardians, I consider all equally valid regardless of who speaks them

Apropos of what? And then what do we do about our politically neutral* and ad-free BBC TV and radio, S4C (ads), World Service (now forced onto the licence fund), etc, etc, etc..
* -  Stop laughing at the back, LW...
BBC bias is not very easy to quantify since it's very plastic. For the most part they try very hard not to be biased
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 09, 2017, 05:32:17 pm
I was just stating where I got the info from.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: misko27 on June 09, 2017, 05:37:21 pm
Apropos of what? And then what do we do about our politically neutral* and ad-free BBC TV and radio, S4C (ads), World Service (now forced onto the licence fund), etc, etc, etc..
* -  Stop laughing at the back, LW...
BBC bias is not very easy to quantify since it's very plastic.
Plastic? Plastic bias? I'm sorry, but I'm not quite familiar with that phrase, would you mind explaining?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: martinuzz on June 09, 2017, 05:46:35 pm
Saw our Dutch news channel interview British voters in Canterbury. It really stands out how every student interviewed say the Brexit referendum was a wake up call for them to not stay home and vote this time, and that their main reason for voting was that they don't want a Brexit.

Also saw May state that she's going to the queen and couldn't help but worry about her mental health. Kinda looks like she's heading into a manic episode.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 09, 2017, 05:57:23 pm
Saw our Dutch news channel interview British voters in Canterbury. It really stands out how every student interviewed say the Brexit referendum was a wake up call for them to not stay home and vote this time, and that their main reason for voting was that they don't want a Brexit.

Also saw May state that she's going to the queen and couldn't help but worry about her mental health. Kinda looks like she's heading into a manic episode.

I imagine she'd be under a lot of stress right now, and if she didn't get any/much sleep last night, that certainly wouldn't help either.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: redwallzyl on June 09, 2017, 06:06:51 pm
Someone really needs to change the title to the tragedy of Darth May.

Also how about a brexit referendum 2.0? Clearly people are not happy at the state of things. or are you going to use the you only get to vote once and that's supposedly representative for everything ever. seriously this whole election is basically a refutation of that idea.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 09, 2017, 06:53:30 pm
Also how about a brexit referendum 2.0? Clearly people are not happy at the state of things. or are you going to use the you only get to vote once and that's supposedly representative for everything ever. seriously this whole election is basically a refutation of that idea.

Is it a refutation? Though I guess with younger voters now awakened, it might change.

Ain't gonna happen with Theresa May though, and the Brexit proccess is supposed to start in a bit over a week.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Grim Portent on June 09, 2017, 07:14:01 pm
We would decide what we set our tariff rates at though, the EU would have to impose a tax on agricultural produce to the UK in order to achieve the same and the result would be that European farmers would be unable to compete with British farmers in the British market

EU farmers are less dependant on the UK market than UK ones are on the EU market. 40% of our food goes to the EU, less than 10% of theirs goes to us.

Quote
Moreover why is it unlikely? By "basically" treating this as a Norway or non-members situation, are we not willingly ignoring the rest of the world? Don't see anyone arguing that Mexico, Canada or Singapore must join the EU to enjoy mutual trade benefits with the EU, unless that is to say that our situation is unique because we are a European country and thus for political reasons the EU will never allow a European nation to enjoy less than antagonistic relations without membership of the EU. This is especially in light of the Canadian (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-38979901) and Singaporian (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/05/16/boost-brexit-free-trade-deal-chances-landmark-eu-court-ruling/) precedents giving Brussels the power to give free trade deals to trading partners whether or not its constituent members like the terms or not.

A Free Trade deal assumes that the EU and the UK can come to mutually acceptable terms, which for the EU is likely to involve maintaining most of the freedoms currently possessed by EU citizens in the UK, freedoms which are big parts of why the UK wants to leave in the first place, such as freedom of movement and freedom of residency. This will be a sticking point in any negotiations. In the absence of a Free Trade deal the UK/EU trade relationship defaults to the WTO rules.

Quote
The EU exports more food to the UK than the UK exports to the EU, ergo any trade war would hurt French and Spanish farmers the most, assuming we made that choice to go tit for tat. Also assuming of course, that the EU wants to start a trade war, which is in odds with their wish for a free trade deal with the UK (http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-eu-trade-britain-idUKKBN17T1HN). Increases of food prices across the board will not help them, yet even a drastic decrease in food prices would not rescue them, the precariat can only be helped by one of two things: A drastic increase in employment and wages, or reliable social security. With much of the EU's food and wine producers dependent upon UK consumers, it's clear to see why they want to help us here; we'd lose out in relative terms, they'd lose out in absolute terms, and their agricultural lobbyists have not been quiet about it. Meanwhile we'd be able to conduct our own trade deals with the rest of the world which is where the vast majority of all our trade in all industries is conducted meaning that in the centuries to come we will be able to choose for ourselves what is best for ourselves, good that you mention the WTO for on the WTO, we'd be sitting in for 1 seat, not 1/28th of a seat. It's rather embarrassing that Iceland and New Zealand have been able to better represent themselves than we have on the WTO, and it'll be rather nice to no longer be paying subsidies to unprofitable farmers through the Common Agricultural Policy. Hell, we'd even be able to start adopting technologies that improve farm efficiency like genetically modified crops

As I said above, we make up a smaller proportion of EU food exports than they do UK food imports, in terms of actual food availability and proportional jobs lost we lose out more. The EU can afford to lose >10% of it's food export/import market (can't find exact percentages for the EU, but we make up roughly 8% of it's export market overall, or 17% if we exclude intra-EU exports,) Britain can't really afford to lose 25% of it's food import market and 40% of it's food export market.

Also, since when is 47% of imports and 56% of our exports the vast majority of our trade? 53% of our imports are from the EU, and 43% of our exports go to them. The EU alone makes up about half of all our business these days. (https://fullfact.org/europe/uk-eu-trade/)

The CaP subsidises farms EU wide, including in the UK. Since we buy food EU wide there's little difference between subsidising a Spanish farmer who grows peppers we buy than there is in subsidising a dairy farmer who lives in Yorkshire. Either way we're subsidising food that is at least partially contributing to the UKs diet. How efficient it is is up for debate, as is how much value we get back in real terms, but the same could be said if a Londoner was subsidising that Yorkshire farmer in a UK outside the CaP.

We also can already grow GMO crops, provided they pass an inspection that determines they won't cause any environmental or health issues and undergo monitoring before and after entering the market in case issues arise. Spain already grows a lot of GMO maize. The UKs resistance to GMO is largely a cultural issue relating to poor PR in the 90s, what with the whole 'Frankenfoods will cause cancer' type nonsense that circulated then (which was stupid, though some variants that failed testing have caused some pretty major health problems in lab rats.) There are also a number of issues regarding them my lecturers at uni discussed with us, but they boil down to crossbreeding with wild plants results in wild hybrids that kill bugs that try to eat them which then disrupts the ecosystem. Manageable, but it doesn't take much to fuck it up.

While we will be able to negotiate freely in the WTO, we will also be less powerful in it. The EU is the biggest market in the organisation, which gives it a lot of bargaining power when it chooses to use it. The UK has substantially less bargaining power taken on it's own than the EU does as a whole, which will likely result in worse trade deals when we negotiate with other powerful WTO members.


Quote
So yeah I think the last bit is an issue that goes far deeper than food prices, it's the gap between the precariat and the working class, not even considering the gap between them and the elite class (http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/389002/Elite-or-Precariat-Britain-now-has-seven-social-classes-so-which-do-you-fit-into)

Of course poverty goes deeper than food, it's still an essential thing that the poorest in society are already sorely lacking in. Rising prices will just make the matter worse for them unless there's a radical shift in parliament that results in unprecedented wealth redistribution. When tons of people are on the brink of starvation already, you take measures to make sure that's fixed before you do anything that might make it worse though, otherwise you are essentially killing them out of sheer neglect.

Also how about a brexit referendum 2.0? Clearly people are not happy at the state of things. or are you going to use the you only get to vote once and that's supposedly representative for everything ever. seriously this whole election is basically a refutation of that idea.

There is currently no major party that would push for another Brexit referendum, apart from maybe the Lib Dems. The SNP would back the idea if it came up I expect. Labour and the Conservatives would both oppose another one, as I expect would the EU itself.

The only mechanism by which one could be raised in parliament by the public is a petition. After a certain number of signatures Westminster is required to discuss a petition, but they can dismiss it if they desire the moment they bring it up.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Helgoland on June 09, 2017, 07:15:32 pm
Apropos of what? And then what do we do about our politically neutral* and ad-free BBC TV and radio, S4C (ads), World Service (now forced onto the licence fund), etc, etc, etc..
* -  Stop laughing at the back, LW...
BBC bias is not very easy to quantify since it's very plastic.
Plastic? Plastic bias? I'm sorry, but I'm not quite familiar with that phrase, would you mind explaining?
Plastic as in plasticity.
A plastic bias isn't really a bias any more. Biases are by definition consistent.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on June 09, 2017, 07:25:58 pm
I was just stating where I got the info from.
No worries, just wanted to make sure it was clear I wasn't being hostile or anything

Apropos of what? And then what do we do about our politically neutral* and ad-free BBC TV and radio, S4C (ads), World Service (now forced onto the licence fund), etc, etc, etc..
* -  Stop laughing at the back, LW...
BBC bias is not very easy to quantify since it's very plastic.
Plastic? Plastic bias? I'm sorry, but I'm not quite familiar with that phrase, would you mind explaining?
Plastic as in elastic plastic rather than plastic like lego plastic. The BBC having bias, that is to say if it ever spins narratives for ulterior motives whether through audiences, shows, radio or news, is rather difficult to quantify because which way it bends changes very frequently, at times subtly and owing to its organization, can even end up being contradictory at times
Hence why it's much more useful to focus on who's in charge of any one BBC department at that time

A plastic bias isn't really a bias any more. Biases are by definition consistent.
Biases need not come with consistency, least of all when applied to an organization - an inclination towards a particular belief remains so whether or not that inclination is mutable

Someone really needs to change the title to the tragedy of Darth May.
Alternatively, "Oh Snap" Election

Also how about a brexit referendum 2.0? Clearly people are not happy at the state of things. or are you going to use the you only get to vote once and that's supposedly representative for everything ever. seriously this whole election is basically a refutation of that idea.
I dunno I'm pretty happy with how things turned out, though it seems most everyone is unhappy. Except Corbyn, he's done a good job lmao
I think it's best to just carry on with this unstable situation and see it through for the next 5 years until the next GE. The constant referendums and elections have already pissed a great deal of people off and I'm not sure that more would solve anything; upon any outcome, the underlying upset would remain whilst the political fatigue of Britons and the unresolved state of Brexit would remain unresolved etc etc.
You can see this in how libdems wanted a neverendum and even the most hardcore remainers responded lukewarm (http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/lib-dems-second-eu-referendum-brexit-remain-poll-general-election-2017-tim-farron-a7771136.html)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 09, 2017, 07:33:53 pm
Besides, Article 50 has already been invoked, and didn't the EU parliament/president (all seven of them)/comittee/whatever already say that once it's invoked, theres no going back? Or maybe it was a British poilitician that said that, I forget.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Leafsnail on June 09, 2017, 07:49:09 pm
Conservative MPs are vicious creatures; I don't doubt that almost every single one of them wants May gone at this point. She has undeniably put them in a worse position with this election. The issue is that having her resign now isn't really an option - after talking all this talk about stability and certainty suddenly changing horses when we don't even have a government would be absurd. I imagine she'll be gone pretty soon though.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Grim Portent on June 09, 2017, 07:49:33 pm
Besides, Article 50 has already been invoked, and didn't the EU parliament/president (all seven of them)/comittee/whatever already say that once it's invoked, theres no going back? Or maybe it was a British poilitician that said that, I forget.

I think someone in the EU said something like, 'Out means out.'


Unrelated topic, story is from last month but I don't think I've seen it discussed here; I just found out that May plans to cut the Winter Fuel Allowance. It's basically a £100-£300 sum paid once a year to 60+ year olds with very little money. 80+ year olds and people living alone get more than younger pensioners or people living together.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2017/may/19/general-election-2017-theresa-may-manifesto-scotland-conservatives-politics-live

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/scottish-tories-winter-fuel-allowances-cuts-means-test-exemption-conservative-manifesto-cold-a7744606.html

A: I could swear they already did this a few years ago and winter deaths spiked up.

B: Seriously, taking money for heating away from pensioners?

C: We have a fuel poverty* rate of like 17% as of 2015, how on earth could this be considered a good idea?

D: Things aren't that much colder up here in Scotland that you can justify letting Ruth save face but not make an exception for the north of England as well.

E: How on earth do we have an 18% winter death increase when Germany, Finland and the Netherlands are all around 10%. Are our houses just that much less efficient to warm or are our people that much poorer?



*Fuel poverty is basically a rough measure of if people can't afford to heat their homes over the winter. If it costs roughly 10% of your income to heat your home you're in fuel poverty.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 09, 2017, 08:21:09 pm
Sounds more like the latest version of 'The younger generation is doing <insert something old people complain about> wrong!'.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 09, 2017, 08:31:23 pm
So, I've now seen several people wanting to raise the voting age because young people "Don't vote correctly"

Christ almighty, I bet these morons think that they're protecting democracy by wanting to stop them voting without realising that they're basically wanting a dictatorship.
Probably just a British thing. The young were saying the old shouldn't be allowed to vote after Brexit, and there was the whole clusterfuck about the voting age for the Scotland referendum.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Reelya on June 09, 2017, 10:02:17 pm
I think the voting age should be set to (my age - 1), and from there should be increased 1 year per year.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Frumple on June 09, 2017, 10:11:10 pm
I agree completely. Also that it's legislated that everyone's legal age is 17 or so, increasing 1 per year, regardless of how many years they've been alive. This may lead to the tyranny of the toddlers, but that's just a price you have to pay for a functioning democrazy.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Reelya on June 09, 2017, 10:21:35 pm
Why stop at toddlers? Ovum and sperm should get voting rights too.

BTW, it's reported in the Independent that Murdoch spat the dummy over the exit polls:
https://www.indy100.com/article/rupert-murdoch-stormed-out-general-election-exit-poll-hung-parliament-7780951

Quote
Heard from very good source who was there that Rupert Murdoch stormed out of The Times Election Party after seeing the Exit Poll

That was a tweet from John Prescott, Blair's deputy PM from 1997-2007.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Reelya on June 09, 2017, 11:20:11 pm
From the same site, there's a thing about Diane Abbott (black, female, labour) who was apparentely pilloried across the whole british media, she managed to increase her % of her constituency vote to 75% in the election. Apparently when it crosses the threshold from criticism to just being nasty, the voters react the opposite way. Who would have guessed?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on June 09, 2017, 11:40:56 pm
On Thursday, I glanced at a news-stand in a supermarket, as is my want. (Not that this want extends to buying a paper, I just like the opportunity to chuckle at the unashamed biases.)  It was obvious The Sun was trying to be the one 'wot won it' again, with some scare-story about Corbyn, and then there was a local paper (for an area not actually local to where I was at the time, strangely...) with an actual full-page ad for the Tories.

Very incongruous. The nominal catchment area was something like 55% Labour, 20% UKIP, 15% Con in 2015 (with LibDem support evaporated from the middle-ground, and UKIP mostly eating at Lab's vote). This time round it saw 65% Lab, 25% Con,  <10% UKIP. So, probably money down the drain.


...re Diane Abbott, also has long been known/rumoured/suggested to have been linked romantically/friends-with-benefitsly with Corbyn back in the '80s or maybe '70s, to no practical detriment to either.  Has also been very media-savvy, in the past, so made a good ally for Jeremy to bring along into the Shadow Cabinet. At least until a few weeks back when she messed up a radio interview over costing figures, and then rather mysteriously had to drop some engagements due to an unspecified illness in the last couple of days of campaigning. (If it had been Foot In Mouth Disease, it was strange timing. She'd already had most of the criticism over the figures mismatch, and Jeremy had just had his own, less painful, version. Thus I surmise that, if not a physical injury, it was something that was real enough that was stress-related and/or exacerbated.)

For all her faults (haters gonna hate), she is at least a likable person who seems to mention her constituency a lot, so probably does keep its people well served (proximity to Westminster helps...  can probably pull consecutive shifts, or have visitors from one domain meet her in her base of operations in the other as a matter of routine), and I wouldn't be surprised if there wasn't a decent amount of sympathy-voting for her, from the floating voters corpus and beyond, and no reason to have lost many original voters at all.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Leafsnail on June 10, 2017, 12:02:46 am
On Thursday, I glanced at a news-stand in a supermarket, as is my want. (Not that this want extends to buying a paper, I just like the opportunity to chuckle at the unashamed biases.)  It was obvious The Sun was trying to be the one 'wot won it' again, with some scare-story about Corbyn, and then there was a local paper (for an area not actually local to where I was at the time, strangely...) with an actual full-page ad for the Tories.

Very incongruous. The nominal catchment area was something like 55% Labour, 20% UKIP, 15% Con in 2015 (with LibDem support evaporated from the middle-ground, and UKIP mostly eating at Lab's vote). This time round it saw 65% Lab, 25% Con,  <10% UKIP. So, probably money down the drain.
The Tories bought up a lot of front page local newspaper spots, the full-page ones were particularly controversial. Here was a good one:
https://www.buzzfeed.com/hannahalothman/a-lot-of-people-think-the-blackpool-gazette-has-epically
I think the byelection and local results led the Tories to believe they could achieve a total wipeout and grab safe Labour seats across the country. It turned out that those results weren't representative of the whole country, and that the campaign had dramatically shifted the national picture.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on June 10, 2017, 12:44:17 am
I like what they did, there. (My example was merely fullpage except for the bannertop title-and-bumf. Didn't check inside.)

Still, spending money to support the Northern Powerhouses, at least. Gotta love those generous Tories!
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 10, 2017, 07:09:07 am
Oh dear (http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-40231107). Tories apparently willing to waste even more time by urging Mrs. May to sack two senior advisors, and demand she changes the way she leads.

Perhaps by actually, you know, leading.

Edit: Ah well (http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-40231107), never mind. That was quick.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 10, 2017, 06:56:58 pm
I wonder how many of the problems/issues Theresa May had mirror that of Hillary Clintons loss? Obviously there are plenty of differences, starting with staff not seeing that perhaps the candidate was the problem, but there are parallels for sure...

http://www.politico.eu/article/how-theresa-may-lost-it-uk-election-brexit-jeremy-corbyn-jim-messina-lynton-crosby-uk-sarah-palin-campaign/

(though Politico uses Palin as the example....)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Leafsnail on June 11, 2017, 09:43:14 am
May is going to struggle to pass anything at all with the current parliament. I think there a few civil liberties minded/technically literate Tories who could easily sink the internet bill.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 11, 2017, 09:50:19 am
May is going to struggle to pass anything at all with the current parliament. I think there a few civil liberties minded/technically literate Tories who could easily sink the internet bill.

