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Finally... => General Discussion => Topic started by: WillowLuman on November 05, 2013, 03:14:40 pm

Title: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 05, 2013, 03:14:40 pm
So I noticed that there seems to be no thread dedicated entirely to discussing space. So I made one, since I feel it's a broad enough topic not to be contained to some kind of umbrella all-purpose science thread.

Feel free to discuss:
-Space exploration
-Space technology
-Space in culture
-Personal opionions and speculations about space
-Etc.

Naturally, forum rules/guidelines and common courtesy applies.

To start off:

I've always wondered how birds would do in microgravity. They're probably equipped to maneuver around much better than other animals, but they might also be especially vulnerable to bone loss, what with the hollow skeleton and all. Problem is, no one's ever bothered taking live birds into space, except for embryos, because of hygiene problems. I'm going to guess that's because they're fairly messy eliminators, and the molting could be a problem.

They've kept mice and such in space for extended periods, though, so I imagine similar containers could deal with loose feathers. As for the guano, maybe some kind of bird diaper?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordSlowpoke on November 05, 2013, 03:20:55 pm
why did we not have the useful idiots in the various militaries of the world tell us that there are enemies in space so we can go look for them
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Duuvian on November 05, 2013, 03:36:59 pm
why did we not have the useful idiots in the various militaries of the world tell us that there are enemies in space so we can go look for them

Hah, I like you LordSlowpoke.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on November 05, 2013, 03:39:23 pm
I've always wondered how birds would do in microgravity.
Wonder no longer. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w4sZ3qe6PiI)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 05, 2013, 03:42:56 pm
I've always wondered how birds would do in microgravity.
Wonder no longer. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w4sZ3qe6PiI)
That's in a tumbling aircraft.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on November 05, 2013, 03:44:43 pm
I've always wondered how birds would do in microgravity.
Wonder no longer. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w4sZ3qe6PiI)
That's in a tumbling aircraft.
It's microgravity all the same.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Mictlantecuhtli on November 05, 2013, 03:47:41 pm
Posting from my room in the ISS.

I've always wondered how birds would do in microgravity.
Wonder no longer. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w4sZ3qe6PiI)
That's in a tumbling aircraft.
It's microgravity all the same.

Warning: do not read the video comments, you will explode from the overload of antiscience.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 05, 2013, 03:51:12 pm
That's in a tumbling aircraft.
It's microgravity all the same.

Not a very long-lasting microgravity. The birds don't have time to adjust to the new conditions. It's not like studying them in actual orbit.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on November 05, 2013, 03:52:59 pm
That assumes that they can adjust, which they might not be able to. Point is, you wondered how birds would do, and I posted the existing information on the subject.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 05, 2013, 04:02:59 pm
It's just not very useful information. Studies done on mammals, fish, insects, and reptiles in sustained microgravity show that they can adjust surprisingly well, so it's not that much of a leap to assume birds could. It's just never been tried because of the problems of unsanitary liquids floating around. On a 45-minute aircraft flight, though, they just tumble around frantically. The humans would do the same if they hadn't been trained for it.

Thanks anyways, though. Specific videos for space stuff can be hard to find for some reason.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Mephansteras on November 05, 2013, 04:06:40 pm
Hmm. Wish I could remember the SF story I read one time that had a bird living in a space station. The Author predicted that the bird would eventually get used to springing off of things and using its wings to direct its flight and slow down before landing.

Would be fascinating to see how birds flew in a microgravity after an extended period of time. Although the bone loss issue could certainly be a problem.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 05, 2013, 04:23:51 pm
Additionally, the ISS isn't exactly that spacious.

Also:
Spoiler: Moss (click to show/hide)

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 05, 2013, 04:34:39 pm
It's got enough room to test a small bird in a decently sized container, though. A bird in microgravity should be able to change direction, accelerate, and decelerate mid-flight, just like on Earth, but without having to expend more energy to stay "aloft".

But no one wants to deal with involuntarily controlled liquid waste. So no birds in space in the near future :(

We can barely deal with bleeding in microgravity...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Mephansteras on November 05, 2013, 04:40:25 pm
I guess they could send up a parrot or the like that has been toilet trained to only go in a specific area. It's quite doable, and if they have an area set up to handle the waste, like a constant slight vacuuming effect in a chamber, it would help stop those problems.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 05, 2013, 04:42:49 pm
If you can put a bird in a decently sized container, you sure as hell can put a glass plate in it to keep the smell  and waste out. Point is, that little to be learned from putting a bird in such a small box. Nothing worth the price, anyway. (Also birds and fragile bones are kind-off synonymous. Not sure if they'd get through launch intact.)

Oh, and bleeding in microgravity is more of a medical problem than a technical problem. I mean, they had worse leaks up there without too much damage.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 05, 2013, 04:50:26 pm
The problem is, people's blood makes fewer platlets in space, and the blood just goes everywhere. So it's pretty messy, unsanitary, and generally awful to get a cut in space. You can always bandage it, but any wound would still make an annoying mess.

I think observing birds would provide valuable insight. The effects of microgravity on their bones and health would be the main reason to bring them, and despite their fragile bones they might possibly be better adapted for these conditions than other animals, due to their natural inclination for 3D navigation. Seeing how they maneuver could be useful for eventual larger orbital habitats.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Mephansteras on November 05, 2013, 05:18:10 pm
I could see getting them up there safely a problem, though. Of course, the research to do that could be quite beneficial all on its own. I can easily see orbital stations being ideal places to treat certain types of disease, like brittle bone disorder.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Mephansteras on November 05, 2013, 06:05:05 pm
In other news: India sends a probe to Mars (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-24729073).

I'm happy to see more countries getting into space exploration in earnest.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 05, 2013, 06:10:40 pm
Good for them. And good for us. More probes means more information.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: werty892 on November 05, 2013, 06:26:47 pm
I've always wondered how birds would do in microgravity.
Wonder no longer. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w4sZ3qe6PiI)
First 3 comments are people from B12. Yeeeeep.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on November 06, 2013, 12:35:00 am
There's also how this topic ties into the cyborg/transhumanism movements. A big part of the origins of those is tied to spaceflight; with the idea essentially being to allow humans to travel and live in space as naturally as we do on Earth. For a typical earth-human, space is a terrible place. You need a giant capsule full of air, too which you then must add tons of food, water, and other supplies, even for relatively short 2-way trips. As a result, turning humans into a being more capable of space travel was proposed; even before any man had first gone to space. (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyborg#Origins) Effectively integrating most of the life support systems otherwise required into the body itself. Interestingly, this is proposed not just for purely physical reasons, but also for mental reasons. People, in general, can not live their lives in small tin cans; our mental health requires more than that. Someone confined to live in an area the size of an apartment suite for their entire lives, with effectively no way of getting out and wandering around, would basically go mad. There was also great concern about quality of life; if daily life consists of monitoring the equipment which keeps one alive, they don't exactly have the best life to begin with; slave to the machine, and all that.

Interestingly enough, this modification of humanity would occur to some degree anyway, whether we wanted it or not.
Humanity itself would change on other planets; with the most rapid changes due to gravitational differences affecting muscle development. Which, as highlighted in this interesting filk song, may not be desirable. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CZKOhIuvWZg

After that, speciation would likely occur in any scenario without extremely common near instant travel; though that would take a good deal longer. Anything short of instant point to point travel, and humanity would eventually spread out to the point where genetic barriers would begin to form simply from lack of direct contact.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 06, 2013, 12:46:52 am
That's very far-future stuff, though. As for space travel, video games may be the secret to 3-year trips. EVA's might help get out-and-about, so to speak.

Floating through the void on your lonesome self without a ship would be pretty goddamn terrifying and would be more likely to result in insanity. Constant exposure to the vast emptiness presents the exact opposite problem: sometimes people just need a little private space to crawl into.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on November 06, 2013, 01:53:47 am
No, it's something more related to the terms 'stir crazy' or 'cabin fever.' Which basically result from isolation in confined quarters. Which includes things like a strong desire to get out of said confined quarters, and go outside; even if doing so isn't possible. And even going out into space may not be enough; after all, you're still confined to wearing a movement-constricting space-suit and such to protect you from exposure to the outside.

Though privacy is its own issue; which would also be problematic on long trips. Barring vast advances in spacecraft tech, you want it to be as small as possible, with a crew of at least several individuals (largely for socialization issues; being completely isolated would put you off the deep end quicker than a meeting with a Shub-Niggurath), which means really tight spaces in which you are stuck with the same people, possibly for years.

There are other possibilities in terms of expanding the social horizons of such things. The ISS, for example, recently acquired Kirobo, a small humanoid robot with natural language processing software, meant as an experiment in robotic companions for long journeys. In general, humans (and chimps too, apparently (http://bigthink.com/ideafeed/chimpanzees-are-fascinated-by-robots-too)), respond quite well to robots for social stimulation. And in general, any psychological problems brought about 'isolation' are actually brought about by perceived isolation, and so can be solved by introducing artificial companions just as easily as real ones. Which is a good deal easier than adding life support for more people.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 06, 2013, 02:05:59 am
Also, video games. Seriously. People already spend years living in an apartment sized space, leaving rarely, playing them. The problem with getting out and taking a space walk (or sending cyborg people hurtling through the vast void on their own, which I must once again say is a worse mental torture) is that once you get far enough away from the nearest planet, there really isn't much to look at. Just an empty void with lots of little lights at a visually indeterminate distance.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mastahcheese on November 06, 2013, 02:16:08 am
I remember that they took bees into space and found that they adjusted fairly quickly.
It's just that flapping the wings sends them upwards, not forward, so they have to re-align themselves, but they did it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on November 06, 2013, 02:59:38 am
PTW. Spaaaaccceeee.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Xantalos on November 06, 2013, 03:05:08 am
SPEEEESSSSSSS
PTW
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PyroDesu on November 06, 2013, 06:18:12 pm
To whoever wanted to see birds in space, I present to you:

Quail chicks (http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=swBgv4_Ka2s) on the Mir space station. (http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=hEPv0lrc10w)

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 06, 2013, 06:27:29 pm
I've heard of this experiment. They were hatched in space as part of an experiment on embryonic devlopment. But they didn't stay up there very long after hatching, and quails are more grounded birds anyway. Still haven't seen adult birds in space, much less for extended periods.

Still, cute.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Drakale on November 06, 2013, 06:38:15 pm
I now want to see a cat in space.
Oh wait (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fUIokQ36rbA), not quite space but close.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: SomeStupidGuy on November 06, 2013, 08:03:48 pm
I think I'll post to watch, seeing as this thread is probably going to be filled with things that make me go 'ooh, neat.', and that's never a bad thing.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on November 06, 2013, 09:18:34 pm
SpaceX has the best web designers: http://www.spacex.com/dragon
Their website is fun to use to learn about their rockets. You want good PR? Hire a good web designer. Because, seriously.

Additionally, they're well on their way to reusable rockets. The Grasshopper tests have got a lot of press recently, basically being giant tests for the stuff for a controlled re-entry. Beyond that, they've now had a flight of their Falcon 9 V1.1, which is very close to the Falcon 9-R (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Falcon_9#Falcon_9-R), their reusable specs. In that V1.1 flight, documented here: http://www.spacex.com/news/2013/10/14/upgraded-falcon-9-mission-overview
they restarted the first stage engines (twice) as they fell back down to earth, coming pretty close to the controlled re-entry required for reuse.
Quote
The stage ended up spinning to a degree that was greater than we could control with the gas thrusters on board and ultimately we hit the water relatively hard.   

However, SpaceX recovered portions of the stage and now, along with the Grasshopper tests, we believe we have all the pieces to achieve a full recovery of the boost stage.
So expect reusable rockets pretty soon.


Aside from SpaceX, the other big one to watch will be Bigelow Aerospace. They have a terrible website. http://www.bigelowaerospace.com/
They are also contracted to create a new ISS module, BEAM (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bigelow_Expandable_Activity_Module).

Their thing is inflatable spacecraft/modules which are cheaper, easier to launch, and safer than solid metal spacecraft like those making up the ISS. Once in orbit, they deploy to their full size, making them much more of a true space craft than the tin can designs necessitated by atmospheric traversal.

They've also floated plans for private spacestations; (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bigelow_Commercial_Space_Station) though these have been delayed due to delays in the private space launch ventures. But in any case, contracts with both United Launch Alliance and SpaceX do exist to start putting one in orbit in the next couple years. They also already have sent two of their earlier test modules into orbit, the Genesis I and Genesis II, which were launched in '06 and '07. Their more modern module design is the BA 330. (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BA_330)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 06, 2013, 09:38:24 pm
One thing I hope for is that space will eventually become reachable to more than just the rich, within my lifetime. Right now, only very resource-endowed entities like governments and corporations can afford to develop in this field, but this is an improvement from only superpowers having the necessary resources, and with further advances, perhaps one day space will become accessible to the common person.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on November 06, 2013, 10:27:46 pm
I personally would like to visit space; and since I'm a bachelor with a pretty good future career lined up, it may well happen. Even with Virgin Galactic, going to space is still about the same cost as raising a single child to the age of 18. Which kind of gives a whole new interpretation to the name Virgin Galactic. ;D

However, I don't really want to go to space on any long-term basis. Space sucks. Space sucks so hard that your blood boils as it freezes, knocking you unconscious within about 10 seconds, and starting permanent brain damage in 30.

You're stuck in a tiny tin can, whether you're on the surface or in the void, your ping time would be in the hours, with download speeds capable of giving you wet dreams about dial-up. You're eating terrible food optimized to weigh as little as possible, living in smelly quarters which can't be aired out, wearing underwear until the reeking tatters are deemed fit only to be burned. And if you're in space, you're even crapping into a vacuum cleaner. You're stuck in a tiny room with the same people for however long you're going to be there, and at risk of going mad on several fronts. And that's only if things go well.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 07, 2013, 12:50:50 am
But you also get Zero G. Introverted Shut-ins might not mind so much, and people on the ISS actually get fairly good wireless connection most of the time.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 07, 2013, 04:16:55 am
I personally would like to visit space; and since I'm a bachelor with a pretty good future career lined up, it may well happen. Even with Virgin Galactic, going to space is still about the same cost as raising a single child to the age of 18. Which kind of gives a whole new interpretation to the name Virgin Galactic. ;D

However, I don't really want to go to space on any long-term basis. Space sucks. Space sucks so hard that your blood boils as it freezes, knocking you unconscious within about 10 seconds, and starting permanent brain damage in 30.
Meh, Virgin Galactics "space" flights aren't really worth the name. They barely get there, after all.

Also; the explosive decompression thingy is false. Your blood doesn't boil nor freezes (human body is pretty good at maintaining pressure) and if you take adequate measures (don't hold your breath) you can survive in space till you suffocate. Approx 2 minutes before losing conciousness, IIRC.

You do have a pretty good chance of dieing from decompression effects afterwards though.

Olympic torch going to space (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/othersports/winter-olympics/10431953/Sochi-2014-Olympic-torch-travels-into-space-aboard-Russian-Soyuz-rocket.html)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 07, 2013, 09:14:37 am
Wiki suggests 15 seconds, but yup, you're right. Forgot to take account of the fact that when exposed to pure vacuum, the lungs actually start scrubbing oxygen from your blood, rather than stop working.

On a side note, that assumes almost instantaneous decompression. Which is unlikely to happen in both a spacesuit or a spacecraft.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on November 07, 2013, 09:32:50 am
Well no. It's only the difference of one atmosphere. Explosive decompression happens only with multiple atmospheres of pressure. So you'll lose your air quick but you'll live.

Again, it's another case of the resilient human body, and how much pressure one atmosphere really is when compared to the tensile strength of human skin.. You'd stay inside the suit.

moreinfoedit: You'd swell a little bit, but the hypoxia will kill you. Or, if you held your breath, your lungs would pop.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Guardian G.I. on November 07, 2013, 09:38:24 am
Posting to watch, in the name of Yuri Gagarin.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 07, 2013, 09:40:28 am
Additionally, if there's a large hole, I'm pretty sure that the thing that created the hole would 've killed you too.

The only experience we have with those accidents is the Progress M-34 mission, which crashed into Mir during a failed test (which was to see if it was feasible to dock without the Kurs automated guidance system.) The Spektr module was punctured and sealed of permanently, but the depressurization took a while. The station lost aprox 10% of it's pressure before the module could be sealed off. (Which took a while as various powerlines had to be cut through.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 07, 2013, 01:44:33 pm
If we could just solve that pesky atrophy problem, little orbital "appartment" modules could ease crowding. Even better with closed-loop life support.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 07, 2013, 01:50:18 pm
Crowding where? On earth. Building, launching and sustaining an orbital habitat will cost significantly more resources than just housing them on Earth would.

Also, artificial gravity is a thing.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on November 07, 2013, 01:53:28 pm
What I want is more experimentation with the centrifugal bed idea. If that is sufficient to maintain bone density, the microgravity problem is mostly solved.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Drakale on November 07, 2013, 03:05:58 pm
One could build 2 stations linked by a long tether cable and have them orbit one another to solve the microgravity issue. The cable would have to be strong enough to hold everything together or someone is gonna have a bad day.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on November 07, 2013, 03:11:15 pm
If you're going to do that, you might as well just build a torus station.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Owlbread on November 07, 2013, 03:13:15 pm
How many fellows here enjoy Space Engine? I know I do.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Drakale on November 07, 2013, 03:15:50 pm
It's significantly easier to build a small station with a long tether and a counterweight than a torus big enough to avoid unbearable Coriolis effect.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on November 07, 2013, 03:32:54 pm
Another thing they though about was making a station which has a small part that rotates that can be used by the inhabitants a certain amount of time each day to stop muscle/bone atrophy.
Which would be what I said six posts ago.

To elaborate, beds are considered ideal for this because you'll stay in them for hours without wanting to leave.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 07, 2013, 03:35:27 pm
Haven't head of the sleeping in the centrifuge before. Might work, but I say needs more study. Would be very handy, though, so here's hoping it proves feasible.

EDIT: Try searching "sleep in a centrifuge"
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 07, 2013, 03:59:37 pm
Sorry for double post, but:

These are some of the luckiest people: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GE_USPTmYXM
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 07, 2013, 04:32:01 pm
It's significantly easier to build a small station with a long tether and a counterweight than a torus big enough to avoid unbearable Coriolis effect.
Sadly, it's not very easy to move such a station, or dock with it. The tether, is after all, a nonrigid object, and the gyroscopic effect isn't helping. You'd need powerfull and properly synchronized bursts on both objects to be able to move in a meaningful fashion.

Docking would be equally problematic, as you're not docking at the center of the rotation. (After all, there's nothing there but a bunch of tether). Hence, you'd have to match the rotational velocity, wasting large amounts of fuel, and once you do dock, you would disturb the mass center of the object, deforming the rotation, with all kinds of weird effects.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 07, 2013, 04:34:40 pm
Centrifuge sleeping quarters are starting to sound very good in comparison.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Drakale on November 07, 2013, 04:38:52 pm
Its true that you need a docking station at the center of mass, and then shuttle along the cable from there. You could do very small correction to the orbit with timed trusts but yeah any complex maneuver is out. One interesting design for a mars mission involve the capsule and heat shield to be used on entry to be separated and rotated during the 8 month transit to create gravity and then reassembled prior to landfall.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 07, 2013, 04:39:59 pm
Yup, quite nice. Though these things too would exert a significant amount of gyroscopical force on the station. For comparison, the ISS has 4 gyroscopes (currently 3, as one is shut down) weighting 600 pounds (270 kg) each. Though these rotate a tiny bit faster than your centrifuge bed.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 10, 2013, 10:40:01 am
Double post, but anyway.

GOCE is undergoing an uncontrolled reentry somewhere around now. (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-24879140)

Nothing to panic about, as it most likely won't fall on inhabited areas Europe. And if it did, Russia (who launched the thing) would be responsible. Pieces aren't expected to be larger than 90 kg. Total spacecraft weights about a ton.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on November 11, 2013, 12:48:45 am
Speaking of reentering things, here's a series of images from the recent ATV-4 reentry: http://www.flickr.com/photos/esa_events/sets/72157637345106796/
http://www.slate.com/blogs/bad_astronomy/2013/11/05/atv_4_albert_einstein_pictures_of_it_burning_up_in_re_entry.html
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 11, 2013, 03:26:46 am
Anyway, GOCE deorbited , and disappeared somewhere in the Indian Ocean. Anecdotal evidence speaks about parts dropping down on the Korean Peninsula, but have not been confirmed.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on November 11, 2013, 04:08:36 am
Headlines tomorrow:

RUSSIA DROPS SATELLITE ON BEST KOREA. BEST KOREA RETALIATES WITH TOTAL NUCLEAR WAR.

and then...

BEST KOREA ANNEXED BY SOUTH KOREA. BEST KOREANS CHEER.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutchling on November 11, 2013, 04:55:11 am
This thread seems mildly interesting.

PTW.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 11, 2013, 05:30:37 am
Interestingly, GOCE is the first ESA satellite to make an uncontrolled reentry in 25 years. Pretty sure it was planned to be an uncontrolled reentry.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 11, 2013, 11:43:22 am
Headlines tomorrow:

RUSSIA DROPS SATELLITE ON BEST KOREA. BEST KOREA RETALIATES WITH TOTAL NUCLEAR WAR.

and then...

BEST KOREA ANNEXED BY SOUTH KOREA. BEST KOREANS CHEER.

Alternately:

SATELLITE DEBRIS USED AS SET PIECE FOR K-POP DANCE VIDEO

Anyway, the ISS will be passing over the American Northwest/North-midwest today. If you're in the area keep an eye (or maybe a pair of binoculars) out!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Mephansteras on November 11, 2013, 12:27:16 pm
Update: India's Mars probe (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-24900271) hits a small snag, but has enough excess fuel to make up for the lapse.

Kinda reminds me of how things go when I play KSP. Small mistakes here and there, but we usually manage to get where we're trying to go in the end.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 12, 2013, 06:35:07 am
Anyway, apparently GOCE came down over the falklands. (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-24907261)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on November 13, 2013, 03:56:30 pm
So we've all heard about 99942 Apophis (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/99942_Apophis) and how it used to be considered a relatively major impact threat. Well, I was reading Buzz Aldrin's new book, and he mentioned that if we followed his plan for space infrastructure expansion we could do a "test run" on asteroid deflection by moving Apophis even though it won't pose a threat.

And I had a thought. What if, guys, what if we capture Apophis in Earth orbit and make a station out of it? It would be about three times as large as the ISS.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 13, 2013, 04:53:17 pm
Not all that useful actually. Though we don't quite know what it's made of,** we're pretty sure that it won't be strong enough to hold pressure*, requiring us to bring almost the same amount of material up from earth as for an ordinary spacestation. Additionally, we have significant fuel costs to bring the asteroid into an orbit, and will also have significant costs to get anything too it. Fuel costs to bring it in a circularized low orbit would be gigantic.

The only real benefits are additional protection from radiation (no real problem near earth) and micrometeoroids (current stations seem to hold up pretty will). The capability to just process it into a station relies on a good composition. This is however unlikely, as Aphophis resembles a Chondrite meteoroid, which is low in metals, and fairly porous.


*If not the pressure, then the temperature would certainly crack it.
**Suspecting a standard Chondrite meteoroid.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 13, 2013, 05:41:09 pm
We'll have to save such things when we go adventuring a little further out. Or wait until by some incredible luck we get a natural near-capture and can tweak it.

In the meantime, though the odds are (literally) astronomical, a GRB could strike the Earth at any second, sterilizing the planet, and we'd never see it coming, because by the time you see the explosion the beam is already here. So, I find there's not much point worrying about it. Maybe we could build a passive defense or something, but it's a kind of weird disaster that can never be urgent.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on November 13, 2013, 05:52:23 pm
...Because if it was urgent we'd all already be dead.

I was talking to someone today and they believe that we can asteroid mine from earth without a colony on Mars. I think he's wrong. We'd need the colony on Mars to establish a population before we could start hopping on asteroids and tearing them apart for their base elements. Plus mars' red dust would be a great boon do the iron industry.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 13, 2013, 06:02:08 pm
Why would we need to "establish a population"? We've got billions of people already. It's just a matter of getting some of them out there.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on November 13, 2013, 06:03:57 pm
And wouldn't that establish the population?  :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Mephansteras on November 13, 2013, 06:12:42 pm
I don't see why Mars would be required, although I'm all for a Mars Colony anyway. But mining asteroids is all done outside gravity wells. Unless you're trying to go to and from Mars, you're better off working from Space Stations or maybe a Lunar colony due to the reduced energy cost required.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 13, 2013, 06:14:16 pm
But why bother stopping at Mars in the first place? I mean, sure, a Mars colony is fine and all that, but you don't need to breed a bunch of people there before you can start mining asteroids. Just send people straight from our home system. We'd already have the infrastructure to support colonies, instead of supporting a colony with our infrastructure until it could support colonies with its infrastructure. Just put base camp on the Moon.

NINJA'd
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 14, 2013, 12:41:03 am
Besides, why would you send people anyway... Send an automated drone, to bring the asteroid in a nice accessible orbit (doesn't matter if it's highly elliptical, we won't be staying on it long). Humans in space are expensive.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 14, 2013, 12:48:39 am
Well, on a large scale you'll probably need a few highly skilled people working a control station/processing near the mining sites, since there's a several minute signal delay between Earth and the asteroid belt. Those robots will be much busier and need more supervision than a rover.

It would take FAR less energy to just send the processed materials back than to drag the asteroid all the way. That and you risk slamming it into the Earth.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordSlowpoke on November 14, 2013, 12:59:42 am
Well, on a large scale you'll probably need a few highly skilled people working a control station/processing near the mining sites, since there's a several minute signal delay between Earth and the asteroid belt. Those robots will be much busier and need more supervision than a rover.

It would take FAR less energy to just send the processed materials back than to drag the asteroid all the way. That and you risk slamming it into the Earth.

What do you think of launching a few rovers onto the bigger asteroids along with an ore processing plant, then having human operators look for the ore themselves and throwing it into the processing plant?

It'd be better if we could just pick up said processing plant with all the stuff it gathered later and have the rovers launch towards another asteroid on their own power, but that'd also imply they would somehow have to produce their own fuel out of said asteroid. Which I don't see happening, honestly. Maybe if we launched them to Apophis on an intercept course and had them abandon ship as soon as it starts actually getting away from Earth?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 14, 2013, 02:09:00 am
Sure, that makes sense, but it depends how big the processing plant is. For any given asteroid, we're probably talking about a human-controlled drone operation, bringing what's necessary to set up a factory and then expanding the facility with in-situ materials.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on November 14, 2013, 08:00:51 am
Well, on a large scale you'll probably need a few highly skilled people working a control station/processing near the mining sites, since there's a several minute signal delay between Earth and the asteroid belt. Those robots will be much busier and need more supervision than a rover.

It would take FAR less energy to just send the processed materials back than to drag the asteroid all the way. That and you risk slamming it into the Earth.

Most of the proposals I have read about involve using a small object with a very low delta-v as a source of water or oxygen for an earth orbiter.  In that context, bringing the whole thing back with a fully automated craft could make a lot more sense because the fuel spent on the excess materials would be less than the fuel spent on sending mining equipment that far.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 14, 2013, 08:32:14 am
Well, on a large scale you'll probably need a few highly skilled people working a control station/processing near the mining sites, since there's a several minute signal delay between Earth and the asteroid belt. Those robots will be much busier and need more supervision than a rover.

It would take FAR less energy to just send the processed materials back than to drag the asteroid all the way. That and you risk slamming it into the Earth.
Nope, you don't need more supervision. The robots have the benefit of operating in zero-g (or close enough to make almost no difference), making maneuvering much easier. Additionally, their task is also easier. The robot doesn't have to look for interesting areas, danger avoidance or any of that. It just needs to break up the asteroid, and throw the pieces in a refining installation*. Easy.
Besides, many mining vehicles on earth are already operated, little problems with that.

*After all, the main resources looked for a various rare earths, which are spread thorough the asteroid. Don't need to teach your droid to be smart enough to actively look for them. Cheaper to just process everything into a semiprocessed package, and then send it for additional, complicated further processing.

Additionally, the dragging into orbit system only works for near miss planetoids. Of which there're enough for a mediocre mining operation. Additionally, we're pretty good with moving stuff around now. (Also, highly eccentric orbit is good enough)



Sure, that makes sense, but it depends how big the processing plant is. For any given asteroid, we're probably talking about a human-controlled drone operation, bringing what's necessary to set up a factory and then expanding the facility with in-situ materials.
That means you'd have to get the right materials on site. Some asteroids might have those, but the majority 90% + is rather metal poor. Also, humans are more of a problem than an aid to an operation that far out. For comparison, each person/day on the ISS costs 7.5 million dollars. For psychological reasons, you need to send at least 3. Also remember that costs increase exponentially as time and distance increases, so I honestly doubt your operation will be profitable.

I mean, the Beagle II lander (while unsuccesfull) cost only 60 million dollars. I'm confident that we can make succesfull fully automated mining rovers for less than 100 million. Sure, a significant amount of rovers will fail before the end of the mission, but they're replaceable, especially at that cost. ((Really, that's been a proposal. Mass Manafacture Beagle II landers, each at less than 4% of the cost of the Curiosity, and send them everywhere interesting. Quite a few will fail, but the rest will still give a best cost/return ratio.))

Well, on a large scale you'll probably need a few highly skilled people working a control station/processing near the mining sites, since there's a several minute signal delay between Earth and the asteroid belt. Those robots will be much busier and need more supervision than a rover.

It would take FAR less energy to just send the processed materials back than to drag the asteroid all the way. That and you risk slamming it into the Earth.

Most of the proposals I have read about involve using a small object with a very low delta-v as a source of water or oxygen for an earth orbiter.  In that context, bringing the whole thing back with a fully automated craft could make a lot more sense because the fuel spent on the excess materials would be less than the fuel spent on sending mining equipment that far.
Yup, it depends on the asteroid. Some contain quite a lot of ice, which can easily be transformed into quality rocket fuel. If you run that through a high specific impulse engine, you can get quite  a long way.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 14, 2013, 02:10:52 pm
Robots need supervision because they'll be doing a lot more work than mere probes. They'll need to be repaired and maintained, and people will need to make quick corrections if they start doing something wrong.

Bringing back Asteroids is risky. Not to mention it would take a massive amount of delta-v to move a "relatively small" (1 km) asteroid, and smaller, boulder-sized asteroids are hardly worth the trouble of tracking down and bringing back. Better to just latch onto a decent-sized one and send back the stuff you want. You don't even need to go to the asteroid belt, there's plenty of huge, convenient NEO's.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on November 14, 2013, 03:04:48 pm
Robots need supervision because they'll be doing a lot more work than mere probes. They'll need to be repaired and maintained, and people will need to make quick corrections if they start doing something wrong.
Sure you might be able to do some overall monitoring, but the simple fact of distance communication delay makes what we think of as "normal" supervision virtually impossible. Assuming you are at the asteroid belt and earth the amount of time it takes to send a signal is between 8.3-19.2 minutes. Assuming you wait for confirmation after each command doubles this time, meaning you need to wait 30 minutes to an hour after every command you send. At that amount of delay it's basically impossible to "monitor" anything more then basic diagnostic checks. I mean sure you might be able to note a robot doing something wrong, but even if you send the signal the instant the warning appear to fix the problem it's going to be at least 30 minutes before the robot receives the command to stop or do anything.

And that delay assumes that earth and the asteroid mining operation are directly next to each other. If they are off by 90o in orbit then that number shoots up to 18.6-28.7 minutes one-way (37.2-57.5 cumulative), and if you have some way to send signals through the sun by the time you are off by 180o the number goes up to 25-35.8 one-way (50 min-1.2 hours). Or if you more realistically relay your signals from mining station to mining station the time goes to around 2 hours one way, 4 hours with backtalk.

This does mean you can set up a partial monitoring system though, where the system is able to be monitored and adjusted while it is close to earth (which is when you would be launching any return products back to earth anyways) and then as it drifts farther away more and more of the system works automatically while the drones cut chunks of material off the asteroid and move them to the packaging plant, which boxes them up and loads them into cycling rockets, which launch from earth and dock at the mining station, are filled with asteroid chunks, and then launch using their remaining fuel and return to earth to be resupplied/unloaded. Said cycling rockets would also provide you with a way to repair/remove essential mobile robots, as you could send them back to earth for essential maintenance and then return them to the asteroid (costly, but possible, will most likely only be done for things that absolutely can't be fixed on site and also aren't so serious that it would be cheaper just to send up another drone).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 14, 2013, 03:26:19 pm
That's why I've been saying you need to send an astronaut with them on some kind of control station.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 14, 2013, 03:41:10 pm
That's why I've been saying you need to send an astronaut with them on some kind of control station.
Unfortunately, that's unlikely to happen. It's simply way too expensive.

Robots need supervision because they'll be doing a lot more work than mere probes. They'll need to be repaired and maintained, and people will need to make quick corrections if they start doing something wrong.

Bringing back Asteroids is risky. Not to mention it would take a massive amount of delta-v to move a "relatively small" (1 km) asteroid, and smaller, boulder-sized asteroids are hardly worth the trouble of tracking down and bringing back. Better to just latch onto a decent-sized one and send back the stuff you want. You don't even need to go to the asteroid belt, there's plenty of huge, convenient NEO's.
Probes execute quite a lot of tasks, and generally traverse much more dangerous/unexplored terrain than a standard mining robot will. Importance of repair and maintenance are overstated. (Besides, the ability of humans to repair things in space is very limited*, and can be entirely replaced by a robotic hand, a 3d printer and a high bandwith connection.) After all, almost all probes that didn't fail immediately or short after launch lasted way longer than expected.

A mining mission also has much more redundancy than a normal mission. Multiple drones and all that. You can afford to loose a few.

And well, droids have time. A spacebased mining operation will often be limited by energy, so it can work at lower speed. Implement numerous failsaves and redundancies, and the system will work fine.

*Essentially limited to switching out spare parts.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on November 14, 2013, 04:15:20 pm
That's why I've been saying you need to send an astronaut with them on some kind of control station.
Unfortunately, that's unlikely to happen. It's simply way too expensive.
Pretty much this. Keeping a human at any sort of mining station (well, several humans, since you need to have multiple for psychological stability) ends up costing a huge amount more then throwing a few extra redundant robots up there, not even accounting for the fact that you now need to maintain a breathable atmosphere/food/water supplies.

Also there is a key difference between serious failures when you have humans or with robots. If you have a problem and you have humans present you almost certainly have to implement a solution within hours, a rather difficult thing to do with a 1 hour delay on any communications (a pressure leak, for example, is a serious problem if humans are present). With robots, on the other hand, in the event of a problem that isn't easily fixable immediately you can simply send a "shut-down and wait" command for the majority of problems, wait until the mining station orbits closer and you can send up new parts/etc. and then fix it then. Unless a broken robot is actively impairing mining production you can simply turn it off until such time that fixing the problem becomes more convenient and more easily done. People, on the other hand, tend not to survive for very long in the event of a serious problem.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 14, 2013, 04:23:47 pm
Except there's also a 1-hour delay for that "shut-down and wait" command, during which time the robot might finish, say, drilling through the solar panel. You wouldn't need a human for every single operation, just have a single large comms station within range of several sites.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 14, 2013, 04:34:27 pm
Why would the robot even start drilling into the solar panel? I mean, that's a serious software glitch just there. Nothing that redundant security system can't fix either. (Central program that can, for example, shut down any robot that exits it's designated area. Probably with simultaneous copies running at once, so that a central glitch doesn't kill the entire system. I mean, as soon as it detects that damage occurs to a certain part of the mining station, it could just deactivate everything nearby.

Additionally, redundancy (more than one solar pannel) and security can be much cheaper than a communication station. Also more reliable, because a fairly heavy mining robot can destroy a solar panel, and associated module, within seconds, not minutes. Bumping into it can be enough. Doubt the human crew would be fast enough to react to that, especially if they have to spread out over multiple stations. (Good, resourceful asteroids are quite few and far between, and have widely different orbits. A minute or more delay is to be expected.)

Additionally, a central command station for multiple asteroids eliminates the repair and maintenance benefits. Meaning that you're going to send 6 people*, with supporting equipment, into interplanetary space just to press the off button.

*2 shifts of 3. Assuming you want to work 24/24, and have a somewhat sane population.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on November 14, 2013, 06:14:09 pm
Assuming you are at the asteroid belt and earth the amount of time it takes to send a signal is between 8.3-19.2 minutes.

That is a pretty big assumption to make.  Getting to the asteroid belt and matching orbits is gonna be hella expensive for your delta-v.  AFAIK, any advocate of going to the asteroids is talking about starting with the NEO asteroids.  Eventually you want to move to the asteroid belt, but serious exploitation of that is a project for after you have hundreds if not thousands of people living in space and are starting to mature interplanetary propulsion methods.

Although there could be something to be said for sending a very long term manned mission to the belt.  If you were willing to send a crew on something like a three year mission, you could potentially produce very large amounts of propellant at the belt itself and return a massive cargo.  It bears consideration.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Mictlantecuhtli on November 14, 2013, 06:18:10 pm
I think we need to figure out mining the Mun before we go on tangents about NEO [let alone actual celestial objects] mining, honestly.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on November 14, 2013, 06:50:12 pm
I think we need to figure out mining the Mun before we go on tangents about NEO [let alone actual celestial objects] mining, honestly.

Why?

Dont just assume that it's easier to mine the moon because it's more similar to earth.  Arguably it's a lot, lot harder than a NEO.

NEO mining in a nutshell:
1) Find water
2) Send rocket to water
3) Bring object that is half water, half gravel back
4) Melt water, filter out gravel
5) Profit

The underlying technical details are very simple.  The only thing needed is good propulsion, something we are need for any other mission, including lunar mining.  Whereas mining the moon involves inventing large amounts of very complicated equipment to operate in a foreign environment with maintenance being extremely difficult.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on November 14, 2013, 07:12:59 pm
Now that 3d printing has advanced, we could potentially print replacement parts to requirements when we need them at the location. A Moon colony would allow easy refuelling and launching, so so would a colony on one of Mar's moons. I remember reading about one of them being highly porous: underground caves provide both a location for a base and radiation shielding for any inhabitants. I wonder how much gravity mar's moons have? You'd have to supplement them with centrifuges, of course, but a little gravity is surely better than none.

Water can be mined and used to both refuel spacecraft, restock the Mars/Moon base and send it back to earth as pure water. We're going to need more water soon, and desalination isn't going to cut it.

Ores as well, of course.

The thing is, with enough investment, these things become cheaper enough they become worthwhile. With all the resources of space for us to take... what couldn't mankind accomplish?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on November 14, 2013, 07:16:03 pm
Buzz Aldrin advocates for a Mars ISS as a gateway to the planet in his book. I haven't finished it yet, but that's part of the plan.

Mars' moons have very low gravity. They are essentially oversized asteroids captured by its gravity.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 14, 2013, 07:36:52 pm
I think we need to figure out mining the Mun before we go on tangents about NEO [let alone actual celestial objects] mining, honestly.

Old habits die hard, I suppose.

Just had a thought. Mag-lev trains on the Moon (or large asteroids) should be able to go extremely fast, due to lack of air resistance.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on November 14, 2013, 07:49:42 pm
They always died pretty easy to me. Mainly when they combusted alongside 6 tanks of rocket fuel.

In the 1960s there were plans for intercontinental vacuum-tunnel maglev trains.
LAter there were ideas maglev properties could be used to accelerate cargo into orbit (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/StarTram), which would be a lot cheaper than using rockets for it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on November 14, 2013, 08:07:40 pm
but a little gravity is surely better than none.

Not really.  None is preferable because it allows for much simpler construction and transportation within a site.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MadMalkavian on November 14, 2013, 08:57:34 pm
If we contact a sapient extraterrestrial race before I pass on sometime around 2055 and they don't murder us all I may die a happy man. That's all I really have to say about this, unless you want me to link you guys to my collection of science-fiction stories about humans in space doing awesome things.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on November 14, 2013, 08:59:18 pm
It's highly unlikely that we'll run into any sapient aliens in the next few thousand years, much less 42.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MadMalkavian on November 14, 2013, 09:00:39 pm
It's highly unlikely that we'll run into any sapient aliens in the next few thousand years, much less 42.
I like to be optimistic as that helps me to not cut myself knowing that I have nothing to live for.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on November 14, 2013, 11:09:21 pm
It's highly unlikely that we'll run into any sapient aliens in the next few thousand years, much less 42.
Yep. Won't happen. Though I suspect it's fairly likely that we will discover extraterrestrial life in that time period. Which would be seen as an unusual collection of spectrum in a space telescope looking at an exoplanet...

Because we won't have the ability to do interstellar travel any time soon, and any sentient aliens capable of finding and reaching us wouldn't need to bother introducing themselves, because their sub-nanoscale technology already knows more about us than we do.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 15, 2013, 02:51:12 am
Now that 3d printing has advanced, we could potentially print replacement parts to requirements when we need them at the location. A Moon colony would allow easy refuelling and launching, so so would a colony on one of Mar's moons. I remember reading about one of them being highly porous: underground caves provide both a location for a base and radiation shielding for any inhabitants. I wonder how much gravity mar's moons have? You'd have to supplement them with centrifuges, of course, but a little gravity is surely better than none.

Water can be mined and used to both refuel spacecraft, restock the Mars/Moon base and send it back to earth as pure water. We're going to need more water soon, and desalination isn't going to cut it.

Ores as well, of course.

The thing is, with enough investment, these things become cheaper enough they become worthwhile. With all the resources of space for us to take... what couldn't mankind accomplish?
Not really, the moon has significantly more gravity than a NEO, and a comparatively lower water content. (Ie, less avaible fuel).

As for Mars's moons, they're just captured asteroids. You can reach orbital velocity using a bike and a plank.

And sending back water to earth is not going to happen. Especially not from the moon. I'm pretty sure that you'd end up wasting more energy on sending it up (and down again) than you'd get from desalination here. I mean, even the most energy expensive desalination installation uses a mere 25 Kwh/m³. => 9*107 Joules

The lunar escape velocity is 2.38 km/s. Resulting in an energy need 283*107, just to get the mass of the water in orbit.

There, it's physically impossible to come up energy positive.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Another on November 15, 2013, 04:59:24 am
Humans need supervision because they'll be doing a lot more work than mere robots. They'll need to be repaired and maintained*, and robots will need to make quick corrections if humans start doing something wrong**.

*You can't just bring spare parts or a 3D printer to fix a broken human.
**With a rich history of mission-suicide level errors out of the blue.

Fixed that for you.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on November 15, 2013, 09:36:00 am
And sending back water to earth is not going to happen. Especially not from the moon. I'm pretty sure that you'd end up wasting more energy on sending it up (and down again) than you'd get from desalination here. I mean, even the most energy expensive desalination installation uses a mere 25 Kwh/m³. => 9*107 Joules

You don't land the water, silly.  You use it in orbit to save on launch costs.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 15, 2013, 09:48:07 am
Water can be mined and used to both refuel spacecraft, restock the Mars/Moon base and send it back to earth as pure water. We're going to need more water soon, and desalination isn't going to cut it.
I'm not the silly one. Not always, anyway.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 15, 2013, 01:21:09 pm
It would be better to stop growing as a population on Earth than to keep importing space water until we've got 40 billion people crowded on the planet. Honestly, it would be better to just spread out into space than spread the living space so thin that you get 40 billion people living crowded, dirty, short, unhappy lives for generations.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 20, 2013, 08:33:11 am
 Well, ISON might turn out pretty well. Potentially visible in daylight even. (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/science/space/10462290/Comet-Ison-daylight-sighting-of-once-in-a-lifetime-event-possible.html)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 20, 2013, 04:34:30 pm
...in the UK. Damn :(
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 20, 2013, 04:36:29 pm
...in the UK. Damn :(
Actually, it should be decently visible on the entire Northern Hemisphere.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on November 20, 2013, 06:12:35 pm
PTW
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 21, 2013, 09:02:08 am
Curiosity suffers electrical trouble, operations suspended for the time being. (http://www.ibtimes.com/operations-mars-rover-curiosity-temporarily-suspended-nasa-fix-electrical-issue-1479736)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on November 21, 2013, 09:08:24 am
Curiosity suffers electrical trouble, operations suspended for the time being. (http://www.ibtimes.com/operations-mars-rover-curiosity-temporarily-suspended-nasa-fix-electrical-issue-1479736)

Fortuntely, from what they sais, it was designed to manage despite that, but lets hope they can fix the problem.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 26, 2013, 06:09:51 am
Curiosity's fixed, and China's going to land a rover on the moon next month.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on November 26, 2013, 09:50:16 am
That's quite cool. What for?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 26, 2013, 10:00:03 am
Peacefull purposes.

So just because they can. This would make China the third nation to visit the moon. (After USSR and the USA)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 26, 2013, 01:56:06 pm
I hope they put a camera on it. I would love some high-quality color footage from the moon. Everything from NASA is either ancient or low quality.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Fayrik on November 26, 2013, 05:17:57 pm
I hope they put a camera on it. I would love some high-quality color footage from the moon. Everything from NASA is either ancient or low quality.
Absolutely.
I'm also hoping that this could kick the west's butt into returning to Lunar missions.
It's sort of tiring to hear everyone at NASA explain that going to the moon costs too much for the benefits it would bring, all the while they're planning distant future missions to Mars. ::)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on November 26, 2013, 05:41:00 pm
I hope they put a camera on it. I would love some high-quality color footage from the moon. Everything from NASA is either ancient or low quality.
Absolutely.
I'm also hoping that this could kick the west's butt into returning to Lunar missions.
It's sort of tiring to hear everyone at NASA explain that going to the moon costs too much for the benefits it would bring, all the while they're planning distant future missions to Mars. ::)

Well, compare what new things we could learn from the moon opposed to new things we could learn from Mars.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Mr Space Cat on November 26, 2013, 09:12:49 pm
I've always wondered how birds would do in microgravity.
Wonder no longer. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w4sZ3qe6PiI)
First 3 comments are people from B12. Yeeeeep.
Quote from: deltavee2, first comment on the video

So this means the pigeons can crap in a spherical mode instead of straight line.  Where are the space cats when we need them?

Suddenly my internet alias appears to be relevant. This is not how I imagined I would be relevant. Don't know if want.

Anyway, PTW. Space is cool.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Fayrik on November 27, 2013, 02:18:34 pm
Well, compare what new things we could learn from the moon opposed to new things we could learn from Mars.
To make this more accurate, we would first need a list of things we can learn from Mars.
The trouble with this is the fact that there are so many things we can learn from both, that it's only really limited to the minds that think up the experiments.
So, what can we do on Mars that hasn't already been done (on the Moon or Mars itself) or outright can't be done on the Moon?
I was going to add Atmospheric samples too, but that may have already been done. If it hasn't then it's a very easy task to perform. But see, we've already done so much robotic research on Mars, I'm at a loss to think up anything else we could do there.
The Moon on the other hand, there's one very specific task that if I worked for NASA, I would be very vocal about trying to get funded:
Searching for life. Yes, on the Moon. No not living beings.
I'd like to see a mission go up to the Moon to take samples of impact craters (and hopefully any debris  of the thing that caused the impact) to search for the basic proteins of life. This could be done on Mars, but it would cost much more and would be harder to know where to search.

We also need to start quarrying the Moon. How else are we going to get the funding to get a manned mission to Jupiter? ;D
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 27, 2013, 03:17:05 pm
We haven't returned anything from Mars. The rockets that took the rovers are still in orbit or entered the atmosphere. The probes that scanned the surface are still in orbit or were only on a flyby in the first place.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on November 28, 2013, 02:05:30 pm
For those interested, SpaceX is doing another attempt at their first GEO launch today, with the window from 5 to 7 pm EST.
http://www.spacex.com/webcast/

Their first attempt was aborted for technical reasons at around T -3 minutes, so chances are, this one will launch just fine.

Because watching Turkey-day football games is waaay too mainstream.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutchling on November 28, 2013, 02:43:28 pm
Mildy interesting. (http://www.universetoday.com/106759/second-solar-system-like-ours-discovered/)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 28, 2013, 04:40:43 pm
Anyway, Comet ISON disintegrated a few hours ago. The Comet of the century is gone.

There's a chance a part of it might have survived, which would then be a headless comet. That is unlikely though.

Link (http://spaceweather.com/)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 28, 2013, 04:56:11 pm
Well, it means that it's gone. Or at least, most of it. Violently disintegrated as it passed by the sun.

Certainly not going to be visible with the naked eye. Probably not with the smaller amateur telescope either.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on November 28, 2013, 05:45:00 pm
Lol, went on a walk, forgetting about the 1 hour time difference; got back, turn on the SpaceX stream just in time to watch it abort at T +2 seconds. Yes, 2 seconds after initial engine ignition; they keep it clamped in place post-ignition for a few seconds in order to allow the flight computer to analyze the engines for problems, ect.

So yeah, a bit of a delay now, assuming it launches today.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on November 28, 2013, 06:36:46 pm
They must have found the problem, because they're attempting another launch in 8 minutes, at 23:44 UTC.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 28, 2013, 06:47:13 pm
...They will not go to space today :(
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on November 28, 2013, 06:52:05 pm
Their engineers decided they needed more time to determine what exactly caused the problem earlier, so they'll launch again is a few days.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 29, 2013, 07:32:42 am
Anyway, halt the funeral. It appears that a part of ISON survived it's close encounter with the sun. It remains to be seen wherether this is a scorched fragment of the core, or just a bunch of debris.

Link (http://spaceweather.com/images2013/28nov13/rip_anim5.gif?PHPSESSID=lmq5i9s8712nqe0ie0aecku5l5)

If the object continues to brighten, it might become visible quite soon. It could just as well fizzle out to.

ESA's near future missions (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-25125672)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 29, 2013, 02:52:25 pm
Double post. It seems likely that ISON will make a comeback. It won't be the comet of the century but you should be able to see it with the naked eye.

Quote
"It seems the comet could become a naked eye object with several degrees of scattered tail by Dec 2nd or 3rd," he predicts. "It's not the comet of the century for sure, and fainter than the Lovejoy sungrazer in Dec. 2011, but an interesting imaging target is just a few nights away!"
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 30, 2013, 12:53:16 am
This weekend was somewhat of a space disappointment. Oh well.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on December 10, 2013, 12:03:51 pm
Anyway, interesting news, China launched their rover to the moon, and everything went as planned. Including the fact* that the carrier rocket landed on some villages, and damaged the houses of 2 farmers.

*Nobody was hurt, as the area had been (partly) evacuated.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on December 10, 2013, 01:18:20 pm
Mars One, the crazy people trying to launch a private mars mission (http://www.mars-one.com/en/roadmap2011), are getting indiegogo funding (http://www.indiegogo.com/projects/mars-one-first-private-mars-mission-in-2018) for an unmanned probe. For $5,000, you can attend the launch party. For $25,000, you can be a VIP at the pre-launch "gala" and become an instant "benefactor". For $90, your tweet will be printed on the probe's parachute.

The group plans a one-way manned mission to Mars, and has changed their launch schedule back a little bit. They originally claimed that their first manned landing would occur much earlier, but new plans call for the first manned landing in 2026.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Loud Whispers on December 10, 2013, 06:13:26 pm
$400,000 seems a little bit low.
Just about anyone could get a mortgage to Mars.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on December 10, 2013, 06:38:31 pm
The colonists are expected to spend the rest of their natural lives there, right? It makes for an interesting choice: on the one hand, being among the first to live on another planet. On the other, you'd never see Earth again.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: andrea on December 10, 2013, 06:48:18 pm
perhaps the decision could be made easier by knowing that they are going to fund this by turning the mission in a reality show.

the true question is, are you willing to live in a reality show, with reality show characters, for the rest of your life?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on December 11, 2013, 01:17:56 am
The colonists are expected to spend the rest of their natural lives there, right? It makes for an interesting choice: on the one hand, being among the first to live on another planet. On the other, you'd never see Earth again.

Sure you can.

It's that little blue dot. It's actually easier to see Earth from Mars than the other way around, Earth being bigger and all.

More seriously, even if they only live to 60, which is assuming that Mars Bears are especially vicious, then that's 40 years from now for most of the target audience. By then, who knows what sort of developments will take place?

Anyway, if everyone who traveled to the New World expected to be buried in Europe, then, well, they'd be wrong.

So it's not that you're going on a one-way trip to mars. You're going to be the Lees. The Lees of old Victoria (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Victoria_%28crater%29).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on December 11, 2013, 02:19:51 am
It's not as if they'll be breeding there. The plans don't seem to include either the facilities for the medical process nor the room for a growing population. Nor child-sized suits, and the alternative seems quite appalling, to confine someone to a tiny habitation can for their entire childhood. Plus, said child would pose grave risks unless severely restrained.

I assume that either decades later, when costs have come down, they'll send in a return option, or they'll be studying the effects of decomposition in a space capsule. Interring people on Mars, even in a sealed container, seems irresponsible in this early stage of the study of the planet, as the potential for forward contamination is quite high.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sneakey pete on December 11, 2013, 05:30:32 am
Did spaceX ever launch that geostationary mission?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on December 11, 2013, 08:30:45 am
Did spaceX ever launch that geostationary mission?
Yup, it's nothing special though.

Edit: On a side note, I still don't believe in the project. I mean, aside from all the technical problems inherent in their design and business plan. (It's funded by a reality show, when the ratings drop, so does support from Earth)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on December 11, 2013, 10:18:03 am
Really? I haven't heard from them since they postponed the launch.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on December 11, 2013, 10:25:52 am
Literrally the first thing that pops up when you look for SpaceX in the news. (http://www.nbcnews.com/science/third-times-charm-spacex-launches-big-commercial-satellite-2D11655907)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on December 11, 2013, 10:50:13 am
And that's not even the Falcon Heavy. It's nice to have the feeling that the space industry is finally moving forward. Hell, a day may come when the best way to send stuff in orbit won't be 50-year old soviet technology anymore. :)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on December 11, 2013, 11:08:01 am
Yup, nobody said they were launching a falcon Heavy. IIRC, it isn't even finished yet.

On a side note, this puts the SpaceX rocket in direct contest with the Proton M rocket. A battle which they're going to win, as the Proton M rocket failed 8 times since July this year, mostly due to failures of the orbital insertion stage. However, at best it fails 2 to 3 times a year. Considering the Space X rocket has a similar price, it's unlikely that the Proton M will still fly in it's current form in 5 years. IIRC, the entire Russian space organization thingy is currently being reformed.

On a side note, the Falcon Heavy will have to deal with competition of the Ariane 5 and the Ariane 5 MLE, which will be more interesting. The Ariane 5 is superior in terms of safety, technology and payload flexibility, while the Falcon Heavy is far cheaper, and has a significantly larger payload capacity.

On another side note, the Ariane 6 will be decent competition for the Falcon 9.

On a side note, said Russian technology was pretty nifty. Which once again proves that if you want to get something done, get a totalitarian regime to design it for you. ((Note: North Korea not included. They prefer indoctrination above all other things. If you want indoctrination technologies, you know where to look.))
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on December 11, 2013, 11:19:00 am
Hey, do you know another country that can send payload into orbit with a GDP of less than 500$ per capita?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on December 11, 2013, 11:24:36 am
Hey, do you know another country that can send payload into orbit with a GDP of less than 500$ per capita?
Well, the only country I could find with a GDP lower than 500$ per capita is the DRC. So, nope.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on December 11, 2013, 11:36:11 am
Best Korea: cost-effective* space solution because we can't afford anything else.


*Warning. Space solution may not be effective.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on December 11, 2013, 11:58:23 am
Best Korean Rocketry: Do you feel lucky, punk?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on December 11, 2013, 12:58:48 pm
It's not as if they'll be breeding there. The plans don't seem to include either the facilities for the medical process nor the room for a growing population. Nor child-sized suits, and the alternative seems quite appalling, to confine someone to a tiny habitation can for their entire childhood. Plus, said child would pose grave risks unless severely restrained.

I assume that either decades later, when costs have come down, they'll send in a return option, or they'll be studying the effects of decomposition in a space capsule. Interring people on Mars, even in a sealed container, seems irresponsible in this early stage of the study of the planet, as the potential for forward contamination is quite high.

The plan is to do three people, then a second mission with three more, and then larger and larger groups. They have enough volunteers.

As far as contamination, well, I think the point is they aren't planning on pure science. They're going there to live there.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on December 11, 2013, 01:25:41 pm
They want to do a reality show about it. They honestly don't care about how much they destroy with their actions, and appear to have made no provisions for it. It's one of the reason why I expect them to never be allowed to launch.

On a side note, I recalled that they were going to start with a group of 4 people, then add 2 people in each next mission.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on December 11, 2013, 01:43:04 pm
There's no laws that stop people launching to Mars.

We've no doubt contaminated Mars already. Our landers and probes still carry terrestrial bacteria, despite out best efforts.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on December 11, 2013, 02:00:56 pm
There is such a thing as Space Law, you know. Which is vague, and outdated, and can be interpreted in a multitude of ways.

However, the Mars One mission will fail to pass the moon treaty. Link (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moon_Treaty). It has only been signed and ratified by 15 countries, with no spacefaring countries among them. The Netherlands did sign the agreement, and so Mars One is bound to it. This means that any mission must be accepted by other countries, that they are not allowed to make changes to the environement, and imposes other restrictions.

We've no doubt contaminated Mars already. Our landers and probes still carry terrestrial bacteria, despite out best efforts.
Though significantly less, and in fact, almost none.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on December 11, 2013, 02:10:34 pm
We've no doubt contaminated Mars already. Our landers and probes still carry terrestrial bacteria, despite out best efforts.

Those aren't our "best" efforts anymore: since discovering the mistake, we've been working on better ways to sterilize. Colonists can take precautions and follow procedures while alive to avoid it, and since they'll have to their waste and wear suits outside, the risks are further minimized. I realize now they will probably have some method for disposing of or storing bodies for when people pass away, too.

But forward-contamination from adults aside, I SERIOUSLY doubt they'll be breeding. Look at their planned colony: a bunch of tiny rooms connected by crawlspaces. Until you have the technology to build a LARGE facility, not as in total volume but containing individual spaces of large volume, it would be inhumane to raise a child there. Children need room to play and exercise, and just putting them on a weight machine or treadmil isn't going to do it. You oould saddle them with videogames and movies, but that's not healthy either, if its all they do. The sheer wonder of being on mars would just be boring to them, as it would be all they know, not having the cultural experience of Earth, so that won't do either.

Child-sized space-suits wouldn't do it, as first you'd need to develop them on earth (since testing the prototype on mars with a real child is also inhumane), the child would need extensive training in its use before ever going outside (which might take years, and still end with a fatal mistake), and they wouldn't be able to stay outside long enough to get good use, nor would it likely allow enough freedom of movement for proper exercise.

Speaking of training, that would take time, and before that set in, the child could cause serious problems. Try baby-proofing a space capsule: wayward fingers, drool, vomit, or waste could do a lot of damage. And you can't just restrain them all time: it would be cruel and they need to learn how to walk.

Basically, we likely have the technology right now to make a long-term adult habitat on Mars, but we'll need serious advances before we can build a colony that supports children.

It would be better to try raising a child in prototype habitats on Earth first, in places like Antarctica or wherever. At least if the test goes awry the child can be moved somewhere safer.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on December 11, 2013, 02:16:42 pm
Honestly, I don't think it's a good idea for people to procreate after they have been subjected to low-mid amounts of radiation for a good 2 years, and don't have much radiation protection of the surface too.

On a side note, Mars One intends to build pressurized ground covered inflatable modules too, which would be considerably larger.

Also, Mars has a significantly lower gravity than Earth. That would prove quite problematic for development of the child.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on December 11, 2013, 02:33:48 pm
Could prove quite problematic. It may not require full Earth gravity for healthy bones, ~1/3rd Earth gravity could be enough. We only have data for microgravity, no one has ever stayed for an extended period on any extraterrestrial body. So there's simply no way to tell until we see the effects on adults staying there for decades.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on December 11, 2013, 06:29:37 pm
I don't expect they'll be reproducing there immediately... but neither do I think it would take all that much tech to build a larger and more comfortable settlement.

There's neither rain nor earthquakes on Mars (at least, not much). Compressed earth blocks would be a pretty decent way to make above-ground structures, and mining and tunneling only makes sense.

As far as treaties go, I find it hard to believe that any terrestrial government would actively stop someone from investing large amounts of money into their industry and taking excess people away. Who cares about what happens to Mars? It's Not Our Problem.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on December 12, 2013, 12:44:27 am
They do care, that when something bad happens, they're legally responsible for all damage and bringing the people back.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on December 12, 2013, 02:57:44 am
Plus, they're going to take only a few people, and by the look of it not invest much cash.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on December 12, 2013, 09:23:23 am
Or the various governments will just say "Well, they signed the release forms, and are too far to help realistically. Sorry, mate, they're dead unless they fix things themselves."
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on December 12, 2013, 09:38:15 am
In such a sudden disaster, they're not going to get rescued. Everyone knows that.

 But what will happen if, for example, MarsOne goes bankrupt. (Because, surprise, Martian Reality television is boring) The Colony relies on biyearly supply runs from earth for mission critical equipment. Each of these missions cost 4 billion dollars. While you can probably reduce this pricetag significantly by only sending what is needed most, I doubt the government will be willing to foot a 1 billion paycheck each year just to keep a useless outpost running.

Not that it matters anyway, as I honestly doubt that MarsOne will reach their 6 billion target needed to launch the first manned mission.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on December 12, 2013, 09:40:31 am
Well, obviously, the success of shows like Jersey Shore means we want to send a bunch of fratboys to mars, and document their attempts to score with the martian ladies.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Morrigi on December 12, 2013, 11:52:25 am
The real issue with sending help to Mars is that it would take a minimum of 6-8 months to get there, assuming the orbits were perfectly aligned. Otherwise you might have to wait a year or two for the right launch window, and it might take 3 years overall to get the ship there in a worst-case scenario. They'd have to tough it out until then.

Also, the operators of the launch pad in question (NASA, ESA, etc.) would be perfectly within their rights to deny launch clearance to a launch that they consider to be unsafe. I personally doubt that Mars One will ever get launch clearance in its current state.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on December 12, 2013, 11:55:55 am
The real issue with sending help to Mars is that it would take a minimum of 6-8 months to get there, assuming the orbits were perfectly aligned. Otherwise you might have to wait a year or two for the right launch window, and it might take 3 years overall to get the ship there in a worst-case scenario. They'd have to tough it out until then.

Also, the operators of the launch pad in question (NASA, ESA, etc.) would be perfectly within their rights to deny launch clearance to a launch that they consider to be unsafe. I personally doubt that Mars One will ever get launch clearance in its current state.
This is one of the reasons Buzz Aldrin suggests we set up bases on Phobos and/or in Martian orbit before having a human presence on the ground. Much easier to send help that way.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on December 12, 2013, 11:58:08 am
The mission will be launched by SpaceX, IIRC. By 2016, they will have their own Launchpad. So, ...

((On a side note, they also rely on SpaceX to develop the capsule, the launchrocket, and other technical aspects.))
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Mephansteras on December 12, 2013, 06:40:55 pm
It seems unrealistic to me to send people and assume that no procreation is going to happen, unless you either send all males or make sure everyone is sterile. Otherwise, you kind of have to assume that at some point someone is going to have kids.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on December 12, 2013, 06:50:15 pm
That assumes that they can have kids. .3G may well be too low for successful human fetal development.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Mephansteras on December 12, 2013, 06:53:58 pm
That assumes that they can have kids. .3G may well be too low for successful human fetal development.

Sure, but you can't exactly go into this assuming that no one can/will have kids. You have to plan for that eventuality.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on December 12, 2013, 06:56:10 pm
Most of what we know about fetal development suggests that the only kids they could have would be malformed stillbirths.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Mephansteras on December 12, 2013, 07:03:16 pm
Most of what we know about fetal development suggests that the only kids they could have would be malformed stillbirths.

Yes, but we have no studies of human fetal development in .3G conditions. For all we know it could work fine. Or, worse, produce viable children but with birth defects that will require additional medical support to survive. It could even be one of those cases where 90% will fail, but if even one live child is born you have to have facilities and plans to handle that eventuality.

People take the lives of children very, very seriously. As a matter of risk you have to assume that it can and will happen and have a plan for it. Anything less is likely to be considered criminally negligent.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on December 12, 2013, 07:10:23 pm
It seems unrealistic to me to send people and assume that no procreation is going to happen, unless you either send all males or make sure everyone is sterile. Otherwise, you kind of have to assume that at some point someone is going to have kids.

Assuming they don't send condoms/birth control/only send people who's faith prohibits such things.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on December 12, 2013, 07:52:07 pm
I imagine they'll get sterilised before they go. Space is a bad place for reproductive cells anyway with all that radiation.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gamerlord on December 12, 2013, 08:00:18 pm
SPACE SPERM. Heh but seriously guys, I skip to the last page of this thread and just... wtf?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on December 12, 2013, 08:16:02 pm
SPACE SPERM.
In zero gravity that could make one hell of a mess. You don't want your oxygen generator to shut down a month from lil' old Earth because you got a little frisky.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on December 12, 2013, 11:17:41 pm
The mechanics of a 2-person operation in microgravity are a bit tricky, and our current space population is a bit too busy/disciplined for the 1-person version.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Guardian G.I. on December 14, 2013, 02:46:10 pm
Chinese spacecraft "Jade Rabbit" has successfully landed on the Moon.  (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-25356603)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on December 14, 2013, 03:24:58 pm
That's pretty cool.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on December 14, 2013, 07:15:38 pm
As it turns out, the moon is also red/brown. Huh. At least on that landing site.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on December 14, 2013, 07:20:17 pm
I think that's just the lighting.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on December 14, 2013, 09:05:28 pm
Oh man, how did I miss that Falcon 9 launch.  SpaceX just is a never ending supply of good news.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Duuvian on December 15, 2013, 04:35:50 am
Chinese spacecraft "Jade Rabbit" has successfully landed on the Moon.  (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-25356603)

Congratulations to the people of China as well as the rest of the world. I'm pleased to see success in extra-planetary exploration by new sources and welcome it in the hope for friendly rivalries if not even better relationships through cooperation by boldly going where humanity or our machines have not gone before.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on December 15, 2013, 05:35:25 am
More SpaceX news (http://www.ibtimes.com/spacex-new-owner-historic-home-apollo-missions-nasa-agrees-lease-launch-pad-39a-1509412)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutchling on December 16, 2013, 01:46:54 pm
http://www.nature.com/news/water-seems-to-flow-freely-on-mars-1.14343 (http://www.nature.com/news/water-seems-to-flow-freely-on-mars-1.14343)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on December 16, 2013, 02:02:31 pm
To late. That one has been posted in one of the other threads before.

Besides, there's no more proof that it is indeed water than when we spotted similar phenomena in 2011(IIRC)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on December 16, 2013, 02:07:02 pm
And no more proof that it isn't. We don't know anything about these flows. Therefore, the need to study them.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on December 16, 2013, 02:12:14 pm
If only we had some kind of plan or mission to get more geologists and stuff, like, actually on Mars.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on December 16, 2013, 02:17:39 pm
Actually, geologists are what you don't need. In fact, you want to keep all humans as far away from these sites as possible. Even with precautionary measures, the use of an airlock still release a not insignificant amount of air in the local surroundings, combined with many foreign pollutants. Additionally, the spacesuits are probably littered with them as well.

What you need is a highly qualified and decontaminated robot, which will look like an awful waste of money when it turns out it wasn't water after all.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on December 16, 2013, 02:22:10 pm
I hate it when people talk as if the ultimate aim of space exploration is capitalist profit, and not furthering of knowledge, and weigh the importance of missions only in such terms...

It's true that you don't actually need the geologists on site. The probe is there to send the data back to them, for them to analyze. Perhaps when our propulsion becomes advanced enough we can retrieve samples from Mars, but for now the probes will have to do.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on December 16, 2013, 04:23:00 pm
How do you propose to capture a transient phenomenon with robotic sensors if it takes at least half an hour for you to tell the robot to respond?

I know we need to keep Mars clean, but just think; if the exploration of Earth had been done the way we're exploring space, we'd think all of North America is just like the Caribbean. We're wasting time. I've got 60 years left and I don't want to waste them watching robots molest rocks.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on December 16, 2013, 04:35:26 pm
By automating the robot. We made massive steps towards that. The ESA has various plans for robots that would operate completely autonomously, and NASA's Curiosity rover is also progressing well. And it beats the other option, which is sending a human to investigate. After all, that basically boils down too:

A: Waste of money, because it didn't happen to be water after all.
B: Success. It was water. We have now successfully contaminated the only known liquid water sample on Mars, making it entirely useless.

Truly, it's like the difference between reading a book, and setting it on fire. Truly, the fire is more spectacular, but you destroy any chance of getting something useful out of it. Humans look pretty in the paper, but 9 times out of ten, a robot is better.

Note that I don't object to setting up a way-station in Mars orbit or on one of the moons or something. That should help with delay's and such.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on December 16, 2013, 04:48:29 pm
Quite. And even without way-stations, you don't send the robot one command at a time, because that's ridiculous. You send it a whole program to execute.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on December 16, 2013, 04:54:57 pm
Gaia mission to launch on the 19. (http://www.ibtimes.com/european-space-agency-readies-gaia-its-milky-way-surveyor-launch-1510630)

The Global Astrometric Interferometer for Astrophysics (GAIA) will use it 1 gigapixel camera (largest in the solar system) to photograph the universe in never before seen Full-Ultra-High 3D Definition. It's estimated to make a detailed map of about 1% of the milky way, or 1 billion astronomical objects. These don't include planets, Quasars and other objects photographed along the way.

((Note: IIRC, GAIA doesn't have the zooming capabilities of the Hubble, so it's not going to be observing shiny deep-space objects.))

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on December 16, 2013, 05:35:13 pm
The Global Astrometric Interferometer for Astrophysics (GAIA) will use it 1 gigapixel camera (largest in the solar system) to photograph the universe in never before seen Full-Ultra-High 3D Definition.
Man....that's going to make one hell of a wallpaper.

EDIT: More seriously, I wonder how many exoplanets they'll be able to pull out of that, since each star will get up to 70 observations over time. Gonna be keeping astronomy teams busy for a while. Although, isn't there a distributed processing initiative looking for exoplanets?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on December 16, 2013, 05:47:27 pm
Yep. I know a few people who participate.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on December 17, 2013, 02:30:56 am
There probably is. I think GAIA was estimated to detect at least 10 000 planets, and 500 000 quasars.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on December 17, 2013, 04:09:08 pm
(http://setiathome.berkeley.edu/images2/classic.jpg)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smirk on December 17, 2013, 04:29:11 pm
The BOINC program (that SETI runs on) is pretty damn awesome. I think the distributed exoplanet hunt is something else entirely, though. Designed for more human interaction, with a game-like framework.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on December 17, 2013, 04:30:08 pm
This maybe? (http://www.planethunters.org/classify)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smirk on December 17, 2013, 04:31:40 pm
Yup; that's the bunny. The Zooniverse framework.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on December 18, 2013, 03:26:16 am
Emergency repairs needed on ISS. No need to panic. (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-25425662)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Tack on December 18, 2013, 04:04:44 am
ptw
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on December 18, 2013, 04:06:18 am
Emergency repairs needed on ISS. No need to panic. (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-25425662)

Yeah, it's been going on for about a week now. But they seem to have things under control.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smirk on December 18, 2013, 11:48:08 am
Emergency repairs needed on ISS. No need to panic. (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-25425662)

Quote from: Article
Each spacewalk is scheduled to last six-and-a-half hours and will be broadcast on Nasa TV.
How did I not know this existed? My life is a hollow sham.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on December 18, 2013, 12:10:45 pm
Meh, spacewalks are fairly boring anyway. The scenery is nice, but you get tired of someone trying to get a grasp of a hammer in a Michelin costume after the first 30 minutes.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on December 19, 2013, 06:57:54 am
Anyway, the Gaia launch was completely succesfull.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on December 24, 2013, 06:37:31 am
Rosetta to wake up next month (http://sen.com/news/esa-gets-set-to-wake-up-comet-probe-rosetta)
Mars express to pass within 45 km of Phobos. To fast to take pictures, but good enough to measure it's gravitational field (http://zeenews.india.com/news/space/esa-orbiter-to-make-flyby-of-mars-largest-moon-phobos_899008.html)
ESA's New Gossamer Sail System Aims To Float Dangerous Space Junk To A Fiery Death (http://www.forbes.com/sites/bridaineparnell/2013/12/23/esas-new-gossamer-sail-system-aims-to-float-dangerous-space-junk-to-a-fiery-death/)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on January 03, 2014, 05:19:39 pm
Quadropost:

ESA to deepfry stuff in space]=http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/01/02/french-fries-jupiter-european-space-agency_n_4531906.html]ESA to deepfry stuff in space (http://=http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/01/02/french-fries-jupiter-european-space-agency_n_4531906.html)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on January 03, 2014, 08:56:38 pm
Sounds tasty
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on January 09, 2014, 11:43:12 am
Earth to be destroyed by solar flare today.

Or maybe just make the aurora visible from Illinois.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on January 09, 2014, 11:48:26 am
It's not even that dangerous. Merely an X class flare.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on January 09, 2014, 11:50:26 am
Anyone got a precise ETA? I'm wondering if it'll hit during the nightime around here.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on January 09, 2014, 11:59:40 am
Link (http://spaceweather.com/)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Morrigi on January 09, 2014, 12:37:43 pm
Quadropost:

ESA to deepfry stuff in space (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/01/02/french-fries-jupiter-european-space-agency_n_4531906.html)
Fixed your heavily borked link.
That was a pretty borked link.

That said, stuff like this is exactly why we need to do something useful like send a manned mission to Mars.

Unfortunately, making french fries in a centrifuge is not going to help us to ensure the survival of the human race, nor act as a stepping stone to the outer solar system and, ultimately, the stars.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on January 09, 2014, 01:03:30 pm
Manned missions to Mars aren't that usefull either. Besides the massive PR stunt, you end up destroying more than you'd recover.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutchling on January 09, 2014, 01:06:20 pm
Manned missions to Mars aren't that usefull either. Besides the massive PR stunt, you end up destroying more than you'd recover.
But... butt...
Mars Colonyyyy
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: lordcooper on January 09, 2014, 03:43:20 pm
It's not even that dangerous. Merely an X class flare.

Nope. (http://www.scp-wiki.net/scp-1682)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on January 11, 2014, 03:27:59 am
Hand of God captured on image (http://www.boiseweekly.com/boise/hand-of-god-captured-by-nasa-telescope/Content?oid=3038181)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on January 11, 2014, 03:37:51 am
That doesn't resemble a human hand at all.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on January 11, 2014, 03:50:01 am
Meh, with enough imagination you can see 3 fingers. Honestly, it isn't that spectacular.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on January 11, 2014, 03:57:24 am
That doesn't resemble a human hand at all.
Well then it's a good thing it's a god hand. :y
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on January 11, 2014, 02:02:30 pm
Use it to punch the crap out of 9-foot demon people

But "sparks debate about religion and astronomy", really? That's a bit of a stretch, to go LOOK IT'S GOD over a vaguely deformed-hand shaped cloud.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: lordcooper on January 11, 2014, 02:13:13 pm
Meh, with enough imagination you can see 3 fingers. Honestly, it isn't that spectacular.

Mudokon God confirmed.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on February 04, 2014, 02:07:19 am
So, I was walking back from dinner on Saturday night and I saw an enormous orange shooting star. There was no one else outside to see it, but I'm completely sure I saw it. I couldn't hear anything but it looked huge. How big was it really, I wonder, and at what altitude?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on February 04, 2014, 06:44:04 am
aliums crashing.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: werty892 on February 04, 2014, 09:35:16 am
aliums crashing.
They got shot down by X-COM.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on February 04, 2014, 12:27:01 pm
Wouldn't that have made more of a noise?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on February 04, 2014, 12:35:34 pm
All depends on the altitude.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on February 13, 2014, 05:27:08 am
It lives. Anyway, the Chinese moon rover is less death than was expected. (http://ibnlive.in.com/news/chinas-moon-rover-yutu-comes-back-to-life/451783-3.html)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on February 13, 2014, 09:40:37 am
I can't wait till Mars One.
It will be so awesome to watch a group of dumbasses die horribly, slowly and painfully to radiaton cancer, without any professional medical assistance.
We could place online bets on who goes first.

Or do an audience vote on who gets the morphine this week.

Just. Can't. Wait.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on February 13, 2014, 12:32:08 pm
Everybody dies eventually. But 4 people get to die in a very unique way.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on February 13, 2014, 12:36:09 pm
Everybody dies eventually. But 4 people get to die in a very unique way.

Why can't they die in a unique way on the moon, where they are useful?  We could even say that the last survivor gets to come home.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on February 13, 2014, 12:38:25 pm
I'm pretty sure that there's at least one dead cosmonaut on the moon, so no, not unique enough.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on February 13, 2014, 12:41:55 pm
Why would they be useful on the moon?

P.S. And no cosmonauts died on the moon.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on February 13, 2014, 12:55:17 pm
Someone's ashes got taken to the moon in a little capsule alongside a mission (and this was post-mortem), but not scattered, and it was only a portion of his ashes.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on February 13, 2014, 12:59:47 pm
Everybody dies eventually. But 4 people get to die in a very unique way.

While, if this were a mission purely for !!SCIENCE!!, I would wholeheartedly approve,
in this case I do believe, that anyone crazy enough to go on a one way trip to slow and certain death, to radiation cancer, just for their minute of fame on a damn reality show,
is clinically insane, in the narcistic kind of way.
I do think that here in the Netherlands, they would fall well within the definition of one of our laws, that allows for forced psychiatric institutionalization of a person, when he or she poses a direct threat to the life of either him/herself or others.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on February 13, 2014, 01:05:20 pm
You're far too cynical. Has it occurred to you that maybe, just maybe, they want to be the first people to live on another planet? That some people would give their lives to achieve that kind of historical milestone? And did you not read about the actual project, and see that they're sending trained professionals (including doctors) alongside the ordinary people?

Also, Mars' surface may recieve more radiation than Earth's, but not very much more. It's during the journey that they'd need to worry about it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on February 13, 2014, 01:06:56 pm
Honestly, they won't even survive long enough to die of radiation cancer.

On a side note, thanks to some international treaties the Netherlands signed, they are responsible for things their private sector does in space. Which means that if something goes wrong, the Netherlands is legally obligated to try and sort it out.

You're far too cynical. Has it occurred to you that maybe, just maybe, they want to be the first people to live on another planet? That some people would give their lives to achieve that kind of historical milestone? And did you not read about the actual project, and see that they're sending trained professionals (including doctors) alongside the ordinary people?
No, they're going to try and pick some doctors from their volunteers. Still going to end in disaster.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on February 13, 2014, 01:39:59 pm
Why would they be useful on the moon?

P.S. And no cosmonauts died on the moon.

It's much, much cheaper and faster to ship equipment to the moon so for less then the price of four people on mars we can have 4 people on the moon plus some equipment for them to expand their settlement.  They can process moon dust into oxygen and silicon for future lunar settlement.  They can mine a volcanic fissure for iron to be used in constructing future facilities.  They can do a geological survey to find the best places for future development.  Heck they can even just die horribly and give us more knowledge about living on the moon so a better equipped wave of settlers in the future has an easier time at it.

It's true that on mars they could do similar activities but a mars colony is a lot less viable in the near future (a century at least).  So if we are going to send them to die, we should send them to die on the moon.  The fastest route to a mars colony remains building a moon colony first then using the moon colony to launch a mission to mars.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on February 13, 2014, 01:46:27 pm
The moon is geologically death, and doesn't have any volcanic fissures.

And no, the fastest route isn't to first construct a moon colony first. The fastest route is to send them directly to Mars, as is to be expected. The Safest and most reliable route is the moon hop thingy though.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on February 13, 2014, 01:59:19 pm
And no, the fastest route isn't to first construct a moon colony first. The fastest route is to send them directly to Mars, as is to be expected. The Safest and most reliable route is the moon hop thingy though.

You are right; I should have said "the fastest economically practical way".

The moon is geologically death, and doesn't have any volcanic fissures.

Again, right.  I should have said "extinct volcanic fissure".
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on February 13, 2014, 02:30:47 pm
Why would they be useful on the moon?

P.S. And no cosmonauts died on the moon.

It's much, much cheaper and faster to ship equipment to the moon so for less then the price of four people on mars we can have 4 people on the moon plus some equipment for them to expand their settlement.  They can process moon dust into oxygen and silicon for future lunar settlement.  They can mine a volcanic fissure for iron to be used in constructing future facilities.  They can do a geological survey to find the best places for future development.  Heck they can even just die horribly and give us more knowledge about living on the moon so a better equipped wave of settlers in the future has an easier time at it.
There's a slight problem with that. The lunar surface is only rich in iron in some parts. In others, it's more aluminum.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on February 13, 2014, 03:12:13 pm
Why would they be useful on the moon?

P.S. And no cosmonauts died on the moon.

It's much, much cheaper and faster to ship equipment to the moon so for less then the price of four people on mars we can have 4 people on the moon plus some equipment for them to expand their settlement.  They can process moon dust into oxygen and silicon for future lunar settlement.  They can mine a volcanic fissure for iron to be used in constructing future facilities.  They can do a geological survey to find the best places for future development.  Heck they can even just die horribly and give us more knowledge about living on the moon so a better equipped wave of settlers in the future has an easier time at it.
There's a slight problem with that. The lunar surface is only rich in iron in some parts. In others, it's more aluminum.

Well yeah, but why wouldn't you pick a site that has what you want?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on February 13, 2014, 05:21:03 pm
The oxygen's more bound up in the aluminum than the iron, but then again mining oxygen from rocks is probably not the best way to obtain it. If you're not recycling your atmosphere (and other volatiles), you're not doing it right.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on February 13, 2014, 05:26:58 pm
Yeah, but you're going to have losses anyway, and for expension mining an athmosphere might be easier than importing it.

Anyway, do we have a lunar geological map?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on February 13, 2014, 05:28:56 pm
The moon is fairly well mapped. (http://www.google.com/moon/) Still plenty of work to do, but compared to other celestial bodies it's pretty good.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on February 13, 2014, 05:38:37 pm
The oxygen's more bound up in the aluminum than the iron, but then again mining oxygen from rocks is probably not the best way to obtain it. If you're not recycling your atmosphere (and other volatiles), you're not doing it right.

Yeah it's not a mining, the stuff is right on the surface.  Silicon dioxide is very common in moon dust.  You just need to pump enough electricity into the moon dust to separate the two elements.  This way some of the oxygen boils off as a gas which you can then capture while the silicon turns into rocks with a lower oxygen percentage.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on February 13, 2014, 05:54:59 pm
The thing is, you only need to mine for oxygen if you're building large scale, too large to make supplies from Earth cost-effective. If you're bringing in modules, they (should) come with their own air, and the initial resupply modules ought to bring extra compressed gas stores as well.

Also, bear in mind that nitrogen is an important, if inert, component. Breathing pure, or even high-saturation, oxygen can actually be poisonous (to say nothing of the fire danger). Ideally you'd want a 20-21% oxygen atmosphere.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on February 13, 2014, 07:48:12 pm
The thing is, you only need to mine for oxygen if you're building large scale, too large to make supplies from Earth cost-effective. If you're bringing in modules, they (should) come with their own air, and the initial resupply modules ought to bring extra compressed gas stores as well.

Also, bear in mind that nitrogen is an important, if inert, component. Breathing pure, or even high-saturation, oxygen can actually be poisonous (to say nothing of the fire danger). Ideally you'd want a 20-21% oxygen atmosphere.

Sending compressed gas from earth is expensive.  Every kilo you make on the moon is a huge cost savings.  Interesting point about nitrogen though.  I wonder if lower atmospheric pressure and alternative gasses like CO2 can do the trick.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on February 13, 2014, 08:15:58 pm
CO2 is dangerous. It can take the place of oxygen in the lung's alveoli, preventing actual O2 from getting respirated even if its in abundance, and thus causing suffocation. It's not toxic per se, but it does stop oxygen from reaching your blood if there's too much of it, and by too much I mean 7% or more. A concentration of just 1% will make people constantly sluggish. It's best to stick with as close to Earth's atmosphere as possible, since that's what we're adapted for.

And once again, electrolysis of minerals is only more cost-effective if you're building a big colony. As far as resources go, compressed oxygen weighs a lot less than others, and it's already standard practice in building space stations to include a little extra packaged air in everything launched. Electrolysis of solid minerals, on the other hand, also requires a lot of energy, since you have to melt them first, and enough space to process tons of moon rock. So until you start trying to make the base big enough for hundreds of people, you probably won't need it. In either case, acquiring new oxygen molecules should not be a regular occurrence. If you're not recycling your used air, then you're not doing it right. A base wouldn't need regular shipments of air to breathe, but rather only need new air to fill newly constructed rooms (or in case of emergencies).

Interestingly, getting more air to fill new rooms on Mars would probably be easier, since Mars has an atmosphere, made almost entirely of CO2. Electrolysis of gasses is a lot easier, since you don't have to melt them first.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on February 13, 2014, 09:23:43 pm
CO2 is dangerous. It can take the place of oxygen in the lung's alveoli, preventing actual O2 from getting respirated even if its in abundance, and thus causing suffocation. It's not toxic per se, but it does stop oxygen from reaching your blood if there's too much of it, and by too much I mean 7% or more. A concentration of just 1% will make people constantly sluggish. It's best to stick with as close to Earth's atmosphere as possible, since that's what we're adapted for.
Yep, and further, CO2 in the blood is actually what triggers the feeling of being unable to breathe, not a lack of O2 in the blood. Between that and the effects mentioned above, you would basically drown in the air, complete with the gasping for breath and everything. So yeah, generally not all that useful an environment for humans.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on February 13, 2014, 09:47:10 pm
Electrolysis might take a lot of energy but energy is much easier to get in space then most materials.  Plunk down some solar cells and go to town.  Even if it takes a year or two to produce enough electricity for oxygen to return on your investment, that's a big savings long term.  It's a really simple process, extract the oxygen then dump the rock in a heap outside, not efficient but something that would be viable on the small scale.

Regarding the nitrogen thing, why would you just lower the atmospheric pressure to 25% so you don't need much nitrogen to get by?  It would be a slight problem for plants but one that could be overcome with fertilizers and the right strains of bacteria.  It wouldn't cause lung collapse because the change would be the same inside and outside the body.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Remalle on February 13, 2014, 10:05:50 pm
Watching with interest.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on February 13, 2014, 10:41:05 pm
Electrolysis might take a lot of energy but energy is much easier to get in space then most materials.  Plunk down some solar cells and go to town.  Even if it takes a year or two to produce enough electricity for oxygen to return on your investment, that's a big savings long term.  It's a really simple process, extract the oxygen then dump the rock in a heap outside, not efficient but something that would be viable on the small scale.

Regarding the nitrogen thing, why would you just lower the atmospheric pressure to 25% so you don't need much nitrogen to get by?  It would be a slight problem for plants but one that could be overcome with fertilizers and the right strains of bacteria.  It wouldn't cause lung collapse because the change would be the same inside and outside the body.

Because low pressure over long periods of time has effects on people, and a higher concentration of Oxygen makes the atmosphere extremely flammable. You need N2, because 50% or even 30% oxygen just isn't safe. Low-pressure rooms are for acclimating to avoid the bends; we don't keep our subs or our spacecraft at acclimation chamber conditions throughout because they're not suitable for daily existence.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MaximumZero on February 13, 2014, 10:51:09 pm
How have I missed this until now? I love space!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on February 14, 2014, 12:12:10 am

Because low pressure over long periods of time has effects on people

Such as..?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on February 14, 2014, 02:02:13 am

Because low pressure over long periods of time has effects on people

Such as..?
The lower the pressure, the thinner the air, the less O2 delivered to the blood with every breath. See Altitude Sickness. 25% of normal pressure is roughly equivalent to 11,000 meters in altitude, well within the zone where people have trouble breathing and must limit their activity. How exactly does lowering the pressure reduce the need for Nitrogen, anyway? What does that have to do with the relative concentration of gasses in the air?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordSlowpoke on February 14, 2014, 02:08:45 am
Lower pressure means that you need more oxygen by percentage to comfortably continue regular activity, I guess. Pretty unsafe though.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on February 14, 2014, 02:15:16 am
And as we all know, more oxygen% = more flammable. At even 30%, rapid, total immolation of the pressurized space might be possible.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on February 14, 2014, 09:12:42 am
The lower the pressure, the thinner the air, the less O2 delivered to the blood with every breath. See Altitude Sickness. 25% of normal pressure is roughly equivalent to 11,000 meters in altitude, well within the zone where people have trouble breathing and must limit their activity. How exactly does lowering the pressure reduce the need for Nitrogen, anyway? What does that have to do with the relative concentration of gasses in the air?

People have trouble because the partial pressure of oxygen is low, not because the pressure of the air is low.

And ignition happens because the partial pressure of oxygen is high, not because the percentage of oxygen is high.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on February 14, 2014, 12:36:44 pm
Lower total air pressure = lower partial pressure of the component gasses. Pressure is irrelevant for fire danger except at exceptional lows, and at those lows people would not be able to survive for even a few minutes. In your proposed environment, people would need oxygen masks on at all times just to function normally.

Again, the pressure you propose is equivalent to being at 11,000 meters (11 kilometers) in altitude on Earth, an altitude at which people cannot live their daily lives. It's in the tropopause, the boundary zone between the troposphere and the stratosphere. People may spend days at such altitudes while mountaineering, but must return to lower places soon. The highest dwelling with permanent human inhabitants (and not transitory ones, like camps) is only at about 6,400 meters in altitude.

Also, you haven't answered my question:
The lower the pressure, the thinner the air, the less O2 delivered to the blood with every breath. See Altitude Sickness. 25% of normal pressure is roughly equivalent to 11,000 meters in altitude, well within the zone where people have trouble breathing and must limit their activity. How exactly does lowering the pressure reduce the need for Nitrogen, anyway? What does that have to do with the relative concentration of gasses in the air?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on February 14, 2014, 01:26:18 pm
Source? Because the body ain't tracking the level of CO2 directly, but rather the blood pH. I really wonder what sensor you use to detect pO2 in blood.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on February 14, 2014, 01:38:38 pm
Yeah, this really seems to be rather made up to me.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on February 15, 2014, 06:37:47 am
The mysteriously appearing rock that has puzzled scientists, and incited alien devotees worldwide, found on pictures made by Curiosity, seems not to have been thrown by alien activists after all.
Other photographic evidence, as well as an examination of the rock, which showed tire tracks on it, highly suggest it was in fact dislodged, and launched a ways, when Curiosity itself drove over it.

Nothing to see here - move on
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on February 15, 2014, 08:56:36 pm
How exactly does lowering the pressure reduce the need for Nitrogen, anyway? What does that have to do with the relative concentration of gasses in the air?

Imagine a room that has 36 kilograms of air in it.  We are going to simplify and say that air is 25% oxygen and 75% nitrogen.  Now we are going to remove 66% of the nitrogen and leave all the oxygen in.  Now we have a room which has 18 kilograms of air in it but has half the air pressure as before.  However the amount of oxygen in the room is the same so there is no additional fuel for fires, nor is it any more difficult to breath.

The partial pressure of oxygen is the same ~.25 atm before and after we removed the nitrogen.  Only the partial pressure of nitrogen has changed.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on February 16, 2014, 07:56:45 am
Impact Imminent; Soviet spy satellite to go for an uncontrolled descent. (http://www.independent.co.uk/news/science/russian-satellite-kosmos1220-to-crash-to-earth-today-with-very-real-danger-to-populated-areas-9131743.html)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on February 16, 2014, 07:10:41 pm
How exactly does lowering the pressure reduce the need for Nitrogen, anyway? What does that have to do with the relative concentration of gasses in the air?

Imagine a room that has 36 kilograms of air in it.  We are going to simplify and say that air is 25% oxygen and 75% nitrogen.  Now we are going to remove 66% of the nitrogen and leave all the oxygen in.  Now we have a room which has 18 kilograms of air in it but has half the air pressure as before.  However the amount of oxygen in the room is the same so there is no additional fuel for fires, nor is it any more difficult to breath.

The partial pressure of oxygen is the same ~.25 atm before and after we removed the nitrogen.  Only the partial pressure of nitrogen has changed.

Surely, the whole room will have lower air pressure, and thus less oxygen will be absorbed via the lungs?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on February 16, 2014, 07:14:35 pm
Why would that matter?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on February 16, 2014, 08:07:22 pm
Why would that matter?

Quote
When we breathe in air at sea level, the atmospheric pressure of about 14.7 pounds per square inch (1.04 kg. per cm.2) causes oxygen to easily pass through selectively permeable lung membranes into the blood.  At high altitudes, the lower air pressure makes it more difficult for oxygen to enter our vascular systems.  The result is hypoxia, or oxygen deprivation.  Hypoxia usually begins with the inability to do normal physical activities, such as climbing a short flight of stairs without fatigue.  Other early symptoms of "high altitude sickness" include a lack of appetite, vomiting, headache, distorted vision, fatigue, and difficulty with memorizing and thinking clearly.  In serious cases, pneumonia-like symptoms (pulmonary edema) due to hemorrhaging in the lungs and an abnormal accumulation of fluid around the brain (cerebral edema) develop.  Pulmonary and cerebral edema usually results in death within a few days if there is not a return to normal air pressure levels.  There is also an increased risk of heart failure due to the added stress placed on the lungs, heart, and arteries at high altitudes.

Lower air pressure effects the intake of air through the walls of the lungs. The may be the same ampont of oxygen, but you'd also be getting less of it per breath.
While I appreciate this talks about high altitudes, much of the effects come from the decreased air pressure rather than the decreased concentration of oxygen.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on February 16, 2014, 08:11:40 pm
Where does that quote comes from?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on February 16, 2014, 08:15:09 pm
http://anthro.palomar.edu/adapt/adapt_3.htm
First result for
"lower air pressure but same oxygen content effect breathing"
google search.

Hmm. Looking at other sources only mention the thinner air from altitude, but i'm sure lower pressure in general effects the ratio of gas exchange. Boyle's law.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on February 16, 2014, 09:14:52 pm
Whether lower pressure or lower concentration, the simple fact is that people cannot live at 11,000 meters. They might visit, but not remain. If we could "save" on Nitrogen by just not bringing it and filling our spacecraft with pure oxygen at a lower pressure, we would. The ISS does have a room with low-nitrogen, low-pressure conditions, but only to prepare for EVAs in.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on February 21, 2014, 05:07:02 pm
Daily mail Space weather forecast: Kessler Syndrome (http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2564950/Could-Gravity-style-disaster-happen-18-000lb-lost-satellite-trigger-deadly-cloud-space-junk.html)

And the ESA is going to launch Plato (Planetary Transits and Oscillations of stars) into Space. This one should be able to detect Earth sized planets. (http://www.independent.ie/world-news/europe/12bn-telescope-to-focus-on-search-for-alien-life-30028923.html)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on March 08, 2014, 07:32:45 pm
New shiny details on SpaceX: http://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2014/03/spacex-advances-drive-mars-rocket-raptor-power/
In particular, the Raptor rocket engine, which would run on Methane/LOX fuel, would be around 6 times more powerful than their current Merlin engines, and would be used to build rockets that dwarf the capabilities of the Saturn V. Essentially, a march towards their Mars Colonial Transporter (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mars_Colonial_Transporter).

Quote from: From the wiki page
In February 2014, Musk stated that Mars Colonial Transporter will be "100 times the size of an SUV", and capable of taking 100 people at a time to Mars.[8] Also, SpaceX engine development head Tom Mueller said SpaceX would use nine Raptor engines on a single rocket, similar to the use of nine Merlin 1s engines on each Falcon 9 booster core. He said "It's going to put over 100 tons of cargo on Mars."[9] The large rocket core that will be used for the booster to be used with MCT will be 10 metres (33 ft) in diameter, nearly three times the diameter and over seven times the cross-sectional area of the Falcon 9 booster cores.[1]
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutchling on March 08, 2014, 09:08:48 pm
NSA will send a robot to investigate suspected life on Europe (http://www.computerworld.com/s/article/9246832/NASA_will_send_a_robot_to_investigate_suspected_life_on_Europa)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Octobomb on March 08, 2014, 09:17:16 pm
NSA will send a robot to investigate suspected life on Europe (http://www.computerworld.com/s/article/9246832/NASA_will_send_a_robot_to_investigate_suspected_life_on_Europa)
French confirmed as aliens. Existence touted as government conspiracy.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on March 08, 2014, 09:44:15 pm
NASA will send a robot to investigate suspected life on Europa (http://www.computerworld.com/s/article/9246832/NASA_will_send_a_robot_to_investigate_suspected_life_on_Europa)
FTFY. I hope.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on March 08, 2014, 11:04:28 pm
I think the coolest part of the article is how it mentions that new rockets would take the trip from eight or nine years and make it a measly two years. To reach Jupiter.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on March 08, 2014, 11:35:02 pm
Today in your Legit Space News:

Best Korea lands a man on the sun. They went during the cover of darkness so he wouldn't be at risk from the sun's heat. (http://www.weirdasianews.com/2014/03/01/north-korea-claims-landed-man-sun/)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MaximumZero on March 09, 2014, 08:15:06 pm
That joke is totally not older than I am.  ::)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Redzephyr01 on March 09, 2014, 08:40:28 pm
Today in your Legit Space News:

Best Korea lands a man on the sun. They went during the cover of darkness so he wouldn't be at risk from the sun's heat. (http://www.weirdasianews.com/2014/03/01/north-korea-claims-landed-man-sun/)
I'm not sure if this is satire or is actually serious.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Mictlantecuhtli on March 10, 2014, 05:47:52 am
Quote
Hung Il Dong, 17, is reported to have been the first man to land on the sun, according to North Korean Central news.

Quote
Hung Il Dong

Quote
Hung Dong

ಠ_ಠ
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on March 10, 2014, 12:39:21 pm
Yeah, I'm doubting that this report is actually from NK.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on March 10, 2014, 01:53:49 pm
I'm going on satire, here.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on March 13, 2014, 08:09:00 pm
More SpaceX news: http://www.extremetech.com/extreme/178389-spacex-prepares-to-take-the-biggest-step-towards-affordable-space-travel-soft-landing-the-falcon-9-rocket
SpaceX next launch is this Sunday early in the morning, and will be webcast live. More importantly though, they will be attempted to soft-land their rocket, similar to what they did with their Grasshopper prototype. Since it is still very much an experiment, they will be soft-landing in the ocean, but still. So Sunday morning if you get up early/stay up late, you could see a soft landing of a Falcon 9 first stage. As per the article, if that goes well, future missions will see attempts to soft-land both the first and second stages back on the pad.

tldr version: see an autonomous sub-orbital  VTOL lander on sunday

Edit: Scratch that, time was delayed a couple weeks. Now set to launch on the 30th or something like that.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on April 18, 2014, 11:11:03 pm
Bump for more SpaceX news:
Today the aforementioned launch took place; the first stage apparently made a successful landing over the ocean, as evidenced both by the final telemetry they received and the final transmissions to the tracking aircraft indicating transmissions for 8 seconds after touchdown in the ocean until it rolled on its side (or in other words, it landed fully intact rather than smashing into the surface and disintegrating). Unfortunately no video of the touchdown, due to rough weather and clouds preventing the recovery ship from being in a good observation position.
Video of the launch: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iLJ3vns3Zys

Additionally, a test took place yesterday of their new Grasshopper replacement. This new rocket is around twice the height, and is really just a Falcon 9 first stage, pretty much the same as what landed today. Video here, with the grasshopper rocket nearby (on the right at the video start): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0UjWqQPWmsY&feature=youtu.be

This is all quite impressive for a couple reasons. First and most obvious, it means they've basically got a working reusable first stage for their rockets now, which is pretty big in itself. A second impressive feat is the fact that they launched both the vehicle in the video followed up by a launch to the ISS with a separate vehicle in about a 24 hour timeframe. One of them may not have been a full to-orbit mission, but such a small turnaround time on launching a test flight to launching a mission coupled with a test landing is pretty darn cool.

On a side note, spacex apparently has really good wiki pages with even more details than you would get in a KSP part config.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Merlin_(rocket_engine_family) (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Merlin_(rocket_engine_family))
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Falcon_9_v1.1
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Raptor_(rocket_engine) (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Raptor_(rocket_engine))
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on April 19, 2014, 01:39:15 am
Well, anyway. Bit late, but the ESA launched it's Sentinel sattelite (http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-26879386) two weeks ago.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: kaian-a-coel on April 19, 2014, 06:15:58 pm
And nobody said anything about Kepler-186f (http://www.nature.com/news/earth-sized-exoplanet-spotted-in-star-s-habitable-zone-1.15066)?
It's 500 light years away, 1.1 times the size of earth, orbit a dim red star, and is totally within its star's habitable zone.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Willfor on April 19, 2014, 06:22:06 pm
I was under the impression that a planet in the habitable zone of a red dwarf would also be in the radius to likely be tidally locked.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on April 30, 2014, 09:50:05 pm
Well, SpaceX published some video from that landing over the ocean.
"raw" version: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7m8H8OlJ3o8
"cleaned up" version (it's really not much better): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=er66BActC4E
As far as I can tell, it's showing the last few seconds, as it fires up the engines for the final time as it landed on the ocean. Don't get your hopes up for any better quality; the craft itself wasn't able to be recovered (it sank long before the recovery craft was able to get there), so any onboard memory of the video is gone.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on April 30, 2014, 10:02:03 pm
Damn. Is it still a success if it sank?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on April 30, 2014, 10:25:08 pm
Damn. Is it still a success if it sank?
Yeah; though suborbital rocket-boats is something they should look into.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on May 01, 2014, 02:36:59 am
It deployed legs and fired the engine, which was what it was supposed to do.

I mean, the system is supposed to land on land, so...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: andrea on May 05, 2014, 02:49:55 pm
but... that thing looks almost bulkier than what we use today. I thought the goal was to make things that are somewhat comfortable to use without being incredibly clumsy?


besides, that really looks like something from an old black and white sci fi movie.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Eric Blank on May 05, 2014, 02:59:35 pm
It may very well be both more flexible and weigh less than current space suit designs. It's just... poofy.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on May 05, 2014, 03:03:25 pm
As a note, that IS NOT the potential suit.

It isn't even a spacesuit. It's a ground suit. This is what NASA is going to use in the future for conventions and stuff, and for training missions and other nice pictures.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on May 05, 2014, 03:14:57 pm
I recall there being a successful proposal for a relatively form-fitting EVA suit in the past few years, but I can't find it again.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on May 05, 2014, 03:50:40 pm
Yup, it has the great advantage of using tensile strength rather than pressure to keep the soft parts inside the human. Allows you to use full pressure, less bulkier suits and makes punctures much more survivable.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on May 05, 2014, 10:42:36 pm
Hey, new SpaceX F9R test: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZwwS4YOTbbw
Goes up 1km before slowly drifting back down onto the pad.

And here's a video of the NASA Morpheus VTVL moon lander prototype: http://www.space.com/25736-nasa-morpheus-lander-mock-moonscape-video.html
Based on the vehicle design of Carmack's now-defunct Armadillo Aerospace, Pixel. Of note, it uses a methane-LOX liquid fuel, rather than kerosene-LOX combination, so the fuel could be produced on various astronomical bodies.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on May 06, 2014, 12:01:17 am
As a note, that IS NOT the potential suit.

It isn't even a spacesuit. It's a ground suit. This is what NASA is going to use in the future for conventions and stuff, and for training missions and other nice pictures.
Last I checked, training missions used... y'know, the actual suits because they care more about training than PR.
Nope, they don't. It's a completely different series of suits.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on May 06, 2014, 12:08:35 am
Training suits are for inexpense and training efficiency, not flashy PR. I doubt the press often get a chance to look at or even bother asking about training suits.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on May 06, 2014, 12:36:25 am
Point is, this suit is not going into space. NASA has like 4 other series, and this is the second part of the Z series.

First one looked like buzz lightyear.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Guardian G.I. on May 11, 2014, 03:07:07 pm
A livestream from the ISS showing the Earth's surface. (http://www.ustream.tv/channel/iss-hdev-payload)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on May 11, 2014, 03:23:43 pm
It's going through the shadow now, sadly enough.

Don't have time to wait for it to appear on the other side, so I'll look tomorrow.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on May 25, 2014, 06:31:06 am
Spitzer space telescope facing budget troubles. (http://www.natureworldnews.com/articles/7226/20140524/spitzer-space-telescope-trouble.htm)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on June 20, 2014, 12:53:20 am
Another SpaceX F9R 1km flight test video. It now has small deployable fins for increased control (looks like mostly for roll control).
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DgLBIdVg3EM
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on June 20, 2014, 01:02:20 am
Another SpaceX F9R 1km flight test video. It now has small deployable fins for increased control (looks like mostly for roll control).
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DgLBIdVg3EM
It was really cool seeing the fins pop out like that, I thought the bottom ones were the ones referred to. Also, they keep cows that close to the pad?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on June 20, 2014, 03:27:18 pm
Another SpaceX F9R 1km flight test video. It now has small deployable fins for increased control (looks like mostly for roll control).
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DgLBIdVg3EM
It was really cool seeing the fins pop out like that, I thought the bottom ones were the ones referred to. Also, they keep cows that close to the pad?

Wow that was the coolest rocket video I have ever soon. Mostly because it means that we really -are- going to get reusable rockets and man that thing landed so perfectly.

Wouldn't you want BBQ after your first successful reusable rocket test flight?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on June 20, 2014, 03:32:00 pm
I kinda hope the ESA gets it's stuff together. Sure, their rockets (and generally the entire program) has been quality/science over everything else, but there's a limit to what people want to pay for a slightly more precise orbital insertion.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on June 20, 2014, 03:35:27 pm
Another SpaceX F9R 1km flight test video. It now has small deployable fins for increased control (looks like mostly for roll control).
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DgLBIdVg3EM
It was really cool seeing the fins pop out like that, I thought the bottom ones were the ones referred to. Also, they keep cows that close to the pad?

Wow that was the coolest rocket video I have ever soon. Mostly because it means that we really -are- going to get reusable rockets and man that thing landed so perfectly.

Wouldn't you want BBQ after your first successful reusable rocket test flight?
Use rocketfuel for the fire?

Nothing better than fresh cooked cow from the rocket launch!

But yeah what they should do instead of blowing up a mountain is dump a telescope into a lagrange point.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on June 20, 2014, 04:01:19 pm
The European Southern Observatory (which sometimes blows up mountains*) is not related to the ESA (which designs rockets).

*We'll put them back. Promise
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on June 20, 2014, 07:43:39 pm
They were also going to launch another F9 v1.1 today, with half a dozen OrbComm satellites onboard. That has been postponed, with a t -6 minute abort due to odd pressure readings in the second stage. I haven't seen it fully clarified, but I think they're probably going to try another soft ocean landing, and may actually get better footage than their previous stuff they got from a pizza-dish cobbled together into a radio receiver on an aircraft. :P

Edit: Oh right, I forgot I never posted how they got the footage from their previous ocean landing.
http://shitelonsays.com/transcript/spacex-dragon-2-unveil-qa-2014-05-29
Quote
As far as the soft landing of the boost phase, it was interesting, when we got the corrupted video back, because we really actually had a real difficult time getting the telemetry. In fact, I'll tell you a funny thing. We actually had to - because normally we get the bulk of the telemetry from a boat. We also have a backup, an AP3 that was going to go up, and the P3 got iced up, the boats couldn't go out, so I sent my plane up with my pilots, and... we had to design and fabricate an antenna that exactly fit in the window of the plane. We started off with a pizza dish and we were able to do a double loop antenna with a pizza dish and point it out the window to get the link. The data came through really well but the video was corrupted because unfortunately when you compress video, it's hard to uncorrupt a compressed video because you actually have to figure out the compression algorithms and all these things, so we weren't able to get very far, but we put the video up online and then we crowd sourced the cleanup of the video and people did a really great job of fixing it. "I actually tweeted out a link to the latest thing. Mostly the people on the NASA Spaceflight forum were able to fix the video."
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sneakey pete on June 25, 2014, 03:02:39 am
Got a link to that video?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on June 25, 2014, 03:14:32 am
Well, SpaceX published some video from that landing over the ocean.
"raw" version: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7m8H8OlJ3o8
"cleaned up" version (it's really not much better): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=er66BActC4E
As far as I can tell, it's showing the last few seconds, as it fires up the engines for the final time as it landed on the ocean. Don't get your hopes up for any better quality; the craft itself wasn't able to be recovered (it sank long before the recovery craft was able to get there), so any onboard memory of the video is gone.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on July 11, 2014, 05:10:58 pm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/4649423.stm (http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/4649423.stm)

NASA sued by astrologer for changing horoscope.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordSlowpoke on July 11, 2014, 05:16:01 pm
bbc

nasa is an acronym

what the fuck are you doing
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on July 11, 2014, 06:40:21 pm
How the hell did that get in my goolge news thingy. It happened before, but why?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Arx on July 16, 2014, 07:52:30 am
Rosetta's comet is binary. (http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-27110882)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on July 16, 2014, 10:08:25 am
Rosetta is the name of the probe though, the comet's name is 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko .

This will make landing the probe a bit more interesting though.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on July 16, 2014, 01:06:52 pm
And then, in a sudden twist of fate, an engineer's mistake means the probe too is binary! A match made in heaven!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Arx on July 16, 2014, 01:14:20 pm
Rosetta is the name of the probe though

I meant "The comet that is the target of ('belongs to') the Rosetta probe", since I didn't actually know what it was called. Thank you for providing the name.

I can see landing the probe being significantly harder now, yes.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on July 23, 2014, 01:17:42 am
So SpaceX did an Orbcomm launch a week or so ago. They apparently got onboard video of it; though the camera is a bit iced over.
http://www.spacex.com/news/2014/07/22/spacex-soft-lands-falcon-9-rocket-first-stage
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on July 23, 2014, 01:53:16 am
Awesome! Space footage!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on July 23, 2014, 05:40:15 am
Meanwhile, esa is planning to film re-entry and desintegration of it's next atv.

http://www.gizmag.com/atv-break-up/32998/

Also, spaceplane.

http://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2014/07/esas-experimental-space-plane-gearing-november/
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on July 30, 2014, 03:57:29 pm
http://www.cbsnews.com/news/esa-european-cargo-ship-on-its-way-to-space-station/

ATV George Lemaitre launched. Last of the 5 spacecraft program.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: McDonald on August 03, 2014, 11:09:57 am
Has anybody considered using poop as fuel? Poopellant?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordSlowpoke on August 03, 2014, 11:11:19 am
waste of biomass
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on August 03, 2014, 11:37:53 am
You could decompose it into methane, I suppose, and use that as fuel, though you'd have negligible amounts compared to the quantity you'd need.

In other words, not worth it in the slightest.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on August 05, 2014, 02:49:17 am
http://www.livestream.com/eurospaceagency

Lifestream of Rosetta arriving at 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko. Soonish.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on August 07, 2014, 12:40:31 pm
Have we all gotten hyped about the Cannae/EMdrive thing already?

Because it would be pretty cool if it worked.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on August 07, 2014, 12:51:12 pm
Is that the massless drive thingy. Because people, me included, aren't very optimistic about it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: andrea on August 07, 2014, 01:54:41 pm
Most likely, there is something wrong in the experiment.
However, there is still a tiny hope that it could actually work. If it does, it will be an absolute game changer. and by that I mean that it would be a sudden switch to science fiction. Bringing fuel along is one of the biggest challenges in space travel.

But yes, hard to be optimist. Several things in the experiments don't look promisiong. ( finding thrust even in the model that SHOULDN'T work, big differences of thrust between chinese and NASA experiments, etc.).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on August 07, 2014, 02:46:15 pm
Shouldn't work based on the current model of physics. I think we're about due for a nice big breakthrough like this, similar to general relativity. I'm excited, but as anyone should be with scientific matters, a little skeptical. I'd love to build the drive for myself.

They should mount it on a near-frictionless cart and see if it pushes it. That would be so cool to see.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MonkeyHead on August 07, 2014, 02:56:02 pm
Shouldn't work based on the current model of physics. I think we're about due for a nice big breakthrough like this, similar to general relativity. I'm excited, but as anyone should be with scientific matters, a little skeptical. I'd love to build the drive for myself.

They should mount it on a near-frictionless cart and see if it pushes it. That would be so cool to see.

I dont think we can no anything frictionless enough with a low enough mass for it to actually get it moving in a perceptible way in a sensible timeframe, even if said propulsion mechanism is actually producing thrust.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: USEC_OFFICER on August 07, 2014, 04:19:59 pm
Well, from my limited understanding of things, we can generate electricity from two sources. Either chemical energy as certain atoms/molecules react and electrons are shuffled around, or kinetic energy by spinning things through a magnetic field. I'm probably missing out on a couple alternative sources, but those are the two major ones. So converting thermal energy directly to electricity is (most likely) impossible. After all, thermal energy is just atoms/molecules being highly energetic but without any unified direction or force. So we can't convert it to electricity without going through another step using the two methods we have. To convert thermal energy directly, we'd need some kind of substance that shuffles around electrons when it heats up. Which I'm pretty sure is impossible, or we don't have a substance like that. Or it converts the thermal energy into chemical energy before turning it into electricity.

Am I kinda making sense here?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: USEC_OFFICER on August 07, 2014, 07:58:43 pm
Better than I had thought I'd do. What parts aren't making sense?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: ShadowHammer on August 07, 2014, 08:45:48 pm
Well, from my limited understanding of things, we can generate electricity from two sources. Either chemical energy as certain atoms/molecules react and electrons are shuffled around, or kinetic energy by spinning things through a magnetic field. I'm probably missing out on a couple alternative sources, but those are the two major ones. So converting thermal energy directly to electricity is (most likely) impossible. After all, thermal energy is just atoms/molecules being highly energetic but without any unified direction or force. So we can't convert it to electricity without going through another step using the two methods we have. To convert thermal energy directly, we'd need some kind of substance that shuffles around electrons when it heats up. Which I'm pretty sure is impossible, or we don't have a substance like that. Or it converts the thermal energy into chemical energy before turning it into electricity.

Am I kinda making sense here?
I may be understanding incorrectly, but don't thermocouples (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thermocouple) make electricity directly from heat?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: USEC_OFFICER on August 07, 2014, 08:47:46 pm
...

Well you learn something new every day. I honestly did not know about thermocouples. Huh. Interesting.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on August 08, 2014, 01:55:32 am
Thermocouples don't generate electricity directly from heat, they generate electricity from a temperature gradient.

Which is kind of a big thing really, because it means that heat is useless, as far as energy is concerned. Only a difference in heat can be transformed into power.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MonkeyHead on August 08, 2014, 02:46:59 am
Certain forms of transfer are more feasible/efficient than others. This may be down to our knowledge of physics or level of technology, or simply a property of energy and the universe. Chemical energy readily changes into heat. It is trivial to turn kinetic into electrical. Heat into kinetic is also pretty straightforward via pressurised gas. The combination of 3 efficient(ish) processes is still more efficient/higher output yield than a single step, say heat directly into electrical (though solar furnace style power plants are getting there).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: kaian-a-coel on August 08, 2014, 04:10:00 am
Entropy.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on August 08, 2014, 05:49:28 am
Well, we can convert heat directly into electricity, we do it all the time with Radioisotope Thermal Generators.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on August 08, 2014, 06:53:12 am
Nope, that is a heat gradient which is being converted into power. You can not get any useful energy out of heat, solely out of differences in temperature.

Quote
A radioisotope thermoelectric generator (RTG, RITEG) is an electrical generator that uses an array of thermocouples to convert the heat released by the decay of a suitable radioactive material into electricity by the Seebeck effect.

Quote
In 1821, Thomas Johann Seebeck discovered that a thermal gradient formed between two dissimilar conductors produces a voltage.[1] At the heart of the thermoelectric effect is the fact that a temperature gradient in a conducting material results in heat flow; this results in the diffusion of charge carriers. The flow of charge carriers between the hot and cold regions in turn creates a voltage difference. In 1834, Jean Charles Athanase Peltier discovered the reverse effect, that running an electric current through the junction of two dissimilar conductors could, depending on the direction of the current, cause it to act as a heater or cooler
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on August 08, 2014, 07:06:18 am
Yeah, true that.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on August 10, 2014, 02:32:33 pm
The KSP forums are a great place for space related stuff.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on August 10, 2014, 03:38:12 pm
Interesting bit in the latest spacex launch video: http://youtu.be/essrkMGlw5s?t=7m20s
At around 7:20 and a bit more later, there's a few seconds of video from inside a LOX tank. So they apparently have cameras inside their fuel tanks now.

Which I suppose makes sense, considering nearly all of their failures or partial failures, going back to the original Falcon 1 tests, were due to prop sloshing in the tanks.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on August 11, 2014, 05:07:39 am
Meanwhile, the ESA actually has a probe in orbit around a comet.

Science (http://www.theguardian.com/science/across-the-universe/2014/aug/06/rosetta-comet-67-churyumov-gerasimenko-european-space-agency)

Landing is scheduled for the Eleventh of November.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on August 18, 2014, 07:11:06 pm
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uIlu7szab5I&list=UUtI0Hodo5o5dUb67FeUjDeA
Video from an aircraft of the Falcon 9 first stage soft landing on the ocean.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on August 22, 2014, 07:47:22 pm
And today, SpaceX tested their self destruct mechanisms. :P
http://www.kwtx.com/home/headlines/Rocket-Explodes-at-Space-X-272370541.html

Apparently the test went badly; rocket appeared to have been tipping/loss of control shortly before it was self destructed. Supposedly it was a 3-engine version of the F9R test vehicle; which is probably why a loss of control may have happened (it's normally a 9 engine rocket). Their statement up on twitter: https://twitter.com/SpaceX/status/502976401729798144/photo/1


Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on August 26, 2014, 10:34:12 am
http://www.forbes.com/sites/alexknapp/2014/08/24/esa-galileo-satellites-were-placed-in-the-wrong-orbit/

Galileo sattelites accidentally in wrong orbit.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on August 26, 2014, 11:53:39 am
In KSP .23 eccentricity and 5 degrees off from target is what I call "within normal parameters."
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on August 26, 2014, 12:37:39 pm
In KSP .23 eccentricity and 5 degrees off from target is what I call "within normal parameters."
Yeah, well on Earth we call it 1km/s delta v change (because earth is bigger and has a much higher orbital velocity). :P

And considering they also mentioned 'elliptical' that change would be absolutely necessary if it is to serve as a GPS satellite (which depend very much on being in certain places at certain times)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sneakey pete on September 24, 2014, 04:25:23 am
Spacex launched another Falcon 9 a few days ago, the 4th mission where they're doing controlled reentry of the 1st stage, anyone got any info on how it went, and any info on if the next one is going to be landing on a hard surface?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Mephansteras on September 24, 2014, 12:29:31 pm
India mission to Orbit Mars a success! (http://www.cnn.com/2014/09/23/world/asia/mars-india-orbiter/index.html)

Kudos to India, not only for being one of the only countries to get something out that far, but for being the first to manage it on the first try!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Octobomb on September 24, 2014, 01:16:53 pm
And for doing it on such a low budget, too. I didn't know space programs could spend that little money ($74m) and even launch (Arianne 5s cost $100-137m)!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on September 24, 2014, 01:51:25 pm
India mission to Orbit Mars a success! (http://www.cnn.com/2014/09/23/world/asia/mars-india-orbiter/index.html)

Kudos to India, not only for being one of the only countries to get something out that far, but for being the first to manage it on the first try!
False. ESA also successfully reached Mars on the first attempt.

Though that mission is considered a partial failure, due to the fact that the Beagle Lander failed, the orbiter part was successful and is in fact, still operational.

And for doing it on such a low budget, too. I didn't know space programs could spend that little money ($74m) and even launch (Arianne 5s cost $100-137m)!
To be fair, with a scientific payload of just 25 kg, it's not the most interesting mission either.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: kaian-a-coel on September 24, 2014, 02:39:15 pm
Someone pointed out that it's 25% less budget than gravity. A film about space was significantly pricier than actually sending a mission to Mars. Think about that for a second.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on September 24, 2014, 02:44:09 pm
Mars Express costs 150 millions euros apparently, with 4 time the payload.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Mictlantecuhtli on September 24, 2014, 02:51:48 pm
Someone pointed out that it's 25% less budget than gravity. A film about space was significantly pricier than actually sending a mission to Mars. Think about that for a second.

I'd rather not focus on humanity's absolute lack of prioritization on things that matter..
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on September 24, 2014, 03:44:04 pm
Someone pointed out that it's 25% less budget than gravity. A film about space was significantly pricier than actually sending a mission to Mars. Think about that for a second.

I'd rather not focus on humanity's absolute lack of prioritization on things that matter..

I think it's a good thing. One day, it will be cheaper to go to space than to simulate space.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on September 24, 2014, 04:27:32 pm
The problem is that the primary cost reduction made by India is not doing more for less, but doing less for less.

On a side note, I figured out why the ESA is not considered as a nation that has gone to Mars. The keyword is that it has not done so independently, because it prefers international cooperation over national prestige. (Ie, MarsExpress was launched on a Russian rocket.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TamerVirus on September 24, 2014, 06:42:36 pm
I think it's more of getting people to Mars and back

Otherwise we would have just developed a really expensive way to execute criminals
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutchling on September 25, 2014, 01:45:01 pm
NASA Telescopes Find Clear Skies and Water Vapor on Exoplanet
 (http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/news/news.php?release=2014-322)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: kaian-a-coel on September 25, 2014, 04:37:49 pm
On a more directly "HOLY SHIT" note that clear skies and water: Asteroids/protoplanets smashing into each other, 1200 lightyears away. (http://www.universetoday.com/114299/spotted-asteroids-smashing-themselves-to-smithereens-1200-light-years-away/)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on September 25, 2014, 05:47:33 pm
I love how the portrait of the Spitzer telescope has a KSP-like line showing the Earth's orbit.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on September 26, 2014, 01:58:25 am
I'm quite sure that those lines pre-date KSP.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on September 26, 2014, 02:13:00 am
Probably. But it's just kind of weird, sitting there in an otherwise realistic depiction.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on September 26, 2014, 09:03:12 am
So the US probe MAVEN (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MAVEN) got to Mars, carrying 70kg of scientific equipment at a cost of over 600 millions $.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on September 26, 2014, 01:41:29 pm
Historic Comet landing due for Wednesday 12 November (http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-29380448)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MaximumZero on September 26, 2014, 08:05:16 pm
Historic Comet landing due for Wednesday 12 November (http://news.google.be/news/url?sr=1&ct2=http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-29380448)
Not found, 404 error. Nesting links is bad.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Parsely on September 27, 2014, 02:28:04 am
Spess rools.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on September 27, 2014, 04:18:01 am
Historic Comet landing due for Wednesday 12 November (http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-29380448)
Not found, 404 error. Nesting links is bad.
Solved.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Guardian G.I. on October 29, 2014, 06:19:05 am
American Antares rocket with an Cygnus freight spacecraft bound for the ISS explodes shortly after liftoff. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NCWunnJXdm0&feature=player_detailpage#t=163)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on October 29, 2014, 06:38:33 am
Frankly the US should just ahve bought the rights to the Soyuz design on the cheap in the 90's.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on October 29, 2014, 10:26:44 am
I'm just glad it was unmanned.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on October 31, 2014, 06:22:39 pm
A bad week for space news indeed. Virgin Galactic lost their SpaceShipTwo prototype today; catastrophically breaking up in the air. It was manned with a pilot and copilot; the latter of which died, and the former seriously injured.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on November 01, 2014, 05:12:10 pm
In lighter news, here's a excerpt from the apollo 13 wikipedia page:

Spoiler (click to show/hide)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 01, 2014, 05:30:23 pm
Doesn't the pogo effect remember to a vertical oscillation of the rocket, which if to strong enough can result in structural failure of the rocket, and possible crew death?

Doesn't sound like lighter news to me.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on November 01, 2014, 06:43:41 pm
Pogo sticks are very anti-space.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 01, 2014, 06:46:32 pm
Pogo sticks, ebbor.
Indeed, if ypur rocket starta behaving like one, bad things will happen.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on November 02, 2014, 07:22:52 am
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: miauw62 on November 02, 2014, 07:28:20 am
Considering the physics of KSP, you just might.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on November 02, 2014, 08:01:49 am
Considering the physics of KSP, you just might.
Only if Jeb is piloting, though.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Morrigi on November 02, 2014, 09:43:01 am
I cannot help but wonder how the hell the second guy survived the SpaceShipTwo.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: BFEL on November 02, 2014, 10:51:54 am
So, random thought.

What would it take to turn the Yellowstone Supervolcano into a giant rocket and fly the Earth around?

Like, how would you have to modify the mountain to get some good thrust going?

Should probably ask the XKCD guy :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordSlowpoke on November 02, 2014, 10:54:41 am
you would not get enough delta v out of it to influence the orbit in any meaningful fashion

not in any way i can think of anyway
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Arx on November 02, 2014, 10:56:17 am
Setting off the entire U.S. nuclear arsenal in the caldera might destabilise orbit.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 02, 2014, 10:57:08 am
Indeed. The Yellowstone volcano isn't capable of ejecting debris out of earth's gravitational field, so you don't get much thrust.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Octobomb on November 02, 2014, 01:07:16 pm
Turn on, release, bail.

The shock from the explosions might launch you!
According to legend (if it's true or not, I don't know) this actually occurred once in WW2. A pilot fighting in the Blitz over London ejected and his parachute failed. His life was saved by the explosion of a bomb hitting the train station below.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on November 02, 2014, 01:18:28 pm
Turn on, release, bail.

The shock from the explosions might launch you!
According to legend (if it's true or not, I don't know) this actually occurred once in WW2. A pilot fighting in the Blitz over London ejected and his parachute failed. His life was saved by the explosion of a bomb hitting the train station below.
Yeah, pretty sure that is a myth. If the fall doesn't kill you, the bomb going off just below you would.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Supercharazad on November 02, 2014, 06:12:28 pm
The blast from a bomb won't necessarily kill you if you're far enough away. If he was just far enough away from the blast that it didn't wreck his body, but not so far that it failed to slow him down sufficiently (or allowed him to speed back up to terminal velocity) and he somehow didn't get hit by any shrapnel, it's possible that he could have survived.
Unlikely on the level that it happening could be considered a miracle, but still possible.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Arx on November 03, 2014, 01:37:02 pm
Space Ship Two crash might have been a wing problem. (http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn26493-spaceshiptwo-crash-wings-were-unlocked-too-soon.html)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 05, 2014, 01:24:41 pm
Philae to land on Comet in 6 days.
 (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AvkPFXdpOQQ)

On a side note, it appears that the Antares launch failure might have been caused by a turbopump failure, in which case the compagny will likely be forced to replace their engines.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutchling on November 05, 2014, 01:45:44 pm
pretty sure it was one big accident :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 05, 2014, 02:18:32 pm
Fun fact, at a certain point Rosetta was identified as a dangerous Near Earth Orbit on a collision course with Earth.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on November 06, 2014, 03:00:04 pm
pretty sure it was one big accident :P

That is a thing of beauty.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MrWiggles on November 06, 2014, 05:34:29 pm
Space Ship Two crash might have been a wing problem. (http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn26493-spaceshiptwo-crash-wings-were-unlocked-too-soon.html)
I live in Mojave. So this was local news for me.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 12, 2014, 02:54:19 am
http://rosetta.esa.int

Philae seperation in 40 minutes.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Mictlantecuhtli on November 12, 2014, 04:00:22 am
(http://i.kinja-img.com/gawker-media/image/upload/s--TcL0dXVr--/885773055862802833.gif)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: olemars on November 12, 2014, 05:08:40 am
Pictures like these makes it worth it alone:
http://www.esa.int/Our_Activities/Space_Science/Rosetta/Highlights/Top_10_at_10_km
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 12, 2014, 05:10:32 am
Media never really captures how dusty asteroids are. Amazing pics.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 12, 2014, 06:20:57 am
http://xkcd.com/1446/
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: olemars on November 12, 2014, 06:51:01 am
With the thruster malfunctioning, they're very dependent on the harpoons having enough punch to anchor the lander without the impulse from firing them sending it back into orbit. The escape velocity if the comet is less than 1 m/s. Worst case the rock is too hard for the harpoons to penetrate, or the dust is so thick and loose they don't grip.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on November 12, 2014, 09:19:40 am
So, here are all the frames of the live xkcd webcomic. (http://www.xkcd1446.org)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on November 12, 2014, 09:47:07 am
Managed to get out of school early to watch the landing itself! :D
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on November 12, 2014, 10:02:37 am
What stream are you watching?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on November 12, 2014, 10:04:17 am
The ESA stream.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on November 12, 2014, 10:05:29 am
This?
http://new.livestream.com/esa/cometlanding
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on November 12, 2014, 10:06:26 am
Indeed. I'm doing some work in the background while waiting for the big event.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on November 12, 2014, 10:35:36 am
Annnnnd it's happened!  Or not.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on November 12, 2014, 10:41:02 am
Just waiting for the signal... Suspense is metaphorically killing me...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: olemars on November 12, 2014, 11:02:49 am
[waiting intensifies]

edit: Applause and cheering!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smirk on November 12, 2014, 11:05:23 am
Success! [/sparkles]

edit: Too soon, maybe. Something not quite right yet.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: ancistrus on November 12, 2014, 11:09:23 am
They clearly faked it. Wake up sheeple.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on November 12, 2014, 11:10:21 am
That was fast.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on November 12, 2014, 11:12:39 am
It worked! WHOOO!!!  :D
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smirk on November 12, 2014, 11:17:10 am
Despite flywheel trouble! Philae's next task is now apparently saying everything in every language ever (https://twitter.com/Philae2014).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: olemars on November 12, 2014, 11:27:30 am
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H08tGjXNHO4
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Rose on November 12, 2014, 11:35:07 am
Huzzah.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on November 12, 2014, 11:42:34 am
Hmm... Seems like the harpoons didn't fire correctly... Mission control may attempt a re-fire...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Rose on November 12, 2014, 11:45:56 am
I thought they landed?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on November 12, 2014, 11:47:58 am
It's on the surface. They just seem to have a problem with the harpoons...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Rose on November 12, 2014, 11:51:57 am
The gear is clamped on, it seems.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Mictlantecuhtli on November 12, 2014, 11:52:41 am
Landing Harpoons are totally going to be a thing in KSP now. Probably because it's the coolest way to engage an interstellar body ever. Man the harpoons!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on November 12, 2014, 12:00:19 pm
They've already got the Grabber ThingyTM from the asteroid update, but it is a pretty cool idea. There will probably be a mod for it if SQUAD doesn't put it in.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: olemars on November 12, 2014, 12:24:35 pm
In addition to the harpoons there are also anchoring drills on each leg, so even if the harpoons don't fire they're probably safe.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MonkeyHead on November 12, 2014, 12:31:59 pm
I cant see ESA taking a risk on firing the harpoons if the craft is stable on the screw/clamps - Newtons third law and all that.

Watching this unfold live on the BBC website made me think it is an awesome time to be a scientist.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 12, 2014, 01:02:30 pm
The harpoons provide extra security, which will be helpful when the comet starts disintegrating due to coming closer to the sun.

On a side note, the local radio just tried to be smart by comparing the Rosetta mission to Armaggedon, stating that (literally) it might soon no longer be fiction, and that we might soon regard it as a documentary.

I really hope I missed the intended irony there.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: olemars on November 12, 2014, 02:26:48 pm
Just listened in on the first post-landing briefing. They suspect the lander rebounded very slightly after touching down, but landed again some time afterwards.

edit: Damnit, no more info till tomorrow afternoon. Such cliffhanger (hopefully not literally).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: olemars on November 13, 2014, 05:28:56 am
First picture from the surface (http://www.esa.int/spaceinimages/Images/2014/11/Welcome_to_a_comet). The lander isn't secured on the surface the way they would prefer it to be, but they believe it is stable.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MrWiggles on November 13, 2014, 06:24:45 am
Kinda of eerie seeing it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: olemars on November 13, 2014, 07:29:57 am
Good live blog. (http://www.theguardian.com/science/across-the-universe/live/2014/nov/13/rosetta-mission-philae-lander-live-coverage-comet-esa)

Quote
We still don’t know the exact location of Philae. Ingenious Esa engineers are planning to use the radar instrument CONSERT to triangulate its position. The instrument on Rosetta is designed to probe the comet’s subsurface using radio waves, which are pinged back to the orbiter by a transponder in the Philae lander.

During the descent, CONSERT showed that the lander was just 50 metres adrift from the targeted landing spot. Esa had planned for the error in position being up to 500 metres.

Of course, that was before those two slow-motion bounces. Magnetic field data from Philae’s ROMAT instrument revealed three “landings”. The first was almost exactly on the expected arrival time of 15:33 GMT. But the anchoring harpoons did not fire and Philae rebounded.

In the weak gravity of the comet it took about two hours for the lander to return to the surface. It touched down for a second time at 17:26 GMT, then bounced again before finally coming to rest at 17:33.

Some calculations indicate that the lander might have rebounded hundreds of meters up during the 2 hour bounce, but seems to have landed close to the intended landing spot again. There's a worry the lander ended up in some sort of pit and not entirely level, but at least the data link is stable.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jhxmt on November 13, 2014, 09:22:20 am
Apparently the lander is getting some sunlight (so the solar panels are still a viable keep-it-functioning source, yay), just not as much as hoped - 1.5 hours rather than ~6.  They're discussing whether they should try to shake/'hop' the lander to a better position, but this is obviously somewhat risky without knowing exactly how it's currently sitting on the surface.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sebastian2203 on November 13, 2014, 12:48:42 pm
PTW because space is cool. Absolutely cool.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 13, 2014, 01:20:49 pm
Yes, yes it is.

When most people think "comet," they probably don't think of clay as something you'd find there. But apparently it is. Cool!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 14, 2014, 02:21:58 am
From what I read, the lander landed near spot perfect on the intended target spot, but then bounced of and landed more than a kilometer further (and in fact, landed suprisingly close to one of the back-up landing spots.)

It's stable for the moment, but unsecured and balancing on just 2 of it's 3 legs.

Philae is expected to run out of power in a day or two, but as the comet gets closer to the sun, there exists a possibility that they might be able to reactivate it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: olemars on November 14, 2014, 04:41:10 am
They're going to try to wiggle it into a better angle for receiving sunlight using one of the instruments sometime today or tomorrow. The lander legs are also designed to let the lander hop around a little if needed, the problem is they need to know exactly how the lander sits and what the area around it looks like, and then do a lot of calculations which they're hard pressed to do before the battery runs out. If they botch it the lander could be launched into orbit or land upside down, which would look embarassing to passing aliens.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smirk on November 14, 2014, 01:30:55 pm
ESA, not NASA. Although, given our current crop of politicians, that might not matter so much...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 14, 2014, 01:31:43 pm
New info appears to indicate that the lander is level, which is problematic as that means there's no easy solution. Battery is expected to run out any minute now, and ESA is rushing to extract as much data as they can before the lights go out.

Next contact is 22:30 CET, and it will probably be the last in a long while.

ESA, not NASA. Although, given our current crop of politicians, that might not matter so much...
NASA, most likely. The ESA's budget structure doesn't lend itself well to making cuts.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on November 14, 2014, 01:40:26 pm
I love of XKCD said "U.S. scientists" for most of the comic, and then switched to "scientists" at some point, likely when the author remembered it was an ESA project. :p
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 14, 2014, 01:47:28 pm
I love of XKCD said "U.S. scientists" for most of the comic, and then switched to "scientists" at some point, likely when the author remembered it was an ESA project. :p
Doesn't seem like Randal Monroe to forget something like that. He worked at Nasa, after all.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: USEC_OFFICER on November 14, 2014, 01:50:26 pm
If I remember correctly, the US scientist bits was a remnant of an earlier joke. Namely about how they were tired from waking up early to observe the landing due to timezones or something along those lines. Not the best joke in the world, obviously...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on November 14, 2014, 01:52:30 pm
Could be, but I prefer my explanation. :p
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 14, 2014, 06:13:33 pm
Anyway, Philae still has power, results have been transmitted, and the probe has successfully been rotated 35 degrees. Battery power loss expected Saturday.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 15, 2014, 03:43:34 am
Philae's batteries are drained, so this might be the last we hear from it.

Maybe next year, we hear from it again.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smirk on November 15, 2014, 04:12:03 am
Bon voyage, Philae.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on November 15, 2014, 08:48:12 am
Well, at least we know that it is possible.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on November 15, 2014, 02:34:12 pm
ESA, not NASA. Although, given our current crop of politicians, that might not matter so much...
Doesn't matter, they'd look for any excuse.

EDIT:
Spoiler (click to show/hide)

Fox is so dumb..........
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Graknorke on November 15, 2014, 03:24:47 pm
Don't think of it as a loss, think of it as a time capsule. Some time in the future it might get enough sunlight to power back on.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 15, 2014, 03:30:33 pm
Don't think of it as a loss, think of it as a time capsule. Some time in the future it might get enough sunlight to power back on.
It might power on between now and August next year, but it's unlikely to survive passing by the sun.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 15, 2014, 03:31:48 pm
Because the volatiles under the surface will combust and the surface will be a fireball?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 15, 2014, 03:39:17 pm
Because the probe is going to overheat.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on November 15, 2014, 03:41:25 pm
Theres also the chance that it'll lose grip when the surface sublimates under it, or a vapor geyser might blast it off.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 15, 2014, 03:47:57 pm
Or that it doesn't get enough power, and that it's batteries freeze.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on November 15, 2014, 05:42:36 pm
You guys trying to start a betting pool?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on November 15, 2014, 05:48:58 pm
You guys trying to start a betting pool?

No.... I don't think so....
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on November 15, 2014, 06:18:18 pm
http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-30058176
lol, that scientist quote:
Quote
Astrophysicist Elizabeth Pearson: "Philae is not dead it's just sleeping"

Apparently they got back a big batch of scientific data just before it stops transmitting though, so that's good.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on November 15, 2014, 06:20:58 pm
http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-30058176
lol, that scientist quote:
Quote
Astrophysicist Elizabeth Pearson: "Philae is not dead it's just sleeping"

Apparently they got back a big batch of scientific data just before it stops transmitting though, so that's good.

Apparently the reason why it can't get the power it needs is because it's up against a cliff that I guess they couldn't see from the pictures before landing. Or maybe they did see it, it was just the best possible.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 15, 2014, 06:26:20 pm
It kind of bounced in front of the cliff.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on November 15, 2014, 07:26:06 pm
Yeah, for those just tuning in, it was a rather eventful landing.

The vehicle had 3 main devices for securing itself upon landing: spiked feet of some sort to secure it in the material it landed on, a cold-gas thruster to push it into the comet, harpoons to attach itself to the comet and reel itself in. As for what happened:

1. In testing prior to final approach, the cold-gas thruster failed to fire, can pretty much assume that's died in some way over the course of the decade-long space travel.

2. Upon approach, the harpoons failed in some way (haven't seen any details on that; but it could either be a failure to attach to the surface or just not fired, though I think it was the latter).

3. Devices on the feet failed to get a good grip on impact.

4. Comets of that size have tiny amounts of gravity. Craft impacted comet, bounced off the surface, landed a second time approximately 2 hours later (because, again, tiny gravity). At which point it bounced a second time for something like 15 minutes, and supposedly a small third bounce as well.

5. After it stopped bouncing, craft is expected to be up to a km from the landing site (which is a pretty big distance on a comet which is only a few km across). They aren't sure from pictures quite where it actually is (http://bldgblog.blogspot.com/2014/11/we-dont-have-algorithm-for-this.html) in relation to the planned landing site. Just that it seems to be near a cliff covering it in shade most of the time.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Graknorke on November 15, 2014, 07:31:03 pm
The harpoons didn't fire, it's suspected to be because the propellant isn't reliable in a vacuum. (https://translate.google.dk/translate?sl=da&tl=en&js=y&prev=_t&hl=da&ie=UTF-8&u=http%3A%2F%2Fing.dk%2Fartikel%2Fesa-skrev-til-danske-raketbyggere-om-eksplosiv-problem-paa-philae-172274&edit-text=)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on November 15, 2014, 07:32:48 pm
The harpoons didn't fire, it's suspected to be because the propellant isn't reliable in a vacuum. (https://translate.google.dk/translate?sl=da&tl=en&js=y&prev=_t&hl=da&ie=UTF-8&u=http%3A%2F%2Fing.dk%2Fartikel%2Fesa-skrev-til-danske-raketbyggere-om-eksplosiv-problem-paa-philae-172274&edit-text=)

*facepalm* Why did they use something that they knew wasn't reliable in a vacuum? Oh I know, maybe to cut down costs.

Edit: Though it seems to be eight years after launch that they found out.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Graknorke on November 15, 2014, 07:33:29 pm
The harpoons didn't fire, it's suspected to be because the propellant isn't reliable in a vacuum. (https://translate.google.dk/translate?sl=da&tl=en&js=y&prev=_t&hl=da&ie=UTF-8&u=http%3A%2F%2Fing.dk%2Fartikel%2Fesa-skrev-til-danske-raketbyggere-om-eksplosiv-problem-paa-philae-172274&edit-text=)

*facepalm* Why did they use something that they knew wasn't reliable in a vacuum? Oh I know, maybe to cut down costs.
They didn't know. That's why they used it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on November 15, 2014, 07:36:29 pm
I read the article and apparently it wasn't until eight years after launch that they found out.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on November 16, 2014, 07:34:44 pm
In other space news, in about 2 weeks, NASA will be launching the first test flight of the Orion crew module.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exploration_Flight_Test_1
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orion_(spacecraft)#Crew_Module
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
It's a fairly large capsule, about 50% larger than Apollo capsules, with 4-6 crew and intended for deep space missions.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on November 16, 2014, 07:50:54 pm
Deep space? Jesus I'd hate to be stuck in that thing on the way home.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sneakey pete on November 16, 2014, 08:25:16 pm
It's just for short term missions, 10 odd days supposedly, if they went to mars they'd have something like this
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deep_Space_Habitat
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on November 16, 2014, 08:28:08 pm
Capsule tests! Reminds me so much of Apollo.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on November 16, 2014, 08:30:58 pm
In other space news, in about 2 weeks, NASA will be launching the first test flight of the Orion crew module.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exploration_Flight_Test_1
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orion_(spacecraft)#Crew_Module
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
It's a fairly large capsule, about 50% larger than Apollo capsules, with 4-6 crew and intended for deep space missions.

(http://i0.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/newsfeed/000/242/631/382.gif)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on November 19, 2014, 02:53:10 am
In other news on the Orion stuff: http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-30094942
Quote
The European Space Agency and Airbus have signed a contract that will see the aerospace giant build the "back end" of America's new manned spaceship.
...
The vehicle needs a propulsion unit to push it through space and to carry the humans' air and water.

So, the ESA officially signed on to the project as well.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orion_Service_Module
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: nogoodnames on November 19, 2014, 04:06:59 am
What I find most exciting is that Orion's first manned mission is planned to rendezvous with a captured asteroid in lunar orbit sometime in 2021. If they can pull that off, just think of the implications! If mining asteroids becomes feasible, I can see it setting off the space equivalent of the gold rush and revolutionizing the entire space industry, hell, the entire planet. Although the prospect of a private company eventually being able to redirect asteroids toward Earth is a bit scary, everything would have to be regulated extremely tightly. In any case, it looks like they haven't even settled on an asteroid yet. Hopefully the project doesn't end up getting delayed, the space program is in desperate need of this kind of decisive progress.

Also, this may not come as news to everyone else, but as I just found out, China has their own space station: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tiangong
Well, an orbital lab with plans to expand it into a 60 tonne space station. I don't know why I only found out about this now, it's been up since 2011. I blame the media's americentrism.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 19, 2014, 04:39:55 am
Esa signed onto Orion last year. They now gave the contract to airbus.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on November 23, 2014, 02:56:20 am
Also, this may not come as news to everyone else, but as I just found out, China has their own space station: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tiangong
Well, an orbital lab with plans to expand it into a 60 tonne space station. I don't know why I only found out about this now, it's been up since 2011. I blame the media's americentrism.
Yeah, they've also got a moon program going on. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_Lunar_Exploration_Program
The first lunar sample return since 1976, expected around 2017. There's also some talk of manned lunar missions, potentially including a moon base, which would occur in the mid 2020s.
http://www.universetoday.com/107716/china-considers-manned-moon-landing-following-breakthrough-change-3-mission-success/


In other news, it seems this is what SpaceX will be landing their reusable rocket stuff on: https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/536262624653365248
However, the more interesting implications are here:
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/536263260056850432
Quote
Will allow refuel & rocket flyback in future.
Now I'm not entirely certain, but that sounds almost as if they were planning to automatically refuel the returning stages, then have them fly back to land or something.... Which I suppose makes some sense, if you want an extremely rapid turnaround. Quite the juggling act implied there.
And as per this: http://www.spaceflightinsider.com/missions/commercial/launch-spacexs-crs-5-mission-iss-slips-dec-16/
There's a chance that their next mission some time in December/January may attempt to land on that platform; at the very least, they will be testing their new high-velocity control surfaces.
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/536258543675252739
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: nogoodnames on December 04, 2014, 04:35:31 am
The Orion test flight is going to be launched in a couple hours and NASA has started its live coverage.

Link: http://www.nasa.gov/multimedia/nasatv/index.html#.VIAoK8nYOUk
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: kaian-a-coel on December 04, 2014, 08:05:36 am
The Orion test flight is going to be launched in a couple hours and NASA has started its live coverage.

Link: http://www.nasa.gov/multimedia/nasatv/index.html#.VIAoK8nYOUk

Currently on hold due to ground winds. Should launch soon in about an hour.

Quote from: NASA website
The weather system over the launch site that is producing the wind gusts that have scrubbed the first two tries this morning is forecast to break in the next 45 minutes to an hour, reports Kathy Winters, weather officer with the 45th Weather Squadron. Our launch window this morning extends to 9:44 a.m. EST.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: nogoodnames on December 04, 2014, 08:18:09 am
New launch time is 8:26 am EST. Hopefully there won't be another sudden gust of wind.

Edit: Damn, another abort, this time because of fuel drain valves on the boosters not closing.

One final attempt before today's launch window closes. Nevermind, looks like they're scrubbing the launch for today and will try again tomorrow, same time.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on December 04, 2014, 11:31:03 am
Phew... Didn't want to miss this.

I was in school today so I could not have seen it if the launch went ahead.

Good thing there's no school tomorrow for me.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on December 04, 2014, 07:57:38 pm
"Same time" being 7 AM EST, since that wasn't explicitly mentioned.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: nogoodnames on December 05, 2014, 07:28:28 am
And it's in orbit! No delays for the launch today. In about an hour and a half it will extend its orbit to go beyond low Earth orbit before coming back for a high-speed reentry to test its heat shield.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on December 05, 2014, 07:31:00 am
Gah, had to go out this morning, so I missed the launch.

Still, glad that it made it to orbit.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on December 05, 2014, 12:53:01 pm
Finally, success! Here's to many more to come!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on December 05, 2014, 11:47:15 pm
For those who missed it, here's the launch video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UEuOpxOrA_0

Additionally, the wiki page for Dec 16's SpaceX launch now says they will in fact be landing the first stage on their drone ship.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Jervill on December 05, 2014, 11:53:06 pm
It's good to see the Orion MPCV succeed. :)  But, that was never the problem, we still need the Space Launch System to be operational (and funded, a larger concern) for the future missions to succeed.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smirk on December 07, 2014, 08:50:39 pm
NASA's New Horizons spacecraft woke up on Saturday for its Pluto flyby!

http://io9.com/nasas-new-horizons-spacecraft-awakes-to-begin-pluto-mis-1667729735

Close-ups of Pluto and probably Charon as well are due in about six weeks, apparently. Then onward to the Kuiper Belt!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on December 09, 2014, 11:05:38 pm
So apparently quite some interesting stuff coming from the Curiosity rover:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oS99yR1cooE

Seems they happened to put it down in an ancient lakebed, eroded away by wind over time to reveal tons of layers. So they're basically in absolutely the best possible location in which one could hope to do geology. Doubly so if you're interested in studying the hydrogeology of Mars.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on December 10, 2014, 11:38:13 am
NASA's New Horizons spacecraft woke up on Saturday for its Pluto flyby!

http://io9.com/nasas-new-horizons-spacecraft-awakes-to-begin-pluto-mis-1667729735

Close-ups of Pluto and probably Charon as well are due in about six weeks, apparently. Then onward to the Kuiper Belt!
Excellent! I've been eagerly awaiting the pluto pictures!

So apparently quite some interesting stuff coming from the Curiosity rover:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oS99yR1cooE

Seems they happened to put it down in an ancient lakebed, eroded away by wind over time to reveal tons of layers. So they're basically in absolutely the best possible location in which one could hope to do geology. Doubly so if you're interested in studying the hydrogeology of Mars.
Also excellent! Can't wait to see what they find!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on December 18, 2014, 02:21:08 pm
So, barring further rescheduling, the next SpaceX flight to the ISS will be tomorrow (Friday) at around 1:22PM EST.
http://spaceflightnow.com/launch-schedule/
And the spacex site now confirms that they will in fact be trying to land the first stage back on a platform/drone ship in the ocean: http://www.spacex.com/news/2014/12/16/x-marks-spot-falcon-9-attempts-ocean-platform-landing

As long as things go well enough to hit the target (or at least get close), we should get pretty good video of that, as I would imagine the ship has a bunch of cameras pointed in all directions for data collection.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sneakey pete on December 18, 2014, 02:38:00 pm
Oh my, i'd forgotten about this one, which is good since I didn't have to wait for it. Should be interesting.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on December 19, 2014, 12:01:30 pm
Looks like today's SpaceX launch is being postponed til January: https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/545965826054963200

On that launch schedule link from my previous post, it now says Jan 6, so probably around that.

Edit: Reason why now posted: http://www.spacex.com/press/2014/12/19/crs-5-launch-update
Quote
SpaceX also conducted a static fire test on December 17 and while the test accomplished nearly all goals, it did not run the full duration.
So basically, they did a test burn a couple days ago, it shut down early for some reason, so they turned the launch into another static fire test (which operated successfully), opting to do the actual launch after reviewing the data.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Guardian G.I. on December 23, 2014, 02:17:32 pm
Russia has successfully launched the first Angara A5 rocket. (http://spaceflightnow.com/2014/12/23/first-angara-5-rocket-blasts-off-from-russia/) Angara A5 is to replace Soviet-era Proton rockets.

Spoiler (click to show/hide)
Video, courtesy of Russian Ministry of Defence (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BsQOpD4TIZM)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on December 23, 2014, 02:28:51 pm
It's nice to see some Russian space stuff that's not just left-over Soviet-era rocket. It's supposed to be cheaper than the Proton too, I wonder how it compare to the Falcon, cost-wise.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on December 24, 2014, 03:14:26 pm
From what I can tell, the Protons are something like $100m. So it probably is somewhat close, as the Falcon launches are currently around $61m today, with Falcon Heavy launches expected for $85m. The A5 seems to have a payload capacity right in the middle of those two, so if it's around $70m-$80m it would currently compete pretty well. Similarly, their PPTS (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prospective_Piloted_Transport_System) would likely be a competitor for the human rated version of the Dragon capsule when those start going up.

Of course, the big thing to watch on SpaceX launch costs is whether they can pull off re-usability of a significant portion of the rocket. Currently, they're cheap, but well within the realm of plausible competition with other well managed, similarly spec'd rockets. If SpaceX can pull off reusing some of the expensive bits, the cost could go well below that of similar launch vehicles.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on December 29, 2014, 03:43:22 pm
ESA is seriously considering backing Skylon.

Link (http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2875158/The-plane-fly-four-hours-space-just-15-minutes.html)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on December 29, 2014, 04:25:06 pm
IIRC, the biggest problem Skylon is currently facing is making those pre-coolers for the engines. Once those get built and tested, the flight ceiling is the limit.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sneakey pete on December 29, 2014, 04:45:20 pm
They made those actually, i'm pretty sure (or a test prototype) to me the biggest problem is the whole everything else, pre coolers does not a rocket make....
This is great news though.

From what I can tell, the Protons are something like $100m. So it probably is somewhat close, as the Falcon launches are currently around $61m today, with Falcon Heavy launches expected for $85m. The A5 seems to have a payload capacity right in the middle of those two, so if it's around $70m-$80m it would currently compete pretty well. Similarly, their PPTS (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prospective_Piloted_Transport_System) would likely be a competitor for the human rated version of the Dragon capsule when those start going up.

Of course, the big thing to watch on SpaceX launch costs is whether they can pull off re-usability of a significant portion of the rocket. Currently, they're cheap, but well within the realm of plausible competition with other well managed, similarly spec'd rockets. If SpaceX can pull off reusing some of the expensive bits, the cost could go well below that of similar launch vehicles.
If the cost of two extra first stages is $12 million, that's the most you could expect to save from a normal falcon 9 then, in fact probably less as you'd still need to clean/refurbish and reful the recovered stage, and the stage would still probably have a limited number of flights. There's probably also going to be issues recovering the core stage from falcon 9 Heavies also as i imagine that they will be going higher.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on December 29, 2014, 04:50:30 pm
And, IIRC, SpaceX looses like 30% payload capacity to make their system reuseable.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on January 07, 2015, 10:51:13 pm
More interesting stuff from the Curiosity rover: http://www.space.com/28194-mars-rover-curiosity-photos-ancient-life.html
Quote
A careful study of images taken by the NASA rover Curiosity has revealed intriguing similarities between ancient sedimentary rocks on Mars and structures shaped by microbes on Earth. The findings suggest, but do not prove, that life may have existed earlier on the Red Planet.
Quote
On Earth, carpet-like colonies of microbes trap and rearrange sediments in shallow bodies of water such as lakes and coastal areas, forming distinctive features that fossilize over time.
Quote
The distribution patterns of the microbial structures on Earth vary depending on where they are found. Different types of structures are found together in different types of environments. For instance, microbial mats that grow in rivers will create a different set of associations than those that grow in seasonally flooded environments.

The patterns found in the Gillespie Lake outcrop are consistent with the microbial structures found in similar environments on Earth.

What’s more, the terrestrial structures change in a specific way over time. As the microbial mats form, grow, dry up, crack and re-grow, specific structures become associated with them. Here again, Noffke found that the distribution pattern in Martian rocks correspond with microbial structures on Earth that have changed over time. Taken together, these clues strengthen her argument beyond simply pointing out the similarities in shape.
Quote
"But if the Martian structures aren’t of biological origin," Noffke says, "then the similarities in morphology, but also in distribution patterns with regards to MISS on Earth would be an extraordinary coincidence."

And the original paper, for those interested in the details and diagrams and such: http://online.liebertpub.com/doi/pdf/10.1089/ast.2014.1218

Inconclusive, certainly, but potentially quite an interesting find. Especially since, as it mentions, similar formations are some of the oldest known fossil evidence of life on earth (as they are essentially just large colonies formed from micro-organisms, and so don't require the complexities of multicellular evolution), and those fossils date to a similar time period to that in which Gale Crater was a lake.


And in SpaceX news, their big launch + landing has been postponed until Saturday, at 4:47 EST. A potential issue with an actuator on the second stage thrust vectoring system came up and needed investigating.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on January 07, 2015, 11:02:27 pm
Well, holy shit. Inconclusive indeed but fairly strong evidence.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on January 10, 2015, 05:32:23 am
Well, the SpaceX launch is done, with mixed results. Payload made it up just fine; first stage hit the landing barge hard. So they've mostly got it down; they successfully hit the target, albeit faster than they would have liked.
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/553855109114101760
"Rocket made it to drone spaceport ship, but landed hard. Close, but no cigar this time. Bodes well for the future tho."
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/553857574005915648
"Didn't get good landing/impact video. Pitch dark and foggy. Will piece it together from telemetry and ... actual pieces."

Webstream, from just before launch: http://youtu.be/p7x-SumbynI?t=19m45s
Music from Kerbal Space Program at 3:40 in the webstream. :v
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on January 10, 2015, 06:17:55 am
Their boat is hardly damaged, so that's good.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on January 10, 2015, 05:23:48 pm
So, according to the twitter thingy, the rocket ran out of hydraulic fluid just before landing.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 10, 2015, 07:32:56 pm
Has 'rods from the gods' been brought up in here yet?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on January 10, 2015, 07:55:40 pm
Not technically illegal like stationing nukes in space, but if they were done, they no doubt soon would be.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 10, 2015, 08:28:35 pm
They aren't illegal.
They are tungsten rods with no explosives or anything.
They are entirly legal and follow those Cold War weapons agreements



For those who don't know what they are
It is an orbiting space station with several heavy metal non nuclear rods with no warheads that can be dropped from orbit onto stationary targets on ground with the possible ability to level an entire city or bust through quite a bit of ground and take out a heavily 'armored' bunker with ease
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: x2yzh9 on January 10, 2015, 09:28:13 pm
They aren't illegal.
They are tungsten rods with no explosives or anything.
They are entirly legal and follow those Cold War weapons agreements



For those who don't know what they are
It is an orbiting space station with several heavy metal non nuclear rods with no warheads that can be dropped from orbit onto stationary targets on ground with the possible ability to level an entire city or bust through quite a bit of ground and take out a heavily 'armored' bunker with ease
Kinetic Bombardment would probably do irreparable damage to the Earth/the tectonic plates/whatever
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 10, 2015, 09:29:30 pm
If the rods were the right size and they struck the right place
If not they won't do much more than a normal earthquake does
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sneakey pete on January 10, 2015, 09:40:52 pm
Not as effective as nukes anyway due to slow deployment time. Also don't think its just a matter of "dropping" one down, you'd need to give it a serious push out of orbit.
That being said you dont need to worry about doing damage to the plate tectonics... unless you're dropping something the size of Manhattan that is.

Anyway, hydraulic fluid int he space X? not rocket fuel?
Any pictures of the aftermath?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 10, 2015, 10:14:45 pm
Actualy you don't have to push it to much since ya know zero g
Gravity does the rest, remember these are Tungsten rods. They weigh a lot and they deploy and impact twice as fast as any ICBM as long as you have IIRC 15 satellites in the proper orbits
You could level any city you wanted in 15 minutes no mater what
And it's almost impossible to stop the rod once it's dropped, or see it coming for that matter since they are so small compared to other things like rockets (we are talking about a 20 ft long, 1-4ft in diameter rod) and upon impact (if you listen to my friend who first got me interested in this idea) a proper sized rod can liquify anything in a 30 meter diameter around the impact point.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheDarkStar on January 10, 2015, 10:17:36 pm
It's just as hard to move it out of orbit as anything that weight (and because they are fairly heavy, that makes it hard). Gravity might be pulling them, but they have a sizable amount of inertia keeping them in orbit.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 10, 2015, 10:19:13 pm
It's zero g, just put a small thruster on it and it's good to go
It would require a lot less fuel to drop one of those (drop not put them up there) than it would to get an ICBM to it's target
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: andrea on January 10, 2015, 10:38:36 pm
here is the thing: you can't get more energy from the rod than you put in. Lifting it up to orbit takes a rocket of energy ( much less, actually. most of the mass you accelerated is dropped during the flight.).
A rocket of energy is nice, especially concentrated in a rod. But that is not a weapon of mass distruction comparable to nukes. Unless you get a nuke level power source in orbit to push the rod.
Gravity won't do all the work for you and saying zero-g doesn't negate inertia. If you want a powerful weapon, you need to push nearly as hard as you want to hit.

Interception being more difficult is an excellent point however.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 10, 2015, 10:41:43 pm
Check the wiki
And about anything else
Most things say you just have to drop it and it's good, or drop it with little effort
And ya it'll take a lot of energy to get it up there but it's just as effective as a tactical nuke and much less nuclear aftermathy
I would much rather kinetic bombardment be the weapon of world war three rather than nukes, much less if any fallout at all.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on January 10, 2015, 10:53:33 pm
They are highly problematic. Blatant nation-state warfare is dead, done in by nuclear weapons capable of turning Earth into Venus several times over. Militarization of space is taboo, due to the cost of launching and the permanent cost of debris in space to the point where it could prevent all access to space. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kessler_syndrome A threat like that is existential to the long term survival of humanity, and entirely pointless due to how unnecessary it is.

There are two sorts of wars now: subversive proxy wars, in which hiding the involvement of the patron is key, and counter-insurgencies like Iraq and Afganistan. In the former, space weapons are straight out, as it is immediately obvious to all whole launched it, and if there were any still up there, they would become a diplomatic nightmare. In the latter, they are highly ineffective compared to drones and similar low cost solutions.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Rose on January 10, 2015, 11:17:46 pm
Anyway, back to current events, the Falcon 9 first stage rand out of hydraulic fuel for the fins before it made it to the ground. The next one they launch will have 50% more.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sneakey pete on January 10, 2015, 11:39:07 pm
I think someone needs to go play a bit of KSP to learn how orbital mechanics works. :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 11, 2015, 01:14:01 am
I would if I could but I can't .-.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on January 11, 2015, 08:47:43 am
They aren't illegal.
They are tungsten rods with no explosives or anything.
They are entirly legal and follow those Cold War weapons agreements

I stated they are not illegal, as weapons of mass destruction are. But they do't actually serve much purpose, in truth. Conventional weapons are not illegal in space. Nuclear weapons are. However, if orbital bombardment weapons were to be developed, they would probably be made illegal in short order.

Check the wiki
And about anything else
Most things say you just have to drop it and it's good, or drop it with little effort
And ya it'll take a lot of energy to get it up there but it's just as effective as a tactical nuke and much less nuclear aftermathy
I would much rather kinetic bombardment be the weapon of world war three rather than nukes, much less if any fallout at all.

Unless you want it to drop several months later, you need something to push it out of orbit. It won't simply drop to Earth for the same reasons satellites don't need to be constantly firing thrusters. (Most satellites need to 'top up' their orbits every now and again because of drag from the very top reaches of Earth's atmosphere slows them down, I believe.) But you need something to push you out of orbit if you want to hit the ground any time soon. And satellites travel fast. That's a lot of momentum, especially for a big block of heavy metal.

In truth, a conventional bomb of the same size and weight as the tungsten rod would be just as effective. It would also not have the ridiculously huge cost of actually getting the bombardment satellite and it's ammunition into orbit in the first place.

It has a few advantages, compared to an ICBM, true, but it also has disadvantages. it would hit quicker than an ICBM, and so be harder to detect and intercept with anti-missile weaponry.

It does, however, have significant disadvantages, and these are no doubt why it has never passed the theoretical stage.
a) Huge cost - it costs one hell of a lot to get anything into space, never mind literally blocks of heavy metal.
b) The weapon is blind during reentry - a plasma sheath would efectively render it unable to track mobile targets, unlike an ICBM
c) A satellite can't dodge - if the satellite was discovered before it could launch it's rods, it could be destroyed easily. Satellites being destroyed is bad for everyone due to aforementioned Kessler Syndrome. We can already track tiny bits of debris in orbit - a weapons satellite would certainly be watched by every nation that had a telescope to put together.
d) The satellite has to pass over the target - there's a limited amount of places a satellite can cover at once. A rod has a fairly narrow area of effect - you couldn't, in fact, level "any city you wanted in fifteen minutes no matter what".
e) It'd probably be considered a war crime - it might not use nuclear materials, but neither does gas. If it was as powerful as you say, it effectively couldn't be used for the same reason nuclear weapons aren't. When you destroy a city, people tend to get upset. There's not enough precision in it to use it without civilian casualties that would probably be seen as unacceptable. There's civilian casualties, and then there's an entire city worth of people all at once. One is considered more acceptable than the other.

Modern warfare is about mobility.  The entire British nuclear arsenal is on submarines currently... somewhere. So if you destroyed, say, Birmingham with one of these rods - you could probably expect a nuke in short order.

Wars aren't done between developed nation states anymore. MAD is still good and strong. It's why Russia could invade Ukraine - Ukraine gave it's nukes back to Russia when it became a sovereign nation in return for an agreement of protection by Russia, UK and USA. It ended up rather poorly for them, but if they'd kept their nukes it never would have happened.

Similarly, wars against insurgents require more precision. Precision can be easily delivered with aircraft munitions and cruise missiles for a fraction of the cost of an orbital bombardment weapon.


Much like mechs, a cool concept, but there's a reason why they aren't a thing.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on January 11, 2015, 09:07:36 am
Quote from: Outer Space treaty, Article 4
States Parties to the Treaty undertake not to place in orbit around the Earth any
objects carrying nuclear weapons or any other kinds of weapons of mass
destruction, install such weapons on celestial bodies, or station such weapons in
outer space in any other manner.
Any Weapon of Mass destruction is illegal.

However a kinetic rod wouldn't be destructive enough to qualify as a weapon of mass destruction. A 10 ton rod at mach 10 would have an explosive yield about equal to it's weight in TNT, so it's certainly isn't going to wipe cities of the map.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on January 11, 2015, 09:37:04 am
Okay, so let's take a 10m-long, 30-cm wide solid tungsten rod.

According to Wolfram Alpha, it would have weight of 90 tons.

Now, using this terminal velocity calculator (http://www.calctool.org/CALC/eng/aerospace/terminal), I get a terminal velocity of 7478 m/s. That's an energy of 1.2 kilotons of TNT, or a tenth of the bomb that destroyed Hiroshima.

Now, SpaceX ask for something like 4000$ per kg. So you'd need 360 millions dollars of launch cost. Add in the price of the weapon itself, and you get a best case of 400 millions $ (The tungsten itself would already cost 4 millions).

You could probably just buy the city you want to attack for that kind of money.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on January 11, 2015, 09:53:03 am
Note that due to the characteristics of the weapon, most of the damage will be highly localized. Won't make a big blast.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 11, 2015, 10:51:43 am
I'm just clearifying I don't really support big weapons of war but if I did it would be this
Also with the strike anywhere in 15 minutes that was if you had the proper number of satellites, if you had just the one you wouldn't be able to strike anywhere.
The rods can be moved after dropped they are supposed to have a guidance computer but as you said the plasma sheath would make that ineffective after a point.
No this is not a really reasonable weapon I just thought it was a fun one, yes like the mechs.

And if Sheb is correct that's actualy pretty cheap as city destroyers go
If it's only $400 million per rod to get into space that's probably a lot cheaper than nukes.
But ya they aren't all that great anyways
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on January 11, 2015, 10:53:45 am
Well, that's the minimal possible cost. Not including maintenance. You'd probably be looking at over a billion a piece, for stuff that isn't that practical. Nukes are definitely cheaper than that.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 11, 2015, 10:56:09 am
I dunno developing the things isn't cheap.
Let's say some random fairly whealthy country wanted one of the two, it would probably be cheaper for orbital bombardment than developing a nuke and hiding it from everyone
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Radio Controlled on January 11, 2015, 11:00:42 am
Cry, unless you can post some numbers, arguing by gut feeling isn't very convincing. Developing a space program also ain't cheap.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on January 11, 2015, 11:01:10 am
Also, we're not talking city destroyer. My rod would have a tenth of the yield of the Hiroshima bomb..
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Radio Controlled on January 11, 2015, 11:02:05 am
Also, we're not talking city destroyer. My rod would have a tenth of the yield of the Hiroshima bomb..

Must... Quote... Out of context...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 11, 2015, 11:02:37 am
Dropped in the middle of a big city and your take out quite a bit of it plus you just have the. The problem of a giant hole in the city and a 90 ton tungsten rod
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Radio Controlled on January 11, 2015, 11:07:24 am
Dropped in the middle of a big city and your take out quite a bit of it plus you just have the. The problem of a giant hole in the city and a 90 ton tungsten rod

Nobody is saying it couldn't be devastating. The question was wether it's a cost-effective option.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 11, 2015, 11:08:08 am
No he said it wasn't a city destroyed


We already established it's not cost effective at all
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on January 11, 2015, 11:08:20 am
Dropped in the middle of a big city and your take out quite a bit of it plus you just have the. The problem of a giant hole in the city and a 90 ton tungsten rod
Depends. Chances are a significant part of the energy is lost penetrating into the ground/evaporating the rod, making the blast less effective.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Radio Controlled on January 11, 2015, 11:08:53 am
No he said it wasn't a city destroyed


We already established it's not cost effective at all

In that case you just increase the mass until you get destruction needed.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 11, 2015, 11:10:05 am
Dropped in the middle of a big city and your take out quite a bit of it plus you just have the. The problem of a giant hole in the city and a 90 ton tungsten rod
Depends. Chances are a significant part of the energy is lost penetrating into the ground/evaporating the rod, making the blast less effective.
Wouldn't the impact itself shake the earth?
I mean this is a 90 ton rod impacting with 1/10 the force of a Fat man 
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on January 11, 2015, 11:30:32 am
Looking at it further...

Quote from: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kinetic_bombardment
In the case of the system mentioned in the 2003 Air Force report above, a 6.1 m × 0.3 m tungsten cylinder impacting at Mach 10 has a kinetic energy equivalent to approximately 11.5 tons of TNT (or 7.2 tons of dynamite). The mass of such a cylinder is itself greater than 9 tons,


So such a weapon would not only be vastly more expensive, it would be less powerful than the same weight of explosives!

Quote from: From reddit, take with salt:
And it's super expensive. I ran the math on this- the cost of 1 tungsten rod and the mass to get it to orbit- not counting the platform to launch it, would cost as much as 10 kilotons (roughly) of GPS-guided JDAM bombs. Thor, by the way, has optimally around 60 tons of TNT equivalent, if I remember.
COURTESY EDIT- Seems I mis-remembered my figures. Assuming $10,000 dollars per JDAM for delivery and pound-for-pound blast equivalence with TNT (Which is not true, I just couldn't find figures, it's probably a lot higher), you could fire off 800 JDAMs for a total of 363 tons of TNT. Thirty times as much as the 10 tons of the Thor, and that's a really conservative estimate.
*If anybody can find me figures for the total cost of a JDAM, including fuel used to transport and deliver the munition, and also the power of the explosive in the JDAM compared to TNT so I can make these figures really accurate, I'd be most appreciative.

That reddit quote is about Project Thor, the US investigation into orbital rod weaponry. You don't realise quite how it seems to lack bang for it's buck: not only is it a lot weaker than you believe, cry, it's monstrously expensive and completely impractical. You don't realise the difficulty of maintaining things in space.

It's not even something you can hide, either: people notice rocket launches. Especially the many, many multiple launches it would take to set up the satellite network to be reliably able to hit targets with the weapon.

It's be easier, cheaper, and more effective to develop ICBMs and use those.
Dropped in the middle of a big city and your take out quite a bit of it plus you just have the. The problem of a giant hole in the city and a 90 ton tungsten rod

It's seeming quite likely you wouldn't even have the giant hole. You'd have a hole, sure, but for the same cost you could have levelled more of the city with bombs.

You think the explosions of a lot of bombs wouldn't shake the earth? It's all about the yield, and the rod just doesn't match up with conventional explosives.

No he said it wasn't a city destroyed


We already established it's not cost effective at all

In that case you just increase the mass until you get destruction needed.

A higher mass exponentially increases the cost involved, due to the Tsiolkovsky rocket equation. Then it'd become even less cost effective the bigger you make it. Getting things into space - to stay - isn't easy.

EDIT: Woops, wrong rocket equation
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 11, 2015, 11:42:24 am
Ok I get it it's not reasonable
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Radio Controlled on January 11, 2015, 11:52:54 am
Quote
A higher mass exponentially increases the cost involved, due to the Tsiolkovsky rocket equation. Then it'd become even less cost effective the bigger you make it. Getting things into space - to stay - isn't easy.

I know, that's the point. If the discussion is about cost-effectiveness, then other options are better. If the discussion is about how destructive it could be, you increase the mass until desired outcome.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on January 11, 2015, 11:56:54 am
Why does higher mass mean exponentially higher cost? Can't you just ship it in parts and assemble it in orbit?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheDarkStar on January 11, 2015, 12:00:42 pm
What if you increase the velocity instead of the mass? Kinetic energy is (1/2)mv2, so increasing impact velocity can substantially increase damage.

Edit: The mass causes exponentially higher cost because of this:

dV = g0Ispln(mass before burning fuel / mass after burning fuel)

dV is the change in velocity (7km/s is needed for Earth orbit iirc), g0 is the force of gravity or 9.81 m/s2, Isp is a measure of efficiency measured in seconds, and ln means natural log. The exponential thing comes from the natural log - the inverse is the ex function.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on January 11, 2015, 12:02:05 pm
Well, then you'd need to accelerate the thing, the concept is to let it fall.

And I get you point, but you could just send two rockets and assemble the stuff in space.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheDarkStar on January 11, 2015, 12:04:16 pm
If you decelerate it from a higher orbit, it ends up faster and takes less energy to slow down enough to reenter.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on January 11, 2015, 12:24:38 pm
Whatever you do, space is so expensive I find it hard to believe you could ever make it worth it for weaponry.

Unless you had a railgun on the moon or something, but that'd be repurposed mining/launch equipment, not a dedicated weapon.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Rose on January 11, 2015, 12:34:39 pm
Can we talk about moon pools?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on January 11, 2015, 12:42:11 pm
Sorry, totally impractical.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 11, 2015, 12:46:49 pm
What are moon pools?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Arx on January 11, 2015, 12:47:57 pm
These (http://what-if.xkcd.com/124/).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 11, 2015, 12:57:56 pm
I approve
Also thanks, I didn't know that updated again
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on January 11, 2015, 09:49:46 pm
A moon pool would be epic, but I think it's kinda the thing that would need to wait for both the common man having access to the moon and an eccentric billionaire before it ever got done. Water is heavy after all.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 11, 2015, 09:50:54 pm
Not as heavy as some useless telescope
Pshhh
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Quartz_Mace on January 11, 2015, 09:55:04 pm
If the universe is constantly expanding, what is it expanding into?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 11, 2015, 10:01:32 pm
I just thought the edge of our observation was the point where the universes expansion is greater than the lights ability to reach earth or something like that
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on January 11, 2015, 10:02:12 pm
The way that I heard it explained is that as you get farther away the light has to have been traveling farther to have reached you. The "edge" of the universe that we can see is because that's the point where the light that we are seeing is the light from right after the big bang. We can't see any farther then that because the light from anything farther away hasn't had time to reach us yet.

(This also has the nifty side effect that no matter where you are standing it seems like you are standing in the exact center of the universe, since the "limit" is based off of the speed of light and your current position.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 11, 2015, 10:07:44 pm
So what would happen if something went faster than the speed of light?
I say something because it would have to be a very special 'thing' to pull that off
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on January 11, 2015, 10:12:27 pm
So what would happen if something went faster than the speed of light?
I say something because it would have to be a very special 'thing' to pull that off
As far as we know you can't (or at least not locally).

If you worked around it some way (such as through wormhole) it would look like the universe was two unconnected bubbles, one large one centered on you and one smaller one on the other end of the wormhole.

As for what would happen to you if you actually did go faster then light, you actually end up arriving at your destination before you leave (as a weird version of time travel), which is one of the reasons we don't think it could happen, since it plays hell with causality. It would also seem like the universe had "moved", in the sense that things on one side (the one you were traveling away from) would disappear and things on the side you were traveling towards would suddenly appear from nothingness.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Quartz_Mace on January 11, 2015, 10:14:47 pm
So what would happen if something went faster than the speed of light?
I say something because it would have to be a very special 'thing' to pull that off
As far as we know you can't (or at least not locally).

If you worked around it some way (such as through wormhole) it would look like the universe was two unconnected bubbles, one large one centered on you and one smaller one on the other end of the wormhole.

As for what would happen to you if you actually did go faster then light, you actually end up arriving at your destination before you leave (as a weird version of time travel), which is one of the reasons we don't think it could happen, since it plays hell with causality. It would also seem like the universe had "moved", in the sense that things on one side (the one you were traveling away from) would disappear and things on the side you were traveling towards would suddenly appear from nothingness.
So, you'd essentially break physics, DF style?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 11, 2015, 10:25:21 pm
Ya I'd heard that before but I meant just a particle

Worm holes don't realy found because you're taking a short cut and not actualy reaching the speed.

