DF is a project for life for Toady. It's not like he's going to trash his plans after more than 15 years of development. The wait probably won't be 4 years long. Maybe 3.
My biggest concern is post long wait. I wonder if DF will still be the primary concern. My life has conditioned me to believing DF is a constant in our world, but idk, I get a feeling Toady might pick up something else after the long wait. Anyone else get that feeling at all?
Such pessimism in this thread stemming from vague feelings of uncertain origin. If you're worried, the chances are that it's your personal fear of disappointment that is the source, not something unremembered that Toady has or hasn't done or said."Hofstadter's Law: It always takes longer than you expect, even when you take into account Hofstadter's Law."
Wait, according to whom? Pretty sure I remember Toady saying that the preparations would go well into fall of 2018, so we're not off-schedule just yet.Initial eta was "about 6 months" made in April.
Of course, that ETA could itself be the result of an earlier delay for all I know.
Maybe we could all say a guess on this (future) date, and bury this thread after that, for a while, until the big wait ends ? That would be some fun !May 12th, 2021 +-1 week.
so this leaves us with21st... :)
thefriendlyhacker: May 12th, 2021
Inarius: Sept 15th, 2021
PlumpHelmetMan: February 5th, 2022
Urlance Woolsbane : Sept 15th, 2021
Shonai_Dweller : Jan 21th, 2021
so this leaves us with
thefriendlyhacker: May 12th, 2021
Inarius: Sept 15th, 2021
PlumpHelmetMan: February 5th, 2022
Urlance Woolsbane : Sept 15th, 2021
Shonai_Dweller : Jan 21th, 2021
quekwoambojish : Oct 30th, 2022
To be specific, September 15th, 2022 is my new prediction. You can update accordingly.
(5th/Jun/2021, just ferthehellofit)Spoiler (click to show/hide)
OP: I think the idea is to order the list chronologically.
The trick is to only make predictions semi-seriously. That way, I don't have a 98% failure rate. I have a 98% sarcasm rate.
January 20th, 2024. Don't ask, this is me being pessimistic.Seems reasonable considering we've just been hit with another delay to the start of the Big Wait.
During the development of Dwarf Fortress, there's been a few times during which Toady spent several years working on a single update. These times are referred to as "Big Waits", and something amazing invariably comes of them. Toady intends to embark on another Big Wait sometime soon, during which he will implement mythology and various kinds of magic. This upcoming Big Wait is the one we're referring to here.It's worth noting that previous Waits are only called Big Waits retrospectively. Mythgen is the first Wait that Toady ever referred to as Big. So...likely to be very Big, I guess.
Do remember, of course, that *somebody* predicted that there would be no big wait and that instead Toady would change to incremental updates :-) I'm *still* not on the board for that ;-) When I made my prediction I thought my odds were exactly 0. However, now that he's going to Steam, I actually wonder if market pressures will force him to change his development style. It doesn't seem quite so far fetched to me as it did before. Still pretty unlikely, though.He's mentioned the Big Wait a few times since Steam release in interviews and such. I imagine the long time without a release during the Wait and possibility of donations drying up is part of the pressure to release on Steam. So actually, seems more likely he'll take his time now (and perhaps take a summer holiday too hopefully).
Until next Thursday.Every week is a Big Wait for those who follow the devblog. :)
Edit: just realized I did a necro.
Until next Thursday.
Edit: just realized I did a necro.
Possibly in the far future in the year 6000.
Before Yandere Simulator is completely done.We'll have 1.0 before that's out of alpha.
Possibly in the far future in the year 6000.
In the year 7510
If Updates a-comin, Toad oughta make it by then
Maybe he'll look around himself and say
Guess it's time for the release day
Wow, that's obscure . . . you must be nearly as old as I am.Does that mean you (nearly) remember the '60s, or the millenium (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cleopatra_2525)?
Wow, that's obscure . . . you must be nearly as old as I am.Does that mean you (nearly) remember the '60s, or the millenium (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cleopatra_2525)?
(I probably remember it more from an only slightly retro '70s revival/back-catalogue playing of the original, if that helps, with the series that pinched it being clearly modern cheesy-noatalgic at the time, so pick and choose your timings as you wish. Perhaps it's nearly time to come round again...?)
In the year 1,000,000 and a half, Dwarf Fortress is still in development but now by giraffe.You're sticking your neck out with that one...
In the year 1,000,000 and a half, Dwarf Fortress is still in development but now by giraffe.Is this Starbound's version naming scheme?
I'm bit a rebel. Everyone can bite my shiny adamantine chausses))))In the year 1,000,000 and a half, Dwarf Fortress is still in development but now by giraffe.You're sticking your neck out with that one...
((And to think I just took another chatty reply over to private message...))
April 2024
let's say we will all update after Steam release. Some people made their prediction before the steam thing so that would be unfair :)
If you guys want to be realistic I'd say 2028 would be when myth and magic comes out.Sounds about right.
let's say we will all update after Steam release. Some people made their prediction before the steam thing so that would be unfair :)
Steam version is out. Time for new predictions?
Classic release should be soon. After that there'll probably be some bug fixes and misc improvements. I think villains pt.2 and army stuff might be before the Big Wait?
I predict the Big Wait for myths and magic will start around June 2024 and end October 1, 2026.
June 2021 - Steam
August 2022 - Final Steam armies/villains/bug changes
Oct 2027 - Myth & Magic
I think he's saying that Toady will stop working on the game before M&M happens.
I think that's the least likely thing to happen.
I think he's saying that Toady will stop working on the game before M&M happens.
I think that's the least likely thing to happen.
In understand it's what he is saying. It's just i don't understand based on what, hence my question :)
I'm sure the Steam stuff will eventually give way so new stuff can be added, it'll just be a bit.
What happens if you try to keep programming after you reach an age of doubleunsignedint.max+1?You start over
I think he's saying that Toady will stop working on the game before M&M happens.
I think that's the least likely thing to happen.