Yep, I read somewhere that it would only take 4 or 5 (or 3? I forget, but you can count them on one hand) Tories to defect and block anything.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Frumple on June 11, 2017, 09:55:23 am
I wonder how many of the problems/issues Theresa May had mirror that of Hillary Clintons loss? Obviously there are plenty of differences, starting with staff not seeing that perhaps the candidate was the problem, but there are parallels for sure...
Eehh, if you stretch things really, really hard. Clinton's closer to corbyn than she is to may personality or campaign wise, from what I can tell, and not a particularly close match for either. From what I've been picking up it kinda' sounds like may was closer to romney or something in the Obama election(s), really though I also wouldn't even remotely put corbyn anywhere near obama, so... yeah.

E: Though comparisons like that are kinda' off, mind. For all may screwed up, the cons are still the largest single party on the block and expanded their share of the national vote, even as they lost seats. There's not really a POTUS election that went quite like that, that I can recall.

E2: Though it did just occur to me that corbyn's thing is possibly closer to trump than anyone, which would indeed put a parallel to clinton for may. The cons expanded their amount of popular support (by a fairly small degree, but it was still there), but lost a sizable chunk of their actual positions. So far as the popular will goes on the net, may just presided over a conservative gain (popular vote), but lost majority control (EC vote) despite it. It's not even remotely a good comparison to make, because these are really not systems similar enough to be comparing things like that and there are only significantly notable similarities between the four politicians if you squint real hard and ignore a hell of a lot, but... still. I could see the argument being made, from that angle.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Leafsnail on June 11, 2017, 10:05:03 am
The biggest parallel to Hillary is that she hugely underestimated her opponent and spent most of her time trying to run up the score by campaigning in safe red seats rather than seats where she was potentially vulnerable. Although I think May did that to a much greater extent than Hillary.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 11, 2017, 10:08:24 am
Not campaigning and saying her opponent campaigning was disrespectful to the nation and a national security threat? A bad strategy? Noooooo.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 11, 2017, 10:22:43 am
I did say that there were loads of differences, way more than there are similarities, but the similarities themselves are striking, besides the fact that they're both women.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 11, 2017, 10:26:08 am
Senior Tories allegedly ignore the country's need to focus on Brexit by urging Boris to challenge May's leadership (http://www.bbc.com/news/blogs-the-papers-40236662).

Boris has Tweeted that this is all tripe.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: NJW2000 on June 11, 2017, 10:27:58 am
The Tories will be wobblier if they don't remove May at this rate... with all the pressure on her to leave. Either way, she'll just sit tight and be told what to do from now on, I imagine... her career is finished, certainly.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 11, 2017, 10:31:07 am
Depends how you look at it. The Tories will look entirely out of touch by doing that.

They have a minority government regardless, it doesn't matter who's leading, they need to appeal to other parties (at least the DUP) to get things done.

Not to mention enough time for Brexit negotiations has been losses away already. At this rate it looks like no deal is going to be better than actually getting to the bloody table at all.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 11, 2017, 10:31:26 am
Senior Tories allegedly ignore the country's need to focus on Brexit by urging Boris to challenge May's leadership (http://www.bbc.com/news/blogs-the-papers-40236662).

Boris has Tweeted that this is all tripe.

Lol the Churchill quote on one of those.

The Tories will be wobblier if they don't remove May at this rate... with all the pressure on her to leave. Either way, she'll just sit tight and be told what to do from now on, I imagine... her career is finished, certainly.

Unless Parliament does a vote of no confidence at her, didn't they do that for one or more of your past Prime Ministers where they resigned or were forced out shortly after?

@Hector: It's an unstable government, from what I've heard and/or read on here. They don't exactly have a big edge on the threshold, and if this fails, it's Labors turn next.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 11, 2017, 10:34:57 am
James Callaghan in the 70s I think it was. Minority Labour government propped up by N. Irish votes, funnily enough. Resigned before a vote of no confidence, after refusing to fund a gas pipeline in N. Ireland.

Lead to Mrs. Thatcher.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 11, 2017, 10:41:20 am
So what you're telling me is, when this all collapses Corbyn will become head of a Laour supermajority and lead Britain into neo-Marxist glory.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 11, 2017, 10:44:22 am
I may have been thinking about someone else though.

Still, if this fails, it is Labors turn, right? Only problem though is that they'd have to form a coalition with every other minor party, including DUP and random other parties, and even then they'd only have a threshold of 6. At this point, it'd be easier for either the Tories or Labor to just do a minority parliament and compromise with the other major party. That, or be forced to do another election with no guarantee of getting a majority for either.

So what you're telling me is, when this all collapses Corbyn will become head of a Laour supermajority and lead Britain into neo-Marxist glory.

Read the above part of my post.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 11, 2017, 10:45:16 am
Obviously neo-Marxist glory only occurs once there's been another election.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Leafsnail on June 11, 2017, 11:41:06 am
Realistically if/when the Tory government falls there'll be another election, because there's no way Corbyn can form a government either in the current parliament. That election isn't looking good for the Conservatives right now.

https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/873674408224862210
James Callaghan in the 70s I think it was. Minority Labour government propped up by N. Irish votes, funnily enough. Resigned before a vote of no confidence, after refusing to fund a gas pipeline in N. Ireland.

Lead to Mrs. Thatcher.
John Major led a minority government (supported by Irish unionists) towards the end of his administration due to losing so many MPs. That led to Blair.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sheb on June 11, 2017, 11:47:30 am
I think it'd be tripe to change the Tory leadership. May may have taken a beating, but she still has an (extremely weak) mandate. Getting someone else to be PM now on that slim majority would be a joke.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on June 13, 2017, 08:10:50 am
May sacks her two advisers who thought austerity, regulation of the internet and the strategy of not campaigning was a good idea (https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jun/10/theresa-may-top-advisers-quit-nick-timothy-fiona-hill-tory-recriminations-grow)
Tbh Machiavelli says a ruler is at fault for appointing bad advisers. Big red flag when they ignored cabinet ministers right there
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Neonivek on June 13, 2017, 08:26:18 am
May sacks her two advisers who thought austerity, regulation of the internet and the strategy of not campaigning was a good idea (https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jun/10/theresa-may-top-advisers-quit-nick-timothy-fiona-hill-tory-recriminations-grow)
Tbh Machiavelli says a ruler is at fault for appointing bad advisers. Big red flag when they ignored cabinet ministers right there

Soooo... are those Advisors the ones who put that in May's head... Or is she firing them so people don't think those ideas were hers?

If there is one thing I don't like about politics it is scapegoating and plausible deniability.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on June 13, 2017, 08:40:51 am
Soooo... are those Advisors the ones who put that in May's head... Or is she firing them so people don't think those ideas were hers?

If there is one thing I don't like about politics it is scapegoating and plausible deniability.
Well, it was their idea, but leadership doesn't work like that. Leaders must choose their advisors, moreover once their advisors provide their leaders with their ideas - it is up to the leader to make the executive decision whether to follow that idea or not. Hence why if a civil servant or an advisor gives advice to a Prime Minister, it is ultimately the Prime Minister's responsibility when they choose to execute those ideas, or choose to not execute those ideas.

Hence I am spinning it somewhat for hearty kekles, it only makes sense that Theresa May now removes the advisors whose advice was not worthwhile - it simply wouldn't make sense to keep taking advice from advisors whose advice isn't useful. In regards to taking responsibility, I had to check just now to be sure, and rather interestingly she took responsibility for her failure just recently (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/06/12/theresa-may-says-sorry-mps-mess-caused-election-campaign-vows/). Her failure today has made me respect her more than her successful bid for leadership, though I must say that may not bode well, as the last person to gain my respect thus was Cleggers and well... Cleggers is Clegged
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sheb on June 13, 2017, 09:34:34 am
Well, there's been more people blaming "The Youth" (seriously, I've not seen *this* much complaining about my generation before) for damn near everything, ranging from May having to make a deal with the DUP to inflation.

And I can't take it seriously at all knowing that this sort of thing has been going on for literally thousands of years.

Do you think it's a just revenge for all the people blaming "the old" for Brexit?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Leafsnail on June 13, 2017, 02:51:48 pm
"I take full responsibility for what happened - that is why the person that was responsible went immediately."
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 13, 2017, 03:08:34 pm
Well they resigned, technically. I imagine it had nothing to do with the "these guys must go or we'll challenge your leadership" demand by the rest of the party.

Also, to split hairs, she didn't really "win" the leadership bid, since everyone else stepped out. Kinda taints it a bit, I think.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: da_nang on June 13, 2017, 03:14:09 pm
No idea. It's the same groups that have been blaming "The youth" before, they just seem to have become more frenzied in their insistence that we're gonna be the downfall of the UK (and, funnily enough, they bitched about remainers overexaggerating the effects it would have)

As the old saying goes, "If you're not a liberal at twenty you have no heart, if you're not a conservative at forty, you have no brain."

Like a transition from naivety to reality and ultimately insanity.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: misko27 on June 13, 2017, 07:11:19 pm
No idea. It's the same groups that have been blaming "The youth" before, they just seem to have become more frenzied in their insistence that we're gonna be the downfall of the UK (and, funnily enough, they bitched about remainers overexaggerating the effects it would have)

As the old saying goes, "If you're not a liberal at twenty you have no heart, if you're not a conservative at forty, you have no brain."

Like a transition from naivety to reality and ultimately insanity.
That's not an old saying, that's a Churchill quote.

An a completely related note, zombie Churchill challenges May for leadership, who wins?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sheb on June 13, 2017, 07:12:21 pm
No idea. It's the same groups that have been blaming "The youth" before, they just seem to have become more frenzied in their insistence that we're gonna be the downfall of the UK (and, funnily enough, they bitched about remainers overexaggerating the effects it would have)

As the old saying goes, "If you're not a liberal at twenty you have no heart, if you're not a conservative at forty, you have no brain."

Like a transition from naivety to reality and ultimately insanity.
That's not an old saying, that's a Churchill quote.

An a completely related note, zombie Churchill challenges May for leadership, who wins?

Corbyn.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: redwallzyl on June 13, 2017, 07:39:20 pm
I hate that quote with a burning passion.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Helgoland on June 14, 2017, 09:05:17 am
Don't worry, it'll pass in fifteen to twenty years.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: sluissa on June 14, 2017, 07:46:41 pm
Perhaps not the right thread for it... but...

Grenfell Tower (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grenfell_Tower_fire)

Never let it, nor the neglectful management and leadership of the locality be forgotten.

Quote from: Wikipedia
The tower is managed by Kensington and Chelsea Tenant Management Organisation (KCTMO), the largest tenant management organisation (TMO) in England, on behalf of Kensington & Chelsea Council.

In a July 2014 Grenfell Tower regeneration newsletter, the KCTMO instructed residents to stay in the flat in case of a fire:[20]

Emergency fire arrangements
Our longstanding 'stay put' policy stays in force until you are told otherwise. This means that (unless there is a fire in your flat or in the hallway outside your flat) you should stay inside your flat. This is because Grenfell was designed according to rigorous fire safety standards. Also, the new front doors for each flat can withstand a fire for up to 30 minutes, which gives plenty of time for the fire brigade to arrive.

The May 2016 newsletter had the same message, adding that it was on the advice of the Fire Brigade:[21]

The ‘stay put’ fire policy
The smoke detection systems have been upgraded and extended. The Fire Brigade has asked us to reinforce the message that, if there is a fire which is not inside your own home, you are generally safest to stay put in your home to begin with; the Fire Brigade will arrive very quickly if a fire is reported.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Reelya on June 14, 2017, 07:51:07 pm
This is the right thread for it, since on of Theresa May's new advisors is taking flak because he was the minister in charge of housing before the election (he lost his seat but May just appointed him as a replacement advisor for her other disgraced advisors).

He'd received official reports recommending putting sprinklers and improved fire safety into high rise buildings back in 2010 and 2013 (http://metro.co.uk/2017/06/14/theresa-mays-new-advisor-failed-to-review-fire-regulations-in-blocks-like-grenfell-tower-6708444/), following some other fatal highrise fires, which he effectively ignored completely while fobbing it off with constant claims of "we're looking into it". So ... Theresa May might need new new advisors now.

May is also reportedly "saddened" by the fire, but only Corbyn is actually saying "we really should implement those fire safety recommendations about now, right?" Theresa May doesn't give enough fucks to actually follow the government report that said to install sprinklers.

It's also relevant to the thread because we can imagine if this fire had occured a couple of weeks ago, we might well be in a whole different world now ...
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: martinuzz on June 15, 2017, 02:52:05 am
What really struck my about May is her abscence in the media during the inferno. I watched for hours, saw Khan make a few speeches, but didn't see May anywhere expressing condoloances or grief.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on June 15, 2017, 03:24:07 am
I got the opposite impression, strangely. But not in a good way. May was reported as saying that there would be a "proper investigation", leaving me to wonder why May seemed to be calling for something that was going to happen anyway... It isn't down to her. There'd be various agencies and organisations already lined up to investigate for civil and, possibly, criminal  investigation, as with any (even less-but-still fatal (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-40026153)) incident.

Not the ill-judged nature of a typical Trumpism, but instead trying too hard to 'own' the story. Keep to just the expressions of sorrow, you're not responsible for the investigative process on a case-by-case basis, unless you're pulling pretty tenuous strings to stop it.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: martinuzz on June 15, 2017, 04:17:09 am
Mayor Khan said in a press conference that sadly the rescue teams have to assume that there aren't any survivors left in the building. Khan says it is likely going to take many weeks to reach and search all apartments in the building. Death tolls will most likely have to be estimated from occupancy lists and missing person reports.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sheb on June 15, 2017, 05:27:33 am
Mayor Khan said in a press conference that sadly the rescue teams have to assume that there aren't any survivors left in the building. Khan says it is likely going to take many weeks to reach and search all apartments in the building. Death tolls will most likely have to be estimated from occupancy lists and missing person reports.

That seems long. I guess they need to make sure everything is structurally sound before moving in.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: sluissa on June 15, 2017, 08:18:29 am
Digging through a building of that size. Weeks easily. Months on the short end for the full investigation.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sheb on June 15, 2017, 08:28:24 am
Digging through a building of that size. Weeks easily. Months on the short end for the full investigation.

Is it? i mean, there is 120 flats, and a human body isn't easy to hide. Getting a good number should be quite quick.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 15, 2017, 08:44:47 am
Digging through a building of that size. Weeks easily. Months on the short end for the full investigation.

Is it? i mean, there is 120 flats, and a human body isn't easy to hide. Getting a good number should be quite quick.

Even if it sounds like it might be quick, they still have to clear debris and check for structural integrity, so, it's wise to take it carefully. I suppose using camera bearing drones would speed it up, theres an idea.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: sluissa on June 15, 2017, 09:02:08 am
From personal experience, a fire like that turns everything to ash and rubble. Some metal might remain in relatively recognizable shape, but bodies will likely be only moderately recognizable as such assuming they aren't covered by a layer of debris which would mean careful excavation with hand tools.

Once lawyers get involved and preservation of evidence becomes a concern you're looking at a day or more for each individual apartment, assuming they're even reachable safely.There's going to be olebty of people wanting a bite out of anything they can pin a tiny bit of blame on, from the government to the building managers, to the makers of whatever started the fire, to the contractors that made any recent changes and the suppliers of their materials. And beyond that
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 15, 2017, 09:05:51 am
You're a firefighter yourself sluissa?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: martinuzz on June 15, 2017, 09:45:35 am
Digging through a building of that size. Weeks easily. Months on the short end for the full investigation.

and a human body isn't easy to hide.
Ashes don't hide, they scatter and fall on your car's windscreen. Fire that big leaves just ashes and teeth. Well at least in those appartments that were in the full blaze, which looking at the videos, is most of the building.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: sluissa on June 15, 2017, 10:01:11 am
You're a firefighter yourself sluissa?

No, worked for a time as an assistant to an investigator who did cause and origin reports for insurance companies and lawyers. Luckily I was usually just in charge of writing notes and occasional muscle, no real training, but I've seen some shit.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: scriver on June 15, 2017, 10:22:24 am
It's hard to judge how badly the interior might be burnt by pictures of the flames on the outside given that from what I heard they believe that it spread on the exterior rather than the usual apartment-to-apartment inside.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Leafsnail on June 15, 2017, 12:26:15 pm
What really struck my about May is her abscence in the media during the inferno. I watched for hours, saw Khan make a few speeches, but didn't see May anywhere expressing condoloances or grief.
She did show up for photos, but apparently didn't speak to any survivors.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/grenfell-tower-fire-latest-theresa-may-visit-jeremy-corbyn-resident-london-kensington-a7791726.html
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: martinuzz on June 17, 2017, 04:31:18 am
Mass protests against May, after she gave a 'heartless', 'inhuman', and 'cold' interview on the BBC about the Grenfell fire.
Earlier, she was boo'd and ranted at when she visited the site of the disaster by an angry crowd.

Hundreds of protestors occupied the district office of Chelsea & Kensington friday night, after which they marched on to the BBC, the parliament and Downing Street.
They demand that the disaster survivors will be rehoused in the same neighborhood, demand clarity about the number of dead, and demand the boards, politicians and investors involved are brought before court.
Her BBC interview put May at the centre of scorn. "Bloody coward!" was yelled at her by the crowd in Kensington.

Meanwhile, the Daily Mail found out that the building's owner, Ray Bailey, has many offshore funds to avoid taxes, and deliberatly let one of his business go bankrupt to escape creditors.

the May interview: https://youtu.be/ftY1NlPk5YY
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: NJW2000 on June 17, 2017, 04:33:36 am
Not playing well for May. I recall hearing about some link between one of the advisors and a company that worked on the cladding too.

The Tories just seem... really afraid of poor people, I guess.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: martinuzz on June 17, 2017, 04:39:21 am
Let's just say the Tories are EXTREMELY lucky that this fire happened after election day.

Frankie Boyle put it this way in yesterday's New World Order.
Quote
Theresa May has been given a very strong mandate to fuck off
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on June 18, 2017, 05:00:09 am
Apparently, apart from the one we are (currently) due to get next week, there just isn't time to grow a new Queen's Peach next year.

(Really, it's just a reading out of the front page sheet of the agenda that the government sets out, and will still have to consider putting down in writing regardless of whether Brexit is happening. It isn't even legally binding. It's a wish-list and a run-through of vague and/or suspiciously-overly-specific 'promises', many of which don't survive contact with the enemy (opposition votes, world events, etc), and about the best thing about not having one is that it means Liz doesn't have to grit her teeth and get on with speaking a whole lot of tosh that she probably doesn't even believe, and likely doesn't even privately support.)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 18, 2017, 12:44:30 pm
Apparently, apart from the one we are (currently) due to get next week, there just isn't time to grow a new Queen's Peach next year.