What if faster than light things exist but we just can't observe them?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Quartz_Mace on January 11, 2015, 10:28:03 pm
Ya I'd heard that before but I meant just a particle

Worm holes don't realy found because you're taking a short cut and not actualy reaching the speed.

What if faster than light things exist but we just can't observe them?
Then let's hope one doesn't hit the Earth.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on January 11, 2015, 10:28:56 pm
What if faster than light things exist but we just can't observe them?
They've already been theorized in the form of Tachyons (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tachyon), but so far no experiments we've done to try to detect them have shown anything. That said the biggest reason why we don't think they exist is:
Quote from: Wikipedia
Most physicists think that faster-than-light particles cannot exist because they are not consistent with the known laws of physics. If such particles did exist, they could be used to build a tachyonic antitelephone and send signals faster than light, which (according to special relativity) would lead to violations of causality.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 11, 2015, 10:34:23 pm
Ah
Well...

What would happen if a theoretical tachyon struck a black hole?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on January 11, 2015, 10:35:59 pm
Ah
Well...

What would happen if a theoretical tachyon struck a black hole?
They've got imaginary mass, so AFAIK it would just shoot straight through it. Lots of things (like gravity, and crashing into things, etc.) wouldn't really apply to a theoretical tachyon AFAIK.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheDarkStar on January 11, 2015, 10:38:07 pm
Any FTL phenomenon allows time travel (and other bizarre things), even wormholes. That's why we're pretty sure it's impossible.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 11, 2015, 10:39:21 pm
So it would pass straight through the densest thing that exists in this universe?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheDarkStar on January 11, 2015, 10:42:15 pm
Yes, because it doesn't interact at all. This brings up the point "Why does it matter if it exists or not if it has no effect on the world?"
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on January 11, 2015, 11:16:52 pm
In a similar vein are things like Dark Matter (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dark_matter). So far as we can tell, dark matter doesn't really interact with things; and is observed only by its gravitational pull. It makes up a large majority of the matter in the universe, and is thus largely responsible for the shapes and distribution of galaxies.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 11, 2015, 11:20:36 pm
Don't dark matter and normal matter not get along all too well?
As in when they come in contact their whole mass is converted into pure energy or something along those lines?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on January 11, 2015, 11:23:37 pm
No, that's antimatter, which is an entirely different thing.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 11, 2015, 11:25:15 pm
Ah
I always get those two mixed up
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on January 12, 2015, 12:26:54 am
In a similar vein are things like Dark Matter (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dark_matter). So far as we can tell, dark matter doesn't really interact with things; and is observed only by its gravitational pull. It makes up a large majority of the matter in the universe, and is thus largely responsible for the shapes and distribution of galaxies.

Well, gravitational pull is a way to interact with matter...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 12, 2015, 12:37:33 am
Is there a special name for normals matter? I mean the stuff you me and this phone are made of
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MrWiggles on January 12, 2015, 12:47:14 am
Plebeian Vanilla Matter.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 12, 2015, 12:49:27 am
Boy do I feel stupid now

So what would be patrician chocolate matter?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on January 12, 2015, 12:51:49 am
The so-called Itdozent matter.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on January 12, 2015, 02:22:01 am
Is there a special name for normals matter? I mean the stuff you me and this phone are made of
There's actually a bunch of stuff; the general thing it all falls under is The Standard Model of particle physics: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Standard_Model

In general, you've got your force-carrying stuff:
The gauge bosons, with gluons being the Strong Nuclear Force which holds together things like protons and neutrons, photons which carry the Electromagnetic Force, Z and W bosons, which carry the Weak Nuclear Force responsible for holding nuclei together. Then there's the Higgs boson, for Gravitational Force. Those are the four known forces of nature; all of which are carried by bosons, differentiated from fermions by an integer Spin number (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spin_(physics)).


Then you've got the other stuff, the fermions; these have several subdivisions, but have a Spin number of 1/2.
The first are the 6 quarks (up, down, charm, strange, top, bottom), which are never found in isolation (there are also 6 anti-quarks, which are mostly the same, but with opposite charge). These combine into Hadrons, in one of two categories: Baryons, as which neutrons and protons are categorized, in which there are three quarks (as well as anti-baryons, which have 3 anti-quarks). Mesons, in which there is one quark and one anti-quark, which have a short lifetime and usually involve high-energy interactions. These are held together by gluons, as it is the strong nuclear force doing this.

The second are the 6 leptons (electron, muon, tau, electron neutrino, muon neutrino, tau neutrino) and their 6 anti-particles (possibly only 3 antiparticles; neutrinos have no charge and so may be their own anti-particle?). Electrons you are of course familiar with, and neutrinos are weakly interacting particles with no charge which generally pass though kilometers of material unimpeded (which is why neutrino detectors are built deep underground -- it blocks out everything else).

So backing up a bit, these can be broken down further into 2 sets of 2 types. For the quarks, these are the up-type (up, charm, top) and down-type (down, strange, bottom). For Leptons, they are charged-type (electron, muon, tau), and neutral-type (electron neutrino, muon neutrino, tau neutrino). All particles within a type have generally the same properties, but different mass, with the higher-mass particles generally decaying rapidly to their lower-mass counterparts. As you may have noticed, these categories each contain 3 elemental particles; these are referred to as Generations. According to wikipedia (from which all this info in gleaned), generation 4 and higher particles have been pretty much ruled out by recent measurements of the Higgs Boson.


And that's just about all there is, outside of quark and gluon 'color' designations (which is just some details about why quarks can only exists in combinations of 3 and 2 in the baryon and mesons, and in no other states). 5 types of force-carriers, 4 types of stuff (subdivided into 3 generations and further into matter/antimatter). So I did sort of lie when I said it was a bunch of stuff, considering those 9 types encompass all known matter, antimatter, and forces within the universe.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 12, 2015, 08:21:33 am
I wonder how much money we put into making the colliders used to find most of those? I wonder if it would have been better spent on something more.... Practical... I guess I just have a hard time being ok with throwing our money into seeing what everything is made of when of could be spent on research for cures to diseases, lessening world hunger, using a hadron collider as a WMD, keeping out environment from going to hell, finding a replacement for fossils fuels, giving those developing nations a push into the modern world, etc etc
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on January 12, 2015, 08:23:40 am
I wonder how much money we put into making the colliders used to find most of those? I wonder if it would have been better spent on something more.... Practical... I guess I just have a hard time being ok with throwing our money into seeing what everything is made of when of could be spent on research for cures to diseases, lessening world hunger, using a hadron collider as a WMD, keeping out environment from going to hell, finding a replacement for fossils fuels, giving those developing nations a push into the modern world, etc etc

LOTS and LOTS of money, also, it's not like we're building a new one every month or something.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on January 12, 2015, 08:31:30 am
Well, the LHC had a budget of 7.5 billions US dollars. It may seems like a lot, but to pierce the inner secrets of the universe? Totally worth it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Radio Controlled on January 12, 2015, 08:32:02 am
I wonder how much money we put into making the colliders used to find most of those? I wonder if it would have been better spent on something more.... Practical... I guess I just have a hard time being ok with throwing our money into seeing what everything is made of when of could be spent on research for cures to diseases, lessening world hunger, using a hadron collider as a WMD, keeping out environment from going to hell, finding a replacement for fossils fuels, giving those developing nations a push into the modern world, etc etc

And you donate all of your excess disposable money to charity?

I could get partially behind you if you replaced 'colliders' with 'military spending'. Thing is, fundamental researcg learns us a lot about how reality operates, which may have unforseen applications somewhere down the line.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on January 12, 2015, 08:38:22 am
Or gosh, you now, the entertainment industry. A significant part of it doesn't do anything useful, and has no positive side effects whatsoever.

At least military spending stimulates innovation. (And for scientific investement it's pretty much proven that spin-off projects will result in a significant benefit.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Radio Controlled on January 12, 2015, 08:41:43 am
Or gosh, you now, the entertainment industry. A significant part of it doesn't do anything useful, and has no positive side effects whatsoever.

At least military spending stimulates innovation.

I think he was referring more to government spending (though they also sponsor culture, but not sure if they do that for big bussines like hollywood and such). And yes, it is true the military often do stimulate certain areas, but one has to wonder if not more innovation could be had from directly investing that money into science, as opposed to this more roundabout way.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: x2yzh9 on January 12, 2015, 09:27:45 am
   So alway, what you are saying is that these things are just simplified forms of fission or fusion physics but instead are a simplified version of all that? I'm not quite sure what you were talking about; a lot of it made sense to me but when you went into the numbered realm of quantifying all that it threw me for a loop.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 12, 2015, 09:30:08 am
I was being sarcastic....
I have no problem with this program and I thought people would notice the joke or two inside of that...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on January 12, 2015, 09:36:48 am
I wonder how much money we put into making the colliders used to find most of those? I wonder if it would have been better spent on something more.... Practical... I guess I just have a hard time being ok with throwing our money into seeing what everything is made of when of could be spent on research for cures to diseases, lessening world hunger, using a hadron collider as a WMD, keeping out environment from going to hell, finding a replacement for fossils fuels, giving those developing nations a push into the modern world, etc etc

(http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/2/2b/U.S._Federal_Spending_-_FY_2011.png)

Going from the figure Sheb stated, the LHC cost approximately 1.2% of the Defence Department spending for 1 year. Of course, the LHC was built from 998 to 2008, I think, so that's spread over 10 years, so 0.75 billion dollars a year, say.

In comparison, the cost to solve world hunger would be around 30 billion dollars, or 4.8% of the yearly Defence Department budget.

The US has the largest two air forces in the world. The first is the USAF. The second is the US Navy. The US navy is larger in ship tonnage than the next 13 navies combined, 11 of which are allies of the US. The US is in no danger by any one or combination of nations. So of places money could come, the defence spending of one year would work without even a slightest risk to Pax Americana.

NINJAEDIT:

I was being sarcastic....
I have no problem with this program and I thought people would notice the joke or two inside of that...

I've seen a lot of people comment those exact words seriously (minus the WMD part). But I've written all this now. Ah, well.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 12, 2015, 09:39:33 am
actually you missed something.
The navy has more planes than the airforce.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on January 12, 2015, 10:17:32 am
The Navy has 2,274 aircraft total. The USAF has 5,638 aircraft total.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 12, 2015, 10:20:10 am
The Navy has 2,274 aircraft total. The USAF has 5,638 aircraft total.
Is it possible that those USAF planes are on Navy ships?
I ask because the airforce instructors at my school even admit that the navy has more planes
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on January 12, 2015, 10:33:44 am
I don't know: those are just the figures I found.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on January 12, 2015, 10:45:16 am
Of course, the LHC was built from 998 to 2008, I think, so that's spread over 1010 years, so 0.0075 billion dollars a year, say.

Found that typo specially funny, the blue letters "my corrections". Pictured people building a wooden LHC, kind of like the tower in the intro video of civIII
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 12, 2015, 11:37:33 am
I don't know: those are just the figures I found.
ok...
Ya I've got several navy relatives and they say the some thing.. One of them is also an avionics electrician so ya..
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on January 12, 2015, 12:11:05 pm
I don't know: those are just the figures I found.
ok...
Ya I've got several navy relatives and they say the some thing.. One of them is also an avionics electrician so ya..


Well, if you can find some hard figures, post them.

But that would mean the Navy would run more planes, and the huge quantity of ships, including carriers that cost ~400 million dollars a day to run, with approximately the same rough funding. If yo ucan show proof beyond ancedotes, show them, and I will stand corrected.

Of course, the LHC was built from 998 to 2008, I think, so that's spread over 1010 years, so 0.0075 billion dollars a year, say.

Found that typo specially funny, the blue letters "my corrections". Pictured people building a wooden LHC, kind of like the tower in the intro video of civIII

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 12, 2015, 12:19:27 pm
I don't know: those are just the figures I found.
ok...
Ya I've got several navy relatives and they say the some thing.. One of them is also an avionics electrician so ya..


Well, if you can find some hard figures, post them.

But that would mean the Navy would run more planes, and the huge quantity of ships, including carriers that cost ~400 million dollars a day to run, with approximately the same rough funding. If yo ucan show proof beyond ancedotes, show them, and I will stand corrected.

Of course, the LHC was built from 998 to 2008, I think, so that's spread over 1010 years, so 0.0075 billion dollars a year, say.

Found that typo specially funny, the blue letters "my corrections". Pictured people building a wooden LHC, kind of like the tower in the intro video of civIII

I'll ask around but even if its not right your stats showed that they have roughly half the aircraft that the USAF has which is quite a bit considering they aren't an air based branch, or at least not thought of as one.

also that last one is so amazing
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sneakey pete on January 13, 2015, 06:42:18 am
Was discussing the falcon 9 landing issues with a colleague at work, wondering exactly how one can run out of hydraulic fluid, its supposed to be a sealed system after all. Is that just a fancy way of saying that they had a leak? To quote him "if my brakes fail because the line came off I don't say I ran out of brake fluid"
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on January 13, 2015, 06:45:30 am
They don't use a closed system. That would be too heavy.

https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/554023312033341440
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Arx on January 13, 2015, 06:46:38 am
The Falcon 9 uses an open hydraulic system to save on weight, since the fins are only needed to operate for about four minutes. They were apparently about 10% short.

Edit: Spehss ninjas.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 13, 2015, 11:01:20 am
So what would be the best method for deterring comets/asteroids/meteoroids/etc from striking the earth.
There have been several proposed theories for destroying them or just throwing them off their path to colliding with us.

I think we can agree that blowing it up with a nuke as it heads towards earth just makes the situation worse because then you just get a shower of big chunks of a giant flying rock.
But what is the best system for moving/destroying them?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordSlowpoke on January 13, 2015, 11:04:07 am
best idea would be to intercept the bastard while it's still on high orbit and push it a few meters per second in any direction

preferably into the sun, just because
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 13, 2015, 11:07:44 am
couldn't that cause a flare if the thing was large enough?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on January 13, 2015, 11:25:52 am
In that case, big enough also means that it's big enough to tear all the planets from their respective orbits as it passes by.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 13, 2015, 11:46:44 am
Who said it had to pass other planets?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on January 13, 2015, 11:57:00 am
If something has the pull to do it, it doesn't have to actually pass the planets, just their orbits.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 13, 2015, 12:04:47 pm
ah

ok nevermind on the solar flares thing then
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on January 13, 2015, 11:07:07 pm
In the distant future, if deflector shields exist, what would they be, what would they block, and how would they work.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 13, 2015, 11:14:23 pm
I always had good faith in magnets being able to deflect most things (or at least most metal things).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on January 13, 2015, 11:15:37 pm
Mostly radiation, well the ones I can imagine.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on January 13, 2015, 11:55:47 pm
I always had good faith in magnets being able to deflect most things (or at least most metal things).
Then the enemy would just make tungsten bullets, or the like. (any non-magnetic metal would work)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 14, 2015, 12:01:03 am
Would still work on a massive space ship scale, just deflect the asterioids instead of weave through them  :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: flame99 on January 14, 2015, 12:05:22 am
Not much to contribute to this, but PtW.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on January 14, 2015, 04:58:27 pm
Well. the USArmy just developed and mounted ships with anti-missile laser weapons.

So I'm guessing deflectors would be used to prevent Anti-Ship-Lasers, and in stead of AMM's we'll have Point-defense lasers to deflect fighters trying to enter the sphere of ASL influence and conventional warheads.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on January 14, 2015, 05:58:48 pm
but how would you deflect lasers? would you refract them away from your ship? Like water in a glass?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Levi on January 14, 2015, 06:27:17 pm
Cover your missiles with mirrors.   :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on January 14, 2015, 08:24:45 pm
Clearly you have to shoot their lasers with your lasers, and by the law of bad science fiction they'll cancel out.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on January 14, 2015, 08:28:05 pm
Yeah, or use cutting edge "fog" technology to make their weapon useless.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on January 14, 2015, 08:28:38 pm
I actually have a snazzy book (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Physics_of_the_Impossible) that covers things like this (got it signed by the author too!). I'm working from memory here, but IIRC the basic outline for a "shield" like the kind you see on spaceships in science fiction would be a combination of a few different things, notably a sphere-esque shape of carbon nanotubes to deflect solid objects combined with a fast-transition lens type of thing that would nigh-instantly opaque on contact with a focused light beam (i.e. laser weapon).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MDFification on January 14, 2015, 08:50:24 pm
I actually have a snazzy book (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Physics_of_the_Impossible) that covers things like this (got it signed by the author too!). I'm working from memory here, but IIRC the basic outline for a "shield" like the kind you see on spaceships in science fiction would be a combination of a few different things, notably a sphere-esque shape of carbon nanotubes to deflect solid objects combined with a fast-transition lens type of thing that would nigh-instantly opaque on contact with a focused light beam (i.e. laser weapon).

Yay, physics of the impossible!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 14, 2015, 10:09:18 pm
Clearly you have to shoot their lasers with your lasers, and by the law of bad science fiction they'll cancel out.

Oh no they crossed the beams!  :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on January 14, 2015, 10:49:34 pm
I actually have a snazzy book (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Physics_of_the_Impossible) that covers things like this (got it signed by the author too!). I'm working from memory here, but IIRC the basic outline for a "shield" like the kind you see on spaceships in science fiction would be a combination of a few different things, notably a sphere-esque shape of carbon nanotubes to deflect solid objects combined with a fast-transition lens type of thing that would nigh-instantly opaque on contact with a focused light beam (i.e. laser weapon).

But if it does that, wouldn't all of the laser's heat go to that lens?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: flame99 on January 15, 2015, 12:00:25 am
I actually have a snazzy book (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Physics_of_the_Impossible) that covers things like this (got it signed by the author too!). I'm working from memory here, but IIRC the basic outline for a "shield" like the kind you see on spaceships in science fiction would be a combination of a few different things, notably a sphere-esque shape of carbon nanotubes to deflect solid objects combined with a fast-transition lens type of thing that would nigh-instantly opaque on contact with a focused light beam (i.e. laser weapon).
Is...Is that a TARDIS on the cover?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on January 15, 2015, 01:07:18 am
Clearly you have to shoot their lasers with your lasers, and by the law of bad science fiction they'll cancel out.

Oh no they crossed the beams!  :P
This works by laws of actual science as well. It's no more and no less than applying interference.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on January 15, 2015, 01:23:49 am
Is...Is that a TARDIS on the cover?
Maybe...

But if it does that, wouldn't all of the laser's heat go to that lens?
Yeah, but it could work the same as armor does for bullets. If we know what is gonna take the hit then we could hypothetically engineer that particular material to be highly resistant to that kind of hit (having good thermal resistance and fast diffusion rates, for example). It's not the best, but it's about the best you can get in reality. (Checking the book now it also suggests a plasma window on top of the other two layers to keep oxygen/vacuum from passing through the force field. (It even suggests using argon gas so that you get the same blue-colored glow as they do in Star Trek. :P)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on January 16, 2015, 02:21:02 am
Elon Musk posted some photos of the falcon first stage impacting the landing craft:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/B7c7SPiCYAAmPZo.jpg
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/B7c73oaCQAA7V-j.jpg
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/B7c9o7CCMAA7vyP.jpg
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/B7c-iRaCYAAPxQ9.jpg
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sneakey pete on January 16, 2015, 02:22:57 am
Things seem to have got a bit explode-y at the end :|
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Arx on January 16, 2015, 12:28:50 pm
It was, after all, a failed landing.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on January 16, 2015, 02:10:19 pm
Ah, and SpaceX posted the video too. https://vine.co/v/OjqeYWWpVWK
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MonkeyHead on January 16, 2015, 02:12:24 pm
Oh, the failed Beagle 2 lander was found intact on the surface of Mars, too. Kinda unexpected - it was assumed to have impacted rather than landed.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on January 16, 2015, 02:13:32 pm
How'd they find it?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MonkeyHead on January 16, 2015, 02:22:10 pm
BBC article: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-30784886

High res MRO images spotted it and some of its landing mechanisms.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on January 18, 2015, 03:44:11 pm
That's really sad actually. Following the failure, the entire Beagle program was scrapped. Had they known that they were this close, there likely would have been a Beagle-3 and maybe further.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Graknorke on January 18, 2015, 08:28:11 pm
And it probably wasn't even a systematic error, just some random, unpredictable problem. Bah.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 18, 2015, 08:29:03 pm
Terraforming Mars.
Who thinks it's a good idea?
Who thinks it's a bad idea?
Who's undecided?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MDFification on January 18, 2015, 08:39:49 pm
Terraforming Mars.
Who thinks it's a good idea?
Who thinks it's a bad idea?
Who's undecided?

Terraforming takes too long and costs too much to be something we can view as anything other than a potential future goal. I say we focus on learning how to create enclosed biomes (biodome, anyone?) that are self-sustaining, and then on creating enclosed human settlements on the Moon and Mars. It'd allow us to colonize other worlds in a more reasonable timeframe with a more reasonable cost, and it's a necessary step to get economic infastructure into space anyway if we want to end up terraforming.

On the other hand, we should practice our terraforming on Earth in the meantime. Not just because it's a step along the road to Terraforming actually becoming feasible, but because the climate needs it - we've already messed up the Earth to the point that climate change can't be stopped by just capping emissions. We need to learn to use large-scale geoengineering and bioengineering to control the climate, so we can reverse damage we've done and even optimize the Earth (we have a lot of deserts that could seriously use some greening - a huge portion of the Earth's surface isn't hospitable enough form permanent settlements and could be colonized before we colonize space).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 18, 2015, 08:45:13 pm
Ya but the terraforming on mars would be opposite. It needs an atmosphere so we could easily make CO2 on it then bring in plantlike things until it had enough atmosphere to bring plants and such.
The second part would be similar to what earth needs but not the first part
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Rez on January 18, 2015, 10:41:44 pm
Terraforming is too far out of reach.  We don't know enough about Mars.  We don't know enough about or can't build robust enough life support systems that would be required for people to work and live on or around Mars.  Almost all isolated life systems have a nearly immediate fall back; Earth's surface, which is much more survivable at it's worst than vacuum.  We haven't sent people further than Luna and quite of few of those people nearly died doing so.

There's a lot that must be done before terraforming is even on the table.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on January 18, 2015, 10:46:20 pm
Also it has no magnetic field in place that prevents the scouring of the planet's atmosphere from solar winds.

So we'd have to create our own, artificial, giant magnetosphere.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on January 18, 2015, 10:48:50 pm
Terraforming Mars.
Who thinks it's a good idea?
Who thinks it's a bad idea?
Who's undecided?

It's an inefficient means to an end.  There are better ways of creating habitable space.

Also it has no magnetic field in place that prevents the scouring of the planet's atmosphere from solar winds.

So we'd have to create our own, artificial, giant magnetosphere.

Just putting a few meters of material (such as ice) between humans and the radiation sources would also do the trick.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Rez on January 18, 2015, 10:52:06 pm
His point was that atmosphere would simply blow away if we could create it, not that dealing with radiation is impossible.

The response to which is, we'll just keep smacking comets into it as long as we have it populated.  Of course, even if it had an atmosphere, you'd still get cancer as fast as a ginger on a beach if you spent much time outside.

ed: The idea of simulating a planet sized magnetosphere with an artificial device strikes me as feasible as a ringworld.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MrWiggles on January 18, 2015, 11:26:46 pm
Solar Erosion, like all erosion is painfully slow.

If you have the inclination to change the chemical makeup of the atmosphere of the entire planet, then you have the ability to replenish it every couple hundred years.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on January 19, 2015, 08:25:07 am
To my understanding even when the atmosphere would indeed be wasted by the solar winds it would take so much time (in order of thousands or millions of years) it would still be practical to do. I could be wrong on those numbers however.

Terra forming, in the case of Mars, could be a by product of heavy industrialization on the planet. Which by it's low gravity could allow us to build space elevators with current engineering and materials, which would in theory make possible to use Mars as source of raw material and or base of heavy polluting industry with little regard of environment.

However the question is, what could be imported from there? Of course it would be an excellent exercise and impulse to the fields of extra terrestrial colonization, terraformation and space travel technologies, but I think it would be feasible only if we encounter huge quantities of rare minerals OR earth governments put enough taxes and restrictions on certain industrial enterprises that at some point it becomes cheaper to do them outside earth.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on January 19, 2015, 08:39:06 am
You can't really have industry pumping out CO2 in Mars like it does on Earth, because you don't oxygen to burn fossil fuel (and it's unlikely there as fossil fuel in the first place).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on January 19, 2015, 08:55:51 am
You can't really have industry pumping out CO2 in Mars like it does on Earth, because you don't oxygen to burn fossil fuel (and it's unlikely there as fossil fuel in the first place).
There's plenty of oxidizing agents, the thing is they are stuck in the rocks in the form of iron oxide (aka rust), I do not know which alchemy secrets could be used to unlock it from there, but I'm sure there's some way. I read somewhere that huge greenhouses (possible to do with few/light materials because the reduced gravity) could unlock gases from the soil, dunno if oxygen would be among those.

Supposedly heavy water is more abundant on Mars than here, if fusion energy ever becomes a thing, I guess they could use that.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RadtheCad on January 19, 2015, 08:57:06 am
On a side note, I've always found our current methods of traversing space rather depressing.  They're very clever, and orbital maneuvers have a beautiful elegance to them, but the rocket equation...  That thing is always what gets me.  The fact that we have no quick way of propelling ourselves in a vacuum that doesn't rely on chemical fuel seems so limiting.

Oh, well.  I guess we all need to try and do our bit for science (and !!SCIENCE!!) to help develop better ways of getting around.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on January 19, 2015, 09:01:16 am
Heavy water is not the limiting reagent for fusion energy though. Both tritium and He-3 are far rarer.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on January 19, 2015, 09:05:31 am
On a side note, I've always found our current methods of traversing space rather depressing.  They're very clever, and orbital maneuvers have a beautiful elegance to them, but the rocket equation...  That thing is always what gets me.  The fact that we have no quick way of propelling ourselves in a vacuum that doesn't rely on chemical fuel seems so limiting.

Oh, well.  I guess we all need to try and do our bit for science (and !!SCIENCE!!) to help develop better ways of getting around.
This gets on my nerves too. Sadly our current technology doesn't really offer more options. Space elevators won't be a thing here unless a huge breakthrough is made on material technology. The only really other option is nuclear propulsion and the UN and a bunch of smelly grass-smoking hippies took care we didn't take that way. Beyond the clear danger of radioactive showers if the ship exploded at the right altitude, there's no thing as "contaminate the space" which seems a far too recurrent and ignorant phrase spewed by after mentioned, waste of organic matter, stinky tree huggers.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MonkeyHead on January 19, 2015, 11:35:03 am
So, can anyone else think of a good reason as to why we could not or should not "cheat" by letting craft "surf" along with comets to get things to the outer solar system? Yeah it may take a while, but there would be a lot less in terms of fuel requirements...

Ideas? Discuss...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 19, 2015, 11:36:58 am
Would that mess up the comets path?
Adding an extra weight to it, or would it just slow it down but not mess with it too much?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on January 19, 2015, 12:14:18 pm
Pretty sure that letting crafts surf around with comets just doesn't work. I mean, in order to catch the comet you have to match speed and velocity, so the existence of the comet has no relevance whatsoever.

Sure, you can try gravity assists, but those work better with significant forces of gravity, ak planets, not comets. Chances are you're going to waste more fuel getting into the right position than you could ever hope to save.

Would that mess up the comets path?
Adding an extra weight to it, or would it just slow it down but not mess with it too much?
Depends on the relative mass of the comet and the probe.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on January 19, 2015, 12:24:54 pm
However the question is, what could be imported from there?

Food probably.  Sounds a bit daft to fly all the way to Mars to grow rice but Mars would be useful to export to places that aren't Earth.  You have the CO2 and H2O that are the bulk of the atomic mass of what you need there.  The Thing atmosphere, lighter gravity and greater distance from the sun means that it's less work to deliver a payload to somewhere in the solar system.  So if there is some viable industry in space in the future like space based solar power systems getting built with non-earth materials you could use mars to supply that industry with food.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on January 19, 2015, 12:38:32 pm
The really disappointing thing about space travel is that if we'd had pursued it as aggressively as the Europeans pursued the new world, we'd already have massive, slave-filled sugar plantations on the moon by now.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on January 19, 2015, 12:43:51 pm
Nah, it seems it's much more vital to the survival of mankind to keep making reality tv and killing each other over such important things as fucking drawings or papers with numbers on them.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: nogoodnames on January 19, 2015, 12:51:16 pm
So, can anyone else think of a good reason as to why we could not or should not "cheat" by letting craft "surf" along with comets to get things to the outer solar system? Yeah it may take a while, but there would be a lot less in terms of fuel requirements...

As others have said, that wouldn't work because you still need to provide all the energy required to put you on the same orbit as the comet. You wouldn't gain anything unless you were to mine the comet en-route. But I have heard of a rather brilliant idea similar to this. Essentially, you would send up a habitation module with all the bulky life support, radiation shielding, etc. needed for interplanetary travel and put it into an orbit that crosses between Earth and wherever you want to go. Then you just need a craft that can carry crew to rendezvous with the habitat and break away and get into orbit at their destination. By reusing the habitat, successive missions would cost only a fraction of more "conventional" manned interplanetary missions. It has a few drawbacks of course, but there aren't many more efficient methods we can feasibly use in the near future.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on January 19, 2015, 12:57:31 pm
On a side note, I've always found our current methods of traversing space rather depressing.  They're very clever, and orbital maneuvers have a beautiful elegance to them, but the rocket equation...  That thing is always what gets me.  The fact that we have no quick way of propelling ourselves in a vacuum that doesn't rely on chemical fuel seems so limiting.

Oh, well.  I guess we all need to try and do our bit for science (and !!SCIENCE!!) to help develop better ways of getting around.
This gets on my nerves too. Sadly our current technology doesn't really offer more options. Space elevators won't be a thing here unless a huge breakthrough is made on material technology. The only really other option is nuclear propulsion and the UN and a bunch of smelly grass-smoking hippies took care we didn't take that way. Beyond the clear danger of radioactive showers if the ship exploded at the right altitude, there's no thing as "contaminate the space" which seems a far too recurrent and ignorant phrase spewed by after mentioned, waste of organic matter, stinky tree huggers.
Radioactive showers are a big problem if you launch on or near the planet. The ship doesn't need to structurally fail to produce the consequences of explosions, because said explosions are its means of propulsion. The vast amount of nuclear detonations would still produce all the ionizing radiation and irradiated gas that nuclear bombs normally produce, not to mention constant EMPs. Your best bet would be getting craploads of nukes into space and then assembling the thing in lunar orbit or further, which isn't going to happen until people can trust each other not to throw said nukes back at Earth.

However the question is, what could be imported from there?

Food probably.  Sounds a bit daft to fly all the way to Mars to grow rice but Mars would be useful to export to places that aren't Earth.  You have the CO2 and H2O that are the bulk of the atomic mass of what you need there.  The Thing atmosphere, lighter gravity and greater distance from the sun means that it's less work to deliver a payload to somewhere in the solar system.  So if there is some viable industry in space in the future like space based solar power systems getting built with non-earth materials you could use mars to supply that industry with food.
No colony can last if it relies on food shipped from interplanetary distances. We need to learn to grow food in space, in which case the chemicals needed to set up a farm ecosystem would be good exports.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MonkeyHead on January 19, 2015, 01:05:30 pm
So, can anyone else think of a good reason as to why we could not or should not "cheat" by letting craft "surf" along with comets to get things to the outer solar system? Yeah it may take a while, but there would be a lot less in terms of fuel requirements...

As others have said, that wouldn't work because you still need to provide all the energy required to put you on the same orbit as the comet. You wouldn't gain anything unless you were to mine the comet en-route. But I have heard of a rather brilliant idea similar to this. Essentially, you would send up a habitation module with all the bulky life support, radiation shielding, etc. needed for interplanetary travel and put it into an orbit that crosses between Earth and wherever you want to go. Then you just need a craft that can carry crew to rendezvous with the habitat and break away and get into orbit at their destination. By reusing the habitat, successive missions would cost only a fraction of more "conventional" manned interplanetary missions. It has a few drawbacks of course, but there aren't many more efficient methods we can feasibly use in the near future.

I had imagined a process more to be like a probe having enough fuel to land on a comet Philae style, and then ride the comet further out before disengaging later, and not really "orbiting" it while getting where you wanted to go - though, as said, this would still require speed matching with the comet to achieve anything resembling a practial landing, meaning you could use that velocity to go where you wanted anyway.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on January 19, 2015, 01:13:15 pm
On a side note, I've always found our current methods of traversing space rather depressing.  They're very clever, and orbital maneuvers have a beautiful elegance to them, but the rocket equation...  That thing is always what gets me.  The fact that we have no quick way of propelling ourselves in a vacuum that doesn't rely on chemical fuel seems so limiting.

Oh, well.  I guess we all need to try and do our bit for science (and !!SCIENCE!!) to help develop better ways of getting around.
This gets on my nerves too. Sadly our current technology doesn't really offer more options. Space elevators won't be a thing here unless a huge breakthrough is made on material technology. The only really other option is nuclear propulsion and the UN and a bunch of smelly grass-smoking hippies took care we didn't take that way. Beyond the clear danger of radioactive showers if the ship exploded at the right altitude, there's no thing as "contaminate the space" which seems a far too recurrent and ignorant phrase spewed by after mentioned, waste of organic matter, stinky tree huggers.
Radioactive showers are a big problem if you launch on or near the planet. The ship doesn't need to structurally fail to produce the consequences of explosions, because said explosions are its means of propulsion. The vast amount of nuclear detonations would still produce all the ionizing radiation and irradiated gas that nuclear bombs normally produce, not to mention constant EMPs. Your best bet would be getting craploads of nukes into space and then assembling the thing in lunar orbit or further, which isn't going to happen until people can trust each other not to throw said nukes back at Earth.
Pretty sure he wasn't talking about Orion drives, but a nuclear thermal engine.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: monkey on January 19, 2015, 01:45:58 pm
Food probably.  Sounds a bit daft to fly all the way to Mars to grow rice but Mars would be useful to export to places that aren't Earth.  You have the CO2 and H2O that are the bulk of the atomic mass of what you need there.  The Thing atmosphere, lighter gravity and greater distance from the sun means that it's less work to deliver a payload to somewhere in the solar system.  So if there is some viable industry in space in the future like space based solar power systems getting built with non-earth materials you could use mars to supply that industry with food.

Problem with Mars is that it has no nitrogen, even if someone activates the ancient alien pyramid and made the pure oxygen atmosphere from all the ice (and it didnt spontaneously combust), we wont be able to grow any plants. On Earth we have almost 1 bar of N and still most of the fertilizers that we put in the soil are there just to add more nitrogen.

I think that Venus should be easier, if in the next couple of centuries someone were to invent a grey goo that transform all the CO2 into a solid, we would have a 3bar atmosphere of pure nitrogen and the heat would dissipate with the CO2. Problem with Venus is that it has no water/hydrogen, so it should have to be renamed as Arrakis.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on January 19, 2015, 01:47:44 pm
Specifically I was thinking on the Minerva project.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on January 19, 2015, 01:51:52 pm
You dont need to terraform mars, you need to build greenhouses.  And mars has atmospheric nitrogen which could be harvested for the small amount of nitrogen needed.  We dont add nitrogen fertilizers because we need vast quantities of nitrogen, we add them because most of the nitrogen in the world is in the wrong chemical formula.  So you just collect atmospheric nitrogen on mars, use solar energy to process it and make your fertilizers.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MonkeyHead on January 19, 2015, 02:00:43 pm
You dont need to terraform mars, you need to build greenhouses.  And mars has atmospheric nitrogen which could be harvested for the small amount of nitrogen needed.  We dont add nitrogen fertilizers because we need vast quantities of nitrogen, we add them because most of the nitrogen in the world is in the wrong chemical formula.  So you just collect atmospheric nitrogen on mars, use solar energy to process it and make your fertilizers.

I assume legumes could have a useful role here?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on January 19, 2015, 02:03:35 pm
They would also do the trick if you put them in a greenhouse with a terrestrial atmosphere.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: monkey on January 19, 2015, 02:31:05 pm
Mars has barely an atmosphere and 1.8% of that nothing is nitrogen.
Even Kim Stanley Robinson in his otherwise utopic scifi book Red Mars had put vast amounts of nitrogen underground because it was recognized as a problem.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on January 19, 2015, 02:53:59 pm
Surface pressure on mars is 0.087 psi.  That's 61 million kilograms per square kilometer.  Surface area of mars is 56 million square kilometers.  That's 3.4*10^15 kilograms of martian atmosphere.  Of that 2% is nitrogen.  That's 69 billion metric tons of atmospheric nitrogen on mars.  The earth used about 190 million metric tons of agricultural nutrients of all forms last year (page 12 (http://ftp://ftp.fao.org/ag/agp/docs/cwfto16.pdf)).  Unless you are envisioning a population of many hundreds of billions that's a lot of nitrogen.  If you want to teraform the planet you'd need a lot more and you'd have to hope there are rocky deposits of the stuff.  But for greenhouses that's plenty to sustain centuries of exports.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on January 20, 2015, 06:28:42 pm
I don't know about anybody else, but I think that the earth is by far the most beautiful planet. So I don't want to be separated from it for a long time. Anybody else feel that way?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Fniff on January 20, 2015, 06:32:44 pm
I like Earth, but... it's like living in a house for fifty years. Even if it's an amazingly beautiful villa, you're going to want to see something else after a while.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on January 20, 2015, 06:50:11 pm
Surface pressure on mars is 0.087 psi.  That's 61 million kilograms per square kilometer.  Surface area of mars is 56 million square kilometers.  That's 3.4*10^15 kilograms of martian atmosphere.  Of that 2% is nitrogen.  That's 69 billion metric tons of atmospheric nitrogen on mars.  The earth used about 190 million metric tons of agricultural nutrients of all forms last year (page 12 (http://ftp://ftp.fao.org/ag/agp/docs/cwfto16.pdf)).  Unless you are envisioning a population of many hundreds of billions that's a lot of nitrogen.  If you want to teraform the planet you'd need a lot more and you'd have to hope there are rocky deposits of the stuff.  But for greenhouses that's plenty to sustain centuries of exports.

Sure, it's there. But that's a lot of very thin atmosphere you have to process to get that nitrogen. To get that nitrogen out of the air, you'd probably use the Haber Process. This requires a lot of pressure, heat, and power. The atmosphere's not fun to work with, either - at 95% Co2 it's both too thin to breath and if you tried it'd poison you anyway. It's also poisonous to plants, but that's beside the point. It's over four times the partial pressure of CO2 to kill plants, in fact. Not good for the lungs.

There's a hell of a lot of difference in pressure between the martian atmosphere and the pressure you need for the Haber process. The Haber process is generally done at around 200 atmospheres. That's with the 78% percent nitrogen content of Earthly atmosphere. You're going to need a lot more heat and pressure to make it possible on Mars and that makes the whole process much more difficult.

You'll need a lot of energy (Haber process consumes between 1 and 2% of the world's energy use It ain't cheap.). How would you supply this? Solar, maybe, but that's a lot of solar panels you need to take, and then maintain against the sand-blasting of Mar's surface.  Nuclear fission isn't practical on Earth, yet, never mind sent across space to Mars.
Fission is a maybe, but if things go wrong you've then got radioactive material strew across the place. There's a few other problems - how will you keep it cool? Water? It'll need a lot of water. Martian air is pretty cold, but thin air is quite a good insulator.

These things aren't as simple as it appears.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on January 20, 2015, 07:04:31 pm
Condensing gas and separating N2 from CO2 are trivially simple engineering problems.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on January 20, 2015, 07:13:09 pm
You still need to do things with that nitrogen, which means Haber process.

Concentrating the air? Yeah, simple. Pump it into a cylinder. But that takes energy. That takes materials.

Most common method of air separation seems to cryogenic separation. High purity gases, but energy intensive.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on January 20, 2015, 07:18:12 pm
Not as tough when the temperature outside is regularly below 0C. Unless it relies on temperature differentials, of course.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on January 20, 2015, 07:25:58 pm
You are talking about a task with less mechanic stress and power needs then inflating an air mattress on earth.  A very small mechanic device and very small electrical generation capacity will suffice.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on January 21, 2015, 12:39:44 am
I don't know about anybody else, but I think that the earth is by far the most beautiful planet. So I don't want to be separated from it for a long time. Anybody else feel that way?
Pretty much. Especially since if we lived in space, we would effectively be confined to the equivalent of a small apartment building, with the exception of the occasional bothersome trip outside to wander around the wasteland (or nothingness) for a while. And with internet latency of 90 minutes to earth, you're isolated to the point where you're practically sending letters to communicate.

Ideally, you would eventually modify the humans on Mars to be able to live there as naturally as on Earth, but such bio-engineering will likely only be in its infancy by the end of our lives; and so they would be stuck in their tiny apartment building for the rest of their lives.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on January 21, 2015, 12:41:19 am
Theoretically they could just build a really big apartment building.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Arcvasti on January 21, 2015, 12:47:12 am
Or, Y'know, just siphon off some atmosphere from Venus. Its got too much of the stuff[Although it might not be the right composition? Space is hard.].

^Please interpret above inane suggestion as a creatively worded PTW
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on January 21, 2015, 01:54:24 am
Theoretically they could just build a really big apartment building.

Yeah, this.  A single large structure is more efficient and cures the claustrophobia.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on January 21, 2015, 07:11:49 am
I keep hopping they find something along the lines of Camelot 30K.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on January 21, 2015, 12:53:26 pm
Well, in a few months, so don't get hype yet. Or else you'll be unable to sleep FOREVER
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MonkeyHead on January 21, 2015, 02:21:59 pm
More interested in the Pluto flyby, TBH.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on January 21, 2015, 06:38:42 pm
More interested in the Pluto flyby, TBH.
Still got about 5-6 months on that. So in the meantime, yay for dwarf planets!

Maybe the white spot will be an alien listening post.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on January 22, 2015, 04:39:34 pm
In the second panel, it looks a little like the death star.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Arcvasti on January 22, 2015, 07:01:24 pm
In the second panel, it looks a little like the death star.

"That's not a moon... That's... An ASTEROID!"
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MDFification on January 22, 2015, 08:02:24 pm
Theoretically they could just build a really big apartment building.

Why not just link all your buildings together? I mean, airlocks aren't hard to do. Might was well play Dwarf Fortress in space.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sebastian2203 on January 24, 2015, 11:25:57 am
Everyone!!!! Brace for alien invasion!!!!!111!1!1!1!!!!

Jokes

Not sure if this is true but local TV claims some signal from space has arrived
Considering they say BS 24/7 it's hard to believe it

After checking some more reliable sources something signal-ish has hit earth, it's all static thou.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on January 24, 2015, 03:12:39 pm
What?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on January 24, 2015, 03:26:24 pm
http://rt.com/news/225367-radio-waves-deep-space/

Nothing spectacular.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 24, 2015, 03:31:25 pm
http://rt.com/news/225367-radio-waves-deep-space/

Nothing spectacular.
It says it could be from 5.5 billion light years away but only observed a decade after the even happened...
How?!?
Wouldn't it be observed 5.5 billion years after it happened?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MonkeyHead on January 24, 2015, 03:37:44 pm
http://rt.com/news/225367-radio-waves-deep-space/

Nothing spectacular.
It says it could be from 5.5 billion light years away but only observed a decade after the even happened...
How?!?
Wouldn't it be observed 5.5 billion years after it happened?

It is badly worded. What they mean is 5.5bn light years distant, and at least a 10 year duration - we did not catch the beginning.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on January 24, 2015, 03:40:59 pm
Or from a less daily-mail style source: http://www.space.com/28339-gamma-ray-signals-beyond-milky-way.html
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 24, 2015, 03:43:48 pm
http://rt.com/news/225367-radio-waves-deep-space/

Nothing spectacular.
It says it could be from 5.5 billion light years away but only observed a decade after the even happened...
How?!?
Wouldn't it be observed 5.5 billion years after it happened?

It is badly worded. What they mean is 5.5bn light years distant, and at least a 10 year duration - we did not catch the beginning.

Ohhhh ok
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on January 24, 2015, 05:26:11 pm
Or from a less daily-mail style source: http://www.space.com/28339-gamma-ray-signals-beyond-milky-way.html
Are you certain that this is the same thing? RT talks about radiowaves, your article is gamms rays.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on January 24, 2015, 06:37:28 pm
Hrm, yeah, guess they do talk about separate things. Here's one: http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn26813-epic-cosmic-radio-burst-finally-seen-in-real-time.html
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on January 25, 2015, 03:59:27 am
I think it could be a pulsar or a really, really huge explosion. The birth of a galaxy center black hole?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Rez on January 30, 2015, 04:06:05 pm
Space battles?  What would (hopefully not will <_<) they be like ?

It seems to me that the physical constraints on both weapons and platforms means that lasers, kinetics, and guided munitions will all be important.

I think lasers will be the 'battleship' and installation primary weapons.  To achieve large ranges, you need very large focusing systems.  Waste heat is a concern here.  Really great for damaging or disabling sensors.

Kinetics will range the gamut from 'sniping' weapons to CIWS miniguns.  They can be used out of LoS.  There are a variety of ways for them to cause destruction.  Waste heat is a concern here as well.

Guided munitions can do a number of things the other two can't.  They don't require LoS and can be course correct or evade fire.  When I say guided munitions, I include the idea of semi or fully autonomous drones, which could host other weapons.  Drones could sit dormant and cold until they reach the appropriate orientation to a target in orbit before activating and deploying weapons.  Orbital minefields could restrict potential paths to hostile ships.  The most important advantage of these?  They're disposable and unmanned.  You can play decoy with them or use them to test a weapons platform.

This blog has tons of napkin theory on it: http://www.rocketpunk-manifesto.com/2009/08/space-warfare-v-laser-weapons.html
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: NullForceOmega on January 30, 2015, 04:17:01 pm
You don't really need large focusing systems for long-range laser weapons, just lots of power.  While drones (caveat: not talking about the potential for recon uses) and autonomous weapons are useful for fixed point defense, they become nearly useless in dynamic battles, where individual vessels will need extremely large volumes of space to effectively defend themselves.  Mines again are fine for fixed point, but become pretty worthless when you get to light seconds of engagement range,  you cannot reasonably expect to deny adequately large areas to either side.  Pure guided missiles become a really stupid investure of resources at this point, with the required numbers to overwhelm enemy defenses (or saturating a large enough volume of space to be useful) soaring to astronomical numbers very rapidly, and the cost of fielding such large numbers becoming equally huge.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Rez on January 30, 2015, 04:21:37 pm
How do you figure focusing systems don't matter?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: NullForceOmega on January 30, 2015, 04:23:53 pm
I didn't say they don't matter, I said they don't need to be huge, a small aperture with several terawatts of power behind it will cut just as effectively as a larger one with similar power (tho' over a proportionally smaller area).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Rez on January 30, 2015, 04:38:08 pm
Lasers diffuse and a laser will hit a larger area with a smaller focusing system.

Are you thinking far future?  You need the nuclear reactors from over 900 Nimitz carriers to generate 1 TW. 
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: NullForceOmega on January 30, 2015, 04:51:02 pm
'Lasers diffuse'  In what medium?  Space is nearly a hard vacuum, with only a few dozen atoms of material between the aperture and the target.  A team of students from the Colorado School of Mines used a pen-laser to get measurements from the surface of the moon in the early two-thousands, and they were within millimeters of true according to the NASA set of measurements.  As for power production, yes, we have to think future tech; probably fusion-based reactors for any meaningful type of sustained space combat (or vast capacitors).  Space combat is very unlikely to be a thing in the next fifty-sixty years but around 2100 the world will likely be hitting that point.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Radio Controlled on January 30, 2015, 06:09:35 pm
Spess lazors:

Spoiler (click to show/hide)

From here: http://www.rocketpunk-manifesto.com/2009/08/space-warfare-v-laser-weapons.html
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: NullForceOmega on January 30, 2015, 06:27:05 pm
There is more than one way to focus a laser.  Refraction laser focusing arrays are only one of several methods used to create cutting lasers, and they are not even the most popular.  There is no reason to try to restrict a space based laser weapon to one method of discharge.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Rez on January 30, 2015, 07:49:58 pm
It's not about how the beam is focused or the intervening material between source and target.  Radio Controlled quoted it for pete sake.  It's a property of radiation.  You don't get around it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alexandertnt on January 30, 2015, 08:06:45 pm
It seems that laser weapons could be defended against somewhat, just by covering the target ship in a material that reflects the wavelength of the laser. It couldn't function as a perfect mirror obviously, but it could be enough to require the firing laser to be several times more powerful than it originally needed to be.

Also, if the target is at extreme distances (to the point where what you are seeing is actually some time in the past), and moving erratically, it might be very difficult to hit, as you don't know where the target will be in the future (you end up with the same problem ballistic weapons have at that point). If your laser was powerful enough to incinerate the target virtually instantly, then you could slowly shoot a circle around your target, or some other aiming tactic like that. But I don't know how likely that would be as lasers that are required to maintain focus for longer would use a tonn less energy, and be a tonn more practicle/more managable than such a high powered laser.

Plus, it seems conventional weapons would probably still be more effective and economical here. A space-missile would only have to match the velocity and directional vector of the target (adjusting as the target's velocity/direction changed) and drift towards the target under intertia. Not the fastest way of dealing with a target, but probably easier to widely deploy.

I don't see space being primary focus in millitary combat. Navies exist because the ocean is often necessary to cross to get to another country, but space is unnecessary (and far more complicated to use) to get to another country. Air is generally used to get a stragical advantage on the ground, or to prevent th enemy from getting one, or for specialist operations like recon, and dropping soldiers/supplies to difficult to access places. Of course, in 100 years technology will improve and it will be more economical to get into space, but then again so will sea and air technologies improve.

There will certainly be use for it, mind you. Orbiting platforms of nuclear weapons (mostly for threatening other countries from above), sensors and recon (what I think the biggest use for space would be), possibly missile defences, possibly as a method of extremely fast insertion for specialist soldiers, etc.

Also keep in mind the problem with space debres, at least around the Earth. It's already getting cluttered out there (and needs to be tracked), and thats with our very rare and inefficient primitive rockets. Imagine all the extra crap from lots and lots of drones blowing each other up and exploding sattelites.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Nick K on January 30, 2015, 08:49:22 pm
Oops, I answered the peeves thread instead of here.. anyway, this site http://www.projectrho.com/public_html/rocket/spacegunconvent.php (http://www.projectrho.com/public_html/rocket/spacegunconvent.php) has a ton of info on the actual science behind space warfare. They seem to feel that missiles are a plausible option. Most of the science is beyond me so I won't comment further, but if the topic interests you then the site is worth a read.

Incidentally, things they claim do not make sense in space war include:
Fighters ("looking from a cost/benefit analysis, space fighter craft do not make any sense")
Plasma weapons ("Their main draw-back is that they won't work")
Stealth ("The only way ya gonna get anything close is by a strategically worthless "hiding behind a planet" maneuver, a Harry Potter cloak of invisibility large enough to cover an entire spacecraft, or something equally stupid.")

So, lots of stuff to get peeved about in almost any sci-fi game ever made if realism is a concern there :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: NullForceOmega on January 30, 2015, 09:35:02 pm
Re: Rez and Radio Controlled.  That article has no references, no peer review, and without them, no validity.  Do not attempt to use a 'freelance writer' as a source in a discussion regarding hard fact, so I'm going to NASA.  Point 1:  Diffraction is by no means a property of radiation, it is a property of medium and the reflector, improving either the 'purity' of the medium or the 'perfection' of the reflector will decrease loss.  Point 2:  Right now small aperture lasers can maintain tight coherency over a range of some millions of miles.  I just verified these points with this helpful article .  http://ntrs.nasa.gov/search.jsp?R=19880014441

Nick K: Interesting site, with at least some documentation, I'm going to peruse that for a while.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Radio Controlled on January 30, 2015, 09:40:04 pm
Re: Rez and Radio Controlled.  That article has no references, no peer review, and without them, no validity.  Do not attempt to use a 'freelance writer' as a source in a discussion regarding hard fact, so I'm going to NASA.  Point 1:  Diffraction is by no means a property of radiation, it is a property of medium and the reflector, improving either the 'purity' of the medium or the 'perfection' of the reflector will decrease loss.  Point 2:  Right now small aperture lasers can maintain tight coherency over a range of some millions of miles.  I just verified these points with this helpful article http://ntrs.nasa.gov/search.jsp?R=19880014441

...The hell are you even on about? I just linked that article because it was relevant and interesting.

I'm not sure what you're trying to prove here, but I'm not playing along.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Rez on January 30, 2015, 09:48:17 pm
We've made up diffraction (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diffraction). 

ed: Honestly, if you're going to cite a 500 page 'article' (in reality, someone's Masters thesis) to support two claims, you better be giving me page numbers.  As it is, it just looks like you're trying to waste my time and appeal to authority.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Radio Controlled on January 30, 2015, 10:06:07 pm
We've made up diffraction (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diffraction).

Cool, I've never got to invent a physics law before.

Wanna call it the Rez-Controlled principle?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: NullForceOmega on January 30, 2015, 10:27:26 pm
A master's thesis IS a peer reviewed scientific article, and if you can't be bothered to read even the gods be damned table of contents then I can't be bothered to deal with you.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Rez on January 30, 2015, 10:37:37 pm
Thanks for that.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on January 31, 2015, 08:24:31 pm
I like reading atomic rockets (http://www.projectrho.com/public_html/rocket/)' articles about space and futuristic space warfare (http://www.projectrho.com/public_html/rocket/spacewarintro.php). I also think that their page about common misconceptions (http://www.projectrho.com/public_html/rocket/misconceptions.php) is really funny.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on February 01, 2015, 01:56:31 am
That site annoys me, the dude running it seems to think that the ability to spot the lazier mistakes in science fiction confers the ability to know all right and wrong.  It's like a giant forum argument against a strawman.  And the sheer lack of imagination makes me wonder what kind of perverse impulses drives the man to study science fiction.

I mean reactionless drives are supposed to be impossible without completely screwing physics?  Okay, well what happens when you  take mirror flywheels across your center of mass, spin them one way at one part of the orbit and spin them back at another part?  Well shucks, you've just changed your orbital trajectory without a quark of propellant.  I'll grant you it's hardly a powerful method given the technology we have today but it's clearly not something that's impossible.  Some know it all nerds from a civilization that's only every built spacecraft around launches from earth can't tell us what engineers with completely different priorities are going to work out.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Arx on February 01, 2015, 07:39:48 am
I'm not a great fan either, largely because they seem to be in the camp of "if it's not possible with current technology, it's not possible ever and you are a bad person for using it in your story."

It's an attitude which irritates me a little, although they dilute it by allowing for the use of handwavium. It comes off that way, though.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on February 01, 2015, 02:03:56 pm
That site annoys me, the dude running it seems to think that the ability to spot the lazier mistakes in science fiction confers the ability to know all right and wrong.  It's like a giant forum argument against a strawman.  And the sheer lack of imagination makes me wonder what kind of perverse impulses drives the man to study science fiction.

I mean reactionless drives are supposed to be impossible without completely screwing physics?  Okay, well what happens when you  take mirror flywheels across your center of mass, spin them one way at one part of the orbit and spin them back at another part?  Well shucks, you've just changed your orbital trajectory without a quark of propellant.  I'll grant you it's hardly a powerful method given the technology we have today but it's clearly not something that's impossible.  Some know it all nerds from a civilization that's only every built spacecraft around launches from earth can't tell us what engineers with completely different priorities are going to work out.

Uh, I'm not sure I get what you're saying about the flywheels. Are you saying you found a way to turn rotational inertia into linear inertia?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on February 01, 2015, 03:00:04 pm
That's trivial, no?  The problem is that it's a vastly inefficient from an engineering standpoint.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on February 01, 2015, 03:16:36 pm
Okay, well what happens when you  take mirror flywheels across your center of mass, spin them one way at one part of the orbit and spin them back at another part?
Can you restate the set-up? I don't see what you're trying to do with it. Where are the flywheels? Can you draw it in paint maybe?

I have to warn you, I see this as an a-priori faulty concept due to conservation of momentum issues, but I'm willing to try and spot the specific mistake in the design.


I do agree on the general sentiment for that site, though.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on February 01, 2015, 03:40:01 pm
Yeah, that site may be crazy, but if they are saying reactionless drives are impossible they are kinda right. The only reaction less drives you can really do in current physics are things like the Alcubierre drive, and take crazy things like negative mass to pull off correctly.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on February 01, 2015, 04:06:42 pm
Hm, I was thinking about conservation of energy and momentum within the orbital profile but not within the vehicle itself.  So a flywheel setup wouldn't do it simply.  Still, there are different orbits with the same energy and momentum so I would be slow to conclude that a reactionless drive isn't possible.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on February 01, 2015, 04:31:24 pm
but not within the vehicle itself
That's the most important part, though. No matter what you do within the closed system of the vehicle, its centre of mass will keep on its trajectory as if nothing happened. To propose a different outcome goes against as fundamental physics as Newton's 1st law of motion.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on February 01, 2015, 04:53:34 pm
I know the laws when I'm designing spacecraft at 2 A.M.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on February 01, 2015, 05:22:17 pm
Yeah, you can do some funny-business with massive amounts of energy being converted into a reaction mass, but the energy requirements for that would be so large as to be even less practical than something which is physically impossible, simply because even anhialating antimatter would give you less stuff than you started with. :P

However, there are reactionless drives in the form of solar sails, and those are certainly nothing to sneeze at. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_sail
And for small payloads, they're one of only a few potentially viable interstellar craft using only known physics without requiring anything more advanced than slightly improvements on figuring out how to industrially create economical nanotubes.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on February 01, 2015, 05:46:38 pm
Solar sails aren't reactionless drives.

Quote from: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reactionless_drive
Solar sails provide thrust by placing "sails" against the flow of particles of the solar wind and transfer its momentum to the spacecraft. Therefore, the solar sail does not carry reaction mass but is not reactionless.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on February 01, 2015, 05:48:09 pm
Well yes, but you don't need to pack a sun onboard a rocket leaving the atmosphere, and so that point is moot aside from pedantic reasons.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Radio Controlled on February 01, 2015, 05:52:51 pm
Well yes, but you don't need to pack a sun onboard a rocket leaving the atmosphere, and so that point is moot aside from pedantic reasons.

When talking science or engineering, correct terminology is important though.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Rez on February 01, 2015, 08:32:04 pm
You're gonna need to pack a sun if you're going someplace a long way from one.

ed: or build lots of lasers.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on February 01, 2015, 09:56:05 pm
Could a space "ark" be built that has foliage and an entire ecosystem inside of it? Could it gain energy from the cosmic radiation throughout the galaxy?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on February 01, 2015, 11:00:55 pm
Could a space "ark" be built that has foliage and an entire ecosystem inside of it? Could it gain energy from the cosmic radiation throughout the galaxy?
What that looks like depends on the intended payload and destination and such, but on basically every variation, the answers are most certainly and sorta.

For certain scales, that would describe Earth; which is obviously capable of supporting entire ecosystems.
Smaller than that, and you get O'Neill cylinders (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/O%27Neill_cylinder) and Stanford Torus (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stanford_torus).
Larger, and you get ringworlds.
For the most part, those are intended for habitation near stellar bodies (though if you're constructing a ringworld, you probably have the ability to move or construct stars).

In a stellar environment, you would have all the energy you need, even at relatively large distances, so long as you could collect it efficiently; though that obviously gets more cost prohibitive the farther out you're staying.

From there, it comes down to an energy balance: how much energy is necessary to sustain the amount of life being transported. Certain extremophiles would probably be just fine in interstellar space if they could survive dormancy for very long periods of time; certain bacteria can apparently survive on electricity alone. In deep space, cosmic radiation will give you approximately as much energy as you would get from solar panels collecting the starlight in interstellar space; 10-13 Joules / cubic meter, or approximately 10-5 Joules per second per cubic meter, since it is travelling at roughly the speed of light, and assuming 100% collection efficiency and that the collectors don't obstruct one another. So without some other source of energy, you wouldn't be able to sustain any sort of large, growing, or mobile creatures without pretty extensive methods of harnessing the energy from cosmic radiation (extensive in this case meaning basically planet-sized collecters). Humans, for example, require around 5-10MJ of energy in food per day, or around 3600MJ/year. All in all, it means humans are essentially 100 watt lightbulbs.

However, luckily, we have other sources as well. Uranium and thorium both have around 80,000,000MJ/kg according to wiki (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_density), which is quite a good number of lightbulbs. While there's certainly going to be a lot of inefficiency in converting that into a form usable by life (unless you're using the aforementioned electricity-consuming bacteria), so you can sustain quite a decent amount of life for quite a decent amount of time using a relatively small stockpile of nuclear fuel.


Note: Do not take these figures as gospel. Except the bit about humans being 100 watt lightbulbs. Humans should be compared to lightbulbs as often as possible in your daily life.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Rez on February 02, 2015, 12:51:36 am
I thought you were thinking about Templar Treeships.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on February 02, 2015, 02:15:36 am
In which case, the term to search for is Dyson Tree. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dyson_tree
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Rose on February 02, 2015, 04:07:01 am
I remember an MMO I played before seemed to be going with that premise.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on February 02, 2015, 08:17:14 am
Humans should be compared to lightbulbs as often as possible in your daily life.
Don't see why not? They are inefficient, produce heat, pollute, and every once in a while they simply blow out or up.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on February 02, 2015, 04:26:16 pm
Damnit, recent re-evaluations have crushed my hope of seeing Betelgeuse explode within my lifetime.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on February 02, 2015, 06:07:13 pm
In which case, the term to search for is Dyson Tree. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dyson_tree

That is a cool idea. Brings to mind Yggdrasil.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on February 02, 2015, 06:22:40 pm
Could a space "ark" be built that has foliage and an entire ecosystem inside of it? Could it gain energy from the cosmic radiation throughout the galaxy?
Hypothetically, yes, but the problem is that radiation is such a small value unless you are very close to a star that you would probably be losing more energy through heat loss and other leakages then you were taking in in radiation. That said if you could lower shields or something to stop energy escaping except when you were close enough to a star to gain more then you lost, it would certainly be a viable option (as others have pointed out).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on February 07, 2015, 04:29:10 pm
Another Falcon 9 launch and landing attempt tomorrow at 6:10 PM EST. Current weather forecast seems good, so as long as there aren't any problems with the rocket, it has a pretty good chance of launching on time.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Rose on February 07, 2015, 11:03:07 pm
Will we get a barge landing?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Jervill on February 07, 2015, 11:07:11 pm
From the sounds of it, it will be another attempt (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Falcon_9_and_Falcon_Heavy_launches).

However, that was from some time ago, so I could be mistaken.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on February 07, 2015, 11:39:17 pm
Yeah, they will be doing an attempt at it. Though I suspect we won't see any video until afterwards, like last time; though who knows. They did at least have confirmation of what happened last time around the time when the stream ended.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on February 08, 2015, 05:50:03 pm
Looks like the webcast is starting. http://www.spacex.com/webcast/
It's currently It was playing KSP music. Just music filler for the next couple minutes until they go live.
edit: And it's live; T-14 minutes or so.
e2: T-10 minutes; sounds like they're doing some last minute debugging on some first stage telemetry stuffs?
"Alright guys, no pressure, but you have less than 10 minutes to debug your stuff. Also thousands of people are watching." Apparently no launch delays as yet though.
e3: T-3 minutes.
e4: And launch abort.
Seems the launch will be tomorrow instead.

Edit5: By the sounds of it, there were 2 issues: The first was a video transmitter from the first stage (which would probably have meant no live feed from the rocket first stage during launch), which was supposedly non-critical. The second was the reason for the abort, and involved an Air Force radar they needed going offline.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on February 08, 2015, 07:04:22 pm
Just under 24 hours from the launch. That's really not a terrible delay.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on February 08, 2015, 08:42:45 pm
Could mean everything depending on conditions.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on February 09, 2015, 02:57:02 am
This particular launch is headed to the L1 point, between the earth and the sun. To maximize the boost from the earth's rotation, (I think) they would want to be burning straight eastward into space. This would make any point of launch on earth the most northerly or southerly point on the trajectory. It would also make 90 degrees east of the launch point the first point where it crosses the equator, and thus about where you would want to do your burn to expand the orbit out to the L1 point such that you aren't being flung into space out of line with the sun.

Since your highest point is opposite your lowest point in an orbit, and the lowest point would be this second burn location, and the intended highest point has a local time of noon (between earth and the sun), your burn position is roughly midnight local time and your launch time is roughly 6 PM local time, available most days. (though I think this would be affected by the location and time of the year, due to the axial tilt and the fact that you're aiming for the equator of the earth-sun system, rather than the earth's rotational equator, making it plus or minus ~2 hours)

Essentially, a launch to a stationary target as opposed to things like the ISS, where it's a very dynamic target.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on February 09, 2015, 05:51:53 am
This particular launch is headed to the L1 point, between the earth and the sun. To maximize the boost from the earth's rotation, (I think) they would want to be burning straight eastward into space. This would make any point of launch on earth the most northerly or southerly point on the trajectory. It would also make 90 degrees east of the launch point the first point where it crosses the equator, and thus about where you would want to do your burn to expand the orbit out to the L1 point such that you aren't being flung into space out of line with the sun.

Since your highest point is opposite your lowest point in an orbit, and the lowest point would be this second burn location, and the intended highest point has a local time of noon (between earth and the sun), your burn position is roughly midnight local time and your launch time is roughly 6 PM local time, available most days. (though I think this would be affected by the location and time of the year, due to the axial tilt and the fact that you're aiming for the equator of the earth-sun system, rather than the earth's rotational equator, making it plus or minus ~2 hours)

Essentially, a launch to a stationary target as opposed to things like the ISS, where it's a very dynamic target.
That's not how launches to L1 and L2 are made. The spacecraft use Lissajous orbits. You're not aiming for a stationary target, but for an 'orbit' around the Lagrangian point in a plane perpendicular to the ecliptic (simplified). The transfer orbit is not meant to be coplanar with the ecliptic.

The wiki has got an article on it with a schematic drawing.

There do exist orbits around L1 and L2 that are coplanar with the two bodies (horizontal Lyapunov orbit), but it's not used here, nor in any other current mission I know of.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on February 10, 2015, 02:37:18 am
Eh, the general principle remains the same regardless. Hence launch times of 6:10PM on Sunday, 6:07 PM on Monday, 6:05PM on Tuesday, and 6:03PM on Wednesday.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MonkeyHead on February 11, 2015, 02:18:09 pm
ESA's mini shuttle makes successful test flight: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-31421200

It is an interesting concept with some potential.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on February 11, 2015, 10:01:27 pm
Another successful SpaceX launch; unfortunately, weather was bad at the landing site, and so they couldn't attempt that due to 10 meter tall waves keeping Just Read the Instructions from being a good landing target. Though they did confirm a soft, vertical landing on the water within 10 meters of their targeted landing site.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sneakey pete on February 12, 2015, 01:55:43 am
Are the final plans for this still to have the first stage fly all the way back to the launch point, or to keep using a barge long term? With a barge i imagine it could be quite frustrating to have good weather in both locations at once, which could cause problems.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on February 12, 2015, 03:25:40 am
Well, if you saw their recent video for their Falcon Heavy plans (see here if you haven't, it's pretty dang cool: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u26-CIDaazQ ), you may have noticed the landing pads. Just today, they announced that facility they're going to lease to put that together: http://spacenews.com/spacex-leases-cape-canaveral-launch-pad-for-falcon-landings/
Quote
SpaceX’s plan calls for constructing a 60-meter by 60-meter square concrete landing pad surrounded by four additional 45-meter diameter “contingency” pads, according to a 2014 environmental impact statement prepared for SpaceX and the Air Force.

“The contingency pads would only be utilized in order to enable the safe landing of a single vehicle should last-second navigation and landing diversion be required. There are no plans to utilize the contingency pads in order to enable landing multiple stages”

So by the sounds of it, they do plan on a flyback eventually, but that would be a ways off yet, since they're just acquiring the pad site. Could also depend on the launch trajectories; this launch was supposedly coming back down under more extreme circumstances than their ISS missions due to the target being deep space. Seems likely they just tack it on as a checkbox on the order form. "Does your mission need a little extra delta-V? Choose this option a pay some extra for an at-sea booster recovery."

Moreover, they have a second drone ship under construction for the West Coast (named "Of Course I Still Love You"), which would imply this isn't just a temporary thing. Interestingly, I can't seem to see any info about any currently active SpaceX launch sites in the Pacific, having shuttered and dismantled their early Omelek launch site there. This would seem to imply the drone ships may not be just for the first stage boosters, but rather intended in the long term to be used by capsules re-entering from space... Those do regularly splashdown in the Pacific, and they do have plans for flyback recovery of the Dragon V2 capsules, so I would expect to see some testing of those landing on the droneships in the next few years...

There had also been some mention about potentially having automated refueling on the droneships, for a second flyback from the ship to land? (I guess?), but there aren't really any details on that yet. It may well be they decide to go all out bonkers with it and have them land on the barge, refuel, then fly back to land, which would be pretty badass, though I think that may be a logistical nightmare. So we'll see.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Rose on February 12, 2015, 07:42:14 am
That ESA shuttle really looks a lot like the farscape shuttle.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on February 14, 2015, 10:11:23 am
https://mobile.twitter.com/elonmusk/status/565638406945144832?p=v

Next drone ship will fly.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on February 17, 2015, 09:30:04 am
So I heard about this somewhere but havnt seen any links to it.
Apparently some countries are developing a space drone with a few external arms designed to grab space junk and then drop itself back to earth in an attempt to clean up all the debris floating out there, because it's a serious hazard to anything that stays up here for extended periods of time
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on February 17, 2015, 10:39:49 am
The Swiss - or rather, Swiss Space Systems and the EPFL - are developing the CleanSpace series of drones. CleanSpace One will latch onto a defunct satellite and bomb it into the atmosphere so they both burn up. It's a good idea, though seems like it'd be expensive.
Link. (http://space.epfl.ch/CleanSpaceOne)
It's not a country funded effort by the looks of it (as far as universities aren't country funded) but I like the idea.

Kessler Syndrome is a definite threat. There's what, 17000 hazardous objects being tracked in Earth orbit? So something trying to reduce that is welcome.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Eagleon on February 17, 2015, 10:53:12 am
The Swiss - or rather, Swiss Space Systems and the EPFL - are developing the CleanSpace series of drones. CleanSpace One will latch onto a defunct satellite and bomb it into the atmosphere so they both burn up. It's a good idea, though seems like it'd be expensive.
Link. (http://space.epfl.ch/CleanSpaceOne)
It's not a country funded effort by the looks of it (as far as universities aren't country funded) but I like the idea.

Kessler Syndrome is a definite threat. There's what, 17000 hazardous objects being tracked in Earth orbit? So something trying to reduce that is welcome.
I've always wondered about inflating huge masses of aerogel or similar in eccentric orbits to absorb debris in a way that doesn't produce more (something less friable than aerogel maybe?). It seems like a losing battle to do it all robotically, especially if you have to drop the drone back into the atmosphere afterwards. Also that seems like a bad idea when you could maybe just change its orbit to reentry, let go, and change it back sans debris. Maybe laser a bit of the debris for more propellant? :D I dunno I have bad ideas about space sometimes.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on February 17, 2015, 10:57:03 am
You can't really change the orbit of spent stages from rockets
Doing it robotically would be expensive and time consuming but it would be a guarantee of the junk being gone.
Lasers might work for smaller debris if you can get lasers onto already orbiting stations specifically for that purpose but larger objects would take forever to destroy that way, but I could be wrong because I don't know much about lasers
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Eagleon on February 17, 2015, 11:14:03 am
You can't really change the orbit of spent stages from rockets
Doing it robotically would be expensive and time consuming but it would be a guarantee of the junk being gone.
Lasers might work for smaller debris if you can get lasers onto already orbiting stations specifically for that purpose but larger objects would take forever to destroy that way, but I could be wrong because I don't know much about lasers
I was getting at the drone ionizing a portion of the debris' mass, very gradually using a laser pumped by solar-charged capacitors, and using that as propellant in an ion thruster. You'd have to adapt it to use lots of different materials, which I'm not sure is feasible because I'm not an engineer, but you wouldn't be wasting the drone (or at least until the storage media gets eaten through by vaporized metals), and you could keep hold of the debris long enough to adjust orbit to the next target. Of course, releasing satellites that are predators for other satellites may be worse than a kessler syndrome, but maybe they could just aggregate stuff together instead. That's useful, if annoying when the ISS gets dragged into a space-dustpile by little space-janitors.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on February 17, 2015, 11:49:26 am
Oh thank god I wasn't the only one who thought they would be addorable
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on February 17, 2015, 12:05:06 pm
You can't really change the orbit of spent stages from rockets
Doing it robotically would be expensive and time consuming but it would be a guarantee of the junk being gone.
Lasers might work for smaller debris if you can get lasers onto already orbiting stations specifically for that purpose but larger objects would take forever to destroy that way, but I could be wrong because I don't know much about lasers

Lasers are very energy inefficient, and the risk of reflections would be high.

better off shooting a netgun with small spheres containing a retracting cable strung through the net's periphery, attached at the corners (or equidistantly around the periphery) of the net would probably work better, but shooting the net would impose a thrust against the launching vehicle. it would need a good suply of station keeping propellant.

since there is no air up there to speak of, drag isnt as much of a concern, so shooting the net fuly deployed (open), with very tiny netting would work just fine.  when the net hits the target debris field, the little spheres on the periphery engage, and sinch up the cable strung between them, closing up the net like a sack. now instead of hundreds of small objects, you have a large aggregated one that you can more easily deorbit.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Eagleon on February 17, 2015, 12:14:37 pm
Oh thank god I wasn't the only one who thought they would be addorable
They would have to be sufficiently adorable to charm Putin, at least, because all of his tacticians would be screaming at him that they pose a threat to their satellites. So little dog-tongues hanging out the side and bugged-out eyes, at bare minimum.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Rez on February 17, 2015, 12:53:16 pm
Are there engineers/scholars/entrepreneurs suggesting orbiting debris lasing satellites?  What I have read has suggested this technique would be Earth-based and focused on slowing things down, not vaporizing them entirely.  That also has the bonus of not needing to be in orbit to get debris out of orbit.  Sure, it's inefficient, but inefficiency isn't such a large problem on Earth where heat-sinking is comparatively trivial and there aren't nearly so many constraints on power generation.

I suspect a capture-type system would end up being more energy expensive, because it needs lots of fuel at all stages of the mission.  You need fuel to launch the systems, the capture mechanism needs fuel to intercept debris and push it out of orbit.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on February 17, 2015, 12:57:11 pm
How would you slow something down that is in or it with lasers? Wouldn't they just speed up again because they are orbiting? Or do I just not know anything?
((I'm not very well educated on this stuff, I'm a guy that wants to be a nuclear or aerospace engineer so zero g stuff is not my forte))
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on February 17, 2015, 12:58:52 pm
Are there engineers/scholars/entrepreneurs suggesting orbiting debris lasing satellites?  What I have read has suggested this technique would be Earth-based and focused on slowing things down, not vaporizing them entirely.  That also has the bonus of not needing to be in orbit to get debris out of orbit.  Sure, it's inefficient, but inefficiency isn't such a large problem on Earth where heat-sinking is comparatively trivial and there aren't nearly so many constraints on power generation.

I suspect a capture-type system would end up being more energy expensive, because it needs lots of fuel at all stages of the mission.  You need fuel to launch the systems, the capture mechanism needs fuel to intercept debris and push it out of orbit.

There's the legal problem there of essentially developing an anti-sat laser. Not to mention the engineering problems of lasing through that much atmosphere while still retaining the power to vaporize.

How would you slow something down that is in or it with lasers? Wouldn't they just speed up again because they are orbiting? Or do I just not know anything?
((I'm not very well educated on this stuff, I'm a guy that wants to be a nuclear or aerospace engineer so zero g stuff is not my forte))
When you strike something with a sufficiently powerful laser, the surface is vaporized and ablated. Striking the side of an object against the direction of its orbit would cause the resulting vaporized debris to propel it the other way.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on February 17, 2015, 12:59:15 pm
Earth-based lasers wouldn't work. Too much air in the way. Even without wasted air heating, you've got to deal with atmospheric twinkling.

A laser satellite could just have large capacitor banks and be solar powered. It could use tiny pulses to effectively produce ad-hoc Ablative Laser Propulsion (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laser_propulsion#Ablative_laser_propulsion).

Cryxis, I recommend KSP for an introduction.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on February 17, 2015, 01:03:44 pm
I e tried to get my hands on KSP but steam doesn't work for me (I hate it and havnt had good experience with it and my dad doesn't want me using it) and I don't know how else to get it.



Also once the object is slowed down, I was asking if it would just speed up again because it's in orbit? I don't think things sitting that close to earth just stop moving if they get slowed down. Would it start orbiting in the direction the laser was pushing it?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on February 17, 2015, 01:11:01 pm
From Squad themselves. (https://kerbalspaceprogram.com/kspstore/index.php)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on February 17, 2015, 01:11:14 pm
Ninja'd!

You can get KSP directly from their website (https://kerbalspaceprogram.com/), no steam involved.

Think of an orbit kind of like a battery for kinetic energy. The more energy, the more speed, and the higher the orbit. If you slow down an object, its orbit dips lower, and slow it down enough, it will start brushing against the atmosphere, which will slow it down further due to drag and eventually cause it to deorbit.

Basically, objects try to fall straight down, but orbit is what happens when they're moving sideways fast enough to miss the planet when they do. They keep falling on this "miss," until gravity slingshots them back towards what they're orbiting around and they miss again.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on February 17, 2015, 01:14:59 pm
So slowing it down just makes them drop? Huh...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Eagleon on February 17, 2015, 01:16:22 pm
Ninja'd!

You can get KSP directly from their website (https://kerbalspaceprogram.com/), no steam involved.

Think of an orbit kind of like a battery for kinetic energy. The more energy, the more speed, and the higher the orbit. If you slow down an object, its orbit dips lower, and slow it down enough, it will start brushing against the atmosphere, which will slow it down further due to drag and eventually cause it to deorbit.

Basically, objects try to fall straight down, but orbit is what happens when they're moving sideways fast enough to miss the planet when they do. They keep falling on this "miss," until gravity slingshots them back towards what they're orbiting around and they miss again.
More than that, you can speed it up and still achieve a decaying orbit. Push it along the current vector, you accelerate it, and it reaches a higher orbit along one lobe. But push it against any other vector, and some part of the orbit will dip even if it's going faster, because the orbital path is -turning-, and if any part of that path hits the atmosphere, you've achieved a decaying orbit. It's counterintuitive, but you can actually fall out of orbit by going faster the wrong way :D
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: x2yzh9 on February 17, 2015, 01:17:49 pm
Hypotheticaly speaking, for space debris just have drones fly in orbit with onboard automated computing systems that angles themselves to shoot the debris away from the earth, or at least towards it and into much smaller fragmented pieces. however, I wonder if over a long period of time it would mess with the atmosphere? That's just a conjecture however.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on February 17, 2015, 01:19:13 pm
Ninja'd!

You can get KSP directly from their website (https://kerbalspaceprogram.com/), no steam involved.

Think of an orbit kind of like a battery for kinetic energy. The more energy, the more speed, and the higher the orbit. If you slow down an object, its orbit dips lower, and slow it down enough, it will start brushing against the atmosphere, which will slow it down further due to drag and eventually cause it to deorbit.

Basically, objects try to fall straight down, but orbit is what happens when they're moving sideways fast enough to miss the planet when they do. They keep falling on this "miss," until gravity slingshots them back towards what they're orbiting around and they miss again.
More than that, you can speed it up and still achieve a decaying orbit. Push it along the current vector, you accelerate it, and it reaches a higher orbit along one lobe. But push it against any other vector, and some part of the orbit will dip even if it's going faster, because the orbital path is -turning-, and if any part of that path hits the atmosphere, you've achieved a decaying orbit. It's counterintuitive, but you can actually fall out of orbit by going faster the wrong way :D
Yes, direction is important, as is where on the orbit you apply the acceleration.

Hypotheticaly speaking, for space debris just have drones fly in orbit with onboard automated computing systems that angles themselves to shoot the debris away from the earth, or at least towards it and into much smaller fragmented pieces. however, I wonder if over a long period of time it would mess with the atmosphere? That's just a conjecture however.
You'd need a lot more space junk than we currently have to create a noticeable effect if you burn it all up. Much larger volumes of rock disintegrate in the atmosphere all the time.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on February 17, 2015, 01:20:52 pm
Making them into smaller pieces would not be good at all.

IIRC a paint chip hitting a space ship/station in orbit can crack a window, an object the size of a marble can breach the hull and depressurize a part of a ship.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on February 17, 2015, 01:22:56 pm
What you really want to do is just have them reenter. Throwing them out of our system might take more energy, and they'd still be floating around out there to potentially cause problems in the future.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on February 17, 2015, 01:25:24 pm
It always surprises me how people get so concerned over an RTG burning up in the atmosphere.

Really though, the danger of atmospheric pollution from space exploration should be from the excessive amounts of hydrazine fuel burnt to ORBIT things, not the resulting high atmosphere dust and vapor trails from deorbiting spacecraft. Hydrazine fuel is far more environmentally dangerous than a few hundred pounds of metal burning up.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on February 17, 2015, 01:28:45 pm
Definitely. That stuff is incredibly toxic. And we get around 15,000 tons of natural space dust entering the atmosphere every year anyway.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Rez on February 17, 2015, 02:21:24 pm
There's the legal problem there of essentially developing an anti-sat laser. Not to mention the engineering problems of lasing through that much atmosphere while still retaining the power to vaporize.

I think I've mentioned that we need mad (though benevolent) scientists/entrepreneurs to push space development.  Obviously, they would need island fortresses and hordes of redshirts to protect them from the special forces of nation-states. XD

Seriously, though, there's no avoiding space development becoming a serious issue.  Launch sites and satellites are already critical military and economic assets and an elevator, once we build it, will be a nexus of supreme economic power.  It's no good kicking the can and pretending that economic development of space won't necessarily carry important military and political effects.  I think keeping our orbit clean is a cause for humanity's good and well worth the effort of convincing chronically paranoid nations to buy into it (or at least to not invade Poland or start WWIII over it).


Twinkling is not a new optics challenge and other optics applications have had to address it.  There are ways to mitigate air heating, though obviously you can't negate it.  These aren't impossible problems for the idea.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Rez on February 17, 2015, 02:42:30 pm
Has anyone seen the news about the very high plumes over Mars?

Neat.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on February 17, 2015, 03:44:00 pm
Note on the laser through the air thing, but one of the more common ways to handle it is just to use a double laser pulse. The first laser loses tons of energy before it reaches the target, but it ionizes a path through the air on the way (and shows up as a brilliant beam). The second laser is fired right on the tail of the first one, and passes through the ionized air without any real resistance (and is thus invisible) before it hits the target with the majority of it's energy intact. It's the same method that the government was using in these (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_YAL-1) prior to their cancelation.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Graknorke on February 17, 2015, 08:21:22 pm
Also that has the benefit of sort of ensuring that the laser stays in a tight-ish beam along the ionised air.

Seriously I keep this site (http://panoptesv.com/SciFi/LaserDeathRay/DeathRay.html) open at all times. It mostly uses decent science and also serves as inspiration for life goals.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on February 17, 2015, 08:27:52 pm
Has anyone seen the news about the very high plumes over Mars?

Neat.
I do wonder what it is.
'Tis a mystery.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorfs R Fun on February 20, 2015, 06:03:01 pm
Those plumes over mars are cool. We have no clue yet.

In other spacetatstic news.

1.5 gigapixel picture of the Andromeda galaxy (that's 1.5 billion pixels)
http://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/2015/01/20/nasa-largest-picture-andromeda-galaxy/22052513/ (http://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/2015/01/20/nasa-largest-picture-andromeda-galaxy/22052513/)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Morrigi on February 20, 2015, 06:40:38 pm
Has anyone seen the news about the very high plumes over Mars?

Neat.
I do wonder what it is.
'Tis a mystery.
The Moon Nazis colonized Mars back in the 70's to build a vast space armada in order to re-take Earth once and for all, and now they've finally finished. Invasion fleet in 30 minutes.
/shitposting

But seriously, it's an odd development. Is there any info regarding what the plumes are composed of?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on February 20, 2015, 08:20:45 pm
Quote
Towards midnight on
12 August, one astronomer noticed a great cloud of hot gas on
the surface of the planet.

...

Thick clouds of smoke or dust, which looked like little grey,
moving spots through a powerful telescope on Earth, spread
through the clearness of the planet's atmosphere and hid its more
familiar features
War of the Worlds, Chapter 1.
:P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on February 20, 2015, 08:43:51 pm
Has anyone seen the news about the very high plumes over Mars?

Neat.
I do wonder what it is.
'Tis a mystery.
The Moon Nazis colonized Mars back in the 70's to build a vast space armada in order to re-take Earth once and for all, and now they've finally finished. Invasion fleet in 30 minutes.
/shitposting
I seem to remember a film that was very similar except about the moon, lets see if I can find it... ah, here it is (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iron_Sky)!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Graknorke on February 21, 2015, 08:28:26 am
War of the Worlds, Chapter 1.
:P
If this wasn't your first thought then you lose.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on April 13, 2015, 09:10:00 pm
http://www.space.com/29072-mars-liquid-water-at-night.html

Don't get too excited, but this is pretty cool.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on April 13, 2015, 09:30:41 pm
The SpaceX launch was scrubbed today for bad weather; another attempt tomorrow. Notable because they will be attempting a barge landing again. Last I heard, Tuesday/Today/Tomorrow, depending on time zone, is the next launch attempt, with ~50% chance of good weather.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Rose on April 14, 2015, 12:43:30 am
what was today's chance?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Parsely on April 14, 2015, 01:14:40 am
There's the legal problem there of essentially developing an anti-sat laser. Not to mention the engineering problems of lasing through that much atmosphere while still retaining the power to vaporize.
Unless you push your laser into space and give it a bunch of radiators! Solar power FTW.

How would you slow something down that is in or it with lasers? Wouldn't they just speed up again because they are orbiting? Or do I just not know anything?
((I'm not very well educated on this stuff, I'm a guy that wants to be a nuclear or aerospace engineer so zero g stuff is not my forte))
When you strike something with a sufficiently powerful laser, the surface is vaporized and ablated. Striking the side of an object against the direction of its orbit would cause the resulting vaporized debris to propel it the other way.
Yup. Laser-powered engines have been theorized. Since all an engine does is burn reaction mass which is exhausted from the rear of the ship, propelling it forward, all you do is aim a big dumb laser at the solid remass on the back of the ship and it flies away at speed.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sneakey pete on April 14, 2015, 07:09:10 am
what was today's chance?

60.

From what I understand the weather issue is storm cells, not a widespread weather pattern as such, so really its just pot luck.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Magistrum on April 14, 2015, 07:10:21 am
I don't even know what this thread is about, but I miss the space core...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Rose on April 14, 2015, 07:34:34 am
This thread is mostly about real life space travel news and developments.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Tylui on April 14, 2015, 12:59:52 pm
ptw!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on April 14, 2015, 02:32:43 pm
Some interesting bits about the "bright spots" on Ceres. Some are quite cold, but the "twin" spots that you've seen so much in the headlines are the same general temperature as the rest of Ceres. DAWN should be back in the illuminated side of Ceres on April 23, and much closer than its previous pass (abut 8400 miles).

Still have my fingers crossed for landing pad/obelisk/sign saying "Kang was here".
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gigaz on April 14, 2015, 02:56:31 pm
Here is some pretty interesting stuff about finding Aliens. Puts quite a constraint on them, I think.

http://marketbusinessnews.com/no-signs-of-super-advanced-alien-life-after-100000-galaxies-searched/56636
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: olemars on April 14, 2015, 03:05:51 pm
http://www.ustream.tv/channel/6540154

T -5 minutes
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on April 14, 2015, 03:06:13 pm
Perhaps we're just looking for the wrong things? They could be using different wavelengths to us, for example.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gigaz on April 14, 2015, 03:12:54 pm
Perhaps we're just looking for the wrong things? They could be using different wavelengths to us, for example.

From thermodynamics alone you can argue that the wavelengths must be well above CMB, but well below visible light. Not too many possible wavelengths, actually. Just about two orders of magnitude.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on April 14, 2015, 03:28:26 pm
And the SpaceX launch was a success!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: olemars on April 14, 2015, 03:33:40 pm
Stage one reached the pad, but landed hard again unfortunately.

They'll get it right eventually.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MDFification on April 14, 2015, 03:48:43 pm
Perhaps we're just looking for the wrong things? They could be using different wavelengths to us, for example.
Or there's no proper way of transmitting stuff in the EM spectrum over such a large distance without it appearing as natural or being undetectable due to blooming or some other effect?

Or the great filter.

Or Reapers.

When you think of life as a system with exponentially increasing complexity and factor in the distances involved, this makes sense. We're not looking at those galaxies as they are today, but as they looked millions of years ago. Assuming life became possible in the Milky Way and these galaxies at the same time, their life hasn't reached a level of complexity that can support galaxy-spanning civilizations by the time the light we're viewing was produced.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on April 14, 2015, 05:55:28 pm
Even in our own galaxy, a spacegoing civilization's messages could take over a hundred thousand years to reach us.

Worse, unless they're specifically broadcasting in all directions at an immensely high power, we might not even get their signal anyway - as the signal spreads out, it weakens. Our broadcast 'leakage' from the 20th century (Now largely gone with the fall of high-power radio transmitters as a communications technology) won't reach all that far either.

Worse, if aliens do pick up our signals by a miraculous chance, there's a damn good chance that the first broadcast they'd recieve is that 1936 Olympic Games.

That could get a little socially awkward later on.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Graknorke on April 14, 2015, 06:24:36 pm
Why would it? They'd have no cultural context to even know anything about the Nazis. As far as an unaware observer would be concerned it's just a series of competitions of physical prowess, presided over by a state comprised of people who are long-dead.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on April 14, 2015, 07:04:01 pm
Why would it? They'd have no cultural context to even know anything about the Nazis. As far as an unaware observer would be concerned it's just a series of competitions of physical prowess, presided over by a state comprised of people who are long-dead.

I did say later on.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on April 14, 2015, 08:09:57 pm
They just released video of the landing from a chase plane:
Spoiler: img (click to show/hide)
https://vine.co/v/euEpIVegiIx
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on April 15, 2015, 01:19:38 am
To be honest they didn't look for radio emissions, but for what would be the results of some kind of galaxy-wide dyson sphere: the waste heat signature of a civilization that manage to harvest and use a significant portion of their galaxy's power output. I'm actually glad they didn't, that kind of power would scare me shitless.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: zchris13 on April 15, 2015, 01:48:37 am
To be honest they didn't look for emissions, but for what would be the results of some kind of galaxy-wide dyson sphere: the waste heat signature of a civilization that manage to harvest and use a significant portion of their galaxy's power output. I'm actually glad they didn't, that kind of power would scare me shitless.
Yeah okay I'm going to go have nightmares about that now, thanks.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MDFification on April 15, 2015, 05:48:00 am
To be honest they didn't look for radio emissions, but for what would be the results of some kind of galaxy-wide dyson sphere: the waste heat signature of a civilization that manage to harvest and use a significant portion of their galaxy's power output. I'm actually glad they didn't, that kind of power would scare me shitless.

Especially considering that power of that magnitude could doubtlessly send ships as the speed of light to acquire evermore resources. And, in fact, as soon as we saw their civilization they could already be on their way...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Parsely on April 15, 2015, 10:32:17 am
A Type II civilization isn't going to give a crap about us. We don't have anything they could possibly want that they couldn't get from somewhere else.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Morrigi on April 15, 2015, 11:40:33 am
Why would it? They'd have no cultural context to even know anything about the Nazis. As far as an unaware observer would be concerned it's just a series of competitions of physical prowess, presided over by a state comprised of people who are long-dead.
We also have no context for what alien culture and politics would be like. For all we know, they could look down upon democracy on principle, and would be best buddies with the Nazis. We just don't know.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on April 15, 2015, 01:24:20 pm
Why would it? They'd have no cultural context to even know anything about the Nazis. As far as an unaware observer would be concerned it's just a series of competitions of physical prowess, presided over by a state comprised of people who are long-dead.
We also have no context for what alien culture and politics would be like. For all we know, they could look down upon democracy on principle, and would be best buddies with the Nazis. We just don't know.

Unlikely. The Nazis had an inefficient, self-sabotaging social order, and their eugenic theories aren't upheld by science. It strains credulity that any alien civilization that was alike enough to them to like them would ever reach II without some kind of reform.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TempAcc on April 15, 2015, 01:34:42 pm
Even in our own galaxy, a spacegoing civilization's messages could take over a hundred thousand years to reach us.

Worse, unless they're specifically broadcasting in all directions at an immensely high power, we might not even get their signal anyway - as the signal spreads out, it weakens. Our broadcast 'leakage' from the 20th century (Now largely gone with the fall of high-power radio transmitters as a communications technology) won't reach all that far either.

Worse, if aliens do pick up our signals by a miraculous chance, there's a damn good chance that the first broadcast they'd recieve is that 1936 Olympic Games.

That could get a little socially awkward later on.

I once saw a theory that quasars could be manipulated by sufficiently advanced aliens to emit light bursts in frequencies that would allow another less civilized species, on the other side of the galaxy, to maybe detect the artificial nature of the light bursts and see it as a "hey, we're over here!" sign. Its an interesting theory IMO, but due to the speed of light, we'd only actualy receive the message much later :v

Damn you, cosmic scale.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Magistrum on April 15, 2015, 02:23:48 pm
I like the idea of not existing any life-form beyond our's in the universe. Kind of make feel proud for something I didn't contributed to in the little. Like football.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: flame99 on April 27, 2015, 10:15:26 pm
Warp Drive (http://sputniknews.com/us/20150425/1021360503.html)
That is all

yes i realize it probably won't pan out. i don't care
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on April 27, 2015, 10:19:01 pm
not sure if this belongs here, but Kerbal Space Program was fully released today.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MaximumZero on April 27, 2015, 10:30:15 pm
Why would it? They'd have no cultural context to even know anything about the Nazis. As far as an unaware observer would be concerned it's just a series of competitions of physical prowess, presided over by a state comprised of people who are long-dead.
Or they could think it is a training montage sent as a threat.
Couldn't be a training montage. Eye of the Tiger hadn't been recorded yet.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on April 28, 2015, 03:05:03 am
No mention of the (probably too good to be true) accidental warp bubble?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on April 28, 2015, 03:15:00 am
Warp Drive (http://sputniknews.com/us/20150425/1021360503.html)
That is all

yes i realize it probably won't pan out. i don't care
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on April 28, 2015, 11:12:45 am
No, not a warp drive. Looks cool, but the EmDrive (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/EmDrive) is not a warp drive.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on April 28, 2015, 01:32:15 pm
Anyway Progress is currently spinning out of control.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pm8dC9ej7Tw
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on April 28, 2015, 02:01:49 pm
Well that's not good.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on April 29, 2015, 08:37:04 am
Nasa working on a EmDrive? That's really fishy, I thought the EmDrive concept was discarded a long time ago as a hoax not different from a perpetual motion machine.

Even then, for starters we don't require going faster than light. Enough velocity to make the travel around different parts of the solar system a matter of days/weeks would suffice for the time being.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on April 29, 2015, 08:40:24 am
It's non published, non peer reviewed research. Physics as we know it says it shouodn't work.

It just might though, do we'll have to wait till they publish it. Dont get to execited though, remember the FTL neutrino's.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: ChairmanPoo on April 29, 2015, 08:44:53 am
I think Padme's death in Star Wars III was pretty stupid.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on April 29, 2015, 08:51:24 am
That's... really odd to post here, are you sure you didn't meant to post that on the nitpicks that ruined movies thread?

However I agree with you, I rather think that is not that stupid "she doesn't want to live anymore" reason, but more a thing of crushed larynx preventing blood going to the brain or something.


On topic, yeah, I completely and dully expect this to be another hoax or jump from the gun the media has us used to. Most likely when they repeat the experiment on vacuum they'll discover that it was the air after all or that it's a error on the measurement or something along those lines.

It would be awesome however if true AND really applicable in a practical way to space travel. It could open up a whole new level of resources to the human race to exploit. We could really lay the foundations for a unified human empire across the stars.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheDarkStar on April 29, 2015, 04:44:31 pm
On topic, yeah, I completely and dully expect this to be another hoax or jump from the gun the media has us used to. Most likely when they repeat the experiment on vacuum they'll discover that it was the air after all or that it's a error on the measurement or something along those lines.

It would be awesome however if true AND really applicable in a practical way to space travel. It could open up a whole new level of resources to the human race to exploit. We could really lay the foundations for a unified human empire across the stars.

Out of curiosity, what kind of force could you get from pushing off the Earth's magnetic field?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bumber on April 29, 2015, 11:19:42 pm
Anyway Progress is currently spinning out of control.
I took this sentence at face value before I clicked the link, not noticing the capital 'P'. Now it reads like an ironic newspaper headline. On a similarly spinning newspaper, cartoon style with drumroll.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on April 30, 2015, 12:51:33 pm
Push off earth's magnetic field?

Not enough to overcome surface gravity, and if you pumped enough feild strength out to actually do so, you would have every iron/steel/nickel/permanent magnet for miles around trying to reverse their orientation (physically), and then trying to pull on your field/stick to your ship.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on April 30, 2015, 01:45:37 pm
I advice you to send that question to What If of Randall Munroe. It would be interesting.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MaximumZero on April 30, 2015, 02:06:36 pm
Or ask Monkeyhead, who is our resident mad physicist, iirc.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MonkeyHead on April 30, 2015, 02:33:16 pm
You called?

Short answer - not much, without using several metric shit tons of electricity which you would be better off using to run some more efficient mechanism. Like lasers. Or motors. Or an ion engine.

Longer answer - the mean magnetic field strength of the Earth at its surface is about 4.5*10^-5 Tesla - several orders of magnitude weaker than a fridge magnet. This means to generate even a modest thrust you need a few hundred thousand million coulombs of charge moving around (via good old F = Bqv or F = BIL). That sort of current will do bad things, like ionize the air around you, melt your vehicle and so on. Sounds a good idea for a weapon though, or defensive system - literally melting ferrous projectiles via inducing huge currents, or some such. Interestingly, while doing some reading for this answer, I discovered that it takes 16 Tesla to levitate a frog... (http://www.improbable.com/ig/winners/#ig2000). We could use the strongest magnets we have ever made (33ish Tesla, superconducting cryo electromagnets used in the LHC) to lift 2 frogs.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on April 30, 2015, 02:47:35 pm
Since you're here, what do you think about the Em-drive concept?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MonkeyHead on April 30, 2015, 02:54:36 pm
Since you're here, what do you think about the Em-drive concept?

I am sceptical of the proposed mechanism of force production claimed in EMDrive proposals. I am also sceptical of the claimed results - such forces as claimed are so small as to be well within the bounds of errors or other propulsive effects of EM radiation. Though this is a form of scepticism that I hope is wrong, as I often do with "revolutionary" physics.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on April 30, 2015, 03:44:22 pm
You called?

Short answer - not much, without using several metric shit tons of electricity which you would be better off using to run some more efficient mechanism. Like lasers. Or motors. Or an ion engine.

Longer answer - the mean magnetic field strength of the Earth at its surface is about 4.5*10^-5 Tesla - several orders of magnitude weaker than a fridge magnet. This means to generate even a modest thrust you need a few hundred thousand million coulombs of charge moving around (via good old F = Bqv or F = BIL). That sort of current will do bad things, like ionize the air around you, melt your vehicle and so on. Sounds a good idea for a weapon though, or defensive system - literally melting ferrous projectiles via inducing huge currents, or some such. Interestingly, while doing some reading for this answer, I discovered that it takes 16 Tesla to levitate a frog... (http://www.improbable.com/ig/winners/#ig2000). We could use the strongest magnets we have ever made (33ish Tesla, superconducting cryo electromagnets used in the LHC) to lift 2 frogs.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DjpeCGaV4qw

They also did other things, like a spider and random bits of plastic, but I can't find footage/pictures.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: BFEL on April 30, 2015, 04:05:55 pm
I discovered that it takes 16 Tesla to levitate a frog... (http://www.improbable.com/ig/winners/#ig2000).

Every single one of those is hilarious in their own special way.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on April 30, 2015, 04:46:18 pm
I discovered that it takes 16 Tesla to levitate a frog... We could use the strongest magnets we have ever made (33ish Tesla, superconducting cryo electromagnets used in the LHC) to lift 2 frogs.
What, you need twice as dense a flux to lift twice the mass against constant force? Shouldn't 33T propel as many frogs as you like at ~1g upwards?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MrWiggles on April 30, 2015, 08:09:58 pm
Since you're here, what do you think about the Em-drive concept?

I am sceptical of the proposed mechanism of force production claimed in EMDrive proposals. I am also sceptical of the claimed results - such forces as claimed are so small as to be well within the bounds of errors or other propulsive effects of EM radiation. Though this is a form of scepticism that I hope is wrong, as I often do with "revolutionary" physics.
It seems to be passing muster though. Though at the same time, it also seems to be violating the conversation of energy.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on May 01, 2015, 01:43:36 am
Thought it only violated conservation of momentum, not energy.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on May 01, 2015, 02:00:08 am
Momentum is a measure of kinetic energy, and can also be expressed as a mass term.

The second law of motion is that for every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction. The device SHOULD be pushing particles with the same energy that those particles push back against the device with, which should then be colliding with the back of the device, negating the forward push they initially imparted. However, the particles stop existing before they reach the back end of the device, so they never interact again, and thus never confer that countering momentum, resulting in a violation. The energy simply vanishes along with the particles carrying it-- for all intents and purposes.

This may just be an APPARENT violation, however. The measured laser interferometry data suggests that the fabric of spacetime itself is reacting to this energy disequilibrium, and may in fact be where the energy is "Going."  "Empty space" is not a null value for energy state, and fluctuates wildly. The added energy on those virtual particles may be, for instance, kicking the local energy state of the local space to the device into a slightly more energetic condition, which then dissipates over distance as increased vacuum fluctuations, which being completely random, are unable to meaningfully negate the initially imparted momentum, allowing the "reactionless" drive to work, while still conserving the energy conservation law. (Just bending it into some gnarly shapes.)

Spacetime with a slightly different energy density would have slightly different vacuum properties, which would affect how other kinds of forces propogate through it, which may explain the interferometer data. (Some interpretations of feild propogation use models of virtual particle interaction to carry the field. "Anomalies" in the virtual particle density of one bit of spacetime right next to another would create anomalies in field propogation between those regions, which is what the laser interferometer is detecting.)

Being able to exert pressure on the prevalence/rate of vacuum fluctuations would be a radical new development.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on May 01, 2015, 05:46:20 am
Momentum is a measure of kinetic energy
Mind telling us more about it? Because it looks like some new physics to me.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on May 01, 2015, 11:19:16 am
No, that's ancient newtonian stuff.

The kinetic energy of an object is related to its momentum by the equation:

Ek = (P^2/2M)

where:

Ek is kinetic energy
 P is momentum
 M is mass of the body

The relationship is why accelerating protons in a particle collider gives them effective mass, by increasing thier energy, and is also partially responsible for why a mass bearing object cannot accelerate to light speed. (requires more and more energy to accellerate, because it gains effective mass as the momentum changes from the addition of that energy, due to relativity between energy and mass.)


Combined with the famous E=MC^2, we can convert the mass term into an energy term (and vice-versa),  and thus define momentum as a relationship between moving and resting energy, (and thus as an energy term), relative to velocity. (or as a relationship between two masses, real and effective, and a velocity)

Momentum is just a relational property of the interaction between mass and kinetic energy, expressed via the change in velocity.





Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MonkeyHead on May 01, 2015, 12:22:21 pm
I discovered that it takes 16 Tesla to levitate a frog... We could use the strongest magnets we have ever made (33ish Tesla, superconducting cryo electromagnets used in the LHC) to lift 2 frogs.
What, you need twice as dense a flux to lift twice the mass against constant force? Shouldn't 33T propel as many frogs as you like at ~1g upwards?

Ohyeah. Derp. Forget that Tesla is a field strength, not a force. Now I want a cryomagnet powered frog blaster. Thanks.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on May 01, 2015, 12:30:39 pm
... compressed air would be significantly cheaper to build and operate.

But I admit, a magnetic omnigun would be neat all around, just not practical.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on May 01, 2015, 04:53:04 pm
snip
I don't get what you're saying there. What is 'ancient newtonian stuff'?
Of course you can link Ek and p via an equation, and you can do it easily in Newtonian mechanics:
Ek=mV^2/2
p=mV
p^2=m^2V^2
Ek=p^2/2m

But that doesn't change that these two are not equivalent (one is a scalar the other a vector!), and one is not a measure of the other in the same way as force is not a measure of acceleration despite the two being linked through F=ma.

Your post following ebbor's implied that satisfying the conservation law for one automatically satisfies them for the other, which is dead wrong. The need to conserve both quantities is what constrains e.g. the CNO fusion cycle in the Sun, or pair production, or orbital motion.

Is there something I'm missing here?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on May 03, 2015, 02:56:40 pm
Scalar vs vector:

This is hardly a conclusive argument, but--

 The two kinds of energy must have some degree of interchangeability, otherwise you couldn't get light pressure. (The double slit experiment shows us that light prefers to exist as waves instead of particles. It only does the particle pattern when being watched very closely. This means that if I shine a flashlight at the moon, which scatters like freaking crazy, [let's ignore the atmosphere for a moment] some percentage of the light emitted hits the moon and some percentage of that light misses it completely. Since we aren't watching the light really aggressively, it acts like waves; the photons hitting the moon are also missing the moon, simultaneously, with some percentage of the photon's energy being absorbed, and some percentage getting away.  The energy absorbed imparts a net vector away from the the flashlight's scalar field's point of origin in the form of light pressure.)

For momentum in general, you have a moving object that has mass. (scalar, we dont know what direction it is moving.) I am saying that the increase in energy needed to impart any new vector (We treat the object as if it were standing still compared to the surrounding environment; we are approaching this from the object's reference frame. Much like you feel like you are sitting still sitting in your chair, when in fact you are moving bitching fast in several vectors of movement along with the earth, with the earth/sun system, and with the earth/sun/galaxy system. You feel like you are standing still, because you have your own reference frame. In reality you are carrying some absurd amount of kinetic energy along with you in your reference frame.) to this object, the total energy you are already carrying influences how much your vector changes based on a fixed input of energy.  In this way, the energy imparted is indistinguishable from a mass term. It acts like you are heavier. This is true no matter what direction you try to alter the vector.  (To stop the object, you need to precisely counter the vector of movement with energy applied in the opposite vector. However, to accelerate the object, it takes more and more energy in the same vector to do so, with diminishing returns each time. The first unit of X joules of energy on the object will move it X meters per second, but the second addition of the same X joules of energy in the same vector will not result in the same X meters per second increase in velocity. This is expressly manifest in why you cannot accellerate to light speed using a conventional thruster; it would take infinite energy to get to that velocity.)

The kicker is that this is true no matter what the vector of motion imparted is. It would take an absurd amount of energy to alter the motion vector of an incoming cosmic ray proton, than it would to alter a similarly massed proton moving about in a beaker of acid, or a free floating one inside a magnetically contained plasma.

Moreover, the "energy as mass" feature crops up inside the LHC, and is fundamental to how the device operates.  You take two ordinary, unassuming protons and speed the living shit out of them using magnetic accellerators, then smash them into each other. You end up with particle debris much more massive than the two input proton masses; The energy you supplied to speed them up contributes the lion's share of the energy in the collision, and contributes the lion's share of the masses of the resulting particle debris. The affect on accelleration caused by this conversion to genuine mass is scalar; we dont know what direction the particles went in unless we aggressively measure them, but due to uncertainty, we can't know position on the vector, meaning we cant measure magnitude and vise versa. That's one of the reasons why particle physicists describe the particles they detect in their colliders based on their energy in GeV, and not in terms of their mass and direction of movement.  The fact that we are unable to measure it does not make the physics go away-- the particles produced by the collision have both a magnitude and a vector. We just have to pick which one we want to measure.

This has some radical implications, in that it means that objects with lots of kinetic energy already are harder to accellerate(change or add new vectors of motion). This means a spinning body is harder to "move" than a body that is not spinning, and a number of other interesting things.  (which you can see for yourself with reaction wheels and the like.)

For these reasons (Light pressure is a thing, Mass is created inside the LHC, reaction wheels affect changes in vector (at least in terms of orientation-- we dont know how to convert spin into a linear vector of movement, but a linear vector of movement can be converted into spin.) etc) that some degree of interchange MUST happen here.


Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Radio Controlled on May 03, 2015, 03:23:38 pm
Quote
light prefers to exist as waves instead of particles. It only does the particle pattern when being watched very closely.

I am no physicist by any means, but I do think this isn't really correct when stated as such. Photons (and any elementary particle, such as neutrons and protons) have the particle-wave duality, but it's not like they suddenly exhibit different properties when watched very closely. You might measure something different in different experiments, but they are the same particles/waves. And 'prefer' to exist as waves is kind of a strange way to put it, since it's not like they have an opinion on the matter: they just appear to behave as waves in some experiments (double slit comes to mind), and as particles in others (photoelectric effect).

Quote
For momentum in general, you have a moving object that has mass. (scalar, we dont know what direction it is moving.)

I thought momentum was a vector quantity? Or am I missing something?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on May 03, 2015, 04:32:37 pm
snip
wierd, look. I don't mean to offend here. What you wrote is just a confused word salad, don't you know? It looks like you've made your own definitions of well-defined quantities, with properties that they don't have.
These definitions are there to facilitate communication and remove ambiguity. As it stands I don't know what you mean when you say momentum or energy or any of the other terms and I'm not sure you know what I mean when I use them.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on May 03, 2015, 04:40:01 pm
Momentum is indeed a vector quantity.


In regards to the momentum of light:
E=mc2. This is identical to E=pc (where p is momentum, equal to mc). This means that light has momentum by existing as the equivalent amount of energy.
The energy of light can be given by E=hf=hc/λ (where h is Planck's constant, f is frequency and λ is wavelength).
We can then equate the two together. E=hc/λ=pc. Thus, the momentum can be expressed as p=h/λ.
This is assuming that I haven't gone wrong somewhere.


Also, mass is not "created" within the LHC.
In the LHC, they accelerate protons to 99.99% c. This gives them huge amounts of energy (relative to the proton's rest mass). Ek=0.5mv2.
Let's multiply this by 2 because we are colliding two protons together. Therefore Ek=2(0.5mv2).
When a collision occurs, the two protons are converted to pure energy, E = 2(0.5mv2). This then converts into physical particles via pair production, satisfying the conditions of E=mc2.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on May 03, 2015, 04:42:33 pm
Momentum is indeed a vector quantity.


In regards to the momentum of light:
E=mc2. This is identical to E=pc (where p is momentum, equal to mc). This means that light has momentum by existing as the equivalent amount of energy.
The energy of light can be given by E=hf=hc/λ (where h is Planck's constant, f is frequency and λ is wavelength).
We can then equate the two together. E=hc/λ=pc. Thus, the momentum can be expressed as p=h/λ.
This is assuming that I haven't gone wrong somewhere.


Also, mass is not "created" within the LHC.
In the LHC, they accelerate protons to 99.99% c. This gives them huge amounts of energy (relative to the proton's rest mass). Ek=0.5mv2.
Let's multiply this by 2 because we are colliding two protons together. Therefore Ek=2(0.5mv2).
When a collision occurs, the two protons are converted to pure energy, E = 2(0.5mv2). This then converts into physical particles via pair production, satisfying the conditions of E=mc2.
Then, doesn't the energy turn into matter and antimatter?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on May 03, 2015, 04:51:50 pm
snip
wierd, look. I don't mean to offend here. What you wrote is just a confused word salad, don't you know? It looks like you've made your own definitions of well-defined quantities, with properties that they don't have.
These definitions are there to facilitate communication and remove ambiguity. As it stands I don't know what you mean when you say momentum or energy or any of the other terms and I'm not sure you know what I mean when I use them.

Word salad?

A vector quantity has a magnitude and a direction. (that's why it is a vector)
A scalar quantity just has a magnitude.

How does this differ from the established definitions?

When you can conserve the vector to a null definition, it becomes scalar, because direction is meaningless after that. (EG, I have a fast moving object in space. I apply additional energy to it to curl it's trajectory into a tight circle, and continue to reduce the radius of this circle until that radius equals zero. The energy in the fast moving object is not "Gone", but it is no longer moving in a straight line. It is now spinning around a point at its baricenter. It still has all of its momentum. It does not matter which direction it is spinning in- It no longer has net velocity in any direction, except circular around the baricenter point. The rate of rotation conserves the momentum.) If you compress the object beyond the schwartzchild radius, it becomes a singularity point. It still has mass, and still has the rotational energy, but the velocity is now unmeasurable. Would you say this is a vector quantity still, or has it become scalar?


An example of a scalar quantity at work here would be the higgs field interaction. We have successfully isolated the Higgs boson now. The Higgs field is totally a thing.  This field fills the entire universe, and Interactions with this field are scalar. They have a magnitude, but no direction. When you accelerate an object, the interaction changes, as it takes more and more energy to accelerate, because the object becomes harder and harder to accelerate. One way of looking at this, is that the object causes more and more drag on spacetime as its inertial reference frame interacts with the surrounding space-- Frame dragging is also a measured, real thing. Adding energy to a moving object seems to increase the magnitude of this interaction.

Another way to put this-- Shining a light beam into a black hole-- what changes, it's rotation or its mass? If you say mass, then you are converting a vector (EM radiation) into a scalar (gravitation) quantity.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on May 03, 2015, 05:02:21 pm
If you keep applying acceleration to your mass, it won't conserve its momentum...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on May 03, 2015, 05:13:24 pm
Sheb-- The momentum will increase with the added energy, not go away. However, the object's velocity will appear to diminish. That was the point.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on May 03, 2015, 06:16:03 pm
I've got work to do on a tight deadline, so I'll respond later. Unless you don't care, which is fine too.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on May 03, 2015, 06:25:54 pm
That's fine, take your time.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on May 04, 2015, 07:45:48 am
I quite like how civilized discussions are here.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Zrk2 on May 04, 2015, 08:14:11 am
It's a pleasant change from reddit. This is really interesting, as I know most of this, but haven't thought about it in a while. I should be better at all the relativity, as I've had multiple classes go over it. But then, all my relativity/non-Newtonian mechanics was with respect to mass-defects and nuclear physics, not this particular application.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on May 04, 2015, 10:45:12 am
Word salad?

A vector quantity has a magnitude and a direction. (that's why it is a vector)
A scalar quantity just has a magnitude.

How does this differ from the established definitions?
That's not what I was talking about.

First, let me explain why I applied such an epithet.

The discussion started because you've made a statement about energy and momentum that I've found faulty. That's all it is about.
You said that one is an expression of the other. I tried to address how that's not the case, also pointing out to how one is a scalar the other is a vector.

Your response begins with
The two kinds of energy must have some degree of interchangeability
and you lost me there already. I don't know what two kinds of energy you mean.
Assuming a slip of mind, and that we're still talking about momentum and kinetic energy...

You then go on on a tangent about light pressure and wave-particle duality that doesn't support your contention that the two qualities are interchangeable. Light pressure obeys both energy and momentum conservation laws. You say that
Quote
The energy absorbed imparts a net vector away from the the flashlight's scalar field's point of origin in the form of light pressure
which it doesn't. The energy doesn't 'do' anything. It's just a quantity conserved in the interaction. The thing that does affect the motion directly is the momentum.
The energy conservation means that the energy of the absorbed light must go somewhere, the momentum conservation that the total momentum must remain the same. So while just with the first all the energy could have gone into heat or chemical reactions, with the second a specific change in motion is also required.

Then you talk about momentum:
Quote
For momentum in general, you have a moving object that has mass. (scalar, we dont know what direction it is moving.)
While mass is a scalar, velocity is a vector, and the product of the two is still a vector. So when talking about momentum of an object, we do know (or must know) which direction it's moving.

Next, you say:
Quote
(We treat the object as if it were standing still compared to the surrounding environment; we are approaching this from the object's reference frame. Much like you feel like you are sitting still sitting in your chair, when in fact you are moving bitching fast in several vectors of movement along with the earth, with the earth/sun system, and with the earth/sun/galaxy system. You feel like you are standing still, because you have your own reference frame. In reality you are carrying some absurd amount of kinetic energy along with you in your reference frame.)
Which uses some confused terminology.
Objects don't 'have a reference frame'. There exist (an infinite number of) reference frames in which any given object is at rest (rest frame is what I think you meant). A reference frame should not be treated as a physical thing. It's just a coordinate system used for description of motion.
Assuming you meant 'a rest frame'...
When you say:
Quote
In reality you are carrying some absurd amount of kinetic energy along with you in your reference frame
it's another case of confused terminology. It's incorrect to say that objects carry kinetic energy in their rest frame. They don't, that's why it's a rest frame. The correct thing to say is that kinetic energy (and momentum too) are frame-dependent. It doesn't mean that 'in reality' there's some energy somewhere out there - it means that kinetic energy has no absolute value and can be only discussed by first specifying a reference frame.
I think I know what you're getting at here, but it's rather sloppy and not very relevant to the discussion so why bring it?

In the light of the above, the following:
Quote
I am saying that the increase in energy needed to impart any new vector to this object, the total energy you are already carrying influences how much your vector changes based on a fixed input of energy. In this way, the energy imparted is indistinguishable from a mass term. It acts like you are heavier. This is true no matter what direction you try to alter the vector.
suggests that your kinetic energy in some reference frame affects changes in motion in your rest frame. I don't know if that's what you mean. I hope not.
Again, I think I understand what you're getting at (on that later), but it's not the way to do it. Again terminology. You use 'your vector' without qualifiers as if it meant anything.

I don't want to go on quoting your post bit by bit, since I've always found that not very conductive to discussion and this post already looks nitpicky and combative. I hope I've made my case in the support of perceived deficiencies in clarity, uh, clear enough already.


What I'd want to talk about is what I think you're getting at.

You're trying to say that given the two quantities, Ek and p, a change in the one necessitates a change in the other.
This is something nobody argues with! The two are functions of the same base quantities of mass and velocity, so it's obvious that it's going to happen.
But, they are separate quantities, that tell you different things about the system. If you analyse a system trying to keep only one of the quantities conserved, you'll get different results than if you do it with both.
Nuclear reactions look like they do because both quantities must be conserved, so it's not just sufficient to supply the right amount of energy to make new particles pop up - you need to allow for the momentum to be conserved.
This is what makes it easier to create particles from scattering photons off a heavy nucleus than it is from two photons interacting.
It's why you rarely have nuclear reactions that produce only one daughter particle despite nothing prohibiting it energetically - you need something to carry away the excess momentum.

In your example with light pressure, the need to conserve momentum is what causes it, even as all the energy could be just reflected. That's what the momentum is for - to account for such effects!
Why would you invent your own personal ways to get to the same place only without having it as a separate quantity? What does it accomplish apart from confusing your interlocutors?


Lastly, I just have to comment on these two points in your later post:
Quote
When you can conserve the vector to a null definition, it becomes scalar, because direction is meaningless after that.
You can't change a vector to a scalar by taking a limit. Even an infinitesimally small vector is still a vector. A limit doesn't mean that something becomes zero - it approaches zero.

Quote
Another way to put this-- Shining a light beam into a black hole-- what changes, it's rotation or its mass?
Why present only these two options there? Both mass and momentum change.


Again, I apologise if it looks combative. It's hard to point out what one sees as mistakes without assuming vaguely patronising airs.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: inteuniso on May 04, 2015, 06:26:54 pm
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CEMiQNJWgAAvRLJ.jpg:large)

EDIT: I thought it belonged here
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Zrk2 on May 04, 2015, 07:13:27 pm
What is that?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Morrigi on May 04, 2015, 08:41:30 pm
What is that?
Something rather silly.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Zrk2 on May 05, 2015, 07:00:32 pm
What is that?
Something rather silly.

Well obviously.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Levi on May 06, 2015, 11:38:19 pm
Fermi Paradox. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sNhhvQGsMEc)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on May 13, 2015, 08:46:51 pm
I like that. A thing to keep in mind, too, is that if you were to observe the sun from 4 billion lightyears away, there would hardly be an earth. You'd have to get with in a few hundred million lightyears to even find any signs of life here, and we've only been here for 2,000 lightyears' worth of time-distance. We're seeing all those planets from hundreds of millions to billions of lightyears away. That's a lot of time for a civilization to grow, fall, grow again, fall again, and so on until it escapes the star or the star explodes.

Hundred of billions of times throughout the distance of the galaxy.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on May 13, 2015, 09:27:34 pm
A snazzy video, and I like it's ending message. That said there are a few things I'd like to note about the Fermi Paradox/Drake Equation that they kinda skipped over:

1) People at this point tend to vastly overestimate our detection capabilities. Currently pretty much all we have determined is that there is nobody out there beaming great focused radio waves in one particular band near the hydrogen emission line directly at us. Beyond that we don't really know much. We certainly couldn't have detected anything like our civilization, even when it was broadcasting the absolute largest amount it ever did into space, beyond a distance of a few light years. The nearest habitable exoplanets we've discovered tend to be a few dozen light years away.

2) As we've developed we've drastically cut down on one of the numbers that originally was supposed to be quite high; the length that a civilization is broadcasting detectable transmissions into space. Now this is purely for economic reasons, after all, the aliens on any nearby planets are obviously not paying for the snazzy advertising you are using to pay for your great big and expensive transmitter. If they aren't paying for it, then economics dictates that you should stop broadcasting that strongly, which leads to a self reinforcing loop where we learn to hide our signals really quickly, not because we don't want to talk, but because there's no point in wasting money broadcasting to empty space. With the way technology is developing we might be looking at a "detectable for X years" value more in the range of a few hundred years, quite a bit less than the few thousand or hundred thousand years hypothesized previously. As such, it's totally possible that there are several civilizations out there, but that we just haven't heard from each other because economics demands that we confine all of our transmissions to the only people we know to exist; ourselves (and thus prevent ourselves from discovering anybody else). This kicks in even more seriously with type II civilizations, where they get so good at harnessing energy that it's possible we couldn't even see them; anywhere they lived would look just like any other dark patch of sky.

3) Right now there is such a huge anthropomorphic bias to the questions of "how many planets that could support life actually do" and "how many planets that do support life develop intelligent life" to basically render any sort of estimates useless. People have estimated values all of the way from ~1, where every planet that could support life has intelligent life, to ~0, where we are probably the only intelligent life in our entire galaxy. It's like trying to hypothesize what the land around you looks like from looking at 1 grain of sand. If everything nearby is more identical grains you might be on a beach, or maybe you are vastly different and you are a grain carried by the wind up into the trees, or maybe you are just a bit of a sandy patch mixed into the dirt beneath a mountain, or you might even be a single lonely grain resting on an asteroid in space; it's impossible to tell.

til it escapes the star or the star explodes.
With advanced enough technology you could also hypothetically siphon out the built-up helium and replace it with harvested hydrogen, essentially allowing your Sun to keep burning for as long as you had access to the required amounts of hydrogen (or the energy needed to fission the siphoned helium back down to hydrogen).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on May 13, 2015, 09:53:49 pm
I like that. A thing to keep in mind, too, is that if you were to observe the sun from 4 billion lightyears away, there would hardly be an earth. You'd have to get with in a few hundred million lightyears to even find any signs of life here, and we've only been here for 2,000 lightyears' worth of time-distance. We're seeing all those planets from hundreds of millions to billions of lightyears away. That's a lot of time for a civilization to grow, fall, grow again, fall again, and so on until it escapes the star or the star explodes.

Hundred of billions of times throughout the distance of the galaxy.
The problem is though, that's a huge amount of time. In a mere few thousand years, we went from building mud huts to building spacecraft. In a mere few decades, we went from mechanical computers to devices so capable and widespread that we now have raw computing power exceeding that of a human brain. (http://arstechnica.com/science/2011/02/adding-up-the-worlds-storage-and-computation-capacities/) A civilization like ours, left unchecked for a mere millenia? It would likely be solar-system spanning.

But what about 100 times that? A mere 100,000 years; if our civilization were to continue for such a length, we would have complete control over our solar system through sheer economics, even if intellectual progress halted at exactly where it is today. If technological progress were to continue as it is today? I would expect nothing less than widespread colonization of our corner of the galaxy.

But what about 100 times that? A mere 10 million years. Even if we presume FTL travel is utterly impossible (which it seems it could be from where we now stand), that's plenty of time for a spacefaring civilization to cross from one side of the galaxy to the other. By that point, colonization could well be commonplace enough to continue onwards at a significant portion of the speed of light, seeding worlds with the technology and lifeforms required in an automated process of expansion, driven by small autonomous craft optimized to perfection over thousands of generations.

And yet, that's a mere 10 million years. There have been around 1380 such time periods since the beginning of our universe. Many of those were largely uninhabitable towards the beginning, as the prerequisite materials for life (as we know it) weren't available. But even if we narrow it down to the formation of our solar system, that still leaves 460 such time periods, after which we can be absolutely sure the prerequisite materials for life were around. This means that, even given a mere 0.25% head start on us, one would expect not just to see life on another planet, but signs of life on effectively every planet. This, of course, is only one possible mode of civilization; there are many other potentials, but there are enough possibilities similar to this that it would be really frickin weird if we don't exist in a veritable sea of interstellar life.

Of course, it may still be that we do. By the end of such a 10 million year period for such a civilization, they would look radically different from what we would call life; or what we would look for when looking for life. It may look like this: http://news.discovery.com/space/galaxies/mysterious-cold-spot-fingerprint-of-largest-structure-in-the-universe-150420.htm
It may look like engineered lifeforms which survive in an environment without altering it in any way visible from space, or anywhere in between. The only thing we can be fairly certain of is that it won't be any form of life that looks anything like humanity's present.

As for roy's point 3, that becomes more and more like grasping at straws given recent information. Nearly everything we learn about the universe and life is drastically improving the odds of most of the steps. Life is apparently relatively easy to build, all things considered, and there isn't anything that particularly sticks out as being hard to go from life to intelligent life aside from the transition from cellular to fully multicellular, which apparently took a while on Earth. After intelligence, civilization seems quite likely, as you are likely to have a succession of intelligent species capable of it due both to evolutionary relationships and the apparent rise of intelligence in close proximity to other intelligent life forms. All in all, there isn't really anything that stands out as particularly challenging given trillions of planets and 5-10 billion years. By all estimates, from astronomy, chemistry, biology, etc, there isn't any particularly good reason why intelligent civilizations would be rare.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on May 13, 2015, 10:07:38 pm
As for roy's point 3, that becomes more and more like grasping at straws given recent information...
Yeah, and personally I'd love for life to be common. My point is mainly the fact that right now we are essentially trying to guess at an entire trend line from a single point of data. We still haven't exactly figured out all the things required to get the whole evolution process going from raw chemicals (though we're getting closer, and there's plenty of top scientists working on different ideas as we speak), so it's mainly just me saying "at this point we don't have enough info to make a solid estimate, or even a wild one". There are scientists out there that have placed the values low enough that we are probably the only ones in our galaxy, and there are others who have said we should be one species out of billions, and both of them know plenty more than I ever will. :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on May 13, 2015, 10:08:56 pm
raw computing power exceeding that of a human brain. (http://arstechnica.com/science/2011/02/adding-up-the-worlds-storage-and-computation-capacities/)
I find it funny that that seems like an amazing accomplishment. I find it more amazing that a single human brain could hold (nearly) all the data in the world.  :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on May 13, 2015, 10:18:13 pm
raw computing power exceeding that of a human brain. (http://arstechnica.com/science/2011/02/adding-up-the-worlds-storage-and-computation-capacities/)
I find it funny that that seems like an amazing accomplishment. I find it more amazing that a single human brain could hold (nearly) all the data in the world.  :P
Not quite. A single human brain could perform as many individual nerve firings as the number of computer operations as of 4 years ago, so a fair bit less than the amount now. To match our storage capacity then we would need to overwrite all of the DNA in your body (last line of the article).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on May 13, 2015, 10:25:40 pm
raw computing power exceeding that of a human brain. (http://arstechnica.com/science/2011/02/adding-up-the-worlds-storage-and-computation-capacities/)
I find it funny that that seems like an amazing accomplishment. I find it more amazing that a single human brain could hold (nearly) all the data in the world.  :P
Not quite. A single human brain could perform as many individual nerve firings as the number of computer operations as of 4 years ago, so a fair bit less than the amount now. To match our storage capacity then we would need to overwrite all of the DNA in your body (last line of the article).
still pretty cool though.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on May 29, 2015, 01:06:27 pm
It's the one-year anniversary of this (http://spacecollege.org/isee3/we-are-now-in-command-of-the-isee-3-spacecraft.html) interesting event in space-science.  (Ok, so it isn't currently active (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ISEE-3), but it was definitely a landmark achievement, so I thought it worth knowing about.  If you didn't already.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: nogoodnames on June 11, 2015, 01:05:04 am
http://www.nasa.gov/press-release/nasa-administrator-statement-on-senate-appropriations-subcommittee-vote-on-commercial

Depressing news, It seems that the Commercial Crew Program budget was slashed. I don't know any details and a quick search only yields other places quoting the statement, but it sounds pretty bad. I wonder what this means for SpaceX and the other CCP companies.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on June 12, 2015, 08:27:12 am
(https://imgs.xkcd.com/comics/the_martian.png)

Really good book, you should read it and be excited for the movie.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on June 12, 2015, 08:29:35 am
I don't know, I've picked it up after reading the comic, and while the plot and the engineering is fun, the characters are cardboard pieces and the writing oscillate between mediocre and horrible.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on June 12, 2015, 08:51:42 am
The characters are pretty bad but they're not too important since 75% of the book is Whatley talking to himself.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on June 12, 2015, 08:52:34 am
But even Whatley himself is pretty bad. I also got the feeling I was always condescended to, which ain't really agreeable.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on June 12, 2015, 09:01:55 am
Since we're complaining about stuff anyway, the suit mechanics as described are not at all realistic. (Oxygen concentration matters not, it's partial pressure that matters. And spacesuits use a 100% oxygen atmosphere, at 1/3 pressure. A full pressure atmosphere means that the suit would inflate like a balloon and people would hardly be able to move in it.)

Spoiler (click to show/hide)

Still, I enjoyed it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on June 12, 2015, 09:13:22 am
Yeah, the author did an overall good job for the science and engineering. The only parts that bothered me were that
Spoiler (click to show/hide)

I think I did enjoy it overall, but the bad writing (seriously, your German astronaut is a chemist and an astrodynamist, has spent over two years training with the rest of the team, but cannot speak proper English!?) managed to hugely diminish the pleasure.

Overall, I think XKCD's description is good. If you think people trying to figure how to solve engineering problem would make for a good movie, go for it, otherwise this book isn't for you.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on June 12, 2015, 09:21:15 am
Yeah, the German scientists merely needed a monocle and he'd be right at home in a bond film.

Spoiler (click to show/hide)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on June 12, 2015, 11:31:57 am
Spoiler (click to show/hide)

Spoiler (click to show/hide)

Spoiler (click to show/hide)

Thin atmosphere.  Once you are at Olympus Mons height (25 km) the pressure is down to 30 Pascals.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on June 12, 2015, 04:02:43 pm
Indeed, it wouldn't be the equivalent of a 1.75 kph, but of around 13 kph wind on Earth. That's a "Gentle breeze" according to the BEaufort scale. "Leaves and small twigs constantly moving, light flags extended." Terrifying.

The Mars atmosphere is really, really, really thin. You need wind of 60-80 kph just to raise dust. But hey, suspension of disbelief, I can accept this for the sake of the story.

Anyway, after watching the trailers, I'm actually looking forward to the movie. It seems they managed to keep a good part of the whacky, McGuyver engineering and the horrible writing won't be an issue.

Of course, this seems like the kind of movie tat Hollywood was designed to wreck, but I'm cautiously optimist.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on June 12, 2015, 06:11:20 pm
Source?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Angle on June 12, 2015, 06:20:16 pm
SPAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAACE!

also, ptw.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on June 13, 2015, 12:41:26 am
Well, as you said, it follows a square law, where force is equal to K*(speed)²*(pressure), where K is a constant.

Pressure on Mars is 0.6% of that on Earth. So

(Mars Speed)²*0.006=(Earth Speed)²
Earth Speed=Mars Speed*sqrt(0.006)=Mars Speed*~0.08

You'd need winds of 600 kph to start having troubles walking against the wind (Equivalent to 50 kph on Earth).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Putnam on June 13, 2015, 05:19:14 am
most stuff is out there and i haven't followed this thread

weird
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on June 13, 2015, 06:44:34 am
On a side note, the effect of the wind on a standing object is not a square relationship. It's a third order relationship. After all, the speed does not only determine the kinetic energy of the particles, but also the speed with which they move towards you (and thus the amount of them hitting an object in a certain time.)

So,

(Mars Speed)³*0.006=(Earth Speed)³
Earth Speed=Mars Speed*~0.18

Thus a speed of 31 mph kph (that's another inaccuracy. NASA uses metric. But in story, probably justifiable). Which is a Strong breeze, on the edge of a high wind. If your rocket is an umbrella or empty plastic can, you might have some trouble. Spaceship shouldn't have any trouble though.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on June 13, 2015, 09:49:15 am
Actually, at least in my version of the book, it is 175 kph, not mph. So 31 kph, just a Fresh Breeze. Your space plastic bins are safe.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on June 13, 2015, 09:53:20 am
Indeed it is. I got confused.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on June 13, 2015, 09:56:40 am
Although I do wonder if the dust plays much of a role. What's the density of dusted martian air versus undusted Martian air?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on June 13, 2015, 10:06:20 am
Quote
7 x 10-5 kg m-3 during a dust devil

Neglible compared to the atmospheric density of about 0.010-0.020 kg/m3 .

http://congrexprojects.com/docs/11m24_docs/02apr_1630_chicarro.pdf?sfvrsn=2
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Arx on June 13, 2015, 12:03:02 pm
Just over a month! (https://www.sciencenews.org/article/rendezvous-pluto)

In case anyone isn't already hyped for New Horizons's rendezvous.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Rose on June 13, 2015, 12:52:49 pm
I'm hyped for dscovr to start operations.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MonkeyHead on June 13, 2015, 01:26:02 pm
Just over a month! (https://www.sciencenews.org/article/rendezvous-pluto)

In case anyone isn't already hyped for New Horizons's rendezvous.

Waaaaaayyyyy back in the day (Late 90's to be more precise) one of my first assignments as an undergrad was to present to the assembled faculty about any one NASA mission that was in early planning, and to justify why it should be the one chosen. This was the one I chose ahead of other (at the time) more high profile missions to Mars or Jupiter/Saturn. Since then, I have watched it with abundant enthusiasm (especially as it was canned at least once and possibly twice), and see it finally getting to Pluto as some odd closing of a circle.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on June 13, 2015, 04:32:57 pm
The "chaotic" orbits of Nix and Hydra around the Pluto-Charon system is of particular interest to me. The "Three body problem" has been a thorn in the side of complex orbital systems for many years.  Better observations of this system, which appears to have a stable configuration, could be very valuable to science.

The interesting conformation of Nix and Hydra (ellipsoids instead of spheroids) is very likely not accidental there. Makes me wonder about the physical shapes of orbiting bodies in N-body solutions greater than 3.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MonkeyHead on June 13, 2015, 05:07:51 pm
To me it seems like the complex nature of the orbits results in some rather extreme tidal forces, hence the ovoid shapes. I await good data with enthusiasm.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on June 13, 2015, 05:27:22 pm
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6YOz9Pxnzho
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on June 13, 2015, 05:48:39 pm
To me it seems like the complex nature of the orbits results in some rather extreme tidal forces, hence the ovoid shapes. I await good data with enthusiasm.
The actual shapes are not actually yet determined. There's pictures floating around that portray them as ellipsoids, but these are from shapes used in simulations/artist impressions. I wouldn't expect much regularity in the real thing.
That they're not spherical is no surprise, considering that they're too small for hydrostatic equilibrium.

The "Three body problem" has been a thorn in the side of complex orbital systems for many years. 
Oh, wierd. Why do you do this to me?  :'(
What does it even mean? And what does Lagrange think of it?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on June 13, 2015, 07:45:58 pm
The Pluto-Charon + Nix and Hydra system is a classic n-body system. You have 2 bodies of mostly similar mass orbiting around a baricenter that is not contained within one of the bodies, and objects in stable orbits around them.  Lagrange only produced 2 of the now 16 computed possible solutions to the 3-body problem. Having a physical model of such a beast to study is worthwhile. If nothing else, it helps confirm the models used to date.

I remind you that only the "Restricted" 3-body set has been solved (Orbits are constrained to circles and ellipses; complex shapes are not permitted) . Where N>3, the problem still persists.  The Pluto+Charon+Nix+Hydra system is a 4-body system in stable configuration.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on June 14, 2015, 07:31:38 am
So apparently the re-established contact with Philae. (http://www.esa.int/Our_Activities/Space_Science/Rosetta/Rosetta_s_lander_Philae_wakes_up_from_hibernation) Apparently the lander had "woken up" a few times earlier (when it gets enough energy I guess), but didn't managed to communicate with Rosetta.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MorleyDev on June 14, 2015, 07:34:04 am
Yay. Wait, "Philae shut down on 15 November 2015 at 1:15 CET"...I think there's a typo in there somewhere.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on June 14, 2015, 08:25:05 am
Yay. Wait, "Philae shut down on 15 November 2015 at 1:15 CET"...I think there's a typo in there somewhere.
Dammit, we told it to use the Red Phonebox, not the blue one.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: penguinofhonor on June 14, 2015, 08:49:06 am
.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on June 14, 2015, 09:54:28 am
snip
I've got more issues with your response than with the original statement, but I'm not going to nitpick. I do get your main thrust - it's a system with interesting dynamics.
I just wish you were more precise with your statements, and make sure you don't say things you are not certain about - as a self-proclaimed armchair scientist you should hold yourself to high standards of discourse, IMHO.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on June 14, 2015, 09:19:02 pm
snip
I've got more issues with your response than with the original statement, but I'm not going to nitpick. I do get your main thrust - it's a system with interesting dynamics.
I just wish you were more precise with your statements, and make sure you don't say things you are not certain about - as a self-proclaimed armchair scientist you should hold yourself to high standards of discourse, IMHO.

Again, only the RESTRICTED 3-body problem has been fully mathematically solved. You DONT GET SPHERICAL OR ELLIPTICAL ORBITS in systems like the pluto-charon system.  Nix and Hydra are all over the damned place; without absolutely precise starting data, you simply cannot predict their orbits!! That means that the restricted 3-body solution DOES NOT WORK. (Without absolute precision, the prediction of the system will diverge from the empirical system's actual motions, given sufficient time.)

Snide remarks about "What Lagrange thought" not withstanding. (Who's solutions are clearly bound inside the restricted problem set, since they dealt with spherical and ellipsoidal orbits. Even thinking about Legrangian solutions in the Pluto-charon system is a giant fucking non-sequitur!)

I dont think I can make it any clearer than that.  There is more to the 3-body problem than the restricted set, which means that the full 3-body problem remains to be fully solved.  The restricted set just covers (what we feel should be) the majority of circumstances.  Pointing to the restricted set solutions and using that as argumentative proof that systems outside that bound cannot work is fallacy. Such systems MAY work, we just cant properly verify that they can or can't. (Which indicates that the model still needs revision!)

Your reaction implied "restricted 3-body problem" == "All of the 3-body problem".  It does not.

Study of systems with very complex orbital mechanics, like this one, is useful to fully solving the system in the remainder of the 3 body problem.  It gives an empirical system to observe, to better frame the mathematical model against.

Yeesh.

Or, do you want me to have to explain why a non-spheroid, or non-elliptical orbit in a 3 body system is outside the scope of the current model, as clarification for my original statement about how the 3-body problem has been a thorn in the side of science for years? (Last I checked, a problem that is over 400 years old, NOT BEING FULLY SOLVED, satisfies all of those conditions.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on June 14, 2015, 11:28:31 pm
Or, do you want me to have to explain why a non-spheroid, or non-elliptical orbit in a 3 body system is outside the scope of the current model, as clarification for my original statement about how the 3-body problem has been a thorn in the side of science for years? (Last I checked, a problem that is over 400 years old, NOT BEING FULLY SOLVED, satisfies all of those conditions.)
So, were you trying to say that the observation of Pluto's system might help solve this age-old problem? Is that about the gist of it?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on June 14, 2015, 11:36:38 pm
No. I was saying that the observations of pluto may help resolve the currently remaining parts of the 3-body problem.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on June 14, 2015, 11:39:32 pm
By the remaining parts you mean reaching a complete solution of the 3-body problem?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on June 14, 2015, 11:43:40 pm
Yes. A complete solution, with complimentary proofs.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on June 14, 2015, 11:44:52 pm
Can you also tell me what is a 'spheroid orbit'?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on June 14, 2015, 11:47:53 pm
That's me being tired. I DID mean "Semi-circular", however, with complex orbits like the ones being discussed, an object moving in a semi-spherical shell volume instead of a plane may be possible. (Say, how an S orbital on a hydrogen atom is spheroid.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on June 14, 2015, 11:55:02 pm
I'm still not getting it. A semi-circular orbit - you mean half a circle? Can you give me an example?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on June 15, 2015, 12:00:06 am
Would the completely bogus "pseudo-circular" make you happier, oh pedantic one? An orbit better approximated by a circle, than by an ellipse, since the semi major and semi minor axes are nearly identical.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on June 15, 2015, 12:02:44 am
Alright I got it.

Would you like me to explain what I find questionable about the contents of your posts?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Radio Controlled on June 15, 2015, 12:04:30 am
Am I... This is the space thread, right? Did I stumble into an oral exam by accident?  :P

Palazzo, you're gonna give him a passing grade right? Look how hard he's trying!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on June 15, 2015, 12:06:03 am
Certainly--  Since the DEFINING characteristic of the restricted 3-body solution set is that they are constrained to circular and elliptical orbits, and that ONLY the restricted set is solved with accompanying proofs.

Logically, the complete set of 3-body interactions is greater than this restricted set, and thus, the 3-body problem is only partially solved.

I fully expect that your argument will basically boil down to "I dont like your language choice" though.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Niccolo on June 15, 2015, 12:32:38 am
And I fully expect you and il palazzo to cool the fuck down before Toady brings out the Hammer. Seriously guys, we're all here to discuss how awesome space is, not debate over mathematical proofs.

Now let's all point at the Philae lander and say "Holy shit that thing's still alive!"

I do like how one of the ESA staff mentioned that if the lander had landed where originally intentioned, the Sun would have cooked the electronics. I love happy accidents. And I just get a lovely thrill out of how it's eleven years old and functions like a boss.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on June 15, 2015, 12:38:08 am
Well, The comet's bulk was helping to protect the electronics from being fried by raw radiation exposre, the fact that the battery survived in the state of complete discharge this long is very impressive though.

However, the original purpose of the Philae and Rosetta pair were to study the composition and sublimation of the comet nucleus as it approached the sun. The mission is still useful, but not for that original purpose, since the nucleus is no longer "Virgin".

I am happy that the lander is alive and well though.  IIRC, the Philae team put the lander into a power saving mode to wait out the trip after learning that the harpoon trick did not go as planned.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on June 15, 2015, 02:15:33 am
@wierd: we cool, eh? Those kids say we be fightin' or somesuch nonsense.

I had a longer post in mind, but I'll keep it short: the three body problem is known to be unsolvable outside restricted cases since the late 19th century (Largrange first hinted at it but couldn't prove it, and this is why I mentioned him originally), so nobody's going to look to solve it now;
The restricted 3-body system includes orbits of the small body that are not circular - see horseshoe orbit or tadpole orbit. Circularity is the restriction placed on orbits of the primary and the secondary.
These were the two main issues I had with your posts. The first one is what started it, the second one popped up later.
I hope it's all clear now on both sides.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on June 15, 2015, 02:45:52 am
Actually, the non-integrability argument is given only for a narrowly defined interpretation. Specifically the Louisville sense.

There IS a paper on that subject.
http://paperity.org/p/19194125/non-integrability-of-the-three-body-problem

However, that does not state that the problem is non-integral in the general sense. That has yet to be proven. As such, there is still value to be had in working it.

Again, logical conflation between "Some" and "all" in your counter arguments.

Is it probably non-integral? Probably. That doesn't mean it is though.  That's like asking if the Riemann hypothesis is probably true.  It probably is- but we dont know that for sure.

(and yeah, we cool. I just wish you would stop with the "Please pedantically define all your verbiage" stuff, and just ask something like "You mean the orbits are basically circles, right?" to get your clarification. There's language, and then there's jargon. It's not sociable to insist on jargon. ;P  Going tit for tat for half a page is not really productive, and angers other posters.)

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Radio Controlled on June 15, 2015, 05:17:06 am
Then again, science as a field stands on using well-delineated definitions for concepts and terms. It can be annoying perhaps, but it's important nonetheless to use correct terminology if you wanna have a serious discussion. Otherwise, misunderstandings aplenty.

Then again again, it's a forum about a dwarf game on the internet, so rigorous verbiage might not be really necessary.  ;)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on June 15, 2015, 06:21:46 am
Do you grok Hamiltonian mechanics, wierd?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Guardian G.I. on June 28, 2015, 10:24:44 am
SpaceX's Falcon 9 rocket carrying cargo to the ISS has exploded during ascent. (http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-33305083)

The explosion captured by SpaceX's livestream (https://streamable.com/mk08).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Rose on June 28, 2015, 10:46:27 am
The new aerodynamic model is pretty hard to get the hang of, after all.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Itnetlolor on June 28, 2015, 11:41:02 am
That explains that shockwave I heard earlier today as I was waking up. I was disappointed to miss the *apparent* launch (I tend to have little to no awareness of when anything's being done). On the bright side, at least nobody was inside it when it happened.

EDIT:
Credit to much of my lack of awareness is thanks to the news being more about gloom and doom (rendering me no longer interested in the news since it's status quo), and NASA's way back on the backburner to the point of being a post-it note on an office lunch for local news.

I love when anything relating to our future is overshadowed by our present "news" which is focused on Trump cards, and celebrity politics. We don't dream anymore.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on June 28, 2015, 11:42:04 am
Considering how new at this game SpaceX is, their launch record is still shockingly positive.

That's a very good sign to me.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on June 28, 2015, 01:53:51 pm
So, using a youtube video of the launch since it's easier to point out timestamps:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PuNymhcTtSQ
Initial burst begins at 3:19-3:20. Looking closely shows it's quite obviously the upper stage that start it off, which was later confirmed on Twitter by Elon Musk. That was the 2nd stage having some sort of pressure related problem. As it's going, the first stage continues to burn nicely for several seconds before the actual explosion. Until that point, it appears more like an extremely rapid leak of stuff from the second stage rather than a full-on explosion.

Another interesting thing to note: The Dragon capsule seems to have generally survived the rapid unplanned disassembly. From 3:23 to about 3:25, you can see the capsule coming off and flying up to the top of the screen, appearing as a dark shape in the clouds of stuff. According to the NASA press release about the incident, it supposedly continued to send telemetry data after the explosion occurred. I don't think they mentioned if it survived, as it did have parachutes and so in theory may have been able to. However, it sounded like it probably impacted the water and was destroyed. I think it's unlikely they had any craft in the area to spot it even if it did land safely, but we'll see. In any case, from what I recall, this version of the Dragon Capsule does not have the fancy launch-abort system they plan to use for the Dragon V2 human-rated capsule, so it's likely the capsule didn't so much eject itself as it just got severed from the rest of the rocket due to the rapid disassembling going on between it and the first stage.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sneakey pete on June 29, 2015, 02:48:30 am
Sucks. Will be interesting to see what they can determine, as they have a zillion camera's on these rockets, not to mention i'm sure a lot of telemetry like pressure signals and so on.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on July 07, 2015, 04:50:40 pm
So....New Horizons had a CTD and reboot over the weekend, but NASA says it's okay now, and ready to start beginning doing !!SCIENCE!! as of...today.

According to a synopsis of the briefing, here's what happened:

(That'll teach some young NASA engineer to try and run Dwarf Fortress on a space probe...)
(which means SCIENCE IS ALREADY HAPPENING, BITCHES)


Lesson learned: when you're sending a space probe nine and a half years away....spring for the extra RAM.

Science already learned? Pluto is red. (https://www.nasa.gov/nh/pluto-the-other-red-planet) Textbooks for decades have always shown Pluto as blue, purple or grey. Turns out it's more of a reddish brown. Not from iron oxide as on Mars, but more likely from when cosmic radiation hits Pluto's atmosphere, forming complex organic molecules called tholins. Tholins have also been found on Titan, Triton and Ixion.




Meanwhile, DAWN also had a system glitch on July 30. Nothing major but NASA is being cautious and delaying dropping the probe down to the next mapping orbit until they've fully analyzed what happened. Since it's in a stable orbit and ion propulsion has such an efficient delta-V, there's no "window" to worry about missing.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on July 07, 2015, 04:59:18 pm
In retrospect, I recall that far images of Pluto and Charon were indeed fairly red.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Putnam on July 07, 2015, 05:27:15 pm
Textbooks have been wrong for the past while, then, since Pluto's been thought to be red for a long time.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on July 07, 2015, 05:30:37 pm
Tholins are pretty interesting stuff, because there's some theorizing that they may have been the precursor to amino acids on Earth. They don't exist on Earth naturally anymore, because they oxidize very readily in the presence of free oxygen, but on a frozen methane iceball, they hang around quite a while as aerosol before eventually condensing into a red sludge.

Back in 1986, Carl Sagan was part of scientific team that synthesized Titan tholins in the laboratory and played around with subjecting it to different planetary chemistry effects, such as introducing water. What they found was that the tholins would break down into a host of compounds, including amino acids. The thought then follows that early Earth would have had a nitrogen-methane atmosphere suitable for producing tholins from solar radiation. Those tholins then reacted with a sufficient quantity of water (a comet perhaps) to produce a large amount of various amino acids, which (and here's the handwavium, at least from my limited understanding) eventually self-organized into the earliest cellular life.

There's an alternate explanation as well -- many common soil bacteria can subsist purely on tholins, deriving both carbon and energy. There may have already been bacteria on the primordial Earth, happily munching tholins when suddenly (in geologic time) those tholins start disappearing and they're awash in amino acids. This could have produced evolutionary pressure to start incorporating those amino acids into their own increasingly complex structures and allowing them alternative metabolisms that weren't dependent on tholins.

The upshot is that although unlikely, it's entirely possible that bacterial life could be living under that blanket of red sludge on Pluto. Not sure what that would look like, given the temperature extreme, but it's theoretically possible.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on July 07, 2015, 11:50:55 pm
Dont need handwavium there.  The late heavy bombardment would have supplied sufficient numbers of high energy kinetic impacts to cause the formation of complex organic compounds from amino acid soup, as evidenced by a number of pressure synthesis studies. (Basically, put amino acids into a pressurizable cruicble, then slam a heavy iron slug into it with force roughly equivalent to that of a meteoric impact. Under such impact stresses, complex compounds are formed from the amino acids, some of which strongly resemble simple protiens.)



Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on July 09, 2015, 11:08:39 am
Neat new item: Astronomers find first quintuple star system. (http://www.cnet.com/news/astronomers-make-first-five-star-find/)

It's a set of two binary pairs with a single star. If I read the diagram correctly, it's a contact binary on one side of the barycenter and then a detached binary on the other side with a single star orbiting that binary.

Gravity calculations must be hella fun in that system...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on July 09, 2015, 11:15:12 am
First quintuple might be a bit of a misnomer, it seems to be the first absolutely confirmed quintuple since I can find claims of sextuple systems and even two (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nu_Scorpii) for septuple systems. (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AR_Cassiopeiae) They're just all uncertain, I imagine due to the obscuring issues noted by the article.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on July 09, 2015, 12:34:18 pm
Also, a new vacation photo from New Horizons.

Spoiler: I ♥ PLUTO (click to show/hide)
.

Closest approach in 4d 18h and counting...



Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on July 09, 2015, 12:50:36 pm
Does that... looks like a heart?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on July 09, 2015, 03:55:42 pm
Yes. Hence the spoiler pun. Pluto just wants to broadcast its wuv.

Between this and the "pyramid" on Ceres, you start to wonder if Nature (or an alien race) is fucking around with us.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on July 09, 2015, 04:01:36 pm
Between this and the "pyramid" on Ceres, you start to wonder if Nature (or an alien race) is fucking around with us.
I'd say we're fucking with nature by inventing shapes she already had created. Nature must be all: 'but how did you know I had a geographic feature on some far-away rock that looks just like that? What are you trying to tell me?'
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on July 10, 2015, 06:33:54 am
Neat new item: Astronomers find first quintuple star system. (http://www.cnet.com/news/astronomers-make-first-five-star-find/)

It's a set of two binary pairs with a single star. If I read the diagram correctly, it's a contact binary on one side of the barycenter and then a detached binary on the other side with a single star orbiting that binary.

Gravity calculations must be hella fun in that system...
Wait until we go there (because we have to, having made a mess of Earth That Was) and terraform the many planets (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Firefly_planets_and_moons)...

(Or perhaps the one we find in five years' time.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on July 10, 2015, 07:37:51 am
Something really fucked up is happening all the way there in Pluto
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on July 10, 2015, 06:21:08 pm
(http://pluto.jhuapl.edu/Multimedia/Science-Photos/picsMed/HEART%20-%207-8-15_Pluto_color_new_NASA-JHUAPL-SWRI.png)[/spoiler].

(http://img2.wikia.nocookie.net/__cb20100327173831/half-life/en/images/b/bc/Black_Mesa_logo_documents.svg)

Confirmed
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on July 10, 2015, 09:56:46 pm
Spoiler: Ahem. (click to show/hide)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on July 10, 2015, 10:01:41 pm
Wait so there's a copy of Half Life 3 on pluto.
We need a lander.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on July 10, 2015, 11:54:55 pm
It took nine and a half years for New Horizons to fly to pluto.  If we somehow figured out how to fly a spacecraft to pluto and back it would probably be a good twenty year long mission.  That means we could have half life three a good ten, twenty years before the earliest prediction.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: redwallzyl on July 13, 2015, 03:46:21 pm
new Pluto picture
(http://media.npr.org/assets/img/2015/07/13/pluto-color_wide-a00d243b367224514fd4e8e9a851da9162ff5ab7-s800-c85.jpg)
"A portrait of Pluto (right) and its moon Charon in a colorized, composite image made July 11 during the final approach of the New Horizons spacecraft. Astronomers are eager to get a much closer view of the icy world Tuesday."
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on July 13, 2015, 05:59:57 pm
new Pluto picture
[...]
"A portrait of Pluto (right) and its moon Charon in a colorized, composite image made July 11 during the final approach of the New Horizons spacecraft. Astronomers are eager to get a much closer view of the icy world Tuesday."

And the icy worlds are eager to get a much closer view of New Horizons, I'm sure.  Just as long as it isn't too close...
(https://what-if.xkcd.com/imgs/a/47/life_sorry.png)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on July 14, 2015, 06:55:49 am
It's a real shame they didn't bother to send a probe over there. Even a crash probe would have been fun to have a closer look of pluto. A rover would have been just fucking amazing but I imagine it would be really hard to land something there considering the speed of New Horizons and the lack of aero breaking.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Guardian G.I. on July 14, 2015, 07:29:27 am
(http://i.telegraph.co.uk/multimedia/archive/03374/pluto_3374869a.jpg)
Another recent picture of Pluto.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on July 15, 2015, 12:30:29 pm
It's a real shame they didn't bother to send a probe over there. Even a crash probe would have been fun to have a closer look of pluto. A rover would have been just fucking amazing but I imagine it would be really hard to land something there considering the speed of New Horizons and the lack of aero breaking.
Yeah, they'd need a delta-V of at least 9000 m/s to match Pluto. And a rather different approach path.

Could be done but they'd have to come at Pluto much slower, and thus the mission would take decades to get there instead of 9.5 years. Unless we get a better form of long-distance propulsion.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Jopax on July 15, 2015, 12:37:14 pm
It might be unviable and crazy but it just occured to me that they could try something like physical braking. Like, get on as close an approach as possible to it, like, kilometers away from the surface. Then fire off a number of very long cables with drillheads or something to lodge somewhere in the landscape. They then use the elasticity of the cables to slow down the craft enough for it to get into an orbit of sorts before attempting to land.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on July 15, 2015, 12:39:57 pm
At those speeds, there is no known substance with enough strength to handle the stresses.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Magistrum on July 15, 2015, 12:40:26 pm
That would be awesome, but it would be hard to stop something as fast as horizon, the cables would most likely break or detach... Tough now I want it, it would be awesome.
Edit:Ninja'd!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on July 15, 2015, 01:11:13 pm
Hmm....wonder if a nuclear pulse propulsion would work as an effective brake. Something like Project Orion or Medusa, but instead of using nuke pulses to accelerate the craft, you'd use something like New Horizons' ion engines to get the ship there, then use nuke pulses to slow it down rapidly once its in the vicinity.

Be one hell of an engineering challenge, and scary to have to control all this remotely from 9 light-hours away. And because nuclear propulsion has such a PR negative, you'd almost have to build it in space to start with, even if you're not using the nukes for main propulsion.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MonkeyHead on July 15, 2015, 01:53:29 pm
Hmm....wonder if a nuclear pulse propulsion would work as an effective brake. Something like Project Orion or Medusa, but instead of using nuke pulses to accelerate the craft, you'd use something like New Horizons' ion engines to get the ship there, then use nuke pulses to slow it down rapidly once its in the vicinity.

Be one hell of an engineering challenge, and scary to have to control all this remotely from 9 light-hours away. And because nuclear propulsion has such a PR negative, you'd almost have to build it in space to start with, even if you're not using the nukes for main propulsion.

I would not trust nuclear pulse propulsion to not totally ruin any sensitive science packages on a craft without the extra radiation shielding making the mass prohibitive.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on July 15, 2015, 01:58:20 pm
Hence why a crash probe would have been just as good as anything else. Also, is fun to blow stuff up.

A way in which would be possible to land a rover is that instead of passing by Pluto in a "orthogonal" path crossing its orbit, the probe take a "chase" approach or orbit transfer in which it rendezvous with Pluto travelling in the same direction and speed (well, not exactly it's same direction and speed) the planet goes in its translation movement, then take up orbit around Pluto and land whatever the fuck you want there. Problems I see:
1 Pluto orbit is pretty eccentric for a planet/dwarf planet
2 As you might guess, in order to do this the probe needs to get all the way there in a rather spiral path across the solar system, which means not only that it would take a fuckton of years to get there, but also gives more time for Murphy's law to act up.
3 There might be arachnids (http://starshiptroopers.wikia.com/wiki/Arachnid) there.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on July 15, 2015, 02:03:04 pm
You dont need a full nuke-- exactly.


I am thinking something like a hybrid of a farnsworth fusor with a laser ignition sitting "downstream" from an ion thrust engine.

The ion engine exhaust supplies a low pressure gas, which then is able to pass over the farnsworth fusor's cage. The laser pulse supplies sufficient energy to cause momentary fusion pulses.

We dont care about getting electrical energy back from the pulse, we just get a little extra kick from the fuel this way.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on July 15, 2015, 03:01:37 pm
It might be unviable and crazy but it just occured to me that they could try something like physical braking. Like, get on as close an approach as possible to it, like, kilometers away from the surface. Then fire off a number of very long cables with drillheads or something to lodge somewhere in the landscape. They then use the elasticity of the cables to slow down the craft enough for it to get into an orbit of sorts before attempting to land.
Let's perfect the extremely low speed grappling of comet cores, first (note: first ever attempt failed1).  But also note all the practical problems mentioned in http://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/GrapplingHookPistol (and then the problems of getting lost in TVTropes...) and work out how to scale this to get multiple-multiple-kilometres of (as also mentioned, impossibly-strong!) cable and workable grapple and sufficiently powerful launch mechanism and/or grapple-end thrusters to end up attaching and all the control mechanisms needed to ensure sufficiently clean trajectories without tangling and all without significantly reducing the science package you're trying to get there... and then work out what you do when you have swooped down to mere kilometres from the surface with your over-speed probe, and are now not just swooping over the surface, with more than enough relatively velocity to get slungshot back out into space, but are now attached to the planet by one or more tethers like an already pretty much fouled up swingball around its post...

H-> .       Probe
|        `  .
|              .  Trajectory
| Tether      .
|                .
|                .
%----------\/--- Surface

Still, at least you weren't suggesting lithobraking...  Well, not until the end of the above.

(A quick "Tie and release" (or "tie and let snap", more likely) method could swap going-past-and-out speed for a momentarily different trajectory, but that would still be "more down than preferable", even if it's still a don't-hit-the-surface one.  So you do this with one tether, with enough control to get another fired, and another and another, in quick succession with gradually more 'retro' component, whilst carefully using just enough downward component to counteract the tiny component of 'upward fly-past velocity' you're going to possess... yeah, that'd be difficult.

...How about a big 'net' (needs to be bigger than Pluto, although the 'holes' can be fairly large within it) thrown out to the side of the vehicle to snare Pluto?  Then a very long cable (with staged 'breaking' components between folded segments keeping it initially short, until each pops whilst reducing the difference in velocity, until eventually you're at the end of an extended cable (many times long than those originally planned) with minor thrusts normalising the perpendicular velocity accordingly, and you can controllable reel what's left (again, hardly any science space left, after the huge weight of net and cabling, etc!) of the probe in...  and study a Pluto now permanently scarred by your (presumably quite tough) 'net' cables...

...no, that wouldn't work either.  Not to any advantage, anyway.)

The basic answer (until we come up with something revolutionary, which isn't harpoons) is to take a different orbit there (gradually matching the plutino orbit from roughly the same direction, rather than intersecting it at an extreme angle), necessarily taking longer time, such that you just need to slow down to 'match' the planet, using more conventional (or ideally low-thrust but high-thrust-to-weight) methods.


1 But at least we were just trying to tie a spacecraft to a comet core, for study, not trying to tie a comet core to a spacecraft, to drag its away from a future Earth collision...  And currently it's working well.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Icefire2314 on July 15, 2015, 03:43:33 pm
I'm still hoping for FTL travel. Physical travel past the speed of light has been disproven (though I believe it's possible, breaking the sound barrier was impossible until it was done), however the technology which is being researched which bends space looks promising. http://techland.time.com/2012/09/19/nasa-actually-working-on-faster-than-light-warp-drive/

Given the exponential rate of technological advancement, I'd love to see this in my lifetime. I want to visit another star in my lifetime.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on July 15, 2015, 03:52:30 pm
(until we come up with something revolutionary, which isn't harpoons)
...I've decided what it is.  It's springs.  Or, to be precise, one big spring.  Under tremendous compression.  A big weight at the front and the probe at the back.  (You can do forward-looking science around the edges, or through a hole you leave in the middle.  Or just be prepared to turn the craft around, at will, obviously.)

On reaching Pluto (and reorientating, as necessary)...  BOING!  Weight bit flies forward at tremendous speed, and the probe bit significantly retards its velocity

Absolutely it'd work!  And I see no problems at all with this design!  No, siree!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on July 15, 2015, 04:00:34 pm
though I believe it's possible, breaking the sound barrier was impossible until it was done
Way, WAY, WAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAYYYYYYYYYYYYYY different barriers.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on July 15, 2015, 04:10:29 pm
(until we come up with something revolutionary, which isn't harpoons)
...I've decided what it is.  It's springs.  Or, to be precise, one big spring.  Under tremendous compression.  A big weight at the front and the probe at the back.  (You can do forward-looking science around the edges, or through a hole you leave in the middle.  Or just be prepared to turn the craft around, at will, obviously.)

On reaching Pluto (and reorientating, as necessary)...  BOING!  Weight bit flies forward at tremendous speed, and the probe bit significantly retards its velocity

Absolutely it'd work!  And I see no problems at all with this design!  No, siree!

I think I'll just leave this (http://what-if.xkcd.com/137) here. It seems pretty relevant.
Especially this section:
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
Spoiler: splash (click to show/hide)

I think it's safe to say that your massive spring would splash before you achieved any reasonable deceleration.

FAKE EDIT:
I've just re-read your post, and it seems that you are releasing the spring before you hit the planet. If the mass remains attached to the spring, then there is no point, the spacecraft as a whole would continue as it was before. If you intend on releasing the mass, it would be easier and more efficient to use a more conventional rocket instead.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on July 15, 2015, 04:13:39 pm
I would not trust nuclear pulse propulsion to not totally ruin any sensitive science packages on a craft without the extra radiation shielding making the mass prohibitive.
Not to mention irradiating Pluto.  Poor plutonians!  (Unless, as mentioned, they're Arachnids.  In which case go ahead...  Probably won't do any harm.  Or good.  You'd need to get really close to actually wipe them out, and not just make them angry.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on July 15, 2015, 04:19:35 pm
FAKE EDIT:
I've just re-read your post, and it seems that you are releasing the spring before you hit the planet. If the mass remains attached to the spring, then there is no point, the spacecraft as a whole would continue as it was before. If you intend on releasing the mass, it would be easier and more efficient to use a more conventional rocket instead.
Or, if you'd re-read the post in the tone I wrote it1, you'd realise that not only was I releasing the mass, but I was also utterly joking. ;)

(But that What-If link was my initial reply option when I thought lithobraking was being suggested.)

1 It looks like I need a sarcasm/wild-eyed kook font...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on July 15, 2015, 06:32:10 pm
I'm still hoping for FTL travel. Physical travel past the speed of light has been disproven (though I believe it's possible, breaking the sound barrier was impossible until it was done), however the technology which is being researched which bends space looks promising. http://techland.time.com/2012/09/19/nasa-actually-working-on-faster-than-light-warp-drive/

Given the exponential rate of technological advancement, I'd love to see this in my lifetime. I want to visit another star in my lifetime.
Bullets etc could already break the sound barrier before we did it with a plane. But nothing in the universe tops light speed. Totally different, to e.g. heavier than air flight which was "impossible" before the Wright Brothers. But birds have done it forever.

One problem with travel even near the speed of light is that stationary protons etc become waves relative to your travel. They become supercharged particles, so light speed travel is like sitting inside a particle collider. We need something that could withstand the direct beam of the LHC and not kill people with the radiation. Near light speed there is no time for the heavy particles to go around you, so they go through you, but blue shifted into high energy spectrum..

 My money is on the idea that literally raising the dead will be scientifically more achievable than FTL travel.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on July 15, 2015, 07:02:01 pm
Thats kinda an interesting thing with the alcubierre metric though.

It creates a kind of shock-front horizon that would be an impassible barrier for matter outside the transiting pocket of spacetime being carried by the spacewarp. That's why it has some of the problems it has. 

Like nuking the solar system you drop out of warp in. (http://www.universetoday.com/93882/warp-drives-may-come-with-a-killer-downside/)

The particles dont go through to the pocket's interior, they get smeared over that shock front instead, and stick there like bugs on a windshield.  When the bubble collapses, that barrier disapears, and BOOM.

For short jumps, it might be doable-- but long haul warp travel would be very dangerous.


I mention alcubierre metric based warp drive, because that is essentially what the EagleWorks Q-Thruster appears to be exhibiting on a low grade scale. (The NASA funded warp drive research mentioned previously.)


Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on July 15, 2015, 08:51:29 pm
Hmm....wonder if a nuclear pulse propulsion would work as an effective brake.

But then you are only getting half the delta-v out of your nuclear drive.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on July 16, 2015, 03:31:41 am
I'm still hoping for FTL travel. Physical travel past the speed of light has been disproven (though I believe it's possible, breaking the sound barrier was impossible until it was done), however the technology which is being researched which bends space looks promising. http://techland.time.com/2012/09/19/nasa-actually-working-on-faster-than-light-warp-drive/

Given the exponential rate of technological advancement, I'd love to see this in my lifetime. I want to visit another star in my lifetime.
Bullets etc could already break the sound barrier before we did it with a plane. But nothing in the universe tops light speed. Totally different, to e.g. heavier than air flight which was "impossible" before the Wright Brothers. But birds have done it forever.

One problem with travel even near the speed of light is that stationary protons etc become waves relative to your travel. They become supercharged particles, so light speed travel is like sitting inside a particle collider. We need something that could withstand the direct beam of the LHC and not kill people with the radiation. Near light speed there is no time for the heavy particles to go around you, so they go through you, but blue shifted into high energy spectrum..

 My money is on the idea that literally raising the dead will be scientifically more achievable than FTL travel.
That's... a stranger argument than I would have given.

More realistically, the laws of physics create a 'barrier' from passing light-speed because as one starts to approach light-speed (w.r.t. any other datum, for the purists), you'll still find that light is going at "light speed" past you anyway, and you've made no headway.  From an external observer, this is primarily because of time dilation (meaning that time passes for you slower and slower (not to mention the mass and distance problems, etc), and so all applied effort ends up counting for less and less in a "you'll never reach it" situation, for any time period less than "forever".

("There's no time for particles to go around you" is an argument used against supersonic flight, and that manages well enough.  But can't be easily analogued to light-barrier-breaking.)

Interestingly, if you're something that habitually travels at >c (should there be such a thing), the same laws lay down reasons why you can't slow down to the speed of light.  And 'speed of light' things can only go the speed of light, for similar reasons (though, for example, light through a refractive medium ends up going 'slower' because it's not going straight through... ...is probably the best explanation for this post, and Wave/Particle duality is a tricky thing to discuss, from cold).


FTL travel might be possible be "shortcut" methods (i.e. non-FTL travel along alternate, shorter, paths), but there's a whole lot of "maybe" in those concepts.  The operation of the Alcubierre Drive is in this area, but shares territory with wormhole creation when it comes to needing 'exotic' space-warping to achieve the ultimate goal.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on July 16, 2015, 05:31:32 am
But I wasn't talking about an argument for the light speed barrier.

This is an argument against something that is achievable with known physics - very fast travel below the speed of light. e.g. if you travel close to light speed time dilation means that little subjective time has passed. So a trip to alpha centauri could e.g. take weeks rather than years. That would allow personal interstellar flight except for that fact that ...

http://gizmodo.com/5957697/super-fast-space-travel-would-kill-you-in-minutes
Quote
Super-Fast Space Travel Would Kill You in Minutes

A paper published in Natural Science brings some boring common sense to the speed-of-light-travel table. In order to travel huge distances in next to no time, people need to travel close to the speed of light. In so doing, travelers cover extremely large distances very quickly and, thanks to the quirks of relativity, would feel like it took mere minutes because of an effect known as time dilation, which squashes perceived time.

Unfortunately, as spaceship velocities approach the speed of light, interstellar hydrogen H, although only present at a density of approximately 1.8 atoms/cm3, turns into intense radiation that would quickly kill passengers and destroy electronic instrumentation. In addition, the energy loss of ionizing radiation passing through the ship's hull represents an increasing heat load that necessitates large expenditures of energy to cool the ship.

In other words, travel close to the speed of light and you'll be bombarded with so much radiation that you kick the bucket. The knock-on effect is that even if it's possible to create a craft capable of traveling close the speed of light, it wouldn't be able to transport people.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on July 16, 2015, 07:06:49 am
Not saying that Alcuberre drive or something else would be entirely impossible on the long (really long run).

But our most realistic bet on current foreseeable technologies (in the next couple hundred years) would be to slow down ageing for mankind up to the point we live several hundreds or thousands of years be it by cybernetics, DNA tampering or whatever. Then a trip on a nuclear powered ship that last, let's say 20 years or 100 years wouldn't be too much different as the old exploring travels around the world that lasted for years at the time.

Also our space exploring life would be greatly eased if we had the means to put tons upon tons of materials on orbit for building ships. A space elevator would be nice, however Earth seems unlikely with current materials. I would say let's go to Mars and build one there (which is totally possible with current materials). Problem is, we probably need one here first to be able to build one there in an acceptable time frame, unless the building materials are found in Mars and we are able to stablish a colony that expands quickly enough to provide everything there (including labourers), but that still would need a lot of time (at the very least one generation).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on July 16, 2015, 07:09:49 am
Yeah, that sort of goes with what I was saying about beating death would be more feasible than inventing some unknown physics. Maybe people will view things differently once we can actually live for thousands of years, a few decades to get to a nearby star won't seem like a deal breaker any more.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on July 16, 2015, 07:36:27 am
But I wasn't talking about an argument for the light speed barrier.
Well, I misread the nature of your objection, then.


Although "Weeks instead of years".  Ignoring the need to accelerate (a very big 'ignore', to start with, but just to illustrate), you'd need to be going at (back of the envelope calculation here, so may be a tad off) 0.9998(ish)c to travel to a star in as many (subjective) weeks as you're actually going to take in (objective) years.

Getting to that acceleration rate (or above it, to make up for the time you were still winding up below it, and to be reflected around the midpoint turnaround for the somewhat similar deceleration phase) would be... interesting.  Especially when trying to traverse shorter distances (e.g. to Alpha Centauri).  And fighting, for much of that, against the law of diminishing returns (albeit partially mitigated by the expulsion and therefore loss of reaction mass, if you're on a Big Dumb Rocket, starting with truly stupendous amounts of reaction mass and of course engine(s), which probably means your midpoint can be later, if you don't mind higher decelerating forces) in reaching the 0.several9s of c you'd need.

I think the radiation element would be a minimal issue, compared with the other issues.  Certainly not what I'd call the main argument against approaching 'c'.  But that's just me.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Arx on July 20, 2015, 07:28:33 am
Philae may have been moved, shutting it off again. (http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/07/20/us-space-comet-idUSKCN0PU17920150720?feedType=RSS&feedName=scienceNews)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on July 20, 2015, 07:35:14 pm
Official cause of SpaceX accident: not enough struts.

A strut holding a helium canister failed, it dumped extra helium into the 2nd stage tank, causing the overpressure event and subsequent disintegration of 2nd stage. They also mentioned changing suppliers since the strut was supposed to be rated for 5x the load it was under.
http://spaceflightnow.com/2015/07/20/support-strut-probable-cause-of-falcon-9-failure/
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on July 20, 2015, 07:39:28 pm
They should have played more KSP.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on July 20, 2015, 07:48:31 pm
Like nuking the solar system you drop out of warp in. (http://www.universetoday.com/93882/warp-drives-may-come-with-a-killer-downside/)
Seems like there is a pretty easy solution to that:
1) Warp to a spot just parallel to the solar system you want to travel to. Release the giant pulse of destruction in both directions from your ship (for exceptionally long distances maybe do multiple shorter hops to keep down on the size of the pulse).
2) Perform a single very short hop sideways into the solar system you want to travel into. End your trip pointed perpendicular to the solar system disk.
3) Travel the last little bit on non-alcubierre drives.

It's really more of a "you must have a designated flight path" type of thing than a "this problem renders this type of travel impractical" one.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheDarkStar on July 20, 2015, 11:17:39 pm
You assume that the massive amount of energy propelled in front of you ever stops. It doesn't. It's just a matter of what ends up being nuked; if you're lucky, you can aim it right at a black hole and never worry about it. If you're unlucky, you just wiped out an entire planet.

But it's going to disperse.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bumber on July 20, 2015, 11:25:21 pm
You assume that the massive amount of energy propelled in front of you ever stops. It doesn't. It's just a matter of what ends up being nuked; if you're lucky, you can aim it right at a black hole and never worry about it. If you're unlucky, you just wiped out an entire planet.
Space is mostly empty. Black holes themselves send out massive gamma bursts all the time. We haven't been obliterated yet, at least.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on July 21, 2015, 12:10:22 am
Well, the "mostly empty" portion only works out if you're not considering infinite distance. If you draw a straight line, you're bound to hit something; it just might be... far, is all.

But it's going to disperse.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on July 21, 2015, 12:15:14 am
Well, the "mostly empty" portion only works out if you're not considering infinite distance. If you draw a straight line, you're bound to hit something; it just might be... far, is all.
And it'll be something you don't care about long after you're dead.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MrWiggles on July 21, 2015, 12:25:15 am
The EM Drive crowd is starting to really remind me of Cold Fusion nuts.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: nogoodnames on July 21, 2015, 01:08:24 am
The EM Drive crowd is starting to really remind me of Cold Fusion nuts.

Eh, at least it has some experimental backing from reputable sources. IIRC all cold fusion had going for it were some unconfirmed claims of fusion products from one guy in a non peer reviewed study. Still, all the media attention and wild speculation doesn't help.

Recently, while browsing youtube, I happened to stumble upon this neat little space channel: https://www.youtube.com/user/TMRO
They do a weekly show with recent space news and usually an interview or debate of some kind, as well as smaller single-topic videos. Most of what I've seen has been pretty interesting and informative. I thought some of you might be interested in it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bumber on July 21, 2015, 02:36:54 am
Well, the "mostly empty" portion only works out if you're not considering infinite distance. If you draw a straight line, you're bound to hit something; it just might be... far, is all.
And it'll be something you don't care about long after you're dead.
It'll probably already be dead, too. Assuming it was alive in the first place, that is.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on July 21, 2015, 02:41:48 am
I'm just desperate for a definitive experiment on it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on July 21, 2015, 04:33:21 am
You assume that the massive amount of energy propelled in front of you ever stops. It doesn't. It's just a matter of what ends up being nuked; if you're lucky, you can aim it right at a black hole and never worry about it. If you're unlucky, you just wiped out an entire planet.
Nobody's done a profile of what such an energy blast would look like, at great distance, and compared it to what we've seen of Gamma Ray Bursts, have they?

(Let's say that many distant galaxies have civilisations with such drive systems.  They've all, independently, realised the dangers of their methods if they don't 'aim off', away from any vulnerable world in their own galaxy, so each segment of any flight is aimed to head for 'dark sky' with nothing but extragalactic bodies (perhaps not even fellow galactic local cluster members), and even then ideally at somewhere that only the Hubble Deep Field would spot anything in.  Eventually, however, the dissipated and extremely acute conical section intersects somewhere.  Like us.   ...or else it has been used as an actual weapon, against some 'nearby' world, and we (again) just happen to be on the same ultimate trajectory, only mildly occulted by the intented target, but still saved from the same fate through sheer distance.)

However, probably not.  But its implementation might be a good basis for a story (short or otherwise).  A sudden cessation of GRBs could indicate that distant civilisations are now not aiming at us (because they now have us mapped, and are avoiding even subjecting us to the extremely low-level side-effects).  Although, theoretically, their 'supralightspeed' GRB-creating drives would let them get here (intentionally aiming 'out', into further empty sky, as much as they are able) before their purely light-speed GRBs stop (or even start?) arriving.  Depending on operational limits like cool-down times and exactly how much past lightspeed they can travel.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on July 21, 2015, 04:50:01 am
We have to take into account the options the aliens will have. If FTL drives are possible, they might require such a large technological and energy investment that they no longer look viable. Possibly, such aliens would already have life-extension technology and autonomous AIs, and have been around so long that regular sub-light travel doesn't seem like so much of a big deal. A few centuries is nothing against a backdrop of billions of years, and you end up in the same place either way, so they might not think there's any specific rush to get there, that way of looking at things might be specific to races at our stage of development, and with our mortal lifespans.

Also, there might be economic constraits. Just because you can do something doesn't mean it's going to get done (except as a proof of concept). There will always be competing uses for energy, and perhaps the aliens who have alcubierre drives have much better uses for all that energy than speeding up interstellar flight. Fast travel has to economically compete with all other purposes for the energy used.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sneakey pete on July 21, 2015, 05:09:49 am
Official cause of SpaceX accident: not enough struts.

A strut holding a helium canister failed, it dumped extra helium into the 2nd stage tank, causing the overpressure event and subsequent disintegration of 2nd stage. They also mentioned changing suppliers since the strut was supposed to be rated for 5x the load it was under.
http://spaceflightnow.com/2015/07/20/support-strut-probable-cause-of-falcon-9-failure/

I'd be more worried that the support was under 5x the load it was supposed to be.
But they've probably already got hundreds of engineers to think about that.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on July 21, 2015, 06:13:47 am
The EM Drive crowd is starting to really remind me of Cold Fusion nuts.

Eh, at least it has some experimental backing from reputable sources. IIRC all cold fusion had going for it were some unconfirmed claims of fusion products from one guy in a non peer reviewed study. Still, all the media attention and wild speculation doesn't help.

That's not really a fair assessment regardless of what you think of cold fusion. In fact, many labs in the early 1990s reported corroborating results. About 100 labs had claimed to corroborate F&P's reaction according to a New Scientist article I read back in the mid 90s. This includes researchers in the US Navy's labs, and peer reviewed studies:
http://www.wired.com/2009/03/navy-scientists/
And this article has a bunch of quotes from people who are actually reputable scientists who supported it:
http://archive.wired.com/wired/archive/6.11/coldfusion_pr.html

I think the number of both government and university labs that have claimed to have replicated cold fusion is much more convincing than the space drive.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on July 21, 2015, 06:41:36 am
Official cause of SpaceX accident: not enough struts.

A strut holding a helium canister failed, it dumped extra helium into the 2nd stage tank, causing the overpressure event and subsequent disintegration of 2nd stage. They also mentioned changing suppliers since the strut was supposed to be rated for 5x the load it was under.
http://spaceflightnow.com/2015/07/20/support-strut-probable-cause-of-falcon-9-failure/

I'd be more worried that the support was under 5x the load it was supposed to be.
But they've probably already got hundreds of engineers to think about that.

Uhm no, read again.

The strut was rated for 5 times the strength it failed under. As in, it was supposed to carry loads 5 times stronger.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on July 21, 2015, 06:46:24 am
I believe the implication is considering the scenario the strut may, in fact, somehow ended up under quintuple the load that it was supposed to be carrying and failed legit. That would constitute a far more serious design problem.

Only Pump A Strut can save us now.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Graknorke on July 21, 2015, 07:37:21 am
Quote
“The strut that we believe failed was designed in material certified to handle 10,000 pounds of force, but actually failed at 2,000 pounds force, which is a five-fold difference,” Musk said in a conference call with reporters.
Quote
“We did some material analysis … and found there were problems with the grain structure of the steel,” Musk said. “It hadn’t been formed correctly, so we think that was the problem — a bad bolt that snuck through, that looked good, but wasn’t actually good in the inside.”
Nope, the rating was just wrong due to problems in the metal.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on July 21, 2015, 08:07:58 am
Also let's remind what mankind did the second we knew how to split an atom. We didn't use it to power every place of the planet cheaply, the main purpose was to make it a weapon. Let's ditch the problems with the Alcuberre drive possibly blowing up your destination (and possibly your start place), and go with the "safe route" approach.

How long before some fucked up idiot starts to use it as a weapon in the name of it's god/ideology/country/planet/whatever-stupid-reason? It's the primary force behind the plot of the Killing Star, an excellent novel I personally dislike because it makes look super easy to accelerate something towards the speed of light and aiming from another stellar system and hit like it was nothing. Doing that is lot more hard than depicted in the novel, no matter the level of technologies you have. Also because humans are in the receiving end of surprise butt sex at solar system level, and I'm a human supremacist.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bumber on July 21, 2015, 04:34:51 pm
I believe the implication is considering the scenario the strut may, in fact, somehow ended up under quintuple the load that it was supposed to be carrying and failed legit. That would constitute a far more serious design problem.
We'd need a source confirming that. All we know is it failed at 2000 lbs, which I guess they calculated via their instruments.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on July 21, 2015, 10:56:57 pm
Well, the "mostly empty" portion only works out if you're not considering infinite distance. If you draw a straight line, you're bound to hit something; it just might be... far, is all.
Only if the big rip or big freeze aren't true. Since space is expanding and that rate is also expanding, if the thing that you would hit is far enough away that by the time you get there space will be expanding faster than the speed of light you would never hit anything at all, since for every bit forward the blast moved it would have two bits of space created between it and it's eventual impact.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on July 22, 2015, 07:58:51 am
Well, the "mostly empty" portion only works out if you're not considering infinite distance. If you draw a straight line, you're bound to hit something; it just might be... far, is all.
Only if the big rip or big freeze aren't true. Since space is expanding and that rate is also expanding, if the thing that you would hit is far enough away that by the time you get there space will be expanding faster than the speed of light you would never hit anything at all, since for every bit forward the blast moved it would have two bits of space created between it and it's eventual impact.
This is somewhat the reversal of the "why is the night sky dark?" question.  Find an area of sky that isn't obviously a star and zoom in and there are (further, fainter) stars there.  Zoom in on a gap between those stars, and there'll be more stars.

In a universe without an 'edge' (i.e. infinite or wrap-around), there'd be something at every possibly discrete point you could choose, and thus (theoretically) it should all be light.  Even where there'd be a dust cloud obscuring anywhere, the dust is as consistently lit by the infinitely summed 'star shells' around it, so would also be shining out (albeit exhibiting a 'texture')... assuming one did not live on Krikkit.

Of course, that ignores the prior expansion of the universe (which also lets us argue that the CBR counts, etc) and the fact that an infinite series can still add up to a low/practically-zero value (the inverse square law and a low density of stars could mean that even such a virtual continuum of distant stars upon the celestial background wouldn't collectively dump enough light energy in our direction to even approximate the intensity represented by the direct view of a more nearby star...  the ultimate example being the Sun).

But it was a useful argument to consider, in developing various theories about the universe (steady state/continuous creation/etc).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheDarkStar on July 22, 2015, 10:05:33 am
Some quick math (PPE: I made a mistake somwhere - if anyone has any better knowledge, can they look over my work?):

The only things that really matter here are the stars and the distance. Adding more stars makes things brighter because more light is produced. Increasing the distance causes the light the disperse following an inverse square law. I used these things to get an estimate of how much energy should reach the Earth overall.

Call the amount of energy produced by a star E and the distance from us D. The amount that reaches an observer, if every part of it is in the observer's direction, is going to be E/D2 time a constant (for this I'll assume 1). Google tells me that the average distance between stars is 4150 ly (so D = 4150 ly), so on average, stars in a given radius = 4pi(D)3/3. Each one, on average, adds the average luminosity of a star - some research tells me that 4x1026 J of energy are released by the Sun every second. We'll assume every star is like the Sun for simplicity and because the Sun is probably close to average. Combining the prior facts requires some calculus:

One shell of stars is (Volume of shell, radius x) - (Volume of shell, radius x - dx) and the energy reaching the observer is E/x2*stars in the shell. The rate of change is the limit of

((4/3*pi(x)3 - (4/3*pi(x - dx)3)) * (E/x2) / dx as dx approaches 0

which gets us

4/3*p * E/x2 *((x3 - (x + dx)3)/dx) as dx approaches 0.

This is a constant times the derivative of x3, which is 3x2. We end up with 4*pi*E after cancelling, which is a constant roughly equal to 5x1027 J/s. This seems incorrect - it indicates an infinite amount of energy hitting the earth assuming an infinite universe and an Earth-vaporizing amount within only a few hundreds of thousands of ly. Did I mess up or do I get this result from assuming that all of the energy from all the stars starts off going towards the observer?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: nogoodnames on July 22, 2015, 10:20:56 am
Well, without looking at the math there's the fact that the universe is expanding uniformly which means that in an infinite universe, stars extremely far away from Earth will be moving away at faster than the speed of light. Also, space, even intergalactic space, still has some matter strewn throughout it which would absorb some of the energy. It's not much, but when you're talking about infinite distances eventually all the energy will be absorbed.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on July 22, 2015, 11:54:02 am
Although, given that it takes the fastest probe we've ever built nine and a half years to get to the end of the driveway, so to speak, a lot of that high-level cosmology isn't practically important at this stage. It's enough to know that space is really, really big and really, really old.

Quote from: Douglas Adams
Space is big. Really big. You just won't believe how vastly, hugely, mind-bogglingly big it is. I mean, you may think it's a long way down the road to the chemist, but that's just peanuts to space.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on July 22, 2015, 03:09:23 pm
This seems incorrect - it indicates an infinite amount of energy hitting the earth assuming an infinite universe and an Earth-vaporizing amount within only a few hundreds of thousands of ly. Did I mess up or do I get this result from assuming that all of the energy from all the stars starts off going towards the observer?
The conclusion is correct. Your maths were somewhat hard to follow. I couldn't get what you did with star density there, or why approximate 4pi to 1 for luminosity but leave it for shells etc. But that might be just me being rusty.
Spoiler: I'd go like this (click to show/hide)
Under the assumptions of the Olbers' paradox you get infinite energy. The assumptions are an eternal static universe, and point source stars.

The energy being infinite is due to the point-like stars, which gives them infinite surface brightness.

If you take into account that stars have a finite, non-zero extent, then you end up with a sky as bright as the temperature of the surface of the average star you used in calculations. This simply means that some stars obscure farther ones.

The actual distance when the Earth is 'fried' depends on the stellar density parameter and avg. luminosity you adopt.

In any case, that the sky is not as hot as the Sun is a good indicator that at least one of the two remaining assumptions of the paradox is invalid, which is exactly what it intends to show.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on July 22, 2015, 03:26:49 pm
This is a constant times the derivative of x3, which is 3x2. We end up with 4*pi*E after cancelling, which is a constant roughly equal to 5x1027 J/s. This seems incorrect - it indicates an infinite amount of energy hitting the earth assuming an infinite universe and an Earth-vaporizing amount within only a few hundreds of thousands of ly. Did I mess up or do I get this result from assuming that all of the energy from all the stars starts off going towards the observer?

The shell argument is actually a classic argument against an infinite universe. If you take each shell (of constant thickness) of stars centered on Earth and assume an even spread of stars, then each shell can be shown to have a uniform amount of energy aimed at Earth. Assuming infinite shells, you get the constant times infinite amount of light which must hit us.

So the infinite energy part is correct, but maybe you over-estimated the percentage of light from each star that is aimed at us specifically. You assumed the entire output is in our direction I think.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on July 22, 2015, 07:59:52 pm
The easier and simpler mental calculation might be to go with the idea of the inverse square law for a source at a given distance and the (non-inverse) square law for "how many sources are at a given distance", and (barring any other subtleties you want to introduce) realise that the squares cancel out to produce what is effectively a constant.

That is: For any given fraction of brightness of a set of 'standard' stars, there's an exactly corresponding multiple of such stars shining with that brightness across any particular solid angle, including the whole 4π steradians of the sphere around you, floating in space, or ~2π steradians of the 'above horizon' hemisphere, standing on a planet's surface1.

(So then the sum of shells is a basic Σk (where k is any given shell's derivative luminosity/power/whatever, whether that be based on δx or dx) for the range of shells 0→lim, and if lim=∞ then any non-zero k results in the sum reaching infinity, also.)

It pretty much proves the problem with the initial naive assumption (as per Olber/etc, that is), as has already been said.


1 Which, illuminated by the same light, potentially can shining upwards with at least as much light as the sky above, but of course will be less.  Assuming it doesn't burst into flames.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Arx on July 23, 2015, 12:17:08 pm
Kepler's picked up an exoplanet that, while 60% larger than Earth, is in the liquid water Goldilocks zone. (http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/07/23/us-space-usa-nasa-planet-idUSKCN0PX24520150723?feedType=RSS&feedName=scienceNews)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on August 09, 2015, 06:14:00 pm
I can't remember if this is the thread where I can ask scifi related questions about space.
I'm assuming it is and continuing to my main question.

Would an ion (pulse?) cannon work in space?
Basically a cannon that fires charged particles at a target to destroy electronics
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on August 09, 2015, 06:20:45 pm
Ion engines shoot charged particles into space, but they're very slow and definitely no good as a weapon. Unparalleled efficiency though!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on August 09, 2015, 09:05:42 pm
The issue with a charged particle gun is maintaining coherence over long distances - same-charge particles repulse each other.  You'll also have to deal with the fact that if you're shooting, say, positively-charged particles, you're building up just as powerful a negative charge in your own ship, which will need to be resolved (as with ion drives, by the bye, which include a neutralizer to fire off electrons and counteract the loss of protons).  These two problems can partially resolve each other by firing two beams in a helical structure - the net charge leaving your ship is neutral (no charge build-up) and the electromagnetic attraction between the two beams, along with the initial velocity imparted by the spiral, keeps the two beams from losing coherence for a while, but that introduces problems of its own, and still is unlikely to give you ranges on the level of other available weaponry. 

If combat is being dealt with at significant distances greater than LEO (that is, your sci-fi 'verse has effectively settled the Earth-Moon system or beyond), you'll also get to deal with interactions with ambient magnetic fields - solar wind, fluctuations in planetary magnetic fields if you're fighting near a planet...basically, "windage."  These won't affect weapons that are lighter but uncharged (lasers) or heavier (missiles, kinetics), but they will affect particle beams with a significant electric charge (that is, not firing neutrons). 

Finally, I don't believe it's likely to be practical to use such a weapon to break electronics specifically, I don't think - anything shielded enough to operate in an environment that includes stuff like solar flares or other similar radiation spikes is likely going to be shielded enough to handle particle beams.  Something powerful enough to kill electronics should be powerful enough to kill crew, actually.  Your charged particle beam impacting a metal ship is going to become an x-ray generator par excellence through the notion of bremsstrahlung (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bremsstrahlung).  That said, anyone worth their salt is going to include some sort of non-metallic ablative - high-density ceramic, say - to block precisely this effect from turning their ship into the Fleet's newest CT scanner. 

That's all just me hypothesizing out of my rear, though. 
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on August 09, 2015, 10:46:45 pm
Assuming your space ship is epically huge...... (like several miles across huge)

You could have something similar to the LHC beam generator on board, but using electrostatic charges to accellerate neutrons instead of protons.  You will need a much larger track, because you wont have the same confinement that you have with protons, because neutrons dont have a charge of their own, and thus would be much harder to confine. (You get around this limited ability to control vector by making only very small changes to the vector, over a much longer track.)  A strongly charged track will still pull on neutrons even if they are neutrally charged, because they are "more positive" or "More negative" than the rails used in the track, and will thus still be atrracted-- just less so.

The resulting beam will be a highly energetic beam of neutral particles traveling at a significant fraction of C.  It would be pretty bad ass as a primary cannon.  But again-- is basically a souped up version of the LHC on board your ship.  Not something small, to say the least. For the power requirements, you would probably get more bang for the buck with high powered lasers.

Props if you use whole helium atoms instead of straight neutrons. Those can be turned into a charged neucleus, accellerated in the accellerator track, then colimated with an electron beam going in the same direction at the end of the track, and thus still have a coherent beam of particles-- with a smaller and more energy efficient track.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on August 10, 2015, 01:34:35 pm
Or, instead of one city-sized spaceship, you have one thousand tiny robot spaceships that love city-sized spaceships and want to get as close as possible to them as fast as possible.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on August 10, 2015, 08:11:41 pm
@weird- wouldn't that just be an alpha radiation cannon at that point?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on August 10, 2015, 09:17:11 pm
Yes, but with sufficient energy that fusion detonations would occur at the target. Typically, helium nuclei accelerated in a particle accelerator are not called alpha particles.

These bad boys would have so much energy behind them from their tour in the accelerator, that they would blast holes through most substances quite effortlessly.

*Note, it is NOT the radiation of the beam that is lethal to the crew of the enemy ship. It is the secondary radiation produced from the cascading fusion and fission reactions the beam causes on the hull that is lethal. (Biproducts include gamma rays.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on August 11, 2015, 04:31:46 pm
So just wondering again, if the partials repel each other because they carry the same charge could you equip a gigantic miles long ship with one of these cannons and use it as a sort of EMP shot gun taking down enemy fighters (smaller less armored but more maneuverable craft) but hardly affecting the well shielded large ships?

I would suppose you would wait from a distance till most of the enemy's fighters are headed your way then fire this ion cannon with it's wide hitting but weak blast to take out a sizable chunk of fighters then use larger weapons, perhaps MACs (mass acceleration cannons) to take down the larger ships.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on August 11, 2015, 05:48:12 pm
Honestly talking about ship-to-ship weapons at all is a little silly, because space is huge. Here's a bit of an example. Imagine that we had a spaceship as large as New York City, and as tall as the empire state building (so that's around 340 square miles in width and ~.27 miles in height). Now, imagine all the empty space in a ring (not a sphere!) delineated by the surface of the Earth and the closest side of the Moon. You can fit over 1 billion of those spaceships, and barely use up 50% of that empty space!

But lets go even bigger. Imagine that you had a spaceship the size of the Earth. Now lets look at the ring traced out by Mars's orbit on the outside, Earth's on the inside, and is 1 Earth in height (so inner radius of 1 Earth orbit, outer of 1 Mars orbit, and 1 Earth diameter in height). You could fit 625 million Earth-sized spaceships into that ring, and still have an entire Earth's radius between each of them.

The distance from Earth to Neptune? It's 19.3 times as far as from the Earth to Mars, meaning we could fit approximately 371 times as many Earth-sized spaceships in the ring between here and there, so over 231 billion while still having the space to fit an entire extra Earth between each spaceship.

And all those estimates? That's just using 2 dimensions in space. You want to go up to 3 dimensions? Take whatever the number is and multiply it by it's own square root (which puts the Earth to Neptune estimate at around 112 quadrillion).

And if those numbers are a little difficult to grasp, let's just imagine a rough metaphor. Imagine that I drop you in a random point somewhere on the surface of the Earth. Now imagine that I drop your friend somewhere else on the surface of the Earth. I'm going to give you both magic jet planes with unlimited fuel. What do you think is the chance that you will ever see each other again before you die of old age? That's approximately equal to the sphere of the moon, which we've shown is smaller than most of the others by several orders of magnitude. The simple takeaway is that if someone doesn't want them to find you, and they have enough spare fuel to take less efficient paths, then you aren't going to see them in space, regardless of how much you are looking. Your first sign of an attacking army or hostile ship is probably going to be when it comes in for a landing on your planet, not when it enters the solar system. :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on August 11, 2015, 06:21:49 pm
-snip-

Sure, space is big, but there's only a few points where people are actually going to be. Orbits, lagrange points, and going in-between them.

With the amount of telescopes and monitoring devices any space-war-capable civilisation will have I'm sure they have a chance to spot enemies.

While, yes, space combat is a little silly, it can made sufficiently sensible enough it's not completely out of bounds. After all, armed space stations have already existed in the past (though that was to prevent boarders).

-snip-

Your shotgun weapon doesn't seem likely, no. The weapon seems to be, well, a beam, rather than a "shotgun", so that wouldn't work. Even if it was, it's a huge amount of space and energy that would probably be much more effectively used by lasers and missiles. Lasers are king in space battles, because they travel at c when even your coilgun shots do not.

It depends, really, how hard you want your sci-fi to be. Towards the harder scale, it becomes logical to point out there's very little point to fighters in space. A fighter's role is to act as a carrying platform for munitions - something needless in space, what with the infinite range. A fighter will by necessity have smaller weaponry than a larger ship, so the thicker armour on a larger ship may be enough to foil it. The harder the sci-fi you get, the less space combat there is, and the mroe is starts looking like submarine combat. But with lasers.
Finally, you get the question why space-faring civilisations would be at war anyway, as it would not be over resources or living space. Ideology, maybe.

Or go soft sci-fi, have your fighters and your EMP cannon, and don't worry about it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Urist McScoopbeard on August 11, 2015, 06:38:59 pm
Wouldn't the most effective space weapon just be a good missile?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on August 11, 2015, 07:10:50 pm
Wouldn't the most effective space weapon just be a good missile?
Not necessarily. A missile will have a long distance to travel and a very small radius in which it is effective. It's vulnerable to point defence, such as lasers. It can be dodged - if it misses the first pass, it's unlikely to have enough full left to turn back round. As it's slower than light, you'll have the ability to see it coming and shoot it down, probably again with lasers. Missiles can be spoofed with chaff or electronic warfare.

Lasers do have their downsides, of course, but the have the most advantages to me.


Wouldn't the most effective space weapon just be a good missile?
Railguns would probably be better. They could accelerate to greater speeds so that they're harder to detect in time, and you don't need to carry explosive ammunition/fuel with you. Just need electricity.
Railgusn have the weakness that they have no correction ability for a target moving out of your firing prediction. Lasers are much faster, so it's harder to dodge; missiles can correct their aim on the go; but railguns have neither the speed of a laser or the self-aiming ability of a missile.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on August 11, 2015, 07:25:41 pm
@Gilgamesh- well what is it then? Earlier I was told that an ion pulse would spread itself out because of the charge all being the same and now your telling me it's a beam? Wouldn't a beam not fit that whole spreading itself out effect?
Also this weapon would be used at a greater distance and a crap load of energy put into it so basicaly firing (by the time it gets to the target anyway not straight out the barrel) a wall of charged particles (ya going a but soft scifi on this) that would knock out the incoming fighters electronics but not past the larger ships shielding. And with the why are they at war? Same reasons we would have war.
Religion, resources (Dune anyone? Maybe there is a very rare resource that while not entirely needed (not referencing dune right now) is highly desirable. Civilizations would have war over this resource), politics, civil war (I suppose this might fit with politics but eh), racism towards the other space fairing civs, etc.

@i2amroy- Most of the combat in this game will be taking place near (like as close as the moon is to earth near) planets. The shotgun/ion beam whatever it is might also be used against planets, think like a mobile solar flare generator. You could knock out an entire planet in a couple shots or at least take out the tech in larger/more populated areas.

Edit: also who's to say you can't fit on equipment to adjust a projectiles flight that is fired from a rail gun? After all it's not traveling a few hundred feet, not a couple miles, maybe not even a hundred miles but more there is enough distance for adjustment. Also choosing railguns over lasers because they have the weight to punch through shielding and possibly smaller than a laser and cheaper.

After all wouldn't it be easier to generate a shield that deflected lasers or absorbed their energy than it would be to make something that deflected multiple heavy rods. (I say multiple because it would be roughly the same energy to fire a couple of rods as it would be to fire a sustained energy beam of similar strength)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on August 11, 2015, 07:38:49 pm
Wouldn't the most effective space weapon just be a good missile?
Basically it boils down to what kind of technology is available.  If missiles (and by extension kinetic projectiles in general) can be easily intercepted or otherwise prevented from reaching their target by point defense systems, then it's probable that direct-fire lightspeed or near-c weapons will take on a more direct role.  If such projectiles cannot be easily stopped at all, by maneuver or otherwise, kinetic weapons might well be cheaper and thus more plentiful than missiles.  Generally, however, the probable engagement distances of fractional light-seconds once you're outside of very low orbits (and hence no longer have any sort of "horizon" to worry about) will make low-velocity kinetics ("low" being relative to the speed of light) much less useful than either lasers (which have the same velocity as your detection systems) or missiles (which can make course corrections to counteract enemy maneuvers or simple inaccuracies).  Again, though, technology - if you can't build lasers capable of defeating enemy armor in terms of similar mass-budgets at such distances or the tyranny of the rocket equation precludes missiles both operating and maneuvering at that distance, such that engagement envelopes are measured in tens, hundred, or thousands of kilometers, then kinetic weapons start to look more attractive. 

As for detection strategy, well, i2amroy notes, space is indeed quite large, and only a fraction of it is likely to be tapped.  That said, however, it is also extremely empty.  Thermal background radiation is around 3 Kelvin; by contrast to this, even a ship operating at 0 C is going to stand out like a torch.  Voyager 1, on the far side of the heliopause and broadcasting a radio signal of only 20 watts, can be picked up from scratch in less than a second (http://txchnologist.com/post/61492589701/did-you-know-we-can-still-spot-voyager-1), using modern technology alone.  On the Earth, the detection problem is complicated by a very dense (relatively speaking) local environment - if your stealth bomber has the radar profile of a sparrow, well, there are plenty of sparrows around - as well as the curvature of the Earth itself - a tiny bit of distance is all you need to put a planet between you and the target.  In space, there is no horizon to hide behind, and at significant distances, hiding behind, say, another planet is not going to get you to your destination, and it's only going to cover fractions of an arcsecond's worth of sky.  Any burn to accelerate, decelerate, or maneuver will be observable, and you can bet that unless your opponent's military high command has their heads so far up their rear they're seeing light from the far side (in which case, why are they even a threat?), they're going to be watching their skies for any hint of that sort of visible sign of attack.  In other words, yes space is empty, but don't imagine it like two people being set on random points on the Earth.  Imagine it like them being put down on a completely featureless plane, in the darkness, carrying omnidirectional floodlights.  If either of them turns on their light to get their bearings/find the other one, the other will know where they are immediately.  And again, that's two-dimensional rather than three.  The real-world detection problems you usually hear are two-fold: we're either looking for something that's cooled down to background levels (asteroids) or we're looking for something at distances of light-years (alien life).  Enemy military forces will qualify for neither, especially if they need to get to you in order to attack. 

That said, you can try to "beat" the signal, especially if it still travels at the speed of light.  If you have FTL drives but no FTL detection, you can embark on the Picard maneuver (http://en.memory-alpha.wikia.com/wiki/Picard_Maneuver) on a strategic scale.  If you have relativistic weapons and absolutely no moral compunctions, you can set up a relativistic weapons at a few light-days out, accelerate your projectiles to such a velocity that the light from your weapons will only reach them within some marginal time scale before the projectiles themselves do, then aim at whatever BDT they have to target, which will usually be the planet they're living on.  In terms of historical strategy parallels, it's the idea of "base control" taken up a notch to full-on "base denial" - it doesn't matter if you destroy their fleet or not, because if they have no place to refuel, rearm, repair, or resupply, they're a dead duck. 

EDIT: Three new replies...well, let's skim those and revise quick.

@Gilgamesh- well what is it then? Earlier I was told that an ion pulse would spread itself out because of the charge all being the same and now your telling me it's a beam? Wouldn't a beam not fit that whole spreading itself out effect?
Also this weapon would be used at a greater distance and a crap load of energy put into it so basicaly firing (by the time it gets to the target anyway not straight out the barrel) a wall of charged particles (ya going a but soft scifi on this) that would knock out the incoming fighters electronics but not past the larger ships shielding. And with the why are they at war? Same reasons we would have war.
Religion, resources (Dune anyone? Maybe there is a very rare resource that while not entirely needed (not referencing dune right now) is highly desirable. Civilizations would have war over this resource), politics, civil war (I suppose this might fit with politics but eh), racism towards the other space fairing civs, etc.

@i2amroy- Most of the combat in this game will be taking place near (like as close as the moon is to earth near) planets. The shotgun/ion beam whatever it is might also be used against planets, think like a mobile solar flare generator. You could knock out an entire planet in a couple shots or at least take out the tech in larger/more populated areas.

Edit: also who's to say you can't fit on equipment to adjust a projectiles flight that is fired from a rail gun? After all it's not traveling a few hundred feet, not a couple miles, maybe not even a hundred miles but more there is enough distance for adjustment. Also choosing railguns over lasers because they have the weight to punch through shielding and possibly smaller than a laser and cheaper.

After all wouldn't it be easier to generate a shield that deflected lasers or absorbed their energy than it would be to make something that deflected multiple heavy rods. (I say multiple because it would be roughly the same energy to fire a couple of rods as it would be to fire a sustained energy beam of similar strength)
Alright, now we're getting some details on the technology available.  Earth-Moon system means that most of the broad strokes apply, actually, you'd need to be in planetary orbit, and likely low planetary orbit, for the planet itself to change the game.  As for beam diffusion, your particle beam is going to lose power fast as it spreads out - you don't want it to spread out too much, not if you want it to hit its target(s) and actually do anything.  Your shields need to be orders of magnitude weaker between fighters and heavy ships to work in this manner.  As well, if it's so trivial to wipe out fighters, then the awkward question quickly arises of why fighters are even utilized.  You don't benefit from them from a volume analysis (acceleration is based on mass, but velocities are not restricted by cross-sectional area like they are on Earth) or range extension (on Earth, fighters are utilized to extend strike capabilities over the horizon or beyond gun range, which is less important when there is no horizon and no gravity or atmosphere to reduce gun ranges), you can't protect them, and if they get shot down before they ever get close to their targets, then the resources that went into their construction were effectively wasted. 

As for shielding against lasers versus kinetics, that depends on how your shield is designed (assuming you mean Star Trek/Wars shields and not, say, whipple shields).  It's very probably going to be very "soft" scientifically speaking, so you as the author could handwave it any way you like, but it depends on what kind of rule of thumb you use.  If your force field deals purely in blocking energy, and moreover that energy is energy, it's less likely to matter if it's electromagnetic or kinetic in nature.  If it deflects masses through some sort of gravitational effect with some sort of absolute threshold (for some arbitrary piece of handwavium), it may well be more effective on the massless photons than on mass weapons.  Star Trek shields, for example, are presumably highly effective against projectiles (very weak navigational shields suffice to protect against particles moving at relativistic or effectively-FTL velocities), and moderately effective against energy or missile-type weapons.  Dune shields by contrast have radical and highly unpredictable interactions with lasers and beam weapons, but allow slow-moving weapons to get through. 

Finally, if you utilize "equipment to adjust the projectile's flight" (say, some sort of reaction jet system on the projectile?), you're not simply firing a rail gun anymore.  You're firing a very simple missile. :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bumber on August 11, 2015, 08:12:00 pm
Railgusn have the weakness that they have no correction ability for a target moving out of your firing prediction. Lasers are much faster, so it's harder to dodge; missiles can correct their aim on the go; but railguns have neither the speed of a laser or the self-aiming ability of a missile.
Wouldn't lasers lose focus at a distance? There are bits of space dust everywhere stealing your laser's power, too. You might end up heating your ship more than your opponent's.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on August 11, 2015, 08:19:26 pm
@Gilgamesh- well what is it then? Earlier I was told that an ion pulse would spread itself out because of the charge all being the same and now your telling me it's a beam? Wouldn't a beam not fit that whole spreading itself out effect?
Also this weapon would be used at a greater distance and a crap load of energy put into it so basicaly firing (by the time it gets to the target anyway not straight out the barrel) a wall of charged particles (ya going a but soft scifi on this) that would knock out the incoming fighters electronics but not past the larger ships shielding. And with the why are they at war? Same reasons we would have war.
Religion, resources (Dune anyone? Maybe there is a very rare resource that while not entirely needed (not referencing dune right now) is highly desirable. Civilizations would have war over this resource), politics, civil war (I suppose this might fit with politics but eh), racism towards the other space fairing civs, etc.

@i2amroy- Most of the combat in this game will be taking place near (like as close as the moon is to earth near) planets. The shotgun/ion beam whatever it is might also be used against planets, think like a mobile solar flare generator. You could knock out an entire planet in a couple shots or at least take out the tech in larger/more populated areas.

Edit: also who's to say you can't fit on equipment to adjust a projectiles flight that is fired from a rail gun? After all it's not traveling a few hundred feet, not a couple miles, maybe not even a hundred miles but more there is enough distance for adjustment. Also choosing railguns over lasers because they have the weight to punch through shielding and possibly smaller than a laser and cheaper.

After all wouldn't it be easier to generate a shield that deflected lasers or absorbed their energy than it would be to make something that deflected multiple heavy rods. (I say multiple because it would be roughly the same energy to fire a couple of rods as it would be to fire a sustained energy beam of similar strength)
Ok. To answer your points

1- It's gigla, not gilga.

2- Yes, it will spread out, but it's still going to be more beam- than wall shaped. The more is disperses, the weaker it'll be. If it was a wall shape, it'd be so weak it was useless. A particle beam can be neutralised by adding or subtracting electrons. If you can knock out the hardened electronics of spacecraft, you have easily irradiated the crew enough to kill them. 100+ grays to damage hardened electronics, 5 to kill a human.

3- Religion is a possibility. So is politics. But space has effectively infinite resources available. There is no reason to suspect a quasi-magical substance ala dune exists elsewhere but not here. Inifinte living space is available, in habits or other systems if interstellar colonisation is available.

4- I doubt any spaceship has the energy capability to produce solar-flare levels of energy. To compare, the casual-googled most powerful laser so far in existence was 150000J (1.5x10^5). A solar flare is around 60000000000000000000000000J (6 x10^25). And Earth is mostly protected by it's magnetic field. YOur spaceships can't come close, unless you're the sort of civilisation that can build Dyson Spheres. And by then you're probably beyond war.

5- Rail guns tend to have problems. You need to replace the rails every few shots due to erosion. They aren't recoilless - so you'll have to counter that, which costs propellant. A railgun projectile has a huge amount of current running through it while it is between the rails. If that doesn't detonate any propellant through the heat and current and ruin any electronics... well, there's also the problem that railgun projectiles are tiny. Not much room for guidance systems or propellants. They'll still be slower and thus less likely to hit, or damagable by point defence.

6 -  That's just [pretty much pure sci-fi. Make it up if you want, but there's no reason why it'd not work on kinetic energy as well. A magnetic field can protect against charged particles, which is why Earth still has an atmosphere and Mars doesn't.

Railgusn have the weakness that they have no correction ability for a target moving out of your firing prediction. Lasers are much faster, so it's harder to dodge; missiles can correct their aim on the go; but railguns have neither the speed of a laser or the self-aiming ability of a missile.
Wouldn't lasers lose focus at a distance? There are bits of space dust everywhere stealing your laser's power, too. You might end up heating your ship more than your opponent's.
Absolutely, they'll lose focus over distance subject to defraction. Lasers are also quite ineffecient, so you'll have a lot of problems with losing the heat once you've fired the laser. You could get around that with using some kind of heatsink, but then you're limited by the heat capacity of it. Radiators would be large but impossible to armour.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on August 11, 2015, 08:23:41 pm
Sure, space is big, but there's only a few points where people are actually going to be. Orbits, lagrange points, and going in-between them.
That's why I said "with enough spare fuel to take less efficient paths". :P

-snip-
Point, though that's obviously something that is actively transmitting in the radio band right at you, and not taking any real steps to avoid detection at all (in fact it's actively trying to get your attention). There's plenty of countermeasures an attacker could take that would make detecting them more difficult, such as any combinations of:
1) Only burning far away, and then "coasting" the rest of the distance.
2) Using vacuum insulation between an inner and outer hull, and then coating the outer hull with an extremely cold substance after any burns to reduce thermal profiles.
3) Approaching from the other side or next to a warmer thermal body, such as a planet, thus letting its heat signature drown out your own.
4) Approaching from the direction of a more active background area, such as along the milky way, thus lowering the difference between your own thermal output and theirs.
5) If you do have to do a burn that is close enough to be easily detected, launch a handful of decoys in different directions that are hotter but smaller, then have both you and the decoys "go dark" by cooling their outer hull. The end result would make it very difficult to tell which direction you went in.

To build off the black plane, I'd say it's more of a matter of two people in a black plane with a background that is constantly twinkling slightly, with a few very bright lights scattered about, and with lamps that are only really visible when they are "pushing" and the rest of the time are basically invisible; still possible to track someone down in, but much more difficult.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on August 11, 2015, 08:26:39 pm

-snip-
Point, though that's obviously something that is actively transmitting in the radio band right at you, and not taking any real steps to avoid detection at all (in fact it's actively trying to get your attention). There's plenty of countermeasures an attacker could take that would make detecting them more difficult, such as any combinations of:
1) Only burning far away, and then "coasting" the rest of the distance.
2) Using vacuum insulation between an inner and outer hull, and then coating the outer hull with an extremely cold substance after any burns to reduce thermal profiles.
3) Approaching from the other side or next to a warmer thermal body, such as a planet, thus letting its heat signature drown out your own.
4) Approaching from the direction of a more active background area, such as along the milky way, thus lowering the difference between your own thermal output and theirs.
5) If you do have to do a burn that is close enough to be easily detected, launch a handful of decoys in different directions that are hotter but smaller, then have both you and the decoys "go dark" by cooling their outer hull. The end result would make it very difficult to tell which direction you went in.

To build off the black plane, I'd say it's more of a matter of two people in a black plane with a background that is constantly twinkling slightly, with a few very bright lights scattered about, and with lamps that are only really visible when they are "pushing" and the rest of the time are basically invisible; still possible to track someone down in, but much more difficult.
You've got to burn to slow down, though, and that's difficult to hide when approaching a target. It is pointed at them, after all.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MrWiggles on August 11, 2015, 08:36:51 pm
Its impossible for any naturally occurring materiel resource to be scarce (Yes, Spice is naturally occurring), if you have access to an entire solar system, and doubly so when you access to more then one.

One of the biggest conceits for sci fi setting is war. War is always more expensive, then not war. When you have defacto infinite space to expand into, you never have to interact with anyone you don't like to interact with.

There is nothing that an solar system has, that isnt found in any other solar system.
There can never be any border disputes. It'll be cheaper to simply leave then ti fight over any one solar system. There are defacto infinite others out there.
There can never be border tension. With the vast distances involved to travel, and most of that intervening space being pointless, then any violation of someone else space is always purposeful. And if you're violating their space purposefully, then you're being a moron. There isnt ever a reason to go war.
Ideological conflicts may rise, but most memes try to be efficient and its much easier to simply expand without conflict then to expand with conflict.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 11, 2015, 08:45:52 pm
(edit: Noting that I ignored the fact that many messages were written between me starting this and posting it.  This post doesn't answer some of the latest questions, or question some of the latest assumptions.)

The current concern for most current space-vehicles (i.e. satellites) is of orbital debris of various sizes (from well-tracked satellites that have died to the myriad of objects down to 'mere' flecks of paint and metal that are flying out there) that are whizzing around in the very orbital space that we're trying to keep our other stuff in.

Kinetic warfare is likely the way to go.  Perhaps with an explosive-led precursor 'shell', to generate shrapnel 'where' we want it (see below), although there might be benefit to keeping the explosive effect really subtle low, or even just somehow "throw the contents of the shotgun cartridge in a certain direction" rather than try to actually create an expanding cloud.

Likely the best way to destroy something in LEO, assuming you had the delta-V and time to wait, is to send a small bunch of virtually indetectable debris the opposite way round.  If you were sitting some distance off of a GPS satellite (slightly less than 12hrs orbital period), for example, you might chuck some black, low-radar-visibility debris (ceramics?) around the opposite direction designed to impact your target in six hours or so (both target and debris having gone 'half way round', in opposite directions) with a combined closing velocity of slightly less than 30,000 km/h, if head on, IIRC.  It'd be a 'slow-burn' attack, with the wait, but perhaps some variant of this tactic could be used in a first-strike scenario.  e.g a land-launched 'regular' (i.e. totally-innocent-honest) rocketry launch could stealthily a few small 'buckshot' loads at one or other stage-separation/cowling-jettisoning moment, but with enough accuracy/spread to end up impacting the intended targets.

The big problem would be to plan this attack (and your own future presence in orbit) taking into account the amount of cascading debris (and any 'buckshot' that missed the target, but continues onwards).  If you were taking out a 'neighbouring satellite' in this manner (from a platform you'd be manning, or otherwise not want to lose), then you'd probably also want to edge out of the way, as well, over the intervening six hours.  It wouldn't work against targets that themselves could move across orbits (or, at least, those that know there's something heading that way so that they can do so), but if initially you're relying on surprise (and possibly also in a manner that includes sufficient deniability) you've probably already got that covered.

Anyway, buckshot, primary debris and secondary/tertiary/etc debris would probably make orbital space a no-go-zone quite quickly (there's already enough undetectable debris out there to make some people rather worried).


For more direct/immediate attacks (or in planetary orbits/transfer orbits/interstellar trajectories that just don't lend themselves to the 'go round the other way' method), just buckshot directly with debris designed to circumvent the latest paradigms in micrometeorite defence.  That might mean firing a 'porcupine' of needles (designed for significant secondary penetration in sacrificial layers, perhaps a second 'wave' taking advantage of the holes the first impacting set created), shaped explosive charges primed to 'scattergun' just before impact (or act as a HEAT round, upon it), rapidly rotating debris (of various kinds), or even a mixture of each.

TBH, to compete with non-military-grade space-armour (assuming that there is even such a thing as the military-grade stuff) you'd really only need quantity.  And the opportunity to hit your target.  (Space being very very large and empty, as suggested above, I'm already assuming that there's a viable 'targeting solution' available to the aggressor.)


To fry electronics, I'd suggest (on the basis that in a world with 'ion guns' we probably also have these already handily in space, for our use) your basic nuclear bomb tuned for maximal EMP pulse/ionising radiation.  Chuck it in the direction of the enemy and detonate it (if necessary with the appropriate 'dial a yield') at the point when the effects on the enemy are greater than the effects upon you.  It doesn't need to hit, and in fact you might want to throw it 'over' the enemy (i.e. past them), before initiating a detonation that will mess with their systems (perhaps hardened and/or prepared, perhaps not) much more than it will mess with yours (probably hardened, but of course you would be prepared, isolating/earthing sensitive bits and pieces).  It may or may not also mess up structural integrity (through the radiated heat-pulse, probably, rather than any blast-wave through vacuum) and of course have primary/secondary/etc radiation effects upon anything biological in the ship you targeted, dependant upon the eventual distance and yield you made use of.  But the question was about electronics.  You could probably rival 'casual' space-weather (if not a head-on CME) with such a device.

Note: No backs-of-envelopes were harmed during the composing of this post, so I'm leaving it totally open as to how close you'd want to explode your nuclear device.  (But unless we're trying to get through supernova-proof shields, it'd probably do damage of one kind or other if in direct contact with the target (https://what-if.xkcd.com/imgs/a/73/neutrinos_bomb.png)... (Original context for that (https://what-if.xkcd.com/73/).))
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on August 11, 2015, 08:54:00 pm
You've got to burn to slow down, though, and that's difficult to hide when approaching a target. It is pointed at them, after all.
Yeah, but we're still talking about warning consisting of hours or minutes instead of weeks. And you could even use the "I'm here" burn to hide your actual invasion or infiltration forces, by having your big ship just drop into orbit and then doing small sideways launches to launch the actual forces, concealing those particular burns by the heat signature of the larger one.

And really that has nothing to do with spaceship to spaceship fighting, because even in the event two spaceships were able to find one another the best bet would probably be to not actually approach your target until after they were destroyed by launching things at them that didn't have to slow down, then just coming back and picking through the rubble to get whatever it was that you wanted.

-snip-
I agree with everything you said except for one key thing. It is possible for a material resource to be scarce in the sense of how much is available at an economic price. For example let's assume that for some strange reason I need an incredibly enormous amount of iron, to build my vast and mighty spaceships. The cost and availability of iron that is sourced in-solar system (of which there is a distinct, relatively finite amount), is going to be magnitudes cheaper than me attempting to import iron from another solar system due to the vast distances involved in solar system to solar system travel. This means that it's totally possible to end up with a scenario where the limited resources in a given area are economically viable to harvest, while the unlimited amounts farther away are not viable, thus giving a situation where even though the total resources are essentially infinite, the total useful resources are not, and thus can lead to conflict.

On the other hand the only type of scenario in which we would need to be fighting aliens over our water would be if said aliens had already harvested all of the water from the various other planets in our solar system and their own, which most sci-fi works fail to account for.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 11, 2015, 08:54:16 pm
I had a crazy idea and I want to know if it's crazy like a fox or just crazy.  I'm thinking about airbraking spaceships without exiting them from orbit.  The breaking length of quality fishing line is 350 km (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Specific_strength) while LEO "starts" around 120 km.  So I'm thinking, would it be possible to equip a spacecraft with a "kite" that would reach down to the upper atmosphere on a 300 km tether?  That way you could slow down for a stable orbit or an orbital rendezvous without expending fuel.

Suppose the kite was at 50km in height.  The atmosphere at that level is 10^-6 g/cm^3.  If the kite was moving at 10km/s (the speed of the Apollo 8 Trans-lunar injection departure), it would be creating 100 kN of drag per square meter of kite area, at least at first.  That is the same as the rocket thrust for the Apollo 8 injection burn.  But it would actually be a pretty small burden for the tether, most of the tether burden is the tether weight itself.

A complication would be that the kite moving at supersonic speeds would have all kinds of crazy aerodynamics to worry about.  But maybe those crazy aerodynamics could be put to some use.  The kite would be creating a pocket of pressurized air so maybe some of that air could be siphoned up the tether.  This way there would be a source of volatiles for the spacecraft.  With an ion engine it might even be possible to refull your tanks with nitrogen at earth by braking, go fly off to a different planet and then slingshot back to earth again to repeat the process.

So... crazy like a fox or just crazy?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on August 11, 2015, 09:04:06 pm
Point, though that's obviously something that is actively transmitting in the radio band right at you, and not taking any real steps to avoid detection at all (in fact it's actively trying to get your attention). There's plenty of countermeasures an attacker could take that would make detecting them more difficult, such as any combinations of:
1) Only burning far away, and then "coasting" the rest of the distance.
2) Using vacuum insulation between an inner and outer hull, and then coating the outer hull with an extremely cold substance after any burns to reduce thermal profiles.
3) Approaching from the other side or next to a warmer thermal body, such as a planet, thus letting its heat signature drown out your own.
4) Approaching from the direction of a more active background area, such as along the milky way, thus lowering the difference between your own thermal output and theirs.
5) If you do have to do a burn that is close enough to be easily detected, launch a handful of decoys in different directions that are hotter but smaller, then have both you and the decoys "go dark" by cooling their outer hull. The end result would make it very difficult to tell which direction you went in.

To build off the black plane, I'd say it's more of a matter of two people in a black plane with a background that is constantly twinkling slightly, with a few very bright lights scattered about, and with lamps that are only really visible when they are "pushing" and the rest of the time are basically invisible; still possible to track someone down in, but much more difficult.
Hee.  That is a point, but bear in mind that said 20W radio signal is even smaller than the thermal radiation that would be output by the ship itself, much less any modern or probable near-future maneuvering system.  As for the proposed countermeasures:
1. Burn-and-cruise is viable if your operational planning is on the level of months or years, and your target has no "meteor watch" instituted to deal with more mundane unpowered threats like incoming asteroids.  It will need to be implemented at tremendous distances - a significant part of the problem is that any burns, either to maneuver or accelerate/decelerate, will tend to be seen from tremendous distances, on the order of hundreds of astronomical units.  Burns powerful enough to cut that time down will also be much easier to detect.  Even if you ignore the detection issue, this is potentially highly dangerous if the situation changes at all over the course of those months or years, however, say if military forces get redeployed or if there was even a minute imperfection in one of your ship's thrust nozzles - remember, at these distances, differences of a fraction of a percent point between vectors will translate to at least tens of thousands of kilometers.  If you're targeting a mobile force (say, an enemy fleet), that won't work at all, unless it's willing to politely wait there for a tremendous period of time for your arrival. 

2. The entire problem with thermal detection at a distance is the thermal energy being radiated through the radiation from the ship to the detector - the detection problem for a ship with no constructed shell can also be treated literally as a ship with a shell the distance between the detector and the ship.  Your shell will catch all of that thermal radiation (plus whatever is conducted through the support beams, since that will be non-zero), certainly, but that will just heat it up to the same temperature over time.  If you build your shell large enough so that it won't heat up quickly (since the rate of thermal exchange is proportional to the ratio between the surface area of the outer and inner shells), you start to risk occluding entire stars - someone's going to notice if Polaris suddenly blinks in and out.  If you have a magic coolant that you can apply without generating more thermal energy, why not apply it directly to the ship?  How do you keep it from heating up as well just from regular shipboard operations, even ignoring the additional thermal pressure of burns? 

3. That requires a warm thermal body that will take you from your launch point to your target.  At interplanetary distances, planets don't typically move that way, and you'll have to be very, very lucky with asteroids.  That's a viable tactic, but only at very, very close scales - say, if you're fighting in LEO, where you're using the Earth itself as an occluding object. 

4. Also possible, but you need a backdrop that's literally hundreds of Kelvin hotter than the cosmic background radiation, which means it's going to need to be hot enough and/or close enough that the inverse-square law hasn't frittered all that away - say, heading from the Sun to Mercury, but not so much from the Sun to Jupiter.  It also runs into the same problem as the (unmentioned, but related) idea of radiating your heat away from the target - it only works if your target is the only detecting source.  If they have even two detection platforms separated by a significant distance, you'll need a backdrop that can hide you from both.  (EDIT: Also, don't forget (like I almost did) that energy is conserved.  If your backdrop is around as hot as you are or hotter, your ship is also going to be absorbing and reemitting thermal energy from the backdrop as well, driving its own temperature up even further.  You can reduce the difference, but it's questionable whether you can reduce it enough.)

5. If the decoys are smaller and hotter, they'll immediately be able to tell the difference from the thermal difference between the source and the decoys.  If they're smaller and just as hot, they'll see the acceleration curves are different (remember acceleration is force over mass).  If they're the same mass and the same thrust, why not just use more ships? 

No twinkling lights here, sorry, and the only bright lights that won't be well-known are likely to be other people.  Which, mind you, is a fair notion of subterfuge, if you can make your warships look like freighters from their mass/acceleration profiles. 

I had a crazy idea and I want to know if it's crazy like a fox or just crazy.  I'm thinking about airbraking spaceships without exiting them from orbit.  The breaking length of quality fishing line is 350 km (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Specific_strength) while LEO "starts" around 120 km.  So I'm thinking, would it be possible to equip a spacecraft with a "kite" that would reach down to the upper atmosphere on a 300 km tether?  That way you could slow down for a stable orbit or an orbital rendezvous without expending fuel.

Suppose the kite was at 50km in height.  The atmosphere at that level is 10^-6 g/cm^3.  If the kite was moving at 10km/s (the speed of the Apollo 8 Trans-lunar injection departure), it would be creating 100 kN of drag per square meter of kite area, at least at first.  That is the same as the rocket thrust for the Apollo 8 injection burn.  But it would actually be a pretty small burden for the tether, most of the tether burden is the tether weight itself.

A complication would be that the kite moving at supersonic speeds would have all kinds of crazy aerodynamics to worry about.  But maybe those crazy aerodynamics could be put to some use.  The kite would be creating a pocket of pressurized air so maybe some of that air could be siphoned up the tether.  This way there would be a source of volatiles for the spacecraft.  With an ion engine it might even be possible to refull your tanks with nitrogen at earth by braking, go fly off to a different planet and then slingshot back to earth again to repeat the process.

So... crazy like a fox or just crazy?
Not crazy at all, and you don't need a kite.  If designed properly, the ship itself can be used to aerobrake, as several probes we've launched (Magellan, multiple Mars probes) have done.  ^_^

EDIT: Here (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aerocapture), if you're curious.  What you're describing is likely a variation on the trailing ballute design they outline.  ^_^
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 11, 2015, 09:28:08 pm
Yeah but that requires you fire an engine in the orbit after the airbreak and requires you to fire an engine if you want any control.  What if you are talking about a spacecraft with no rockets, only ion engines?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on August 11, 2015, 09:36:21 pm
-snip-
A couple of things to keep in mind:
1) I'm not sure where you are getting that breaking length. Is that just under it's own weight, or what? The amount of force you are applying is almost certainly going to be the dominating force in that arrangement, not the length of the cable.
2) Orbits of long tethers get crazy really fast due to tidal forces, you can even end up with strange things like square orbits, so you'd need to release the tether when you are done.
3) Rotational forces. Imagine you have giant wedding cake stacked on a trolley that is rolling along the ground extremely quickly. You stick your foot right in front of the wheels and stop them from rolling. What happens to the cake? (If you answered, "it swings in an arc and slams into the ground, usually with the rotational forces of its arc ripping it into a couple of pieces as it falls", then you are correct!)

Not saying that the idea in untenable, just that it's got some severe engineering issues that you are going to need to address before it would work. (Alternatively you could just do it with your actual spacecraft itself rather than a tethered kite, which would address all of those issues and replace them with much smaller ones, mostly involving the need for very specific data :P).

-snip-
Fair enough. I guess it all kinda amplifies my original point, which is that spaceship v. spaceship combat is kinda untenable. If they can see you coming from weeks away it's just a simple matter of burning to avoid them, and assuming both spaceships have enough fuel the cost for them to continually adjust to match your course changes is going to cost them more in fuel costs than whatever they hoped to take from you.

As for spaceship v. planet, thinking about it it seems we reach a situation of "ultimate defense" with detection that well and a lack of FTL travel (which opens things up again), where it becomes impossible for attackers to ever actually assault a planet because defenders have plenty of time to chart their course and launch many interception attempts to destroy them long before they ever get close enough to actually do any damage. The one exception to this, of course, remains an attacker going total exterminatus mode, which, though it would take several years after launching before it actually hit, would be completely unable to be defended against. If you get a large enough object moving fast enough then it doesn't really matter what kind of defense you put up, since it'll have enough force just to punch right through whatever you do (and most real designs would involve exploding your missile after you got it up to speed, which would mean that instead of just having to knock 1 big rock out of the road they would have to stop hundreds of thousands of smaller rocks, making it even more difficult to stop and increasing it's destructive power).

So without FTL travel the win/lose diagram looks something like this:
Attacker uses infiltration or spies to disable the entire planet for weeks or months as their armies approach:
Attacker potentially wins, depending if they can hold the system offline for long enough.
Attack uses exterminatus-style methods:
Attacker always wins, but loses access to the planet for years until it cools down to livable temperatures.
Else:
Defender wins.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 11, 2015, 09:45:19 pm
Not sure I follow the unstoppable extermination attack logic.  It would take a truly absurd amount of energy to reach speeds that light doesn't give good early detection at.  There is a narrow band of attack sources that telescopes need to watch if you are building up to those sorts of speeds.  So detection years in advance is a given unless you are within a solar system.  Once detected the defenders just need to crash a counter projectile into the projectile to make it miss the solar system.  Correcting the course of the projectile after its deflected would require more energy then the original deflection (due to needing to get the course just right).  But for the attacker, that energy needs to be in the original projectile and needs to be brought up to extermination speed so it's a huge investment ahead of time.  The defender on the other hand knows exactly how much deflection energy they need and just need to get it to an intercept speed.  So the defender has a task that is orders of magnitude easier.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 11, 2015, 09:49:57 pm
1) I'm not sure where you are getting that breaking length. Is that just under it's own weight, or what? The amount of force you are applying is almost certainly going to be the dominating force in that arrangement, not the length of the cable.

That is the amount maximum length of itself that it could support hanging straight down in a 1G constant field.  I think it's constant diameter.

If the force of the drag is greater then the tensile weight force that's a good thing!  It means the design is effective in that regard since it's mostly doing what I want (dragging) rather then dealing with material requirements.

2) Orbits of long tethers get crazy really fast due to tidal forces, you can even end up with strange things like square orbits, so you'd need to release the tether when you are done.

Is there a link I could read about that?  I would think that because the tether can be kept taut at a desired angle (within limits) by angling the kite and controlling the retraction speed, you would be able to retract it in a managable fashion without messing anything up too much.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on August 11, 2015, 10:05:15 pm
That's the point of detonating the "missile" once it start to get closer. A cloud of 1 million 1lb rocks will still impact with the exact same amount of energy as a single 1 million lb rock will, but if I'm shooting a cloud of objects at you then you can't just do the "take a second rock and hit the first rock" plan, you've got to take a giant net that is still strong enough to "catch" all of those various small rocks, has enough momentum that the impacts with the first of the rock cloud don't mess up its ability to hit the rocks on the other side of the cloud, and still has enough force to deflect far-side rock paths enough so that they don't impact the planet.

And if you wanted to make it even more complicated, you could do several different "fracture" detonations as the missile approached the target. Each one could drastically change the shape and size of the cloud as you went along, making it even more difficult for the defenders to ensure that their sideways "net swipe" will be in the right place at the right time to catch the cloud. At a certain level of complexity chaos theory ensures that there's no "plot the course of each individual 1 lb rock, then block it" plan possible, and the amounts of energy required to block the entire cloud quickly soars up to near the absurd amount of energy it took to get the cloud in motion in the first place, or even more.

So yeah, you'd know the strike was coming years or even decades before it actually hit. But assuming the attacker is willing to pour enough energy into the weapon then there isn't really anything you can do about stopping it (unless you can move your entire planet's orbit at will, which could allow you to dodge the strike, of course).

Is there a link I could read about that?  I would think that because the tether can be kept taut at a desired angle (within limits) by angling the kite and controlling the retraction speed, you would be able to retract it in a managable fashion without messing anything up too much.
Here you go: Ultra Long Orbital Tethers Behave Highly Non-Keplerian and Unstable (http://www.academia.edu/3453325/Ultra_Long_Orbital_Tethers_Behave_Highly_Non-Keplerian_and_Unstable).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 11, 2015, 10:19:01 pm
A cloud of 1 million 1lb rocks would still be affected by gravity, no?  If they are in such a narrow volume that they are going to hit the far away planet then detonating them hardly affects a thing given a reasonable intercept distance.  In fact it makes the defenders job easy, they just have to put a tiny mass in the path of the cloud so that it alters the course of it's center of gravity.  The cloud is already detonated so it cant correct.

A cloud doesn't really matter until you are within a few hundred thousand kilometers.  The defenders are going to react months before that at a minimum.  Deflecting it at the last second would be vastly more difficult.

Also, 1 million 1lb rocks is way too little unless you are talking absurd speeds.  That's only 1000 tons, a noticable asteroid in 1 chunk but nothing but a pretty meteor shower if you are spreading it out over half the planet, that is, if it would even be visable.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on August 11, 2015, 10:36:02 pm
Not sure I follow the unstoppable extermination attack logic.  It would take a truly absurd amount of energy to reach speeds that light doesn't give good early detection at.  There is a narrow band of attack sources that telescopes need to watch if you are building up to those sorts of speeds.  So detection years in advance is a given unless you are within a solar system.  Once detected the defenders just need to crash a counter projectile into the projectile to make it miss the solar system.  Correcting the course of the projectile after its deflected would require more energy then the original deflection (due to needing to get the course just right).  But for the attacker, that energy needs to be in the original projectile and needs to be brought up to extermination speed so it's a huge investment ahead of time.  The defender on the other hand knows exactly how much deflection energy they need and just need to get it to an intercept speed.  So the defender has a task that is orders of magnitude easier.

That precludes Kardishev class II civilizations that can harness the full power of a star.  An aimed gamma ray burst travels at light speed, and will EASILY bypass even a very thick atmosphere.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 11, 2015, 10:46:13 pm
Removing the object does simplify things quite a bit.  Still, there is a rather tiny fraction of the sky that you need to defend yourself from. (https://xkcd.com/975/)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on August 11, 2015, 11:09:43 pm
Devil's advocate: Black hole as super weapon.

One potential source of gamma ray bursts is the emission jet from a black hole.  If we assume a Kardashev class II+ (not class III, just II+) civilization that loves doing astro-engineering, we could say they have captured one of the many smaller (say, 20 solar masses or so) black holes floating around the galaxy, and have altered its net rotation so that it precessess wildly. With the kinds of rotational velocities that black holes have, this means that within any given day, the "barrel" of the "gun" would have swept over the entire galaxy several times over. This makes aiming the gun unnecessary-- You just time the shot.

You "fire" the cannon by feeding it a small star. Perhaps a captured neutron star.   This civilization would only require ONE such black hole gun. With it, it could reasonably exterminate any competing species within at most, a few thousand years after discovery.  The downside is that the black hole gun would fire from both rotational poles of the black hole simultaneously. They would need to have some kind of seriously absurd deflector to prevent nuking a section of space that was not intended to be nuked. (Perhaps the mass they would use to fire the next shot? Say, another neutron star very close to the jet?)

The existence of such a species would neatly explain Fermi's paradox.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on August 11, 2015, 11:18:32 pm
Devil's advocate: Black hole as super weapon.

One potential source of gamma ray bursts is the emission jet from a black hole.  If we assume a Kardashev class II+ (not class III, just II+) civilization that loves doing astro-engineering, we could say they have captured one of the many smaller (say, 20 solar masses or so) black holes floating around the galaxy, and have altered its net rotation so that it precessess wildly. With the kinds of rotational velocities that black holes have, this means that within any given day, the "barrel" of the "gun" would have swept over the entire galaxy several times over. This makes aiming the gun unnecessary-- You just time the shot.

You "fire" the cannon by feeding it a small star. Perhaps a captured neutron star.   This civilization would only require ONE such black hole gun. With it, it could reasonably exterminate any competing species within at most, a few thousand years after discovery.  The downside is that the black hole gun would fire from both rotational poles of the black hole simultaneously. They would need to have some kind of seriously absurd deflector to prevent nuking a section of space that was not intended to be nuked. (Perhaps the mass they would use to fire the next shot? Say, another neutron star very close to the jet?)

The existence of such a species would neatly explain Fermi's paradox.
Alternately, they just let it shoot without bothering with shielding because on the balance of probability, the odds of a line intersecting the black hole, the target star, and an unanticipated extra target within range of the gamma ray burst (that is, in the same galaxy as a baseline, depending on how much you're feeding the black hole) are quite insignificant.  Plus, if you're already conducting stellar engineering to facilitate the mass-extermination of all alien life in an entire galaxy, you may well simply consider any such impact a bonus, sort of an "exterminate one species, kill another free" deal. 

You'll probably want at least two to cover gaps in your firing solutions, though, if only because the galactic core is going to play havoc with a decent percent of any of your shots. 
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on August 11, 2015, 11:39:42 pm
The most you would ever need is 3 black hole guns, at 60 degree cones from each other, with Sagitarius A (the center of our galaxy) at the center of these cones.

That means that any point in the galaxy could be shot at with at least 2 of the guns, and in such a fashion that the galactic core would not present a significant anomaly to having a firing solution.

It WOULD however, require some kind of FTL communication to coordinate that kind of system.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 12, 2015, 06:22:52 am
It also kills a rather tiny slice of a civilization for the effort gone to.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on August 12, 2015, 10:12:18 am
Not with a rotational speed like I mentioned. The beam will sweep before it extinguishes. Since nearly all of the civilization will be more or less in the plane of the ecliptic of the galaxy, the precession of the blackhole should be able to beam the deadly pulse over a few hundred light years easily before the black hole finishes its meal.

If coordinated with another cannon, even a very wide spread civilization could be irradiated.

The idea here is to kill the other civilization before it becomes interplanetary. They monitor for radio transmissions, and expect that within 400 years of early radio broadcasts, that they will be beginning space travel, but not have created interstellar, let alone good interplanetary travel.  They use FTL communication, and possibly scout/monitor satelites to detect such civilizations-- when they detect one, they prime the cannons, wait for the right moment, then give it something to eat.  at most 1000 years later or so-- the beam intersects that region of space.  Remember, such a new rival civ would not have FTL or anything like it, and would be constrained to sub C velocities of travel. That means taking hundreds if not thousands of years to reach the nearest stars to their home system. The class II+ civ may have a monopoly on interstellar traval, and want to keep it that way.

This means that if they nuke early, and often-- they dont NEED to nuke large areas.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on August 12, 2015, 10:27:31 am
When I say shielding I don't directly mean an invisible shield around the ship (though that is part of it) I also mean the materials put on the outside of the hull of the ship to protect from damage.

So another question, would a highly reflective material painted onto the hull of the ship be enough to stop a high energy laser from causing any damage to the ship?

Also the cause for war is probably going to be a mix of religion and racism. Just because there is enough space to avoid people doesn't mean everyone wants to.

Also with resources what if it's not a naturaly occurring (as in mineral or ore and the like) but something produced by living creatures? Would that be a resource that could be considered rare in this setting? (This is assuming the people who control it aren't showing how they are getting the resource sorta like how the Chinese kept how silk was made a secret).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on August 12, 2015, 10:46:40 am
1) Polished surface vs lasers.

No.  Space is not empty. There are tiny particles of dust, particles of ice, and small rocks out there. Those will cause abrasion on such surfaces, leaving them less than perfectly smooth. That will leave areas where the laser's light will not be perfectly reflected, causing ablation, then penetration. These tiny scratches would be all over every centimeter of the ship after just a few months in space.

1a) Heavily mass-sheilded ship vs everything else

This means the ship will be very heavy. There are structural limits to what building materials can handle. Simply because there is substantially less gravity in space, does not magically remove inertia from the equasion. This means that the heavier the ship is, even with some super new-fangled drive tech, turning it quickly will rip the ship apart. This means that big heavy ships will move like big heavy ships.

2) biological resources as reason for war.

Possible causes:

Technologically superior species wants a 2 for 1 deal. Takes technologically inferor species, and forcibly implants cybernetics into their brains, and turns them into slaves. This destroys the rival culture, provides wetware for advanced servitors that are easier to control that pure software intelligences, and gives the old "our race is the bestest!" spot a good stroking all at once.

While potentially habitable planets seem to be plentiful in our galaxy (according to Kepler survey), planets with compatible or desirable flora/fauna may be a significantly smaller fraction of those. Given the number of useful organic compounds our own planet produces (basically ALL of our medicines we now use with the exception of the wholly synthetic ones-- and even those, if you consider that humans make them.) a technologically superior speces may wish to capitalize on such resources if they are biologically compatible with that biosphere. The native inhabitants would naturally be at odds with this, as the exploitation of their biosphere could be highly detrimental to them and their culture. See colonialism.

A large and powerful civilization might have very decadent tastes in entertainment or companionship. Exotic pets may be a thing.  Humans as dangerous exotic pets could be a thing, right along with lions, tigers, and bears.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 12, 2015, 10:49:26 am
Discussion of civilisations wiped out through stellar engineering reminds me of "The Star", the Arthur C. Clarke short story.

(Explanation, with full spoilers of course, here. (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Star_(Clarke_short_story)))
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on August 12, 2015, 11:31:32 am
(Just clerifying the current civs in game are Dyson sphere tech level. Yes I am going very soft scifi with this. The civs are at war for a few reasons and one of them is profeteiring from the war through producing weapons, contracting for finding cheaper resources (finding areas where whatever you are looking for is more abundant), mercenaries, being the guys who transport everything, and basicaly everything a civ would pay for to help in a war. Once again the war is religion/racism on both sides so even though they should be at that point where they are past war they still want all the competition gone. So the warning civs would be like Cold War Soviet Union and America. Two power houses trying to show off their strength but since in this setting if they fight eachother not everyone dies there isn't much keeping them from using their weapons on each other.)

Edit: also on the wearing down of the polished finish. Much like ships now, the surfaces would be regularly kept up by the crew (today ships or at least military ones are constantly being repainted and taken care of as best as possible to decrease erosion and deterioration of the ship. Much would be the same with these ships being regularly polished and repainted)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Radio Controlled on August 12, 2015, 11:51:42 am
One could perhaps put a layer of protective material over the reflecting layer, if needed with empty space between them. The outer layer takes the corrosion of the space dust, and when it's laser time it can burn through the external layer, then hit your smooth anti-laser layer.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on August 12, 2015, 11:56:24 am
The problem is the ablation itself.

When the laser strikes the target, it causes it to vaporize into a cloud of hot vapor.  That vapor can either directly scar the surface below, or condense on the surface below. In both cases, it damages the reflectivity of the surface, allowing "point blank" ablation when the laser hits.

Also, it would be very costly to maintain such a setup. A micrometerorite cloud would mean you then have to spend months in the shipyard getting new wallpaper put on.

A magnetic envelope filled with a dense plasma would work better. The laser would diffuse in the already energetic plasma, and the extent of the bubble would be large enough that most micrometeorites would get caught in it/deflected before they struck the hull, unless moving at absurd speeds.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on August 12, 2015, 12:04:11 pm
Yeah, if you know where the laser is coming from, it's easy enough to send something in its way. Of course, the issue is that laser travels at lightspeed, so you don't get much warning.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on August 12, 2015, 12:50:48 pm
While it is costly it's the same (or well similar to) what we do now with military ships. Which is more expensive? Maintaining the ship or replacing it?
How would you keep the plasma around the ship while it's traveling through space? Wouldn't it just get whipped back like the tail of a commet?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 12, 2015, 06:16:49 pm
While it is costly it's the same (or well similar to) what we do now with military ships. Which is more expensive? Maintaining the ship or replacing it?
How would you keep the plasma around the ship while it's traveling through space? Wouldn't it just get whipped back like the tail of a commet?
Travelling?  Not necessarily.  If coasting, the plasma would be doing whatever it would do for a 'stationary' ship in orbit.  Which might depend on the nature of the plasma.

And if you're holding it around you a magnetic bubble/whatever, you just make sure the bubble is sufficient to keep ahold of the plasma even under the forces of acceleration (so it doesn't trail) or deceleration (so it doesn't 'lead') or indeed get whipped in whatever direction a comet's tail does (whichever way the solar wind/etc pushes; backwards, forwards, sideways...).

(But it'd probably ruin the chances of stealth in such a ship, all that active plasma round it.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on August 12, 2015, 06:29:47 pm
Also clerifying why there are fighters being used.

Since most battles are happening outside of planets they would be used as transport to the surface, dogfights in atmosphere, taking out other fighters entering atmosphere, strategic attacks on enemy ships (while yes you can just shoot a missile and guid it to where you could get a fighter you could just equip a more powerful weapon on a fighter and more accurately hit where you want to), possibly used to shoot enemy munitions (just cause they are replacing missles for ship to ship fighting doesn't mean they are replacing missiles for firing onto the planet).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on August 12, 2015, 07:31:31 pm
Wouldn't lasers lose focus at a distance? There are bits of space dust everywhere stealing your laser's power, too. You might end up heating your ship more than your opponent's.
Absolutely, they'll lose focus over distance subject to defraction. Lasers are also quite ineffecient, so you'll have a lot of problems with losing the heat once you've fired the laser. You could get around that with using some kind of heatsink, but then you're limited by the heat capacity of it. Radiators would be large but impossible to armour.
Indeed, I mentioned to diffraction previously. Blooming is generally used for thermal blooming, which doesn't occur in space so much due to the lack of atmosphere. The beam does spread out via diffraction, but smaller wavelength lasers can reduce that. As a result lasers are much more effective in space than they are on Earth.

Your lead shield idea... wouldn't that require both ships to be keeping the lead mist in between them? At their sort of velocities, that seems like you'd need one hell of a lot of lead to keep a shield up.

If you can detect the railgun projectile coming, you should be able to send it off course. Unevenly heating one side until it evaporates and produces thrust to knock it off course should work - I remember such a thing being discussed for asteroid diversion.

A railgun projectile isn't very large, which means a ship would only have to move a tiny amount to dodge. If the enemy ship is a mere light second away, and your railgun is sci-fi powered to shoot at 1%c, that's still 100 seconds for the enemy to detect and dodge. Even if they aren't already undertaking evasive manoeuvres they can probably detect the stabilising propellant you use to counteract the recoil.




Travelling?  Not necessarily.  If coasting, the plasma would be doing whatever it would do for a 'stationary' ship in orbit.  Which might depend on the nature of the plasma.

And if you're holding it around you a magnetic bubble/whatever, you just make sure the bubble is sufficient to keep ahold of the plasma even under the forces of acceleration (so it doesn't trail) or deceleration (so it doesn't 'lead') or indeed get whipped in whatever direction a comet's tail does (whichever way the solar wind/etc pushes; backwards, forwards, sideways...).

(But it'd probably ruin the chances of stealth in such a ship, all that active plasma round it.)
As mentioned, there isn't really much stealth in space.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 12, 2015, 08:09:32 pm
(But it'd probably ruin the chances of stealth in such a ship, all that active plasma round it.)
As mentioned, there isn't really much stealth in space.
Indeed, but of the stealth you might have had (the ultimate being to either drift in a ship utterly blackened or 'shiny to perfectly reflect the blackness of space', using thrusters only sparingly as required, and on the side of your ship facing away from your ultimate prey until and unless you absolutely need to, to slow down again), purposefully lighting yourself up in some band(s) or other of the electromagnetic spectrum like a weirdly inverted florescent tube (that would probably be purposefully looked for, if it was known 'shield' technology) would probably highlight your location and possible intentions at a far greater distance...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 12, 2015, 09:03:30 pm
What if you purposefully radiate energy in a specific direction?  Or rather, dont radiate in the specific direction you know the detection to be?  A few layers of one sided emmissive surfaces separated by micro-vacuum would cut the emissions down by several orders of magnitude if the radiators are allowed to freely radiate in the opposite direction.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 12, 2015, 09:30:28 pm
Maybe... but who knows what the future comparative economic competitiveness of something like magnetic sails vs. solar sails vs. rockets will look like?  I think we stand about as much chance of understanding space combat as Richard Gatling stood of understanding combined arms.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 12, 2015, 10:34:08 pm
What if you purposefully radiate energy in a specific direction?  Or rather, dont radiate in the specific direction you know the detection to be?  A few layers of one sided emmissive surfaces separated by micro-vacuum would cut the emissions down by several orders of magnitude if the radiators are allowed to freely radiate in the opposite direction.
Well, that was what was pretty much behind my "sparingly use the thrusters that are only on the opposite side of the ship" idea, although I suspect that some of the concepts behind space-stealth is something clever (with thermocouples?) that makes the 'facing' side emit only radiation similar to the 4°K 'background' of space (radiating the difference above all the 'normal' system excesses out at the far side?), as well as dealing with the visible/radar aspects of the ship a la terrestrial/aircraft 'stealthing' materials.

But the original "you're going to have problems with stealth" reference was regarding the 'plasma shield' idea (for both dispersing ship-on-ship weaponry and protecting against micrometeorites).  You couldn't have it on and be trying to stay as inconspicuous as possible.  Wait until you're potentially in danger (from enemy weapons of a now alert enemy, or natural hazards more dangerous to you than that of newly alerting the enemy) and then boot it up (especially on the leading edge, as you're approaching those hostiles) and effectively become a 'beacon of light', within the human visible-spectrum or otherwise.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 12, 2015, 11:14:53 pm
A bit like submarines.  If you can be stealthy, be very stealthy.  If you can't then push everything to the limit and get very noisy indeed.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Morrigi on August 13, 2015, 02:45:07 am
A bit like submarines.  If you can be stealthy, be very stealthy. If you can't then push everything to the limit and get very noisy indeed. 
The problem with that is that you can't even think about hiding your heat signature without very large, heavy, and expensive heat sinks, and even then it won't do jack shit if your ship is manned, because it will have to be kept within tolerable temperature limits for the crew... which are much, much higher than the background temperature of space. Provided you know which general direction to look in, it's also extremely easy to detect thrusters firing, even from across a solar system.


Now, as for conflict between entire civiliations, The Killing Star has a very interesting take on things.

Quote
The great silence (i.e. absence of SETI signals from alien civilizations) is perhaps the strongest indicator of all that high relativistic velocities are attainable and that everybody out there knows it.

The sobering truth is that relativistic civilizations are a potential nightmare to anyone living within range of them. The problem is that objects traveling at an appreciable fraction of light speed are never where you see them when you see them (i.e., light-speed lag). Relativistic rockets, if their owners turn out to be less than benevolent, are both totally unstoppable and totally destructive. A starship weighing in at 1,500 tons (approximately the weight of a fully fueled space shuttle sitting on the launchpad) impacting an earthlike planet at "only" 30 percent of lightspeed will release 1.5 million megatons of energy -- an explosive force equivalent to 150 times today's global nuclear arsenal...

I'm not going to talk about ideas. I'm going to talk about reality. It will probably not be good for us ever to build and fire up an antimatter engine. According to Powell, given the proper detecting devices, a Valkyrie engine burn could be seen out to a radius of several light-years and may draw us into a game we'd rather not play, a game in which, if we appear to be even the vaguest threat to another civilization and if the resources are available to eliminate us, then it is logical to do so.

The game plan is, in its simplest terms, the relativistic inverse to the golden rule: "Do unto the other fellow as he would do unto you and do it first."...

When we put our heads together and tried to list everything we could say with certainty about other civilizations, without having actually met them, all that we knew boiled down to three simple laws of alien behavior:

THEIR SURVIVAL WILL BE MORE IMPORTANT THAN OUR SURVIVAL.
If an alien species has to choose between them and us, they won't choose us. It is difficult to imagine a contrary case; species don't survive by being self-sacrificing.

WIMPS DON'T BECOME TOP DOGS.
No species makes it to the top by being passive. The species in charge of any given planet will be highly intelligent, alert, aggressive, and ruthless when necessary.

THEY WILL ASSUME THAT THE FIRST TWO LAWS APPLY TO US.
...

Your thinking still seems a bit narrow. Consider several broadening ideas:

Sure, relativistic bombs are powerful because the antagonist has already invested huge energies in them that can be released quickly, and they're hard to hit. But they are costly investments and necessarily reduce other activities the species could explore. For example:
Dispersal of the species into many small, hard-to-see targets, such as asteroids, buried civilizations, cometary nuclei, various space habitats. These are hard to wipe out.
But wait -- while relativistic bombs are readily visible to us in foresight, they hardly represent the end point in foreseeable technology. What will humans of, say, two centuries hence think of as the "obvious" lethal effect? Five centuries? A hundred? Personally I'd pick some rampaging self-reproducing thingy (mechanical or organic), then sneak it into all the biospheres I wanted to destroy. My point here is that no particular physical effect -- with its pluses, minuses, and trade-offs -- is likely to dominate the thinking of the galaxy.
So what might really aged civilizations do? Disperse, of course, and also not attack new arrivals in the galaxy, for fear that they might not get them all.   Why? Because revenge is probably selected for in surviving species, and anybody truly looking out for long-term interests will not want to leave a youthful species with a grudge, sneaking around behind its back...
I agree with most parts of points 2, 3, and 4. As for point 1, it is cheaper than you think. You mention self-replicating machines in point 3, and while it is true that relativistic rockets require planetary power supplies, it is also true that we can power the whole Earth with a field of solar cells adding up to barely more than 200-by-200 kilometers, drawn out into a narrow band around the Moon's equator. Self-replicating robots could accomplish this task with only the cost of developing the first twenty or thirty machines. And once we're powering the Earth practically free of charge, why not let the robots keep building panels on the Lunar far side? Add a few self-replicating linear accelerator-building factories, and plug the accelerators into the panels, and you could produce enough anti-hydrogen to launch a starship every year. But why stop at the Moon? Have you looked at Mercury lately? ...

Dr. Wells has obviously bought into the view of a friendly galaxy. This view is based upon the argument that unless we humans conquer our self-destructive warlike tendencies, we will wipe out our species and no longer be a threat to extrasolar civilizations. All well and good up to this point.

But then these optimists make the jump: If we are wise enough to survive and not wipe ourselves out, we will be peaceful -- so peaceful that we will not wipe anybody else out, and as we are below on Earth, so other people will be above.

This is a non sequitur, because there is no guarantee that one follows the other, and for a very important reason: "They" are not part of our species.

Before we proceed any further, try the following thought experiment: watch the films Platoon and Aliens together and ask yourself if the plot lines don't quickly blur and become indistinguishable. You'll recall that in Vietnam, American troops were taught to regard the enemy as "Charlie" or "Gook," dehumanizing words that made "them" easier to kill. In like manner, the British, Spanish, and French conquests of the discovery period were made easier by declaring dark- or red- or yellow-skinned people as something less than human, as a godless, faceless "them," as literally another species.

Presumably there is some sort of inhibition against killing another member of our own species, because we have to work to overcome it...

But the rules do not apply to other species. Both humans and wolves lack inhibitions against killing chickens.

Humans kill other species all the time, even those with which we share the common bond of high intelligence. As you read this, hundreds of dolphins are being killed by tuna fishermen and drift netters. The killing goes on and on, and dolphins are not even a threat to us.

As near as we can tell, there is no inhibition against killing another species simply because it displays a high intelligence. So, as much as we love him, Carl Sagan's theory that if a species makes it to the top and does not blow itself apart, then it will be nice to other intelligent species is probably wrong. Once you admit interstellar species will not necessarily be nice to one another simply by virtue of having survived, then you open up this whole nightmare of relativistic civilizations exterminating one another.

It's an entirely new situation, emerging from the physical possibilities that will face any species that can overcome the natural interstellar quarantine of its solar system. The choices seem unforgiving, and the mind struggles to imagine circumstances under which an interstellar species might make contact without triggering the realization that it can't afford to be proven wrong in its fears.

Got that? We can't afford to wait to be proven wrong.

They won't come to get our resources or our knowledge or our women or even because they're just mean and want power over us. They'll come to destroy us to insure their survival, even if we're no apparent threat, because species death is just too much to risk, however remote the risk...

The most humbling feature of the relativistic bomb is that even if you happen to see it coming, its exact motion and position can never be determined; and given a technology even a hundred orders of magnitude above our own, you cannot hope to intercept one of these weapons. It often happens, in these discussions, that an expression from the old west arises: "God made some men bigger and stronger than others, but Mr. Colt made all men equal." Variations on Mr. Colt's weapon are still popular today, even in a society that possesses hydrogen bombs. Similarly, no matter how advanced civilizations grow, the relativistic bomb is not likely to go away...

We ask that you try just one more thought experiment. Imagine yourself taking a stroll through Manhattan, somewhere north of 68th street, deep inside Central Park, late at night. It would be nice to meet someone friendly, but you know that the park is dangerous at night. That's when the monsters come out. There's always a strong undercurrent of drug dealings, muggings, and occasional homicides.

It is not easy to distinguish the good guys from the bad guys. They dress alike, and the weapons are concealed. The only difference is intent, and you can't read minds.

Stay in the dark long enough and you may hear an occasional distance shriek or blunder across a body.

How do you survive the night? The last thing you want to do is shout, "I'm here!" The next to last thing you want to do is reply to someone who shouts, "I'm a friend!"

What you would like to do is find a policeman, or get out of the park. But you don't want to make noise or move towards a light where you might be spotted, and it is difficult to find either a policeman or your way out without making yourself known. Your safest option is to hunker down and wait for daylight, then safely walk out.

There are, of course, a few obvious differences between Central Park and the universe.

There is no policeman.

There is no way out.

And the night never ends.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Graknorke on August 13, 2015, 04:28:41 am
Who would even want to put humans on a vehicle intended for fighting? They're far too squishy and sensitive to make anything practical. Do you know how much acceleration a human can withstand? Not enough, that's how many.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on August 13, 2015, 06:21:04 am
Quote
"The most powerful laser ever is 150000J

I know this was said some time ago but really?

https://lasers.llnl.gov/about/what-is-nif

1,850,000Joules, at more that 500,000,000,000,000W

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 13, 2015, 03:37:33 pm
The problem with that is that you can't even think about hiding your heat signature without very large, heavy, and expensive heat sinks,

Yes I can, I just thought about it several posts ago.  I may have thought about it incorrectly but I certainly demonstrated that I can think about it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on August 13, 2015, 04:19:53 pm
-snip-
See, the problem I have with that is that it assumes that for some reason just having the capability to travel like that suddenly makes us all into immoral logical monsters.

In a lot of ways it comes across no different than the "if there was no god then we would all be murdering and raping each other", arguments. I mean honestly when was the last time you thought "oh gee, I really wish I could go murder and genocide those people over there"? I don't murder people and attempt to exterminate entire groups because I don't want to, not because I can't.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Nick K on August 13, 2015, 05:32:40 pm
It doesn't assume anything about humans - the argument is about aliens. Some people assume that advanced aliens would have to be benevolent just because they're advanced, but there isn't really much evidence to support that. It doesn't really matter if humans are "immoral logical monsters" or not, just that an alien race might well be.
The real assumption it makes is that futuristic weapons can wipe out a civilisation without any defences being possible and without leaving them the opportunity to strike back. This is much more questionable, and I personally think it probably isn't true. If we do accept that assumption though, then it makes a strong case against active SETI - where humans make an effort not just to detect alien races but to send out communications that unknown aliens might intercept.

In fact, even if we do consider humans, it seems quite possible that we'd pull the trigger in that situation. Humans aren't particularly benevolent towards non-human species, and when we are it's usually because we think they're 'cute' - usually because they have traits like big eyes etc that remind us of human children.
Imagine if we became sufficiently advanced to create relativistic warheads, but were largely still confined to a few planets. Imagine we then found out there was a nearby planet of aliens. Initial scans of their broadcast shows that they are a creature we consider almost instinctively disgusting - let's say they resemble cockroaches. Their behaviour also has some aspects that we don't understand, and that makes them confusing and unpredictable. Plus, they break some of our deeply held moral beliefs or cultural taboos - perhaps they practice regular infanticide, maybe they genocided another species that we consider intelligent, perhaps they keep another species that we consider cute, likable, or human-like as food and slaughter them in what we consider a cruel way, perhaps one of their genders violently subjugates the other(s) and routinely kills them in unpleasant sexual practices.
From analysing their broadcasts, we can't get full understanding of how they think or if they're likely to be aggressive towards us, but we do know that they act in a warlike and aggressive way towards each other and that they are very willing indeed to slaughter other species in vast numbers if it'll benefit them.

Luckily, the cockroach aliens are less developed than us. They don't have relativistic weapons and can't threaten earth. However, at their current rate of advancement our scientists believe in a century or so they will develop them.
The government has a choice. Send over a warhead and it'll wipe them out. They'll be rendered extinct and can never threaten earth. Alternatively, we could let them develop or even help them. In that case they're sure to discover us, sure to develop relativistic weapons, and sure to realise that we could develop such weapons and thus pose a threat to their existence.
Would they choose to wipe us out? They might. They're unpredictable and aggressive creatures, their governments often have periods of upheaval and even when stable are known to break treaties, many of them are xenophobic and violent towards outsiders even of their own kind, and it's not uncommon for individuals who are insane even by the confusing standards of their species to gain power.

So, does the human government spare them the baby-killing cockroaches and gamble with the very survival of the human race? What if there are many human governments with the technology to launch such warheads - do all of them spare the cockroaches? Does future Bush? Future Putin? Future Bashar al-Assad? Future Kim-Jong-Un? Future Hitler? All it takes is one of them to decide to attack.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 13, 2015, 05:45:38 pm
Because you know so much about alien psychology that you can predict how they estimate Knightian uncertainty estimates of other races?  Why dont you apply to perform psychology at three k iterations to the bond market and become a billionaire?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on August 13, 2015, 06:28:51 pm
It's natural selection; if there's a technology capable of destroying civilizations, then presumably the civilizations willing to use have already wiped out all the ones who aren't.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Nick K on August 13, 2015, 06:32:28 pm
Because you know so much about alien psychology that you can predict how they estimate Knightian uncertainty estimates of other races?  Why dont you apply to perform psychology at three k iterations to the bond market and become a billionaire?

I don't follow. My whole point was that we don't understand how aliens might think, and so it's dangerous to assume that they'll be benevolent.

It might be that humans are unusually aggressive and most aliens are in fact peaceful and friendly. It might be that humans are unusually benevolent and most aliens wouldn't understand concepts like mercy or altruism that we take for granted. It could be anything in between. We don't really know, and that makes it a risky gamble to blindly signal who and where we are without any knowledge of who or what could receive the message.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on August 13, 2015, 07:28:17 pm
Quote
"The most powerful laser ever is 150000J

I know this was said some time ago but really?

https://lasers.llnl.gov/about/what-is-nif

1,850,000Joules, at more that 500,000,000,000,000W

As I said, casual google.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 13, 2015, 08:22:59 pm
I don't follow. My whole point was that we don't understand how aliens might think, and so it's dangerous to assume that they'll be benevolent.

And it's exactly as dangerous to assume they are malicious.  Maybe they have an immortality serum for all you know.  You are using Knightian uncertainty as evidence when it's the exact opposite of evidence.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on August 13, 2015, 08:26:34 pm
It's natural selection; if there's a technology capable of destroying civilizations, then presumably the civilizations willing to use have already wiped out all the ones who aren't.
Alternately, the ones who used it indiscriminately were already wiped out by those who didn't trust the sort of civilization that wipes out anything in their vicinity indiscriminately.  The Killing Star is an interesting story, but one of the key issues in its logical analysis is that it assumes a two-party problem: you have only two sets of aliens, each with a gun at the other's head (or whichever housing for the cognitive organ of choice).  Now, contrast this with the following: you have three sets of aliens, termed A, B, and Doom, none of which know each other, none of whom have FTL or other soft-SF techs, but all of whom have telescopes powerful enough for regular wide-sky exoplanet -searches for alien life (say, Kepler+SETI in another century or three) and the ability to accelerate projectiles to relativistic velocities.  Doom meets A but not B, and immediately pulls the trigger (we'll assume an effectively 100% kill rate, which is another major issue with the Killing Star's assumptions).  B watches one of their neighbor's orbiting worlds get a bit brighter briefly, investigates, and finds craters and the ruins of a civilization in whatever outposts were too small to exterminate out of hand, and what little they piece together indicates A had no idea what was coming.  By tracking back (assuming here that they didn't already spot the "muzzle flash" originally), they identify where the shot came from.  Suddenly, Doom is at a disadvantage - they have an enemy with a strongly vested interest in attacking them (out of self-defense, if nothing else) that they don't even know about.  This enemy knows exactly where they are, and they don't even know that it exists.  The other issues are the light-speed barrier to the propagation of information.  If your target is in Proxima Centauri, your targeting information is four years old by the time you load it into your weapon, and eight years old by the time your shot actually arrives.  That's all and good if your target is limited to a single solar system (EDIT: Planet, sorry. If they're scattered throughout a solar system, it's already too late) with very limited space travel, but what happens if it's already a multiplanetary polity?  What if your target is not literally the next star system over?  If you plant your weapon somewhere outside your home system to avoid it being tracked back to you, you've extended your command loop even further, worsening the information gap. 

In other words, the primary defense is dispersion and secrecy, not a preemptive strike.  You do not want aliens to know where your homeworld is, as this is likely to be the most-developed and most-populous world in any multiplanetary polity for the near future, by analogy the metropole of the historical colonial empire, and exploration in the name of first contact is likely to be done in part to encourage this - contact is to be established as far away from the metropole as possible, in places where an RKV won't necessarily wipe out the locus of your civilization and industry.  Finally, you do not want to embark on a policy of extermination unless you're absolutely positive that no one's in a position to return the favor, and you're absolutely certain you can wipe out the targets in one go, because if you give them a motivation that strong, they can and will return the favor.  Even a single missed colony, given time, will be able to do the exact same thing to you that you just did to them.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 13, 2015, 09:35:05 pm
As a follow up, would you imagine that a genocidal or a non-genocidal race is going to do a better job spreading themselves out?

Or how about having a head start.  Imagine that the first spacefaring race in the galaxy is ethical.  By the time they go to space, war is completely foreign to them.  They have literally a 10 million year head start on the next spacefaring race.  They see this race around the time it's inventing fire and psychoanalyze it.  They decide that this race is dangerous.  As a result they never allow this race to advance in spacetravel too much.  But then a third race develops sentience and they are psychoanalyzed and found to be hippies so their advanced cousins give them a friendly hello to the neighborhood.

Hey, maybe we are the second race and FTL travel is actually really easy to do but aliens dont trust us so they have us under the FTL equivalent of radio static until our race matures into something less dangerous.

Maybe there is one other civilization out there and they are moral but their scientific development is radically different from ours but the two science systems together would be miraculous.  If we knew their information or they knew ours civilization would be revolutionized.  If we cautiously talked it would take tens of thousands of years to learn due to the lightspeed delay.  But if we just send them what we know they would reciprocate and we could revolutionize mankind.  The sooner we contact them the better then.

Maybe there are advanced aliens out there who would be altruistic towards us poor starving humans but dont even know we exist.

If we dont know between any of the possibilities, being "cautious" might be the exact worst thing to do.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on August 13, 2015, 11:13:44 pm
What if all the life in the universe is different enough that we can't reason with them?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on August 13, 2015, 11:18:44 pm
What if we are the only sentient life? I don't care how unlikely it is but just think about it what if we truely are the only sentient life that will ever travel the stars and see and learn and live the wonders of this massive universe
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on August 13, 2015, 11:27:43 pm
If you consider humans boring.
It's not like any interesting things happen on earth, right? :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Frumple on August 13, 2015, 11:34:08 pm
What if we are the only sentient life?
If there's none out there, we'll just have to make some on our own, simple as that. Rate that technology's going, by the time we're comfortably colonizing other planets, uplifting non-sophonts or custom building intelligent species from the ground up shouldn't really be that big of an issue, on the technical side of things.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on August 13, 2015, 11:39:00 pm
In fact, it would be quite hard for us to avoid becoming multiple species in the long run.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on August 13, 2015, 11:46:03 pm
What if we are the only sentient life? I don't care how unlikely it is but just think about it what if we truely are the only sentient life that will ever travel the stars and see and learn and live the wonders of this massive universe

Such an occurrence implies that human beings are, for whatever reason, special quite beyond any reasonable probability. Intelligence and sentience emerged from naturally-occurring phenomenon on earth... which is to say that, so far as all our evidence shows, they ARE naturally occurring phenomenon.

If we could somehow prove that we are literally the only sentient life in existence, that fact itself would more than anything else point to the existence of some kind of force that favors human beings on a galactic level. But that is a big assumption that relies on an even larger one.

It's much more reasonable to assume that our limited examinations of space have failed to see other sentience simply because we have only the crudest tools with which to search.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 14, 2015, 12:04:20 am
As a follow up, would you imagine that a genocidal or a non-genocidal race is going to do a better job spreading themselves out?
I've been working on the mechanics of a game (off and on, for a while now) which can be considered to have a rock-paper-scissors component to it.

Warlike empires trounce verdant federations through war and sheer attrition, but (whilst focussing on being aggressive to their visible enemies) are vulnerable to surreptitious enclaves infiltrating territories without their knowledge.
The federations outcompete the enclaves through blatant expansionism, but (without shifting 'policy') are no match for a hostile attack.
The enclaves easily inveigle their way into disputed territories, but (until and unless they raising their profile and thus break cover) cannot hope to out-produce and out reproduce the federations.

(Noting that "empire", "federation" and "enclave" are just some temporary titles I'm using for this limited example, it's not a strict tripartite system, but could be boiled down to it by removing some nuances...)

Of course, this is (a very small subset of) gameplay, still far from being perfected, that is meant to create a balanced experience between playing styles.  It is not a predictor of the Real Life™ situation that we would expect to see.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on August 14, 2015, 12:21:05 am
+1 on the "If we truly are alone in the universe, we should make our own company" answer.

In fact, we should make our own company regardless. It would better prepare us for alien modalities of thought, since uplifted organisms would have very different baseline evolutionary habits from us, and while they would be based off humans for their sapience, would still be prone to rather alien modalities of thought from us.  (Not as alien as say, the hypothetical sentient amoeba from kepler 72b (made up)-- but still alien to US, and thus something to help bridge the gap and prepare us for when we may eventually meet such creature.)

However, bioethicists seem to feel that creating sentience just to create sentience is somehow immoral, and not something to do. I sometimes wonder how they reconcile their circular logic on the matter, and how they reconcile the notion of having children. (The circular logic goes like this: Creating non-human sentience, or human-animal hybrids that are sentient creates a sentient being that would not fit in with human society, and thus be ostracised-- Thus, immoral. However, when you actually think about it-- if enough of them are created, they have their own society and they dont need human society at all-- so we are basically denying them existence for our own protection, which is immoral. But creating enough of them to be their own cultural group requires first creating just a few, which means immoral point 1. Spin spin spin, rinse and repeat.  Further, similar arguments were created during segregation about willfully having a mixed race child, which would not fit in with either "pure" racial cultural circle. Except that that was bullshit, as history has shown. In short, I question the actual ethics of these bioethicists.)

Now, arguments against the possible creation of new zoonotic pathogens that suddenly are now able to also infect humans, because somebody wanted a half-dolphin baby that swims in the ocean-- Those are legitimate concerns. (Endemic procine retrovirus was found to mutate very quickly in swine-human hybrid stemcell cultures, such that it could then infect pure human tissue. Something it normally cannot do.  Uplifted animal people would present a massive contagion hazard to human civilization. THAT is a legitimate ethical problem. The "Wont fit in" one is bullshit circular reasoning.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on August 14, 2015, 09:07:09 am
I remember some history it was some kind of fanfiction or amateur writing where planet Earth was being watched by some aliens and they witnesses of both world wars and some other atrocities and simply decided "fuck we dont want them infecting our galaxy, release the kraken" and sent a killing star our way. However centuries passed since aiming and the info lag played their worst and as the proyectile grew closer they saw how we evolved and left the warlike nature. They felt stupid for being overjudgmental (is that even a word?) And prayed for us to survive. We did, and quickly went back to full genocidal mode but instead of against each other it was against the aliens. The second part was about the human invasion and how many of the aliens made some kind of  ritual suicidal cult over their guilty and whatnot...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sebastian2203 on August 15, 2015, 03:35:55 am
So I just watch some inferior-low-budget local-TV documentary with Steve Hawking.
It starts off with "Time Travel is possible".
Rest of it is just me constantly yelling in my mind the 20 reasons why is time travel to PAST impossible.
Then in the last minute he admits it is impossible, and only possibility is travel to future.
Why couldn´t he say it at the beginning?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on August 15, 2015, 05:02:34 am
I remember some history it was some kind of fanfiction or amateur writing where planet Earth was being watched by some aliens and they witnesses of both world wars and some other atrocities and simply decided "fuck we dont want them infecting our galaxy, release the kraken" and sent a killing star our way. However centuries passed since aiming and the info lag played their worst and as the proyectile grew closer they saw how we evolved and left the warlike nature. They felt stupid for being overjudgmental (is that even a word?) And prayed for us to survive. We did, and quickly went back to full genocidal mode but instead of against each other it was against the aliens. The second part was about the human invasion and how many of the aliens made some kind of  ritual suicidal cult over their guilty and whatnot...
One of the HFY stories when that was a phase.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 15, 2015, 05:04:40 am
So I just watch some inferior-low-budget local-TV documentary with Steve Hawking.
It starts off with "Time Travel is possible".
Rest of it is just me constantly yelling in my mind the 20 reasons why is time travel to PAST impossible.
Then in the last minute he admits it is impossible, and only possibility is travel to future.
Why couldn´t he say it at the beginning?
I believe it's called a 'hook and line'.  And it seems you were successfully played by it...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on August 15, 2015, 12:13:42 pm
I dunno. A combination of FTL and quantum teleportation (very large scale-- enough for a human body) could allow one to completely leave their lightcone of origin, and thus be able to intersect their past lightcone.

Amusingly, this would get around the "same particles" silliness that is a TV trope about time travel. (the whole "dont touch your past self!" bullshit.) The teleported version of yourself is really a quantum duplicate, where the original is destroyed, meaning it is made of different particles (From a causality point of view).

But then again, as the saying goes; Causality, FTL, Time travel: Pick two.


Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: kilakan on August 15, 2015, 12:20:02 pm
What if we are the only sentient life?
If there's none out there, we'll just have to make some on our own, simple as that. Rate that technology's going, by the time we're comfortably colonizing other planets, uplifting non-sophonts or custom building intelligent species from the ground up shouldn't really be that big of an issue, on the technical side of things.
I'd just like to mention that there's a lot of other species on earth that could be considered sentient or at the very least extremely close to it in terms of intelligence.  I mean sure, we all share the same planet but if life on one world can give multiple rise to very intelligent species I don't see why it wouldn't happen elsewhere.  That is unless we are the only _life_ in the universe in which case yeah to above mentioned seeding of creatures!

This is also kinda a ptw
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on August 15, 2015, 12:21:19 pm
Not that many, and only very recently. For most of life's history, life was pretty damn stupid.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sebastian2203 on August 15, 2015, 12:23:19 pm
I dunno. A combination of FTL and quantum teleportation (very large scale-- enough for a human body) could allow one to completely leave their lightcone of origin, and thus be able to intersect their past lightcone.

Amusingly, this would get around the "same particles" silliness that is a TV trope about time travel. (the whole "dont touch your past self!" bullshit.) The teleported version of yourself is really a quantum duplicate, where the original is destroyed, meaning it is made of different particles (From a causality point of view).

But then again, as the saying goes; Causality, FTL, Time travel: Pick two.

I am not sure what exactly light cone is, but I am assuming it basically your photon reflection.
Which is illusion, so it is not really time travel... but again the concept of time travel is little bit ... paradoxy
Also I am not very informed about this form of subject so sorry if I misunderstood your post.

EDIT: Ah thats how you meant it... still I do not believe in time travel anyway. It would mean we all live in millions infinite of different versions of ourselves in different time scale
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 15, 2015, 02:05:25 pm
I am not sure what exactly light cone is, but I am assuming it basically your photon reflection.
I don't (currently, it'll probably occur to me in a moment, and I'll kick myself) don't understand "photon reflection", but the light-cone is the (normal, without strange tricks) limit of everything that you can (or can have) interacted with, based upon 'hereandnow'.

I wrote a nice little tale (it included the phrase "you have a button-activated supernova in your pocket (or are you just pleased to see...  no, obviously not)" to explain this, but it got long and overly dramatic.

So I re-wrote it, and it got no better.  ("...so you'd need a correspondingly later 'there' to know that something had actually happened..." and "...assuming you didn't skew the stack of paper 'now's...")

I give up.  I'm leaving it to Wikipedia and the like, if you haven't already been there.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Graknorke on August 15, 2015, 07:08:12 pm
So I just watch some inferior-low-budget local-TV documentary with Steve Hawking.
I'm more annoyed by his weird anti-progress thing that pops up sometimes. The last ones I can remember were "don't develop AIs because they'll kill us all" and "don't look for aliens because they'll kill us all".
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Eagleon on August 15, 2015, 07:45:13 pm
+1 on the "If we truly are alone in the universe, we should make our own company" answer.

In fact, we should make our own company regardless. It would better prepare us for alien modalities of thought, since uplifted organisms would have very different baseline evolutionary habits from us, and while they would be based off humans for their sapience, would still be prone to rather alien modalities of thought from us.  (Not as alien as say, the hypothetical sentient amoeba from kepler 72b (made up)-- but still alien to US, and thus something to help bridge the gap and prepare us for when we may eventually meet such creature.)
Better make them robotic just to cover all our bases (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7tScAyNaRdQ)
I'm more annoyed by his weird anti-progress thing that pops up sometimes. The last ones I can remember were "don't develop AIs because they'll kill us all" and "don't look for aliens because they'll kill us all".
Oh god, Hawking. And Musk for that matter. I can't believe they don't see what they're doing when they bring celebrity to bear on science they aren't even participants in.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: redwallzyl on September 10, 2015, 10:01:17 pm
more Pluto!
http://www.nasa.gov/feature/new-pluto-images-from-nasa-s-new-horizons-it-s-complicated
(http://www.nasa.gov/sites/default/files/styles/full_width/public/thumbnails/image/nh-spherical-mosaic-9-10-15.jpg?itok=w7ObqgE8)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Loud Whispers on September 10, 2015, 10:03:58 pm
Pluto is best planet
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 11, 2015, 12:53:09 am
Pluto is best planet
That's because it's a dwarf planet, not an elf planet...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: hops on September 11, 2015, 06:08:32 am
Pluto is best planet
That's because it's a dwarf planet, not an elf planet...
Unfortunate that it doesn't have active plate tectonics. Mars does, though, but at a more primitive level than Earth.

Therefore, Earth > Mars > Pluto.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 12, 2015, 03:01:09 pm
A particularly fine video-frame composite of the Sun and the ISS passing across it1 (http://apod.nasa.gov/apod/ap150912.html), here...

(A combination of good luck, good opportunity and the hardware to do something with it.)

1 Twice!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on September 12, 2015, 03:02:34 pm
I'm using something similar as my current desktop background.

Spoiler: This to be precise (click to show/hide)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sensei on September 13, 2015, 06:37:41 am
more Pluto!
http://www.nasa.gov/feature/new-pluto-images-from-nasa-s-new-horizons-it-s-complicated
[img]
I like that picture a lot. Is there a higher resolution version I can use as a wallpaper? Oddly all the ones I'm seeing on the raw image site (http://pluto.jhuapl.edu/soc/Pluto-Encounter/index.php) (currently receiving pictures of pluto's atmosphere halo, pretty neat) aren't actually that big. Was the picture from the top of the article you link composited from smaller ones?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: redwallzyl on September 13, 2015, 09:35:46 am
more Pluto!
http://www.nasa.gov/feature/new-pluto-images-from-nasa-s-new-horizons-it-s-complicated
[img]
I like that picture a lot. Is there a higher resolution version I can use as a wallpaper? Oddly all the ones I'm seeing on the raw image site (http://pluto.jhuapl.edu/soc/Pluto-Encounter/index.php) (currently receiving pictures of pluto's atmosphere halo, pretty neat) aren't actually that big. Was the picture from the top of the article you link composited from smaller ones?
its probably a mosaic they put together. i don't know where they store the super high res ones. only image gallery i can find it in is here: http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/newhorizons/images/index.html
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 13, 2015, 05:25:53 pm
its probably a mosaic they put together.
From the lower part of that image, which consists of not-as-sharp detail, I'd say that's right.  Formed of whatever highest-res monochrome images they have (from various distances and angles, stretched and skewed to match the eventual viewing angle) and hue-washed with the lower-res colour photography.

(In the later images on that page they've left dark spaces where they don't have tiling information, instead.)

You might well find higher-res images of a subset (in fact, you do, already, that page just brought my (slow) internet to a grinding halt while revisiting it to check what I'd noted the first time round), or they might be able to improve the image over the next few months as more and more of the stored data is trickled back to Earth for analysis and the-making-of-prettier-pictures as all the information gets added back in.  But the smudges will probably end up being more obvious.

Still, it's pure (dwarf-)planetary pr0n!  I covered my walls with Mandelbrot Set posters when I was at university, but these days I'd probably consider that too clichéd (moreso than it probably already was, back then) and instead snap up this kind of thing.  (I've had a deep-field starscape poster above my bed right now, but it has had to compete with a lot of Escher and Discworld-themed prints, decoration-wise, for more than a decade, now, so I'd hardly say its a current trend.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: redwallzyl on September 15, 2015, 04:42:45 pm
http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2015/09/15/440521318/amazons-bezos-announces-plan-to-build-launch-rockets-from-florida

so amazon is now going to launch space ships i guess. who would have expected that?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on September 15, 2015, 05:19:33 pm
suborbital delivery when
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: redwallzyl on September 15, 2015, 08:04:04 pm
(http://i60.tinypic.com/j5ld20.png)
exclusive first delivery test picture!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: hops on September 15, 2015, 09:09:18 pm
0/10 package turned into obsidian
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on September 16, 2015, 09:09:16 am
(Early version)
I ordered a case of wine glasses. What I received (managed to salvage from the crater) was a small pool of molten glass.

(Some refinement later...)
I ordered a case of wine glasses. What I received was a case of glass shards.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on September 16, 2015, 11:52:40 am
If you order Warhammer 40.000 miniatures, it would be all worthy.
(https://lh4.googleusercontent.com/_-HZLorI1B0w/Tb3Xgp9cTiI/AAAAAAAANxE/COoNIFy_UyM/s288/GW%20Space%20marine%20drop%20pod%20box%20art.jpg)

Until you get tired of playing with burnt plastic slag.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on September 16, 2015, 12:19:00 pm
We sent whiskey into space. (http://www.eater.com/2015/9/13/9319773/ardbeg-whisky-nano-rocks-international-space-station) It tastes different than Terran whiskey.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 16, 2015, 03:33:52 pm
(Some refinement later...)
I ordered a case of wine glasses. What I received was a case of glass shards.

We sent whiskey into space. (http://www.eater.com/2015/9/13/9319773/ardbeg-whisky-nano-rocks-international-space-station) It tastes different than Terran whiskey.
Spoiler: Aldebaran whiskey? (click to show/hide)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on September 16, 2015, 05:02:17 pm
So I checked out the site for Planetary Resources (the asteroid-mining startup). They've actually gotten their own prospecting telescope into orbit, looking for near-earth objects that might be worth checking out. They're deploying another one twice the size in about 10 weeks.


The more I look, the more I think these people would be fantastic to work with.
They named their prospecting sat-probe after the company in Star Wars that manufactured Imperial probe droids.
They have a full-sized Cave Johnson portrait in their lobby.
And then they have this:
Spoiler (click to show/hide)

These are geeks after my own heart. If I can't work there, maybe my daughter can someday (she's gung-ho about being an aerospace engineer right now).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on September 16, 2015, 05:16:49 pm
I'm with ya, I've got a fairly decent contact in Space X that I might look into if I don't feel like doing the rational thing and being a drone my whole life.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on September 16, 2015, 05:20:19 pm
That'd be a great recruiting slogan:

"Don't be a drone. Make them instead."
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bumber on September 16, 2015, 07:17:18 pm
(Early version)
I ordered a case of wine glasses. What I received (managed to salvage from the crater) was a small pool of molten glass.

(Some refinement later...)
I ordered a case of wine glasses. What I received was a case of glass shards.
(Even later...)
The wine case is intact. My roof is not.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bumber on September 16, 2015, 07:48:56 pm
*fifty years down the line* 'The wine arrived. Tasted great, no damage to the bottles. Cat was killed by the parcel for the fourth time this week. In all, 8/10'
Guys, why don't we just engineer the cat to produce wine?

Urgh. He keeps spraying wine all over the drapes.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 27, 2015, 07:01:18 pm
Surprised nobody wanted to comment about the eclipse tonight...  (Unless you all have been, but elsewhere.)

So just a Lunar one, hardly a rarity, but it's Space. ;)

Less than 20 minutes until the Earth's penumbra starts going over the Moon (not really much to see).   An hour and ten before the central 'totality' shadow starts across.  Now slightly less than two and a quarter hours until totality.  An hour and twelve minutes of totality then it starts unwinding.  (Figures correct at time of typing, several more minutes may be eaten up before actually posting.)

Best visible from Atlantic-seaboard nations and regions.  Those on the west coast of the US will find it happening perhaps inconveniently close to the horizon during dusk and heading over towards Eastern Europe you're instead going to find it competing with dawn.  Further adrift, round the planet... well, you're probably due a good Solar Eclipse before I get to see another one from anywhere conveniently close to home, so I've got no sympathies for you... ;)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: nogoodnames on September 27, 2015, 07:20:39 pm
Yeah it's pretty neat, apparently this hasn't happened for around 30 years.

I wish I could stay up to watch it, but I have to get up early tomorrow and I'm trying to get into some semblance of a healthy sleep schedule. It's too bad since I got a telescope for my birthday and this would be a good opportunity to try it out.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Putnam on September 27, 2015, 09:02:52 pm
So just a Lunar one, hardly a rarity, but it's Space. ;)

to be fair statistically i'm not sure if there are any other events within about 10,000 light years

the moon/sun angular diameter coincidence going on right now is pretty friggin special believe it or not
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 27, 2015, 09:10:35 pm
So just a Lunar one, hardly a rarity, but it's Space. ;)

to be fair statistically i'm not sure if there are any other events within about 10,000 light years

the moon/sun angular diameter coincidence going on right now is pretty friggin special believe it or not
That applies to Solar Eclipses (how many (few) thousand years is it supposed to be before they all become Annular?) but Earth's shadow is larger than the moon (as is Jupiter's shadow far bigger than its satellites, and probably Mars with Phobos/Deimos) so it's not so 'finely tuned' this way round.

Just a shard of direct light left, as I type.  And even with that glaring at me, the combined sunrises (and/or sunsets) of the Earth are already colouring the rest a dark red.  In a couple of minutes it could well be a good blood-red moon...  If the clouds stay away from my locale.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on September 27, 2015, 10:34:43 pm
Just came back from outside to catch a couple hours of sack time before the day. It was beautiful, the moon suspended as a drop of dried blood in heaven...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheDarkStar on September 27, 2015, 10:39:08 pm
I wish I could have seen it. It's been cloudy all day. ::)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on September 27, 2015, 10:40:17 pm
It's cloudy where I'm at too. :'(
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 27, 2015, 10:55:06 pm
A bit hazy here, but could have been worse.

However, Ladies and Gentlemen (and Others Of Whom I Have So Far Not Sufficiently Described Their Personal Gender Identification To Their Full Satisfaction): An announcement!

I have played loud music;
I have banged numerous drums and drumlike objects;
I have cried and wailed to the gods;
I have sacrificed several slices of Battenburg cake to the cause (in lieu of the various traditional examples of livestock, that I couldn't get hold of at such short notice, but I'm sure it amounts to the same)
...and now, I am very pleased to announce, I have frightened away the giant space-clam that was intent on devouring our moon, and it is in the process of (slowly, but surely) regurgitating our celestial companion.

But I do not do this to strive for your adulation.  Just the usual gold, jewels and selection of scantily clad courtesans, thank you.

No rush, of course.  Before the end of the week will do.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Putnam on September 27, 2015, 10:59:15 pm
hooray your actions coincided with something else and thus must be the cause

my worship is yours

EDIT: sorry i just realized how difficult the tone of my voice is to ascertain here

i'm not elaborating though
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sinistar on September 28, 2015, 02:18:36 am
NASA TO CONFIRM HALF-LIFE 3 (http://www.space.com/17933-nasa-television-webcasts-live-space-tv.html)

HYPE

edt:
(http://i.imgur.com/UUSFVP6.jpg)
Yep, it's official. Pretty cool.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: nogoodnames on September 28, 2015, 11:48:21 am
So with possible microorganism fossils in martian meteorites, unexplained methane production, and now confirmed liquid water, life on Mars is looking more and more likely. We probably won't be able to say definitively until either a sample return or a manned mission, but this is pretty exciting news.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on September 28, 2015, 01:06:46 pm
I wish I could have seen the Eclipse, but it was after 2am and I had to get up for Uni.

Martian water! Whoo! (http://www.nasa.gov/press-release/nasa-confirms-evidence-that-liquid-water-flows-on-today-s-mars) I did a little jig in my chair when I saw that.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on September 28, 2015, 01:11:28 pm
Sounds like one of the rovers needs to scoot its' adorable droid butt over to one of these dark streaks and start sampling.

That, or build a new rover geared around looking for water and land it in one of these regions.

Spoiler: Also... (click to show/hide)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on September 28, 2015, 01:34:15 pm
Sounds like one of the rovers needs to scoot its' adorable droid butt over to one of these dark streaks and start sampling.
I hear they're not allowed to do that, because they weren't sufficiently sterilised and might bring contaminants with them.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on September 28, 2015, 01:51:17 pm
Sounds like one of the rovers needs to scoot its' adorable droid butt over to one of these dark streaks and start sampling.
I hear they're not allowed to do that, because they weren't sufficiently sterilised and might bring contaminants with them.
What, space herpes? I thought the whole idea was that we were sterilizing the hell out of anything we sent, just to avoid killing martians with common-grade soil bacteria and the like? Plus that whole "being exposed to intense unfiltered UV radiation on a daily basis" thing.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on September 28, 2015, 01:55:31 pm
Oh, that happens, but its not enough to be sure to get all of them.

Hardy little buggers.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Icefire2314 on September 28, 2015, 01:59:36 pm
So like, did space herpes colonize Mars before we will? :?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on September 28, 2015, 02:19:58 pm
Sounds like one of the rovers needs to scoot its' adorable droid butt over to one of these dark streaks and start sampling.
I hear they're not allowed to do that, because they weren't sufficiently sterilised and might bring contaminants with them.
What, space herpes? I thought the whole idea was that we were sterilizing the hell out of anything we sent, just to avoid killing martians with common-grade soil bacteria and the like? Plus that whole "being exposed to intense unfiltered UV radiation on a daily basis" thing.

http://www.nature.com/news/microbial-stowaways-to-mars-identified-1.15249
Quote
Although spacecraft go through multiple cleaning steps to ensure that they bear no biological contaminants, previous reports suggest that Curiosity project developers did not follow these planetary protection protocols to the letter. The regulations are a safeguard; whether microbes can tolerate conditions on the surface of Mars is still unknown.

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/09/29/science/space/mars-life-liquid-water.html?_r=0
Quote
Even though R.S.L.s appear to be some of the most intriguing features on Mars, NASA has no plans to get a close-up look anytime soon.

R.S.L.s are treated as special regions that NASA’s current robotic explorers are barred from because the rovers were not thoroughly sterilized, and NASA worries that they might be carrying microbial hitchhikers from Earth that could contaminate Mars.

Of the spacecraft NASA has sent to Mars, only the two Viking landers in 1976 were baked to temperatures hot enough to kill Earth microbes. NASA’s next Mars rover, scheduled to launch in 2020, will be no cleaner. Sterilizing spacecraft, which requires electronics and systems that can withstand the heat of baking, adds to the cost and complicates the design.

Tl;dr;
The pre-launch sterilisation process of the currently active robotic explorers (even if done by the book) is not invasive enough to kill all bacteria, and it is unknown whether space travel would kill all of those that remained. And if you're not certain they're all dead, you have to assume they're not.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on September 28, 2015, 02:23:47 pm
Only logical answer is to build the probe in vacuum.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on September 28, 2015, 03:00:28 pm
If vacuum was enough to ensure they all died it wouldn't be an issue.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on September 28, 2015, 03:41:52 pm
Still not enough. You've heard of Deinococcus radiodurans right?

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on September 28, 2015, 03:54:16 pm
Still not enough. You've heard of Deinococcus radiodurans right?
I first read that as Deinonychus radiodurans. Which would be infinitely more awesome. And dangerous.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on September 28, 2015, 03:55:13 pm
Vacuum filled with radon, radium, uranium, plutonium... everything radioactive!
B-but if it's filled, is it really vacuum?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on September 28, 2015, 03:57:45 pm
That's why I propose that instead of us halting for decades (even centuries if things keep this phase) our space program, otherworldly colonizations efforts, which are vital to our continued existence as species, to argue about the well being of some microbes that might or might not exist. We simply fucking go there with as many precautions as possible without being this ridiculous and check if they are over there as a side quest of the main fucking purpose of this, spreading ourselves to other planets and eventually the stars.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on September 28, 2015, 04:09:04 pm
That's why I propose that instead of us halting for decades (even centuries if things keep this phase) our space program, otherworldly colonizations efforts, which are vital to our continued existence as species, to argue about the well being of some microbes that might or might not exist. We simply fucking go there with as many precautions as possible without being this ridiculous and check if they are over there as a side quest of the main fucking purpose of this, spreading ourselves to other planets and eventually the stars.
The thing is, finding living organisms (even bacteria or viruses) on another celestial body would be beyond huge because of the ramifications. So you really, really, really want to be sure it's a legit find and not something that stowed away.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on September 28, 2015, 04:11:29 pm
Although the chance that the Earth and Mars share the same origin of life are already quite high, what with our habit to throw rocks at each others for billions of years.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 28, 2015, 04:31:50 pm
...but if we send people to find the things, rather than just (at least theoretically) sterile robots, we might end up discovering Mars is a prime location to find something like e. coli areosalutor (or possibly ...areopervasor), suspiciously close to the manned station's 'privy' module.

(FAKEEDITd, "...and" to "...but" and thus also...)

As long as we don't end up masking any unrelated 'biologies', or falsely resetting the Most Recent Common Ancestor point in the timeline.  Either (genuine) result would be very interesting to learn about, if true (and also quite interesting if we could be sure that there was nothing there at all, before we got our mucky mitts on the place, rather than getting large error bars on the 'maybe we put it there, maybe we didn't...' confusion.

But doing the equivalent of washing up on an 'unexplored' pacific island to find that the natives are all blond-haired, blue-eyed descendents of a European shipwreck1 a century before, having totally wiped out any of the original polynesian culture... 



As to the 'need' for making off-world colonies.  I support the "not all eggs in one basket" purpose to them.  Obviously requiring that the colony(/ies) be self-supporting, and then obviously risking political separatism as per just about every decent space-opera (and quite a few not decent ones), but thus we ensure that the unspotted Big One asteroid (or a mad-man with a hand on a quite sinister red-hued button) doesn't send us back to the stone-age (or irrecoverably beyond).


1 That included some women, obviously.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on October 06, 2015, 10:54:39 am
For those who like stargazing, or those who would like to finally see and easily identify most of the observable planets, there's a nice alignment coming, starting from about now and lasting for about a month.

Venus, Mars and Jupiter are nearly on the same line of sight as seen from Earth, so their separation on the sky is very small - they're visible roughly in the same place in the sky.

One needs to look towards the Eastern sky, low over the horizon, about an hour before sunrise - 5-6 A.M. Just below the constellation of Leo.
There'll be four bright objects arranged in a line there, the brightest one being Venus, the next-brightest being Jupiter, and the two remaining ones: Mars and the star Regulus. They're both of similar brightness, but Mars can be distinguished from the star by its visibly reddish hue.

In the next three or so days, a crescent Moon will also pass through by the whole shebang, returning once again next month.

The closest apparent approach of the planets will be more or less half-way through this period, with Mars and Jupiter passing extremely close to each other - less than the Moon's face width - on 17th-18th of October, Venus and Jupiter on the 26th, and Mars and Venus on November the 3rd.
That's three conjunctions in three weeks' span, which is cool and very rare.

All three planets will be the most bunched-up together on 23rd and 29th of October.
Should you find yourself up this early in the coming weeks, you might want to take a look to the sky.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on October 06, 2015, 11:47:55 am
Care to give a location for those predictions? That sounds really cool, but if you are in a different time zone/location then I obviously might need to look at a different time or slightly different place.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on October 06, 2015, 12:34:47 pm
No, your location doesn't matter much. You'll just see roughly the same thing a few hours later/earlier than your friends in other parts of the world (i.e. it's always an hour or two before the sunrise).

Depending on your latitude you might get better/worse visibility due to the angle the line of planets makes with the horizon.


Anyhow, here's a useful tool for finding out where and what to look for:
http://neave.com/planetarium/
Set your location, set the time to the morning hours, and look towards the Eastern sky. Then advance time daily for about a month.


edit: the location (latitude) matters insofar as to what time it is when it's 'an hour or two before sunrise'.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on October 06, 2015, 12:43:23 pm
Fair enough, I probably should have realized that on a bit more thought. :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: That Wolf on October 10, 2015, 03:07:25 am
Why havnt we gone back to the moon?  ???
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MonkeyHead on October 10, 2015, 03:13:57 am
Why havnt we gone back to the moon?  ???

As there is no real pressure (either scientific or political) to do so. What would be the point?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: That Wolf on October 10, 2015, 03:19:48 am
Helium 3
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on October 10, 2015, 04:48:14 am
Helium 3
Alright. What would you use it for?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on October 10, 2015, 05:46:52 am
Helium 3
Alright. What would you use it for?
:-\  Power generation... maybe? (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Helium-3#Power_generation)
Title: Re: Space Thread: Man on the moon
Post by: That Wolf on October 10, 2015, 06:35:32 am
Its like a battery that orbits us.
We stare at it in amazement for most of history. We land on it grab a few rocks, talk about steps, play golf and then "fuck the moon we need funding for space stations and such"
We dont even have a rover on it? At least I dont think we do, if so I havnt seen any surface videos or pics.
Im not saying we should live on it, but why did our fascination go?
Sure we live in a world that prefers to use primordial slime and such so it being used as a power source is farfettched, at least send up some new HD cameras and a geologist.
If sending human life is too risky send a robot, money isnt an issue as they would say it is
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on October 10, 2015, 06:48:34 am
Do you guys realise we don't have the technology to use He-3 to generate energy?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: SirQuiamus on October 10, 2015, 07:12:10 am
But we'll have that soon enough, and in the meantime I've got some highly profitable helium-3 futures to sell, if you're interested...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on October 10, 2015, 07:19:25 am
We dont even have a rover on it? At least I dont think we do, if so I havnt seen any surface videos or pics.
The Soviet Lunokhod program sent a couple back in the 60-70s.
Here's some pictures:
http://mentallandscape.com/C_CatalogMoon.htm
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: That Wolf on October 10, 2015, 07:34:19 am
I meant with present tech cameras but intrestingly in the photos theres a series of the same surface and a part is blocked out, it just looks like a crater darker than the others and its obstructed by post shooting editing (a black circle)
Could be a shadow but why block it
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Arx on October 10, 2015, 07:37:38 am
China put this doohickey (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yutu_%28rover%29) on the moon last year. Didn't work out perfectly (and it was the first in ages), but it's not like we've forgotten the moon exists or something. It's just that Mars is more appealing at the moment, and less understood.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Graknorke on October 10, 2015, 08:07:55 am
I meant with present tech cameras but intrestingly in the photos theres a series of the same surface and a part is blocked out, it just looks like a crater darker than the others and its obstructed by post shooting editing (a black circle)
Could be a shadow but why block it
You mean the markings on the Zond-8 photos? Those are uniform in all of the pictures, date marks or something.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on October 10, 2015, 11:02:44 am
Oh, and for those who missed it last week, NASA put over 10,000 Apollo mission photos up on Flickr:
https://www.flickr.com/photos/projectapolloarchive/
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: redwallzyl on October 10, 2015, 12:12:08 pm
Oh, and for those who missed it last week, NASA put over 10,000 Apollo mission photos up on Flickr:
https://www.flickr.com/photos/projectapolloarchive/
awesome!
(http://i62.tinypic.com/25gf43c.jpg)
brace for the tin foil brigade.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: SirQuiamus on October 10, 2015, 12:24:12 pm
...and it's all bogus, as usual. I mean, look at it! The cameraman is not reflected on the visor, there's a serial number on the styrofoam "rock," and if you zoom close enough you can even see the pixels! When will they stop bamboozling people and just 'fess up?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on October 10, 2015, 12:26:22 pm
...and it's all bogus, as usual. I mean, look at it! The cameraman is not reflected on the visor, there's a serial number on the styrofoam "rock," and if you zoom close enough you can even see the pixels! When will they stop bamboozling people and just 'fess up?
WHAT!? You can see PIXELS in a PICTURE!? I finally see now!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: SirQuiamus on October 10, 2015, 12:28:08 pm
Great scientists can see pixels everywhere.

EDIT:
(https://farm6.staticflickr.com/5663/22068775155_c81197694a_k.jpg)
Haha, that's the fakest-looking "rock" I've ever seen! They weren't even trying.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: redwallzyl on October 10, 2015, 12:30:40 pm
rocket fuel cant melt moon beams! :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Willfor on October 10, 2015, 01:35:04 pm
I realize no one is being serious right now, but some of you might be and should watch this video (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sGXTF6bs1IU). You should also watch it if you're not being serious. It's pretty great.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: That Wolf on October 10, 2015, 07:48:50 pm
If it was a hoax the russians were in on it, they fully accepted americas landing.
Did russia ever land on the moon? I dont think they did?
So what did we find on the moon then?
"Sir there babys are huge"
What if the first landing was real and the subsequent trips hoaxes?

Have any of you seen the dark knight? (Not the film)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on October 10, 2015, 08:22:52 pm
Wow, that ending.

That was actually a good watch, and very conclusive. Attacked it from a different angle than most people are used to.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: hops on October 11, 2015, 05:06:36 am
I want to try something like coloring the photos.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on October 11, 2015, 06:22:40 am
(http://k32.kn3.net/taringa/4/4/0/B/4/3/vagonettas/E8C.jpg)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Strife26 on October 11, 2015, 11:33:31 am
That was a pretty good video, I agree. In particular, the ending
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on October 13, 2015, 05:43:35 am
Apparently Russia wants to join in on the Star Wars.
Starting april this year, for a period of 5 months, a unidentified Russian satellite has positioned itself in between two US communications satellites, closing in to a distance of only 10km, which in space terms, is classified as "extremely close and potentially threatening to the proper functioning of the communications sattelites."

Apparently, this is the first time ever that a commercial satellite was visited by a Russian satellite.

Attempts made by American authorities, who had been alarmed about the situation by Intelsat, to contact Russian authorities about the matter, have only resulted in silence.

It is speculated that the sattelite's mission was either to intercept data transmissions, or to practice maneuvering to take down sattelites.
Over the past few months, more Russian sattelites have been observed to execute maneuvers that resemble combat training for anti-satellite operations.

Space flight expert at the Technical University of Delft (The Netherlands), Eelco Doornbos states that "the observed operations could imply that the Russians are practicing how to maneuver military satellites quickly and efficiently to new locations."
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on October 13, 2015, 05:53:22 am
I bet they hooked in some cables and are now stealing all your HBO.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on October 13, 2015, 06:56:51 am
PTW IIIINNNN SPPPPAAAAACCCCCEEEE!!!!!!!! ;P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on October 13, 2015, 03:23:09 pm
inb4 Kessler syndrome
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on October 13, 2015, 04:24:54 pm
I realize no one is being serious right now, but some of you might be and should watch this video (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sGXTF6bs1IU). You should also watch it if you're not being serious. It's pretty great.
Why did you link that? I'm now involved in three arguments on Youtube.
Why did you read youtube comments? Nothing good has ever sprung from that.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: That Wolf on October 13, 2015, 09:28:05 pm
Im not an intense tinfoiler but I... we all know the governments lie to the people they think they control, from affairs, murder and policies being slipped through.
So to say we cant go back to the moon because of budget is a lie, bacterial life exsits in the frozen continent and the moon has water cycles.
Bacterial cannot be killed at kelvin, all it needs to survive in space is a casing to protect from space rads and it can hibernate.

We have the tech to travel to it, Im positive people are willing to be adventurers and risk life for discovery.
So why dont we go back there! Mars is a suicidal goal until we use non liquid explosive fuels.
If I say it enough it will be adressed
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on October 13, 2015, 09:34:33 pm
...you just claimed that the moon has liquid water and bacterial life.
...Yeah.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: That Wolf on October 13, 2015, 09:39:43 pm
Way to read, haha
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on October 13, 2015, 10:03:06 pm
Way to read, haha
Are you being serious? If no, then use [sarcasm][/sarcasm] tags because it is hard to tell sarcasm on the internet.
If yes, then what proof do you have of bacterial life on the moon? (We already know that there is water, just search lunar water on google) But the water is in no way part of cycles. The pressure on the lunar surface is 0. Which means that water would evaporate into gas and be blown away by solar wind. As for life, life is probably one of the most complicated things in the universe, and moon is certainly not the prime place for life to form. Also, bacteria cannot just "hibernate" indefinitely because the laws of thermodynamics state that the cell would degrade and some elements required for repairs are impossible to find floating around in space.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: That Wolf on October 13, 2015, 10:50:39 pm
I never claimed bacterial life is on the moon.
Life isnt complex.
Nothing is
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on October 13, 2015, 10:54:37 pm
So to say we cant go back to the moon because of budget is a lie, bacterial life exsits in the frozen continent and the moon has water cycles.
The context around your statement of bacteria is the moon. It sounded like you thought there was a frozen continent filled with bacteria on the moon.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on October 13, 2015, 10:56:26 pm
If I say it enough it will be adressed

^ This is a weird belief unless you're a rampant narcissist. So if you keep blathering on then they'll do another moon mission? wtf man? Say it all you want, nobody will listen unless you're actually somebody known for something relevant.

Well we can go back to the moon to collect more moon rocks for analysis. Other than that it's a big waste of money. Even if we got the "collect resources from the moon" route, then we're better off waiting until we have better tech. Right now, a moon colony would be a net drain on resources even with extraction going on. Future tech will clearly be more efficient for the launch, less resources used on the moon and more efficient resource extraction.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: That Wolf on October 13, 2015, 11:05:36 pm
I should have cleared it up a little, vague I guess.
The frozen continent antartica.
There is a water cycle on the moon else we wouldnt have found any, Right? Even if its becoming gaseous and evaporating away it must have water to continue this 'cycle'

So they shouldnt do another moon mission?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on October 13, 2015, 11:06:36 pm
It'd be a complete waste of money and resources. You'd find some ice underground from billions of years ago. The money would be better spent studying Antarctica some more.

Actually the discussion isn't what they should be doing, but what programs you want them to abolish to make way for your useless moon landing? Another Apollo program would cost at least $100 billion.

Considering that about $150 billion has been spent on the International Space Station, it's clear that any sustained moon presence would cost vastly in excess of this, easily 4-5 times the cost of the ISS. So you'd be looking at anything up to $1 trillion dollars for a moon program and a moon base. And I wouldn't be at all surprised if this is just a ball-park guess and the true cost is much more.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on October 13, 2015, 11:13:20 pm
I should have cleared it up a little, vague I guess.
The frozen continent antartica.
There is a water cycle on the moon else we wouldnt have found any, Right? Even if its becoming gaseous and evaporating away it must have water to continue this 'cycle'

No. Any water on the moon is subterranean. We don't know the exact properties of it yet, but it does not come to the surface unless an impact opens the surface. And then the water evaporates and gets blown off of the moon. We accidentally found it when a prob landed harder than intended. (crashed)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 14, 2015, 05:18:41 am
Im not an intense tinfoiler but I... we all know the governments lie to the people they think they control, from affairs, murder and policies being slipped through.
So to say we cant go back to the moon because of budget is a lie, bacterial life exsits in the frozen continent and the moon has water cycles.
Bacterial cannot be killed at kelvin, all it needs to survive in space is a casing to protect from space rads and it can hibernate.

We have the tech to travel to it, Im positive people are willing to be adventurers and risk life for discovery.
So why dont we go back there! Mars is a suicidal goal until we use non liquid explosive fuels.
If I say it enough it will be adressed
Perhaps you should be an intense tinfoiler.  The pro-tinfoiler mind-wave broadcasts are getting through your existing headgear and making you believe strange things.
Governments lie withhold truths for the sake of their current administration aims, but the bigger the truth, and the more people needed to withhold the truth and it will leak.
Spoiler (click to show/hide)

For the budget, well, it's no longer the game of one-upmanship against The Big Enemy (now various Big Enemies are doing various things, but aside for Jade Rabbit having belatedly entered the contest for a third-place on the podium there's no part of the game that involves the Moon).  It now has to make full and commercial sense, under reasonable due diligence, not just being trumped by ideological fervour with an incidental side-effect in that (by one famous quote, both overcut and undercut by different analyses) every dollar spent on Apollo resulted in eight dollars of economic benefit.

Bacteria exists in Antarctica (I assume you're saying... FAKEEDIT: yes you are) because it exists on Earth.  Also, water exists in all three standard states (to a greater or lesser degree) in the Antarctic in a cycle, albeit a sluggish one.  On the Moon, so far we only know about it being overwhelmingly Solid-(sublimes)->Gas.  Which is not a cycle.  Certainly not of any use to life-as-we-know-it.  Any evidence to the contrary would be far beyond the Apollo program's tentative scrapings.  (Did they even get to see ice, at their non-polar latitudes, and limited penetration of the lunar regolith?  I don't think they did.)

"Bacterial cannot be killed at kelvin".  You mean "zero-degrees kelvin"?  Yes/no, depending on other conditions.  And of course it's not zero-degrees, anyway, remember; still far from optimal in other regards, though.  But they have to be there, in a viable form, to be killed (or not).  So far there's very little evidence that interplanetary microbes-on-a-meteorite life would satisfy viability upon landing on another body, and it's overwhelmingly agreed that environments other than the Moon are required for non-panspermic life generation.  Basic molecules might be generated in gas clouds, complex ones maybe in comets, full blown cells (or some other solution to the problem of encapsulating life-supporting sets of chemical processing plants in a coherent mass) need something a bit more Earthlike (to our current knowledge), which is why recent discoveries of flowing liquid water (reasonably current) and lakes (historic) are interesting.

I'd personally put Pluto (with its seeming active geology and tentative atmosphere - being indicative of subplutonian activity rather than of a viable surface environment, that is) at a higher chance of harbouring some homegrown life-like 'cells' than the Moon, albeit based upon casual and uneducated philosophising regarding New Horizon's survey data.

If 'life' is on the Moon, then a) We put it there; or, b) It got there from somewhere else.  In either case, it's likely in exteme hibernation/practically dead.  Mostly the latter.  And, in either case, sparse enough to be discounted as smeers of sub-trace organic molecules.

There's the tech, yes (but we'd need to build/rebuild some infrastructure) and my hope is that there are willing adventurers (there certainly seem to be, those who are signing up for the one-way Mars mission, albeit that some might only consider it just 'a bit of fun' that they'll never need to commit to, given how far off the possibility of it going will be).

To 'discover life', however you'd be a fool to send people, in the first instance!  They'd contaminate and invalidate whatever they went to look at.  We're not even entirely sure about the sterility of our robotic probes, currently (if/when we send something to observe the 'flowing water on Mars', it's going to have to be the most sterile thing we've ever produced.

And what's this with "non liquid explosive fuels"?  Solid boosters?  Not really suitable except for expendable (not turn-on-and-offable) thrust.  Or are you talking about gasses?  Which we tend to use already, albeit often cooled to liquid in a cryogenic manner.  Maybe you mean "non-(liquid explosive fuels)", i.e. the likes of an ion-drive.  Not ideal.  Too developmental, longer transit times (and thus supplies, for manned-missions) and currently not suitable for the high delta-V parts of the mission.

Manned missions have their own issues with 'suicide' (see the one-way Mission To Mars plan, mentioned above), without dwelling on the particularities of the propellant.

And if I say "give me a Ferrari" enough, maybe that'll be addressed.  It would be cheaper, and easier to do, too!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on October 14, 2015, 08:49:46 am
A few things...
I sense that, unless the microbiology found is radically different to anything on earth, people will keep claiming that is cross contamination of some sorts. That's it, I think that until we find multicellular (read animal and/or plants equivalents) people will keep debating about the existence of alien life.

As for a moon colony, the private sector has the ball now, or at least is getting there on the space technology. Thing is the expenses of getting materials to orbit is a great deal. For a moon base, even one employing local materials the initial payload (even if its all robotic, something which would be ideal) would be something of an order of magnitude like it has never seen before.

Lunar vacations sounds something really cool, for starters. However we are still on diapers and the civilian/commercial sector lacks the incentive to go to the moon, the same goes to the industrial/military/government sector. Of course finding bacterial life there would be amazing and might jumpstart some more exploration but as I say above even if we do find it there people will yank about how it's contamination or something else.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: redwallzyl on October 14, 2015, 03:20:12 pm
some cool Jupiter stuff.
http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2015/10/14/448632960/new-hubble-images-show-jupiters-great-red-spot-is-still-shrinking
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 14, 2015, 04:51:01 pm
some cool Jupiter stuff.
http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2015/10/14/448632960/new-hubble-images-show-jupiters-great-red-spot-is-still-shrinking
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
I blame the monoliths...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheDarkStar on October 14, 2015, 06:30:21 pm
some cool Jupiter stuff.
http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2015/10/14/448632960/new-hubble-images-show-jupiters-great-red-spot-is-still-shrinking
Spoiler (click to show/hide)

RIP Great Red Spot 1870-2015.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: monkey on October 14, 2015, 06:35:09 pm
A Dyson sphere ?
http://www.slate.com/blogs/bad_astronomy/2015/10/14/weird_star_strange_dips_in_brightness_are_a_bit_baffling.html

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: tryrar on October 15, 2015, 12:29:55 am
More likely a comet swarm, but it does fire up the imagination doesn't it?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 15, 2015, 02:38:28 am
A Dyson sphere ?
http://www.slate.com/blogs/bad_astronomy/2015/10/14/weird_star_strange_dips_in_brightness_are_a_bit_baffling.html
More monoliths!

Maybe eeeevil monoliths...  or, in that star system, the ascendant species failed some final test...

"My god, it's full of.... Aaaaaaarrrgggggh!!!!!"

(BTW, it's likely to be "RIP <1665-2015"...)

edit: typoed as "1915"...  Child of the 20th century, as I am... though still not that old.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Morrigi on October 15, 2015, 04:49:27 am
More likely a comet swarm, but it does fire up the imagination doesn't it?
It'd have to be one hell of a comet swarm. One does not simply block 22% of the light emitted by a star with comets, even periodically.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 15, 2015, 07:17:37 am
More likely a comet swarm, but it does fire up the imagination doesn't it?
It'd have to be one hell of a comet swarm. One does not simply block 22% of the light emitted by a star with comets, even periodically.
Could resonance from another large body (or set of already-resonant bodies, large in mass but obviously themselves small in cross-section) corral an asteroid belt/oort cloud into a relatively small (but larger than a planet) area/solid angle around the star, by nudging tidal forces?

If so, eventually I'd fully expect the large coralled group to coalesce into a single smaller body under its own gravitational influence, but there might well be a period of time whereby there's such a hypothetical half-diffuse cloud.

Alternately, the reverse.  We're observing a shattered, but previously large, planet (perhaps a recent super-Earth/super-Theia impact?), before its dispersing debris actually spread out to form a thinner but more consistent belt/cloud around its star.

(Top-of-the-head ideas.  If I had an envelope at hand, to calculate on the back of, I'd probably fairly quickly realise the mass/volume numbers just wouldn't add up.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MrWiggles on October 15, 2015, 07:27:34 am
The lack of infrared suggest there isn't sort of debris field, such as oort cloud being clumpy by its neighbor, or comets or a cataslysm event, like a planetary collision.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on October 15, 2015, 09:22:16 am
My first guess was an eclipsing binary, but that has been ruled out.

My next guess would be interstellar dust. But that would probably be picked up on IR cameras.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: tonnot98 on October 15, 2015, 10:33:58 am
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/forget-water-on-mars-astronomers-may-have-just-found-giant-alien-megastructures-orbiting-a-star-near-a6693886.html
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on October 15, 2015, 10:51:03 am
Ugh, no. We've looked at a huge number of stars, and we found one where debris happens to be passing by when we looked at it. There is no need to invoke aliens to explain this.

So let's take off the tinfoil hats and construct tinfoil full-body protective suits because we're talking about EM drives and microwave safety (https://www.reddit.com/r/EmDrive/comments/3eerc7/lets_talk_about_emdrive_safety_and_legality/).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on October 15, 2015, 01:06:30 pm
Meh, let's point a radio telescope array at it for a little bit and see what we get.
That should be a standard rule -- Find weird anomalies? Point a radio telescope at them.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 15, 2015, 04:10:58 pm
Meh, let's point a radio telescope array at it for a little bit and see what we get.
That should be a standard rule -- Find weird anomalies? Point a radio telescope at them.
That sounds damn near that there 'science' doohickey, you're a-chattering about there.  No good ever came of science, when the obvious answer to this discovery is to dance naked around some standing stones smoking something not-entirely-tobacco-like...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on October 15, 2015, 04:18:16 pm
Meh, let's point a radio telescope array at it for a little bit and see what we get.
That should be a standard rule -- Find weird anomalies? Point a radio telescope at them.
Yup.
They're trying to do that.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Morrigi on October 15, 2015, 05:18:23 pm
Ugh, no. We've looked at a huge number of stars, and we found one where debris happens to be passing by when we looked at it. There is no need to invoke aliens to explain this.

So let's take off the tinfoil hats and construct tinfoil full-body protective suits because we're talking about EM drives and microwave safety (https://www.reddit.com/r/EmDrive/comments/3eerc7/lets_talk_about_emdrive_safety_and_legality/).
The phenomenon regarding this star is unique, they've never seen anything like it. Aliens are as good an explanation as anything.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bouchart on October 15, 2015, 06:58:08 pm
The telescope lens is dirty.  Get some astro-Windex.

This will turn out to be something mundane, like those neutrinos that were thought to be faster than light because some plug was loose.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cthulhu on October 15, 2015, 08:04:29 pm
It's a little more interesting than that.

The occlusion is like 15-20% which is pretty insane.  If Jupiter moved between the sun and the star we're looking at, the aliens would only detect like a 1% occlusion at most.  Whatever it is it's huge.  It's almost certainly from a disintegrating comet, or asteroids.

But then again it could be a dyson sphere in construction, or a dyson cloud of asteroids with solar panels.

And that's way fucking sweeter.

So it's a dyson sphere.  Or ringworld.  Let's all uh.  Rishathra?  Let's do sex on the aliens.  Id on't remember the word.  Those were good books though.  When some MIT nerds told him the Ringworld was unstable and would move off its axis if a solar flare hit the right angle he wrote a whole new book about it.

EDIT:  It was rishathra.  I'm smart.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bouchart on October 15, 2015, 08:24:44 pm
Mr. Burns blocked out their sun.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on October 15, 2015, 08:27:46 pm
(http://cdn.meme.am/instances2/500x/2438614.jpg)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cthulhu on October 15, 2015, 08:34:51 pm
(http://cdn.meme.am/instances2/500x/2438614.jpg)

shiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiit
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on October 15, 2015, 08:43:31 pm
Nah, Dyson spheres would radiate in infrared.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Nick K on October 15, 2015, 09:00:22 pm
I think they've ruled out it being any kind of lumps of normal matter, such as rogue planets or brown dwarfs or whatever - even if they didn't radiate at all they'd do things like blocking light from sources behind it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on October 15, 2015, 09:03:42 pm
I think they've ruled out it being any kind of lumps of normal matter, such as rogue planets or brown dwarfs or whatever - even if they didn't radiate at all they'd do things like blocking light from sources behind it.
What?
It's normal matter distributed distinctly abnormally.  Not dark anything.

So far as I know.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cthulhu on October 15, 2015, 09:07:57 pm
I dunno, I'm not sure he meant it like that.  It's not a rogue planet or a dwarf star because those have very distinctive profiles and we would know if that was it. 

It's not something we've observed before which might be what he meant, rather than it being a novel form of matter like dark matter or something.  The most likely explanation I heard was a comet that got too close and is giving off a huge coma as it disintegrtes.  Which would probably be sufficient to cause what we're seeing.  But that's not as cool as a dyson structure.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on October 15, 2015, 09:12:16 pm
maybe there just happens to be a thick dust cloud between here and there. Not part of the same system, but just right smack in between us.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cthulhu on October 15, 2015, 09:16:48 pm
As I read it I think the issue is that the occlusion is periodic, it keeps happening on a schedule.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on October 15, 2015, 09:22:45 pm
As I read it I think the issue is that the occlusion is periodic, it keeps happening on a schedule.
The parallax is shifting the dust cloud in relation to the star maybe.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on October 15, 2015, 09:42:30 pm
As I read it I think the issue is that the occlusion is periodic, it keeps happening on a schedule.
As I read it, that was actually part of the problem -- it's NOT periodic. There's one relatively minor pattern of oscillation but then there's these huge dips in brightness that don't have a pattern at all (or the pattern is so complex that it appears chaotic).

I'm really fascinated now, having recently read The Three-Body Problem, where core to the plot is the idea that seemingly chaotic systems can actually be predicted, it just takes very fine-tuned algorithms and a sufficient understanding of the starting conditions.

Wonder if it could be a multi-stellar system with several companion stars in tight orbits around the primary, their intersecting gravitational fields creating wildly chaotic orbits but somehow in a long-period stable configuration? *shrug*
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: That Wolf on October 15, 2015, 09:55:46 pm
Its an alien power generator.
We are just shaved neoanderthals still dancing around for a god to tell us what to do and burying our dead.

The black night orbits our planit but nobody acknowedges it, astronauts see ufos then are told to shut up and it is ignored.
Gorillas used to be a myth.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Nick K on October 15, 2015, 09:56:08 pm
I think they've ruled out it being any kind of lumps of normal matter, such as rogue planets or brown dwarfs or whatever - even if they didn't radiate at all they'd do things like blocking light from sources behind it.
What?
It's normal matter distributed distinctly abnormally.  Not dark anything.

So far as I know.

Sorry, that wasn't clear, the "it" in my post referred to dark matter. I was answering the "what if dark matter is dyson spheres" post.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: That Wolf on October 16, 2015, 05:24:41 am
The burden of disbelief is on you
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on October 16, 2015, 08:33:55 am
Gorillas used to be a myth.

+1
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on October 16, 2015, 08:38:03 am
How far away is the thing anyway? Could we just hurl a probe at it and find out in a few hundred years?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on October 16, 2015, 08:42:38 am
I've been thinking while at University today. I've realized that building an actual Dyson Sphere wouldn't be particularly smart. Too many inherent problems with a sphere that big. A torus isn't much better.

Yes, you could build one. The reasons I can think of for doing so are:

There are several major problems of building a structure that large:

You'd think that a civilization capable of building such a structure would have thought of these and decided not to do it.

TL,DR: Don't build a Dyson Sphere (or Torus). Build a Dyson Swarm comprised of many, separate structures instead. Getting them into an inclined orbit is going to be a right pain, though.


How far away is the thing anyway? Could we just hurl a probe at it and find out in a few hundred years?
It would take several orders of magnitude longer than that...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 16, 2015, 09:46:48 am
[...]causing the structure to start to drift[..]
s/causing/allowing
(The way I've always thought about it is that you'd be setting it up as a nonstable (i.e. not  stable, not unstable) equilibrium.  Not strictly an energy minima, maxima or inflection, but an isolated plateau, as by the time you get to the edges of this flat part of the graph, you've got the shell touching the star (and vice-versa) and other problems to deal with.  Should be 'easy' enough to keep nudging it to get rid of perturbations, if you're already a shell/swarm-building civilisation.  Or would the pressure of the incident solar winds already be able to help you out?)

Quote
How far away is the thing anyway? Could we just hurl a probe at it and find out in a few hundred years?
It would take several orders of magnitude longer than that...
To put some hard figures into it, the star is 1,480 light-years away.  That's 1480 years it would take for the probe's signal to get back to us.  But first you need to get the probe there in the first place.

Something launched similar to Voyager 1 would (at its current speed) take over 26 million years to get there, if I've not slipped an order or two up or down, by accident.  (New Horizons would be ~34 million years, but then I suppose they wanted to dawdle as much as possible whilst passing Pluto.)

We could probably halve those times, if not more, but it's still millions of years (plus 1,480).  Meanwhile, better telescopes and/or extraordinary scientific breakthroughs in space-transit could make it a redundant mission.  (Or the demise of the human race, by its own hand or otherwise.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on October 16, 2015, 09:53:11 am
This is the Kepler data and follow-up analysis paper for that star, referenced by Bad Astonomy and other articles:
Planet Hunters X. KIC 8462852 - Where's the Flux?
http://arxiv.org/abs/1509.03622

Section 4.4.1 provides constraints on the obscuring object.
The rest of section 4.4 provides a number of possible causes analysed by the authors.

To be frank, I don't see how a Dyson sphere fits the bill under those constraints.



Its an alien power generator.
We are just shaved neoanderthals still dancing around for a god to tell us what to do and burying our dead.

The black night orbits our planit but nobody acknowedges it, astronauts see ufos then are told to shut up and it is ignored.
Gorillas used to be a myth.
Oh, for fuck's sake. Folks, we've got another gorilla believer.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on October 16, 2015, 10:30:11 am
There are several major problems of building a structure that large:
  • Materials required. You'd need to completely extract the metals from several planets and moons to get enough raw materials.
  • Comets and asteroids (or any other body on an elliptical/parabolic/hyperbolic trajectory). If you don't spot and stop these things in time, they are going to make life miserable for the repair crews.
  • Finally, and this is the biggest problem, Gravity. It will be a major pain to prevent tidal forces from messing with the structure during construction. Even worse, as soon as the structure completely surrounds the star, the net force of gravitational attraction from the star becomes zero, causing the structure to start to drift. What do you think happens if/when the structure drifts into the star it was built around?
Indeed.  To be fair, the original Dyson sphere was never meant to be a singular solid megastructure; Dyson himself called the notion impossible and considered them a misrepresentation of his original proposals.  Interestingly, if by a Dyson torus you're referring to a ringworld and not a Dyson ring (which is a simple Dyson swarm, but you mention it in contrast to such instead of equating the two), the eponymous Ringworld did eventually consider all of these, if I recall properly, two of them to power plot drama.  Its home system was largely devoid of larger bodies, having been rendered down to create the megastructure.  Defense systems were emplaced to protect against incoming meteorites too small to completely clear out, and with traffic control no longer available to clear the Lying Bastard (the protagonists' ship) for entry, it is mistaken for a potential impactor and shot down on approach.  The problem with the gravitationally-neutral nature of the structure required another book to help resolve it because it was the big one Niven missed, where people stealing the reaction jets that stabilized the structure caused it to drift exactly as it should, absent outside intervention. 

There was also one more interesting thing not likely to occur to the creators of such a megastructure - the societal collapse trap.  Right now, if society collapsed utterly on Earth due to some unspecified cataclysm, we would have an extremely difficult time reconstructing.  Most "easy" veins of iron, copper, coal, oil, or the like have been tapped or utterly depleted as of the present.  A society that needs to rebuild everything from scratch, including methods of resource extraction, will have sizable difficulties in reaching what we've left behind.  A ringworld, Alderson disc, or solid Dyson sphere, however, will have none of these at all unless they're explicitly added by the constructors.  In other words, where we would have an, a post-apocalyptic civilization on a Ringworld would find it even more difficult, if not impossible, to rebuild to anything close to their former glory, unless they get very lucky with what tools and knowledge survives (and don't accidentally dig a hole through the world or the like). 
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: monkey on October 16, 2015, 10:33:17 am
Quote from: Planet Hunters X. KIC 8462852 - Where's the Flux?
Our  most  promising  theory  invokes  a  family  of  exocomets.
One way we imagine such a barrage of comets could be triggered
is by the passage of a field star through the system. And, in fact,
as discussed above, there is a small star nearby (~1000AU; Sec-tion 2.3)
 which, if moving near to KIC 8462852, but not bound to
it,  could  trigger  a  barrage  of  bodies  into  the  vicinity  of  the  host
star. On the other hand, if the companion star is bound, it could
be pumping up comet eccentricities through the Kozai mechanism.
Measuring the motion/orbit of the companion star with respect to
KIC 8462852 would be telling in whether or not it is associated, and
we would then be able to put stricter predictions on the timescale
and  repeatability  of  comet  showers  based  on  bound  or  unbound
star-comet  perturbing  models.  Finally,  comets  would  release  gas
(as well as dust), and sensitive observations to detect this gas would
also test this hypothesis.

That would be quite a view.
My money is on the Death Star blowing up Alderaan.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on October 16, 2015, 11:00:02 am
That's why I like O'neil and Bishop habitats. They can be of steel or magic graphine respectively and won't explode, they don't have anything in the "center," and they're REALLY REALLY COOL.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on October 16, 2015, 01:15:26 pm
Or would the pressure of the incident solar winds already be able to help you out?
No, both solar wind and solar radiation pressure run into the exact same thing as gravity where the reduced strength on the farther side is perfectly balanced by the fact that the farther side has more area now.

That said you could certainly use solar radiation pressure (not to be confused with the solar wind) instead of rocket boosters to manage any sort of drift. If you put LCD screens on your solar sail like Japan did with IKAROS (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IKAROS) then it gives you the ability to change the reflectiveness of your sail at wind, thus changing the amount of force that it exerts. This would mean that all it would cost you to adjust for drift is electricity which just means sticking a solar panel or two on each solar sail. Even factoring in for the occasional replacement screen needed, it would still be much cheaper then using rocket fuel.

(Funnily enough a Dyson Sphere stabilized in such a way would be virtually the same as a series of solar statites in a ring around the star, just not quite as flexible (in exchange for capturing less energy).)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 16, 2015, 02:00:59 pm
Or would the pressure of the incident solar winds already be able to help you out?
No, both solar wind and solar radiation pressure run into the exact same thing as gravity where the reduced strength on the farther side is perfectly balanced by the fact that the farther side has more area now.
I was a hair's-breadth away from trying the same integration trick as that which shows that a shell is gravitationally-neutral to anything located within it (and thus vice-versa), to try to disprove the idea.

But then I got distracted by the difference between various degrees of elastic and inelastic impulse, and where the factor between 2 (for perfectly mirrored radiation/particles) or 1 (for a perfectly 'matt' surface) sits in the otherwise roughly self-cancelling formula.  (Probably nowhere that affects the self-cancelling effect, actually, but my mind was elsewhere.)

I also remembered the various apparent paradoxes in the operation of the radiometer (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crookes_radiometer)... and then started pondering about the viability of heat-responsive concave/convex elements (as in the monochromatic version of the 'light mill') that flex appropriately if that part of the shell/star starts to approach the star/that part of the shell.  ...and then wondering if this would be like the "overweight lorry full of budgies" problem, anyway. ;) )


...but, anyway, your(/Japan's) idea of dynamically varying the impulse by LCD methods sounds more practical.  At least while the combined array of electrically-driven 'mechanisms' remain sufficiently operative.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jaked122 on October 16, 2015, 02:29:49 pm
Haven't they heard of a Dyson Swarm?

 A swarm of satellites that only have to mostly eclipse the sun and absorb light and power. That's plausible, Matrioshka brain (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Matrioshka_brain) is usually in this form, but is not the only one that exists. Fairly efficient, and not even beyond our capabilities, beyond getting to orbit that is. After that, we have the technology for this.

It's also kinda shit for moving around in if you can't be encoded to a coherent beam of life. In any case, Dyson Spheres have a lot of problems that make them unattractive to build, such as the aforementioned solar wind and simple stress on the structure.

I want to hope, but in all likelihood, it might just be an uncommon configuration of asteroid field with huge belts or swarms of material that weren't created by intelligent process, rather just occurring naturally through collisions. Maybe with a high electrostatic charge due to a prevalence of alpha or beta radiation to the exclusion of the other types.

If it is a level 2 civilization, I'd be very happy, but this seems very far from certain, so I'm just going to assume that it is some kind of rare formation.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cthulhu on October 16, 2015, 02:53:27 pm
Yeah. 

Well I have cloud to butt.  So my main wishful-thinking theory was a massive dyson butt, satellites or asteroids coated in solar panels.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 16, 2015, 04:24:12 pm
...meanwhile, closer to home, Europe and Russia to the Moon? (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-34504067)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on October 16, 2015, 04:34:49 pm
...meanwhile, closer to home, Europe and Russia to the Moon? (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-34504067)
tl;dr;
ESA and Roscosmos want to work together to fake their own moon landing, and maybe even shoot a sitcom.
Meanwhile, China is working hard on their own fake landing project, with a release date likely to predate the European show.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jaked122 on October 16, 2015, 06:55:56 pm
Just out of curiosity, what motivates your distrust of them? I mean, it does sound like something their government would do, but is there really that much incentive for them to risk other countries debunking their claims?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on October 16, 2015, 07:34:57 pm
Just out of curiosity, what motivates your distrust of them? I mean, it does sound like something their government would do, but is there really that much incentive for them to risk other countries debunking their claims?
Methinks it was a reference to the ever-popular "NASA FAKED THE MOON LANDINGS ON A SOUNDSTAGE DUH" theory.
Conclusively debunked by the Apollo retroreflectors.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 16, 2015, 08:27:21 pm
Just out of curiosity, what motivates your distrust of them? I mean, it does sound like something their government would do, but is there really that much incentive for them to risk other countries debunking their claims?
Methinks it was a reference to the ever-popular "NASAL FAKED THE MOON LANDINGS ON A SOUNDSTAGE DUH" theory.
Conclusively debunked by the Apollo retroreflectors.
The retroreflectors alone don't debunk the no-manned-landings argument.  They could have been so easily landed on dumb, unmanned probes at any1 or all2 of the Apollo sites.  (The Russians did at least as much.)

Instead, consider that a whole bunch of left-in-situ experiments and equipment (including all but one of the flags, one of them having been blown over by the return launch) have now been reasonably photographed from above by various resources should be more convincing (assuming you don't utterly distrust those images), or at least means some rather complex robotic distribution system on the lander deployed the 'furniture' of the astronauts' apparent presence.


But until a sceptic gets to go up there him/herself and conduct their own CSI-type analysis of landing sights [edit: <- should have typed 'sites', but those too...], there'll always be arguments against3.  Some potentially valid ("Flag-planting robot arm!"), some being blind or wilful misunderstanding of the existing evidence ("The flag was fluttering!!") and some being so out there as to be unanswerable ("They'd already landed on the Moon, years before!!! The Apollo program was just a sham to let them release a lot of 'new' science to the world!!!")




1 Allowing for "the first landings were faked, but they actually did the later ones" theories.

2 Anyone tried looking at the proposed Apollo 13 landing site with the same tools?  Hey, maybe, the 'fake landing package' got there, even while the manned-mission suffered its (unplanned) problems while in the Earth-hugging holding orbit... ;)

3 And there still might.  Depends on if they are inclined to believe more in government-sponsored perception-and-memory-altering procedures than the possibility that they were personally sent to the Moon just because they were asking for more proof.  And, to be honest, even I would have my doubts, in the exact same position. ;)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: That Wolf on October 16, 2015, 09:26:11 pm
I have a Spider-Goat silk space suit   ;)
Transgenetics baby

Sorry I thought you had heard, yes your mother left your father for a spider but your father was an arse
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on October 16, 2015, 09:43:11 pm
huh?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: That Wolf on October 16, 2015, 10:46:28 pm
huh?
Oh yeah, the first attempt at a chimera was a spider goat, it escaped no big deal /sarcasm

We should breed a species of human for space, give them nocturnal vision maybe
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on October 16, 2015, 11:48:42 pm
I don't mean to be rude, but you're not making much sense?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: That Wolf on October 17, 2015, 12:37:52 am
Rude? How are you being rude.
Just next time dont end a statement with a question mark, I totally Ron Burgundy that one in my head.


I read in new science that there is a colosal blob of liquid water in space
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 17, 2015, 03:07:02 am
So... That Wolf... I see quite a few potential separate stories in what you wrote.  Some I know about, some I wasn't aware of.

Spider goats aren't that new.  There's a whole... herd, flock... whatever the collective noun is of goats... being milked and their milk processed to extract the spider-silk protein which we've learnt to tease into our own spider-silk, in quantities way beyond those we could ever have farmed from actual spiders.  (Yes, we also do that (http://news.bbc.co.uk/today/hi/today/newsid_9677000/9677046.stm).)

It's potentially good stuff for body armour, and thus (doubtless) space-suits.

If one escaped, that's perhaps of concern if there's local wild goats (or a separate escape out of/unescape into another captive group of goats without anyone realising) and enter their family tree, but I'm not sure how likely that is.

We can breed humans (slower than we can goats, and potentially with more complaints) but I'm not sure what we'd do for space.  Nocturnal vision would be less useful than some form of chitinous (or silk?) exoskeleton, if you mean for actual space, rather than microgravity, in which case make sure you add strengthened membranes and sphincters to the list.  Night-vision would also be less useful than enhanced UV filters for the eye (and, if not already dealt with by the other enhancements, skin).

The colossal blob of liquid water is news to me.  You're not thinking of the (salty) liquid water on Mars thing, are you?

Sorry...  ...are you!!! ;)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Radio Controlled on October 17, 2015, 03:09:12 am
I think he's having an aneurism. Is there a doctor in the room?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: That Wolf on October 17, 2015, 03:45:49 am
Yeah the water blob is real, beautiful too its estimated to be more than our planets water.
the escaping spidergoat was a joke

Anurisim pffh you cant blood cloot ur brain if you dont have one
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Arx on October 17, 2015, 04:04:59 am
Yeah the water blob is real

Source? Since the cosmic background temperature is below freezing, water vapourises in a vacuum, and I can't find any references to extraterrestrial bodies comprised purely of liquid water. There's an exoplanet comprised almost entirely of water (GJ 1214b), but as far as I (or anyone) can tell there's little way to know what phase the majority of that water is in - it could be quite a number of things, including exotic forms of ice and some fascinating fluids. All that's known for sure is that the atmosphere seems to be mainly water vapour and the density seems to be consistent with it being 75% or so (I'm not entirely sure. It's an exoplanet, so nobody actually knows very much) water. There's also a quasar surrounded by an immense quantity of water vapour, but that's vapour.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on October 17, 2015, 12:12:06 pm
Just out of curiosity, what motivates your distrust of them? I mean, it does sound like something their government would do, but is there really that much incentive for them to risk other countries debunking their claims?
No, mate. It was a joke. I'm firmly in the Mitchell&Webb (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P6MOnehCOUw) camp.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: That Wolf on October 17, 2015, 06:50:56 pm
I like how people insist on explaining how space works.
Its probably still formed together cause its alive or has an atmosphere, my source doesnt want to be mentioned but she wishes you well.
I just started typing it in google and it finished my sentence so you obviously didnt even bother looking.
Im not wiki bro.
Question the blob but not the aliens.
Humans are stupid
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Graknorke on October 17, 2015, 07:47:58 pm
Now I'm no conspiracy theorist, but I think That Wolf is a NWO shill.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: redwallzyl on October 17, 2015, 08:04:45 pm

(http://www.quickmeme.com/img/1e/1e9494df0b206c608e42ca07e6746e16691b2ccc7e573c32234ee5bb427d7803.jpg)
sorry
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on October 17, 2015, 08:36:40 pm
huh?
Oh yeah, the first attempt at a chimera was a spider goat, it escaped no big deal /sarcasm

We should breed a species of human for space, give them nocturnal vision maybe

because it's dark in space amirite? lol.

It's not actually dark in space. It's only "dark" if you're in the shadow of a planet. e.g. on Earth, at night-time.

The same sun shines on you in space as in the daytime on Earth, except brighter (no atmosphere) and almost the time. There's no day/night cycle, unless you're on an orbit which takes you behind a planet, and even then, in Earth orbit, Earth will look much smaller, but the sun will be almost the exact same size (since it's very far away), so the amount of time that the Earth is blocking the sun drops exponentially as you move away from the Earth even a little bit. You'd find that night-time is a very small percentage of the time in high Earth orbit. Plus, at space scales what you can see with the naked eye is almost useless.

Maybe if we sail out of the solar system night-vision would make sense, but there's even less to see out there.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on October 17, 2015, 08:45:02 pm
There is a thing called Occam's Razor which is an idea that the theory with the least amount of assumptions is more often correct.

For example, to explain how the stonehenge was built, I'll go with two theories:

1. Humans built up dirt in a mound and dug a hole in the middle. They then dragged the stones and placed them into the holes and removed the dirt. Repeated for every stone.

2. Aliens did it.


While it seems that theory 2 has fewer assumptions. You have to assume that:
1. Aliens exist
2. Aliens are technologically advanced enough to come to earth.
3. Aliens used all of their fantastical technology to build stuff out of rocks.
4. The Aliens don't want to come here anymore.

There are much more assumptions than that, but you get the idea. Aliens are not the least assumption theory.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on October 17, 2015, 08:55:56 pm
Well you're making equal but opposite assumptions:

1. Aliens don't exist
2. Aliens aren't technologically advanced enough to come to earth.
3. Aliens didn't used all of their fantastical technology to build stuff out of rocks.
4. The Aliens would want to come here anymore.

Ever thought about that, Smugface McSciencePants?

How far away is the thing anyway? Could we just hurl a probe at it and find out in a few hundred years?

Could a probe actually transmit any data back from another star?

http://voyager.jpl.nasa.gov/mission/didyouknow.html

Here it seems to say the signal strength from Voyager when it was at Neptune was 10^-16 watts. Let's assume that this is our target signal strength for an interstellar probe.

Call the distance to Neptune as a rough 4 billion km. Another ball-park figure for simplicity, let's 1 lightyear = ~9.5 trillion km. Alpha Centauri is ~4.4 ly away, so is on the order of 40 trillion km away, or 10000 times further away than Neptune. Since signal falls off at distance2, then a voyager-strength signal at Alpha Centauri distance would be 100 million times weaker than the same signal at Neptune.

Since that's only for the very-closest star, returning a singal from anywhere remotely further away would need a singal that's on the order of billions or trillions of times stronger than our current probe transmitters. If we assume that the probe has a 1-metre square solar panel to power the signal, and assuming that it's 100% energy efficient, that's basically like having a 1-metre across star of the same magnitude of the parent star where the probe is. You can imagine how hard it would be to detect such a signal. Perhaps the probe can have a battery to store up the solar energy, then send signal back in pulses? It would definitely be more likely to receive such a signal.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on October 17, 2015, 09:14:46 pm
I am not saying that. Rather, I am assuming that the ancient humans built the stonehenge in the manner I described. We already know for a fact that they were able.

There may be aliens, but assuming that they did build the stonehenge requires more assumptions than if humans built it.

I hope I'm making sense.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on October 17, 2015, 09:32:49 pm
I was being sarcastic, but it's still true that for each positive assumption of the opposing theory, you must make an equal number of negative assumptions ("X" vs "not X"), so you have to show why your "not X" is of greater value than "X".
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Flying Dice on October 17, 2015, 10:36:36 pm
Except that he doesn't. The base assumption (existence of aliens) doesn't in any way affect the ability of humans to drag stones into holes and dig away the dirt around them, nor do any of the assumptions which follow. All that's necessary is to disprove that alien intervention was necessary to construct Stonehenge, which is done by proving it to be possible with nothing more than the materials, tools, and knowledge of humans in the appropriate time and place. Even if aliens actually came to Earth and built the pyramids, that doesn't mean that humans couldn't have built Stonehenge. All you need to do is show that you don't need "aliens" to explain the construction of Stonehenge.

Aliens existing does not preclude the possibility of Stonehenge being built solely by humans; it being possible for humans of the time to build Stonehenge does eliminate the conclusion of "ayy lmaos did it" as a reasonable explanation for the construction of Stonehenge because it introduces needless complications which aren't particularly falsifiable--you might as well replace all instances of "aliens" with "God" and it wouldn't change anything about the argument.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: That Wolf on October 17, 2015, 11:23:14 pm
Now I'm no conspiracy theorist, but I think That Wolf is a NWO shill.
Ignore this, you saw nothing continue with your regulary scheduled posting. Thank you.


Occams razor? Are you serious. Stonehenge is an art peice made by people for aweing and partying within.
I led with nocturnal vision transhumans because its the least offensive and it would save power on the ship.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on October 17, 2015, 11:26:49 pm
Modern LEDs require an essentially negligible amount of energy.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on October 17, 2015, 11:29:13 pm
I led with nocturnal vision transhumans because its the least offensive and it would save power on the ship.
Or, you know, you could open a window.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Putnam on October 17, 2015, 11:41:53 pm
...in space?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on October 17, 2015, 11:43:05 pm
Night vision has little use in space since there's so much light pollution (it's basically high-noon all the time, everywhere, except behind planets), and if you're too far away from the sun to see, you're going to need to heat the ship anyway, so you might as well emit some of that heating energy in the form of visible light.

Human photosynthesis (http://motherboard.vice.com/read/human-photosynthesis-will-people-ever-be-able-to-eat-sunlight) however is very a promising way to reduce ship complexity. You'd save on food, oxygen, CO2 reprocessing etc. Imagine being able to persist pretty much indefinitely in an escape pod, with just sunlight and water filtration.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on October 17, 2015, 11:44:13 pm
Night vision has little use in space since there's so much light pollution, and if you're too far away from the sun to see, you're going to need to heat the ship anyway, so you might as well emit some of that heating energy in the form of visible light.

Human photosynthesis however is very a promising way to reduce ship complexity. You'd save on food, oxygen, CO2 reprocessing etc. Imagine being able to persist pretty much indefinitely in an escape pod, with just sunlight and water filtration.
water would eventually run out. Waste would accumulate. Can't survive indefinately.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Arcvasti on October 17, 2015, 11:47:17 pm
Night vision has little use in space since there's so much light pollution, and if you're too far away from the sun to see, you're going to need to heat the ship anyway, so you might as well emit some of that heating energy in the form of visible light.

Human photosynthesis however is very a promising way to reduce ship complexity. You'd save on food, oxygen, CO2 reprocessing etc. Imagine being able to persist pretty much indefinitely in an escape pod, with just sunlight and water filtration.
water would eventually run out. Waste would accumulate. Can't survive indefinately.

There's a difference between "indefinitely" and "pretty much indefinitely". The former is literally forever and the latter is figuratively forever.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on October 17, 2015, 11:50:47 pm
First up, conservation of mass is a thing. If you don't have a leak then the water would in fact last forever. By filtering it from the air and any waste. If molecules are in fact slipping out of your space pod, I think you'd have an air depressurization problem long before you had a water shortage problem.

Second, if you could photosynthesize then you won't really be eating anything to poop out. If you're not eating anything, then there's nothing to poop.

Probably the biggest thing you'd need to worry about is retaining salt, so you'd need a system to reclaim salt from your own urine.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on October 17, 2015, 11:54:45 pm
Unless your spaceship is leaking air then the water can't go anywhere. So saying it "runs out" implies conservation of mass broke down, or a leak. But you'd find your pod's air depressurized long before that happened, if you assume a leak.
Humans would still produce waste (poop) which would hopefully leave the ship. That mass has to come from somewhere.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: That Wolf on October 17, 2015, 11:57:50 pm
Hibernation, hyper muscle density, chameleon skin?

We could perhaps even change our blood comp so it doesnt boil in space, maybe a few more upgrades so a tear in your spidergoat suit isnt the end all
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on October 17, 2015, 11:59:35 pm
Unless your spaceship is leaking air then the water can't go anywhere. So saying it "runs out" implies conservation of mass broke down, or a leak. But you'd find your pod's air depressurized long before that happened, if you assume a leak.
Humans would still produce waste (poop) which would hopefully leave the ship. That mass has to come from somewhere.
How much would you poop if you weren't eating anything? e.g. you get energy from photosynthesis?