(Really, it's just a reading out of the front page sheet of the agenda that the government sets out, and will still have to consider putting down in writing regardless of whether Brexit is happening. It isn't even legally binding. It's a wish-list and a run-through of vague and/or suspiciously-overly-specific 'promises', many of which don't survive contact with the enemy (opposition votes, world events, etc), and about the best thing about not having one is that it means Liz doesn't have to grit her teeth and get on with speaking a whole lot of tosh that she probably doesn't even believe, and likely doesn't even privately support.)

http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-40317814

Yeah, I thought it was just a formality with reading what they'd like to do for the year. Similar to the State of the Union address here, except more complicated because it isn't one person dictating what they want in it. Though I guess you guys make a bigger deal out of it than we do here.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Owlbread on June 18, 2017, 12:48:48 pm
Hello everyone, I trust you are all well? I see we have had much good discussion of the election and its aftermath. I personally don't know how to feel about it all. I think if the SNP had lost to a centre-right labour party (led by David Miliband for example) I would have felt infinitely worse. I don't want to say I'm hopeful because I have no faith in the system or the Labour party and I am deeply suspicious of Corbyn and his allies (backpedaling on Trident anyone?) but I know this kind of situation is the best I could have hoped for.

The SNP losing wasn't a surprise to me, but I was surprised at just how much they lost. I think Nicola Sturgeon's indyref2 proclaimation will be looked at in years to come as her gravest mistake, but how was she to know Theresa May would call an election so soon after? I think if we look at the 2016 results for the Scottish Parliamentary election we can see how things could have gone without her playing that particular card. Last year the Tories did well, SNP pushed Labour back a bit (but not completely, due to PR voting system) and the Lib Dems held on. No colossal defeats for the SNP though. That came this year as a kind of punishment from the public and the backlash was strongest in pro-Brexit areas like the North East, formerly our heartlands (though they did vote No convincingly in 2014). I was surprised at the Labour swing though, but that was due to younger people voting Labour for Corbyn, but considering how little the SNP are doing in their newly-won "heartlands", even taking them for granted, who can blame them? I must say though there is a considerable difference between Scottish Labour and UK Labour now. Scottish Labour are more centrist and are opposed to Corbyn - the only thing that matters to them is preserving the Union, just like the Tories, and there are reports in the papers of their leadership team cheering with delight last week when the Tories beat the SNP in the North East and the Loyalist vote started to rear its ugly head in the South.

As unfortunate as this is, and as much as I detest the Tories, I think the SNP needed a good kick up the backside. Winning everything in 2015 and gaining 70,000+ members didn't really bring about that much change. They continued to try to be all things to all people, talking the talk on progressive politics in Scotland without really bringing in any tangible, game changing policies. The party itself is run by a small group of control freaks who are terrified of the activist base and actively discouraged any of the meetings and rallies that got people engaged in politics in the first place. They completely squandered that energy and good will through their lack of imagination. I personally didn't want indyref2 at all, not for a good few years at least, simply because we wouldn't win it. We only get one more chance.

I don't know how things will go. I think Sturgeon needs time to reflect on what has happened and reassess her relationship with Corbyn,  but keeping indyref2 off the table for now while Brexit unfolds is no bad thing in my eyes. Now more than ever we need to concentrate on building the distinctive, socially just society we wanted in 2014 as much as we can within the current framework and demanding the powers needed to do so.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Helgoland on June 18, 2017, 01:26:32 pm
Owlbread, you're back! Finally I no longer need to rely on the inferior pigeonbread as a substitute.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Frumple on June 18, 2017, 02:27:23 pm
Hey OB. If it makes yeh feel any better, from what folks have been saying about the SNP's performance, the sane evaluation of their efforts this election is they still did pretty damn good. It's just there was no way on earth they were going to maintain the numbers they had previously, heh.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 18, 2017, 06:08:45 pm
Well yeah, it's kinda hard to figure they lost when they won the majority of the seats they were standing in, and it's been made abundantly clear that Scottish Labour are willing to collaborate with the Tories to keep the SNP out.

Brexit played a significant part in this one. I imagine the Scottish Leavers wanted a hard Brexit, and the only major party paying that was the Tories. That's the only explanation I can give for Scots electing more Tories in one go since I was being taught in P1.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Frumple on June 18, 2017, 06:17:41 pm
Honestly, if there's anything that's vaguely something about that election it's that for most of 'em, the winners have been crowed as losers and the losers as winners. I still don't really know what to think on that front. It's like... yes, your gains were great. But you lost. Yes, you lost tons, but you won. Yes, you're a minority government now and lost a lot of seats... but you're still the largest single political party on the island. I get the perspective but it's kinda' offputting, for whatever reason.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on June 18, 2017, 06:24:46 pm
(@Hector)

Or the potential (or otherwise) for IndyRef2.   SNP policy being for it, pretty much every other party being against it. And if a Scottish Labour candidate in third place (frexample) thinks it worth 'donating' their similarly-minded supporters to a Scottish Tory (an old enemy in the land of the Auld Enemy, but practically kissing-cousins in the face of Nationalism vs Unionism) then...   Makes me want to analyse the trends between 2015 and 2017 to see where a de-tactified vote allocation might have landed.  Maybe I'll do that tomorrow..
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 18, 2017, 06:26:40 pm
Honestly, if there's anything that's vaguely something about that election it's that for most of 'em, the winners have been crowed as losers and the losers as winners. I still don't really know what to think on that front. It's like... yes, your gains were great. But you lost. Yes, you lost tons, but you won. Yes, you're a minority government now and lost a lot of seats... but you're still the largest single political party on the island. I get the perspective but it's kinda' offputting, for whatever reason.
I might see it that way if it was a scheduled election, but it wasn't. It was a cynical attempt to take advantage of the polls and shut out even the risk of dissent. They lost those 14 points for it, and it was what ought to have happened under the circumstances. It's not just about getting a majority, after all. The LibDems had no chance of winning a majority either, and it'd be pretty strange to try to portray it as not being a good night for them.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Frumple on June 18, 2017, 07:02:51 pm
Oh aye, it was a good night for some and a bad night for others, but at least what narrative's been filtering through to some critter in the middle of bumfuckistan north florida seems to be more... lopsided? Than that. Something along those lines. There's win and then there's win and the former seem to be being portrayed the latter, basically.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 18, 2017, 07:25:15 pm
Crossposting because I don't know if you want to talk about it here or in the Europe (EU) thread.

Theres been an incident where a vehichle collided with pedestrians and several casualties in london (http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-london-40322960). The exact circumstances behind it (there have been similar looking incidents where the person was just drunk or is mentally ill) are unknown, but they do have someone in custody.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Descan on June 18, 2017, 07:50:33 pm
Honestly, if there's anything that's vaguely something about that election it's that for most of 'em, the winners have been crowed as losers and the losers as winners. I still don't really know what to think on that front. It's like... yes, your gains were great. But you lost. Yes, you lost tons, but you won. Yes, you're a minority government now and lost a lot of seats... but you're still the largest single political party on the island. I get the perspective but it's kinda' offputting, for whatever reason.
Eh, it's about expectations vs reality, and the fact that if May hadn't called the election, she'd have been in a better position right now. This wasn't a *forced* election, she (or her party) just did it.

E: MSH talked about the non-forced nature of it. But the expectations of Labour not doing as well as they did is why it's being touted.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: scriver on June 19, 2017, 06:22:23 am
Owlbread! We've missed you so much. Never leave again!
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sheb on June 19, 2017, 06:32:13 am
Owlbread! We've missed you so much. Never leave again!

Dude. Too soon.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Helgoland on June 19, 2017, 10:47:13 am
Owlbread! We've missed you so much. Never leaven again!

Dude. Too soon.
Better?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on June 19, 2017, 11:44:12 am
Owlbread! We've missed you so much. Never leaven again!

Dude. Too soon.
Better?
I think we better passover that one...
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Descan on June 19, 2017, 12:17:34 pm
Would owl-bread be kosher...?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Neonivek on June 19, 2017, 12:25:19 pm
Would owl-bread be kosher...?

No. Birds of Prey are not Kosher.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: TempAcc on June 19, 2017, 12:47:14 pm
Thats not stopping me.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Descan on June 19, 2017, 12:50:53 pm
Would owl-bread be kosher...?

No. Birds of Prey are not Kosher.
Then we can't eat the Scotsman.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: TheDarkStar on June 19, 2017, 01:04:58 pm
Thats not stopping me.

bad tempacc

forumgoers are friends, not food
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: RedKing on June 19, 2017, 01:07:13 pm
Thats not stopping me.

bad tempacc

forumgoers are friends, not food
Why not both?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on June 19, 2017, 09:17:32 pm
A selection of political cartoons (https://politicalscrapbook.net/2017/06/12-cartoons-that-perfectly-sum-up-the-tory-approach-to-brexit-negotiations/#more-64980) lampooning Theresa May/the Tories over recent happenings.

Alternatively, ayyyyy lmao.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Reelya on June 19, 2017, 10:36:28 pm
Thats not stopping me.

bad tempacc

forumgoers are friends, not food

In communist Scotland, Beans eat you (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sawney_Bean)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on June 20, 2017, 01:05:06 am
A selection of political cartoons (https://politicalscrapbook.net/2017/06/12-cartoons-that-perfectly-sum-up-the-tory-approach-to-brexit-negotiations/#more-64980) lampooning Theresa May/the Tories over recent happenings.

Alternatively, ayyyyy lmao.
One user-comment at the bottom of that, so far.
Quote from: NOT altered for emphasis, or punctuation, this is how it is...
I LIVED AND WORKED I EUROPE FOR 20 YEARS IN THE CEE I AM 69 YEARS OLD I AM THE FIRST GENERATION NOT TO GO TO WAR IN EUROPE MUCH TO THE DISMAY OF QUEEN VICTORIAS GRANDCHILDREN AND THE ARMS MANUFACTURES ‘
:facepalm:

I really don't know what to say to that.

Also: Funny Fake News (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/blogs-trending-40330159)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: misko27 on June 20, 2017, 02:37:49 am
Queen Victoria's grandchildren (George V, Wilhelm II, etc) are obviously still upset about that lack of war and have a riveting new idea for us all. It's called a "World War", you'll love it. The trial period starts in eight days, during an Austrian's trip to Sarajevo which leads to a hilarious misunderstanding....
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: martinuzz on June 24, 2017, 02:43:45 am
Five highrise appartment buildings (the Chalcots Estate buildings) in London have been evacuated. About 800 people had to leave their homes. It was found out that they use the same exterior cladding as the Grenfell tower. The cladding will be stripped from the building, after which the residents will be able to return home.

Meanwhile, the UK police is considering opening a criminal investigation into the Grenfell fire. According to the police, a few, as of yet unnamed contractors are under investigation. The material used for cladding the outside has not passed a single firesafety test, and the material used is even banned in Germany and the US.

So far, 79 dead have been confirmed. It is assumed that the real death toll is much higher. This will be hard to confirm though, or to even to make any realistic estimates will be tough, because the UK does not have an official population register. The government has called upon survivors, to get any clue about missing friends and family members.
It's estimated there were between 500 and 600 people living in the complex. 300 survivors have been confirmed. It is unknown how many visitors (for Ramadan), or how many illegals were staying in the building. Most of the residents were of foreign origin. The government has promised an amnesty for illegal occupants if they report themselves.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: martinuzz on June 24, 2017, 06:59:05 pm
By now, 34 highrise buildings, spread over 17 districts have been identified as being not fire safe. What was a few hundred evacuees earlier today, has now risen to a few thousand people. It's not a forced evacuation though, it's just a strong recommendation. 87 people refused to leave their homes. There's some reports that there's some trouble with re-housing people into temporary accomodation. I saw an old lady complain on our national news that there was no place for her to go because she has a dog. Apparently pets aren't allowed in the temporary accommodations. "What should I do?" She asks. "Should I let my dog be put down?"
My newspaper quoted another evacuee. He's not too happy with it all. "I have a young daughter, a cat, a wife and a job. They told me it is going to take four to six weeks. Knowing our district's bureaucracy that means it will take four to six months".
British authorities have said that they are going to test about 600 flats for fire safety in the coming weeks.

I can see the no pets thing become a real problem. Don't know where the people are being re-housed. I suspect it's bed and breakfasts and hotels? Anyone from the UK know some more about that? People are never going to abandon their poor cats and dogs. I can see city councils putting emergency regulations in place forcing whatever places are used for the rehousing to temporarily cancel their no pet policies.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on June 25, 2017, 12:41:22 am
I don't know much about the bureaucracy, first-hand, but I can believe that in this rush to "do something with people not actively suffering a tragedy, because if we leave them there even a night and there is another tragedy, our heads will rollll...", all the most admirable parts of the ability to set to respond to adversity start to clash with all the best of British stubbornness in the face of unjust authority.

There apparently have been found and (semi-?)requisitioned a load of luxury flats(/apartments) to house some of the original evacuees from the flats(/towerblocks), but mostly they'll have had to resort to finding something like a downmarket Holiday Inn, doing deals to take as many rooms as they can to match the displaced occupancies. Forgetting the discrepancies between the animal occupancy policies (or effective realities) of the 'owned' apartments and those of the temporary replacements.


Note also that in the drive to examine for flaws the most concerning locations first, there has been a 100% 'failure' (i.e. need for immediate action) rate. They're front-loading the process disproportionally with the subset of people who will end up being  found to need to be safeguarded. This is good for immediately reducing now (more obviously than before) foreseeable future deathtolls, but also stresses the Just About Managing system more than a more naive systematic approach (e.g. an alphabetic review).

I don't envy anyone. Residents, authority figures, and certainly not those at the sharp end bridging the two.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: martinuzz on June 25, 2017, 06:20:57 am
The whole thing kinda looks like robot May going all "I promised I'd take action, look, I'm taking action now", with no thought to what this whole hasty mass evacuation means in personal and societal terms for those affected.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on June 26, 2017, 06:44:26 am
Tory DUP agreement announced: "Government deal involves no change to pensions triple lock, keeping universal winter fuel allowance and £1bn extra funding for Northern Ireland" (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-40403434)

'Coalitions' let you drop unpopular things easily, without upsetting the people for whom they are popular too much... Probably the most politic way forward.

(ETA: Odd item in the list of other items agreed...  "No Irish border poll without 'consent of the people'"  -   There needs to be a vote to see if there should be a vote?)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on June 26, 2017, 08:47:50 am
I spot Trump's influence: "he UK's 2% Nato defence spending target will continue to be met"
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Leafsnail on June 26, 2017, 01:56:40 pm
I mean the Tories and the DUP were both committed to that one. So was Labour, even.

The really difficult thing is that they're essentially bribing the DUP with a massive lump sum, which is not going to look good to any voters outside of Northern Ireland. Especially in Scotland and Wales - usually the Barnett Formula means that the countries get money distributed to them evenly, but they're dodging it here. It also looks pretty silly to just magic up over a billion pounds out of nowhere after claiming there was no "magic money tree" during their election campaign.

It should also be noted that this deal is only good for 2 years - if they want to continue after that, they'll probably have to pay out again.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: NJW2000 on June 26, 2017, 03:40:27 pm
Yeeeesh, Tories paying the Irish with our tax money to stay in power... how's the Sun going to resist?

In other words, snark.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7qOyT3ZkUxI (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7qOyT3ZkUxI)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on July 03, 2017, 04:50:19 am
Honestly, if there's anything that's vaguely something about that election it's that for most of 'em, the winners have been crowed as losers and the losers as winners. I still don't really know what to think on that front. It's like... yes, your gains were great. But you lost. Yes, you lost tons, but you won. Yes, you're a minority government now and lost a lot of seats... but you're still the largest single political party on the island. I get the perspective but it's kinda' offputting, for whatever reason.
Well yeah, but you gotta look at it like this: Labour lost and gained a useful defeat, the Tories won and gained a useless victory. Before the general election was called, Theresa May had the support of the majority of the country, furthermore managing to convince the majority of MPs who all wanted to remain that they must support leave in lieue of the result. Meanwhile Corbyn was dealing with a paralyzed labour which was still dealing with coup attempt #14057 with shadow cabinet members sharpening the guillotine for their expected defeat of Jeremy. Theresa then calls the general election, trying to push through a massive consolidation of state security powers right up to the regulation of the internet, actually manages to fracture the consolidated Tory party MPs back into their pre-2015 factions of pro-EU and anti-EU factions, while Corbyn emerged having consolidated the labour party and permanently put an end to the neverending coup attempts placed against him. And of course it led to the loss of the Tory majority, which despite having come concurrently as the Tories increasing their vote share, does not translate into dependable MPs without seats

I spot Trump's influence: "he UK's 2% Nato defence spending target will continue to be met"
Unlikely
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
UK has always met its targets post world wars, and is amongst the five countries in NATO that actually met its commitment - Greece, USA, UK, Estonia and Poland (http://uk.businessinsider.com/nato-share-breakdown-country-2017-2), thus it would be a waste of effort to convince the UK into doing something it is already doing by popular support

Hello everyone, I trust you are all well? I see we have had much good discussion of the election and its aftermath.
Really happy to have you back OB. I think this year is a year for good mindful defeats... God knows, there's not a political party one can be pleased all that much by
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on July 03, 2017, 12:19:55 pm
Oh yeah and some amendment to keep the UK in the single market failed, which resulted in another split within the labour party as Corbyn was forced to remove Chuka's faction from the shadow cabinet. 3 weeks of unity in the labour party, gone again. But who cares about that when 1,500 rare Welsh honeybees just got exterminated by a local council who thought they were common wasps (http://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/wales-news/anglesey-welsh-black-honeybees-13245428)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on July 03, 2017, 12:27:37 pm
How the hell do you confuse bees with wasps at all? I'm no beekeeper, but I am pretty goddamn certain of the difference between a bee flying in my face and a wasp flying in my face.

Google says hives generally come in the tens of thousands, though nothing on this specific species, so...at least it's not that bad? Also, apparently this species of bee was wiped out in central Europe by the Nazis because they weren't satisfied with their honey output. Goddamn, the Nazis really just had the one response to every problem that they faced, didn't they?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on July 03, 2017, 12:44:18 pm
Goddamn, the Nazis really just had the one response to every problem that they faced, didn't they?
The more I hear about these Nazi fellows, the less I like them.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: ChairmanPoo on July 03, 2017, 12:55:17 pm
Goddamn, the Nazis really just had the one response to every problem that they faced, didn't they?
The more I hear about these Nazi fellows, the less I like them.
You think they were the baddies? (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hn1VxaMEjRU)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Descan on July 03, 2017, 01:20:40 pm
Goddamn, the Nazis really just had the one response to every problem that they faced, didn't they?
The more I hear about these Nazi fellows, the less I like them.
Here comes MSH speaking inconvenient truth to power: Nazis Were Bad

(ILY MSH I'm not being my usual dick ;3)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on July 03, 2017, 02:32:19 pm
How the hell do you confuse bees with wasps at all? I'm no beekeeper, but I am pretty goddamn certain of the difference between a bee flying in my face and a wasp flying in my face.
Google says hives generally come in the tens of thousands, though nothing on this specific species, so...at least it's not that bad?
Oh nvm, they didn't kill 1,500. They killed 15,000 (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-north-west-wales-40416265). These bees aren't common ones either, these are Welsh black honeybees - they used to be British black honey bees before they went extinct. We only just rediscovered they weren't all extinct 5 years ago (https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2012/apr/18/black-honeybees-rediscovered-in-britain), having been nearly wiped out by a disease/world war farming 100 years ago. So we have this honeybee that's just come out of extinction that is vital to British apiculture and pretty much now found only in Wales, and 15,000 of them just got wiped out by the local council for no reason. Those are genes lost forever

Imagine if a disease wiped out all American corn, and then some bloke finds out that the corn still exists in Missouri. Then the governor of Missouri sets all that corn on fire because he thought it was a field of kudzu vines
That's the bee version of this

Also, apparently this species of bee was wiped out in central Europe by the Nazis because they weren't satisfied with their honey output. Goddamn, the Nazis really just had the one response to every problem that they faced, didn't they?
You should look up their efforts to recreate the auroch
They basically crossbred the denchest cows to create a mightily muscled super cow. Slight problem: The cows would try to murder anything that got near them

So they had at least two responses:
Can it be made killier? If not, kill it

Quote
"The ones we had to get rid of would just attack you any chance they could. They would try to kill anyone. I have worked with a range of different animals and they are far and away the most aggressive I have ever dealt with."
Nazi leadership were huge fans of these (http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/aurochs-how-hitler-goering-resurrected-extinct-species-make-nazi-super-cows-1482161), but didn't manage to make them big enough for their like

*EDIT
Just found out they found the Welsh black honeybees on Anglesey. Absolutely d r u i d i c
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on July 03, 2017, 03:04:15 pm
How the hell do you confuse bees with wasps at all? I'm no beekeeper, but I am pretty goddamn certain of the difference between a bee flying in my face and a wasp flying in my face.