Just as poop must go somewhere, it also must come from somewhere.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on October 18, 2015, 12:01:53 am
Unless your spaceship is leaking air then the water can't go anywhere. So saying it "runs out" implies conservation of mass broke down, or a leak. But you'd find your pod's air depressurized long before that happened, if you assume a leak.
Humans would still produce waste (poop) which would hopefully leave the ship. That mass has to come from somewhere.
How much would you poop if you weren't eating anything? e.g. you get energy from photosynthesis?

Just as poop must go somewhere, it also must come from somewhere.
That's my point. If a human could photosynthasize and metabolize, then they would produce waste, which would require some material to sustain them. Which means it wouldn't be indefinite.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on October 18, 2015, 12:03:58 am
The material comes from CO2 and water. You can make sugars + oxygen with just that. They are then burnt inside the body by combining with oxygen. There is no need to excrete the resultant materials, you get back CO2 and water.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on October 18, 2015, 12:05:26 am
The material comes from CO2 and oxygen and water. You can make sugars with just that. They are then burnt inside the body. There is no need to excrete the resultant materials, you get back CO2 and water.
Plants also need nutrients from the soil.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on October 18, 2015, 12:08:21 am
All the molecules that you had at the start are still in the ship. You can drink your own pee to get almost everything back.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Putnam on October 18, 2015, 12:09:22 am
You'd probably need to process it some i think?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on October 18, 2015, 12:14:44 am
All the molecules that you had at the start are still in the ship. You can drink your own pee to get almost everything back.
ALMOST everything. The rest is waste. That mass that is waste needs to be replenished by something on the ship. Meaning no indefinitability.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on October 18, 2015, 12:17:59 am
Just have a microbe tank to reprocess the waste. A photosynthetic human would produce much less waste than normal, so a much smaller reprocessing set up would be needed. Human waste is hardly nuclear waste that never breaks down.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on October 18, 2015, 12:21:11 am
Just have a microbe tank to reprocess the waste. A photosynthetic human would produce much less waste than normal, so a much smaller reprocessing set up would be needed. Human waste is hardly nuclear waste that never breaks down.
But Fiber is incredibly hard to break down. Even so, the laws of thermodynamics say that something is always going to eventually break, so some spare materials would be needed to fix what broke. Be it part of a cell, or part of the whole ship.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Arx on October 18, 2015, 12:31:03 am
Even so, the laws of thermodynamics say that something is always going to eventually break

I suspect that in this case the laws of thermodynamics are shown by the necessity of purifying the waste, which requires energy. If you have solar panels though, there's a lot of basically free energy available.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on October 18, 2015, 12:43:02 am
I think you'd die a lot sooner than you'd think with even the best photosynthesis system. Humans require a variety of materials, not just calories. Better than nothing, but not a replacement for food.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on October 18, 2015, 12:43:30 am
Just have a microbe tank to reprocess the waste. A photosynthetic human would produce much less waste than normal, so a much smaller reprocessing set up would be needed. Human waste is hardly nuclear waste that never breaks down.
But Fiber is incredibly hard to break down. Even so, the laws of thermodynamics say that something is always going to eventually break, so some spare materials would be needed to fix what broke. Be it part of a cell, or part of the whole ship.

Humans don't actually produce fiber as a waste product, you know.

If you're living on sugars from photosynthesis in your own cells, there's no fiber produced nor are you consuming any with the food you're (not) eating.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on October 18, 2015, 02:41:28 am
I seriously doubt you'd get enough photosynthesis out of a human to feed a human. Why not simply have a tank of microbes recycling your waste and producing some kind of soylent-like product?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on October 18, 2015, 03:11:10 am
You guys make the future sound so appealing...

"Hey, welcome to space! For dinner, we've got your own recycled feces with a big tall glass of urine!"

Where do I sign up?! to stay on Earth
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on October 18, 2015, 05:03:21 am
...I feel like, since we're talking about human photosynthesis being a possibility here, why can't we make microbes to make the nutrients we can't produce on our own?

As for the waste matter, you only have waste if you expend energy. Who says we won't be spending flights in extended periods of medically-induced comas, or other low-energy states?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 18, 2015, 05:06:04 am
That's an interesting couple of pages.

Anyway... just like (normal) humans can't live without the resources ultimately provided to us by photosynthesising plants (aggregated high-energy molecules and the oxygen to breath with which we ultimately 'burn' the molecules back to ground-state), or an artificial equivalent (the less efficient artificial air-scrubbers and oxygen regenerators that we currently have access to, which need topping up regularly with supplies from home), photosynthesising humans would probably have problems when they find themselves running out of carbon dioxide in their closed-system and perhaps a little too much oxygen enrichment for the Health & Safety Department's liking...

(It's probably thanks to the development of us animals that the plant population survives at all...  Or the equivalents, way back when in the unicellular days of evolution...  It may now be a personal battle between a thing that eats and things that eat them (every which-way!), but the overall conflict isn't actually a war, but actually more harmonious.  So long as there's no upstart species that decides that the whole planet is theirs and causes severe imbalance.  Yes triffids humans, I'm looking at you!)

Unless you're going for a 'twofor' organism (like plants actually are, already, with their night-time respiration cycle; but much more so).  Selective self-cannibalism?  As long as there's enough energy coming in to make up for the inefficiencies, and no absolute dead-ends insofar as 'indigestible sludge' end-products that we haven't put in some biological mechanism to process and 'recharge' with solar energy (however many steps removed) to make it useful.  But good luck getting that to work 'perfectly enough'!

(Also, obXKCD (https://what-if.xkcd.com/17/)...)

[fakeedit: No I don't want to review my post...  Gentlefish has made different important points..]
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jaked122 on October 18, 2015, 12:50:45 pm
I still think that uploaded humans are a better option for this sort of thing than anything we're likely to think up.
Unless of course we can get some sort of frame-dragging drive working so we don't need fuel, it's unlikely that any advancements are going to justify the mass that we can't remove as biological beings.

Get some generalized robotic shells that can be piloted, build some fabricators, and then reincarnate back into fleshy bodies for the insystem travel, if that is really required.

Or you could remain as a ghost in a machine, a machine with sufficient sensory information to not drive you insane, some of them just made up to augment the reality and reduce claustrophobia and sensory-deprivation. Ultimately, unless major advances are made, given that ramscoops don't appear feasible currently(according to more recent estimates of interstellar medium densities), we don't have much choice. We'll have to go digital and move out into the universe and then when we get there improvise something.

I may have been reading some Orion's Arm.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on October 18, 2015, 01:49:29 pm
You guys make the future sound so appealing...

"Hey, welcome to space! For dinner, we've got your own recycled feces with a big tall glass of urine!"

Where do I sign up?! to stay on Earth

Ah, Earth, where all the food comes from sanitary plastic packages in stores, and not from inside animals or from dirt with animal crap smeared all over it or anything.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on October 18, 2015, 02:08:04 pm
I seriously doubt you'd get enough photosynthesis out of a human to feed a human.
A similar problem was pointed out for photosynthesizing cows in this xkcd what-if (https://what-if.xkcd.com/17/).

Basically animals have way to small of a surface area to extract anything close to the energy that they need to survive. In the linked what if, the calculations came out to green cows that stood optimally were only able to photosynthesize around 4% of their normal energy intake, which is miniscule. As creatures that are designed to be more predatory (and thus leaner, but still with high energy requirements), I'd expect humans to probably have an even worse surface area to energy required ratio, and thus be able to get even less of their total required energy from photosynthesis than cows' tiny 4%. There's a reason why we eat things instead of making our own food from the sun. :P

That said probably the best approach is simply going to be the space-biodome one. Plants and the environment are already adept at taking waste processes and "recycling" them, so to speak. You basically cover the entire outside of your spaceship in a transparent material and run farms in that outer shell. Any waste products are recycled back into your farms to work as fertilizer and are filtered in the process to provide clean water (you'd still probably need to run the water through a few other filters to get the required level of thickness to your earth filtration system). Over time your plants grow up, and then you eat the plants. The only thing you'd need to watch out for would be feces-born parasites, since that's the one major drawback of using night soil instead of fertilizer from other animals.

The plants also serve another purpose, that of fixing CO2 from your ship and turning it back into O2 for you to breathe. It's water filtration, waste recycling, air recycling, and food generation all in one.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on October 18, 2015, 02:18:15 pm
unfortunately, the ship would have to be extremely large to accomidate enough plants for one human so the idea of an indefinite escape pod is out of the question.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on October 18, 2015, 02:30:37 pm
Of course it's going to be huge, that's the price you pay for having something that lasts forever. Sunlight isn't exactly the best energy source, after all, and humans need a lot of energy to keep running. :P

You could just have big huge solar panel wings that stretch out into space, convert the energy into electricity, and then convert it back to light later to stack your farms into a single centralized location instead (which could hypothetically save you some space). Of course the price you are going to pay is the solar energy conversion factor, meaning that even with literally perfect solar panels (of which we are still a long ways away from making), you'd need about 20% extra surface area with solar panels than if the plants were just exposed directly.

Alternatively you might look into scooping up hydrogen from space, fusing it to generate electricity, and then using that electricity to generate lights for plants rather than grabbing sunlight directly, though then you run into the problem of needing a gigantic scoop on the front of your vehicle instead of huge solar panels (and the problem of being unable to sit still for too long, you have to keep moving or you will run out of fuel).

In short, though, if you want some sort of tiny escape pod option you're either going to need to do something like brain uploading, or (more realistically) cryonic systems where the pod basically just kills you and doesn't revive you until you reach your destination. Active humans simply use way too much energy to be able to sustainably gather that energy from space over anything smaller than a huge area.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on October 18, 2015, 02:36:17 pm
unfortunately, the ship would have to be extremely large to accomidate enough plants for one human so the idea of an indefinite escape pod is out of the question.
Exactly how large, again?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheDarkStar on October 18, 2015, 02:47:17 pm
unfortunately, the ship would have to be extremely large to accomidate enough plants for one human so the idea of an indefinite escape pod is out of the question.

We know that one working one already exists (Hint: Look down.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Arx on October 18, 2015, 02:48:21 pm
unfortunately, the ship would have to be extremely large to accomidate enough plants for one human so the idea of an indefinite escape pod is out of the question.
Exactly how large, again?

Biosphere 2 was 204000 cubic metres and supported eight people, aside from the large number of unforeseen issues (many of which could now be dealt with). A similar structure as a spac evessel would probably have to be larger to compensate for increased difficulty losing heat and more complicated support restrictions.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on October 18, 2015, 02:49:52 pm
unfortunately, the ship would have to be extremely large to accomidate enough plants for one human so the idea of an indefinite escape pod is out of the question.
Exactly how large, again?

Biosphere 2 was 204000 cubic metres and supported eight people, aside from the large number of unforeseen issues (many of which could now be dealt with). A similar structure as a spac evessel would probably have to be larger to compensate for increased difficulty losing heat and more complicated support restrictions.
Didn't they forget to add a certain fungus or something?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Arx on October 18, 2015, 02:52:52 pm
Not one of the significant issues IIRC, although there are far too many to mention here. The main one was soil bacteria going crazy and consuming all available oxygen, in terms of it as an experiment into space self-sufficiency.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on October 18, 2015, 03:12:38 pm
unfortunately, the ship would have to be extremely large to accomidate enough plants for one human so the idea of an indefinite escape pod is out of the question.
Exactly how large, again?
The exact numbers depend a bit on how far you want to go from a light source. Here's the basic assumptions:
1) I'm going with the solar panel design, because it scales better at long distances form the sun then the direct plant design does, and captures all types of light a bit better. I'll be using a solar panel efficiency of 80% (which is about double our current best ones, but still well under the theoretical maximums of ~90-95%).
2) We're going to go out to pluto and back.
3) You're going to grow sugar cane, since it has the best caloric storage of about pretty much any edible plant. I hope you like sweet things.
With these assumptions each person is going to need to have about 150 m^2 of solar panels stretching out on the outside of your ship, and probably around a 10m x 15m x 20m square cube to actually grow their sugarcane in, based on the normal adult human energy consumption.

To put that in perspective, each human is going to need about a volleyball court's worth of solar panels, and 1.2 olympic sized swimming pools worth of space to grow their food/purify water/make air (though you might need additional space for more air/water purification, I haven't run the numbers on those aspects). That's on top of whatever space you actually need for the ship itself and any area for the person to live in.

Alternatively for interstellar distances you may want to go the hydrogen scoop method where each person would need about 437 m^2 (2.7 volleyball courts) worth of scoop on the front of your ship to harvest the hydrogen needed when traveling at solar escape velocity speeds; the main benefits being that while the amount of solar panels you need keeps increasing as you go farther from a star, the amount of hydrogen scoop area you need remains relatively constant no matter where you go in the milky way galaxy.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on October 18, 2015, 05:40:54 pm
Alternatively for interstellar distances you may want to go the hydrogen scoop method where each person would need about 437 m^2 (2.7 volleyball courts) worth of scoop on the front of your ship to harvest the hydrogen needed when traveling at solar escape velocity speeds; the main benefits being that while the amount of solar panels you need keeps increasing as you go farther from a star, the amount of hydrogen scoop area you need remains relatively constant no matter where you go in the milky way galaxy.
Well, give or take.  We're sitting in the middle of the Local Bubble, unfortunately, which is around 300 l.y. of interstellar void at around a tenth of the average hydrogen density of the Milky Way as a whole.  We're really lucky in that we just happen to be in the middle of a slightly denser area (relative to the Local Bubble, at least) that happens to abut another such dense area (again, relatively speaking), but it does mean that anything that ends up going to, say, Sirius or Procyon is going to need to deal with a drop in local hydrogen density of anywhere from 50% to 80%, give or take.  I'm not exactly well-read on the latest material, however, so I'm a little curious how they manage allowing for a constant hydrogen scoop area under such wildly fluctuating densities.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on October 18, 2015, 06:04:19 pm
The exact numbers depend a bit on how far you want to go from a light source. Here's the basic assumptions:
1) I'm going with the solar panel design, because it scales better at long distances form the sun then the direct plant design does, and captures all types of light a bit better. I'll be using a solar panel efficiency of 80% (which is about double our current best ones, but still well under the theoretical maximums of ~90-95%).
2) We're going to go out to pluto and back.
3) You're going to grow sugar cane, since it has the best caloric storage of about pretty much any edible plant. I hope you like sweet things.
With these assumptions each person is going to need to have about 150 m^2 of solar panels stretching out on the outside of your ship, and probably around a 10m x 15m x 20m square cube to actually grow their sugarcane in, based on the normal adult human energy consumption.

To put that in perspective, each human is going to need about a volleyball court's worth of solar panels, and 1.2 olympic sized swimming pools worth of space to grow their food/purify water/make air (though you might need additional space for more air/water purification, I haven't run the numbers on those aspects). That's on top of whatever space you actually need for the ship itself and any area for the person to live in.

Alternatively for interstellar distances you may want to go the hydrogen scoop method where each person would need about 437 m^2 (2.7 volleyball courts) worth of scoop on the front of your ship to harvest the hydrogen needed when traveling at solar escape velocity speeds; the main benefits being that while the amount of solar panels you need keeps increasing as you go farther from a star, the amount of hydrogen scoop area you need remains relatively constant no matter where you go in the milky way galaxy.

What if you used something like algae? Would that decrease space needed?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on October 18, 2015, 06:18:06 pm
Now, why bother with all these complicated biological processes when you could just upload your mind to a computer and live purely  off of solar panels?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on October 18, 2015, 06:20:10 pm
Now, why bother with all these complicated biological processes when you could just upload your mind to a computer and live purely  off of solar panels?
Probably because we have yet to figure out the whole "brain uploading" thing, whereas we've made a bit more progress on the whole "closed-cycle ecosystem" thing.  Not much more, but a bit more by comparison. 
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on October 18, 2015, 06:35:06 pm
No, I think we've made a lot more progress on the closed-cycle ecosystem than we have brain uploading.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on October 18, 2015, 07:17:04 pm
There's also the issue that brain-uploading is not likely to use less actual energy than a brain, for quite some time even if you could do that.

http://www.extremetech.com/extreme/163051-simulating-1-second-of-human-brain-activity-takes-82944-processors

The K-supercomputer with 82,944 processors modeled a brain of about 2% of the size of a human brain. It took 40 minutes to simulate 1 second of brain activity. While that's kinda impressive that we can even do that, it's clearly not up to scale for uploading peoples' brains to save energy.

Assuming the brain scales up linearly (which is being generous) that's 50 x 2400 = 120000 times less powerful than a human brain. The K computer is about 10 petaflops. So to model a whole human brain in real-time with this level of tech would need about a 1 million petaflop processor. The most efficient supercomputer gets about 2 teraflops / KW, so you'd be looking at energy consumption of 500 gigawatts. Which 5 billion times more than the energy consumed by an average human's body.

To make brain uploading viable, the energy requirements for running the simulated brain must basically fall below 100 watts for 1 million petaflops of processing. That might not be possible with silicon / von Neumann architecture. In either case, improved computing tech would be competing with other ways of providing for space travellers, which will also be improving technology, pushing further out the point at which brain uploading is the viable alternative.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Putnam on October 18, 2015, 07:40:11 pm
Assuming the brain scales up linearly (which is being generous)

that is probably the most generous estimate i've ever seen for such a thing
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on October 18, 2015, 07:50:03 pm
There's also the issue that brain-uploading is not likely to use less actual energy than a brain, for quite some time even if you could do that.

http://www.extremetech.com/extreme/163051-simulating-1-second-of-human-brain-activity-takes-82944-processors

The K-supercomputer with 82,944 processors modeled a brain of about 2% of the size of a human brain. It took 40 minutes to simulate 1 second of brain activity. While that's kinda impressive that we can even do that, it's clearly not up to scale for uploading peoples' brains to save energy.

Assuming the brain scales up linearly (which is being generous) that's 50 x 2400 = 120000 times less powerful than a human brain. The K computer is about 10 petaflops. So to model a whole human brain in real-time with this level of tech would need about a 1 million petaflop processor. The most efficient supercomputer gets about 2 teraflops / KW, so you'd be looking at energy consumption of 500 gigawatts. Which 5 billion times more than the energy consumed by an average human's body.

To make brain uploading viable, the energy requirements for running the simulated brain must basically fall below 100 watts for 1 million petaflops of processing. That might not be possible with silicon / von Neumann architecture. In either case, improved computing tech would be competing with other ways of providing for space travellers, which will also be improving technology, pushing further out the point at which brain uploading is the viable alternative.
Yeah, the brain is one of the most complex and amazing things. Maybe in the future we could build our own and have organic computers that use the same system that our brain uses. That would be pretty cool.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on October 18, 2015, 08:00:44 pm
What if you used something like algae? Would that decrease space needed?
As best as I can tell sugar cane is still the best option for photosynthetic efficiency (3-4x more than most competitors), so I don't believe so.

There's also the issue that brain-uploading is not likely to use less actual energy than a brain, for quite some time even if you could do that.
Honestly I think one of the big advantages of brain uploading would be the ability to slow yourself down to limit energy consumption, sort of a halfway mark between normal activity and total cryogenic stoppage. It would let you still react to things if they occurred, albeit at a slower processing level than normal. It would be like if suddenly time went into double speed for everything but you, you could still interact, but you might find it a bit difficult to process things when twice as much was happening in any given period of time.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Graknorke on October 18, 2015, 08:34:34 pm
Surely the biggest issue with brain uploading is the nature of brain activity. It's not like a programmable computer, the software is very closely tied to the hardware, so computing the same processes on anything else would require either a general understanding of how the logical system works as a whole (unlikely to ever happen), or to simulate the physical system directly, which I can only assume is by far less computationally efficient than the impossible alternative.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 19, 2015, 07:24:13 am
This discussion of perpetual nutrition reminds me of The Manna Machine (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Manna_Machine).  An 'Ancient Astronauts' explanation of the biblical survival of the the Moses and the Israelites, fleeing across the desert.

Pretty much total bunkum (IMO... others disagree (http://www.uri-geller.com/articles/did-moses.htm)1... [edit: i.e. disagree with me]), but it solves some of the problems of using pure solar power for lifecycle (or electronic brain!) powering, during the long drift between stars.  (Introduces others, but engineering is often such a compromise...)


1 Note the disingenuous (or credulous) nature of that article.  Two adjacent questions "But how did Moses acquire an atomic plant? And what became of it?" are followed by "The answer... [to the latter question only, not bothering to address the first problem..]", which is taken as plausible.  And, later "Can there be two devices [of this kind]?" - Obviously not, therefore they are the same, therefore they both existed.  And, therefore, having existed, it came from aliens or UFOs, but he chooses to believe that it was more likely angels. QED! <ahem>
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on October 19, 2015, 07:48:57 am
I don't like your linked debunker's theory either. That angels did it rather than aliens. But you linked Uri Geller, a celebrity psychic as your source, so you shouldn't be surprised that it's bullshit. He's the source of the "psychic spoon benders" trope. Basically a stage magician who claims to have real magic powers.

There are better theories about manna. e.g. dried tree sap, and/or bug feces from feeding on the same trees.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TempAcc on October 19, 2015, 08:08:23 am
Or locusts :v
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on October 19, 2015, 08:15:32 am
The problem is that the ancients knew what locusts were. They would have just said God sent them locust snacks. The sap actually condenses on the ground overnight with the dew, and forms flakes similar to described for manna in the blibe.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 19, 2015, 08:19:15 am
I don't like your linked debunker's theory either. That angels did it rather than aliens. But you linked Uri Geller, a celebrity psychic as your source, so you shouldn't be surprised that it's bullshit. He's the source of the "psychic spoon benders" trope. Basically a stage magician who claims to have real magic powers.

There are better theories about manna. e.g. dried tree sap, and/or bug feces from feeding on the same trees.
You misread my intended narrative, there, although I'll admit I didn't make it easy on you, the way I structured it.

I call bunkum (am on the side of the debunkers), but for the sake of balance I add a link where Uri Geller disagrees about it being bunkum, but (in believing it to exist) goes further/off-at-a-right-angle into actual Angels-territory.


[Gone back and qualified "IMO, others disagree" with "i.e. disagree with me".  You'd read it as "IMO, and others also disagree, like this notorious kook I'm linking...", I know.]
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Nick K on October 19, 2015, 08:50:18 am
To my knowledge, there's no historical evidence that the ancient Israelites were ever enslaved in Egypt, so I don't think we need to worry too much about scientific explanations for Manna.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on October 19, 2015, 12:07:14 pm
To my knowledge, there's no historical evidence that the ancient Israelites were ever enslaved in Egypt, so I don't think we need to worry too much about scientific explanations for Manna.
This right here. We've reached the point where even the Israelite historians are claiming that they were never actually enslaved by Egypt ala Moses. :P That entire part of the bible is all mixed up with anachronisms, disagreeing numbers, etc. as well as suffering from a huge lack of historical evidence (and at least a fair bit of historical evidence that deliberately contradicts stuff in that part of the bible).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on October 19, 2015, 12:58:48 pm
The slaves part was complete bullshit. But if you read the account of Joseph carefully, you notice that Joseph systematically takes control of food/money/livestock/land/people. The last bit of that is when he herds the Egyptians off the productive lands and into cites (i.e. concentation camps where their movements can be controlled, and they will now be slaves in exchange for food). But that treatment is only dished out to native Egyptians. Meanwhile he hands out the best lands to his invading countryfolk. It's basically a textbook perfect account of an invasion and colonialism.

So, looking for "enslaved Jews" of course is going to be a bullshit excercise, because that's not what the bible even says. You have to look for conquerers who were semites from the Canaan region.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hyksos

^ These guys fit the bill pretty well. They were almost certainly of semitic Canaanite origins, settlers came into Egypt over a long period, historians even account a plague that weakened the native Egyptian dynasties, which lead to them taking over the place. Additionally, their attested capital was Avaris. And this seems to be the exact location of the "Land of Goshen" refered to in the bible. Obviously this was before "Jews" were a thing. It's possible that the stories in the bible aren't all about the Jews, but they're from pre-existing Canaanite stories.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on October 19, 2015, 01:19:22 pm
And all this (albeit very interesting indeed) have something to with with SPACE because..... we are planning to send jewish slaves to construct pyramids on the moon?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on October 19, 2015, 01:22:59 pm
And all this (albeit very interesting indeed) have something to with with SPACE because..... we are planning to send jewish slaves to construct pyramids on the moon?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Utz53zoJGTM
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on October 19, 2015, 02:06:43 pm
And all this (albeit very interesting indeed) have something to with with SPACE because..... we are planning to send jewish slaves to construct pyramids on the moon?
Potato!
/me ollies outy (into SPACE!)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jaked122 on October 19, 2015, 02:32:40 pm
Now imagine that instead of modelling a physical neuron, we create an approximation of one using a neural network that has been trained to approximate a neuron. This can be done over time for every single type of neuron, this is a slow method, but I cannot imagine it being slower than physically modelling a neuron. Physical modelling is difficult enough that even a naive implementation of matrix multiplication, as would happen in this "neural" network in O(n^3) would probably outpace it significantly.  I think that this model might resemble a multi-in-multi-out version of a perceptron, with some sort of approximating function to determine synaptic reconnections and topological changes. The overall network layout may very well approach something like a Convolutional-Neural-Network, or CNN. CNNs are the sort of network used by the google image searching functions. They are very interesting and have a lot of improvements to be made on them before I'd trust them to simulating me. But I trust that ensemble methods built to hybridise this network type with additional machine learning methods such as decision trees or any other sort of model that you'd like.


Alternatively we can have a genetic algorithm if you'd prefer, that would model more processes in the brain and eventually lead up to a high fidelity simulation using the minimum(this is what evolutionary algorithms tend towards) amount of complexity to achieve a level of realism. This is a tricky method to write because sometimes genetic algorithms end up finding optimal solutions for only their fitness function, so these minds may have various quirks that may prohibit them from being... normal I guess.


Fuck all knows if these models can handle learning in a coherent fashion, but there's no reason that we can't just make a electronic equivalent of a neuron that wouldn't follow the natural processes reasonably well.


I just know that if I am offered the chance to create a drastically flawed upload using one of these methods, I would watch the output very closely. I just know that these would run more efficiently than an actual brain simulation. I'm okay with that because I can't guarantee that computers capable of that are going to exist for a very long time. I am also hesitant to embrace that methodology because simulating reality is inherently less efficient than using approximating functions such as the ones I described before, as running an emulation of a Turing machine on a Turing machine tends to just add a constant value multiplier to time and space complexity while offering very few benefits. So what that they might not have the same qualia? Just so long as the output for a given input approximates the output I would give in that situation, I.E. I can predict its actions and it can predict mine(Thus the Upload and I are very similar), I don't think that it matters terribly much.


As for the organic computers that have been brought up earlier, I trust them even less to hold up to the rigors of interstellar space.
Organic computers will fail in unpredictable and trivially non-correctable ways in an environment rich in hard radiation; among these methods of failure will be cancer. Uncontrollable reproduction is the failure case that I imagine for a biological computer travelling through a radiation-heavy medium such as interstellar space. Alternatively, it would end up with the same sort of neurological damage that certain acute radiation poisonings cause, which is potentially even worse because some of the people affected in such a way by radiation damage ended up becoming very aggressive and incoherent before dying.




As for Jewish Space Slaves, or JSS... I don't see why they'd need to be Jewish. I mean, they can be, but if we're going to embark into the business of Space Slavery(tm), we're going to do it in a 21st century way; free of selection due to religion, ethnicity, or any other conceivable prejudices other than "Are they suitable for the work of space slaves?". This means that while we can be called "Space Slavers"(tm), they won't be able to call us racists or bigots.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 19, 2015, 02:43:39 pm
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
Going to the moon?



(Also, emulating each neuron with an artificial neural network?  Yeah, I'm of the conclusion that the best emulator for a brain is a brain.  Any actual layer of abstraction is going to be significantly inefficient.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jaked122 on October 19, 2015, 04:10:07 pm
(Also, emulating each neuron with an artificial neural network?  Yeah, I'm of the conclusion that the best emulator for a brain is a brain.  Any actual layer of abstraction is going to be significantly inefficient.)
Neural networks are usually just matrices of various sorts that get multiplied together with an input. They don't work on noncontinuous functions very well, and I'd imagine that the brain has a lot of nonlinear effects, so breaking down the brain into 10^12  neural networks makes sense to me.


I've run simulations for things like molecular mechanics, and what people want is a quantum-accurate(with effects that are not entanglement) representations of the brain, down to the molecular level. That's absurd.


And I don't believe that we'd capture all the quirky things going on at molecular levels if we simply threw mathematicians at it, so I instead propose we use neural networks, which properly configured are very good at emulating quirky things.


Also most slow neural networks have thousands of "neurons", but the ones I envision for this brain simulation are much smaller than that.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: redwallzyl on October 19, 2015, 04:26:59 pm
cool new thing: http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2015/10/19/449972013/nasa-to-publish-at-least-a-dozen-daily-images-of-earth-from-space

http://epic.gsfc.nasa.gov/
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on October 19, 2015, 05:31:27 pm
Doesnt nasa have a livestream from the ISS? You could say they release hundreds of thousands of space->earth images a day already
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on October 19, 2015, 05:35:52 pm
Doesnt nasa have a livestream from the ISS? You could say they release hundreds of thousands of space->earth images a day already
It's going to be pictures from 1 million miles away, instead of 200 miles away.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Graknorke on October 19, 2015, 05:40:26 pm
They're all fake anyway, since we all know that the Earth is actually the inside of a hollow sphere.
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: redwallzyl on October 19, 2015, 05:50:36 pm
They're all fake anyway, since we all know that the Earth is actually the inside of a hollow sphere.
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
what the hell is that crazy thing?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on October 19, 2015, 05:53:57 pm
They're all fake anyway, since we all know that the Earth is actually the inside of a hollow sphere.
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
what the hell is that crazy thing?
..........................................
That.
What even.
Ugh.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Graknorke on October 19, 2015, 05:54:01 pm
they skate around on the glass ceiling, i think
anyway comets disprove "ball earth" theory, duh (http://truth-zone.net/forum/science-and-physics/63418-skycentrism-we-live-inside-the-earth.html?start=180#123984)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on October 19, 2015, 05:55:06 pm
Why don't you google the guy's name. It leads to a crazy place.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on October 19, 2015, 06:01:19 pm
they skate around on the glass ceiling, i think
anyway comets disprove "ball earth" theory, duh (http://truth-zone.net/forum/science-and-physics/63418-skycentrism-we-live-inside-the-earth.html?start=180#123984)
/me reads that thread page
(http://i.imgur.com/22f2u6m.gif)

Here's my choice pick:
Quote
Einstein is not just a plagarist, he is an actor fronting Jew science fraud, designed to push us away from God, so that the legions of Satan can flourish. Listen up, what do you know about science? i am 100 per cent revisionist but I have a PhD in Chemistry, earned while my real interest was in recording and music production.
I mean...what.  Just...what.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on October 19, 2015, 06:13:57 pm
Quote
I have a phd in Chemistry
'

Ah, there we go.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 19, 2015, 06:24:14 pm
Fakeedit: 12 new replies?  I'll read them shortly.

(Also, emulating each neuron with an artificial neural network?  Yeah, I'm of the conclusion that the best emulator for a brain is a brain.  Any actual layer of abstraction is going to be significantly inefficient.)
Neural networks are usually just matrices of various sorts that get multiplied together with an input. They don't work on noncontinuous functions very well, and I'd imagine that the brain has a lot of nonlinear effects, so breaking down the brain into 10^12  neural networks makes sense to me.
I'm not sure I understand your methods, but while you can perhaps get 1x105 neurons per square millimetre (actually, it'll be in three dimensions, but for the sake of comparison I'm going with the planar footprint value I found for an unextraordinary neuron soma) and about 1x106 transistors for the same area (again, with the best planar footprint I found quoted, and, yes, you can use multiple layers here, as well), I'm not sure how close to emulating each neuron you could get with each provided a trainable 'network' of 10 transistors (including the background infrastructure required to configure, or freeze in the eventual 'working configuration', that network).

There's the need to keep cells alive with (at least the equivalent of) a blood supply with appropriately nutritious chemicals and ones that allow the ion-channels to work, but then there's also the need in the electronic version to feed power to the gates (whether to each and every one via appropriate high-rail and low-rail connections, or to enough of them for the rest to power passively from the differential of voltages across the infed logical connections providing inputs).  I think there's similar problems, except that a brain is already a tried-and-tested 'quite efficient, for what it does' system, whilst I'm sure it's still early days and future developments in design will perhaps provide something worthwhile, but... not yet.

Because without 'dumbing down' a brain (emulating broader structures, with some loss of 'resolution', and almost certainly losing some of the dynamic reconnectivity that a brain capable of continually adapting and re-adapting, rather than stagnating), I think it's going to be a poor copy, at best.

Which is not to say that it needs to be a mass-for-mass copy, but make it bigger (to give it the ability to be a more equal neuron-for-neuron copy, plus overheads required to allow the adaptability and resilience) and I'm not sure how we could compare the raw power consumption and maintenance for an electronic conglomerate theoretically of the exact same complexity of the human brain.  (And, perhaps, the same speed.  Not that speed matters if you're willing to "go slow" in your copy-brain's thinking processes, but it'd be nice to be roughly equivalent.)

The advantages might well exist between maintaining such a 'brain' and the brain and body of an original person's full body indefinitely, but the degree of transhumanism involved takes us into additional philosophical questions.

Perhaps the answer is instead of 'reading' a brain in order to try to imprint into an electronic analogue (albeit a digital one ;), do the same reading process but then just store that as plain data and then '3D print' the explorer's body from the ground up (a feedstock of the necessary base biogenic chemicals, that can be stored for the lifetime of the voyage), such that the brain-image is restored to the lifeless body-and-brain that you then resuscitate at the destination where the human explorer/ambassador can do his or her job.  (Not possible at the moment, but then neither full on brain-emulation nor 'read-to-copy' technology is, so maybe when we can reliably read from the original enough details to describe a 'mind' we'll have worked out how to create a one or other variety of vessel into which to write those details back again.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Graknorke on October 19, 2015, 06:31:57 pm
they skate around on the glass ceiling, i think
anyway comets disprove "ball earth" theory, duh (http://truth-zone.net/forum/science-and-physics/63418-skycentrism-we-live-inside-the-earth.html?start=180#123984)
/me reads that thread page
(http://i.imgur.com/22f2u6m.gif)
I just realised that it's a conspiracy forum. Oops.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jaked122 on October 19, 2015, 06:42:42 pm
Leave the qualia to those involved. Why should one person's dissatisfaction at one method of storage and resurrection mean the difference between calling uploading "solved" or not?

In any case, genetic algorithms and neural networks can solve things in interesting ways. I'm not yet sure how much capacity a bare-bones simulation of a brain requires. I think that the estimates provided are grossly inflated by carbon-fascists who want biology to seem more impressive than man-made materials... I can't honestly say whether that was meant to be sarcastic...

In any case, the amount of processing done by the brain is much less than the figures reported as most of that is represented by fluid mechanics. Fluid mechanics are not a useful computation method for most problems. Then there's the duplicated sections firing exactly the same way, the parts that are nearly static due to their functions being so well determined, namely a lot of the homeostasis equipment.

Ultimately, what I'm getting at is that there's a lot of stuff going on in the brain because there's so much garbage processing going on(that isn't helpful or experienced in any way), then there's the bodily control mechanisms which make up a huge part of the rear-brain.  Those aren't helpful as a disembodied mind running a spaceship. But what do I know?

Evidently, not very much.


Also I know why we haven't tried making a chip with a functional volume the same as a brain, but I wonder how much capacity it would have?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 19, 2015, 09:25:34 pm
In any case, genetic algorithms and neural networks can solve things in interesting ways.
Oh, I'm a great fan of genetic algorithms, etc1.  I just don't think the micro-electrical-chemical mechanisms in neurons, improved over many eons, can yet be operationally (i.e. properly) approximated to by brute-force base engineering of the kind we can apply to it, however it ends up then being moulded from a generic 'blank' setting to the intended purpose.

1 Did you ever see the Darwinian Poetry site?  Not my work, no, but on the associated forum (in-between the pharmaceutical spam, that kept on getting through the rather simple interface safeguards), you'd have seen a lot of my own suggestions as to how to add even more variations to the way the algorithm created 'child' poems from the suitably-successful parents.


Quote
Fluid mechanics are not a useful computation method for most problems.
The question is do(/does) fluid mechanics do something within the brain, processing-wise?  If it does, then it needs to somehow be part of the simulation.  Without it, the model is flawed.


Quote
Then there's the duplicated sections firing exactly the same way
...which probably serves a function (even if we're not quite sure what), so you need to maintain it.... etc, etc...


Quote
Ultimately, what I'm getting at is that there's a lot of stuff going on in the brain because there's so much garbage processing going on(that isn't helpful or experienced in any way)
Compare and contrast to so-called Junk DNA.  Useless?  Doubtful.  It (at the very least) soaks up free-radical damage, with some sacrificial base-sequences being very magnetic to such damage, sparing more 'active' regions.  But also there are possible autocatalystic functions, not yet properly identified.  And we haven't yet fully identified the actions of the proteome and other elements of the cytoplasm.  If we strip the human genome of everything we don't know the function of (or even just imagine, but are a bit unsure about the specifics), we'd certainly be throwing away something important.

I can't help feeling that under such a plan for the electronic mind, you'd also find said mind being virtually lobotomised.  Which might be acceptable, and maybe even end up, by sheer luck, being indistinguishable from human in a Turing Test.  But for every advantageously omitted emotion, desire or tendency to procrastinate with useless thoughts, you're as likely to lose a vital spark of inspiration, the possibility of intuition, empathy and/or compassion.  The result being little more than an advanced program with far more R&D and effort behind its creation than what would have been necessary for a non-faking program, genuinely an AI beyond any currently dreamt of, but without all that pretentiousness towards being a genuine person-now-writ-in-electronics.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Nick K on October 19, 2015, 11:14:01 pm
I think there's some Russian billionaire funding research into mind-computer transfer, with the goal of living forever.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on October 20, 2015, 07:17:50 am
I think there's some Russian billionaire funding research into mind-computer transfer, with the goal of livingdrinking vodka forever.
Immortality would be only a side effect.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on October 20, 2015, 09:47:04 am
Junk DNA is a bit of a misnomer. If it were really junk, it would get removed from the genome pretty quickly naturally. It's not so much "Junk" DNA, it's more "We don't know what it does yet" DNA.

DNA is far more convoluted and complex than anything we've ever done. Codes for proteins, control codes for gene expression, one gene might do one thing when another gene is active, and do another thing entirely when it's not. &c. &c.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jaked122 on October 20, 2015, 12:31:47 pm
That's fair, but I'm just not sure that it is feasible to upload brains if it takes a whole simulation with all of the components.

I was tempted to mention junk-dna, but knowing that it has a lot of actual purposes that they've found, using it to control transcription for example.

What I'm trying to get to is that building abstractions to avoid dealing with complicated debugging(I.E. the fluid doesn't work right in this one circumstance that only happens once every 10^4 simulations over the course of 10^5 seconds. These abstractions that tell us how things generally work in situation X and situation Y may be more efficient through approximating all of the factors in subsystem W and Z.

Alternately, if someone can actually make cryogenics work, I wouldn't balk at that for space travel either. Though reading Alistair Reynolds and all of those protagonists that don't remember things due to minor malfunctions that didn't kill them outright makes me very hesitant. He's not really a scientific authority on that matter anyway, so those problems might not even exist.

I just don't want something silly like philosophy and the ideas about qualia preventing us from trying these potentially useful methods.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on October 20, 2015, 12:53:36 pm
Junk DNA is a bit of a misnomer. If it were really junk, it would get removed from the genome pretty quickly naturally. It's not so much "Junk" DNA, it's more "We don't know what it does yet" DNA.

DNA is far more convoluted and complex than anything we've ever done. Codes for proteins, control codes for gene expression, one gene might do one thing when another gene is active, and do another thing entirely when it's not. &c. &c.
There's also a fair bit of DNA that is "junk" in the sense that while it doesn't actively do anything, but it's mere presence serves to alter the things around it. Look at this example algorithm:
index starts at 1, perform each instruction and then advance 1
1) Go forward 2 instructions
2) Jump twice
3) Pat your head
4) Stomp your feet
Following this algorithm would lead to you just stomping your feet because you skip steps 2 and 3. However if there wasn't actually something present in steps 2 and 3, then we would skip stomping our feet because it would be included in the "skipped" instructions. In the same way there are some bits of DNA that's only purpose is to "pad" instructions so that certain things aren't skipped that function as "junk" DNA.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on October 20, 2015, 03:59:54 pm
But then, you also have stuff like transposon, which acts mostly like viruses that decided that leaving the cell was a bother. Although of course some of them are being used in some case...

The thing is, nature mostly just take whatever is around and use it to McGyver a living being. Junk might be used, or it might stay around. I mean, if you take that big rusted washing machine and use it to hold your door open, does it stop being junk?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on October 20, 2015, 04:03:31 pm
I mean, if you take that big rusted washing machine and use it to hold your door open, does it stop being junk?
If it's the only thing I have available to hold the door open, and I really need that door held open or the building becomes unusable, then yes, it magically changes from being a junky rusted washing machine into just a very oversized doorstop. :P That doesn't necessarily mean it's a very good doorstop, of course, but it does mean that it becomes essential to functionality and thus no longer "junk" IMO.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on October 20, 2015, 04:11:46 pm
But what if you just grabbed it because it was the closest thing around, and your neighbour actually made a real one, is it still junk?

I guess my point is that since organism are incredibly jury-rigged (seriously, if a human designer had come up with the human eye, he would have been fired on the spot), distinguishing between what is junk or not is hard. Especially since many things are only tangentially useful. Think of the appendix. It's very obviously a remain from a previously more develloped cecum. But it also seems to play a role as a haven for gut bacteria in some conditions.

So, is it leftover junk or not? Would it disappear under the pressure of natural selection over time or not?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 20, 2015, 04:22:14 pm
Junk DNA is a bit of a misnomer. If it were really junk, it would get removed from the genome pretty quickly naturally. It's not so much "Junk" DNA, it's more "We don't know what it does yet" DNA.
Just in case you missed it, that was my gist.  Possibly you didn't and you were expanding on what I said, though, in which case thank you.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on October 20, 2015, 04:50:19 pm
Why would it be removed though? The cost of DNA replication for a large organism is pretty low. I mean, you shouldn't assume that just because something is there, it is useful.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 20, 2015, 05:19:53 pm
Sheb raised the point I wanted to. Organisms are filled with redundant stuff. I've said before, nature trends towards two things: Hack jobs and efficiency, and somehow the latter comes from the former.
It's all a hack job.  But it's also all (at least anything that's been around for a handful of generations and not causing you problems) a hack-job that generally works.  Which is obviously more efficient than a hack job that doesn't, or an efficiency that falls over due to a critical loss of redundancy.

I mean, why even have two sets of genes?  Surely once the whole hot, steamy gamete-on-gamete mix'n'matching action is concluded, everyone could get away with one of each.  Except for the XX/XY pairing, where us men, at least, need the pair... but women can use just the single X though, right?

(We should all know the answer to those questions.  Consider them rhetorical.  Polyploidy (>2N) also seems to help greatly with adaptability of organisms (up to 12N, last I heard!), but it looks like we manage well enough at the level of diploid (2N), whether or not we could somehow reduce our functional genome to the haploid level if we really tried, by deliberate hacking and patching back up with the molecular equivalent of duct-tape.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on October 20, 2015, 08:20:22 pm
Junk DNA is a bit of a misnomer. If it were really junk, it would get removed from the genome pretty quickly naturally. It's not so much "Junk" DNA, it's more "We don't know what it does yet" DNA.
Just in case you missed it, that was my gist.  Possibly you didn't and you were expanding on what I said, though, in which case thank you.
More a case of me typing up my post, forgetting to hit send, and then coming back 50 minutes later with some ninja posts having happened and going "Screw it! Posting anyways!" :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on October 20, 2015, 08:36:38 pm
I've heard that most of the "junk" DNA is  different genomes that are triggered by environmental conditions. So somebody born in environment A would be different than someone born in environment B. Even if their DNA was exactly identical.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on October 24, 2015, 07:58:39 am
What is this? I leave for a month or two, and the space thread devolves into some kind of horror show hybrid of a David Icke (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Icke) and Jack Chick (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jack_T._Chick) marathon. WTF.

Anyway....

Concerning "Green cows"- Chlorophyll is not the most efficient quantum energy shuffling molecule out there. Recently, there was research into synthetic viral capsids that are more efficent at collecting photons and concentrating the resulting electron/hole pairs. The figures put clorophyll to shame. It should be noted that the capsid does not direct the energy into an actual process-- however, modifying the structures involved so that the energy actually is used for something seems to be a technically plausible scenario. 

http://news.mit.edu/2015/quantum-physics-engineered%20viruses-1014

The deal here is that chloropyll is only receptive to photons of certain narrow bands in the visible spectrum, where the synthetic chromophore compounds used in Loyd and Blecher's work can potentially use much wider bands, meaning much better overall energy absorbtion, coupled with an efficient transport system. If applied to actual organisms, the potential for vastly improved cellular processes in plants is quite apparent.

I somehow doubt that, given the potential for much wider bandwidth of useful spectra, that the resulting humans with such modifications would be green.  The ideal color would be black. (as in, REALLY black. Not brown.)


Concerning "Junk DNA", I direct you to the plant with the single largest genome-- It contains 'Junk DNA" from many different plant, bacterial, (and even animal) species, as the result of some SERIOUS horizontal gene transfers.
http://www.the-scientist.com/?articles.view/articleNo/38729/title/Genomes-Gone-Wild/



Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on October 24, 2015, 09:44:03 am
I've heard that most of the "junk" DNA is  different genomes that are triggered by environmental conditions. So somebody born in environment A would be different than someone born in environment B. Even if their DNA was exactly identical.

Quote
Even if their DNA was exactly identical.
Just 100% no on this. "Junk" DNA is part (most) of the total DNA, and all DNA resides in your 23 chromosome pairs. So someone with differing junk DNA cannot have "exactly identical" DNA at all.

What you're talking about - the genome triggering differently in different environmental conditions is called "epigenetics", i.e. changes independent and at a higher level than whatever DNA you happen to have, "junk" or otherwise. Yes, this happens, but the concept has 0% relationship with the "junk DNA" concept.

There's no objective basis for DNA being "junk". A "gene" means a section of DNA which codifies a protein or RNA sequence, and scientists took this to be the main building-block of the DNA. The set of all DNA was then called the "genome". So, semantically it made no sense to say that DNA which isn't part of a gene is part of the "genome" as well, so it got the "junk" label. But nature doesn't even know what "genes" are, it only knows DNA base pairs. Where one "gene" starts and ends is a human distinction, not something encoded into DNA in any objective sense.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on October 24, 2015, 09:53:41 am
Pretty much-- but there is also genuine "junk" in there. Things like deactivated retroviral DNA that became part of the germ line, repeating sequence transposons, run of the mill copy-errors, etc.

Another useful role for carrying such "junk" around, is that it reduces the likelihood that a random mutation (say, caused by a cosmic ray particle, or by UV exposure, or (insert ionization source here) happening in a vital section of DNA. If you carry around lots of non-coding junk, a mutation there wont kill you.  If your genome is "Super efficiently lean"-- a mutation is pretty much always a bad thing.

Evolution deals with the "Good enough"-- not with the "Theoretically ideal maximimum"

Another really interesting theory for carrying around lots of "junk", is that it helps with efficient chromosome packing (physical folding geometry of the chromosome) within the nucleus.

To wit:
http://jcb.rupress.org/content/157/4/579.abstract
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on October 24, 2015, 10:12:47 am
Quote
Another useful role for carrying such "junk" around, is that it reduces the likelihood that a random mutation (say, caused by a cosmic ray particle, or by UV exposure, or (insert ionization source here) happening in a vital section of DNA. If you carry around lots of non-coding junk, a mutation there wont kill you.  If your genome is "Super efficiently lean"-- a mutation is pretty much always a bad thing.

That would protect against some types of errors but not others. e.g. single base-pair copying errors which occur at a certain frequency per base-pair wouldn't benefit from junk DNA at all, since the number of errors scales linearly with the number of DNA bases.

For radiation sources it's sort of debatable too, because other non-DNA molecules also absorb UV and cosmic rays, so having a bigger DNA target wouldn't necessarily have a meaningful protective effect on other DNA. It's a bigger target now with the extra DNA. It's possible that it would protect against free radicals that actually get into the chromosome however.

So, for each mutation source, you'd have to see whether the amount of mutations scales linearly with the number of DNA bases or not. If it does scale linearly, then more junk would also mean more mutations, hence no actual protective effect.

http://jcb.rupress.org/content/157/4/579.abstract

Well, that really suggests that since chromosomes are folded up, the protein machinery can't get into some parts of the actual chromosome, so that coding genes need to be on the surface. (The obvious analogy being how brain "activity" is all on the surface but you clearly need all the other cells too). So the junk is the necessary scaffolding that keeps the genes on the outer part of the chromosome where they can be accessed. But this idea definitely contradicts the "protection from mutation" idea above, since if the outer parts are the important parts, how can the inner parts protect them in any meaningful way?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on October 24, 2015, 10:32:20 am
The leading source of mutation is transcription error. Deletions or multi-sequence repeat caused by DNA polymerase getting stuck at part of the strand, and puking out incorrectly copied DNA during replication.  This happens when the DNA is outside of the nucleus during cell division.

If you have some %FOO chance that this will happen, regardless of what DNA is being transcribed, having a certain amount of noncoding DNA provides some tolerance from this source contributing to catastrophic mutations.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on October 24, 2015, 01:14:25 pm
I'm not really sure this is connected to space anymore.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on October 24, 2015, 01:17:13 pm
I'm not really sure this is connected to space anymore.
Radiation damage.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 24, 2015, 01:42:25 pm
For radiation sources it's sort of debatable too, because other non-DNA molecules also absorb UV and cosmic rays, so having a bigger DNA target wouldn't necessarily have a meaningful protective effect on other DNA. It's a bigger target now with the extra DNA. It's possible that it would protect against free radicals that actually get into the chromosome however.
That is indeed something that I intended to mention, if I didn't.  Some repeating 'junk' base-pair sequences (e.g., for the sake of illustration, ATATATATATAT..., but it's probably not that, I'd have to go a-Googling to get the exact details) act as 'lightning rods', actually being more attractive to radical ions and taking damage (with or without a handy molecular tool, nearby that spots damaged ATATATATATs and repairs/neutralises it).

Given the likelihood of ATATATATAT coding for anything otherwise useful, and their tendency to be so 'attacked', that we have such strings in there (and repair functions to maintain/reinstate them) indicates that there is a 'use' which is beneficial to pass down (certainly, on balance, more useful than harmful), and current thinking (or at least as of a few years ago, when I heard about this) is that the lightning-rod function is at least part of it.

And yet, I think, the operational phrase there is "part of it".  While multiple genetic expressions are likely used to maintain mission-critical functions, for redundancy's sake, if an organism can derive multiple useful functions from a single region (perhaps overlapping in function with differing alternate mechanisms, elsewhere) combines both resilience and the potential to develop new and useful mutations without losing old ones.  Barring the "make use of errors" part, which is rarely good in computer data, consider it equivalent to a RAID0+1 striping-and-mirroring scheme for your server disc-set...


(And, I also forgot to say, DNA wraps up when not in use (unlike enzymes, which are proteins that wrap up in a mysterious way to be in use), so 'internal' bits of DNA aren't inaccessible, particularly, at least not when it counts.  But, if I understand the statement that led to this detail properly, someone is thinking that particular base-combos act as "pre-creased" bits of DNA that help direct the wrapping-up process... But I might be misunderstanding that part.  It's new to me, and I might have the wrong end of the wrong stick.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on October 25, 2015, 08:37:16 am
I'm not really sure this is connected to space anymore.
Radiation damage.
That might affect our (possibly jewish) slaves building the moon piramyds for the space pharaoh.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jaked122 on October 25, 2015, 09:19:16 pm
I know a way to deal with radiation damage!


I forgot about it earlier, but now I remember. Our genes can carry information, encoding basically anything, right?(Just so long as it doesn't transcribe into RNA and turn into protein, that'd be bad).


We can use Reed-Solomon encoding to store a massively self-correcting chromosome that contains the original information, encoded such that it may be correctly reassembled even if most of the pieces are broken. We can build an organelle for this, like deinococcus radiodurans, and before doing anything with it, we reassemble from this backup, which is more reliable than the original, and then once we reassemble the main genetic copy, we can reencode it repair the damage accrued to the reed-solomon store.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on October 25, 2015, 09:25:44 pm
What is the dangerous radiation belt around the earth? Van Halen belt? Anyways, we can get past it easily, it is donut-shaped so we can go over or under it I think.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jaked122 on October 25, 2015, 09:26:49 pm
I think that they ended up just braving it for the apollo programs because they passed through it quickly enough that it didn't matter.


Building a station there though, that's something we'd need to  avoid. Why would we do that though?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on October 25, 2015, 09:29:33 pm
I think that they ended up just braving it for the apollo programs because they passed through it quickly enough that it didn't matter.


Building a station there though, that's something we'd need to  avoid. Why would we do that though?
I know that the Apollo missions were at about 30% inclination, so they would have gone over most of it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on October 25, 2015, 09:48:33 pm
What is the dangerous radiation belt around the earth? Van Halen belt? Anyways, we can get past it easily, it is donut-shaped so we can go over or under it I think.
Pfft.  You just made me imagine a massive body of songs from these folk (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Van_Halen) orbiting the Earth.  Van Allen belts.  Yes, theoretically you can bypass the Van Allen belts entirely by going through the north or south magnetic poles.  This, however, is ridiculously fuel-inefficient.  If you launch from there, leaving aside the surface logistics of an Antarctic space launch facility, you lose most of the benefits of near-equatorial launches, which is the use of the Earth's own rotation as a sort of "booster" to save on fuel.  A polar transfer is not especially cheap fuel-wise, either.  Finally, you can still transit the Van Allen belts while still avoiding the worst of it; to elaborate on jaked's statement, the Apollo missions were planned on a trajectory to avoid the inner belts and only transited the outer belts, and most of the radiation received was actually from solar radiation once they left the Earth's magnetosphere entirely.  As noted, there isn't too much of a need to station humans within the belts on a long-term basis.  This actually brings up the major issue, though: the question of radiation damage is much more general than the Van Allen belts alone. 

That said, there's apparently a hypothetical project to drain the Van Allen belts by literally using conductive tethers to fly through it like a giant ground wire, which would also have the benefit of power generation until they succeed in their mission objective.  So, there is that...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on October 26, 2015, 02:24:46 am
If you want to see extreme rad resistance, you guys should check out rotifers. The little bugger can be exposed to doses of several hundred grays (At this stage, their DNA is cut in pieces averaging 500 bp) and survive like ti was nothing.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Morrigi on October 26, 2015, 09:56:02 am
I'm not really sure this is connected to space anymore.
Radiation damage.
That might affect our (possibly jewish) slaves building the moon piramyds for the space pharaoh.
But slaves were never actually used to build the Egyptian pyramids.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on October 26, 2015, 09:57:42 am
Silly Morrigi, these are moon pyramids, not Egyptian pyramids, and a space pharaoh rather than an Earth one.  They can use as many slaves as they wish. :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on October 26, 2015, 10:01:03 am
Yeah, pyramid building was almost certainly a way to channel everyone's labour into a community effort. Similar to how a war effort brings people together and stops dissent, probably. At the time of the pyramid building Egypt really didn't have a lot of outside enemies, so it makes sense they focused on keeping people busy. In the later period where Egypt was actually going out and conquering other places (thus getting a lot of slaves) they didn't build any of the large structures. In other words the conquest and empire took the place of the megaprojects, rather than providing labour for megaprojects.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on October 26, 2015, 11:08:37 am
I'm not really sure this is connected to space anymore.
Radiation damage.
That might affect our (possibly jewish) slaves building the moon piramyds for the space pharaoh.
But slaves were never actually used to build the Egyptian pyramids.
Didn't you see that documentary.... Exodus?
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on October 26, 2015, 11:15:44 am
I think that Exodus (the book) says that the slaves made the bricks, not the structures themselves.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on October 26, 2015, 11:16:01 am
I think that Exodus (the book) says that the slaves made the bricks, not the structures themselves.
And the movie.
Well,  The Ten Commandments.  Not necessarily any movie named Exodus.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on October 26, 2015, 11:22:07 am
I think that Exodus (the book) says that the slaves made the bricks, not the structures themselves.
Indeed, I just went back and checked, since I was curious.  Exodus cites "harsh labor in brick and mortar and with all kinds of work in the fields," as well as attributing the construction of Pithom and Rameses to them.  I don't see anything about pyramids, though I do tend to be a bit blind; that may have been a later conflation of separate construction works due to the notion that "Egyptian = pyramid."
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Morrigi on October 26, 2015, 01:38:00 pm
Regardless, Exodus is not a reliable source.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on October 26, 2015, 02:43:43 pm
All the major pyramids were built around the middle of the third millenium BC, about 1000 years before exodus could have happened. This also puts to rest the alien/pyramid theories. Because they really did suck at building the earlier pyramids and took a while to perfect the art.

The third dynasty built stepped pyramids from circa 2650BC to 2610BC, by merely building a slab tomb, then building smaller and smaller slab tombs on top of those. So a pretty obvious development from earlier architechture.

Then Sneferu of the fourth dynasty tried to make regular pyramids by merely filling in the steps with smaller stones. It took him at least three goes at building proper pyramids to make one that didn't completely suck (the-one-that-fell-over, then the-bent-one, then the not-very-tall-one). Then his desecendents for the next 100 years made all the proper pyramids we know today. After that, things went to shit, and so did the art of pyramid building. So regular pyramids lasted for 100 years, with 50 years worth of step pyramids before that. All later pyramids were sorry sacks of shit.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on October 26, 2015, 02:46:29 pm
Regardless, Exodus is not a reliable source.
No, but considering this all started from a sarcastic joke along that exact line, it is amusing to point out that for all its fallacies and likely its complete inaccuracy from base premises (that is, the notion that there were a significant number of Hebrew slaves in Egypt in the first place), even Exodus itself doesn't make the pop-culture mistake of Jews building Egyptian pyramids.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on October 26, 2015, 03:55:23 pm
(http://static-media.fxx.com/img/FX_Networks_-_FXX/950/643/Simpsons_10_18_P2.jpg?resize=600:*)
This is what I had in mind when I made the joke, no need to derail the thread further.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on October 26, 2015, 05:05:26 pm
Regardless, Exodus is not a reliable source.
It's a more reliable source than no source though.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Graknorke on October 26, 2015, 05:28:15 pm
No source has no reliability. It literally has no value to compare, so you can't.

But yes something is at least more useful than nothing, since you can try and look at the culture it was written in.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on October 26, 2015, 06:04:46 pm
That's how we know we truly are in one of the branches of Yggdrasil, the World Tree.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on October 27, 2015, 01:14:39 am
Regardless, Exodus is not a reliable source.
It's a more reliable source than no source though.
I think it's important to differentiate between "acting as our only source because no other more reliable sources exist" and "acting as our only source because we don't want to look at other sources". While Exodus can certainly count as the first for societal research about the people of the time in which it was written (which was mainly not the time in which it is set), it's definitely the second one for historical research, to the point where even religious Israeli historians agree that it's a bunch of anachronistic stories that didn't really happen as described. :P

In more spacey aimed stuff, it seems like some of our space trash is coming back (https://www.rt.com/news/319788-moon-space-debris-wtf/). From the sound of things it isn't going to be a problem, though it looks like labs are going to use this as an excellent training exercise and field test for many of the protocols that would be used if a more dangerous piece of space stuff (like say, a large asteroid), was headed towards us.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 27, 2015, 02:57:37 am
That's how we know we truly are in one of the branches of Yggdrasil, the World Tree.
It's turtles all the way down!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on October 27, 2015, 07:48:55 am
In more spacey aimed stuff, it seems like some of our space trash is coming back (https://www.rt.com/news/319788-moon-space-debris-wtf/). From the sound of things it isn't going to be a problem, though it looks like labs are going to use this as an excellent training exercise and field test for many of the protocols that would be used if a more dangerous piece of space stuff (like say, a large asteroid), was headed towards us.
And of course, people are claiming that it is aliens and the government is lying to us.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on October 27, 2015, 07:55:31 am
In more spacey aimed stuff, it seems like some of our space trash is coming back (https://www.rt.com/news/319788-moon-space-debris-wtf/). From the sound of things it isn't going to be a problem, though it looks like labs are going to use this as an excellent training exercise and field test for many of the protocols that would be used if a more dangerous piece of space stuff (like say, a large asteroid), was headed towards us.
And of course, people are claiming that it is aliens and the government is lying to us.
Ugh, I hate those people. Specially when it's obviously a ruse to hide bigfoot.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on October 27, 2015, 07:58:05 am
In more spacey aimed stuff, it seems like some of our space trash is coming back (https://www.rt.com/news/319788-moon-space-debris-wtf/). From the sound of things it isn't going to be a problem, though it looks like labs are going to use this as an excellent training exercise and field test for many of the protocols that would be used if a more dangerous piece of space stuff (like say, a large asteroid), was headed towards us.
And of course, people are claiming that it is aliens and the government is lying to us.
Ugh, I hate those people. Specially when it's obviously a ruse to hide bigfoot.
:P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on October 27, 2015, 10:41:46 am
In more spacey aimed stuff, it seems like some of our space trash is coming back (https://www.rt.com/news/319788-moon-space-debris-wtf/). From the sound of things it isn't going to be a problem, though it looks like labs are going to use this as an excellent training exercise and field test for many of the protocols that would be used if a more dangerous piece of space stuff (like say, a large asteroid), was headed towards us.
And of course, people are claiming that it is aliens and the government is lying to us.
Ugh, I hate those people. Specially when it's obviously a ruse to hide bigfoot.
You're not thinking combinatorially! Obviously Bigfoot is and alien! :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on October 27, 2015, 10:56:03 am
No, You gotta get at least 3 in a row to score big points.

Bigfoot is the result of atavism in human alien hybrids.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on October 27, 2015, 10:57:39 am
Bigfoot is the result of atavism in human alien hybrids.
Guess it's time to go alert the XCOM2 team then. I'll be hiding out in my basement and praying that we build enough satellites. :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: ShadowHammer on October 27, 2015, 08:38:25 pm
Yay, back to space! In other, not earth threatening news, I just watched this youtube video (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5ZlD8s4EUy0) about space travel technologies. It seemed pretty good, but then I got to this part (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5ZlD8s4EUy0&t=5m22s). Owwwww.
Despite the guy being rather annoying and a little bit wrong though, it's a pretty good list of alternatives to chemical rockets.

edit: I came off pretty condescending there, so I should say: I wasn't trying to! It's actually a pretty good video. Good work, TestTube+ guy!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 31, 2015, 10:46:51 pm
Attack of the spooky space pareidolia! (http://www.theguardian.com/science/video/2015/oct/31/spooky-skull-asteroid-earth-halloween-science-space-video)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jaked122 on November 01, 2015, 12:52:34 am
I'm just mad that they all it a "spooky asteroid"

All asteroids are either terrifying or lumps of rock. This is the latter.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Jopax on November 03, 2015, 06:42:58 pm
SHINY! (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6tmbeLTHC_0)

I'd love to have this as a screensaver of some sort, it's rather calming for a giant flaming ball of flaming space fire.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on November 03, 2015, 06:49:26 pm
You could make it one???
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on November 04, 2015, 02:51:18 pm
Well, NASA has stated they are going to announce an "exciting" discovery re: Mars (http://www.news.com.au/technology/science/nasa-flags-major-mars-discovery/story-fnjwlcze-1227596662868) tomorrow. The 'net is abuzz with "it's life isn't it? I hope it's life". So anything less than that is going to be a huge disappointment. It's kinda obvious that people would make that leap if you just dangle out "major discovery! you will be excited", so whatever it is must be life or something equally cool. Let's hope they found something like algae growing there somewhere.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on November 04, 2015, 03:08:40 pm
People always jump to "LIFE", why not "a new compound?" "Some seismic activity" "Other trace gases" or something else.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on November 04, 2015, 03:12:42 pm
Because life is a lot more dramatic, interesting, and relevant to the everyman than "other trace gases".
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on November 04, 2015, 03:31:10 pm
Well, NASA has really set themselves up for ridicule if it's something boring by the way they've trickled out teasers.

EDIT: I did some more snooping, and it seems to be related to probes of the Martian atmosphere, specifically studying how the atmosphere has changed over time:
http://www.sciencealert.com/nasa-is-making-a-big-announcement-about-mars-s-atmosphere-this-thursday

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 04, 2015, 03:35:09 pm
They did the same when they found water for the x-th time.

It'll be sometging atmosphere related.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on November 04, 2015, 03:48:01 pm
Put me down in the sweepstake for "Mars actually tastes of strawberry".

Unlikely?  Maybe, but if I'm right... ...I will expect you to all to bow down and proclaim me your God.


(PS: Meant to bring to your attention this strange thing (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-edinburgh-east-fife-34712877).  And now I have...)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on November 04, 2015, 06:52:25 pm
More EMdrive noise. (http://nextbigfuture.com/2015/11/nasa-eagleworks-has-tested-upgraded.html)

I don't want to hope, but I'm hoping. People keep saying it might make free energy, but that is not necessarily true; it's quite unclear what's going on inside that thing.

It's just... a 32 month round trip to Saturn and back.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on November 04, 2015, 06:58:28 pm
It's bizarre how many rounds it has held up. I'm not investing until we get a checked vacuum test, but its at least unusually good at being found out, whatever the thrust is.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on November 04, 2015, 07:06:00 pm
More EMdrive noise. (http://nextbigfuture.com/2015/11/nasa-eagleworks-has-tested-upgraded.html)

I don't want to hope, but I'm hoping. People keep saying it might make free energy, but that is not necessarily true; it's quite unclear what's going on inside that thing.

It's just... a 32 month round trip to Saturn and back.

The problem is that the sites citing evidence about the EMdrive are way more fringe that sites citing evidence for cold fusion. I mean, compare the EMdrive news to this:

http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/03/090323110450.htm

- first, you have "Science Daily". Which is arguably one of the most mainstream science-only reporting site that exists.

- They cite the "American Chemical Society" as the source of the story, which is a mainstream science body. It's the umbrella organization for chemical scientists in the USA.

- The story has actual quotes from named PhD researchers from "US Navy's Space and Naval Warfare Systems Center (SPAWAR)", which is a reputable institution. And you can google the quoted scientists and find out they've published papers about the subject in relevant peer-reviewed journals.

But with all those verifiable levels of detail, most people will still say the story is a load of shit. So what does that say about hard-to-verify EMdrive claims on kooky-sounding websites like "next big future"? The claims are complete wank compared to even cold fusion claims.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on November 04, 2015, 07:14:08 pm
More EMdrive noise. (http://nextbigfuture.com/2015/11/nasa-eagleworks-has-tested-upgraded.html)

Are they trying to make it look like pure technobabble?

I follow what they're trying to do (well, I think I do!), but there's at least three erroneous technical details that I saw that they could have done better proofreading, to catch, and the result looks like them throwing a load of buzzwords together to obfuscate the whole experiment.  IMO.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on November 04, 2015, 07:32:49 pm
I read the article-- It was about how Nasa-Eagleworks has modified their experiment to account for additional sources of potential error. It acknowledges that there is still a problem with thermal expansion under load, which can cause an erroneous signal, especially while under vacuum. This last bit is quite telling; it means you haven't been paying attention Starver-- It has been getting tested in a vacuum chamber. (And on earth, there is only so much evacuation of the test chamber that can be accomplished. There's no such thing as a true vacuum. There will ALWAYS be a few stray atoms of gas in the chamber.)

Besides, wasn't EmDrive independently tested and confirmed by the chinese? How many confirmations WOULD it take to be considered "confirmed", in your opinion?  Remember, science is expensive yo.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on November 04, 2015, 07:47:41 pm
If you go off one single verification, then you'd have to automatically accept cold fusion, since not just dozens, but almost 100 labs around the world reported verification from 1989 to around 1994 when I read about it in New Scientist.

I mean, the US Navy's Spawar labs were one of the labs claiming they verified the original Fleischman-Pons experiment in the early 1990's. I remember reading (in New Scientist magazine, not a website) that they got no reaction at all with most palladium cathodes, then they stuck a different one in and got a reaction. So they said "what's different about these ones?", and had them chemically analysed, and it turns out the ones that worked for the Fleischman-Pons experiment had specific impurities - boron specifically. So, if you do the test with pure palladium you get nothing but if you have a palladium/boron alloy then you get the reaction. That of course doesn't explain what's going on or claim it's fusion, it just explains why some people failed to replicate the experimental data by following the "steps" that Fleischman-Pons took.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on November 04, 2015, 07:57:09 pm
This last bit is quite telling; it means you haven't been paying attention Starver
Wut?

I know they were using a vacuum chamber, etc.  I never said they weren't.  I think you're reading something in what I said that I didn't even touch...

(And, when it comes to the Chinese 'confirmation', the Pons/Fleischmann 'Cold Fusion' results were at one point 'confirmed' by the likes of Texas A&M and Georgia Tech, before such results were withdrawn.  Last I heard about the Chinese researchers was that "publicity is very unwelcome", and apart from the normally-reticent nature of information transfer out of China, it also reminds me of South Korean Hwang Woo-suk who extensively fabricated his cell-line cloning experiments, among other things.  It might be a good idea to get a more consistent and global support for the concept of a reactionless drive before we start just throwing away Occam's razor without a care in the world...  Open minds are good, but they can be too open...)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on November 04, 2015, 07:59:11 pm
Yes, but I was looking for a number. I agree, it's a very shaky plot, that only has two points of data.

However, one needs to consider the chain of discovery here.

1) The Cannae group "discovers" anomalous thrust on one of their test articles. They ask reputable scientists to test it. Fearing "cold fusion" backlash from such research, said reputable scientists dont want to touch it. They asks China.

2) China tests it, and likes the results enough to build a freaking HUGE test article; they report absurd amounts of thrust, given the energy input. (enough to exceed the thrust that would be expected through thermal excitation alone, given the energy delivered to the test article.)

3) In the US, Nasa-Eagleworks decides to test it further. They develop the Q-Thruster modelling framework hypothesis for the device, and begin more detailed testing. Their results with a number of different instruments show a clear alteration of photon paths in vacuum when test articles are active, which is how they derived their Q-thruster model parameters.

At this point in the game, we need experimental refutation of the Q-thruster modelling framework postulated by the Eagleworks team.  Not rhetorical grandstanding arguments.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on November 04, 2015, 08:04:31 pm
At this point in the game, we need experimental refutation of the Q-thruster modelling framework postulated by the Eagleworks team.
Wrong way round.

Extraordinary claims need extraordinary proof.

ETA: That probably looks very blunt.  Let's put it this way: At this point in the game, it's the same as the Italian physics lab tentatively saying that it appears that it is detecting faster-than-light neutrinos from CERN.  Everyone knew that they had to check that there weren't experimental errors involved.  Of course, the media picked it up and ran with it, before it before they discovered that there were experimental errors, in that case...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on November 04, 2015, 08:07:38 pm
Considering the degree of laser light deflection in at least 3 different kinds of interferometer that eagleworks has used to examine the test articles, Unless you are claiming that eagleworks is straight up fabricating data, there is clearly something going on in the q-thruster. 

Given that the test articles are not that sophisticated, and that laser interferometers are not that unusual for precision instrumentation in labs, this kind of research could be mass replicated, but isnt.

Why? "OMG! Its cold fusion all over again! Ooow my funding!"
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on November 04, 2015, 08:16:42 pm
Why? "OMG! Its cold fusion all over again! Ooow my funding!"

As I obviously ETAed it after you replied, I'll also put it in the reply.  It's more like "OMG! It's faster-than-light neutrinos all over again!"  More testing!  More rigour!  More people replicating the results!  Then we can talk.

Eagleworks probably isn't fabricating data (and, for all I know, neither is NWPU), just like OPERA didn't.  But more science please, to make sure there aren't any trivial errors...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on November 04, 2015, 08:18:35 pm
There seems to be some confusion about the peer-review status of the paper on EMdrive (https://hacked.com/emgate-wars-continue-publication-peer-reviewed-emdrive-paper/). It was published in Acta Astronautica, which is a supposedly peer review journal according to the article.

But unfortunately, there are two unrelated publications called "Acta Astronautica". One is the peer-review journal (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Acta_Astronomica), and the other is the monthly journal of the International Academy of Astronautics (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Academy_of_Astronautics) which basically covers interesting developments in space travel research, and I'm guessing is not as rigorous in the review as the older and more prestigious independent Acta Astronomica.

I checked the source cited from the hacked article, and it's Acta Astronomica with publisher listed as International Academy of Astronautics. So it's the society's gazette and not the peer-review academic journal. Kinda confusing all this.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on November 04, 2015, 08:24:15 pm
Why? "OMG! Its cold fusion all over again! Ooow my funding!"

As I obviously ETAed it after you replied, I'll also put it in the reply.  It's more like "OMG! It's faster-than-light neutrinos all over again!"  More testing!  More rigour!  More people replicating the results!  Then we can talk.

Eagleworks probably isn't fabricating data (and, for all I know, neither is NWPU), just like OPERA didn't.  But more science please, to make sure there aren't any trivial errors...


Which is exactly what I was decrying-- This isn't like the OPERA experiment, where it cost billions of dollars to build the testing suite, which naturally discourages third party verification.  We are talking a simple test article that can be fabricated with minimal effort by a bozo in his garage, and a laser interferometer. 

Other than "OMG! It hurts my reputability to even CONSIDER testing this!" as an explanation, what other is there for the q-thruster not being more widely tested independently?

More bluntly-- Why is EagleWorks the ONLY research group willing to look at this?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on November 04, 2015, 08:27:43 pm
If bozo can build it in his garage then that's dubious in a different way. Go make a working on then drive it down the street. The visual proof of something moving should convince everyone.

Well, the lack of a peer-reviewed paper to analyse probably has a lot to do with it. Go publish a paper. Also the way almost all the knowledge comes from some fringe website no-one ever heard of wouldn't grow confidence in the scientific community that there's something worth investigating. That would be like me uncovering a political scandal then only posting about it on the forums of infowars.com, then complaining that no-one takes my inside information seriously.

I mean, the trickle of insider information from "Paul March" that's basically written to be deliberate unreadable is another red flag. It's like he's deliberately trying to make it look more crackpot with every utterance. Go write a blog, or articles on a less-fringe website, and use language that can be understood as non-gibberish if Paul March is really interested in getting support. I mean if you ONLY post a wall of technobabble on forum.nasaspaceflight.com, and that's 99% of your public-relations efforts, you're an idiot who deserves to lose your funding. Either keep your mouth shut or make press releases.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on November 04, 2015, 08:37:54 pm
Think critically about what you are actually saying there though.

The reason why Q-thruster is not being published in reputable journals, is because the editorial boards of the reputable journals wont accept such papers-- Due to lack of peer review. (Which they wont get much of, since they arent in a reputable journal)

Its a vicious little circle.

About the best they could probably muster is Arxiv. You can totally forget getting this into Elsevier unless several big labs got behind it to add clout.

Also, RE: Bozo driving down the street--- There are plenty of Youtube videos of bozos building and testing the emdrive, with varying levels of experimental quality control. (I would not consider that good evidence personally, given the nature of youtube hoaxing.) Basically, this kind of proof does not convince anyone-- let alone everyone.  The fact that Eagleworks is actively listening to criticism and altering its test aparatus accordingly indicates that peer review *IS* happening. That scientists are bad at PR is not surprising; that isn't what they do for a living.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on November 04, 2015, 08:51:59 pm
More bluntly-- Why is EagleWorks the ONLY research group willing to look at this?

Quote from: Wikipedia says that Eagleworks...
...is a small research group investigating a variety of fringe theories regarding novel forms of spacecraft propulsion.
(My italics.)

Also, we're at danger of conflating the Q-Thruster (Quantum Vacuum Thruster) and the EMDrive (RF Resonant Cavity Thruster).  These are both being investigated at APPL/Eagleworks, but are different things.



Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on November 04, 2015, 09:00:41 pm
Yup-- Eagleworks already has a "Sullied" reputation, because it specializes in testing fringe propulsion theories.

It is showing findings that support EmDrive and Q-Thruster as being "hey, these actually seem to work guys!" kind of things.

The response:

We need you to publish your findings in journals that wont accept your papers because you are a fringe research group-- before we will look at your findings. Too bad you cant publish them there! You obviously cant expect us to replicate your work without reading about it first, can you? I mean, the gall-- asking us to read OTHER publications! The scandal!

(and note, Q-thruster is basically just a resonant cavity tuned to a specific RF modulation mode, that contains a dialectric element. The Q-thruster IS an Emdrive, but not all Emdrive designs are Q-thrusters.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on November 04, 2015, 09:08:11 pm
All mirrors ans smoke I think. I do hope is rigth. As I already said, it would lay the fundations of our expansion to the stars.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on November 04, 2015, 09:16:44 pm
The only way to be sure, is to independently test.

But nobody is independently testing. (Because "Woooo! cold fusion!")

Thats what I am bitching about. If you think Q-thruster is Hokum, then test and publish your refutation.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on November 04, 2015, 09:17:40 pm
The only way to be sure, is to independently test.

But nobody is independently testing. (Because "Woooo! cold fusion!")

Thats what I am bitching about. If you think Q-thruster is Hokum, then test and publish your refutation.
^^^
<xkcd>They're probably too busy playing Minecraft.</xkcd>
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bumber on November 04, 2015, 09:26:16 pm
The thrust could be due to stuff inside the device being incinerated. (https://www.reddit.com/r/worldnews/comments/3ertp3/scientists_confirm_impossible_em_drive_propulsion/cti45hy) In which case it's no better than an ion drive.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on November 04, 2015, 09:34:19 pm
Now THAT is peer review!

Something specific and testable, that the experiment can be adjusted to test for and or eliminate from the results.

"It wont work because physics!" is not peer review.

We'll see if Eagleworks addresses material vaporization as a possible source of thrust.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on November 04, 2015, 10:21:21 pm
(and note, Q-thruster is basically just a resonant cavity tuned to a specific RF modulation mode, that contains a dialectric element. The Q-thruster IS an Emdrive, but not all Emdrive designs are Q-thrusters.)
Quantum Vacuum Plasma Thrusters are different from RF Resonant Cavity Thrusters, though, with different (proposed) mechanisms behind their 'creation' of momentum.  (The first allegedly creates and ejects reaction-mass from virtual particles, thus getting around the need for a 'reaction mass' supply, the second involves unequal radiation pressures at each end of a chamber, thus getting around the need for any reaction mass.)

Unless somebody is deliberately conflating it all into one confusing mess, which it increasingly sounds like they are...

I probably should wait until someone can come up with a half-decent theory (that explains which effect they're actually trying to use), rather than inventing something just a hop-and-a-skip away from a Perpetual Motion engine (let's call it a PME of the zeroeth kind, as nobody is claiming actual inputless-perpetuity or the creation of energy from nothing, a la PMEs of the first and second kind, merely creation of momentum-change from nothing) and trying to work out what it isn't doing, out of so many possibilities, one theory at a time.  That's just too slapdash, whatever the budget and engineering difficulty behind it all...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Putnam on November 04, 2015, 10:51:14 pm
free energy

this is the most terrifying phrase in all of existence
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on November 05, 2015, 12:13:13 am
free energy

this is the most terrifying phrase in all of existence

It's a big assumption on top of the big assumption that EM drives work. EM drives would have to work in a really naieve way for them to do that.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MrWiggles on November 07, 2015, 07:35:54 pm
Well, thats the big hurdle, and why anyone with  doctorate is staying away from it.  The Laws of Thermodynamics are tantamount to immutable.  So while, yes anything can be replace and thrown out... the laws of thermodynamics are a special case.


Its entirely to happenstance that we've manage to apply so much of our knowledge into functional application, and build upon our knowledge so much for thermodynamics to be wrong.  It touches upon everything. And it would mean that we know nothing.

If the EM drive is working then it cannot be violating thermodynamics. It must be some nuance reactions on the boundary of the quantum and macro world, which we're currently really shitty at explaining.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on November 24, 2015, 08:02:47 am
Private rocket news... (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-34909713)

Might be of interest.

(The end bit about the (almost literal) dredging up of Apollo hardware was quite interesting, IMO.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on November 24, 2015, 10:08:06 am
A video which also shows the first stage safely landing. Very good job there. That's gonna go a long way in making space flight cheaper.

https://youtu.be/9pillaOxGCo
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Arx on November 24, 2015, 12:13:33 pm
Quote from: Elon Musk on Twitter
Jeff maybe unaware SpaceX suborbital VTOL flight began 2013. Orbital water landing 2014. Orbital land landing next. https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=2t15vP1PyoA …

#ShotsFired
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on November 24, 2015, 12:29:24 pm
It's getting Musky up in here.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on November 24, 2015, 02:17:24 pm
Technically, grasshopper never went about a 1000 meters.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: That Wolf on November 24, 2015, 06:53:26 pm
So we are going back to the moon.
I guess all your hard word and determination payed off guys!
Thats what happens when you constantly ask and talk about it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Eagleon on November 24, 2015, 07:00:23 pm
The thrust could be due to stuff inside the device being incinerated. (https://www.reddit.com/r/worldnews/comments/3ertp3/scientists_confirm_impossible_em_drive_propulsion/cti45hy) In which case it's no better than an ion drive.
Called it, kinda:
Have they ruled out thermal pitting yet on the surface of the larger section? Just heat forming microscopic spalls from overstressed metal crystals that are ejected like rocket fuel? This is probably completely the wrong place to ask, but I saw heat diagrams where the bigger half was getting much hotter on their forums and I'm a little concerned.
I'm off to give myself a trophy or something hue. *forever a layperson*
Edit: I just thought of something - the angle of the cone and its surface area, vs the surface area of the larger flat surface, should influence the vector of any ejected material on each side, and so its impulse in either direction. The thrust profile should match accordingly. Boom. *drops mic*
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on November 24, 2015, 09:54:07 pm
We are going back what? A link? Source? Something?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Arx on December 12, 2015, 12:52:40 pm
Japanese probe now in orbit around Venus, after a mishap sent it for a loop around the sun. (https://www.sciencenews.org/article/japanese-spacecraft-reaches-venus-%E2%80%94-five-years-late)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on December 15, 2015, 12:44:37 pm
Soyuz 45 which launched earlier has docked with the ISS.

Something went wrong with the automated docking system, so they had to switch to manual.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on December 15, 2015, 04:01:46 pm
Soyuz 45 which launched earlier has docked with the ISS.

Something went wrong with the automated docking system, so they had to switch to manual.
Don't worry, even if the American on board isn't culturally used to driving anything that isn't automatic, there's a Brit on board who will surely know how to drive manual1... ;)

(Not that anyone here will know who I'm talking about, without looking up who they are, but I met and talked with Gordon Brooks and Clive Smith back in 1990...  almost my closest link to astronaut/cosmonaut candidates, but not quite...)

1 i.e. 'stick shift' gears... :p
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on December 15, 2015, 05:51:16 pm
Japanese probe now in orbit around Venus, after a mishap sent it for a loop around the sun. (https://www.sciencenews.org/article/japanese-spacecraft-reaches-venus-%E2%80%94-five-years-late)
Got there in the end.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: redwallzyl on December 16, 2015, 06:14:07 pm
anyone interested in becoming an astronaut?
http://www.npr.org/2015/12/16/459691082/nasa-s-looking-for-astronauts-do-you-have-the-right-stuff

man some people in the comments. seriously.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Graknorke on December 16, 2015, 06:19:10 pm
anyone interested in becoming an astronaut?
http://www.npr.org/2015/12/16/459691082/nasa-s-looking-for-astronauts-do-you-have-the-right-stuff

man some people in the comments. seriously.
Quote from: comments
universities should be as selective
Quote from: article
To be an astronaut, you need a degree in a scientific field, vision correctable to 20/20, and you've got to stand between 4 feet, 8.5 inches tall and 6 foot 4.
it's almost as if commenters don't even read the articles

And who doesn't want to be an astronaut? Probably the easier question to ask.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: redwallzyl on December 16, 2015, 06:21:56 pm
a lot of them also seem to be under the impression that astronauts do nothing but float around and take pictures all day.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on December 16, 2015, 06:45:03 pm
a lot of them also seem to be under the impression that astronauts do nothing but float around and take pictures all day.
well, the floating around part is more or less accurate :)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on December 16, 2015, 06:49:50 pm
For some reason, this suddenly came to mind...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yCalLq9iDiw
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jaked122 on December 16, 2015, 09:41:09 pm
a lot of them also seem to be under the impression that astronauts do nothing but float around and take pictures all day.
Are you saying that you'd rather be doing what you're doing now than floating around, performing repairs, science, and using complicated toilets?


It's also not like they aren't paid reasonably well(66k a year), and they have the best vantage point for a nuclear war... Just so long as they don't have family, and nobody decides to nuke them too out of spite.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on December 16, 2015, 09:47:50 pm
For some reason, this suddenly came to mind...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yCalLq9iDiw
Wait... Her ship IMPLODED from the vacuum of space??? Can you even physics??
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on December 16, 2015, 09:51:00 pm
For some reason, this suddenly came to mind...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yCalLq9iDiw
Wait... Her ship IMPLODED from the vacuum of space??? Can you even physics??
?!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bumber on December 16, 2015, 09:57:02 pm
Are you saying that you'd rather be doing what you're doing now than floating around, performing repairs, science, and using complicated toilets?
The food's probably not that great.

Not to mention the radiation, muscle atrophy, etc.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bumber on December 16, 2015, 10:08:35 pm
Radiation's not that bad due to protection since you're in the magnetosphere, food's not terrible IIRC and muscle atrophy? You exercise in space for a reason.
You're still at a greater risk for cancer. Well, you can't have a decent pizza or anything. Yes, lots more exercising.

There's probably limits on free time and internet, too.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on December 17, 2015, 02:50:18 am
There's probably limits on free time and internet, too.
<INSERT WILHELM SCREAM!!!!!!!!!!>
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Arx on December 17, 2015, 03:01:42 am
Radiation's not that bad due to protection since you're in the magnetosphere, food's not terrible IIRC and muscle atrophy? You exercise in space for a reason.
You're still at a greater risk for cancer. Well, you can't have a decent pizza or anything. Yes, lots more exercising.

There's probably limits on free time and internet, too.

There's significant muscle and bone atrophy (more bone), it would be hell on your claustrophobia if you have it, and astronauts appear to age faster.

The ISS could also get clipped by a micrometeor big enough to cause serious damage.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on December 17, 2015, 03:22:04 am
There's significant muscle and bone atrophy (more bone)
Yeah, exercise can only do so much, and some of the more long-term effects of life in space on your body are currently fairly hotbed areas of research. Our first 1 year stay in space experiment won't end for another 3 months, at which point the scientists will finally have the data they need to start drawing some real conclusions about longer-term effects.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on December 18, 2015, 08:05:09 am
With the new Congressional budget for FY 2016 out, NASA's getting MORE than they requested (http://www.iflscience.com/space/congress-just-gave-nasa-massive-budget-next-year/). And nearly $1.3 billion more than last year.  :o

Who are these people, and what did they do with Congress? You know what? I don't even care.

Major funding boosts to the SLS, the Orion, and the Commercial Crew program. Appears that manned spaceflight is back in vogue.

Also, Congress mandated a probe to land on Europa in the next decade. I....really can't explain that one, unless somebody read Clarke's 2010, saw the bit about "All these worlds are yours, except Europa. Attempt no landing there." and said "Oh yeah? Hey NASA, go land there. 'MURRICA FUCK YEAH!"
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on December 18, 2015, 08:22:45 am
Maybe they realized there's more "oil" in space than on earth, and there's no pesky brown people living there? :P Hahahaha...

Seriously, those are exciting news. I love the Earth and all that crap, but I think mankind should be expending at least 30% to 40% of all it's available resources into becoming capable of getting the hell outta here. Pronto.

Not that we are going anywhere or leaving the Earth, but that we need the option to do so and start expanding our species everywhere we can, it's the only way to be sure of our really long term survival.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on December 18, 2015, 08:29:51 am
Yeah, unfortunately there are a few problems with the budget omnibus. Most importantly, the next mass surveillance, anti privacy bill has been put into it. Basically, they're trying, and probably going to succeed in passing this controversial bill without debate because the president and such won't risk the entire budget.

That's why it's so high.

http://www.wired.com/2015/12/congress-slips-cisa-into-omnibus-bill-thats-sure-to-pass/
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on December 18, 2015, 09:27:56 am
My suspicions are that at least part of the reason is recent tensions (or on-again-off-again 'frenemies' situation) has highlighted that currently the only bus to the ISS is Soyuz (with the next option being Shenzou, being my first thought, which almost certainly has its own political issues - especially if we get to the point that Soyuz is irrevocably out of reach).

I also think that some people thought that the promotion of the X-Prize was supposed to create a viable vendor/carrier (or a competitive range of them) that could eventually be outsourced-to without it being an explicit government programme.  It seems to have encouraged the creation of Dragon/Falcon, and others on the way, but man-rating to-orbit is taking some time (for those vehicles that were both intended to be man-rated and orbital).

But, no. The US really needs their new Apollo-reboot/retool, to avoid being held for ransom.  Effectively.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on December 18, 2015, 10:33:53 am
The budget bill also removes the restrictions that forced ULA to stop using Russian rocket engines, so I don't think it's an independence from the russians thing.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Wolfhunter107 on December 21, 2015, 08:47:45 pm
The first stage of ORBCOMM 2's Falcon 9 launcher has just landed. Oh yeah.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on December 22, 2015, 12:20:49 am
Ah, got there before me.  I was going to post that (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-35157782), too.

An interesting milestone, I'd say.  (Although who knows how naive this view might become in the light of future developments.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: andrea on December 22, 2015, 01:28:16 am
the interesting thing will be how much it costs t oprepare it for launch again. I wonder when they will launch an used booster for the first time ( this one I think they will most likely take apart to study)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on December 22, 2015, 01:43:53 am
From what I was seeing, the landing failures had more to do with having a very tiny recovery platform, that was moving/unstable. (barge, on water.)

The strut related launch failure was a bonafide engineering problem, but they have fixed it.

SpaceX's rocketry looks very good on the whole.  I can see them disassembling this lower stage to check for any unexpected stresses or findings, but I dont anticipate that there will be much of consequence found.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: andrea on December 22, 2015, 01:54:55 am
Still, it is a rather novel situation, exploring the wear and tear of an intact falcon 9 just returned from an orital launch. Anything they find will be unexpected, because they have little to base their expectationon.
Before they refly, they need to know which parts are worn, which are ok, which needs to be replaced. That is how they can assess refurbishment costs, and estimate the number of times it can fly. Considering the kind of job rockets do, I can't see them having a service life as long as, lets say, airplanes. But even just 3-4 times, it would be an interesting change.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on December 22, 2015, 02:30:00 am
And now I'm wanting to try something like this out in KSP....  :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Morrigi on December 22, 2015, 04:07:34 am
Well, SpaceX just wrote itself into the history books.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sneakey pete on December 22, 2015, 06:03:44 am
Still, it is a rather novel situation, exploring the wear and tear of an intact falcon 9 just returned from an orital launch. Anything they find will be unexpected, because they have little to base their expectationon.
Before they refly, they need to know which parts are worn, which are ok, which needs to be replaced. That is how they can assess refurbishment costs, and estimate the number of times it can fly. Considering the kind of job rockets do, I can't see them having a service life as long as, lets say, airplanes. But even just 3-4 times, it would be an interesting change.

Indeed, they may have to update some of their design to make it last longer. I'd imagine they'd want the not easy to replace bits (tanks, the body, etc) able to last all about the same amount. Engines may be easy enough to chop and change, stuff like the fuel pumps I imagine might not have any scope for re use considering some of the stress they would be under, but even then they may just uprate them. of course the trade off is weight, don't want to be lifting too much of it. I imagine that there's a whole bunch of really excited engineers looking at the booster right now though!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Amperzand on December 22, 2015, 06:31:38 am
If you're suggesting replacing engines, you may have a few misconceptions. The engines are some of the more expensive parts of a rocket, what with needing all kinds of super-alloys and having extremely low production tolerances.

Hi, I'm new to the thread. It seems very relevant to my interests.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on December 22, 2015, 07:12:50 am
Hiya.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Amperzand on December 22, 2015, 07:13:57 am
Yo.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TempAcc on December 22, 2015, 11:35:37 am
Just comming in to post what people already know: SpaceX was awesome and a huge success. Here's hoping commercial low/high orbit spaceflight becomes a thing eventualy.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on December 22, 2015, 11:36:09 am
WOOOOOOOOOOO
SPAAAAAAAAACE GONNAGOTOSPACE GONNAGOTOSPACE GONNAGOTOSPACE
</spacecore>
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: andrea on December 22, 2015, 11:48:50 am
It seems that Musk has confirmed that this first landed stage is not going to fly again.
linky (http://www.theverge.com/2015/12/21/10642028/spacex-falcon-9-landing-elon-musk-wont-fly)

I suppose that after studying it as much as they can, they will keep it somewhere to remember the achievement.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on December 22, 2015, 01:17:25 pm
Or they will have to tear it apart to study it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Shadowlord on December 22, 2015, 01:37:34 pm
It's not like it would fit in a museum anyways, right?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on December 22, 2015, 02:11:57 pm
*points at Endeavor*
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on December 22, 2015, 02:31:24 pm
It's not like it would fit in a museum anyways, right?
Spoiler (click to show/hide)


Considering they have a facility down at Cape Canaveral that houses an entire Saturn V rocket, yeah I think they can find somewhere to put it. If they don't totally destroy it doing the analysis.
Spoiler: Kennedy Space Center (click to show/hide)
BTW, if you ever get a chance, you should visit this. It's pretty fucking epic to see in real life.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on December 22, 2015, 02:32:58 pm
How much payload was actually delivered to space and was it a low or high orbit?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on December 22, 2015, 02:33:58 pm
About five kilos :P
Hehehe

Oh you mean the Elon rocket? I have no idea.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on December 22, 2015, 02:37:58 pm
If you're suggesting replacing engines, you may have a few misconceptions. The engines are some of the more expensive parts of a rocket, what with needing all kinds of super-alloys and having extremely low production tolerances.

Hi, I'm new to the thread. It seems very relevant to my interests.
This. Engine reuse is the main reason for it. Engine reuse also have precedent, in that it is done on pretty much every mission to space already. SpaceX, a few days before each launch, hoists the rocket up, fuels it, and does a test burn using the engines to ensure none of them explode immediately from manufacturing defects or similar. Rocket engines aren't built to last indefinitely, but of all the SpaceX flights thus far, there has only been a single engine popping; indicating a pretty high tolerance margin. The rocket itself has an absurdly high tolerance margin, as it can complete its mission even after losing multiple engines (in the case where the engine broke, it made it to orbit successfully).

I believe an online guide for building your own liquid fuel rocket engines suggests that even with ordinary materials, you can get a good few hours of burn time out of one.

Edit: Also, the payload was 11 communication satellites for OrbComm.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: nogoodnames on December 22, 2015, 02:42:43 pm
Edit: Also, the payload was 11 communication satellites for OrbComm.
Building on that, each satellite weighs 172 kg, so 1892 kg in total. And they were sent to a geosynchronous transfer orbit.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on December 22, 2015, 03:10:55 pm
The "super alloys" that rocket engine cowlings are made from is usually something like inconel. It's an alloy of iron and copper. very high temperature resistence before mechanical breakdown, very high density, VERY HARD.

You CAN buy machinable blanks made of the stuff, but good luck cutting it with a consumer grade cnc machine. If you suceed in doing so though, a DIY engine made with it should have similar burn life to the big boy's toys.

Protip: You need to machine it slowly, with spring passes, using at least a carbide cutter and good flood cooling. Hard metals like inconel have internal strain in the metal block, and will "spring" as you cut it. Knowing the grain direction helps to predict how it will spring, but cutting slowly/small passes allows the metal to move like that without going out of tolerance while cutting. (if you take big passes, the metal will spring like crazy, and your passes wont line up like you expect they should. This will produce a bad part. Cutting small passes allows it to spring a little each pass, and the next pass removes the strain relief. tricky, but it works.)

Still, just saying-- you CAN get the same materials for DIY. It isnt like there is an exclusive buyer requirement or something. Just be aware of how that material behaves.

Still, I dont expect there will be many problems found in the engine assembly. The parts most likely to have structural fatigue after use are going to be the landing struts and the seams down the main body.


Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Shadowlord on December 22, 2015, 03:33:55 pm
It's not like it would fit in a museum anyways, right?
Spoiler (click to show/hide)


Considering they have a facility down at Cape Canaveral that houses an entire Saturn V rocket, yeah I think they can find somewhere to put it. If they don't totally destroy it doing the analysis.
Spoiler: Kennedy Space Center (click to show/hide)
BTW, if you ever get a chance, you should visit this. It's pretty fucking epic to see in real life.

I'm impressed.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on December 22, 2015, 04:03:18 pm
It's not like it would fit in a museum anyways, right?
Spoiler (click to show/hide)


Considering they have a facility down at Cape Canaveral that houses an entire Saturn V rocket, yeah I think they can find somewhere to put it. If they don't totally destroy it doing the analysis.
Spoiler: Kennedy Space Center (click to show/hide)
BTW, if you ever get a chance, you should visit this. It's pretty fucking epic to see in real life.

I'm impressed.
Spaceships, aircraft carriers and skyscrapers are three of those things that I think people just can't appreciate how big they are until they see them in person. And then you go "Holy shit, people BUILT this? Humanity FUCK YEAHHH"
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: redwallzyl on December 22, 2015, 04:14:10 pm
It's not like it would fit in a museum anyways, right?
Spoiler (click to show/hide)


Considering they have a facility down at Cape Canaveral that houses an entire Saturn V rocket, yeah I think they can find somewhere to put it. If they don't totally destroy it doing the analysis.
Spoiler: Kennedy Space Center (click to show/hide)
BTW, if you ever get a chance, you should visit this. It's pretty fucking epic to see in real life.

I'm impressed.
Spaceships, aircraft carriers and skyscrapers are three of those things that I think people just can't appreciate how big they are until they see them in person. And then you go "Holy shit, people BUILT this? Humanity FUCK YEAHHH"
went there as a kid. it was awesome.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Amperzand on December 22, 2015, 04:53:32 pm
I didn't know that existed, and now would very much like to go.

Given the sheer expense of building a Saturn V, I do have to question why that one's just sitting in a museum instead of doing a job.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on December 22, 2015, 05:00:05 pm
It's retired.  Probably.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on December 22, 2015, 05:04:41 pm
There's also a Saturn V at the Johnson Space Center in Houston. And you can find a Space Shuttle at the Udvar-Hazy center in Washington DC. (along with other massive planes such as the Enola Gay)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Amperzand on December 22, 2015, 05:10:07 pm
Well, the Shuttle and the Silverplate Bomber make perfect sense, since they were retired intact, but a Saturn V, or any super-heavy lifter, tends to be made for a mission, and then thoroughly dismantled in the process of that mission, since they just drop spent stages into the ocean.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on December 22, 2015, 05:13:33 pm
I didn't know that existed, and now would very much like to go.

Given the sheer expense of building a Saturn V, I do have to question why that one's just sitting in a museum instead of doing a job.

They're mix and match jobs made from various test stages, and the rockets from the cancelled Apollo 19 and Apollo 20 missions.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Amperzand on December 22, 2015, 05:18:09 pm
That would make a great deal more sense.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on December 22, 2015, 06:08:28 pm
That would make a great deal more sense.
And cobbling up a static display from spares doesn't need the rigorous post-production testing that a full orbit-capable version needs.

(There's different challenges in its 'unnatural' horizontal storage, especially for tanks that were at least partially built to keep their structural integrity through being filled with fuel or oxidiser.  But as long as bits aren't falling off and hitting the gawping sightseers below they don't need to worry about everything being airtight/liquidtight and dealing with the stresses of cryogenic and/or combustion temperatures and fluctuating G-forces acting upon redistributing lofted masses....)

Full mock-up cowlings and 'empty' engine-pump-blocks look just as good as the real things, even if they'd never have been intended to be part of viable Saturn V.


There's been a number of fictional tales where a 'museum piece' rocket was drawn into service in time of great need (taking some liberties with reality), and at least one (somewhat more distant from the 'hard science' side of fiction) where this was done by individuals who snuck into the museum and pinched it and launched it, without any assistance from the space agency or any of its spin-off engineering units...  Fueled with Handwavium Trinitrate, I suppose.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sneakey pete on December 22, 2015, 06:26:47 pm
If you're suggesting replacing engines, you may have a few misconceptions. The engines are some of the more expensive parts of a rocket, what with needing all kinds of super-alloys and having extremely low production tolerances.

Hi, I'm new to the thread. It seems very relevant to my interests.

If you're rocket was going to drop into the sea after 5 minutes of run time, you would design your pumps, chamber, nozzle etc to last for 5 minutes, throw in your factor of safety and away you go.
They may be able to run longer, but then you're running with less of a factor of safety.

Now, its not to say that spacex hasn't already beefed up the design to make them run much longer, but its something to keep in mind, and as said noone has really looked at an old rocket before so all of the assumptions they made about wear etc were made on best guess/design methods, which will be tweaked using the feedback of an actual rocket.
And then you have rockets that have ablative nozzles, though not sure if the spacex ones are similar to that.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on December 22, 2015, 06:31:28 pm
I too have walked beneath KSC's suspended Saturn V. It's awe-inspiring.

Fun fact, the Saturn V is still considered the strongest contender for the most complex distinct machine built by humans, ever.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Shadowlord on December 22, 2015, 06:56:04 pm
Musk planned from the start to eventually be able to land and reuse his rockets, I'm fairly sure.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on December 22, 2015, 08:03:33 pm
Musk planned from the start to eventually be able to land and reuse his rockets, I'm fairly sure.
...and all from his extinct volcano crater base in Japan!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: redwallzyl on December 22, 2015, 08:13:39 pm
Musk planned from the start to eventually be able to land and reuse his rockets, I'm fairly sure.
yes. here's some relevant explanation of his goals, if kind of long.
http://waitbutwhy.com/2015/05/elon-musk-the-worlds-raddest-man.html
http://waitbutwhy.com/2015/06/how-tesla-will-change-your-life.html
http://waitbutwhy.com/2015/08/how-and-why-spacex-will-colonize-mars.html
http://waitbutwhy.com/2015/11/the-cook-and-the-chef-musks-secret-sauce.html
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Amperzand on December 22, 2015, 10:18:22 pm
He certainly seems to be a pretty great guy, especially by the standards of the very rich.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on December 22, 2015, 10:18:51 pm
Indeed...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Amperzand on December 22, 2015, 10:27:22 pm
Of course, by those standards, most of everybody I know would be a pretty good guy.

No offense to the less-evil members of the obscenely wealthy minority. :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jaked122 on December 23, 2015, 12:20:18 am
Eh, from what I've read, he has issues with anyone who works for him that gives anything less than their very best. Not necessarily unreasonable, but some people just want a job, not a calling where they sacrifice all their time on it.

Alternately, they were just legitimately slacking off, and he was having none of that.




More to the point, it not only landed on the pad, but it actually landed on the X. Which is even more impressive, because that means that in principle it should have been able to land on the Just Read the Instructions or the Of Course I Still Love You.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on January 18, 2016, 08:54:34 am
Awwww. close, but no cigar. Don't buy cigars at the triXter's shop, they go boom.

https://youtu.be/7VL0XKBs7fo (https://youtu.be/7VL0XKBs7fo)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TempAcc on January 18, 2016, 09:15:27 am
Huh, looks like one of the support legs just had some sort of critical structural failure. Its weird how it just bent like that, I mean, what are those things made of?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: andrea on January 18, 2016, 09:26:03 am
indeed it had a failure. they suspect ice caused by the thick fog at launch.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Morrigi on January 18, 2016, 03:50:57 pm
Yeah, apparently a latch failed. That said, according to Elon Musk, the pieces are bigger this time.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on January 20, 2016, 05:40:10 pm
Potential trans-neptunian Neptune. (http://www.sciencemag.org/news/2016/01/feature-astronomers-say-neptune-sized-planet-lurks-unseen-solar-system?utm_content=buffer59a3e&utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook.com&utm_campaign=buffer)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on January 20, 2016, 06:05:57 pm
Potential trans-neptunian Neptune. (http://www.sciencemag.org/news/2016/01/feature-astronomers-say-neptune-sized-planet-lurks-unseen-solar-system?utm_content=buffer59a3e&utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook.com&utm_campaign=buffer)
Interesting.  I heard about it on the radio earlier.  They were calling it "Planet 9", thus sealing Pluto's non-planetary fate1...)

As touched in the news, Pluto was supposed to be the thing that explained various orbital anomalies, originally, before being fortuitously found despite not being the answer to the original question.  (Although it seems like there would have been any number of 'fortuitous Plutos', now, depending very much on which of a lot of similar objects had been found first due to the intensive searching.)

This maybe be a different question, of course, from the one that rustled up Pluto's existence.  But it sounds related to the whole "planetary migration" theory, in which Jupiter and Saturn formed elsewhere in the solar system.  i.e. They couldn't have formed in the place they were, because that isn't where the 'ice line' orbit that would have seeded their initial creations would have been.  And, if that's the case, the early-system tussle probably sent a fellow gas-giant out of the Sun's influence, now thought to be sent zooming across the galaxy...

Or maybe not quite, it seems the theory in this case is.  Which could be just trying to shape an existing theory to add grist to their own theoretical mill, but just because it's shoe-horned in doesn't mean it isn't worth considering.  (First let's work out if there is (or was, at the time) enough 'retarding gas' out there to prevent the potentially rogue planet from actually going rogue.)


1 Of course "Planet X" always had the connotations of "Planet 10 (in Roman Numerals)", for me... Rather than the intended "Planet 'Unknown'", just as X-Rays were coined that as "unknown rays", I'm fairly sure.   But when Pluto was #9, the tenth planet (whether that be beyond Neptune/Pluto or the hidden Earthly twin that just happened to be on the far side of the Sun, often for reasons of plot in various Sci-Fi representations...) was handily also labelled as "Planet X".
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on January 20, 2016, 07:42:44 pm
Interesting indeed. I expect the tin foil conspiracy drooling idiot guys to yell and flood the internet with those crazy conspiracy theories.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on January 20, 2016, 09:26:15 pm
Why did they name it planet X? That'll just end up confusing everybody. It should be named planet IX or just plain nine.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on January 20, 2016, 11:48:04 pm
Well, it's not really the official name of said hypothetical planet, and the X is sort of in the algebraic sense, as in it stands for whatever the planet's real name would be. Also, and I'm not completely sure on this, I think the planet X thing came about when people noticed oddities about the orbits of Neptune and Uranus, which implied the existence of another huge planet (Pluto being far too small to account for those oddities).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on January 20, 2016, 11:50:34 pm
the oddities were due to mathematical error though.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on January 20, 2016, 11:52:36 pm
But that's how the term "Planet X" came about, I think. From those errors
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on January 20, 2016, 11:54:28 pm
I propose Kronos.

An ancient titan condemned to a dark and eternal imprisonment.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: hops on January 21, 2016, 12:28:34 am
I think we should call it Pluto Major.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bohandas on January 21, 2016, 01:49:22 am
It should be called Mutunus Tutunus (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mutunus_Tutunus). Either that or Caligula.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: hops on January 21, 2016, 02:00:13 am
Yeah, I don't think they'll name a planet after a divine penis.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on January 21, 2016, 04:04:10 am
biggus dickus (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5Zyv6YHR_UE) by any other name...

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Amperzand on January 21, 2016, 05:41:49 am
And in fairness, there are a couple planetoids out there bigger than Pluto. Mostly not by very much, and on pretty weird orbits too.

If it turns out to be there, I do approve Chronos/Kronos.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on January 21, 2016, 08:15:18 am
Some dick heads will insist it already has a name and is either Hercolubus or Nibiru or some other stupid shit. Oh God please let no one call it Melancholia, that movie sucked really hard and failed as both drama and science fiction.

Chronos/Kronos is fine, Kronus would be too inviting to Necrons and Tau so is a big No in my book  :P

If we already have Uranus, why not have Urectum as well?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on January 21, 2016, 08:35:07 am
We should just reinstate Pluto and call the tenth planet X.  Just, X.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Antioch on January 21, 2016, 08:41:36 am
We should just reinstate Pluto and call the tenth planet X.  Just, X.

So we just ignore Eris and all the other trans-neptunian objects found?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on January 21, 2016, 08:42:51 am
Oh, I don't even know.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on January 21, 2016, 08:56:12 am
And why some ilustrations show the planet as if its orbiting between two stars??? That's only gonna add more confusion fuel into the mix.

Spoiler: Example (click to show/hide)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on January 21, 2016, 09:48:12 am
Space is chock full of stars.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on January 21, 2016, 10:03:26 am
And in fairness, there are a couple planetoids out there bigger than Pluto. Mostly not by very much, and on pretty weird orbits too.

If it turns out to be there, I do approve Chronos/Kronos.
Actually, New Horizons proved Pluto is in fact bigger than Eris, making Pluto once again the biggest dwarf fortress.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Teneb on January 21, 2016, 11:12:19 am
And in fairness, there are a couple planetoids out there bigger than Pluto. Mostly not by very much, and on pretty weird orbits too.

If it turns out to be there, I do approve Chronos/Kronos.
Actually, New Horizons proved Pluto is in fact bigger than Eris, making Pluto once again the biggest dwarf fortress.
Eris changes her size periodically to cause controversy. It's her thing.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MonkeyHead on January 21, 2016, 03:55:47 pm
And in fairness, there are a couple planetoids out there bigger than Pluto. Mostly not by very much, and on pretty weird orbits too.

If it turns out to be there, I do approve Chronos/Kronos.
Actually, New Horizons proved Pluto is in fact bigger than Eris, making Pluto once again the biggest dwarf fortress.

To be fair, in Astronomy, if observed values end up the same order of magnitude as predicted values it is usually remarkable.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Graknorke on January 21, 2016, 03:57:58 pm
And in fairness, there are a couple planetoids out there bigger than Pluto. Mostly not by very much, and on pretty weird orbits too.

If it turns out to be there, I do approve Chronos/Kronos.
Actually, New Horizons proved Pluto is in fact bigger than Eris, making Pluto once again the biggest dwarf fortress.
To be fair, in Astronomy, if observed values end up the same order of magnitude as predicted values it is usually remarkable.
Remember, the temperature of the surface of stars is approximately 0K. For the purposes of some calculations anyway.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 24, 2016, 09:45:34 pm
Has black hole sun been discussed yet?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on January 24, 2016, 09:50:08 pm
Has black hole sun been discussed yet?
I think it has. The conclusion was that the Sun isn't one, and Soundgarden had just one good song.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cryxis, Prince of Doom on January 24, 2016, 09:54:53 pm
So a black hole wouldn't work as a pseudo sun
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Putnam on January 24, 2016, 09:55:58 pm
Oh, that? Yeah, a black hole of equivalent mass to the sun would result in a solar system that is completely identical to this one in terms of orbits AFAIK.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on January 24, 2016, 10:01:45 pm
Actually, I don't think so. The sun is constantly emitting a negligible-for-its-size but real amount of both matter and energy, while a black hole of equal mass would not. As such....I'm not exactly sure what that would do to the orbits, but I'm sure it would add up over the millennia.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on January 24, 2016, 10:08:20 pm
Actually, I don't think so. The sun is constantly emitting a negligible-for-its-size but real amount of both matter and energy, while a black hole of equal mass would not. As such....I'm not exactly sure what that would do to the orbits, but I'm sure it would add up over the millennia.
Centripetal force keeping the planets in orbit would be exactly the same. I think that's what he was trying to say.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on January 25, 2016, 04:06:08 am
This ignores the magnetic interactions though!!

The solar magnetosphere encompases the whole solar system. Exiting that magnetosphere is when you hit the heliopause, and enter interstellar space.

A black hole does not really have a magnetosphere; the necessary photon-photon interactions needed to have the requisite field lines are impossible, because photons cannot escape from the blackhole's event horizon. This means that unless the hole is actively feeding (and therefor has a plasma torus surrounding it) there cannot be such a strong magnetosphere. (in either case, the hole itself cannot sustain a magnetic field. The torus just on the event horizon makes the field, driven by obscene dynamo effects.)

You should not discount the impact this would have on planetary systems. Large, highly magnetic bodies like Jupiter would become the main forces of magnetisim in the planetary system (again, unless the hole is actively feeding), and this would perturb the orbits of smaller but still magnetic bodies, like the earth. 

If the hole was actively feeding, the field produced by the plasma torus would be many times stronger than that of our sun, because the excitation energy is much higher. (matter is literally being pushed up and passed the degenerate threshold at the inner side of the torus!!) This strong a field would tug on massively magnetic bodies like Jupiter, pulling them into the inner solar system.

Black hole sun would not work the same as a normal star in either case.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on January 25, 2016, 04:24:13 am
You should not discount the impact this would have on planetary systems. Large, highly magnetic bodies like Jupiter would become the main forces of magnetisim in the planetary system (again, unless the hole is actively feeding), and this would perturb the orbits of smaller but still magnetic bodies, like the earth.
By how much? Because unless you show me some numbers, I'll happily discount it, and much more easily than radiation and solar wind pressure, or solar mass loss.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on January 25, 2016, 04:25:46 am
magnetic flux tube formation is enough to rip atmospheres off.

Chew on that a bit.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on January 25, 2016, 04:35:07 am
Ah. So you've never actually tried putting any numbers on that.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on January 25, 2016, 05:34:06 am
It think magnetism wouldn't be strong enough to deviate the orbits in any meaningful way. But I'm no astrophysicist so I couldn't really told.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on January 25, 2016, 06:27:58 am
It think magnetism wouldn't be strong enough to deviate the orbits in any meaningful way. But I'm no astrophysicist so I couldn't really told.
Neither am I, but my gut feeling is that the differences between a fluorescent/magnetic sun and a non-fluorescent/magnetic black-hole would be fairly minimal and would have a 'new equilibrium' of orbits (at least beyond Mercury, but we'd have to look at what changes the concentrated alteration in Frame Dragging might do to that, perhaps) of a not dissimilar nature.

Naturally, the current solar system is not actually in a perpetual equilibrium at the moment (though I think they've proved that, left to its own devices, it'll last largely unchanged for a highly significant amount of time in the future).  And if the Sun gets swapped out with its equivalent Black Hole replacement when a planet or two are on their 'upstroke' or 'downstroke' in their already slightly eccentric orbits, or when other perturbations from planetary neighbours are at their most prominent, the sudden lack of solar effects (wind outwards, magnetism whichever-which-way) could provide a nudge that sends a body or two out of their narrowly-predicted future orbits just enough to start something chaotic...  But it wouldn't be instant disaster.  If it takes as little as a 1000 or so orbits to change any element enough to cause it (and thence the others) significant orbital shift, I'd be surprised.  (Although it'd need calculating.)

The lack of solar heating would cause us problems though.  (There's a What-If on roughly that subject, IIRC.)  As would any less-than-seemless method for giving us a black-hole focus to the solar-system.  (I'm not sure what the scenario actually is you're discussing...  There's a song about it, you say?)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on January 25, 2016, 07:43:09 am
Ah. So you've never actually tried putting any numbers on that.

More, I was at work at the time, and had duties to attend to besides hunting down data for you. :D

But, to get an idea of how large the magnetic flux of a star is, remember that gravity falls off at the inverse square of distance, while electromagnetism falls off at the inverse CUBE. With that in mind, the strength of the sun's magnetosphere at the heliopause is sufficient to deflect interstellar cold plasma in front of the star, as it plows its way through that medium in its orbit around Sagittarius A. While not very dense at all, that medium does represent a not inconsiderable quantity of mass, given the volume impacted-- though not all of that volume can be attributed to magnetic flux alone. (The solar wind pressure will also be at work, and will likely contribute the lion's share of the deflection pressure.)

However, I was not kidding about flux tube formation stripping off chunks of atmosphere-- It is a significant part of the theory behind why mars lost its atmosphere.

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2009GL038209/pdf

Without this combination of magnetic flux tubes and solar particle wind, Mars would have a significantly thicker atmosphere, as would Venus, and the Earth-- meaning these objects would have greater masses, and thus different orbital periods and stable orbital radii from the central mass.



Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on January 25, 2016, 07:52:16 am
Weird, I wasn't asking you to 'hunt data' for me. I was asking you to do some calculations to see for yourself, and indeed show us, how significant the effect you're talking about really is. Like taking the density of local interstellar medium and calculating how much orbital energy would a planet the size of Earth (or whatever) plowing through it over 5 billion years lose.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on January 25, 2016, 07:54:11 am
That too is likewise difficult to do while caring for a geriatric resident in an adult care facility, and would have to wait until after I had finished my shift and come home to provide.

In either case, expecting an immediate answer is irrational. :D
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on January 25, 2016, 07:55:45 am
I wasn't.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on January 25, 2016, 08:15:14 am
Good.

For the first scenario, we have a "naked" (as in, "not with accretion disc", and not "Lacks event horizon") black hole, that gives off no magnetosphere, because any field lines will be trapped behind the event horizon.

This object has the same mass as our star.  However, our planets forming in stable orbits around this object (let's presume that "somehow", the extremely improbable scenario of this object passing through a sufficiently dense interstellar dust cloud occurred, and that the action of this black hole on the cloud was sufficient to cause clumping and planetary formation consistent with the formation of our existing solar system planets. The early turbulence of this system would be pretty similar to the high radiation output of our star's early existence, though this scenario would provide a healthy abundance of X-ray and gamma radiation. For the sake of argument, we will say that this scenario results in the remainder of the cloud being consumed in totality by the singularity, and the resulting mass of the singularity equals sol's mass. This leaves a "naked" singularity at the center of a planetary system.) would not be exposed to the continued, and sustained solar wind and magnetospheric interactions our existing planets have endured while in orbit around an active star.

Depending on exactly 'when' the singularity stops having an active accretion disc, would vastly color any computation I could derive for the impact of this occurrence, as being blasted by hard X-rays and gamma rays would be pretty nasty for a planet's atmosphere. (1 AU from an active accretion disc would be vastly more energetic than at the same location from our star! Much more energetic fusion reactions would occur inside the mid-structure of the accretion disc than can ever possibly occur inside our star.) Again, an active accretion disc would introduce a very powerful plasma torus source for a "stellar" magnetosphere. The resulting magnetosphere would be powered by far more powerful flow currents than happen inside a normal star, and would be closer to being like what you would encounter near a magnetar than what we encounter now near sol. This means that the flux tube atmosphere ripping action, as described by the previous paper, would happen with much greater intensity while the black hole is still actively feeding.

So, without knowing exactly when the accretion disc stops being present, I cannot even begin to calculate what the impact will be.



Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on January 25, 2016, 08:28:39 am
So, without knowing exactly when the accretion disc stops being present, I cannot even begin to calculate what the impact will be.
Sure you can. The question, and your responses that followed, concerned the effect the lack of solar magnetosphere would have on planetary orbits. You can disregard the accretion disc and its influence, since we're interested in the upper bound for the effect.
And even if you're concerned with atmospheric stripping, it shouldn't pose a problem to do the same calculations for an Earth-like planet without an atmosphere. In fact, it may be enlightening to show how much (or how little) losing an atmosphere affects orbital motion in this case.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on January 25, 2016, 08:38:18 am
In other words, "Imagine spherical cows", no matter how un-lifelike that would be?

The question is if I really want to invest that much energy and source-hunting (because any such computation would be worthless without grounding the math in observed science) into a hypothetical of this nature?

The answer to that is "Probably not."  I dont particularly enjoy math.  It WOULD be interesting to see the derivation though, I do agree.

However, the last question is likely easily answered.  A good portion of the mass of the earth is tied up in the form of liquid water, which ceases being liquid when pressure drops below a certain threshold. (see for instance, water sublimation on surface of mars, due to lack of atmosphere.) This creates a catch 22.  When there is sufficient atmospheric pressure, water is a liquid on the surface, and contributes quite significantly to earth's total mass. (a good portion of the mantle is presumed to be hydrated silicates, which can only happen with a surface ocean that is humongous, like ours.) If you strip away the atmosphere, you remove not just the mass of the surface oceans, (because they will sublimate into gas, and likewise be blown off), you will also lose a significant portion of the mass of the mantle, because internal heating in the mantle, coupled with the lack of a heavy ocean introducing water into the mantle via subduction of crust, meaning a good portion of the mantle's mass will be blown out by volcanism into the thin atmosphere, and be blown away.)

You will end up with a dry, shriveled raisin of a planet, instead of the earth-- and that planet will have significantly less mass afterwards.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on January 25, 2016, 08:52:13 am
meaning these objects would have greater masses, and thus different orbital periods and stable orbital radii from the central mass.
Noting that the mass of an object in orbit doesn't affect the object's orbit.

Thought it does affect the counter-pull on the orbited body, or rather shift the effective barycentre of the orbitting/orbitted bodies such that, for a large enough 'orbiting' body, the 'orbited' body can no longer be assumed to be stationary and if you continue it'd become a binary pair mutually orbiting a point between both bodies.

...but the effect of an Earth-sized body (being plus or minus a thicker atmosphere) around a Sun-sized (or '-massed') body wouldn't matter to any useful degree.  [ETA: and if the mass is blown off the Earth, it's still likely somewhere within the Sun's 'system', so still exists as mass outside of the Sun when it comes to gravitational calculations between the Sun's system and nearby/not-so-nearby stars.]

Also, we're talking about it about-face.  The Earth at is has a significantly thinner atmosphere than it might have if solar flux/whatever had not stripped some away, given the nature of the Sun.  Replacing the Sun with a non-stripping object, right now, would not make our atmosphere thicker (all else being equal), it would just stop it being further stripped (also by the action of solar energy allowing wisps of atmosphere to gain enough energy to escape the planet on their own, where a frozen atmosphere would do less so, even before the action of the other pressures).

But how much blown-outwards solar (and occasionally Venusian?) material does the Earth collect?  Probably not so much (being so energetic, it'd go straight past and/or billiard-ball some of our own tentative atmosphere outwards at the cost of its own ability to get back out past the atmospheric shell), but I suppose we wouldn't have that, any more, either.

Anyway, compared with however many megatonnes of solid(/molten) Earth there is, the change in the mass of the atmosphere also seems insignificant except in such sufficient long-runs that we're possibly even subject to a big surprise along the lines of an unheralded Bellus/Zyra-type problem zooming through and creating a game-changer...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on January 25, 2016, 08:54:00 am
I dont particularly enjoy math.
Eh. How can you know what you're saying has any relation to reality then? Because, you see, no matter how much you may deride spherical cows, even that approximation gives you a better handle on how big a barn you must build than pure guesswork could ever provide.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on January 25, 2016, 08:58:15 am
Eh. How can you know what you're saying has any relation to reality then? Because, you see, no matter how much you may deride spherical cows, even that approximation gives you a better handle on how big a barn you must build than pure guesswork could ever provide.
At least once you solve, once and for all, the Spherical Packing Problem.

;)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on January 25, 2016, 09:02:00 am
Or how about we just assume that the Sun will never collapse into a lack hole?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on January 25, 2016, 09:02:33 am
Clarification-- I find math USEFUL, but I dont ENJOY math.  I do not discount the value of math, it is simply not something I decide to do for "fun."

Given the improbable nature of the question, I do not see sufficient motivation, (in terms of satisfaction gained over effort expended) to attempt to frame, and then compute the necessary expressions to answer the question satisfactorily.

If I was designing a universe, sure, I would consider this kind of question very valuable, and worthwhile to explore. It would give me the necessary grounding I would need to produce a good, consistent universe.

I however, do not design universes, nor even do I design orbital habitats. The math is not particularly useful to me outside the scope of idle curiosity. Again, the reward of satisfaction is not sufficiently great (for me), that I would be willing to undertake the rigorous exercise.

The even more generalized parts of my brain already have values that can be loosely compared (such as the strength of magnetism found near a white dwarf star vs that of our yellow dwarf sun, vs that of a magnetar, as derived by observations conducted by other people) and the knowledge of how those forces would interact with more mundane matter, and of how the delicate balance of the triple point affects the compositional character of our planet-- to determine that throwing a big monkey wrench in there like that would result in a planetary system vastly different from the one we have now.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on January 25, 2016, 09:18:17 am
and that planet will have significantly less mass afterwards.
vastly different from the one we have now
See, those are the kind of qualifying statements that require something more than just 'feelies' to support. Is it really significant? In what way? How do you know? Why should we believe you? Why not check it before saying something like that and risk sounding silly?

Myself, and it's fine if you don't care, I've lost all respect for your opinions - you've never shown any deeper understanding outside how to use google. Dodging relatively simple mathematical exercises like they're the equivalent of performing genesis doesn't help.

Anyhow, I'm outta here. Take what I said as you will - use it or lose it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on January 25, 2016, 10:27:53 am
and that planet will have significantly less mass afterwards.
vastly different from the one we have now
See, those are the kind of qualifying statements that require something more than just 'feelies' to support. Is it really significant? In what way? How do you know? Why should we believe you? Why not check it before saying something like that and risk sounding silly?

1) I already explained this, but clearly you need sources, because you can't be arsed to do it yourself, and instead want to appear morally superior, while not contributing any math yourself either.

So, here they are.

The percentage of the earth's mass that is constituted by liquid water is very small. ~.023%.
http://www.madsci.org/posts/archives/1997-08/868365319.Es.r.html

Most people turn their brains off at this point. The issue, is not how much of the earth's mass is water, but how much of it is HYDRATED SILICATE MINERAL, and what geological processes are required for that silicate mineral to remain in the face of thermal decomposition from the planet's internal heating.

http://www.madsci.org/posts/archives/1997-08/868365319.Es.r.html

They say that at an upper bound, the mantle could contain the same quantity of water in the form of hydrate minerals as the oceans contain. That brings the percentage, occupied just by water, up to ~.046 percent.

Now that we have the mantle, and the oceans-- what about the crust and the atmosphere?

The atmosphere's mass is about  0.014% of earth's mass. (Bringing our potential amount of lost material up to .06%)
http://www.madsci.org/posts/archives/1999-11/943288749.Es.r.html

The lithosphere (crust) accounts for approximately 2.7% of the earth's mass. So, what percentage of the crust would be impacted by the removal of the atmosphere?

Clay minerals account for about 5% of the crust,
http://www.sandatlas.org/composition-of-the-earths-crust/
with an average water content of clay mineral being hard to find. Clays are the end product of feldspars and other silicate minerals being weathered and hydrated by the presence of liquid water. A good breakdown of what percentage of clays are of what species is hard to pin down. (nobody really seems to care.) Since what we care about is the water content, the best I can find is this source:
http://ir.uiowa.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1076&context=igsar
which on page 334, says this:
Quote

Clay, according to Blair, is a mixture of silica and the silicates of aluminum, calcium, magnesium, potassium and sodium. The silicates are hydrated and as a result they may contain from 6 to 12 percent of water chemically combined.

So, a ballpark mid-range estimate of 8% of 5% of 2.6% of the earth's mass (at the crust) will be will be chemically bound water, in the form of clay. So, again, just by combining the removal of the atmosphere and oceans, with total crustal subduction, (or heavy bombardment with deep penetrating ionizing radiation) we get an approximate of .025%

This is hedging closer and closer to .1% of the earth's mass being impacted, just from the removal of water alone. This completely discounts the action of the liquid water on previously chemically bound mineral complexes containing transition metals, like iron, in creating free iron oxides. When those are subducted into the mantle, under anhydrous conditions, you get a release of free oxygen radicals, and oxygen accounts for some whopping 46% of the mass of the lithosphere.

By now, it shouldnt be too terribly hard to figure out how the early loss of the atmosphere of the earth would have radically altered its mineral composition, and thus its ultimate mass.

But of course, I was totally pulling this all out of my ass, and had no clue whatsoever about such things as geology or chemistry, which would have been magically approximated, somehow, by a naive mathematical model with "spherical cows.", leaving off with just the loss of the atmosphere itself. (which by now, I should have thoroughly shown to be inaccurate.)

2) how do you know it is significant?

Chemistry, do you speak it? The conditions depicted are not suitable for the formation of these mineral complexes, and the resulting crust will be significantly less oxygen rich! We know this from experiments exposing rocks to ionizing radiation.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/037567429290048D

3) How do you know?

Because I like to educate myself, that's why. While I am not motivated enough to dig out an analytical lab from my butthole, I am motivated enough to read the work of people who have.

4) Why should we believe you?

Because I am willing to point out the documents others have made, when asked-- which is more than you have been willing to do.



Quote
Myself, and it's fine if you don't care, I've lost all respect for your opinions - you've never shown any deeper understanding outside how to use google. Dodging relatively simple mathematical exercises like they're the equivalent of performing genesis doesn't help.

Anyhow, I'm outta here. Take what I said as you will - use it or lose it.

Yup. Just as I have lost respect for your rebuttals. Ciao.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on January 25, 2016, 10:41:22 am
Let's get out of this pointless argument. The sun never was, and never will be a black hole. So let's drop it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on January 25, 2016, 10:44:23 am
Very good.  Done.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on January 25, 2016, 11:09:04 am
Let's get out of this pointless argument. The sun never was, and never will be a black hole. So let's drop it.
That sounds like a quitter's attitude to me. Future Humanity will one day be able to pursue the noble goal of collapsing our homeworld's star into a singularity, no matter how much ignorant cynicism you peddle in the present. We need to work today to give them that chance, to believe in the black hole that believes in us, or at least in consuming all available matter and energy.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on January 25, 2016, 11:15:12 am
According to Wikipedia, a 1 solar mass black hole should be able to grow, and not shrink from hawking radiation.

If you can somehow increase the intensity of the gravitation inside the heart of the star to overcome fusion pressure, and subsequent neutron degeneracy pressure, and thus create a singularity-- such created singularity should be stable once you turn off your doomsday device.

Now, would a device that can do that win a Nobel prize, or an Ignobel prize?


Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on January 25, 2016, 11:21:16 am
Considering all the possible applications, I'd consider any device that can manipulate gravity the most important discovery in...ever. Even if it only allowed increases and not decreases, and if it did we'd pretty much be immediately brought into "masters of the universe" tier.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on January 25, 2016, 11:24:34 am
According to Wikipedia, a 1 solar mass black hole should be able to grow, and not shrink from hawking radiation.

If you can somehow increase the intensity of the gravitation inside the heart of the star to overcome fusion pressure, and subsequent neutron degeneracy pressure, and thus create a singularity-- such created singularity should be stable once you turn off your doomsday device.

Now, would a device that can do that win a Nobel prize, or an Ignobel prize?
It will only grow if it has matter to suck in. Just a sol-sized black hole would still shrink from hawking radiation.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on January 25, 2016, 11:28:26 am
Per wikipedia:

Quote
A stellar black hole of 1 M☉ has a Hawking temperature of about 100 nanokelvins. This is far less than the 2.7 K temperature of the cosmic microwave background radiation. Stellar-mass or larger black holes receive more mass from the cosmic microwave background than they emit through Hawking radiation and thus will grow instead of shrink.[citation needed] To have a Hawking temperature larger than 2.7 K (and be able to evaporate), a black hole needs to have less mass than the Moon. Such a black hole would have a diameter of less than a tenth of a millimeter.[92]

Where citation 92 directs here:
http://www.einstein-online.info/elementary/quantum/evaporating_bh/?set_language=en

Basically, it would absorb more mass-energy from cosmic gas and energy in the local area than the hawking radiation could sink away, is my understanding.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on January 25, 2016, 11:37:11 am
nanokelvins
You know you're going to have a bad day when someone uses this unit of measure.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on January 25, 2016, 12:38:28 pm
If you can somehow increase the intensity of the gravitation inside the heart of the star to overcome fusion pressure, and subsequent neutron degeneracy pressure, [...]
I'd go for trying to reduce the fusion pressure, and possibly the other as well.  Some exotic 'poisoning' particle could sap the virility of the sun's reaction (I think they used the concept of a Q-Ball for the movie Sunshine).

But that's getting into beyond-theoretical physics territory.  Just less improbable, IMO, than a localised increase in the value of G.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: redwallzyl on January 25, 2016, 02:10:40 pm
nanokelvins
You know you're going to have a bad day when someone uses this unit of measure.
what was that other measurement from awhile ago? picohitler?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Arx on January 25, 2016, 02:13:42 pm
Femto.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on January 25, 2016, 09:59:23 pm
FemtoStalins
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on January 25, 2016, 10:03:43 pm
I prefer the smaller, and thus more accurate, femto-nepoleans myself.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheDarkStar on January 25, 2016, 10:04:56 pm
FemtoStalins

Equal to killing 1 billionth of a person. In other words, removing about 1 cubic millimeter of person.

I prefer the smaller, and thus more accurate, femto-nepoleans myself.

It's all just unit conversion anyway. :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on January 25, 2016, 10:40:01 pm
Difficult to quantify. That is like comparing newtons to pascals. ;)

If we hold that 1 Hitler has a value of 6 million dead jews, while 1 Stalin has a value of 20 million total dead people (not of military service)-- There are approximately 3 Hitlers to 1 Stalin conversion rate.

This means that there are approximately 333,333,333.3 femtostalins to one megahitler.

Bear in mind that fast and loose conversions like this is how you crash space probes.  (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mars_Climate_Orbiter)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Putnam on January 25, 2016, 11:07:00 pm
Difficult to quantify. That is like comparing newtons to pascals. ;)

you ever seen how piano string tension is represented?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on January 26, 2016, 05:11:10 am
Difficult to quantify. That is like comparing newtons to pascals. ;)

you ever seen how piano string tension is represented?
Isn't in MicroMaos?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on January 26, 2016, 06:53:42 am
I was really into the "what would happen to the solar system if the sun was instantaneously replaced by a black hole of equal mass including plasma toroid " debate but then it segued into the effects on planetary formation of dark black hole Suns.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheDarkStar on January 26, 2016, 06:59:27 am
Difficult to quantify. That is like comparing newtons to pascals. ;)

If we hold that 1 Hitler has a value of 6 million dead jews, while 1 Stalin has a value of 20 million total dead people (not of military service)-- There are approximately 3 Hitlers to 1 Stalin conversion rate.

This means that there are approximately 333,333,333.3 femtostalins to one megahitler.

Bear in mind that fast and loose conversions like this is how you crash space probes.  (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mars_Climate_Orbiter)

You're going to be off on the value of Hitlers. He killed 6 million Jews, but he also killed 6 million other "undesirables".
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on January 26, 2016, 07:04:35 am
but not by much, since Stalin killed another 20 million that were in military service.  Still approx 3:1 ratio hitlers to stalins.

the big thing is that it is a rough approximation to say it is 3:1 when it is really 2.8something to 1.

Thankfully nobody measures things in those units anyway. ;)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on January 26, 2016, 07:14:15 am
Guys please. Don't they teach you the international despotic system of weight and measurements in school?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on January 26, 2016, 07:50:06 am
Here's a thought: what would happen in a system with an antimatter sun and matter planets? I don't recall there being such a thing as an antiphoton, so would there be low enough matter exchange to avoid chaos?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on January 26, 2016, 08:08:40 am
Here's a thought: what would happen in a system with an antimatter sun and matter planets? I don't recall there being such a thing as an antiphoton, so would there be low enough matter exchange to avoid chaos?

Given the amount of energy that would get released for any matter/antimatter interaction (mass involved times c2!), I think we'd be screwed pretty quickly just as soon as any anti-matter solar wind hits us, or (assuming it escaped the same solar-wind fate) the first sun-skimming comet hits the star's outer atmosphere.


One of the big arguments against the possibility of parts of our universe being entirely antimatter equivalents (to try to explain why everything we see appears to be overwhelmingly matter, rather than the 50:50 that you'd perhaps expect got generated from the initial energy-to-mass of the Big Bang) is that we're not seeing massive ribbons of glowing energy from the parts of the universe where the matter-zones and the antimatter-zones 'touch', however tenuously.

I don't think the "anti-sun" system would be anywhere near as destructive than the Proton Earth, Electron Moon (http://what-if.xkcd.com/140/) situation (which is entirely due to the moon being entirely made of electrons!, ignoring completely the role of the protons), but I suspect it would still be dangerous.  As in a "not as lethal as being 1AU from a supernova, but still as lethal as a hydrogen bomb pressed to your eyeball (http://what-if.xkcd.com/73/)" kind of level.  But I'm willing to be corrected about this...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: inteuniso on January 26, 2016, 09:08:14 am
Here's a thought: what would happen in a system with an antimatter sun and matter planets? I don't recall there being such a thing as an antiphoton, so would there be low enough matter exchange to avoid chaos?

Quote from: Science Website
Question

Ali and Steve, Australia asked:

Is there an antimatter equivalent to light?
Answer

Dave - In some sense it does. There is an antimatter equivalent to a photon. It’s not an antiphoton. If you have two photons you know are in exactly the opposite phase they can cancel each other out. As far as we know the photon is its own antiparticle.
From here. (http://www.thenakedscientists.com/HTML/questions/question/2201/)

Anyway, been on the esoteric side of space, all nice and trippy.

Superfluid Vacuum Theory (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Superfluid_vacuum_theory)
Holographic Principle (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Holographic_principle)
Loop quantum gravity (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Loop_quantum_gravity)
EP=EPR (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ER%3DEPR)

Combined, they equal an existence that is spawned from a single electron that is quantumly entangled with itself for yottamillenia.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on January 26, 2016, 09:38:41 am
Huuuuuh?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 03, 2016, 06:07:06 pm
The Duchy of Grand Fenwick is going into space! (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-35482427).

(More or less...)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on February 03, 2016, 06:33:56 pm
The issue with backing commercial ventures is that from what I recall the space treaty dictates that any minerals from space must benefit all mankind, which means either the companies have to make a very convincing case, lie through their teeth, or break the treaty.
Isn't the treaty between governments rather than applying to the whole of humanity?

Register HQ in country that did not sign Space Asshole Prevention act

???

Profit.








someone help send me space pictures to wash out the cynical
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 03, 2016, 06:43:17 pm
The issue with backing commercial ventures is that from what I recall the space treaty dictates that any minerals from space must benefit all mankind, which means either the companies have to make a very convincing case, lie through their teeth, or break the treaty.
As I understand it, that applies to governments (and Luxembourg is among those ratified) from claiming sovereignty over celestial bodies, but that wouldn't actually stop a company with a space-presence (or a national space-agency?) from using the resources of said bodies.

May even help, with no form of jurisdiction or 'ownership'... if you can get your minerbot onto the body, there's nobody else who can officially complain that you're trespassing on their 'land'.  But you also couldn't complain when another mining company comes along and started its own operation on a body that you don't officially own.  So long as no spacecraft (possession retained by the State, or perhaps now the company, that originally launched it) is actively interfered with by another spacecraft.

But that might be a simplistic reading of it...  The first few test-cases will be interesting, I have no doubt.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on February 04, 2016, 07:55:34 am
That asshole statement of benefits of space along with the no nukes in space because "you'll pollute space" (fucking hippies, God how I hate them with white hot passion) are to be revised and corrected the moment we get more space presence.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on February 04, 2016, 08:32:39 am
That asshole statement of benefits of space along with the no nukes in space because "you'll pollute space" (fucking hippies, God how I hate them with white hot passion) are to be revised and corrected the moment we get more space presence.
I thought the Nuke ban was because of the time the US nearly ignited the Pacific hemisphere's sky.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TempAcc on February 04, 2016, 09:30:16 am
I thought the whole thing about ~igniting the atmosphere~ was said to be impossible (though nobody knew if it was before the tests) :v?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gigaz on February 04, 2016, 09:54:04 am
Isn't the treaty between governments rather than applying to the whole of humanity?

Register HQ in country that did not sign Space Asshole Prevention act

???

Profit.

And then? You try to sell your space stuff and the local government seizes it because according to their law, you don't own it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on February 04, 2016, 10:01:50 am
Actually the recent law the US signed goes a fair way towards clarifying things in the United States at least, with pretty much the whole point being that if a company claims resources in space then they still get to keep possession of those resources.
http://www.planetaryresources.com/2015/11/president-obama-signs-bill-recognizing-asteroid-resource-property-rights-into-law/ (http://www.planetaryresources.com/2015/11/president-obama-signs-bill-recognizing-asteroid-resource-property-rights-into-law/)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on February 04, 2016, 03:47:46 pm
I thought the whole thing about ~igniting the atmosphere~ was said to be impossible (though nobody knew if it was before the tests) :v?
Pretty much.  They had already run through the math before the Trinity test.  It was mostly just Fermi (surprisingly, not Feynman) playing a prank by offering to serve as a bookie to the military on site regarding the odds of that happening; I think the person in charge chewed him out since the military guards didn't have clearance for all the math or the background to understand it, so they took it at face value.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Amperzand on February 04, 2016, 04:16:25 pm
The scary one over the pacific didn't pose any risk of igniting the atmosphere, but it did destroy many satellites by creating a radiation belt in orbit, and EMP Hawaii. It was also bright enough to look like a second sun randomly appeared in the middle of the night, having been detonated some 500 miles away and 65 miles up.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 06, 2016, 12:34:53 am
What is there to ignite? There's oxygen, but nothing for the oxygen to burn with that isn't an endothermic reaction.

I think (because the above discussion seems to be mixing up something happening actually over/in the Pacific with either/both of the Japanese bombs with the original Trinity Site test, so at least three different 'firsts' with at least three different designs of bomb) that it's "ignite" as in "cause a runaway nuclear reaction to cascade through the atoms in Earth's own atmosphere", rather than combust.  (And why doesn't my spill-chucker recognise "combust"?  I may be sleepy, but I'm sure that's actually a word.)

It was certainly a question that was put to the scientists, pre-Trinity. They knew how hard it was going to be to initiate the Trinity bomb itself (and weren't even so sure about the different-design Hiroshima one, after that) and the tenuous air of (overwhelmingly) stable isotopes shouldn't have been susceptible to running away, but someone or other is reported to have quickly made some calculations to that end anyway, when the question was asked by either a genuine or mischievous questioner.  (Reports did vary as to who actually asked and who actually answered, so it's hard to tied down the motives.  But I tend to think it was a form of geek humour.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Rose on February 06, 2016, 10:10:02 am
They didn't know that at the time.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 06, 2016, 11:15:28 am
That wouldn't happen either at all ever. Nuclear fission of atoms lower than iron on the periodic table, excepting unstable isotopes, needs more energy than they let out.
They didn't know that at the time.
I think the point to take away is supposed to be that they did 'know' it wouldn't happen, but they didn't know that it wouldn't happen.  So it wouldn't hurt to double-check, once actually considered.

I imagine that up close (FCVO 'close') to an exploding nuclear and/or atomic bomb the Nitrogen in the air (as an example) is getting bathed in the various nuclear products and radiations and do get fissioned.  Especially the slight amount (half a percent, IIRC) of normally stable but potentially 'top heavy' 15N.  It'd absorb an amount of the energy, along the way, but still assist in propagating the remainder outwards (just behind the uninterrupted primary 'explosion' that hasn't yet been retarded) with further subatomic spall from the interaction, more than would happen with a 'perfect moderator' atmosphere.

Without much in the way of observations of such a high-energy event, therefore, could they be sure that the energy produced wasn't just enough to collide with a hemisphere or so of atmosphere before finally petering out.

It probably took just a few moments of thinking to cross-compare the absorption cross-sections and comparative nuclear stability
of the primary atmospheric gasses (and some of the secondary ones, just in case there was a surprising).  Just to make sure that it couldn't roil out further than acceptable.  (Perhaps emulating the problems with the Psychlos of Battlefield Earth (the novel, if not film...) and their atmosphere's reaction with radioactivity.)

Similar to the proposed dangers of the LHC, I suspect that any 'surprise' elements we might have had doping the atmosphere with the potential to create a runaway effect (enough to account for their rarity in the atmosphere) would have previously been struck by cosmic rays already, and thus long ago either activated or denatured in the process, back when it caused us no harm at all...  But the cosmic ray mitigation surely wasn't well enough known (if at all) to the more down-to-earth scientists.

Remember: When detonating a prototype nuclear device - Safety first!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on February 06, 2016, 05:43:51 pm
That asshole statement of benefits of space along with the no nukes in space because "you'll pollute space" (fucking hippies, God how I hate them with white hot passion) are to be revised and corrected the moment we get more space presence.

The reason we are very careful about using nuclear power in spacecraft is because every single spacecraft we have ever built needed to go through the atmosphere to get to space. Getting through the atmosphere is the most dangerous part of spaceflight by a long shot, in part it involves putting a lot of explosives directly underneath the thing we're trying to put into space.

Over the history of spaceflight, there has been a 94% success rate over all launches. To put that in perspective, if driving cars had a 94% survival rate per trip, and everyone drove twice per day, then after a week most of the United States would be dead.

Every single time a spaceship explodes on launch, every part of it gets spread everywhere.

Now, we've gotten a lot better than 94%, but it's still always a risk. There are places where we use nuclear power in space, and it is a specific, calculated risk. In some ways, putting a radiothermal generator on a spacecraft is a safer method- if the alternative is a spaceship that is 10 times heavier, we can afford the risk because it offsets the risk and expense of a larger mission.

I am an advocate of using nuclear power in space and on earth. But people urging caution and creating regulation are not hippies, they are for the most part concerned professionals.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on February 06, 2016, 06:04:27 pm
You're all very confused. The nuke ban applies solely to nuclear weaponry, for the clear and simple purpose that it was created during the Cold War, and was one of the many mutual de-escalation descisions made during that time.

There are no restrictions on nuclear power in spacecraft (that don't also exist for earth bound nuclear power).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on February 06, 2016, 06:35:04 pm
Yeah, but orion space craft would be akin to propulsing yourself with a office chair and a ak47. Surely you can't go around and pass a ak47 as a simple propusion engine.

And I have personally heard the "we are going to pollute space if we nuke it too" stupid argument in person. That day I almost had a stroke.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Amperzand on February 06, 2016, 06:48:37 pm
I have heard the act of nuking space likened to urinating in the ocean. It does, technically, make things worse, but to such a negligible degree that nobody really cares.

Unless you detonate the nuke inside the geomagnetic field, which is actually dangerous, and tends to cause EMP events and artificial radiation belts, both pretty problematic.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on February 06, 2016, 09:44:56 pm
I remember that the "ignite the oceans" was fear of the heat being strong enough to separate the chemical bond of water and then ignite the hydrogen.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheDarkStar on February 06, 2016, 09:47:05 pm
Best Korea can into space?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Amperzand on February 06, 2016, 09:48:30 pm
The heat and pressure of a kiloton-range fission bomb is enough to ignite fusion in some isotopes, the fear was that it would do so in the atmosphere's nitrogen, causing a massive chain reaction and obliterating everything. As it turns out, a specialized nuclear-shaped-charge and a compressed slug of fairly specific fusionable isotopes is needed to accomplish such a thermonuclear reaction, but it was not a fear unbased in reality.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: 10ebbor10 on February 07, 2016, 06:31:13 am
Yeah, but orion space craft would be akin to propulsing yourself with a office chair and a ak47. Surely you can't go around and pass a ak47 as a simple propusion engine.

Orion has many flaws and reasons why it will never be utilized. The treaty is not what's stopping it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on February 07, 2016, 10:26:40 am
And I have personally heard the "we are going to pollute space if we nuke it too" stupid argument in person. That day I almost had a stroke.

And I have personally heard the argument that we aren't bombing ISIS because environmentalists are worried it will add to global warming.  People say stupid crap.  Just because someone says stupid crap doesn't mean multi-billion dollar projects are behoven to them.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Amperzand on February 07, 2016, 05:08:39 pm
On the one hand, strategic nuclear use wouldn't make climate change any better. On the other, there are better reasons not to nuke the middle east than a fractional and temporary increase in temperature.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jaked122 on February 07, 2016, 05:31:05 pm
And I have personally heard the argument that we aren't bombing ISIS because environmentalists are worried it will add to global warming.  People say stupid crap.  Just because someone says stupid crap doesn't mean multi-billion dollar projects are behoven to them.


Fortunately as it turns out, the Military is known for not listening to protests. At least, not when they come from outside or the bottom of the hierarchy.


On the one hand, strategic nuclear use wouldn't make climate change any better. On the other, there are better reasons not to nuke the middle east than a fractional and temporary increase in temperature.


Mmm. Imagine a nuclear winter and global warming.


Though according to freeciv, you can cancel one out with the other. Not really an acceptable way of going about fixing the climate, but hey, if it works in freeciv then it has at least a 5 percent chance of working in real life.



Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on February 07, 2016, 05:54:00 pm
Can't we try devoting 90% of our gdp to science before we try that?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Akura on February 07, 2016, 06:09:49 pm
Though according to freeciv, you can cancel one out with the other. Not really an acceptable way of going about fixing the climate, but hey, if it works in freeciv then it has at least a 5 percent chance of working in real life.

I've tried that in Freeciv. It doesn't cancel. You just get mixed desert and tundra continents.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Amperzand on February 07, 2016, 06:10:00 pm
I'd rather it just be 60%. Specifically, the 60% the military's using.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on February 07, 2016, 06:11:57 pm
I'd rather it just be 60%. Specifically, the 60% the military's using.

60% of GDP?  You are posting from North Korea?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on February 07, 2016, 06:14:41 pm

But no, this is 'murrica.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Graknorke on February 07, 2016, 06:15:42 pm
Add on Veterans' Benefits too, since that is pretty much military.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on February 07, 2016, 06:17:27 pm
But no, this is 'murrica.

That is a chart of government discretionary spending, not gdp.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 08, 2016, 06:03:05 am
Though according to freeciv, you can cancel one out with the other. Not really an acceptable way of going about fixing the climate, but hey, if it works in freeciv then it has at least a 5 percent chance of working in real life.

I've tried that in Freeciv. It doesn't cancel. You just get mixed desert and tundra continents.
This is the Space Thread, not the Earth Thread.

Spoiler: Although possibly (click to show/hide)

(Although I suppose we could compromise on with Sid Meier's Alpha Centauri.  Build a city by the shore, put a pressure dome on it quicker than your rival civilisations, make sure you've got something amphibious like the hovertank hull for all your units, then encourage sea level rises - hey presto, world inunddomination!)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reverie on February 08, 2016, 06:07:43 am
If I'm not mistaken, Kerbal Space Program doesn't model the gravitational pull of more than one stellar body at a time (or is it two?) Needless to say, that sort of discrepancy among other things kind of invalidates it as anything more than a broad learning tool.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 08, 2016, 08:26:57 am
If I'm not mistaken, Kerbal Space Program doesn't model the gravitational pull of more than one stellar body at a time (or is it two?) Needless to say, that sort of discrepancy among other things kind of invalidates it as anything more than a broad learning tool.
Just the one, yes.  Whichever "Sphere of most influence" you're in (so getting closer to a body orbiting a larger one suddenly switches you to that smaller one, carrying in your relative velocity from when you were 'just' influenced by the larger one).

Thus the second linked comic (entering a sphere of influence 'in front' or 'behind' suddenly gives you the sphere's core body's influence, whereas in reality you'd already be perturbed towards it whilst still travelling under the major influence of the more-distant-but-more-massive one... and every other planet in the system, to a tiny amount), and there's also no such thing as Lagrange Points in KSP (or weren't, when I last played with it...) and complex resonant orbits between co-orbiting worlds work only by dipping in close to each body with a lot of uncertainty from rounding errors, rather than 'simple' chaos.

But the first comic does apply when it comes to docking, manoeuvring and otherwise getting close to other items in orbit when there's only the one body involved for the vast majority of the time.  As in simply firing straight forward towards another object that you're lagging in orbit increases your orbital potential and causes you to rise above it (I'm looking at you, Gravity!  ...even ignoring the whole issue of space-stations likely being on dissimilar orbital inclinations!)), so you either to keep on thrusting and then adjust later (to slow down much more than you were originally moving and 'fall' back onto it) or use at least some thrust to send you Earthwards on a more elliptical path to shortcut the orbit and close the gap from below.

(Easier in the system-view model where it shows your path than when you're doing the "get your Kerman back to your ship" test of the EVA pack, in whatever version of KSP that exists in.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on February 08, 2016, 08:33:49 am
n-body physics only make a big difference over a long period of time, with small "tugs" every obit or so. As you can imagine, that would be incredibly annoying to play where if you send a probe to jool (jupiter analog) the many years it takes to get there will have caused all your satalites around kebin to have been tossed wildly around and sent off into deep space or crashed into kerbin. Other than the every so often small "tug" the physics simulation is spot on, and it makes the game playable.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Putnam on February 08, 2016, 06:36:07 pm
n-body physics only make a big difference over a long period of time, with small "tugs" every obit or so. As you can imagine, that would be incredibly annoying to play where if you send a probe to jool (jupiter analog) the many years it takes to get there will have caused all your satalites around kebin to have been tossed wildly around and sent off into deep space or crashed into kerbin. Other than the every so often small "tug" the physics simulation is spot on, and it makes the game playable.

Kerbin is actually fairly stable AFAIK, but Jool is not so lucky. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O0_OQRN1VNA)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: redwallzyl on February 08, 2016, 10:18:16 pm
http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2016/02/08/466051062/did-a-meteorite-kill-a-bus-driver-in-india

one vary unlucky man.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Putnam on February 09, 2016, 01:15:01 am
phil plait doesn't believe it (https://twitter.com/BadAstronomer/status/696821829931892736)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reverie on February 09, 2016, 06:45:07 am
Apparently a few other people were injured though, it wasn't just the one guy.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Amperzand on February 10, 2016, 04:39:18 am
What the shit. (http://www.ice-age-ahead-iaa.ca/scrp_wf/pepg000.htm)

This guy is arguing that the sun is actually electrically powered, using green comic sans.

I mean, what?

Does this look like how you want to perform scientific discussion?

Consider the article.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on February 10, 2016, 04:51:23 am
What the shit. (http://www.ice-age-ahead-iaa.ca/scrp_wf/pepg000.htm)

This guy is arguing that the sun is actually electrically powered, using green comic sans.

I mean, what?

Does this look like how you want to perform scientific discussion?

Consider the article.
That looks like one of the 'Electric universe' aka 'Plasma cosmology' crowd (though they'd probably argue there's a difference). They're some of the crackpottest out there. Google 'thunderbolts project' if you don't value your hair.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 10, 2016, 06:37:51 am
What the shit. (http://www.ice-age-ahead-iaa.ca/scrp_wf/pepg000.htm)

This guy is arguing that the sun is actually electrically powered, using green comic sans.

I mean, what?

Does this look like how you want to perform scientific discussion?

Consider the article.
Quickly scanning through, it appears to me that what we have here is someone who has learnt some basic physics and believes that they now know 'everything', and now can't believe any extra refinements to physics that is available for them to learn.  Such as "nuclear fusion gives out energy, so nuclear fission should always use up energy, obviously!!!" (to paraphrase).  They've made up a 'consistent' personal theory in lieu of this and will doubtless stick religiously to that theory, especially since all geniuses were once told they were wrong, so being told that they are wrong is conclusive evidence that they are, in fact, a genius...

Also we have someone who believes that repeating images (sometimes two or three consecutive times, separated only by an intervening paragraph!), is a valid way of making a point with the images that the images didn't even make the first time.

(And the element is "silicon", not "silicone", but that's the least of the author's worries.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Amperzand on February 10, 2016, 06:57:42 am
Beautiful.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on February 10, 2016, 07:18:21 am
Also unutterably stupid.

*returns to reading RationalWiki to restore their faith in humanity*
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smirk on February 10, 2016, 09:29:53 am
Art Deco space tourism posters from NASA/JPL (http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/visions-of-the-future/). The urge to print and frame some of these is very strong.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on February 10, 2016, 12:53:00 pm
He wha nish bargh

"The sun can't have fusion because fusion is net loss, and the sun can't be fusion because if it was made of hydrogen its atoms would collapse."

I think that important functional parts of this person's brain are missing.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Graknorke on February 10, 2016, 01:07:07 pm
I couldn't get too far in without experiencing Time Cube-esque numbing of the mind, but in general I'm pretty sure this guy doesn't know much. The sun doesn't turn off during ice ages, and plasma is far more dense than atomic matter, not "empty space".
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on February 10, 2016, 02:13:54 pm
(http://ganymede.nmsu.edu/tharriso/ast110/1322_1618.jpg)
Fusing light elements up to iron releases energy, fissing heavy elements down to iron releases energy.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on February 10, 2016, 02:17:45 pm
So, wait, theoretically, doesn't that mean that the universes "true" equilibrium would be when all matter is iron? Then there would be no way to release any more energy.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Amperzand on February 10, 2016, 02:19:47 pm
Good question.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Putnam on February 10, 2016, 02:43:39 pm
Also unutterably stupid.

*returns to reading RationalWiki to restore their faith in humanity*

hey aren't those the guys who make shit up about roko's basilisk so they can more efficiently make fun of yudkowsky and his whole follower group
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 10, 2016, 03:19:26 pm
(Hence why I think he's 'learnt' the basics about fission and now refuses to consider learning the basics about fusion, because "he now understands everything!", and doesn't need to learn any more.)

So, wait, theoretically, doesn't that mean that the universes "true" equilibrium would be when all matter is iron? Then there would be no way to release any more energy.

I'm sure that was postulated, at least several decades ago.  i.e. that at the heat-death of the universe all the regular matter that is left (which is not degenerate, or lost within singularities - which arguably is more so) is the iron-rich corpses of all the final stars, cooled and 'useless'.  (Though, with imagination, one could image some form of 'life' that continues to eke out a continued existence by a vastly slowed entropy-farming method - c.f. the Neutron Star inhabitants of Dragon's Egg by Robert L. Forward, but probably thematically more like lichens, and living at a crawl, not (by human terms) super-speed...)

But then we've developed theories such as the Big Rip, which might make this speculative end impossible from the sheer meaningless of the concept even of atomic nuclei, in the future that is distant enough to have reduced everything to just one or other of singularities, neutrons or impure and cooling iron...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on February 10, 2016, 03:21:15 pm
Also unutterably stupid.

*returns to reading RationalWiki to restore their faith in humanity*

hey aren't those the guys who make shit up about roko's basilisk so they can more efficiently make fun of yudkowsky and his whole follower group
Uh, no?
I don't think they make anything up about the basilisk.  As far as I know.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Amperzand on February 10, 2016, 03:33:29 pm
(Hence why I think he's 'learnt' the basics about fission and now refuses to consider learning the basics about fusion, because "he now understands everything!", and doesn't need to learn any more.)

I can certainly assure you he's either never been to a college physics course, or didn't pay attention.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sensei on February 10, 2016, 03:36:11 pm
Rational wiki is, iirc, notorious for being chock full of crazies.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on February 10, 2016, 03:37:24 pm
Rational wiki is, iirc, notorious for being chock full of crazies.
Is this a Poe's Law moment?  I think this is a Poe's Law moment...  They're pretty much the anticrazies.  Or so I gathered.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on February 10, 2016, 04:07:12 pm
Rationalwiki was started as an opposite of Conservapedia, a goal which they have succeeded at much more than they relaize.

Inb4 PoH posts snarky comments about the SJW conspiracy
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 10, 2016, 04:12:15 pm
(Hence why I think he's 'learnt' the basics about fission and now refuses to consider learning the basics about fusion, because "he now understands everything!", and doesn't need to learn any more.)
I can certainly assure you he's either never been to a college physics course, or didn't pay attention.
I don't think it's even college level, at least not in UK terms.  I think I was taught1 about fission (and fusion) in secondary school (tops out at age 16), and at Sixth Form College (the usually two years of pre-university non-compulsory education) the Physics probably went more into the maths and details, but didn't vastly change my basic impressions.

But I have difficulty enough working out how my 'old-style' year-of-school designations compare with the various numbers in the "K-12"-ish form now being used, over here, and the US form of "College" seems to be an entirely different span of ages.

But "not paying attention" covers a multitude of sins and (willingly or not) I assume that's what happened in this case.


1 This being a different time from having learnt about the subject.  I'm sure I'd been to nuclear power-station visitor centres2 even before I attained a double-figure age, certainly before I got to secondary school.
2 Always fun, with loads of 'interactive' exhibits demonstrating things in button-activated back-lit diagramatical form...  Much more fun than stately homes full of boring old furniture that you're not even supposed to touch.  Although a good largely-ruined castle with enough spiral staircases and rebuilt stone stairways to make the crenelated battlements accessible (with just the bare amount of modern safety barriers) is good, too.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Amperzand on February 10, 2016, 04:14:43 pm
I think you experienced a better educational system than many.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on February 10, 2016, 04:17:16 pm
I think you experienced a better educational system than many.
Indeed.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Putnam on February 10, 2016, 04:34:38 pm
Also unutterably stupid.

*returns to reading RationalWiki to restore their faith in humanity*

hey aren't those the guys who make shit up about roko's basilisk so they can more efficiently make fun of yudkowsky and his whole follower group
Uh, no?
I don't think they make anything up about the basilisk.  As far as I know.

here, found it (https://www.reddit.com/r/xkcd/comments/2myg86/xkcd_1450_aibox_experiment/cm8vn6e)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 10, 2016, 04:36:27 pm
I think you experienced a better educational system than many.
Indeed.
I think I just listened more in these subjects.  (And/or read more of the text-books than anyone asked me to, at a push.)  I'm not sure I was hot-housed to know this stuff.

Spoiler: Ramble (click to show/hide)

Maybe this is why I was bullied as a swot...  And then I went to University and found that I knew so little...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Amperzand on February 10, 2016, 05:10:38 pm
Some places do just have better schools, though being interested and intelligent also goes a long way.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on February 10, 2016, 05:22:41 pm
Also unutterably stupid.

*returns to reading RationalWiki to restore their faith in humanity*

hey aren't those the guys who make shit up about roko's basilisk so they can more efficiently make fun of yudkowsky and his whole follower group
Uh, no?
I don't think they make anything up about the basilisk.  As far as I know.

here, found it (https://www.reddit.com/r/xkcd/comments/2myg86/xkcd_1450_aibox_experiment/cm8vn6e)
*reads ALL the comments*
Yeah, still not sure there's anything particularly made up **in the current version**.  Feel free to disprove me here.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Putnam on February 10, 2016, 05:44:13 pm
Let's see... first thing, IIRC Yudkowsky's stopped going on about Timeless Decision Theory, having replaced it with something else. They also still have a section on the whole Pascal's Wager thing even though AFAIK nobody ever actually seriously considered the basilisk to be an argument to give all your money to Yudkowsky.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Graknorke on February 10, 2016, 05:44:38 pm
Rational wiki is, iirc, notorious for being chock full of crazies.
Is this a Poe's Law moment?  I think this is a Poe's Law moment...  They're pretty much the anticrazies.  Or so I gathered.
They are crazy, just in opposition to some other crazy.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Putnam on February 10, 2016, 05:48:19 pm
That both claim they're completely anti-crazy, yeah.

FWIW, I've read most of both. I read Yudkowsky's book and most of RW's articles on many things. You may consider me thus extremely crazy, maybe.

RW is a community based around making fun of people who say crazy stuff, so, uh, I'm not sure that's the best place to go if you want faith in humanity anyway. It's basically dedicated to the exact things you ought to be losing faith over, if you have any concept of "faith in humanity" at all.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sensei on February 10, 2016, 06:53:59 pm
Rational wiki is, iirc, notorious for being chock full of crazies.
Is this a Poe's Law moment?  I think this is a Poe's Law moment...  They're pretty much the anticrazies.  Or so I gathered.
They are crazy, just in opposition to some other crazy.
Until someone mention conservapedia, I was somehow thinking rational wiki was "the one that's basically a lot of conservatove ranting by one guy and his goons". Disregard my nonsense.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Amperzand on February 10, 2016, 06:56:51 pm
I have not heard of this Conservapedia. Tell me, is it basically some conservative people's beliefs as to science?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sensei on February 10, 2016, 07:19:04 pm
I have not heard of this Conservapedia. Tell me, is it basically some conservative people's beliefs as to science?
No, it would be very unfair to burden conservative people in general with responsibility for conservapedia. It is mostly one crazy guy. It's full of pages like "Best arguments against homosexuality" or "evolution syndrome".

Quote
Evolution syndrome is the tendency of some people to insist compulsively that human evolution from animals must somehow be true, and to spend nearly all of their time pushing that belief on others.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Amperzand on February 10, 2016, 08:01:45 pm
I see.

...I must read this, for my own amusement.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on February 11, 2016, 11:12:52 am
Gravity waves confirmed.(?)
I'd link the article but I'm on my phone. It's on several major news outlets but light on detail.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Arx on February 11, 2016, 11:15:28 am
Gravity waves confirmed.(?)
I'd link the article but I'm on my phone. It's on several major news outlets but light on detail.

https://www.sciencenews.org/article/gravity-waves-black-holes-verify-einstein%E2%80%99s-prediction
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Scoops Novel on February 11, 2016, 11:19:45 am
This AskScience thread sums it up pretty well (https://www.reddit.com/r/askscience/comments/458vhd/gravitational_wave_megathread/)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on February 11, 2016, 06:53:10 pm
Of course, it's easier to understand when Scott Manley (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NCpeaKqL8S4) explains it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jaked122 on February 11, 2016, 09:19:05 pm
Eh, I watched the press conference.


I waited until I had to leave for class for them to mention a gamma ray burst and I don't know if they mentioned it.


In any case, if we detect one that's imminent, we're not likely to have any options to survive as a species.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Putnam on February 12, 2016, 12:19:35 am
AFAIK the graviational waves would come at nearly the exact same time as the gamma ray burst; the only chance to properly detect a gamma ray burst would be a wash of neutrinos beforehand AFAIK (not because neutrinos go FTL but because light interacts with matter way more than neutrinos due to light being the mediator of the EM force while neutrinos very rarely interact EM-wise at all AFAIK).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on April 08, 2016, 04:51:24 pm
http://www.theverge.com/2016/4/8/11392138/spacex-landing-success-falcon-9-rocket-barge-at-sea (http://www.theverge.com/2016/4/8/11392138/spacex-landing-success-falcon-9-rocket-barge-at-sea)

SpaceX did it!

I love that the drone ship was the "Of Course I Still Love You"
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Wolfhunter107 on April 08, 2016, 04:53:57 pm
http://www.theverge.com/2016/4/8/11392138/spacex-landing-success-falcon-9-rocket-barge-at-sea (http://www.theverge.com/2016/4/8/11392138/spacex-landing-success-falcon-9-rocket-barge-at-sea)

SpaceX did it!

I love that the drone ship was the "Of Course I Still Love You"
It was pretty darn neat. The barge landing was pretty impressive.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on April 08, 2016, 06:06:59 pm
It doesn't look like it should be possible and yet here we are.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on April 08, 2016, 06:14:44 pm
one point of data does not make a line.

Time will tell if this is repeatable.

Should it be repeatable, it will radically reduce the costs of launching payloads into LEO.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on April 08, 2016, 06:16:17 pm
It doesn't make a line but it definitely moves the odds from the "possibly possible" to "definitely possible" category.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on April 09, 2016, 03:52:13 am
They managed it once on land, they've been getting closer and closer on the Boat Landing front, I have high hopes
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RadtheCad on April 19, 2016, 06:02:27 am
one point of data does not make a line.

Time will tell if this is repeatable.

Should it be repeatable, it will radically reduce the costs of launching payloads into LEO.

Thing is, they don't lose the payload if the rocket crashes into the ocean/explodes instead of landing on the barge, and the barge has been fine all the other times the rocket crashed into it/fell over on it/exploded on it, wasn't it?  It was still floating afterwards, at least, right?  So even if the rocket crashes half the time, you're still paying half as much for replacing rockets (ignoring refurbishment costs).  You just need to be paying less extra in rocket fuel  and infrastructure, etc, than you're saving in not having to build a new first stage every single mission. 

I'm looking forward to seeing what other tricks people manage to implement to make going to 8000 km/s cheaper  :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on April 19, 2016, 08:23:47 am
To get cheaper, rockets probably need to eventually be replaced, because they have to carry their own fuel up with them.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on April 19, 2016, 08:53:22 am
Obviously we need to just build everything in orbit and then transfer our consciousnesses into space by radio waves.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on April 19, 2016, 09:06:30 am
I think that a space elevator might be slightly more reasonable than that.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on April 19, 2016, 09:45:06 am
It didn't get much attention with the SpaceX landing, but the payload SpaceX was carrying was an inflatable module for the ISS (http://www.cbc.ca/news/technology/beam-module-iss-1.3539160) That has been attached over the week-end. It'll be inflated in May.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RadtheCad on April 19, 2016, 02:12:08 pm
To get cheaper, rockets probably need to eventually be replaced, because they have to carry their own fuel up with them.
I think that a space elevator might be slightly more reasonable than that.
Hey now, I'm as much a fan of megastructures as anyone, but we can't actually build one of those yet.  Reusable rockets will SIGNIFICANTLY reduce costs, and we can do it right now- no new wonder materials needed.  Fuel makes up a tiny, tiny fraction of space launch costs.  Most of it comes from having to build a very low-tolerance, high-tech, massive contraption every time you want to send something up.

Your car might have shitty gas mileage, but you'd still be driving a LOT less if it exploded everytime you arrived somewhere.  :P

Still.  If we can figure out how to make CNT's or an equivalent material commercially in large quantities...  well, it'll cause a revolution in construction akin to the invention of industrial steel foundries.

It didn't get much attention with the SpaceX landing, but the payload SpaceX was carrying was an inflatable module for the ISS (http://www.cbc.ca/news/technology/beam-module-iss-1.3539160) That has been attached over the week-end. It'll be inflated in May.

Yeah, I saw that.  I wonder how well it'll stand up to impacts compared to the regular modules?  Very appealing idea for transport, though, every decimetre counts when you're trying to fit a payload in an atmospheric spacecraft.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on April 19, 2016, 02:23:59 pm
Supposedly it's made of some secret special company material that will resist microimpacts just as well as the metal hull will. That said there is a reason why the astronauts will only actually be in the habitat for a tiny bit of time to run some tests during this initial maiden run.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on April 19, 2016, 02:29:34 pm
Well, it's layers of Kevlar, Nomex and the life. Frankly, I wouldn't be surprised if it's much more resistant than the relatively thin (due to weigh concerns) metal walls of the station.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: monkey on April 19, 2016, 05:36:31 pm
Genesis I & II have been in orbit since 2006/2007, supposedly without any issues.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bigelow_Aerospace#Expandable_habitat_modules (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bigelow_Aerospace#Expandable_habitat_modules)

Also Bigelow(the guy) that builds the things also owns a hotel chain.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on April 19, 2016, 05:40:41 pm
Genesis I & II have been in orbit since 2006/2007, supposedly without any issues.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bigelow_Aerospace#Expandable_habitat_modules (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bigelow_Aerospace#Expandable_habitat_modules)

Also Bigelow(the guy) that builds the things also owns a hotel chain.
The difference is that this is the first one that is designed to be able to work in tandem with life support; i.e. the goals for this particular one are "to test the BEAM module's structural integrity, leak rate, radiation dosage and temperature changes over a two-year-long mission".
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RadtheCad on April 19, 2016, 06:52:02 pm
But the station uses that multi-layered shielding that fragments incoming debris, greatly improving defense, doesn't it?  Hmm.  Well, that's what testing's for...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Akura on May 09, 2016, 05:48:55 am
According to my mother, Mercury will pass in front of the sun today, starting in about half an hour from now and lasting most of the day, and visible on the US East Coast. She also said you'd need a telescope or binoculars to see it.

...Great idea, Mom. Point a scope directly at the sun and stare at it for a few hours ::).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on May 09, 2016, 05:54:44 am
That pinhole thing for solar eclipses is a thing?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Arx on May 09, 2016, 08:38:42 am
Much better: point a telescope at the sun and direct the beam from the end onto a page.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on May 09, 2016, 10:28:50 am
Binoculars tinted to near opaqueness should work.
Warning!!!
Don't do this slap-dash! Don't rely on candle-soot coating your lens/impromptu glass filter evenly/thoroughly enough! Do not use eclipse filters (or welding goggles) at the eye-side of the magnifying lens, where the focussed-down sunlight could burn through the protection you think you have! Do not make it possible for the (sun-side) specialust filter to fall off its perch!

Look,  just get an official webcam view from a solar observatory, if you can't trust yourself to put together a solar observatory of your own. There's more spectacular things you'll want to see in the future, and the next transit is also well within the lifetime of most people here, I would hope...

ETA: November 11, 2019 is the next one.  You've got 42 months to spare,  and prepare.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on May 20, 2016, 12:46:30 am
Cool website:
http://www.asterank.com/
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Wolfhunter107 on August 05, 2016, 08:48:37 pm
Opportunity gets another mission extension. (http://www.planetary.org/explore/space-topics/space-missions/mer-updates/2016/07-mer-update-opportunity-nears-end-of-marathon-valley-tour.html?referrer=https://www.google.com/)

It's been around for twelve and a half years, now, which is absolutely incredible, if you think about it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on August 05, 2016, 10:23:12 pm
Opportunity gets another mission extension. (http://www.planetary.org/explore/space-topics/space-missions/mer-updates/2016/07-mer-update-opportunity-nears-end-of-marathon-valley-tour.html?referrer=https://www.google.com/)

It's been around for twelve and a half years, now, which is absolutely incredible, if you think about it.
It's definitely not bad for a three-month tour. :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on August 06, 2016, 01:59:55 am
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: BorkBorkGoesTheCode on August 06, 2016, 11:03:33 am
Now that is sad.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on August 06, 2016, 01:42:26 pm
Someday, maybe our children's or our grandchildren perhaps will see how people get there, and build a historical place around it, and it will never bee alone again. I expect the same for the eagle module and the first footprint on the moon.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 06, 2016, 04:22:32 pm
Surrounded with a velvet rope.

(On the Moon, perhaps a double-dome.  The outside to keep the air in, for the visitors, the inside to keep the air out, for the artefacts.)

ETA: Talking of extended-mission rovers and the Moon, did I link this here yet?

http://www.sciencealert.com/china-s-jade-rabbit-rover-finally-died-after-31-months-on-the-moon
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on August 06, 2016, 04:23:11 pm
(https://imgs.xkcd.com/comics/opportunity.png)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on August 14, 2016, 06:17:06 pm
http://www.seeker.com/new-nearby-earth-like-planet-discovered-1970197349.html

A new exoplanet has been discovered. "So what?" you say. Well, this exoplanet is:

- orbiting Proxima Centauri 4.25 light years away
- "Earth-like"
- In the habitable zone

In other words it's the best bet yet for a potentially life-bearing or colonizable planet that could be reached by a mission within a single lifetime.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 14, 2016, 06:20:18 pm
That is quite surprising.  I guess this means earthlike planets are probably really common?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on August 14, 2016, 07:11:41 pm
That is quite surprising.  I guess this means earthlike planets are probably really common?
Well, it does depend to some degree on what "Earth-like" refers to.  Venus and Mars are both Earth-like, if you only take the knowledge about that world we presently know about this one (orbital distance, planetary mass, planetary radius).  Even if we do infer from our present limited sample set that such planets are common (at least, until we get enough data to make a more conclusive estimate one way or the other), all it demonstrates is that terrestrial planets can easily exist between 0.5-3 AU from a G-type main-sequence star. 
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 14, 2016, 07:51:37 pm
Venus is earthlike?  Well that's a letdown.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on August 14, 2016, 07:58:06 pm
Venus would be pretty nice without the runaway greenhouse. And it probably is pretty nice...50 km above the surface.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Amperzand on August 14, 2016, 11:11:52 pm
Similarly, Mars would be very comfortable with an actual geomagnetic field and a full atmosphere.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on August 16, 2016, 06:25:32 pm
Venus would be pretty nice without the runaway greenhouse. And it probably is pretty nice...50 km above the surface.
At that sort of height, air pressure is about Earth sea level, so floating Venusian bases could be viable. If you can solve the slight issues of constant gale-force winds and the fact that the air is full of sulfuric acid. Venus is a terrible place.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 16, 2016, 06:47:56 pm
If you can solve the slight issues of constant gale-force winds and the fact that the air is full of sulfuric acid. Venus is a terrible place.
If they're constant gale-force winds, then its probably managable, a bit like the ground beneath my feet is moving sideways at around 600mph without my having to worry about it (or the additional roughly 67,000mph variable-direction, etc).