You're talking about politicians here.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Descan on July 03, 2017, 03:20:25 pm
Okay so it's a local council so they're PROBABLY not this, but I wanna say it anyway:

I'd be surprised if a politician had ever even SEEN a bee or wasp.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on July 03, 2017, 03:36:04 pm
Goddamn, the Nazis really just had the one response to every problem that they faced, didn't they?
The more I hear about these Nazi fellows, the less I like them.
Here comes MSH speaking inconvenient truth to power: Nazis Were Bad

(ILY MSH I'm not being my usual dick ;3)
I shall not be silent on the shores of my conviction, against any power high or low I shall speak without hesitation, in burning defiance of convention and banality that yes, MoralValue;Nazi set 0.
How the hell do you confuse bees with wasps at all? I'm no beekeeper, but I am pretty goddamn certain of the difference between a bee flying in my face and a wasp flying in my face.

You're talking about politicians here.
I was talking about the exterminators, unless these councilmen were going around themselves committing bug genocide.
Those are genes lost forever.
Laour, upon regaining majority, will increase council funding to buy the bees new jeans. We are committed to a new future for British bee jeans.
Quote
Imagine if a disease wiped out all American corn, and then some bloke finds out that the corn still exists in Missouri. Then the governor of Missouri sets all that corn on fire because he thought it was a field of kudzu vines
That's the bee version of this
That's impossible, corn is the most powerful lifeform of all time. (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Southern_corn_leaf_blight#Importance) A better example would be Indians dynamite fishing for coelacanth, that's an extinction double turn millions of years in the making. Fortunately, fossil fish taste terrible and don't fly around buzzing at people, so they're safe.
Quote
You should look up their efforts to recreate the auroch
They basically crossbred the denchest cows to create a mightily muscled super cow. Slight problem: The cows would try to murder anything that got near them

So they had at least two responses:
Can it be made killier? If not, kill it

Quote
"The ones we had to get rid of would just attack you any chance they could. They would try to kill anyone. I have worked with a range of different animals and they are far and away the most aggressive I have ever dealt with."
Nazi leadership were huge fans of these (http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/aurochs-how-hitler-goering-resurrected-extinct-species-make-nazi-super-cows-1482161), but didn't manage to make them big enough for their like
Well, no fuckin wonder, they bread them out of Spanish fighting bulls! The Spanish have been trying to make the most violent killer bulls for how many centuries now? Those things probably leave the womb with a hateboner for humans, just like the crazy, suicidal Spaniards want them.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: martinuzz on July 03, 2017, 03:57:12 pm
nvm I was being an idiot
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Reelya on July 03, 2017, 04:06:53 pm
I really love Spain, and Spanish people, food and culture. They deserve death camps for their bull fighting misery tradition though. Or well, maybe not death camps. They just deserve to be stabbed with ice picks in non-lethal places until they bleed to death. Bullfighting is dispicable.

EDIT: I am usually not for advocating violence, at all. I make an exception for people who slowly torture animals to death for fun and profit.

Death camps, those those caravan parks in Britain, btw. I wouldn't wish those on anyone either.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: martinuzz on July 03, 2017, 04:11:42 pm
Speaking of British housing, during the ongoing investigation into the state of fire safety of 600 UK highrise appartments, 181 buildings have already been found to be unsafe, in 50 districts. The problem is more severe and wide-spread than it was assumed to be.
Because of the high number of safety failures already discovered, PM May has told the districts that they do not need to wait for the official inquiry to reach their buildings, instead they are encouraged to start their own investigations right away.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on July 03, 2017, 04:15:28 pm
Speaking of British housing, during the ongoing investigation into the state of fire safety of 600 UK highrise appartments, 181 buildings have already been found to be unsafe, in 50 districts. The problem is more severe and wide-spread than it was assumed to be.
Because of the high number of safety failures already discovered, PM May has told the districts that they do not need to wait for the official inquiry to reach their buildings, instead they are encouraged to start their own investigations right away.

That's what happens when they ignore fire safety problems as a whole, they get this massive widespread level of problems. Doubt it'd be limited to London either.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: ChairmanPoo on July 03, 2017, 04:26:05 pm
I really love Spain, and Spanish people, food and culture. They deserve death camps for their bull fighting misery tradition though. Or well, maybe not death camps. They just deserve to be stabbed with ice picks in non-lethal places until they bleed to death. Bullfighting is dispicable.

EDIT: I am usually not for advocating violence, at all. I make an exception for people who slowly torture animals to death for fun and profit.
It's really cute that you condemn a whole culture (or several cultures, rather) based on the actions of a minority (https://www.quora.com/What-do-the-Spanish-think-about-bullfighting). Might as well decry the Dutch as xenophobes because 13% of them actually voted for Geert Wilders no?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: martinuzz on July 03, 2017, 04:28:14 pm
Obviously, I do not condemn the whole culture, just the (small) majority of the Spanish, who keep voting against abolishing la torrera.
I mean, if it's a minority, as your link claims, then why does the popular vote keep it from being abolished repeatedly, and their congress even gave it protected status a few years ago?
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/spain/10353287/Spain-grants-bullfighting-protected-status.html
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on July 03, 2017, 04:34:37 pm
Obviously, I do not condemn the whole culture, just the (small) majority of the Spanish, who keep voting against abolishing la torrera.
I mean, if it's a minority, as your link claims, then why does the popular vote keep it from being abolished repeatedly, and their congress even gave it protected status a few years ago?
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/spain/10353287/Spain-grants-bullfighting-protected-status.html

Because culture is a stubborn thing, and bullfighting has been a part of Spanish culture for quite some time.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: ChairmanPoo on July 03, 2017, 04:44:29 pm
Eeh, because for good or ill we all live in representative democracies and therefore there's a hard cap on how accountable politicians actually are? Believe it or not bullfighting is not the only issue in the country.

Now, the ruling Popular Party also tends to be horrid in all the other issues,  so how exactly do they manage to hold onto power (besides electoral fraud (https://translate.google.com/translate?sl=auto&tl=en&js=y&prev=_t&hl=en&ie=UTF-8&u=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.eldiario.es%2Fpolitica%2FPP-ancianos-facultades-intelectuales-afectadas_0_524947732.html&edit-text=)) is an open question.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: martinuzz on July 03, 2017, 04:45:57 pm
Please note that I do not endorse actually going out and torturing Spanish that like bullfighting. I said they deserve it, not that they should actually be tortured.
EDIT: in other words, I do not want to advocate violence. I would have deleted my post if Reelya hadn't already quoted it within a minute. It's just that the topic of bullfighting disgusts me so much I overreacted.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sheb on July 03, 2017, 04:59:11 pm
Speaking of British housing, during the ongoing investigation into the state of fire safety of 600 UK highrise appartments, 181 buildings have already been found to be unsafe, in 50 districts. The problem is more severe and wide-spread than it was assumed to be.
Because of the high number of safety failures already discovered, PM May has told the districts that they do not need to wait for the official inquiry to reach their buildings, instead they are encouraged to start their own investigations right away.


It really tells you how stupidly overcentralized the UK is that the districts needs the approval of the central government to inspect the buildings they own.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: ChairmanPoo on July 03, 2017, 05:05:33 pm
The topic of perpetuating negative stereotypes disgusts me far more than the casual genocide-advocating, which I didn't take seriously anyway. Not that I'm going to make a big ruckus about either for the record
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Dorsidwarf on July 03, 2017, 07:05:45 pm
The topic of perpetuating negative stereotypes disgusts me far more than the casual genocide-advocating, which I didn't take seriously anyway. Not that I'm going to make a big ruckus about either for the record
Yeah, how dare he imply that just because a majority of people voted to keep it, that's outrageous. You might as well say that Brits voted to leave the EU!
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Leafsnail on July 03, 2017, 07:48:45 pm
The thing is that the Conservatives could've had a safe majority until 2020 if they did absolutely nothing. Instead because they called an election they have a wafer thin majority that relies on the support of a bunch of fundamentalist nutters who demand yearly bribes for their votes. And realistically this government won't last until 2020. So it's very difficult to claim the Conservatives won when they have put themselves in an objectively worse position through their own poor decision making.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Descan on July 04, 2017, 01:11:39 am
The topic of perpetuating negative stereotypes disgusts me far more than the casual genocide-advocating, which I didn't take seriously anyway. Not that I'm going to make a big ruckus about either for the record
Yeah, how dare he imply that just because a majority of people voted to keep it, that's outrageous. You might as well say that Brits voted to leave the EU!
For something being done for a long time, you got three problems with getting rid of it.

1) Tradition. Humans, everything else being equal (i.e. if 2 and 3 don't matter) just like to have things stay the same. It's comfortable, even if the actual thing itself is UNcomfortable. Similar in sentiment to "better the devil we know."

2) Money. Both in terms of cost to change, and if any real or percieved economic benefits come from the tradition. Such as tourism money, or bull breeders and wranglers losing their job. That's the kind of economic perceptions, "Oh what'll they do if we get rid of bull-fighting!?"

3) Cultural pride. "It's just a Spanish thing, you wouldn't understand!" If it's the only place or one of the only places that does something, even if that's lack of spread is for a very good reason, there's a sort of perverse pride in keeping doing it, even if you yourself don't like to do it. "Sure, I don't go to the bull ring, but I did once when I was a kid, it's just the Spanish thing to do, you gotta at least once." That kind of sentiment. Doesn't just apply here.

Given those three, you need a loooot of effort to push over those and/or argue against them, before a tradition is done away with. It's been done, there're plenty of traditions both absurd and horrid that are just... Not done anymore. But they took time and effort and a couple of die-offs of generations in some cases in order for them to kick the bucket.

It's not a "they're terrible people because they voted to keep it!" At worst, it simply hasn't risen, consciously, to "This is actually a HORRIBLE practice!" levels to offset the three-prong support it still has.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: ChairmanPoo on July 04, 2017, 01:41:49 am
The topic of perpetuating negative stereotypes disgusts me far more than the casual genocide-advocating, which I didn't take seriously anyway. Not that I'm going to make a big ruckus about either for the record
Yeah, how dare he imply that just because a majority of people voted to keep it, that's outrageous. You might as well say that Brits voted to leave the EU!
A majority of people did not vote to keep it. There has been no such thing as a referendum for bullfights, but polls consistentl1y show disapproval by 3/4 of the population. I'm having a hard time keeping ci il, you know. Quit spreading misinformation. The bullshit you're spreading has real c9nsequences for real people.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: scriver on July 04, 2017, 02:08:44 am
Oh yeah and some amendment to keep the UK in the single market failed, which resulted in another split within the labour party as Corbyn was forced to remove Chuka's faction from the shadow cabinet. 3 weeks of unity in the labour party, gone again. But who cares about that when 1,500 rare Welsh honeybees just got exterminated by a local council who thought they were common wasps (http://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/wales-news/anglesey-welsh-black-honeybees-13245428)

I bet it was a council full of English south Wales people, at that.

CymRAAAAAEEEEEEGGGG
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Helgoland on July 04, 2017, 10:32:29 am
The peopleshit you're spreading has real consequences for real bulls.
FTFY.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Descan on July 04, 2017, 12:51:46 pm
The topic of perpetuating negative stereotypes disgusts me far more than the casual genocide-advocating, which I didn't take seriously anyway. Not that I'm going to make a big ruckus about either for the record
Yeah, how dare he imply that just because a majority of people voted to keep it, that's outrageous. You might as well say that Brits voted to leave the EU!
A majority of people did not vote to keep it. There has been no such thing as a referendum for bullfights, but polls consistentl1y show disapproval by 3/4 of the population. I'm having a hard time keeping ci il, you know. Quit spreading misinformation. The bullshit you're spreading has real c9nsequences for real people.
yeah I was just arguing in good faith that he was correct

if he was just bullshitting? (no pun intended)

then he's a diiiiiick
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Dorsidwarf on July 04, 2017, 03:45:52 pm
If that's not correct then I apologise for taking information claimed in this thread as written/misunderstanding what was said.


But thanks for the personal attack, Chief Of Rudeness Descan
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on July 04, 2017, 03:47:20 pm
It really tells you how stupidly overcentralized the UK is that the districts needs the approval of the central government to inspect the buildings they own.
Well, I agree with your statement in spirit but just to clarify, local councils do not need the approval of Westminster to inspect their own buildings. Theresa May's telling them they shouldn't wait for the Westminster inquiry to reach their boroughs and counties before the local councils conduct their own investigations, rather they should conduct them immediately. They have the authority (more than that, they have the responsibility) to investigate their own area's problems. Also a minor semantic note, the UK does not organize local governance in districts, but rather in country, county and borough levels.
Also my borough learned lessons in a similar block fire in 2009 (https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2017/feb/24/southwark-council-admits-safety-failings-tower-block-lakanal-house-blaze) in their own inquiries, resulting in councilors arrested for negligence. A single stairway, flammable cladding, people told to remain indoors despite the building being compromised - these are the same things that condemned Lakanal and Grenfell, where it seems that the lack of a Westminster led inquiry into Lakanal meant no lessons were learnt from it. It's been rather grim in London, standing in silence teaching a school that was two pupils short from Grenfell, standing on London bridge where they'd installed anti-car barriers on the pavement remembering when I'd recommended my family go to borough market, one is made sombre by such times. Terrorism, fires and chaos, we are back in neo-1666

I bet it was a council full of English south Wales people, at that.

CymRAAAAAEEEEEEGGGG
Not likely considering you can't get more druidic (or north walesy) than Anglesey. Anglos weren't retarded this time
Also definitive proof the councilors are plaid cymru (http://democracy.anglesey.gov.uk/mgMemberIndex.aspx?LLL=0)
y welsh nationalists exterminate welsh bee tho

Well, no fuckin wonder, they bread them out of Spanish fighting bulls! The Spanish have been trying to make the most violent killer bulls for how many centuries now? Those things probably leave the womb with a hateboner for humans, just like the crazy, suicidal Spaniards want them.
Yeah but they were crossbred with these fuzzy gentle giants (https://www.wildernessscotland.com/blog/facts-highland-cows/)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on July 04, 2017, 03:53:42 pm
It really tells you how stupidly overcentralized the UK is that the districts needs the approval of the central government to inspect the buildings they own.
Well, I agree with your statement in spirit but just to clarify, local councils do not need the approval of Westminster to inspect their own buildings. Theresa May's telling them they shouldn't wait for the Westminster inquiry to reach their boroughs and counties before the local councils conduct their own investigations, rather they should conduct them immediately. They have the authority (more than that, they have the responsibility) to investigate their own area's problems. Also a minor semantic note, the UK does not organize local governance in districts, but rather in country, county and borough levels.
Also my borough learned lessons in a similar block fire in 2009 (https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2017/feb/24/southwark-council-admits-safety-failings-tower-block-lakanal-house-blaze) in their own inquiries, resulting in councilors arrested for negligence. A single stairway, flammable cladding, people told to remain indoors despite the building being compromised - these are the same things that condemned Lakanal and Grenfell, where it seems that the lack of a Westminster led inquiry into Lakanal meant no lessons were learnt from it. It's been rather grim in London, standing in silence teaching a school that was two pupils short from Grenfell, standing on London bridge where they'd installed anti-car barriers on the pavement remembering when I'd recommended my family go to borough market, one is made sombre by such times. Terrorism, fires and chaos, we are back in neo-1666

Yeah, I thought maybe it'd result in the biggest round of reforms and change since the Great Fire of London of 1666. At least that's probably what the extent of the screwups feel like.

I bet it was a council full of English south Wales people, at that.

CymRAAAAAEEEEEEGGGG
Not likely considering you can't get more druidic (or north walesy) than Anglesey. Anglos weren't retarded this time
Also definitive proof the councilors are plaid cymru (http://democracy.anglesey.gov.uk/mgMemberIndex.aspx?LLL=0)
y welsh nationalists exterminate welsh bee tho

Someone screwed up big time, that's why welsh nationalists exterminated a welsh bee.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Descan on July 04, 2017, 04:10:47 pm
If that's not correct then I apologise for taking information claimed in this thread as written/misunderstanding what was said.


But thanks for the personal attack, Chief Of Rudeness Descan
it's only a personal attack if you were intentionally bullshitting (my apologies for not including the word intentionally, I thought that was obvious but I can admit it probably wasn't)

and if you WERE intentionally bullshitting, then I wouldn't care about personally attacking you

but since you weren't, then you aren't a dick, and I'm not attacking you. :v

shrodingers asshole, AWAY
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: scriver on July 04, 2017, 07:27:23 pm
You can't stop the pub with logic and truths
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on July 08, 2017, 08:13:09 am
Estonia selling free EU (https://www.ft.com/content/06627cb6-1dc7-11e7-b7d3-163f5a7f229c?mhq5j=e3) access to britbongs for €100 (http://www.wired.co.uk/article/estonia-e-resident)
ayy lmao
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on July 08, 2017, 08:28:41 am
Selling...  free...? Interesting choice of words.  Also old news.

(Liitu meiega vend. Eesti on tõotatud maa!)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on July 08, 2017, 11:53:42 am
Selling free money (costs money)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on July 09, 2017, 09:45:26 am
There's no Europe/Brexit thread that I'm currently subbed to that is currently active, so quick question here...

Anybody have a matrix of intra-EU 'exports', by value, for any reasonably recent year? I found this (http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php/File:Distribution_of_exports_of_goods_to_other_EU_partners_by_Member_State,_2015_(share_of_total_intra-EU_exports_of_goods).png), but it's only a limited clue as to proportion-of-total, and unidirectional (i.e. no easy way to derive intra-EU imports, thus the net balance).

(Such source info might even be linked to from that page, but I've failed to do anything but go round in circles.)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sheb on July 09, 2017, 10:11:12 am
So you want the value of intra-EU trade for each country?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on July 09, 2017, 10:50:23 am
intra-EU trade in goods (http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php/Intra-EU_trade_in_goods_-_recent_trends#Intra-EU_trade_in_goods_balance)
Looks fairly comprehensive, dealing with the years 2009-2015. Don't know where to find the stats on services though
Germany exports looooooooooooads within the EU, that's about the only thing I noticed at a 10sec glance
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on July 09, 2017, 11:25:34 am
@Sheb: pretty much
@LW: saw that, read that, and if I've missed the matrix I want on there (or multiple cross-referenceable singular tables from which said matrix can be derived) then I'd appreciate the clue as to which side-panel or link-to-PDF hides it, as nothing I tried (so far) heads in the right direction.

Basically, something like:
Country>Belgium>Bulgaria>Czech Republic>…
Belgium>
/
€45b€2b
Bulgaria>€43b
/
€125b
Czech Republic>€50b€15b
/
… >
/

(And then I intend to add Rest-Of-World details to each EU member, perhaps even the top-dog countries and top-block non-EU supranational entities, but if I can't extract the internal markets then there's no point in even trying to disentangle the rest. I have a feeling I'll need to go through individual reports for each member-state, though, extracting as much equivalent-and-parallel data as can be gotten without encountering obvious mismatches and inequalities...)

That said, it's not important, and only tangential to UK internal affairs, so don't stress yourselves over it. Just thought I'd say something here rather than get real work done, for tomorrow. And mow the lawn. And rewrite the map app to work on Android. And read my mail. And level up my Finger Racer.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on July 09, 2017, 01:44:36 pm
I suppose this is the go-to thread atm for brexit.

This MP says that Brexit may never happen due to party divisions (http://www.politico.eu/article/party-divisions-mean-brexit-may-never-happen-says-leading-lib-dem/). However, article 50 was invoked months ago and so, does he really mean a hard brexit? Seems like the guy is fooling himself because the proccess has already begun and it would be political suicide for Theresa May to suddenly turn around and cancel brexit, if it's possible to at this point.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: redwallzyl on July 09, 2017, 01:49:51 pm
I suppose this is the go-to thread atm for brexit.

This MP says that Brexit may never happen due to party divisions (http://www.politico.eu/article/party-divisions-mean-brexit-may-never-happen-says-leading-lib-dem/). However, article 50 was invoked months ago and so, does he really mean a hard brexit? Seems like the guy is fooling himself because the proccess has already begun and it would be political suicide for Theresa May to suddenly turn around and cancel brexit, if it's possible to at this point.
Its a bit of a damned if you do damned if you don't situation. they never really wanted it and they have no plan now that they are locked into it.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on July 09, 2017, 01:55:33 pm
Can we really even say they're "locked in"? Sure, that's what the political rhetoric and to a degree even the letter of the law says, but...so what? Interconnection with the EU exists on practically every level, even for a nation as distant as Ukland. It'd be a hell of a thing for...whatever body of the EU could claim the authority...to just wake up one day and be like "Well, we tried, all relations with Britain are now unilaterally severed".

I'm with Vince here, It's Fucking Nothing is still a strong outcome to all of this.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on July 09, 2017, 02:27:28 pm
"-Says leading libdem."

ayy lmao, Libdems are irrelevant. They tried stopping the leave vote, then tried blocking the article 50 trigger on the eve of the vote, then argued that leave didn't mean leaving the single market (despite the blessed ham and clegg embarrassingly campaigning prior to the outcome, that leaving the EU meant leaving the single market), and they've never given up since. Anything's possible, but the times of chaos haven't arrived yet. And we need times of chaos before shit falls off the end of the world. Notably in the vote against leaving the single market, there were 49 labour rebels who defied Corbyn, but no Tory rebels. Losing 101 to 322, it looked dank on the unity front - in so far as all could agree there could be no half-arsing an in or out of the yuropian union

they never really wanted it and they have no plan now that they are locked into it.
The Cameron faction never wanted it, but fuck them the country and their backbenchers wanted it, and now their backbenchers are frontbenching xD
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on July 09, 2017, 03:51:13 pm
Hypothetically, CAN it be reversed at any point, or did they cross the point of no return (this seems to be the EU's position) by activating article 50? This is assuming that domestic politics isn't a barrier. Of course though, if the EU isn't willing to allow them to reverse it, they won't be able to.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on July 09, 2017, 03:56:12 pm
Article 50's enforcement provision states that if they don't complete negotiations in two years it just sort of happens, unless the European Council and Britain agree to extend it. Given the Oh Fuck that would occur from some of these treaties just vanishing, I wouldn't be surprised if that happened.

So, 2019.

Of course, the EU has sovereign authority over itself, and it wouldn't be a violation of anything I can see if they just amended Article 50 to undo Brexit. And so all is uncertainty.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on July 09, 2017, 04:00:58 pm
Article 50's enforcement provision states that if they don't complete negotiations in two years it just sort of happens, unless the European Council and Britain agree to extend it. Given the Oh Fuck that would occur from some of these treaties just vanishing, I wouldn't be surprised if that happened.

So, 2019.

Of course, the EU has sovereign authority over itself, and it wouldn't be a violation of anything I can see if they just amended Article 50 to undo Brexit. And so all is uncertainty.
Article 50 in perpetuity when?

The EU would have to agree to extend it in order for it to be extended in the first place.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on July 09, 2017, 04:08:18 pm
and it would be political suicide for Theresa May to suddenly turn around and cancel brexit, if it's possible to at this point.
If May lasts until the actual end of the Article 50 period, it's just because nobody else wants/gets to be in charge when it's the easiest thing to just keep Theresa's political career on life-support over the bumpy patch to either do the driving over the cliff (for those that want to go base-jumping) or to get so close that enough people get vertigo and bail (for those who don't).

They say that political lives end in failure, but if May's one isn't a total humdinger of a clusterfuck by the time she leaves office then I'm gonna bet on her doing Who Do You Think You Are? and finding Erik Weisz in her family tree…


As for perpetuity or reversal of the process, I see the price for reversal being adoption of integration policies that would make UKIPpers wince... Though depends on how far down the line this happens (half a generation would do it, assuming no other major world-changing events, just this slog) until it doesn't matter what the 'KIPs think.

Much less painless to state that it was all a Conservative joke right now. But obviously nobody is in that position, either.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on July 09, 2017, 05:02:53 pm
I can definitely see it 50 years from now we'll be celebrating the anniversary of the first attempt to trigger article 50 and brexit
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: martinuzz on July 09, 2017, 06:13:34 pm
It'll be called the 50th of May celebrations
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sheb on July 11, 2017, 06:51:42 am
I stumbled into this today and I was immediately reminded of LW's scoffing at the LibDem wanting to stay in the Single Market.  (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0xGt3QmRSZY) (It's a compilation of clips from Leave politicians, including Da Nigel, saying voting leave doesn't necessarily means leaving the single market).
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: scriver on July 11, 2017, 07:16:33 am
I believe you conveniently forgot about the first part of said LW' s scoffing at the lib dems, which concerned them supposedly using "leaving definitely means not staying in the single market" as a threat against voting yes, a precedent which the scoffing at them now saying the opposite hinges upon.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sheb on July 11, 2017, 07:52:21 am
To be fair to them it seems like their threat was founded since the UK seems now on a path to escape the market. You don't blame the guy that warned that dropping out of school will lead to a shitty job for trying to get the droppee a good job.


But yeah, it's more a case of "everyone got eggs on its face".
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: scriver on July 11, 2017, 08:22:33 am
Well they aren't trying to fight the fire, they're now saying there won't be a fire.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on July 11, 2017, 08:29:27 am
I'm not sure that these fire metaphors are the best choice, given ongoing events.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: scriver on July 11, 2017, 08:32:05 am
Apologies, Britain. I didn't mean to be so insensitive about such a hot topic.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sheb on July 11, 2017, 08:41:47 am
Changed the analogy due to PC going mad.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on July 11, 2017, 08:45:30 am
I have done it. With a single sentence, I have struck true the heart of free speech where all others failed, shattered forever by the might of my concern trolling fist.

The circle closes at last.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on July 11, 2017, 09:18:50 am
We don't have a plan, and that's a Great ThingTM! (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-40571123)

Lol Boris Johnson....
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: RedKing on July 11, 2017, 09:19:00 am
We don't have a plan, and that's a Great ThingTM! (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-40571123)
You just described the entire US government for the last seven months.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sheb on July 11, 2017, 09:35:22 am
We don't have a plan, and that's a Great ThingTM! (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-40571123)
You just described the entire US government for the last seven months.

Come on, Trump got tons of plan. Like his plan to give everyone health insurance for cheaper. Or his plan to defeat ISIS in 30 days. You just don't understand them, that's all.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: RedKing on July 11, 2017, 09:44:53 am
Which sounds like Leavers' plan to "Restore British sovereignty without wrecking it".

Maybe they could partition Britain into "European Britain" and "Independent Britain" and let people self-sort. IndyBrit would be like the fovela around the edge of EuroBrit.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on July 11, 2017, 09:48:38 am
Way ahead of you. (http://www.bay12forums.com/smf/index.php?topic=122786.msg6220619#msg6220619)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on July 11, 2017, 10:15:42 am
We don't have a plan, and that's a Great ThingTM! (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-40571123)
You just described the entire US government for the last seven months.


Quote from: It could so easily be /either/ the Boris or the Donald
"There is no plan for no deal because we are going to get a great deal," he replied.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on July 11, 2017, 08:00:19 pm
Ah, Boris.

No deal, no plan? No problem!

Alternatively,

Spoiler (click to show/hide)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on July 11, 2017, 08:20:01 pm
We don't have a plan, and that's a Great ThingTM! (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-40571123)
You just described the entire US government for the last seven months.


Quote from: It could so easily be /either/ the Boris or the Donald
"There is no plan for no deal because we are going to get a great deal," he replied.
They DO both have wispy hair...

Have they ever been in the same room together?

No idea if they've personally met each other. Pretty sure Trump is aware of the similarities of their hair.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on July 11, 2017, 09:30:31 pm
By the way, given May's confidence that she'll get a trade deal from the US, I just want to point out that "no deal is better than a bad deal" needs to apply there, too.

(Trump is almost certainly going to press for a MAGA-strength deal, which pretty much guarantees that if anybody gets stiffed by it, it won't (as far as he is concerned) be the US.  So...  Good luck.)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on July 12, 2017, 03:02:51 pm
I stumbled into this today and I was immediately reminded of LW's scoffing at the LibDem wanting to stay in the Single Market.  (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0xGt3QmRSZY) (It's a compilation of clips from Leave politicians, including Da Nigel, saying voting leave doesn't necessarily means leaving the single market).
But that's not including are based Nige m8, notice how they splice him in between the lolbertarians faction but don't actually put any of his opinions on the single market (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MAdT9RzXr2g). y u spin are chinless nige, why create the mythology of smily brexit metal merchant actually being pro-EU, it's still aggravating that after all this time Remain are still trying to argue that everyone who voted to leave the EU secretly want to stay in the EU :/

Also as a clarification, I'm not scoffing at the LibDems wanting to stay in the single market, that's their political raison d'etre and no one can fault them for it. What is hilarious is poor Cleggers dropping his spaghetti when getting roasted for saying Leave = Leave single market, then saying Leave =/= Leave single market

Ah, Boris.
No deal, no plan? No problem!
Alternatively,
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sheb on July 12, 2017, 03:07:34 pm
He might or might not love it, but he sure was saying that stuff like the Norway option is possible if Leave wins, aka, stay in the Single Market.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on July 12, 2017, 03:49:52 pm
He might or might not love it, but he sure was saying that stuff like the Norway option is possible if Leave wins, aka, stay in the Single Market.
"We pay a membership fee. We have the free movement of people. We have a massive regulatory burden, and we're prohibited and stopped from making our own trade friendships with the rest of the world. Do not believe them when they tell you tonight that the single market is good for Britain. That we need to be a part of this club to access the single market. Every country in the world accesses the single market, and even in the worst case scenario that Britain does not have a successful renegotiation, and simply has to rely on WTO rules, even in that scenario, the cost of tariffs will be less than our net contributions."
No he's not, he's dispelling the argument that if we leave the EU there will be a continental blockade put upon Britain that will completely cut all trade between our nation and the continent. That video is made by Chuka Umunna's neoliberal Labour faction that recently failed to get the single market protection statement through Parliament, and they've deliberately edited the guy who was loudest about leaving the single market to make it seem like he's in favour of it. This is very much worth watching (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qi9pcKDh7fU), because this mythology keeps coming back.
t. Guy who spent his life campaigning to leave the European Union but not really according to libdems (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nPOSEF8Pzkg)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on July 17, 2017, 06:39:53 pm
Quote
But details as to how the scheme will work have yet to be finalised.
I'm all for "thinking of the children" (and generally against thinking about them), but I just don't see any reasonable route to enforcing all porn-sources from worldwide servers to fully comply with this legislation in any way that doesn't include a Great British Whitelisting Firewall, to stop the obvious non-compliancy that will occur, and all the effort needed.

OTOH, maybe I should proactively apply for a job with the BBFC, because they're gonna need people to do it all.  (And maybe I can ensure that, unlike BTInternet's Wifi hotspots, they don't block access to www.urbandead.com for no proportionate reason.)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on July 17, 2017, 07:05:30 pm
ROFL the picture in this: http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/david-davis-brexit-no-notes-brexit-negotiations-a7845686.html Doesn't bode well for Brexit, does it? lol XD
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on July 17, 2017, 07:50:44 pm
It's obviously the EU's fault he has no notes. I mean the U.K. is still part of the EU, and the Tories have been busy courting the fundamentalists after imploding their majority last month, the EU should've been working toward providing the information we need to negotiate a non-bad deal.

I mean this just provides more fuel for the fire that the U.K. is going to be so, so much better without the EU.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on July 17, 2017, 08:07:09 pm
ROFL the picture in this: http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/david-davis-brexit-no-notes-brexit-negotiations-a7845686.html Doesn't bode well for Brexit, does it? lol XD
Not really concerned about no notes pictured, it's a non-story. Of course the Libdems believe negotiations are conducted on the size of papers you wield for photos, it's how they negotiated their way into a pit in the coalition government; to speak without notes, is an art a school child learns. There is a far more serious concern - that of the 2nd most powerful minister being at odds with May (https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jun/27/philip-hammond-at-odds-with-david-davis-over-brexit-transition). It's particularly telling that the Independent do not play any video or provide any statement where he has clearly stated his objectives, rather they would seek to use a photo which speaks nothing to say that no objective is spoken. By contrast, Hammond is under fire for saying that train driving is so easy even a woman could do it (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/07/15/chancellor-philip-hammond-sexism-row-saying-driving-train-easy/) and public sector workers are overpaid (https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/jul/16/overpaid-public-sector-philip-hammond-chancellor).

I do not believe the timing is coincidental, positing that the two factions will do their damndest to discredit the other and shrek their political careers to the best of their ability, for the obvious profit of gaining leverage in Brexit negotiations. Whether one faction is ultimately successful is important, yet even in victory the discord would certainly spell trouble. Cameron got his shit fucked up by backbenchers, this is a disagreement in the highest levels of office.
I miss when the Independent wasn't buzzfeed :/
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Dorsidwarf on July 17, 2017, 08:11:36 pm
You'd think that as they went into what are probbably going to be the most important set of negotiations in their careers they'd be able to pull the daggers out of each other's backs for five minutes.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on July 17, 2017, 08:18:34 pm
That'd just result in faster bleeding out.

Which, right now, is fine with me...
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on July 17, 2017, 08:19:22 pm
You'd think that as they went into what are probbably going to be the most important set of negotiations in their careers they'd be able to pull the daggers out of each other's backs for five minutes.
We are as Romans, arguing amongst ourselves even as enemies overcome our gates

Also fucking hell why do people think career politicians are a good fucking idea ffs this is the shit that happens
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: sluissa on July 17, 2017, 09:55:20 pm
In nine months, you'll have to prove you're over 18 to access porn sites in the UK. (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-40630582)

Of course, this is done in the name of "But think of the children!"

So... has anyone else been feeling increasing dread for the future of the internet in the UK? I mean, especially after Brexit. At least the EU has lots of protections for it, but our government is steadily going towards "The internet is dangerous. Let us tell you how to use it." it seems.

Honestly, the EU has a lot of bullshit happening that's anti-internet as well. There's that group that keeps pushing the "linking to sites = copyright infringement" as well as the "search engines can't publish snippets in their search results without paying royalties" people (may be the same people, not sure.) Was one of the silver linings of brexit that the UK could get out from under that sort of thing.. but they seem to be perfectly willing to screw themselves over... so meh.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on July 17, 2017, 10:34:12 pm
Honestly, the EU has a lot of bullshit happening that's anti-internet as well. There's that group that keeps pushing the "linking to sites = copyright infringement" as well as the "search engines can't publish snippets in their search results without paying royalties" people (may be the same people, not sure.) Was one of the silver linings of brexit that the UK could get out from under that sort of thing.. but they seem to be perfectly willing to screw themselves over... so meh.
Aye, especially what with the whole arresting people over tweets critical of the gov thing. Last I checked, the two biggest Yuro nations pushing back against EU regulation of the internet were the UK and Sweden, with the caveat being that the UK's ministers were only opposed for commercial reasons
You know it's bad when even the Americans have their factions laughing at their freedomites for their freeze peach, not realizing the value of what they want to throw away
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on July 17, 2017, 11:01:17 pm
Freeze peach? Was that an intentional typo? lol XD
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on July 18, 2017, 01:22:50 am
It's one of his memes. I'm sure there's some things that I say repeatedly that I think are cleverer than they actually are, too.

In many ways, though, I agree with LW (Shock! Horror!)...

But, mostly, my opinion is that the Internet is Pandora's box and has already released most of its bad things, and closing it again only traps the Hope. Attempts to throttle competitors (US), political/social dissent (China) or reality (Turkey) or whatever you might class the currently discussed version of "censorship for our own good" (UK) are doomed to either ultimately fall short (with any luck) or create schisms of far greater disruption than ever intended. (The biggest success story of this set is China, and that's because they more or less started with the schism, so everyone's used to it, but it's still leaky and not entirely as controlled as They want, because the OSI Level 8 (people!) is even more adaptive than the layers 1 to 7 are.)


What are they going to do? Block Youtube, wholesale, because there's some mild T&A imagery getting through the safeguarding algorithms (at least temporarily)? Force Facebook and Twitter to implement business-unfriendly geographic blocking on anything with a hint of bare flesh? Is this where they try to get Instragram to "Clipper Chip" its traffic (worldwide!), because they couldn't get it done in the name of anti-terrorism? (I have a suspicion that it's related to Amber Rudd's other proposal, BTW...)

I downloaded porn1 over the Internet years before most people here, or in government, were even aware of the medium (and probably before a lot of you were even born!), this being pre-Web. Just as blocking/redirecting DNS lookup to pirate servers seems to have done nothing useful except inconvenience some people until they've been bothered enough to circumvent the system, gaining compliance across international jurisdictions is going to be on a hiding to nothing, in the end.