Far from the undulating surface, could it be relatively (doubly so!) calm?

The not inconsiderable smattering of acid in the mostly CO2 atmosphere (already requiring breathing apparatus outside of the Earth-atmosphere inner) probably requires some protection. But not insurmountable, and a slightly enhanced neoprene diving 'drysuit' could perhaps suffice for EVAs if necessary/safe-enough to do so.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: redwallzyl on August 16, 2016, 06:50:10 pm
theres till the crushing pressures and the incredible heat. their is absolutely no way you could ever build anything on Venus and also no reason to.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on August 16, 2016, 06:55:11 pm
theres till the crushing pressures and the incredible heat. their is absolutely no way you could ever build anything on Venus and also no reason to.

Like I said, the upper atmosphere is quite nice in comparison. It has a whopping 2/5ths of the things that will horribly kill you as the surface does.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on August 16, 2016, 07:00:31 pm
no reason to.
C'mon think a bit bigger. We need it's precious carbon to produce more humans. If we can't even consume a planet in our own solar system, how will we ever conquer the multiverse?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 16, 2016, 07:23:16 pm
no reason to.
C'mon think a bit bigger. We need it's precious carbon to produce more humans. If we can't even consume a planet in our own solar system, how will we ever conquer the multiverse?

Why not just siphon it off into orbital habitats?  Orbits are very free of wind and poison.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on August 16, 2016, 10:39:00 pm
no reason to.
C'mon think a bit bigger. We need it's precious carbon to produce more humans. If we can't even consume a planet in our own solar system, how will we ever conquer the multiverse?

Why not just siphon it off into orbital habitats?  Orbits are very free of wind and poison.
It's nice not having to haul carbon dioxide up and down hundreds of kilometers at a minimum (that being just through the atmosphere, not even including the additional delta-v needed to actually depart and return to your orbital installation), each time going through the same areas of the Venerean atmosphere; it seems a bit more convenient to build and process down there, then just send up the end products.  Also, building in the atmosphere allows you to take advantage of maintaining a neutral pressure differential.  If you float orbital habitats at 1 atm outside and 1 atm inside (an oxygen-nitrogen breathable mix will float on Venus), you don't have to build your outer structure as strong to keep the air inside, and you don't need to panic nearly as quickly if you get a leak since there's no pressure differential to drive your air out (or the outside air in).  You also can take advantage of the local gravity without having to build it into your orbital habitat or deal with the significant long-term health effects of microgravity.  (EDIT It also occurs to me that having an atmospheric shield equivalent to Earth's above you also is nice for avoiding solar radiation, micrometeorites, and other issues that would have to be dealt with for permanent space settlements to become a reality.)

It is actually quite nice at about 50-55 km up, as far as we have been able to determine so far, just to join in on the general subject of the discussion thus far.  Temperatures drop to 75-25°C, sitting on the tropopause means that most (but certainly not all, judging by Earth, where particularly severe thunderstorms can overshoot into the stratosphere and wobble back and forth) of the really erratic winds should be below you, and the worst you have to deal with is the ubiquitous sulfuric acid haze and clouds.  Certainly, there's plenty of uses for sulfuric acid, too. 
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on August 16, 2016, 11:41:51 pm
theres till the crushing pressures and the incredible heat. their is absolutely no way you could ever build anything on Venus and also no reason to.

The point was balloons. Yes, there are crushing pressures at the surface. But clearly there's a point of zero pressure outside the atmosphere, and every possible gradation of pressure in between. You can float things in other words.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Colonization_of_Venus
Spoiler (click to show/hide)

Basically if you float a balloon with "Earth Air" pressure 50km above Venus, then the temperature is within normal Earth ranges, and the wind blows you around the planet once every 4 days, so you have a day/night cycle which isn't hella different to Earth, instead of the Venus-surface "day" of 243 Earth days. Not trying to "fight the wind" and just flowing along with it also reduces the structural issues.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on August 16, 2016, 11:49:14 pm
It's also much more doable than the other plan: Create a massive gamma ray emitter and blast a hole in the atmosphere to thin it out.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on August 17, 2016, 12:14:56 am
That sulfuric acid might be a godsend actually. Sulfuric acid contains hydrogen (and oxygen), which is otherwise lacking in the atmosphere. And acids react with alkalines and make water + salts.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on August 17, 2016, 04:15:57 am
Except for, you know, the fact that you need to make a facility which can survive constant acid spray, 24/7, at high speed, for years. And all the joints and connectors need to be protected. So do any instruments and any moving parts, and the airlocks, and the innards of the airlocks. Salt spray is bad enough for sensitive, lightweight (lest we forget that all this has to be launched from earth, then inserted into an atmosphere which is a perpetual jet-stream, and presumably somehow assembled mid-air because a heat-shield won't work for an entire industrial facility) equipment, let alone perpetual acid, with concentrated acid building up in every nook and cranny.

I'll say it again: Venus is a terrible place. Stick to Mars.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 17, 2016, 05:44:43 am
I'll say it again: Venus is a terrible place. Stick to Mars.
Mars, with its invidious dust being sandblasted at you by ultra-high-speed winds in the still far-thinner-than-useful atmosphere. You have a Sun that is a mere pinprick, but is irradiating everything out of all proportion, and whilst you can 'bake' to room temperature at high noon, you need to deal with negative hundred or more (whether you prefer C or F, but its around +140 for those who prefer K) at the other extreme, stressing structures and membranes.on a cyclc nature. Again, thanks to the thin atmosphere.

Mind you, there's that other planet I could mention. 2/3rds covered with a universal solvent, rampant oxidising of unprotected metals, organic soups ready to clog up filters, uncontrollable weather systems, active techtonics and volcanism...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on August 17, 2016, 06:58:03 am
At least with Mars you can build as heavy as you like, and have a static base to land on. The temperature is basically a non-issue compared to all the other issues with our other planets because managing gigantic temperature swings is something space agencies are very good at. The dust is more of a problem, but you can redirect dust-blast  away from sensitive areas and use windbreaks and such. When you're 50km up, there is no cover, no resources, and you can't go underground.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Catmeat on August 17, 2016, 07:01:09 am
Mmmm organic soup.. with fried garlic bread and thickened chive cream. Oh stop it
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on August 17, 2016, 07:16:14 am
Mars is worse, you require radiation shielding due to the lack of magnetic protection, you need damn near spacesuits anywhere but the bottom of the Valles Marineris due to the functional lack of atmosphere, and the dust. Mars is a wasteland, and a waste of effort.

Making things withstand acid isn't hard, we don't do it as much because our atmosphere just burns a layer of oxidation onto everything, and acids are less common. If getting stuff to survive ph extremes were a problem, batteries wouldn't be a thing, I certainly wouldn't feel comfortable putting them on (or in!) my body at the rate we have and do.

Assuming you had a breathing filter and an umbrella you could stand on the porch of an aerostat floating in the soup we call Venusian air. We could use current technology and have habitats on Venus right now, tons of them, upper atmospheres are big places, especially when you have way too much atmosphere like Venus has.

We will never, in our lifetime, see a point where you could be anywhere near unprotected and survive on Mars, barring anti-aging, full conversion cyborgs, and the like. There are exactly three regions in the solar system with some combination of solid ground and 1 bar of pressure: Venus @49 km, Earth @0 km, and Titan @~0 km.

Titan is far too cold, but fascinating nonetheless, Venus has annoying rain and we don't breathe pure CO2, but oxygen is a lifting gas there, and we're in the last region as we speak. Living on Mars is BARELY easier than living on the Moon, except you have to descend much further into a gravity well, and travel much further, for no benefits beyond "we went there", which has value, but not much compared to "we are living on another world and can remain there indefinitely" like Venus air-colonies would offer.

Though, making humans out of all that carbon is silly, what you want to do is make diamond processors and upload into them.

Re: Dorsidwarf, You have the same amount of atmospheric protection 50km above Venus as you do here, how often do you go underground for solar storms? Never? Ok then. I will repeat my earlier point though: oxygen is a lifting gas on Venus, if you filled a balloon by exhaling into it and let it go outside your aerostat, it would float away.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on August 17, 2016, 07:23:38 am
Some, not nearly as much, and it does have some magnetic shielding apparently. The ESO orbiter found that as I recall, which makes sense, having such a massive atmosphere persist with none is problematic.

http://sci.esa.int/venus-express/50246-a-magnetic-surprise-for-venus-express/
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Catmeat on August 17, 2016, 07:26:47 am
Earth is perfect.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on August 17, 2016, 07:29:11 am
Except all the people, oxidation, and the annoying tendency to undergo glaciation events.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 17, 2016, 07:41:14 am
Coruscant
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 17, 2016, 08:39:33 am
Coruscant
How the fuck's that planet going to stay breathable? The oxygen'll get used up eventually!
*hand wave*You don't need to know how the air remains breathable...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on August 17, 2016, 09:50:48 am
I think they import air/food and export waste/heat everyday by the thousands of tons or something.

I remember reading when I was a child about covering atmosphere Venus with bacteria/algae or something that would eat the dioxide and sulfur and crap oxygen. Sadly later I read it was not viable to do so.

Forget Mars and Venus. We need an outpost in the moon first. Then Mars. In Mars we could build an space elevator with current materials and engineering.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on August 17, 2016, 09:59:48 am
Need radiation protection on Venus, too. Venus also lacks a magnetosphere, though the atmosphere would absorb SOME of the radiation at least.
Magnetospheres don't protect planets from radiation, they protect atmospheres from being ablated away. The atmosphere is what inhibits the radiation.

You can see this even with LEO operations, where you are still inside Earth's magnetosphere but will definitely die of radiation poisoning if you don't have protection, because you're outside the atmosphere.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on August 17, 2016, 10:02:00 am
Magnetosphere does deflect (bend away) charged particles like those ejected during solar flares, but not radiation.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Akura on August 17, 2016, 05:56:41 pm
Living on Mars is BARELY easier than living on the Moon, except you have to descend much further into a gravity well, and travel much further, for no benefits beyond "we went there", which has value, but not much compared to "we are living on another world and can remain there indefinitely" like Venus air-colonies would offer.

Doesn't Mars have a hell of a lot of iron? Particularly a hell of a lot of small nodules of iron easily harvested on the surface and readily usable in a foundry?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on August 17, 2016, 06:15:15 pm
I mean, it's red because of the iron. Not sure if that's usable or not, though.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Amperzand on August 17, 2016, 06:17:06 pm
Mars and the moon both have lots of iron. Not really worth the trouble of going there though.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 17, 2016, 06:24:32 pm
That sulfuric acid might be a godsend actually. Sulfuric acid contains hydrogen (and oxygen), which is otherwise lacking in the atmosphere. And acids react with alkalines and make water + salts.

I'm still not seeing why you dont just send a ship to dip in, grab the hydrogen and then bugger back out into orbit where humans belong.  It's nice that you can freefloat in the atmosphere but you can float even freer outside the atmosphere.

Or just skip Venus entirely and snag an asteroid with a high water content and bring it to earth orbit.

Mars and the moon both have lots of iron. Not really worth the trouble of going there though.

The moon has iron in a low enough gravity well that you can launch from it without rockets.  That's more handy then iron at the bottom of a deeper gravity well.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on August 17, 2016, 06:35:07 pm
I'm still not seeing why you dont just send a ship to dip in, grab the hydrogen and then bugger back out into orbit where humans belong.  It's nice that you can freefloat in the atmosphere but you can float even freer outside the atmosphere.
Because acidic corrosion is preferable over deadly radiation (although the 1 bar of Venusian atmosphere might not protect as well as 1 bar of Earth's atmosphere, if only for the ozone). As a bonus you get a little bit of gravity so the legs don't go all wobbly weightless.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on August 17, 2016, 06:39:21 pm
Besides, if you're just at Venus for the hydrogen, there are much better places to pick that up: Jupiter or Saturn, for starters.  The idea of breaking sulfuric acid down into water, oxygen, and sulfur (or alternately, combining with phosphate rocks to create phosphate-based fertilizers) is mostly useful if you're actually living there.  If you're just going to set up in orbit, and you've already solved the issues of permanent orbital settlement such that you don't need to go to Venus, well, there's not nearly as much point in going to Venus at all. 

EDIT: Also, just to note, you don't just get a little bit of gravity.  You get a bit under 90% of the gravity on Earth for free.  No need to muck about with pseudo-forces, Coriolis effects, or to mandate more...fictional methods for gravity generation. 
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on August 17, 2016, 06:44:11 pm
The moon has iron in a low enough gravity well that you can launch from it without rockets.  That's more handy then iron at the bottom of a deeper gravity well.

I've always wondered what would happen if a significant amount of mass was removed from the moon, either transferred to earth or shipped away. What would happen to tidal forces and weather patters on earth? And how would it affect the moon's orbit? Would it affect other things, like axial tilt?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on August 17, 2016, 06:56:43 pm
The moon has iron in a low enough gravity well that you can launch from it without rockets.  That's more handy then iron at the bottom of a deeper gravity well.

I've always wondered what would happen if a significant amount of mass was removed from the moon, either transferred to earth or shipped away. What would happen to tidal forces and weather patters on earth? And how would it affect the moon's orbit? Would it affect other things, like axial tilt?
A bigger or smaller moon/planet would orbit in the same time period. So we could e.g. pummel asteroids / comets into Mars to bulk it up, to heat it and make it hold an atmosphere better. That wouldn't affect its orbit much at all.

Coruscant
How the fuck's that planet going to stay breathable? The oxygen'll get used up eventually!
That's assuming they need trees to process oxygen, whereas most of that on Earth is done by algae already. You could argue the same about Endor or Hoth: worlds without oceans shouldn't be able to support that level of ecosystem (in Hoth's case, large-scale fauna). At least Coruscant could have the excuse that they have high-tech machinery underground that processes the air. After all, it's a given that eventually we'd be able to "design better algae". Algae relies on massive amounts of water and is not a specifically efficient use of turning sunlight into oxygen: because algae isn't designed to do that, oxygen is a waste product. So since it's not optimized we could clearly engineer better algae even with current biotech knowledge.

A 100% forest world like Endor makes even less sense.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 17, 2016, 07:20:39 pm
If you're just going to set up in orbit, and you've already solved the issues of permanent orbital settlement such that you don't need to go to Venus, well, there's not nearly as much point in going to Venus at all.

I imagine that if you can transport enough mass to Venus to make a floating city, you can transport enough mass to not Venus to make an orbital city.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 17, 2016, 08:00:47 pm
That's assuming [Coruscantians] need trees to process oxygen,
My 'serious' answer1 is that they have obviously mastered nucleogenesis/transmutation.  They have impressive reactor-tech2, and even if it's an endothermic nucleosynthesis process, they can power that from part if the output from the regular hypermatter reactor cores, fuelled from (and by-products disposed to) off-planet reservoirs as necessary.


1 As well as "you know all those ships zooming around, especially in the prequel trilogy scenery-porn, well, a lot of those are tankers bringing in breathing gases mined elsewhere... *cough*Bespin*cough*"

2 Combining the two concepts, how about if the home-grown mass-transit/haulage fleet has engines designed to 'exhaust' safe isotopes of breathing gasses (whilst retaining unwanted 'spent' fuel, if necessary).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Teneb on August 17, 2016, 08:20:48 pm
All Star Wars ecosystem is powered by Disneyum (previously Lucasium), a truly versatile susbtance.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on August 17, 2016, 08:25:48 pm
If you're just going to set up in orbit, and you've already solved the issues of permanent orbital settlement such that you don't need to go to Venus, well, there's not nearly as much point in going to Venus at all.

I imagine that if you can transport enough mass to Venus to make a floating city, you can transport enough mass to not Venus to make an orbital city.
It would be easier to make it survivable. Easier to live in. Venus is closer than anything but periodic LEO visits. You get a leak in an orbital habitat, you run the risk of dying soon. You get a leak in an aerostat, you run the risk of eventually running out of oxygen unless you start up scrubbers, and have a bad smell to deal with until you find it. It really is the only other location which is close to habitable besides Earth.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Tomasque on August 17, 2016, 11:46:19 pm
 I know this is non-sequitur, but do you guys know a good mechanic for a ftl-style forum game where one player is the crew, and one player is the merciless void of space? Sounds really random, but I've been inspired to make something like this (and run it, later), but all I can think of is a few specifics, and I need something a bit more "core mechanic-y" that I can build off of. Since this is a thread, ya know, about space, I thought I'd post it here... and roller's block, too, of course.

 ^^Also, if this sounds rushed, it's because it is.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Arcvasti on August 17, 2016, 11:50:39 pm
...one player is the merciless void of space...

This is a good idea.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 18, 2016, 06:26:09 am
If you're just going to set up in orbit, and you've already solved the issues of permanent orbital settlement such that you don't need to go to Venus, well, there's not nearly as much point in going to Venus at all.

I imagine that if you can transport enough mass to Venus to make a floating city, you can transport enough mass to not Venus to make an orbital city.
It would be easier to make it survivable. Easier to live in. Venus is closer than anything but periodic LEO visits. You get a leak in an orbital habitat, you run the risk of dying soon. You get a leak in an aerostat, you run the risk of eventually running out of oxygen unless you start up scrubbers, and have a bad smell to deal with until you find it. It really is the only other location which is close to habitable besides Earth.

But your entire city can fall to death if the buoyancy module fails... we have managed leaks for decades. Buoyancy is new.

The closest is blimps and Zeppelin's but those land.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on August 18, 2016, 07:21:43 am
Speaking of zeppelins, yesterday the Airlander 10, nicknamed "the flying butt", made it's first flight.
The Airlander 10, a zeppelin - aircraft hybrid, is designed to carry cargo at very low fuel costs.
Another Airlander, the Airlander 50, which is still under development, will be even larger. It's expected to become operational in 2020.

http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-beds-bucks-herts-37111527 (http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-beds-bucks-herts-37111527)
Foto series in my newspaper: http://www.volkskrant.nl/foto/de-vliegende-kont-maakt-zijn-eerste-vlucht~p4360131/ (http://www.volkskrant.nl/foto/de-vliegende-kont-maakt-zijn-eerste-vlucht~p4360131/)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 18, 2016, 07:44:34 am
we have managed leaks for decades. Buoyancy is new.

Leaks only for decades? (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ancient_maritime_history)
Or, if you insist: Buoyancy is 'new' ? (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_submarines)
Or: Gas buoyancy is new? (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_ballooning#First_hydrogen_balloon)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 18, 2016, 10:01:54 am
I specifically mention blimps and Zeppelin's, dude.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 18, 2016, 10:15:58 am
I specifically mention blimps and Zeppelin's, dude.
Yet you only say 'decades' (and imply airships as still newer than that, when the history of lighter-than-air flight is better measured in centuries.  We can handle leaks.

There's plenty of points of failure that can happen, but we're well versed in dealing in-situ with the low-pressure venting tjat is a mere 'leak'.



(While I'm being pedantic, watch your apostropes...  "(Count Ferdinand von) Zeppelin's airships" or "(Luftschiffbau) Zeppelin('s) airships" or "[Z|z]eppelins" (simple plural), amongst other variations... ;) )
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 18, 2016, 10:33:08 am
On phone so Zeppelin's

Blimps and Zeppelin's always return to earth in a storm. That isn't an option for Venus city. For decades we have had space craft that have operated in orbit just like an orbital city would.  Just do more of the same. Higher orbit and bigger station. Then you can start using off world resources to grow.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 18, 2016, 11:04:27 am
On phone so Zeppelin's
On tablet, but not at all forced to use an apostrophe (although the keyboard uses up half the height of the display, which is awkward) and really a spill-chucker/bord-wodger forces possessive but not plural of a semi-obscure word..? Meh. It was an aside. Never mind.

Quote
Blimps and Zeppelin's always return to earth in a storm. That isn't an option for Venus city. For decades we have had space craft that have operated in orbit just like an orbital city would.  Just do more of the same. Higher orbit and bigger station. Then you can start using off world resources to grow.
They do because it is easy.  A leaking venusblimp would be easiest to fix in flight. Easiest to resupply in flight. Easiest to reach from orbit to assist or escape to orbit upon evacuation.  "We do this thing, and the other things, not because they are easy but we also do not make them harder than they need to be." To paraphrase.

A leaking orbital station would lose air quicker. It may be proof against storms (which we currently do not have enough data over, but 50km is likely to be less turbulent, and well above surface features) but it is more susceptible to random space-debris and a puncture of whatever kind can immediately escalate to a disaster, not merely a lingering problem.  Especially if in  a section stressed by centripetal/centrifugal forces as part of the necessary habitability of the station.

But design elements could be swayed by future information.  Right now, the balance of probability is very much hypotjetical.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on August 18, 2016, 12:53:38 pm
The ISS has managed, what, 20 years without any serious impact, and Venusian space is much emptier than LEO.

OTOH a station would have no reason to be made other than 'because', and the same with a blimp-city. (The logistics of creating and maintaining which are mindfucking)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 18, 2016, 01:20:13 pm
It is the same reason as an oil rig. To access resources. Space has much more solar energy then earth. Metals and volatiles outside a gravity well are valuable. Like bring about post scarcity valuable.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 18, 2016, 01:28:20 pm
The ISS has managed, what, 20 years without any serious impact, and Venusian space is much emptier than LEO.
It's had its moments,.  As has a predecessor (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mir#Accidents), hence a lot of the caution with docking, these days, unless you want to skip resupply operations and just concentrate on the natural dangers entirely.

And (as well as why we're sending men(/women) to venus) that's the bit we need more information on. But by the time someone is seriously thinking of it, we'll have better ideas about all of that. Right now, we know we could orbit Venus (to observe? Like an unmanned probe?) or float in its atmosphere (like an unmanned probe, again) and once we know why we want actual people there (long-term hands-on analysis of the atmosphere?), that'll be part of the mission-spec.

Personally, I think people orbiting Venus is probably the bigger waste of time. Assuming you need people at Venus for more than a fly-by'n'slingshot on the way to somewhere else that they will land on...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on August 18, 2016, 01:51:16 pm
venus takes the least delta-v to get to, so it can be useful for slingshots.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 18, 2016, 01:56:02 pm
venus takes the least delta-v to get to, so it can be useful for slingshots.
...for which you don't 'stop off'. You slingshot. Hence why I think the first manned visit to (the vicinity of) Venus will be a flying visit at best. No orbit, no upper atmosphere, no landing.

Until we have some other reason, like to battle with the Mekon!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on August 18, 2016, 02:40:15 pm
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Colonization_of_Venus
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Terraforming_of_Venus
Interesting readings by all means. Both orbital and floating colonies are proposed. As well as terraforming, which in my opinion should be long term goal of ALL of our colonies whenever possible.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on August 18, 2016, 02:47:39 pm
And (as well as why we're sending men(/women) to venus) that's the bit we need more information on. But by the time someone is seriously thinking of it, we'll have better ideas about all of that. Right now, we know we could orbit Venus (to observe? Like an unmanned probe?) or float in its atmosphere (like an unmanned probe, again) and once we know why we want actual people there (long-term hands-on analysis of the atmosphere?), that'll be part of the mission-spec.
Well, we could live on Venus, it holding a few advantages over hard vac.
Or, more technically, floating in the upper atmosphere. At 50km high, the conditions are remarkably earthlike - 1 atmo of pressure, with a temperature a mere 0-50 degrees. No risk of explosive decompression, the atmosphere provides radiation shielding equivalent to Earth's, and a nice 0.904gs stops your bones from turning to glass.

It's easier to reach than Mars, with more flight windows and shorter flights.

Breathable air is a lifting gas, meaning the floating colonies would be able to lift themselves. You'd be able to go outside without a pressure suit, though you'd still need protection from the heat, acidity, and a supply of...

Oh, I got ninjad.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Colonization_of_Venus
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Terraforming_of_Venus
Interesting readings by all means. Both orbital and floating colonies are proposed. As well as terraforming, which in my opinion should be long term goal of ALL of our colonies whenever possible.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on August 18, 2016, 03:05:38 pm
Nobody has ever tried building anything, yet alone a self-sufficient city in those conditions - i.e. gravity, and pressure differences, but no ground to stand on.
Which means that contrary to what some have said, we don't have the technology to do it. It would have to be developed from scratch, with limited capacity for testing.
This makes Mars a much move viable prospect, for pretty much the same gains.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 18, 2016, 03:14:24 pm
Oh, I got ninjad.
Quite a lot. I'm already (on balance) on the side of the 30-mile-high club, and the arguments for it were given (by others) a page or two back...  ;)

(We have tech enough to prototype, IP, in a balloon-equipped atmospheric probe. Sending something that supports a habitat, never mind a city, is a leap but once we've investigated the conditions with such a probe, and expanded our tested capabilities in several other projects...)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 18, 2016, 03:57:20 pm
You could test it five feet off the ground in a wind tunnel.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on August 18, 2016, 04:42:02 pm
NASA just announced that any published science done with NASA funding will be made available to the public for free. (http://www.sciencealert.com/nasa-just-made-all-the-scientific-research-it-funds-available-for-free)

So that's pretty cool.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 18, 2016, 04:44:12 pm
What page can I find lizardmen on?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: redwallzyl on August 18, 2016, 04:55:13 pm
NASA just announced that any published science done with NASA funding will be made available to the public for free. (http://www.sciencealert.com/nasa-just-made-all-the-scientific-research-it-funds-available-for-free)

So that's pretty cool.
this is really something that should be done for all scientific research. its idiotic that basically all new discovery's are locked behind a thousand paywalls.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 18, 2016, 04:59:39 pm
The journals got themselves a nice niche back before the internet.  They are completely obsolete and useless.  They dont even curate.  If you want curation, you look at what an expert in the field is blogging about.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on August 18, 2016, 05:15:31 pm
What do you meant by 'don't curate'?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: redwallzyl on August 18, 2016, 05:17:41 pm
this is my personal favorite scientific paper http://www.scs.stanford.edu/~dm/home/papers/remove.pdf  :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 18, 2016, 05:22:07 pm
What do you meant by 'don't curate'?

These journals are supposed to be providing a carefully selected group of articles.  It's supposed to be expert review to both ensure the scientific validity of what they publish and make sure you get the best stuff.  But they do a horrible job of selecting articles, redwallzyl provided an extreme example from a crap journal but even the most respected names are prone to biases towards fame, hot topics and especially p-value satisfying results.  Journals are failing to highlight the most important research and publishing all sorts of crap.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on August 18, 2016, 07:28:13 pm
You see some strange shit when you have journal access. I once basically single-handedly assembled all modern knowledge on riparian zone repair after dam removal. The last publication I could find on the subject was in 2002, and my access was a pretty wide one.

Which is strange, because the efficacy of riparian zone repair is one of the primary benefits of tearing down dams.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on August 18, 2016, 08:22:30 pm
If you're just going to set up in orbit, and you've already solved the issues of permanent orbital settlement such that you don't need to go to Venus, well, there's not nearly as much point in going to Venus at all.

I imagine that if you can transport enough mass to Venus to make a floating city, you can transport enough mass to not Venus to make an orbital city.
It would be easier to make it survivable. Easier to live in. Venus is closer than anything but periodic LEO visits. You get a leak in an orbital habitat, you run the risk of dying soon. You get a leak in an aerostat, you run the risk of eventually running out of oxygen unless you start up scrubbers, and have a bad smell to deal with until you find it. It really is the only other location which is close to habitable besides Earth.

But your entire city can fall to death if the buoyancy module fails... we have managed leaks for decades. Buoyancy is new.

The closest is blimps and Zeppelin's but those land.
Your living area IS the buoyancy module, oxygen is a lifting gas in a CO2 atmosphere.

If the buoyancy module fails you'll all be dead from CO2 poisoning long before you sink.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on August 19, 2016, 04:14:29 am
Question. Would you dare to live on a floating module on the atmosphere of Venus?
Or better said, would you rate to live on the atmosphere of Venus or in the surface of Mars?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on August 19, 2016, 04:29:46 am
Venus, definitly. The radiation shield provided by the atmosphere makes it 100x safer than the surface of Mars. Now if you would have said Mars, deep underground, I'd choose Mars.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on August 19, 2016, 05:39:59 am
I would choose Mars.  Radiationwise yes is safer
 But in Venus radiation would be the less of your problems. Also I'm noy talking about a perfectly safe and proven floating/surface habitat with years of in site testing and survival. I'm talking about being one of the people testing it the colony modules with current or foreseeable technology.

Radiation is something that I feel can shield myself better than sulfuric acid hurracans.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Putnam on August 19, 2016, 05:44:23 am
Yeah, unless for some insane reason you're imagining a Mars settlement as unpressurized and unshielded Mars will obviously seem worse than Venus, but pressurization and shielding are far easier than dealing with making a buoyant living space in sulfuric acid clouds, as can be seen by every mission to space ever.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Arx on August 19, 2016, 06:08:29 am
Why colonise Mars when we could colonise the Sahara?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on August 19, 2016, 06:15:54 am
A number of reasons from ecological to practical and philosophical ones.

In example I wouldn't be against colonies in the desert but the main reason for offworld colonies is no  only more living space/resources but spreading live and our race trough the solar system and eventually the galaxy, thus giving the human race and the only kind of life we know yet (earth life) a better chance to endure.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 19, 2016, 06:16:09 am
Why colonise Mars when we could colonise the Sahara?

Lower gravity.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on August 19, 2016, 06:18:58 am
Also ammonium perchlorate in the soil. That's fuel, fam.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on August 19, 2016, 06:19:23 am
Why colonise Mars when we could colonise the Sahara?

Lower gravity.
That too. With current materials and engineering we could build a space elevator on Mars and if we are lucky and can employ materials there to manufacture ships Mars could become a spaceshipyard of sorts to jump start colonization of more places in the solar system. Of course that's just jumping the gun a bit.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 19, 2016, 06:30:03 am
Huge satellites before colony ships most likely.  Also Mars is crap for farming but due to low gravity and materials it could export food to space. Or just export raw materials for farming like algae compost grown in vats.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on August 19, 2016, 07:16:19 am
Yeah, unless for some insane reason you're imagining a Mars settlement as unpressurized and unshielded Mars will obviously seem worse than Venus, but pressurization and shielding are far easier than dealing with making a buoyant living space in sulfuric acid clouds, as can be seen by every mission to space ever.
Make a battery, turn it inside out, fill it with 20% oxygen.

There ya go, you've got a basic aerostat for Venus.

Having ANY sort of additional lifting gas besides O2 just provides comfort room.

Dealing with acid is something we're good at. Dealing with pressure isn't necessary on Venus, you actually specifically want your habitat to be the same pressure as the exterior, if you get a leak you can rely on one of the most advanced chemical identification suites we can carry there to detect it: your nose, and then you can go patch it since it's just going to be mixing, not violent outgassing and death.

You can make polyethylene containers, here, I'll go show you a basic prototype of a Venus habitat right now: http://www.plastic-mart.com/sulfuric_acid_tanks_containers.aspx

Yeah, it's literally that simple. If it will contain it in our atmosphere, it can be made to keep our atmosphere from mixing with the outside gases.

Go price a Mars habitat, don't forget to include the costs for support crew, training, replacement, emergency survival areas, etc, etc, etc.

Mars you need a spacesuit, Venus you need little more than a gas mask and an outer layer, biiiig difference there.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 19, 2016, 07:16:39 am
Huge satellites before colony ships most likely.  Also Mars is crap for farming but due to low gravity and materials it could export food to space. Or just export raw materials for farming like algae compost grown in vats.
Sounds wasteful. Why are we growing algae on Mars and not in space, again?

(And going to space (off-earthl) for space (liebensraum) isn't very logical, compared with just normal population controls of various kinds, until we have some sort of space-elevator/star-gate/whatever to get (willing/unwilling) emmigrants off-planet efficiently. It must be the "getting eggs into other baskets" elementthat is the driver to off-world colonisation, in the shorter term.  But starting with pioneers and adventurers before even that.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on August 19, 2016, 07:26:41 am
We don't have the money to lift a critical number of people and habitats out to Mars, but we'll be a lot closer to doing so for Venus than we will for Mars, so to answer the earlier question: would I prefer to go to Venus or Mars to live in a hab? I assume the first crew on Mars will die, or be rescued at tremendous expense, no fucking way would I be part of that, get back to me in a hundred years and we'll see if we have regular habitation and transport there down to a regularly thing yet. We could start launching habs down to float in Venus and make sure the maintenance systems work before people even arrive, which is a lot more comforting.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on August 19, 2016, 07:49:22 am
We don't have the money to lift a critical number of people and habitats out to Mars, but we'll be a lot closer to doing so for Venus than we will for Mars, so to answer the earlier question: would I prefer to go to Venus or Mars to live in a hab? I assume the first crew on Mars will die, or be rescued at tremendous expense, no fucking way would I be part of that, get back to me in a hundred years and we'll see if we have regular habitation and transport there down to a regularly thing yet. We could start launching habs down to float in Venus and make sure the maintenance systems work before people even arrive, which is a lot more comforting.
Sure we don't have the money to lift all that to Venus neither, no matter how much less expensive it turns out. On the other hand which could be the long term plans for floating habitats on Venus? How much larger can they become? How much weight can they support per tonnage? Could it support industrial scale operations? How do you deal with the high winds blasting acid toward those tanks? Are they designed to withstand wind as fast as 360 km per hour? How are you going to lift those thanks there? How are you going to manage them to stay in a single place? This last point is critical. How are you going to simply dump those habitats in Venus and then expect to get to them without an anchor. And a ~60K anchor that can withstand acid and +400C° temperatures sure seems like a huge weight to carry there.

I do get the perks of the upper atmosphere of Venus, but they do not outweigh the troubles just yet. Sorry but I'm for one, not buying your hypothesis that it's actually easier making colonies on Venus, for a reason NASA has manned plans for going to Mars and not Venus.

In Mars inflatable (lighter) habitats partially sunken and covered in martian soil are a possibility, as it is using the landing module as an starting habitat. I once saw a plan that involved sending several unnamed ships beforehand to land in a place and then using the empty fuel tanks as an habitat, which is possible because you actually have a solid place to start.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on August 19, 2016, 08:56:09 am
Mars you need a spacesuit, Venus you need little more than a gas mask and an outer layer, biiiig difference there.
How do you think you're going to deal with 75 degrees Celsius atmosphere, still denser than on Earth = better heat transfer, trying to cook you alive, night or day? You won't be leaving your habitat without a spacesuit either, bub.

for a reason NASA has manned plans for going to Mars and not Venus.

Nor really plans, but there is a proof-of concept study:
http://ntrs.nasa.gov/archive/nasa/casi.ntrs.nasa.gov/20160006329.pdf

I do agree with your general conclusion, though - a floating habitat is a cool idea, but if somebody tries to tell me that it's also cheaper and/or easier than plonking some prefabricates on Mars and constructing a colony out of them, then that person is to me full of hot air (somewhat fittingly).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on August 19, 2016, 09:23:05 am
for a reason NASA has manned plans for going to Mars and not Venus.

Nor really plans, but there is a proof-of concept study:
http://ntrs.nasa.gov/archive/nasa/casi.ntrs.nasa.gov/20160006329.pdf
That's what I meant.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 19, 2016, 09:58:58 am
Huge satellites before colony ships most likely.  Also Mars is crap for farming but due to low gravity and materials it could export food to space. Or just export raw materials for farming like algae compost grown in vats.
Sounds wasteful. Why are we growing algae on Mars and not in space, again?

(And going to space (off-earthl) for space (liebensraum) isn't very logical, compared with just normal population controls of various kinds, until we have some sort of space-elevator/star-gate/whatever to get (willing/unwilling) emmigrants off-planet efficiently. It must be the "getting eggs into other baskets" elementthat is the driver to off-world colonisation, in the shorter term.  But starting with pioneers and adventurers before even that.)

I was just speculating about the composition of the packaging with algae. The export is the material for farming.

And it's not about living space any more then an oil rig is about living space.
Huge satellites before colony ships most likely.  Also Mars is crap for farming but due to low gravity and materials it could export food to space. Or just export raw materials for farming like algae compost grown in vats.
Nowhere's really good for farming other than earth. You can't even use Mars' 'soil' because it's full of perchlorates. If you don't know, they're basically super carcinogenic.

No one is saying farm in the raw soil...  Mars is just a place where materials are available outside a eartg sized gravity well. And I am just tossing it out there. Personally i think asteroids are more promising.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 19, 2016, 10:01:33 am
super carcinogenic.
An early version of the song in Mary Poppins, rejected and rejigged.

(As "chim-chimeny chim-chimeny chim-chim-cheree...", obviously.)

On the other hand which could be the long term plans for floating habitats on Venus? How much larger can they become?
Being designed for neutral buoyancy (within a controllable degree) add as many other neutrally-buoyant units on as will physically attach.

Quote
How much weight can they support per tonnage?
One tonne per tonne, all-in. That's superstructure, envelope, inhabitants, machinary, etc.

Quote
Could it support industrial scale operations?
See above.

Quote
How do you deal with the high winds blasting acid toward those tanks?
See below

Quote
Are they designed to withstand wind as fast as 360 km per hour?
See below.

Quote
How are you going to lift those thanks there?
Drop them from orbit. Whether fabricated on Earth and lifted from there or constructed 'somewhere' in space from hoisted or harvested materials, that's to be seen.

Quote
How are you going to manage them to stay in a single place?
Why would you do that?

Quote
This last point is critical. How are you going to simply dump those habitats in Venus and then expect to get to them without an anchor. And a ~60K anchor that can withstand acid and +400C° temperatures sure seems like a huge weight to carry there.
No anchor. Free-floating. Travelling with the wind, far from (the idea is) turbulance, it'll be like at serene balloon ride, without the scary "so now where are we going to land this thing?" feeling as everyone looks out for a handy field with no powerlines, ahead. (Or, in our case, landing on a steep slope.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 19, 2016, 10:37:35 am
If you are building complete habitats off Venus why not just leave them in lunar or earth orbit and save a lot of fuel?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 19, 2016, 10:44:29 am
*Adopts Buddhist Mystic Pose*

To know that, child, first you must know your true purpose...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on August 19, 2016, 10:51:02 am
Cause Venus habitats can be made from cheap plastic while orbital habitats need to be made from a few meters thick lead.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on August 19, 2016, 11:00:31 am
One tonne per tonne, all-in. That's superstructure, envelope, inhabitants, machinary, etc.
Where do you get this? So, if I want a warehouse to store a 250000 tons, I need to bring 250000 tons of material to Venus? Don't seem much practical.

Drop them from orbit. Whether fabricated on Earth and lifted from there or constructed 'somewhere' in space from hoisted or harvested materials, that's to be seen.
And they get to orbit magically? That's what I meant. You still need to spend a great deal of effort bringing the material there. And according to you you need a ton of material in order to support a ton? How much mass you actually need to move? Can local materials be used like in the case of a solid planet colony? (In my head Venus would be like colonizing a gas giant), since the last question answer is a big fat no, then you need to bring everything.

Quote
How are you going to manage them to stay in a single place?
Why would you do that?
To find the darn thing? I know structurally talking it will be subjected to less stress as free floating but it doesn't seem very practical for things beyond simply exploration and scientific study. The fact of being free floating doesn't magically do away with the speed of the wind neither.

No anchor. Free-floating. Travelling with the wind, far from (the idea is) turbulance, it'll be like at serene balloon ride, without the scary "so now where are we going to land this thing?" feeling as everyone looks out for a handy field with no powerlines, ahead. (Or, in our case, landing on a steep slope.)
Right, as serene as a ballon flight can be with peaks of 360 km per hour...  ;) And in this scenario... once the planet if densely you'll have the occasional colonies crashing into each other. Nice.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 19, 2016, 11:38:57 am
Cause Venus habitats can be made from cheap plastic while orbital habitats need to be made from a few meters thick lead.


No orbitals don't.

And there is a difference to lasting a little while and structural integrity. We could make ocean going ships and bridges out of plastic. We don't.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on August 19, 2016, 11:43:07 am
Regarding building stuff and shipping it out there, I think there is a reason "Venusian Gardens" are a sci fi trope. Get plants to grow in nearly pure CO2, get them to grow acid-resistant materials, these are doable long-term goals, and then we skyelves now?

Lots of things are more worthwhile energy wise in orbit, up in the clouds of Venus you get more sunlight than we do here in orbit, take something which WOULD be too expensive and draw a line under it, with an arrow pointing to the insolation at Venus cloud tops.

You have the opposite problem at Mars, btw, though as a quirk of planetary physics, both atmospheres are ~95% CO2!


Re: meters thick lead, well no, a meter or so of water will generally suffice, but that is in contrast to plastic balloons still, a lot less mass to deal with.
We don't have the money to lift a critical number of people and habitats out to Mars, but we'll be a lot closer to doing so for Venus than we will for Mars, so to answer the earlier question: would I prefer to go to Venus or Mars to live in a hab? I assume the first crew on Mars will die, or be rescued at tremendous expense, no fucking way would I be part of that, get back to me in a hundred years and we'll see if we have regular habitation and transport there down to a regularly thing yet. We could start launching habs down to float in Venus and make sure the maintenance systems work before people even arrive, which is a lot more comforting.
Sure we don't have the money to lift all that to Venus neither, no matter how much less expensive it turns out. On the other hand which could be the long term plans for floating habitats on Venus? How much larger can they become? How much weight can they support per tonnage? Could it support industrial scale operations? How do you deal with the high winds blasting acid toward those tanks? Are they designed to withstand wind as fast as 360 km per hour? How are you going to lift those thanks there? How are you going to manage them to stay in a single place? This last point is critical. How are you going to simply dump those habitats in Venus and then expect to get to them without an anchor. And a ~60K anchor that can withstand acid and +400C° temperatures sure seems like a huge weight to carry there.
Oxygen is a lifting gas in a CO2 atmosphere, designing things to deal with acid is a well developed technology, and you have something like 2k W/m^2 that close to the sun and that high up, I'm sure you could find something for station keeping or broadcasting location, and that's before getting into things like the electric potentials you can develop from hanging a tether down into the hotter atmosphere.

Long term plans: do science, build more habs, establish another population of humans off-planet which can begin growing, mine the sky for carbon

Quote
I do get the perks of the upper atmosphere of Venus, but they do not outweigh the troubles just yet. Sorry but I'm for one, not buying your hypothesis that it's actually easier making colonies on Venus, for a reason NASA has manned plans for going to Mars and not Venus.

In Mars inflatable (lighter) habitats partially sunken and covered in martian soil are a possibility, as it is using the landing module as an starting habitat. I once saw a plan that involved sending several unnamed ships beforehand to land in a place and then using the empty fuel tanks as an habitat, which is possible because you actually have a solid place to start.
You don't have a solid place to start building in space either, but we're going to have to get better at that at some point, we already know how to build floating structures in the ocean, these are not super difficult problems, it's just a matter of engineering out the known and existing technologies to solve the problems at hand.

Solving the problem where outside your environment is thinner than the air 100km above the surface here is also something we know how to do, but space stations are leaky and only survive through regular boosts and resupply missions. I don't expect a colony on Mars to survive without regular resupply missions, on Venus we could get by with a lot less shipped in.

Mars you need a spacesuit, Venus you need little more than a gas mask and an outer layer, biiiig difference there.
How do you think you're going to deal with 75 degrees Celsius atmosphere, still denser than on Earth = better heat transfer, trying to cook you alive, night or day? You won't be leaving your habitat without a spacesuit either, bub.
There is a range of altitudes where you only need an air supply and protection from acid, I don't think there is a reason to prefer one over another besides whatever works best at the time, and indeed making it so habs could be floated in a range of them, and even change altitudes seems smart, and doable.

Quote
for a reason NASA has manned plans for going to Mars and not Venus.

Nor really plans, but there is a proof-of concept study:
http://ntrs.nasa.gov/archive/nasa/casi.ntrs.nasa.gov/20160006329.pdf

I do agree with your general conclusion, though - a floating habitat is a cool idea, but if somebody tries to tell me that it's also cheaper and/or easier than plonking some prefabricates on Mars and constructing a colony out of them, then that person is to me full of hot air (somewhat fittingly).
Dropping them on Venus is going to be at worst the same cost energy wise.

http://clowder.net/hop/railroad/Venus.html

More interesting, and which I should not have assumed was commonly known: windows to Venus occur 8/5 years, windows to Mars are 14/7 years, it takes about 5 months to do a Hohmann transfer to Venus, vs 7 months for Mars, and the only times Venus really loses on delta-V are when you want to go surface > orbit, which we wouldn't be doing here. Upper atmosphere > orbit is a different issue entirely.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 19, 2016, 11:51:18 am
Ocean structures are built by ships. Those things built in docs! Those things that go to port in storms! Venus has neither docks nor ships.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on August 19, 2016, 11:55:34 am
Mars you need a spacesuit, Venus you need little more than a gas mask and an outer layer, biiiig difference there.
How do you think you're going to deal with 75 degrees Celsius atmosphere, still denser than on Earth = better heat transfer, trying to cook you alive, night or day? You won't be leaving your habitat without a spacesuit either, bub.
There is a range of altitudes where you only need an air supply and protection from acid, I don't think there is a reason to prefer one over another besides whatever works best at the time, and indeed making it so habs could be floated in a range of them, and even change altitudes seems smart, and doable.
What range is that? Certainly not where the atmospheric pressure is around 1 bar.

Quote
Lots of things are more worthwhile energy wise in orbit, up in the clouds of Venus you get more sunlight than we do here in orbit, take something which WOULD be too expensive and draw a line under it, with an arrow pointing to the insolation at Venus cloud tops.
Again, at the altitude proposed (50km, 1 bar), the insolation you get is less than 10% higher than what you get in orbit at 1AU - which gives you lower overall energy, because panels in orbit can be permanently angled perpendicular to the incoming light, whereas on Venus, much like on Earth, you only get the max insolation wattage at noon, at equator. You can extend the optimum insolation time and lattitude ranges by angling solar panels with tracking devices, but it only can get you a moderate improvement - no angling will help you at night.
So at best (implausibly), you can get 50% of the listed ~1400W/m^2 insolation, which is pretty much half of what you get in any orbit at 1AU that doesn't pass through Earth's shadow.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 19, 2016, 12:18:25 pm
One tonne per tonne, all-in. That's superstructure, envelope, inhabitants, machinary, etc.
Where do you get this? So, if I want a warehouse to store a 250000 tons, I need to bring 250000 tons of material to Venus? Don't seem much practical.
No. A warehouse containing 250000 tons (whatever your reason for having one of those, which as yet seems not to habe been decided) weighs 250000 tons plus the weight of the warehouse, which includes the structure and lift-envelope necessary to maintain lift 250000+extras tons (barring a small quibble that I'll skip over).  The extra would not be anything like as much as a quarter of a million tonnes, as it is probably something like a Cloud 9 (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cloud_Nine_(tensegrity_sphere)) with a tolerance for up to a quarter of a million tonnes (or tons) if that's what's wanted.

"All-in" was the key phrase.  'Wet weight', not 'dry weight'.

Dismissing the further midunderstandings you made on this point...
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(In my head Venus would be like colonizing a gas giant), since the last question answer is a big fat no, then you need to bring everything.
As you would to send a habitat to orbit.

(Mars/Moon-bases, at least at first, would also need the 'tin-cans' lowered from orbit, whether ready assembled on Earth, in LEo or metely fabricated as panels elsewhere, to be bolted together and filled with air once in situ, but what chever way it needs a safe descent option not so much needed (just insertion retros) in orbitals. You can also count on adding regolith/etc on top, saving you sending 'bulk' materials, but untul you set up a local miner/processor/fabricator manufactury you're still delivering the more necessarily designed and machined components.  Venusian Cloud Station is using thick  atmosphere as the equivalent to at least part of the regolith aspect, whilst orbital stations in all locations have to be equipped with all protections thst their host world isn't incidentally providing in some part either by distance (Mars) or magnetically (Earth). Proximity of Venus to the Sun and the more 'accidental' magnetic protection it gets probably requires a tougher orbital station for Venus, albeit not as tough as any surface habitat would have to be, as noted.)




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How are you going to manage them to stay in a single place?
Why would you do that?
To find the darn thing? I know structurally talking it will be subjected to less stress as free floating but it doesn't seem very practical for things beyond simply exploration and scientific study. The fact of being free floating doesn't magically do away with the speed of the wind neither.
The ground beneath your feet is travelling at anything up to 1000mph, you know. Yet you don't complain. Why not?

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Right, as serene as a ballon flight can be with peaks of 360 km per hour...  ;) And in this scenario... once the planet if densely you'll have the occasional colonies crashing into each other. Nice.
Does your house often collide with your neighbours' houses?  With houses from the next city over? (Maybe it does, if you're somewhere like San Andreas. But not more than once or twice, surely?)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 19, 2016, 12:23:13 pm
Ocean structures are built by ships. Those things built in docs! Those things that go to port in storms! Venus has neither docks nor ships.
I think I know what you're trying to say, but...  You may have something inverted in there.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Baffler on August 19, 2016, 12:25:16 pm
Again, at the altitude proposed (50km, 1 bar), the insolation you get is less than 10% higher than what you get in orbit at 1AU - which gives you lower overall energy, because panels in orbit can be permanently angled perpendicular to the incoming light, whereas on Venus, much like on Earth, you only get the max insolation wattage at noon, at equator. You can extend the optimum insolation time and lattitude ranges by angling solar panels with tracking devices, but it only can get you a moderate improvement - no angling will help you at night.
So at best (implausibly), you can get 50% of the listed ~1400W/m^2 insolation, which is pretty much half of what you get in any orbit at 1AU that doesn't pass through Earth's shadow.

I recall a plan to use orbital (possibly geosynchronous) solar arrays to maximize the utility of solar technology, that would then use microwave power transmission to send what they collect down to a receiving station on Earth. It fell through here because that's a lot of effort of sending something into orbit for not all that much gain, but in this case it would take more effort to safely bring all of that stuff out of orbit. A big dish would also be a lot more compact than a gigantic solar farm too.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: milo christiansen on August 19, 2016, 12:31:51 pm
The big problem with microwave transmission of power from orbit is that the transmitter is basically a big energy weapon. Better be really careful that it hits the collector!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on August 19, 2016, 12:35:30 pm
Again, at the altitude proposed (50km, 1 bar), the insolation you get is less than 10% higher than what you get in orbit at 1AU - which gives you lower overall energy, because panels in orbit can be permanently angled perpendicular to the incoming light, whereas on Venus, much like on Earth, you only get the max insolation wattage at noon, at equator. You can extend the optimum insolation time and lattitude ranges by angling solar panels with tracking devices, but it only can get you a moderate improvement - no angling will help you at night.
So at best (implausibly), you can get 50% of the listed ~1400W/m^2 insolation, which is pretty much half of what you get in any orbit at 1AU that doesn't pass through Earth's shadow.

I recall a plan to use orbital (possibly geosynchronous) solar arrays to maximize the utility of solar technology, that would then use microwave power transmission to send what they collect down to a receiving station on Earth. It fell through here because that's a lot of effort of sending something into orbit for not all that much gain, but in this case it would take more effort to safely bring all of that stuff out of orbit. A big dish would also be a lot more compact than a gigantic solar farm too.
Orbital solar collectors are a fool's errand. The efficiency of best solar panels is something like 20%, so if you add an intermediary step where you have to transform the collected electricity into radiation to be then again collected by solar panels on the planet, you lose another 4/5ths of the collected energy. This would only be feasible if you collected more than five times as much energy in orbit as you could otherwise, so that the conversion losses are justifiable.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on August 19, 2016, 12:46:37 pm
Neat demo: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZlCcn5aoa-U

From this article that goes over the pros and cons of Venus in much more depth: http://www.science20.com/robert_inventor/will_we_build_colonies_that_float_over_venus_like_buckminster_fullers_cloud_nine-127573

They also discuss things like using aerobraking to drop materials on Venus, materials which can be tuned to the correct buoyancy so they simply stop sinking and hang at the right altitudes.

Oh, and my bit about skyelves, I knew it couldn't just be me, after all, Feynman was the one they quoted in the article discussing how trees are built from air, and a pretty effective way of turning "unusable CO2" into living area, building material, food, and so forth.

The micrometeorite and radiation protection at Venus cloud tops is also about the same as it is here on Earth.

The real problem is people think "planetary colony" and jump straight to Mars, with lots of people pushing the idea, not nearly enough discussion about the benefits Venus has over Mars, or fair weighing of the problems with both.
Mars you need a spacesuit, Venus you need little more than a gas mask and an outer layer, biiiig difference there.
How do you think you're going to deal with 75 degrees Celsius atmosphere, still denser than on Earth = better heat transfer, trying to cook you alive, night or day? You won't be leaving your habitat without a spacesuit either, bub.
There is a range of altitudes where you only need an air supply and protection from acid, I don't think there is a reason to prefer one over another besides whatever works best at the time, and indeed making it so habs could be floated in a range of them, and even change altitudes seems smart, and doable.
What range is that? Certainly not where the atmospheric pressure is around 1 bar.
49 to 51 km is what I recall from last time I looked into this.

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Lots of things are more worthwhile energy wise in orbit, up in the clouds of Venus you get more sunlight than we do here in orbit, take something which WOULD be too expensive and draw a line under it, with an arrow pointing to the insolation at Venus cloud tops.
Again, at the altitude proposed (50km, 1 bar), the insolation you get is less than 10% higher than what you get in orbit at 1AU - which gives you lower overall energy, because panels in orbit can be permanently angled perpendicular to the incoming light, whereas on Venus, much like on Earth, you only get the max insolation wattage at noon, at equator. You can extend the optimum insolation time and lattitude ranges by angling solar panels with tracking devices, but it only can get you a moderate improvement - no angling will help you at night.
So at best (implausibly), you can get 50% of the listed ~1400W/m^2 insolation, which is pretty much half of what you get in any orbit at 1AU that doesn't pass through Earth's shadow.

1400? Venus gets 2601 W/m^2: http://nssdc.gsfc.nasa.gov/planetary/factsheet/venusfact.html

The clouds themselves are where most of the 0.77 albedo comes from, by design colonies would be above that, and have much more of that sunlight to use.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on August 19, 2016, 12:49:35 pm
Orbital solar collectors are a fool's errand. The efficiency of best solar panels is something like 20%, so if you add an intermediary step where you have to transform the collected electricity into radiation to be then again collected by solar panels on the planet, you lose another 4/5ths of the collected energy. This would only be feasible if you collected more than five times as much energy in orbit as you could otherwise, so that the conversion losses are justifiable.
This is not wholly accurate. The 20% figure people like to throw out is market forces, we have proven cells that are higher. (https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/3/39/PVeff%28rev160812%29.jpg) There actually is no hard limit on solar cell efficiency, but the soft limit is ~50%.

I don't necessarily know that orbital solar is unusable, but it relies upon the microwave transmission tech. Solar irradiance in Earth orbit is a continuous 1366.1 W/m2 versus a maximum of ~1000 W/m2 on Earth (nearly always less due to weather, shading, and positioning, but also occasionally higher in ideal conditions). You can definitely collect way, way more energy in orbit due to a lack of non-ideal positioning alone.

If you hit that holy grail of wireless energy transmission, it becomes a good idea. Otherwise, it's still a good idea, but just for orbitals. Not that we shouldn't be expanding our orbitals anyway.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 19, 2016, 12:56:45 pm
Not to mention you could actually collect five times as much in orbit...

But really.  Mirrors. Send a concentrated beam to earth. Continuous power for any location on earth you can capture it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on August 19, 2016, 01:00:38 pm
No. A warehouse containing 250000 tons (whatever your reason for having one of those, which as yet seems not to habe been decided) weighs 250000 tons plus the weight of the warehouse, which includes the structure and lift-envelope necessary to maintain lift 250000+extras tons (barring a small quibble that I'll skip over).  The extra would not be anything like as much as a quarter of a million tonnes, as it is probably something like a Cloud 9 (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cloud_Nine_(tensegrity_sphere)) with a tolerance for up to a quarter of a million tonnes (or tons) if that's what's wanted.

"All-in" was the key phrase.  'Wet weight', not 'dry weight'.

Dismissing the further midunderstandings you made on this point...
Which misunderstandings? About how do you deal with 360 km per hour winds blasting acid? And the huge amount of resources in the long run you are going to carry to Venus? I think those are still things that should be figured out.

(Mars/Moon-bases, at least at first, would also need the 'tin-cans' lowered from orbit, whether ready assembled on Earth, in LEo or metely fabricated as panels elsewhere, to be bolted together and filled with air once in situ, but what chever way it needs a safe descent option not so much needed (just insertion retros) in orbitals. You can also count on adding regolith/etc on top, saving you sending 'bulk' materials, but untul you set up a local miner/processor/fabricator manufactury you're still delivering the more necessarily designed and machined components.  Venusian Cloud Station is using thick  atmosphere as the equivalent to at least part of the regolith aspect, whilst orbital stations in all locations have to be equipped with all protections thst their host world isn't incidentally providing in some part either by distance (Mars) or magnetically (Earth). Proximity of Venus to the Sun and the more 'accidental' magnetic protection it gets probably requires a tougher orbital station for Venus, albeit not as tough as any surface habitat would have to be, as noted.) 
Sure it's already established that radiation would be less an issue in Venus, yet all the other issues remain. Specially the following:

The ground beneath your feet is travelling at anything up to 1000mph, you know. Yet you don't complain. Why not?
It's quite, quite different. We are already in motion with it, not to count that the ground beneath my feet is actually solid.

Does your house often collide with your neighbours' houses?  With houses from the next city over? (Maybe it does, if you're somewhere like San Andreas. But not more than once or twice, surely?)
They would if they were suspended free floating in the atmosphere.

You seem to believe that ballon will magically stay put in the atmosphere, which they will not, they'll be carried away by tornado level winds.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on August 19, 2016, 01:07:40 pm
From this article that goes over the pros and cons of Venus in much more depth: http://www.science20.com/robert_inventor/will_we_build_colonies_that_float_over_venus_like_buckminster_fullers_cloud_nine-127573
Woa what a interesting reading Max! Thanks for the link. However a certain bias is noted when the guy says that a con with Mars is hard to make self sufficient and will need for parts and supplies from Earth or that we will contaminate Mars with microorganisms when Venus is just the same case I still fail to find hard numbers on how much X volume of gas (be it hydrogen, helium, or breathable air) would lift Y amount of weight at 50 km over the surface of Venus.

The one thing I support 100% is that first we must go to the moon, and from there learn and have a base experience to go anywhere else. Who knows if by then colonies in Venus or Mars would be less technically challenging.

Oh another thing I just tough. While structural failure both on Mars and Venus would mean death, in Mars if you have a suit beforehand (for whatever reason) you might just survive and take a stroll to the next habitat. In Venus it might not mean explosive decompression but it could very well mean a whole habitat plummeting to certain death from which no suit will save you.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on August 19, 2016, 01:17:53 pm
He does point out that Venus may have native microbes which would be a problem, but worthy science nonetheless. Definitely interesting read though.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 19, 2016, 01:23:10 pm
Which misunderstandings? About how do you deal with 360 km per hour winds blasting acid?
By travelling at the same 360km/hr (with afoermentioned materials that can handle the acid).

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It's quite, quite different. We are already in motion with it,
...

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not to count that the ground beneath my feet is actually solid.
And if you were flying in a hurricane, the ground would be pretty dangerous to encounter.

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Does your house often collide with your neighbours' houses?  With houses from the next city over? (Maybe it does, if you're somewhere like San Andreas. But not more than once or twice, surely?)
They would if they were suspended free floating in the atmosphere.
Where the winds from the west hit winds from the east. (Hint: discovering what updraughts and downdraughts there are is a key investigation by the first unmanned balloon-probes looking at viability, as well as just themselves trying to survive whilst studying their other ground-based objectives.

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You seem to believe that ballon will magically stay put in the atmosphere, which they will not, they'll be carried away by tornado level winds.
Tornado-level, but not tornado-turbulent, as far as we know. They will stay put (as best as we can tell, so far) within the stream of air, carried along with it in an (it is hypothesised) stable and steady manner.

It is all relative.  Venusian days, for 'air settlers' could be quite different from whatever those 'ground settlers' might experience, as they whizz away below at 360km/h in the other direction, stubbornly proclaiming that they on the (frequently volcanicly refreshing?) surface are the stationary ones.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on August 19, 2016, 01:31:07 pm
Mars you need a spacesuit, Venus you need little more than a gas mask and an outer layer, biiiig difference there.
How do you think you're going to deal with 75 degrees Celsius atmosphere, still denser than on Earth = better heat transfer, trying to cook you alive, night or day? You won't be leaving your habitat without a spacesuit either, bub.
There is a range of altitudes where you only need an air supply and protection from acid, I don't think there is a reason to prefer one over another besides whatever works best at the time, and indeed making it so habs could be floated in a range of them, and even change altitudes seems smart, and doable.
What range is that? Certainly not where the atmospheric pressure is around 1 bar.
49 to 51 km is what I recall from last time I looked into this.
Alright, that's approx 1/2 reduction in pressure over that range. Your habitat would need some major buoyancy control capability to achieve that. Something like making a Dirigible that can fly to Mt Everest while carrying a city.
And if you can't achieve that, then you'll be spending a rather large chunk of collected energy trying to cool down the city so that its inhabitants don't die from heat stroke.

Not saying that it's not possible - just that its yet another major engineering hurdle that makes this all quite a bit less of a no-brainer than you've been painting it.
It's either that magnificent feat of futuristic technology on Vens, or raising a bunch of airtight tents on Mars.
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Lots of things are more worthwhile energy wise in orbit, up in the clouds of Venus you get more sunlight than we do here in orbit, take something which WOULD be too expensive and draw a line under it, with an arrow pointing to the insolation at Venus cloud tops.
Again, at the altitude proposed (50km, 1 bar), the insolation you get is less than 10% higher than what you get in orbit at 1AU - which gives you lower overall energy, because panels in orbit can be permanently angled perpendicular to the incoming light, whereas on Venus, much like on Earth, you only get the max insolation wattage at noon, at equator. You can extend the optimum insolation time and lattitude ranges by angling solar panels with tracking devices, but it only can get you a moderate improvement - no angling will help you at night.
So at best (implausibly), you can get 50% of the listed ~1400W/m^2 insolation, which is pretty much half of what you get in any orbit at 1AU that doesn't pass through Earth's shadow.

1400? Venus gets 2601 W/m^2: http://nssdc.gsfc.nasa.gov/planetary/factsheet/venusfact.html

The clouds themselves are where most of the 0.77 albedo comes from, by design colonies would be above that, and have much more of that sunlight to use.
It's 1400 W/m^2 at the proposed 50km altitude. Same as on Earth's surface you get 1000 W/m^2 (max) instead of the 1400 in orbit. See the NASA study linked earlier.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on August 19, 2016, 01:36:57 pm
By travelling at the same 360km/hr (with afoermentioned materials that can handle the acid).
Fair enough, as long there's not a bit of turbulence.

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not to count that the ground beneath my feet is actually solid.
And if you were flying in a hurricane, the ground would be pretty dangerous to encounter.[/quote]
But I'm am not flying. Those habitats will, perhaps not into the ground (unless an structural failure), but into each other eventually.

Where the winds from the west hit winds from the east. (Hint: discovering what updraughts and downdraughts there are is a key investigation by the first unmanned balloon-probes looking at viability, as well as just themselves trying to survive whilst studying their other ground-based objectives.
Knowing where it is won't prevent free floating objects from getting there (and eventually crashing into each other).

Tornado-level, but not tornado-turbulent, as far as we know. They will stay put (as best as we can tell, so far) within the stream of air, carried along with it in an (it is hypothesised) stable and steady manner.
Which is an awful amount of "ifs" for what would be one of the most important projects of mankind. There's nothing ensuring they won't at least bump into each other even when traveling in the same direction.

It is all relative.  Venusian days, for 'air settlers' could be quite different from whatever those 'ground settlers' might experience, as they whizz away below at 360km/h in the other direction, stubbornly proclaiming that they on the (frequently volcanicly refreshing?) surface are the stationary ones.
... The ground settlers will be dead, melted to the bones, while the air settlers would be screaming in panic as they crash into each other habitats and soon to be joining the ground ones in the afterlife. Fixating on the frame of reference of motion won't change that.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Talk:Colonization_of_Venus

On one hand it seems metals can be get from the atmosphere after all (although who knows in which quantities), also sulfuric acid apparently can give off water and oxygen.

On the other hand however the guy there states that the claim that the atmosphere is " 0 to −50 °C" at 50km is absolutely not true.

On the griping hand, he also states that the acidity of the environment is often overplayed. This is however contradictory to almost any other source and all formal sources on the issue.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on August 19, 2016, 01:52:26 pm
There isn't a region where west winds slam into east winds unless you go looking for it. The whole upper atmosphere is in superrotation, and moving with it will give you about 96 hour "days" if you don't do anything but float along.

You'd need to be steering into other habitats to make collisions happen, actively steering into them with propulsion to make them lethal.
Alright, that's approx 1/2 reduction in pressure over that range. Your habitat would need some major buoyancy control capability to achieve that. Something like making a Dirigible that can fly to Mt Everest while carrying a city.
And if you can't achieve that, then you'll be spending a rather large chunk of collected energy trying to cool down the city so that its inhabitants don't die from heat stroke.

Not saying that it's not possible - just that its yet another major engineering hurdle that makes this all quite a bit less of a no-brainer than you've been painting it.
It's either that magnificent feat of futuristic technology on Vens, or raising a bunch of airtight tents on Mars.
Airtight tents that can keep however many pounds per square inch inside, hopefully without being popped.
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It's 1400 W/m^2 at the proposed 50km altitude. Same as on Earth's surface you get 1000 W/m^2 (max) instead of the 1400 in orbit. See the NASA study linked earlier.
Interesting take they have, I was thinking that 50~54 was the ideal range, but my info was based on the older Landis studies. (http://ntrs.nasa.gov/archive/nasa/casi.ntrs.nasa.gov/20150016298.pdf) Either way there is a lot of energy available just from sunlight at these altitudes, additional energy from thermovoltaic methods, and who knows what other ways we might find to tap into the energy available while sitting on top of a superheated atmosphere receiving nearly twice the irradiance we get here at the top of the atmosphere?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 19, 2016, 02:50:01 pm
Airtight tents that can keep however many pounds per square inch inside, hopefully without being popped.

Sure but that's a straightforward and static challenge which is why people are so confident about it.  That's the great thing about working in a near vacuum, things obligingly stay pretty much close to the same.  So you have a single problem: how do we get a mass efficient way of holding back air pressure?  And that's something that is pretty familiar to us.

With Venus you are talking about weather.  We dont build ships to sail on calm seas, we build ships to sail in a gale force wind and then hope they are never tested.  We dont build levies to survive a typical year, we build them to survive a once in a century catastrophe, if not a once in a millennium catastrophe.  Maybe Venus is actually easier.  But you aren't shedding any light by constantly referring back to a low or no atmosphere environment.  It's a fundamentally different kind of challenge.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 19, 2016, 03:02:01 pm
By travelling at the same 360km/hr (with afoermentioned materials that can handle the acid).
Fair enough, as long there's not a bit of turbulence.
Right now, I think the best guess is that its a laminar flow. This needs to be studied.
/goes off to cancel imminent launch of Venus Colony fleet, mumbling about inconvenient schedule disruptions...


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not to count that the ground beneath my feet is actually solid.
And if you were flying in a hurricane, the ground would be pretty dangerous to encounter.
But I'm am not flying. Those habitats will, perhaps not into the ground (unless an structural failure), but into each other eventually.[/quote]How? If they are drifting on the breeze, the closer they happen to get, the more similar the breeze in every respect. At worst, they'd drift together at low velocity, relative to each other, and station-keeping propulsion can deal with that.

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Where the winds from the west hit winds from the east. (Hint: discovering what updraughts and downdraughts there are is a key investigation by the first unmanned balloon-probes looking at viability, as well as just themselves trying to survive whilst studying their other ground-based objectives.
Knowing where it is won't prevent free floating objects from getting there (and eventually crashing into each other).
Its highly unlikely it is there. This is what we'd survey for, though. (Winds don't just 'hit each other' and pass through, colliding their payloads like two contra-orbitting satellite objects, frexample, there'd need to be identifiable discontinuities...

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Which is an awful amount of "ifs" for what would be one of the most important projects of mankind. There's nothing ensuring they won't at least bump into each other even when traveling in the same direction.
For the first part, that's what we'll ascertain before we do anything serious. For the second part, I've covered that.

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... The ground settlers will be dead, melted to the bones, while the air settlers would be screaming in panic as they crash into each other habitats and soon to be joining the ground ones in the afterlife. Fixating on the frame of reference of motion won't change that.
Ever heard of hypotheticals? And we may be able to deal with tne former, we've as yet no reason to believe the latter will happen, but we're darn certain going to find out before we go there for real...

/mumbles about cost over-runs and delays and the parking fees currently being incurred at the space-port...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on August 19, 2016, 03:13:20 pm
/mumbles about cost over-runs and delays and the parking fees currently being incurred at the space-port...
Hahahahaha!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on August 19, 2016, 04:03:29 pm
The venusian colonists in this thread seem to have never encountered actual wind. Actual wind is not a simple, balmy carrying force that moves in a straight line universally, even in high-altitude jetstreams. Air flows chaotically, with different parts of the same wind moving at slightly different speeds, often in slightly different directions, and I've not read any evidence that the winds on venus are magically exempt from this.

I also agree that the proposed plans seem to be engineering for best-case conditions, then saying "Look it's cheap and easy". Anything is cheap and easy if you engineer for best-case. Space stations can be made out of plastic and insulation foam if you don't care about what happens if a micrometeor hits it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 19, 2016, 06:12:15 pm
I am not a venusian colonist!  I am a martian immigrant! ...ooh what a giveaway

(And https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laminar_flow ...at those altitudes and with the seemingly consistent temperature general gradients with neither daily nor seasonal variations and no Great Vernusian Spot or even minor storms visible in the cloud layer, it seems to be largely free of obvious turbulence, even at the small scale.  Much like my balloon ride, once significamtly above the ground (on an admitedly fine Earth-day), even though I'm also well aware of what a Gale Force Nine/maybe Ten feels like and many, many more times have experienced gusty winds of far lighter stremgths that have inconvenienced my grounded being.)

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 19, 2016, 06:25:49 pm
Was your balloon ride nob stop for a statistically significant period of time?  Also do you have any research describing this miracle weather?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: x2yzh9 on August 19, 2016, 06:50:13 pm
I don't know if this has been brought up before, but I'd like to interject here-It's been proven that certain objects in the solar system have an electromagnetic field, up to a certain extent. EM Fields have been proven to deflect radiation, based on angular relations to the solar system's bodies(not exactly proven per se, but I imagine that's a leap of logic very small) and as such have been protecting our solar system for many millennia. As things change over a broad scale of time, things change on the minutest scale as well, so it wouldn't be hard to say that altering certain planets native environments to be hospitable could have an inverse effect on Earth if not properly managed and taken care of.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on August 19, 2016, 07:06:04 pm
Oh yes, 300 km/h winds, how terrible. How could we ever create something capable of withstanding and even flying in such winds?

...
Oh right.
http://www.airliners.net/forum/viewtopic.php?t=747439
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Just operated a flight from HKG-ANC, 13 Dec, and off the coast of Japan, we had 270/255 knots of wind! It was great, nice smooth ride. Those winds lasted for about an hour. When we got in the NOPAC they had died down to about 120knots and as we went further east, they gradually went to 0. Abeam SYA the winds were light and variable. About 200NM out of ANC, they picked up slightly to about 280/40.

All in all, typical winds for this time of year.
Literally just a commercial airliner.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on August 19, 2016, 07:47:38 pm
It is REALLY FREAKING HARD to find anything on the winds of Venus when it is all buried in those stupid thunderbolt electric universe morons. For those who don't know, they're what happens when new age crystal kooks go interplanetary, pay no attention to anything referencing electric wind, current, thunderbolts, and so forth unless it is directly from NASA or ESO or a similar level agency.

I did find this though: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ckzY9JGLUek

Shows the atmosphere rotating around and the drag introduced from the faster equator and poles rotating at different rates produces the Y-shaped cloud waves.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 19, 2016, 07:48:58 pm
Oh yes, 300 km/h winds, how terrible. How could we ever create something capable of withstanding and even flying in such winds?

...
Oh right.
http://www.airliners.net/forum/viewtopic.php?t=747439
Quote
Just operated a flight from HKG-ANC, 13 Dec, and off the coast of Japan, we had 270/255 knots of wind! It was great, nice smooth ride. Those winds lasted for about an hour. When we got in the NOPAC they had died down to about 120knots and as we went further east, they gradually went to 0. Abeam SYA the winds were light and variable. About 200NM out of ANC, they picked up slightly to about 280/40.

All in all, typical winds for this time of year.
Literally just a commercial airliner.

TIL that airliners are lighter then air and fly nonstop for decades.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on August 20, 2016, 07:09:02 am
Oh yes, 300 km/h winds, how terrible. How could we ever create something capable of withstanding and even flying in such winds?

...
Oh right.
http://www.airliners.net/forum/viewtopic.php?t=747439
Quote
Just operated a flight from HKG-ANC, 13 Dec, and off the coast of Japan, we had 270/255 knots of wind! It was great, nice smooth ride. Those winds lasted for about an hour. When we got in the NOPAC they had died down to about 120knots and as we went further east, they gradually went to 0. Abeam SYA the winds were light and variable. About 200NM out of ANC, they picked up slightly to about 280/40.

All in all, typical winds for this time of year.
Literally just a commercial airliner.

TIL that airliners are lighter then air and fly nonstop for decades.
Also comercial airliners are designed to travel faster than that. And if I understand right thise abeam winds were favorable and smoth winds? What if they had not?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 20, 2016, 08:21:26 am
I bet I forgot to design my venusian colonisation fleet to withstand the rigours of space as well...  What a scatterbrain I am...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Amperzand on August 20, 2016, 03:44:59 pm
I'd honestly design it as a set of colony ships and freighters. On arrival, the colony ships park in orbit and set up as space stations, get satellites up, and so on. The freighters, using robotic labor and a few astronauts for management and unexpected-problem solving, build the aerostats, then people get shipped from orbit. From there, more freighters can keep coming to deliver more aerostat parts, and presumably somebody can set up a cycler shuttle or the like to get a stream of new personnel.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bralbaard on August 20, 2016, 05:37:50 pm
Oh yes, 300 km/h winds, how terrible. How could we ever create something capable of withstanding and even flying in such winds?

...
Oh right.
http://www.airliners.net/forum/viewtopic.php?t=747439
Quote
Just operated a flight from HKG-ANC, 13 Dec, and off the coast of Japan, we had 270/255 knots of wind! It was great, nice smooth ride. Those winds lasted for about an hour. When we got in the NOPAC they had died down to about 120knots and as we went further east, they gradually went to 0. Abeam SYA the winds were light and variable. About 200NM out of ANC, they picked up slightly to about 280/40.

All in all, typical winds for this time of year.
Literally just a commercial airliner.

I'm not sure on what height and airpressure that airplane you mentioned encountered those winds, but definitely not at sea level, so likely at relatively low pressure.
The force the wind excerts depends on air pressure, and since air pressure on venus is about 93x earth's pressure, a 300 km/h wind could definitely ruin your day, or airship.

So I guess a lot would depend on what height and pressure our venusian colony would float, and if we have any data for the wind speeds at that level.  A colony higher up in the clouds would definitely be safer, but would demand better buoyancy.




Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on August 20, 2016, 05:41:09 pm
I'd honestly design it as a set of colony ships and freighters. On arrival, the colony ships park in orbit and set up as space stations, get satellites up, and so on. The freighters, using robotic labor and a few astronauts for management and unexpected-problem solving, build the aerostats, then people get shipped from orbit. From there, more freighters can keep coming to deliver more aerostat parts, and presumably somebody can set up a cycler shuttle or the like to get a stream of new personnel.
You're overengineering the wrong parts.

Sling the aerostats from wherever they are being built, with ablative protection, and inherent buoyancy. If you had an engineering flaw, well, that one will generally display said faults before anybody even arrives to do a preliminary check, but you can still have them set up so if they fail the spare parts are recoverable and usable. Chuck fabs into place, do all of this and have it getting set up remotely before we even get there. We're good at telemetry and such, getting better at telepresence every day, make sure the habs work and are safe before you even set out. As long as it works initially there isn't really a catastrophic failure condition like you have to watch for in a vacuum (or near-enough-it-may-as-well-be-vacuum, *cough*mars*cough*) and it lets us work out literally all of the problems mentioned here, and many more to boot.

Re: Bralbaard, winds at the surface are basically nil, the air is soup, it don't do much besides hold up the rest of the air. Higher up you need mixtures of O2 and lighter gases for buoyancy, but you're not going to be tethering yourself with some 50 km long cable to ride out a constant blast of 300 kph acid winds, you'd move with the atmosphere around the planet every 4 days I would imagine.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on August 20, 2016, 05:54:09 pm
Why bother making any colonies outside Earth orbit? Because!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 20, 2016, 06:18:28 pm
The force the wind excerts depends on air pressure, and since air pressure on venus is about 93x earth's pressure, a 300 km/h wind could definitely ruin your day, or airship.

So I guess a lot would depend on what height and pressure our venusian colony would float, and if we have any data for the wind speeds at that level.  A colony higher up in the clouds would definitely be safer, but would demand better buoyancy.
The situation being discussed is of ~50km altitude, thus ~1 atmosphere and also free-floating (the right buoyancy by design) so that the winds it feels are residual differences within the 300km/h windstream, relative across the scale of the colony.

I hypothesise that this would be minimal, but advocate that we check first, and we can then likely design in modest positioning/rotation thrusters and buoyancy adjusting to smooth out any bumps in that road. Others assume it would be a deadly maelstrom within which survival is utterly unlikely.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 20, 2016, 06:21:26 pm
No... just expect there will be storms like everywhere else observed. Repeated stress is bad news. Even Mars colony plans are worried about it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on August 20, 2016, 06:23:50 pm
I don't see why Mars colony planners would be worried about it. The air pressure on Mars is too low to exert a lot of force, even during the most violent of storms.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 20, 2016, 06:32:33 pm
A drip of one water drop at a time will destroy a mountain. Enough years of repeated stress can threaten an inflatable have. Just look at how worried they are about the iss structural integrity.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on August 20, 2016, 06:34:22 pm
Yeah, but the ISS' problem is that it keeps trying to oscillate itself apart, not errant particles in LEO.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 20, 2016, 06:45:25 pm
Roughly 2% of (Earthly) atmospheric pressure suggests (from a back of the envelope, probably wrong) that the velocity of martian winds needs to be root(50) times faster (approx 7x) to emulate Earth winds. ISTR that 60mph has been quotedy as the measured Vmax by one or other lander, so slightly less than 9mph in 'Earthlike' windfactor, which I think is Gentle Breeze upon the descriptive part of the Beaufort Scale.  But you get white caps on waves, with that, and it would ruffle loose membranes.

Probably nothing like The Martian's most dramatic scenes, but that's something to consider, still, and try not to design anything that would unduly suffer under such pressures.

(Ninjaed by three messages.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 20, 2016, 06:59:51 pm
Yeah, but the ISS' problem is that it keeps trying to oscillate itself apart, not errant particles in LEO.

Yes it is a different small continuous problem.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on August 20, 2016, 07:08:44 pm
It's not a problem on any timescale but geological. If a stiff breeze can wear down the Mars colony we're fucked.

And the ISS has faced imminent destruction from oscillation; it is not a small problem.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 20, 2016, 07:22:06 pm
Have you ever seen a ten year old sail?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 20, 2016, 07:29:07 pm
Have you ever seen a ten year old sail?
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on August 20, 2016, 07:45:26 pm
^badump-tish
I'm left wondering, without access to the ground and thus minerals, why bother making aerostat colonies? Surely just making some ships to orbit Venus would be better?
Vacuum is harder to deal with than 0.5~1 bar of pressure, and you could do things like grow aerial trees to get building material, wood is just CO2+water+sunlight after all.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 20, 2016, 07:52:15 pm
Have you ever seen a ten year old sail?
Spoiler (click to show/hide)

That is a racing sail for an opti. I used to sail those. The top racers would change their sails every year.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on August 20, 2016, 07:55:21 pm
*gets blown away by 300 kph woosh*
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on August 20, 2016, 10:16:02 pm
Have you ever seen a ten year old sail?
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
That is a racing sail for an opti. I used to sail those. The top racers would change their sails every year.
<---Joke---
 *Wooosh*
   Maniac

(FYI, that was a joke, as in reinterpreting the statement as "have you ever seen 'a ten year-old' sail (a ship)", instead of as "have you ever seen 'a ten year-old sail' (for a ship)").
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bralbaard on August 24, 2016, 01:21:17 pm
It seems we have another destination for our bay12colonists:

https://palereddot.org/proxima-b-is-our-closest-neighbor-better-get-used-to-it/

 :o

Seriously, this is about as good as it gets. Not only is this one of the best habitable planet candidates that we have found among the thousands of worlds that we know of, but it orbits the nearest star from the sun!

It has to be stressed that we still know almost nothing about this planet. It could be as hellish as venus or as frozen as mars depending on what type of atmosphere it has, but what we do know looks very promising.
Interstellar travel may be impossible with todays technology, but spending the effort to make such travel possible is a lot more atractive if you know something good is waiting for you on the other side of the void.

Amazing stuff!

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Mephansteras on August 24, 2016, 01:47:46 pm
Nifty!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on August 24, 2016, 02:18:36 pm
Pretty awesome find indeed. The planet would be suffering from high X-ray radiation levels though from the dwarf star, and magnetic eruptions that can blow away atmospheres, so we shouldn't get our hopes up too high of finding life there.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on August 24, 2016, 02:28:13 pm
I bet there's tall blue aliens over there.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bralbaard on August 24, 2016, 02:49:00 pm
Pretty awesome find indeed. The planet would be suffering from high X-ray radiation levels though from the dwarf star, and magnetic eruptions that can blow away atmospheres, so we shouldn't get our hopes up too high of finding life there.

Well personally I'm not expecting us to find life anywhere. (Based on the fermi paradox and how *incredibly* complex even the most simple life forms need to be from our current understanding). It would not hurt to find habitable planets though, if empty, we can use them. Inhabited worlds would pose ethical questions.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Nirur Torir on August 24, 2016, 04:05:56 pm
Interstellar travel may be impossible with todays technology, but spending the effort to make such travel possible is a lot more atractive if you know something good is waiting for you on the other side of the void.
But we've had the technology for decades! It's just an engineering, political, and sociological problem.

Orion nuclear pulse drive (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orion_drive)
Quote from: Wikipedia
At 0.1c, Orion thermonuclear starships would require a flight time of at least 44 years to reach Alpha Centauri, not counting time needed to reach that speed (about 36 days at constant acceleration of 1g or 9.8 m/s2).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on August 24, 2016, 04:11:08 pm
I wonder what kind of analysis you'd get if you gave an exoplanet researcher an anonymized version of the Earth and Sun, changed the other planets, and asked them to assess habitability.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on August 24, 2016, 04:16:31 pm
Interstellar travel may be impossible with todays technology, but spending the effort to make such travel possible is a lot more atractive if you know something good is waiting for you on the other side of the void.
But we've had the technology for decades! It's just an engineering, political, and sociological problem.

Orion nuclear pulse drive (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orion_drive)
Quote from: Wikipedia
At 0.1c, Orion thermonuclear starships would require a flight time of at least 44 years to reach Alpha Centauri, not counting time needed to reach that speed (about 36 days at constant acceleration of 1g or 9.8 m/s2).
Is that from earth's perspective or the ship's perspective? Special Reletivity would be important here.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on August 24, 2016, 04:32:54 pm
The ship's perspective. There's no reason to measure Earth's relative perspective; it's not like they're coming back.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 24, 2016, 04:40:54 pm
The time dilation at .1c is only ~1% IIRC.  Doesn't matter much when you just arbitrarily picked the value .1c in the first place.  Oh and you'd be decelerating as much as accelerating so it would all be a wash in the end.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on August 24, 2016, 04:57:42 pm
1% of 44 years is pretty significant for a human.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 24, 2016, 05:10:04 pm
The only humans experiencing the perspective would be people on earth caring about the minutae of the trip.  The people on board wouldn't experience it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on August 24, 2016, 05:13:03 pm
The only humans experiencing the perspective would be people on earth caring about the minutae of the trip.  The people on board wouldn't experience it.
What I'm saying is would the trip take 44 earth years (about 43.5 years for the ship), or 44 ship years (about 44.5 years for earth)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dozebôm Lolumzalìs on August 24, 2016, 05:25:52 pm
And that's trivial. Minor improvements could change the date by over a year.

Also, PROJECT MEDUSA SQUEEEEEEE

It's an Armokdamn shame that we aren't allowed to detonate nuclear pulses in space anymore.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 24, 2016, 05:31:52 pm
What I'm saying is would the trip take 44 earth years (about 43.5 years for the ship), or 44 ship years (about 44.5 years for earth)

It's the same length of time.  There isn't an appreciable difference in velocity between the two solar systems.  They would experience the same number of years, just earth would experience the years slightly earlier and then the ship would catch up towards the end.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on August 24, 2016, 05:43:18 pm
No they wouldn't. The people on the ship would forever be 1 year younger than the people on earth than they were when they launched.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on August 24, 2016, 06:25:50 pm
The GR effects due to acceleration will be agreed on by all observers regardless of reference frame, the SR effects due to velocity and different inertial frames are the ones that make it look like the other guy is the one being slowed down.

When you undergo acceleration you actually move slower through time, and thus age less compared to an unaccelerated observer.

More to the point, we need to chuck a starwisp over there, as it can get there in a really short amount of time compared to trying to get people over the whole "OMG NUH NUKES IN SPAEC GUIZ" thing, I can get behind a ban on orion surface launchers, though they're awesome at it, but preventing their use outside of our orbit and even outside of the magnetosphere is just absurd.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Mephansteras on August 24, 2016, 11:15:11 pm
In local system news, I recently heard about plans for a lunar orbit space station (http://www.space.com/32014-human-outpost-near-moon-cislunar-space.html). Has this been discussed yet?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bralbaard on August 25, 2016, 12:23:37 am
In local system news, I recently heard about plans for a lunar orbit space station (http://www.space.com/32014-human-outpost-near-moon-cislunar-space.html). Has this been discussed yet?

The reasoning behind the plan is that nasa is currently building this huge SLS rocket, and the orion deep space exploration vessel, both with nowhere to go. There are not nearly enough firm plans for destinations, and to keep SLS viable it needs at least one mission each year. So currently some of these space station concepts pop up, by companies that hope to get a lucrative contract.

Recently there was this other cis-lunar moon station proposal by orbital ATK:
https://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2016/05/orbital-atk-cislunar-habitat-missions-sls-orion/

And this orbital mars station by lockheed:
http://www.lockheedmartin.com/us/ssc/mars-orion.html

But with the ISS nearing the end of its life early next decade, there is certainly a need for a new station, or stations. There's quite a bit of talk that indicates modules will be split of from ISS at the end of its life to form their own separate space stations.
It should also  be noted that there are commercial efforts as well for space stations (space tourism!). Also other countries (china) have plans for building their own destinations, so I am optimistic that at least some of these will get build and that we'll have more than just one space station in the future.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on August 25, 2016, 12:41:17 am
My big hope (well, one among many) is that the US will retract the ban on NASA collaboration with CNSA so they'll be able to get in on the next international station project.

The stars are more important.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gigaz on August 25, 2016, 01:45:25 am
In local system news, I recently heard about plans for a lunar orbit space station (http://www.space.com/32014-human-outpost-near-moon-cislunar-space.html). Has this been discussed yet?

I think the plans are shifting more and more towards an outpost on the lunar surface, which would provide a good test environment for living on another planet, including construction from on-site materials, producing rocket fuels, testing direct launch railguns or space elevators, and so on.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on August 25, 2016, 05:07:40 am
The GR effects due to acceleration will be agreed on by all observers regardless of reference frame, the SR effects due to velocity and different inertial frames are the ones that make it look like the other guy is the one being slowed down.

When you undergo acceleration you actually move slower through time, and thus age less compared to an unaccelerated observer.
The twin paradox has nothing to do with GR or acceleration - it's a purely SR effect. You get different elapsed proper time because of different paths through space-time between the same pair of events.
It's true that in a typical twin paradox scenario an outbound twin must reverse her velocity to get back home, but: 1) the acceleration is not what causes differential ageing 2) you can construct the scenario without acceleration at all (e.g. by using a closed space, or a free-fall slingshot), 3) either wat you're not ever using GR - the space-time is a flat Minkowski space-time.

Here's a good writeup on the subject:
http://math.ucr.edu/home/baez/physics/Relativity/SR/TwinParadox/twin_paradox.html
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on August 25, 2016, 09:22:30 am
That's why a lot of pages ago I suggested the only practical way to travel to other stars with foreseeable/feasible technology is dramatically extend our life span or send really advanced robots.

If we could live 200 or 300 years or more then a 50 years travel wouldn't be as much burden, because despite still being an awful chunk of someone's life it wouldn't be ALL of it. Someone preparing 50/100 years for such mission, going there and back using 100 years and then living here as an hero for yet another 50/100 years doesn't so bad in comparison to traveling there to die.

Of course all this are conjectures and then there's the issue of how to extend human life two or three fold, if it's even possible at all. Just that I think it could be sightly more probable that finding a way to build a feasible warp engine or something.

The other option would be triggering really extensive hibernation on humans. Sleeper ships.


On colonies I already stated my mandate, to the moon first! Hehehe... I think the moon if far more easy for a number of reasons. Relative closeness to Earth, "easy" colony setup by remote controlled machines, virtually no communication lag (I get more lag on whatsapp phone calls than what theoretically a radio call would get to the moon).

But first things first. All those people whinging about "nuking space", "nuclear contamination of space" and such, should be strapped on a rocked and exposed to the vacuum they "want to save and keep clean of radiation" (yes I heard that first hand) and then the survivors rounded to work as indentured workers on uranium mines....
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on August 25, 2016, 09:58:59 am
If we accelerate enough, though we could bring down the travel time to any amount, even under 4 years perhaps.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on August 25, 2016, 10:26:09 am
If we accelerate enough, though we could bring down the travel time to any amount, even under 4 years perhaps.
That's what they did on Avatar I think, mixed with cryosleep or something.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on August 25, 2016, 11:19:24 am
The GR effects due to acceleration will be agreed on by all observers regardless of reference frame, the SR effects due to velocity and different inertial frames are the ones that make it look like the other guy is the one being slowed down.

When you undergo acceleration you actually move slower through time, and thus age less compared to an unaccelerated observer.
The twin paradox has nothing to do with GR or acceleration - it's a purely SR effect. You get different elapsed proper time because of different paths through space-time between the same pair of events.
I... the different paths through spacetime as a result of the accelerating frame mean it isn't a paradox anymore, if you both start at event a and travel to event b except one twin has a longer spatial component to their journey then they must have a shorter temporal component, otherwise they aren't meeting at the same events.
Quote
It's true that in a typical twin paradox scenario an outbound twin must reverse her velocity to get back home, but: 1) the acceleration is not what causes differential ageing 2) you can construct the scenario without acceleration at all (e.g. by using a closed space, or a free-fall slingshot), 3) either wat you're not ever using GR - the space-time is a flat Minkowski space-time.

Here's a good writeup on the subject:
http://math.ucr.edu/home/baez/physics/Relativity/SR/TwinParadox/twin_paradox.html
I am extremely well versed in the workings of SR and GR, and have already read everything on Baez's site actually.

Yes, you can work through it all in SR if you want, and even construct a scenario and try to eliminate the obvious ways which GR hops in and clears everything up. We aren't in a rotating cylinder universe and the slingshot is clever, but basically boils down to making sure you keep your eyes shut and shout "LA LA LA LA, I'M NOT SWINGING PAST A STAR, I'M SITTING TOTALLY STILL AS THE UNIVERSE AND MY TWIN HURTLES AROUND ME ALONG IMPROBABLE TRAJECTORIES, DOOT DOOT DOOT" doesn't it?

Draw a spacetime diagram, look at how silly this all is, go drink a beer with your twin instead.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on August 25, 2016, 11:33:47 am
I am extremely well versed in the workings of SR and GR
::)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on August 25, 2016, 02:10:16 pm
Just saying, I'm not someone you need to explain the twin paradox or whatnot for, especially when you are just agreeing with me in a roundabout fashion.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 25, 2016, 02:27:18 pm
Just saying, I'm not someone you need to explain the twin paradox or whatnot for, especially when you are just agreeing with me in a roundabout fashion.

http://www.xkcd.com/1716/ or GTFO... ;)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on August 25, 2016, 03:47:41 pm
Do you think I would be here if I had a timelike oracle, instead of using it to avoid fps death?

More seriously though, the end of that Baez article is what I was talking about, drawing the spacetime diagrams lets you see why different observers in arbitrarily chosen frames will see what they see, and clarify what only seems like a paradox if you say, arbitrarily choose a frame which makes it look paradoxical.

Code: [Select]
b (xb, yb, zb, tb) <- twin and twin' reunite
|\
| \
|  \ 
|  /  <- twin' turns around to head back
| /
|/
a (xa, ya, za, ta) <- twin remains on earth while twin' leaves

One twin follows the left path and doesn't move spatially (ignoring acceleration due to gravity/the motion of the earth/solar system/galaxy and whatnot), so the interval along their path: s2 = x2 - c2t2 is all temporal, their Δx = 0, and we'll just say their Δt = 1.

While twin' follows the other path with a spatial component, which means their s2 = x'2 - c2t'2 has a spatial component, but s2 is invariant, so if this twin has Δx' > 0, then they must have Δt' < 1 for them to arrive at the same coordinate tuple (xb, yb, zb, tb) as their stationary twin.

If you draw segments from the path of twin' back to the stationary twin and choose them so their elapsed t' is the same as the other elapsed t, i.e. twin observes it has been five minutes in their frame, and twin' does the same, the segments wind up tilted at an angle due to the velocity of twin', and any slicing you choose in this fashion will wind up with twin' unable to cover every point along the path of twin. There simply aren't enough available moments in the path of twin' to pair them up with those in the path of twin, i.e. twin' actually experiences less time, doesn't move as far through time, ages less, however you wish to say it, it's all just the geometry of spacetime in the end, and less confusing than trying to wrap yourself around all the different effects and constraints and implications of "let there be a light clock consisting of blah blah blah blah on the ship of twin' and blahblah blahblah" and so forth.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on August 25, 2016, 04:12:56 pm
A solution which, as is readily seen, doesn't invoke GR at any time.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on August 25, 2016, 04:27:13 pm
ಠ_ಠ

...General Relativity is about the geometry of spacetime, Special Relativity is now known to be a special case in which the curvature of said geometry can be ignored, but the actual formulation as a geometric theory came about with GR, and any acceleration of frames moves us back to working within GR again. Changing directions involves acceleration, and breaks symmetries which are critical for the depiction of any sort of apparently paradoxical effects in SR.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on August 25, 2016, 04:44:18 pm
This will end up being a rolling eyes contest, as you stubbornly refuse to acknowledge that there's no GR needed to explain the twin paradox, or keep insisting that SR can't deal with acceleration.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on August 25, 2016, 05:40:53 pm
Ah, I see what was being missed here, I didn't mean it was required to explain it, just that it is better at explaining it, especially where things that may seem paradoxical in SR but are more easily understood in GR are concerned. As for SR handling acceleration, yes, it can be done, but it is a kludge, and inelegant compared to doing it in GR.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on August 25, 2016, 10:03:26 pm
SR works well for straight lines,but GR is better for everything else.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 25, 2016, 10:11:27 pm
So do we need GR for this discussion?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on August 26, 2016, 03:16:06 am
Only if you want to look like you understand it when you don't.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on August 26, 2016, 05:12:38 am
Listen sugar, it's literally been 30 years since I started studying and learning about relativity and black holes and spacetime and all sorts of other stuff, we don't need to go into a full derivation of the EFE's here, but there's no need to be condescending because I don't see the point in ignoring that looking at the geometries involved from a GR perspective makes it easier to understand what is going on behind the weirdness in SR.

Look at the link you provided: http://math.ucr.edu/home/baez/physics/Relativity/SR/TwinParadox/twin_gr.html
Quote from: Baez
The Equivalence Principle analysis of the twin paradox does not use any real gravity, and so does not use any General Relativity.  (General Relativity is the study of real gravitational fields, not pseudo ones, so it has nothing to say about the twin paradox.)  Nevertheless, what General Relativity does say about real gravitational fields does hold in a restricted sense for pseudo gravitational fields.  The one thing we need here is that time runs slower as you descend into the potential well of a pseudo force field.  We can use that fact to our advantage when analysing the twin paradox.  But it needs to be emphasised that we are not using any actual General Relativity here, and no one ever needs to, to analyse the paradox.  We are simply grabbing a result about real gravitational fields from General Relativity, because we know (from other work) that it does apply to a pseudo gravitational field.

We begin with a couple of assertions that belong in the realm of General Relativity.  (We postpone asking what SR has to say about these assertions.)

    Free choice of reference frames: You can describe the physics of a situation in pretty much any reference frame you like, but some frames demand the introduction of force fields that don't show up in other frames.  You can call these "pseudo-force fields", or even "pseudo-gravitational fields".
    Uniform "gravitational" time dilation: Say you have two identically constructed clocks.  One is deep down in a uniform "gravitational" potential well (or "pseudo-potential", if you prefer); the other is higher up.  If the two clocks compare rates by sending light signals back and forth, then both will agree that the lower clock runs slower than the higher clock.  This can be rephrased as "Time runs slower as you descend into the potential well of a uniform pseudo-force field."
The effects involved there are one way to look at it, but as he notes here:
Quote from: Baez
The Spacetime Diagram Analysis (http://math.ucr.edu/home/baez/physics/Relativity/SR/TwinParadox/twin_spacetime.html) is closer to the spirit of GR (vintage 1916) than the Equivalence Principle analysis.  Spacetime, geodesics, and the invariant interval: that's the core of General Relativity.
Also here:
Quote from: Baez
Most physicists feel that the Spacetime Diagram Analysis (http://math.ucr.edu/home/baez/physics/Relativity/SR/TwinParadox/twin_spacetime.html) is the most fundamental.  It does amount to a sort of "Universal Interlingua", enabling one to see how superficially different analyses are really at heart the same.

Perhaps now you can see why I said what I did, rather than assuming I'm just talking out of my ass about a field I happen to enjoy studying?
So do we need GR for this discussion?
For a simplified explanation of why weirdness in SR happens? Yes. Relativity of Simultaneity and such are weirder than the swept area of a line.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on August 26, 2016, 05:22:18 am
It's fine, man. I'm just not buying your expertise. I'm sure you can live with that.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on August 26, 2016, 05:45:53 am
It's a bit snarky for my taste, as I've already shown I know what I'm talking about and that you apparently didn't read your offered reference, but I don't know who you are so maybe you've got some reason for being snippy or some context I'm missing here, so you do you.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on August 26, 2016, 06:21:25 pm
It's fine, man. I'm just not buying your expertise. I'm sure you can live with that.

You tell him to live with it but then you bait him again...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on August 29, 2016, 11:04:09 pm
Now don't get your hopes up, but here's a possible 11 ghz signal from a star 95 light-years away (http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/next/space/seti-investigating-signal-from-sun-like-star-95-light-years-away/)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on August 29, 2016, 11:08:04 pm
ALEINS CONFIORMS HYPE HYPE HYPE
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on August 29, 2016, 11:09:58 pm
It's just swamp gas reflecting off the ice bullet that killed JFK.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 01, 2016, 03:44:38 pm
It was just yesterday that I heard that a SpaceX rocket would actually be reused (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-37220074) and now news comes in that I see they have suffered a launchpad failure (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-37247077) during fuelling (with, I presume, a 'virgin' booster), and have lost the payload.

I presume insurance will be claimed on, but even if this helps replace the satellite it'll not help future premiums or momentum of the planned future developments (c.f. Spaceship One and Virgin Galactic).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on September 01, 2016, 03:50:17 pm
Apparently, the problem occurred in the upper stage's Oxygen tank, which I don't believe can be reused.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 01, 2016, 03:59:10 pm
Apparently, the problem occurred in the upper stage's Oxygen tank, which I don't believe can be reused.
It certainly can't now...

It doesn't invalidate the reusability paradigm (being neither a re-used part nor a reusable part), but it demonstrates fallibility of manufafture and/or handling processes and thus the demonstrable fragility of the thread that we currently hoist things up to space with, still.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on September 01, 2016, 04:01:55 pm
I really don't like how the media latches onto this every time. Launchpad explosions happen. They've been happening since the beginning, and they were a lot more common then. It's just the cost of doing business.

Until defunding and regulatory obstruction get the same kind of controversial attention, we do not have our priorities in order.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on September 01, 2016, 04:20:32 pm
It is an event with info. Failures are more rare than successes so are more probabilistically significant.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 01, 2016, 04:39:07 pm
I would have also said that if a possible failure did not occur on one occasion, then the actuality of the failure could not be recognised and used to mitigate a future failure of the same type. Because the first failure happens, though, the potentiality of the future failure goes down due to the information gleaned from the original one. Or, if it doesn't, it indicates a failure to learn from the failures (potentially recursively) which is itself ultimately beneficial. At worst, an unresolved and unlearned-from failure-cycle results in the failing agency failing as a going concern and halts all further attempts, thus also reduces future failures to zero. But also zero future successes, naturally...

Or, to be more pithy: Those who fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on September 01, 2016, 04:45:41 pm
It is an event with info. Failures are more rare than successes so are more probabilistically significant.
Unless you are genuinely defending the predatory media fear cycle, that's kind of irrelevant. This isn't about a probabilistic risk assessment, this is about public perception. Our daily reader isn't doing true costs estimates, but they are being manipulated into disapproving of space expansion by the nature of reporting on it. Even worse, launches will always be vulnerable to this due to HUGE EXPLOSIONS 5 NASA FAILURES YOU WON'T BELIEVE. It's a very low bait threshold.

Not that anybody pays attention when launches are canceled thanks to non-catastrophic failures or bad weather.

For a myriad of reasons, we should assign a high value and enthusiasm to all things space, but as evidenced by and because of things like this do not. Until people collectively value it in such a way that NASA getting budget cuts or the FAA not cooperating with private rocketry is front page news and starts protests, our priorities are fucked. Fortunately we're a lot closer these days than we've ever been to that since before Columbia, but support has proven fragile in the past.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Grimlocke on September 01, 2016, 06:25:15 pm
Or, to be more pithy: Those who fail to learn from history are boomed to repeat it.

Fixed that for you!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Rose on September 01, 2016, 11:05:21 pm
Does Israel still have to pay?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on September 01, 2016, 11:07:58 pm
I mean, they already paid. They bought the satellite.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: SirQuiamus on September 02, 2016, 04:24:31 am
It was just yesterday that I heard that a SpaceX rocket would actually be reused (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-37220074) and now news comes in that I see they have suffered a launchpad failure (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-37247077) during fuelling (with, I presume, a 'virgin' booster), and have lost the payload.

I presume insurance will be claimed on, but even if this helps replace the satellite it'll not help future premiums or momentum of the planned future developments (c.f. Spaceship One and Virgin Galactic).
Don't cry, Elon – it's all just a hyper-realistic videogame run by your future descendants to demonstrate your historic greatness! If at first you don't succeed, load the savegame and try again!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 02, 2016, 05:16:52 am
Don't cry, Elon – it's all just a hyper-realistic videogame run by your future descendants to demonstrate your historic greatness! If at first you don't succeed, load the savegame and try again!
It's not hyper-realistic. Adding tonnes of random struts does nothing to help, unlike real life...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on September 02, 2016, 05:23:09 am
More strut! More booster!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: SirQuiamus on September 02, 2016, 05:40:37 am
Don't cry, Elon – it's all just a hyper-realistic videogame run by your future descendants to demonstrate your historic greatness! If at first you don't succeed, load the savegame and try again!
It's not hyper-realistic. Adding tonnes of random struts does nothing to help, unlike real life...
Elon Musk is so superhumanly perfect that any game starring him has to be hyper-realistic.

Spoiler (click to show/hide)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on September 02, 2016, 06:09:21 am
You can tell he's a synth because he hasn't given up yet.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: SirQuiamus on September 02, 2016, 09:44:42 am
You can tell he's a synth because he hasn't given up yet.
You can tell just by looking at the above infographic: It says that Musk ran out of library books to read at the age of eight, and although it doesn't specify which library that was, it's reasonable to assume that it was the biggest one within a few miles of his childhood home in Pretoria. As of 2009, there were about 1.5 million volumes in the University of Pretoria Library collection, and that number was probably roughly the same in the late seventies – let's say 1.1 million volumes. The average length of a novel is somewhere around 80 000 words, although the scientific monographs and periodical volumes one can expect to find in an university library tend to be a bit wordier – so the average length of the books read by Musk was probably somewhere around 105 000 words. The graphic does not tell us when exactly he started to read at a steady rate of ten hours per day, but we can (uncharitably) assume that it was at the age of three, and it took him no less than five years to accomplish the task.

Given the above numbers, we can calculate Musk's average reading speed during his formative years:

(1100000*105000)/(365*5*10)/60
=105479,452055

105 479 words per minute is about 462 times higher than the reading speed of an average English-speaking human NPC, but it's probably within the normal range for a superintelligent player character like Musk.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on September 02, 2016, 09:49:23 am
Probably it just means the books in his house. If you factor in the time in history and his father being engineer it stands to reason he could had over a hundred books lying around at home.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on September 02, 2016, 10:29:41 am
You have to be a registered student to borrow from a university library. "When he was in grade school, he was reading ten hours a day, devouring everything in his library and the entire Encyclopedia Britannica" (http://www.foxnews.com/us/2016/05/03/5-habits-that-made-elon-musk-innovator.html). It was probably the library at his grade school or something. But I'm sure he'd be technically picky, e.g. if new "See Spot Run" books came out at the library, is he really going to stop reading encyclopedia-level stuff to read those to ensure "completeness" of having read all the books?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 02, 2016, 11:03:05 am
When I was that age, a number of us had run through most of the age-specific reading books and had (in an early form of 'hipster' culture, arguably) started to go back and read younger-age books (Red Pirate, Green Pirate, etc) that we had skipped over.

By the end of my primary education, I was spending most of many of my breaks in the non-fiction shelves correctly sorting the largely unmaintained shelf contents back into dewey decimal order. I still, these days, regularly stop at the maps section in one or other bookshop and shuffle them back into map-number order.

This probably says somehing about me. It does not appear to an Elon Musk make, however...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on September 02, 2016, 06:18:39 pm
So. Anybody hearf of the spaceX disaster?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on September 02, 2016, 06:27:35 pm
It was just yesterday that I heard that a SpaceX rocket would actually be reused (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-37220074) and now news comes in that I see they have suffered a launchpad failure (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-37247077) during fuelling (with, I presume, a 'virgin' booster), and have lost the payload.

I presume insurance will be claimed on, but even if this helps replace the satellite it'll not help future premiums or momentum of the planned future developments (c.f. Spaceship One and Virgin Galactic).

Apparently, the problem occurred in the upper stage's Oxygen tank, which I don't believe can be reused.

Yes, we've heard.



In other news, I got to hold a bit of Mars. More specifically, a bit of a meteorite that originated from Mars. Sadly, I had to give it back.

One of the former members of our local Astronomical Society gave a talk on meteorites, and had a bunch of meteorites we could look at and hold. The guy has one of the largest private collections of meteorites in the UK.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on September 04, 2016, 02:36:45 am
Juno has sent a nice pic of Jupiter's pole. This side of Jupiter has never been observed before.
https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/juno/main/index.html (https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/juno/main/index.html)

This pic was taken from 70 thousand kilometers away. Last week, Juno passed around Jupiter at only 4200 km. Nasa expects to be able to provide detailed photographs in the coming weeks.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on September 04, 2016, 02:43:16 am
Wow, that's not at all what I thought it'd look like. Progress!

The cloud patterns sort of look like a heavier gas in air, but the scale of it all is absurd.

Hopefully they'll get some good images of the Great Red Spot, just in case it really does finally end.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on September 04, 2016, 03:15:20 am
Shame about the loss of that payload on the SpaceX rocket, sounds like it could have done some good.

Also, as expected, the best we can do about the latest SETI signal is shrug (http://www.theregister.co.uk/2016/08/30/seti_institute_damps_down_wow_signal_report_from_russia/).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on September 04, 2016, 03:29:09 am
You do gotta admit it's a little weird that all the mysteriously vanishing high-energy radio emissions we've found are all in similar ranges, though. Probably not aliens, but if it were aliens against all odds, it would probably look a lot like that.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 04, 2016, 05:54:28 am
I occasionally playfully tease cats with a laser-pointer.  They seem to like it, even if they do seem bemused.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on September 04, 2016, 01:01:18 pm
I occasionally playfully tease cats with a laser-pointer.  They seem to like it, even if they do seem bemused.
Wrong thread, or cunning metaphor?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: monkey on September 04, 2016, 01:29:25 pm
We have a 2nd Dyson sphere, http://phys.org/news/2016-08-irregular-dimming-young-stellar-astronomers.html
(insert oblig. wake up sheeple!)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on September 04, 2016, 01:42:55 pm
I occasionally playfully tease cats with a laser-pointer.  They seem to like it, even if they do seem bemused.
Wrong thread, or cunning metaphor?
As a cunning linguist myself, I find the comparison of playful pussy-cats being provoked to ponder the presence of powerful pseudo-deific providers of pleasureable scratching and pre-packaged playthings is probably preferable to pusillanimously proffering perverse or peevish puns.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 05, 2016, 11:59:43 am
( ^^^ Pretty much... ^^^ )

( vvv Needs no additional comment... vvv )

http://www.esa.int/Our_Activities/Space_Science/Rosetta/Philae_found
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on September 06, 2016, 08:40:05 am
You do gotta admit it's a little weird that all the mysteriously vanishing high-energy radio emissions we've found are all in similar ranges, though. Probably not aliens, but if it were aliens against all odds, it would probably look a lot like that.
Obviously jump drive signatures. High-energy and nonrepeating.

My takeaway from ESA's Philae mishap is that I will no longer feel bad when I fuck up a probe landing in KSP. Even if lands sideways and oriented such that the solar panels can't get light and the probe is doomed...I'm at least as good as a professional space agency.  :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on September 06, 2016, 08:55:51 am
You do gotta admit it's a little weird that all the mysteriously vanishing high-energy radio emissions we've found are all in similar ranges, though. Probably not aliens, but if it were aliens against all odds, it would probably look a lot like that.
Obviously jump drive signatures. High-energy and nonrepeating.

My takeaway from ESA's Philae mishap is that I will no longer feel bad when I fuck up a probe landing in KSP. Even if lands sideways and oriented such that the solar panels can't get light and the probe is doomed...I'm at least as good as a professional space agency.  :P
Better, even (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mars_Climate_Orbiter#Encounter_with_Mars). ^_^
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on September 06, 2016, 03:23:15 pm
Space is hard.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on September 06, 2016, 03:25:51 pm
Even that's better off than the Japanese mission that missed Mars. It's genuinely not hard to miss a whole planet in the void, but it's also impossible to say that and not think it's ridiculous.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 06, 2016, 03:32:10 pm
Mars is a tricky beast. (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exploration_of_Mars#Timeline_of_Mars_exploration)

And it's all done in hard vacuum! Not the easy kind of vacuum but the hard kind!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on September 08, 2016, 10:35:23 am
The NASA OSIRIS-REx probe is en route to the Bennu planetoid, to gather surface material, and return it to Earth.
"There is a small chance that Bennu will impact on earth in the next century. The impact would be strong enough to turn a country the size of France into a crater".

I guess if they're sending a probe, they must be pretty worried. I think they're quite certain it will impact Earth, or they wouldn't go through all the trouble of sending a probe to collect surface samples.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on September 08, 2016, 10:50:04 am
Could we find a better way to get people concerned about it than "so yeah, France might get turned into a crater" perhaps?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: hops on September 08, 2016, 10:54:51 am
It's the next century. The world can hardly garner enough fucks for global warming.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on September 08, 2016, 11:05:40 am
Well, parts of it certainly can, but they're small and unimportant in the long run, sorry Al.
Even that's better off than the Japanese mission that missed Mars. It's genuinely not hard to miss a whole planet in the void, but it's also impossible to say that and not think it's ridiculous.
I remember trying to get a sense of this with Celestia, so I got my controls set up where I could fly around and pretend I was a Xeelee.

Then I zoomed the view way out to the largest scale models I could find, the SDSS and CMBR maps, ramped myself up to like 100 megalights per second, flew way out into the universe, then stopped, zoomed back in to stellar scale view, and tried to find my way back home.

I was able to cheat at first since the SDSS surveys are hindered by the zone of avoidance, and thus make a sort of giant hourglass pointing back home, but when I dove into them it got a good deal more difficult.

Then I made it back to the local group and wandered around for a good fifteen minutes before I found Andromeda.

Then I managed to get turned and zoot over to the Milky Way and was able to cheat a little because there are more detailed models back towards home, which got me to the general vicinity of the Orion Spur.

It then took me half an hour before I could find a single star I knew to be within like 20 light years, Sirius.

Once I found Sirius I was able to look around and get a view of the background stars which I thought was the right direction and scooted around through that area for a good 30 or 40 minutes zooming past stars before I saw Alpha Centauri fly past in what I thought was the wrong direction, stopped, turned until I saw Cassiopeia with an extra star and went back over to the closest one, the Sun.

Space is so damn huge.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Wolfhunter107 on September 08, 2016, 11:18:38 am
The NASA OSIRIS-REx probe is en route to the Bennu planetoid, to gather surface material, and return it to Earth.
"There is a small chance that Bennu will impact on earth in the next century. The impact would be strong enough to turn a country the size of France into a crater".

I guess if they're sending a probe, they must be pretty worried. I think they're quite certain it will impact Earth, or they wouldn't go through all the trouble of sending a probe to collect surface samples.
The reason that Bennu was chosen has more to do with it's age, surface composition, and convenient location than anything else. The hope with the mission is to bring back some extremely old material, and it requires an asteroid with a lot of loose material on the surface. (The collection mechanism involves using a nitrogen jet to blast loose material away from the asteroid). Bennu just happens to be the most conveniently located asteroid with that age and composition.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on September 08, 2016, 12:23:11 pm
However, the additional data might help refine that impact probability estimate.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on September 08, 2016, 01:41:06 pm
However, the additional data might help refine that impact probability estimate.

I bet it's easier to get mission funding for, too.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on September 08, 2016, 06:25:41 pm
Well, OSIRIS-REx is in Space! about 20 minutes of coasting before engines are restarted, then off to 101955 Bennu!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 08, 2016, 06:36:01 pm
"There is a small chance that Bennu will impact on earth in the next century. [...]".
IRTA "There is a small chance that the probe will impact on Earth in the next century", which implied a longer-duration sample-return mission than I had expected. Then, as I read on, I got quite concerned as to how a simple probe might ever get to be so dangerous (without going through a wormhole, being borgified and coming back to find its maker, that is...)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 08, 2016, 06:43:42 pm
(...also, by definition a potentially Earth-impacting asteroid is going to be easier to Sample Return from, given its Earth-crossing nature means that the delta-Vs needed to intercept asteroid from Earth and re-intercept Earth from asteroid are both fairly minimal. As long as you've got time enough to catch up/let the asteroid catch up, not planning on confronting it head-on and then retro-thrust like a crazy-A stick of asparagus. And probably with Clint Eastwood on board, for the lulz...)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on September 08, 2016, 07:07:40 pm
OSIRIS-REx is now on an escape trajectory. Solar arrays should deploy shortly.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on September 08, 2016, 07:17:02 pm
Both solar arrays are deployed! I doubt we'll hear much more from OSIRIS-REx for a couple of years, while the probe makes it's rendezvous with Bennu.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on September 09, 2016, 09:00:56 am
As far as I understand, Bennu itself orbits the sun in about 6 years, so OSIRIS-REx should be back within a decade if all goes well, not next century.

In other news, billionaire ELon Musk is at a loss as for what caused the SpaceX rocket to explode during refueling.
He has called upon the public on Twitter, asking anyone who filmed or photographed the rocket prior to and during the explosion, to send in their images.

Musk stresses that the rocket engines were turned off, and there was no heat source anywhere.

What concerns the SpaceX research team most, is the small explosion that sounds before the big one, on online videos of the event.
They say "It could come from the rocket, but it could also have come from somewhere else".

Inb4 sabotage theories reach a higher orbit than SpaceX ever did.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 09, 2016, 09:29:10 am
As far as I understand, Bennu itself orbits the sun in about 6 years, so OSIRIS-REx should be back within a decade if all goes well, not next century.
If that's to me, yes I worked out my mis-read fairly quickly, but then I thought it amusing enough to share. (Second post in a row was regarding the "why choose Bennu?" question, as additional reasoning. But could have been given more context.)

Not previously said, but perhaps can still be, despite assurances otherwise ("In writing out a list of the big ideas that the science plan would be based on, Dr. Lauretta realized that they spelled out OSIRIS." (http://www.asteroidmission.org/objectives/osiris-rex-acronym/)), I'm of the opinion that it's definitely a mostly contrived backronym that they should be ashamed of.   ;)

Quote
In other news, […]
What concerns the SpaceX research team most, is the small explosion that sounds before the big one, on online videos of the event.
They say "It could come from the rocket, but it could also have come from somewhere else".

Inb4 sabotage theories reach a higher orbit than SpaceX ever did.
Happy to be Stage 1 for that...

HEAT round sniped at the stack by someone hired by corporate rivals?  Distances/accuracy issues, admitedly make it quite literally a long-shot (helluva distance, if fired from across the Banana River), but the alternative is on-site sabotage (or something snuck onto a component, e.g. the lost payload).

Alternately an innocent failure of the legitmate payload. Uncommanded* non-cold thruster firing, perhaps. Not enough info at hand to check that possibility out. But, aside from the Falcon itself, the satellite (the first of its sub-series to be due to use electric prpoulsion for station-keeping) has much about it that could possibly have gone wrong and initiated the rocket's own destruction.

* Or malevolently commanded!!!11oneone!!!!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dutrius on September 09, 2016, 12:47:20 pm
Thinking about it... It was a problem in (or around) the upper stage Oxygen tank. Could this be a similar problem to that experienced by Apollo 13 (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Apollo_13)?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on September 09, 2016, 02:04:54 pm
lolno, rocket parts are tested for much broader temperature ranges ever since.

EDIT: ohwait I was confusing it with the Challenger accident. There temperature was the issue.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 09, 2016, 04:05:21 pm
The GIF movie on https://www.inverse.com/article/20788-spacex-falcon-9-explosion-ufo-anomaly suggests explosive combustion starts (or at least most easily exits the skin of the rocket, but that's never armour-plate strength) just below the payload shroud, which is where I'd expect the orbit-raising final stage motor to be.

(The UFO is, IMO, a bird at mid-distance. Neither large and fast and far off, nor fly-sized and fly-speed and near, but a normal sized and normal speed bird at some point significantly between camera and pad, clearly flapping. It is mere coincidence that it is in frame, and doesn't even look like it hits the craft. Even if it was a drone, it can't be directly responsible by colliding, giving it clearly does not, and doesn't get caught in the explosion.)

Apollo 13: stirrer (necessary for destratification in zero-G?) with inadvertently arcing wires, IIRC.
Challenger: Booster seal made brittle by cold, causing catastrophic failure in use.

Neither seem to apply to this pre-test refuelling incident. But note that SpaceX is on record as having pinpointed the cause as being a LOX tank's internal helium bottle strut failing, in an early ISS delivery attempt that failed. This by the use of internal sensors capturing audio of the event (given very little first-hand examination of the resulting debris being even possible), so to have so early on started to say that this accident is a complete puzzle, needing video to perhaps answer at all, suggests that even if they have internal data, they're looking at something external to their own equipment and entirely unaffected. Or they're being very cautious about a pressure-skin failure, for business reasons (their own, or a supplier) not wanting to get caught up in a defamation or incompetence lawsuit situation before they have enough evidence to make it a legal certainty, whoever ends up being in the wrong.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Akura on September 10, 2016, 04:03:28 am
I just wanted to say in the better-quality video below the gif in that link, just before the explosion there's another black dot similar to the one remarked about passing in front of the rocket, below where the explosion occurs.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on September 10, 2016, 04:15:15 am
And there's about dozen other flying animals ornitopters rebel fighters caught in the same video. I bet they had been shooting their torpedoes all this time, but only when the one used the Force, did they manage to finally hit the vent and blow up the rocket fully operational battle station. Now the evil Elonian empire shall collapse and all jar-jars will be able to wear their tin foil hats in peace.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 13, 2016, 06:01:06 am
After Shepherd, there's Glenn (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-37342181).

(Guesses as to who is next in the line-up?)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: andrea on September 13, 2016, 06:20:27 am
Nice to see more players entering the orbital commercial reusable rocket field, although it was already known they were working on one such thing. It seems a quite capable rocket too and the hydrogen upper stages should allow better payload to higher orbits than SpaceX(falcon heavy) offers.
Speaking about Space X, one has to wonder how long will the falcon heavy be delayed due to the recent explosion. Falcon heavy and New Glenn might enter the market at roughly the same time, which would bring a direct competition.which would be rather interesting, depending on cost and performance of the 2 launch vehicles.

Although, as nice those second generation rockets are, I can't wait to see the third generation of launch vehicles produced by those 2 feuding billionaires. New armstrong and BFR will be a great sight and bring many opportunities.

Bezos has the money to actually fund his space program out of pocket ( as seen by the fact that they haven't launched any commercial payload yet despite years of operations) and the moon is relatively simple, so I think there is a good chance to see a blue origin flag on the moon sometime in the next decade or 2.

That said, I really don't like that huge feather on the side of the rocket.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 13, 2016, 06:24:52 am
so I think there is a good chance to see a blue origin flag on the moon sometime in the next decade or 2.
That's going to be the New Armstrong rocket, I predict. But there are still some intermediate challenges to be overcome (and named).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: hops on September 14, 2016, 08:27:13 am
I still kind of wish we had an international space program instead of having to rely on americans and occasionally the chinese government.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TempAcc on September 14, 2016, 08:40:35 am
Why bother with it now when corporations are starting to get their shit in space? :U

Seriously tho governments can only carry space exploration so far, private enterprise will have to take over sooner or later, better sooner than later.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on September 14, 2016, 08:43:30 am
That's a bunch of nonsense driven by the political narrative of the past five years. Private enterprise does not have to "take over" space travel anymore than it has to "take over" the military.

Why anybody even thinks this is a zero sum game in the first place is beyond me. Of course, politicians do it so they can peddle their hardass cred and cut space programs even further, but why anybody else does is baffling.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TempAcc on September 14, 2016, 08:54:27 am
Well, "take over" is prob not the best term to use in that instance, what I meant is that people be happy about private enterprise attempting to do things governments haven't touched in a good while. Has NASA made successful reusable rockets in the past year? Lol not with their current funding.

I'm all for more NASA funding, but I'm all for commercial exploration of space, too, and the moment governments start going "o hey, private enterprise, you evil creature, we want to regulate you" is the moment in which progress grinds to a halt.

Now, what is currently happening is exactly the opposite of what certain politicians sugest should happen (IE complete takeover by private companies). NASA can totally work side by side with spaceX or any other company to explore space. Hell, they kinda already are, which is a great start, since it means more investors for private companies and less of a burden on NASA to get cargo into space, so NASA can focus on more important matters such as probes and experimental projects. Maybe one day it'll be like hiring a truck to transport your fancy equipment somewhere, except it'll be NASA hiring private companies to deliver their missions to the desired locations, which is kind of already happening.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on September 14, 2016, 10:13:01 am
SpaceX has a streamlined production with operations in three states and only three states.  Joint Launch Alliance splits the work out among more then forty states.  SpaceX can do things more efficiently.  You dont need to talk about free markets or government regulation.  The only way that government enters into it is where JLA tries to bribe congress by spreading the work out in an inefficent fashion.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 14, 2016, 11:22:13 am
I still kind of wish we had an international space program instead of having to rely on americans and occasionally the chinese government.
The Russians are the only man-lifters in the game. (Chinese are closer to joining them than the US is to rejoining, governmental or commercial...)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: hops on September 15, 2016, 10:24:29 am
That's a bunch of nonsense driven by the political narrative of the past five years. Private enterprise does not have to "take over" space travel anymore than it has to "take over" the military.

Why anybody even thinks this is a zero sum game in the first place is beyond me. Of course, politicians do it so they can peddle their hardass cred and cut space programs even further, but why anybody else does is baffling.
I still honestly trust profit-motivated organizations more than politically-motivated ones. And I trust politically-neutral organizations most, even if they don't tend to get shit done they don't tend to fuck up as much as dependent organizations.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on September 15, 2016, 10:39:24 am
Lehman Brothers, Enron and Blockbuster were all profit-motivated organizations.  The British East India Company was the profit-motivated organization most similar to a government and had a downright abysmal record (started the American revolution, impoverished the Indian subcontinent, constantly dependent on government bailouts).  For profit prisons are so atrocious they make state prisons look like models of excellence and the federal government is shutting them down.  For profit education is so bad that there is now a massive class action lawsuit.  For profit medicine delivers the same result as taxpayer funded medicine but at twice the cost.  For profit banking created the Great Recession (and the great depression, and the savings and loan crisis...)

Sure I'd rather drive a car made by GM (when they aren't bankrupt) then one made by VEB (before the eastern block collapsed) but that's because I can point to a lot of ways that GM makes better cars.  They dont fall apart as quickly for starters!  At the end of the day it's a physical object you are talking about and I just care that GM makes good physical objects while VEB didn't.

Government or profit doesn't make a good rocket anymore then it makes a good doctor.  At the end of the day you look at if they are doing a good job making physical objects.  Joint Launch Enterprise is a joint operation of profit seeking companies that makes rockets badly.  Their supply chains are a shitshow, they have been slow to adopt improvements in manufacturing technology and they aren't ambitious when it comes to mission inefficiencies like reusable rockets.  SpaceX is a profit seeking company that makes rockets well.  Their supply lines aren't a shitshow, they made sure their design reflected best practices of manufacturing and they are trying to squeeze out every ounce of efficiency they can.  The conclusion I draw from that is the SpaceX is better because of the things I just listed.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on September 15, 2016, 10:56:12 am
Wait, the HEIC started the US revolution? Is it something like "they lobbied for tea tariff to keep their profit up"?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on September 15, 2016, 11:06:41 am
Wait, the HEIC started the US revolution? Is it something like "they lobbied for tea tariff to keep their profit up"?

Yup (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boston_Tea_Party)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on September 15, 2016, 12:30:35 pm
NASA is really good at doing research and development. Their constant need to ferry stuff up for the iss seemed to mme to be holding them back.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 15, 2016, 12:37:33 pm
Meanwhile, China has just launched their second 'space-station'. And good luck to them.

(Sandra Bullock expected to visit soon!).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Parsely on September 21, 2016, 03:30:20 pm
"China confirms space station is falling towards Earth". Gravity confirmed.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on September 21, 2016, 03:35:51 pm
Quote
"Not knowing when it's going to come down translates as not knowing where its going to come down."
In before crashing space station parts annihilate the white house, igniting global thermonuclear war. :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on September 21, 2016, 03:41:32 pm
In before crashing space station parts annihilate the white house, igniting global thermonuclear war. :P

The US demonstrated the ability to shoot a deorbiting satellite a couple years back, remember?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TempAcc on September 21, 2016, 04:10:51 pm
Couldn't they send out a special mission with a rocket to lock into the main station port and prop it up enough for it to regain stable orbit? I mean, I'm not sure if that would be cost effective, but I'd guess it probably is, considering that its an entire space station being lost :U
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on September 21, 2016, 04:17:53 pm
It would be more expensive then hitting it at a crash trajectory.  And if they wait until it enters a terminal trajectory they can calculate it's trajectory and probably wont need to spend any money at all.  Might as well just send up a new satellite.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 21, 2016, 04:19:12 pm
"Place your bets, ladies and gentlemen!  The Pacific is odds on favorite, but we have very generous prices for Australia... again... The continental US has seen some heavy spread betting, mainly concentrating on Los Angeles area and the Hollywood sign, Mount Rushmore (damaging just one specific quarter), the Whitehouse (and/or Capital building) and impaling itself directly upon the Empire State Building spire.  There are some pundits going for Big Ben (sic), the Eiffel Tower, the Pyramids, the Taj Mahal and Christ The Redeemer, whilst quite a large number of small bets in roubles and bitcoin have gone towards it landing directly upon a Syrian aid convoy.  Apart from the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, we aren't taking bets on the People's Republic of China or its extensive maritime claims at all for...  reasons, but the Republic Of China is still an option... "
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on September 21, 2016, 04:25:13 pm
Couldn't they send out a special mission with a rocket to lock into the main station port and prop it up enough for it to regain stable orbit? I mean, I'm not sure if that would be cost effective, but I'd guess it probably is, considering that its an entire space station being lost :U
It's also retired.  It's been inactive since 2013 and already intended for reentry between 2016-2017, which means it's unlikely that they would have changed their plans in the interim.  They wouldn't be salvaging a working station; they'd sending it up to tweak the reentry course at most, which isn't nearly as cost-effective. 
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on September 21, 2016, 04:55:12 pm
whilst quite a large number of small bets in roubles and bitcoin have gone towards it landing directly upon a Syrian aid convoy

Figures.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: andrea on September 27, 2016, 09:37:21 am
http://www.spacex.com/webcast

Elon musk talking about his mars plans in 3 hours, 50 minutes.
A bit surprising the talk wasn't delayed due to the falcon 9 explosion, but half of his fan base would have died of hype ( or hype withdrawal?) had he delayed more.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TempAcc on September 27, 2016, 10:03:12 am
Also, apparently china recently activated it FUCKHUEG new radio telescope to search for pulsars and aliums.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on September 27, 2016, 01:28:27 pm
Far Universe Check for Kinda Huge Unambiguous Evidence of Greenmen
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: andrea on September 27, 2016, 01:33:44 pm
before the conference starts, spacex posted a promotional video of how they envision mars colonization.

That huuuu(uuuuuuu)ge thing that goes up seems to be their planned rocket.

video (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0qo78R_yYFA)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on September 27, 2016, 03:14:02 pm
Watching right now, I missed most of it but Elon is not a great speaker in the q&a, he's got a real bad stutter.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: andrea on September 27, 2016, 03:19:44 pm
he had that bad stutter for the whole speech. My poor untrained ear is struggling to listen to him.

But, hey, he got me some great pictures of rocket stuff, so I'll forgive him for not being a good speaker :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on September 27, 2016, 03:22:06 pm
Ugh, fucking Funny or Die's idiot reporter trying to ask a "question" that's just a joke. A joke that wasn't funny.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Radio Controlled on September 27, 2016, 04:13:20 pm
Ugh, fucking Funny or Die's idiot reporter trying to ask a "question" that's just a joke. A joke that wasn't funny.
Yeah, they clearly didn't do any screening of the questions beforehand.

he had that bad stutter for the whole speech. My poor untrained ear is struggling to listen to him.

But, hey, he got me some great pictures of rocket stuff, so I'll forgive him for not being a good speaker :P

It was an interesting presentation, though he indeed isn't the most natural speaker, that's true.

Link to the video to those who missed it: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A1YxNYiyALg
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on September 27, 2016, 04:39:32 pm
I waited for it and missed because had to driva back home.
There's any brief on the presentation I can read?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on September 27, 2016, 04:51:26 pm
Huh, didn't know he had a stutter, sounds like more of a pain in the ass than mine, I don't double as much as I get stuck on the start of words with certain sounds. Trying to start a sentence with a soft vowel is a nightmare sometimes.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Radio Controlled on September 27, 2016, 04:52:36 pm
I waited for it and missed because had to driva back home.
There's any brief on the presentation I can read?

Here's something: http://futurism.com/elon-musk-mars-colony-all-his-key-points-from-todays-announcement/

Better summaries will probably become available later, as people have more time to make 'em, but it's something.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Levi on September 28, 2016, 01:32:28 pm
Here is Ars Technica's view/summary on the Elon Musk Mars thing:

http://arstechnica.com/science/2016/09/musks-mars-moment-audacity-madness-brilliance-or-maybe-all-three/
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Flying Dice on September 28, 2016, 02:10:42 pm
Good on them quoting Chyba. The man's spot on, “Humanity should become a space-faring civilization, and if that is not the point of human spaceflight, what the hell are we doing?” indeed.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on September 28, 2016, 04:32:23 pm
It's to the point where I really question people's sense of priority. From the day I first saw the Blue Marble photograph as a child onward I knew in my heart that this was really the only thing that Actually Mattered. Everything else, all of our social and economic goals, are just in the service of bringing humanity to space and expanding throughout the universe.

Hell, even a lot of people's personal goals are that, and rightfully so. Honestly, I think a lot of us are in outright denial. We treat everything outside Earth as usually being just some kind of sci-fi fantasy, not a real place that actually exists all the time, and we've never been. To really give a shit about our mindless wars and conflicts down here demands that you not give out there any weight, because there's a lot more out there.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Flying Dice on September 28, 2016, 05:02:35 pm
Also loving all the morons complaining about "buh buh if Earth has a catastrophe it's still going to be more habitable than Mars", ignoring that we'd lose the base needed to survive such conditions, that a self-sufficient Mars aiding Earth post-catastrophe would be vastly easier than bootstrapping from pre-digital bullshit with a bunch of information-age limpwristed office drones, that the long-term plan is to terraform Mars, &c. &c.

That and the people who don't comprehend the timescale the solar wind-assisted stripping of planetary atmosphere occurs over. Didn't NASA work out that it was something like 100g per year on Mars? Yes, lacking a magnetosphere is troubling, but in the sense of "we have to have a slight net increase in the production of atmospheric gasses and build underground so that our per-decade cancer risk increase stays roughly in line with Earth average". Also the people trying to assert that skeletal deterioration living in ~1/3 Earth-normal gravity and never trying to return to living in 1g is equivalent to living in 0g for a while and then living the rest of your life in 1g. Or assuming that forces from tripping and falling &c. would be as severe as in 1g.

I mean god damn the people who know a tiny bit of science come off as far more foolish than the stoner who asked about what would be done with astronaut crap (recycle it, dumbass).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on September 28, 2016, 05:21:34 pm
The magnetosphere protects the atmosphere, not the humans. A thick atmosphere with no magnetosphere will eventually be stripped away, but while it's there the cancer risk will be negated.

Still, terraforming remains far off unless we make some unforeseen breakthroughs. The Mars colonies will be bubble-cities for a while yet.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on September 28, 2016, 05:58:59 pm
Musk wants to nuke the ice caps to terraform, apparently
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 28, 2016, 07:02:59 pm
I say we just power up the ancient alien ice mines, just in time to save the three-breasted woman of negotiable affection.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on September 28, 2016, 07:27:42 pm
Wonder what Musk must think about the venusian floating habitats... yes, I went there(as in I touched the subject tha was hotly debated a few weeks ago)

And while I applaud and wishes the best for Musk, and honestly I'm more than willing to help him in any way I could. I still firmly believe that firstly, a moon outpost is needed and is the first logical step. Not a huge city or anything, but a simple outpost where effects of lower but not 0 gravity could be studied closer to home. A place where robots or rc machines could build some.infrastructure beforehand with virtual real time input and feedback from earth and where help, supplies and critical medical care are measured in hours away instead of months.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 28, 2016, 07:31:42 pm
Wonder what Musk must think about the venusian floating habitats... yes, I went there.
How was the weather? Did you try the local cuisine?

(Grumble grumble typo corrected.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on September 28, 2016, 08:22:19 pm
It takes days to reach the moon, not hours.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TempAcc on September 28, 2016, 08:34:06 pm
Putting and managing things on the earth's orbit is also considerably easier and cheaper then using a moon base, too, both on the logistical and rocket science- sense. Building a moonbase likely wouldn't help all that much with giving insight on how to build a base in mars, either, considering mars' conditions are significantly different.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on September 28, 2016, 09:16:26 pm
A moon base lets you use an electro magnetic rail launcher.  You cant do that in orbit.  Well you could, there just would be no point.  Moon bases can use local resources.  Moon bases can be underground which might be a good design for mars colonies.

Honestly I dont get why people want to go to mars at all when the moon is right there.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on September 28, 2016, 10:26:17 pm
Mars has a bit of protection from radiation due to the atmosphere, but remember that 6.3 kilopascals is where your body is warm enough to boil water, and even the deepest canyons on Mars only reach 1.1 kilopascals. You need a different type of spacesuit than you would on the moon, but you still need a spacesuit, because it's close enough to space that you aren't really going to care about the minute differences as it kills you.

The infrastructure is exciting, the colony idea is silly. We won't have the sort of colony that could survive by itself on Mars and reseed a post-catastrophe Earth any time in the next century, most likely several centuries.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on September 28, 2016, 11:53:14 pm
Mars has a bit of protection from radiation due to the atmosphere, but remember that 6.3 kilopascals is where your body is warm enough to boil water, and even the deepest canyons on Mars only reach 1.1 kilopascals. You need a different type of spacesuit than you would on the moon, but you still need a spacesuit, because it's close enough to space that you aren't really going to care about the minute differences as it kills you.

The infrastructure is exciting, the colony idea is silly. We won't have the sort of colony that could survive by itself on Mars and reseed a post-catastrophe Earth any time in the next century, most likely several centuries.

The body has its own internal pressure, fam.

Body-hugging space suits are also now a thing so we don't have the bulky space suits of the 60's. Those are like the old diving suits of the 30's. Bulky and bad where the new ones are compressive and slim.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on September 29, 2016, 12:16:02 am
Internal pressure is part of why exposure to vacuum is damaging, but I was assuming the presence of a compression suit, that won't help when the water in your lungs and mouth and on your eyes starts to boil, doesn't sound fun. I mean, obviously it isn't the same as having 373 K water dumped on you, but definitely not something I want to try either way.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on September 29, 2016, 01:30:02 am
Internal pressure is part of why exposure to vacuum is damaging, but I was assuming the presence of a compression suit, that won't help when the water in your lungs and mouth and on your eyes starts to boil, doesn't sound fun. I mean, obviously it isn't the same as having 373 K water dumped on you, but definitely not something I want to try either way.

Why are you not assuming a hard helmet? I mean, we do still need to breathe and the Martian atmosphere isn't, you know, breatheable. The helmet will be pressurized, but we don't have to rely on clumsy "astronaut" suits any more.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Mech#4 on September 29, 2016, 01:57:53 am
I remember this picture from about 2 years ago which was of newer space suits. They were all curved and with a dome helmet or something. I think they were concept designs of suits for a mars environment. They had that sci-fi look to them rather than a realistic look, like when concept goes a bit beyond practicality.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on September 29, 2016, 02:09:07 am
Internal pressure is part of why exposure to vacuum is damaging, but I was assuming the presence of a compression suit, that won't help when the water in your lungs and mouth and on your eyes starts to boil, doesn't sound fun. I mean, obviously it isn't the same as having 373 K water dumped on you, but definitely not something I want to try either way.

Why are you not assuming a hard helmet? I mean, we do still need to breathe and the Martian atmosphere isn't, you know, breatheable. The helmet will be pressurized, but we don't have to rely on clumsy "astronaut" suits any more.
I was pointing out that there isn't a really significant difference between the equipment needed to survive on the Moon and that needed on Mars. Radiation protection is a bit less critical, but from a quick check it looks like you could stay under the suggested upper limits on exposure for astronauts if you stayed there for ~60 years, assuming you spend no more than about an hour a day on the surface (http://www.mars-one.com/faq/health-and-ethics/how-much-radiation-will-the-settlers-be-exposed-to) of course.

Living on Mars implies something different from living in Mars, and in the end is little different from living in a Moon base, except the vastly higher energy requirements, travel time, and vastly reduced support options. We could try to mount a rescue to a lunar base.

"Hey uh, Earth, it's Hellas Base, yeah, we got a problem here, oh, you can? Great, when can we... oh, three months? Ok, we'll see what we can do here."
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: andrea on September 29, 2016, 03:37:35 am
That ITS spaceship seems like a decent space station. If it is meant to hold 100 people for 3+ months, it surely has enough space for a small crew and tons of equipment. Tons of equipment which it can bring on the same launch, since it has a ridiculous payload capacity( could lift the ISS, if you include the spaceship itself in the payload, which is fair in this case). In fact it probably is volume constrained more than weight. It also has a docking port and orbit keeping thrusters built in (well, the engine may be a bit overpowered for orbit keeping)

Perhaps Elon can get some funding by renting or selling orbital real estate to nations/citizens who want a place in space but don't want to pay 100 b for another ISS.
Of course much of the cost saving is lost since they can't reause the spaceship if the spaceship itself is the payload. But the economics may still work.

If you run in volume problems, perhaps you could even try to use the fuel tanks. Methane and oxygen do not leave toxic stuff on the inside, right?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on September 29, 2016, 06:51:03 am
Making a proof of concept on the moon would be helpful, at least so I think. While the conditions are indeed different to that of Mars, they aren't quite that much. Constructions vehicles and techniques could be put to a test.

Also, this would allow the studies of reduced gravity on humans, that so far have been in either 1g or 0g, nothing in between for any extended period of time. If one wish to have one million people on Mars to realize a generation latter that, for say something, humans die in a couple decades, or pregnancy failures rise a 90% in reduced gravity would be a big "ups, my bad" in anyone's book.

Of course I'm not saying that is what would happen, perhaps it could even be beneficial for us, but the point is no one knows for sure. A moon base where, say, a 5 or 10 years study can be carried out could help to clear out if reduced gravity has any serious health issues for humans on the long run, just as 0 gravity has already proven to have.

It takes days to reach the moon, not hours.
Apollo 11 reached lunar orbit after only 51 hours and 49 minutes. Yes, that's a little over two days, but can still be measured comfortably in hours.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on September 29, 2016, 06:58:30 am
What's the point of going to Mars over going to the Moon/orbit? That's the real reason.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: x2yzh9 on September 29, 2016, 07:14:41 am
On the note of spacesuits;

I think that if we are to go on with colonizing space and such we will(eventually) have to design self adaptive exosuits and breathers. Of course, depending on the planet you may have to tinker or toy with it here and there, but if we can implement a 'smart suit'(sounds silly, right?) then I believe a lot of the costs can be taken away. For instance, terraforming mars in a logical and orderly pattern would eventually lead to certain geological areas being more or less habitable than the others in comparison. Therefore, we can't just do a 'winner takes all' approach when it comes to mars because then we'll just have to spend more and more money on spacesuits. That's my problem, and it's not even a problem if it can be addressed by a money thing-

Which leads me to the moon. If we setup hydrogen and helium stations on the moon, in the future(near-future really) we can use that to export to the earth for energy needs. However, we will undoubtedly need to lay in motion plans to not over-mine the place, as we've done so many times on earth. the moon is much smaller.

So, if we setup those mining facilities, use a mag-rail launcher to get it into moon low orbit, we could ferry those resources(on how to properly systemize that process I don't know as of yet) to the ISS or earth. Then, there, sell it to fusion power planets and profit. Also, save some for spaceships.

After that, you're really changing the game imho by doing these things. This would help cash generation, and this would also help pay for the repeated trips to and fro from mars. And more on terraforming;

If you could get proper satellites in place to map out mars completely as we've done with earth, you could then understand the atmosphere composition in certain places. If you could get that on a hologram and monitor it consistently, one could use that to relay to ground teams and what, when, where, and how to withstand the weathering storm, or(lol), create one. It'd basically be a lot of storms and such, growing more and more violent until and equilibrium point is reached where upon that starts to slow down and you can focus on optimizing the atmosphere.

that's my input for today.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on September 29, 2016, 07:45:41 am
What's the point of going to Mars over going to the Moon/orbit? That's the real reason.
Mars have somewhat better conditions than the moon, also, in the long, long, very long run might be terraformable, and there might be some resources that aren't in the moon. Also if farther from Earth which is an advantage somewhat if we want to have a backup civilization.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on September 29, 2016, 08:02:03 am
Perhaps Elon can get some funding by renting or selling orbital real estate to nations/citizens who want a place in space but don't want to pay 100 b for another ISS.

That's the real dream.  You build real estate.  When you build real estate you are creating both demand for more orbital construction and lowering the costs of more orbital construction due to economies of scale of your larger orbital settlement.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gigaz on September 29, 2016, 08:26:32 am
What's the point of going to Mars over going to the Moon/orbit? That's the real reason.
Mars have somewhat better conditions than the moon, also, in the long, long, very long run might be terraformable, and there might be some resources that aren't in the moon. Also if farther from Earth which is an advantage somewhat if we want to have a backup civilization.

Advantages of the moon, on the other hand:
You can return to Earth within a few days.
You can communicate with Earth almost in real time.
You can reach space much easier and send huge amounts of material into Earth orbit.
Energy production from solar cells is not threatened by sand storms.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on September 29, 2016, 09:07:55 am
And low gravity.  Launch into orbit without rockets!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on September 29, 2016, 09:17:22 am
With a 1.3 second delay from the Moon to Earth it's possible we could end up using AI to predict what you're saying - sort of like predictive text, and fake real-time comms.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on September 29, 2016, 09:22:18 am
What's the point of going to Mars over going to the Moon/orbit? That's the real reason.
Mars have somewhat better conditions than the moon, also, in the long, long, very long run might be terraformable, and there might be some resources that aren't in the moon. Also if farther from Earth which is an advantage somewhat if we want to have a backup civilization.

Advantages of the moon, on the other hand:
You can return to Earth within a few days.
You can communicate with Earth almost in real time.
You can reach space much easier and send huge amounts of material into Earth orbit.
Energy production from solar cells is not threatened by sand storms.
Yes, nothing it haven't been already said (some points even myself a few posts ago), however the goal is to make mankind an interplanetary species. The moon, while closer and having a lot of perks over Mars, shouldn't be the ultimate goal. I think however it should be the start.

On the last point however, I quote "the long lunar nights (354 hours long) would means that reliance on solar power would be impeded in any location other than the polar regions"
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on September 29, 2016, 09:25:37 am
Why does it matter that much if the rock you're spreading mankind to orbit the sun or Earth?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: x2yzh9 on September 29, 2016, 09:36:52 am
Well here are my concerns after I've thought about it today.

   The moon orbits us and controls the tidal waves among other things AFAIK. Now, I do however see a potential issue with using that for resources and putting people there as it could in turn disrupt the earth's ecosystem
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on September 29, 2016, 09:45:25 am
Why does it matter that much if the rock you're spreading mankind to orbit the sun or Earth?
If I were a chemist working with dangerous chemicals, would you like to live right next to me or a few blocks away? Or would you rather live near or far from an atomic power plant? Basically the same reason of why mission control is far away from the lift off platform.

In case of a really massive meteorite strike or some really cataclysmic event (something really farfetched but not entirely impossible) a moon colony could be compromised, while a martian one could keep going (in theory) unaffected. Also, again, mars might potentially be terraformable, while the moon is not, at least for the foreseeable future.

Well here are my concerns after I've thought about it today.

   The moon orbits us and controls the tidal waves among other things AFAIK. Now, I do however see a potential issue with using that for resources and putting people there as it could in turn disrupt the earth's ecosystem
The amount of material to be mined must be really colossal in order to make a dent on the forces the moon have over earth and it's ecosystem. We are talking about absurdly huge amounts of material, the sort of, if we are able to mine it, then we are probably already interstellar species or something. This would be a really good question for Randall Munroe what if. (http://what-if.xkcd.com/)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on September 29, 2016, 09:48:37 am
If I were a chemist working with dangerous chemicals, would you like to live right next to me or a few blocks away?

If a chemist were working with dangerous chemicals in Canada would you rather live in California or India?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on September 29, 2016, 09:50:40 am
If I were a chemist working with dangerous chemicals, would you like to live right next to me or a few blocks away?

If a chemist were working with dangerous chemicals in Canada would you rather live in California or India?
Obviously it was an hyperbole and not correctly scaled.  ::)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: DJ on September 29, 2016, 10:21:24 am
Also, again, mars might potentially be terraformable, while the moon is not, at least for the foreseeable future.
Wouldn't solar wind just blow away any atmosphere faster than you can create it? You kinda need a planetary magnetic field for proper terraforming AFAIK. Sure, the process of losing atmosphere is fairly slow, but how quickly can you replenish it? Does Mars even have enough reasonably accessible atmospheric elements, or would you need to bring in ice asteroids? If you need those, where do you get them, Kuiper belt? How much would that cost?

Also, I think it's rather silly of Space X to work on passenger ships first instead of cargo ships. You'll need to deliver a LOT of cargo to Mars before you can expect people to survive there for the ~26 months between resupplies.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on September 29, 2016, 10:36:55 am
If you can make passenger ships, you can make cargo ships.

And I believe there were comments last page regarding the solar wind.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: andrea on September 29, 2016, 10:38:17 am
If you can create a planetary atmosphere in a reasonable quantity of time, lack of magnetic field should not be an huge concern, im terms of atmospheric stripping. those are things that happen on larger time scales, not centuries. As far as I know.

And SpaceX is planning more than one version of the spaceship. Tanker and passenger, so I can see them building a dedicated cargo ship as well. It is not like it requires any particular designing. Just skip the life support and extend the cargo bay all the way to the tip.

But even without a separate design, the passenger ship can transport a lot of weight and if you are willing to use passenger space ( for the first few missions, for example) it can carry even more.

Basically, they don't need to build a brand new vehicle if they want cargo: what they plan already fits the role well.

edit:
If you can make passenger ships, you can make cargo ships.

yes, passenger ships are cargo ships with tons of complex machines and supplies inside. if you can make those, cargo is just a matter of removing.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: DJ on September 29, 2016, 10:44:27 am
If you can create a planetary atmosphere in a reasonable quantity of time, lack of magnetic field should not be an huge concern, im terms of atmospheric stripping.
That's a big if. An atmosphere would take a LOT of gas to make, how much infrastructure would you need to get that gas in a reasonable timeframe and how much would this cost?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on September 29, 2016, 10:46:01 am
Also, again, mars might potentially be terraformable, while the moon is not, at least for the foreseeable future.
Wouldn't solar wind just blow away any atmosphere faster than you can create it?
I think the estimates range around a few ten thousand up to some million years of solar wind erosion to strip away the atmosphere.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: andrea on September 29, 2016, 10:59:09 am
If you can create a planetary atmosphere in a reasonable quantity of time, lack of magnetic field should not be an huge concern, im terms of atmospheric stripping.
That's a big if. An atmosphere would take a LOT of gas to make, how much infrastructure would you need to get that gas in a reasonable timeframe and how much would this cost?
Indeed, terraforming is a tremendous effort which requires moving incredible quantities of mass.
What I was trying to say is that lack of magnetic field does not impact much terraforming plans, because if you can feasibly terraform a planet, you are greatly outpacing loss of atmosphere by solar wind anyway.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: DJ on September 29, 2016, 11:04:11 am
What is feasible terraforming, though? I sort of remember some estimates that it would take tens of thousands of years to gather all that mass, and at that rate solar wind losses can significantly increase the time it takes to make the atmosphere. IIRC the main issue was that there's simply not enough mass in all the Martian ice combined so much of the atmosphere would have to be imported. Or is there something in the martian rocks that can be turned into an acceptable gas for the bulk of the atmosphere?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on September 29, 2016, 11:42:05 am
Solar wind losses are a geological-scale issue. We can start with manufacturing an atmosphere now and worry about topping it off every 20,000 years or so later.

As for actually getting the atmosphere there, options exist. I personally favor polar asteroid bombardment, although asteroid winters are a bit of a problem.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: x2yzh9 on September 29, 2016, 12:03:47 pm
Solar wind losses are a geological-scale issue. We can start with manufacturing an atmosphere now and worry about topping it off every 20,000 years or so later.

As for actually getting the atmosphere there, options exist. I personally favor polar asteroid bombardment, although asteroid winters are a bit of a problem.
well I would like the idea as well but only if there are failsafe planetside to deal with such effects
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on September 29, 2016, 12:09:39 pm
What on mars would such a failsafe even be?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on September 29, 2016, 12:13:55 pm
I recall something about releasing gases from martian soil but can't really remember it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: x2yzh9 on September 29, 2016, 12:27:46 pm
What on mars would such a failsafe even be?
I'm not sure, but I can postulate.

   If say you are bombarding it from the poles, then you need certain stations along the equator, possibly branching towards the poles. These series of pipelines and stations could be controlled from orbit along longitudes and latitudes. Then, before bombarding it, fill these stations with gas mixtures and coordinate the variables (meaning the geographical spots on Mars where the stations are placed, in real time.) And properly release them if and or when the asteroid winter(s) happen, there is equilibrium
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on September 29, 2016, 01:50:06 pm
I think the rate at which mars loses atmosphere is about 3100 tonnes per year.

This sounds catastrophic and scary, but remember that industry puts out something like 7-20 gigatonnes of CO2 per year on earth, and we aren't trying to terraform the planet.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on September 29, 2016, 01:52:41 pm
If only we had portal guns, we could just open entrances to the Martian atmosphere inside every car engine and coal furnace.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 29, 2016, 02:13:35 pm
On the last point however, I quote "the long lunar nights (354 hours long) would means that reliance on solar power would be impeded in any location other than the polar regions"
Barring such special locations, solar everywhere upon a spinning rock is going to be roughly 50% on, 50% off, give or take seasonal skews and advantageous/disadvantageous elevations.

Just factor in more (or better) storage and perhaps more resilient 'dark cycle' rationing/reserve-budgeting as well. It'd beba while before sun-up if things go wrong, but things can go wrong at any time, so it's all part of the design-time planning.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on September 29, 2016, 02:40:57 pm
I'll go ahead and say that one of the first megaprojects on another body in the solar system will be setting up solar arrays at the south pole of the Moon. You can set things up to recieve sunlight 100% of the time there, once it is collected you can store and transfer it elsewhere across the surface to supplement local night, you can use it to work on extraction of helium, and given how much of the Moon apparently formed from volatile upper Earth materials there should be a ton of useful gunk inside it, water plus various organic compounds mixed.

If only we had portal guns, we could just open entrances to the Martian atmosphere inside every car engine and coal furnace.
Now you're thinking with your Johnson! Though given the massive pressure differential you could extract useful work just from shunting gas over there, of course setting up an engine using portal ring seals or portal exhausts while having portal technology is fairly absurd anyways.
Well here are my concerns after I've thought about it today.

   The moon orbits us and controls the tidal waves among other things AFAIK. Now, I do however see a potential issue with using that for resources and putting people there as it could in turn disrupt the earth's ecosystem
We would have to spend more money than I think has ever been spent in all of human history to move enough material to alter the orbit enough to matter here.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: DJ on September 30, 2016, 02:22:28 am
I think the rate at which mars loses atmosphere is about 3100 tonnes per year.

This sounds catastrophic and scary, but remember that industry puts out something like 7-20 gigatonnes of CO2 per year on earth, and we aren't trying to terraform the planet.
Yeah, but we have a lot of hydrocarbons right here on Earth. Not so much on Mars. And an atmosphere that's mostly CO2 isn't exactly a livable planet. We'll have to bring in asteroids for water, and that's gonna be extremely slow.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on September 30, 2016, 03:10:40 am
I never said terraforming was trivial, only that any serious attempt isn't going to have to worry about solar ablation for centuries or millennia
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on September 30, 2016, 03:18:59 am
Probably billions of years. The Martian atmosphere (http://nssdc.gsfc.nasa.gov/planetary/factsheet/marsfact.html) (source: NASA) weighs 2.5 x 1016 kg. At 3100 tonnes a year, it would last 8 billion years. Sure, if we add more it will lose more, but probably not fast enough to make much of a difference before the Sun dies. Also, crashing some asteroids into Mars (taking care to angle and speed them so that they don't affect the orbit) would bulk up Mars, slowing losses.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on September 30, 2016, 03:47:29 am
It feels like the scales being discussed here aren't being appreciated fully.

Mars has about 2.5x1016 kg of atmosphere, 96% of it being CO2. Earth has about 5.1x1018 kg of atmosphere, 0.04% of it being CO2. Mars loses 3100 tonnes per year. We contribute closer to 30 gigatonnes per year here, not the 7~20 value quoted above. Each year plant decay, wildfires, and so forth release ~440 gigatonnes, and new growth soaks up ~450 gigatonnes. Just for fun, Venus has ~4.6x1020 kg of CO2.

~24,000,000,000,000,000 kg Mars CO2
~3,100,000 kg Mars CO2 loss per year to solar wind
~720,000,000,000,000 kg Earth CO2
~30,000,000,000,000 kg Human CO2 per year
~440,000,000,000,000 kg Decay/Wildfire CO2 added per year
~450,000,000,000,000 kg Growth CO2 removed per year
~46,000,000,000,000,000,000 kg Venus CO2

These are big numbers, well out of the ranges we usually deal with on an intuitive level, but there is something we can relate too more easily: if we busted out portal guns and shot all the CO2 in our atmosphere over to Mars, we'd increase the mass around 3% and need to borrow about 30 times as much from Venus to double the mass of the Martian atmosphere, the Veneran atmosphere probably wouldn't even notice. Naturally we'd want some O2 and N2 and such to try and get it closer to something we could survive in, twice the amount of atmosphere on Mars still wouldn't put it anywhere near the survivable-without-a-spacesuit range.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on September 30, 2016, 04:44:40 am
Let's assume the goal is an Earth-pressure atmosphere, with is 100 times the current one. Looking up CO2 asphyxiation (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hypercapnia), it looks like 1% atmospheric CO2 would be the operational limit for humans, so going above what's already on Mars makes little sense if we can't breath it. But we could theoretically jet some off Venus to Mars, to process it into the 20% O2 we need. The amount would be 20x the current Martian atmosphere, so 5.0 x 1017, or 1/1000 of the Venusian amount.

I was thinking of Martian soil nitrates (http://www.airspacemag.com/daily-planet/mystery-solved-mars-has-nitrates-180954769/?no-ist) as a possible Nitrogen source. Wind-blown sediments across the surface of Mars seem to be 0.1 - 1.0 composed of nitrates. The question is how much total is there?

BTW, you messed up the CO2 numbers for the three planets there. On Mars, It makes up ~95% of the 2.5 x 1016. You only had 15 zeros. For Earth, CO2 makes up 0.04% of 5.15x1018 which is 2.0x1015, not 7.2x1013 and would make up 10% of the Mars atmosphere, not 3%, and you missed a zero on Venus, too.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: DJ on September 30, 2016, 06:00:16 am
Yeah, local nitrates are a very nice thing, but processing them all would take a long ass time. My point is that any terraforming attempt on Mars would take thousands of years, possibly tens of thousands. By that time we should have developed interstellar travel which would give us access to planets a lot better for terraforming than Mars. That, and it's too slow of a process to include in any short and medium term plans, so just waving off colonization problems with "we'll terraform it" isn't very productive. We need plans for development of large enclosed cities there with full life support and local food production. And AFAIK we don't have the technology for that stuff just yet, so proper colonization is a no go.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on September 30, 2016, 06:10:51 am
Well sure, if you're willing to travel for 16 years to reach the nearest star.

Half light speed is the limit according to research (due to impacting hydrogen atoms are extreme speeds), probably 1/4 light speed taking into account accel and decel, giving 16 years for a trip to Proxima Centauri. That also assumes there will be places within reach which are cheaper to terraform than Mars is, taking into account the additional logistics of interstellar flight.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: DJ on September 30, 2016, 06:29:37 am
We're talking about tens of thousand of years, though, that's been enough to get from stone spears to interplanetary travel. I'm wagering it'll be enough to go from interplanetary to interstellar, probably by circumventing speed of light rather than breaking it (AFAIK there's already some proposed "warp" drives that aren't theoretically impossible).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on September 30, 2016, 07:56:16 am
Let's assume the goal is an Earth-pressure atmosphere, with is 100 times the current one. Looking up CO2 asphyxiation (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hypercapnia), it looks like 1% atmospheric CO2 would be the operational limit for humans, so going above what's already on Mars makes little sense if we can't breath it. But we could theoretically jet some off Venus to Mars, to process it into the 20% O2 we need. The amount would be 20x the current Martian atmosphere, so 5.0 x 1017, or 1/1000 of the Venusian amount.

I was thinking of Martian soil nitrates (http://www.airspacemag.com/daily-planet/mystery-solved-mars-has-nitrates-180954769/?no-ist) as a possible Nitrogen source. Wind-blown sediments across the surface of Mars seem to be 0.1 - 1.0 composed of nitrates. The question is how much total is there?

BTW, you messed up the CO2 numbers for the three planets there. On Mars, It makes up ~95% of the 2.5 x 1016. You only had 15 zeros. For Earth, CO2 makes up 0.04% of 5.15x1018 which is 2.0x1015, not 7.2x1013 and would make up 10% of the Mars atmosphere, not 3%, and you missed a zero on Venus, too.
Whoops, was converting a couple of the values from tonnes and others were volume based rather than mass based values so I had to track down the mass from various locations and apparently didn't follow the link trails far enough, as one of them was actually in grams (http://kirschner.med.harvard.edu/files/bionumbers/Carbon%20pools%20in%20the%20major%20resevoirs%20on%20Earth.pdf), and I think it should have been 7.2x1014 kg as it was converting from 720x1015 g, but I had a terminal I was using as a scratchpad to keep track of the values so I probably swapped a couple of the zero sections around at some point when swapping them into the calculator and such.

Still huge damn numbers, but yeah, converting CO2 to O2 in-situ and extracting N2 was indeed the idea.

We could probably get by with less than 1 bar, adapting to mountainous terrain is a thing we can do pretty well, but we're still talking about needing a huge amount of gases added to the wispy atmosphere present before we would reach a point that the mixture would be more dangerous than the pressure or lack thereof.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: x2yzh9 on September 30, 2016, 08:12:50 am
So, quick, honest question here then: Wouldn't Olympus Mons(sounds cheesy, I know) or a similarly high mountain on mars be the first acceptable spot for a colony?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: DJ on September 30, 2016, 08:20:20 am
The higher you go the thinner the atmosphere, so I think you'd actually want to aim for the lowest surface point that's reasonably close to polar ice.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: JoshuaFH on September 30, 2016, 08:29:08 am
Terraforming a completely uninhabitable planet is probably the least useful expenditure of Humanity's resources. It'd be much more efficient to borrow from scifi and instead just build very large, orbiting colonies. Think about it, what's a better use of effort: trying to convert a huge, polluted garbage heap into a livable space, or just building a new home where we can dictate the conditions as precisely as we need to?

And granted our robotics advances sufficiently, those barren planets can still be useful in being huge, unmanned mining operations, providing cheaper materials for our colonies since transferring materials off of a smaller planet (or moon) needs significantly less power due to the smaller gravity well.

And granted our architecture advances sufficiently, transferring materials off of smaller planets won't even need much fuel, we'd just build a space elevator to accommodate each mining operation as it dismantles each planet for materials.

So the matter of interstellar travel isn't one of trying to flip every big rock into a two-bit bastard Earth, but rather making the best use of existing resources to build a long string of hobo houses  that gradually stretch into deep space. That's how I see the colonization of outer space being economical.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on September 30, 2016, 08:36:31 am
So, quick, honest question here then: Wouldn't Olympus Mons(sounds cheesy, I know) or a similarly high mountain on mars be the first acceptable spot for a colony?

Well the advantage is that the martian atmosphere is extremely thing there so it would be easier to launch off the planet.  Not like super easy but easier.  The downsides I can think of is that you cant use parachutes or air-braking to land there and it's not going to be convenient to any resources you need.

A decent sized mars colony might build a spaceport on Olympus Mons but I dont think it would be where you would want the first settlement.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: x2yzh9 on September 30, 2016, 08:39:54 am
Terraforming a completely uninhabitable planet is probably the least useful expenditure of Humanity's resources. It'd be much more efficient to borrow from scifi and instead just build very large, orbiting colonies. Think about it, what's a better use of effort: trying to convert a huge, polluted garbage heap into a livable space, or just building a new home where we can dictate the conditions as precisely as we need to?

And granted our robotics advances sufficiently, those barren planets can still be useful in being huge, unmanned mining operations, providing cheaper materials for our colonies since transferring materials off of a smaller planet (or moon) needs significantly less power due to the smaller gravity well.

And granted our architecture advances sufficiently, transferring materials off of smaller planets won't even need much fuel, we'd just build a space elevator to accommodate each mining operation as it dismantles each planet for materials.

So the matter of interstellar travel isn't one of trying to flip every big rock into a two-bit bastard Earth, but rather making the best use of existing resources to build a long string of hobo houses  that gradually stretch into deep space. That's how I see the colonization of outer space being economical.
Well, I can actually agree with this point. You see, I talked long ago about it in a talk session with someone and I basically held the belief that as millions and billions of years go on old stars will die and new ones will form, hence the hobo/nomad kind of thing-But that would be millions and billions of years from now. so on that note, I got ninja'd.
So, quick, honest question here then: Wouldn't Olympus Mons(sounds cheesy, I know) or a similarly high mountain on mars be the first acceptable spot for a colony?

Well the advantage is that the martian atmosphere is extremely thing there so it would be easier to launch off the planet.  Not like super easy but easier.  The downsides I can think of is that you cant use parachutes or air-braking to land there and it's not going to be convenient to any resources you need.

A decent sized mars colony might build a spaceport on Olympus Mons but I dont think it would be where you would want the first settlement.
That actually sounds like a decent idea, a spaceport/space-elevator on olympus mons with a link to outer-lying colonies would be something that stimulates my thought process. That would be useful in a sense of the word, a compromise so to say.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gigaz on September 30, 2016, 08:56:07 am
You don't even need to go to Olympus Mons for a space elevator. The gravity is weak enough to have a Kevlar rope from the ground to the stationary orbit. Phobos is an issue, though.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on September 30, 2016, 09:38:39 am
Olympus Mons would bend good place to rest out a space elevator.

Does mare have a geostationary orbit?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on September 30, 2016, 09:45:07 am
You don't even need to go to Olympus Mons for a space elevator. The gravity is weak enough to have a Kevlar rope from the ground to the stationary orbit. Phobos is an issue, though.

Maybe a space elevator is a long term solution but you are probably gonna want launches before then.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on September 30, 2016, 09:53:35 am
There's a reason I said "Hellas base" in the hypothetical comparing a rescue mounted to the Moon and one to Mars, a couple of days to hopefully help survivors vs a couple of months to collect bodies? Self-sufficiency that far away sounds like an obvious requirement, but it's more likely that we'll pre-load the situation with supplies beforehand and try to maintain regular drops, as any colony would be a long way from getting by on their own.

Plunking one down in Hellas rather than up higher gives you a bit more atmosphere to work with, 12.4 mbar vs the 6.1 mbar at the average altitude.

As for an elevator, Olympus Mons isn't the right target: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pavonis_Mons sits across the equator.

You know what they say about Martian shield volcanos, when they sit around the geographical vicinity, they sit around the geographical vicinity.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on September 30, 2016, 10:30:02 am
Why would you even put an elevator on a mountain at all?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 30, 2016, 10:58:00 am
Olympus Mons would bend good place to rest out a space elevator.

Does mare have a geostationary orbit?
No, but Mars has an areostationary orbit, which is what you mean...  ;)

(11,000 miles high; c.f. 22,000 miles for GEO)

Phobos (3,700 miles) could cause problems. Or maybe be actually boosted up as part of the solution. Diemos (14,000) might be disruptive to the counterweight, but if you're shoving one around, why not the other?   :D
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on September 30, 2016, 11:07:08 am
Why would you even put an elevator on a mountain at all?
It's a convenient spot for one, but you'd probably want at least two others bracketing Hellas, which has the higher local pressure, approaching the triple point of water, and as a relic of the Late Heavy Bombardment probably has all sorts of interesting goodies underneath it to justify it as an obvious site for a major colony. There's a long tradition of mining craters, why stop now?

Moving and breaking apart Phobos and Diemos to serve as counterweights and local materials if not just dropping them to try and get some volatiles out of the polar caps seem doable.

Though, none of this is easier than floating aerostats above Venus, so hey, if you're gonna throw time and funding at Mars why not get the spectacle of deorbiting a moon in there for good measure!

Worth remembering, the Tharsis Montes (http://www.space4case.inhetweb.nl/mmw/media/mars2005/tharsisvolcanoes_20050906_40_-10_dust_25final1_1024.jpg) are huge shield volcanos sitting on a huge bulge on the far side from Hellas Planitia, and the Himalayas would be foothills by comparison. Pavonis in the middle there, Olympus off to the left, Valles Marineris visible to the right
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 30, 2016, 02:41:27 pm
What you're saying is that we should fire projectiles at the planet, add a lot of extra heat to the system and send machines that would encourage the spread of some kind of weed (probably red) and wipe out any indiginous organisms as we go (assuming we can't farm them for liquids)..?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: x2yzh9 on September 30, 2016, 05:02:27 pm
Let's assume the goal is an Earth-pressure atmosphere, with is 100 times the current one. Looking up CO2 asphyxiation (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hypercapnia), it looks like 1% atmospheric CO2 would be the operational limit for humans, so going above what's already on Mars makes little sense if we can't breath it. But we could theoretically jet some off Venus to Mars, to process it into the 20% O2 we need. The amount would be 20x the current Martian atmosphere, so 5.0 x 1017, or 1/1000 of the Venusian amount.
Keep saying, an easier way to do it rather than shipping atmosphere would e to 'aerobrake' asteroids. They vapourise in atmosphere releasing various volatiles, you don't get massive craters, and it's MUCH cheaper and easier for the same amount of atmosphere.

The first thing we'd need to deal with on Mars is that the land's coated in perchlorates. It's toxic, and it would take a LONG time to clear up. Maybe develop bacteria, fungus, algae or something to do it, but it would still take a good number of centuries, likely.
Actually there was someone who proposed the same thing-I forget where the article is, but to surmise it I would say it was basically 'Bio-engineered fungus' that would literally spread so quickly and adapt to the martian surface that it would suck out nearly all the CO2 you need and replace it with oxygen within a course of 100 years give or take.

So, that was really promising, the only possible downside would be say, viruses spawned from it. It would require constant monitoring on a massive level however to catch viruses as they go into the ecosystem and well, basically create life and such. I mean, if you're going to have a terraformed mars, you're going to likely have to watch out for a couple(or many more) viruses and bacteria.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 30, 2016, 06:19:25 pm
What you're saying is that we should fire projectiles at the planet, add a lot of extra heat to the system and send machines that would encourage the spread of some kind of weed (probably red) and wipe out any indiginous organisms as we go (assuming we can't farm them for liquids)..?
Assuming there ARE indigenous lifeforms.
And we don't need machines.
(Yes we do! Giant three-legged machnes with sirens on them...  Have I labourd my point enough yet?  ;))
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: JoshuaFH on September 30, 2016, 09:41:31 pm
Let's assume the goal is an Earth-pressure atmosphere, with is 100 times the current one. Looking up CO2 asphyxiation (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hypercapnia), it looks like 1% atmospheric CO2 would be the operational limit for humans, so going above what's already on Mars makes little sense if we can't breath it. But we could theoretically jet some off Venus to Mars, to process it into the 20% O2 we need. The amount would be 20x the current Martian atmosphere, so 5.0 x 1017, or 1/1000 of the Venusian amount.
Keep saying, an easier way to do it rather than shipping atmosphere would e to 'aerobrake' asteroids. They vapourise in atmosphere releasing various volatiles, you don't get massive craters, and it's MUCH cheaper and easier for the same amount of atmosphere.

The first thing we'd need to deal with on Mars is that the land's coated in perchlorates. It's toxic, and it would take a LONG time to clear up. Maybe develop bacteria, fungus, algae or something to do it, but it would still take a good number of centuries, likely.
Actually there was someone who proposed the same thing-I forget where the article is, but to surmise it I would say it was basically 'Bio-engineered fungus' that would literally spread so quickly and adapt to the martian surface that it would suck out nearly all the CO2 you need and replace it with oxygen within a course of 100 years give or take.

So, that was really promising, the only possible downside would be say, viruses spawned from it. It would require constant monitoring on a massive level however to catch viruses as they go into the ecosystem and well, basically create life and such. I mean, if you're going to have a terraformed mars, you're going to likely have to watch out for a couple(or many more) viruses and bacteria.

Not an expert speaking: The only thing worrying about entrusting microorganisms to terraforming is that they can run wild, and they can mutate. Oxygen in high concentration is actually toxic to humans, and if you build a perfect life-form that makes oxygen like crazy, telling it when to stop make be the hardest part; presuming we don't perfect bio-engineering to the point where we can program them to only make oxygen up to an ideal saturation.

And if we CAN'T order them or program them to stop, then obviously we'd have to kill them once they reach their goal. The best and most efficient way would be to introduce a 'perfect predator' organism that feeds off of the first ones, and then let them run wild as they gobble up all the oxygen producing organisms. Now, if the first ones can mutate AT ALL, we run the risk of them adapting some defense to the predator, and then they'd become ecologically balanced at some point; OR they'd defeat the predator and continue going wild.

But so long as we get an ideal saturation point, and the planet isn't oversaturated to the point of toxicity, or saturated to the point where the planet is a big fire cracker that could potentially burst into flames, which is what happened to Earth at one point and is in fact one of largest mass extinction events in our history.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on September 30, 2016, 09:47:41 pm
A quick read suggests oxygen toxicity only exists at different pressures, and it's also irreverent for the listed reason of going up in flames long before then.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on September 30, 2016, 10:21:53 pm
Happy little irreverent O2 molecules dancing around, one of them bumps into a rock, the rest turn and look in horror as it starts to react.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: SirQuiamus on October 01, 2016, 06:53:03 am
My takeaway from Musk's latest announcement is that he's lost his last shreds of sanity and credibility, and is well on his way to becoming a crazed hermit like Howard Hughes. I'm really looking forward to the next great firework display, provided that no people get hurt in it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Radio Controlled on October 01, 2016, 08:12:14 am
My takeaway from Musk's latest announcement is that he's lost his last shreds of sanity and credibility, and is well on his way to becoming a crazed hermit like Howard Hughes. I'm really looking forward to the next great firework display, provided that no people get hurt in it.

Wait, so you want his rockets to blow up and his projects to fail?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: SirQuiamus on October 01, 2016, 09:22:52 am
My takeaway from Musk's latest announcement is that he's lost his last shreds of sanity and credibility, and is well on his way to becoming a crazed hermit like Howard Hughes. I'm really looking forward to the next great firework display, provided that no people get hurt in it.

Wait, so you want his rockets to blow up and his projects to fail?
That's a bit like asking whether I want a certain presidential candidate to fail in his daring attempt to MAGA. Trump says he's going to alter reality to make it more favorable to white middle-class Americans, Musk says he's going to stuff a hundred people in a tin can and send them on (what amounts to) a one-way suicide mission to Mars, all funded by "kickstarter, profit, and underpants," (https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2016/sep/27/elon-musk-spacex-mars-colony) according to himself. I'll grant that SpaceX may still contribute to stuff like re-supplying the ISS, but this Mars twaddle is a clear sign that Musk has finally gone off the deep deep end, and is about to crash his company in a blaze of glory.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: andrea on October 01, 2016, 09:38:00 am
If this makes Musk crazy, then he has been crazy for a long time, since this has been his stated goal for many years. It is not a recent thing.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on October 01, 2016, 10:05:29 am
Yeah, I mean, I'm pretty hard on the "Mars is a stupid goal" side, because it's just a stupid target, but I don't think Musk is going to Spruce Goose this, and stupid goal or not we'll get cheaper superlift capacity.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on October 01, 2016, 10:06:00 am
Yeah I don't think he's going the Howard Hughes way either. It's far more complex than putting people in a tin can on a one way trip and it certainly wouldn't start like that. I think he's simply pushing mankind in the rigth direction to expand our limits.
I would point the rigth steps would be bigger orbitals stations first, then the moon and then mars. But meh, "aim higher" or shoot for the stars or whatever.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on October 01, 2016, 11:17:40 am
My hope is that before the Mars stuff fizzles out we wind up with an established heavy lift capacity that is completely unconnected to the whims of a bunch of old shitbags in DC or Moscow or Beijing.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: x2yzh9 on October 01, 2016, 06:20:36 pm
Okay, so, was playing a game today and(yes, I play games more than I read books. I should do the opposite, yes, but this is where I learn things from! :) ) I thought about string theory and methods
of possible warp travel, however far off they may be.