It's going to be seen as "doing something about it", perhaps, but it isn't actually going to do something about it. I predict. If it does, though, the collateral damage to the Information Age is going to be huge. It'd probably just be easier to Geofence to totally block (obvious) UK IPs, because setting up "You're from the UK? Please enter your Credit Card details here/use other government mandated method of age validation" is going to be too much fuss.

Best just to say "You're from the UK? Well, stuff you", or else "...stuff the UK government!" and be prepared to play musical chairs around the court-approved ISP blocking like they can if they're bothered enough. And there isn't a decent counter(counter)measure that can be put in place by where the false positive and false negative blocking2 isn't obscenely huge in proportion to the number of children who remain 'protected'.


1 Mostly imagery softer than Page 3, or textually less extreme than a Mills & Boon novel, just because it was easier than the usual sources and you know how the curiosity of youth is. Made a change from the chance discoveries of a dumped collection of top-shelf material in the bottom of a hedgerow... And about as little regard taken as to who it was who dumped it there, and why...
2 An easy to cite example is that of a friend (yes, a friend, not 'a friend, who I am asking for') who had to get the University to allow a previously blocked Transgender-orientated support newsgroup into the local NNTP server feed.  Meanwhile, plenty of people I knew were looking at the whole range of abpe* feeds, entirely unfettered.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on July 18, 2017, 02:07:06 am
Freeze peach? Was that an intentional typo? lol XD
No
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
It is a joke made to mock people who like free speech

It's one of his memes. I'm sure there's some things that I say repeatedly that I think are cleverer than they actually are, too.
Like fuck is this my meme, this is a piece of shit made by some American anti-American cancer who hate free speech

What are they going to do? Block Youtube, wholesale, because there's some mild T&A imagery getting through the safeguarding algorithms (at least temporarily)? Force Facebook and Twitter to implement business-unfriendly geographic blocking on anything with a hint of bare flesh? Is this where they try to get Instragram to "Clipper Chip" its traffic (worldwide!), because they couldn't get it done in the name of anti-terrorism? (I have a suspicion that it's related to Amber Rudd's other proposal, BTW...)
Dangerously ignores how they could go after much smaller and less reputable sites. See Cameron talking about how tinfoil shitposters are just as dangerous as jihadis, it's all about shutting down critical mediums that are considerably harder to control. Shit like Facebook and Twitter they can influence with astroturfing, shadowbans, data analysis and individual profiling, but they can't control the free flow of anonymised shitposts and they can't market any targeted messages to anonymous individuals.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on July 18, 2017, 03:26:31 am
Like fuck is this my meme, this is a piece of shit made by some American anti-American cancer who hate free speech
My apologies, I was sure I'd seen you use it elsewhere, but maybe you were just being similarly ironic/perverse.

Quote
Dangerously ignores how they could go after much smaller and less reputable sites. […]
Not intentionally ignored. Merely demonstrating how forcing somewhere longstanding like ASSTR, or one of the more...  *ahem*  ...'specialist' Chans, to "Comply! Or! Else!" might indeed mildly stifle the flow of depravity being placed dangerously within the unknowing and innocent grasp of the childers, but (along with ignoring the myriad other 'irresponsible babysitter' websites1, uncountable in number and mostly untrackable by algorithm) the ignoring of Big Content sites that are hosts or transparent portals to wide and broad categories of user-generated imagery/etc means that the flood goes relatively unabated.

Ok, so PornTube should probably be secured (if it isn't already), if we assume the mindset of the proposal, but YouTube already is known to show objectionable material that already can't be controlled, so what more do we demand they do, to keep our little ones (likely already corrupted!) 'safe'. '-er'? Sure, put some age-verification on grindr, but what about flickr?  BabeStation vs eBay vs Bay12... What level of lurking/participation privileges can we/should we enforce for each, given the imperfect nature of the moderation process (of those, eBay has the best 'age validation' chances, as part of the process to allow bidding, but cannot at all be expected to prevent (theoretically) inappropriate images being browsed by someone not logged in. Assuming there's an actual BabeStation website2, they probably paywall their 'best' content, but I doubt that their front-end is so bland as to not show ant enticingly-shrouded sample content, yet even more sufficient to tittilate and intrigue the teenage boy than the traditional lingerie section of Mum's old Littlewood's catalogue.


Sorry, all you Moral Guardians, the battle for Ignorance Is Bliss is lost. Maybe you should concentrate your efforts on ensuring that Sex Education is more than a minimalist "Don't do it...", for an overly wide and impractical range of mostly unspecified 'it's, from kissing on up, "...or you'll go to Hell!".  Perhaps if you let them be more responsibly guided through the first pangs of curiosity about either(/all) sex, without being forced to hide, they won't end up being introduced to the more dangerous sides of reality by someone irresponsible or downright manipulative.

But I'm probably not the right person to be a moral compass, either. I'm only sporadically magnetic. Nor am I moral compasses, as I doubt I could maintain a consistent radius.  Luckily, it's not up to me. Unluckily, some other less suitable people seem to think it's up to them.  (And this applies to more than just porn censorship. It applies to welfare funding, foreign policy, devolution, transport infrastructure, etc, etc, etc... Unluckily for this thread, today just happens to be the morning that I woke up far too early and had more than the usual time on my hands to waffle on about the subject de jour...)


1 That is, unsuitable websites that the parents do not know are keeping their kids entertained whilst they are absent, not actually websites featuring irresponsible babysitters. Although I'm sure the latter is also a represented subset in the total gamut of possibilities one might include in the greater category...

2 I will have to assume, because on this current uplink I have not concerned myself with disabling the ISP's own content-filter, which over-enthusiastically blocks some wordpress-like sites due to the possibility of hitting upon something risque, and I thus know not to even bother going for "yes, we have porn!" locations, even just for actual research. (I can satisfy any quote-unquote research 'needs' via other vectors, before you feel sorry for me.)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Descan on July 18, 2017, 10:27:59 pm
Replace "the internet" with (x) and that's basically true.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on July 18, 2017, 11:09:30 pm
I swear I had made a reply to LW, maybe the recent forum glitchyness ate it. Anyways....

Freeze peach? Was that an intentional typo? lol XD
No
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
It is a joke made to mock people who like free speech

Oh I see. It just looked a lot like something that iphone or ipad spellcheck would spit out.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sheb on July 19, 2017, 01:14:36 pm
Theresa May thanked the public sector workers for their sacrifice in having a 1% pay cap.

There's something funny about that. Last I checked you can't really sacrifice yourself if someone else is sacrificing you against your will.

"Thank you for giving me your money!" "You're mugging me!" "No, you're GIVING the money to me."

To be fair, the choice she gave the public sector was a 1% pay cap or ripping their heart out with an obsidian knife from the top of a pyramid.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on July 19, 2017, 02:43:29 pm
Zapp Brannigan politics. To boldly sacrifice everyone else to attain victory
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Neonivek on July 19, 2017, 03:00:41 pm
It reminds me of those Corps who give away part of their worker's paycheck to charity and then collect income tax on it.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on July 19, 2017, 03:19:17 pm
In non-news stuff, American anon from /int/ tries to make a full english breakfast
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
The cutest thing about this is they think black pudding is burnt toast. What a complete abomination
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: martinuzz on July 19, 2017, 03:29:58 pm
Wow, that looks untasty.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on July 19, 2017, 04:03:51 pm
Took a while to figure out those things were supposed to be sausages
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Neonivek on July 19, 2017, 04:04:40 pm
EWWW Molasses beans!
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on July 19, 2017, 04:05:21 pm
One of them looks like a turd.

The tea also looks awful.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on July 19, 2017, 05:07:48 pm
I can't even identify most of that.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Neonivek on July 19, 2017, 05:39:48 pm
I can't even identify most of that.

Fried Egg, Bacon, Tomatoes, cooked mushrooms, Molasses beans, and Molasses beans on toast.

All served with Tea with the tea bag still in the cup.

Is it bad that I don't even know if I am right about the Bacon?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: NJW2000 on July 20, 2017, 03:30:47 am
The mushrooms look OK, though two teabags is unusual.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on July 20, 2017, 06:31:59 am
Is there two? I think there's a slice of lemon...
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Descan on July 26, 2017, 03:44:30 pm
I've yet to see any prevalence number for things like voter fraud, frivolous lawsuits, welfare fraud, drug abusing welfare users (that one even assumes that using drugs is a good reason to kick someone off welfare, which it isn't, for a myriad of reasons) and other "parasites of the system" above 5%, and usually I see the reports as at or below 1%.

It makes really good campaign stump, "we're going to kick/we kicked the parasites of YOUR tax-dollars out!" but it just doesn't happen to any economically noticable degree. Any time a serious effort to stamp out that kinda thing happens, it gets really close to or actually IS more expensive than what you save by getting rid of them, because you have to *find* them first. Expensive, both in money and in time.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on July 27, 2017, 03:05:14 pm
The only error the Tories have made in investigating benefits fraud is to not immensely expand investigation into tax fraud simultaneously
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: martinuzz on July 27, 2017, 03:29:27 pm
How to combat tax evasion

1) tell your electorate you are going to crack down on tax evasion, get votes
2) instruct tax officers to go and hunt smalltime tax evaders (the welfare mom that got a 20 euro/week cleaning job), and make them pay huge fines
3) pat yourself on the back on tv for succesfully cracking down on tax evasion, just don't mention it was only welfare moms
4) use the fines to bribe subsidize the big companies that do the real tax evasion, so you can get a nice management position with them once your political term is over
5) profit
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: redwallzyl on July 27, 2017, 03:50:26 pm
How to combat tax evasion

1) tell your electorate you are going to crack down on tax evasion, get votes
2) instruct tax officers to go and hunt smalltime tax evaders (the welfare mom that got a 20 euro/week cleaning job), and make them pay huge fines
3) pat yourself on the back on tv for succesfully cracking down on tax evasion, just don't mention it was only welfare moms
4) use the fines to bribe subsidize the big companies that do the real tax evasion, so you can get a nice management position with them once your political term is over
5) profit
Corporate tax evasion is a huge problem for the world trillions are being denied to governments and their people. I hate it with a passion.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Neonivek on July 27, 2017, 04:03:51 pm
I have a feeling the UK is going to get a... new tax soon.

probably won't happen, but I just wanted to say this here because in the 5% chance it actually occurs I want justification to laugh.

Laugh... or you know... cry because it is sad.

---

Yeah May is looking like it is going to be Rocky for the UK for a bit.

Quote
As a quick summary: In 2013 the Tories introduced a law that said that you had to pay £1,200 to bring a tribunal case against your employer, to cut down on "weak and malicious" claims. 4 years later, the supreme court basically told them to can it.

The two ideas I've seen towards this are that it was introduced with the stated intention, or that it was introduced to weaken worker's rights and benefit employers

The major issue I can immediately see is that even if you WIN the case you are still out 1,200 Euros ONTOP of whatever legal fees you have accrued. It punishes workers for daring face their employers. If you lose the case but had every reason to sue, you are now paying a lot of money that you might not be able to afford.

It would have made more sense as a deposit that can be confiscated should your case been seen as frivolous.

Or rather it hurts people with real legitimate claims... because those people might have an issue paying that much money.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: NJW2000 on July 27, 2017, 04:24:04 pm
Yup, that's what it's there for.

Except we use pounds in the UK. They're worth more than euros. At the moment.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: martinuzz on July 27, 2017, 04:58:41 pm
I've been telling the EU for years now that they should rename their common currency to 'kilo', so it always outweighs the pound.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on July 27, 2017, 05:16:19 pm
How to combat tax evasion

1) tell your electorate you are going to crack down on tax evasion, get votes
2) instruct tax officers to go and hunt smalltime tax evaders (the welfare mom that got a 20 euro/week cleaning job), and make them pay huge fines
3) pat yourself on the back on tv for succesfully cracking down on tax evasion, just don't mention it was only welfare moms
4) use the fines to bribe subsidize the big companies that do the real tax evasion, so you can get a nice management position with them once your political term is over
5) profit
That is the exact opposite of profit tbh
smh neoliberalism fam

I have a feeling the UK is going to get a... new tax soon.
probably won't happen, but I just wanted to say this here because in the 5% chance it actually occurs I want justification to laugh.
Laugh... or you know... cry because it is sad.
I have a feeling Canada is going to get a... new law soon.
probably will happen, and I just wanted to say this because there is a 100% chance it will occur and I'll laugh anyways
Laugh... or you know... cry for muh canuck laws

The major issue I can immediately see is that even if you WIN the case you are still out 1,200 Euros ONTOP of whatever legal fees you have accrued. It punishes workers for daring face their employers. If you lose the case but had every reason to sue, you are now paying a lot of money that you might not be able to afford.
Oi m8 we use the Turkish Lira in the United Kingdom of New Australia

It would have made more sense as a deposit that can be confiscated should your case been seen as frivolous.
Or rather it hurts people with real legitimate claims... because those people might have an issue paying that much money.
Yeah, it serves as a real sword of damocles over the heads of employees who were unlawfully dismissed because they have to be sure they've got enough evidence to win before they take it to court. It was introduced by a new labour-thatcherite tory unholy alliance of market deregulation joint political review of how malicious or weak claims were hurting business. There was a mechanism in place where the winning party could get their legal costs paid for by the losing party, but when it came to businesses when they won they still had to pay the costs 99% of the time (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/1476124/Tories-seek-to-curb-cost-of-tribunals-to-business.html). Which is money lost, work lost, time spent fighting a court battle, generally shit for business and liable to put people under
So over the course of 15 years lablibconopolis introduce all this kinda stuff to deter shit claims. Of note, is that the lablibconocopia did not simply seek to destroy all employer-employee relations, as they instead directed them to mediators, people like these guys (http://www.businessmediators.org.uk/), who step in and try to get the whole conflict sorted out amiably outside of legal channels - and if that fails, then move onto legal channels. This keeps the courts more open to more serious cases and is just good practice all round. The whole money barrier to getting your case heard however, has been a complete failure, having not stopped or noticeably reduced malicious or weak cases coming forward:
"There  is  little  evidence  that  fees  may  have  served  to  encourage  parties  to  seek  alternative ways  of resolving  their  disputes.  That  evidence  is  just  as  likely  to  have  been  the  result  of  the introduction  of  Acas  early  conciliation  as  it  is  of  the  levying  of  issue  and  hearing  fees.  See  Acas Research Paper 04/15, Evaluation of Acas Early Conciliation 2015. We are concerned that as many as six out of ten potential claimants who entered early conciliation neither settled their potential claim via Acas nor subsequently presented a claim to the Tribunal. Acas has found some evidence that this group may be being dissuaded from pursuing a claim by the prospect of fees."
That's from this judge (https://consult.justice.gov.uk/digital-communications/review-of-fees-in-employment-tribunals/supporting_documents/judgebriandoyleresponse.pdf), who also notes this:
"Most significantly of all, we consider that the introduction of fees has had a damaging effect upon  access  to  justice.  Although  there  has  been  a  very  large  reduction  in  new  claims  across  all jurisdictions – perhaps  as much  as 70  per  cent – the  cases  that  have  been most  obviously  affected are the short track and standard track cases. Employment Judges now see very few short track cases (claims  for  unpaid  wages,  notice  pay,  redundancy  pay,  etc),  the  obvious  inference  being  that  a combined  fee  of  £390  represents  a  considerable  investment  in  proportion  to  what  might  be  a relatively  modest  sum  at  stake,  particularly  given  that  the  respondent  might  be  insolvent  and  that the rate of enforcement of Employment Tribunal awards remains disappointing. The standard track cases (typically unfair dismissal claims) attract a combined fee of £1,200 – which does not compare well with the mean and median awards made in successful unfair dismissal complaints. We conclude that the fees and remission scheme act as a very clear disincentive to bringing what might otherwise be claims that are not obviously weak or unmeritorious."
So basically if you've been fucked out of your severance pay and that pay was <£1,000 you're not going to risk paying <£1,000 for it, least of all if you're already in financial troubles and cannot afford to lose anything

So yeah this gov policy didn't fix the previous problem and just created a new problem. This policy benefits no one lol
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Neonivek on July 27, 2017, 05:31:47 pm
Quote
I have a feeling Canada is going to get a... new law soon.
probably will happen, and I just wanted to say this because there is a 100% chance it will occur and I'll laugh anyways
Laugh... or you know... cry for muh canuck laws

That law already passed...

So go ahead laugh... or cry...
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on July 27, 2017, 05:38:02 pm
havin a sad giggle
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: NJW2000 on July 27, 2017, 05:47:44 pm
Oh, all policy benefits someone.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Neonivek on July 27, 2017, 05:50:00 pm
Oh, all policy benefits someone.

Ehhh... Not always.

But I guess I am being pedantic because it is more accurate to say that all policy intends to benefit someone.

Since the times it benefits no one is more... a mistake.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on July 27, 2017, 05:50:47 pm
Oh, all policy benefits someone.
Britpol usually finds a way to make everyone disappointed
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on September 07, 2017, 08:35:49 pm
I guess this is the Brexit thread these days..?

Angry politicians are angry (http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-41182561).
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on September 07, 2017, 08:37:43 pm
banter
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Paxiecrunchle on September 07, 2017, 09:07:40 pm
Watching, to post?
banter
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Helgoland on September 08, 2017, 04:49:43 am
banter
Hardly. It's a massive power grab by the government.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on September 08, 2017, 05:40:05 am
banter
Hardly. It's a massive power grab by the government.
Invoking laws enacted by Henry VIII to get brexed on time makes me positively moist tbqh

I haven't found a power grab thing yet but one bit of moist news that actually gives me hope that I won't have to keep adding 'for now' every time I say Scotland's a part of the UK is that the Dankirk withdrawal bill allows us to go beyond the EU's limits of devolution. On the power grab, I'm trying to figure out how the UK would adapt direct EU legislation into retained EU law without this clause in question, which is the one that's got everyone in a pickle (https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/bills/cbill/2017-2019/0005/cbill_2017-20190005_en_2.htm#pb3-l1g7). On the surface it's pretty uncontroversial, giving ministers the power to 'prevent, remedy or mitigate' any failure or deficiency in retained EU law.

What that means is that the cabinet ministers (the executive ministers of the ruling party) would have the power to modify or repeal laws that either do not work anymore or are redundant in the UK, so for example regulations on French agriculture are entirely useless in the UK and need not remain as a part of retained EU law. Putting each 19,000 bits of legislation through parliament for debate would mean that Brexit would probably be completed in the year 40,000 so as long as one of May's merry band of men doesn't down the line use some obscure bit of retained EU law to give themselves more power, this shouldn't go wrong. Though now I've said it I've probably jynxed it and we're gonna see the ministers be princes
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sheb on September 08, 2017, 05:42:39 am

I haven't found a power grab thing yet but one bit of moist news that actually gives me hope that I won't have to keep adding 'for now' every time I say Scotland's a part of the UK is that the Dankirk withdrawal bill allows us to go beyond the EU's limits of devolution.