In the game stellaris you are given FTL technology off the bat. I'm playing with a mod where you have to actually research it before hand. I eventually am now at this moment researching hyperlane theory, but no more about the game and more about the idea:

String theory is a popular theory that everything in the universe is woven or inter-woven together. Following this theory, if you will, I refer to a verse I heard from one of my elder relatives;Basically,
"the stars sing to each-other". If you look at a popular Let's play of aurora on Something Awful(Yes, I used to be a goon but I got banned a long time ago) there was basically the idea that as they spread out, humanity figured out that stars, and even celestial objects, could communicate by some sort of consciousness. Now, follow me if you will:If the stars sing to each other, and IF string theory is true, then perhaps we could figure out how to go about FTL travel in a faster, more efficient way. Travelling along 'hyperlanes' in the sense that we can only reach stars that are connected to one another cosmically and consciously. This would allow for a far more faster, accessible form of FTL travel. There is only one downside I can think of however.

The ships could get stranded in deep space if they veer off course too much. Someone would have to be manning some sort of navigation console to be able to safely transition from Point A hyperlane to point B hyperlane. These anomalys would likely be beyond our gravity well, near the gas giants or at or past the Oort Cloud. So, when I say space is dangerous in that sense, I do mean it. It's cutting costs to be able to reach FTL for soon, but if it was mastered it would likely be the best way of going about it.

Disclaimer:I'm a high school dropout with his GED. Take everything I say in this post as a grain of salt.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on October 01, 2016, 07:14:50 pm
But so long as we get an ideal saturation point, and the planet isn't oversaturated to the point of toxicity, or saturated to the point where the planet is a big fire cracker that could potentially burst into flames, which is what happened to Earth at one point and is in fact one of largest mass extinction events in our history.
This isn't a drawback, it's a feature! Built-in purging of any and all native lifeforms as well as self handling of the overabundance of your oxygen producers! :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Strife26 on October 01, 2016, 07:37:30 pm
Any super smart experts in natural/artificial around? I've embarked on a class project where step one is "Become an expert in orbital mechanics"
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: redwallzyl on October 01, 2016, 07:51:07 pm
Any super smart experts in natural/artificial around? I've embarked on a class project where step one is "Become an expert in orbital mechanics"
play kerbal space program? :P not a bad option really.


also in relation to the mars discussion: http://waitbutwhy.com/2016/09/spacexs-big-fking-rocket-the-full-story.html
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mainiac on October 01, 2016, 07:51:32 pm
Any super smart experts in natural/artificial around? I've embarked on a class project where step one is "Become an expert in orbital mechanics"

Step 1: Buy Kerbal Space Program.

edit: ninja'd :(
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dozebôm Lolumzalìs on October 01, 2016, 08:01:32 pm
Okay, so, was playing a game today and(yes, I play games more than I read books. I should do the opposite, yes, but this is where I learn things from! :) ) I thought about string theory and methods
of possible warp travel, however far off they may be.

In the game stellaris you are given FTL technology off the bat. I'm playing with a mod where you have to actually research it before hand. I eventually am now at this moment researching hyperlane theory, but no more about the game and more about the idea:

String theory is a popular theory that everything in the universe is woven or inter-woven together. Following this theory, if you will, I refer to a verse I heard from one of my elder relatives;Basically,
"the stars sing to each-other". If you look at a popular Let's play of aurora on Something Awful(Yes, I used to be a goon but I got banned a long time ago) there was basically the idea that as they spread out, humanity figured out that stars, and even celestial objects, could communicate by some sort of consciousness. Now, follow me if you will:If the stars sing to each other, and IF string theory is true, then perhaps we could figure out how to go about FTL travel in a faster, more efficient way. Travelling along 'hyperlanes' in the sense that we can only reach stars that are connected to one another cosmically and consciously. This would allow for a far more faster, accessible form of FTL travel. There is only one downside I can think of however.

The ships could get stranded in deep space if they veer off course too much. Someone would have to be manning some sort of navigation console to be able to safely transition from Point A hyperlane to point B hyperlane. These anomalys would likely be beyond our gravity well, near the gas giants or at or past the Oort Cloud. So, when I say space is dangerous in that sense, I do mean it. It's cutting costs to be able to reach FTL for soon, but if it was mastered it would likely be the best way of going about it.

Disclaimer:I'm a high school dropout with his GED. Take everything I say in this post as a grain of salt.

You SURE that's what string theory is? Sounds kind of sketchy to me.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Wolfhunter107 on October 01, 2016, 08:21:11 pm
Any super smart experts in natural/artificial around? I've embarked on a class project where step one is "Become an expert in orbital mechanics"
This series (https://m.youtube.com/#/playlist?list=PLYu7z3I8tdEm-oVAzO8EHRAqAFG5RmNPl) might be helpful, though you probably need to know at least a little bit to understand it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on October 01, 2016, 08:24:18 pm
String Theory is beautiful mathematics that kinda produces something that might resemble reality if certain conditions which are damn near impossible to test hold. There aren't any possible outcomes from a string theoretical framework which produce plausible FTL that are exclusive to that framework. Compactified extra dimensions and silliness like expanding them briefly for a rotation to a different location depends on there being other dimensions at small length scales, might be true, can't say yet, can't even say if we would be able to test for it, much less if we would be able to capitalize on it somehow.

Supersymmetry emerges naturally from various stringy frameworks but isn't exclusive, and we can test for it possibly with the LHC, but so far we've gotten the low-hanging fruit there excluded. Larger colliders and such will let us test for heavier superparticles.

Magic tech might allow neat tricks with superpartners, ultramagic tech might let you perform transforms into and back from sparticles, we're not sure what that will entail, but Baxter used it as a neat idea for a beyond-hyperdrive which included a soul crushing sense of ennui, even for one of his novels, since you kinda got smeared out across the span of the universe you were crossing, so you could feel how freaking insignificant you usually are by comparison.

Hard sci-fi is hardly "testable predictions", it's more like "fun extrapolations" of ideas, and Baxter is crunchy hard if you're interested. The Xeelee Sequence is where the susy drive above came from, along with lots of other fun toys, I still want Nightfighter wings and a Starbreaker badly.

The Manifold series include some of the most beautifully depressing settings and conclusions I've ever seen, though there are parts which kinda resemble stuff Musk is doing with his Big Dumb Booster plan.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Baffler on November 17, 2016, 01:58:02 pm
Necro for activity. (http://www.iflscience.com/space/russia-wants-to-send-people-to-the-moon-in-2031/)

Regardless of whether or not they actually manage to land on the moon by that time, let alone put a base on it, the work they're doing into heavy lift rocketry alone seems pretty valuable. It's also good that they're apparently going to cooperate with other space agencies.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Flying Dice on November 17, 2016, 02:38:13 pm
Necro for activity. (http://www.iflscience.com/space/russia-wants-to-send-people-to-the-moon-in-2031/)

Regardless of whether or not they actually manage to land on the moon by that time, let alone put a base on it, the work they're doing into heavy lift rocketry alone seems pretty valuable. It's also good that they're apparently going to cooperate with other space agencies.
Now I am intensely grateful for close relations between Trump and Putin. If we get pulled into participating, NASA might actually see sane funding again. Start a second space race, but with more friendliness and less looming nuclear war! Better yet, four-to-eight of cooperation will make it difficult to pull out of diplomatically.

/onlysomewhatsilly
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on November 17, 2016, 03:35:17 pm
Haven't seen any real post-Primaries stuff on what Trump (or Hillary) thinks of space.

We have to go back to the pre-runoff era, and Trump's statements then (including awful diction) aren't encouragong.
http://gizmodo.com/the-2016-presidential-candidates-views-on-nasa-and-spac-1760875565
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Flying Dice on November 17, 2016, 04:37:21 pm
Yeah, that's why I'm pleased. If there's one thing that'll get the Trump off his rump on space it's the idea that America isn't going to be the biggest and the best at space any more.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on November 17, 2016, 09:30:41 pm
Space Trump Core: "I am the best at space."
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: hops on November 18, 2016, 01:44:19 pm
I hope Trump goes to Mars.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on November 18, 2016, 02:06:40 pm
Have pity on Matt Damon!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dozebôm Lolumzalìs on November 18, 2016, 02:08:21 pm
SCIENCE IS SCIENCE AND FACTS IS FACTS

BUT HOW DOES THAT HELP ME GROW POTATOS
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on November 18, 2016, 02:09:11 pm
Trump is walking manure? You can plant your potatoes directly on him?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dozebôm Lolumzalìs on November 18, 2016, 02:10:22 pm
Trump is walking manure? You can plant your potatoes directly on him?
Nonono, he emits manure from his orifices. Including the main head-orifice.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on November 18, 2016, 02:11:43 pm
Then plant potatoes in that?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 18, 2016, 03:27:04 pm
Careful with the politics stuff, please. I don't have the free time to properly moderate this thread.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on November 18, 2016, 03:40:59 pm
Careful with the politics stuff, please. I don't have the free time to properly moderate this thread.

Quick, plant potatoes on hugo for a silent takedown!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on November 18, 2016, 08:39:51 pm
I still believe Hugo is Huge Hackman in full wolverine attire for some reason. Maybe the super moon got me bad.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dozebôm Lolumzalìs on November 18, 2016, 10:23:17 pm
Now we just need Cave Trumpson, and then we add moon dust and curtain experiments. Success! Also Clinton-ine is in control and releasing the neurotoxin on everybody but the scientists, so that's good too.

oh geez

that was supposed to be a veiled something

but it got too weird

TrumpxClinton ships are just no
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on November 18, 2016, 10:46:42 pm
Just don't go getting in arguments about stuff that isn't Space pls. Thanks!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on November 18, 2016, 10:58:14 pm
TrumpxClinton ships are just no
Is that Donald and Hillary, or... well almost any combo of (Malania/Ivanka/Barron/Junior/etc) x (Bill/Chelsea/Buddy/Socks/etc) fulfils the promise of a terrible punchline. Pick any pairing you want...



So, Space, eh...  Roundest astronomical object found? Slushy sea below Sputnick Planitia? Supermoon? Beagle 2 might actually still be working? Peggy Whitson? There'a got to be something spacey to talk about, now that I've crashed the mood...

(Ah, ninjaed about that.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on November 18, 2016, 11:17:08 pm
Well, NASA recently (last month, I believe) dumped a large amount of 3D models (https://nasa3d.arc.nasa.gov/) for public use.  Otherwise, the Chinese set a new national record for longest spaceflight at 32 days aboard Tiangong-2, landing today in Inner Mongolia.  While it's nowhere close to the duration of many Soviet Mir missions, it's a significant proof of their progress.  It'll also be the only manned mission to Tiangong-2 under current Chinese plans; everything else is going to be handled remotely (including tests of a fully-automated resupply/refueling craft). [ref] (http://www.space.com/34766-chinese-astronauts-month-long-spaceflight-landing.html)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on November 19, 2016, 04:35:24 am
NASA/Eagleworks just released an interesting paper on the EMdrive.

This time in a peer reviewed journal.

http://arc.aiaa.org/doi/10.2514/1.B36120

No anomalous thrusts on the null article, no significant indicators of evaporation of test article being the source of thrust.

Looks like some armchair physicists will get a steaming plate of crow.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on November 19, 2016, 10:46:40 am
I always liked Bohm, but it's disappointing that we're still discussing mN/kW.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on November 19, 2016, 12:15:12 pm
Before it is scientifically sensible to experiment on improvements to design, it is important to establish empirical factuality of claimed effects.

This test article is not intended to be efficient. Only to demonstrate the effect reliably.
After the test article is replicated and tested in other labs, and subsequent findings are published, THEN research into improved cavity or driving system designs for improved thrust per watt figures are sensible research targets.

Patience grasshopper.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on November 19, 2016, 03:12:04 pm
Still think it's gonna be an FTL neutrino situation. What are really the odds that we actually ran into the hole in physics with a practical macro phenomenon?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: x2yzh9 on November 19, 2016, 03:15:36 pm
Still think it's gonna be an FTL neutrino situation. What are really the odds that we actually ran into the hole in physics with a practical macro phenomenon?
as much as explaining and truly understanding an Einstein Rosenberg bridge..
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on November 19, 2016, 07:59:38 pm
Yeah, the amusing bit here isn't whether it works well, but that it works at all. I guess now we should get actual research into why the hell this thing works.
It's probably extradimensional lag starting to affect the universe simulation.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on November 19, 2016, 08:49:16 pm
Hmmm, they're trying to explain it as an analog of the Casimir effect, but the specific paper was paywalled.

I was partial to Bohm and de Broglie because of a kooky idea I had about trying to explain the effect of increasing mass as reducing the spread of the temporal portion of a pilot-wave type of interaction, as I was trying to work back from relativity to arrive at quantum mechanics. There are various problems there though, not least of which was the appearance that hidden-variables were disfavored in plausible explanations of reality.

Setting aside my kooky ideas though, assuming the theoretical explanation given is accurate that could be really exciting, like, we might end up discussing ways to arrange components based on this effect to produce a negative energy region without the requirement of handwavium exotic matter, and that leads to wormholes.

What effects do we get if we arrange a ring of these Q-thrusters?
What does reversing the orientation do, if anything?
If this isn't a quirk of the design itself, could we optimize it with metamaterials?
How does the effect vary when changing the size of the Q-thruster?
What is the smallest possible version which exhibits this effect?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on November 19, 2016, 11:35:46 pm
Yeah, the amusing bit here isn't whether it works well, but that it works at all. I guess now we should get actual research into why the hell this thing works.
It's probably extradimensional lag starting to affect the universe simulation.
Better get ready to say hello to the Kracken.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on November 19, 2016, 11:49:20 pm
NASA/Eagleworks just released an interesting paper on the EMdrive.

This time in a peer reviewed journal.

http://arc.aiaa.org/doi/10.2514/1.B36120

No anomalous thrusts on the null article, no significant indicators of evaporation of test article being the source of thrust.

Looks like some armchair physicists will get a steaming plate of crow.
HOLY CARP

IF THIS IS REALLY REAL

[SQUEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE]
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on November 20, 2016, 12:40:06 am
Fuck you, recorded history! 2016-timeline is getting our own physics, with blackjack and hookers!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on November 20, 2016, 04:57:00 am
and it means that when we make a gun that shoots wormholes, it'll have proper recoil
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on November 20, 2016, 07:47:36 am
The EM drive doesn't allow FTL, if it is a true violation it's a reactionless drive. The benefit of this is that it provides impulse at an extremely high efficiency and could be derived from just having solar collectors instead of carrying any form of propellant. While an utterly amazing, paradigm-shattering development, it would not change lightspeed or even manned flights.

The only benefit in that regard is learning that we have to burn our physics textbooks and start all over again, which might result in discovering different limits to lightspeed.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on November 20, 2016, 08:47:08 pm
Here's a typically scientifically illiterate news report about the Em-Drive.
http://www.news.com.au/technology/science/space/impossible-em-drive-engine-produces-thrust-from-nothing-and-science-cant-explain-why/news-story/4f58c35ec63e42d77e7fe443af1f47d6

Quote
IT’s impossible. But science appears to say it’s happening. A prototype space engine seems to be producing energy from nothing. And it’s just passed peer review.

The reactionless thruster was met with a surge of excitement — and scepticism — when reports of its science-fiction sounding ability to pull fuel out of the void of space itself emerged in 2001.

...

SOMETHING FROM NOTHING

The EM Drive is essentially a chamber with a hole at one end with microwaves bouncing around inside.

There is no fuel supplied.

But, when turned on, the drive generates thrust.

Worse, it violates some of the most fundamental laws of physics that our understanding of the universe — and all of our technology — is built upon.

Or not.

“It’s looking stronger,” Dr Neumann says. “But it’s still breaking the law of conservation of momentum — which is something we’d really like to keep as it’s the basis of some really important bits of science and technology.”

What should make the engine impossible is Newton’s Third Law: “For every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction”. Put simply, something doesn’t move unless an outside force pushes it.

This is why engines need fuel. The fuel contains energy.

The EM Drive carries no fuel. So there is no energy to release.

This makes me really angry that such illiterate people write articles.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dozebôm Lolumzalìs on November 20, 2016, 10:21:52 pm
Ugh, the "nothing moves without a force" law is the First!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on November 20, 2016, 10:43:19 pm
Funnily enough, Scott Manley's video on the EM Drive does discuss how one of the alternate explanations for it doesn't violate the third law, but does violate the first. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JGcvxg7jJTs&t=0s)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on November 21, 2016, 04:56:58 am
Less excitingly but more plausibly, we know the Casimir effect is a thing, wrongly and horribly put, you could sorta think of the vacuum as being fizzy, two plates a small distance apart prevent the fizz from getting between them, and as you move them closer to exclude smaller and smaller scale fizziness you observe an ever greater force between the plates.

Mathematically it works out in a way which doesn't really fit the metaphor, but it's close enough for nuclear hand grenades I guess.

If the EM Drive is doing anything new and exciting it is probably not an "omigawsh we gotta throw away physics" type of thing, and more along the lines of "assume the far side of the universe is an infinite plate, and our drive is the other plate" I think. Without a way to get the sexy Casimir-Polder forces from two plates with a tiny gap, you're left pushing against the fizz to eke out 1.2 mN/kW or so apparently.

Super neat for long range probes, could probably be handy for certain station keeping roles even?

The uses as a drive aren't as interesting as the different things you might be able to do if it turns out we can alter the geometry completely from the tested design, if it's actually doing what it looks like then the big takeaway might not end up being "reactionless drive" at all, it might be "fuckin' wormholes yo" eventually.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Shadowlord on November 21, 2016, 08:03:43 am
Does the paper actually say that the emdrive is producing negative energy, or are you just using your ~imagination~?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on November 21, 2016, 09:10:06 am
Don't go building your spaceships yet. The paper might have been published, but it doesn't mean it's meaningful.

What I've seen so far is media jizzing all over the place, fanboys building galactic empires, and the few scientists who bothered to read it scathingly criticizing the methods used in the paper.

In the end, any publication has the goal of convincing other people. This seems to be aimed more at convincing the press rather than their peers.


I actually disagree with MSH as to the nature of this development - this doesn't look like the FTL neutrino case, since those people used everything at their disposal to make sure that the null hypothesis doesn't fit the data before going public. It was as water-tight as they could make it. Here, we've got people using sloppy analysis to push their preconceptions - similar to what you get in cosmology from time to time, with various papers seeing structure where there is none. Or what you get with the cold fusion crowd.

My prediction for the future is: a number of rebuttals will get published, somebody will use the paper to get grant money, and a number of EM drive building scams will pop up.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TempAcc on November 21, 2016, 09:33:06 am
Several possible situations that could have caused a false reading have been pointed out in the peer reviews, though. Since this is just a paper review, they didn't go out and build their own versions of the drive (the drive itself seems simple enough to build, the problem is having the entire array of measuring equipment at your disposal, like eagleworks does, being a NASA branch and all that, which isn't exactly something anyone can have), they just evaluated how the experiment was carried out within the limits of the content of the paper.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TempAcc on November 21, 2016, 09:49:46 am
Woops, I got confused, actualy. The possible errors pointed out in the paper are actualy by the authors, including justifications pointing out that said possible errors have been accounted for.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dozebôm Lolumzalìs on November 21, 2016, 12:45:13 pm
If the EM Drive is doing anything new and exciting it is probably not an "omigawsh we gotta throw away physics" type of thing
It never is. That kind of paradigm shift isn't common. Take relativity, ferex - Newtonian mechanics still worked, as long as gravity and speed were negligible. Science is very accurate at describing the everyday realities that we are used to - that will never be thrown away. We won't have a "shit, the Earth isn't flat after all" moment, ever. What we will have is a "whoa, if we look at the small scale, physics is completely different and weird" moment, at most, or a "whoa, the value of this force is 0.999999999999999 of what it should be, because of the X Effect" moment.

We could disprove the more speculative theories, like string theory. But that is quite different from "physics" as a whole.

TL;DR: Science builds on top of itself. The foundation will never be thrown away; some speculative scaffolding on the top may. Also, I'm preaching to the choir and tilting at windmills.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on November 21, 2016, 12:56:33 pm
Does the paper actually say that the emdrive is producing negative energy, or are you just using your ~imagination~?
Note that I said if it works as they posit, which--according to the general description of these that I've seen in that paper and elsewhere--hinges upon there being virtual particles in the vacuum that you can interact with in certain ways to generate thrust and so forth.

IF that is the case, all sorts of fuckery would be implied, this is by no means a certainty, and indeed attempting to construct different devices using the claimed effect would probably be informative.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: x2yzh9 on November 21, 2016, 01:18:14 pm
My question here is how is it circumventing the law of conservation of momentum, if in fact the fuel source in and of itself is electromagnetic microwaves? That's a force in physics in its own right. Or am I wrong here?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on November 21, 2016, 01:25:50 pm
TL;DR: Science builds on top of itself. The foundation will never be thrown away; some speculative scaffolding on the top may. Also, I'm preaching to the choir and tilting at windmills.
This I do not agree with. While the foundations of physics will never be suddenly eliminated, our advancements are not limited to the speculative and uncertain. The issue is that we do not necessarily know that our understanding of the "foundation" is complete, and in fact it probably isn't. Higgs boson, Special relativity, dark matter, how gravity functions, etc. The context of these discoveries can alter our context all the way down to the most basic assumptions, and change all of them as a result.

For example, if the EM Drive were to function properly, you might end up with "For every action there is an equal and opposite reaction, except for resonance carried through radiation of energy". Which would fundamentally alter damn near everything else that follows it, but in a way we were able to miss up until now due to existing presumption and lack of good experiments because of Earth's gravity.

Not that I have changed my bet that the EM Drive won't work.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on November 21, 2016, 01:26:07 pm
The virtual particle theory is also implicated in other theoretical phenomena, like hawking radiation, where the antimassed virtual particle falls into the event horizon, and the massed one does not, resulting in mass zipping away from the black hole's horizon in the form of radiation, while the mass of the singularity is reduced, as it absorbs the antimass of the particles streaming in, causing annihilation, and turning the mass into spacetime to satisfy the field equations.

Virtual photons are also demonstrated and used regularly by humans. Near field communication between cellphones and credit cards makes aggressive use of virtual photons which make up the bulk of the EM near field.

The secret sauce I am seeing here is the de broglie-bohm interpretation of physics being used instead of Copenhagen. Bohm says that particles are always particles, but that they are constrained by the pilot wave they ride on. (A bit like a surfer rides a wave, and can only ride on certain parts of a wave) the pilot wave can experience constructive and deconstructive interference, and this impacts the trajectories of particles riding on them.

It is that secret sauce that would permit manipulation of the pilot wave to permit only antimassed virtual particles to ride in one place, and massed ones in another, to create concentrated populations. That would satisfy the negative mass requirements for the alcubierre metric to be created, and thus create warp drive.

That's a big if though.  Physics likes Copenhagen for a reason, and I expect that the universe would have to pry it from their cold dead hands before it loses favor.


Time will tell.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TempAcc on November 21, 2016, 01:31:12 pm
Having physics being thrown around and changed is relatively normal, just look at the whole conundrum happening atm with dark energy and etc. The problem is that the EM drive violates some of the very known basics of physics as we know them. So it either works and doesn't violate physics because of some sort of yet undetected phenomena, or we were terribly wrong from the beginning and yet have been able to create consistent models off said mistakes, somehow.

Both are unlikely to happen, so its likely that the drive is simply doing something other than what people think its doing, something that doesn't actualy violate known physics, but just seems to do that.

But there's yet one phenomena unaccounted for in the paper: its 2016
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on November 21, 2016, 01:31:25 pm
Note that I wasn't questioning virtual particles, just dubious at the idea that we can encourage them to play nicely for effects like the EM Drive, but cautiously excited at the implications of being able to dig our fingers into the guts of the universe and root around like that.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on November 21, 2016, 01:32:09 pm
My question here is how is it circumventing the law of conservation of momentum, if in fact the fuel source in and of itself is electromagnetic microwaves? That's a force in physics in its own right. Or am I wrong here?

The thrust exhibited is orders of magnitude greater than "light pressure." (The momentum conserved by emitting photons).  Eg, bouncing the photons around inside the cavity creates thrust that exceeds what you would get from venting those photons out the back of the ship.  This is an over unity situation, and that needs to be taken up SOMEWHERE, or physics is being broken.  In this, conservation of momentum.

some of the suggested reasons involve constraints on the pilot wave from other fields being saturated. eg, because there are lots of photons trapped inside the cavity, they are eating up capacity for other particles to ride in that region of space, creating assymetries. 

again, big ifs involved here.

the experiment requires replication.  maybe since this was now published in a real journal, other labs will test and publish.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dozebôm Lolumzalìs on November 21, 2016, 02:10:59 pm
TL;DR: Science builds on top of itself. The foundation will never be thrown away; some speculative scaffolding on the top may. Also, I'm preaching to the choir and tilting at windmills.
This I do not agree with. While the foundations of physics will never be suddenly eliminated, our advancements are not limited to the speculative and uncertain. The issue is that we do not necessarily know that our understanding of the "foundation" is complete, and in fact it probably isn't. Higgs boson, Special relativity, dark matter, how gravity functions, etc. The context of these discoveries can alter our context all the way down to the most basic assumptions, and change all of them as a result.
Ah, perhaps I was unclear. The "foundations" of physics, as I use the term, are the older, more easily testable models; theories about that which underlies all matter would not be "foundational" in my analogy.

My point is essentially that modern physics will still be valid except for in corner cases. We won't "throw anything out."
Quote
For example, if the EM Drive were to function properly, you might end up with "For every action there is an equal and opposite reaction, except for resonance carried through radiation of energy". Which would fundamentally alter damn near everything else that follows it, but in a way we were able to miss up until now due to existing presumption and lack of good experiments because of Earth's gravity.

Not that I have changed my bet that the EM Drive won't work.
Well yes, it would fundamentally change what comes after it, but the existing foundations, as a special case, will remain relatively unchanged.



The "foundations" of physics, that is, our understanding of the very very small things and how they interact, are most definitely going to be modified or perhaps even thrown out. My point was really just windmill-tilting, as I have been speaking with UTTER IDIOTS who think that "science has been wrong before" so of course N3L and T3L wouldn't apply. Which is how they built a UFO in their backyard. Yeah, no.

(Newton's Three Laws and the Thermodynamic Three Laws, that is)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dozebôm Lolumzalìs on November 21, 2016, 02:12:39 pm
The virtual particle theory is also implicated in other theoretical phenomena, like hawking radiation, where the antimassed virtual particle falls into the event horizon, and the massed one does not, resulting in mass zipping away from the black hole's horizon in the form of radiation, while the mass of the singularity is reduced, as it absorbs the antimass of the particles streaming in, causing annihilation
Okay, everything's making sense, this is a good explanation
Quote
and turning the mass into spacetime to satisfy the field equations.
WHAT THE HELL

WHAT IS THAT EVEN SUPPOSED TO MEAN
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on November 21, 2016, 03:11:20 pm
I want to know exactly what those criticisms are.
If you're by any chance an SA on physics forums, there's a thread in the SA lounge (otherwise hidden).
Here are some highlights from that thread regarding the paper:
- no discussion of statistical methods
- reporting numbers many times as precise as the capabilities of the instrument
- measurements excluding each other to high significance (no consistency)
- fitting the data without intercept (at least that how it looks like, since no discussion of statistics is given)
- the slope fitted for force vs power (fig 19) is wishful thinking - you can just as well fit a flat line with these data
- discussion of pilot waves and virtual particles is pure informal speculation and outside the journal's narrow specialisation.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on November 21, 2016, 03:54:22 pm
The virtual particle theory is also implicated in other theoretical phenomena, like hawking radiation, where the antimassed virtual particle falls into the event horizon, and the massed one does not, resulting in mass zipping away from the black hole's horizon in the form of radiation, while the mass of the singularity is reduced, as it absorbs the antimass of the particles streaming in, causing annihilation
Okay, everything's making sense, this is a good explanation
Quote
and turning the mass into spacetime to satisfy the field equations.
WHAT THE HELL

WHAT IS THAT EVEN SUPPOSED TO MEAN

The virtual particle pair erupts spontaneously from empty space. This happens all the time. Normally, this pair annihilates basically instantly, and all is well. The energy of the particles returns to being spacetime.

However, when part of the pair falls into the horizon, it cannot self annihilate, and the energy does not get returned. To satisfy the requirement of returning that energy, part of the singularity gets annihilated instead.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on November 21, 2016, 05:13:07 pm
The virtual particle theory is also implicated in other theoretical phenomena, like hawking radiation, where the antimassed virtual particle falls into the event horizon, and the massed one does not, resulting in mass zipping away from the black hole's horizon in the form of radiation, while the mass of the singularity is reduced, as it absorbs the antimass of the particles streaming in, causing annihilation
Okay, everything's making sense, this is a good explanation
Quote
and turning the mass into spacetime to satisfy the field equations.
WHAT THE HELL

WHAT IS THAT EVEN SUPPOSED TO MEAN

The virtual particle pair erupts spontaneously from empty space. This happens all the time. Normally, this pair annihilates basically instantly, and all is well. The energy of the particles returns to being spacetime.

However, when part of the pair falls into the horizon, it cannot self annihilate, and the energy does not get returned. To satisfy the requirement of returning that energy, part of the singularity gets annihilated instead.
No, wierd - you're spreading misconceptions. See here:
http://www.mat.univie.ac.at/~neum/physfaq/topics/hawking
and here
https://www.physicsforums.com/insights/vacuum-fluctuation-myth/
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Putnam on November 21, 2016, 07:06:13 pm
"Antimass" almost definitely isn't a thing. All evidence points towards antimatter having mass and all that implies. I don't even know what "antimass" would mean?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on November 21, 2016, 07:12:26 pm
Better is "negative energy gradient", or " inverted spacial curvature".

Antimatter and antimass are most definitely not the same thing.

Antimatter has opposite charge sign, but interacts with the higgs field in exactly the same way.

Antimass, is what you get when instead of tight coupling to the field, the field wants to exclude it.

The bad visual analogy, is if normal mass makes a "dent" on spacetime, antimass makes a "hill."

Now, the deal with prior talk:

You don't need actual antimassed exotic matter, if you can selectively reinforce a pilot wave that can only be ridden by "virtual" particles with that property.  A virtual particle is an excitation state, that is not self sustaining.

Bad visual analogy: when you wiggle a string, if forms a sinusoid wave. Part of the wave dips down, and part arches up. The combined dip and arch can be thought of as a pair of antiparticles. The excitation of the string manifests these artifacts.  The bohm interpretation says that particles ride such "pilot waves", following some rules, which exclude particles riding on certain parts of the wave. Since part of the wave is favorable to " antimass" type interaction (strongly excludes normal mass), and the other part is favorable to a normal mass type interaction (strongly excludes antimass),  and the wave is subject to self interference from reflections, etc, effective pockets of antimass terms can be herded together in one region, and the normal mass terms on the other, and you get something like the alcubiere metric without the need for real antimassed particles. Virtual ones will work fine.

It is important to realize that these are Not "real" though. They are just the manifestation of certain parts of the excitation. Real particles are persistent excitations, that don't need additional energy to stay around. (According to Copenhagen.) These antimass terms will collapse with the virtual mass terms when you stop jiggling the rope.

No real particle with an antimass term has been experimentally observed. I doubt that they would be stable excitations in our universe.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on November 21, 2016, 08:10:03 pm
Somebody hold me, he's doing his thing again. It's gradient now is it?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on November 21, 2016, 08:16:15 pm
What else do you call something that is only a manifestation of an external excitation.

I could well say the same thing, but with "riding his impossibly high horse again."
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on November 21, 2016, 08:25:32 pm
I don't know what you would call that, whatever that is supposed to mean. But I do know that my bicycle has wheels that have both negative and positive energy gradient across their diameter - as long as they're spinning. I guess they're half made of anti-mass.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on November 21, 2016, 08:26:51 pm
Again, that the mechanism they claim is responsible kinda leads inexorably downuphill towards "WEEEE NEGATIVE ENERGY WARP WAVES FOR EVERYONE" land is a big problem.

I want them to be right, wormholes and warp drives and shit would be way more exciting toys to play with than a 1.2 mN/kW reactionless drive, but I expect there is a much more mundane explanation involved, maybe something interesting involving the nature of the vacuum might be learned in the process.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on November 21, 2016, 08:32:45 pm
If there is anything about physics I was going to bank on to be the breaker, it'd be exotic forms of matter and energy. We're pretty clear on the actual, not theoretical, existence of at least some of it. I fully believe we're going to get access to some extreme practical effects not attainable otherwise once we get a method of production. Like, on the level of widespread chemical synthesis in terms of changing the world.

Even if we ended at monopoles and antimatter, that'd be revolutionary.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on November 21, 2016, 08:39:50 pm
I don't know what you would call that, whatever that is supposed to mean. But I do know that my bicycle has wheels that have both negative and positive energy gradient across their diameter - as long as they're spinning. I guess they're half made of anti-mass.

More like the computed wave mechanics of the flowave experiment.

The solenoids that push the water in the pool have a positive, and a negative motion in relation to the waves they make, because they move forward, then retract again.

Does this balanced nature somehow prevent the operators from engaging both parts of the resulting waves in constructive and deconstructive reinforcement through clever reflections and timing?

No.

Can they make a momentary high peak excitation through reinforcement?

Yes they can.

Can they make a momentary deep depression on the water's surface using the same methods?

Yes they can.

Can they make standing wave gradients persist on the surface of the water using these methods?

Yes they can.

Does it all stop and seek to return to the ground state when they turn off the agitators?

Yes it does.

I must call "hyperbolic bullshit" on your bicycle analogy.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on November 21, 2016, 08:44:53 pm
I think you've never calculated a gradient, is your problem.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on November 21, 2016, 08:54:04 pm
Which is you riding on the high horse.

Or possibly shouting down from your white tower.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Tomasque on November 21, 2016, 08:59:59 pm
I think you've never calculated a gradient, is your problem.

Which is you riding on the high horse.

Or possibly shouting down from your white tower.
Don't let this devolve into insults, guys. If you are in an argument about science stuff, all you have to do is simplify your claims into bullet points and find links to back up each one, right?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on November 21, 2016, 09:04:53 pm
No. Pilazzo likes to demand absolute accuracy from others, while offering analogies himself.

He calls down from the tower, I call him on it. I make bad analogies, he calls me on it.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dozebôm Lolumzalìs on November 21, 2016, 10:43:36 pm
That is not how Science works, people! Now be nice or I'll release the neurotoxin. :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on November 21, 2016, 10:46:31 pm
I always wondered which one she used..  Sarin? Phosgene? Botulinum?

Guess we will never know.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on November 21, 2016, 11:17:59 pm
GLaDOSinium, I think. Very fast acting.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on November 22, 2016, 12:08:22 am
I always wondered which one she used..  Sarin? Phosgene? Botulinum?

Guess we will never know.
The Neurotoxin she released with the Neurotoxin emitters was a Deadly Neurotoxin (https://youtu.be/l_hYUzWMxGs?t=560), that's all you need to know.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: hops on November 22, 2016, 09:02:44 am
Clearly it's caffeine.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dozebôm Lolumzalìs on November 22, 2016, 09:21:31 am
It is pure SCIENCE.

"Yes, mate. You're in space."
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on November 23, 2016, 09:46:53 am
http://arstechnica.com/science/2016/11/nasas-em-drive-still-a-wtf-thruster/

A nicely put together writeup. One of many to come, I presume.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on November 23, 2016, 04:18:12 pm
I admit that I too am disheartened by the lack of details in the paper.

1) where are the structural plans for the test article, as even the placement of one of the rivets in the copper could upset an experiment with thrust measurements this low? How can other labs seriously attempt replication without them?

2) I understand that academic theft is a thing, but seriously-- yes, please publish the q-thruster excitation predictive model. The model itself can be strongly tested against any number of test articles besides ones assumed to be propelled by unicorn farts. (A pair of metal plates to measure changes in cassimir effect pressure near an excited test item to see if the proposed mechanism actually has an impact being a good one, IMO.) It is essential to vet the model before trusting any predictions it may make, and keeping it secret is not how you do science. If your model is mature enough to make predictions for experiments, it is mature enough for peer review. Peer review gives you free of charge, improvements and enhancements to your model, assuming it works, of course.

3) If you want to use peer review correctly, the above two things need to be provided so that the experiment can be independently replicated and either verified or refuted.  This is especially true when no proven model for action is provided. The purpose of peer review is for other scientists to verify your findings through independent experiment. Give the people what they need to do that. The quality of your paper is insufficient in that regard.

Those genuine criticisms aside, the article is too dismissive, and stinks of bias.  One of the main objections to the paper is that the authors did not give a definite mechanism for action, even though the opening of the paper asserts that they do not have one, and do not know, and can only speculate-- which is why they focus on the thrust produced instead. That's a bullshit cheap shot, and I dont appreciate it, nor will I give it a free pass.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on November 24, 2016, 08:14:37 pm
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2016/nov/24/mars-lander-smashed-into-ground-at-540kmh-after-misjudging-its-altitude

Not sure why you'd have a maximum altitude setting, or at least put the maximum reading above where it might start being useful. Though it doesn't really say what exactly the problem was, other than going negative which is indicative of integer overflow I think. It also seems like they could have tested it on Earth or done a simulated test, but then, ESA doesn't have NASA's budget.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: BorkBorkGoesTheCode on November 24, 2016, 08:35:22 pm
http://arstechnica.com/science/2016/11/nasas-em-drive-still-a-wtf-thruster/

A nicely put together writeup. One of many to come, I presume.
Are these things faith-based? As in "clap if you believe, and the engine will work"?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on November 24, 2016, 08:50:08 pm
What's next, ooh, can we get MSH to predict that we'll discover how to run a drive on love?

I could totally dig becoming a Shrike.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on November 24, 2016, 09:01:26 pm
People in love do awful things, I'd rather the drive run on intolerance for bullshit.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Shadowlord on November 24, 2016, 09:09:21 pm
You don't know the power of the Light Side
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on November 24, 2016, 09:50:01 pm
People in love do awful things, I'd rather the drive run on intolerance for bullshit.
Ah, the Shrike's just a big cuddle-bug, honest.  It's just also made out of sharp blades, razorwire, and long thorns.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: x2yzh9 on November 24, 2016, 09:51:52 pm
I could totally dig becoming a Shrike.
Can I sig this?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on November 24, 2016, 09:52:59 pm
I could totally dig becoming a Shrike.
Can I sig this?
Hah, yup.
People in love do awful things, I'd rather the drive run on intolerance for bullshit.
You doubt the Void which Binds?

Get him, Kassad.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on December 04, 2016, 11:15:51 pm
So, um, the EM drive could in fact, be a dark matter drive?? http://www.forbes.com/sites/startswithabang/2016/11/30/could-dark-matter-be-powering-the-emdrive/#9b4eab11e539

It's a pretty wild idea, though I have no idea how they'd get any meaningful thrust out of it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on December 05, 2016, 12:08:45 am
It works by torturing the souls of the dark matter people.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on December 05, 2016, 12:12:10 am
Ah, so we're no longer going with the working theory that the EM drive functions by draining rotational momentum from Isaac Newton's grave and translating it to linear momentum?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on December 05, 2016, 12:15:35 am
Given that the thrust of that is so miniscule, less than an ion drive even, it's hard to see how they could scale it up or give meaningful thrust. That depends on figuring out how the heck it works in the first place though.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on December 05, 2016, 12:19:48 am
To begin with, they could build a proper resonance cavity. The one they tested is built out of bolted-together scrap and literally made at someone's kitchen table. A lab-grade resonance cavity is carved out of a solid block of metal by a CNC machine to Space Shuttle tolerances.

Considering the EM Drive's effect seems to be based upon resonance somehow, making a proper cavity would increase the thrust.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on December 05, 2016, 07:34:30 am
So, um, the EM drive could in fact, be a dark matter drive?? http://www.forbes.com/sites/startswithabang/2016/11/30/could-dark-matter-be-powering-the-emdrive/#9b4eab11e539

It's a pretty wild idea, though I have no idea how they'd get any meaningful thrust out of it.
I can't see forbes since they keep popping up their annoying little adblock nanny thing so I forbid every bit of the site pre-emptively, but I'm guessing if the power levels involved and a resonance chamber could accidentally provide evidence of dark matter, then professional scientists who actually do this sort of stuff for a living would probably have deliberately tried to do just that sort of experiment, and to date I haven't seen any blurbs about "dark matter detected directly" or anything alone those lines.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: x2yzh9 on December 05, 2016, 10:54:28 am
On the topic of dark matter being directly detected an MD the concept of dark matter drive:
Weren't we just talking about the paper on how dark matter is not per se a detectable atom, but rather a glue like force that holds everything together? Therefore, one could say this is a 'gravity drive', but once again that is mere labeling speculation. If it DOES work off dark matter, and they actually built an up to par EM drive, wouldn't it be working based off gravity alone? Since electromagnetism is what can be seen not only on our planet but as well as the rest of the universe, wouldn't my above conjecture make sense? Or no?

Also, the mere fact that they assembled it at a workshop table and it still produces thrust is a surprising factors considering it still gave thrust.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on December 05, 2016, 11:42:40 am
Hmmm, don't remember the gluematter thing. A force carrier with enough mass to produce the visual distortion seen in galaxy clusters would probably need a force to carry, and the more massive bosons are pretty impressive when you get them unbound, nuclear explosions and whatnot.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Shadowlord on December 05, 2016, 03:40:22 pm
Last thing I heard, the NASA paper was bad, horrible methodology, just terrible, absolutely worthless. Sad!

Except in scientist speak instead of trump speak.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on December 05, 2016, 04:35:33 pm
The NASA paper examining the methodology of the EM Drive paper was itself lacking in methodology?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sneakey pete on December 06, 2016, 02:44:25 am
I also saw an (the same probably) article saying that, I think it was on one of those gizmodo but for science type sites.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on December 06, 2016, 07:16:07 am
Personally my hunch is that in a few years they're going to be turning around and saying there's no such thing as dark matter, it was just a crutch to fill in some other blank they didn't know about. Dark matter is only needed because of assumptions about cosmic inflation which have been challenged by more recent theories.

Not holding my breath over the EM drive either. Saying the EM drive works because of dark matter might sound so ludicrous in a few years it will be viewed the way we view oxygen being thought of as "dephlogisticated air". (https://scienceleftuntitled.wordpress.com/2012/03/18/joseph-priestley-and-the-story-of-dephlogisticated-air/)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on December 06, 2016, 08:21:51 am
Personally my hunch is that in a few years they're going to be turning around and saying there's no such thing as dark matter, it was just a crutch to fill in some other blank they didn't know about. Dark matter is only needed because of assumptions about cosmic inflation which have been challenged by more recent theories.
DM is needed to explain galactic rotation curves, the Bullet Cluster, and most importantly (IMO) the peak distribution in acoustic oscillations seen in the CMBR. As far as I can see, neither of those has anything to do with inflation.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on December 06, 2016, 09:55:49 am
Yup, there will never be a point where we go "oops, guess we didn't actually think there was dark matter causing lensing in these clusters" because that isn't an example where a hypothesis exists to be falsified, it is literally an observed fact that the distribution of visible mass and the distribution of mass detectable by the distortion of light passing through the clusters indicate that there is a lot of stuff we can't see sitting there making a surprisingly deep gravity well.

I think of that one as being most important, though the rotation curves and CMBR distribution are also important and not simple things where we'll ever go "whoops, musta been wrong about something" without that "something" being like... relativity itself.

Inflation is tied to the concept of and justification for dark energy, which might be what confused Reelya. DM doesn't really change too much about the whole "there was something, it unfurled, everything we know is cooling debris from the aftermath" description of the early universe, but dark energy can stand in as a mechanism to provide the "briefly it uh... explosively expanded" bits which are useful to explain things like why pieces of the universe which should have been out of causal contact seem like they were actually able to interact at some point, but we need a reason for the observed rate of expansion and initial rate of expansion to have step changes in between at some point.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on December 08, 2016, 07:43:33 am
The ESA headquarters experienced a tremor of nearly 5.0 on the Richter scale, when everyone in the building simultaneously sighed in relief.

Despite the recent failure if their Mars lander craft, the EU has decided to continue funding of their Mars missions until at least 2024

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: x2yzh9 on December 08, 2016, 11:35:12 am
So there's a lot of stuff about planet x on the Web now, at least now that I'm looking for it. There's speculation that it's a dead star, or some type of gas giant. Due to the delicate nature of electromagnetism in the solar system, I would postulate that even a minor adjustment in its 3600 year orbit would cause adverse effects one way or the other. Now what I'm getting at here is the concept of climate change, and dark matter as well.

But, before I go on further about this, who is disdainful of the idea that 'planet x' presents a problem? I'd rather know that now then continue in discussing it just to have my argument thrown out the window
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on December 08, 2016, 12:06:12 pm
While there are signs that a larger planet a long distance away might exist (based on the movement of certain Kuiper Belt objects such as the dwarf planet Sedna there could be a mars-sized object out around 53 AU or a neptune-sized one out around 1500 AU), the effects of such a planet on us are extremely, extremely tiny, to the point of being basically unnoticeable. No blaming climate change or anything even close to being similar in scale on any distant planet.

(As a further note, analysis of mid-infrared observations with the WISE telescope have ruled out the possibility of a Saturn-sized object (95 Earth masses) out to 10,000 AU, and a Jupiter-sized or larger object out to 26,000 AU. If there is something out there then it's either small, meaning no oldsters, or very far away).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on December 08, 2016, 12:08:50 pm
So there's a lot of stuff about planet x on the Web now, at least now that I'm looking for it. There's speculation that it's a dead star, or some type of gas giant. Due to the delicate nature of electromagnetism in the solar system,...
¿Que?

I do not think that means what you think that means.  Could you clarify?

Quote
...I would postulate that even a minor adjustment in its 3600 year orbit would cause adverse effects one way or the other. Now what I'm getting at here is the concept of climate change, and dark matter as well.
As a chaotic system, anything can happen, eventually, but nothing is likely in less than a full orbit's-worth of time, let alone in the immediately imminent future.

Climate change* relates to Earth's journey through the solar system, not astrological issues.

(*  - Outside of local atmospheric changes, which are unaffected by the positions of any other planet not actually making contact.)

Dark Matter is something else, also.

Quote
But, before I go on further about this, who is disdainful of the idea that 'planet x' presents a problem? I'd rather know that now then continue in discussing it just to have my argument thrown out the window

Consider me officially disdainful of this. But I'd like to hear where you're actually coming from before I vo too far in deciding where I think your position actually is.

Interesting take on the issue (http://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/latest-news/568338/supermoon-planet-x-nibiru-december) not done particularly well, but at least on the right side of 'crazy'. Not my kind of paper, but Stopped Clocks, and all that...

Also useful as references?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nibiru_cataclysm
https://xkcd.com/1633/
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Strife26 on December 08, 2016, 12:09:58 pm
While there are signs that a larger planet a long distance away might exist (based on the movement of certain Kuiper Belt objects such as the dwarf planet Sedna there could be a mars-sized object out around 53 AU or a neptune-sized one out around 1500 AU), the effects of such a planet on us are extremely, extremely tiny, to the point of being basically unnoticeable. No blaming climate change or anything even close to being similar in scale on any distant planet.

(As a further note, analysis of mid-infrared observations with the WISE telescope have ruled out the possibility of a Saturn-sized object (95 Earth masses) out to 10,000 AU, and a Jupiter-sized or larger object out to 26,000 AU. If there is something out there then it's either small, meaning no oldsters, or very far away).

I think that you're discounting the possibility that it's a hostile, encroaching planetoid bent on our destruction.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Strife26 on December 08, 2016, 12:20:54 pm
I don't know, but it's probably best to stock up on flamethrower fuel now. It's important to note that the series starts as science fiction, not as fantasy.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: x2yzh9 on December 08, 2016, 01:14:54 pm
So there's a lot of stuff about planet x on the Web now, at least now that I'm looking for it. There's speculation that it's a dead star, or some type of gas giant. Due to the delicate nature of electromagnetism in the solar system,...
¿Que?

I do not think that means what you think that means.  Could you clarify?

Quote
...I would postulate that even a minor adjustment in its 3600 year orbit would cause adverse effects one way or the other. Now what I'm getting at here is the concept of climate change, and dark matter as well.
As a chaotic system, anything can happen, eventually, but nothing is likely in less than a full orbit's-worth of time, let alone in the immediately imminent future.

Climate change* relates to Earth's journey through the solar system, not astrological issues.

(*  - Outside of local atmospheric changes, which are unaffected by the positions of any other planet not actually making contact.)

Dark Matter is something else, also.

Quote
But, before I go on further about this, who is disdainful of the idea that 'planet x' presents a problem? I'd rather know that now then continue in discussing it just to have my argument thrown out the window

Consider me officially disdainful of this. But I'd like to hear where you're actually coming from before I vo too far in deciding where I think your position actually is.
To clarify...
My position is that any planet in the solar system, or in the universe for that fact, has the possibility of holding an EM Field around it. Such as the sun, any number of the planets in our solar system;however weak or strong they may be.

This, in turn, leads to langrange points-One's that Elon Musk is planning on using for the interplanetary transport system.

So, I guess I could put it like this. If a hypothetical planet x exists, does it have an EM field, how strong or weak is it, and what effect could it's orbital cycle have on the planets in our solar system? With relativity in mind(not the theory-actually just the word relativity itself).

On the other hand Ispil, I don't completely blame this 'planet x' for climate change. Heck to the no. However, I think it could, or could not be a contributing(However large or small) factor to how our planets cycles are arranged, with regards and respect to the fact that climate change is while a natural cycle we are speeding it up 10 times for every degree celsius we get past due to pollution.

edit: I am an open minded individual so feel free to debate my points, or ask questions, etc.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on December 08, 2016, 01:26:11 pm
I'm terrified to ask, but what are you defining electromagnetism as here?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: x2yzh9 on December 08, 2016, 01:36:42 pm
I'm terrified to ask, but what are you defining electromagnetism as here?
my definition of electromagnetism is still the same basic definition that we have an electromagnetic sphere, but that being something as much of a basic force in the universe as gravity, or dark matter.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on December 08, 2016, 02:20:19 pm
Magnetic field, you mean? Internalised magnetohydrodynamics causing significant effects at interplanetary distances?

Lagrange Points are gravitational. Magnetic interactions really don't come into it. EM-based 'langrangians' would seem to require monopoles (or significant prior electrical charging/discharging from the mass concerned), if I get your meaning, and I think something connected to synchrotron radiation might make even that impossible (certainly massively improable).

(Lagrange points also aren't useful in space travel, per se, only really as destinations (and embarkation points, thus stop-overs too, but with the caveat that it doesn't save you time or energy to stop off and then get back up to speed on the way to somewhere else) . AIUI, that's what Elon's interested in them for.)

Dark matter is hypothesised to only interact with gravity and possibly the weak force, but is called 'dark' as it doesn't interact with electromagnetism like baryonic matter does. I don't think you're talking about WIMPs (Weakly Interacting Massive Particles).  Possibly you're half remembering something about MACHOs (MAssive Compact Halo Objects), which are so far (at theoretical upper limit) thought to account for maybe 20% of the missing mass of the universe, in the form of otherwise standard-matter cold supergiant planets/brown dwarves, mostly 'rogue', one of which Planet X might be apart from not currently being rogue. But we're still in hypothetical territory, not theoretical, anyway.

Sounds like you're working on Bronson Alpha/Bellus fictions, or an nuanced offshoot of this meme.  But care to share a link so that I can be corrected?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: i2amroy on December 08, 2016, 02:51:36 pm
My position is that any planet in the solar system, or in the universe for that fact, has the possibility of holding an EM Field around it. Such as the sun, any number of the planets in our solar system;however weak or strong they may be.

This, in turn, leads to langrange points-One's that Elon Musk is planning on using for the interplanetary transport system.
I'm not quite sure that you understand what a Lagrange point is, because it has absolutely nothing to do with electromagnetism and everything to do with gravity (which, as of this writing, we still have no real conclusively proved way to connect the two yet). To understand Lagrange points the first thing that you have to understand is that normally the speed an object in orbit is directly linked to it's orbital distance. This is because (and I'm going to steal some graphics from xkcd right now), space is not like this:
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
but instead is like this:
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
(To get a grasp of how fast we have to move even in a low orbit in space, if you stood at the edge of a football field and fired a rifle bullet towards the other end zone at the same time the ISS passed right over you it would have crossed the whole field before the bullet even made it 10 yards). Because of this you can't ever be in the same orbit as something unless you have the same speed, and any attempts to "catch up" to something would just result in your altitude moving you into a higher orbit, which actually slows you down due to some weirdness which is the second thing that you need to know; that when you are in orbit a "lower" altitude rotates you around the object you are orbiting faster than a "higher" one (think back to if you ever spun around in a chair as a kid and pulled your arms/legs in to speed up and then stretched them out to slow down; same physical concept applies here [if you haven't done it before then get yourself a spinny chair and do it now, I won't judge you]). As such in space if you want to "catch up" to something in the same orbit as you the actual process involves first slowing down (thus dropping to a lower orbit that lets you move "faster" around the planet than the target does) and then burning to speed up (thus moving you back to your original altitude to intercept). It's backwards seeming and weird, but that's the way it works.

Now what Lagrange points are are special exceptions that happen when you complicate the problem a little bit from our original assumption. Previously everything I've been saying just assumes you are orbiting around one single body, but in the real world you're actually largely affected by two; the planet you are orbiting directly (say Earth), and the bigger orbit around the Sun. Now let's say I want to build a space station somewhere between the Earth and the Sun so I can fill up my rocket ships there. Obviously i can't keep the station perfectly still without it moving through space, without some speed to give it an orbit around the sun it'll get sucked in! But that's not all, we have a second problem as well. Remember that objects in "lower" orbits move around the object they are orbiting faster than objects in higher orbits? If I just build my spaceport at a lower orbit around the Sun than Earth is at it will therefore quickly "pass" us in orbit around the sun and take off on it's own, rendering it fairly useless if I want to be able to reliably fill up my spaceships there. If I put the spaceport at one of the 5 "Lagrange points" though, then something nice happens; the gravitational forces from the bigger object (the sun) and those from the smaller object (the earth), work against (or with) each other a little bit to change the effective altitude of my orbit, thus causing a change in the "speed" of the orbit at that point to perfectly match that of the smaller object. In other words, if I put my spaceport at any of the Sun-Earth Lagrange points, then it ends up having an orbital time around the sun of 1 year, which is exactly the same as the earth's! This means that we can always be sure that our spaceport is only a short distance away from the earth where we need it to be so we can refuel our spaceships, without it wandering off on it's own due to taking a different amount of time to rotate around the sun than the earth does.

As you can see, this doesn't have anything at all to do with the electromagnetic force at all (barring some sort unified field theory that we haven't gotten around to showing good evidence for yet that unifies them at a low level), and is wholly confined to the forces of gravity, velocity, and momentum.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: x2yzh9 on December 08, 2016, 03:12:38 pm
Magnetic field, you mean? Internalised magnetohydrodynamics causing significant effects at interplanetary distances?[snip]
.
.
.
.
Sounds like you're working on Bronson Alpha/Bellus fictions, or an nuanced offshoot of this meme.  But care to share a link so that I can be corrected?
Yes, you hit the nail on the hammer(thank you), I am talking about internalised magnetohydrodynamics causing such effects. Keep in mind I still havn't gone to college or any college physics
classes yet, I'm struggling at the moment but at least I understand these conceptual forces, I just can't label them properly. The reason I think that works if because of not yet proven unified field theory. Seems to me that a lot of my life growing up I was indeed constantly studying things, and conversing about them with the intellectuals I have in my family related to space stuff, but I've never put any critical thinking into it, even though it's my dream profession to become a physicist of some sort.


As far as those fictions, I know what your talking about. However, my memory may not be suited well, but I distinctly remember there being a huge talk about the andromeda galaxy passing through ours a couple years ago. However, wikipedia lists at 4.5 billion years until that happens, which I found..coincidentally the same approximate time it took the very early earth to form, and extends as far as today approximately which COULD(just a postulation here) do with what we are experiencing;in addition to unified field theory. https://muchadoaboutclimate.wordpress.com/2013/08/03/4-5-billion-years-of-the-earths-temperature/

However, correlation does not equal causation, and from these last two posts I have learned a lot from you guys. Thank you, and i2amroy; My apologies, but I couldn't seem to find a question or anything to answer in there, but I did read it and it has enlightened in those aspects.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dozebôm Lolumzalìs on December 08, 2016, 03:27:56 pm
Oh Armok no, not EU. Please tell me...

...just to make sure, is this electrical or magnetic? The former is utterly nonsensical (neutral charges for all known macroscopic naturally-occuring celestial bodies), the latter is at least hypothetically possible.

Also, the Earth formed in about 10-100 million years. It's been roughly 4.4 billion years since, and that has nothing to do with the ETA of Andromeda. (Also, no stars will actually collide; there'll just be a bunch of stars strewn about, and then life goes on and the galaxies go their own way, somewhat slower than before.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on December 08, 2016, 03:51:26 pm
Oh Armok no, not EU. Please tell me...
yup, same diagnosis here...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Shadowlord on December 08, 2016, 04:03:47 pm
WTF.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: ChairmanPoo on December 08, 2016, 04:21:08 pm
What's "EU"?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on December 08, 2016, 04:22:04 pm
The space age is ending.

John Glenn died.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on December 08, 2016, 04:24:16 pm
What's "EU"?
It's a collection of stars on a flat plane that may or may not collide with each other in the future, depending on some farmer's Unified Fields. There's also multiple pulling strings theories.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Shadowlord on December 08, 2016, 04:31:16 pm
What's "EU"?

Expanded Universe. It was non-canon before, but it's especially non-canon now that Disney has bought the rights to the universe.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on December 08, 2016, 04:35:37 pm
What's "EU"?
Erupted Unguents. It's a really horrible gastrointestinal STI, don't google it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on December 08, 2016, 04:39:27 pm
It's electric universe. Look up Thunderbolts Project. Or don't - might give you a brain aneurysm, depending on how well you paid attention during high school physics classes.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on December 08, 2016, 05:00:53 pm
John Glenn passed away today (http://www.cnn.com/2016/12/08/health/john-glenn-dead/index.html).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: x2yzh9 on December 08, 2016, 05:28:10 pm
Godspeed John Glenn. Godspeed.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheDarkStar on December 08, 2016, 05:57:24 pm
RIP John Glenn.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on December 08, 2016, 08:12:56 pm
Great, first I come in here to make sure folks had heard the sad news about Glenn, then I see EU being discussed and I'm reminded of how goddamn frustrating it was encountering a nest of anti-relativist EU believers.

No, x2yzh9, there is nothing to learn there except how not to propose a hypothesis or how to improperly claim falsification of a theoretical framework. As mentioned above, the insanity of treating electromagnetism as though it had lagrange orbits like gravity does is painful.

Euler-Lagrange points are due to gravity operating on systems which can be closely approximated as three-body systems.

EM use of the term Lagrangian relates to something else, which is full of really pretty mathematics: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lagrangian_(field_theory) (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lagrangian_(field_theory)) and the world would be a much better place if EU morons spent more time actually studying rather than sitting around getting high by zapping their parietal lobe with a cattle prod or something else which would explain the stupidity that emerges from those beliefs.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: x2yzh9 on December 08, 2016, 08:28:30 pm
and the world would be a much better place if EU morons spent more time actually studying rather than sitting around getting high by zapping their parietal lobe with a cattle prod or something else which would explain the stupidity that emerges from those beliefs.
After looking up what the parietal lobe does and functions I am extremely angry(not at anyone here). Who in gods Quintilianth dimension thought that could possibly be a good idea?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on December 08, 2016, 08:42:30 pm
I'm not saying they do that... at least I'm not sure they do it, it was just an example of something stupid that might get across how bad the arguments used by EU supporters are, and hinting that brain damage would be a more comforting explanation than the thought that these people actually believe that nonsense.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Shadowlord on December 08, 2016, 08:46:27 pm
and the world would be a much better place if EU morons spent more time actually studying rather than sitting around getting high by zapping their parietal lobe with a cattle prod or something else which would explain the stupidity that emerges from those beliefs.
After looking up what the parietal lobe does and functions I am extremely angry(not at anyone here). Who in gods Quintilianth dimension thought that could possibly be a good idea?

Friendly, Helpful Advice: Start thinking critically about what you're reading.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on December 08, 2016, 08:58:02 pm
"Einstein is wrong cause fucking magnets, and I don't wanna talk to no scientists."
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Shadowlord on December 08, 2016, 09:17:35 pm
"Fucking magnets, how do they work?"
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on December 08, 2016, 09:57:21 pm
Magnetism doesn't make stars shine, but electric discharges do, of course...  (Also carves out craters on the Moon, rather than asteroid impacts. And electricity powers our laptops, so of course it powers our universe.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: x2yzh9 on December 08, 2016, 10:27:15 pm
Oh Armok no, not EU. Please tell me...

...just to make sure, is this electrical or magnetic? The former is utterly nonsensical (neutral charges for all known macroscopic naturally-occuring celestial bodies), the latter is at least hypothetically possible.

Also, the Earth formed in about 10-100 million years. It's been roughly 4.4 billion years since, and that has nothing to do with the ETA of Andromeda. (Also, no stars will actually collide; there'll just be a bunch of stars strewn about, and then life goes on and the galaxies go their own way, somewhat slower than before.)
Yes, I mean magnetic.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on December 09, 2016, 07:15:33 am
...what?
Starver is engaging in troll logic there to joke, ipsil
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on December 09, 2016, 08:12:27 am
I'm aware, though wouldn't be surprised if that's some of their actual viewpoints.
It is. It actually is. For certain subsets, depending on which rabbitholes their various Alices favour.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on December 09, 2016, 08:13:36 am
Here's a summary:
http://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Electric_Universe
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: redwallzyl on December 09, 2016, 10:22:58 pm
Japan to deploy giant electric space tentacle. (http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2016/12/09/505020386/japan-sends-long-electric-whip-into-orbit-to-tame-space-junk)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on December 09, 2016, 10:40:53 pm
Tractor beams!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on December 09, 2016, 10:45:11 pm
Japan to deploy giant electric space tentacle. (http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2016/12/09/505020386/japan-sends-long-electric-whip-into-orbit-to-tame-space-junk)
Also whalers on the moon fishing nets IIIN SPAAAACE (https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2016-asia-space-race/netting-space-junk.html)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on December 09, 2016, 10:59:58 pm
Japan to deploy giant electric space tentacle. (http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2016/12/09/505020386/japan-sends-long-electric-whip-into-orbit-to-tame-space-junk)
Also whalers on the moon fishing nets IIIN SPAAAACE (https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2016-asia-space-race/netting-space-junk.html)

Getting the bigger stuff out of orbit is great and all, but what about the tiny stuff, especially the too-small-to-track stuff?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on December 10, 2016, 04:18:21 am
We're whalers on the moon, we carry a harpoon, and we wait what?

Small stuff makes me wonder if anybody has ever uttered the term "laser sieve" before?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Eric Blank on December 10, 2016, 04:25:13 am
No, but now that you mention it...

I like this idea. I wonder how long it will take before a bit of debris coincidentally severs the tether though. Murphys law and all that :v
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on December 10, 2016, 06:01:30 am
If something severs the tether it would be a bother but then another clever reliever endeavor will cover with a duumvir (waiting aquiver and uncleavered as it properly outmanoevers the river of blether without error) to deliver the favour as saviour to force come-hither the fractured slivers, no longer together, of the brother striver and driver through the outer aether beyond our more airy set o' weather.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: monkey on December 10, 2016, 08:41:19 am
We're whalers on the moon, we carry a harpoon, and we wait what?

Space fishing is booming! (http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/5/51/Nrol-39.jpg/1024px-Nrol-39.jpg)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Strife26 on December 10, 2016, 05:01:23 pm
I'm actually just finishing up a fairly deep survey of the general space debris problem. Remediation techniques of the flavor of the Japanese type or the ESA e.deorbit type are interesting and could certainly help the field somewhat (of course, the field's current status is so ridiculously unhelped, throwing harsh language at envisat wouldn't hurt anything).

There's two major problems with the on-orbit removal plans, firstly they're innately limited in number. As SMJ mentioned, there's a ton of smaller stuff, and at orbital speeds, all of it starts at hitting like a bullet and only into bomb sized from there.

The second issue is the fact that space debris is still owned by the country (or successor country) of whomever put it up. The cosmos satellite that skoshed iridium 33 a few years back was still Russian property, even if it was defunct. And, for some strange reason, nations are real iffy about people practicing tentacle-based ASAT warfare on their stuff.


Once the presentation gets dropped online, I'll share it here.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dozebôm Lolumzalìs on December 10, 2016, 05:20:50 pm
But wouldn't they want their spacecraft back? "I'll let you perform awful Cthulhu-ian acts on my spacecraft, just give it back afterward." Lol.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on December 10, 2016, 06:01:57 pm
I think it goes back to the whole problem where nobody wants to fight a war in orbit, but lots of the laws and such up there would make more sense if certain things could be done, so we're stuck with a lot of weird throwbacks, like the whole "USSR owned stuff when the USSR doesn't even exist, so it's passed on to Russia but they don't care unless you want to screw with it" situation, and no Orion drives either.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sneakey pete on December 10, 2016, 06:25:40 pm
To be fair fully intact but out of control satellites aren't really the biggest issue, in terms of trying to get rid of them. if I recall correctly the only reason those two collided was calculation errors on their location. Its the smaller stuff that matters most. You can't track, it you can't avoid it. Not to say removing old ones isnt important.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Strife26 on December 10, 2016, 06:27:15 pm
But wouldn't they want their spacecraft back? "I'll let you perform awful Cthulhu-ian acts on my spacecraft, just give it back afterward." Lol.

Well, the idea of bringing objects down is very much outside economic viability. Then you're at a survivable reentry for everything.

Not even a destructive reentry would be safe, because if the reentry managed to scatter Soviet-era chunks of a rtg across the world, the liability situation would be very complex, with blame possibly being assigned to Russia, the Japanese company, Japan, the country where the rocket was launched from, or the country that launched the kubo module of the iss.

Current international agreements basically have corporations doing whatever, provided they're overseen and authorized by their own country.

To say it's a clusterfuck without precedent to work from is  accurate.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Strife26 on December 10, 2016, 07:03:50 pm
To be fair fully intact but out of control satellites aren't really the biggest issue, in terms of trying to get rid of them. if I recall correctly the only reason those two collided was calculation errors on their location. Its the smaller stuff that matters most. You can't track, it you can't avoid it. Not to say removing old ones isnt important.

You're partially correct. Exactly why the iridium-cosmos collision happened is a matter of blame that everyone has been happy to avoid (fourtunately, the iridium launched from Russia, so it could totally be considered a purely Russian matter from certain standpoints).

Unfortunately, conjunction assessment itself is a very imprecise science. Tracking objects over a certain size is mostly solved, with limitations based on limited assets. Predicting where they're going to be at point of closest approach is much more difficult. These days, the height of ca technology is probably a Rosary and a good Catholic doing Hail Maries.

And as an aside, the current level of conjunction analysis and data is almost entirely done via the American taxpayer, provided to anyone who has shit in space.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: x2yzh9 on December 10, 2016, 07:32:10 pm
Well, I feel politics is gonna have to play into this at some point. Conflicts in space are something that should be avoided, and that's one of the reasons I think the original outer space treaty was formed, so say Russia getting mad for another country clearing space debris could be, while seeming a minor thing, most definitely lead to effects. If japan's going to do this, they need to bring it to the United Nations and before the security Council as well.

This is all just my opinion, as well.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on December 10, 2016, 08:39:24 pm
Of course, Japan has a history of rockets sent up to grab other nations' spacecraft...  (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/You_Only_Live_Twice_(film))

;)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Strife26 on December 10, 2016, 10:22:17 pm
Well, I feel politics is gonna have to play into this at some point. Conflicts in space are something that should be avoided, and that's one of the reasons I think the original outer space treaty was formed, so say Russia getting mad for another country clearing space debris could be, while seeming a minor thing, most definitely lead to effects. If japan's going to do this, they need to bring it to the United Nations and before the security Council as well.

This is all just my opinion, as well.

For Japan (or a Japanese company, which is considered Japan under the authorize and oversee parts of the outer space treaty), their obligations for a deorbit mission that's targeting their own or unowned stuff would only be the duty to warn everyone if they were doing something dangerous to the space environment. The penalty for skipping this requirement is only the risk of getting called out on the international stage, which doesn't really matter. Here's looking at you, Fengyun.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on December 22, 2016, 06:33:04 am
More on the EM-drive

China says they have a prototype in space on their new Tiandong-2 space station that they are actively testing.  So far, they claim positive thrust results.

https://translate.google.com/translate?hl=en&sl=zh-CN&tl=en&u=http%3A%2F%2Fdigitalpaper.stdaily.com%2Fhttp_www.kjrb.com%2Fkjrb%2Fhtml%2F2016-12%2F11%2Fcontent_357004.htm%3Fdiv%3D-1
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on December 22, 2016, 06:38:02 am
With the amount of academic corruption in China, including on the original EM drive paper, I remain skeptical.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on January 02, 2017, 07:31:11 pm
SpaceX finally figured out what went wrong. Scott Manley has a good video explaining it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Shadowlord on January 02, 2017, 07:51:35 pm
What went wrong with what?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on January 02, 2017, 08:01:14 pm
Their rocket that excploded
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on January 02, 2017, 08:02:42 pm
Idk about EmDrive, but if anyone thinks emDrive is totally the bomb and cold fusion is complete bunk, you really need to read the relevent literature:
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg23130910-300-cold-fusion-sciences-most-controversial-technology-is-back/
25 years of media/scientific establishment pressure hasn't killed cold fusion, and the US government is convinced enough that they continue to pour money and research effort in. Then you have plenty of respected physicists around the world who have done experiments that seem to back it up:
http://phys.org/news/2008-05-physicist-real-cold-fusion.html
That's not to mention that the US Navy's Office of Naval Research did 10 years of experiments on it and claim to have positive results.

An interesting new take is that it's not fusion at all, so no new physics is needed, but what happens is that via some known but obscure physics (Ponderomotive forces), cause neutron to break away from light atoms such as deuterium and transferred into the metal lattice. This might explain why there is evidence of transmutation / tritium etc but not of gamma rays and other expected fusion products ... It's a form of nuclear process, but it is neither fusion nor fission.
https://animpossibleinvention.com/2015/10/15/swedish-scientists-claim-lenr-explanation-break-through/
The sources are in Swedish so I can't really verify the linked sources.

So, if all those different groups around the world are doing experiments on low-energy nuclear reactions claiming positive results and it's all just bunk, then I wouldn't say the evidence for emDrive is good either.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on January 02, 2017, 08:15:21 pm
They're probably both complete bunk. Obviously people will (and should) grasp at any straw that would allow us to violate all known standards and acquire ULTIMATE POWER over the universe, but actually holding your breath for any such thing is a grand waste of time.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on January 03, 2017, 07:17:42 am
What went wrong with what?
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: inteuniso on January 03, 2017, 06:30:47 pm
They're probably both complete bunk. Obviously people will (and should) grasp at any straw that would allow us to violate all known standards and acquire ULTIMATE POWER over the universe, but actually holding your breath for any such thing is a grand waste of time.

I don't see anything wrong with it. It's just like having a wind chime with the ends closed. And you're using an energy transmitter instead of a gong. Still pretty basic mechanics though.

As for electromagnetic-wave attractions, it's not surprising when you consider that electromagnetism should impart some degree of said magnetism on whatever it passes through. I'm glad someone else did the math on it. I imagine that the energy produced from neutron transfer will be a happy byproduct in a hot fusion reaction, or something used for low-power space applications. Comm buoys or somesuch.

On the fusion note, I wonder when we'll finally notice that functionalized graphene is still carbon and use it to make some steel for fusion reactors. Should definitely be able to withstand the temperatures.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on January 03, 2017, 10:22:22 pm
My take on the EM-Drive?

Does not violate any rules, and there IS an exhaust, just not a kind that interacts strongly with the enclosure.


Possible case 1:
Ambient neutrinos given slight push in favored direction because neutrinos have a small magnetic moment, and are massed. Interact only with the magnetic properties of the cavity induced by the high Q oscillation, and not with the cavity wall, and thus pass right through after the interaction.

Possible case 2:
Device is acting like a weaksauce magnetic horn, and is redirecting muons produced from cosmic particle interactions in the upper atmosphere to be given a preferred vector, some of which decay into neutrinos and pass through the back of the device uninhibited. Momentum transferred to the muons is conserved during decay into neutrinos, and is not reabsorbed by the back of the chamber, (because neutrinos interact with atomic nuclei only very weakly), giving a slight push to the chamber.


Suggestions:

Place device in close proximity to a strong source of nuclear decay products, (previously mentioned pions and neutrinos) and see if the quality of thrust goes up in relation to flux densities of these ambient particles.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Putnam on January 04, 2017, 05:30:06 am
Doesn't a magnetic moment require interaction with the electromagnetic force, which neutrinos do not have (seriously, the margins of error on them having it are hilariously small)?

(because neutrinos interact with atomic nuclei only very weakly)

Nono, just weakly. Weak interaction. W and Z bosons and all that.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on January 04, 2017, 07:39:59 am
If they are Dirac neutrinos, they have a magnetic moment proportional to their mass.

http://nucla.physics.ucla.edu/sites/default/files/NeutrinoMagneticMoment_2012Nov8.pdf
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on January 04, 2017, 08:30:50 am
You know for a long time we weren't sure they had a mass, much less if they are Dirac rather than Majorana particles, so if it was as simple a thing to interact with them and produce measurable thrust with a microwave cavity as the EM-drive would seem to imply in your scenario, a lot of experimental physicists need to resign in shame.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on January 04, 2017, 08:40:24 am
The thrust levels produced by the EM-Drive are VERY VERY small. That this is hard to determine as a signal "at all" (many assert that the signal is just noise, and that upon closer inspection, it will vanish statistically) is kind what makes me suspect such a very small interaction potential.

The big test is to put a strong beta emitter near the cavity to see if the thrust increases. (a product of beta decay is neutrino emission. A fast decaying beta emitter, like tritium gas, would be ideal.)

If the mostly pure neutrino variable turns out null, putting it in proximity to a strong source of pions (like a fission reactor) would test possible scenario 2 adequately.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on January 04, 2017, 08:49:09 am
They tested it in a vaccuum and faced it in several directions. Each time, the thrist came out the nozzle.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on January 04, 2017, 09:03:23 am
That is the preferred vector.

The question is "whence thrust?"

There is seemingly nothing being expelled from the device, so where is the momentum coming from? With WHAT is the chamber interacting?


I offered 2 possible candidates, and how to test them. 

In the case of the redirected neutrinos, increasing ambient neutrino flux (by addition of a small capsule of compressed tritium inside the chamber, which is not electrically involved in the supposed action taking place other than just being a source of neutrinos, passively) would increase the number of neutrinos being interacted with, even if "rate" of interaction was unchanged, resulting in an increase in thrust.

In the case of high energy pions getting through the thin cavity wall, interacting with the magnetic properties of the oscillation, and decaying before they can collide with the back of the cavity-- increasing the local supply of pions (which are normally very short lived-- the ones we get as background come from very high energy collisions in the upper atmosphere, and only live a few seconds, due to their nearly relativistic velocities) would increase thrust values. You can get a very prominent increase in these particle concentrations by putting the test article near to a nuclear reactor. (they get emitted in all directions from the reactor when it is turned on, and operating.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on January 04, 2017, 02:29:10 pm
Ok but, the planet has a magnetic field which rotates within a constant flux of solar neutrinos, if there were a magnetic moment to the neutrino which could be measured on the scale of an EM drive chamber, I'm pretty sure there would be a noticeable effect on the structure and behavior of the terrestrial, and probably jovian fields as well.

Every single neutrino that passes through the planet makes at least two trips through the densest parts of these fields, so it would need to be small enough an effect that it wouldn't show up as any sort of wiggle room in any observations and theoretical explanations of said fields, yet a couple feet of weak EM fields are sufficient to deflect them enough to produce thrust?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on January 04, 2017, 04:12:51 pm
or, any effect cancels out due to a symmetrical field.

The field inside the EM-Drive is (claimed to be) asymetrical, due to its pointy shape.

A better question, is if the magnetic horn accelerators used to accelerate muons to create neutrino beams for the NOvA experiment creates "anomalous" thrust.

https://www-nova.fnal.gov/how-nova-works.html
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on January 04, 2017, 04:48:11 pm
In fairness, if neutrinos do cause magnetic thrust, we've just been observing that since the first time we ever observed the planetary fields and might not be able to discern the difference. Or the symmetry argument. Or the micronewton thrust isn't enough to cause any meaningful deformation, even on these scales.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on January 04, 2017, 05:18:31 pm
A magnetosphere is not as symmetrical as you might think, and there would be some notice of an anomalous deflection of neutrinos here on Earth, most likely with an identifiable relation to the rotation of the planet, or some effect on the structure of the various fields we've been directly observing over the decades if there was a significant magnetic moment to the neutrino.

http://www.mps.mpg.de/planetary-science/planetary-plasma-environment

There isn't room for a theoretical model to fit like that and still produce thrust with such a small input, if the effect only arises under specific and extremely constrained conditions and demands whole new physics to explain, the most likely explanation is that your experiment was poorly designed and/or your observations were flawed, not that we have tapped into pathway towards a cheap neutrino rocket.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on January 04, 2017, 05:29:24 pm
Unfortunately, we retain And Yet It Moves all the same. Let's hope it's not an easy gateway to ultimate power though, since China is doing their space test first.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on January 04, 2017, 05:47:26 pm
Yeah, but a weird effect from the EM chamber, even one as out there as it more or less pushing against spacetime somehow isn't quite as wild as it pushing against neutrinos with a magnetic field would be.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MrWiggles on January 04, 2017, 08:40:11 pm
I'd be willing to bet that China claim is fraudulent.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dozebôm Lolumzalìs on January 05, 2017, 12:48:47 pm
Unfortunately, we retain And Yet It Moves all the same. Let's hope it's not an easy gateway to ultimate power though, since China is doing their space test first.
They'll probably just falsify it. :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TempAcc on January 09, 2017, 08:15:47 am
In other, more plausible news, nasa has combined two navigation devices into a single device that could enable x-ray communications in space (https://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/2016/nasa-s-navcube-could-support-an-x-ray-communications-demonstration-in-space-a-nasa-first), allowing for much easier x-ray ranging and x-ray communication, since you can encode data bits using x-ray signals using a modulated x-ray emitter.

Space internet may be a thing.

Also, I like how x-ray communications is called "XCOM" :U
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on January 09, 2017, 10:00:10 am
VIGILO CONFIDO
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Strife26 on January 14, 2017, 02:13:36 pm
As promised, here's the final report my team and I did (I'm the person advancing slides). It's about space debris and collisions, somewhat from the State Department's perspective, starting at the 58:30 point in the video.

https://vimeo.com/196690189 (https://vimeo.com/196690189)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on February 02, 2017, 02:08:47 pm
So, this Oklahoma Rep. Jim Bridenstine wants to run NASA (http://thehill.com/blogs/congress-blog/politics/317580-jim-bridenstine-for-nasa-administrator).

Before people go off screaming 'AAAHH!!! REPUBLICAN!! AAHHH!!', he does have an interest in space and has an ambitious vision for going back to the Moon.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on February 02, 2017, 02:39:32 pm
Well, it seems he wants to make space and moon exploration/colonization a economic enterprise, which could then make it grow bigger.

Most of the time, people go where the money is and if this indeed could give economic benefits to business then by all means do it.

I like how it's a more pragmatic, realistic proposal instead of simply going there to go there, and futuristic plans and fantasy that always are postponed to the future.

Specially like how the Moon is targeted before going for Mars as it logically should be.

Now, having saying all that, all I have left to say is 'AAAHH!!! REPUBLICAN!! AAHHH!!'


EDIT:
"This is also the first step for manned missions deeper into our solar system. A permanent human presence on other celestial bodies requires in situ resource utilization. The Moon, with its three-day emergency journey back to Earth, represents the best place to learn, train, and develop the necessary technologies and techniques for in situ resource utilization and an eventual long term human presence on Mars."
Holly crap it's exactly my points, which I have been stating in this thread for a long time. I do hope he get's the job.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on February 02, 2017, 02:42:30 pm
Lol, while I don't like the commercialization of space, you can only profit so much from exploration and science. Plus someone is going to be mining the resources at some point.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on February 02, 2017, 02:52:07 pm
"Fortunately, the Space Launch System and Orion will start testing in 2018. This system, with a commercial lander, could quickly place machines and robots on the Moon to begin the cis-lunar economy. With the right presidential guidance, humans could return in short order as well; this time, to stay."

While I do like the commercialization (since it would bring a big push), I don't quite like the fact he's trying to do so by forming a Confederacy of Independent Systems, surely this will bring trouble to the Republic.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on February 02, 2017, 03:07:06 pm
"Fortunately, the Space Launch System and Orion will start testing in 2018. This system, with a commercial lander, could quickly place machines and robots on the Moon to begin the cis-lunar economy. With the right presidential guidance, humans could return in short order as well; this time, to stay."

While I do like the commercialization (since it would bring a big push), I don't quite like the fact he's trying to do so by forming a Confederacy of Independent Systems, surely this will bring trouble to the Republic.

Inter-system politics is something that will happen eventually.

It's no different from having a bunch of colonies on Earth, except their in space, and offworld.

Realistically though, considering the distances involved, there's going to be a degree of political independence.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on February 02, 2017, 03:09:23 pm
"Fortunately, the Space Launch System and Orion will start testing in 2018. This system, with a commercial lander, could quickly place machines and robots on the Moon to begin the cis-lunar economy. With the right presidential guidance, humans could return in short order as well; this time, to stay."

While I do like the commercialization (since it would bring a big push), I don't quite like the fact he's trying to do so by forming a Confederacy of Independent Systems, surely this will bring trouble to the Republic.

Inter-system politics is something that will happen eventually.

It's no different from having a bunch of colonies on Earth, except their in space, and offworld.

Realistically though, considering the distances involved, there's going to be a degree of political independence.
As long they don't build up a droid army we'll be fine.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Teneb on February 02, 2017, 03:12:05 pm
"Fortunately, the Space Launch System and Orion will start testing in 2018. This system, with a commercial lander, could quickly place machines and robots on the Moon to begin the cis-lunar economy. With the right presidential guidance, humans could return in short order as well; this time, to stay."

While I do like the commercialization (since it would bring a big push), I don't quite like the fact he's trying to do so by forming a Confederacy of Independent Systems, surely this will bring trouble to the Republic.

Inter-system politics is something that will happen eventually.

It's no different from having a bunch of colonies on Earth, except their in space, and offworld.

Realistically though, considering the distances involved, there's going to be a degree of political independence.
As long they don't build up a droid army we'll be fine.
Mars delenda est.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TempAcc on February 02, 2017, 03:18:20 pm
Inb4 mars orgies.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on February 02, 2017, 08:58:11 pm
"Fortunately, the Space Launch System and Orion will start testing in 2018. This system, with a commercial lander, could quickly place machines and robots on the Moon to begin the cis-lunar economy. With the right presidential guidance, humans could return in short order as well; this time, to stay."

While I do like the commercialization (since it would bring a big push), I don't quite like the fact he's trying to do so by forming a Confederacy of Independent Systems, surely this will bring trouble to the Republic.
Waaaait, cis-lunar... republican... what are they saying there?

"I believe all docking interfaces should be male-to-female connections, as Spacejesus wanted."
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on February 03, 2017, 12:52:32 am
They are saying they will never sanction the attempted docking with the garbage chute.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on February 03, 2017, 12:55:17 am
"Fortunately, the Space Launch System and Orion will start testing in 2018. This system, with a commercial lander, could quickly place machines and robots on the Moon to begin the cis-lunar economy. With the right presidential guidance, humans could return in short order as well; this time, to stay."

While I do like the commercialization (since it would bring a big push), I don't quite like the fact he's trying to do so by forming a Confederacy of Independent Systems, surely this will bring trouble to the Republic.
Waaaait, cis-lunar... republican... what are they saying there?

"I believe all docking interfaces should be male-to-female connections, as Spacejesus wanted."

a native-lunar economy. ie an economy that was lunar to begin with.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on February 03, 2017, 12:56:38 am
Save the native lunarians! (giggle)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on February 03, 2017, 01:58:11 am
"Fortunately, the Space Launch System and Orion will start testing in 2018. This system, with a commercial lander, could quickly place machines and robots on the Moon to begin the cis-lunar economy. With the right presidential guidance, humans could return in short order as well; this time, to stay."

While I do like the commercialization (since it would bring a big push), I don't quite like the fact he's trying to do so by forming a Confederacy of Independent Systems, surely this will bring trouble to the Republic.
Waaaait, cis-lunar... republican... what are they saying there?

"I believe all docking interfaces should be male-to-female connections, as Spacejesus wanted."

a native-lunar economy. ie an economy that was lunar to begin with.
We need to keep the illegal immigrants off our clean virgin soil... well, er, dusty regoliths, spacers go home!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on February 03, 2017, 02:12:45 pm
It was a starwars joke.
- CIS (http://starwars.wikia.com/wiki/Confederacy_of_independent_systems)
- The Republic (http://starwars.wikia.com/wiki/Galactic_Republic)

You monsters forced me to explain the joke! I hope you are all proud and happy! >:(
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on February 03, 2017, 08:04:34 pm
It was a starwars joke.
- CIS (http://starwars.wikia.com/wiki/Confederacy_of_independent_systems)
- The Republic (http://starwars.wikia.com/wiki/Galactic_Republic)

You monsters forced me to explain the joke! I hope you are all proud and happy! >:(
I am proud of being so ironic that my ironic misunderstanding forced an explanation, yes.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on February 16, 2017, 02:56:49 pm
Analysis of the data sent by the Dawn probe (which has been orbiting Ceres since spring 2015) has shown that organic materials and liquid water, as well as various salts and ammonia-rich minerals are present on Ceres, the largest planetoid in the planetoid belt. The prescence of water came as a surpirse. Most of it is frozen, slightly below the surface and on the bottom of deep craters, but with near certainty, there also is liquid water in the form of an underground ocean.
Measurements with an infrared-spectograph has shown the prescence of organic compounds, mostly concentrated near the Ernutet crater.

Which organic compounds exactly are present is hard to say, according to Italian planetary researcher Crisitina de Sanctis and her colleagues.
But in their article in Science, they do say that all signs point to the present of carbohydrate chain molecules.
It is unlikely that those molecules, being rather vulnerable, were formed in space and impacted. They must have been formed on Ceres itself.

In a commentary on the article in Science, ESA-researcher Michael Küppers says the prescence of both water and organic molecules seems to indicate that primitive life has formed on Ceres at some point. Which would be very appropriate, with Ceres being the Roman godess of fertility and motherly relationships.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on February 16, 2017, 03:56:05 pm
Hrm: http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.aaj2305 isn't working for some reason, but it's the same link given in all the stories I can find about it: https://www.sciencenews.org/article/ceres-harbors-homegrown-organic-compounds
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on February 16, 2017, 08:02:53 pm
Quote

Abstract

Organic compounds occur in some chondritic meteorites, and their signatures on solar system bodies have been sought for decades. Spectral signatures of organics have not been unambiguously identified on the surfaces of asteroids, whereas they have been detected on cometary nuclei. Data returned by the Visible and InfraRed Mapping Spectrometer on board the Dawn spacecraft show a clear detection of an organic absorption feature at 3.4 micrometers on dwarf planet Ceres. This signature is characteristic of aliphatic organic matter and is mainly localized on a broad region of ~1000 square kilometers close to the ~50-kilometer Ernutet crater. The combined presence on Ceres of ammonia-bearing hydrated minerals, water ice, carbonates, salts, and organic material indicates a very complex chemical environment, suggesting favorable environments to prebiotic chemistry.


Actual article is paywalled.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on February 22, 2017, 01:17:46 pm
The TRAPPIST telescope has discovered 7 earth-sized planets around a red dwarf only 40 lightyears away, 3 of which are in the sweet spot.
https://youtu.be/QSFcQFoHXiU

How long would it take an unmanned probe with current propulsion technology (nuclear pulse included for all I care) to accelerate to near lightspeed? Could we get a probe there within 100 years?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Strife26 on February 22, 2017, 01:24:29 pm
No, unfortunately.

The fastest man made object is the Juno prone, which is going something like .0001 c, orders of magnitude less than we'd need for that time frame.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on February 22, 2017, 01:26:42 pm
The Guardian article: https://www.theguardian.com/science/2017/feb/22/thrilling-discovery-of-seven-earth-sized-planets-discovered-orbiting-trappist-1-star

The thing though is that they'd likely be tidally locked, which would make things harsher for life, but certainly not impossible. However, given that the planets orbit so closely together, I wonder if the perturbations would be enough to keep them rotating.

Also, is that star a known flare star? Red dwarf stars are notorious for throwing massive flares.

No, unfortunately.

Yeah, 100 years is the estimated for the Alpha Centauri system which is around 4 light years away, this one is 39-40 light years away.

edit: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TRAPPIST-1 The star is apparently a very young star, only about 500 million years old, so, if there IS life on there, the most we could expect to find is something resembling the primitive life forms that evolved on early Earth. There's evidence that life started extremely quickly, so, chances are good we could find something there, given the right conditions.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sluissa on February 22, 2017, 01:34:47 pm
Nemesis? (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nemesis_%28Asimov_novel%29?wprov=sfla1)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on February 22, 2017, 01:38:43 pm
Nemesis? (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nemesis_%28Asimov_novel%29?wprov=sfla1)

The thing is 39-40 light years away and if it WERE to pass close by the sun, it wouldn't for millions of years.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on February 22, 2017, 03:53:44 pm
Neato! Hopefully we can get some of our space telescopes to examine them for a long period and get some spectral analysis of the planets themselves.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TempAcc on February 22, 2017, 04:04:31 pm
If the planets are stable (have an atmosphere, are not irradiated as all infinite hell, etc), then ye, it might have primitive life on it, since life on earth is suspected to have started pretty damn fast once the right conditions were in place.

Hopefuly they aren't tidal locked rocks or colder versions of venus.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 22, 2017, 04:08:57 pm
Trying to use a simple online relativistic calculator (doesn't do return journeys, although it does do the half-accelerate, half-decelerate thing) to save time debugging my own calculations, it appears as if if we can get a probe to consistently accelerate (then decelerate, symmetrically) at 0.2g for just under 50 of our own years, it would travel those 40ly, with an assumed similar time to sample-return for the next half of that century.  (On-board time would be 20-odd years, per direction, as it tops out at 98ish% of SoL each time. -  Remember to design the antenna/transeiver stuff to deal with the redshift/blueshift, if you're wanting contact mid-flight!)

0.02g would give just under 97 years (70% SoL at midway, 85 years on-board), but that doesn't factor the wait for the return transmission, so an 0.08g acc/deceleration cycle is just under 60 years (40 years on-board, 92.6% SoL max), ready for the 40yr return transmission.

(Coasting, for a period at max velocity, is easily calculable but introduces another level of arbitrary vagueness to the mission parameters unless you have any definite constraints in mind.)

But now you have try to design that mission, with suitable reaction mass (rocket equation madness!) and/or a handwavium-type reactionless drive such as is still far from confirmed and with both sufficient power and effect. And to operate and control itself appropriately for several decades, not even including the investigative payload, whatever that is...  ;)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on February 22, 2017, 04:29:28 pm
Neato! Hopefully we can get some of our space telescopes to examine them for a long period and get some spectral analysis of the planets themselves.
The US Kepler telescope has in fact been observing the same system since late 2016. It's data will become available on the 6th of march.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on February 22, 2017, 08:15:14 pm
The Guardian article: https://www.theguardian.com/science/2017/feb/22/thrilling-discovery-of-seven-earth-sized-planets-discovered-orbiting-trappist-1-star

The thing though is that they'd likely be tidally locked, which would make things harsher for life, but certainly not impossible. However, given that the planets orbit so closely together, I wonder if the perturbations would be enough to keep them rotating.

Also, is that star a known flare star? Red dwarf stars are notorious for throwing massive flares.
Given the age it is weird that it rotates as slowly as it does, but that would lead one to think it is unlikely to flare much if at all, though we're still investigating the causes of stellar flares.

Fun word for the day: Magnetohydrodynamics!

"The study of the magnetic properties of electrically conducting fluids. Examples [...] include plasmas," sounds like a fun field to me!

"What do you want to study when you grow up, Billy?"
'The dynamics of dense fluids composed of tiny little magnets, oh and the magnets are on fire!'
"Uh... good luck with that?"
Yeah, 100 years is the estimated for the Alpha Centauri system which is around 4 light years away, this one is 39-40 light years away.

edit: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TRAPPIST-1 The star is apparently a very young star, only about 500 million years old, so, if there IS life on there, the most we could expect to find is something resembling the primitive life forms that evolved on early Earth. There's evidence that life started extremely quickly, so, chances are good we could find something there, given the right conditions.
This is weird but kinda more exciting because it isn't just a red dwarf, it's a young and very cool dwarf at the lower end of the Red Dwarf scale, 2550~ Kelvins and 0.08 Solar Masses when Red Dwarf stars can go up to 4000 Kelvins and 0.5 Solar Masses.

Spoiler (click to show/hide)
Neat setting material for sci fi though, finally a story setting where you could look up and actually resolve other planets as discs without making astronomy nerds everywhere cringe *cough*looking at you, Predators*cough* and enjoy playing with the possibilities there.

A neat possibility would be if one of the planets had a large enough moon to keep the night side from freezing entirely due to tidal smushing, so the atmosphere didn't end up snowed out and frozen in place.

Don't think there would be enough light reflecting off the other planets to influence life cycles much, but it could probably have a similar sort of influence that full moons and new moons have on nocturnal hunting I think?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on February 23, 2017, 12:31:46 am
http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-39034050

They found a small star 40 light years away that has 7 Earth-like planets in inner orbits, at least three should be in the habitable zone of that star. The star's low intensity means that we can see them clearer so they're hopeful that can get spectrography readings for what's in the atmospheres. That star is a really good research candidate.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheDarkStar on February 23, 2017, 12:37:13 am
A neat possibility would be if one of the planets had a large enough moon to keep the night side from freezing entirely due to tidal smushing, so the atmosphere didn't end up snowed out and frozen in place.

Don't think there would be enough light reflecting off the other planets to influence life cycles much, but it could probably have a similar sort of influence that full moons and new moons have on nocturnal hunting I think?

I doubt there are moons around the tidally-locked planets. Over large amounts of time, moons end up tidally locked to planets, but if the planet is already tidally locked then the the only places that the moon could still be gravitationally bound the the planet and still be tidally locked would be the Lagrange points which aren't especially stable (or close to the planet).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on February 23, 2017, 12:44:34 am
http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-39034050

They found a small star 40 light years away that has 7 Earth-like planets in inner orbits, at least three should be in the habitable zone of that star. The star's low intensity means that we can see them clearer so they're hopeful that can get spectrography readings for what's in the atmospheres. That star is a really good research candidate.
This has been the topic of the past 10 posts.
Ninja.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: tonnot98 on February 23, 2017, 01:03:08 am
http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-39034050

They found a small star 40 light years away that has 7 Earth-like planets in inner orbits, at least three should be in the habitable zone of that star. The star's low intensity means that we can see them clearer so they're hopeful that can get spectrography readings for what's in the atmospheres. That star is a really good research candidate.
This has been the topic of the past 10 posts.
Ninja.
By 10 others.

Anyway, it's great because if we can only travel at light speed, it's still a feasible travel location!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 23, 2017, 08:23:33 am
I doubt there are moons around the tidally-locked planets. Over large amounts of time, moons end up tidally locked to planets, but if the planet is already tidally locked then the the only places that the moon could still be gravitationally bound the the planet and still be tidally locked would be the Lagrange points which aren't especially stable (or close to the planet).
The Earth is not tidally locked to the Moon which is tidally locked to it.

The complications of the Sun's towards-a-tidal-lock-upon-Earth influence also affecting the lunar orbit isn't inconsequential, but I don't think there's any technical reason why a moon can't be orbiting a planet, locked to it, whilst the planet is orbiting the star and locked to said star.

(Note that L1 and L2 (also L3) are unstable points of equilibria, so I would not expect a natural 'perma-conjuction/opposition' to form up. L4/5 are loosely stable, but expect a 'kidney-bean' orbit without artificial efforts to place the moons into the ioscelesal third point, effectively ±60° off in the same orbit.   All this vastly complicated by the masses of the moons (a factor not usually significant with spacecraft, in their perturbation of the barycentre of all three objects), and of course the additional planets (and moons) co-orbiting in dissimilar resonances complicate things even further.  If there are L4/5 moons, in principle, then I expect them to occasionally 'defect' - if not get thrown away beyond any planet's momentary 'ownership'.  Seven significant planets in narrow orbits probably already jostle around and 'migrate', their ancillary satellites little more than chaff on the stellar winds, but I've yet to look at the specifics so far discovered about this system. And smarter minds than mine will have already shoved all available data through countless analyses that are beyond even my own imagination, never mind expertise.)

It would be tricky to get non-mutual/cascading locking, but less tricky than any three-body locking [well, two-body and the star yet to be dragged to a rotation matching its subordinate partners... that last step will probably take longer than the system has 'life' for]. I think, more likely, would be that chaotic degeneration of any star-planet-moon system, as described, before the planet locks to star.  But it would benefit from some many simulations of wide ranging and contrived setups, to be sure.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on February 23, 2017, 02:01:38 pm
I doubt there are moons around the tidally-locked planets. Over large amounts of time, moons end up tidally locked to planets, but if the planet is already tidally locked then the the only places that the moon could still be gravitationally bound the the planet and still be tidally locked would be the Lagrange points which aren't especially stable (or close to the planet).
This system hasn't had a large amount of time yet, it looks to be like half a billion years old apparently.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on February 24, 2017, 08:52:13 am
The system is comparable in size to Jupiter and its Galilean moons, only with the central object 80 times and the satellites ~10E12 times as massive. The only reason it's stable as it is, is due to orbital resonances all planets are in. There's no way you could plop anything into any Lagrange point and expect it to stay there. The dynamic stability of L4&5 is only a solution of a restricted 3-body problem, and this system doesn't qualify as such.

A moon that actually orbits a planet would have to be within its Hill sphere, so a bit closer than L1&2. Since a moon that is tidally-locked to a planet which is tidally-locked to its star would have to be in either of those points, it tells us that:
- there can't be such a moon in this system
- any moons the planets might actually have will orbit them closer than L1&2, which means they will orbit faster than the planet rotates, which means that the moons are destined to collide with any planet that might have them, within geological timescales*

This in turn means that either the planets don't have moons, or will eventually not have moons.

*these are likely to be relatively short, since the Hill spheres for all planets are between 1/2 and 1/10th of the Earth-Moon distance, so tidal interactions would be intense - the larger the satellite, the stronger.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 24, 2017, 10:06:01 am
There's no way you could plop anything into any Lagrange point and expect it to stay there.
I agree with this, and said as much, and therefore assume you weren't replying to me.

Quote
The dynamic stability of L4&5 is only a solution of a restricted 3-body problem, and this system doesn't qualify as such.
Ditto.

Quote
A moon that actually orbits a planet would have to be within its Hill sphere, so a bit closer than L1&2. Since a moon that is tidally-locked to a planet which is tidally-locked to its star would have to be in either of those points, it tells us that:
- there can't be such a moon in this system
I disagreed on this point, omitting to give the main reason to assume that a freely orbiting (whether or not tidally-locked) moon would tidally drag the planet (towards spinning at the rate of once per local 'lunar month', sidereally, I think that is), to at some point counteract the slower solar-tidal-drag (once per solar year, likewise).  In an otherwise stable and long-lived (three-body!) solution, the ultimate convergence would be upon a rate of spin somewhere between the two (probably related to ratios of the masses; distances seem to cancel out, in my basic headcalculations...)

Quote
- any moons the planets might actually have will orbit them closer than L1&2, which means they will orbit faster than the planet rotates, which means that the moons are destined to collide with any planet that might have them, within geological timescales*
That's a point I can't argue with. The faster Earth is lending orbital velocity to the Moon and sending it outwards, but 'getting close to annual rotation' planets are doubtless buying back the potential.  That'd be fun to watch, the proximity rendering the moon-mass no longer stable as a whole body, creating a close ring that eventually starts to bombard around the equator, with various other interesting after-effects to both lithosphere and atmosphere.  Maybe.

Quote
This in turn means that either the planets don't have moons, or will eventually not have moons.
Eventually, the Earth wouldn't have a Moon, if not for Sol's middle-age spread getting in on the act and disrupting things.. In a multibody system, already with suspected resonances, an equivalent time-scale might well rearrange any moons there are (assuming that at least one of the planets isn't a conglomeration of 'spare moons', or proto-moon/proto-planet/prior-collision-debris that (literally!) gravitated towards a meeting at some suitable resonance), but there could be a temporary arrangement (on stellar terms) that can still inspire and even outlast a pretty sharpish civilisation.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on February 24, 2017, 10:18:40 am
It's interesting how close all these planets are. According to Scott Manley , the ratio of infrared light to visible light would be like standing on earth at dusk, but as warm as midday.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on February 25, 2017, 02:12:58 pm
Also, a tidally locked planet wouldn't necessarily have its atmosphere snow out. Venus experiences days longer than its years, yet its atmosphere essentially rotates approximately every 4 Earth days. Thermodynamics drives global winds from the warmer day side across the cooler night side and back.

A planet experiencing such constant, strong global winds presents challenges of its own to life, but not insurmountable I think.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on February 25, 2017, 02:21:45 pm
Also, a tidally locked planet wouldn't necessarily have its atmosphere snow out. Venus experiences days longer than its years, yet its atmosphere essentially rotates approximately every 4 Earth days. Thermodynamics drives global winds from the warmer day side across the cooler night side and back.

A planet experiencing such constant, strong global winds presents challenges of its own to life, but not insurmountable I think.

Life always finds a way. The permanently dark side would also pose it's own challenges to life and the winds coming from the day side would make some of it warm enough for life to survive there.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on February 25, 2017, 06:41:49 pm
Hell, this system is so young and in such a dense neighborhood that it's hard to know how things like bombardment cycles will work out, was there a wisp of cometary material that already got stolen/kicked inwards, is there stuff out there which is falling inwards as we speak, are there moons and asteroids getting chucked across the system, at this age the Earth still had issues with fucking magma raining out of the sky from the big cloud that the moon was coalescing from as I recall, who knows what interesting shit is happening over on TRAPPIST-1 right now?
Also, a tidally locked planet wouldn't necessarily have its atmosphere snow out. Venus experiences days longer than its years, yet its atmosphere essentially rotates approximately every 4 Earth days. Thermodynamics drives global winds from the warmer day side across the cooler night side and back.

A planet experiencing such constant, strong global winds presents challenges of its own to life, but not insurmountable I think.
The surface pressure and sheer mass of the atmosphere itself means there isn't going to be much variation due to the small amount of sunlight making it through the cloud decks, unless you let the atmosphere relax and collapse down onto the surface it's going to fuckhot down there.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on February 26, 2017, 04:38:24 am
Semi-random question:

Since the planetary orbits are only meta-stable due to resonances, (implying that there is not a precise period of orbit around the star-- it speeds up and slows down due to said resonances) that should prevent tidal locking with the star, no? There is no reason for the rotational period of the planetary axis to stay perfectly synchronized with the solar orbital period, given the resonances in effect, right? The rotation might be very very slow, but not zero, i should expect.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on February 26, 2017, 04:56:26 am
Best chance is for one of the planets to have evolved supermassive hamsters, who keep the rotation going by using the planet as a giant treadmill.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on February 26, 2017, 12:43:44 pm
What you describe at the end there is going to be a moon at L1 or L2 along a line with the planet and star, and the whole system has the moon/planet keeping the same face to each other and accordingly the star, unless it's a young doomed moon during inspiral, or perhaps a spin-orbit resonance besides 1:1 during the brief early era before it winds up getting locked into a 1:1 state.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on February 26, 2017, 02:31:51 pm
Hell, this system is so young and in such a dense neighborhood that it's hard to know how things like bombardment cycles will work out, was there a wisp of cometary material that already got stolen/kicked inwards, is there stuff out there which is falling inwards as we speak, are there moons and asteroids getting chucked across the system, at this age the Earth still had issues with fucking magma raining out of the sky from the big cloud that the moon was coalescing from as I recall, who knows what interesting shit is happening over on TRAPPIST-1 right now?
Also, a tidally locked planet wouldn't necessarily have its atmosphere snow out. Venus experiences days longer than its years, yet its atmosphere essentially rotates approximately every 4 Earth days. Thermodynamics drives global winds from the warmer day side across the cooler night side and back.

A planet experiencing such constant, strong global winds presents challenges of its own to life, but not insurmountable I think.
The surface pressure and sheer mass of the atmosphere itself means there isn't going to be much variation due to the small amount of sunlight making it through the cloud decks, unless you let the atmosphere relax and collapse down onto the surface it's going to fuckhot down there.

Just because the atmosphere might rotate like Venus' due to thermodynamics, doesn't mean it will be as thick
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on February 26, 2017, 03:35:15 pm
I figured you were talking about Venus, though I missed that it's only the upper atmosphere which rotates quickly, the lower atmosphere doesn't move anywhere nearly as much.

With a lighter atmosphere you would need much higher surface velocities and it's going to lose energy faster I'd expect.
But that doesn't answer my question. People are saying a tidally locked moon is impossible without L points, but a moon that's only tidally locked to the tidally locked planet, then it's able to orbit at any speed and distance (within reason, OFC), so long as its rotation matches up with its orbital period.
It'll need to be very close, the Hill Spheres (where the planet gravity dominates) of such a densely packed system aren't going to be very big, outside of those orbits the moon will be orbiting the star, to have it approach stability then you'd need to plunk it on the L1 or L2, but the rest of the system doesn't help this idea since it's got so many bodies in such a narrowly constrained system of orbits in the first place.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sluissa on February 27, 2017, 05:49:51 pm
So... SpaceX just announced they're gonna send two private citizens on a trip around the moon... Next year.

Hours beforehand, NASA announced they're considering putting people on their currently planned as unmanned capsule test around the moon... Next year.

Next year could be great.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on February 27, 2017, 08:20:06 pm
Hey look, the moon exists! We should do stuff with it!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sluissa on February 27, 2017, 08:37:34 pm
Hey look, the moon exists! We should do stuff with it!

For now, just look at it... from a distance.... a much shorter distance, but still a distance... but exciting nonetheless.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on February 27, 2017, 09:45:47 pm
...and then: RKKV the fuck out of it, to show everyone who's boss!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on February 28, 2017, 02:53:34 am
Hours beforehand, NASA announced they're considering putting people on their currently planned as unmanned capsule test around the moon... Next year.

Next year could be great.

That's amazingly fast by NASA standards. I wonder if Trump strong armed them to produce Great Stuff (tm)?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on February 28, 2017, 04:46:15 am
That's crazy fast to how NASA usually rolls , considering that astronauts begin their mission brief, work through, training and practice months to a year in advance.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on February 28, 2017, 05:28:36 am
Well.. perhaps it's the right time for mankind to start being more bold, take more chances and Jumpstart a space economy somehow.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on February 28, 2017, 05:34:22 am
In truth, a lunar orbit isn't all that much of a risk and is a known kind of mission, so it's not surprising they would just suddenly decide to do it. It's a decent test for the Orion capsule as well.

I mean, Apollo 13 had damn near everything go wrong when it was still a semi-fresh practice, and they made it back.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 28, 2017, 06:13:32 am
They weren't aiming for a Herge-esque landing, aiming straight at the Moon and then turning round to perform a tail-sitting landing after a completely non-orbital approach. They had the fortunate wiggle-room of a free-return orbit available, from their trajectory that was always intended to bend round the side.

Probably less difficult, saving for the new need to rely on unplanned/ad hoc manual control, than the planned orbital insertion would have been.

They 'just' had to make sure their slingshot sent them back to Earth, not into solar orbit. Which was somewhat crucial, I'll admit.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on February 28, 2017, 06:16:41 am
I figured you were talking about Venus, though I missed that it's only the upper atmosphere which rotates quickly, the lower atmosphere doesn't move anywhere nearly as much.

Fortunately "only" the upper atmosphere has about 1 G gravity and 1 atmosphere pressure, and reasonable temperature. So you could float a large habitat up there and have it move with the winds, getting a day/night cycle.

Maybe we can send Trump. He can be used as the lift source.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 28, 2017, 06:35:55 am
Actually looked to confirm things.

Apollos 8-11 used free-return trans-lunar orbits (with aimed-for Earth re-entry as part of the first cycle) for safety reasons, inserting into lunar orbit at the appropriate point, then out again once the desired orbits/landing were achieved.

Apollos 12+ then switched to using 'free-return-to-Earth' (sub-lunar, perigee low enough for re-entry) orbits that were then boosted to (non-free-return) trajectories for trans-lunar and then (planned!) lunar-insertion adjustment.  13 seemed to be past the first stage, when they had "a problem" and then had to retune the trans-lunar into a free-return to Earth (that ended up aiming at an Indian Ocean splashdown) which was then further modified such that it both reduced the return time and re-aimed at the Pacific.

Can't get definitive details of the delta-V differences between the planned insertion and unplanned return maneuvers, though, at first glance.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on February 28, 2017, 02:30:18 pm
Maybe we can send Trump. He can be used as the lift source.
That is the smartest thing I've ever heard anybody say since I saw a friend of mine tell one of his sisters friends that he would happily give her shirt back in exchange for her bra.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on February 28, 2017, 03:37:36 pm
No political cheap-shots, please.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on February 28, 2017, 10:26:54 pm
Her career in politics was doomed from the start, to be fair...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on February 28, 2017, 11:21:14 pm
That goes for you too. Don't start this crap on my thread, please.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on March 01, 2017, 06:55:20 am
Well yeah? We are gonna build our own space thread with blackjack and hookers.
In fact forget the thread! :P

Now. On topic. Which are the real, real implications of a space economy as currently proposed. I mean legally. Also which are the real motivators behind, besides turism and maybe a few rare elements from the moon. I'm talking about the moon.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on March 01, 2017, 07:30:18 am
https://yro.slashdot.org/story/17/03/01/0416232/congressional-candidate-brianna-wu-claims-moon-colonizing-companies-could-destroy-cities-by-dropping-rocks

Brianna Wu is running for Congress and warning about orbital bombardment with moon rocks. Which is pretty much the entire plot of The Moon Is A Harsh Mistress.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on March 01, 2017, 08:35:48 am
It's the stealthy redirection of asteroids that we need to look out for.  So many places they can come from, and it would be trivial to reduce their optical/radar signatures as they head onto their new Earth-intercepting solar orbit.  And the perpetrators (who have the capability to do all this) can so easily hop between multiple asteroids for aiming or additional raw materials and arrange for a multi-shot attack to be initiated before the first detection (or impact, if it takes that long) is made.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sluissa on March 01, 2017, 10:46:53 am
Well yeah? We are gonna build our own space thread with blackjack and hookers.
In fact forget the thread! :P

Now. On topic. Which are the real, real implications of a space economy as currently proposed. I mean legally. Also which are the real motivators behind, besides turism and maybe a few rare elements from the moon. I'm talking about the moon.

The moon would be an excellent place to build/launch spacecraft from if we could get manufacturing set up there. It's fairly difficult to launch anything large from the earth because of the gravity and atmosphere. The moon only has the gravity to deal with and only 1/6 of it, but if it gets to the point where we only need to launch crew with about a week of supplies (like Spacex is planning to do next year, at a cost less than half the cost of a single shuttle launch. (only about 15% the cost of a shuttle launch if you divide total cost of the program by number of launches, but that comparison is just a BIT unfair) then that opens up a lot more options. Space stations built and launched from the moon and moved into low earth orbit to be crewed by launches from the earth. Large, science fiction scale interplanetary ships built and launched from the moon.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on March 01, 2017, 03:01:05 pm
But then, why launch from the Moon instead of constructing your sci-fi scale interplanetary ships in orbital space directly?  On the Moon, you're still sitting at the bottom of a significant gravity well, but you don't have enough gravity to actually ensure the health of your local workers without additional measures.  You don't have the mineral resources of Earth, and you can't tap a convenient NEO that may have the heavy elements you need in abundant supply much more easily on the Moon than you could on Earth.  You also get to worry about that lovely sharp lunar dust getting into everything; your entire construction area needs to be safed against it unless you want to worry about damaged gaskets, sealing, wires, fine lenses, and so forth. 

EDIT:
Ah, at any rate, my own thoughts.  I see the moon being primarily a resource-extraction industry at the very most, albeit one primarily focused on relatively light elements: helium-3, oxygen, water, and (on the heavier side) aluminum and maybe iron.  It's generally believed that short of a trip out to the outer planets, the Moon is the most convenient source of helium-3 in the inner system.  This, however, requires effective cold-fusion to make any use of 3He; most present uses for the isotope aren't really worth the cost of going to the Moon and back.  Even as a power source, it's questionable if it's worth the cost.  A space economy is likely going to be centralized in Earth orbit with possible occasional forays to near-Earth objects or even the asteroid belt for the foreseeable future.  While resource extraction is going to be major due to the wealth of accessible resources available in certain types of asteroids, zero-G manufacturing does have significant promise.  Power generation is also a possibility: without gravity, tremendous solar arrays can be constructed without the structural support necessary on Earth, and without occlusion by weather or the planet itself, can operate continuously, but the question then becomes if efficiency losses from power transmission from orbit to the ground outweigh this. 
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Strife26 on March 01, 2017, 03:11:06 pm
You can dig underground on the moon. The biggest risk for significant times off of earth is radiation and the most cost efficient way to deal with radiation threat is to dig deep. Lunarcrete is cheap because it's in situ.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on March 01, 2017, 03:17:48 pm
What would be nice is if we could get around to testing centrifugal beds. If that allows indefinite maintenance of bone and muscle density a lot of problems suddenly evaporate.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on March 01, 2017, 03:42:18 pm
They're already trying that idea, in a roundabout way...  ;)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TempAcc on March 01, 2017, 04:49:15 pm
Why the hell is Brianna Wu running for congress.
Has amurica truly entered the age of ridic politics with Trump?
Inb4 alex jones for senator.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on March 01, 2017, 04:57:10 pm
On the health issue. Thing is nobody really knows how such low gravity would affect us. Currently we know very well what both 1g and (almost) 0g do over prolonged periods of time. But no one knows for sure what anything significant in between 0 and 1 would do. We have good guesses but nothing has been proven just yet.

On the energy one, considering the night/day cycle on the moon the only place where is practical is on the poles.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sluissa on March 01, 2017, 05:02:23 pm
But then, why launch from the Moon instead of constructing your sci-fi scale interplanetary ships in orbital space directly?  On the Moon, you're still sitting at the bottom of a significant gravity well, but you don't have enough gravity to actually ensure the health of your local workers without additional measures.  You don't have the mineral resources of Earth, and you can't tap a convenient NEO that may have the heavy elements you need in abundant supply much more easily on the Moon than you could on Earth.  You also get to worry about that lovely sharp lunar dust getting into everything; your entire construction area needs to be safed against it unless you want to worry about damaged gaskets, sealing, wires, fine lenses, and so forth. 

EDIT:
Ah, at any rate, my own thoughts.  I see the moon being primarily a resource-extraction industry at the very most, albeit one primarily focused on relatively light elements: helium-3, oxygen, water, and (on the heavier side) aluminum and maybe iron.  It's generally believed that short of a trip out to the outer planets, the Moon is the most convenient source of helium-3 in the inner system.  This, however, requires effective cold-fusion to make any use of 3He; most present uses for the isotope aren't really worth the cost of going to the Moon and back.  Even as a power source, it's questionable if it's worth the cost.  A space economy is likely going to be centralized in Earth orbit with possible occasional forays to near-Earth objects or even the asteroid belt for the foreseeable future.  While resource extraction is going to be major due to the wealth of accessible resources available in certain types of asteroids, zero-G manufacturing does have significant promise.  Power generation is also a possibility: without gravity, tremendous solar arrays can be constructed without the structural support necessary on Earth, and without occlusion by weather or the planet itself, can operate continuously, but the question then becomes if efficiency losses from power transmission from orbit to the ground outweigh this.

Here's the thing. Yeah, you could build things in orbit, but where are those resources coming from? Asteroids could work, if you could get those back, but most of them are WAY out there. If you're launching from earth... well, we're already doing that, and it's expensive and slow. (See ISS).

The moon has resources, even if it's just iron. Hell, even if it's just rock. I don't know about the strength of the material or how it'd work in space, but if you just carved out a cylinder from lunar basalt, weight be damned it'd be cheaper to launch that from the moon than likely any conventional launch from earth to get ANYTHING of equivalent size into orbit.

Build a magnetic catapult on the surface and you've got most of the way into orbit. Just a small amount of thrust to circularize and you could launch almost anything for only the cost of the electricity.

The only problem is infrastructure. Self replicating machines would be my choice but . Launch a handful, they build more, then they build manufacturing structures and/or habitat for humans.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on March 01, 2017, 05:05:48 pm
Why the hell is Brianna Wu running for congress.
Has amurica truly entered the age of ridic politics with Trump?
Inb4 alex jones for senator.

Who is she?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on March 01, 2017, 05:36:37 pm
Why the hell is Brianna Wu running for congress.
Has amurica truly entered the age of ridic politics with Trump?
Inb4 alex jones for senator.

Who is she?

She's one of the activist game devs who got embroiled with the GamerGate idiots.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on March 01, 2017, 05:38:14 pm
Guys pls take it to not the space thread.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on March 01, 2017, 05:40:46 pm
Affirmed: that has nothing to do with space. Take it elsewhere. Also, I'd appreciate it if you could edit those last few non-space posts so that no one feels tempted to respond with more off-topic and potentially volatile things. Thank you.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on March 02, 2017, 12:03:15 am
Here's the thing. Yeah, you could build things in orbit, but where are those resources coming from? Asteroids could work, if you could get those back, but most of them are WAY out there. If you're launching from earth... well, we're already doing that, and it's expensive and slow. (See ISS).

The moon has resources, even if it's just iron. Hell, even if it's just rock. I don't know about the strength of the material or how it'd work in space, but if you just carved out a cylinder from lunar basalt, weight be damned it'd be cheaper to launch that from the moon than likely any conventional launch from earth to get ANYTHING of equivalent size into orbit.

Build a magnetic catapult on the surface and you've got most of the way into orbit. Just a small amount of thrust to circularize and you could launch almost anything for only the cost of the electricity.

The only problem is infrastructure. Self replicating machines would be my choice but . Launch a handful, they build more, then they build manufacturing structures and/or habitat for humans.
You're correct that most asteroids are not near Earth, but that's because of the sheer amount of asteroids out there.  There are more than 14 thousand near-Earth asteroids, just counting those that we know about.  There are 1786 potentially-hazardous objects, which are defined as asteroids or comets that approach the Earth to within 0.05 AU and have a diameter of at least 100-150 metres and should probably be considered for redirection at some point even if they don't contain useful resources; there are even more that are smaller than that.  It's become known in the last decade as well that asteroids are regularly captured by the Earth even without human involvement before eventually leaving Earth's gravity well for the Sun, such as 2006 RH120, whose 2006 capture sparked interest in this phenomenon.  Estimated yields from even a single such S-type asteroid can contain tremendous amounts of metals, including not only iron, but also those that cannot be found easily on the Moon at all such as platinum or gold for electronics.  You really don't need *that* many, at least in the timescale of an early space economy where the Earth-Moon system is still the be-all and end-all of exploitation  with Mars at the most distant hinterland (Earth itself will likely always be a metropole for the solar system, short of terraforming Venus/Mars, but that's another question entirely). 

Besides, it seems like it'd be quite cheaper to lift the materials off the moon (whether it's with your fancy magnetic catapult or with, going one further, a space elevator; you can make one of the latter far more cheaply on the Moon than on Earth) and build your spaceships in orbit, where they never have to deal with more than microgravity and can be engineered solely to handle whatever forces may be generated by their own engines, rather than building them on the Moon itself where they must be built to support their own weight (which is significant even at a sixth of Earth standard) in addition to their thrust forces, where they have to be lifted off against Lunar gravity once manufactured, and where Lunar dust would be an endemic problem (especially if they're sufficiently large that you can't build them in a sealed chamber).  For ships that don't necessarily have massive instantaneous forces applied to them, such as anything lifting off from the Earth, it's more efficient to build in microgravity directly rather than operating via intermediaries.  This also, unlike Lunar colonies, allows for the possibility of allowing the construction workers to live in a rotating station that can generate full Earth gravity.  Finally, on the Moon, you gain none of the unique benefits of microgravity refining.  I can see some manufacturing done on the Moon, but I would expect it to be bulk goods, refined metals, fuels, and certainly relatively little that requires materials not found on the Moon or enjoys particular benefits from microgravity manufacturing (such as electronics or semi-conductors).  Ceramics and concrete would be convenient, for instance; those materials are found in abundance on the Moon. 
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on March 02, 2017, 12:09:49 am
You can dig underground on the moon. The biggest risk for significant times off of earth is radiation and the most cost efficient way to deal with radiation threat is to dig deep. Lunarcrete is cheap because it's in situ.

Alternatively, one could use lava tubes, which would be HUGE on the Moon, big enough to fit a city inside, so, plenty of space. The tricky part though is finding one.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on March 02, 2017, 03:03:44 am
Just use ground sonar?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sneakey pete on March 02, 2017, 05:39:14 am
I find it intriguing that suddenly people are calling for NASA to just cancel the SLS because spacex can do it instead.
However the spacex module to be sent would weigh approximately 1/3rd of the weight of the payload sent to the moon by the SLS (according to a source I read. validation of that would be nice?) because it doesn't have to land or even achieve orbit. So hopefully people figure that out eventually.

Though it does raise the question. If they (spacex) start doing their mars shuttle thing in the next decade, would they then just use it to ferry back and forth stuff to the moon while they wait for transfer windows? That would surely have the ability to get to and land on the moon, and often.
Moonbase anyone?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on March 02, 2017, 08:31:10 am
When it comes to Moon materials, best to do your mining and processing on the Moon (excepting where you'd like a gravity-'free' environment for consistency of product, although the lack of convection/stratification can be an engineering challenge as well in refining) then Mass-Drive finished girders/etc into space, rather than launching ore for space-separation (definitely needing centrifuge technology at varioys stages of separation).

But it'll be a process needing some thought, once we have a better idea of what can be mined and processed from there and other places.


BTW: Just listened to two comedy radio shows about space.  The first is intentional (a repeat, heard it before several times) called Helen Keene's It Is Rocket Science (http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b01hpjm9). Short, snappy and scientific if slightly satirical. If you're geoblocked from listening, outside the UK, I'm sure you've got enough information to find something that isn't, as well as anyone who wants to find the other series(/seasons) before this one.  A quarter of an hour probably isn't too long to get an idea before tracking down other episodes and 'series'.

Then, this morning, there was In Our Time, on the Kuiper Belt (http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b08g7ttx). Not any actual comedy, the basic conceit of the series (in both senses of the word) is that cultural-all-rounder Melvin Bragg (much parodied, for many decades) gets some experts in a scientific, historical, philosophical and/or other field and he tries to shepherd them (obviously with not-always-accurate notes he makes during a preparatory discussion, off-air) into explaining the topic-of-the-week in an everyman-level of understanding (at least as its grounding, then stretching things so that the complexities of Fermat or Solipsism or the life of some obscure Egyptian Monarch are at least touched upon), all in 45 minutes of apparently live-and-uncut discussion (30 minutes in the edited down evening repeat.

So, today the subject was, as indicated, The Kuiper Belt. And the experts were decent and proven stalwarts of broadcasting (sometimes there's an expert on Mediæval History who definitely knows his stuff but has a hard to ignore verbal tick/radio-shyness/tendency to punctuate his speech by a fidgety tapping that gets picked up on the mike).  And it went well.  But the experts did miss a few better answers to "so why are the KBOs going so slow?" (Bragg, more of an Arts person, thinking this was important, the experts obviously thinking it was just self-obvious) and got dragged into telling us of F=Gm1m2/r² when they could really have just said that if they were going significantly faster they just wouldn't be in the Belt for long! (Also related, about stability of orbit, not that these things were stable, just that they are stable enough to still be there...)

And then there was the "temperature at the Belt" (presumably its objects, not the space, although it's sort of arguable that it's the same).  They knew their figures but got tied up about units.  "About minus 220 Kelvin,"/"minus 600 Celsius"/"No, wait, that's wrong, umm..."  ;)

Anyway, there's a whole set of podcast categories (http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/articles/598SVYJ2smP8qJlpH29y7Vj/podcasts) for this programme, probably available worldwide, and here are the direct low (http://open.live.bbc.co.uk/mediaselector/5/redir/version/2.0/mediaset/audio-nondrm-download-low/proto/http/vpid/p04vjb00.mp3) and high (http://open.live.bbc.co.uk/mediaselector/5/redir/version/2.0/mediaset/audio-nondrm-download/proto/http/vpid/p04vjb00.mp3) quality versions of this episode, if you feel like a listen yourself after my 'recomendation'. More of an acquired taste, I think, but you may end up learning more about Nietzsche or gin or penicillin (not necessarily in that order!) if you wander through some other of the many (just exceeded 750!) prior episodes.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on March 05, 2017, 11:19:38 am
So... SpaceX just announced they're gonna send two private citizens on a trip around the moon... Next year.

Hours beforehand, NASA announced they're considering putting people on their currently planned as unmanned capsule test around the moon... Next year.

Next year could be great.

Speaking of space travel, something I saw in Science Daily: https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2017/02/170227152338.htm (has some interesting sidebar stuff too). I don't know if the Apollo astronauts suffered vision problems, maybe they weren't out long enough for changes with the eyes to take effect. However, with space tourism starting, it's going to be more important to figure things out. Also, we don't even yet know what happens to the body in extended low gravity situations like The Moon or Mars, we know what happens in zero (micro) gravity and normal, but nothing about in between. So, every human we send into space is gonna be a gunea pig for decades (and perhaps a century or two) to come.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on March 05, 2017, 11:30:58 am
You remind me that I recently saw this (https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2017/02/170227120243.htm), about rocky material in a binary ('Tatooine'-style) system...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on March 05, 2017, 12:12:20 pm
You remind me that I recently saw this (https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2017/02/170227120243.htm), about rocky material in a binary ('Tatooine'-style) system...

It'd be bigger news if we found it in a young system (or at least one which hasn't had either of it's stars get to the white dwarf phase) because that one is a white dwarf (a stellar corpse, if you will) and a brown dwarf, so, it's effectively a dead solar system. Though it doesn't mean that planets can re-form or perhaps the cores of gas giants survive as we've found a bunch of pulsar orbiting planets as well.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sluissa on March 05, 2017, 02:30:04 pm
I find it intriguing that suddenly people are calling for NASA to just cancel the SLS because spacex can do it instead.
However the spacex module to be sent would weigh approximately 1/3rd of the weight of the payload sent to the moon by the SLS (according to a source I read. validation of that would be nice?) because it doesn't have to land or even achieve orbit. So hopefully people figure that out eventually.

Though it does raise the question. If they (spacex) start doing their mars shuttle thing in the next decade, would they then just use it to ferry back and forth stuff to the moon while they wait for transfer windows? That would surely have the ability to get to and land on the moon, and often.
Moonbase anyone?

The issue is people being short sighted. The SLS launching next year isn't the final planned SLS. Final design SLS will likely put Falcon Heavy to shame in both payload mass AND volume. Falcon heavy, still being based on a falcon core is limited to falcon sized fairings, maybe slightly larger but nothing like what SLS will manage. Damn expensive. But impressive and useful for specific missions. The once around the moon is just the test drive off the lot, 10 minutes, around the block and back. Don't get me wrong. I think losing Ares was a shame, but SLS is still a worthwhile project and given time to grow, it'll be an amazing piece of equipment. It, alongside commercial crew, is almost a ressurection of the apollo applications program. Not quite, but almost.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on April 02, 2017, 03:10:50 am
Cassini Juno sent home the first high resolution close up images of Jupiter. It looks pretty. The image has been tilted 90 degrees.

Spoiler (click to show/hide)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on April 02, 2017, 03:19:50 am
Oh my goodness. That's really something
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on April 02, 2017, 05:22:08 am
Wonderful.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on April 02, 2017, 12:52:19 pm
You can dig underground on the moon. The biggest risk for significant times off of earth is radiation and the most cost efficient way to deal with radiation threat is to dig deep. Lunarcrete is cheap because it's in situ.

Alternatively, one could use lava tubes, which would be HUGE on the Moon, big enough to fit a city inside, so, plenty of space. The tricky part though is finding one.

So we're building cities in lava tubes to protect us from the harsh surface world, right? Does that make us

DWARVES IN SPAAAACE!?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on April 02, 2017, 01:38:18 pm
Sadly the moon is likely all out of magma, but yes, we would be building giant awesome cave cities.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on April 02, 2017, 01:56:40 pm
Cassini Juno sent home the first high resolution close up images of Jupiter. It looks pretty. The image has been tilted 90 degrees.

Spoiler (click to show/hide)
This is now my phone background.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: mastahcheese on April 02, 2017, 02:10:11 pm
So where do I sign up to become a space dwarf?
I am all for this.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on April 02, 2017, 02:12:56 pm
On the other hand, even without magma, we could probably dig deeper on the moon than on Earth as the overhanging rocks weigh less.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Arcvasti on April 02, 2017, 04:26:07 pm
So where do I sign up to become a space dwarf?
I am all for this.

You have arrived. After a journey from your home planet into the forbidding abyss beyond, your harsh trek has finally ended. Your party of seven is to make an outpost for the glory of all humankind. There are almost no supplies left, but you are expecting a supply convoy before Winter, but it is Spring now. Enough time to delve secure lodgings, ere the rabbits get hungry. A new chapter of human history begins here at this place: Ozibirod, "Armstrong". Strike the Moon!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TheBiggerFish on April 02, 2017, 06:59:47 pm
Hah!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on April 04, 2017, 11:48:30 am
On the other hand, even without magma, we could probably dig deeper on the moon than on Earth as the overhanging rocks weigh less.
Actually, the problem with digging deep (for humans) on earth is air pressure. That isn't a problem on the moon.


Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 04, 2017, 12:31:16 pm
No, the problem is what's under the surface shell (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kill_the_Moon)...  ;)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on April 04, 2017, 10:27:03 pm
On the other hand, even without magma, we could probably dig deeper on the moon than on Earth as the overhanging rocks weigh less.
Actually, the problem with digging deep (for humans) on earth is air pressure. That isn't a problem on the moon.

It's actually both. (http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007%2F1-4020-4972-2_672) When there's enough rock overhead, the rock walls of excavated spaces tend to shoot flakes of rock off at random.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on April 05, 2017, 06:11:53 am
It should also heat up a good deal even though the moon isn't all active and cycling like it is here, though I'd like to see if the crazy ideas of there being a good amount of water sunk deep in the moon bore out.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on April 08, 2017, 12:55:34 am
Over in the direction of Vela about 49 Light Years away there's a low mass star with a ~1.6 Earth-Mass planet in a transiting orbit.

Recently observations were performed which showed a different radius in just a few wavelengths.

What does that mean?

https://www.keele.ac.uk/pressreleases/2017/atmospheredetectedaroundanearth-likeplanet.html

It's an atmosphere which we can study and so far best fit models suggest it is a steamy (600 K) methane-rich soup.

Not super exciting as far as finding life there goes, it remains possible that we'll find some, and honestly I would expect this to be the case. Just more like a gas-immersed version of deep sea vent colonies than a high tech civ I'd guess.

However it is critical because we weren't sure whether a low-mass star with planets near enough to be in the habitable zone could maintain an atmosphere over gigayears, but this one has!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on April 13, 2017, 04:57:46 pm
Analyzing the data Cassini sent in 2015 of it's flyby of Saturn's moon Enceladus, scienctist have concluded that inside the small moon (only 500km across), there must be hydrothermal vents. With their article published in Science, all requirements seem to be met for the possibility of finding life in our own solar system.

Enceladus is a small moon, only 500km across, and is covered by a layer of frozen ice. Below the ice however, is a liquid ocean, kept warm by the tidal forces of Saturn pulling on it. In 2004, Cassini already discovered geyser like fountains erupting from the surface.

At October 28th 2015, Cassini flew straight through one of those fountains, at less than 50km above the moon's surface,and sent it's measurements back to earth.
These measurements show that the geysers contain hydrogen molecules.
According to US scientists, this can only be explained in one way: There are active geothermal vents at the coean's bottom. The hydrogen would be formed by hot water interacting with minerals in the soil.

Dutch bio-chemicists Jan de Leeuw, former director of the Royal Dutch Institute for Maritime Research says the discovery is "extraordinarily interesting".
Over the past years, it has become more and more clear that life on earth with near certainty must have evolved around such hydrothermal vents.
"Molecular hydrogen reacts with carbon dioxide, forming organic molecules like sugars, proteins and lipids, and eventually, RNA and DNA. That would be possible on Enceladus as well. What's special about it, is that life does not need light to evolve. The hydrothermal vents provide all the energy needed. On Enceladus, no light will penetrate the deep ocean".

To add some icing to the cake, Cassini also found traces of methane in the plumes. It's origin is yet unknown, but on earth, methane around hydrothermal vents is produced by micro-organisms.

Jupiter's moon Europa is similar, in that it has a liquid ocean beneath a frozen surface, kept warm by tidal forces. NASA has planned a mission in 2022. The Europa Clipper is either going to make a close flyby, or even attempt a soft landing there. Hopefully, NASA's next mission will be a landing on Enceladus. Perhaps they could even reroute and rename the Europa Clipper.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on April 16, 2017, 11:49:24 am
I disagree that hydrothermal vents are the only way to get elemental hydrogen molecules, in regard to Enceladus.

Remember, the E-ring is not just a gravitational feature!! (It is actually unstable!) It acts like a grounding or lightning rod with Saturn's magnetosphere, and is VERY VERY electrically charged!! More than enough current there to dissociate the water molecules in the hydrodynamic plumes erupting from the surface of Enceladus to account for a very strong elemental hydrogen signal.

Now, if they see some other exotic chemistry, such as involving sulfur, that would be very indicative of hydrothermal processes suitable for sustaining a biosphere.

(edited for correctness. Enceladus is in the E ring, not the D ring. Derp!)

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on April 16, 2017, 12:21:06 pm
https://www.astro.umd.edu/~dphamil/research/reprints/HorHamBurns92.pdf

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0019103516302408

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2007RG000238/full

https://www.nasa.gov/multimedia/imagegallery/image_feature_2069.html

and others.

Basically, enceladus has a rather strong ring current passing through it, from the interaction of the plasma torus with saturn's magnetosphere. This excites the moon, giving tremendous energy that reinforce/cause the jets on the moon, which then expel conductive particles into the plasma torus, which then provide a grounding path and a co-rotating secondary plasma torus.

You don't get an atmospheric spike of OH, from H2O, without producing H2. ;)

(edit, removed probably dubious holoscience link, replaced with more reputable nasa one.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on April 16, 2017, 01:21:42 pm
Devil is in the details then.  Like usual, the press botches the job, and says "All the hydrogen, totally from hydrothermal stuff! scientist says so!"

when what scientist really says is "There is an otherwise unaccounted for excess of elemental hydrogen in the plume, that is best explained by hydrothermal processes."

gotta love science reporting. :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on April 16, 2017, 04:41:14 pm
Plus the confusion of there being two different papers out which can both be described as a time crystal and which are totally different: the oscillating ion one where they keep cycling without needing to add energy (wrongly called perpetual motion too, it's almost the bad science reporting trifecta!) and the broken temporal symmetry one where the evolution of the system doesn't exhibit time translation symmetry... and I totally forgot where I was because I was trying to get the damn ceiling fan in the other room to speed back up, got WD40 on my forehead and beard, bleh.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on April 16, 2017, 05:20:53 pm
The presence of unaccounted-for methane is something I've heard before, regarding Mars instead of Enceladus. Interesting trend, but maybe we're missing some common source that has nothing to do with life.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on April 18, 2017, 10:15:58 pm
Hoo boy, I remember that "time crystal" debacle. Particularly because certain new age nuts I have contact with on social media heard the phrase "time crystal" in the news and just ran with it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: JoshuaFH on June 16, 2017, 10:46:07 am
I've been a fan of astronomy for quite a while, and I've been watching stuff like PBS Spacetime on Youtube as something I'm vaguely interested in. Some of the stuff flies over my head, but I have a question if anyone has an answer: Is... is movement, and by extention all the space that that movement takes place in, an illusion? That's probably phrased stupidly, but I was thinking about relativity, like, that there is a speed limit that nothing can reach, and that's c, the speed of light. What defines movement though? What is an object's velocity being compared to which determines how 'fast' it is going compared to light? Relativity, if I'm understanding it correctly, is that light is always moving at c, no matter how fast *you* are going, from your perspective, due to time dilation. That because time slows down as you speed up, from your perspective light is always moving just as fast as it always is, you never perceive yourself as 'catching up' to it no matter how hard you're hitting the gas on your space ship, light is always just that much faster because we're measuring ourselves against it. But again, what is movement? I suppose it is the relative speed we perceive ourselves to be moving in relation to other objects. So, assuming that we can build two spaceships that can move at 50% c, and we have them do a full speed flyby past eachother, would each one see the other as moving *at* c, since their relative speeds are additive to their observations?

Though another thing I don't get about time dilation, is that since light is moving at c, time is not moving for the light photon at all. If a photon is created, and it travels 100,000,000 light years across the universe until it hits an object, then obviously a hundred million years passed from our perspective, but from the photon's perspective that entire journey happened instantaneously... How is that possible, how can something experience no time, but also be able to move? I feel that there is something really fundamental I'm missing here.

But getting back to the 'movement and space is an illusion' question, I take it that photons, and other fundamental particles that makes up atoms, are actually moving through a kinda of 'field' that gives them mass. That all the electrons and protons and crap are just whizzing about in this field, and that is what makes them 'real', that they're all *trying* to move at c, but this field slows them down and makes them live a humble life as part of a molecule or something, otherwise they'd all be... energy? This is the part I'm sketchiest on, the idea that energy is matter and matter is energy, just in different forms, but what I took away from it is that, reduced to their smallest particles, everything just wants to move at c, everything wants to exist in that timeless perspective, so to us in the macroscopic world, time and space are realities, but to the quantum world, the world which makes up all the atoms we are made of, time and space are illusions...

I actually wanted to ask this question to Neil Degrasse Tyson when he visited Detroit, which is within driving distance from me, but I just couldn't make it. Perhaps it's for the best, I probably would have embarrassed myself trying to spit it all out in front of him.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Pwnzerfaust on June 16, 2017, 11:23:32 am
I suppose it is the relative speed we perceive ourselves to be moving in relation to other objects. So, assuming that we can build two spaceships that can move at 50% c, and we have them do a full speed flyby past eachother, would each one see the other as moving *at* c, since their relative speeds are additive to their observations?

Not quite, no. In special relativity, the (abbreviated) formula of addition of relative velocities can be expressed as v = (a + b)/(1 + (a*b)). So in this case we would take (0.5 + 0.5)/(1 + (0.5 * 0.5)) = 0.8. So having two ships pass at 0.5 c, due to time dilation their relative velocity is still only 0.8 c. Indeed even if they were each moving at 0.95 c in opposite directions, their relative velocities would only be 0.9986 c.

It's.... It's kind of fucky to wrap one's head around and very counter-intuitive.

Though another thing I don't get about time dilation, is that since light is moving at c, time is not moving for the light photon at all. If a photon is created, and it travels 100,000,000 light years across the universe until it hits an object, then obviously a hundred million years passed from our perspective, but from the photon's perspective that entire journey happened instantaneously... How is that possible, how can something experience no time, but also be able to move? I feel that there is something really fundamental I'm missing here.

Yes. No time passes for photons. From their point of view as it were, they were emitted from a start a dozen lightyears away the same instant they were absorbed by your eyeball. Again, very weird and counterintuitive.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on June 16, 2017, 11:24:34 am
snip
1. We're always measuring velocity against something else. This is not specific to special relativity - works the same in the more mundane, 'Galillean' relativity. I.e. there's no such thing as velocity without some reference point, in the same way as there's no distance without specifyinig what you're measuring it against.

2. Re: Two spaceships. With relativistic velocities you always need to specify what you're measuring them against as you change reference frames. In this case, the two ships are moving at 0.5 c w/r to some stationary observer in the middle. If you then change the reference frame to one of the ships, then each will see the other as moving at ~0.8c (you need to use the relativistic velocity addition formula). As for the observer in the middle - he can measure something called 'rapidity', which is the speed of separation between the ships that he observes. It is added normally (without relativistic corrections), and indeed adds up to 1 c. Similarly, rapidity of two opposite light beams is 2 c. However, note that nothing is actually moving, in the strict sense, with velocity equal to rapidity.
edit: no, wait. Having checked that's not rapidity. Separation velocity? I can't recall the nomenclature atm.

3. There's no such thing as time perceived by light. This is because in order to even talk about passage of time you need a stationary reference frame, and there's no such frame for light - it contradicts the postulate that light moves at c in all frames. You just can't have both.
You can observe velocities arbitrarily close to the speed of light, with associated arbitrarily dilated time. But for the speed of light itself time passage is undefined.

I'm not going to attempt the Higgs field and everything is illusion questions.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on June 16, 2017, 11:30:27 am
It's not an embarrassing question. Relativity issues are contrary to more mundane everyday experiences because the throwing of balls (for example) does not have significant relativistic effects to experience, and even supersonic flight (as dictated by the medium one travels in) isn't going to show any effects unless you carry a particularly accurate clock with you (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hafele–Keating_experiment).

Firstly, "c" is not really the speed of light that nothing else can reach, it is actually the speed of causality that only things like light (or gravity) can reach.  Light can be slowed (or made to take longer/more contrived paths), but unfettered light does indeed go "the speed of light in a vacuum", relative to... Anything, indeed everything. That's the fundamental thing, but light is just the more obvious thing to try to measure.

...and, I've just to been asked to do something, which means I'm going to pause my own version of the explanation.  I'll get back to this in an hojr, maybe, unless someone else cares to take up the baton (maybe even correct any imprecise/misleading language, so far used...)

(Ah, two replies even whilst I was typing this. I'll have to read them later, too...)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on June 16, 2017, 11:31:20 am
No time passes for photons. From their point of view as it were
There's no such thing as their point of view, though. See above.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Pwnzerfaust on June 16, 2017, 11:31:55 am
I said "as it were" because I couldn't think of a better way of framing it. My point still stands.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on June 16, 2017, 11:34:52 am
My point still stands.
How? It doesn't make sense otherwise.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Pwnzerfaust on June 16, 2017, 11:35:20 am
It makes perfect sense. I'm trying to explain it in a way a layman can grasp. Speaking of points of view asks the reader to place themselves from that perspective, and that aids in understanding.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on June 16, 2017, 11:45:07 am
No. That's simply wrong, or at best an example of lying to children. There's no reference frame of light, so one can't apply time dilation formula to light. If you tell people to place themselves in the perspective of a photon, then you're contradicting the light speed invariance postulate used in deriving relativity.
How does that help in understanding of anything? If you really need to make the 'relativity is weird, whoa' point, then say that light exist out of time or some such thing. At least you'll be correct.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Pwnzerfaust on June 16, 2017, 11:59:10 am
The point I made, if you read it, was that there was no passage of time for a photon. You are being pointlessly and obnoxiously pedantic when the point was already plain.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: ChairmanPoo on June 16, 2017, 12:07:13 pm
  Is... is movement, and by extention all the space that that movement takes place in, an illusion? 

Are you Zeno of Elea by any chance?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on June 16, 2017, 12:44:39 pm
Why, yes, time and movement are illusions to some extent.

Time is a direct result of our partial ability to perceive the fourth dimension, via perceiving it as changes in three dimensions with an order.


Theoretically, photons do not experience time...maybe. Perhaps the answer lies in a solution of relativity (Somebody has probably already done this, but I don't know) that results in infinity, or zero, or some other otherwise-meaningless value that suggests photons don't experience time because time dilation at the speed of light is infinite.



Or perhaps you should stop considering photons as being capable of perceiving time.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on June 16, 2017, 02:19:13 pm
From the (contrived) perspective of a photon, you also can establish that the observation of the entire universe rushing backwards past it such that origin rushes away and destination rushes in insyantaneously...  Because the observable (sic) universe around the photon suffers extreme lorentz contraction to make it a zero-length journey, hence the (perceived/experienced) instantaneity.

But when you're getting infinities out of equations, and you're not truly running a hotel to which an infinite number of infinitely capacitous tourist coaches have just rolled up unexpectedly, best not to actually pretend that it can be experienced.


So...  Where were we..?

Yes, movement is always relative.  Try juggling whilst on a train, in an airplane cabin or even just stood on the equator (1000 mph of spin, before adding/subtracting Earth's solar orbit, Sol's galactic orbit/drift, the galactic dance with Local Group partners, and the rest). Newtonian physics with an assumption of a stationary ground works well enough in the short term (and coriolis forces/vertical precession probably don't kick in enough to worry you, wherever you are).

Anyway, given that you only see the progress of light (or similar) via light (or similar) transmitting light in any direction to bounce back at you involves waiting exactly the same amount of time (see also Michelson-Morley (https://simple.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michelson–Morley_experiment)). And, if you like, your experience of a photon sent one light-minute away and then bounced straight back to you is of a photon that takes two minutes to get to the destination (for each period of time the photon drifts away, you can't possibly experience it until the same period of time has passed to inform you that it has gotten to that point) then apparently zero time to return (all information that the photon has arrived and is coming back to you is exactly keeping pace with the original photon). Which rather confuses any concept of 'now'.  To you, 'now' at the mirror is a different thing from what the mirror thinks about your 'now' (it knows your 'now' happens until some time after/before its own version of the 'now', depending on what it is trying to match up to that).

Or, to put it another way, there is no such thing as light by which you see light (http://bbs.stardestroyer.net/viewtopic.php?t=143603#p3356928), by any 'normal' understanding, so you're stuck trying to bend your mind round what you're left with.


Hmmmm...  I'm definitely going off into weird (if not 'wyrd') territory, which I'm not sure is helping.  Taking another break, before I try to confuse you about other points brought up, too.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on June 18, 2017, 02:26:49 am
Point to the east, most of the populated latitudes will be moving that way between 250 and 450 meters per second.

Locate the sun (might be tricky at night if you aren't used to keeping track of it, it should be off to my west-southwest and like 3 or 4 degrees below the plane perpendicular to my local vertical which has a name in astronomy but I'm completely fucking derping on it) and turn to face it, then in the northern hemisphere face south and point at it with your left hand while your right hand is roughly 90 degrees away, or straight out at shoulder height basically, so in the southern hemisphere you simply face north, point at the sun with your right hand, and set your left 90 degrees away again. You're moving about 29,800 meters that way every second.

Now turn towards the northern constellations and find the big blue-white star a little ways off from the dippers, that should be Vega, and we're heading roughly in that direction at 220,000 meters per second.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on June 18, 2017, 11:05:59 am
Direct overhead for an observer is "zenith".
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on June 19, 2017, 10:26:36 am
NASA to announce a new slate of Kepler exoplanet discoveries today. (Actually, they're streaming it live now. (https://www.nasa.gov/nasalive))

EDIT: 10 new planet candidates in habitable zones, 3-4 of those around G-class stars.

DOUBLE-EDIT: This is the final batch from the first Kepler mission.

TRIPLE-EDIT: 49 planets in the habitable zone with a mass <1.8 Earths. This is out of 0.25% of the sky, and with a 1/200 chance that a given planet is transiting its star from Earth's POV. That leaves room for a hell of a lot of planets still out there.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: inteuniso on June 19, 2017, 12:33:55 pm
NASA to announce a new slate of Kepler exoplanet discoveries today. (Actually, they're streaming it live now. (https://www.nasa.gov/nasalive))

EDIT: 10 new planet candidates in habitable zones, 3-4 of those around G-class stars.

DOUBLE-EDIT: This is the final batch from the first Kepler mission.

TRIPLE-EDIT: 49 planets in the habitable zone with a mass <1.8 Earths. This is out of 0.25% of the sky, and with a 1/200 chance that a given planet is transiting its star from Earth's POV. That leaves room for a hell of a lot of planets still out there.

Well, the organic proto-molecule for amino acids and DNA is literally a Carbon Dioxide acid attached to itself (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dicarboxylic_acid) (There's no mention of pure 2-COOH but pot-smoking hippies isolate it all the time so they can get to their cannabinoids so it's definitely there), so it's looking more and more likely that carbon-based lifeforms are plentiful. probably.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on June 19, 2017, 01:01:51 pm
NASA to announce a new slate of Kepler exoplanet discoveries today. (Actually, they're streaming it live now. (https://www.nasa.gov/nasalive))

EDIT: 10 new planet candidates in habitable zones, 3-4 of those around G-class stars.

DOUBLE-EDIT: This is the final batch from the first Kepler mission.

TRIPLE-EDIT: 49 planets in the habitable zone with a mass <1.8 Earths. This is out of 0.25% of the sky, and with a 1/200 chance that a given planet is transiting its star from Earth's POV. That leaves room for a hell of a lot of planets still out there.

Well, the organic proto-molecule for amino acids and DNA is literally a Carbon Dioxide acid attached to itself (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dicarboxylic_acid) (There's no mention of pure 2-COOH but pot-smoking hippies isolate it all the time so they can get to their cannabinoids so it's definitely there), so it's looking more and more likely that carbon-based lifeforms are plentiful. probably.
tldr; Pot is life, man.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on June 19, 2017, 03:06:13 pm
Makes it look likely that there's other life in our galaxy, which is awesome.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on June 19, 2017, 04:19:45 pm
Now Fermix paradox could be that inteligent life is rare. Or sufficiently advanced life is rare to occur twice near enough in terms of time and distance to have any kind of comunication, or at least anything meaningful beyond your ocational Wow! signal.
Either that or Necrons and/or Tyranids are real.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 19, 2017, 04:36:13 pm
We're still not quite there on the "Earthlike planets" level of the Fermi paradox. While these exoplanets are indeed rather more Earthlike than expected, even the most Earthlike of them are still more Mars or Venuslike. The answer can still be that true Earth analogues are extremely rare, but everything around that jackpot is fairly common.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on June 19, 2017, 04:39:36 pm
How vital is the moon to life evolution?  From what I understand, a moon as big as ours is a rare occurance.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on June 19, 2017, 04:48:27 pm
The moon is only really relevant to animals and their navigation, not really a vital part of life.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on June 19, 2017, 04:53:32 pm
I personally think that if there's a lot of chattering going on around the galaxy, it's probably just nothing like we can (or can be expected to) detect. Yet.

Even if it's mundane EM, then broadcasting means more limited discernable range for a given power1, and narrow-casting rules out detection unless (incidentally or purposefully) aimed at. And, either way, we also need to be listening at the right time, in the right direction. Which is something we can improve.

Any dialogues (or single sides of a dialogue) that we can listen in on are probably far from "most logical speculative transmission style" and has probably developed into a more sophisticated protocol developed through a completely alien idea regarding information theory, or even two completely alien idea-sets that have then set about to mutually uplift each other into a hybrid system of the more advanced and practically-tested theory...


That's if they're even chatting with each other, or soliloquising to get attention/etc.  That's if intelligence is a given on planets with suitably advanced biology. That's if suitably advanced biology is a given on a planet with any biology at all. That's if any biology at all is...  But those aspects (plus the longevity of otherwise qualifying civilisations) are in the Equation.  Whereas I'm looking at fc alone and asking that further nuances be tacked on.


((Ninja moon question: hard to say. It is said that the stabilising influence of the Moon helps keep our planet's spin and inclination fairly predictable over long stretches of Earth's attempt to develop life, whilst also that the fluctuations of the lunar tides (noting that there is also the solar tidal component) might have encouraged the evolution of amphibious and eventually terrestrial capabilities. There is probably a range (whether wide or narrow) of constancy+periodicity of conditions,, for various sizes (or absences, or maybe even surragacies) of moons that gives life the same help and hinderences...

And a planet that was never smacked into by a Mars-sized companion and never created a moon? Well, maybe that also didn't develop sustain the core magnetohydrodynamics (https://xkcd.com/1851/) also necessary, for various very good reasons...))

((@Egan_EW: See above for the reasons why it might be... In, so far, a sample of one - so somewhat speculative.))


1 Plus would they actually use the natural frequency of hydrogen, given its ubiquity and easy possible confusion with comet comas? I think they'd be cleverer than that.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on June 19, 2017, 05:38:20 pm
I meant more along the tides. Are tides important for developing life?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sluissa on June 19, 2017, 05:43:44 pm
I meant more along the tides. Are tides important for developing life?

Probably on some level. It would help water borne life transition up onto land easier. But there are also more minor tides provided by the sun alone that would probably do about as much for developing life as the moon tide does. I'd be surprised if there wasn't something that the moon did to influence, but I'm not thinking of anything vital in general.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on June 19, 2017, 07:16:14 pm
There are arguments that the moment Moon's phasing is very useful.  Daily cycles (and, in the absence of something like the Moon, strict 12-hourly or 24-hourly1 solar-only tides) are useful, and annual (seasonal, whether Winter/Spring/Summer/Autumn or (Very)Wet/Dry) is obviously used in many lifecycles, but the lunar-monthly cycle, and the (perhaps also keyed into the tracking process) drifting of the tides' peakings and troughings across the clock, between one day and the next gives the identifiable unit of time that is not only usefully administrative in a human sense (albeit artificially aligned to the year) but also for other creature life-cycles.

But until we get to ask the residents of a differently-configured planet how/if their life works with equivalent timespans... It's a little up in the air.


(But it is assumed that tides are, quite littorally, the best way to get things to start living out of the water.)

1 For complex reasons, it's not so simple to say "two high and two low tides per (roughly) daily cycle, as we currently have it, even though you'd mostly expect this.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on June 20, 2017, 02:53:08 am
The WOW! signal has a plausible source which was recently discovered to be a funky interaction between comet debris and the solar wind, as I recall. Using hyperaccelerated protons to communicate would be silly anyways, and they'd still get slowed down by the mush of interstellar space being much denser when you're whizzing through it at high fractions of c.

Why would other races want to talk to other races, though?

We're still a long way from reaching the bottom on the miniaturization ladder, accordingly distant from the realistic peak computing capability, and haven't even begun dismantling the solar system to build a matrioshka brain around our star.

In a simverse you can fly around at enormous multiples of c, or straight up teleport to visit an entirely plausible permutation of any given local stellar environment, at which point you could have a chunk of brainstar work out what may live there, how they would have evolved, and if they are sapient you could then have it work through a conversation with you about what it is like to live there.

While it wouldn't exactly be the same as being at that star, without being informed what was going on you could quite easily live a simlife where you undertook a simjourney to a simworld full of simlife and never be able to tell it wasn't real, so what benefit outside of bragging rights/hard science research missions is there from hurling matter out into the universe from your star to drift through space for huge amounts of time just to wind up at another very similar star?
Direct overhead for an observer is "zenith".
That one I knew, but I was derping because I was seeing azimuth in my head but that's just the angle from north along the horizon, which I thought was called something besides just horizon, but I guess not.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on June 20, 2017, 03:07:17 am
The WOW! signal has a plausible source which was recently discovered to be a funky interaction between comet debris and the solar wind, as I recall. Using hyperaccelerated protons to communicate would be silly anyways, and they'd still get slowed down by the mush of interstellar space being much denser when you're whizzing through it at high fractions of c.
That would be silly. Not sure that's even ever going to be a thing, though.

Quote
Why would other races want to talk to other races, though?
If by (the second) "to" you mean "with", why would they, and we, not? It'd answer those questions raised about the necessity of the Moon, and all kinds of other stuff...   "Hey, you guys...  So you say your personal organic chemistey is based on Element 14, not Element 6...  So what's your environment like, to have that work out for you?"
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on June 20, 2017, 06:15:53 pm
Moon and tides necesary for life to develop, well perhaps_ maybe it makes it easier, perhaps other things could replace it.

I think maybe láser and óptic fibers become the standard com tech and then you lose the radio broadcasting where other civs could pick you up.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on June 20, 2017, 08:27:29 pm
I meant to, with suggests a back and forth, and outside of implausibly similar tech level sapients reaching the same "hey is anybody out there" point within a few light years of each other within a few centuries of each other, there won't be much of that going on.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on June 21, 2017, 10:14:10 am
What about the mad chances of life developing un two planets on the same stellar system at the same time?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on June 21, 2017, 10:34:35 am
With the "Habitable moon(s)" scenario, that might happen frequently.  Multiple planets though? Not likely given the issues of orbital interactions, and the narrowness of goldilocks zones.


Habitable moons would all have similar composition, being formed from the same stellar debris field that their parent celestial body formed from. They would all be tightly confined within a narrow slice of the habitable zone of their star (assuming their planetary body occupies that zone. Some scenarios involving habitable moons use the mechanical actions on their cores to supply geothermal energy for supporting a biosphere, and dont need a star at all.), so it is possible for similar conditions to exist on many moons of a large celestial object, and that theoretically advanced life could form simultaneously on many close-by objects.

How often that happens in the universe?  Insufficient data.  It will likely remain insufficient for a very, very long time.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on June 21, 2017, 12:25:52 pm
Well, perahps not to planets in the full sense of the word. But to intelligent life to emerge twice on the same system at the same time.

But wonder how eerie would be if it developed one after the other so xenoarcheology its the only connection.

I read once something (fiction I think) about how Mars had life but ran toó cold, now its earth turn's and eventualy it will be Venu's.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on June 21, 2017, 12:52:27 pm
No. That was definitely sheer fiction.

Venus had a chance, but as the Sun got hotter the greenhouse effect went rampant and the planet died. Mars had a chance, but the lack of a magnetic field (No substantial iron core of a molten/solid combination) meant that the Sun's evolution and production of a solar wind killed it off. Eventually (5 billion years, don't sweat it. Yet.) the Sun will start to swell, and Earth's temperature will gradually increase until it becomes a blasted wasteland. Europa might actually some time as an ocean moon (Provided it doesn't constantly freeze as it passes behind Jupiter), when the Sun reaches roughly 1 AU in diameter.

The Earth will never become too cold. It will dissolve in the Sun before that. Or, if the predictions are off and the Earth is never engulfed, it might simply persist as a burned hulk, all water fried off, the surface a ruin of molten stone.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on June 21, 2017, 03:16:09 pm
See? Solar energy is the future.

Does make me wonder. Would sufficient technology allow the conversion of the entire planet surface into a shell that would survive being engulfed by the sun going red giant, and harness the energy? (Not that it would be of much use on the timescales we are talking about. Once the red giant sun burns down into a dim dwarf the Earth would soon become a cold and dark place. It would be like buying a terminal patient a few extra months.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 21, 2017, 03:33:59 pm
If we're going to talk ridiculous planetary salvation measures, you could always build a shell that projects light with the same intensity and pattern as the Sun, power it with a giant fusion generator built inside the planet, and just jettison Earth into dark space.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on June 21, 2017, 03:41:18 pm
The MUCH more realistic option is to just move the Earth.

It's not very realistic, but you know, whatever might work. Assuming we're still around to be bothered about it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on June 21, 2017, 06:32:12 pm
How common are stray planets, without stars to orbit? How likely is it that life could arise on a planet like that, powered by geothermal energy?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 21, 2017, 06:55:27 pm
We've detected a few (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rogue_planet#Known_or_possible_rogue_planets) and we're primitives, so there's probably quite the number of them out there.

As for life? God, without a clear answer to the Fermi Paradox it might as well be zero. A planet like that is always going to be losing energy without equilibrium, so I'd say life is near impossible.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on June 21, 2017, 07:25:57 pm
If a Jupiter-sized (Or larger) planet got flung into space, its moons could conceivably have life similar to what we might hope to find on Europa---supported by volcanic vents on the ocean floor, which are themselves created by the tidal forces of the large planet's gravity flexing the moon.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on June 22, 2017, 05:18:42 am
On moving planets I couldn't help recalling the Shadow Raiders cartoon with their planerary engines and  atmospheric shields and all.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on June 22, 2017, 07:08:21 am
The MUCH more realistic option is to just move the Earth.

It's not very realistic, but you know, whatever might work. Assuming we're still around to be bothered about it.

Instead of that, break Earth into two pieces. Old Earth has a radius of 6371 km, whereas each of the "New Earths" will have a radius of 5056 km, not that much smaller! We'd gain about 60% more surface area to play with, and surface gravity would be around 0.79, so bearable.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on June 22, 2017, 07:20:18 am
Except you're proposing that we create extra material. Unless you think that there's two objects the size of what, Venus? Maybe the physical size of Mars, if not the weight?

Plus what about our magnetic field? We do NOT want to reduce THAT at all.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on June 22, 2017, 07:24:14 am
Except you're proposing that we create extra material. Unless you think that there's two objects the size of what, Venus? Maybe the physical size of Mars, if not the weight?
Calculate the volume of 2 objects 5056 km in radius vs 1 x 6371.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on June 22, 2017, 07:39:59 am
That would require effort.

Too much effort.



(I kinda figured that was the case. But if it's much smaller than Earth, we end up with the issues of not having a substantial magnetosphere)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on June 22, 2017, 07:43:31 am
If we can do that to the Earth, then we can probably also paper over the cracks regarding issues such as that, atmospheric retention, etc, etc...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on June 22, 2017, 07:45:03 am
Probably, yeah.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on June 22, 2017, 07:56:57 am
So... It's decided then gentlemen. How do we procced? Standard nuclear bombs, megafracking or the mother of all tug-o-wars?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: origamiscienceguy on June 22, 2017, 08:01:07 am
Probably the best method would be using earth to give gravity assists to millions of asteroids, slowly changing earth's orbit. Especially since you can give a gravity assist multiple times.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on June 22, 2017, 10:02:17 am
Well, I was going to make highly precise local changes to the intermolecular forces, including moderate inversions sufficient to overcome gravity itself at a local scale1, to aid in the parting and viscous remoulding process...  But if you just want to brute-force it, rather than eletromagnetically-force it, be my guest. I'll work on the magma-stirring fields, just so we have a backup. Also probably useful for creating new volcano-chains right under anybody I we don't like....


1 But only whilst I was prepping the Gravity Field Adjuster to disproportionally retain the upper atmospheres and thus maintain pressure, without losing out on that 1/5th reduction in surface gravity that everyone is raving about...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: BorkBorkGoesTheCode on June 22, 2017, 10:55:50 am
KIC 8462852 has dimmed again.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on June 22, 2017, 12:55:04 pm
KIC 8462852 has dimmed again.
They're powering up the Starkiller.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on June 22, 2017, 03:07:51 pm
Luckily de hav.... Oh crap we killed Hand Solo... well it was nice to know you guys.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TempAcc on June 22, 2017, 03:14:21 pm
Hand solo sounds like a very descriptive euphemism for masturbation
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on June 22, 2017, 03:42:50 pm
Hahahaha damn autocorrect. What's weird is that it's in spanish and I'm sure hand is not a spanish word.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on June 22, 2017, 05:31:17 pm
Hahahaha damn autocorrect. What's weird is that it's in spanish and I'm sure hand is not a spanish word.
Not today it isn't, but maño na?
Attempting a oontrived pun in a foreign tongue...  Probably failed.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TempAcc on June 22, 2017, 07:51:22 pm
That sounded more like a jojo stand name than spanish.

MANO NA
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on June 22, 2017, 10:41:21 pm
If a Jupiter-sized (Or larger) planet got flung into space, its moons could conceivably have life similar to what we might hope to find on Europa---supported by volcanic vents on the ocean floor, which are themselves created by the tidal forces of the large planet's gravity flexing the moon.
With large enough moons and a deep enough atmosphere you'd have a few million years possibly before the KH heating died out.

As for KIC 8675309 (I GOT IT!) that's fascinating, I look forward to the enhanced attention it will get this time.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 22, 2017, 10:43:57 pm
I'm sure it's just a coincidence and not Pathos' Space Empire refiling their Annihilator Fleet.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on June 23, 2017, 05:02:20 am
I dunno, maybe it could be a dense asteroid cluster or gas clouds that are passing by or somewhat rapidly and erraticly orbiting the star.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on June 23, 2017, 06:35:15 am
You say that as of that's not also very interesting.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on June 23, 2017, 01:18:36 pm
Well, not eveything is fun and games and unfathomable cosmic horrors coming to drink the life of or sun and the souls of our bodies.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: monkey on June 25, 2017, 03:41:00 pm
Iridium-2 Launch Webcast (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7tIwZg8F9b8)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on June 25, 2017, 05:33:47 pm
I still get a little choked up hearing them crackle and pop away into the sky, I was heartbroken watching the last shuttle launch a few years back.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: hops on June 27, 2017, 10:51:44 am
Probably the best method would be using earth to give gravity assists to millions of asteroids, slowly changing earth's orbit. Especially since you can give a gravity assist multiple times.
You naive fool, all we need is Archimedes with a really long hammer...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on June 27, 2017, 10:59:06 am
Probably the best method would be using earth to give gravity assists to millions of asteroids, slowly changing earth's orbit. Especially since you can give a gravity assist multiple times.
You naive fool, all we need is Archimedes with a really long hammer...

"Archimedes Really Long Hammer" sounds like an excellent name for a big asteroid.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bumber on June 27, 2017, 05:44:35 pm
"Archimedes Really Long Hammer" sounds like an excellent name for a big asteroid.
Or an edgy rock song. Space rock.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on June 27, 2017, 07:14:43 pm
"Archimedes Really Long Hammer" sounds like an excellent name for a big asteroid.
Or an edgy rock song. Space rock.
Space rock, you say? (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bqL7Yllgeew)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bumber on June 28, 2017, 12:00:23 am
"Archimedes Really Long Hammer" sounds like an excellent name for a big asteroid.
Or an edgy rock song. Space rock.
Space rock, you say? (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bqL7Yllgeew)
I was thinking the title sounded more like a song by the Beltles.

KABOOM, KABOOM, KABOOM, went Archimedes's Really Long Hammer!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on June 28, 2017, 12:07:16 am
Clang Clang Thor's magic hammer came down on his brother's head!
Clang-Clang Thor's magic hammer made sure that it was red!

.. I'll show myself out.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on June 28, 2017, 05:08:18 pm
When I merge the words space and rock this is what springs into mind https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=dUqG5gB8nbI
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on July 31, 2017, 08:36:07 am
Exo (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-40741545)mooooon (https://www.theregister.co.uk/2017/07/31/speculation_of_exomoon_around_kepler_1625b/)!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on July 31, 2017, 08:41:02 am
Cool.


Pretty cool.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on July 31, 2017, 10:59:22 am
That's no moon it's... *wookie howling in the background* really? Are you sure? *more howling* Oh, ok then, that might actually be a moon after all.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on July 31, 2017, 01:23:10 pm
Exomoon!
Exomoon!
Exomoon!
it's only a model
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: hops on July 31, 2017, 01:41:02 pm
If we terraformed it and put deers on there are they

(http://vignette1.wikia.nocookie.net/yugioh/images/c/c0/ExodiatheForbiddenOne-TF04-JP-VG.jpg/revision/latest?cb=20120420185052)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Amperzand on September 18, 2017, 12:27:26 am
So uh, what about a scramjet with monopropellant for fuel?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: alway on September 18, 2017, 12:32:59 am
If it's a monoprop, by the definition of monoprop it's not a scramjet, just a rocket. Monoprop means it comes with its own oxidizer, so it just burns without any intakes.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on September 18, 2017, 04:37:17 am
(silently titters at the highly absurd notion of an interstellar scramjet, that is fusion powered, and uses a huge magnetic ram scoop to suck in interstellar hydrogen for fuel.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on September 18, 2017, 10:20:06 am
Space isn't really empty, so you can always just use the few bits of matter floating around as propellant. Provided you don't care about getting there fast... Or really arriving at your destination at all.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on September 18, 2017, 10:31:32 am
I love ProjectRho for crushing so many scifi dreams.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on September 18, 2017, 10:41:28 am
(silently titters at the highly absurd notion of an interstellar scramjet, that is fusion powered, and uses a huge magnetic ram scoop to suck in interstellar hydrogen for fuel.)

To be fair to Bussard, though, he was working on estimates of interstellar matter density that were orders of magnitude too high. It's not so much "highly absurd" as based on faulty data.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on September 18, 2017, 11:01:41 am
It's usually referred to as a ramjet. I suspect that if you could get it moving fast enough it would work even with lowered densities, but it needs fuel to get to speed, but it needs speed to get fuel. Paradox!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on September 18, 2017, 11:12:56 am
Solution:

Fire the whole damned ship out of a mass driver-- THEN turn on the engine.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on September 18, 2017, 01:41:23 pm
It's usually referred to as a ramjet. I suspect that if you could get it moving fast enough it would work even with lowered densities, but it needs fuel to get to speed, but it needs speed to get fuel. Paradox!

Not Bussard's original design, no; the drag on the electromagnetic ramscoop far exceeds the thrust that could be generated by fusing together the collected matter regardless of scoop size or speed. Such a ramscoop makes a fine brake, though.

One alternative is to carry fusion fuel onboard and use the ramscoop as a propellant source once the ship is over the critical speed, which significantly reduces the required propellant mass at launch. Using an externally accelerated particle stream to provide the initial acceleration would bring the propellant requirements down to an absolute minimum, particularly if the propellant tanks could be loaded from the stream itself.

Kind of like firing the ship out of a mass driver, just gentler.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Baffler on September 27, 2017, 07:30:51 pm
NASA and Roscosmos revealed plans today to cooperate on a jointly operated station in lunar orbit.

https://www.theguardian.com/science/2017/sep/27/russia-and-us-will-cooperate-to-build-moon-first-space-station
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/09/27/russia-us-agree-cooperate-building-first-lunar-station/

They're in the early stages, just working out common technical standards for parts to be manufactured later, but from the looks of it this is the real deal.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sluissa on September 27, 2017, 08:40:55 pm
Sounds great. US had already planned a token one. Maybe working together we can figure something out thats actually worthy of the attempt.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on September 28, 2017, 12:21:30 am
Can't wait to see it in action! When are the prospective dates?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on September 28, 2017, 12:28:25 am
Can't wait to see it in action! When are the prospective dates?

Apparently construction is supposed to start in the mid-2020s. As this is beyond the end of the current presidential administration, expect it to never happen; one of the first things every new President does is tell NASA what their multi-decade-long plan should be. Even if their mandates stayed the same for long enough, they'll never have enough money to do anything manned again after the ISS is shut down.

This is a pipe dream. This is a bunch of political administrators demanding the nerds in their employ do something cool and overruling their objections because who listens to scientists anyway? It will never happen.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on September 28, 2017, 12:55:50 am
Well yeah, even JFK's moon landing could have occured towards the end of his administration, if he'd survived and run for two full terms (1960-1968).

And Nixon decided to support the Space Shuttle shortly after his inauguration in 1969. While the first orbital tests took as long as 1981, in 1969 it might have appeared plausible that they could have them up and running before the end of Nixon's presumed 2 terms in office.

So ... if you want Trump to authorize something, tell him it'll be up and running by 2024 and it's 100 times as likely to get funded.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on October 04, 2017, 10:18:20 am
Opportunity has now been roving the surface of Mars for 5000 days.
Quite impressive, for a rover that was made to last 90 days.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on October 04, 2017, 10:22:17 am
Opportunity has now been roving the surface of Mars for 5000 days.
Quite impressive, for a rover that was made to last 90 days.

Yeah, our technology on Mars continues to surprise us with resilience.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on October 04, 2017, 10:26:11 am
We built it to last, after all. It had to make 90 days for sure or it was a colossal waste of money.

By the way, it was not a colossal waste of money.



But yeah, score 5000 for modern engineering. We sent a probe to a place no human has ever visited, fully prepared to lose it en route, on landing, and every day of its mission. Now, in one of the harshest imaginable environments, it is still running, at almost 56 times its life expectancy.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 04, 2017, 10:57:34 am
All hail Opportunity! (https://xkcd.com/1504/) (But given how we treated it and Spirit (https://xkcd.com/695/)...)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: redwallzyl on October 16, 2017, 09:57:42 pm
There's gold in them their stars!

http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2017/10/16/557557544/astronomers-strike-gravitational-gold-in-colliding-neutron-stars
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Jopax on November 07, 2017, 08:25:24 pm
Juno takes some sexy french girl photos of Jupiter, oh myy. (http://www.sci-techuniverse.com/2017/11/nasas-1-billion-jupiter-probe-just-sent.html)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: JoshuaFH on November 08, 2017, 07:47:53 am
Juno takes some sexy french girl photos of Jupiter, oh myy. (http://www.sci-techuniverse.com/2017/11/nasas-1-billion-jupiter-probe-just-sent.html)

I know that all of Jupiter's environment is an uninhabitable storm-dimension, but those pictures of the hellishly black north pole look especially menacing.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on November 08, 2017, 11:24:38 am
The time is overdue for the Great Black Spot to appear and transform Jupiter into Lucifer. I blame the lack of Tyco moon-bases, these last 19 years.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on November 15, 2017, 07:26:27 am
http://www.news.com.au/technology/science/space/ross-128b-is-there-life-out-there-planet-find-says-it-could-be-as-close-as-next-door/news-story/edcfe95a611d7191b2f52030f4e785b7

Seems like they found an Earth-sized planet only 11 light years away, and it's in the habitable zone. However it has some interesting differences. 1 solar orbit is around 10 days, and it's tidal-locked to the star, which is a fairly cool red dwarf type, so that one face always faces the star, so there's a hot and cold side, and no day/night cycle to speak of.

However they're estimating that it's surface temperatures are between -60 and 20 degrees Celsius. Even if there's no life there this would seem to be a viable place for humans to colonize. And it's close enough we could get some real information on what it's like within a reasonable time-frame.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on November 15, 2017, 07:52:33 am
Tidally locked might even mean "goldilocks longitudes" on the planet, where tenuous life can develop in the most conveniently neutral part of the near-side/far-side gradient (and convenient shadows to be in or out of, from the local geography). Once it gets hold, evolution of hotter/colder/brighter/darker tolerances then can happen, if at all possible.

Though if the theory that Earth's lunar tides helped our development (isolating littoral pools, periodically, to open up many separate prebiotic experiments in abiogenesis at the start, and stranding proto-amphibians at a later time, then perhaps a near-constant set of conditions aren't good enough to tweak actual solid developments out of the random mush. Especially if it means there's less effective experimental area, comparing and contrasting contemperaneously temperate areas across vast swathes of a rotating sphere with our above planet having much narrower slice betwixt Hell and Hoth, easily cut through by simple geological barriers to further restrict migration when libration or solar variation does cause localised discomfort (see also Earthly cloud forests, 'lifting off').

But interesting to think about how it might develop one or other (or several?) branches of life.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on November 15, 2017, 09:59:54 am
Problem with tidally-locked planets is that, theoretically, if they have an atmosphere at all, it's going to be a rather violent one. Heat transfer between light side and dark side is going to generate some impressive wind.

Good news -- a Belgian study in 2015 calculated that this may not be that big of a problem after all. (https://newatlas.com/tidally-locked-exoplanets-potentially-habitable/39407/)

Bad news -- The same study calculated that heat transfer generally doesn't occur in planets with a rotational period of less than 12 days. Planet you mentioned is 10 days. So, no heat transfer.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on November 15, 2017, 10:06:16 am
That's not necessarily bad as Starver hinted at. If there's no crazy wind and there's hot and cold then there must logically be a steady temperate band.

~~~

Also a quibble, the article says that a certain unwanted pattern only occurs in planet with less than 12 days rotational period. However, it doesn't actually state that all planets with less than 12 days rotational period have that feature.

I mean, maybe, but we only have the wording of one pop-science article summarizing some research to go on. If we take that too literally then we're probably ascribing more rigor to the article than it warrants.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on November 15, 2017, 02:56:28 pm
That's not necessarily bad as Starver hinted at. If there's no crazy wind and there's hot and cold then there must logically be a steady temperate band.