Wut? Given that "We're only officially a single country because we can't be arsed to split" Belgium is in the EU, I really wonder what kind of EU limit on devolution exists.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on September 08, 2017, 05:57:14 am
Wut? Given that "We're only officially a single country because we can't be arsed to split" Belgium is in the EU, I really wonder what kind of EU limit on devolution exists.
The EU hasn't decreed anything against devolution far as I've heard at least, only that the EU's centralization runs contrary to UK policy on devolution
Right now the UK runs under reserve powers. Basically, any power not reserved by Westminster goes to a devolved authority for them to decide on, the most notable exception of policies that are not reserve powers but which apply to every UK authority irregardless of what they want is in regards to EU policy; upon leaving Westminster can give Wales, Scotland, Northern Ireland and maybe even the rest of the local authorities throughout the UK and dependencies the right to manage powers that are currently reserved by common yurop policies, like in justice, agriculture, fisheries or environment
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Helgoland on September 08, 2017, 05:59:15 am
"because we can't be arsed to split"
That's a strange way of saying you can't figure out if the Flemish should get the even- or the odd-numbered houses in Brussels.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sheb on September 08, 2017, 06:07:34 am
"because we can't be arsed to split"
That's a strange way of saying you can't figure out if the Flemish should get the even- or the odd-numbered houses in Brussels.


For those that don't get the joke: when my university split into French- and Flemish-speaking parts in the early 70's, the library had to be split. One university got the odd-numbered book, the other the even-numbered books.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on September 08, 2017, 07:52:56 am
the cabinet ministers (the executive ministers of the ruling party)
A set of unelected bureaucrats, by your standards, if you think about it...
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on September 08, 2017, 09:38:40 am
"because we can't be arsed to split"
That's a strange way of saying you can't figure out if the Flemish should get the even- or the odd-numbered houses in Brussels.


For those that don't get the joke: when my university split into French- and Flemish-speaking parts in the early 70's, the library had to be split. One university got the odd-numbered book, the other the even-numbered books.

rofl........... That's just so absurd...... I can imagine it completely screwed up any book series.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Helgoland on September 08, 2017, 09:51:51 am
Wasn't actually thinking of that - I guess it just proves how messed-up Belgium is, really.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on September 08, 2017, 10:43:08 am
Even Tintin, Poirot and Merckx preferred to ply their respective trades mostly outside of Belgium, and Mercator must have desperately wanted to!
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on September 08, 2017, 02:10:44 pm
the cabinet ministers (the executive ministers of the ruling party)
A set of unelected bureaucrats, by your standards, if you think about it...
Ministers =/= Bureaucrats
The civil service are our equivalent of the unelected bureaucrat, with the civil service being neither appointed by nor elected by anyone, rather being employed on a professional basis to advise, administer or execute policy decided upon by executive branches of gov. The ministers are appointed, the members of parliament elected - though traditionally, the ministers are appointed from the house of commons (as a result, 28 of the 29 ministers including the PM are all elected members of parliament, the one minister who is not an elected MP is a Baroness of the House of Lords, who is the minister in charge of the formalities and organization of the House of Lords - her post is always held by a peer).
So by my standards they are not equivalent; different problems exist for rule by Ministers or rule by Bureaucrats
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on September 08, 2017, 02:20:30 pm
Tories got themselves into the mess they're in now. Had they took their majority and ran with it they'd be fine and dandy, barring a significant revolt in their ranks. 'cause Theresa decided to chance her arm and blow a 20 point lead in 45 days, now they have to make sure to keep everybody happy, all of the time.

It's glorious. Democracy is brill.

To be fair, though, the fact they can't just appease business leaders and be on their way is quite brilliant regarding Brexit. They actually have to listen to people and take account opinions from everywhere, 'cause if they piss off enough of their own people, they can't do anything.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on September 08, 2017, 02:53:57 pm
Personally, I can't wait for the negotiations to prevent the automatic sever in 2019 to fail based on a single DUP vote from a fellow with the fire of imperialism in his eyes, followed by political and economic crisis as all connections between EU and UK citizens fall through in a single day and every member of the House of Lords sells off national assets to buy Qatari citizenship and escape the Fawkes Mask flash mobs.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: ChairmanPoo on September 08, 2017, 03:05:49 pm
Personally, I can't wait for the negotiations to prevent the automatic sever in 2019 to fail based on a single DUP vote from a fellow with the fire of imperialism in his eyes, followed by political and economic crisis as all connections between EU and UK citizens fall through in a single day and every member of the House of Lords sells off national assets to buy Qatari citizenship and escape the Fawkes Mask flash mobs.

Soon
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on September 08, 2017, 04:07:00 pm
yfw the fate of your civilization is in the hands of dup (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PnHH66xnZTQ)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on September 09, 2017, 03:15:40 am
the cabinet ministers (the executive ministers of the ruling party)
A set of unelected bureaucrats, by your standards, if you think about it...
Ministers =/= Bureaucrats
The civil service are our equivalent of the unelected bureaucrat, with the civil service being neither appointed by nor elected by anyone, rather being employed on a professional basis to advise, administer or execute policy decided upon by executive branches of gov. The ministers are appointed, the members of parliament elected - though traditionally, the ministers are appointed from the house of commons (as a result, 28 of the 29 ministers including the PM are all elected members of parliament, the one minister who is not an elected MP is a Baroness of the House of Lords, who is the minister in charge of the formalities and organization of the House of Lords - her post is always held by a peer).
So by my standards they are not equivalent; different problems exist for rule by Ministers or rule by Bureaucrats
The European Commission is effectively a cabinet, which everyone complains about. The President of the Commission is suggested by the European Council and agreed upon by the European Parliament, the rest of the members proposed by the Council Of The European Union. It is non-executive in powers, so nothing like the proposed super-government Westminster cabinet in terms of powers, not even the current "need to defer to parliament" cabinet executive, as they need the EP/etc to listen to them, not just ratify.

The European Council is composed of the Heads Of States/Government, who vary by their way they attain that power but are mostly voted in by the democratic process that the entirety of their home state already uses. (Our HoG isn't, please note!)

The European Parliament is an elected body, as per the Westminster one, with a few (arguably better) small differences to the process.

The Council Of The European Union consists of one designated minister for every state, however so those ministers are put forward.

The European Court Of Justice is composed of one representative judge from each state, but I'm no expert on how every state stuffs its judiciary.

The European Central Bank is administrative, not legislative, and composed of term-limited individuals recommended for their financial expertise and integrity by the national governments, and is much derided but is pretty much nothing like as bad as painted and irrelevant here except for completeness.

As is the European Court Of Auditors, whose composition is dictated by the Council and function is not even remotely legislative.


So, which set of bureaucrats (that, where they count, aint even bureaucrats!) has any more undue relative power than this group of people we propose to give such power to in the UK. This group appointed only by convention from amongst elected persons. Persons elected to just one non-majority party, and chosen/made-do-with by a person whose sole practical majority is the 26,000 odd constituency voters (down from 29k!) that lets her represent Maidenhead, and only in power 'cos she was the last woman standing and now nobody from her own party has any mind to seize the poisoned challice from her unappointed lips... Yet!

Tell me that you had any hand in getting any of this potentially hyper-executive Cabinet into power. At most, you might have voted for one of them, but (unless you're in Maidenhead, and even then) then that's just luck. Run the numbers, and you'll find that your voter influence in these matters is more insignificant than the multi-path authorisation that the average European (us included, although we Brits can't actually claim to have elected our Head Of Government, so maybe we should fix that first, before complaining about the Gnomes Of Zurich, etc.) has over the pan-European supranational institution that some of us seem not to like.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on September 09, 2017, 11:11:18 am
The European Commission is effectively a cabinet, which everyone complains about. The President of the Commission is suggested by the European Council and agreed upon by the European Parliament, the rest of the members proposed by the Council Of The European Union. It is non-executive in powers, so nothing like the proposed super-government Westminster cabinet in terms of powers, not even the current "need to defer to parliament" cabinet executive, as they need the EP/etc to listen to them, not just ratify.
The European Council is composed of the Heads Of States/Government, who vary by their way they attain that power but are mostly voted in by the democratic process that the entirety of their home state already uses. (Our HoG isn't, please note!)
The European Parliament is an elected body, as per the Westminster one, with a few (arguably better) small differences to the process.
The Council Of The European Union consists of one designated minister for every state, however so those ministers are put forward.
The European Court Of Justice is composed of one representative judge from each state, but I'm no expert on how every state stuffs its judiciary.
The European Central Bank is administrative, not legislative, and composed of term-limited individuals recommended for their financial expertise and integrity by the national governments, and is much derided but is pretty much nothing like as bad as painted and irrelevant here except for completeness.
As is the European Court Of Auditors, whose composition is dictated by the Council and function is not even remotely legislative.
So, which set of bureaucrats (that, where they count, aint even bureaucrats!) has any more undue relative power than this group of people we propose to give such power to in the UK.
Lol thought you were rusin me for a sec there

Serious reply:
EU commission is not a cabinet as the UK would understand it, as the EU commission is incredibly odd in selection, election and function when comparing a Union Commissioner to a British Cabinet Minister. Every Cabinet Minister in the UK has been elected by their constituency and selected by the Prime Minister, with obvious exception to the Leader of the House of Lords. They can be appointed or dismissed at a moment's notice on advice of the PM but otherwise have no term limit on service, are accountable to Parliament with Parliament being able to force the entire cabinet's resignation and in less extreme measures, scrutinize and oppose them in the House of Commons. The Cabinet Ministers form the executive (though not ultimate authority) and through their membership of the House of Commons, also have legislative powers. This is a power they do not hold exclusively against Parliament, but a power Parliament holds which they share in by being themselves members of Parliament. The Monarch is the head of the state & the armed forces, the Prime Minister is de facto head of the government.

The European Commission is executive in powers, with direct responsibilities including the administration and implementation of EU and community policies and legislation, including formulation and spending of the budget, initiation and drafting of community legislation, enforcement of EU and community law, representation of the EU and the communities at the international level, including negotiation of international treaties - this was what really got me thinking you were either rused yourself or trying to ruse me. Calling elected ministers unelected bureaucrats, calling commissioners non-executives, you're trying to ruse me m8 with demoralization b8 :P
Quote
The European Commission
1.  The Commission shall promote the general interest of the Union and take appropriate initiatives to that end. It shall ensure the application of the Constitution, and measures adopted by the
institutions pursuant to the Constitution. It shall oversee the application of Union law under the control of the Court of Justice of the European Union. It shall execute the budget and manage
programmes. It shall exercise coordinating, executive and management functions, as laid down in the Constitution. With the exception of the common foreign and security policy, and other cases
provided for in the Constitution, it shall ensure the Union's external representation. It shall initiate the Union's annual and multiannual programming with a view to achieving interinstitutional
agreements.
From the Treaty Establishing a Constitution for Europe. AKA The Lisbon Treaty. (https://europa.eu/european-union/sites/europaeu/files/docs/body/treaty_establishing_a_constitution_for_europe_en.pdf) This fucking treaty was the EU Constitution and yet it was marketed as a series of amendments to existing Treaty, thus no nation in Europe was given a public vote on whether their country would surrender their sovereignty, with exception to Ireland (http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/europe/7453560.stm) whom the EU forced to revote (https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2008/dec/13/eu-ireland-lisbon-treaty) because they voted wrong. That shit is eye burningly haram.

The European Council is incomparable with most political organizations in the world, if not all of them. Closest thing I can think of is the United Nations Security Council. The European Parliament is an elected body, as per the Westminster one, with the notable small difference of being useless.
The Houses of Commons (or the Westminster Parliament) is the legislative authority of the UK. It alone decides what rate taxes are set & to whom, to which departments and projects funding is allocated or withdrawn, it acts without any judicial review owing to our unwritten constitution, it not only scrutinizes, debates and approves or declines legislature - it is the body of government that proposes legislature. Each MP proposes laws that will rule the lives of their constituents with the knowledge that their constituency voted for them to represent them. The European Parliament's powers include being allowed to examine Presidential Candidates of the Commission proposed by the Council or approve legislature proposed by the Commission, lacking any ability to represent their own constituencies - made worse, given that each Commissioner is sworn to represent the EU's interests, and not their country's interests.

In regards to the European Council, I am actually rather appreciative of them!
Quote
The vote in favour of Juncker was passed by 26 to two after Cameron won the support of only one other EU country – Hungary.
Juncker now becomes the European commission president designate. He can only formally assume office if he wins the support of a simple majority of MEPs.
The decisive support for Juncker after an unprecedented vote among EU leaders for a commission president marks a major setback for Cameron, who had thought key EU allies would oppose his nomination. But Angela Merkel, who had voiced doubts about Juncker, threw her support behind him after a domestic backlash when the German chancellor suggested last month that other candidates could be considered.
Before the vote Cameron told EU leaders they may live to regret the appointment, warning them of the grave consequences for public opinion in Britain.
In some of the strongest remarks by a British prime minister at an EU summit, Cameron condemned a "backroom deal" to appoint Juncker, who was being "railroaded" through against the wishes of Britain and Hungary.
Cameron, who warned of "wafer thin" British support for the EU, told EU leaders: "[Jean-Claude Juncker] is the ultimate Brussels insider who has been at the table for the last two decades of decisions. If you want change is that the type of person you want for the future?"
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/jun/27/david-cameron-loses-jean-claude-juncker-vote-eu
This bit always kills me
"I've told EU leaders they could live to regret the new process for choosing the commission president." This system is inherently designed to pursue its own objectives irregardless of what people actually want, believing it should act first and shape public opinion, instead of be shaped by public opinion in action.
European Court of Justice judges are selected by members of the European Council, choosing 3 candidates per state for the initial selection phase in their own national elections in accordance with however they want to run it. Second phase involves a scrutiny by the EU itself, wherein they will check to see if the candidates are actually appropriately qualified for the job, and will then (if satisfied that they are), pick the strongest candidate. As far as I can tell there is no standardized selection process for the phase 1 bit across all European nations.
Ignoring the European Central Bank because it is administrative and not legislative is a puzzling move, because one cannot ever adequately address criticisms of accountable power if one willingly ignores the mechanisms which maintain that power. If the EU is supposed to represent a member nation-state's people, and the EU creates a central bank to manage that country's currency, money supply, interest rates, then it is important to know what mechanisms the European people have to stop such an organization from completely fucking them over.

Take for example the ECB's quantitative easing program, printing loads of euros to induce inflation and buy corporate and state bonds, but with notably very little oversight or interest outside of France or Germany:
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
And of all sets of European Institutions you presented with me regarding bureaucrats, you leave out the ones staffed by tens of thousands bureaucrats. I really get the impression you're trying to ruse me ;]

And with that we segway into the rest; the ECB, the Commission's staff, the European Civil Service "‘We’re not bureaucrats!’ (http://www.politico.eu/article/brussels-bureaucrat-were-not-bureaucrats0-margaritis-schinas/), the General Secretariat of the Council, and their amorphous mass of lobbyists, think tanks and support staff that follow train. ECB I've gone over. The Commission, the body of the Commissioners' staff - who unlike the Commissioners themselves, are permanent staff, are the one people are probably criticizing when they talk of unelected bureaucrats. But given how the EU will have 5 names for 1 organization and 1 name for 5 organizations I honestly wonder just how many pundits and public figures even know what they're talking about, heck, I'm still waiting to see whether the President of the Council or the President of the Commission can finally make up their minds and decide which one is actually in charge.

But to not get sidetracked, where the Commissioners decide upon policy (and the Council agrees or else is unable to stop them), it is thereupon up to the Commission to implement the regulation or legislation after it has passed the first reading in the European Parliament. Herein lies one of the most significant differences between the UK's civil service and the European civil service, whereas the UK civil service are cautioned to remain politically independent and distance themselves from MPs, the European Civil Service is encouraged to maintain contact with MEPs and advise them. The second is the whole comitology issue. First the European Commission makes a proposal of legislature to the European Council and the European Parliament, after which the European Parliament gives its first reading and their opinions on the proposal in the form of a series of amendments. Opinion at this stage is adopted on the basis of a simple majority of MEPs voting, proposing any ammendments in the plenary session, meaning any and all amendment proposals are allowed and accepted. These amendments are thereupon reviewed and commented upon by the Commission, who then decides whether to change its proposals accordingly. After this the Council adopts a common position and presents it to the European Parliament, usually by QMV, with the European Parliament then having 3 months to examine the Commission and the Council's views while it adopts its second reading amendments - during which this time only amendments proposed and qualified with an absolute majority of MEPs are  accepted and passed. The Council then gets three months to decide which European Parliament amendments it will accept, usually approving those which the Commission has supported in the majority, though they can still pass an amendment with a unanimous vote if it is opposed by the Commission in the majority. If all amendments pass, it ends there, if not however then that's the end of that. If not, then conciliation starts which is chaired by a conciliation committee. Said committee is consisted of experts & officials from respective nation states in addition to an equal number of MEPs, with the addition that the Commission's officials assist & advise the committee through the whole process. Along this whole process every individual from MEP to Commissioner, Councilor or Bureaucrat is vulnerable to influence by the EU's 30,000 lobbyists (https://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/may/08/lobbyists-european-parliament-brussels-corporate) who are estimated to influence 75% of European legislation and have even been found copying legislature written by lobbyists word for word (https://euobserver.com/justice/119028).

Regardless, once the legislation is passed, we enter the second phase.
On the basis of updating laws to account for technological advancement or political changes within a nation stressing the practicalities of implementation, in order see the implementation of the legislature into real law the Commission steps up again, assisted by committees made up of experts sent by the EU's constituent nation-states. Needless to say, unelected bureaucrats from the EU Commission and the member states' experts then get to modify legislature without transparency or oversight in order to make them relevant - or push their agenda. This is a real no-no in British politics, because we know civil servants have the real capacity to push a hell of a lot of their own agendas through what with them being permanent and all, so we ask them to be apolitical. Don't think we're their yet, but fucking hell comitology takes it further. This system is designed to smooth over small details or define regulations (so for example, the EU Commissioners decide on reducing pollution in Europe by reducing car CO2 emissions, it would be up to the Commission to actually decide what levels of emissions would be acceptable to comply with regulations), yet in this process the legislators can simply pass legislation that would otherwise not get through without political blowback on to the committees for them to add in, thereby having unelected officials effect the laws in ways that benefit lobbyists.

There is not a lot of academic research nor a lot of news on this, oddly enough despite the level of criticism leveled at how unelected bureaucrats are muddling things up. But here's some clear cut examples that were high-profile enough to spark attention:
Car Emissions scandal - EU officials in meetings with automobile industry employers or employees (meetings they decided not to record) were caught deliberately delaying, diluting or undermining legislature that would lower car emissions and bring cheats to court; through this process the Commission was convinced not to take legal action against car manufacturers for cheating regulations, nor to take random tests on cars, and the conformity limit would have been higher had the USA not managed to expose the cheating publicly (https://euobserver.com/dieselgate/135711). Thanks America
The failed bid at killing roaming charges was decided upon by comitology, though I find the EU Parliament's reaction notable for this one bit: The Commission’s solution: Cap free roaming for 30 consecutive days and limit them to about 90 days in a year. MEPs reacted with a roar, appearing to have forgotten that they voted to include a fair-use clause less than a year ago. “MEPs, as usual, have not really read what they passed,” said one source in the Parliament. (https://euobserver.com/digital/135001) Lol
And the GMO import debacle is a rather illustrative one, in how the Commission got GMO imports OKd for Europe despite opposition by a majority of EU nations in a highly public debate. (http://uk.businessinsider.com/r-eu-approves-first-new-genetically-modified-crops-since-2013-2015-4) "Instead of ministers and MEPs making the decision on GM crops next month, it is due to be made by the comitology body - the Standing Committee on Plants, Animals and Feed. Daniel Guéguen, a professor at the College of Europe and head of strategy for the lobbying firm PACT European Affairs, said: “It simply does not work. It is very, very complex, and very few people understand how it works.” Franziska Achterberg, food policy director for Greenpeace in Europe told Politico, said she welcomed Mr Juncker’s planned reforms. She said: “This is one big black box. Proposals aren’t published, votes are held in secret and no information is published as to who voted what.” (http://www.express.co.uk/news/world/765071/european-union-jean-claude-juncker-eu-failures-responsibility-member-states)

That the eurocrats do shit like this while southern europe and eastern europe are left to wallow is also generally, bad for PR (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/07/11/eu-officials-plan-50000-staff-party-700-bottles-wine/), but that's another tune to sing entirely

This group appointed only by convention from amongst elected persons. Persons elected to just one non-majority party, and chosen/made-do-with by a person whose sole practical majority is the 26,000 odd constituency voters (down from 29k!) that lets her represent Maidenhead, and only in power 'cos she was the last woman standing and now nobody from her own party has any mind to seize the poisoned challice from her unappointed lips... Yet!
Now onto the Britgov argument!
I'm going to disagree with you because it doesn't really make sense to me, so I'll just explain my philosophy on why I act differently on this. I don't have an issue with the House of Commons electing their leader from amongst themselves, as they must ultimately have gotten a democratic mandate from their party's position on their campaign prior to election and from their constituents. I would prefer a system that is more in line with the Labour party wherein all members get a vote, yet I have no solution to stop entryism affecting the outcome. More important in my opinion is in how parties select MP candidates in totality, imo there is no point in getting to vote for the direct leader if it's all from a pool of Oxbridge candidates who think the same. This is why I focus so much on [l o c a l   p o l i t i c s], because that's where you're most able to get shit done. This is because a Prime Minister must be able to lead the confidence of their party, otherwise you end up with a party in conflict - look at the Labour party after Corbyn, or the Tory party for the last 18 years. Theresa May was elected by her party and won the general election called, so I'm not sure why you insist on calling elected politicians unelected bureaucrats and unelected bureaucrats elected politicians. Whatever you think of her diminishing majorities, you know it's factually wrong to say no one voted for her.

Tell me that you had any hand in getting any of this potentially hyper-executive Cabinet into power.
Tell me what is potentially hyper-executive about this Cabinet? The Cabinet has traditionally been the executive branch of government for the past 500 years, Tony Blair's Presidential years were anomalous, not the other way around.

At most, you might have voted for one of them, but (unless you're in Maidenhead, and even then) then that's just luck.
At most? How about no m8. I even got peopled registered to vote, though it's gonna confuse you that I got labour voters registered lmao, needless to say your options are open when you can actively get involved in debates and walk to your MP (or even better, when your Councillors are doing the rounds around your neighbourhood).

Run the numbers, and you'll find that your voter influence in these matters is more insignificant than the multi-path authorisation that the average European has over the pan-European supranational institution that some of us seem not to like.
Yeah nah my influence in the UK just got Brexit, my influence in the EU got nothing - there'd not even be any point voting for an MEP who didn't live in England or could propose any laws for my benefit. My MP is building my borough a bridge. There's not a commission bureaucrat that knows where my borough is on the maps, and I can't even vote one of my neighbours into the commission. MEPs? What'd even be the point.

(us included, although we Brits can't actually claim to have elected our Head Of Government, so maybe we should fix that first, before complaining about the Gnomes Of Zurich, etc.)
I'm a Brit and I beg to differ, cos I'm only gone and done claimed we've elected our Head of Government lel.

And in all seriousness, what the kind of bloody hell argument is that? I've seen it before, people saying that oh lobbying's just as fucked in the UK therefore I shouldn't criticize the EU fucking up Europe with lobbying. How about no? If the EU wins then that government is one I can't even see without plane or sail, with zero mechanisms for accountability or any point to even partake in pointless elections. If we win then we won't have to deal with the EU assassinating European democracy, it'll be the continental's problem to deal with while we can get busy at work sorting out Westminster and Whitehall's fuckups and corruption. Best part of it all? We're actually able to put Brit politicians feet to the fire, Cameron, Theresa May - roasted.

But yeah nah we should add the EU's problems to our own, that will make solving our problems easier somehow
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on September 09, 2017, 01:06:20 pm
The Cabinet Ministers form the executive (though not ultimate authority) and through their membership of the House of Commons, also have legislative powers. This is a power they do not hold exclusively against Parliament, but a power Parliament holds which they share in by being themselves members of Parliament.
This is the point being made. The powers to do anything that "an Act of parliament would do" is being granted directly to Ministers, by this Act, including the possibility to make changes to the Act after the fact to overturn the simultaneous limitations.  For example not being able to "a)impose or increase taxation, (b)make retrospective provision, (c)create a relevant criminal offence, (d)be made to implement the withdrawal agreement, (e)amend, repeal or revoke the Human Rights Act 1998 or any subordinate legislation made under it, or (f) amend or repeal the Northern Ireland Act 1998 (unless the regulations are made by virtue of paragraph 13(b) of Schedule 7 to this Act or are amending or repealing paragraph 38 of Schedule 3 to the Northern Ireland Act 1998 or any provision of that Act which modifies another enactment". This (and more, you can read the proposed Act yourself) is not entirely unprecidented, but greater minds than mine are worried about it.

No single EU body has similar relative power, and though you might disagree with bits and pieces, you can't complain about the delegated will of the people one minute and insist that your ideology is the will of the people the next, especially when filtered through such a limited group with potentially no checks or balances. But please do persist with your Eurohate. It's a free country. Currently.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on September 09, 2017, 02:47:22 pm
This is the point being made. The powers to do anything that "an Act of parliament would do" is being granted directly to Ministers, by this Act, including the possibility to make changes to the Act after the fact to overturn the simultaneous limitations.  For example not being able to "a)impose or increase taxation, (b)make retrospective provision, (c)create a relevant criminal offence, (d)be made to implement the withdrawal agreement, (e)amend, repeal or revoke the Human Rights Act 1998 or any subordinate legislation made under it, or (f) amend or repeal the Northern Ireland Act 1998 (unless the regulations are made by virtue of paragraph 13(b) of Schedule 7 to this Act or are amending or repealing paragraph 38 of Schedule 3 to the Northern Ireland Act 1998 or any provision of that Act which modifies another enactment". This (and more, you can read the proposed Act yourself) is not entirely unprecidented, but greater minds than mine are worried about it.
Quote
Scrutiny of regulations made by Minister of the Crown or devolved authority acting alone
1
(1)A statutory instrument containing regulations under section 7 which contain provision falling within sub-paragraph (2) may not be made unless a draft of the instrument has been laid before, and approved by a resolution of, each House of Parliament.

(2)Provision falls within this sub-paragraph if it—

(a)establishes a public authority in the United Kingdom,
(b)provides for any function of an EU entity or public authority in a member State to be exercisable instead by a public authority in the United Kingdom established by regulations under section 7, 8 or 9 or Schedule 2,
(c)provides  for  any  function  of  an  EU entity  or  public  authority  in  a member State of making an instrument of a legislative character to be exercisable instead by a public authority in the United Kingdom,
(d)imposes, or otherwise relates to, a fee in respect of a function exercisable by a public authority in the United Kingdom,
(e)creates, or widens the scope of, a criminal offence, or
(f)creates or amends a power to legislate.
???
I have not found a clause that gives Ministers or any devolved authority the powers to do anything that an act of parliament could, nor have I found any power that would allow them to overturn or amend the Act. On the contrary, in addition to the above limitations, it explicitly stipulates that any incorporation of EU law which could result in the establishment of a new public authority, creates or amends legislative powers or amends the act itself, can only be passed if it has been brought before both Houses and approved by both Houses:
Quote
(1)A statutory instrument containing regulations under section 9 which contain provision falling within sub-paragraph (2) may not be made unless a draft of the instrument has been laid before, and approved by a resolution of, each House of Parliament.
(2)Provision falls within this sub-paragraph if it—
(a)establishes a public authority in the United Kingdom,
(b)provides for any function of an EU entity or public authority in a member State to be exercisable instead by a public authority in the United Kingdom established by regulations under section 7, 8 or 9 or Schedule 2,
(c)provides for any function of an EU entity  or  public  authority  in  a member State of making an instrument of a legislative character to be exercisable instead by a public authority in the United Kingdom,
(d)imposes, or otherwise relates to, a fee in respect of a function exercisable by a public authority in the United Kingdom,
(e)creates, or widens the scope of, a criminal offence,
(f)creates or amends a power to legislate, or
(g)amends this Act.

Closest thing I've found to it is this bit:
Quote
Scrutiny procedure in certain urgent cases
11
(1)  Sub-paragraph (2) applies to—
(a)a  statutory  instrument  to  which  paragraph  4(1),  5(1),  6(1)  or  7(1) applies, or
(b)a statutory instrument to which paragraph 5(3), 6(3) or 7(3) applies which   would   not   otherwise   be   made   without   a   draft   of   the instrument being laid before, and approved by a resolution of, each House of Parliament.
(2)The instrument may be made without a draft of the instrument being laid before,  and  approved  by  a  resolution of,  each  House  of  Parliament  if  it contains  a  declaration  that  the  Minister  of  the  Crown  concerned  is  of  the opinion that, by reason of urgency, it is necessary to make the regulations without a draft being so laid and approved.
(3)After an instrument is made in accordance with sub-paragraph (2), it must be laid before each House of Parliament.
(4)Regulations  contained  in  an  instrument  made  in  accordance  with  sub-paragraph  (2)  cease  to  have  effect  at  the  end  of  the  period  of  one  month beginning with the day on which the instrument is made unless, during that period,  the  instrument  is  approved by a resolution of  each House of Parliament.
(5)In calculating the period of one month, no account is to be taken of any time during which—
(a)Parliament is dissolved or prorogued, or
(b)either House of Parliament is adjourned for more than four days.
(6)If regulations cease to have effect as a result of sub-paragraph (4), that does not—
(a)affect   the   validity   of   anything   previously   done   under   the regulations, or
(b)prevent the making of new regulations
Bolded the relevant legalese
So for a month a devolved or crown minister could enact a law they felt necessary by the urgency of the integration process which would subsequently need approval by the Houses of Parliament regardless, or else it would cease to be in effect after the month's end. The Act does not give the power to any Minister to amend the EU Withdrawal Act or UK Domestic Law by declaration.

No single EU body has similar relative power
The Commission has more

and though you might disagree with bits and pieces, you can't complain about the delegated will of the people one minute and insist that your ideology is the will of the people the next, especially when filtered through such a limited group with potentially no checks or balances.
If they were not chosen by the people, nor elected by them, nor accountable to them, and sworn not to represent them, by what right are they the "delegated will of the people", least of all when they enact policy that is directly opposed by those people? On all accounts they fail to meet this definition you've awarded them. Secondly I do not understand your accusation. What is this ideology I claim embodies the will of the people? Do you maintain that there are no checks or balances after reading the evidence I have provided?

But please do persist with your Eurohate. It's a free country. Currently.
Really Starver?

If all you want to do is go on a ruse cruise I'm done m8. Swear down, spend hours reading legal documents and treatises by a political organization that'd make the Byzantine Decline look innovative and the Cretan Labyrinth straightforward on the off chance that you're gonna have a nice discussion and you leave disappointed all the time. 0/10, not as fun as drunk lawyers
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on September 09, 2017, 04:39:20 pm
You're artificially expanding everything, again. If I can't not respond, I'm determined not to exclude others by the verbosity of our point-by-point-by-point acceleratingly orotund progressive multiplication of words.

So, for this reply, let me concentrate on reiterating that both cabinets are there as proxy/boiled down representation of the people, just by differing methods. Neither are directly elected to that elevated position, but electoral votes go into determining who gets those positions, by differing imperfect methods. The main differences being that Commissioners are more diverse, not a single-party like the UK cabinet (coalitions/departisaned choices by the PM, aside).

And the oaths of loyalty are:
Quote from: UK MP
I... swear by Almighty God that I will be faithful and bear true allegiance to Her Majesty Queen Elizabeth, her heirs and successors, according to law. So help me God.
(Or a secular variant, for those that wish it, that still mentions the monarch.)
Quote from: EU Commissioner
Having been appointed as a Member of the European Commission by the European Council, following the vote of consent by the European Parliament, I solemnly undertake to respect the Treaties and the Charter of Fundamental Rights of the European Union in the fulfilment of all my duties; to be completely independent in carrying out my responsibilities, in the general interest of the Union; in the performance of my tasks, neither to seek nor to take instructions from any Government or from any other institution, body, office or entity; to refrain from any action incompatible with my duties or the performance of my tasks.

I formally note the undertaking of each Member State to respect this principle and not to seek to influence Members of the Commission in the performance of their tasks.

I further undertake to respect, both during and after my term of office, the obligation arising therefrom, and in particular the duty to behave with integrity and discretion as regards the acceptance, after I have ceased to hold office, of certain appointments or benefits.
(Lacks the brevity, has more detail.)

The latter clearly represents the general interest of the people of the EU as a whole rather than their home state, home government, personal party, etc (and any such influence would by foiled by the others). The former doesn't even include a hint of the People, except insofar as it is assumed the monarch represents them (which a fair few republicans, and indeed Republicans, would argue mightily against!). I can find no Cabinet-specific oath, just the unrelated Privvy Council one, and presume that any unelected and ad hoc appointees to the Cabinet (these days, often called GOATs, from Brown's time) take the same, somewhat ambivalent/meaningless and brief oath, if anything at all.

The rest is just personal interpretation of whether one trusts the system, likely influenced by how much likes the system, perhaps through any recent impression of how well that system has represented and acknowledged one's personal viewpoint on things.

 (http://www.parliament.uk/site-information/glossary/henry-viii-clauses/)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Helgoland on September 13, 2017, 04:55:01 pm
So the Sun tried to publish an article in German. (http://archive.is/S3AaP)

Spoiler (click to show/hide)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on September 13, 2017, 04:58:56 pm
That's hardly a spoiler. I tried to learn German for three years and caught nothing but lexicon. Also, it's the Sun. I'd genuinely give Daily Mail better odds at this.

I'll take Icelandic any day (in which I fondly look upon the specter of death).
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: smjjames on September 13, 2017, 08:30:35 pm
So the Sun tried to publish an article in German. (http://archive.is/S3AaP)

Spoiler (click to show/hide)

Running it through google translate has it 90% make sense.....
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Moddan on September 14, 2017, 04:40:46 am
It was probably written by the one Sun employee who claimed to know German at the job interview and was then responsible for England-Germany football banter and "Merkel sein Nazi" headlines.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: scriver on September 14, 2017, 05:08:40 am
From the topf of mein kopf, that translates to "Merkel her nazi", doesn't it?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Sheb on September 14, 2017, 06:37:41 am
"Merkel his Nazis" or "Merkel be Nazi"
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Dorsidwarf on September 14, 2017, 06:59:38 am
Maybe they hired a pirate to translate for them, yarrr
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on September 14, 2017, 08:30:24 am
("Merkel 'sa Nazi" <= "Merkel (ist)ein Nazi", is how I read it as miswritten.)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Descan on September 14, 2017, 09:44:00 am
So the Sun tried to publish an article in German. (http://archive.is/S3AaP)

Spoiler (click to show/hide)

Running it through google translate has it 90% make sense.....
That's probably an indictment of it being correct German; German to English translate doesn't result in proper english sentences, it results in weird sentences that almost make sense but you gotta think a bit before you go "Oh. I get it now."
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: NJW2000 on September 14, 2017, 11:15:17 am
Different for other sites, but if google translate gives a good result for a bit of German, it was very likely involved in the composition.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Descan on September 14, 2017, 11:41:20 am
Possibly; Often translating English -> German -> English results in nonsense, though.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Helgoland on September 15, 2017, 01:53:31 pm
The original article makes much more sense when Google Translated to English than in the original. They updated it though :/
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: martinuzz on September 28, 2017, 01:31:36 pm
The goat is dead.
Long live the goat.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on September 28, 2017, 06:12:59 pm
The goat is dead.
Long live the goat.
This isn't the erdogan thread m8
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Reelya on September 28, 2017, 09:28:53 pm
That problem with Britain society: not offer enough goats in dowry.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: martinuzz on September 29, 2017, 02:25:10 am
The goat is dead.
Long live the goat.
This isn't the erdogan thread m8
I doubt Erdogan would have the British flag at half-mast for the death of a goat.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on September 29, 2017, 02:37:14 am
I doubt Erdogan would have the British flag at half-mast for the death of a goat.
erdogan is patriarchy tbh

That problem with Britain society: not offer enough goats in dowry.
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: martinuzz on September 29, 2017, 03:00:46 am
Just for those utterly confused, I was talking about this goat

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-41415654
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Reelya on September 29, 2017, 04:46:11 am
Just for those utterly confused, I was talking about this goat

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-41415654
So Invictus got to you, too.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on September 29, 2017, 05:11:17 am
Just for those utterly confused, I was talking about this goat

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-41415654
So Invictus got to you, too.
Florida is more than a place. It's a state of mind, gained through pagan ritual
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Starver on September 29, 2017, 06:24:02 am
(I had initially thought that it was Government Of All Talents that had died. Though I knew it had already died, so was definitely confused.)
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on September 29, 2017, 05:14:03 pm
(I had initially thought that it was Government Of All Talents that had died. Though I knew it had already died, so was definitely confused.)
What you on about, government is fine
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
This is fine

et tu, Borisilius?
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: ChairmanPoo on September 29, 2017, 05:39:01 pm
I'll just leave this here  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=br_j4v5K2C8
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: hector13 on October 25, 2017, 09:34:14 pm
British government won’t publicly release Brexit impact study (http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-41749270) ‘cause:

“... it’s not in the national interest.” - David Davis, 2017

Fackin’ Brillo pads, that is. Obviously letting the public know how the most significant political decision that will be made in your entire career will affect them is a bad thing to happen.

No, when the Tories don’t prepare for something, nobody else is allowed to prepare for it either.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on October 25, 2017, 09:46:27 pm
I think it's honestly more likely that the study just failed outright than it says something so bad they aren't willing to let it be known. Brexit affects....everything. The EU has had its tendrils deep in Britain and nobody knows what the hell to make of trying to get rid of them. Which should be a caution to other nations trying to tear themselves free from the EU. It's gonna take years even for Britain and the process hasn't really started in any appreciable way.

Or they'll let it fall through and the British economy and government will be destroyed. One of the two.
Title: Re: UK Snap Election Thread - Darth May
Post by: Loud Whispers on October 26, 2017, 05:02:42 am
Quote
Opposition parties have suggested that Mr Heaton-Harris was seeking to compile a list of "Brexit heretics" and called for him to be stripped of his role as a whip.
Nothing can save us from this grim dark negotiation
nothing