~~~

Also a quibble, the article says that a certain unwanted pattern only occurs in planet with less than 12 days rotational period. However, it doesn't actually state that all planets with less than 12 days rotational period have that feature.

I mean, maybe, but we only have the wording of one pop-science article summarizing some research to go on. If we take that too literally then we're probably ascribing more rigor to the article than it warrants.
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on November 15, 2017, 03:13:52 pm
How old is its parent sun? The article says that it isn't young, but doesn't specify the age, which could be important to knowing what complexity we might expect.

Then again, the conditions are so radically different that we don't know whether taking three billion years to develop complex multicellular life is the norm or if it can happen faster.

Also, having a windy atmosphere isn't going to stop life from developing, more challenging, yes, but not prevent. life would also adapt to the conditions, I could see the windy atmosphere fostering many more instances of flight, possibly even some unusual and innovative methods that wouldn't work on Earth.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on November 15, 2017, 03:28:19 pm
400mph+ winds basically preclude biological flight. The stresses would require metal bones.

Also, think about how LANDING would work.

Or how about flying against the winds PERPETUALLY because otherwise you will be blown into Hoth? Or sucked into the hellscape on the other side.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on November 15, 2017, 04:34:53 pm
I think we'll end up surprised as to what life can adapt to...

Incidentally, constant 400 mph winds would preclude all but the most adventurous and risk taking colonists from trying to colonize said planet. Unless they somehow got underground as fast as possible.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on November 15, 2017, 04:35:52 pm
Even then, you're going to have ~400mph of speed on landing with such winds, assuming a lengthy-ish descent.



That's going to cause some difficulty in actually reaching the "underground" stage.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on November 15, 2017, 04:51:49 pm
As I said, the most adventurous and risk taking colonists, probably including some that have ideas on how to make it work but are viewed as crazy by most everybody else.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on November 15, 2017, 04:58:40 pm
That's going to cause some difficulty in actually reaching the "underground" stage.
Or help...

Penetrating impactor with intrinsic internal dampening/buffering ('Martian Cylinder' on (a)steroids!) hitting surfaces of a particular (possibly wide) range of hardness could be the answer to getting out of dynamically hostile atmospheric.


(But not with current tech or information, of course. Just maybe something possibly considered once the 11ly manned mission has settled into the extrasolar orbit necessary to consider the final down-well drop people down. Including taking time to harvest materials from the local asteroids. I don't think we'd be prepackaging everything, for all contingencies, into the vessel sent from here. Probably work on getting a certain minimum of materials processing, assembly and repair mechanisms as part of the "go with" tech, plenty of 3d-printing tech across all ranges of polymers, metals, ceramics, etc, and let the possible landing plans (unmanned probes foremost) develop in brainstorming sessions across the 22 years of reciprocal communication to include Earth, and maybe take advantage of their having developed actual Inertial Dampeners or something in the meantime.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on November 16, 2017, 06:30:33 am
If we send a sufficiently advanced and autonomous probe today that could accelerate to relativistic speed of .9 C at a constant 1G it could reach the planet in around 13 years(I'm not couting deceleration), with a com lag of 11 years.
If everything goes rigth we could have info back in around 24+ years. Well within a lifetime. Now this is the SciFi scenario with a nonexistent propulsion system as of yet. And it depends on a lot of things that have millions of ways to go wrong to go exactly right.

I mean we still crash probes on Mars because differences over measurements units. (Everyone should use metric system).

But even if the time of the mission is 50 or 100 years with more realistic propulsion systems I would say is still worthy of doing. As long is done right.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on November 16, 2017, 08:34:55 am
I mean we still crash probes on Mars because differences over measurements units. (Everyone should use metric system).
The most successful nation at getting probes to Mars is India, by the way...

Makes you think!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on November 16, 2017, 09:07:42 am
I mean we still crash probes on Mars because differences over measurements units. (Everyone should use metric system).
The most successful nation at getting probes to Mars is India, by the way...

Makes you think!
Yep. Do it 40 years after everyone else and only launch one: abuse those percentage success rates for fun and profit. ^_^
And yes, I know they're planning their follow-up by 2020
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Jopax on November 16, 2017, 09:37:53 am
Do we know anything about the density of the atmosphere tho? 400mph winds aren't that dangerous if the atmosphere is thin enough (Mars being a good example of extreme winds that aren't as scary as they sound).

Also an idea occured to me. How about giant space railguns for long distance probes? You can have a controllable acceleration without having to load all the fuel needed for it on the ship itself. And since it's in space, size isn't that huge of an issue for the most part. I'm sure this isn't the first time someone thought of the idea, but I'm curious if it was ever considered seriously as a more efficent form of interplanetary launch system than just pure rocket power.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on November 16, 2017, 12:57:45 pm
Would take a railgun of more than 1 AU in length for a 5000g acceleration to reach some highish fraction of c that I can't remember right now. I'll edit this post after lunch with the actual numbers.

Suffice to say it will only work for the sturdiest of robotic payloads, and it would be EXPENSIVE.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Doomblade187 on November 16, 2017, 01:02:08 pm
https://arstechnica.com/science/2017/11/spacex-to-launch-a-secret-but-significant-payload-thursday/?amp=1

Not sure if you guys had heard about this. I know it's not huge news, but still fun.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on November 16, 2017, 01:04:12 pm
And if we're advanced enough to have the ability to build and power a rail gun in excess of 1AU in length without it collapsing under its own mass, surely we'd have better methods of getting there by then? We're talking about structures that are a few steps below megastructures like a ringworld. Edit: Maybe more than a few steps, but building something more than 1 AU in length is a hell of a task when we haven't been building stuff in space for all that long.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: JoshuaFH on November 16, 2017, 01:16:23 pm
I wonder if that "Nuclear Explosion Cannon" is still on the table.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on November 16, 2017, 01:18:51 pm
Not while we still have the treaty banning the use of nuclear weapons in space and exploding nukes in space. The concept of using them as propulsion is already well studied and conceptualized, just that we wouldn't be able to use one with the current treaty.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Jopax on November 16, 2017, 01:20:24 pm
Didn't expect them to be so damn huge for any sort of noticeable effect.

Maybe a radial one that gradually spins a thingy up and then lets go at a certain point? Sort of like a giant slingshot.

Tho really, it doesn't have to do the entire acceleration or even most of it. Just a bit of a starter boost to help the thingy along and save on size/weight/delta somewhat.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: JoshuaFH on November 16, 2017, 01:25:03 pm
Not while we still have the treaty banning the use of nuclear weapons in space and exploding nukes in space. The concept of using them as propulsion is already well studied and conceptualized, just that we wouldn't be able to use one with the current treaty.

Pshaw, we have a new home possibly just a human lifetime or two away! What's a few nukes here or there, we gotta strike at the tidally locked planet while the iron is still half-hot, half-cold, and half-just-right! There could be aliens on that planet as we speak, building their own nuclear cannons to leave their crap world to come to our crap world! We gotta stop them with our own nuclear cannon space battleship, it's the only way!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on November 16, 2017, 01:34:09 pm
Yep, 3/2 of a planet.

That's totally possible.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on November 16, 2017, 03:24:46 pm
It might be crinkly!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on November 16, 2017, 04:18:06 pm
 If we ever build such a cannon or anything the likes of it, even at a smaller scale I'm sure we won't use it in any pacific, exploration endeavors.

As for nukes in space people used to think we would contaminate the space with the nukes... Fucking hippies.

Other more realistic concern is getting the nukes safely beyond our orbit. High altitude nuclear explosions and fallout are far more pressing.

Perhaps a combination of high acceleration railgun and some ion engine could do. That or nuclear propulsion.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on November 16, 2017, 04:21:50 pm
Hey if we use enough nukes we could get the planet spinning again, and it would take millennia for it to slow down again. Instant day/night cycle and even out the climate.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on November 16, 2017, 04:58:16 pm
I request you calculate the moment of inertia of the earth, and then look up/calculate the amount of energy contained in nuclear bombs, and tell me if that is enough to give the Earth a tangential radial velocity of 1000mph.


Spoiler alert:

It won't be.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: redwallzyl on November 16, 2017, 09:33:39 pm
Hey if we use enough nukes we could get the planet spinning again, and it would take millennia for it to slow down again. Instant day/night cycle and even out the climate.
???
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on November 16, 2017, 09:42:11 pm

Other more realistic concern is getting the nukes safely beyond our orbit. High altitude nuclear explosions and fallout are far more pressing.

Perhaps a combination of high acceleration railgun and some ion engine could do. That or nuclear propulsion.

Closed cycle gas core for earth-to-orbit followed by NSWR once in space, perhaps. No nuclear devices needed, and you can cycle the uranium out of the bulbs and into the salt tanks once you're in translunar space.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on November 16, 2017, 09:47:43 pm
I request you calculate the moment of inertia of the earth, and then look up/calculate the amount of energy contained in nuclear bombs, and tell me if that is enough to give the Earth a tangential radial velocity of 1000mph.


Spoiler alert:

It won't be.

I said enough nukes. i covered that already.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on November 16, 2017, 09:50:56 pm
I request you calculate the moment of inertia of the earth, and then look up/calculate the amount of energy contained in nuclear bombs, and tell me if that is enough to give the Earth a tangential radial velocity of 1000mph.


Spoiler alert:

It won't be.

I said enough nukes. i covered that already.

Ah, but have we enough fissile material at our disposal to make "enough nukes?"
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on November 16, 2017, 09:53:45 pm
Fusion, yo.

The fission part of it is only a detonator, there's no practical size limit on hydrogen bombs, and no shortage of materials.

Actually, I'm wondering what would happen if you added drag to a planet. You see, the planet is currently spinning once every 10 days, it's just synced with it's orbit of the star. So to get a "day" you don't necessarily need to speed up the planet, you can in fact get the same thing by slowing it down, more effectively. in fact, it sounds like a good way to steal energy from this planet/star system, you use the kinetic energy from the planet, thus slowing it down, but then the planet/star's tidal forces speeds it back up.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on November 16, 2017, 10:01:49 pm
Fusion, yo.

So we move from the question of "enough nukes" to "enough fissile primary devices and sparkplugs", but the constraint remains.

Or do you mean to imply the use of pure fusion weapons?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on November 16, 2017, 10:04:59 pm
If you pre-place the needed fusion bombs you could in fact only have a small number of fission detonators. But then again, we do only use fission detonators because they're what we have, not because they're the only possible way to spark uncontrolled fusion.

But of course, saying to use nukes for planetary engineering was only meant as a parody of all the "let's just nuke it" proposals from the 50's and 60's.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_Plowshare

https://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2011/03/12/1949-scientists-wanted-to-nuke-antarctica-to-melt-the-ice/

Here was a proposal from 1949 to carpet-bomb antarctica to get rid of all the pesky ice and make it human-habitable. This was from Australia, but i've read of similar proposals from the US too, however these more far-fetched plans are harder to reference (I read them in books which are out of print now).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Maximum Spin on November 16, 2017, 10:08:18 pm
Nuke space: not because we have any good reason to, but because space deserves it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on November 16, 2017, 10:10:37 pm
Fusion, yo.

The fission part of it is only a detonator, there's no practical size limit on hydrogen bombs, and no shortage of materials.

Actually, I'm wondering what would happen if you added drag to a planet. You see, the planet is currently spinning once every 10 days, it's just synced with it's orbit of the star. So to get a "day" you don't necessarily need to speed up the planet, you can in fact get the same thing by slowing it down, more effectively. in fact, it sounds like a good way to steal energy from this planet/star system, you use the kinetic energy from the planet, thus slowing it down, but then the planet/star's tidal forces speeds it back up.

That's about as reasonable as slowing down Jupiter by throwing more New Horizons past it.

You should go look at XYKD, they cover the sort of energy loss you're talking about. Although, I do have a question: How do you propose to extract from the rotational energy instead of the orbital velocity (As covered in the XYKD article I'm talking about)

Also, "apply drag" is...difficult, when you don't (presumably) want to simultaneously send the planet hurtling into its star.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on November 16, 2017, 10:13:58 pm
That won't cause the planet to fall into the sun, because the drag is localized to the planet. The planet pushes on the atmosphere and vice-versa. The net velocity of the system vs the sun isn't affected. It's no more going to pull the planet into the sun than putting down your coffee cup at mid-day pushes Earth away from the sun.

also the ridges would be spread around the planet, think of it like the profile of a circle-saw blade. Each ridge has an opposite ridge pushing in the other direction, so net "push" on velocity is zero, while rotational drag is asymmetric, so only rotational drag would matter.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: x2yzh9 on November 16, 2017, 10:22:48 pm
So, quick hypothetical question.. with this research and/or news article in mind(https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/mars/news/marsmethane.html)
I saw this in the news lately, and was very interested. If methane existed on mars, as per the article, in larger quantities-but is being produced by the life itself-hypothetically, and if(if we haven't already) we could carbon-date the methane gas or through some other process to see at what point in the universe's evolution methane existed in large quantities on mars, I think that would lead us to find a possible way of terraforming mars,
Nanotube filament solid gas(s) sent in explosive nuclear warheads towards the red planet
The reason I say this is because that would be relatively more cheap in the short term to do this. IF as the article states radiation was/is an energy source for any life on mars then a nuclear warhead, let's say one that emits a controlled amount of radiation, and a controlled amount of gases stored in the warhead, solidified and condensed through the use of carbon/nanotechnology, and let's say those solidified gas(s) would be uh..methane, and hydrogen(and/or oxygen, but I find that to be the most unlikely of answers as it seems to be a variant of simple human psychology that we would send or produce the same type of energy or atmospheric gas to simply make it more livable for us. I would think that the first step in even attempting such as a process is restoring the planet to it's original/optimal for life stage).

For the moment, this is all a theory and it's all hypothetical. But if you guys can make sense of it, I'm sure someone somewhere on this forum has a proper degree in mathematics to throw this theory out the window as a pipe dream but I hope for the unexpected.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on November 16, 2017, 10:32:45 pm
There are a few huge problems with carbon-dating on Mars.

First, Carbon dating is only meaningful to around 50,000 years. Carbon-14 decays, so really old samples won't have meaningful amounts of it.

Second, Carbon-14 is made when a neutron hits Nitrogen-13. And Mar's atmosphere lacks the nitrogen we expect on Earth. So Carbon dating on Earth relies on the fact that stray Neutrons are bombarding Nitrogen atoms and replenishing the Carbon-14 in the atmosphere at a reasonably steady rate, while carbon locked in a dead organism retains only the Carbon-14 which it had at the time of death, and which slowly decays.

Third, we'd need calibration tables for the Carbon-14 concentrations in the air going back thousands of years, which we usually get from ice-cores in places like Antarctica.

Hence, the technique can't really be generalized to Mars, or to times long ago. At least not with Carbon dating as we know it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on November 16, 2017, 10:42:38 pm
That's about as reasonable as slowing down Jupiter by throwing more New Horizons past it.

You should go look at XYKD, they cover the sort of energy loss you're talking about. Although, I do have a question: How do you propose to extract from the rotational energy instead of the orbital velocity (As covered in the XYKD article I'm talking about)
https://what-if.xkcd.com/146/ is the link you probably wanted to give/direct to.

Warning: Do not attempt to drink keyboard-unfriendly beverages whilst reading.  (Unless you happen to have a beverage-friendly keyboard. Then go ahead!)

Nanotube filament solid gas(s) sent in explosive nuclear warheads towards the red planet
Waitwhatnow?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: x2yzh9 on November 16, 2017, 10:54:08 pm
That's about as reasonable as slowing down Jupiter by throwing more New Horizons past it.

You should go look at XYKD, they cover the sort of energy loss you're talking about. Although, I do have a question: How do you propose to extract from the rotational energy instead of the orbital velocity (As covered in the XYKD article I'm talking about)
https://what-if.xkcd.com/146/ is the link you probably wanted to give/direct to.

Warning: Do not attempt to drink keyboard-unfriendly beverages whilst reading.  (Unless you happen to have a beverage-friendly keyboard. Then go ahead!)

Nanotube filament solid gas(s) sent in explosive nuclear warheads towards the red planet
Waitwhatnow?
Say we were able to condense atmospheric gases within a carbon filament/nanotechnology bound instrument, and sent them off alongside with a controlled amount of emitted radiation. As per the article, the hypothetical I'm guessing is that it would restore life to it's original state hopefully, but then it's an oxymoron as well as the sun itself is not what it used to be, so therefore trying to 'terraform' it into an original state rather than artificial one(even though the methods would be artificial and man made themselves) /could/ be redundant, but I was just exploring the option.

Also, calculating a nuclear payload and slingshot technology to mars would be a lot easier than say, putting people there. And by the time mars is anywhere near habitable, by proxy I think we would have the technology to go there. Yes, this would mean increased amounts of radiation, but hopefully the future provides some sort of decontamination aspect. But like I said, just read the article, the article itself states that some of the energy gained by prior lifeforms on mars is through radiation and something else, I'm too tired to reference, but it produces an end result of methane gas.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on November 16, 2017, 11:17:39 pm
A much simpler plan would be to just darken Mars (across as much of the electromagnetic spectrum as possible, not just the visible spectrum). If it's less reflective then it would retain more heat, making it habitable. This would also improve atmospheric pressure without any extra gas needed.

One plan involves importing dust from Mar's moons Deimos and Phobos - which are some of the darkest bodies in the solar system. Then that could warm the place just enough to get a foothold for algae and the like in some places, which would further trap sunlight (especially if the algae spread and adapted).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on November 16, 2017, 11:22:32 pm
Say we were able to condense atmospheric gases within a carbon filament/nanotechnology bound instrument,
Ummm, okay. Not sure how/why. Is the filament nature (which would be highly oxidised bucky-tubes, I presume) actually more useful than merely being cooled down into Dry Ice blocks, or something?
Quote
and sent them off alongside with a controlled amount of emitted radiation.
Why radiation?

Quote
As per the article, the hypothetical I'm guessing is that it would restore life to it's original state hopefully,
Are you thinking "life concentrates certain isotopes of carbon" with "certain isotopes of carbon will aid life"?

Quote
but then it's an oxymoron as well as the sun itself is not what it used to be, so therefore trying to 'terraform' it into an original state rather than artificial one(even though the methods would be artificial and man made themselves) /could/ be redundant, but I was just exploring the option.
I remain lost. Or you do. But I'll stick with it being me, for now, and give you a fair chance to correct my intrinsic wrong-headedness.

(But we already have the technology to go there with people, far more than we have the technology to terraform it good enough for people.)

A much simpler plan would be to just darken Mars (across as much of the electromagnetic spectrum as possible, not just the visible spectrum). If it's less reflective then it would retain more heat, making it habitable. This would also improve atmospheric pressure without any extra gas needed.
https://xkcd.com/1504/
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Maximum Spin on November 16, 2017, 11:35:50 pm
(passim)
Your proposal is kind of incomprehensible, but I get the feeling you seem to think that releasing methane would be good for the possible life on Mars? Which is actually the opposite of the case, if methane is being produced as a waste molecule – that would be like saying that humans release CO2, so filling a room with CO2 would make conditions better for the humans in it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on November 17, 2017, 01:04:03 am
I don't know, fellow human, that sounds like sound reasoning to me! Obviously we should release more CO2, which us humans totally can breathe. After all, it has oxygen in it!
*Plants roots into floor*
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on November 17, 2017, 11:15:29 am
I didn't have time to respond yesterday.

Reelya, did you SERIOUSLY attempt to say that by attempting to generate drag from something moving WITH the planet, we could somehow change the planet's rotation????


That is not how the laws of physics work.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on November 17, 2017, 11:27:36 pm
There are a few huge problems with carbon-dating on Mars.

First, Carbon dating is only meaningful to around 50,000 years. Carbon-14 decays, so really old samples won't have meaningful amounts of it.

Second, Carbon-14 is made when a neutron hits Nitrogen-13. And Mar's atmosphere lacks the nitrogen we expect on Earth. So Carbon dating on Earth relies on the fact that stray Neutrons are bombarding Nitrogen atoms and replenishing the Carbon-14 in the atmosphere at a reasonably steady rate, while carbon locked in a dead organism retains only the Carbon-14 which it had at the time of death, and which slowly decays.

Third, we'd need calibration tables for the Carbon-14 concentrations in the air going back thousands of years, which we usually get from ice-cores in places like Antarctica.

Hence, the technique can't really be generalized to Mars, or to times long ago. At least not with Carbon dating as we know it.

I gotta challenge this on at least one point. Adding a neutron to Nitrogen-13 makes it Nitrogen-14. You'd need to add a proton to N-13 to make it C-13 and then a neutron to C-13 to make it C-14
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Maximum Spin on November 17, 2017, 11:37:29 pm
Nah man, Z(N) > Z(C). You *remove* a proton from N-14 (and replace it with a neutron) to get C-14. Which, as it happens, is what happens when you bombard N-14 with a fast enough neutron.

ETA: Incidentally, because C-14 decays back to N-14 through beta emission, if you can moderate the speed of the leaving particles (say with an electric field) this is basically a sustainable way to convert high-energy neutrons into hydrogen. If you wanted to do that for some reason.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on November 17, 2017, 11:39:47 pm
Nitrogen has one more proton than carbon: Nitrogen is atomic number 7; carbon atomic number 6.  Oxygen is the next atomic number up from nitrogen: adding a proton to 13N would result in an isotope of oxygen (at a guess, typically 13O, which is unstable and typically decays to 13N, or 12O which decays to either 11N or 10C judging by this (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Isotopes_of_oxygen)).  Carbon-14 is formed when a neutron strikes nitrogen-14, which results in carbon-14 and a free proton.  I assume that Reelya's comment that 14C comes from 13N is a typo, as 3 is next to 4. 

EDIT:
Ah, as is asserted more succinctly above.  Though, I'd add the caveat that it doesn't even need to be a fast neutron: a simple thermal neutron seems to be enough to pop the proton right off.  Epithermal on up to fast and ultrafast neutrons are not necessarily going to be absorbed as easily, oddly enough, which is why nuclear moderators are so important in certain fission reactors.  Slowing down the neutrons allows them to be more easily captured, continuing the reaction. 
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on November 17, 2017, 11:41:32 pm
There are a few huge problems with carbon-dating on Mars.

First, Carbon dating is only meaningful to around 50,000 years. Carbon-14 decays, so really old samples won't have meaningful amounts of it.

Second, Carbon-14 is made when a neutron hits Nitrogen-13. And Mar's atmosphere lacks the nitrogen we expect on Earth. So Carbon dating on Earth relies on the fact that stray Neutrons are bombarding Nitrogen atoms and replenishing the Carbon-14 in the atmosphere at a reasonably steady rate, while carbon locked in a dead organism retains only the Carbon-14 which it had at the time of death, and which slowly decays.

Third, we'd need calibration tables for the Carbon-14 concentrations in the air going back thousands of years, which we usually get from ice-cores in places like Antarctica.

Hence, the technique can't really be generalized to Mars, or to times long ago. At least not with Carbon dating as we know it.

I gotta challenge this on at least one point. Adding a neutron to Nitrogen-13 makes it Nitrogen-14. You'd need to add a proton to N-13 to make it C-13 and then a neutron to C-13 to make it C-14

Wouldn't messing with the isotopes screw up the very thing you're trying to measure? At the very least, you wouldn't be absolutely sure that it's truly accurate due to messing with it.

There's other methods of chronologically dating rocks that should work just fine on Mars, we might develop a few methods that work specifically on Mars.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on November 17, 2017, 11:51:33 pm
Wow I was backwards thanks for correcting me guys.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on November 17, 2017, 11:55:42 pm
I didn't have time to respond yesterday.

Reelya, did you SERIOUSLY attempt to say that by attempting to generate drag from something moving WITH the planet, we could somehow change the planet's rotation????


That is not how the laws of physics work.

Friction does slow rotation. That's how tidal effects work. Friction is an energy transfer.

think about it this way, particles only want to move in straight lines. If a smooth planet was spinning with zero friction with the air, the atmosphere wouldn't rotate at all, it would stay in the same spot. The only way for the atmosphere to actually rotate with the planet is to be dragged around by a combination of friction with the ground and gravity.

So the energy for the atmosphere to move with the Earth in fact comes from the friction with the Earth. It's not "rotating" around the Earth by itself, because that's not how physics works.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Maximum Spin on November 17, 2017, 11:56:53 pm
Ah, as is asserted more succinctly above.  Though, I'd add the caveat that it doesn't even need to be a fast neutron: a simple thermal neutron seems to be enough to pop the proton right off.  Epithermal on up to fast and ultrafast neutrons are not necessarily going to be absorbed as easily, oddly enough, which is why nuclear moderators are so important in certain fission reactors.  Slowing down the neutrons allows them to be more easily captured, continuing the reaction.
Yeah, I meant that in a colloquial sense - as in "sufficiently energetic". Not necessarily literally a fast neutron, just one that's warm enough.

ETA:

Friction does slow rotation. That's how tidal effects work. Friction is an energy transfer.

think about it this way, objects in the atmosphere are slowed by friction with the atmosphere, you can't do geo-synced orbit in the atmosphere, drag still slows you down. If a bit of ground sticks up, then it's not immune to that just because it's connected to the ground.

It's the solid Earth that's spinning, free moving matter like air only wants to move in a straight line. It's not spinning with the Earth, because that's not how molecules move.
No. Sorry.

Okay, first. "Free moving matter like air" still feels gravity. Straight lines from the perspective of the air molecules are in fact curving toward Earth. In a sense, you might say that the atmosphere is orbiting the Earth, though it isn't in a stable orbit.

The atmosphere is moving along with the same speed as the Earth's surface (near the surface). This is why you do not feel a constant East wind. If something on the surface were moving more slowly than that, air drag would *speed it up* by pushing it in that direction. (In other words, it would feel a constant East wind.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on November 18, 2017, 12:00:34 am
Ah, hence "fast enough" instead of just "fast." Sorry, I read a bit too fast, myself.  That would be my error, completely.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on November 18, 2017, 12:02:25 am
I didn't have time to respond yesterday.

Reelya, did you SERIOUSLY attempt to say that by attempting to generate drag from something moving WITH the planet, we could somehow change the planet's rotation????


That is not how the laws of physics work.

Friction does slow rotation. That's how tidal effects work. Friction is an energy transfer.

think about it this way, objects in the atmosphere are slowed by friction with the atmosphere, you can't do geo-synced orbit in the atmosphere, drag still slows you down. If a bit of ground sticks up, then it's not immune to that just because it's connected to the ground.

It's the solid Earth that's spinning, free matter like air only wants to move in a straight line. So the atomsphere is not spinning, it's being dragged around by gravity. Adding more drag between the ground and the atmosphere will in fact slow the ground's spinning, because the ground is now pushing the air around more.

You can't geo-sync in the atmosphere ANYWAY because you're going too fast, seems a little silly to bring up attempting to geo-sync in atmosphere when you couldn't even if there was no atmosphere if you tried to orbit where the atmosphere is.

I get what you're trying to say with atmospheric drag, but the geo-syncing bit is a terrible way to explain it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on November 18, 2017, 12:07:04 am
Well the point as I re-edited in was that without any friction, the air would stay completely motionless around a round planet, no matter how fast the planet was spinning. It doesn't need to follow the planet.

Also, it's clearly not "orbiting" the planet by itself, because at that altitude, the orbital velocity is extremely high, much faster than the air is traveling. The air is in fact falling towards the planet (because it's below escape velocity), but being pushed sideways to maintain overall velocity.

So to maintain it's current speed around the planet, the air requires a constantly source of energy speeding it up, which comes from the rotation of the planet.

Think about a cog with teeth that's freely spinning, and there are loose stones being dragged around by the cog. If the cog has big teeth it's clearly pushing the stones around more than one with no teeth.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on November 18, 2017, 12:11:47 am
There would actually still be movement due to heat convection, both from heat radiating from the core (though a smooth planet implies no volcanism, or a global ocean, which also works) and solar heat. See Gas Giants, though the primary driver for those in our solar system is core heat rather than solar.

But yes, you have a point as far as friction.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on November 18, 2017, 12:12:45 am
Here's the thing: You propose slowing down the orbit by using the "drag" inherent in the atmosphere.

Except, does the Earth get slowed down by pulling its atmosphere along?

And if it doesn't, but your hypothetical planet *would* be, why does the Earth not have 1000mph east winds as mentioned above?


It's late, so sorry if this doesn't really make sense right now. Trust me, it makes sense in my head and I'll explain it all later.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on November 18, 2017, 12:17:06 am
Here's the thing: You propose slowing down the orbit by using the "drag" inherent in the atmosphere.

Except, does the Earth get slowed down by pulling its atmosphere along?

And if it doesn't, but your hypothetical planet *would* be, why does the Earth not have 1000mph east winds as mentioned above?


It's late, so sorry if this doesn't really make sense right now. Trust me, it makes sense in my head and I'll explain it all later.

Um, the jet stream? It's not 1000mph or whatever silly speed, but it is a powerful current of air and east direction in the northern hemisphere.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on November 18, 2017, 12:17:46 am
However, the point was that there wouldn't be rotational movement. The energy from that is provided by the planet.

The Earth does get slowed. The atmosphere requires energy to keep rotating around the planet. If you track the motion of the air particles only, they lack orbital velocity for the altitude they are at, so they cannot just move around the planet via gravitational falling. Hence, they need a constant, extra force applied to them in addition to gravity to maintain the motion they are in.

Earth is slowing down, we know that. Freely spinning bodies in space don't slow down. The moon is part of that, with tidal effects, however, friction is part of that too, because of conservation of energy: the air needs energy to make it change direction, which is what rotating with the planet entails. If the air was in free-fall then it wouldn't need any more energy, however any deviation from that requires a constant energy input.

https://physics.stackexchange.com/questions/1193/why-does-the-atmosphere-rotate-along-with-the-earth
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Maximum Spin on November 18, 2017, 12:21:01 am
Um, the jet stream? It's not 1000mph or whatever silly speed, but it is a powerful current of air and east direction in the northern hemisphere.
It's not "whatever silly speed". The Earth's rotation, tangentially, is actually 1000mph at the equator. So if that was what we were looking for, it would be.
(ETA: If you were wondering, it's the Coriolis force that moves the jet stream.)

Reelya: at this point you have essentially taken every position along the spectrum of possible positions and I think nobody knows what you're actually arguing for anymore.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on November 18, 2017, 12:27:38 am
What? I've taken exactly one position. Show me where I contradicted myself?

My main points were:

- atmosphere's don't "spin" by themselves, so if you had a no-friction planet, the atomsphere would not rotate.
   - the only way that the air could spin itself around the planet would be if the air was at orbital velocities (which are higher closer to the ground in fact)
- hence, the atmosphere needs energy to force the particles to change direction
- hence that energy came from somewhere
- the source of the needed energy is the planet spinning
- hence the planet loses energy by needing to keep the atmosphere moving around it

All of those add up to the same thing, that having more atmosphere or more drag between said atmosphere and a planet will slow it's spinning.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on November 18, 2017, 12:27:50 am
Um, the jet stream? It's not 1000mph or whatever silly speed, but it is a powerful current of air and east direction in the northern hemisphere.
It's not "whatever silly speed". The Earth's rotation, tangentially, is actually 1000mph at the equator. So if that was what we were looking for, it would be.

Reelya: at this point you have essentially taken every position along the spectrum of possible positions and I think nobody knows what you're actually arguing for anymore.

You said wind speed, not tangential rotating speed of the rocky orb. Jet Stream winds are still pretty fast https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jet_stream
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Maximum Spin on November 18, 2017, 12:30:54 am
What? I've taken exactly one position. Show me where I contradicted myself?
I can't because you keep editing your posts to substantively change what you're saying.

You said wind speed, not tangential rotating speed of the rocky orb. Jet Stream winds are still pretty fast
I didn't say wind speed, but if you look at what I *did* say that the person who said wind speed was referencing, you'd see that we were talking about winds produced by the rotation of the rocky orb if the atmosphere was hypothetically not moving along with it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on November 18, 2017, 12:31:22 am
More practically and back to the original idea, the idea of using an atmosphere to slow down a planet falls into the same trap as "enough nukes to start a planet's rotation" which was brought up earlier in the thread: while technically accurate, the amount of mass you need is completely impractical.  You may as well argue that enough people jumping up and down can be used to change a planet's orbit, for all the actual value such a statement contains.  Even a mere Earth-sized planet is still quite large, with the Earth itself having a moment of inertia of about...oh, glancing around since I'm too lazy to do the calculus for myself, around 8*1037 kg*m2, give or take a few 3-5*1035 kg*m2 for the fact that the Earth is technically an oblate spheroid with varying polar and equatorial radii rather than a perfect sphere.  Assuming you want an Earth-normal atmosphere for people to actually live on this world, a few 1018 kg of gas is not going to be a very large lever to bring a planet's rotation up to a meaningful speed within any reasonable human-usable timeframe. 

EDIT: Grammar pass. >_<
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on November 18, 2017, 12:34:19 am
What? I've taken exactly one position. Show me where I contradicted myself?

My main points were:

- atmosphere's don't "spin" by themselves, so if you had a no-friction planet, the atomsphere would not rotate.
- hence, the atmosphere needs energy to force the particles to change direction
- hence that energy came from somewhere
- the source of the needed energy is the planet spinning
- hence the planet loses energy by needing to keep the atmosphere moving around it

All of those add up to the same thing, that having more atmosphere or more drag between said atmosphere and a planet will slow it's spinning.

We are also assuming that there is no heat from other sources, like a sun.... Which means that our hypothetical atmosphere is now completely frozen. But if you want to break the laws of thermodynamics, then yes, that thought experiment works.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on November 18, 2017, 12:35:12 am
However, it's notable that Venus has an extremely slow rotational period, along with a really dense atmosphere. that took billions of years however. But not 10^18 years.

Quote
We are also assuming that there is no heat from other sources, like a sun.... Which means that our hypothetical atmosphere is now completely frozen. But if you want to break the laws of thermodynamics, then yes, that thought experiment works.

This is a complete non-sequiter. Heat from the sun doesn't make the atmosphere rotate around the planet, it just makes it less dense. In fact heat from the sun increases motion, thus it increases friction effects. It doesn't have any positive effects on the planet's rotation, only extra frictional effects.

High temperature means higher air pressure, making any drag from the air more effective. Purely going off basic laws of physics here. Hotter air exerts more pressure.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Maximum Spin on November 18, 2017, 12:38:00 am
Just curious, where do you think the atmosphere is dumping its angular momentum to?

Even though it's not in a stable orbit, if the friction from the earth stopped instantly right now, the temperature of the atmosphere would keep it from collapsing, so it'd keep spinning.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on November 18, 2017, 12:41:55 am
However, it's notable that Venus has an extremely slow rotational period, along with a really dense atmosphere. that took billions of years however. But not 10^18 years.

The main theory on how it got its slow rotation though is that it got smacked with something early on in its history, not atmosphere.

Just curious, where do you think the atmosphere is dumping its angular momentum to?

Even though it's not in a stable orbit, if the friction from the earth stopped instantly right now, the temperature of the atmosphere would keep it from collapsing, so it'd keep spinning.

The Earth is not in a stable orbit? Huh, I didn't know Jupiter was looming.  Edit: I think you meant atmospher is not in a stable orbit, but the wording is a little wierd.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on November 18, 2017, 12:42:54 am
No ... it would slow down. Because if you take any one air particle, and you plot it's trajectory in free-fall it's not around the planet, it's into the ground. You need a sustained force that makes it travel in a circle around the planet.

Also, I think you're using the concept of "angular momentum" a little wrong there. Free particles don't have angular momentum around some arbitrary point that's outside their center of mass. Free particles travel in a straight line according to Newtonian physics, unless that line deviates because of a force.

We can treat a large, solid object as a single thing with angular momentum around a center of mass, however that's kinda artificial and requires the particles to be joined together by a strong force. By themselves, every atom only "knows" about it's straight-line trajectory. Free moving elementary particles don't have "angular momentum" around some arbitrary position, because "angular momentum" in that sense isn't one of the fundamental forces of physics.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Maximum Spin on November 18, 2017, 12:43:20 am
The Earth is not in a stable orbit? Huh, I didn't know Jupiter was looming.
"it" here refers to the atmosphere, in keeping with the normal rules for pronouns in that situation.

Reelya: Okay. Here's the thing. If the atmosphere was exerting drag on the planet, we'd all be able to feel it. There would indeed be 1000mph winds around the equator. This is not the case. Therefore you can probably guess your analysis is wrong. And also the rotating atmosphere does have angular momentum.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on November 18, 2017, 12:45:33 am
Just curious, where do you think the atmosphere is dumping its angular momentum to?

Space, actually, as it boils off.

It has no significant effect on the momentum of the planet, for the reasons of mass differential that Culise outlined, but insofar as it technically happens, that's where the momentum goes.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on November 18, 2017, 12:46:27 am
Has anybody done a calculation showing how long it would take for an atmosphere the density of Venus's to slow Earths rotation down by say, one minute?

The Earth is not in a stable orbit? Huh, I didn't know Jupiter was looming.
"it" here refers to the atmosphere, in keeping with the normal rules for pronouns in that situation.

I realized that a moment later, somehow misread that sentence.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Maximum Spin on November 18, 2017, 12:47:52 am
Space, actually, as it boils off.

It has no significant effect on the momentum of the planet, for the reasons of mass differential that Culise outlined, but insofar as it technically happens, that's where the momentum goes.
Technically, that's not losing its angular momentum. You can't lose angular momentum to space, because space isn't a thing. It's just... particles fucking off with some of the angular momentum. Like assholes. Really, those particles are such jerks.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on November 18, 2017, 12:56:05 am
Reelya: Okay. Here's the thing. If the atmosphere was exerting drag on the planet, we'd all be able to feel it. There would indeed be 1000mph winds around the equator. This is not the case. Therefore you can probably guess your analysis is wrong. And also the rotating atmosphere does have angular momentum.

There wouldn't be 1000mph winds, because the air is in fact moving as well. But without a constant force, you can plot the gravitational trajectory of any air particle and work out where it should go. You could then work out the force needed to keep the air moving at the right speed, and get a good estimate of the required energy for that at each altitude based on air density.

The point is that locally, any particle only knows about it's own straight-line trajectory and forces acting on it. The particle doesn't have "rotate around the Earth" imprinted on it, because that's a constrained motion. That's what I meant by saying that no energy was needed because of "angular momentum" was misleading. It does require energy, because it's forcing the particles into a motion that's not their unconstrained motion - they're constantly being accelerated (change in velocity).

And sure, air has angular momentum, however, in air, at any time, you have particles traveling in every possible direction. This is what makes spinning gas different to a spinning rock. The spinning rock can be treated with a simplifying approximation because the motion of particles within the rock is small compared to the spinning velocity. Air is more complex than that and can't be treated exactly like an arbitrary spinning solid object.

Also as to where the energy goes if the planet is pushing air particles around ... it's also emitted into space as heat energy. Friction creates heat, that comes from somewhere. Same deal.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on November 18, 2017, 12:58:04 am
However, it's notable that Venus has an extremely slow rotational period, along with a really dense atmosphere. that took billions of years however. But not 10^18 years.
Major issue with that: Venus is *extremely* weird.  Not only does it have a rotational period of 243 days, its rotation is also retrograde.  Drag might be a decelerative force, but it wouldn't increase Venus's rotation in a retrograde direction.  By the same token, its axial tilt is rather unusual at a mere 2.6° absolute off vertical.  It is highly improbable that atmospheric drag is the fundamental reason for its unusual rotational behaviour.  To add on with something you didn't mention yet, while Venus' rotational period has actually slowed down over the scant few decades that sum up the total history of human observation of Venus' surface, it's also not clear that this is being caused by its atmosphere and not, say, transfer of angular momentum between Earth and Venus for another hypothesized cause.  It may also be possible that Magellan's instruments were off by a few minutes. 

Bear in mind also that angular momentum is conserved: if the solid structure of the Earth loses angular momentum to its atmosphere, the atmosphere is gaining that angular momentum.  Where then is that angular momentum then being lost?  I mean, we have observed that drag aside, simple changes in wind appear to lead to effects on the Earth's rotation: El Niño seems to be capable of increasing the length of Earth's day by less than a millisecond, which seems to be regained as the phenomenon concludes.  In this, the aforementioned question about the change in Venus' rotational period takes on another factor: even if it's the atmosphere, is it atmospheric drag, or is it a solar-driven wind that's causing a transfer of angular momentum from the planet to the atmosphere like a ballerina stretching out their arms? 

EDIT:
Also, I said the Earth's atmosphere is on the order of 1018 kg of mass (specifically around 5*1018, give or take).  Nothing about it taking 1018 years. :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Maximum Spin on November 18, 2017, 01:00:59 am
The force keeping the atmospheric particles from crashing into the ground due to gravity is provided by the Sun. Specifically, the thermal energy of the air causes it to push back against collapsing. This is what keeps the air in its faux-stable orbit.

And sure, air has angular momentum, however, in air, at any time, you have particles traveling in every possible direction. This is what makes spinning gas different to a spinning rock. The spinning rock can be treated with a simplifying approximation because the motion of particles within the rock is small compared to the spinning velocity. Air is more complex than that and can't be treated exactly like an arbitrary spinning solid object.
It totally can be and we do.

The outer envelope of the atmosphere, modulo ingress and egress, still behaves like a single body, and its angular momentum is conserved.

Your whole "newtonian physics straight lines" thing neglects the fact that newtonian physics is in fact not actually true; the atmosphere has a rotating frame of reference and therefore it has angular momentum.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on November 18, 2017, 01:12:49 am
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the atmosphere has a rotating frame of reference and therefore it has angular momentum.

That's just an approximation. How does any one particle know to rotate it's frame of reference around an arbitrary point? There's clearly no basic force of physics that does that. It's only an outcome of systems.

Rotating the frame of reference for a particle around some arbitrarily chosen point is just a human convenience. Particles exist in their own local frame of reference only. If one molecule of air is happening to be traveling east or west, then it's current frame of reference for that one molecule isn't actually "rotating" around the Earth in a direction that the particle doesn't happening to be traveling. So it's just an approximation for a bunch of molecules, and it won't actually be 100% accurate for any of them, only on average.

Well, a spinning fluid might stop spinning by friction. If angular momentum is conserved, then something carried that off. The only candidate is that the heat energy generated by the friction actually has the angular momentum.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Maximum Spin on November 18, 2017, 01:16:28 am
Particles exist in their own local frame of reference only.
Every particle is at rest in its own local frame of reference.

Honestly I think you need to pick up a book on general relativity, okay?

Well, a spinning fluid might stop spinning by friction. If angular momentum is conserved, then something carried that off. The only candidate is that the heat energy generated by the friction actually has the angular momentum.

A) please stop editing more wrongness into your posts after the fact
B) the angular momentum is transferred to the thing it experienced friction against. 3rd law of motion.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on November 18, 2017, 01:22:00 am
My point was that each particle responds only to local force strengths in it's own frame of reference. It can't "know" that it's supposed to spin around another point. That's not what it's unconstrained motion would be. A solid object lets you ignore that, because the bonds between atoms are so strong relative to the rotational speed.

Also, angular momentum is only conserved in closed systems, unless acted on by a torque. That's part of the definition. It has to be a closed system without any other forces acting on it. It's equivalent to the Newtonian mechanics statement that a particle will always travel in a straight line unless a force acts on it.

Application of force can in fact change the angular momentum of a system. e.g. friction force changing the kinetic energy to heat energy. This would happen with or without the sun being there.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on November 18, 2017, 01:26:23 am
Except that without the sun, all you'd have is a frozen atmosphere, or at least whatever hydrogen is still under Earths gravity.

You can't have an atmosphere without some form of heat, be it internal or external.

Edit: okay, yeah, I contradicted myself, a rogue gas giant floating in the depths of space would still have an atmosphere through its internal heat, as would a brown dwarf.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Maximum Spin on November 18, 2017, 01:28:41 am
The particles are actually constrained by gravity, which means that their local straight lines "curve" toward the planet. However, you also seem not to understand that all frames of reference are equivalent. That's the point of general relativity.

Also, angular momentum is only conserved in closed systems, unless acted on by a torque. That's part of the definition. It has to be a closed system without any other forces acting on it. It's equivalent to the Newtonian mechanics statement that a particle will always travel in a straight line unless a force acts on it.
Angular momentum is conserved in general - in an open system, it may seem to disappear from the system because it moves elsewhere. Which takes us back to my original question, where do you think the angular momentum goes?

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Application of force can in fact change the angular momentum of a system. e.g. friction force changing the kinetic energy to heat energy. This would happen with or without the sun being there.
The friction force is not an outside force, it doesn't carry away any angular momentum. Radiative heat transfer could, but that's a separate issue not involved here.

ETA: Also, it occurs to me that it may help to point out something else.

As of right now, it is not friction with the Earth that keeps the atmosphere rotating.
The atmosphere is rotating because it was previously rotating and has no reason to stop.

Remember that the atmosphere-Earth system is nearly closed in terms of matter - the matter in the atmosphere either came from the Earth or came from the same condensing mass of cosmic dust as the Earth. If the Theia impact hypothesis is true, that event essentially set the atmosphere spinning at the same time it set the Earth spinning — if not (unlikely), the atmosphere and Earth likely retain their primordial angular momentum from the aforementioned mass of cosmic dust. Since (nearly) every "change" in the atmosphere since has been an exchange between the atmosphere and the surface, nothing would have caused the atmosphere to lose speed relative to the Earth, so there isn't any drag between the two to begin with.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on November 18, 2017, 01:45:46 am
It's turning into heat however. Citations:

https://physics.info/rotational-momentum/

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However, ignoring energy lost to heat generated by the tides, the angular momentum of the Earth-Moon system must remain constant.

In other words, conservation of momentum in a closed system is only true if you ignore any resultant energy lost through friction. In this case the moon/Earth is a closed system. Yet it still loses momentum via friction. So the friction still counts as a torque, even if both the things rubbing together are part of the closed system. Whether there's one planet or two, they're both closed systems as far as conservation laws go, so the same rules apply. Friction generates heat, which is a transfer of energy.

http://physics.bu.edu/~duffy/py105/Momentum.html

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The total energy is always conserved, but the kinetic energy does not have to be; kinetic energy is often transformed to heat or sound during a collision.

Friction is basically a lot of little collisions. In those situations, kinetic energy becomes heat energy.

https://courses.lumenlearning.com/boundless-physics/chapter/conservation-of-energy/

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    Rotating objects have rotational kinetic energy.
    Rotational kinetic energy can change form if work is done on the object.
    Energy is never destroyed, if rotational energy is gained or lost, something must have done work on it to change the form of the energy.

I mean, it's not really high tech stuff here. If friction causes heat, and heat is energy then conservation of energy requires that it came from somewhere, which was the kinetic energy of particles involved in the friction collision. Some of that energy came from the sun, but not all of it. In this case, it's not a given that a system which undergoes friction keeps spinning at the same rate, because it's losing energy to anotherform.

As for the sun warming things up yeah. But the sun doesn't make planets spin. In this case, the sun gives the atmosphere more pressure, which increases friction between the air and the planet. And that, on average, causes kinetic energy to be converted into heat energy at a faster rate.

One last thing and them I'm done I think:

https://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2012/02/120214-venus-planets-slower-spin-esa-space-science/

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According to the new data, Venus is rotating 6.5 minutes slower than it was 16 years ago, a result that's been found to correlate with long-term radar observations taken from Earth.
...
One possible cause for the slowed spin is friction caused by Venus' thick atmosphere and high-speed winds. The motion of the atmosphere on Earth, for example, has been observed to affect the planet's rotation rate, albeit to a much smaller degree.

So ... Venus's rotation period is losing 24 seconds per Earth-year, otherwise completely unexplained. Compare that to Earth losing 1.7 milli-seconds per century. At that scale it's looking more feasible that drag could be a big factor. Also if Venus had once been spinning much faster and atmospheric friction was proportional to speed, then there would have been a rapid slowdown at some point. e.g. if Venus spun once per day, but with the same 90 pascals pressure atmosphere, would it lose 24 * 240 seconds per Earth year at the start? (obviously you'd integrate the loss-function over time to get it more accurate than that).

Hmm, might be interesting to calculate the atm pressure on Earth vs Venus, multiply that by surface area, rotation speed, and see how close the numbers line up.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Maximum Spin on November 18, 2017, 01:56:28 am
Heat energy is kinetic energy.

You're probably thinking of heat radiated as infrared photons, which can carry angular momentum, but in this case should also be symmetric; the tiny difference they would make (not enough to have the effect you claim) balances out anyway.

BTW, angular momentum really is always conserved. In the case of loss from heat, it's because the radiation actually carries angular momentum away and deposits it somewhere else. The angular momentum still exists.

ETA: Let me further be absolutely clear: radiated heat from any self-interaction (whether between the earth and the atmosphere or just within the atmosphere, or within the ocean, or whatever), if it were asymmetrical, would reduce the angular momentum of the whole earth-atmosphere system, causing the Earth to move into a different orbit in compensation. It would not cause the atmosphere to drag against the Earth, except briefly as the momentum change propagates through the system.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on November 18, 2017, 02:19:05 am
However, it's notable that Venus has an extremely slow rotational period, along with a really dense atmosphere. that took billions of years however. But not 10^18 years.
Major issue with that: Venus is *extremely* weird.  Not only does it have a rotational period of 243 days, its rotation is also retrograde.
Is its rotation truly retrograde? I would class it as 'insufficiently prograde', given its orbit.

Sidereally, does it not still spin as expected of most significant bodies in the system? (Uranus being the notable exception.) Just slower than the apparent observable back-rotation of the Sun around it? And Mercury seemingly has a stretch in its orbit where the slow 'absolute' rotation (3:2 ratio) is outpaced by the 'sun falling behind it'.

Or maybe I'm wrong, I have a spinning head trying to visualise the various levels of relative spinning from the various observers one might involve.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on November 18, 2017, 02:58:51 am
Heat energy is kinetic energy.

You're probably thinking of heat radiated as infrared photons, which can carry angular momentum, but in this case should also be symmetric; the tiny difference they would make (not enough to have the effect you claim) balances out anyway.

Well, look at the data on Venus, it's not even rotating fast yet it's slowing by an additional 24 seconds of day-length every Earth-year. Other than atmospheric drag there's really no plausible explanation for the change, since Venus lacks a moon as well.

Also, why should emitted infrared photons be "symmetric"? Space is a huge heat-sink. And hot things constantly emit in the infra-red. And it doesn't matter if you also get heat from the sun. Heat generated by friction from motion is radiated as heat energy. It isn't going to magically turn back into the same motion you had before just because you added more heat from the sun. That's not how entropy works. Entropy isn't symmetric.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on November 18, 2017, 03:41:16 am
Infra-red photons are not, defacto, heat energy. It is EM energy, emitted in the blackbody emission curve. It can be absorbed by other, cooler, objects and that absorption will increase the velocity of the atom that absorbs it, which increases its kinetic energy-- but that is a conversion process-- the IR photon is not itself a form of kinetic energy.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Maximum Spin on November 18, 2017, 06:42:57 am
Also, why should emitted infrared photons be "symmetric"?
Because they are being emitted in all directions equally because internal interactions are happening everywhere at the same rate.
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Space is a huge heat-sink.
Actually no, you can't conduct or even convect into it, so it's really hard to lose heat to space.
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And it doesn't matter if you also get heat from the sun. Heat generated by friction from motion is radiated as heat energy. It isn't going to magically turn back into the same motion you had before just because you added more heat from the sun.
Who said anything about the sun? Where are you even getting this? And again, there's no such thing as "heat energy". Heat is just kinetic energy. It's always the same motion because it is motion.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on November 18, 2017, 06:49:51 am
Well, to be specific, "heat" is "diffuse kinetic energy", as opposed to "Directed kinetic energy" (such as found in a net velocity, or inertial quanta of a group mass.)

Again, IR photon is not a form of this energy, it is a byproduct of energy release from matter in such states trying to find a lower ground state through photon emission, the emissivity curve of which is well defined.

Now, It could be that there is asymmetrical radiation of this energy if say, a planet is tidally locked with a star. The sun-ward side will be much more illuminated, and will thus emit more and higher energy black body photons than will the dark side. There will be mixing from convection currents that transports that energy to the dark side of the planet, but that typically would not be sufficient to completely resolve the asymmetry.

For a normally rotating body that is not tidally locked with its star, the rotation of the body will assure a more homogeneous distribution of thermal energy on the surface of the planet, assuring that blackbody emission does not contribute much to the object seeking a new orbit via emission.

That's my understanding anyway. 
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Maximum Spin on November 18, 2017, 06:59:31 am
Again, IR photon is not a form of this energy, it is a byproduct of energy release from matter in such states trying to find a lower ground state through photon emission, the emissivity curve of which is well defined.
Wait, were you trying to tell me that? I was wondering who you were explaining that to, but assumed it probably wasn't me because there was no reason in the world for you to think I didn't know that. If it was me you were trying to explain that to, yes, I am aware of that. That's why I explicitly separated "heat radiated as photons" from "heat energy" earlier.
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Now, It could be that there is asymmetrical radiation of this energy if say, a planet is tidally locked with a star.
We're actually talking about heat generated due to collisions between particles within the system, not heat radiated in from the sun.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on November 18, 2017, 07:55:43 am
So we already discarded the planetary rodeo? What I'm gonna do with all the rope I just ordered you guys?!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: McTraveller on November 18, 2017, 08:42:57 am
Oh my... so many things....

A) The major reason Earth rotation speed is getting smaller every year "due to the tides" is not friction.  It's gravitational energy exchange with the moon. The tidal bulge gives the moon a slight tangential (with respect to its orbit around Earth) component to gravity, which kicks it into a slightly higher orbit.  It's on the order of single-digit centimeters per year. The reaction force to this slows earth's rotation.

B) Conservation of momentum always applies, even if kinetic energy is lost.  The bulk Earth does exchange some angular momentum with its atmosphere, but this is, in general, not something that causes meaningful slowing. It is a measurable effect, but sometimes it is Earth-slower, wind-faster and sometimes it is Earth-faster, wind-slower.  I think somewhere computed that global warming, with higher average wind speeds, will be something like a few milliseconds slower rotation per day per year kind of thing.

C) The Earth can "lose" angular momentum to space, if atmospheric molecules with high angular momentum also have escape velocity, because those particles will never be able to crash back to earth and then give the momentum back.  But this is a small effect.

D) If Venus is slowing by 24 seconds a year, it's due to gravitational effects or perhaps differences in the core and crust rotation, not because of atmospheric "drag".  Atmospheric wind speeds are not increasing that much per year, and Venus is probably not losing that much atmospheric mass per year (see C above).

E) A system of objects has two "components" to angular momentum: the angular momentum of the particles spinning about their own axes and rxp - the cross product of the displacement vector of the object from the system center of mass and the linear momentum of each object.  This is why a collision of two non-spinning objects in space generally ends up causing those objects to start spinning.

F) Asymmetric thermal radiation is an effect, but is really small.  We saw this on ... whatever probe that was a couple years ago.  But for a planet....yes it's a real effect, but decimal dust.  And in general unless it's an outer planet, the effect is going to be dwarfed by radiation pressure from the star anyway.

G) "To be specific"... at least in the academia from which I came, there is no such thing as "heat energy".  There is heat transfer (transfer of energy between two objects due to the difference in their temperature", but there is only kinetic and potential energy.  The energy that gives rise to temperature is kinetic energy.

Or maybe I'm misunderstanding what was meant by trying to distinguish between "heat generated due to collisions between particles within the system" and "heat radiated from the sun."  Internal collisions between particles in an object do not "generate" heat - they are actually conservative (unless you are talking about collisions that result in chemical or nuclear reactions, which convert potential energy into kinetic?).  The key is that energy transferred from an unbalanced external source (like the sun) might change the momentum of the center of mass of the object while the energy exchanges internal to the object cannot change the momentum of the center of mass of the object.

Spoiler (click to show/hide)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on November 18, 2017, 11:55:53 am
As McTraveller and Maximum Spin seem to have that side of the discussion well in hand, I'll simply touch on this quick. 

However, it's notable that Venus has an extremely slow rotational period, along with a really dense atmosphere. that took billions of years however. But not 10^18 years.
Major issue with that: Venus is *extremely* weird.  Not only does it have a rotational period of 243 days, its rotation is also retrograde.
Is its rotation truly retrograde? I would class it as 'insufficiently prograde', given its orbit.

Sidereally, does it not still spin as expected of most significant bodies in the system? (Uranus being the notable exception.) Just slower than the apparent observable back-rotation of the Sun around it? And Mercury seemingly has a stretch in its orbit where the slow 'absolute' rotation (3:2 ratio) is outpaced by the 'sun falling behind it'.

Or maybe I'm wrong, I have a spinning head trying to visualise the various levels of relative spinning from the various observers one might involve.
Unlike six of the eight planets, Venus rotates clockwise on its axis when viewed from above the ecliptic sorry, the solar system's invariant plane and hence is defined to move in a retrograde direction.  Given your mention of Mercury, you may be confusing apparent retrograde motion of its orbit as viewed from Earth with Venus' retrograde rotation about its own axis.  This apparent retrograde motion in its orbit is an artifact of the fact that the Earth itself is moving and thus vanishes when its orbit is viewed from a reference frame fixed with respect to the sun.  Its normal orbital motion around the Sun is irrelevant to its rotation on its own axis, as any observation of its orbit as viewed from Earth.  This is also true on Earth; the length of the Earth's day has no coupling to the length of its year, to the best of my limited knowledge.  By the bye, Uranus also has perfectly ordinary orbital motion, orbiting the Sun in a counterclockwise direction when viewed form above the ecliptic.  Again, its rotational motion is what is unusual, rotating about its own axis in a retrograde direction. 

Visualization can be helped by picking a single observation point at a time.  When observing a planet's rotation, sit above its north pole and watch it spin: counterclockwise is normal, clockwise is retrograde.  When you observe a planet's orbit around the sun, sit above the Sun's north pole and watch its revolutions around the Sun: counterclockwise is again normal, and clockwise is retrograde.  Disregarding matters like barycenters, we can decompose planetary motion into two parts relevant to this explanation.  Rotation is solely about the planet's own axis, while its orbital motion is about the external body it...err, orbits (the sun, in the case of all planets).  No known planets in the solar system exhibit retrograde motion in their orbits, even if their rotation is retrograde.  Retrograde orbits are solely the domain of less than a hundred of the several hundred-thousand known asteroids, not to mention comets. 
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Rose on November 18, 2017, 01:21:16 pm
Then there's Mercury's apparent motion from the pov of earth, which sometimes reverses, which is also referred to as being in retrograde.I had a coworker that blamed any tech trouble he had on that.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on November 18, 2017, 02:38:44 pm
Unlike six of the eight planets, Venus rotates clockwise on its axis when viewed from above the ecliptic sorry, the solar system's invariant plane and hence is defined to move in a retrograde direction.  Given your mention of Mercury, you may be confusing apparent retrograde motion of its orbit as viewed from Earth with Venus' retrograde rotation about its own axis.
No, I'm not mixing it up with Mercury (that kind of retrograde ('astrological' retrograde, shall we call it?) is also visible in Jupiter/etc), and my mention of Mercury was to link it to (venerio/mercurio)centric solar-retrgradiness, regardless of orbit-to-orbit observations that produce the parallax-induced illusions of counter-orbiting. Or whatever the actual terms may be. But, i.e., at perihelion, the close 3:2 relationship between Mercury's year and day is foiled by the planet swing past the Sun quicker than its steady(/ier) rotation and the Sun retrogrades (can rise back up from a sunset!) from a static Mercurial observer's POV.

After jotting the prior note, I spent a few moments entirely failing to confirm or deny my impressions that against the firmament Venus still spun the same way as its orbit, but slower.

The best I could do was confirmation that a Venusian year was 1.92 Venusian solar days. There's two solutions to that, before you go looking at actual figures (forward and backwards w.r.t. the tidally-locked spin-state), and (in my head) the one that matched the 240-odd Earth days (spin) vs 220-odd Earth days (orbit) was to be rolling around in the same direction. i.e., after 1 year, the Sun (by dint of being orbited) rotates around Venus once, and (by mental arithmetic) 330-odd degrees of spin-against-the-background happens, which seemed to me to give the slightly less than two effective (solar) days.

But I might have flipped a sign, somewhere.


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By the bye, Uranus also has perfectly ordinary orbital motion, orbiting the Sun in a counterclockwise direction when viewed form above the ecliptic.  Again, its rotational motion is what is unusual, rotating about its own axis in a retrograde direction.
Not what I was getting at, with Uranus. The inclination is sideways (to the normal near-perpendicular-to-the-ecliptic angle seen elsewhere). Either slightly less than 90° and retrograde, or prograde but, because >90°, effectively retrograde. But, either way, totally swamped by the weird super-precessing/spiralling path the (standing-'on'-Neptune) observer would observe the Sun taking above their head.  Celestial mechanics would either be more obvious to a Uranian, or much harder to derive than the way we managed to reimagine the prior epicyclic attempts to model things.

That was a headache, as well.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Teneb on November 18, 2017, 05:07:38 pm
Then there's Mercury's apparent motion from the pov of earth, which sometimes reverses, which is also referred to as being in retrograde.I had a coworker that blamed any tech trouble he had on that.
As I have found in my time as tech support, technology is literally magic and anyone who claims otherwise hasn't worked as tech support. Your coworker is perfectly justified.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on November 18, 2017, 06:22:25 pm
No, I'm not mixing it up with Mercury (that kind of retrograde ('astrological' retrograde, shall we call it?) is also visible in Jupiter/etc), and my mention of Mercury was to link it to (venerio/mercurio)centric solar-retrgradiness, regardless of orbit-to-orbit observations that produce the parallax-induced illusions of counter-orbiting. Or whatever the actual terms may be. But, i.e., at perihelion, the close 3:2 relationship between Mercury's year and day is foiled by the planet swing past the Sun quicker than its steady(/ier) rotation and the Sun retrogrades (can rise back up from a sunset!) from a static Mercurial observer's POV.

After jotting the prior note, I spent a few moments entirely failing to confirm or deny my impressions that against the firmament Venus still spun the same way as its orbit, but slower.

The best I could do was confirmation that a Venusian year was 1.92 Venusian solar days. There's two solutions to that, before you go looking at actual figures (forward and backwards w.r.t. the tidally-locked spin-state), and (in my head) the one that matched the 240-odd Earth days (spin) vs 220-odd Earth days (orbit) was to be rolling around in the same direction. i.e., after 1 year, the Sun (by dint of being orbited) rotates around Venus once, and (by mental arithmetic) 330-odd degrees of spin-against-the-background happens, which seemed to me to give the slightly less than two effective (solar) days.

But I might have flipped a sign, somewhere.
I think that may be possible.  For instance, I can take a guess at the particular error you made by comparing it to, say, the problem of Earth.  Now, you agree that our planet has both a prograde orbit and rotation, correct?  Given that the sidereal rotation period of Earth is 23.9345 hours and the sidereal orbital period is 365.256 days (8766.14 hours), this results in a rotational angular velocity of 0.262516 radians per hour and an orbital angular velocity of 0.000716756 radians per hour.  Now, if you just add these straight (since they're both prograde, after all), you get a total angular velocity of 0.263233 radians per hour, resulting in a total period of 23.86913 hours that very much does not match our actual solar day of 24 hours.  On the flip side, by instead subtracting the orbital angular velocity from the rotational angular velocity, you do get the correct number of 24.0000 hours in an Earth solar day once you trim down to the appropriate significant figures.

You may find this (http://www.celestialnorth.org/FAQtoids/dazed_about_days_(solar_and_sidereal).htm) a bit more helpful as well; its derivation of a useful equation to this is much easier.  I'd walk through the derivation here step by step, but I'm not sure it's actually completely necessary when it's outlined more clearly there.  Even better, it doesn't rely on moving angular velocities through distinct rotating versus fixed reference frames, which was my first instinct and is what tangled me up as well the first time I tried to write this post. 

EDIT: Minor units glitch.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on November 19, 2017, 08:15:57 am
What would have been useful to cement this oft-given fact would have been a visual depiction, but (when I took time to go looking) it seemed that only Mercury (https://i1.wp.com/planetary-mechanics.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/07/Mercury32.png) deserved (http://slideplayer.com/slide/9876109/32/images/37/Mercury,+Unusual+Spin/Orbit+3:2+Spin/Orbit+resonance..jpg) such illustration (http://slideplayer.com/slide/6164183/18/images/11/A+Solar+Day+on+Mercury+Giuseppi+Columbo+(1920-1984).jpg).

Finally found one (http://astronomy.nju.edu.cn/~lixd/GA/AT4/AT409/IMAGES/AACHCRI0.JPG) "retrograde"-as-in-spin in amongst all the myriad* of "retrograde"-as-in-apparent-motion depictions. And nowhere does there seem to be unambiguated terms consistently coined like, say, retrorevolving vs retro-orbital (and most of the latter, Triton excepted, are actually more "retrotracking", anyway, for the aforementioned viewpoint-induced illusion of temporary backward movement).



* - maybe literally! There could possibly be 10,000 of the other type for every one of the one I wanted.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on November 22, 2017, 12:13:16 pm
Vaguely relevant but from Uranus you could occasionally add your rotational velocity to the motion of the solar system I think: http://calgary.rasc.ca/howfast.htm

Also regarding the suggestion of heating up Mars to increase the pressure? That would work with a container of some sort, but atmospheres can and do expand and contract due to their day/night heating/cooling cycles already, simply adding more energy into the Martian atmosphere without raising the mass is going to result in more convective transport upwards which isn't going to help anyone trying to breathe something which already makes the wispy shit on top of Everest look like soup.

As for the rotation bit on Venus, the upper atmosphere is superrotating and the lower atmosphere is essentially motionless relative to the surface so the shiny upper layers are getting inflated several times a "day" and sinking back down on the other side multiple times each "night" which I'm sure is worth considering in the issue of atmospheric drag and whatnot.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on November 22, 2017, 04:35:43 pm
What about the interstellar asteroid? Arachnids? Tyranids? The pools are open gentleman.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on November 22, 2017, 04:39:53 pm
Would have been cool to land on it and get samples, though it would have required seeing it long before we did and a ship capable of reaching it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on November 22, 2017, 05:10:18 pm
It's God's middle finger
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on November 22, 2017, 05:23:50 pm
It'd probably be funny to name it that, but nope, it's name is basically Hawaiian for 'first visitor from the stars' (that we've recorded that is). Literal translation though is 'a messenger from afar arriving first'. https://www.axios.com/the-first-asteroid-seen-from-outside-earths-solar-system-takes-bizarre-shape-2511132598.html

It's also got this long spindle shape, which is pretty unusual for an asteroid. The image is an artist conception of it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bumber on November 23, 2017, 01:58:01 am
It'd probably be funny to name it that, but nope, it's name is basically Hawaiian for 'first visitor from the stars' (that we've recorded that is). Literal translation though is 'a messenger from afar arriving first'. https://www.axios.com/the-first-asteroid-seen-from-outside-earths-solar-system-takes-bizarre-shape-2511132598.html

It's also got this long spindle shape, which is pretty unusual for an asteroid. The image is an artist conception of it.
Clicked expecting dick, got cigar. Your move, Freud.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on November 23, 2017, 02:13:13 am
It'd probably be funny to name it that, but nope, it's name is basically Hawaiian for 'first visitor from the stars' (that we've recorded that is). Literal translation though is 'a messenger from afar arriving first'. https://www.axios.com/the-first-asteroid-seen-from-outside-earths-solar-system-takes-bizarre-shape-2511132598.html

It's also got this long spindle shape, which is pretty unusual for an asteroid. The image is an artist conception of it.
Clicked expecting dick, got cigar. Your move, Freud.

(http://professorbuzzkill.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/02/Copy-of-c8040ac9113e866c55878b33530b4b42.jpg)

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on November 23, 2017, 08:08:58 am
Lol, not sure how you associated dick shaped with spindle shaped.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on November 23, 2017, 12:46:02 pm
I for one, don't really want to know.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bumber on November 23, 2017, 07:05:46 pm
Lol, not sure how you associated dick shaped with spindle shaped.
Probably too much of Cracked.com's humorous "artist's conceptions". I kind of skimmed over the spindle part, focusing on "bizarre shape" in the link, instead. Article calls it a cigar.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on November 23, 2017, 07:15:38 pm
I called it spindle rather than cigar shaped as it’s more pointy on the ends, at least that’s the artists conception of it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on November 23, 2017, 07:31:10 pm
Hey, could be worse than a spindle, you could be hung like a squirrel... the whole squirrel, gray fur and all... I think the tail is what scares girls off, personally.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on November 24, 2017, 08:07:59 am
Quote from: Monica Lewinsky
Lol, not sure how you associated dick shaped with spindle shaped.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on November 28, 2017, 01:48:23 pm
We're Whalers On The Moon INNNN SPAAAAACCCEEEE! (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-41973646)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on November 28, 2017, 02:21:45 pm
I will be both sad and highly amused when that test sattelite collides with space debris before it's mission can begin
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on January 08, 2018, 10:21:38 pm
*casts spell of minor necro*

SpaceX may have failed to get an expensive government sat into orbit (https://www.axios.com/us-1515466086-a9249f16-c070-49ba-a5a4-0f432d825b3b.html). Ouch, this is gonna hurt their reputation for a while. At least until they can find out what went wrong.

It's light on details due to it being a classified mission and the main source being WSJ.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on January 09, 2018, 01:46:26 am
Hopefully for SpaceX, it's a Polyus scenario and not a Vanguard.  That is, hopefully the fault is in the payload rather than the launch platform. 
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sluissa on January 09, 2018, 02:14:17 pm
Spacex claims their rocket performed normally. The rumored problem was either payload or payload adapter related. Both of which were provided by Northrop Grumman.

Also minor speculation it was all a ruse and it's working as a stealth craft.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on January 09, 2018, 02:17:43 pm
Why would they risk damage to their reputation by claiming it was destroyed when it wasn't? Makes no sense to me.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Magistrum on January 09, 2018, 02:33:04 pm
Because it is impossible to put something in orbit without everyone knowing.
Both because there aren't that many people that put things in orbit and because anyone can look up.
The current mehod for stealth spacecraft is to send it to orbit and blow it up, scratch it off publicly as an accident and have the payload be obscured from view by the explosion debris.

That is the current consensus, and there are some "failures" that are suspected to be working currently.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on January 09, 2018, 02:45:17 pm
Because it is impossible to put something in orbit without everyone knowing.
Both because there aren't that many people that put things in orbit and because anyone can look up.
The current mehod for stealth spacecraft is to send it to orbit and blow it up, scratch it off publicly as an accident and have the payload be obscured from view by the explosion debris.

That is the current consensus, and there are some "failures" that are suspected to be working currently.

I feel like that gets into conspiracy theory territory without any coherent proof, but okay. Also, who exactly is it the current consensus of?

Not to mention that those debris only add to the problem of debris up there.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: andrea on January 09, 2018, 03:33:24 pm
This is by far the most secretive payload SpaceX has launched. I doubt we will ever know more than what we do now, be it a real or fake failure.
However, we know that SpaceX claims the launcher operated nominally, they were praised for a job well done and they are continuing their schedule without alterations. All this would seem to indicate that the booster did, in fact, perform well and therefore the failure shouldn't have any significant impact on SpaceX.

One interesting theory floating around is that Zuma wasn't an actual payload, but a test to determine the ability of SpaceX to keep a super secret launch under wraps (much to the frustration of space enthusiasts everywhere, it seems they are very good at it). However, I think the noise has grown perhaps a bit too much for it being just that.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Magistrum on January 09, 2018, 03:38:51 pm
Oh, of course, sorry if it sounded like I was affirming that it was indeed a spy satellite, I meant to say that that was the currently known method by which that happens, providing a motive for such a bad pr move.

I believe it is widely accepted that spy satellites work by hiding in debris. There were some stories by small newspapers back in ~2008 about backyard astronomers identifying objects as such, but wasn't a big deal, because they were just hobbyists.

In 2015 Oleg Maidanovich affirmed to have identified foreign spy satellites working over Russia, and that they were hiding inoperant amid documented space debris.

Since he is the head of the Russian Space Command it was taken very seriously, but he did not disclose to which nation it belonged. If I remember correctly he also said there were no plans to take them down.

There wasn't much disbelief about spy satellites due to Misty and RH-11 already being widely known at the time.

All of this does not mean that this is a secret satellite, however.
And yes, it does add to our ongoing high speed space trash problem.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on January 09, 2018, 03:45:10 pm
Government contracts would be pretty lucrative, so, they'd be hard pressed not to do some if they don't have a policy of not working with the government.

Hiding among debris or a bunch of stuff certainly makes sense, it's literally one of the oldest tricks in the book. Hopefully they add something to de-orbit the debris, which would mitigate the growing space junk problem.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on January 09, 2018, 07:16:27 pm
Spy satellites of the photo-reconnaissance type have been designed to orbit at 75 to 100 miles altitude. LEO is 'below 1200 miles' and atmospheric drag acts greatly upon double-digit miles of altitude like the above types (not a problem for the early film-using spy satellites, they were going to have to send the film back down to be recovered anyway, as quickly as it was worthwhile to de-orbit the acquired images).  Some of the 'spy stuff' can work (and maybe even does it best) at geosynchronous/geostationary positions, but not really the less overt monitors, the kind you want zooming over enemy interesting territory trying to pick out small details in whatever part of the EM spectrum it is designed for.

With the Fog Of War around this launch (best I can find is that the payload is supposed to have unintentionally re-entered with the 2nd stage booster, if I have the right mission details in my independent search) I can't see where it was (theoretically) headed, though it seems like it was a GEO-capable stack. Could be anywhere. If it wasn't an intentional re-entry disgjised as an error (testing de-orbitting capabilities?)... With only military/advanced civilian trackers likely having the fuller details of what happened 'at the top end', and not likely to tell John Q Public (no matter if that's even Vasya Pupkin), it's really all up in the air and going to stay there for the foreseeable. Or above the air, but ditto.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sluissa on January 11, 2018, 11:47:42 am
One of the things several countries have been working on (US, China and Russia at the very least) for the past few decades are actually remote spacecraft that can rendezvous with other satellites, either to observe, intercept communications or potentially sabotage. One recently launched craft was actually observed by amateurs to move close to the ISS (within 4 miles at one point, EXTREMELY close by space standards) during one of their docking/undocking procedures. Thought by some to be a test of its capabilities.

If there is a "stealth" satellite, there's a decent probability it'd have a mission like this rather than your typical "take pictures of the ground" sat that while "secret" nobody really tries to hide all that hard.

There was also speculation about the specific orbit it was put in, ~50 degree inclination, which specifically covers all the oceans other than the far north arctic. But that doesn't really prove anything because that also covers basically all relevant land as well.

Given the news though, and the relevant statements by government officials, I'd say it's more likely that it did fail in some manner. It might still be in orbit, perhaps temporarily. It might still be functional in some regard, perhaps temporarily. But I'd say likelihood of it either already, or soon being in the ocean is pretty high.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on January 24, 2018, 03:36:39 pm
So, a bit of a non-news bump: Google has withdrawn the Lunar X Prize (https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/23/science/google-lunar-x-prize-moon.html), citing as a reason that none of the contestants will be able to make the necessary Lunar launch by the end of March in spite of repeated extensions.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: hops on January 24, 2018, 09:40:34 pm
Sad but not very surprising. Hey, at least we have SpaceX now!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on February 06, 2018, 10:28:45 am
39 Light Years away, there's a start with 7 watery Earth-sized planets, and 4 of them are in it's Goldilocks zone. And by "watery" i mean that 5 of said planets consists of 5% water (which is much more than Earth percentage-wise). Since there are so many of these planets in one location, and it's so close to us, scientists are obviously excited about this as a potential place to observe for life signs.

http://www.news.com.au/technology/science/space/trappist-1-planets-found-to-be-rich-with-water-boosting-chances-for-life/news-story/22388838fa0e85e8c86876d30509be95
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 06, 2018, 10:42:08 am
Shhhh...  That's Kamino. The orders are to wipe that star entirely from the databases while our Clone Army is flash-grown.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on February 06, 2018, 10:47:07 am
No clue why it hasn't been mentioned in the SPACE thread yet (Come on guys, show some enthusiasm), but the Falcon Heavy MIGHT launch today. Might.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on February 06, 2018, 11:07:04 am
You know, if one of the outer planets has the amount of water they say it does and it's covered by ice, there is a very real possibility of a subsurface liquid water existing from a combination of pressure and internal heat.

Though I have no idea if Europas (or any of the other moons found to have a subsurface ocean) moonwide subsurface ocean would scale to planet sized or if you need a gas giant tugging on it for that to exist. Even then, it would be even harsher for life if there is no guarantee of the water staying liquid.

I've also read that one of them, probably d or e, could be a literal ocean planet, with little, if any, land sticking above the waves. The current theory of the origins of life is in hot springs with periodic wet/dry cycles, which wouldn't neccesarily work on a literal ocean planet, but there could very well be more than one way of arriving at life. Especially given how long lived red dwarf stars are.

Also, the article says that five of them are watery, not all seven.

No clue why it hasn't been mentioned in the SPACE thread yet (Come on guys, show some enthusiasm), but the Falcon Heavy MIGHT launch today. Might.

No clue either.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 06, 2018, 01:26:59 pm
No clue why it hasn't been mentioned in the SPACE thread yet (Come on guys, show some enthusiasm), but the Falcon Heavy MIGHT launch today. Might.

No clue either.
Ixnay on the inxjay?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Wolfhunter107 on February 06, 2018, 03:33:16 pm
Falcon Heavy is about 13 mintes out from launch now. Looks like they're going to do it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Guardian G.I. on February 06, 2018, 04:00:31 pm
Falcon Heavy was successfully launched; Musk's car is in space.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on February 06, 2018, 04:24:05 pm
2 boosters down on the pads, perfect landings. Core stage appears to have destroyed the drone ship and itself, of course.

One Tesla Roadster, playing Ground Control to Major Tom, with "Don't Panic" on the screen, is in space.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on February 06, 2018, 05:48:09 pm
Still crazy to me that they can land those boosters.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on February 06, 2018, 05:55:10 pm
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wbSwFU6tY1c
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on February 06, 2018, 06:06:41 pm
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aBr2kKAHN6M
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on February 06, 2018, 06:26:15 pm
Incidentally they said they lost the feed from the barge, not that they lost the barge itself.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on February 06, 2018, 06:40:05 pm
What's Musk trying to do, sell Tesla to aliens, or start working on a space traffic jam?

Still, that tandem re-entry landing of the side boosters was a job well done. Don't know if the second stage booster made it though.

EDIT: Heh, perhaps the Tesla is a preparation for the next SpaceX surprise, when they pull off a mission to successfully retrieve it from space.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on February 06, 2018, 06:44:47 pm
What I'm hearing suggests that the core stage is lost. Is there some problem with the orbiting stage(s) as well?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on February 06, 2018, 06:50:26 pm
No, I meant the core, not the second stage, sorry. Orbiting car and second stage are fine. I wonder how the space car will keep sending livefeed.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Jopax on February 06, 2018, 07:05:10 pm
Inb4 the starman turns out to be Musk in a crazy attempt to enter history books as the first man to drive to mars thus becoming a living testament of the power of memes and the distances people go in order to make them as dank as possible.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on February 06, 2018, 07:07:28 pm
Nah, Musk is giving a press conference now. Core module did crash into the water with 300mph, sadly.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KORTP545vAc
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Jopax on February 06, 2018, 07:25:38 pm
Watching that, I love how they keep asking him boring numbers questions and he just insits on rambling on into tech speak every time. I'd love to see the expressions on their faces, knowing that he'll give them an answer but they have to listen to all this geek nonsense before that.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on February 06, 2018, 07:30:20 pm
Yup, didn't get the core relit.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 07, 2018, 05:31:50 am
Nah, Musk is giving a press conference now.
What if that's an android double! Secret side-project, freeing up him for the Musk2Mars Mission!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Jopax on February 07, 2018, 05:55:00 am
Another brilliant comment I read went along the lines of: "Getting rid of a body on a live broadcast and getting cheered for it, that Musk is really something else"
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on February 08, 2018, 05:23:24 am
apparently falcon heavy's second stage burned too long. Now projected to cruise for several months before entering the asteroid belt between mars and jupiter.

Experts believe that the intense radiation of this region will cause degredation of the organic components of both the car and the suit, and speculate that the car could literally fall apart.

Assuming we still get camera feeds and telemetry from the second stage at that location, the weathering could be interesting to record and observe.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 08, 2018, 08:37:17 am
So, his rockets are too good, and yet his cars can't survive a quick trip to the beltway....
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on February 08, 2018, 09:35:50 am
Well to be fair, the solar highway commission really DOES need to put up signs saying "Beware of flying rocks". :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on February 08, 2018, 09:53:19 am
Well to be fair, the solar highway commission really DOES need to put up signs saying "Beware of flying rocks". :P

lol.

apparently falcon heavy's second stage burned too long. Now projected to cruise for several months before entering the asteroid belt between mars and jupiter.

Experts believe that the intense radiation of this region will cause degredation of the organic components of both the car and the suit, and speculate that the car could literally fall apart.

Assuming we still get camera feeds and telemetry from the second stage at that location, the weathering could be interesting to record and observe.

Unless it's spinning/rotating or something, it probably won't come apart very much. Though the weathering and degredation would definetly be interesting from a scientific standpoint.

Did they say how long it would take? And unless the car was equipped with solar panels capable of working at least as far out as Mars or it has a radioactive power core, the telemetry won't last long.

Realistically though, the new rocket will definetly allow sattelites heavier than those launched now since the weight limit will be higher, which should open all sorts of opportunities. I don't know how much higher the weight limit is for the Falcon Heavy compared to the next biggest/most powerful rocket available.

I know SpaceX is planning an even more powerful rocket, dubbed the BFR (Big Falcon Rocket or, Big F'ng Rocket if you will).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TamerVirus on February 08, 2018, 11:00:22 am
A car is in space. We only need a few more before Rainbow Road can become a reality
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on February 08, 2018, 07:59:41 pm

Realistically though, the new rocket will definetly allow sattelites heavier than those launched now since the weight limit will be higher, which should open all sorts of opportunities. I don't know how much higher the weight limit is for the Falcon Heavy compared to the next biggest/most powerful rocket available.
Falcon Heavy is rated (by SpaceX) at 63,800kg payload to LEO. The next closest currently available is the Delta IV heavy, which can carry 28,790kg to LEO.

Quote
I know SpaceX is planning an even more powerful rocket, dubbed the BFR (Big Falcon Rocket or, Big F'ng Rocket if you will).
Followed by the Falcon Ginormous, Falcon Kaiju, and Falcon Super Tremendous Awesome High Power, or Falcon STAHP for short.  :P

Seriously though, SpaceX plans for the BFR to be able to carry 250,000kg(!!) to LEO. That's a little over half the ISS's mass. Can you imagine being able to put the ISS in orbit in two trips?

Though the stated intentions are to refuel them in orbit and then transport up to 150,000kg payloads to Mars. Musk wants to have them running cargo drops to Mars by 2022, which seems insanely ambitious.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: andrea on February 08, 2018, 09:00:24 pm
The key to understand Musk timelines is understanding that his estimated on how many years projects wil take are not given in Earth years, but in Mars years. So, 7.7 earth years away from now we should see some big landing on Mars.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sheb on February 10, 2018, 12:44:02 pm
And for further comparison, the biggest rocket ever, the Saturn V, was rated at 140,000 kg to LEO, so about twice the Falcon Heavy, but less than 60% of the BFR's intended capacity.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 26, 2018, 12:19:28 pm
To Mars and back! (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-43907326)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on April 26, 2018, 12:25:11 pm
Mars rocks!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on April 26, 2018, 03:24:24 pm
Seriously though, SpaceX plans for the BFR to be able to carry 250,000kg(!!) to LEO. That's a little over half the ISS's mass. Can you imagine being able to put the ISS in orbit in two trips?

It's been considered before, actually, including as an option for a direct ascent Moon mission. Unfortunately, there's a size of chemical engine above which efficiency starts to drop, and banks of engines increase complexity and thus the chances of vibrational interference and simple mechanical failure. Ullage, sloshing and boil-off also get much worse as your fuel tanks get bigger.

Eventually it may well be more practical to just have the inevitable fight over nuclear space propulsion already and concentrate all the difficulty in one component (closed-cycle gas-core, ideally) rather than keep solving all the problems that crop up and worsen as rockets get bigger.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 26, 2018, 04:19:30 pm
By coincidence, I (re)saw this, the other day: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sea_Dragon_(rocket)

(Not on Wikipedia, but in print. Wiki's just the handiest surrogate to scanning that print thing in.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on April 26, 2018, 10:37:59 pm
Seriously though, SpaceX plans for the BFR to be able to carry 250,000kg(!!) to LEO. That's a little over half the ISS's mass. Can you imagine being able to put the ISS in orbit in two trips?

It's been considered before, actually, including as an option for a direct ascent Moon mission. Unfortunately, there's a size of chemical engine above which efficiency starts to drop, and banks of engines increase complexity and thus the chances of vibrational interference and simple mechanical failure. Ullage, sloshing and boil-off also get much worse as your fuel tanks get bigger.

Eventually it may well be more practical to just have the inevitable fight over nuclear space propulsion already and concentrate all the difficulty in one component (closed-cycle gas-core, ideally) rather than keep solving all the problems that crop up and worsen as rockets get bigger.

Parabolic mirrors + array of pulsed lasers (with final ascent stage) could also be an option.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lightcraft

The issue is that the lightcraft prototypes need to spin like a top to sustain stability. That could be... Unsettling... to crew.  However, most cargo would be unimpacted by that.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on April 26, 2018, 10:56:59 pm
If you can get together a proposal for ground-powered launch that doesn't have everyone conjuring the spectre of lunatics destroying the laser arrays, my hat's off to you, but for some reason the first thing everyone does when they read about space fountains or launch loops or space guns or laser launch is to suppose an infinite army of space-hating hypothetical terrorists destroying anything connected to the ground.

As for the spin problem, a contra-rotating section isn't out of the question, although it's an engineering headache.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on April 26, 2018, 11:52:11 pm
To me, the obvious solution is either a combination of launch-loop or lightcraft ground based first stage ascent, with nuclear final ascent. At least if we are talking "Super heavy lift vehicle launching a colony ship or permanent space habitat" type scenario.  Those would get very infrequent launches (due to costs of building the thing to launch as well as the costs of launching it themselves), so nuclear propulsion is less of a long-term problem, especially very high up in LEO.

Would not stop the morons NIMBY types from complaining about nuclear propulsion though.  In terms of delta-v per pound it is very hard to beat old school proposal for Orion.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on April 26, 2018, 11:53:52 pm
https://science.howstuffworks.com/light-propulsion1.htm

How does the spin scale-up however? The prototype mentioned here span at 10,000 rpm but weighed only 50 grams, and this was stated to compensate for the buffeting forces of air resistance.

But the force of air resistance increases proportionally with surface area, which increases at a slower rate than volume when you evenly scale up the model. e.g. an n^3 more massive ship has n^2 the surface area, meaning only n^2 surface area to compensate for and n^3 times more mass. Additionally, an n^3 sized ship has points which average n-times further from the center, which also reduces spin-speed for the same angular momentum, by n, since angular momentum is mass x velocity x radius. So I'm guessing in idealized circumstances than an n^3 scale version would spin n^2 times slower.

e.g. if you're launching a 50-kilogram scaled-up version of the same thing perhaps 100 rpm is enough instead of 10000 rpm, though in reality you'd probably want to make the thing thinner and more missile-like meaning you don't scale up all dimensions equally, but the rpms would still be much reduced, maybe n * sqrt(n) lower for an n^3-sized ship. So, a ballpark figure for a 10^6 (n=100) sized ship - 50 metric tons might by that you only need to get it up to spinning 10 rpm to maintain stability.

Let me know if I made any errors in my assumptions here since this isn't an area I've studied in detail.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on April 27, 2018, 12:30:33 am
Meh, just go with loop/fountains until we get enough exp to buy the ultramaterials dlc and unlock mass production of various -ene arrays suited for elevator nonsense.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on April 27, 2018, 01:13:47 am
To me, the obvious solution is either a combination of launch-loop or lightcraft ground based first stage ascent, with nuclear final ascent. At least if we are talking "Super heavy lift vehicle launching a colony ship or permanent space habitat" type scenario.  Those would get very infrequent launches (due to costs of building the thing to launch as well as the costs of launching it themselves), so nuclear propulsion is less of a long-term problem, especially very high up in LEO.

Would not stop the morons NIMBY types from complaining about nuclear propulsion though.  In terms of delta-v per pound it is very hard to beat old school proposal for Orion.

The biggest problem with that is that both launch loops and laser arrays have a finite maximum payload capacity built into the structure, and it's more expensive to increase than for a launch pad. Unless we're regularly launching vehicles of that mass into space, much of that excess infrastructure is going to do little more than cost money to maintain, and as you point out, we wouldn't be.

Additionally, I should point out that the launch loop is designed to take care of what I presume you mean by "final ascent" for the payload, which is why it's so long; the only kicker motor absolutely required is for circularization. Lightcraft have the advantage of freedom of trajectory, but they do suffer more losses in air as the craft gains altitude so the "final ascent" would actually need to begin at some point in the middle of the zero-lift turn, particularly if we assume the limiting factor on low-altitude acceleration is max Q. (Since we can always build more lasers, this seems likely to me.) That's still lighting a nuclear engine in the atmosphere, which means running it during launch to have it hot -- and while several engines can handle that we can't say the same of hippies.

My first guess at an optimal solution would be to spread out the payload by loop load in whatever size chunks our rotor will accommodate and limit rocket launch to anything too big for the loop, which makes the expense of large rockets easier to accommodate; at that point, we have the spare payload to up-armor an orbital nuclear fuel carrier beyond all reason and can deliver the fuel for the Hohmann transfer stage into LEO by bog-standard, reassuring RP-1/LOX rocket. You could do a similar thing with a space fountain, but then you need to chemically remove the entire very big thing away to minimum safe distance before transfer ignition, so the gains are minimal. They're a great place to stick momentum exchange tethers for recovering the kickers, though.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on April 27, 2018, 01:43:58 am
Full honesty: fountain just seems easier to me because I juggle, loops have the kicking shit out to orbit ready velocities going for them but it's like some fiendish mishmash of doing lasso tricks with a fly-fishing rod as you rattle off rhymes and jump double-dutch.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on April 27, 2018, 01:55:53 am
Launch Loop is basically a high tech trebuchet, with a wind-up before the pitch.

There are potentially fatal G-forces during the wind-up and pitch phases though, which makes them potentially troublesome for crew launch.

That is one of the areas where a lightcraft might be better suited; Crew launch as seperate launch. One big launch with lots of crew aboard, rendezvousing with the loop-launched starship in orbit. 
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on April 27, 2018, 02:02:31 am
Launch Loop is basically a high tech trebuchet, with a wind-up before the pitch.

There are potentially fatal G-forces during the wind-up and pitch phases though, which makes them potentially troublesome for crew launch.

No, there aren't. This is literally the whole reason Lofstrom gave it the dimensions he did: they're suitable for launch into orbit, albeit with atmospheric perigee, while limiting acceleration to 3 g, the same as astronauts go through during a rocket launch. EDIT: Or your average Gravitron rider. 3g eyes-in isn't potentially fatal unless you're already in poor health.

It's also not really at all like a trebuchet in any way, so I'm wondering if we're talking about the same thing.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on April 27, 2018, 02:19:26 am
I could have sworn...  what I am seeing now when I google launch loop is not what I remember seeing or reading when I looked them up in the 90s. (Clearly the design has changed considerably.) 

What I remember seeing was more a closed track composed of a large, wide turn section, a straight away, then a sudden, tight turn.  The payload is attached to a tether, is accelerated on the large loop section, diverted on the straight away, then "whipped" around the tight turn, and detached at the right moment.  That is VERY DIFFERENT from what I am seeing here.  The expected G-force on the "launch" portion would be extreme in the version I remember reading about. (Like, liquefy the humans kind.)

Another alternative I have just now seen is a "Slingatron"-- which would likely produce lots of vomit from human passengers as well. (It is a spiral shaped magnetic acceleration ramp/tube, with the craft being essentially chucked out like a discus, as the craft "rolls" along the wall of the launch rail.)

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: scourge728 on April 27, 2018, 09:40:36 am
PTW
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on April 27, 2018, 12:44:28 pm
Yeah Lofstrom (cool guy btw. used to bs with him on the xkcd forums) proposed shit that would be difficult because it's like building a bridge across the pacific, full of electromagnets whooshing around fast enough that the loop is actually lifted away from the surface into a fairly flat topped arch by their inertia.

Ocean spanning because it would be !!Fun!! if one came apart over any sort of inhabitated continent.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: McTraveller on April 27, 2018, 01:19:38 pm
I still like the railguns up the side of various mountain chain ideas. Long, straight, and you can get them kind of close to equatorial to get the free 400-or-so-m/s free velocity in the direction of Earth's rotation.  The high Himalayan mountains are nice and high and in rarified air, but are all about 30 degrees north.  So if you can tolerate that kind of orbital inclination, the Himalayas are a good choice.  If you need equatorial you could try Kilimanjaro, although that is a volcano...

Railguns are also nice because you don't have to worry about Isp limitations of rockets.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on April 27, 2018, 01:26:12 pm
A Launch Loop is like that but replacing the mountain with so much gun part of it swells and rises up so it stands free from the surface, erect and majestic, throbbing with barely restrained potential as it beckons the bold to climb atop it and hang on for an out of this world ride with an explosive finish!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: ChairmanPoo on April 27, 2018, 01:28:33 pm
Do you people think Elon Musk is musky?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on April 27, 2018, 01:55:35 pm
You're thinking of Elon Muskrat, who is ironically a ferret and oh my god what have I just made?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on April 27, 2018, 02:47:47 pm
Railguns are also nice because you don't have to worry about Isp limitations of rockets.

You do need to worry about the impulse, though, and consequent aerodynamic forces on the projectile. Rockets have the advantage of traveling faster through thinner air, but railguns must do exactly the opposite, and that would demand even more shielding on the projectile than we currently add for reentry. And, of course, it's not possible to ship anything living.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Hanslanda on April 29, 2018, 08:37:42 am
Ptw cuz !!SCIENCE!!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on April 29, 2018, 07:03:27 pm
And, of course, it's not possible to ship anything living.
...What if we pack them really good?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on April 29, 2018, 09:54:39 pm
Oh is possible to ship anything living, the challenge would be to keep it that way.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on April 30, 2018, 03:34:43 pm
Could always just include some stuff to turn the formerly-living things back to life once the acceleration is over.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on May 01, 2018, 04:32:09 am
Yeah, but we might need to watch out for the Shrike if we start down that route.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on May 27, 2018, 07:29:15 pm
Bean went, and now gone. (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-44268960)

(Haven't seen this mentioned elsewhere around these parts, though it's been talked about elsewhere for several hours now, so making note of it.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Lunardog15 on May 28, 2018, 08:41:29 pm
SPAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAACCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE -SPACE CORE
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on June 07, 2018, 03:42:41 pm
Newly analyzed data from Curiosity makes it more probable that life could have been present on Mars in the past, or still is deep down.
https://www.volkskrant.nl/wetenschap/op-mars-wemelt-het-van-de-aanwijzingen-voor-leven~bdd18fc5/

http://www.sciencemag.org/news/2018/06/nasa-rover-hits-organic-pay-dirt-mars

http://science.sciencemag.org/content/360/6393/1093

http://science.sciencemag.org/content/360/6393/1096
http://science.sciencemag.org/content/360/6393/1068

Also, hey, no paywall on Science Magazine? I can click the view full text button and it actually gives me the full texts. Awesome.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on June 20, 2018, 06:59:22 pm
Rubbish satellite shoved out the door. (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-44550082)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on July 07, 2018, 02:25:21 pm
(No point edit-adding this different information onto my prior post.)

Rover dig! Rover fetch! Rocket back! (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-44728947)

And Ewoks ahoy! (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-44605761)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on July 25, 2018, 11:15:25 am
And, because a necro-edit wouldn't get seen, liquid water currently on Mars? (https://text.npr.org/s.php?sId=632222129) (EU-friendly link, because I haven't yet decided whether NPR are protesting the GDPR or just scared of it and still trying to cover themselves.)

(And now a BBC link. (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-44952710))
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Karnewarrior on July 25, 2018, 12:23:17 pm
Didn't they find liquid water on Mars, it was just that it was full of toxic salts or something? I thought that we found that when we were looking into those weird moving lines on the surface - they were subsurface flows of toxic water.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Teneb on July 25, 2018, 12:43:09 pm
Yeah, pure water would be just regular ice. It's the same deal for, say, Ceres, that has an ocean under it's surface... mixed with ammonia. Pretty much any water farther away from the Sun than Earth is either solid or mixed with something. I think Europa's an exception due to the tidal forces and radiation of Jupiter.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on July 25, 2018, 01:38:59 pm
From the article:
Quote
The water in the Martian underground lake is probably salty, otherwise it would freeze solid, even deep in the ground, Stofan says. And the salts are mostly likely made up of something called perchlorates, "which are very toxic to life here on Earth. But on Mars, who knows?"

But it's still not entirely expected and therefore worthy of reporting. By the scientists, that is, rather than me.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on July 25, 2018, 02:10:39 pm
Didn't they find liquid water on Mars, it was just that it was full of toxic salts or something? I thought that we found that when we were looking into those weird moving lines on the surface - they were subsurface flows of toxic water.

The main new thing is the scale of this liquid water deposit. It's about 20 km across, and 1.5 km deep. It stays liquid partly due to salts, but also due to the pressure of the ice cap from above.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on July 25, 2018, 02:50:51 pm
We should drill down and dump a bunch of extremophiles down there, for science.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on July 25, 2018, 02:57:49 pm
We should drill down and dump a bunch of extremophiles down there, for science.

“Being unable to find Martians already existing, we decided to make our own.”
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on July 25, 2018, 03:09:40 pm
Saxifrage vs Claybourne? (vs Hiroko?)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on July 25, 2018, 03:33:19 pm
Well, she blended the Green and Red philosophies (save that obviously any blend away from Red was an anthema to Ann, even Ann's own footprints upset her!).  And it was her Zygote that immediately sprang to mind, with a young Nirgal running laps round the lake, when I read the article.

Not that I can be sure that anybody but thee and me understands what I've just been babbling about, here in a science fact thread...  ;)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on July 25, 2018, 03:36:23 pm
We should drill down and dump a bunch of extremophiles down there, for science.

We can start with the cast of Jackass.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on July 25, 2018, 03:39:53 pm
We shouldn't put anything from Earth in there. It's possible that there could be Martian life-forms in there, or evidence thereof, so that'd be like the worst possible thing we could do for science.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Karnewarrior on July 25, 2018, 04:19:43 pm
Agreed. We need to make as certain as possible that Martian life is dead/nonexistent before we start dumping our own life there.

Besides, we need to save our extremophiles for Venus. I've always thought that we should send over a bunch of airborne photosynthetic bacteria and let them float over the Venusian clouds, eating away at the greenhouse below. Worst case scenario there is that we seed life to a second planet, ensuring that even if Humanity dies, life itself will last until at least the sun dies.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on July 25, 2018, 05:14:46 pm
We should drill down and dump a bunch of extremophiles down there, for science.

“Being unable to find Martians already existing, we decided to make our own.”

"If martians did not exist, it would be necessary to create them."
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on July 26, 2018, 06:54:54 am
Agreed. We need to make as certain as possible that Martian life is dead/nonexistent before we start dumping our own life there.

Besides, we need to save our extremophiles for Venus. I've always thought that we should send over a bunch of airborne photosynthetic bacteria and let them float over the Venusian clouds, eating away at the greenhouse below. Worst case scenario there is that we seed life to a second planet, ensuring that even if Humanity dies, life itself will last until at least the sun dies.

Bar the planet exploding I'm sure life would continue anyway even if the surface was sterilised: with deep-sea life. While much of it relies on marine snow, I do believe some tube worms and the like do not, so yeah. They'd last until the core got cold.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on July 26, 2018, 08:58:10 am
Agreed. We need to make as certain as possible that Martian life is dead/nonexistent before we start dumping our own life there.

Besides, we need to save our extremophiles for Venus. I've always thought that we should send over a bunch of airborne photosynthetic bacteria and let them float over the Venusian clouds, eating away at the greenhouse below. Worst case scenario there is that we seed life to a second planet, ensuring that even if Humanity dies, life itself will last until at least the sun dies.

The problem is that the clouds of Venus don't contain many of the elements need to replicate the bacteria or algae, so you have to work out how that's going to work.

EDIT: One idea that I like is the proposal to pulverise the surface of Venus into rocks. If you do that to about 1km deep, then atmosphere would seep in and the CO2 reacts with the rocks oxides to form carbonates, with calcuations suggesting this would get the surface temepature down to 127c and the total pressure down about half. The best thing about this however is that it doesn't need to shift a ton of matter from somewhere else to achieve it, you just need some way to dig up the ground.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: JoshuaFH on July 26, 2018, 09:16:35 am
Agreed. We need to make as certain as possible that Martian life is dead/nonexistent before we start dumping our own life there.

Besides, we need to save our extremophiles for Venus. I've always thought that we should send over a bunch of airborne photosynthetic bacteria and let them float over the Venusian clouds, eating away at the greenhouse below. Worst case scenario there is that we seed life to a second planet, ensuring that even if Humanity dies, life itself will last until at least the sun dies.

The problem is that the clouds of Venus don't contain many of the elements need to replicate the bacteria or algae, so you have to work out how that's going to work.

EDIT: One idea that I like is the proposal to pulverise the surface of Venus into rocks. If you do that to about 1km deep, then atmosphere would seep in and the CO2 reacts with the rocks oxides to form carbonates, with calcuations suggesting this would get the surface temepature down to 127c and the total pressure down about half. The best thing about this however is that it doesn't need to shift a ton of matter from somewhere else to achieve it, you just need some way to dig up the ground.

I imagine it would require some extreme orbital bombardment of some kind, cause I don't think any machine can survive the acidic hellscape for very long to do all that heavy pulverization manually.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on July 26, 2018, 09:21:20 am
Not a machine made from any materials we normally use, at least.

But it's stuff we could work out, and even though we "know" how to do the massive asteroid bombardment, the total investment in doing the science for machines that can survive Venus is probably far less than trying to e.g. extract large amounts of hydrogen from Jupiter for Venus, or sending the estimated 2000+ asteroids needed to shoot at Venus. For example, NASA now has a CPU that can survive Venus:

https://www.gizmodo.com.au/2017/02/nasa-has-finally-built-a-computer-chip-to-survive-on-venus/

And it's for an actual Venus rover they're planning

https://www.forbes.com/sites/brucedorminey/2016/02/29/nasa-venus-landsail-rover-could-launch-in-2023

If that works out, then it's clear that Mars can be a sort of testbed for Venus stuff. For example, get a 3D printer working on Mars, capable of making rover-parts. Then work out how you can make a 3D printer on Venus produce parts from local materials. For example, the CPUs NASA just built for Venus conditions are silicon carbide. Silicon and Carbon are abundant on Venus' surface, so it's possible that basic circuitry based on that could actually be printed by Venusian 3D printers.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Karnewarrior on July 26, 2018, 11:56:12 am
But while a self-replicating Venusian machine could be useful, it's a near future project.

On the other hand, we know of literally tens of thousands of extremophiles, if not millions. Some of them are going to be capable of reproducing somewhere on Venus. So then, if our goal is to bring life to Venus, rather than make it possible for humans to walk around outside unassisted, we have an option already viable, the only work being the actual rocket firing and finding the extremophiles to survive there. Evolution can take over from there, probably quite rapidly, if it's bacteria.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on July 26, 2018, 12:03:17 pm
OK, but why bring life to Venus, if it's limited to extremophile bacteria?

Terraforming something for human life makes sense, but I don't actually see much value in introducing bacteria to a place for the sake of having bacteria there. It seems somewhat unlikely they'd ever develop beyond that stage into more advanced forms of life.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: JoshuaFH on July 26, 2018, 12:09:05 pm
OK, but why bring life to Venus, if it's limited to extremophile bacteria?

Terraforming something for human life makes sense, but I don't actually see much value in introducing bacteria to a place for the sake of having bacteria there. It seems somewhat unlikely they'd ever develop beyond that stage into more advanced forms of life.

Well, I suppose with things like CRISPR we can genetically engineer extremophile bacteria that are able to terraform the planet just through living and reproducing as bacteria are wont to do. That'd perhaps be the easiest way to doing it, and is reminiscent of how Earth managed to accidentally terraform itself into an Oxygen-rich paradise for life.

Might take thousands or millions of years though, but hey, cost effective!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on July 26, 2018, 01:08:34 pm
Agreed. We need to make as certain as possible that Martian life is dead/nonexistent before we start dumping our own life there.

Besides, we need to save our extremophiles for Venus. I've always thought that we should send over a bunch of airborne photosynthetic bacteria and let them float over the Venusian clouds, eating away at the greenhouse below. Worst case scenario there is that we seed life to a second planet, ensuring that even if Humanity dies, life itself will last until at least the sun dies.

The problem is that the clouds of Venus don't contain many of the elements need to replicate the bacteria or algae, so you have to work out how that's going to work.

EDIT: One idea that I like is the proposal to pulverise the surface of Venus into rocks. If you do that to about 1km deep, then atmosphere would seep in and the CO2 reacts with the rocks oxides to form carbonates, with calcuations suggesting this would get the surface temepature down to 127c and the total pressure down about half. The best thing about this however is that it doesn't need to shift a ton of matter from somewhere else to achieve it, you just need some way to dig up the ground.

Terraforming with railguns.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MrRoboto75 on July 26, 2018, 01:11:35 pm
#StopVenusAbuse
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on July 26, 2018, 01:31:43 pm
The big problem with anything Cytherean is hydrogen and therefore water. Carbon-based life really cannot survive without C-H and O-H bonds, and it's not something that we can evolve away. CRISPR, not being magic, is of very little help.

And before anyone brings up fissioning heavy atoms into protons...the energy requirements are prohibitive sans technologies that would render Venus irrelevant.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Karnewarrior on July 26, 2018, 01:52:55 pm
We can't evolve away our biology, but that doesn't mean that the bacteria can't evolve a system where the nutrients for those bonds are sourced from somewhere else, like life on the seafloor depending on dead microbes from the surface.

I could see sets of extremophilic bacteria on the surface of Venus feeding off of dead life from higher in the atmopshere, where the pressure and temprature aren't so silly. If there's enough life up there, it could start to absorb more sunlight and cool the planet too. Earth wasn't super habitable when life formed here you know.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on July 26, 2018, 01:58:48 pm
Terraforming with railguns.

This is the wrong thread for railgun discussions
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on July 26, 2018, 02:00:12 pm
We can't evolve away our biology, but that doesn't mean that the bacteria can't evolve a system where the nutrients for those bonds are sourced from somewhere else, like life on the seafloor depending on dead microbes from the surface.

I could see sets of extremophilic bacteria on the surface of Venus feeding off of dead life from higher in the atmopshere, where the pressure and temprature aren't so silly. If there's enough life up there, it could start to absorb more sunlight and cool the planet too. Earth wasn't super habitable when life formed here you know.

That is exactly what it means, unless you're seriously proposing biological particle accelerators. If the hydrogen is not there, it is not there. The "nutrients" for hydrogen bonds include, inevitably, hydrogen, and there's very little of that on Venus either free or bound to anything and no way to extract it from anything else chemically. There's not actually enough sulfuric acid on Venus, in that sense. You can't have detritivores on the surface eating hydrogen captured by airborne microbiota when there's no hydrogen in the atmosphere for them to eat in the first place.

Pressure and temperature are solvable problems, yes, but missing elements really aren't.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on July 26, 2018, 03:04:31 pm
Terraforming with railguns.

This is the wrong thread for railgun discussions

railgun and science are not fundamentally opposed methods of thinking
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on July 26, 2018, 04:17:26 pm
Pressure and temperature are solvable problems, yes, but missing elements really aren't.

Yup, serious lack of hydrogen there, most likely due to Venus lacking a magnetic field. Hydrogen is light, so it rises, and impacts from the solar wind scrubbed that stuff right out of Venus's atmosphere.

One nice idea is for a solar shade. The problem with that is that is that it'd act like a light sail and be pushed away from the sun. However, there's a proposal for a slatted reflective shade, and the strips reflect the sunlight onto the back of the strip next to it, equalizing the light pressure on each side. That would deflect the sunlight a few degrees away from Venus, but also reduce the solar wind particles. Otherwise hydrogen/water you add to Venus' atmosphere will just get stripped away again.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on July 26, 2018, 04:45:51 pm
Or position it at slightly sunward of L1, but at the same angular orbital displacement, using (the average of a probably varying) solar pressure to keep up the orbital defecit.

If you insist on the equalisation technique, you need to do it in alternating directions, or else:
(https://spaceplace.nasa.gov/review/pinwheel-galaxy/pinwheel.en.gif)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on July 27, 2018, 04:07:34 pm
I don't think it's ethical to terraform a planet unless you can establish it's lifeless. We can't fairly assume all life would have the same biochemistry as life on Earth. We're operating on a very poor sample size here.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on July 28, 2018, 09:52:14 am
We don't want to get the Treens mad at us, certainly. (Or the Therons!)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on July 28, 2018, 10:58:11 am
I don't think it's ethical to terraform a planet unless you can establish it's lifeless. We can't fairly assume all life would have the same biochemistry as life on Earth. We're operating on a very poor sample size here.

I think it’s fairly easy to rule out a lot of planets as lifeless based on conditions, unless you subscribe to ideas like “living fully gaseous being in the atmosphere of star” fantasies that don’t even bother to propose a posible mechanism by which they could exist. Bacteria surviving from Mars’ wetter period living in subsurface icy water flows? Sure. Methane-based supercold life forms on Titan where it’s abdunantly available in liquid form? Sure. But all too often “life but nooot as we knooow iiit woOoOoo” is invoked to sidestep the fact that there’s no actual way for anything recognisable as life to form.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on July 28, 2018, 11:54:41 am
In any situation where we say "I bet we could send some of Earth's extremophiles to that other environment, and see if it can adapt to it" is, by definition, a place where Life As We Know It might already be found if we look hard enough. If it isn't independently arisen (maybe not predominantly in the Earth-Extreme places that we imagine it be, but in other places that might be harder to check but adjacent to them) then perhaps it has been already sent there via the extreme measure of hitching a ride on interplanetarily-transferrred impact debris (a provable thing, and may have happened a lot so the dice have been rolled plemty of times for at least one successful hitchhike ride and arrival).

Inoculating a 'dead' world could be deemed an attack, philosophically. The saving grace being that surely any 'native' organisms will by now have become better at dealing with local extremes than our kludged-together (or manually re-designed) seeding ones could ever be, this side of the biogenomic mastery needed to become the Progenitor race for some future's weirdly coherent galaxy-wide Panspermia origins.

Still, it messes things up. And as there doubtless is Life, But Not As We Know It (in as yet unknowable ways until we find at least one of the 'other answers' to The Meaning Of Life), at some point a messily incomplete survey that reveals no DNA/etc but overlooks <insert currently unknown alternative here> is going to allow us to do something we might regret later.

(Current biosecurity efforts might have already insufficiently sterilised our interplanetary probes. It is not even beyond contemplationnthat our attempts to avoid contaminating the moons of Jupiter/Saturn by sending our probes into the Jovian/Cronian atmospheres could have actually inadvertently sent a declaration of war against the respective Blimp-Creature civilisations therein! Yeah, protect the theoretical liquid-water life, but feel free to discriminate against the more dissimilar forms of life-organised matter! And these are beings who might, othewise, even be valuable allies in the future war against the coronal magnetodynamic beings who some day will organise deadly solar flares directly, deliberately and continually against us because of some other perceived slight or (on their part) rampantly nihilistic xenophobia! At least until the next bigger threat, like the Black-Hole Flingers/etc.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on July 28, 2018, 01:08:36 pm
I don't think it's ethical to terraform a planet unless you can establish it's lifeless. We can't fairly assume all life would have the same biochemistry as life on Earth. We're operating on a very poor sample size here.

I think it’s fairly easy to rule out a lot of planets as lifeless based on conditions, unless you subscribe to ideas like “living fully gaseous being in the atmosphere of star” fantasies that don’t even bother to propose a posible mechanism by which they could exist. Bacteria surviving from Mars’ wetter period living in subsurface icy water flows? Sure. Methane-based supercold life forms on Titan where it’s abdunantly available in liquid form? Sure. But all too often “life but nooot as we knooow iiit woOoOoo” is invoked to sidestep the fact that there’s no actual way for anything recognisable as life to form.

But while lacking in hydrogen, Venus does have other volatiles. And given how little we've explored the solar system, it's a bit early to rule it out.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on July 30, 2018, 11:58:06 am
Doesn't Venus have a decent amount of hydrogen (obviously nowhere near as much as Earth, what with our oceans and shit) bound in heavier molecules such as sulphuric acid?

In absolute terms, yes, it does, but what matters is concentration; Cytherean clouds are very dry compared to ours (https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0019103515000408). If we lump together the H2O and H2SO4, the total concentration is still less than 20 ppm. Earth's atmosphere rarely goes below 10,000 ppm even in cold deserts.

Not only would hypothetical Cytherean life need to lose much less water than life on Earth, they'd also need to get their water purely by breathing it, since there's no liquid water for them to drink. The membrane surface area required to do that will almost certainly necessarily lose more water to simple diffusion than it will gain, although I'll try to put numbers on that if you want.

There's enough for aerostats, perhaps, but nothing that needs to breathe.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Hanslanda on July 30, 2018, 02:34:44 pm
Some sort of extreme desiccant-type organism, a huge floating sail of those little packets we put in beef jerky, sucking hydrogen and oxygen out of clouds of acid and synthesizing H2O out of it to survive.


We have extremophiles that don't require oxygen or water to survive don't we? I need to look that one up.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on July 30, 2018, 02:52:53 pm
Some sort of extreme desiccant-type organism, a huge floating sail of those little packets we put in beef jerky, sucking hydrogen and oxygen out of clouds of acid and synthesizing H2O out of it to survive.


We have extremophiles that don't require oxygen or water to survive don't we? I need to look that one up.

There are, but you'd need a thermoxerophile that doesn't respond to low water with dormancy -- and bear in mind that most xerophilic fungus like Wallemia and Trichosporonoides species that do grow dry still need a considerable water activity. They'll grow in things like dried sausage, but dried sausage is much wetter than Venus.

EDIT: Spelling, also I forgot to mention Zygosaccharomyces...which still needs, in the case of Zygosaccharomyces rouxii, a water activity of 0.62.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on July 31, 2018, 11:27:01 pm
And again, bear in mind that life on other planets might make due with other volatiles without water. We only know about our own biochemistry, it's a rather poor sample size.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: KittyTac on July 31, 2018, 11:42:13 pm
Mars is definitely lifeless. The surface is coated with extremely potent carcinogens, not to mention our probes did not see anything suggestive of life. Also, very little volatiles. And even if there are some sort of bacteria, they are nonsentient, so we can terraform without worries. While all sentient beings should have rights, bacteria should not. If you really think it's bad to kill bacteria, go join the Jains, who do not drink yogurt because it would hurt the bacteria inside.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on August 01, 2018, 12:15:53 am
Mars is definitely lifeless. The surface is coated with extremely potent carcinogens, not to mention our probes did not see anything suggestive of life. Also, very little volatiles. And even if there are some sort of bacteria, they are nonsentient, so we can terraform without worries. While all sentient beings should have rights, bacteria should not. If you really think it's bad to kill bacteria, go join the Jains, who do not drink yogurt because it would hurt the bacteria inside.

Any kind of extraterrestrial life would be priceless for science. Besides, why terraform when it's much more economical to set up sealed environments?

Furthermore, you clearly haven't been keeping up with the news.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on August 01, 2018, 12:22:30 am
It's worth study yes, but forbidding terraforming a suitable planet for some microbes wouldn't happen once you are sufficiently advanced. On the other hand sufficiently advanced civs could simply choose to live in artificial habitats in space which can have more controlled environments. However the word is choice. In history there have been better ways of doing stuff promptly ignored thanks to idiosyncrasy or economics.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on August 01, 2018, 01:03:53 am
I'd imagine that more highly advanced cultures would place more value on preserving and documenting novel organisms. Having a very diverse library of life becomes a lot more useful if you own a printer that can make living things, no?
If aliens ever come along, the first thing they're going to vaporize us for is how many species we drive extinct before even cataloging them. Life takes some very specific conditions to grow, and a long time to differentiate, and we're losing potentially useful things every single day, never to be retrieved?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on August 01, 2018, 01:22:24 am
What if they don't appreciate life beyond theirs? What if they don't recognize us as life by other kind of values or even by methodology? What if they don't care? Technological progression doesn't mean they can be "mean spirited" or simply don't care. Or worst what if they consider carbon based life/bipeds/creatures with only two eyes/whatever an affront to their Gods? Alien motivations probably could be really alien to us. They could come and kill off exactly half planet and then expect us to be grateful and join them in doing so to the next planet and bolt in horror when they see us trying to nuke their ships or something.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on August 01, 2018, 01:30:28 am
What's so wrong about preserving native life forms, especially when one has the technology to live in controlled, sealed environments? What prerogative is there to wipe out native ecosystems, however simple, to replace with our own?

And due to the monumental engineering challenges of terraforming, the sheer time and effort involved, sustainable artificial habitats will surely come along first. In fact, they'd likely be a prerequisite for any terraforming efforts.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on August 01, 2018, 01:37:43 am
There's nothing wrong according to you and me, we should strive for it. However if some of us, from the same planet, same species and heck, same hemisphere disagree over it, imagine the wildcard it would be another completely different train of thought. They could come "in peace", or "in war", or in "I don't really care but you are in my way", or "ughh look at those gross things, squash them before they get out!", or "Non electronic lifeforms found, hence no life forms present at all, begin converting all mass into more replicants"....

On the other hand terraforming could be attractive if you can get to the point it sustains itself for as long as you want/need (thousands or millions of years) as I.E. no one has to make sure Earth AC keeps running or the sewage pumps don't burn out. Of course that kind of tech and energy required would mean you probably have the means to make huge space habitats too.

But what if their religion prohibits such habitats? Or they see a low hanging fruit as xenoforming this planet won't be that hard and it will be suitable to harbor billions of our kind in just X amount of time?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on August 01, 2018, 01:41:06 am
What's so wrong about preserving native life forms, especially when one has the technology to live in controlled, sealed environments? What prerogative is there to wipe out native ecosystems, however simple, to replace with our own?

And due to the monumental engineering challenges of terraforming, the sheer time and effort involved, sustainable artificial habitats will surely come along first. In fact, they'd likely be a prerequisite for any terraforming efforts.

The Three Generation Rule (http://www.projectrho.com/public_html/rocket/colonysite.php#threegen), mostly; I'm sure "sustainable artificial habitats" sound great as a pipe dream, but as an engineering problem they're any number of interconnected systems just waiting for a cascade failure -- or, more accurately, always being in a state of repair one step away from cascade failure. Being able to go outside significantly helps mitigate what happens when someone keys in a command incorrectly and the magical robots everyone assumes will be doing all the maintenance use the wrong size of replacement gasket or something.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on August 01, 2018, 01:45:49 am
And how do you even accomplish terraforming without a place for the terraformers to live meanwhile? It'd take a lot more than 3 generations to terraform a planet.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on August 01, 2018, 01:49:57 am
And how do you even accomplish terraforming without a place for the terraformers to live meanwhile? It'd take a lot more than 3 generations to terraform a planet.

You don't. I'm not saying terraforming is a viable alternative to habitats; I'm saying that, even if there were a willingness to attempt either, both would inevitably be more elaborate ways to die in space.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on August 01, 2018, 01:51:44 am
And how do you even accomplish terraforming without a place for the terraformers to live meanwhile? It'd take a lot more than 3 generations to terraform a planet.

You don't. I'm not saying terraforming is a viable alternative to habitats; I'm saying that, even if there were a willingness to attempt either, both would inevitably be more elaborate ways to die in space.
Everything it's just an elaborated way to day if we look at it from that perspective.

EDIT: Don't die on me now, keep me company I'm hunting for the last papers appointment I need for the time being.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on August 01, 2018, 02:04:41 am
Well, sure, but it is worth remembering that all our moralizing over what we should do in space is only relevant if we can do anything in space, including live in the long term.

Ironically, the same things the amateur crowd does when "envisioning" life in space (mostly assuming that everything that doesn't interest them is easy) are what would kill a space habitat run by humans.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: KittyTac on August 01, 2018, 02:11:58 am
The internet cut off before I finished my post. Of course we should catalogue the hypothetical Martian bacteria before destroying their habitat. After that it's fair game, they're not sentient. We could set up a little preserve for them, bacteria don't need much space to live.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on August 01, 2018, 02:25:15 am
I don't think sentience should be the cutoff. There's just too much to learn from studying bona-fide alien life.

Also, just a minor point of terminology, they wouldn't be bacteria, per se. Microbes yes, but bacteria are a specific kind of microbe.

There's nothing wrong according to you and me, we should strive for it. However if some of us, from the same planet, same species and heck, same hemisphere disagree over it, imagine the wildcard it would be another completely different train of thought. They could come "in peace", or "in war", or in "I don't really care but you are in my way", or "ughh look at those gross things, squash them before they get out!", or "Non electronic lifeforms found, hence no life forms present at all, begin converting all mass into more replicants"....

On the other hand terraforming could be attractive if you can get to the point it sustains itself for as long as you want/need (thousands or millions of years) as I.E. no one has to make sure Earth AC keeps running or the sewage pumps don't burn out. Of course that kind of tech and energy required would mean you probably have the means to make huge space habitats too.

But what if their religion prohibits such habitats? Or they see a low hanging fruit as xenoforming this planet won't be that hard and it will be suitable to harbor billions of our kind in just X amount of time?

I think there's some confusion here: I'm not talking about hypothetical sentient aliens, I'm talking about us and how we might live in space. Though it should be noted that sustainable habitats are an absolute must for any species wishing to cross interstellar distances. If their religion prohibits them, then they're not going to be able to make the trip in the first place.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on August 01, 2018, 02:39:18 am
Ah I see. Well what if their biology allows for sleeper ships? Anyway, for us? We must spread life as we know it, because that's the only one we are sure exists. And we should do it aggressively as long we don't find any other life, once we get to that point we'll should see, is it's just microscopic life then cataloguing, backing up and then colonizing if suitable/possible should be the way. Planets/moons with multicellular life should be treated different perhaps. Anyway there is little hope of ruling the existence of microbial life on a planet entirely. We could colonize Mars and find out years later microbes living kilometers deep or even caverns filled with multicellular life subsisting on gas bags or whatever (highly unlikely and speculative).

All these shouldn't be reasons to stop colonizing. Right now we, as mankind, should be focusing on permanent scientific outposts in the moon to test out all kind of technologies (from propulsion to habitats), if there's anything economically viable from the moon then a industrial enterprises could get there, then Mars, orbitals and so on (not necessarily in that order).

We could get to that assholey Deponia or Elisyum style were the rich live in perfectly designed habitats while the poor toil in their mines bellow in a barely terraformed planet (if at all). Either living on the station cheaper places and making regular trips of duty or simply living in basic shelters on the surface, whatever is cheaper.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on August 01, 2018, 02:45:26 am
Mining and lifting material out of a gravity well when there is a whole pile of orbiting rocks floating around past Mars is never going to be cheaper.

Gravity wells are terrible uses of material, but people don't do a good job of thinking about shit thirty years from now and the failure mode of a planet like this one is survivable.

Get yourself uploaded into a vacuum capable body and space is great.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on August 01, 2018, 02:51:23 am
Mining and lifting material out of a gravity well when there is a whole pile of orbiting rocks floating around past Mars is never going to be cheaper.

Gravity wells are terrible uses of material, but people don't do a good job of thinking about shit thirty years from now and the failure mode of a planet like this one is survivable.

Get yourself uploaded into a vacuum capable body and space is great.

With space elevators in places like Mars and the moon the economics could work out, way cheaper than transporting a huge rock that hurls in space at God know which relative speeds and vectors. As long the resources are there of course. I think right now, or in the feasible future is more realistic to build an space elevator on Mars and mine whatever we can there than to move/mine asteroids from the belt.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: KittyTac on August 01, 2018, 02:51:56 am
I don't think sentience should be the cutoff. There's just too much to learn from studying bona-fide alien life.

Also, just a minor point of terminology, they wouldn't be bacteria, per se. Microbes yes, but bacteria are a specific kind of microbe.

There's nothing wrong according to you and me, we should strive for it. However if some of us, from the same planet, same species and heck, same hemisphere disagree over it, imagine the wildcard it would be another completely different train of thought. They could come "in peace", or "in war", or in "I don't really care but you are in my way", or "ughh look at those gross things, squash them before they get out!", or "Non electronic lifeforms found, hence no life forms present at all, begin converting all mass into more replicants"....

On the other hand terraforming could be attractive if you can get to the point it sustains itself for as long as you want/need (thousands or millions of years) as I.E. no one has to make sure Earth AC keeps running or the sewage pumps don't burn out. Of course that kind of tech and energy required would mean you probably have the means to make huge space habitats too.

But what if their religion prohibits such habitats? Or they see a low hanging fruit as xenoforming this planet won't be that hard and it will be suitable to harbor billions of our kind in just X amount of time?

I think there's some confusion here: I'm not talking about hypothetical sentient aliens, I'm talking about us and how we might live in space. Though it should be noted that sustainable habitats are an absolute must for any species wishing to cross interstellar distances. If their religion prohibits them, then they're not going to be able to make the trip in the first place.
This is why I said we should study it, then consign the non-sentients to a habitat. Sentient life should have equal rights to humans, though. Non-sentients should only have rights if they do not get in the way.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on August 01, 2018, 03:43:45 am

With space elevators in places like Mars and the moon the economics could work out, way cheaper than transporting a huge rock that hurls in space at God know which relative speeds and vectors. As long the resources are there of course. I think right now, or in the feasible future is more realistic to build an space elevator on Mars and mine whatever we can there than to move/mine asteroids from the belt.

I'd just like to point out that assuming the often-floated figure of $100 per pound of material moved into orbit with a space elevator, moving the mass of a single 2km diameter asteroid into space would cost in the region of $800,000,000,000,000 if my math is correct. This would be less on Mars because Mars has a lesser gravity well, but the point is that space elevators only make transporting material into space cheap compared to every other method of doing so.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on August 01, 2018, 08:00:43 am
I more often see the figure 1$ per pound. 100$ per pound is just about a 1/10 of what it costs now, IIRC. With a space elevation supposedly you can reduce that by a factor of a thousand.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on August 01, 2018, 08:44:31 am
I more often see the figure 1$ per pound. 100$ per pound is just about a 1/10 of what it costs now, IIRC. With a space elevation supposedly you can reduce that by a factor of a thousand.

I more often see the figure 100 GPa. I'm curious what manner of nanotubes people are blithely handwaving in as a cable material these days, because none of them actually work at those scales.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on August 01, 2018, 09:14:19 am
On Mars or Luna it would be feasible with current materials. I don't feel like making math because only sleep one hour but fuel and machinery costs to move asteroids into secure orbits around anything you feel like would be massive too, mining in site requires constant transportation which could be an easier solution? Still you need to place industrial complexes. Whatever choice you make it's bound to be between expensive and fucking astronomical.

However if we apply current economics and technological capabilities I'm sure we could come up with the cheapest way. Of course this is taking for granted there's anything worth to lift off from Luna and Mars to justify a space elevator.

I had an idea for a novel were future generations outright ban heavy mining and industry on Earth and all polluting and heavy industry are moved to orbitals, the moon, mars, and this eventually create tensions and whatnot. This concept has been done to death however.

Fakedit: I got the appointment last night at 5:00 am here!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: redwallzyl on August 01, 2018, 10:12:34 am
So forgive me if this is already common knowledge but wouldn't a space elevator work with way less expense if it operated as a counterweight system? You bring stuff up and bring a equal amount down.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on August 01, 2018, 10:27:11 am
Correction: Carbon nanotubes are strong enough if we can extrude them in long enough lengths, but atomic-scale defects can ruin the integrity of such a cable. We do NOT need anything "exotic" or anything not using regular old atomic bonds that we know of.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on August 01, 2018, 10:33:12 am
So forgive me if this is already common knowledge but wouldn't a space elevator work with way less expense if it operated as a counterweight system? You bring stuff up and bring a equal amount down.

If you want to use a counterweight, you need to move the cable -- or at least a cable (and then we have to worry about how to couple the lift cables to the support cables.) That means the cable cannot taper, which vastly increases the cable mass that must be maintained. You also need a station in the middle of the cable to switch from one counterweight to the other, since both ends of the elevator are pulled away from the middle, so now there's more mass and more hassle with vibrations up and down the cable.

EDIT:
Carbon nanotubes are strong enough if we can extrude them in long enough lengths,

If anyone's curious, "long enough lengths" are, at minimum, about two billion times longer than the longest nanotube ever fabricated.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on August 01, 2018, 11:25:56 am
Quote from: LordBaal
We must spread life as we know it, because that's the only one we are sure exists. And we should do it aggressively as long we don't find any other life

Must we? Sure, it seems like a good idea from our perspective, but we can't just assume that's some objectively true universal good. Also, if the universe is doomed to some sort of death anyway, it's ultimately a futile gesture, like prolonging palliative care as long as possible.

The planet Earth can support maybe 10-20 billion humans if we really tried. Sure, we could have "more people" if we live in space, but what's ultimately the point of having more people at once? The more rapidly we expand, the more resources we consume, and the less efficiently we do so.

Pretty much whatever changes we make will increase entropy, and thus speed up the heat death of the universe, reducing the total carrying capacity of the universe (across it's lifespan) for sentience. In terms of added entropy, seeding life on other planets and waiting for sentience to arrive is inefficient, but also playing God in a cruel way. You have to own all the suffering you're going to create along with the joy.

However, we might in the future be able to model sentience, and we could do that in a way that minimizes the rise in entropy per "unit" of sentience (however it could be measured), and also doesn't create inadvertent suffering. Seeding a few suitable planets here and there with life might make sense in a "nature reserve" sort of way, but it's not the main game. The longterm main game is space-based computational arrays that draw energy straight from sunlight.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 01, 2018, 11:43:38 am
If you want to use a counterweight, you need to move the cable -- or at least a cable (and then we have to worry about how to couple the lift cables to the support cables.) That means the cable cannot taper, which vastly increases the cable mass that must be maintained.
An energy only counterweight (work-recovery on descenders used to at least partly boost the energy input taken to move the risers - need not even be at the same time if there's a method of storage and discharge) would be not much more of a complication from a 100% 'fed externally' system. Given everything else.

Quote
You also need a station in the middle of the cable to switch from one counterweight to the other, since both ends of the elevator are pulled away from the middle, so now there's more mass and more hassle with vibrations up and down the cable.
Any cable not missing the opportunity (and/or constructive necessity) to have a geostationary station in the 'middle', from which both ends (the long length of cable to Earth and the probably shorter length of cable tied to sufficient counterweight to keep things just taught enough and act as an 'outflinging' station, for fuel-saving interpkanetary launches out of a trapdoor) dangle is going to be set up for roping-counterweights exactly as you say (up from/down to Earth, down out/up in from orbit), regardless of whether it actually does.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on August 01, 2018, 12:13:47 pm
Mining and lifting material out of a gravity well when there is a whole pile of orbiting rocks floating around past Mars is never going to be cheaper.

Well, mining mars is cheaper if the material you mine is going to be used on mars. In-situ resource use will always be cheaper than importing from another body.

Likewise, asteroid mining would best be used in space rather than pulling down into a gravity well.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: KittyTac on August 01, 2018, 12:29:56 pm
Re: Expanding our population

There is no need to. Labor can be done by robots, which don't require much living space. Scientific research could be done by augmented humans collaborating with intelligent AIs. There is no practical need to expand our population on Earth. Other planets? Maybe. But not Earth.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on August 01, 2018, 12:39:35 pm
If you want to use a counterweight, you need to move the cable -- or at least a cable (and then we have to worry about how to couple the lift cables to the support cables.) That means the cable cannot taper, which vastly increases the cable mass that must be maintained.
An energy only counterweight (work-recovery on descenders used to at least partly boost the energy input taken to move the risers - need not even be at the same time if there's a method of storage and discharge) would be not much more of a complication from a 100% 'fed externally' system. Given everything else.

Quote
You also need a station in the middle of the cable to switch from one counterweight to the other, since both ends of the elevator are pulled away from the middle, so now there's more mass and more hassle with vibrations up and down the cable.
Any cable not missing the opportunity (and/or constructive necessity) to have a geostationary station in the 'middle', from which both ends (the long length of cable to Earth and the probably shorter length of cable tied to sufficient counterweight to keep things just taught enough and act as an 'outflinging' station, for fuel-saving interpkanetary launches out of a trapdoor) dangle is going to be set up for roping-counterweights exactly as you say (up from/down to Earth, down out/up in from orbit), regardless of whether it actually does.

Well, true, but that's regenerative braking, not a counterweight. Most of the more serious proposals I've seen for doing this use it, actuator design permitting, to save on beamed power in the outbound case and broaden the set of permissible weather conditions in the inbound case, as most of them use beamed power to avoid having to run power down the cables.

Regarding stations on the cable: space elevators are not static structures. The lower terminus has to dodge storms, the upper terminus needs to handle orbital correction, and everything in between needs to be moved out of the way of space debris and satellites -- and that's just to keep the cable intact. If you want to stick a permanent crawler in the middle of that and absorb the additional complexity and expense of transiting things from one end of it to the other, that station is going to have to move with all of that, which does not bode well for keeping constant tension on the lift cables.

Re: Expanding our population

There is no need to. Labor can be done by robots, which don't require much living space. Scientific research could be done by augmented humans collaborating with intelligent AIs. There is no practical need to expand our population on Earth. Other planets? Maybe. But not Earth.

That's quite a claim, seeing as we have no such AI, no such augmentations, and significant gaps in what robots can do.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on August 01, 2018, 12:40:35 pm
Re: Expanding our population

There is no need to. Labor can be done by robots, which don't require much living space. Scientific research could be done by augmented humans collaborating with intelligent AIs. There is no practical need to expand our population on Earth. Other planets? Maybe. But not Earth.

Aye, it's less about numbers for numbers sake and more about becoming established in more than one place in the universe, so as to avoid extinction should something happen to one habitat.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: KittyTac on August 01, 2018, 12:43:18 pm
Re: Expanding our population

There is no need to. Labor can be done by robots, which don't require much living space. Scientific research could be done by augmented humans collaborating with intelligent AIs. There is no practical need to expand our population on Earth. Other planets? Maybe. But not Earth.

That's quite a claim, seeing as we have no such AI, no such augmentations, and significant gaps in what robots can do.
But considering the rate of technological progress, I bet we will have most or all of those by the year 2150 or a bit later.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on August 01, 2018, 12:44:49 pm
Re: Expanding our population

There is no need to. Labor can be done by robots, which don't require much living space. Scientific research could be done by augmented humans collaborating with intelligent AIs. There is no practical need to expand our population on Earth. Other planets? Maybe. But not Earth.

That's quite a claim, seeing as we have no such AI, no such augmentations, and significant gaps in what robots can do.
But considering the rate of technological progress, I bet we will have most or all of those by the year 2150 or a bit later.

Defending arbitrary assumptions by pulling numbers out of your ass doesn't make them more realistic. I really don't care what some layman "bets" other people will build for him, let alone by when.

Also, "the rate of technological progress"? Since when is that a meaningful concept, let alone a uniform rate?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: KittyTac on August 01, 2018, 12:45:48 pm
Re: Expanding our population

There is no need to. Labor can be done by robots, which don't require much living space. Scientific research could be done by augmented humans collaborating with intelligent AIs. There is no practical need to expand our population on Earth. Other planets? Maybe. But not Earth.

That's quite a claim, seeing as we have no such AI, no such augmentations, and significant gaps in what robots can do.
But considering the rate of technological progress, I bet we will have most or all of those by the year 2150 or a bit later.

Defending arbitrary assumptions by pulling numbers out of your ass doesn't make them more realistic. I really don't care what some layman "bets" other people will build for him, let alone by when.
I was not talking about the present. It is quite obvious that we do not have any of that.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on August 01, 2018, 01:01:46 pm
Re: Expanding our population

There is no need to. Labor can be done by robots, which don't require much living space. Scientific research could be done by augmented humans collaborating with intelligent AIs. There is no practical need to expand our population on Earth. Other planets? Maybe. But not Earth.

That's quite a claim, seeing as we have no such AI, no such augmentations, and significant gaps in what robots can do.
But considering the rate of technological progress, I bet we will have most or all of those by the year 2150 or a bit later.

Defending arbitrary assumptions by pulling numbers out of your ass doesn't make them more realistic. I really don't care what some layman "bets" other people will build for him, let alone by when.
I was not talking about the present. It is quite obvious that we do not have any of that.

Yes. It is equally obvious that you have provided no real justification to expect any of them, let alone all of them, by any specific date.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on August 01, 2018, 01:28:18 pm
Aight, let's take a moment and rethink and calm down. I sense an argument of the bad kind.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 01, 2018, 02:52:59 pm
Regarding stations on the cable: space elevators are not static structures. The lower terminus has to dodge storms, the upper terminus needs to handle orbital correction, and everything in between needs to be moved out of the way of space debris and satellites -- and that's just to keep the cable intact. If you want to stick a permanent crawler in the middle of that and absorb the additional complexity and expense of transiting things from one end of it to the other, that station is going to have to move with all of that, which does not bode well for keeping constant tension on the lift cables.
Most plans (such as they are, still so speculative and requiring Handwavium production to get further) assume a bedrock-anchored base and engineering a way to resist any likely equatorial weather events. Those that don't may employ an oil-rig-like (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Semi-submersible_platform) bottom-end (on land, I've seen Inverted World-like railtrack-crawlers, overlaid upon the suitably prepared terrain) to give 'wiggle', but it's a near glacial movement compared with the 'ideal' movement of hundreds of miles, to skirt to one side of a storm's predicted path, within a handful of days, of something likely much more massive than the loaded STS Crawler (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crawler-transporter). For the bottom end, 'dodge' is an optimistic description of what could be done.

At the middle and top end, though, you can thrust the inverted-pendulum sideways (or 'bow' it by pushing on the middle and letting it flex) to avoid (known!) fly-by threats that might be more proximate than there is comfort for. Relatively quick reactions (apply some lateral thrust, perhaps even by applying electrodynamic potential against the Earth's magnetic field) compared with the low-end, but don't forget how fast (unpredicted) space-debris can hove into view.

Still, with all that, the tension is unlikely to change quite that much. Off-centering the ground 'anchor' and oppositely off-centering the far counter-weight terminus (the whole tethered structure crossing over the 'ideal' vertical) is likely to be the greatest over-stress, and on a 36Mm (to GEO) plus an additional fraction of that (to counterweight) the total angle of deflection from 'normal' is unlikely to be that great, with (non-linear, but nearly so) proportionate increase in tensionmax across the structure surely being not beyond the in-built safety factor (which should probably already be calculated upon this most extreme of 'normal' operations the dodging north below to avoid a storm, whilst dodging 'south' above to avoid a NEO).


We also should probably do a lot of cleaning up of the current/near-future cloud of orbital debris, too, in laying the 'groundwork' for our tether. Everything up there is equator-crossing and, if not in the current orbit then almost all inevitably in a future one if it's stable enough, will cross any reasonable safety-zone presently imaginable.

(Beyond the requisite 20-Minutes-Into-The-Future already required for construction of the Beanstalk, it's anybody's guess what safety-factors, precautions and defenses will be both necessary and possible to implement.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on August 01, 2018, 04:27:45 pm
I mean, there's always the terrible NIAC Phase II study (http://www.niac.usra.edu/files/studies/final_report/472Edwards.pdf) that assumed a series of mobile termini handing off the actual beanstalk end one to the other, or the even more terrible Analemma Tower that just asserts that the value of real estate rises forever with height and doesn't connect the bottom to the ground at all...yes, okay, point taken, the stationary termini are probably more grounded. Still, there's a lot of wobble in the cable, particularly if the crawlers cause any kind of oscillation -- and if they rise at all quickly, they will (https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S009457650800338X?via%3Dihub). My worry with the whole counterweight idea is that the lift cables might end up bowing the main support cable during all of this by exerting a force between the pulley and the crawler. If the cable bows and the counterweight drops, it's going to be slower to straighten out and thus lift the counterweight, is it not?

Regardless, you're right that this is all pointlessly speculative while the cable's still impossible. Then again, I like space fountains and those are almost impossible and very power-hungry.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on August 01, 2018, 05:04:57 pm
What about a magnetic rail launch? Perhaps a bit too G-strenuous for humans but still cheaper than rockets.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on August 01, 2018, 06:16:51 pm
What about a magnetic rail launch? Perhaps a bit too G-strenuous for humans but still cheaper than rockets.

There are versions that can launch humans, but they need the end of the launch tube magnetically levitated out of most of the atmosphere at which point we're back to space fountains.

I wonder if the more achievable cargo-only versions aren't self-obsoleting though. At some point we presumably want to stop sending acceleration-tolerant bulk cargo like water into space and start getting it from space, and unlike a fountain/elevator the rail launcher can't help with deorbiting and reentry. The geometric constraints on cargo size are a worry as well.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on August 01, 2018, 06:42:25 pm
Thanks Hugo, things were heating up and I don't see why, thought we were just trowing arguments for the sake of fun, not defending points of view with fanaticism, specially over highly hypothetical things.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on August 01, 2018, 10:19:40 pm
Just keep it chill y'all.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on August 02, 2018, 01:19:52 am
What if they don't appreciate life beyond theirs? What if they don't recognize us as life by other kind of values or even by methodology? What if they don't care? Technological progression doesn't mean they can be "mean spirited" or simply don't care. Or worst what if they consider carbon based life/bipeds/creatures with only two eyes/whatever an affront to their Gods? Alien motivations probably could be really alien to us. They could come and kill off exactly half planet and then expect us to be grateful and join them in doing so to the next planet and bolt in horror when they see us trying to nuke their ships or something.

Because those who do not appreciate life and seek to destroy it will be at a natural disadvantage to those who value life, and seek to catalog and exploit it. Someday the civilization that hates all life that is not itself will come across a civilization with pets from a thousand different planets, and the xenophobes will get eaten by a swarm of adorable spiders. I just assume that what's most effective is what's most common, because being effective is useful to not being destroyed.

If all things that have two eyes is an affront to your gods, some day that bias will make you miss out on some advantage.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 02, 2018, 02:12:13 am
I mean, there's always the terrible NIAC Phase II study (http://www.niac.usra.edu/files/studies/final_report/472Edwards.pdf)
I'm reading it, and my brain is melting!
Quote
Gasoline engines don’t work well in space where there is no air and wouldn’t have the required range

Overshot on the "not writing this just for technical people" ambition.

(Goes on to dismiss solar panels, then suggests using solar panels anyway, except without the 'solar'. That's me saying "without the 'solar'", the author still calls them that, potentially confusing the third-grader apparently being written for. Like with the diagram of the asteroid being mined for material, which features stick-men with picks on its surface. And what's "sulferic acid"? I'm already vitriolic about sulphur no longer officially being spelled with a "ph" since the '90s!)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 15, 2018, 12:10:42 pm
It's Sputnik all over again! (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-45194333)

*beep beep beep beep beep... *
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on August 16, 2018, 01:15:48 pm
Stuff in the oldest observed light may have clues to the fate of the universe. (https://www.sciencealert.com/penrose-b-mode-hawking-points-sign-previous-universe-in-conformal-cyclic-cosmology)

Note: nothing confirmed here, just some potential implications of this data.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on August 19, 2018, 02:37:06 am
It's Sputnik all over again! (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-45194333)

So here's the thing. If it's actually plausibly a weapon (which is a long shot), then it's still worthless. It can't do anything without being seen, and it can't approach anything without it being obvious that it is doing so.

Even a really, really impressive projectile weapon can't reach high enough speeds to actually hit anything the satellite isn't already rendezvousing with, and orbital maneuvers are obvious and slow.

99.99% chance this is just a standard spy satellite. The only other thing it could be that is useful is a nuclear weapon to be used against a ground target, but why? Especially considering that that we already HAVE jillions of nukes ready to go already.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on August 19, 2018, 08:58:47 am
It's Sputnik all over again! (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-45194333)

So here's the thing. If it's actually plausibly a weapon (which is a long shot), then it's still worthless. It can't do anything without being seen, and it can't approach anything without it being obvious that it is doing so.

Even a really, really impressive projectile weapon can't reach high enough speeds to actually hit anything the satellite isn't already rendezvousing with, and orbital maneuvers are obvious and slow.

99.99% chance this is just a standard spy satellite. The only other thing it could be that is useful is a nuclear weapon to be used against a ground target, but why? Especially considering that that we already HAVE jillions of nukes ready to go already.

What the fuck, watch the video about it here, the graphics are hilarious. The satellite "birthed" a smaller satellite, then that smaller satellite "birthed" an even smaller one. It's satellites all the way down. Naturally, this is how Russian satellites work.

https://edition.cnn.com/videos/world/2018/08/16/russian-nesting-doll-satellites-todd-tsr-vpx.cnn/video/playlists/russias-military/
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on August 19, 2018, 09:19:45 am
We must not allow a nesting doll gap.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: JoshuaFH on August 19, 2018, 09:33:02 am
We must not allow a nesting doll gap.

"Russian Scientists first to create Matryoshka dolls that continue down into the microscopic scale and can only be opened with nanobots. American quantum doll makers theorize possible ultra nano dolls that shrink down to the planck length."

"Quantum doll maker says in interview 'Now we're all sons of bitches' before placing a pistol to his head and blowing his skull open. Smaller quantum scientist scrambles out and is on the run."
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 30, 2018, 10:33:37 pm
Little Dutch boy needed on Space Station? (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-45364155)

(Well, hopefully the capsule will be ok for re-entry, with no echoes of Komorov or the Soyuz 11 crew.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Akura on August 31, 2018, 06:12:02 am
The damage is on the orbital module which, according to the article, is dumped before re-entry. Shouldn't be an issue.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 31, 2018, 08:15:31 am
Only thinking that where there's one impact, there could be another. Not yet creating a leak, or indeed a cabin leak not being the danger this other one brings, but something else.

(I also really don't want to end up being a Cassandra, just thought it needed more said than the link text. Should be Ok, though. And there's plenty of other unrelated things that could go wrong before now and then, so..? Darn.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on August 31, 2018, 10:27:54 am
Only thinking that where there's one impact, there could be another. Not yet creating a leak, or indeed a cabin leak not being the danger this other one brings, but something else.

(I also really don't want to end up being a Cassandra, just thought it needed more said than the link text. Should be Ok, though. And there's plenty of other unrelated things that could go wrong before now and then, so..? Darn.)

You're acting like this is extraordinary. It really isn't, at least from an operational perspective; the ISS is hit by tiny bits of junk all the time. It's how the windows, solar arrays, and radiators get those little pits.

If the station weren't adequately monitored, it would have failed long before now.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on August 31, 2018, 10:36:13 am
"A little tape, a little glue... There, now we aren't oozing precious air into the vacuum of space."
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on August 31, 2018, 10:40:02 am
Little Dutch boy needed on Space Station? (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-45364155)

(Well, hopefully the capsule will be ok for re-entry, with no echoes of Komorov or the Soyuz 11 crew.)

How do they know it's a rocky fragment (ie, micrometeorites) and not one of the zillions of pieces of orbital debris zipping around?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on August 31, 2018, 10:42:55 am
Little Dutch boy needed on Space Station? (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-45364155)

(Well, hopefully the capsule will be ok for re-entry, with no echoes of Komorov or the Soyuz 11 crew.)

How do they know it's a rocky fragment (ie, micrometeorites) and not one of the zillions of pieces of orbital debris zipping around?

A particle doesn't need to be rocky to be a micrometeoroid. The term covers all bits of stuff in space in a certain size range (usually <1 g) , both natural and debris.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 31, 2018, 01:38:19 pm
How do they know it's a rocky fragment (ie, micrometeorites) and not one of the zillions of pieces of orbital debris zipping around?

A particle doesn't need to be rocky to be a micrometeoroid. The term covers all bits of stuff in space in a certain size range (usually <1 g) , both natural and debris.
I think the question relates to the bit that says...
Quote
It is thought the damage was caused by the impact of a high-speed rocky fragment flying through space.
Someone, at some point (maybe in the news department, but maybe actually in Mission Control) has said that it is (likely to be) rocky. Which makes it a micrometeoroid unless we've been sending rocks into orbit.

That made me wonder if this was therefore a "bit of comet dust" or somesuch, which tends to arrive in bunches (incredibly spread-out bunches, to cover the whole sky as swept out by the Earth over a few nights, but still the chances of a second bit being near in time and space to a first bit is greater than one being in any other random time and space).

Obviously man-made/-sourced MMs are ubiquitous and ever (if individually fleetingly) present, but if the classification is not an uninformed editorial misclassification then we can presume the rockiness is an important distinction. (Maybe the calculated direction/power of impact was explained better by something not in any trivial orbit?)


But, at its heart, I just needed to pad out tje link
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on August 31, 2018, 02:16:40 pm
Yeah, I wouldn't read that much into it. Science journalists are notorious for editorializing everything they don't outright replace with film references to make things "accessible to laypeople", and "micrometoroid" sounds a lot like it should mean "little bitty meteor" and meteors are rocks, right?

As for any ongoing threat, bear in mind that MS-09 still carries the new DPM NASA wanted (and got on TMA-04M, I think?), so the MMOD shielding on the ISS isn't at a significantly higher PNP. Ergo, any reason to think that rock (if rock it was) was one of many sufficiently close together to make multiple impacts a realistic possibility would probably at least get them to shutter the cupola and go hang out in Zvezda or something on the assumption the entire hull was in danger.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Ziusudra on September 05, 2018, 07:55:39 am
Russian space chief vows to find “full name” of technician who caused ISS leak (https://arstechnica.com/science/2018/09/russian-space-chief-vows-to-find-full-name-of-technician-who-caused-iss-leak)
Quote
However, recent Russian news reports have shown that the problem was, in fact, a manufacturing defect. It remains unclear whether the hole was an accidental error or intentional. There is evidence that a technician saw the drilling mistake and covered the hole with glue, which prevented the problem from being detected during a vacuum test.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 05, 2018, 08:57:51 am
There are 144 millionish Russians (in a wide but mostly defined volume of space). We obviously now need to statistically compare that to the number of micrometeoroids to establish the relative dangers of each!

(And my bet is that it's Vasiliy Pupkin.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on September 05, 2018, 10:09:56 am
I would go with Dimitry Molotov.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on September 05, 2018, 10:14:45 am
Russian space chief vows to find “full name” of technician who caused ISS leak (https://arstechnica.com/science/2018/09/russian-space-chief-vows-to-find-full-name-of-technician-who-caused-iss-leak)
Quote
However, recent Russian news reports have shown that the problem was, in fact, a manufacturing defect. It remains unclear whether the hole was an accidental error or intentional. There is evidence that a technician saw the drilling mistake and covered the hole with glue, which prevented the problem from being detected during a vacuum test.

Ouch, geeze, that's almost Challenger accident scale cutting corners. Okay, maybe more like Apollo 1, but it's up there on the scale of 'potential to cause death' as in it COULD have been worse, but thankfully wasn't.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on September 05, 2018, 06:44:59 pm
Yeah that seems way more plausible than the saboteur drilling in space thing, which reminds me of Murder in Space (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Murder_in_Space) Telemovie from the 1980s. In that there are a series of murders on an international space mission, and

Quote
On its initial premier, the film was shown without the ending and a competition was set for the viewers to solve the mystery of who the murderer or murderers were. The conclusion of the film was shown several days later, with the contestants eliminated one by one until the winner correctly identified the killer or killers. The final 30 minutes of the film was shown at a later date when the mystery was solved.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on September 05, 2018, 06:57:27 pm
While I saw one article mentioning that they haven't ruled out it happening in space, it's probably best not to jump to epileptic tree conspiracy theory tier conclusions before ruling out someone being sloppy.

If the technician who plugged it up wasn't the one who made the hole, it still reveals another glaring problem of failure to properly report it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Ziusudra on September 12, 2018, 10:16:28 pm
Russian theory that NASA sabotaged the space station spreading like wildfire (https://arstechnica.com/science/2018/09/the-russians-are-really-pushing-a-nasa-astronaut-sabotaged-the-iss-theory/#p3)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: WillowLuman on September 13, 2018, 01:42:44 pm
Ugh, this sounds like some nationalist schlock.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on September 13, 2018, 03:18:54 pm
Among other things, an astronaut would know better than to make highly conductive metal cuttings in space.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: scourge728 on September 13, 2018, 04:28:29 pm
Also: I doubt NASA has the budget to go wrecking space stations
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on September 13, 2018, 04:31:00 pm
Also, the space station conducts noise really, really well. The Russian cosmonauts would have heard the drilling no problem, so they would have to be in on it. But if Russia can't trust their cosmonauts, why should they trust their shop workers?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Loud Whispers on September 13, 2018, 04:35:47 pm
Imagine S.T.A.L.K.E.R in space

Solar flare soon strelok
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on September 13, 2018, 05:41:47 pm
Get out of here cosnonaut
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Loud Whispers on September 13, 2018, 06:25:05 pm
If ever there was a time to leave orbit cosmonaut, it is now
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Teneb on September 13, 2018, 07:19:57 pm
This is ground control to major Trofim...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sluissa on September 17, 2018, 11:44:47 pm
Elon Musk has another BFR presser. Apparently going well. Announces the first passengers for a circumlunar flight.

It's a Japanese clothing designer, Yusaku Maezawa, along with a number of artists he wants to haul along with him. He's apparently bought out the whole BFR.

Reality is weird.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on September 17, 2018, 11:52:05 pm
Elon Musk has another BFR presser. Apparently going well. Announces the first passengers for a circumlunar flight.

It's a Japanese clothing designer, Yusaku Maezawa, along with a number of artists he wants to haul along with him. He's apparently bought out the whole BFR.

Reality is weird.
They're totally going to do drugs, drink absinthe, and fuck one another while over the Moon.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on September 17, 2018, 11:55:59 pm
I mean, that's what YOU would do, right...?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on September 18, 2018, 12:00:21 am
Otherwise what's even the point?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on September 18, 2018, 01:53:03 am
So, you are politely suggesting that the "mile high club" is not exclusive enough for this japanese billionaire, and that he needs to join the "Literally over the moon" club instead?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Mech#4 on September 18, 2018, 04:55:27 am
If such a thing gets in vogue then funding could increase as people look to outdo each other. I suppose if people have a lot of money I prefer they spend it on things than just sit on it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on September 18, 2018, 11:00:04 am
We live in a strange banal future.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on September 18, 2018, 11:01:47 am
At least in this case the fat stacks of profit get turned back into business ventures and not just Elon's pockets. He ain't no greedy whore of a dragon..
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on September 18, 2018, 11:03:10 am
Why not pick a random poor person (though in all fairness, it'd be at the risk of it looking like a PR stunt to placate the masses given that it's Elon Musk, among other people)?

Space can't just be for only the wealthy to access.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on September 18, 2018, 11:37:30 am
Not forever sure. But right now space is expensive. The more people want to go, the more options there will be, the more rockets will exist, and the cheaper each individual flight will become.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: KittyTac on September 18, 2018, 11:43:39 am
I would probably never go to space myself.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on September 18, 2018, 11:56:43 am
Then again, the guy is an artist himself and is also bringing along various artists in different art mediums (https://www.vox.com/the-goods/2018/9/18/17874214/spacex-moon-tourism-yusaku-maezawa-first-private-citizen-astronaut). It's like that famous quote from the movie Contact where the astronaut said 'should have sent a poet', sometimes the best way to get people interested/inspired/etc is through art.

So, it's not like Elon Musk is sending up a Fat Cat.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sluissa on September 18, 2018, 02:54:32 pm
He said it in the presentation. BFR needs funding. This guy has funding. So yes, in order to build the rocket he will let this guy buy tickets on it. It's not just a crazy. "We're sending an artist, because."
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RadtheCad on September 19, 2018, 10:37:53 am
Compare this to the history of air travel; first, it's an extravagant luxury for the rich and/or of industrial and military interest, and over time, costs fall and accessibility rises, till today where most people in the first world (I would say nearly all) could fly on a plane at least once in their lives if they really wanted to.  What does a cheapo ryanair round trip cost?  Or a ride in a prop aircraft?  Compared to a ticket for the Hindenburg, or for a flight on one of the aircraft that existed at the time.

I hope some moronic vlogger goes along, and throws a drone out the airlock.

Actually, specifically, I hope Logan Paul goes along and the first video clip in the 3rd millenium filmed by a human being beyond the moon's orbit starts off with "HEY THERE LOGANG, REMEMBER TO CHECK OUT THE MOON MERCH-"
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: scourge728 on September 19, 2018, 10:50:42 am
I really hope logan paul is allowed nowhere near space travel
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on September 19, 2018, 11:13:47 am
I hope that he goes for a space walk without a suit, just to see what would happen.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on September 19, 2018, 11:26:13 am
Compare this to the history of air travel; first, it's an extravagant luxury for the rich and/or of industrial and military interest, and over time, costs fall and accessibility rises, till today where most people in the first world (I would say nearly all) could fly on a plane at least once in their lives if they really wanted to.

Or don't, because quite unlike air travel there's nowhere to go. Everything it is profitable to do in space at scales that actually drive costs down can be done more cheaply, safely, and most importantly less massively by robots.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: sluissa on September 19, 2018, 12:38:31 pm
Compare this to the history of air travel; first, it's an extravagant luxury for the rich and/or of industrial and military interest, and over time, costs fall and accessibility rises, till today where most people in the first world (I would say nearly all) could fly on a plane at least once in their lives if they really wanted to.

Or don't, because quite unlike air travel there's nowhere to go. Everything it is profitable to do in space at scales that actually drive costs down can be done more cheaply, safely, and most importantly less massively by robots.

What's the point in going on a vacation, to see the grand canyon, niagara falls, yellowstone park? I mean, there's plenty of pictures taken of them already. I can just look at those much more cheaply.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on September 19, 2018, 01:11:58 pm
Compare this to the history of air travel; first, it's an extravagant luxury for the rich and/or of industrial and military interest, and over time, costs fall and accessibility rises, till today where most people in the first world (I would say nearly all) could fly on a plane at least once in their lives if they really wanted to.

Or don't, because quite unlike air travel there's nowhere to go. Everything it is profitable to do in space at scales that actually drive costs down can be done more cheaply, safely, and most importantly less massively by robots.

What's the point in going on a vacation, to see the grand canyon, niagara falls, yellowstone park? I mean, there's plenty of pictures taken of them already. I can just look at those much more cheaply.

Well, if you've got a way to power a rocket with sarcasm and starry-eyed wishes, that's a different story.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RadtheCad on September 19, 2018, 01:57:51 pm
Compare this to the history of air travel; first, it's an extravagant luxury for the rich and/or of industrial and military interest, and over time, costs fall and accessibility rises, till today where most people in the first world (I would say nearly all) could fly on a plane at least once in their lives if they really wanted to.

Or don't, because quite unlike air travel there's nowhere to go. Everything it is profitable to do in space at scales that actually drive costs down can be done more cheaply, safely, and most importantly less massively by robots.

There is somewhere to go:  on a cruise around the moon.  One guy's already been willing and able to pay for it.
Assuming a growing space-based economy (satellites, etc.), even if all or nearly all the industrial activity is performed by machines (likely), launch costs are launch costs.
If they drop, so will the cost of chartering an abnormal hardware delivery on an abnormal trajectory.  Even if meatmen never do any important work in space, and never live there in any significant numbers, you'd expect to see more space tourism as launch costs drop:  there's plenty of people who would pay some percent of their net worth for a trip around the moon.
Of course, human-rated launch systems will be more expensive than robot-rated.  But people launching satellites and robots have an incentive to minimise explosions too, all else being equal:  even if human spaceflight lagged behind the more experimental, but efficient methods by a generation, you'd expect to see the above trend in the longer run, for as long as physical humans are still around and running things.  Not that I think we're going away any time soon- but I don't know how long the above timescales are.  Maybe AI will take over before much space tourism happens.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on September 19, 2018, 02:15:43 pm
It's not just ratings. It's the entire life support system and attendant shielding and heat load. Not only is there no reason to build and test these for automated spacecraft, there's also zero incentive to build the capability to carry them -- of which the added mass is arguably the simplest component to handle of many -- into the hardware launching them.

In a sense, the cost of spaceflight is so high because it's presently necessary that every flight be entirely self-supporting; we need rockets that can reach space from a stationary pad and carry everything required along with them because it's not profitable to leave anything up there for their use. That need not be true of robotic spaceflight for scientific and industrial purposes, but the things rich idiots need to take joyrides and publicity stunts are different, and therefore become economical to supply on an ongoing basis and attendant lower per-flight cost only if there are enough rich idiots to make them so. Air travel at least had the benefit of being uniquely useful for shipping to people in otherwise inaccessible locations and needing a human in every plane and therefore every plane capable of carrying humans. Space travel has neither those uses nor those restrictions.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: scourge728 on September 19, 2018, 02:17:49 pm
Colonization
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on September 19, 2018, 02:18:53 pm
Colonization

Where of, and paid for by who and for what reason?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: scourge728 on September 19, 2018, 02:22:05 pm
Mars, other solar systems, the moon, etc. Paid for by government organizations, Science, overpopulation, preventing us from being wiped out if our planet is destroyed, probably other reasons
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on September 19, 2018, 02:22:31 pm
1) Moon
2) Kickstarter (et al)
3) Political dissidence


Or, if climate change continues unabated because "But muh fortunes and muh business models!"...

1) Moon
2) Private fortunes
3) To not have weekly cat4 hurricanes/angry mobs at your luxury home
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on September 19, 2018, 02:30:10 pm
Colonization

Where of, and paid for by who and for what reason?

Science? Really though, it doesn't matter once human colonization becomes practical and not every colony is about relieving population pressures. Hell, some of the early colonies in the US (Jamestown is the main one I'm thinking of, but there are certainly others) were about accquiring resources and there are loads of cities that had their start as a trading post or mining or whatever. I'd expect the same to be true of any future space colonies.

Obviously colonizing space is a hell of a lot different from setting up a trade post on the Hudson, but the same proccesses are going to be there. People bring their families, entrepreneurs come, and so on.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on September 19, 2018, 02:33:34 pm

It's not just ratings. It's the entire life support system and attendant shielding and heat load. Not only is there no reason to build and test these for automated spacecraft, there's also zero incentive to build the capability to carry them -- of which the added mass is arguably the simplest component to handle of many -- into the hardware launching them.

In a sense, the cost of spaceflight is so high because it's presently necessary that every flight be entirely self-supporting; we need rockets that can reach space from a stationary pad and carry everything required along with them because it's not profitable to leave anything up there for their use. That need not be true of robotic spaceflight for scientific and industrial purposes, but the things rich idiots need to take joyrides and publicity stunts are different, and therefore become economical to supply on an ongoing basis and attendant lower per-flight cost only if there are enough rich idiots to make them so. Air travel at least had the benefit of being uniquely useful for shipping to people in otherwise inaccessible locations and needing a human in every plane and therefore every plane capable of carrying humans. Space travel has neither those uses nor those restrictions.

Unless you're saying we're never going to send people into space again and live entirely planetbound, with theoretical robots doing theoretically everything we might ever want to do, we're going to need to keep developing rockets that can transport people into orbit. I doubt spaceflight will ever be entirely human-free.

Both SpaceX and NASA have indicated plans to land people on mars and colonise, and SpaceX already have sharply driven down launch costs. They're only going to get lower.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Telgin on September 19, 2018, 02:34:33 pm
A small aside about overpopulation: barring some truly miraculous scientific advancements, space travel alone can't fix this.  A very quick googling implies the population is growing by about 80,000,000 people per year.  Just to keep the population stable, you'd thus have to export that many people per year.  It's hard to imagine the kind of launch capabilities we'd have to scale up to to provide that.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on September 19, 2018, 02:35:58 pm
Space elevator/launch loop would take care of it.

Too bad those are beyond our capabilities right now, IIRC both require material qualities we don't have.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on September 19, 2018, 02:40:40 pm
What trekkin is getting at:

There is nothing on the moon that is terrifically valuable that cannot be much less expensively obtained, processed, and used right here on earth. As such, there is no real ECONOMIC reason to go to the moon (other than its strategic locality for other space operations).

Because of that, WHY would people relocate their families, WHY would businesses go there, et al.


You have to think in those terms, not star-struck optimism.


I pointed out that "excess of wealthy privilege" for "that pristine scenic view" is totally a thing with those people with enough financial capital to make this happen, and that if climate change continues, the number of destroyed sea-side mansions is going to go very high indeed, as the seas turn from calm, scenic beauties into raging, frothing, and surging death under the influence of large temperature variances in the atmosphere.  (that, and all the dead animals washing ashore making it smell terrible.)

The moon has no weather to disrupt.  It is a brilliant grey-white desert, with a beautiful blue planet hanging overhead. (it is tidally locked with the earth, so that pretty blue orb stays in mostly the same place in the sky too)

Sure-- there's no air to breath, there is little effective gravity, and you need to produce food on site to make it a viable candidate, but then again, look at the veritable ARMIES of people that the wealthy and privileged kept and paid for in the late 1800s.   Same concept, modern incarnation. 
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on September 19, 2018, 02:47:08 pm

It's not just ratings. It's the entire life support system and attendant shielding and heat load. Not only is there no reason to build and test these for automated spacecraft, there's also zero incentive to build the capability to carry them -- of which the added mass is arguably the simplest component to handle of many -- into the hardware launching them.

In a sense, the cost of spaceflight is so high because it's presently necessary that every flight be entirely self-supporting; we need rockets that can reach space from a stationary pad and carry everything required along with them because it's not profitable to leave anything up there for their use. That need not be true of robotic spaceflight for scientific and industrial purposes, but the things rich idiots need to take joyrides and publicity stunts are different, and therefore become economical to supply on an ongoing basis and attendant lower per-flight cost only if there are enough rich idiots to make them so. Air travel at least had the benefit of being uniquely useful for shipping to people in otherwise inaccessible locations and needing a human in every plane and therefore every plane capable of carrying humans. Space travel has neither those uses nor those restrictions.

Unless you're saying we're never going to send people into space again and live entirely planetbound, with theoretical robots doing theoretically everything we might ever want to do, we're going to need to keep developing rockets that can transport people into orbit. I doubt spaceflight will ever be entirely human-free.

Both SpaceX and NASA have indicated plans to land people on mars and colonise, and SpaceX already have sharply driven down launch costs. They're only going to get lower.

You could say that it's a bootstrapping problem, making it work and doing it for the first time is the hardest and steepest part of space colonization. It's not like we don't know what to do, it's just that difficulty slope is a difficult one, and once it gets done, the slope gets easier (or maybe it just seems like it gets easier because you're following in the footsteps of others).

What trekkin is getting at:

There is nothing on the moon that is terrifically valuable that cannot be much less expensively obtained, processed, and used right here on earth. As such, there is no real ECONOMIC reason to go to the moon (other than its strategic locality for other space operations).

Because of that, WHY would people relocate their families, WHY would businesses go there, et al.


You have to think in those terms, not star-struck optimism.

Right NOW, yes, it's not very economically viable, but as technology and techniques improve, it can become viable.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on September 19, 2018, 02:50:49 pm
What trekkin is getting at:

Don't put words in my mouth, wierd.

What I'm actually getting at is this: unlike every other form of transportation developed to date, including air travel, there's no reason we absolutely have to include humans on every single spacecraft from the get-go. Therefore, unlike air travel, not everything needs to be man-rated or survivable, and much like air travel (see drones, for example) there's quite a lot you can do if you don't need to haul people around and keep them safe: in broad terms, you can go smaller, faster (or with more extreme acceleration, for the knee-jerk pedants), hotter, and lighter. It is therefore inaccurate to assume that space travel will follow some hazy analogy to air travel and become a cheaper form of passenger transport as it becomes more useful, because spacecraft don't need to be nearly as close to being able to carry passengers to be useful.

I'm not saying we're never going to build cheaper ways of getting people into space, but I am saying that we're not going to build them out of repurposed probe launchers.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Telgin on September 19, 2018, 03:01:04 pm
I've seen a number of sources say that mining helium-3 on the moon would be profitable and worth exporting back to Earth, but I'm pretty skeptical.  It definitely doesn't seem like the sort of thing that would make such an endeavor really economically viable, anyway, unless I'm way underestimating how much helium-3 there is on the moon.  Maybe lunar installations would make sense as processing facilities or stepping stones to asteroid mining, but that also needs us to develop the tech to mine asteroids first.

Space elevator/launch loop would take care of it.

Too bad those are beyond our capabilities right now, IIRC both require material qualities we don't have.

I know I'm getting a little off topic here, but I'm not convinced a space elevator would really help either.  A launch loop, maybe, since I'm not really familiar with that.  Anyway, a space elevator's big issues, even if we could build one, are capacity and speed.  Most design proposals I've seen have climbers that take days to get to space.  So, if it takes, say 3 days to climb, that's about 120 trips per year.  You now need to send about 650,000 people per trip to break even, divided by however many elevators and climbers you have.  It's going to take a ridiculous capacity to reach a break even point.

All speculative numbers, of course, but I'm just trying to show the scale of the problem.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on September 19, 2018, 03:05:23 pm
That is one of the things you were saying, yes--  But you also said this:

Quote
Or don't, because quite unlike air travel there's nowhere to go. Everything it is profitable to do in space at scales that actually drive costs down can be done more cheaply, safely, and most importantly less massively by robots.

and this

Quote
It's not just ratings. It's the entire life support system and attendant shielding and heat load. Not only is there no reason to build and test these for automated spacecraft, there's also zero incentive to build the capability to carry them -- of which the added mass is arguably the simplest component to handle of many -- into the hardware launching them.

In a sense, the cost of spaceflight is so high because it's presently necessary that every flight be entirely self-supporting; we need rockets that can reach space from a stationary pad and carry everything required along with them because it's not profitable to leave anything up there for their use. That need not be true of robotic spaceflight for scientific and industrial purposes, but the things rich idiots need to take joyrides and publicity stunts are different, and therefore become economical to supply on an ongoing basis and attendant lower per-flight cost only if there are enough rich idiots to make them so. Air travel at least had the benefit of being uniquely useful for shipping to people in otherwise inaccessible locations and needing a human in every plane and therefore every plane capable of carrying humans. Space travel has neither those uses nor those restrictions.

Those are 'connected' to your stated point, but only tangentially.   

Unlike "setting up operations in the Hudson Bay", where there are native resources of considerable value to gather (furs, unique forms of meat and other luxury commodities that can be resold at a high price) the moon has no such prospects. There is no economic reason to outlay the expenses needed to send humans up there. You are correct that robots can do basically anything humans would be doing up there, as it relates to exploration, science, and even some light manufacturing to support those, and that the facilities needed for robots are not at all the kind needed for humans.  To get the kind needed by humans, you need a reason for humans to be there-- to wit--

Why I pointed out the precedent of the victorian mansion.   This was before automation in a lot of tasks, like laundry or kitchen, or cleaning even.  The desire to appear opulent and stately is historically big enough to cause the wealthy to pay to feed, clothe, and house literally hundreds of people-- JUST to maintain their opulent homes.

Right now, most of the very wealthy have ocean front luxury properties of one form or another, (though some do live in deserts already), which will either become underwater, or be otherwise rendered a tax writeoff in the coming decades if the trainwreck of human produced CO2 does not get prevented and cleaned up.

There is only so much real-estate that would be aesthetically pleasing/safe in that future, and so I can easily see how the moon would be attractive. (very hard for the plebians to send pitchforks and torches without rockets, no?)

Sure, it would mean having to resort to the victorian mansion model, with armies of support crew, but again-- it's been done before.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on September 19, 2018, 03:09:00 pm
I've seen a number of sources say that mining helium-3 on the moon would be profitable and worth exporting back to Earth, but I'm pretty skeptical.  It definitely doesn't seem like the sort of thing that would make such an endeavor really economically viable, anyway, unless I'm way underestimating how much helium-3 there is on the moon.  Maybe lunar installations would make sense as processing facilities or stepping stones to asteroid mining, but that also needs us to develop the tech to mine asteroids first.

Space elevator/launch loop would take care of it.

Too bad those are beyond our capabilities right now, IIRC both require material qualities we don't have.

I know I'm getting a little off topic here, but I'm not convinced a space elevator would really help either.  A launch loop, maybe, since I'm not really familiar with that.  Anyway, a space elevator's big issues, even if we could build one, are capacity and speed.  Most design proposals I've seen have climbers that take days to get to space.  So, if it takes, say 3 days to climb, that's about 120 trips per year.  You now need to send about 650,000 people per trip to break even, divided by however many elevators and climbers you have.  It's going to take a ridiculous capacity to reach a break even point.

All speculative numbers, of course, but I'm just trying to show the scale of the problem.

Instead of a single carriage going up the elevator, instead, imagine a "circular" train track, spiraling up the thing.   At the top and the bottom the track goes half-way around the circumference of the elevator, which is where pick-ups and dropoffs happen.  The train is continuous operation at a slow but reliable pace.  You could mass-transit stuff into and out or orbit that way.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on September 19, 2018, 03:21:54 pm
I've seen a number of sources say that mining helium-3 on the moon would be profitable and worth exporting back to Earth, but I'm pretty skeptical.  It definitely doesn't seem like the sort of thing that would make such an endeavor really economically viable, anyway, unless I'm way underestimating how much helium-3 there is on the moon.  Maybe lunar installations would make sense as processing facilities or stepping stones to asteroid mining, but that also needs us to develop the tech to mine asteroids first.

That's kind of the crux of the problem, we haven't yet developed technologies that can do it, but we kind of have to go there in order to field test the technologies. Those initial steps wouldn't need humans on site, but given that we haven't yet invented self repairing machines (yes, I know there are self repairing materials around even if it's only in the lab, but that won't help if something REALLY goes wrong), so, we're going to want people there at this technological stage.

Space elevator/launch loop would take care of it.

Too bad those are beyond our capabilities right now, IIRC both require material qualities we don't have.

I know I'm getting a little off topic here, but I'm not convinced a space elevator would really help either.  A launch loop, maybe, since I'm not really familiar with that.  Anyway, a space elevator's big issues, even if we could build one, are capacity and speed.  Most design proposals I've seen have climbers that take days to get to space.  So, if it takes, say 3 days to climb, that's about 120 trips per year.  You now need to send about 650,000 people per trip to break even, divided by however many elevators and climbers you have.  It's going to take a ridiculous capacity to reach a break even point.

All speculative numbers, of course, but I'm just trying to show the scale of the problem.

I wasn't trying to imply earlier that using space travel to relieve population pressure would be viable, just saying that there are more reasons than simply 'it's overcrowded in here!'. Plus describing a type of population pressure, but I think that was actually an economic pressure (or magnet rather) and not a population one.

@wierd: I was actually thinking of the river when I said 'on the Hudson', but the bay makes more sense as far as 'trading outpost'. And I wasn't talking about resources, just that it's a heck of a lot easier to set up an outpost on Earth than it is on the Moon because there are loads of things you'd have to worry or think about you otherwise wouldn't on Earth.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RadtheCad on September 19, 2018, 03:24:24 pm
It's not just ratings. It's the entire life support system and attendant shielding and heat load. Not only is there no reason to build and test these for automated spacecraft, there's also zero incentive to build the capability to carry them -- of which the added mass is arguably the simplest component to handle of many -- into the hardware launching them.

In a sense, the cost of spaceflight is so high because it's presently necessary that every flight be entirely self-supporting; we need rockets that can reach space from a stationary pad and carry everything required along with them because it's not profitable to leave anything up there for their use. That need not be true of robotic spaceflight for scientific and industrial purposes, but the things rich idiots need to take joyrides and publicity stunts are different, and therefore become economical to supply on an ongoing basis and attendant lower per-flight cost only if there are enough rich idiots to make them so. Air travel at least had the benefit of being uniquely useful for shipping to people in otherwise inaccessible locations and needing a human in every plane and therefore every plane capable of carrying humans. Space travel has neither those uses nor those restrictions.

The life support and shielding is just part of the payload.  It's not really added mass, just mass that was always part of the equation to begin with. 
I don't really disagree.  Whether rockets tend towards heavy lift will have some influence, as well as how low the launch cost gets.  That'll determine how rich the rich idiots have to be.  Do you have to be a billionaire to go to space?  Or a millionaire?

On a side note, how do human brains rate compared to computers, as spaceship cores?  Ignoring the psychological and ethical problems, brains are very efficient computers that last for decades.  How much mass and power would life support and shielding would a brain need per unit of computation compared to a computer?  I know the power efficiency is many orders of magnitude better, but how about mass efficiency?
I guess this leads into a more general point about organic computers vs. silicon.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on September 19, 2018, 03:36:34 pm
Oh no.  Life support, and the need for return fuel, amongst other considerations, makes robot missions and human missions VASTLY different fish.

A robot can handle G forces from turns, acceleration burns, etc--- that would turn a human into pink goo.  It also does not need to be returned to mission control, or otherwise be returned to a staffed facility when the mission is complete, like a human vehicle does.   It can just sail off into interstellar space and never be seen again, and nobody would care.

The cost differences between the two are astounding as a result.  You need only a tiny fraction of the fuel to reach a target location and do some science, for instance. Don't need near the level of power consumption, are less likely to spread research contaminating microbiota all over the solar system, et al.


When it comes to research, robots have humans beat when it comes to data collection.  They are already completely objective in what they report, as they are incapable of intentional bias (there might be bias due to defect, but that's another matter), they can be 100% germ free, they dont need air, food, water, or a place to sleep or shit.  They can theoretically operate non-stop, the infrastructure they need is significantly lighter weight.....  I think you get the idea.

The difference between a human mission and a robot mission, in terms of cost, is comparable to a high end ferrari vs a moped.  Night and day difference.  Also, like the ferrari and the moped-- they are vastly different vehicles, for different purposes.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on September 19, 2018, 04:23:45 pm
I feel it might be important to point out that wierd has not mentioned the massive advantages humans bring: We are adaptable, and can adapt other things. We can do much more than a robot ever could, given the same tools as the robot. Also, if we see an interesting rock, for example, a human can pick up and then use some scientific instruments on said rock, whereas unless the robot was specifically designed to be able to pick up that rock, it might be unable to do anything except send back some pictures, which is useful but far less useful than the human being. In order to bring that incredibly advanced capability to some place out there in space, though, you do need an order of magnitude or so's additional transport capability.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on September 19, 2018, 04:34:13 pm
Here is how I see it, as regards science.

I can see the need for an orbital science station, staffed with humans of various career types. If we are talking a mars mission, I could see a logistics station on phobos or deimos. This solves a number of issues with long-term research.

1) Com delay is reduced from minutes to a fraction of a second.
2) With other satellites in orbit, there is no com blackout
3) There's local raw material to construct additional science instrumentation to send to the planet below
4) very weak gravity well makes launch of instrumentation inexpensive; also facilitates crew rotation (transport vessel does not have to do atmospheric landing and takeoff)
5) physical isolation of humans and their disgusting germs from the planetary environment being studied helps assure that the thing being studied does not get contaminated, and thus ruin future research.

Don't misunderstand me.  There is a need for human spaceflight. Just raw data gathering science missions are not really one of them, outside of logistical support. (like laid out above.)

A small research station on phobos is not geared to become a transport hub, however.  It would be geared to have minimal crew, would expect frequent supply missions, and would have only minimal manufacturing or docking capacity.  Its reason to exist is to move mission control closer to the science, so that you dont spend 90% of your time waiting for the probe to respond to your orders.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on September 19, 2018, 04:47:22 pm
Once colonization becomes a thing, theres going to be people who decide to do it just for the adventure or just find their own reason to go and put a stake in alien ground. But still, it's that whole 'first step' issue that has to be surmounted and there probably won't be a permanent population for a long while once a base starts getting set up on the Moon or wherever as we as a species begin learning how to colonize other worlds.

The whole development of space stations is pretty analogous, there aren't permanent residents yet (primarily due to radiation exposure issues), but people have been staying in the space stations for longer and longer periods of time.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RadtheCad on September 19, 2018, 04:56:11 pm
Oh no.  Life support, and the need for return fuel, amongst other considerations, makes robot missions and human missions VASTLY different fish.

A robot can handle G forces from turns, acceleration burns, etc--- that would turn a human into pink goo[..]

I'm not sure if you're replying to me...  please note that I said a human brain, not a human.  And ignoring ethical concerns- given you've cut out someone's brain and stuck it in a probe.  How much hardware do you actually need to recycle waste into sugars and vitamins and hormones and...
Well, probably quite some.  But how much will it mass?

Your g-forces point is probably a killer (is the brain the weak link in the human body when it comes to G-forces?  Does it need to be?) and besides, a normal human mind isn't what you'd want for something like this-  you'd want some mind that can pay attention when needed, and otherwise sleep for weeks on end.
You'd presumably equip it with a normal computer as well, anyway- it's probably just there for quick and flexible response.  It?  They?

But this is getting into way-out-there technology territory.  More realistic than full humans in full human bodies, though.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on September 19, 2018, 05:09:24 pm
Instead of a single carriage going up the elevator, instead, imagine a "circular" train track, spiraling up the thing.   At the top and the bottom the track goes half-way around the circumference of the elevator, which is where pick-ups and dropoffs happen.  The train is continuous operation at a slow but reliable pace.  You could mass-transit stuff into and out or orbit that way.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lunar_space_elevator

The Lunar Space Elevator will come first. It's a tether which is feasible with known current materials, much cheaper than an Earth-based elevator, and the end of it is dangling in High Earth Orbit so you only really need to nudge things off the end of them to get them heading towards Earth. Maybe and Earth elevator will be buildable one day, but this thing is far more reasonable and we shouldn't even think about an Earth one before building a moon one.

Maybe if we just build a long enough moon-elevator it will be dangling into Earth's atomsphere so you only need airborne shuttles to dock with it? :) The advantage would be that the position rotates around the Earth on a monthly basis so it's cheaply accessible to many locations.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on September 19, 2018, 05:11:38 pm
Oh no.  Life support, and the need for return fuel, amongst other considerations, makes robot missions and human missions VASTLY different fish.

A robot can handle G forces from turns, acceleration burns, etc--- that would turn a human into pink goo[..]

I'm not sure if you're replying to me...  please note that I said a human brain, not a human.  And ignoring ethical concerns- given you've cut out someone's brain and stuck it in a probe.  How much hardware do you actually need to recycle waste into sugars and vitamins and hormones and...
Well, probably quite some.  But how much will it mass?

Given how much of our metabolism the brain uses, the combined mass of the support structure to keep it alive for over multiple years (since anything that wouldn't take that long probably isn't going far enough away for the light lag of remote control to be a problem) and the interfaces for getting data into it and commands out of it, combined with spares for all of that, probably isn't going to weigh meaningfully less than a human, particularly given the added mass of repair armatures. The life-support systems on most seriously designed near/midfuture spacecraft are simultaneously among the more complex and more reparable structures, but that latter part doesn't help if the life it's supporting doesn't have hands.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on September 19, 2018, 05:19:33 pm
Sudden g-forces tend to be more of a problem for the brain than gradual increasing g-forces.

As for total g-forces, there is a point (5gs for most people and 9gs for pilots wearing special suits) where you black out because the blood is being forced into your legs, and lethal g-forces for the brain would be at the same time other organs start getting screwed. The human body can actually handle quite a bit of g-forces (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/G-force#Human_tolerance), so, if they're in an acceleration couch (in various forms in sci-fi), they'd be fine with some acceleration, but if you want to walk around or otherwise be functional, the threshold isn't very much.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on September 19, 2018, 05:21:17 pm
More realistic?

Doubtful.  The kind of technology to wire and maintain a human brain, body-free, inside a machine and controlling it doesn't currently exist in any meaningful form, and indeed may never exist due to the ethical complications of, well, chopping people up and sticking them in computers, even if it could be done, and that is something you have to take into account when arguing if something is realistic or not. It's hard to say how much that technology would mass because it simply doesn't exist.

It's also hard to say the precise effects of g-force on a body-less brain because obviously that's never been tested. Generally G-force causes people to pass out when it drives blood away from the brain. Vertical g-force is much worse than horizontal g-force, of which the highest survived amount measured was 214g.

If you want humanoid control, it's going to mean remote control or sending a human - with all their bits attached, most likely.
For something like a probe just send a robot.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on September 19, 2018, 05:44:48 pm
On a side note, how do human brains rate compared to computers, as spaceship cores?  Ignoring the psychological and ethical problems, brains are very efficient computers that last for decades.  How much mass and power would life support and shielding would a brain need per unit of computation compared to a computer?  I know the power efficiency is many orders of magnitude better, but how about mass efficiency?
I guess this leads into a more general point about organic computers vs. silicon.

Human brains don't actually rate all that well for this task. Try being a human and performing all the computation tasks done in a second by a smartphone. Sure, the human brain is more powerful by many measures, but the smartphone will outperform you in most real-world situations all the same. You can also turn a smartphone CPU off to save power and they don't rot. As for "lasts for decades", the US military is still using hardware from the 1970s.

By the time we actually have the tech to put a human brain into a computer, we'll have much better computers than we have now, too.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on September 19, 2018, 05:47:28 pm
What the mammalian brain excels at is sensory processing and integration.

A tiny mouse brain does a better job of object identification and spacial orientation than do many high end computer vision systems, which consume much more energy, and take much more space.

But, again, you dont need a human brain for that.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on September 19, 2018, 05:59:04 pm
I don't know the state-of-the-art, but every bit of material I've ever read suggests that the mouse STILL does a better job than ANY of our best computers.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on September 19, 2018, 06:06:59 pm
Well yeah, of course they do, brains have had eons of evolution to fine tune stuff like that because it's essential to survival.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on September 19, 2018, 06:25:03 pm
"does a better job" is task dependent however so you can't just make a blanket statement like that. Try installing Doom on a mouse, or getting a mouse to do your spreadsheets.

For all our vaunted higher efficiency of overall processing power, it's still the case that we're replacing organic things with computer brains because they're cheaper and more reliable.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on September 19, 2018, 06:27:25 pm
Agreed-- hence the opening salvo:  They are better at sensory processing and integration.

They are not better, at basically everything else.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on September 19, 2018, 06:31:48 pm
I was referring exclusively to wierd's comment on the sensory information processing bit, not in general. In general, the human brain is probably still superior.

After all, the human brain can build a computer, but a computer can't build a human brain (or another computer) without a human to tell it exactly how.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on September 19, 2018, 06:39:58 pm
You don't need a human brain to build a human brain. It's a meaningless statement.

EDIT: And the argument was about whether we should use human brains instead of current computers. We shouldn't, because current computers are better at what we use them to do. Try adding up a bunch of numbers really quickly. Then, try accurately adding 1 billion numbers a second, and tell me how you'd use a squishy meat-brain-machine to emulate that.

EDIT2: Reaction times of machines are far quicker. Neurons can fire up to 200 times per second. Current top-tier consumer-grade CPUs do 1 trillion operations a second. Yes, they don't do the same total throughput as a meat-brain for the same amount of energy, but they just react a million times faster, which might account for why they need more energy per operation.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Loud Whispers on September 19, 2018, 06:41:45 pm
You don't need a human brain to build a human brain.
Can a computer make a human brain? 3-d printing human brains is the future

I was referring exclusively to wierd's comment on the sensory information processing bit, not in general. In general, the human brain is probably still superior.

After all, the human brain can build a computer, but a computer can't build a human brain (or another computer) without a human to tell it exactly how.
To be fair though, it is a bit of an odd one. Sorta like how a human brain could calculate the speed, velocity and its expected path of a ball being thrown directly at it, and subsequently coordinate a response to avoid being hit in the face with said ball, all faster than a mechanical computer - but chances are most people would not be able to describe that mathematically in the same way a computer could with any comparable measure of speed. You'd need some way to convert all that biological processing power into a format that is usable with machines innit, a sorta brain interface
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on September 19, 2018, 06:50:43 pm
Pretty sure a computer would be able to proccess it faster, it's just that you have to train it to recognize that an object is coming at it and tell it what to do with the data. Even then, the computer can still screw up, as we've seen with attempts with automated cars.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on September 19, 2018, 06:55:48 pm
We also have to take total costs into account: training, reliability, testability and scaling across the lifetime of the project. You can program one machine to deal with a task then test it exhaustively in simulations, then replicate the code/data and you have reliable clones of the trained one. That won't work for meat-brains, each one needs to be hand-trained to do the task all over again.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on September 19, 2018, 07:17:24 pm
(This thread has become an impromptu tech and engineering thread, but since computers are still relevant....)

And if something unexpected happens that it doesn't know how to handle or has no viable options to deal with the problem, the computer will in the best case abort and stop what it's doing, or in the worst case freeze up and crash, or in another worst case, just keep on doing what it's doing.

Yes, you can test a wide variety of things and give it a toolkit (virtual or otherwise) to deal with various situations, but AI isn't at the point where it can figure out what to do on it's own if something happens outside the parameters of it's programming. Edit: Actually, through neural networks or evolutionary learning, it probably could.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on September 19, 2018, 07:40:54 pm
Human G-tolerance is not a limiting factor in spaceflight. Takeoff of earth's surface is a little rough, but it's already as fast as it can get without running into the air too hard. In space, acceleration slows down dramatically because all our best high-efficiency rockets are low-thrust, high-efficiency models.

Again, robots are cool and all, but they have hard limits, even now, of what they can do. A human and all the monkey tax (which is only a few tons per person) is heavy, but has a much, much higher versatility per pound.

Anyway, here's the first video I've seen from an artist asking to go to space (https://youtu.be/tN7aI_HbAeU).

It's actually not bad, and I would be happy to see him selected. That said, hooo boy this will be an interesting series of videos and most of them are going to be incredibly self-indulgent.

Also WOW does this sound like the plot of a golden age science fiction novel, except the ship is captured by aliens or flung into the the future or something.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on September 19, 2018, 07:46:55 pm
Reaction-wheel reorientation of a craft can happen "Snappy damn fast", which you cannot do with humans aboard.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 19, 2018, 08:01:26 pm
Let's test it all with with the Second Ark (http://hitchhikers.wikia.com/wiki/Golgafrinchan_Ark_Fleet_Ship_B), then?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on September 19, 2018, 08:02:16 pm
I'd like to see you try reaction-wheel reorienting a 1 ton craft "Snappy damn fast". Unless you have a REALLY strong reaction wheel, it's going to take time to move that mass.

Really, a craft big enough to carry a human is going to be too heavy to do a "snappy damn fast" reorientation.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Mech#4 on September 19, 2018, 08:34:13 pm
Would you need things to turn that quickly in space? Space is big, really big, and I'd think you'd have plenty of time to co-ordinate turning and calculations before you need to use them.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on September 19, 2018, 08:48:04 pm
In fact you DO have plenty of space and time to do such maneuvers, and we can and do quite easily design spacecraft to not need to spin on a dime, because spinning on a dime is STUPID when you can't afford to have anything shaken loose.

As for human brains (since I missed some discussion), we can still learn to do something non-mathematical (or even mathematical things if we have the aid of a calculator) faster than a computer, in general. A computer must be reprogrammed to do something new, a human merely adds it to the list of things they know how to do.

Also, humans have opposable thumbs and the ability to use them for many, many tasks. Never underestimate the raw power of the opposable thumb. Especially if you give it a wrench and four other fingers and tell the conveniently-attached brain how to fix that one silly loose bolt that would kill a decades-long huge robotic mission because it's right in the [name your mission-critical part that can't have a loose bolt in it for its intended purpose, there tend to be a few of them on any space mission].
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on September 19, 2018, 08:51:26 pm
Also, reaction wheels don’t work like Kerbal Astronaut Death Program where they’re a magic box that
flings multi-ton craft around at 500rpm and accelerates infinitely, they’re more like fine-tuning and intertiall dampeners. That’s why large craft need reaction control systems with thrusters of some kind in general.

Sending humans anywhere will always be more expensive than sending a robot to do the same thing (until you get to stuff like planetary operations and large scale activity/ manipulation I guess) in space, cause we’re big, expensive, and need refuelling that can’t be provided by solar panel. The flipside is that there are missions where robots are not reliable or complex enough to compete, and that is unlikely to change barring an advent of true AI
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on September 19, 2018, 09:53:37 pm
There is always the problem that space isn't as exciting as Babylon 5 or (eeesh) Star Wars might make it look sometimes.

Instead of whooshing and strafing around dramatically in your little personal zero-G-mobile, it's like steering a canoe by farting two weeks before you need to be somewhere, and quietly farting the whole two weeks or so until you're close enough that you can... what, fly up to a dramatic stop?

Hah! Nope!

Turn your ass around and begin farting until your canoe comes alongside your destination, which incidentally is probably hauling ass along several different theoretically exciting trajectories--based on your choice of  reference frame--but in fact you'll seem to be in one of two states: bored and still, or TERRIFIED AND TOO FUCKING CLOSE TO SOMETHING OH GOD WE'RE ALL GON-

Now, where was I, oh yeah, phhhbbbbbppppppttttttt-pooot-pweeerrrmp-poof. Close enough to dock with whatever you spent the last month to come see, and what is it?

A ROCK!

WOW, CAN'T FIND THOSE ALL OVER THE PLACE ON EARTH, but hey, here's a rock WITHOUT ALL THE STUFF AROUND IT!

Wooo, neat!

Scales will be kinda wonky because your brain can handle "mountain in the distance" fine, but "mountain against a black infinite sea of empty death" is harder to sort into a bin of comfortable references, but good news, if anything happens to get close enough to your mountain for this to be a problem, YOU'RE GONNA DIE, HA HA HA, WEEE, FUCK WHY DIDN'T WE SEND ROBOTS OUT HERE?

I could be getting all the same "fun" (for certain loose definitions of fun, mind you I'm a dwarf fortress player who spends time perfecting his skill at dovetailing joints and sharpening tools for fun) by jacking into some glorious higher-than-actual-reality-Infinite-Bullshit-HD-Resolution VR and piloting a drone along parts of the journey (or all of it, ha ha fuck it, why not, slap an IV and colostomy bag onto that ultra-VR package!) to see the same sights, experience the same experiences, but without the permadeath and ridiculous up front cost of hauling a big bag of plumbing and air filtration into space and around the inner solar system.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on September 19, 2018, 09:57:41 pm
Regular space, yes. It's kind of 99.999999999999999% empty space. That *might* be why we call it "space", actually.

But the things in it can't actually be seen on Earth, they can tell us things about the universe we can't [usually] discover from Earth, and people can do more than any robot to actually collect the data we want and need.

Also, we go to space not because it is easy, but because it's out there and we should go there, screw the difficulty :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on September 19, 2018, 10:13:30 pm
This is why you should be psyched (and pissed at all the delays) for the Webb and excitedly looking forward to it eyefucking your skull with SCIENCE!

Long term: near Earth is fairly easy, we'll fuck around up there as long as we're able, moon isn't much harder.

If we can keep our shit together long enough to visit Mars and Venus we can probably work up a justification to set up cloud/canyon bases and I wouldn't be surprised to see an asteroid or two pick up some business/military oriented inhabitants.

Afterwards if we don't end up retreating back to the ground we'll probably end up on a long term project of turning as much shit as we can into computing shit, I like the term computronium there. If we keep at the computronium project we'll need to start taking apart planets and whatnot, maybe even get really exotic and start shit like starlifting material from the sun, but the end goal will be a shell of smart matter grabbing all the energy from the sun, using that energy, and passing waste heat on to further shells until the sun looks like a dim hazy infrared source from another star.

Why not go to other stars?

We might but people will probably get mad about wasting potential computronium which could be used to simulate a universe just like this one accurately enough to see what it is like at the next star or any other star, or any number of other universes, because physics sucks like that, sorry.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 19, 2018, 10:23:12 pm
Probably you're 'farting' at full(/optimal) power as much as possible at the beginning and then stopping, turning round and then doing the same in more or less the same time-frame as you suicide-burn aimed to 'stop' you at (or next to) your target. Give or take the relative motions of source and destination, the inequality of the fuel weights as you burn through the supplies and the concept of (possible multiple) transfer orbits at either end.

If you've got enough potential in your thrusters to make the acceleration burn almost up to the mid(ish)-point and the deceleration then starts as soon as you turn round then that'll be a best-transit-time bonus, and if you can make that a acceleration 1g then you've additionally solved the problem of keeping humans and their assorted biome fragments habituated to a non-microgravity environment.

But that'd not be a chemical rocket, probably, interstellar, nor even intrastellar/interplanetary. Maybe something Orionesque, maybe after a big upgrade (and/or massively parallel array) in ion-spewing drive systems. Or techs wot we know not yet of.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: KittyTac on September 19, 2018, 10:46:43 pm
This is why you should be psyched (and pissed at all the delays) for the Webb and excitedly looking forward to it eyefucking your skull with SCIENCE!

Long term: near Earth is fairly easy, we'll fuck around up there as long as we're able, moon isn't much harder.

If we can keep our shit together long enough to visit Mars and Venus we can probably work up a justification to set up cloud/canyon bases and I wouldn't be surprised to see an asteroid or two pick up some business/military oriented inhabitants.

Afterwards if we don't end up retreating back to the ground we'll probably end up on a long term project of turning as much shit as we can into computing shit, I like the term computronium there. If we keep at the computronium project we'll need to start taking apart planets and whatnot, maybe even get really exotic and start shit like starlifting material from the sun, but the end goal will be a shell of smart matter grabbing all the energy from the sun, using that energy, and passing waste heat on to further shells until the sun looks like a dim hazy infrared source from another star.

Why not go to other stars?

We might but people will probably get mad about wasting potential computronium which could be used to simulate a universe just like this one accurately enough to see what it is like at the next star or any other star, or any number of other universes, because physics sucks like that, sorry.
Here's the problem. To completely simulate our universe, we need a computer half the size of the universe (even with data compression). And that thing would collapse into a really big black hole. Not a good idea.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on September 19, 2018, 10:48:22 pm
I think that's just with todays technology, in the far future, who knows how advanced the capabilities will get.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: KittyTac on September 19, 2018, 11:18:58 pm
I think that's just with todays technology, in the far future, who knows how advanced the capabilities will get.
No, those are fundamental physical restrictions. You cannot infinitely compress data, there is a hard limit for data compression.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on September 19, 2018, 11:42:55 pm
Wtf? Brain jars used to move ships around? Was this thread taken over by the Omnissiah worshipers?

And data storage so far has the theorical limit of atomic storage? Dunno if there's subatomic storage yet, but that sounds like messing up with isotopes or quantum properties of matter.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 20, 2018, 12:21:49 am
Straight data compression may be still a problem (although a bit of RLE on all that space with identical nothingness/near-nothingness in it wouldn't hurt for starters, or an equivalent) but if we go to first principles, we could just assume that hitting upon the same algorithm as the universe actually follows we can just procedurally generate anyplace (and anytime!) we want. The requisite seed needn't be huge (assuming we get the right one), and the procedures may be not overly complicated (once we get them right) and then we only need to simulate sufficient breadth of scope and resolution for our purposes, which we can just make sure the product of these two items never gets larger than our computing power can handle. (Also, we don't need it to be 'realtime', and can work with fractional FPS if need be).

In fact, there's a short story I recall reading online not so long ago that uses this "it's turtles all the way down" idea, where all-but-one all-but-one of the chain of 'realities' simulating themselves are shown to be merely recursive simulations (although where we start isn't that one that isn't in the middle of a chain), but I can't easily find it right now.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: KittyTac on September 20, 2018, 12:39:34 am
I don't quite get what you mean.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RadtheCad on September 20, 2018, 03:09:57 am
It's not like you would need to simulate every atom just to have a virtual environment or people to fuck around in.

And yeah, realistically, human psychology as-is isn't well suited for being a spaceship computer.  If you have the technology to do this kind of thing, you probably get the same results with a mix of conventional-ish computers and a huge NN (virtual?  mechanical?  wet?) on the same complexity scale of at least, I don't know, a dog, trained on simulations of space missions. 

In fact, there's a short story I recall reading online not so long ago that uses this "it's turtles all the way down" idea, where all-but-one all-but-one of the chain of 'realities' simulating themselves are shown to be merely recursive simulations (although where we start isn't that one that isn't in the middle of a chain), but I can't easily find it right now.

There's this: https://qntm.org/responsibility
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on September 20, 2018, 05:04:02 am
I think that's just with todays technology, in the far future, who knows how advanced the capabilities will get.
No, those are fundamental physical restrictions. You cannot infinitely compress data, there is a hard limit for data compression.
To experience an accurately simulated version of another star you need to handle the volume experienced and any such volumes that might be immediately/have been recently visited, doing this at a fine enough granularity to break any efforts at testing whether or not it is real wouldn't require every particle and every event and every possible interaction and so forth to be modeled at the same resolution.

Most importantly, said simulation of the trip/local star environment will never begin to approach the energy expenditures involved in actually flinging a lump of matter--even one as perfectly condensed into a self-aware probe as it gets, much less one containing plumbing and air cleaning for a single fragile ape--from here to the actual star in question.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: KittyTac on September 20, 2018, 05:18:44 am
I think that's just with todays technology, in the far future, who knows how advanced the capabilities will get.
No, those are fundamental physical restrictions. You cannot infinitely compress data, there is a hard limit for data compression.
To experience an accurately simulated version of another star you need to handle the volume experienced and any such volumes that might be immediately/have been recently visited, doing this at a fine enough granularity to break any efforts at testing whether or not it is real wouldn't require every particle and every event and every possible interaction and so forth to be modeled at the same resolution.

Most importantly, said simulation of the trip/local star environment will never begin to approach the energy expenditures involved in actually flinging a lump of matter--even one as perfectly condensed into a self-aware probe as it gets, much less one containing plumbing and air cleaning for a single fragile ape--from here to the actual star in question.
It would still require... a lot of computronium to accurately simulate an entire solar system, much less a universe.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on September 20, 2018, 05:29:21 am
Full universe at the scale we think of as "human-ish" would need fudging at the microscale and macroscale, full universe at the microscale is no doubt beyond any sort of efforts which don't include a line stating "a wizard does something here" to cover problems like the sim having to accurately sim the particles which need to accurately sim the sim simming the particles, sim sim salabim!

It takes a whole fuckload less computronium to reproduce exactly what you determine to be the real universe around you, your local neighborhood, your view of the internet, of distant objects, other people, etc, but I'm pretty sure it would take less energy and use up less matter doing that than you would need to actually send yourself over to just the next closest stars, never mind anything much further out.

I mean, assuming we're not allowing flight plans like "coast on a trickle of laser energy from solar arrays on mercury until we hit a fraction of a 1% of the speed of light and reach our destination so far in the future that it is no longer the closest star and hasn't been for kiloyears" which would be much cheaper in terms of energy/matter costs.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 20, 2018, 06:25:23 am
In fact, there's a short story I recall reading online not so long ago that uses this "it's turtles all the way down" idea, where all-but-one all-but-one of the chain of 'realities' simulating themselves are shown to be merely recursive simulations (although where we start isn't that one that isn't in the middle of a chain), but I can't easily find it right now.

There's this: https://qntm.org/responsibility
Exactly the one I mean (with realisation I hadn't recalled it perfectly, but good enough to know that it is the one I meant).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: scourge728 on September 20, 2018, 06:31:27 am
Very few people seem to realize the real problem with simming a universe inside a sim, that being the first sim needs to simulate that 3rd one as well, the farther you go, the worse it gets, until eventually the real universe can no longer keep up with the demand, and the system breaks
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 20, 2018, 06:38:41 am
I mean, assuming we're not allowing flight plans like "coast on a trickle of laser energy from solar arrays on mercury until we hit a fraction of a 1% of the speed of light and reach our destination so far in the future that it is no longer the closest star and hasn't been for kiloyears" which would be much cheaper in terms of energy/matter costs.
Helpful diagram for planning..?
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
Very few people seem to realize the real problem with simming a universe inside a sim, that being the first sim needs to simulate that 3rd one as well, the farther you go, the worse it gets, until eventually the real universe can no longer keep up with the demand, and the system breaks
Depends. Maybe the "ultimate universe simulator" is an ultra-quine (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quine_(computing))?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on September 20, 2018, 06:41:25 am
Yeah, that story is a fun romp once you set aside the hopes of it being some mind-breaking crunchy hard Baxter-esque "what if this one thing about the lasts of physics were a little different" exploration.
I mean, assuming we're not allowing flight plans like "coast on a trickle of laser energy from solar arrays on mercury until we hit a fraction of a 1% of the speed of light and reach our destination so far in the future that it is no longer the closest star and hasn't been for kiloyears" which would be much cheaper in terms of energy/matter costs.
Helpful diagram for planning..?
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
That is one of the various charts that popped into my head while I was pondering slowboating it out to a nearby star, yup.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on September 20, 2018, 06:53:14 am
You would also have to set your vector of approach such that you cross paths with your destination, since your destination is moving relative to you, and not in a vector that enhances interception. (meaning, when you set out, you would be pointed toward black empty space.)

Sadly, the laws of physics seem hell bent on telling you that "slow boating it" is the only way you are gonna get there. :(
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 20, 2018, 08:10:01 am
Sadly, the laws of physics seem hell bent on telling you that "slow boating it" is the only way you are gonna get there. :(
Or you could "fast moon it" (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space:_1999)!

;)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on September 20, 2018, 10:40:33 am
Really, industry-wise I'm just looking forward to wholesale asteroid mining.

Considering a singe platinum-rich asteroid of average size contains more platinum than is found on earth, and most are iron- or nickel- rich, there's plenty of material in space to stop mining on earth. I'd say completely but considering all that slave labor we use down here in mines it'll probably continue happening for a while yet.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on September 20, 2018, 10:41:26 am
Well, that and shipping bulk metal down to Earth isn't economical.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on September 20, 2018, 11:47:22 am
It's very economical so long as you don't care about anything within a fifty-mile radius of the delivery zone.

Or, you know, anything on the entire surface of the planet, if you want to deliver metals in EXTREME bulk.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on September 20, 2018, 11:55:02 am
And why is that? Did we invent a magical teleporter to instantly move rocks from the Belt to Earth when I wasn't looking, or are we still in a world where delta-v has to be provided by the expenditure of reaction mass?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on September 20, 2018, 12:22:03 pm
It's not as if the asteroids don't contain ice which can be used to create rocket fuel on-site to get back home.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on September 20, 2018, 12:37:42 pm
It's not as if the asteroids don't contain ice which can be used to create rocket fuel on-site to get back home.

Works great in Kerbal Space Program, I grant you, but LH2/LOX has significant cryogenic boiloff problems at these distances, to say nothing of hydrogen's propensity to simply leak through metal. Having to carry along zero boiloff hydrogen tanks as well as the additional power generation capacity to run the electrolyzer adds to mass, and everything in space has a limited lifetime before micrometeroid impacts sandblast it into uselessness so we can't amortize the additional launch costs indefinitely.

It's well within the realm of possibility given significant improvements to liquid fuel handling, but the technical obstacles to ISRU are formidable.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Parsely on September 20, 2018, 12:41:01 pm
Relevant Isaac Arthur video. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3-3DjxhGaUg&vl=en)

He argues that we have plenty of rock on Earth, and therefore if Earthnoids import metals it would be in a refined form, not as raw ore (except maybe in early days when you might need to bring it to a moon or LEO for refining ops). His argument shows up around 9:24 in the video. He also talks about profit and legality.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RadtheCad on September 20, 2018, 12:52:08 pm
Exactly the one I mean (with realisation I hadn't recalled it perfectly, but good enough to know that it is the one I meant).

qntm.org's a gem.  You should read Ra if you haven't already.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on September 20, 2018, 12:54:56 pm
I quite like how all the talk is "We can't do it now so it probably won't be feasible in the future". I'm not saying let's get on it right this second that's crazy.

But the fantastic surplus of earth-rare metals and glut of even common earth metals means it's a resource which shouldn't be overlook, especially considering that by doing so will help conservation efforts in every location where we mine (read: everywhere)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on September 20, 2018, 01:03:51 pm
Relevant Isaac Arthur video. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3-3DjxhGaUg&vl=en)

He argues that we have plenty of rock on Earth, and therefore if Earthnoids import metals it would be in a refined form, not as raw ore (except maybe in early days when you might need to bring it to a moon or LEO for refining ops). His argument shows up around 9:24 in the video. He also talks about profit and legality.

Even if it's in refined form (which would be more likely since it's a step that they can do on site or in Earth Orbit), they still have to get it down to the surface somehow. Most sci-fi methods either involve a transatmospheric craft that can land and take off on it's own power (whether a freighter landing or smaller transport shuttles going from orbit and back) or some kind of capture mechanism (whether guiding down the ship or grabbing the cargo itself). Space elevators are another option too.

Transatmospheric craft would be the most viable with today's technology and arguably the easiest and safest way to do it.

I quite like how all the talk is "We can't do it now so it probably won't be feasible in the future". I'm not saying let's get on it right this second that's crazy.

But the fantastic surplus of earth-rare metals and glut of even common earth metals means it's a resource which shouldn't be overlook, especially considering that by doing so will help conservation efforts in every location where we mine (read: everywhere)

Oh definetly, though it'll take time and better technology before it happens. Right now though, it's not too hard to send a testbed mining rig up there, so, I wouldn't be surprised if there were at least a few projects in the works somewhere to do something like that.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on September 20, 2018, 01:05:20 pm
There is at least one business actively looking into getting up there as we speak.

Of course it is based in good ol' capitalistic US of A
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on September 20, 2018, 01:07:23 pm
There is at least one business actively looking into getting up there as we speak.

You mean Planetary Resources? They're not doing too well (https://www.geekwire.com/2018/planetary-resources-auction/).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 20, 2018, 01:19:29 pm
The main advantage (apart from any advantages to microgravity processing in, say, the crystal-growth stages and solar-powering absent diurnal cycles/weather, but likely need to centrifuge or get around the Earth-type slag-floating stages usually practiced in a ore refinement) is getting masses of product together intended for use outside the depths of Earth's gravity well. Delta-Vs needed to get to LEO from the asteroid belt might be not insignificant or without other issues, but it might yet compare well to trying to ground-launch such large things (and maybe not massive, if mostly framework, but certainly difficult to fairing-up to punch out through the atmosphere atop a BDR), and the further out of the well your site-customer wants the modules then the more the equation swings towards out-sourced manufacture against terran-factories and upwards deliveries.

Once you have bootstrapped the off-world manufacturing base from the first-of-the-last upward-bound componemts, maybe...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on September 20, 2018, 01:33:33 pm
Yeah, that's kind of the perennial problem with space manufacturing: once you have something you need in space, a number of industries become viable to move to space to more economically supply that thing, but it's difficult to find something that it's economically favorable to manufacture in space in the first place.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on September 20, 2018, 01:48:15 pm
It's also partly a demand problem, the only 'demand' are the astronauts on the space station, but in all, it's really a bootstrapping problem because you have to get the first bits started.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on September 20, 2018, 08:20:20 pm
Regarding the simulation bit, you don't need to simulate this universe. Hell, I'd say that any self-simulation will be inherently larger/slower; otherwise you have some serious fundamental issues with notions of computing, because you'd get improvements through self-simulation resulting in infinite improvement.

The key is to not simulate our universe, but to simulate a universe which occupies a complexity class that can be simulated from our own universe in some sub-linear form. Remember, our universe is BQP. Strip out quantum physics and we're squarely in P. We know, naturally, that P is a strict subset of BQP (Shor's algorithm, etc.); all that we have to do is properly constrain this hypothetical universe such that it maximizes the power that BQP has over P. Should be easy to make it sub-linear that way.

In short, simulating our universe from within our universe is stupid because self-simulation is not sub-linear in performance and size. Rather, we need to simulate universes that occupy a lower complexity class than our current universe. Only then is it feasible.

From that point of view it could be argued that things like the uncertainty principle and seeming quantum randomness could in fact be simulation short-cuts that we weren't meant to notice. The uncertainty principle links pairs of variables together. That could just be because they're like floating point numbers which share the same information-space for two separate things, shifting the data-space around based on which one matters at that moment.

The same with the quantum observer effect. Things act differently if you look too closely. That could be because of some unknown quantum-woo effect or it could be a byproduct of lazy simulation all the same. Wave/particle duality could just be because if things aren't closely observed by other particles they are modeled as a probability-function (which we inside the simulation interpret as "waves"), which allows you to skimp on modeling completely, but if they're looked at, you need to decide where in the probability they actually are.

And if you think about it, the wave/particle duality and observer effect is a paradox. If the laws of physics are correct, then no particle can be "not observed" for any measurable length of time, since the forces of nature should be operating all the time: electromagnetic, weak, strong and gravity forces should constantly be tugging at all fellow particles, thus mean they're always observed and cannot ever be a "wave". So, there has to be some cut-off below which they're just actively ignoring physical forces or approximating them in a static way. Otherwise, they'd constantly have their waveforms collapsed due to graviton interference.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on September 20, 2018, 09:03:26 pm
snip
snip
http://www.smbc-comics.com/comic/2012-02-29
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: KittyTac on September 20, 2018, 10:49:32 pm
I'm pretty sure that the universe "stack" is not a stack, but rather a tree. There is nothing stopping a civilization from creating multiple simulations.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on September 21, 2018, 01:26:49 am
A better way to put it, is that a universe that has systemic inconsistency, would not be able to reliably sustain a consistent simulation. (as the systemic inconsistency would be, naturally, systemic)

Now, things can be fully consistent, and not be quantum.  The existence of discrete quanta suggests some level of complexity has been removed, for ease of computation. :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on September 21, 2018, 01:59:11 am
There is a lot of room down at the bottom end of the time distance scales which nobody would ever notice if it was trimmed. It's one of the first areas you trim to reasonably simulate a volume of spacetime anyways, as long as the behavior expected is present then you need rather ridiculous contraptions to start probing at the hard limits down there.

Even the LHC doesn't begin to approach the actual limits on how small a distance or short an interval of time can be. Last I checked we're still closer to the upper observational limits (we can't observe something bigger than the universe for longer than it has existed, at least not directly) though we might feel crushed into insignificance by the scale of structures like galaxy filaments and supercluster walls and shit... when you zoom down from there to here, and then keep going down to the LHC scales, you're still gonna be spinning that scroll wheel to keep zooming in for a lot longer than you would probably expect before it stops.

Whoever optimized this universe did a shitty job or they've literally got processor power falling out of their ass and in fact so many spare cycles that it is a major crisis so they need to wastefully spend them running this unnecessarily finely grained simulation?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on September 21, 2018, 02:11:04 am
There's a problem with that premise.

The simulation could be run on an "Analog computer".
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Analog_computer

The analog computer is able to process a modelled universe "inexpensively", because it forces the parent universe to perform the computations, via raw physics.  This is especially true of a universe that is not quantum. (EG, all forces and measures are infinitely sub divisible, but are still fully consistent.)

By necessity, the simulated universe will be less complex, and will have the total spectrum "smashed" by the constraints of the computer environment.  The resulting degree of quantum limitation would be imposed by the selection of components of the analog computer.  (EG, the thresholds over which the analog computer performs true-false computation)

The use of digital computers is NOT a requirement for the simulation theory. :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on September 21, 2018, 11:59:31 am
Ok so here's a thought.

If there is a simulation tree/stack, then eventually each simulation will be identical to the one that preceded it -- that's the only stable state. Because the identical states are literally infinite, then all of the previous versions, being finite, are impossibly rare. Even if it takes a googleplex iterations to reach the point where each simulated universe is identical to its superior universe, then the infinite identical ones outnumber them infinitely.

In such a universe, there is only an infintesmal chance that we exist in a unique universe. We are certainly somewhere in that infinite stack of identical universes.

We can prove that false, however, if we ourselves cannot make an identical universe to this one. By definition, if we can't simulate this universe, the identical universe "above" us couldn't have created ours.

So, can we simulate our own universe? It doesn't look very likely. (https://cosmosmagazine.com/physics/physicists-find-we-re-not-living-in-a-computer-simulation)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on September 21, 2018, 01:15:44 pm
If there is a simulation tree/stack, then eventually each simulation will be identical to the one that preceded it -- that's the only stable state.

How? By what mechanism must this be true? If we run a simulation in our own universe on hardware there is no requirement that eventually the simulation will turn into a copy of our universe.

What if we model different rules of physics than our real universe, for a start? Any race running a simulation will make alterations to the simulation vs reality, because if they didn't intend to make any alterations, then they could just more easily do a real-world experiment instead of making a simulation.

EDIT: also, consider something like a very large DF dwarfputer capable of running a universe-simulation because you've allocated so much memory to it, then you simulate a complex universe inside the Dwarfputer. This shows that containing universes don't need to be more complex, the complexity of modeling can go up and down as layers rise and fall. The Dwarfputer just runs very slowly.

This suggests other things you can do: you can simulate a bigger universe by trading off speed for memory. You compress the data, so that more actually fits in. In fact, that's one end-olf-the-universe scenario I've heard. If things get to the point where energy density is too low to keep people alive, but you can run computing devices - very slowly - but on residual energy such as virtual particles / vacuum energy, then you could create a whole new universe as a simulation. The outer-universe computing would be horribly slow, but the subjective internal rate of time would appear normal. If the outer computing devices keep slowing down for infinity, then this is still sufficient to model infinite more useful living time in the inner simulation.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on September 23, 2018, 12:49:06 am
Any universe that can be simulated has rules that can be used to emulate a second-iteration simulation -- and a simulation that doesn't include sufficient rules to simulate a sub-universe is so simple that it's hardly a "universe."

So nesting is possible, and infinitely possible, since each universe can simulate at least a similar universe.

The reason we know it eventually becomes an infinite series of identical universes is because no other stable state is possible, with the trivial exception of a cyclical set where Universe A simulates universe B simulates universe A and so on. It might have billions of iterations but it's still an infinite identical number of universes being simulated.

Note that each subsequent iteration might be slower than the last; there's no reason the believe that the universes are simultaneous.

But again, our rules seem to rule out simulation because there is behavior that is both rule-based and too complicated to simulate efficiently, as above.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on September 23, 2018, 01:38:21 am
61st from the bottom! (http://www.smbc-comics.com/comic/2012-02-29)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on September 23, 2018, 01:47:12 am
61st from the bottom! (http://www.smbc-comics.com/comic/2012-02-29)

Already posted.

snip
snip
http://www.smbc-comics.com/comic/2012-02-29
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: KittyTac on September 23, 2018, 01:48:00 am
Here's the problem with generating an universe exactly like ours, but without the little parts: the little parts are required in the early stages.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on September 23, 2018, 01:59:08 am
We're also missing the fact that any simulated universe is not required to be "less complex" by any degree, just smaller. For example, you could simulate the Earth in full detail with enough processing power. You can simulate physics as complex or even more complex than the current universe, but the resultant universe will be smaller*. So, it's meaningless to ask whether our universe could "fit" inside another universe's simulation without knowing how big the outer universe even is.

* at least, smaller in total information content, not necessarily perceived spatial size. if you had completely continuous analog matter to work with, you could in theory construct a vector-processor capable of doing infinity operations per second (since each atom effectively has an infinite number of bits of precision in it's position, momemtum and other values), thus an outer-outer universe could model infinitely large universes in a finite computing space.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on September 23, 2018, 02:06:27 am
It has to be less complex in some capacity, otherwise you run smack into complexity theory.


Either you simulate less material with a smaller total volume, or you simulate a universe with simplified physics, and fudge it so that the same higher-order outcomes happen.


Either way, you are making a less complex universe.  The only way to run a 100% parity copy of a universe, is to devote 100% of the parent universe to run it natively. (EG, you re-arrange an identical universe so that it perfectly matches, then let it go.)

This is because the native state of the universe is already its most efficient simulation of its state.  (well, assuming false vacuum and pals are not true anyway.)

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on September 23, 2018, 02:08:57 am
Not if you have matter or values within matter that are divisible in some countably-infinite way. 50% of infinity is still infinity.

EDIT: for example if you take a real-number value you can encode countably-infinite other real-number values into the same space that the one number takes. A single real-number variable contains no more data than an infinite collection of real-number variables. That's why the outcome is different if you assume that the ultimate outer universe is purely analog.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on September 23, 2018, 02:19:36 am
I brought that up when I mentioned that an analog computer could be used to perform the simulation.  However, it still has to be less complex, because then you run into the caveats and gotchas of the materials present in the parent universe.  (what you can theoretically do, and what you can actually do reliably, are not the same thing.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sirus on September 24, 2018, 05:10:51 pm
Hate to break up the discussion, but has anyone in this thread mentioned or noticed that the Japanese have landed some probes on an asteroid and have gotten back some pictures? Because that's pretty cool.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on September 24, 2018, 05:11:46 pm
Hey, the Bay has been down since that happened, so, shush, you :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sirus on September 24, 2018, 05:12:58 pm
I thought that went down before the forum went poof. My bad.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on September 24, 2018, 05:14:56 pm
Not long before, I think.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 24, 2018, 06:08:23 pm
Here's the problem with generating an universe exactly like ours, but without the little parts: the little parts are required in the early stages.
Hand-wave it away by programming in a fast early expansion, maybe, under the cover of universal opacity? Sure, it might leave a few data artefacts from the small seed structure that translates across the entire later universe, but who within your simlated universe is going to notice all those anomalies, literally across the entire sky?

(Also, you can probably poke into the data stack and housekeep away almost half of the matter produced from the original energy, so that it doesn't just all annihilate back into energy again. Fascinating to watch, but really slows the FPS down and then you miss out on all the more interesting stuff in your UniverseGen.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 11, 2018, 02:16:06 pm
Up-goer ten, From the land of the reds, did not go as far as it should have. They won't go to space today. (https://www.space.com/42097-soyuz-rocket-launch-failure-expedition-57-crew.html) (They may go another day. On a different up-goer.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: x2yzh9 on October 12, 2018, 12:57:37 pm
Okay, so I've got a legitimate question here-
While the human brain doesn't adapt to sudden G forces, more really dealing with it in a gradual capacity, how would we as humans operate something that could travel near or at the speed of light? Wouldn't we basically become gradually more concentrated forms of energy, rather than mass? And if so, could that hypothetically be the counter-balance measure inherently needed for space travel? As isaac newton said, for every action there is an equal and opposite reaction, so where exactly lies the danger? Is it moreso in the fact that of what we do know on earth we couldn't survive that kind of acceleration at the rate of which it was going, but what if in zero-G this just means we traverse in accelerating forms of energy assuming that x is being a near-FTL or FTL starship, wouldn't Y be the universes natural way of allowing that to happen? Because(and a lot of this may be wrong. please correct me, as this is the field I'm interested in) in quantum superpositioning and quantum mechanics we can see with the most simplest of experiences that change happens due to observance. So if we figured out predictive quantum mechanics-meaning we can know for sure x is where x is in the positioning, so that must mean y is stable. Does any of this make sense, and if it does, how could it apply to space?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on October 12, 2018, 01:30:18 pm
Acceleration is not velocity. At this very moment you're travelling at nearly the speed of light w/r to some random particle of cosmic rays, and you're doing just fine.

Seriously, dude. If you're interested in how the world works, pick up a physics textbook and start working through problems. There's no shortcuts to understanding, but what you learn trumps any random flight of fancy.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on October 12, 2018, 01:33:59 pm
I think you need to break up the brain-murder paragraph there a little bit, because it seems to wander from topic to topic and is very difficult to parse.

However, as far as becoming "energy"...I don't believe so. We obviously haven't ever tested it, but so far as we know the only thing that will happen is that, as you approach the speed of light, the energy you try to invest into motion instead goes into increasing your mass...you will not notice this except for the spaceship not accelerating as fast as it should.

You don't turn into energy and that has nothing to do with how you might respond to changes of acceleration near light speed.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Caz on October 12, 2018, 01:51:18 pm
Okay, so I've got a legitimate question here-
While the human brain doesn't adapt to sudden G forces, more really dealing with it in a gradual capacity, how would we as humans operate something that could travel near or at the speed of light?

By not accelerating past whatever is too dangerous for humans.

Wouldn't we basically become gradually more concentrated forms of energy, rather than mass?

...No.

And if so, could that hypothetically be the counter-balance measure inherently needed for space travel? As isaac newton said, for every action there is an equal and opposite reaction, so where exactly lies the danger? Is it moreso in the fact that of what we do know on earth we couldn't survive that kind of acceleration at the rate of which it was going, but what if in zero-G this just means we traverse in accelerating forms of energy assuming that x is being a near-FTL or FTL starship, wouldn't Y be the universes natural way of allowing that to happen?

This paragraph makes no sense to me.

Because(and a lot of this may be wrong. please correct me, as this is the field I'm interested in) in quantum superpositioning and quantum mechanics we can see with the most simplest of experiences that change happens due to observance. So if we figured out predictive quantum mechanics-meaning we can know for sure x is where x is in the positioning, so that must mean y is stable. Does any of this make sense, and if it does, how could it apply to space?

WTF does that have to do with the acceleration of spaceships?


Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Magistrum on October 12, 2018, 01:56:20 pm
Oh, I thought it was a copypasta, it flew all over the place. Can't find it anywhere tough.
Yeah, there's not much difficulty in achieving lightspeed travel (except for maybe some optics computing problems, but I think it can be adjusted for.) It just takes a good amount of time to accelerate to a good fraction of light speed.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on October 12, 2018, 02:00:51 pm
My understanding is that the phrase "turn into energy" doesn't quite make sense, because you already are made of energy, in the form of matter.

But yeah, most of the weird shit from moving at relativistic speeds comes from accelerating, not from simply having a high velocity. Of course, if you then run into anything that doesn't have a similar velocity, things get weird again.


...I've never taken a formal physics class. My knowledge all comes from high school chemistry, youtube videos, and kerbal space program. :v
The world mostly makes sense to me down to electrons and up to escape velocity, and past that it's filed away as "weird stuff" by my brain.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: x2yzh9 on October 12, 2018, 02:23:45 pm
Yea, my post most definitely came off as copypasta. I mean, in my own brain even it was word spaghetti. Really what I was getting at was a hypothetical, but yes, you are right, I should really go to school to learn this stuff in a concrete definition if I'm going to be trying to postulate such an idea. It's just my form of problem-solving inherently was probably what made the post I made sound illogical. I have a really odd-thinking brain when it comes to stuff like this.
   obviously as you accelerate towards the speed of light you become more energy than mass(right?) so I figured the universe would have an equal countermeasure, but to think it would accomodate biological beings may be naive, yes.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GiglameshDespair on October 12, 2018, 02:28:07 pm
   obviously as you accelerate towards the speed of light you become more energy than mass(right?)
No
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on October 12, 2018, 05:08:38 pm
You do not turn into energy. At all. Ever. End of story.

HOWEVER: The energy you invest in attempting to accelerate yourself (i.e., firing a rocket to accelerate) starts increasing your mass. This makes you accelerate slower...and slower...and slower, approaching infinity as you approach the speed of light. You can never reach the speed of light because of this. It's a complicated topic and there's no replacement for learning it yourself, from someone more knowledgeable than a bunch of forumgoers.

Anyway, I'd suggest looking through some books and possibly looking for the TV series (one season) Cosmos: A Spacetime Odyssey. It's a tour through modern science with Neil deGrasse Tyson and it covers relativity in a couple places IIRC, as well as pretty much every other topic of interest in modern science.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on October 12, 2018, 08:48:11 pm
Yup, at university a professor got us interested in calculus by using a sci-fi premise, were acceleration of a spaceship towards the speed of light is actually a limit that tends to infinite.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on October 12, 2018, 08:56:00 pm
You do not turn into energy. At all. Ever. End of story.

HOWEVER: The energy you invest in attempting to accelerate yourself (i.e., firing a rocket to accelerate) starts increasing your mass. This makes you accelerate slower...and slower...and slower, approaching infinity as you approach the speed of light. You can never reach the speed of light because of this. It's a complicated topic and there's no replacement for learning it yourself, from someone more knowledgeable than a bunch of forumgoers.

Anyway, I'd suggest looking through some books and possibly looking for the TV series (one season) Cosmos: A Spacetime Odyssey. It's a tour through modern science with Neil deGrasse Tyson and it covers relativity in a couple places IIRC, as well as pretty much every other topic of interest in modern science.

If you collide with anything at those speeds though, a good chunk of you will be transformed into energy, think particle colliders. Not that there'd be anything left of you to care anyway.

Also, that reminds me a bit of Zeno's Paradox (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zeno%27s_paradoxes#Achilles_and_the_tortoise), no matter how hard you try, you never QUITE get to the speed of light. Probably the wrong application of zenos paradox though. Edit: Yeah, definetly the wrong application of it, but as a visual, it kind of works doesn't it? The visual of Achillies never quite catching up to the tortoise anyway.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on October 12, 2018, 09:13:14 pm
Yes yes yes I am aware and thought of that loophole (release of your mass-energy into just plain energy in a collision or other catastrophic event) immediately after posting it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on October 12, 2018, 10:09:22 pm
Your brain straight up ignores all sorts of different motion.

Locate the sun, turn and face south and point at the sun with your left hand, then point your right hand straight out from your shoulder sideways. You're hauling ass that way at around 100,000 kph while the whole solar system plows through the galaxy tipped up so we're kinda heading towards Vega last I checked at something like 720,000 kph and then we can go into our motion through the Laniakea Supercluster (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rENyyRwxpHo) or relative to the microwave background.

You aren't aware of any of your motion within those different frames of reference, are you?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: KittyTac on October 12, 2018, 10:15:46 pm
Here's the problem with generating an universe exactly like ours, but without the little parts: the little parts are required in the early stages.
Hand-wave it away by programming in a fast early expansion, maybe, under the cover of universal opacity? Sure, it might leave a few data artefacts from the small seed structure that translates across the entire later universe, but who within your simlated universe is going to notice all those anomalies, literally across the entire sky?

(Also, you can probably poke into the data stack and housekeep away almost half of the matter produced from the original energy, so that it doesn't just all annihilate back into energy again. Fascinating to watch, but really slows the FPS down and then you miss out on all the more interesting stuff in your UniverseGen.)
However, due to the uncertainty principle, our universe already does not have the little parts. We still cannot simulate it, due to the ridiculous amount of memory and processing power required. It will not be doable, ever, due to the simple fact that a system cannot simulate an identical system without it taking up 100% of the system.

We could simulate a simpler universe, though, and we can assume that whoever is simulating ours is in a much more complex 'verse.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on October 12, 2018, 10:24:52 pm
Your brain straight up ignores all sorts of different motion.

Locate the sun, turn and face south and point at the sun with your left hand, then point your right hand straight out from your shoulder sideways. You're hauling ass that way at around 100,000 kph while the whole solar system plows through the galaxy tipped up so we're kinda heading towards Vega last I checked at something like 720,000 kph and then we can go into our motion through the Laniakea Supercluster (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rENyyRwxpHo) or relative to the microwave background.

You aren't aware of any of your motion within those different frames of reference, are you?

Only because all of those things are so vast and so far away that we can't tell the difference on our short tiny timescales.

In fact, it would take 10s or 100s of thousands of years before the current constellations become no longer recognizeable due to the movement of stars relative to each other (and the chance of maybe one going nova/supernova) and from our perspective. The constellations are certainly slightly different from where they were 2,000 or 3,000 years ago, but they'd still be recognizeable to an ancient Greek.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on October 12, 2018, 11:12:48 pm
There's also this thing called frame-dragging, and the whole situation with special relativity that enables it.

while the solar system is whipping around Sagitarius A at some absurd velocity, and the earth is itself whipping around the sun at some other velocity, and then on top of it all, is spinning around its axis AND precessing, we don't really experience all those changes in effective velocity (for instance, as we go retrograde to galactic rotation during part of the year relative to the sun) because of those things.  We only experience these relative to the earth's frame.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on October 12, 2018, 11:15:20 pm
You go around the Sun every year and I left out that you're doing up to a grand kph east as the planet spins, none of these motions stand out because your brain developed in a situation where zeroing them out is useful. Being able to counter for the local drop of a thrown spear due to gravity is useful, being able to identify any of the tiny influences it may feel from the Pisces Complex on our Supercluster is not.

Frame dragging is applicable when you're actually rotating with a body, we're not rotating with Sag A* like that.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: smjjames on October 12, 2018, 11:18:31 pm
You'd need a hell of a sensitive biological instrument in order to sense those tiny influences in the first place (to the point where you'd have to engineer it, it would never evolve on it's own). You can't zero something out that you aren't sensing in the first place.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on October 12, 2018, 11:33:13 pm
You go around the Sun every year and I left out that you're doing up to a grand kph east as the planet spins, none of these motions stand out because your brain developed in a situation where zeroing them out is useful. Being able to counter for the local drop of a thrown spear due to gravity is useful, being able to identify any of the tiny influences it may feel from the Pisces Complex on our Supercluster is not.

Frame dragging is applicable when you're actually rotating with a body, we're not rotating with Sag A* like that.

I should clarify--- Our effective sense of velocity change is tied strongly to our interaction with the earth, and its rotating reference frame.  We dont and likely would not experience a significant difference in perception if the solar system sped up or slowed down on its multi-millions of years long orbit around galactic center. (Again, relative to the sun as a reference velocity, we speed up and slow down that way every year-- Likewise, we do not notice any changes in G-force as the earth gets closer to the sun (ever so slightly) every year either.)

We dont even appreciably notice the change in effective G force from the moon orbiting over-head, except that it causes tides, either-- so a fair amount of biological damping on sensory perception is quite evident as well.

I was just pointing out that at least some of the high velocity changes our planet undergoes are imperceptible to us, because of our being part of earth's reference frame.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 13, 2018, 03:35:46 am
Your brain straight up ignores all sorts of different motion.

Locate the sun, turn and face south and point at the sun with your left hand, then point your right hand straight out from your shoulder sideways.
...now spin counterclockwise (https://xkcd.com/162/).  Wheee (https://xkcd.com/815/)eeee! (http://time.com/3211142/xkcd-randall-munroe-what-if-book/)

(AAAAAAA (https://xkcd.com/1001/)!!)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: ChairmanPoo on October 21, 2018, 02:52:18 pm
Oh, I thought it was a copypasta, it flew all over the place. Can't find it anywhere tough.
Yeah, there's not much difficulty in achieving lightspeed travel (except for maybe some optics computing problems, but I think it can be adjusted for.) It just takes a good amount of time to accelerate to a good fraction of light speed.
If it wasnt copypasta, it should be. Repost it elsewhere!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on November 02, 2018, 11:26:05 am
The NASAsphere of probes and scopes is dwindling.

Just in the last week, NASA has confirmed that Kepler is dead (https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/kepler/main/index.html), Dawn is dead (https://dawn.jpl.nasa.gov/), and Opportunity may be buried (https://mars.nasa.gov/news/8364/update-on-opportunity-rover-recovery-efforts/).  :'(
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Loud Whispers on November 02, 2018, 11:47:45 am
The NASAsphere of probes and scopes is dwindling.

Just in the last week, NASA has confirmed that Kepler is dead (https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/kepler/main/index.html), Dawn is dead (https://dawn.jpl.nasa.gov/), and Opportunity may be buried (https://mars.nasa.gov/news/8364/update-on-opportunity-rover-recovery-efforts/).  :'(
F
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on November 02, 2018, 04:59:21 pm
Opportunity may be buried (https://mars.nasa.gov/news/8364/update-on-opportunity-rover-recovery-efforts/).  :'(
Just biding its time. Just biding its time... (https://xkcd.com/1504/)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Karnewarrior on November 20, 2018, 09:50:38 pm
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ibByF9XPAPg
Hello. This is Humanity, speaking to ourselves, or whoever else may be listening...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Loud Whispers on November 21, 2018, 08:37:03 am
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ibByF9XPAPg
Hello. This is Humanity, speaking to ourselves, or whoever else may be listening...
Thanks for sharing that. I felt a rare moment of pride for our species: This was us, in this moment of time.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GPeter on November 21, 2018, 09:21:23 am
Hello everyone, I'm intrigued about how haven't I found this post before! I've always loved this space stuff and everything ot the point that I want to take it as my career. But here in Brazil it is quite difficult, not only by the lack of colleges that teach aerospace engineering, but also because the way we get into college (to understand that, check the spoiler below)



Right now I'm waiting for the results, so... Wish me luck everyone!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Loud Whispers on November 21, 2018, 09:35:04 am
STRIKE THE EARTH GPETER
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on November 21, 2018, 09:36:39 am
Desejo-lhe boa sorte, mas alguém inteligente o bastante para guiar os anões provavelmente não precisa disso.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Teneb on November 21, 2018, 09:38:45 am
ENEM is easy. "Hard Sciences" university teachers are hard.

Because they don't want to be teaching in the first place.

Also because only some of them speak portuguese.

And only some of those bother to actually speak it.


No I don't have anything against those areas, why do you ask?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GPeter on November 21, 2018, 11:20:13 am
Desejo-lhe boa sorte, mas alguém inteligente o bastante para guiar os anões provavelmente não precisa disso.
Translation for those interested: I wish you good luck, though someone smart enough to guide the dwarves might not need it.

E quem disse que eu sei guiar os anões? Vlw msm assim! :'(
And who said I can guide the dwarves? Thanks anyways :'(


ENEM is easy. "Hard Sciences" university teachers are hard.

Because they don't want to be teaching in the first place.

Also because only some of them speak portuguese.

And only some of those bother to actually speak it.


No I don't have anything against those areas, why do you ask?

Everyone keeps saying that to me... I wonder how Am I gonna do when I get there... I usually have good relationships with my teachers! There was one that I even got to make out with her! Honestly I don't know how that happened... It just happened
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Teneb on November 21, 2018, 01:07:22 pm
Everyone keeps saying that to me... I wonder how Am I gonna do when I get there... I usually have good relationships with my teachers!
Basic schooling teachers tend to care, most of the time.

There was one that I even got to make out with her! Honestly I don't know how that happened... It just happened
But this is not a good thing in any way shape or form. Just... no.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GPeter on November 21, 2018, 02:09:34 pm
There was one that I even got to make out with her! Honestly I don't know how that happened... It just happened
But this is not a good thing in any way shape or form. Just... no.

She was young. Don't worry, I wasn't desperate for grades. And also, It was on the Goodbye party so technically, she wasn't my teacher anymore... but still, I don't know how it happened, I was blackout drunk...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Teneb on November 21, 2018, 02:34:02 pm
There was one that I even got to make out with her! Honestly I don't know how that happened... It just happened
But this is not a good thing in any way shape or form. Just... no.

She was young. Don't worry, I wasn't desperate for grades. And also, It was on the Goodbye party so technically, she wasn't my teacher anymore... but still, I don't know how it happened, I was blackout drunk...
Age doesn't matter. Teachers and students getting intimate is not ok an is a terrible breach of professionalism.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GPeter on November 21, 2018, 03:37:21 pm
There was one that I even got to make out with her! Honestly I don't know how that happened... It just happened
But this is not a good thing in any way shape or form. Just... no.

She was young. Don't worry, I wasn't desperate for grades. And also, It was on the Goodbye party so technically, she wasn't my teacher anymore... but still, I don't know how it happened, I was blackout drunk...
Age doesn't matter. Teachers and students getting intimate is not ok an is a terrible breach of professionalism.

I would agree with that, but I was blackout drunk so I don't remember anything. My consciousness is clear
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on November 21, 2018, 03:48:11 pm
And it sounds like the point that it was happening was after the teacher/student relationship was officially over.

IN SPACE NEWS! Our little robot geologist makes touchdown in a few day!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GPeter on November 21, 2018, 03:50:28 pm
And it sounds like the point that it was happening was after the teacher/student relationship was officially over.

It was indeed.

IN SPACE NEWS! Our little robot geologist makes touchdown in a few day!

Any links to the full story? Haven't heard of anything recently with so much studying...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on November 21, 2018, 03:59:15 pm
Here we are! (https://mars.nasa.gov/insight/timeline/landing/summary/) Looks like it's set for the 26th
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sirus on November 21, 2018, 04:56:03 pm
Here we are! (https://mars.nasa.gov/insight/timeline/landing/summary/) Looks like it's set for the 26th
Hella cool. I didn't even know about this particular mission.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Kagus on November 22, 2018, 05:00:09 am
Quote
InSight, short for Interior Exploration using Seismic Investigations, Geodesy and Heat Transport
Someone put a lot of time and effort into that acronym.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on November 22, 2018, 05:22:56 am
Quote
InSight, short for Interior Exploration using Seismic Investigations, Geodesy and Heat Transport
Someone put a lot of time and effort into that acronym.
There are worse offenders in the industry. E.g. OSIRIS-REx, or H0LiCOW.
I think the acronymisation trend might have started as a marketing trick to help with public outreach and/or acquiring funding. By now they're probably just trolling.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Mech#4 on November 23, 2018, 08:29:00 pm
Quote
InSight, short for Interior Exploration using Seismic Investigations, Geodesy and Heat Transport
Someone put a lot of time and effort into that acronym.
There are worse offenders in the industry. E.g. OSIRIS-REx, or H0LiCOW.
I think the acronymisation trend might have started as a marketing trick to help with public outreach and/or acquiring funding. By now they're probably just trolling.

Backronyms?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Kagus on November 24, 2018, 05:44:47 am
I thought backronyms were when you take an existing word and fabricate an acronym for it, like BOAT: Break Out Another Thousand (dollars), or WOW: Word of Owen Wilson.

Also DYSLEXIA: I eXperiEnce DifficultY when formuLAting wordS.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: McTraveller on November 24, 2018, 08:38:56 am
I was just pointing out that at least some of the high velocity changes our planet undergoes are imperceptible to us, because of our being part of earth's reference frame.
Human acceleration detection threshold by sensation is roughly 0.2g (2 m/s2); anything below that and you're not likely to notice if you don't have a visual frame of reference. 

This is why some elevators you don't feel, and others you do - it's all about how quickly they accelerate.

The acceleration required to hold us to the spinning earth's surface at the equator is only 0.03m/s2 - well below the detection threshold of your senses and well below the acceleration due to Earth's mass.  Note also this is not a "high velocity change" - it's a small change in a very fast velocity.

Same with Earth around Sol: While our linear speed around the sun is quite fast, the angular velocity is only about 2 x 10-7 rad/s.  1 AU is 1.5 x 1011 m.  So even though that radius is huge, we only need an acceleration of about 0.006 m/s2.  The dependence on angular velocity squared dominates things.

Put another way:  the scales (orders of magnitude) involved with space travel are just so far out of human everyday experience they seem non-intuitive.  Most people think we would have a huge acceleration toward the sun.. but it's really quite small.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on November 24, 2018, 08:51:04 am
Even if the centripetal acceleration were high, well above that 2 m/s^2 (I'll take your word for it being the limit), you wouldn't feel it, because the only kind of gravity you can feel is tidal gravity. I.e. the deviations from uniformity of the gravitational field.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: McTraveller on November 24, 2018, 09:15:28 am
Even if the centripetal acceleration were high, well above that 2 m/s^2 (I'll take your word for it being the limit), you wouldn't feel it, because the only kind of gravity you can feel is tidal gravity. I.e. the deviations from uniformity of the gravitational field.
I don't think that's quite correct - maybe I'm misunderstanding you?  What we feel isn't non-uniformity of a gravitational field. What we feel is internal stress fields.

When you stand on the ground, there is a stress field set up in your body which results in your acceleration with respect to the ground to equal zero (assuming your'e standing).  This is in an essentially uniform gravitational field; there is no meaningful change in the field over the distance of a human body.  When in free fall - also essentially in a uniform gravitational field - you feel weightless because there is no internal stress field any more.

I'm not even sure we would "feel" a strongly changing gravitational field; I can't remember enough of general relativity to know if large gravitational gradients actually produce stress - I think that they don't, because isn't any path through a gravitational field the same as free-fall, meaning you can't feel it, regardless of the change in field strength/direction?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on November 24, 2018, 09:28:27 am
Im pretty sure a rapidly-changing gravitational field would be noticable, because the direction you were being pulled in would change constantly and you'd puke and fall over because the balance thingies in your ear have a fit.

if you're driving along in a car at a steady 10 m/s, you arent going to notice any acceleration, but if the car rapidly changes direction drastically, you'll sure feel that change in velocity.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on November 24, 2018, 09:37:21 am
Even if the centripetal acceleration were high, well above that 2 m/s^2 (I'll take your word for it being the limit), you wouldn't feel it, because the only kind of gravity you can feel is tidal gravity. I.e. the deviations from uniformity of the gravitational field.
I don't think that's quite correct - maybe I'm misunderstanding you?  What we feel isn't non-uniformity of a gravitational field. What we feel is internal stress fields.

When you stand on the ground, there is a stress field set up in your body which results in your acceleration with respect to the ground to equal zero (assuming your'e standing).  This is in an essentially uniform gravitational field; there is no meaningful change in the field over the distance of a human body.  When in free fall - also essentially in a uniform gravitational field - you feel weightless because there is no internal stress field any more.
That's all correct, but not what I meant. In what you describe, it's not gravity that we feel, but the stresses in our body induce by the surface acting to push us away from the free-fall geodesic - there's an agreement, but that's also kinda the point.  That's not gravity. Gravity, where the field is uniform, accelerates all parts of the body equally, so there are no internal stresses to produce sensory (prioproceptive) response. With the absence of such stresses, i.e. in free fall, gravity is undetectable.
Where you have a non-uniform field (I mean spatially, not changing with time), and the system under analysis is not a point mass, then the system will be subject to tidal forces, proportional to the size of the system and the mass of the gravity source, and inversely proportional to the cube of the distance from that source.
This doesn't require GR, btw. If you place an extended body in a central gravitational field, then the parts along the radial direction will undergo stretching, while the parts along the tangent direction will be squished, due to the differences in magnitude (radially) and direction (tangentially) of acceleration vectors acting on different parts of the system.
That's nothing more fancy than how tides work.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on November 24, 2018, 09:55:37 am
Im pretty sure a rapidly-changing gravitational field would be noticable, because the direction you were being pulled in would change constantly and you'd puke and fall over because the balance thingies in your ear have a fit.

if you're driving along in a car at a steady 10 m/s, you arent going to notice any acceleration, but if the car rapidly changes direction drastically, you'll sure feel that change in velocity.
That's only because what accelerates you is the car seat/seatbelt/floor, the whole assembly, acting on parts of your body (bum, legs, back, etc.).
If you imagine an uniform gravitational field, accelerating every molecule of your body equally, that then begins to change in a way that preserves the uniformity, then your inner ear has no way of knowing that anything has happened. There would be no reason for the hairs that detect acceleration to be bent out of their initial position, because both the hairs and the inner ear in which they sit, and the entirety of your body would change acceleration at the same rate.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on November 24, 2018, 12:16:28 pm
Bonus: if you were able to feel shit like local variations in pretty much any of the tensors in GR... you're fucked, I don't think any environment in the universe besides maybe the surface of a neutron star spinning fast enough to almost tear apart or an actual event horizon is going to give curvatures that dramatic over such small scales as a human body can span.

The planet you sit on is curved in such a way that it is deeper towards the center than you'd expect from measuring the circumference.

The entire planet gives an excess radius measured in millimeters last I checked.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on November 24, 2018, 03:03:34 pm
how about you go skydiving and tell us how undetectable the presence of gravity is
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on November 24, 2018, 03:39:04 pm
Missing the point much?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on November 24, 2018, 06:18:11 pm
Just for clarity; how big of a fluctuation in local gravity are we talking here?

While your inner ear might not notice, your muscles sure might.  That would include your heart.  If you bounce local gravity up and down 10%, you will lose coordination, as the energy needed to lift limbs will be constantly changing 10%. Likewise, you might notice strange flutters in your heart rhythm, as your blood gets easier to pump, then harder to pump again.

Or am I thinking about this wrongly?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on November 25, 2018, 03:30:04 am
While your inner ear might not notice, your muscles sure might.  That would include your heart.  If you bounce local gravity up and down 10%, you will lose coordination, as the energy needed to lift limbs will be constantly changing 10%. Likewise, you might notice strange flutters in your heart rhythm, as your blood gets easier to pump, then harder to pump again.
That's only if you're standing on some kind of ground. I.e. when you're not in free fall. So what you feel is due to gravity, but it's not gravity.
The distinction is not cosmetic.

For our purposes we can reduce the human body to two unconnected, stationary points floating in empty space at a set distance. Asking for whether this human-lite can sense anything due to any sort of acceleration means asking if the distance between the two points changes. This is a justifiable simplification, because whether we're talking about structures in the inner ear, or muscle tension, or blood pressure - all of these rely on one part of the body being accelerated w/r to some other part.

In a uniform gravitational field the nett acceleration between the two points is zero - so it doesn't sense anything. In a uniform field which changes with time identically at all points - there's also no sensation, because the nett acceleration stays 0.
If you add a surface that pushes with an extra force on one of the points but not on the other - the human senses it, but this is the result of that extra force we added in.
The only way a gravitational field can make the human perceive something is if the field is non-uniform, so that one point has different acceleration than the other, resulting in them coming together or apart.

If we then go back to the original discussion, of whether we can feel acceleration in orbit, then we should see that comparing human sensory thresholds with orbital acceleration is a red herring. Because it's not acceleration of the entire system towards the Sun or the planet that matters, but the differences in acceleration within the system. And on the scale of a human, those are way below even the already small numbers in McTraveller's post (I'm getting a difference of ~0.0000006 g for tides raised on a human by Earth, which are going to be the largest).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on November 25, 2018, 04:13:30 am
Hey I don't think anyone else in the thread picked up on this one:

http://astronomy.com/news/2018/11/astronomers-find-a-solar-twin--a-star-that-looks-almost-exactly-like-our-sun

Quote
Astronomers have found a star that was likely born in the same stellar nursery as our Sun. The newfound sibling is only the second ever to be identified.

They've found a "nearby" star that's a dead ringer for our own sun in terms of age, composition, and trajectory through the galaxy. It's possible that it was born from the same gas cloud that our own sun formed out of.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Kagus on November 25, 2018, 05:48:47 am
Hey I don't think anyone else in the thread picked up on this one:

http://astronomy.com/news/2018/11/astronomers-find-a-solar-twin--a-star-that-looks-almost-exactly-like-our-sun

Quote
Astronomers have found a star that was likely born in the same stellar nursery as our Sun. The newfound sibling is only the second ever to be identified.

They've found a "nearby" star that's a dead ringer for our own sun in terms of age, composition, and trajectory through the galaxy. It's possible that it was born from the same gas cloud that our own sun formed out of.

"Sun, you have a brother".
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on November 25, 2018, 06:13:17 am
While your inner ear might not notice, your muscles sure might.  That would include your heart.  If you bounce local gravity up and down 10%, you will lose coordination, as the energy needed to lift limbs will be constantly changing 10%. Likewise, you might notice strange flutters in your heart rhythm, as your blood gets easier to pump, then harder to pump again.
That's only if you're standing on some kind of ground. I.e. when you're not in free fall. So what you feel is due to gravity, but it's not gravity.
The distinction is not cosmetic.

For our purposes we can reduce the human body to two unconnected, stationary points floating in empty space at a set distance. Asking for whether this human-lite can sense anything due to any sort of acceleration means asking if the distance between the two points changes. This is a justifiable simplification, because whether we're talking about structures in the inner ear, or muscle tension, or blood pressure - all of these rely on one part of the body being accelerated w/r to some other part.

In a uniform gravitational field the nett acceleration between the two points is zero - so it doesn't sense anything. In a uniform field which changes with time identically at all points - there's also no sensation, because the nett acceleration stays 0.
If you add a surface that pushes with an extra force on one of the points but not on the other - the human senses it, but this is the result of that extra force we added in.
The only way a gravitational field can make the human perceive something is if the field is non-uniform, so that one point has different acceleration than the other, resulting in them coming together or apart.

If we then go back to the original discussion, of whether we can feel acceleration in orbit, then we should see that comparing human sensory thresholds with orbital acceleration is a red herring. Because it's not acceleration of the entire system towards the Sun or the planet that matters, but the differences in acceleration within the system. And on the scale of a human, those are way below even the already small numbers in McTraveller's post (I'm getting a difference of ~0.0000006 g for tides raised on a human by Earth, which are going to be the largest).

Doesn't gravitational energy propagate at the speed of light in vacuum?  This is not a rhetorical question, because if there is a speed of propagation, it defacto prevents "Instant" changes in local intensity.  That spike might be so short lived that you cannot reasonably feel it, but it would still be a local incongruity between what any two points would experience relative to each other and the source of the fluctuation. 

The sensitivity of the system would be enhanced by increased distances between the two points of measurement.  (EG, if we simplify the system to two points, like you suggest, and have two point masses travelling perfectly parallel to each other on identical vectors, but have them say-- 1 lightyear apart -- Then introduce a gravity wave--- the gravity wave has an epicenter, and falls off proportionally to the inverse square of distance, per newton.  The wave will intersect the first point mass 1 year before it overtakes the other. The gravitational influence of the wave will be stronger when it intersects the first point, than when it intersects with the second. (For completeness, there is an edge case where the distances between the two points and the epicenter of the wave are identical, and the wave would intersect both points simultaneously, and equally, but this would be pretty rare in nature.)  After interaction, the two points will no longer be on parallel vectors of travel, by very measurable degrees.  With point masses that are very close together, the degree of difference will be much smaller to measure, but not zero.)

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on November 25, 2018, 06:23:37 am
Sure, if you make the system large enough, all sorts of previously negligible effects can no longer be ignored.
The point was, though, that on the scale of a human being, they are negligible, and have nothing to do with the magnitude of centripetal acceleration.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on November 25, 2018, 07:09:23 am
Our (internal) senses cannot propagate faster than light (in fact, significantly slower) so increasing the separation of two sensory elements that might create non-instantaneous reaction to anything gravitational, but long before that your head will be wondering if your feet have started walking yet and your feet will be wondering how long it will be before you are not still stubbing your toes on that rock.

edited for awful editing
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on November 25, 2018, 07:13:02 am
Hmm.. Strange thought borne from this discussion.

(this is just insane pontification and mental masturbation, but feedback is welcome.)


One could envision a non-spinning black hole as being analogous to a standing gravity wave with an infinite amplitude, because the amplitude is being reinforced by the matter it has pulled inside.

With that analogy in mind, a more understandable gravity wave (such as from a neutron star merger)  could be seen as an expanding spherical shockfront. If the amplitude of that shockfront is sufficient, that it too can scoop up even tiny amounts of matter as it expands, and overpower all other forms of repulsion such that singularity formation at the crest of the wave is inevitable, an interesting kind of singularity should occur, right?  One that is spherical, and keeps expanding outwards, but is hollow inside?

If it failed to keep eating, it would shatter into a shower of high speed black holes,  but if rate of ingestion was sufficient to match its rate of expansion, this would occur, right?

Some part of my brain says this cannot happen because massed objects, (including singularities) cannot travel at light speed, and thus cannot be sustained in the critical section of the wave as it propagates...  but still...  hmmm...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Hanslanda on November 25, 2018, 08:46:55 am
This conversation is way over my head but that last thing vaguely sounds like a black hole bomb.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on November 25, 2018, 09:48:44 pm
Feynman already made it more understandable: http://www.feynmanlectures.caltech.edu/II_42.html#mjx-eqn-EqII423

Set out an arbitrarily accurate grid across the entire planet, get the area, get the circumference, calculate what the radius should be, then dig yourself one hell of a hole to measure directly and learn it's 1.5 mm deeper than it was supposed to be, our star is half a kilometer deeper than you calculated, and a black hole from the outside seems to be infinitely deeper than it should be. Lots of possible ways shit inside an event horizon might look, but mathematically one would expect all worldlines to terminate at the singularity in finite time, or put another way, you could point and say "the future is over there" because the future is literally over there for everything inside an event horizon... we think.

All that goes out the window if some of the weirder models turn out to be true.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on November 25, 2018, 09:57:49 pm
A point singularity is indeed the simplest (and most likely to appear naturally), yes.

But there are other kinds of mathematical singularities.  Some functions can collapse into an infinite line type singularity.  Other modifications of that outcome can close the line into a circle for the function that produces it.

A hollow sphere with zero thickness would be the 3space decomposition of the closed circle solution.

The idea was that the g-wave makes space "deeper" than it should be, in the same way that a gravity well does to a massed object. The G-wave could have sufficient amplitude that when matter interacts with it, it forces the matter to exceed the schwarzchild radius limit, and thus collapse.  (this would be one hell of a g-wave but still..)  When matter collapses like that, it itself produces a small g-wave from the collapse. That wave could be used to reinforce this doom-and-gloom expanding sphere of oblivion, preventing it from losing amplitude as it expands, as long as it keeps interacting with matter.

Again, I know this cannot happen, because the resulting cloud of point singularities would not stay embedded in the wave. (they are massed, and the wave is massless. The wave will always drop them.)

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Kagus on November 26, 2018, 05:57:24 am
Have we actually observed a black hole collapsing/dying, or evidence to indicate that one has done so in the past?

The idea of spacetime and its implications for time progression in extreme gravity just brings up some troubling questions... At least for me, but I'm an idiot.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on November 26, 2018, 07:54:41 am
time dilation has been experimentally proven, as has frame dragging.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hafele%E2%80%93Keating_experiment
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gravity_Probe_B

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Kagus on November 26, 2018, 08:43:31 am
I'm aware that at least some measure of time dilation has been proven (and it's even necessary to account for it with GPS calculations, due to one satellite second being slightly different from one earth second), I'm just trying to imagine what that means in the extremes of a black hole's gravity... I've heard of singularities described as being "ruptures" or otherwise "breaking" space and gravity, which would imply that the -time component of spacetime would similarly end up "broken".

So if the center of a singularity is so incredibly dense as to create an unimaginably powerful gravity impression, then the flow of time at that center must also be modified to a similar degree... Implying that, for the intents and purposes of the rest of the non-singularity universe, the core of a black hole has effectively stopped moving through time.

Which could also mean that for an "outside observer", matter moving towards the center of the singularity would first accelerate as it nears the middle and comes under the influence of the stronger gravitic pull... And then slow down again as time dilation caps its relative movement. Eventually you reach a point where matter is moving at near-light speed towards the center, but that relative near-light speed is effectively static compared to outside the gravity well due to time dilation.

So what's happening at the center? Does time actually stop as gravity reaches its maximum strength, resulting in an "immortal" black hole that will remain in perpetuity because the reactions that would lead to the singularity's eventual collapse simply don't "have the time" to proceed?

Or is this rather just a misguided train of thought rising from an incorrect assumption of how time functions as a dimension and its actual relationship with 3D space?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on November 26, 2018, 09:05:32 am
We call that thing at the center of the black hole the "singularity" of the black hole. This is a fancy term that is scientist-speak for "I dunno".

Most of our equations break down when we attempt to apply them across an event horizon or to the inside of a black hole, we just don't know what could possibly be in there or how it works.


Yes, time does do almost exactly the really strange things you described as you approach a black hole, by the way.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on November 26, 2018, 09:47:53 am
We call that thing at the center of the black hole the "singularity" of the black hole. This is a fancy term that is scientist-speak for "I dunno".

Most of our equations break down when we attempt to apply them across an event horizon or to the inside of a black hole, we just don't know what could possibly be in there or how it works.

Well, no. A gravitational singularity is simply a point where gravity is calculated to be infinite regardless of coordinate system, which is aphysical. It's a mathematical artifact, not a physical object, and functionally describes a region where quantum effects dominate over gravitational effects. You could as well argue that quarks are "scientist-speak for 'I dunno.'"
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on November 26, 2018, 10:33:02 am
I'm aware that at least some measure of time dilation has been proven (and it's even necessary to account for it with GPS calculations, due to one satellite second being slightly different from one earth second),
Doubly so.

Special Relativity (frame-movement requiring time adjustments in one direction) and General Relativity (being less in the gravity well than us, it has to be adjusted in the other direction). They don't cancel out, but when the satellites were sent up they were given software switches able to make them not account for each effect, just in case they didn't happen as predicted. (Spoiler: they did, so two decades of GPS use has been confirming there's exactly what we think there is in those (relatively mundane, but still effective) realms of weirdness.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on November 26, 2018, 11:16:48 am
-snip-

Well, no. A gravitational singularity is simply a point where gravity is calculated to be infinite regardless of coordinate system, which is aphysical. It's a mathematical artifact, not a physical object, and functionally describes a region where quantum effects dominate over gravitational effects. You could as well argue that quarks are "scientist-speak for 'I dunno.'"

Yes, it's a mathematical artifact, probably. But we still don't actually know what is there and what it does, hence why the term singularity can be equally-well-used to apply to a point in space that we don't understand because the math breaks down. Besides, I'm paraphrasing (IIRC, maybe it was somebody else) Phil Plait when I use the words "singularity is a word for 'we don't know'", so, you know, if he thinks that's a valid way to summarize/simplify the concept of the center of a black hole I'm perfectly willing to just re-use his terminology, since I know far less about the subject than he does.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on November 26, 2018, 02:30:40 pm
-snip-
Yes, it's a mathematical artifact, probably. But we still don't actually know what is there and what it does, hence why the term singularity can be equally-well-used to apply to a point in space that we don't understand because the math breaks down. Besides, I'm paraphrasing (IIRC, maybe it was somebody else) Phil Plait when I use the words "singularity is a word for 'we don't know'", so, you know, if he thinks that's a valid way to summarize/simplify the concept of the center of a black hole I'm perfectly willing to just re-use his terminology, since I know far less about the subject than he does.

"An astronomer or maybe somebody else probably said something like this somewhere I'm not going to cite so don't blame me if I parroted something inaccurate" is certainly an interesting argument, but hardly a strong one.

That having been said, it's fundamentally incorrect to think of uncertainty in such binary terms, although you're hardly unique in doing so. A gravitational singularity is not "a point we don't understand", full stop; we know, by dint of it being a gravitational singularity, that it's a point where gravity doesn't work like it does elsewhere in the universe, and it's possible to glean considerable insight from that fact. We also know, and can confirm by observation, that whatever laws govern the behavior of the singularity do not apply outside it to the exclusion of normal gravitational phenomena, because things orbiting (putative) black holes work as though they're orbiting any other large mass. The existence of the event horizon further informs our understanding of the area around and within the Schwarzschild volume, thanks in part to no-hair and other bounds we can put on what crosses it in what direction.

Nor is it correct to say the math "breaks down"; the result is entirely correct, just aphysical, which should tell you that our assumptions about the matter inside that region don't actually apply -- and, in fact, no one ever thought they would. That doesn't mean they're total enigmas, just that they play by different rules.

A gravitational singularity is a specific mathematical artifact arising from the inapplicability of our normal field equations to specific phenomena. It is not a general purpose "gosh, I dunno" and it's absurd to suggest we can equate the two.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on November 26, 2018, 02:36:03 pm
LANDING SOON! (https://mars.nasa.gov/insight/timeline/landing/watch-online/)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on November 26, 2018, 02:36:36 pm
Um, it was definitely an astronomer, just possibly not Dr. Plait.

Anyway, the terminology is not necessarily binary though you're welcome to strawman it into binary terms if you wish. We don't understand it simply means that we cannot draw precise conclusions about it, not that we can't draw ANY conclusions about it.

Clearly you define "the math breaks down" differently than I do. When I say "the math breaks down" I mean "it spits out zeroes or infinities in places there cannot physically be zeroes or infinities". It's not like some Lovecraftian horror devours parts of the equations and literally breaks the math, but rather that the equations at this particular point cease to properly describe reality.

I mean, it's pretty much equivalent though. If you have such a singularity at a point in space in your equations, you cannot describe that point in space. You do not know what happens there. You can guess and estimate and provide bounds on what can be happening there, but you do not (presently) KNOW, because your theory cannot properly describe it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on November 26, 2018, 02:57:06 pm
Mars InSight landing successful! We have another probe on Mars!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on November 26, 2018, 08:48:24 pm
Mars InSight landing successful! We have another probe on Mars!

Nice! And we have demonstrated interplanetary cubesats!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on November 30, 2018, 05:50:13 pm
UK out of Galileo (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-46407249).

British (or Cymglish, give or take some celtic territories?) system needs a name, though, equivalent to Galileo. So I'm running through the obvious names Herschel, Halley, Moore. Maybe go for Hawking? Or go with the likes of Sharman or Peake, if life unfortunately overtakes either of them before we get our arses into gear, to properly qualify them as historical figures.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on December 09, 2018, 09:58:48 am
What do you guys think of the idea that the extra-solar object that sped through could have been a derelict light sail? If so, then it would be the smoking gun we're after.

https://arxiv.org/pdf/1810.11490.pdf

The main weird thing that needs to be otherwise explained is why the thing started to accelerate once it was past the sun, rather than slowing down. These two Harvard astrophysicists think that could have been because of light pressure. Obviously, it's most likely someone comes up with a normal explanation for this, however if there is none, then it makes the possibility stronger that there are previous explorers out there.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on December 09, 2018, 11:39:11 am
So note that this is, in the scientific community, considered to be something of a joke or less-than-serious article. The article that started all this only mentions the possibility of a solar sail in the last two paragraphs (And I think this one you've linked is the same article) and gives no serious or scientific treatment to the concept.

It would be cool, but that's a terribly inefficient way to shape and store a solar sail as I understand it. Also, solar sails can't really manage usable interstellar travel---their accelerations are just too slow, it'd take them longer than the Voyager probes to make it to another solar system IIRC.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on December 14, 2018, 05:17:52 pm
'Space' is now Virgin territory. (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-46550862)

(For the lesser of all definitions of 'space'.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on December 14, 2018, 06:36:26 pm
What do you guys think of the idea that the extra-solar object that sped through could have been a derelict light sail? If so, then it would be the smoking gun we're after.

https://arxiv.org/pdf/1810.11490.pdf

The main weird thing that needs to be otherwise explained is why the thing started to accelerate once it was past the sun, rather than slowing down. These two Harvard astrophysicists think that could have been because of light pressure. Obviously, it's most likely someone comes up with a normal explanation for this, however if there is none, then it makes the possibility stronger that there are previous explorers out there.

As a general rule, approach *xiv with caution; it's not peer-reviewed. At any rate, outgassing is vastly more likely.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Kagus on December 14, 2018, 06:51:10 pm
I just realized that Fermi's Paradox is a paradox because it isn't a paradox.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on December 15, 2018, 02:31:01 pm
If arxiv wasn't around it would be absurd but it is so important now that it is around.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on December 15, 2018, 03:48:02 pm
If arxiv wasn't around it would be absurd but it is so important now that it is around.

There was a time when I would have agreed with you, but open access journals do what the *xiv set does with legitimate peer review instead of opaque and frequently apathetic moderation. Given the impetus *xiv had in creating open access, and the resultant migration of meh-tier articles there (and consequent enrichment of the *xivs with junk), one could say they were victims of their own necessary success.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on December 15, 2018, 04:41:35 pm
Hey, the open access existing is arguably a result of arxiv legitimizing it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on December 15, 2018, 07:10:41 pm
Hey, the open access existing is arguably a result of arxiv legitimizing it.

Yes, like I already said.

There was a time when I would have agreed with you, but open access journals do what the *xiv set does with legitimate peer review instead of opaque and frequently apathetic moderation. Given the impetus *xiv had in creating open access, and the resultant migration of meh-tier articles there (and consequent enrichment of the *xivs with junk), one could say they were victims of their own necessary success.

However, its historical importance doesn't make it any less of a lucky dip now.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on December 15, 2018, 07:45:33 pm
Was waking up and missed that while reading, fighting a cold.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Kagus on December 15, 2018, 07:58:02 pm
Was waking up and missed that while reading, fighting a cold.
The man-flu cometh.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Hanslanda on December 21, 2018, 06:29:56 am
So, to return to god-killing abominations black holes. From what I've read of them, being spaghettified would be either only the most painful death ever, or time would dilate as immense tidal forces turned you into a greasy smear and you'd be stuck in nigh-eternal agony until the black hole exhausted itself via Hawking radiation. Or judging by the stuff already discussed, past that point also.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on December 21, 2018, 08:23:32 am
Your own experience of corporality isn't (the possibility of a separate soul, aside, maybe) privileged to experience these things specially.

Spaghettification may act along your length(/breadth/thickness, or whatever attitude you go into the effect) equally, rather than like (say) being strung between horses by rope and pulled apart by your extremities, but I don't know if that'd be worse.

The spreading of feeling (at least unless feeling can't properly reach your head, even) of stress across your entire body, or perhaps like Socrates and his hemlock, the effect working up slowly up from the feet if you're subjecting yourself to a 'small' black hole with a more severe build up of gradient (which are the ones you aren't going to 'survive' entry to) might be less painful than concentrated tugs in specific places. And with the atoms of the stress-sensing neurones being tugged as much as the body parts they are supposed to be sensing the stress of (by one interpretation), I'm not sure it'd be felt anything like the same.

And, except on the edge of a particularly sharp gradient (sharpness and inexorableness aside) you won't experience your body experiencing slowed time and drawn out whatever-effect-you'll-suffer. You may be seen to be slowly damaged, whether or not the last thing seen of you is a greasy smear hovering just outside the event horizon, red-shifting into eternity (or lifetime of that horizon), but from your perspective it happens as quickly enough.

In fact, with feet-first entry, I'd imagine even the most sophisticated of g-suits would be unable to prevent your blood pooling in your feet, reducing the oxygen to your brain and you lose consciousness, long before the structural integrity of your body is exceeded. Head-first, the (normally gravity-assisted movement of blood away from your brain would be impeded, with obvious repercussions. Laid flatwise, as on a classic rocket blast-off/re-entry couch, you might last longer until the pooling towards your back gives the same effect. Aside from/additionally to any asphyxiation effects due to pressures on lungs, larynx, etc.


Or so it seems to me. They do say that a huge black hole is the one you want to fall into, with the gravity gradient not distorting quite so tightly around it, but even then getting to the point where you're part in the event horizon is going to be beyond your possible experience.

Not pain, at that level, other than from mundane acretion-disc collisions, extreme radiation (other likely 'mundane' killers, unless you choose a hole that is not still digesting other feedstuffs), etc. But it'd be like that Star Trek TNG episode where Picard is stuck in a pocket-universe 'copy' of rapidly decreasing size (anything beyond the rapidly approaching limit of the observable universe does not exist, has never existed!) and when the ship's computer is asked to explained the depressurisation of Ten Forward it explains that there is a 'design flaw' of the ship having had no forward bulkhead.

What you might/could experience once you're entirely beyond the EH, assuming you were capable of experiencing it...  that's a question and a half. It'd be beyond anything seen with Dave Bowman (2001), Dr Ellie Arroway (Contact), even Jack Harkness (Doctor Who/Utopia) was seen to see. And if there's any accuracy in the internals of The Black Hole (1979), Event Horizon (1997) or Interstellar (2014) I'd be surprised (though the externals of the latter are likely to be not too Hollywoodised after consultation with Kip Thorne.


No, I probably wouldn't choose to fall into a black hole, but long before that opportunity I'd expect some other form of mortality to claim me, anyway, even if it's just old age. I aint going to worry too much about it until it happens.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on December 22, 2018, 05:42:08 am
Yeah nah, short story is getting killed by getting too close to a black hole probably feels just about the same as getting killed by getting too close to the sun, or a nuclear explosion. The exact details of the process that is causing your body to abruptly stop being a body are of little relevance to you in relation to the fact that you suddenly have one less body.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Hanslanda on December 22, 2018, 06:37:43 am
Enlightening. I'll still keep 'toss into black hole' on my Evil Overlord Execution Methods list though.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on December 22, 2018, 06:41:07 am
They're probably not getting back from that, certainly. If they are, you've got other problems!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Hanslanda on December 22, 2018, 06:47:10 am
Yeah I'd probably just surrender if a black hole wasn't enough.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: JoshuaFH on December 22, 2018, 07:19:45 am
Enlightening. I'll still keep 'toss into black hole' on my Evil Overlord Execution Methods list though.

Well, surrounding a black hole is a quasar, the hottest and brightest things in the entire universe outside of supernovas; so before you can throw anybody into a blackhole for spaghettification, you'd have to quasar-proof them against what is something like 10 trillion degrees of heat they'd have to pass through first. I mean, that probably helps with the execution, but it's the spirit of the matter.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on December 22, 2018, 07:56:15 am
Now that would be enlightening!

And if you get that far as to need to invest in quasar-proofing your... 'guests'... go on to do this thing and then just surrender when they end up coming back after you, anyway, you might well have not used the right level of commitment to your chosen career path, one way or another.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on December 22, 2018, 08:53:12 am
Enlightening. I'll still keep 'toss into black hole' on my Evil Overlord Execution Methods list though.
Well, surrounding a black hole is a quasar, the hottest and brightest things in the entire universe outside of supernovas

Only some supermassive black holes, most are quite inactive and perfectly suitable for gravity-based execution. Besides, the column of hard radiation coming out of a quasar is a better execution method anyway! You can raise their chances of getting deadly cancers by several thousand percent, AND you also get to bake them alive in an ambient temperature of millions of degrees or more, all while they suffocate in the vacuum of space!

It's genius! They'll never survive this, don't bother watching. Just open the airlock and leave, and all your bothersome enemy troubles will be over!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Hanslanda on December 22, 2018, 08:55:11 am
Yeah or throw them in and bomb the quasar after just to be sure.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on December 22, 2018, 09:49:47 am
They're probably not getting back from that, certainly. If they are, you've got other problems!

I'm curious what way out from within the event horizon you see that justifies saying they only "probably" won't return.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: JoshuaFH on December 22, 2018, 09:53:53 am
-
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on December 22, 2018, 12:02:23 pm
You want to kill somebody with gravity? Feed him spoons of neutrino stars. Or drop it on the surface of one.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Kagus on December 22, 2018, 01:09:34 pm
They're probably not getting back from that, certainly. If they are, you've got other problems!

I'm curious what way out from within the event horizon you see that justifies saying they only "probably" won't return.

Magic bullshit shenanigans, probably of the plot variety, in which case there's nothing to be done except complete surrender.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on December 22, 2018, 01:24:02 pm
Or take the opportunity to increase your Evil Overlord powers in a similar manner. After all, you can't spell "opportunity" without (most of) "plot"!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Kagus on December 22, 2018, 02:19:41 pm
Or take the opportunity to increase your Evil Overlord powers in a similar manner. After all, you can't spell "opportunity" without (most of) "plot"!
Prot: A plot of Asiatic polpotions.


Was that offensive enough? I can do more...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on December 22, 2018, 05:01:39 pm
You want to kill somebody with gravity? Feed him spoons of neutrino stars. Or drop it on the surface of one.
Neutron I think you meant, my head hurts trying to figure out what a neutrino star would be like.

You nerds need to level up your hard sci fi and dig into some Baxter if you want to nerd out on Fun And Exciting Ways To Abuse Physics Like A PS1 Game Engine... talking about killing someone with gravity and not going to starbreakers... I am disappoint.

What's it like being hit by lased gravity (how the...) you might ask?

Well, find something that can hold up to a hit first and I'll get back to ya.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Hanslanda on December 22, 2018, 06:10:29 pm
Step 1: accelerate two neutron stars to relativistic speeds
Step 2: let them collide with your enemy from opposite directions
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on December 22, 2018, 06:40:00 pm
Lost in translation? I just thought that by employing a neutron star you at least could see the effects. It's too risky to simply trust and not see the person die, if all the bond villains are an example of anything.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on December 22, 2018, 10:27:53 pm
Well, surrounding a black hole is a quasar, the hottest and brightest things in the entire universe outside of supernovas; so before you can throw anybody into a blackhole for spaghettification, you'd have to quasar-proof them against what is something like 10 trillion degrees of heat they'd have to pass through first. I mean, that probably helps with the execution, but it's the spirit of the matter.



The cloest quasars are billions of lightyears away, which means they existed billions of years ago, but don't now. They're not some compact thing, they huge. Galaxy-sized. in fact, they were probably the precursors to modern galaxies.

What a quasar is, is a galactic nucleus, but there's a large accretion disk of gas an debris, which falls into the galactic center, causing a huge energy output. It's nothing to do with black holes in general, everything to do with how galaxies formed. So, you'd have to specifically be falling into a galactic center black hole that's perhaps billion of times as massive as the sun (far more than an average black hole) around 10 billion years ago. However, you'd die of old age or be killed by the radiation exposure long before you got to the point where you're noticing the space distortion from the black hole.

Also, if you're falling into such a large black hole, then the relative force between your head and your feet wouldn't be as great as it would be as if you were falling into a small black hole (large black hole's event horizon is a lot further out), so the subjective force of sphaghettification would be a lot different in a black hole huge enough to be part of a quasar. See wikipedia article on Spaghettification. Tidal forces are highest at the surface for very dense objects. Large black holes have a lower density - since a doubly massive black hole has twice the event horizon, so 1/4th the density.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on December 22, 2018, 10:49:30 pm
They're not some compact thing, they huge. Galaxy-sized. in fact, they were probably the precursors to modern galaxies.

Quasars top out at around 106 AU in diameter, which is about 1/19th the diameter of even the smallest dwarf galaxies and about 1/2000th the diameter of the average 104-parsec galaxy. It's kind of lazy to say they're "galaxy-sized"
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on December 23, 2018, 12:36:47 am
They're probably not getting back from that, certainly. If they are, you've got other problems!

I'm curious what way out from within the event horizon you see that justifies saying they only "probably" won't return.

There is a very (vanishingly!) small probability that 100% of their constituent particles will spontaneously quantum tunnel from inside the horizon, if they glance it JUUUUUUUUUUUUUST right.

Sure, the probability of that outcome is *SO* vanishingly small, that your odds of being destroyed by a spontaneously generated cloud of ionizing radiation powered exclusively by background fluctuations is orders of magnitude greater, but still not 100% certain.

So, only "Probably".  With very high confidence.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on December 23, 2018, 02:03:24 am
from inside the horizon, if they glance it JUUUUUUUUUUUUUST right.

Therein lies the problem. (Or rather, therein lies the problem not associated with quantum gravity. Whether Hawking radiation is actually due to tunneling across the horizon is unknown, but in this case superfluous.)

You can't actually glance an event horizon from the inside, because you always proceed inward. That's why it's a black hole in the first place. Just look at a relevant Penrose diagram; you'll notice that, if you'll let me be imprecise, the geometry flips around at the horizon so the singularity covers the whole future light cone. (Here's one that shows it (https://backreaction.blogspot.com/2009/11/causal-diagram-of-black-hole.html).)

Now, you could argue that our helpful vacuum fluctuations could just spontaneously spew out a perfect copy of our victim as he's flung in, but that's not really escape, and for that matter that could happen anywhere.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on December 23, 2018, 02:25:57 am
Indeed; It "could" happen anywhere.

Which is why I said that your chances of being randomly irradiated to death by same said fluctuations is orders more likely. (since the resultant cloud does not have a necessity for a well ordered composition/arrangement of the produced particles-- and the locale does not require a black hole.)

Now, arguing that such a duplicate is in fact a duplicate, and not the original, is a bit like the quibbling about star-trek transporters being death machines or not. :P

As for trajectory of entry being a factor, it depends on if you are an ardent true believer of general relativity, or if you think quantum loop gravity is a thing.  If you think the latter, then things like this paper offer interesting alternative solutions.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0370269316306037

This is because quantum loop gravity obviates the need for a singularity at the center of the event horizon.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on December 23, 2018, 05:34:16 am

Now, arguing that such a duplicate is in fact a duplicate, and not the original, is a bit like the quibbling about star-trek transporters being death machines or not. :P


This whole thing started because you decided to quibble about the difference between arbitrarily improbable events and impossible events, you know. You're technically right, but arguing that nothing is actually impossible is the secular equivalent of saying "God works in mysterious ways" (or, from upthread, Madman[numbers]' "you don't really KNOW anything") insofar as it's a rhetorical escape hatch with no actual predictive value. We're already well into quibble territory. :P

In any event, no, the impossibility of reaching the event horizon from within hasn't anything to do with the properties of the singularity;  technically such a region exists for any massive object, just like how anything has an innermost stable circular orbit. Black holes are just dense enough for it to be a region of space outside the object rather than a hypothetical region within the object (which of course doesn't exist because there's not enough of the object in it.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on December 23, 2018, 06:54:29 am
Unlike a "God in the gaps!" rhetorical fallacy, we could, (arguably, and with quite a huge honking grain of salt) give a rough mathematical calculus on just *HOW* improbable it is/would be, for a complete quantum duplicate of a person to appear at some arbitrarily distant position in the universe (and use that same math to calculate the odds of a person spontaneously tunneling out from inside an event horizon).  The fact that we could conceivably do that, means they are not the same thing. (Just close enough that this is totally a quibble, and I will totally grant you that. :))
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on December 23, 2018, 09:30:15 am
When you say 'we could do that', do you mean you could do that? Can you show that it matters at all in calculating that probability whether there is or isn't a bloke beyond the horizon?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on December 23, 2018, 09:38:33 am
The argument was about prediction.

Having the ability to assert, with confidence (any confidence!) what the incidence rate would be, is a prediction.

We can collect data about "probability of a particle tunnelling", and we can collect data about "Likelihood of distance tunneled", and we should soon be able to collect data about tunneling of assemblages of associated particles, and retention rate of the assemblage's relationships. (We are getting better at producing on-demand entangled photons, for instance, meaning we can produce more complex patterns of photons, and test tunneling behavior.)

We cannot collect data about a non-interacting object-- which is what a "god in the gaps!" does.   Because we cannot collect data, we cannot predict behavior.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on December 23, 2018, 09:43:49 am
So that's a no then.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on December 23, 2018, 09:46:28 am
Not currently, but there is a path to experiment.

There is not, and by definition, cannot be, a path to experiment to find the god in the gaps.

Thus, not the same thing.  Again, a quibble.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on December 23, 2018, 11:59:08 am
and use that same math to calculate the odds of a person spontaneously tunneling out from inside an event horizon
...feed that figure into the finite improbability generator, give it a fresh cup of really hot tea... and turn it on!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on December 23, 2018, 01:28:12 pm
They're not some compact thing, they huge. Galaxy-sized. in fact, they were probably the precursors to modern galaxies.

Quasars top out at around 106 AU in diameter, which is about 1/19th the diameter of even the smallest dwarf galaxies and about 1/2000th the diameter of the average 104-parsec galaxy. It's kind of lazy to say they're "galaxy-sized"

More accurately they're brighter than an entire galaxy, not sure how much brighter off the top of my head. They're visually "larger than" / "the same size as" than the galaxy they're in due mostly to the way our detection systems (both eyes and telescopes) function.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on December 25, 2018, 06:30:23 pm
They're not some compact thing, they huge. Galaxy-sized. in fact, they were probably the precursors to modern galaxies.

Quasars top out at around 106 AU in diameter, which is about 1/19th the diameter of even the smallest dwarf galaxies and about 1/2000th the diameter of the average 104-parsec galaxy. It's kind of lazy to say they're "galaxy-sized"

More accurately they're brighter than an entire galaxy, not sure how much brighter off the top of my head. They're visually "larger than" / "the same size as" than the galaxy they're in due mostly to the way our detection systems (both eyes and telescopes) function.
Last time I checked A GRB can be brighter instantaneously, this one was 1054 ergs~ or so: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GRB_080916C while this one here was less energetic it happened to be a little closer and aimed exactly at us so it was VISIBLE TO THE NAKED EYE AT THAT DISTANCE, and if you put it where the sun is (abs mag -27) it would have been unbelievably brighter (abs mag -67!!!!) though they don't specify the energy, just noting that it's got a lookback time of ~7.5 billion years vs 12.2 billion years for the other: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GRB_080319B, but these tend to be very brief events, and brightness can mean lots of things. If you're looking at it as energy over time, or power, then a GRB is a spike and gone, while a quasar in an active state can throw out GRB levels of power for thousands or millions of years.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GPeter on December 26, 2018, 06:42:26 am
Ok, I need help with something here.

I was watching Interstellar (such a wonderful movie). And something caught my attention, when they were talking about the older mission, they said that they sent 3 scientists to 3 different planets. And overall, spent 50 years receiving signal and information from them (At least that's what I understand, there could be a problem with the dubbing as I watched it in Portuguese), but when our people arrive at the water planet, they state that "every hour in here means 7 years on earth" and thus, the scientist who got there, was there for maybe a couple of hours. Question is: How did earth receive 50 years worth of signal and info, if the scientists had such gravity distortions, in which one of the scientists didn't even have a day in his planet?

If you can answer this, you made my day, thank you.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on December 26, 2018, 08:05:58 am
Just sounds like time dilation mixed with handwavium? Never seen the movie, but the basic trimmed down answer is that time is another direction you are moving around in, besides the three you think of as being directions (centered on you, up/down, left/right, forward/backward, future/past) and there is a limit to how much you can move along any of those directions . If you speed up enough along a spatial direction it reduces how far you move along the temporal direction, so your local passage of time is reduced and you end up experiencing less time than your buddy who stayed at home while you zipped around across the galaxy. When you return home he's been dead for 150 years and one of his great great grandkids or some shit is there to greet you, though it's only been a couple of years from your perspective.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GPeter on December 26, 2018, 08:40:47 am
Just sounds like time dilation mixed with handwavium? Never seen the movie, but the basic trimmed down answer is that time is another direction you are moving around in, besides the three you think of as being directions (centered on you, up/down, left/right, forward/backward, future/past) and there is a limit to how much you can move along any of those directions . If you speed up enough along a spatial direction it reduces how far you move along the temporal direction, so your local passage of time is reduced and you end up experiencing less time than your buddy who stayed at home while you zipped around across the galaxy. When you return home he's been dead for 150 years and one of his great great grandkids or some shit is there to greet you, though it's only been a couple of years from your perspective.

Yes, I do know that. My doubt is: The scientists at Earth, stated that they spent 50 years receiving signals and info gathered by the scientists on the planets. Now think about it, how much information would you gather in 50 years? A lot, right? So Earth knows a lot about the planets outside, but the thing is, it passed 50 years for people on earth, but mere days for the scientists on the planets. The scientists did not spend 50 years gathering info, so how did earth receive 50 years worth of data?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on December 26, 2018, 08:43:30 am

Yes, I do know that. My doubt is: The scientists at Earth, stated that they spent 50 years receiving signals and info gathered by the scientists on the planets. Now think about it, how much information would you gather in 50 years? A lot, right? So Earth knows a lot about the planets outside, but the thing is, it passed 50 years for people on earth, but mere days for the scientists on the planets. The scientists did not spend 50 years gathering info, so how did earth receive 50 years worth of data?

They didn't. They received a few hours of information as transmitted by the scientists, redshifted 61320-fold by gravitational time dilation owing to the nearby black hole.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GPeter on December 26, 2018, 08:45:07 am
So basically they received a few hours of data, but ir arrived so slowly that it took 50 years to finish?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on December 26, 2018, 08:53:48 am
Exactly. They may have gotten more from a longer range, though; the strength of the dilation is inversely proportional to the distance to the massive object. (I haven't seen the film either.)

So if they leave what I'm assuming is a wormhole and fly straight down to the planet, transmitting all the while, you'd get long-range imaging in real time, with the observed dilation increasing as they got closer until it reached the aforementioned Lorentz factor on the surface.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GPeter on December 26, 2018, 09:18:27 am
Well, thank you. But now my life has no more meaning.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on December 26, 2018, 09:38:33 am
Hey, don't be like that. Your life never had any meaning in the first place!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GPeter on December 26, 2018, 09:44:19 am
Hey, don't be like that. Your life never had any meaning in the first place!
My most sincere thank you, and also... I'm sigging this
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on December 26, 2018, 01:55:06 pm
I thought the people on earth didnt have data about the planets because they could only get a plain “still here” signal through the wormhole or something plot-based
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: GPeter on December 26, 2018, 02:11:24 pm
I thought the people on earth didnt have data about the planets because they could only get a plain “still here” signal through the wormhole or something plot-based

The paradox would continue, because then, earth received 50 years of "still-here" signals, while acctually, only a few days of signal has acctually been sent.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on December 26, 2018, 05:33:48 pm
It's been a while since I saw it (when it came out), but I think it was a basic confirmation signal. They knew they couldn't get high bandwidth, they may even have had a mediating probe receive the (instantaneous-but-drawn-out) planetary signal, deal with its temporal issues and further help to extend its range back to Earth by acting as a latched relay.

IRL, the Voyager craft are working at around 160baud, currently, though they may have been faster during the Saturn encounter, apparently the location of this end of the wormhole. There's strangeness in passage through the wormhole, then the issues of travel from the other end. It is conceivable that even with current/near-future improvements to probe/spacecraft communications, the far end (and middle) of the outreach is already problematic, before the extreme doppler-esque slowdown.

If a full-handshaking mode could be established, then status updates might be prompted for (even if it takes a while), but I imagine the inflexibility of the transmitter (may only be able to ramp up its frequency so far, possibly only to the limits of the sending circuit, requiring the earth receiver/relay to adjust down to the ultra-low frequency it still would become) means that it may have been designed to be more UDPish than TCPish in its protocol, given how abnormally latency-tolerant it needs to be.


(I'd tell you a joke about UDP, but I'm not sure you'd get it.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on December 26, 2018, 07:35:02 pm
I thought the people on earth didnt have data about the planets because they could only get a plain “still here” signal through the wormhole or something plot-based

The paradox would continue, because then, earth received 50 years of "still-here" signals, while acctually, only a few days of signal has acctually been sent.
Didn't saw the movie, but i would guess the speed of the signal was distorted by the wormhole too.

Imagine you are sending me as bluray copy of Interstellar to me here via a file host(the wormhole), your upload speed is 1gbps thanks to google fiber, so you are done in a few minutes. On my side, with a 256kbps I'll have to spend days/weeks down loading it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 05, 2019, 09:45:33 am
Japanese declare war on SPAAAAACE!!! (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-47818460)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sirus on April 05, 2019, 03:58:59 pm
Japanese declare war on SPAAAAACE!!! (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-47818460)
I thought it was going to be a repeat of India's bright idea to launch a missile at a satellite in Earth orbit, destroying it and potentially threatening the ISS with debris.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 05, 2019, 06:14:47 pm
First, we need to send George Clooney and/or Sandra Bullock up there for that.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sirus on April 05, 2019, 06:39:50 pm
I don't know why you're making jokes when they already did it and the rest of the space community is none too thrilled. (https://www.space.com/india-anti-satellite-missile-test-agi-simulations.html)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 05, 2019, 07:33:24 pm
Because it's been done and probably won't help with our constellation of orbital debris one bit, but it hasn't done what it did to Clooney et al (it still could cause a cascade, but then so could any other random bit of debris that was already there).

What I find most worrying is, as seemingly revealed by the shuffling of participants in that spacewalk the other day, they might not be able to put everybody in a space-suit in an (slow-enough developing but inevitable) emergency. One sort of assumed they had kit enough for at least transfer between modules the wrong side of a breached central hub, should they find themselves needing to, without needing to do double-duty with some of them (undonning them and getting a still-suited colleague to take them back for the next wearer).

So maybe in such a slow-emergency they'd make do with slightly awkward sizings, and less fuss about the need for comfortably-fitting equipment for extended work, but emergencies don't tend to even be that slow (Russian-style microleaks aside) so you tend to imagine there'd be a set of good-enough-to-leap-into suits of at least the same number as the crew (but ideally a multiple of that, sets placed round the rig in whatever spare internal space they can cram them into).

Or maybe it's just not worth it given the number/proportion of scenarios where the emergency is basically so quick there's no chance at all of doing anything about it. Cost/benefit actuarial analysis doesn't justify the space and weight needed, so they only have two each of the US and Russian 'spacewalk' suits, and would rely on their individual limited-protection 'travel' suit for any very brief episodes of depressurised exposure protection (no real thermal maintenance or micrometeoroid-armouring)..

It's a corner I'm not comfortable to find being cut. But I'm not the one trained to take account of the risks.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on April 05, 2019, 09:38:28 pm
There is no "just jumping into it" in spacesuits. It literally takes hours to get suited up into one of those things.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 05, 2019, 10:06:09 pm
Yes, when you're going to abandon your sort of Ok environment-inna-can for a planned period of swanning around in the somewhat less conducive expanses of space.

If/when your can clearly isn't going to do its job of delineating the two (and without a rather conspicuously busy Maxwellesque demon interfering, or a rogue Voyager probe returned with a heckova lot of assimilated capabilities, when things even out bestween the two it really won't do too much to improve the outside), there will be a plan of sorts, and even if it's not the First Immediate Action, some of the crew (depending upon precise circumstances and the options still open to to pursuit) may well be required to fast-track the suiting up process.

It is the fact that it rcannot be an option for everyone that I was commenting on, mainly.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Trekkin on April 05, 2019, 10:10:47 pm
Or maybe it's just not worth it given the number/proportion of scenarios where the emergency is basically so quick there's no chance at all of doing anything about it. Cost/benefit actuarial analysis doesn't justify the space and weight needed, so they only have two each of the US and Russian 'spacewalk' suits, and would rely on their individual limited-protection 'travel' suit for any very brief episodes of depressurised exposure protection (no real thermal maintenance or micrometeoroid-armouring)..

A more optimistic version of that thinking is operational practice, yes. The ISS moves around any debris big enough to track and is designed to withstand micrometeoroid impacts, and for everything between there's always two Soyuz to serve as storm cellars or lifeboats, putting abnormally high debris concentration in broadly the same boat as other bad space weather. That leaves just random chunks of debris in a very specific size range as the only way for the station to lose pressure without the astronauts already able to leave, and that's a constant but very unlikely hazard.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on April 06, 2019, 12:28:17 am
Yes, when you're going to abandon your sort of Ok environment-inna-can for a planned period of swanning around in the somewhat less conducive expanses of space.

If/when your can clearly isn't going to do its job of delineating the two (and without a rather conspicuously busy Maxwellesque demon interfering, or a rogue Voyager probe returned with a heckova lot of assimilated capabilities, when things even out bestween the two it really won't do too much to improve the outside), there will be a plan of sorts, and even if it's not the First Immediate Action, some of the crew (depending upon precise circumstances and the options still open to to pursuit) may well be required to fast-track the suiting up process.

It is the fact that it rcannot be an option for everyone that I was commenting on, mainly.

Putting a proper EVA suit on takes like a minimum of 15 minutes, with help from multiple people, on Earth, without the issues of microgravity or a trillion checks or the one-hour acclimatisation to the low pressure high oxygen atmosphere (which is the first thing you could skip in an emergency . It’s made of a whole bunch of smaller pieces, each of which is bulky as hell and you become increasingly restricted as you put more and more of it on.
Those interior flight suits which are vacuum rates but not space-rated probbably take less because they’re slim lined (but also not designed for leaving the vehicle at all) and are probbably what the crew put on in the case of a breach (Since I believe they’re stored in the Soyuz escape pods as they’re needed for re entry, and that’s where the crew go if there’s a problem with the main ISS
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on April 10, 2019, 08:19:22 am
First direct image of a black hole has just been released by the EHT team.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 10, 2019, 08:35:14 am
Spoiler (click to show/hide)

More seriously. (https://astroengine.com/2019/04/09/will-the-ehts-first-black-hole-image-look-like-interstellars-gargantua/), and then this (https://www.nsf.gov/news/special_reports/blackholes/formedia.jsp), amongst others.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on April 10, 2019, 10:54:19 am
I'm still not entirely sure from media coverage whether this is a light-range picture or a radio telescope picture.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 10, 2019, 11:00:17 am
"The Event Horizon Telescope (EHT) — a planet-scale array of eight ground-based radio telescopes forged through international collaboration — was designed to capture images of a black hole. (...)" (https://eventhorizontelescope.org)

(For me, that site makes my browser go "Oh snap, something went wrong, click here to reload" after a few seconds, repeatedly, but I just persisted enough to copy the above and haven't tried to find out why. So maybe Caveat Browsor?)


Edit: Wikipedia summarises nicely (without crashing) (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Event_Horizon_Telescope),
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: JoshuaFH on April 10, 2019, 11:02:49 am
It says it's the "Shadow" of a black hole, and not the black hole itself?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on April 10, 2019, 11:18:34 am
An event horizon does not emit detectable levels of light. Instead, the extreme curvature of space that is the horizon, bends the brilliant glare of the accretion disk in a very tight and precise way, which produces a dark void to be observed. This dark void is the shadow of the horizon caused by the lack of paths for light to take around the horizon.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 10, 2019, 11:23:27 am
Depending on what you define as the black hole (with or without accretion disc, outside or inside the event horizon), it may not be possible to see the hole, by definition of what one is, but the shadow/silhouette or something similar is visible against its immediate hole-created surrounds.  Looking directly at the centre you'd see not much light from the matter yet to sufficiently fall inwards (and none from that which has) but as you view towards the sides you get an edge-on view of a wide swathe of that (actually, over the horizon, due to the gravitationally bent light-paths) so effectively you see "what it blots out", or its self-imposing shadow, of the especially 'glowing' material in its immediate vicinity.

Depends on how you want to describe it. It's a bit beyond everyday naked-eye observation, so it's not exactly an obvious thing to describe. "Shadow" sort of works, but maybe it's more akin to an Inferior Conjunction eclipse (the Moon blotting out the Sun) but... still not quite, because there's as much "sun" this side of the "moon" (and not even outshone!), yet the "moon" is the most significant party.

(Ninjaed by a more concise summary.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on April 10, 2019, 11:55:48 am
The shadow as it's used here has been defined precisely, though. It's the lensed image of the event horizon, approx. 2.5 times larger in angular diameter than the actual thing.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on April 10, 2019, 12:03:58 pm
Did they found Bowman already?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 10, 2019, 12:35:49 pm
This somewhat represents (from middle to one edge only, obviously you mirror for the other edge) where what you think you're looking at actually may be (somewhere along the 'parallel' path you choose, which might intersect with other such paths).
(https://csdl-images.computer.org/mags/cs/2011/06/figures/mcs20110600641.gif)

Bowman is in his hotel-room, watching TV.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on April 10, 2019, 03:09:36 pm
Remember also that this is a 6 Gigasun object which has been horking down material long enough to hurl a jet of matter across thousands of light years, so the background glow around the shadow is matter screaming as it grinds together while whipping around an orbit wider than that of Neptune and it's doing it fast enough that you can see variations in the images they took, so we're talking fully out in deep relativistic effects land, super high percent of the speed of light type shit.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bumber on April 10, 2019, 05:43:36 pm
matter screaming as it grinds together
( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 11, 2019, 05:12:06 pm
*brings back vivid KSP memories* (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-47879538)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Kagus on April 13, 2019, 09:03:32 am
*brings back vivid KSP memories* (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-47879538)
Bere-sheeit...

Quote
"We didn't make it, but we definitely tried"
Fuck it, this is the kind of quote that belongs in a frame on the wall.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 14, 2019, 07:41:47 am
On the same subject, almost... KSP plane - make it bigger, loads of engines, a lot of wing, and don't forget the wheels. (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-47923697)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Akura on April 14, 2019, 08:15:26 am
On the same subject, almost... KSP plane - make it bigger, loads of engines, a lot of wing, and don't forget the wheels. (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-47923697)

That looks like they welded two planes together at the wingtip.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on May 01, 2019, 03:47:59 am
My hokum senses are tingling!!

https://www.livescience.com/65344-quantum-vacuum-gamma-rays.html

Faster than light charged particles?  MASSIVE particles!?  No no no no no no.

Oh, what's that? Local spacetime is distorted so that photons cant travel at the same speed?  But that is still the local spacetime medium, not a photon exchange medium! How?  What?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Kagus on May 01, 2019, 05:23:05 am
Aren't particles by definition massive? It's not much mass, but I thought particles were the ones with the physical bits.


Then again, I am utterly without an education, so I probably shouldn't be talking.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on May 01, 2019, 05:48:27 am
Photon is a point particle (that can also behave as a wave, but meh) that is massless. 
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Arx on May 01, 2019, 08:04:41 am
Oh, what's that? Local spacetime is distorted so that photons cant travel at the same speed?

I am the first to admit I'm not a quantum physicist, nor did I especially enjoy my quantum-adjacent courses, but I've read through the paper and I'm pretty sure that's never claimed. What is claimed is that strong magnetic fields polarise quantum fluctuations (not new), that polarisation causes an effect on protons similar to that of a dielectric medium (i.e. reduction of phase velocity) (not new), and that as a result it seems reasonable to claim that a charged particle in a vacuum can, supposing it is within a powerful enough magnetic field, emit Cherenkov radiation the way one would expect in a dielectric medium (a completely logical follow-on to the previous statements).

Nowhere does it posit that c is exceeded, nor that this really changes anything other than presenting a potential explanation for some currently murky astronomical gamma ray emissions. Especially, the result you seem to be taking particular offense to (light in a vacuum behaving as though in a dielectric medium) seems, although I could be wrong here because I'm reading papers I barely understand, to be decades old:

Quote from: Markland and Shukla, 2006
It has  been suggested  that the nontrivial refractive  index  due  to  photon–photon  scattering could induce a lensing effect in the neighbourhood of a magnetar (Shaviv et al., 1999).

The general interactions between photons and nonlinear QED effects in vacuums have been researched since the 70s or before, too.

I'm sure if I hunted more I could find older results or understand the topic better, but like I said, I don't particularly care for quantum.

Oh, and as for

How?  What?

The paper is on arxiv (https://arxiv.org/pdf/1810.05027.pdf) and presumably, to a physicist in the field, explains those quite adequately.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 18, 2020, 09:58:16 pm
(Though it warns me about thread being idle >120 days, I thought it's better here even than the more recently used Science+Engineering+Environment thread. Either that or some of that thread's stuff better here, so worth a bump just to bring it to the fore again...)

https://newatlas.com/space/first-manned-crew-dragon-flight-date/ (https://newatlas.com/space/first-manned-crew-dragon-flight-date/) ...is May 27th, apparently.
Site given was chosen mostly for the URL It's on BBC, Reuters and even SyFy sites if you prefer to go elsewhere for any reason.

Fingers crossed, of course.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Iduno on April 19, 2020, 08:33:50 pm
Quote
"We didn't make it, but we definitely tried"
Fuck it, this is the kind of quote that belongs in a frame on the wall.

Toss that on a picture of the NASA's Mars Climate Orbiter, and you've got art.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on May 02, 2020, 06:34:17 pm
Surprised I've not seen mention of NASA's choices for moonlanders (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-52465585) anywhere round here.

(Chose BBC site, because their particular sample images looked more like KSP than some others I saw write this up. Though Musk seems to be channelling Hergé more than the others.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on May 03, 2020, 07:58:18 am
To be honest, I kinda expect these missions to not actually happen. Call it a gut feeling but it seems like uplifting propaganda and nothing else. Even more so if Orange Trump fails to get reelected.

On the mission itself theres some info already on wikipedia Artemis program page (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artemis_program).

This at least makes much more sense than trying to get to Mars rigth away. The Moon should be our tutorial level.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Reelya on May 04, 2020, 02:40:07 am
Orange Trump is kind of over-specifying it.

It's better to say it obliquely such as "if The Big Orange Baby fails to get reelected".
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on May 21, 2020, 07:13:10 pm
So, next week we're scheduled to get the SpaceX Dragon capsule, with crew, to the ISS.  And this weekend there may be a Virgin Orbit trial (LauncherOne being wing-launched from a converted Virgin Atlantic jumbo).

Watch this (or that) space?

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on May 22, 2020, 03:00:36 pm
Inb4 corona outbreak in the ISS
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Strife26 on May 22, 2020, 03:29:39 pm
To be honest, I kinda expect these missions to not actually happen. Call it a gut feeling but it seems like uplifting propaganda and nothing else. Even more so if Orange Trump fails to get reelected.

On the mission itself theres some info already on wikipedia Artemis program page (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artemis_program).

This at least makes much more sense than trying to get to Mars rigth away. The Moon should be our tutorial level.

That's making an assumption that there's sufficient political will to do both and that the moon program isn't largely born of NASA's desire to build another largely useless space station instead of working towards exploration, colonization, and development on other celestial bodies.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on May 22, 2020, 04:56:15 pm
Debatedly, we need some sort of Neo-Apollo (literal) moonshot project, in the face of a Great Competitor (these days, China?) also striving to get a manned Lunar-orbiter station/whatever.

Also a personality such as JFK to do the "we do these things..." speech to motivate us (not gonna be Trump; he's given that sort of speech on space stuff and all those many other things and a majority of people are "I'll believe it when I see it" at best) to fire up the nation.


Ok, so that's maybe how we'd repeat history (and by being so obviously a repeat, it might blunt the edge it might have had if completely new, but probably no more than modern cynicism and Armchair Expertise over social media would poison such an effort) and the futurologist might suggest something else like a crowd-funded investment into more corporate vanguards, perhaps linked to the Asgardia community or something along the same lines. But even that's probably not Futurologistic enough and still too much anchored upon the building blocks we can plainly see already existing, that are likely to be superceded by some other paradigm shifts in the relevent fields.


When I attended Space School, more than three decades ago, I remember many of the ideas that were being floated around (in the early age of the Shuttle) such as the possibility of developing solar-sailing missions to other planets (it was more than a decade before the Cubesat idea was formalised, but we were talking of (with the vague idea that we might actually do it, perhaps with Beagle-like funding/sponsorship) putting something up there that fit into the 'ballast' space of a regular launch's satellite shroud/fairing or a spare corner of the Shuttle/Buran/HOTOL cabin- or hold-space. That never happened. Neither did we (humanity) get back on the Moon by 2019, an arbitrary but humanly-meaningful 50 years after the first footfall, that I genuinely thought might be a driving schedule to work to in the 2010s (if only it weren't for the global crash at the end of the '00s?).

So I have a track record for not being very good at futurology, is what I'm saying, plus many other people who have played this game seriously or otherwise. Perhaps you could find that a useful thing (https://xkcd.com/2270/) in what I predict, but probably even this would not be a profitable pursuit.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on May 23, 2020, 11:16:25 am
The moon shall rise again!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on May 23, 2020, 01:08:37 pm
Is it a bird? Is it a plane? No, it's a chinese rabbit Supermoon!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: delphonso on May 23, 2020, 10:42:59 pm
If in twenty years, I can't take an overpriced holiday to the moon and catch a virus on the ship, what are we really doing as a species?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bralbaard on May 24, 2020, 03:58:52 am
There have been many promises for a moon landings during my lifetime, but it was all just talk. The moon landings remain something from our parents or grand parents time, almost ancient history. 
At best, the Chinese are likely to try a landing in maybe a decade from now, and the US is likely on a similar time schedule, despite all talk of landing there in 2024. (Just look at all the delays the SLS has suffered, to see what kind of schedule dilution you can expect at a minimum, the 2024 date is just there so that Trump can believe he may be able to reap the rewards of investing in this.)
I have some optimism spacex may be able to give things a boost, but their super heavy/starship looks like a huge gamble, and the failure ratio on their prototypes is not helping to build confidence for a vehicle that, like shuttle, will have no crew escape options for much of it's flight profile. However, moon missions might be possible with a couple of Falcon heavy launches if compatible harware is developed, if other options fail.   

Anyhow, today will be the first launch attempt for launcherone, from a converted 747. Plane is expected to take of at 16:30 UTC, with the launch window opening half an hour later. There is no live broadcast, as far as I'm aware, and as the launch will take place off-shore, there is unlikely to be amateur footage.
This forum topic at nasaspaceflight is likely to have the most up to date information:
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bralbaard on May 24, 2020, 07:29:28 am
 
Anyhow, today will be the first launch attempt for launcherone, from a converted 747. Plane is expected to take of at 16:30 UTC, with the launch window opening half an hour later.
Launch scrubbed for today.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cthulhu on May 24, 2020, 11:34:42 am
I'm not super confident in Artemis, it feels like they've been slowly scaling it back, lower your expectations until they're already met.  First there was the deep space gateway which would enable manned flights to Mars etc. Then it became LOP-G/Lunar Gateway and I haven't heard anything about a staging point for further than the Moon in a long time.  The whole idea of this huge 8+ year mission to build an ISS in lunar orbit doesn't make much sense if it's not intended to launch us further.  And it's been taken off the critical path for the actual landing, so what's the point?

I'm all for trying, but I'm not a fan of the current way they're going about it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bralbaard on May 25, 2020, 03:00:35 am
I never understood why we need a new space station as a gateway for either the moon or mars in the first place. Assembling and maintaining the thing will gobble up all the money that is needed for the moon and mars missions before they can even get started. That could be the point though, having the station there would mean a fixed amount of work/income that can't be easily cancelled.

I doubt the station has any real benefits for moon/mars exploration. What would those benefits be, and can't that be done more efficiently?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on May 25, 2020, 05:22:46 am
The false argument behind it (also Aldrin's idea of the Mars Cycler) is that it makes the trip easier because "all you have to do" is to reach it and that saves you fuel as you then link up with it and ride until you want to get off. Because to dock with the hardware (then undock and continue) takes no less capability than to be in that orbit, then leave it after an arbitrary time (of maybe less than a cycle).

On the other hand, if you've set up such a station, over a number of missions (and/or via unmanned heavy-lift capabilities) then you've likely got a proper refuge rather than a cramped 3ish-man capsule and (accounting for the necessity of docking with it, which is a risk beyond "attaining any equivalent transfer[1] orbit" if you're forced to rely on meeting this one (or one of a few alternates) location in ballistic space-time but you only need to build in 'local' abort-to-last-base capabilities, and can have the next step (back off the station) serviced by a pre-placed bit of kit that's designed for your next step better than what got you there.

(i.e., we can get to the ISS fairly routinely, with kit that isn't rated to get us to Lunar Orbit. But we can get one of those up there (tested in orbital conditions, fully refuelled and majntained by the guys already up there), use that to get to the LG where there is a lander descent/ascent stage[2] waiting in a similar manner. A form of this was one of the early considerations for the Apollo program, before the need to rush things (it being a race, and all) led to the conclusion they'd just push everything for every stage up with one massive Saturn V, including the 'temporary Lunar Gateway' that Collins ended up manning.)

Failure modes are different (i.e., if you're expecting to meet something that goes wrong while you're on route, you need the capability to get back again, and you can miss your rendezvous too) but there's potentially more resilience than Apollo 13 had to work with (even assuming they might have had problems trying to match orbits).

Plus, it sets your store. We're there. And that would count for something (and harder for the legacy to be abandoned than without there being something physical to abandon, one of the oft unmentioned qualitites about the ISS).


ETA: I hope that made sense. It was tapped in while on a short walk, knowing I wouldn't get immediate leave to reply once I'd gotten to my destination. And I need to add that this is how I see it, safe and snug in my expertise armchair.


[1] By which I don't mean Transfer Orbit in the normal sense. "Stepping Stone" orbit as well, such as ISS might be in at the top of our air-column.
[2] Later, with a moonbase, just one equipped/fuelled for safe descent, arrangements made down there to get a ride back up again.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on May 25, 2020, 10:07:34 am
The LOP-G is basically, as one expert said (Sorry, I can't remember who.), a tax on anyone going to the Moon or Mars. It won't have any real benefits until such time as we're actually mining water from the surface of the Moon and can therefore refuel spacecraft and need a holding tank in lunar orbit, at which point having a gigantic propellant tank in orbit becomes a good idea.

To be fair, a certain configuration of equipment CAN make it more efficient to dock with something else, i.e. if you've got a highly efficient propulsion system (ion or plasma or nuclear [I wish]) on an orbital module, then all you need is to bring up something akin to Orion with its service module, dock with that unit in LEO, then the unit handles all the transfers and delivers the crew to the destination, preferably without bringing along the capsule. Something similar was, I think, used in the Martian, at least in the book.

However, rendezvousing with a fixed-in-one-orbit installation makes just about zero sense unless you can, as mentioned, use it as a depot for things like fuel. In this case, you save the fuel needed for the ship to descend to the lunar surface and come back up, at the expense of needing a single tanker capable of moving fuel from the surface to orbit, and an orbiting fuel depot to hold that fuel. Alternatively, the same tanker could (theoretically) rendezvous with the ship you're trying to refuel, but then you can only refuel any given mission with one tanker's worth of fuel, which might preclude larger missions from being refueled in that manner (unless you're using some massive thing as a tanker). At that point, having the fixed installation with a lot more tank space but no need to move the entire dry mass of the larger fuel tank to and from the surface becomes more efficient.

But all these arguments rely on having some serious surface and orbital infrastructure which we aren't going to have until either NASA gets its usual contractors moving (hahahahahahaha yeah right) or SpaceX gets Starship and Super Heavy up and running. I highly doubt the Elon Time prediction of "later this year" is going to happen for Super Heavy, but we might, maybe, hopefully see it under construction/under testing next year.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on May 25, 2020, 11:07:50 am
It's not just fuel. It's other consumables, plus a (theoritical) one-time cost for infrastructure specific for the orbital environment (solar storm shelter8ng?).

When the Shuttle was hoiking up its lab every time it launched it reduced its capability to send up other things, including consumables and things to launch or otherwise work with. With the ISS (and Mir and Skylab before) consumables for the residents (between supply visits) are up what they are for day-trips, but productivity and the running of long-term projects were raised.

Sending a couple of tin cans to the Moon, each time, was expedient at the time, but it was then too easy to say "Apollo 18? Naw, that's enough...", and even though Skylab tried to make "a destination" it ended up being a holiday-home in the back-of-beyond that eventually nobody wanted to repaint for half the 'holiday'. The Mirs did very well at it, long after the whole thing might have been shelved, and the ISS has built on that (also, no single government can quietly drop it, without others raising eyebrows or even now claiming that they at least are still in it for the purest of pure science and aren't being political about it... even if this means they are being political about it, but their own way).

The organisation (gov/non-gov/Hugo Drax) or consortium of such that gets to the point of getting a Gateway (preferably perma-manned[1]) does not just commit to the first mission to use it to complete the task but has invested in enough more missions. This investment costs more than the two-tin-can method, initially, and may cost more than the TTC version ends up doing once it's been stopped again a handful of iterations down the line. But amortising across a (hopefully) sustained lifetime of the project, dovetailing with other relevent projects to make its legacy outlive its actual operation and carry even across setbacks[2], make it less of a moneypit than initially you would assume.

Still a moneypit, but few alternatives (other than not bothering with any) come out much cheaper, and of all the vanity projects it's at least got a potential to be longer lasting in both the physical and heritage senses.


(That's how I would defend Gateway against that argument. Yes, there are problems. I mentioned earlier the problem with having to rendezvous to do what's needed, or else you're relegated to your free-return trajectory (or whatever you can/must do once the rendezvous is shelved, if it's a last minute thing), but these things will get worked out/stumbled over if we're serious about the things we're trying to do. Quitting is an option, but not a very satisfactory one.)


[1] Because the documentaries we see about docking with unmanned space-stations often end up not going very well for the visitors.

[2] If there had not been the number of Shuttles that there were then, for better or worse, NASA would have been out of the Manned Flight market for far longer. Had there been more then they could have had Challenger/Colombia (or whichever other ones were in the wrong place in the cycle at the wrong time) and still been able to continue. Still learning, each time, and having other incidents along the way, but even if you think it was a non-optimal idea (too much of an omnibus to do any space-task as good as other platforms might) and good money sent after bad, it would have fulfilled more dreams along the way.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on May 25, 2020, 11:49:18 am
The Space Shuttle is a really unfortunate story. It is a categorically unsuitable vehicle for every purpose, bar one, and that one being "looking really cool and iconic". It is far too dangerous for manned missions, yet it has no capability to be run without humans onboard. It hauled three of the most amazing engines ever constructed around in space....as dead weight, because it carries no fuel for them on its own. Its thermal protection system had no backup, and the most minor damage could destroy the entire vehicle. Its goal of rapid reuse slipped so far that it was only barely refurbishable by any reasonable metric. It could not escape should anything go wrong, because the SRBs are far too dangerous. The Loss-Of-Crew Metric (a fraction representing how often the crew would be lost in the event of a failure of a certain danger or above) was 1/12, ten times worse than the original (And already higher than what NASA wanted for human-rated vehicles) LOC of 1/120 or so.


I agree that there are definite benefits to a physical place that needs to be maintained, though they're almost exclusively non-material benefits and thus harder to justify before you've got it started. Also, I believe it makes more sense to produce a manned outpost on the surface of the Moon for your "well, we've already built [thing], can't stop now" effect. Other consumables lack the benefit of being produced in-situ, though maybe if you're running an amazing number of large missions through a lunar outpost then yeah, maybe other consumables being shipped separately to the Moon via more efficient (and slower) propulsion methods using an established framework might just be viable.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bralbaard on May 25, 2020, 04:04:52 pm
 
Anyhow, today will be the first launch attempt for launcherone, from a converted 747. Plane is expected to take of at 16:30 UTC, with the launch window opening half an hour later.
Launch scrubbed for today.

The attempt was moved to today, but the rocket failed shortly after it was dropped from the plane.
Radar images from the debris cloud: https://twitter.com/wxmeddler/status/1265022819458580480?s=21 (https://twitter.com/wxmeddler/status/1265022819458580480?s=21)
Luckily the plane and crew are fine.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: McTraveller on May 29, 2020, 07:00:33 pm
A nice "learning experience" day for SpaceX today.  :-\

Rockets are still unforgiving...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on May 29, 2020, 07:16:10 pm
A nice "learning experience" day for SpaceX today.  :-\

Rockets are still unforgiving...

What exactly are you talking about?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: McTraveller on May 29, 2020, 07:23:23 pm
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7YaFsUWgN3s&feature=youtu.be

Starship SN4 had an "anomaly" after static fire.

It's an interesting stream - a mix of technical detail plus a surprising amount of - casual? - banter.  A little unprofessional at times, but interesting.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on May 29, 2020, 07:27:21 pm
(@ninja(#1), I had to search for the news, it hadn't crossed my usual newsfeeds - the non-Dragon prototype, that looks more like a Dan Dare/Flash Gordon craft than the Dragon one, apparently exploded on live-streaming - as ninja#2 has just linked to, I think.)

Last time I heard mention of this craft, ISTR it being mentioned that they'd be testing this 'alpha' version of the hardware to destruction. I take it that wasn't the plan today, though?

Fingers crossed for Hurley and Behnken (sp?), though. It's a more mature and more tested system, but probably not what they want to see the day before the next attempt to loft them up.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on May 30, 2020, 12:25:54 am
Darn, the one time Everyday Astronaut isn't covering it. I was wondering how something happened that didn't pop up immediately in my YouTube feed :P

They must've filled the tanks almost completely, given the size of that fireball. I don't believe they were planning on blowing this one up, no. It was supposed to take the 150 meter hop, hopefully SN5 is going to be able to take its place here soon.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Iduno on June 02, 2020, 09:00:40 pm
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Kagus on June 04, 2020, 04:59:35 am
--snip--
I giggled.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on June 26, 2020, 01:28:53 pm
So, because we aint going to be in the EU, the UK is now looking to make it's own satellite system, rather than relying on being in the Galileo club as a locally-controlled backup to GPS (and GLONASS, and now BeiDou), and all at at a cost of £2.5Billion (20% from the UK government, who have no better things to splash the cash on, obviously, given the guaranteed Brexit dividend and absolutely no health emergencies at the moment).

It's going to be called OneWeb, apparently, but that either sounds rather pathetic or Evil Overlord speak for a Planetary Subjugation Project launched under the guise of something far more innocent and philanthropic. And Elon/Jeff have already bagged stakes in the latter, in the general field of orbital domination, with local lad Branson who is part of OneWeb with his LauncherOne project still currently far behind.


So, I was wondering what it should be called. British 'counterpart' to Galileo, so something like Newton? Maybe not. (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Apple_Newton). Actual less-diverse astronomers would be better, so Herschel? (German-born, both of them). Halley? (Lost your signal, just wait 76 years to reacquire...). Lovell? (Already honoured with a radio-telescope.) Recent names like Couper or Moore?  Branching out again, Hawking, Pillinger, May (living) or Cox (ditto)?


Actually, from that selection I'd go for May. Because it May happen. It could be over in a Flash if we find ourselves Under Pressure, but it would be Heaven For Everyone if The Miracle happens and we Break Free with our One Vision to be Princes Of The Universe  No, no, Don't Stop Me Now, though I know I'm Going Slightly Mad...


Of course, it's as likely to end up as Satellitey McSatelliteface, if left up to the British public to name it, but (mostly, but not exclusively, aimed at non-Brit forumites) what do you think fits our doubtless not-going-to-overrun-and/or-get-cancelled attempt to paint a Union Jack in the heavens with yet more satellite tracks?  Who[1] should we name the system after?

Asking for a Boris...

[1] Or what... BeiDou is named for the Big Dipper, an actual inspired choice given the asterism is used as a guide to find the Pole Star in actual feats of navigation by the stars. (n.b., "Polaris" is already in use, and it would be unfortunate to talk of "Britain's Polaris Satellites". Especially if that's their true secret...)


edit, while I'm correcting some trivial but bad phraseology: vvv Oh yes, I like that one... Good start!! vvv
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on June 26, 2020, 01:35:20 pm
Lucy in the Sky with Diamonds?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on June 26, 2020, 02:44:40 pm
Those satellites will be so very autonomous that they will vote to leave the solar system.
Solexit would be a good name
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on June 26, 2020, 06:59:26 pm
--snip--
I giggled.
I mean, with a properly taught horse and good saddle it's literally just "stay on top, don't kick the sides unexpectedly, pull a bit on one side or the other to go that way, both to slow entirely" and gloves+mask would work for costumes.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: feelotraveller on June 27, 2020, 07:46:20 pm
So, I was wondering what it should be called. British 'counterpart' to Galileo, so something like Newton?

Sinclair on the notion that it will likely succeed and then fail spectacularly within a few years?

IMBanks because chances are it will become a well known (science) fiction? 
Or following that thought, since it is vaguely sort of a spaceship - Totally Not Going To Fail, This Time.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Max™ on June 28, 2020, 12:58:28 am
Banks is not nearly widely known enough considering how awesome the universe he painted is, it's a damn shame that more people probably learned of the Culture due to the references on SpaceX barge names than due to the books themselves.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on July 05, 2020, 06:08:29 am
Electron 13: Mahia, we have a problem... (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-53295650)

(Well, I'm not triskaidekaphobic, but it had to be commented on. And I'm sure the "scanning military radars" experiment had no-one hoping it would fail, either.)

edit for two typos, would you believe... And another because of a typo in this add-on text
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on July 11, 2020, 08:10:13 pm
Have you seen the comet? The end* is nigh.

*of its best visibility
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on July 11, 2020, 08:18:26 pm
For a moment I read the title of this thread on the reply list as Spice Thread.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on July 11, 2020, 08:33:13 pm
Hey, baby. Are you Kwisatz Haderach? 'Cause I wanna spice up your life.
Hey, baby. You must be a thumper, 'cause I have a wormsign in my pants.
Hey, baby. You're so hot, I wouldn't enter you without a stillsuit.
Hey, baby. Are you a Bene Gesserit? 'Cause I wanna drug you up and have an orgy if you survive.
Hey, baby. Do you have a Maker Hook? 'Cause you might not be able to handle my worm without it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on July 23, 2020, 07:58:26 am
With two Mars missions now just set off, in the last few days, I thought I'd bump the thread before we know if the third due one actually goes ahead with Perserverence+Inginuity atop, after its delays, next week.

Or are we just a little bored of going to Mars? Even with a helicopter?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cthulhu on July 23, 2020, 12:53:39 pm
Here's a paper (https://www.scirp.org/pdf/CWEEE_2013071113213239.pdf) discussing the possibility of blowing up the sun with a targeted nuclear bomb in order to ? ? ? because ? ? ?

I'm no expert in blowing up the sun, but it seems legit?  Using the same principal as a hydrogen bomb to create the temperature and pressure needed for runaway fusion, which would propagate that temperature and pressure through the rest of the sun.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on July 23, 2020, 02:05:08 pm
I'm no expert in blowing up the sun.
Your name would indicate otherwise, or you are more of a expert on sea stuff.

Anyway, luckily I am, in fact the last time I blew it up was so good it hasn't finished blowing up and it think it will keep going for a few billion years more.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on July 23, 2020, 02:29:27 pm
Its a paper about awareness if Dr Stangelove level mad science, and the pyrrhic behavior of sick and or dying tyrants.

The intent is to explain how such a scenario can occur so as to systemically forbid it from happening.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on July 23, 2020, 02:49:54 pm
I stoped reading after the mad dictator in their final age migth need thousands of people to pull it off and take humanity wih him..... Not counting the magical delivery system to protect something as relatively delicated as an hydrogen bomb from the sun itself, among a million things else.

Not because is not amusing but because Im working. Good stuff for later.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Telgin on July 23, 2020, 02:51:13 pm
I only skimmed the paper, but it mentions needing the warhead to survive as much as 10 minutes inside of the sun's interior, which may well be impossible.  I don't know if any kind of real technology would ever permit that.

I'm also a bit skeptical that a 5-10 megaton bomb could actually do what they're suggesting, since it seems like the kinds of energy levels we'd see in nature hitting stars, and stars don't seem to explode except by known mechanisms.  I guess stellar collisions probably don't normally make it so deep into the star.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Akura on July 23, 2020, 03:21:40 pm
Huh, I always figured that if the sun ever started to cool off, causing Earth to freeze, you'd just send a group of mentally unstable people to suicide-bomb the sun with a nuclear bomb to make Earth warm again. Of course, the leader of these suicide bombers will need to stare at the sun the entire trip.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on July 23, 2020, 03:47:38 pm
Huh, I always figured that if the sun ever started to cool off, causing Earth to freeze, you'd just send a group of mentally unstable people to suicide-bomb the sun with a nuclear bomb to make Earth warm again. Of course, the leader of these suicide bombers will need to stare at the sun the entire trip.
That doesn't sound right. You'd need at least two such missions, in case the first one went wrong and decided to just sit in the Sun for a long time.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on July 23, 2020, 04:07:36 pm
But make sure at least one of the astronauts is a maniac that secretly desire the human race to die out.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Kagus on July 23, 2020, 04:38:47 pm
Watched that one for the first time not too long ago, actually... Mmmm, squishy!

Nice music though.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on July 23, 2020, 06:55:39 pm
Here's a paper (https://www.scirp.org/pdf/CWEEE_2013071113213239.pdf) discussing the possibility of blowing up the sun with a targeted nuclear bomb in order to ? ? ? because ? ? ?

I'm no expert in blowing up the sun, but it seems legit?
That the journal is a predatory one should be a clue as to how legit the paper is. Half of it reads like 'facts about the sun' essay for school assignment, copied from Wikipedia. The other half is the authors making bunk claims (the rate of p-p reactions in the Sun is so low due to there being a weak interaction involved, not because of Coulomb barrier - which is also why no bomb uses it), referencing irrelevant figures (talking about p-p reaction rates but showing deuterium/tritium/helium-3 rates), basing arguments on sweeping assumptions (like, at one point they even say something to the effect of: 'we don't actually know how this works, but let's talk about the bomb delivery now'), and referencing random shit and own work (the bibliography is hilarious) - because the principal author appears to have already had this idea 40 years ago and is still going on about it.
The formation of stars involves much higher energies than what any number of bombs can supply, and yet they don't explode, because the plasma is in self-regulating hydrostatic equilibrium. But I'm guessing if they ever used textbooks it was only to lift a few equations to prop up the already assumed conclusion.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sirus on July 23, 2020, 08:40:20 pm
I haven't looked at the paper, but my long-ago astronomy classes have led me to believe that the Sun puts out the equivalent energy of something like thousands of nuclear bombs every single minute. I don't see how a single nuke could possibly affect it in any meaningful way.

Not unless it was something absurd like the size of Saturn or something, and at that point it'd probably collapse under its own gravity and go critical anyway.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on July 23, 2020, 08:44:11 pm
From what I skimmed they bring up the factoid that a nuclear bomb has for an instant a higer temperature than the innards of the sun and that detonating one inside the sun would somehow result in a chain reaction that would turn it into a gigan nuclear bomb? Long history short it fails to take the volume, mass and other facts into account.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on July 23, 2020, 08:51:54 pm
The idea is that the sun is mostly composed of material which is available as fusion fuel, but being used gradually (this part is true, as I understand it). And so, what if you created conditions like that of the sun's "engine" in its "body" via a fusion bomb? The argument is that it would cause the fusion reaction to massively propagate itself due to the available fuel for further fusing, i.e. blow up the sun.

I think it's probably bullshit or at least impractical compared to, say, triggering MAD. That said, I know other principles of "here's how to hypothetically fuck around with stellar fusion" are theoretically valid, like pumping the sun full of iron to artificially age it since iron is the heaviest fusible element outside of nova conditions.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on July 23, 2020, 09:09:31 pm
The other way around is funnier, what if we got pieces from the sun here on earth.

And here is the answer  (https://youtu.be/J0ldO87Pprc)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on July 23, 2020, 09:24:00 pm
Yeah, unfortunately, not possible. You can't force a Sun-wide fusion reaction with a mere thermonuclear bomb. There are times during a typical Sun-sized star's life where large-scale fusion will arise in areas outside the core, but it cannot disturb the equilibrium because a sun-sized star is a naturally stable system until it starts to run out of fuel, at which point it will work towards a new equilibrium state, and so on until it settles into a white dwarf.

Basically, the areas outside the Sun's core just can't sustain fusion unless things drastically change, and a thermonuclear bomb is so small a change that it's laughable. Look at the energies released in a typical solar weather event (magnetic reconnections and whatnot), it's pretty huge, and those don't do anything meaningful to the star's internal conditions on the scale of the entire star.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on July 23, 2020, 10:38:42 pm
One can also bring up the Manhattan Project boffins who were reportedly fairly sure that their bomb (first of a particular type, differently reported in various retellings) would not have enough energy to convert the immediate atmosphere to suitable fuel to then convert the surrounding atmosphere, to ultimately go round the world...

They'd done the calculations that said it wouldn't happen like that, but weren't quite convinced.

(So it is said, that is.)

People like those stories. A collapse of false vacuum is an equivalent tale on a cosmic scale, of course.


Right now, we've got more to worry about Russian anti-satellite satellites giving us a Gravity situation without the eye-candy (Sandra or George, your choice).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Kagus on July 25, 2020, 08:29:14 am
(Sandra or George, your choice).
¿Por qué no los dos?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on July 25, 2020, 09:33:25 am
Porque tanta belleza junta es peligrosa Kagus.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: delphonso on July 26, 2020, 03:16:51 am
UAR and China had successful launches toward Mars. If their rovers land that'll be a first for both of them. Perseverence should be flying off this week.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on July 26, 2020, 03:23:52 am

Interesting factoid: The NASA mission is carrying an actual piece of Mars back to Mars.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on July 26, 2020, 03:47:45 am
Good ol' USA. Gotta send those immigrants back where they came from.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on July 26, 2020, 08:33:00 am
Hahahahaha.... or maybe they are appeasing the voif dragon of mars.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on September 14, 2020, 12:54:12 am
Holy. Fucking. Shit. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BBDyp06qp1U&feature=emb_title) (don't @ me about this being a UFO conspiracy channel, I know, but they're the only ones so far to reupload MIT's video which has nothing do do with conspiracy)

An atmospheric study of Venus has discovered the presence of phosphine in the planet's aerial habitable zone. Phosphine has no known abiotic source on terrestrial planets (gas giants do have such a source). Phosphine is unstable and would require a continuous source in order to be present in Venus' atmosphere.

Thus leaving us with two basic possibilities. Either we do not understand the generation of phosphine in some fundamental way, or...a source which is biological.

Which would of course be disastrous since it indicates that life is extremely common in the universe, and thus there is a great filter, and thus we are most likely fucked. Also before you ask, it's unlikely in the extreme that the USSR Venus mission somehow seeded life there and it was able to propagate in such a relatively short time span.

20-God-Damn-20, man.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on September 14, 2020, 01:06:44 am
Anybody ready to get filtered?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on September 14, 2020, 01:07:13 am
I for one wish we had been filtered sooner!

Also I swear to fuck if the actual first discovery of alien life is now on the bottom post of a page
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: feelotraveller on September 14, 2020, 01:15:01 am
Apparently there's an embargoed press release (Royal Astonomical Society) scheduled to drop on 14 September, so either today or tommorrow depending on the vagaries of time-zones, that concludes the phosphine is not from abiotic sources.  That spin will be all over the place then.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on September 14, 2020, 01:55:58 am
(Ironic joke alert)

The hyper-lifeforms are SuperWoke, and SpaceTwitter is VERY fast to Cancel Culture. ;)


The problem is that you don't have any idea what the Hyper-lifeforms find objectionable.

Enjoy your filtering experience-- the exit questionnaire before oblivion is sometimes considered worse than the extinction level event that precedes it.

/joke
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cthulhu on September 14, 2020, 08:30:40 am
Great Filter could still be in the past, and there's other ways Earth could have seeded life on Venus, I remember reading somewhere that even Chicxulub had enough force to put rocks in escape velocity, not to mention moon formation, other impacts we don't know about, etc.

But yeah, if abiogenesis happened on Venus that's fucking huge, either we won the lottery twice in a row (possibly more if Mars, Europa, etc. also end up having their own life, even fossilized) or life is god damn everywhere.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: voliol on September 14, 2020, 09:01:26 am
I’m still vexed by the previous topic of destroying the sun, but this blows (pun intended) those thoughts away. What’s up with this year? Are we inside some kind of reversed lotus-eater machine, i.e. one designed to make things as wack as possible? A lotus-regurgitation machine?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cthulhu on September 14, 2020, 09:03:32 am
Bitcoin mining is massively increasing load on the simulation.  Non-critical functions like the procedural story generator are going on low priority, degrading their functionality.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bralbaard on September 14, 2020, 01:38:46 pm
Ah another great filter discussion. I would not write off humanity just yet.  Venus atmosphere and geology are quite different from Earth, odds are it is soms abiogenic process we have not yet thought off.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Zangi on September 14, 2020, 02:11:13 pm
Venus: Aylium microbes live in Penguin guts.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 14, 2020, 02:16:58 pm
It's the Treens.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on September 14, 2020, 02:44:44 pm
Spoiler: SMBC to the rescue (click to show/hide)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on September 14, 2020, 03:01:10 pm
My newspaper had an article on it this afternoon.
https://www.volkskrant.nl/wetenschap/mogelijk-teken-van-leven-ontdekt-op-venus~b772108f/ (https://www.volkskrant.nl/wetenschap/mogelijk-teken-van-leven-ontdekt-op-venus~b772108f/)

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41550-020-1174-4
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Maximum Spin on September 14, 2020, 03:13:36 pm
there's other ways Earth could have seeded life on Venus, I remember reading somewhere that even Chicxulub had enough force to put rocks in escape velocity, not to mention moon formation, other impacts we don't know about, etc.
Yep, there are all kinds of reasons to think that basically the entire region around Earth's orbit is one gigantic biocontamination zone. Astrophysicists have known this for many years now.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on September 14, 2020, 03:17:52 pm
Give us a few thousand years without going extinct and we'll start expanding that bubble to nearby stars.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Maximum Spin on September 14, 2020, 03:19:20 pm
"We didn't find any signs of extraterrestrial civilisations, and that was boring, so we made some."
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: feelotraveller on September 14, 2020, 04:56:18 pm
Protagoras's last stand.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MrRoboto75 on September 14, 2020, 08:58:06 pm
look on the bright side, even if humans make earth a venusian greenhouse hellhole, life uh finds a way
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Telgin on September 14, 2020, 11:42:31 pm
I guess we'll learn something from the science even if it turns out to not be alien life, such as new abiotic sources of phosphine, but I'll be very surprised if we ever find life on Venus.  It's not impossible, but its biochemistry would have to be very different from ours.

Still, gives us a reason to try to build more probes to study Venus, which is cool.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 15, 2020, 07:35:54 am
The discovery 'pinpoints' the concentrations to the 50-60km altitudes in the cloud layer. Which gives pressures from a tad over 1 times Earth sea-level up to not quite airline cruising altitude, and rough temperatures of 75°C reducing to -15°C. With representative Earth life found across both ranges.

There's the H2SO4 clouds, of course (not that we don't have extremophiles with this 'superpower', often in conjunction with heat) and that only gives justification for existing life perhaps adapting into existence in this band of atmosphere[1], given time, and flash-adaptation of wandering spore-life or home-grown abiogenisis in this very situ takes a lot more explaining, and seems to not have the "tidal pools, many little experimental test-tubes and crucibles" element that is a heavy theory in our own origins.

So I'd suggest (with no hands-on knowledge) that maybe pre-overheated Venus did much the same as us, and gradually it lost all but its simple cellular life able to drift on the high winds, with a carefully trimmed(/selected-for) microbuoyancy to keep drifting in layers that could perhaps provids a sulphur-biased biochemical energy pathway, with or without a photosynthetic element to it..? And it'd be a long-shot (or indeed a long time) before multicellular gasbags (or 'colony gasbags' reminiscent of a portuguese man-o-war?) appeared as a dominant lifeform.

Unless I'm being too conservative (https://www.xkcd.com/2359/), especially as I don't know how long this life may have been floating around the venusian atmosphere, we don't entirely understand our own extreme-ancestry, and anything that took to being a microspore specialising in atmospheric floating may be much less prone to leaving fossils than those that more habitually became stromatolites (if they weren't the same thing, just in different modes of life).


[1] Though this could as easily be the inhospitabls 'graveyard' zone for life that exists elsewhere and 'spills its phosphine guts', or whatever decays to phosphene, into this layer once it leaves its much happier home layer...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 15, 2020, 02:06:15 pm
Just an idle thought:
Phosphine: ~1.379 g/l (STP)
CO2: 1.977 kg/m3 (gas at 1 atm and 0 °C)
...i.e. roughly 70% density in likish-for-likish conditions (c.f. Earth-atmosphere 1.29g/l, a reputedly viable 'lift gas' in future upper-atmosphere manned exploration of Venus), give or take the slightly different conditions of those measures, plus the wider range of conditions according to altitude that are relevent to the second rock from the Sun.

Apart from brownian/tubulent diffusion, it suggests a possible source below. Rising but simultaneously degrading or reacting with the sulphides/etc, to be most obvious during its rise, as it concentrates and before it dissipates again, perhaps itself evidence of a precursor phosphor compound elsewhere.

Or it suggests use as a lift-gas is possible (not found out much about the prevalence of other phosphor resources, yet, but you'd think it would have to be a common precursor to make phosphine a useful product just for density reasons - or at least the best handleable compared to pure hydrogen or oxygenated crackings-and-distillations), and these are escaped whiffs from injury or worse.

Or both. Imagine venereal (wo)men-o-war floating down at maybe 20-40km, dangling 'dredging' or 'trawling' tentacles into the further depths, perhaps even to the surface rocks (pulled up to avoid active vulcanism, or a small loss if the tips get singed), extracting phosphates and other useful substances, drawing them up into their more habitable layers of atmosphere to react (and/or photosynthesise, in a local manner, depending on how much cloud there is above[1]), in their own personal version of life.


I've yet to see what the phosphine normally degrades to (under the appropriate influence of sun'n'sulphates), and what signatures that might give that are detectable. If it's an ecosystem, I'd expect an 'unnatural' pipeline of further feeding frenzy to live upon the phosphine (living upon the wastes of other organisms), which might he easied to detect if these things happen in/emerge into the clearer air above the haze more than the phosphine-exhalers/farters/leakers below, whatever any of them are. Especially if it forms an active phosphor-cycle, which is almost expected if it is at all an important element in life (in whatever form), including geology and the local equivalent to hydrology.


[1] The sulphuric haze goes up to ~50km, also obscuring our view of what happens below this discovery, unless it ended up caught on a Venera lander/crasher camera, etc. Which we can probably presume it didn't.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on October 19, 2020, 01:22:48 pm
https://phys.org/news/2020-10-spacecraft-titan-years-fusion.amp

Wow... those guys are stating a trip to Saturn in 2 years and a half, is not clear to me if is the round trip with no stops and two years or two and a half for a one way trip.

If is two and a half years to saturn it means like 50 days to Mars if my memory of planetary distance is not that rusty.

That is fucking fast.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on October 19, 2020, 02:43:02 pm
https://phys.org/news/2020-10-spacecraft-titan-years-fusion.amp

Oh wow, somebody suggesting a means by which we could turn the theoretical efficiency and power output of a fusion reactor into thrust, how original.

It'd be more helpful if they stopped daydreaming about how cool it would be and actually started working on a fission-powered rocket which could actually be built and tested and employed and made ready for the replacement of its power source with fusion, instead of waiting for someone to come hand them a fusion reactor to fill in the big black box that is the power source for their design.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on October 20, 2020, 05:40:38 pm
OSIRIS-REx (https://www.asteroidmission.org/) had a successful touch and go on asteroid Bennu!

They'll know some time tomorrow if they got a large enough sample or if they need to make a second landing.



Also, SpaceX did its first static fire of the triple-Raptor engine config (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bc4_iu7U3ic) for Starship.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: bloop_bleep on October 21, 2020, 04:19:21 pm
It'd be more helpful if they stopped daydreaming about how cool it would be and actually started working on a fission-powered rocket which could actually be built and tested and employed and made ready for the replacement of its power source with fusion, instead of waiting for someone to come hand them a fusion reactor to fill in the big black box that is the power source for their design.

Well, they tried to do that already, with Orion, which was scrapped after a nuclear treaty, something about deploying multiple nuclear bombs throughout a whole vertical column of the atmosphere being undesirable or something. Besides I'm not sure that a nuclear fusion reactor is similar enough to a fission reactor in terms of weight, power output, power characteristics, fuel usage, required operating conditions, etc. that you can just make a fission reactor engine and then swap out a fusion reactor with some minimal adjustments and have the thing work.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Eric Blank on October 21, 2020, 04:27:39 pm
You could make a modular design, such as a craft which can be split up (sections effectively undocked), and then dock a new reactor (or whatever) section in the middle of the stack. Similar to the way the ISS modules needed to be connected (although I assume they're not truly modular in that they can be sealed off and disconnected, maybe at all), but just make one long stack with engines at the back.

It would be a totally novel design and probably need tons of new engineering, but once such modular construction is available, you could replace compatible components in orbit without having to scrap an older craft and launch a totally new one. Such as replacing an old defunct power plant, engine, or crew/work compartments with the latest model.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on October 21, 2020, 04:41:31 pm
If you put enough fuel on board, and put a big enough power plant to use BOTH a magnetic ramscoop, AND a multiport ion thruster on a vehicle, you could then cruise through deep space while refueling the ion thruster in flight. (Ion thruster variant of the RAIR)

(The fission powerplant powers the magnetic ramscoop, which scoops up already ionized particles, and funnels them into the ion thruster's intake.  The ions are then accelerated in the ion engine, and shot out the back, conferring specific impulse to the vehicle. Like a RAIR, heavy radioactive nuclei from the fission reactor, aka, its waste, can be vented through the ion thruster, and ejected from the vehicle as well, but this would probably make space hippies angry.)

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Eric Blank on October 21, 2020, 05:03:43 pm
How much waste product would that actually produce, though? Surely not a significant enough amount to cause problems?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on October 21, 2020, 05:20:32 pm
Depends on a number of scenarios...

1) One-off vehicle going to a distant star-- eg, a robot probe mission. 

Long term effects: Basically nonexistent.

2) A larger vehicle carrying humans, going to a distant star.  The reactor needs to be much bigger, and thus needs to have more fuel rods installed-- The need for constant power to keep the crew from freezing to death, etc-- means that maintenance windows to refuel the reactor and dispose of waste will be spread apart by long periods of time, and that means larger quantities of waste needing to be eliminated in sudden large quantities after refueling the reactor.  This could result in large clouds of radioactive products after vaporizing the waste to send it through the ion engine.

Long term effects:  unknown. Potentially large clouds of radioactive gasses would dot the vehicle's path.

3) Somehow long-haul interstellar travel (or worse, intrastellar travel inside the solar system) becomes very very popular, and this kind of engine is preferred when transporting humans around. Has the problem of scenario 2, but now has those clouds of debris piling up in frequently traversed parts of the solar system. or frequently traversed parts of the interstellar medium.  Risks to later generations of vehicle would compound as these clouds of particle gasses start increasing in frequency and density.

Long term effects:  Potentially troubling.


Really, you would only want to use this kind of engine for interstellar voyages.  Inside a star system, you could just wave a big mylar sheet at the solar wind, and get almost as much specific impulse for basically free-- at least when traveling outward.  (which could be redirected inward with gravity slingshot maneuvers, using small amounts of conventional fuel to do the orbit burns)


Want to send a probe to that probably scorched rock orbiting Proxima Centauri?  Sure-- use the fission powered NAIR/ION hybrid.  The solar wind particles of Proxima would slow the vehicle down (because the ramscoop would start getting pelted with solar wind particles, the combined impulse of which would be greater than its thrust-- and the ramscoop as a very large area) as it approached, so you get free braking.

Want to send humans? As long as you dont send humans all that often, you could probably get away with the scaled up version--- but if you suddenly are sending ships all the damn time, you should use a fusion rocket instead.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 21, 2020, 05:31:27 pm
If you end up (knowingly or otherwise) visiting an inhabitted exoplanet, be aware that your vehicle may not be strictly allowed, or at all welcome, by the local ordinances upon your arrival...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on October 21, 2020, 05:41:01 pm
-snip-

Well, they tried to do that already, with Orion, which was scrapped after a nuclear treaty, something about deploying multiple nuclear bombs throughout a whole vertical column of the atmosphere being undesirable or something. Besides I'm not sure that a nuclear fusion reactor is similar enough to a fission reactor in terms of weight, power output, power characteristics, fuel usage, required operating conditions, etc. that you can just make a fission reactor engine and then swap out a fusion reactor with some minimal adjustments and have the thing work.

Fission reactor powered rocket is not the same as an Orion drive WHATSOEVER, for starters. A nuclear-powered drive of some form (be it nuclear thermal or just electric propulsion powered by nuclear means) is a pretty sweet improvement to the typical options available and has none of the downsides of solar sails. I also did not mean literally using the same ships but instead experimenting with the forms of propulsion available to a nuclear reactor system...and also just making interplanetary travel faster and easier.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Eric Blank on October 21, 2020, 05:57:33 pm
If you end up (knowingly or otherwise) visiting an inhabitted exoplanet, be aware that your vehicle may not be strictly allowed, or at all welcome, by the local ordinances upon your arrival...

That's assuming they can detect or do anything about us. A pre-industrial civilization might not, even with giant clouds of radioactive material trailing behind such a craft. In the same way supposed UFOs don't give a fuck about our aerospace restrictions or guidelines; even if we could conclusively prove aliens are violating our aerospace, the gap in technology supposed is such that we can't do shit except politely ask them to not enter high traffic areas without prior warning.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on October 21, 2020, 06:08:23 pm
fission powered ion thruster is probably the most useful, if you can produce a compact (and most importantly!), lightweight fission reactor to couple it with. (The thrust provided by an ion engine is very small-- Less than 1 newton, IIRC. However, the propellant consumption is very small, compared to the delta V it produces, especially over the lifetime of the engine, since it can do continuous fire, potentially for years at a time.)


Say for instance, if you have well calculated rendezvous of a large transport of some kind (Hello early Bungee title, I am borrowing the Marathon for this example), this heavy vehicle could use a combination of deployable solar sails and ion thrusters to keep its velocity high, then enter and leave high orbits of target bodies in the solar system after getting local reaction-mass replenished (or if using only the ion thruster/sails to do the orbital maneuvers, use a long transfer trajectory.)  It would have to operate on a *VERY* strict time-table to keep favorable rendezvous going, but it could be used to ferry large amounts of material/people around the solar system.  It is important to note that this vehicle does not EVER slow down. Once it gets up to speed, its engines are ALWAYS hot.  The most it does is enter a capture trajectory for a high orbit capture, with controlled burns to accomplish this.  It would then burn its engines and selectively deploy and retract its solar sails to do oberth like operations to exit orbit, and breakaway, based on its timetable.  Its high velocity means it has to assume a high orbit.


Remember, a heavy reactor in space is always bad.  It means you either can transport less cargo, or will be expending more energy for a gain in delta-V for the energy expended, in a very unpleasant curve with ever increasing diminishing returns, as the reactor gets heavier.  Lighter reactors will always be preferred, even with a super-transport like the Marathon.

If being used inside a star system like this, expelling the waste out the tailpipe is not advisable; the waste products could be vastly more useful in space as the power cell inside RTGs for deployed robots and probes.  The reactor's waste should be transferred to local port authorities for that use.


@Eric Blank, RE: Port authority

Remember, aliens are likely to be either waaaaaaaaaaaay more advanced than us, or waaaaaaaaay less advanced than us.  Only seeing the "way less advanced" point of view is dangerous.  You dont want to show up in orbit of Aiur with a nuke smoldering rustbucket, and have to fart out a bunch of radioactive polonium.  The protoss will take exception, and it wont end well for you. :P

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: bloop_bleep on October 21, 2020, 07:59:05 pm
I might have missed a discussion on this, but what was the deal with that supposed UFO an Air Force pilot supposedly spotted?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MetalSlimeHunt on October 21, 2020, 08:01:46 pm
Probably just nations getting eyes on each others' spy planes. Those you can't even let the world know that they exist, or they'll have some idea of what to look for. And weird shapes are an advantage since they can throw off things looking for the signature of a plane, ala the B2.

Edit: NASA stating that they've got a major discovery about the moon in the works collected by one of the infrared telescopes, speculation is towards either subsurface ice water or evidence of tectonic activity.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Eric Blank on October 21, 2020, 08:33:28 pm
Tectonic activity angle sounds neat. What's goin on up in that moon?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: bloop_bleep on October 21, 2020, 08:40:15 pm
Tectonic activity angle sounds neat. What's goin on up in that moon?

Clearly subsurface hives of magma men. Explains the UFOs.

They probably need to make an Earth expedition every 100 years or so to obtain oxygen for their metalsmithing workshops.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on October 21, 2020, 08:53:13 pm
NASA: Not only was the moon landing a hoax, the Moon itself is a hoax.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 21, 2020, 09:25:24 pm
Probably just nations getting eyes on each others' spy planes. Those you can't even let the world know that they exist, or they'll have some idea of what to look for. And weird shapes are an advantage since they can throw off things looking for the signature of a plane, ala the B2.
Even if it's a known shape, it can be misinterpreted.

There was this photo I recall of a 'UFO' being refuelled by a USAF tanker plane. It was quite clearly a not-at-that-time-unknown F117a (at an angle similar to this photo (https://hips.hearstapps.com/hmg-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/images/an-american-f-117a-nighthawk-stealth-fighter-one-of-the-news-photo-1595446919.jpg), as I recall, except from underneath - an angle the tanker aircraft was clearly heading), but someone had decided to interpret it as a "flying saucer" by misinterpretting nose for one side, wing for the other, the other wing as the central bulge. It's not even as unconventional as the B2 (prime 'saucer' material, especially head on).

And videos taken by pilots (in planes travelling at speed, and not necessarily constant velocity - including direction) of othervl aircraft are subject to so much closing/departing changes even to steadily moving 'bogies' that all the pan/tilt/dolly/truck camera motion effects (which the remote viewer can't feel or appreciate the effects of) can utterly disguise the absolute motion, and heading, of the unknown airframe trying to being focussed (or, usually, 'blurried') upon.  But if you "want to believe" (or want others to, by redubbing the pilot commentaries accordingly) it's far too easy.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Eric Blank on October 22, 2020, 01:57:12 am
You know I recall one aliens mystery thing mentioning Apollo astronauts supposedly seeing "camp fire" like lights and smoke coming off the moon and saying "oh yeh they're covering it up because it's clearly aliens". I wonder now, if that's what NASA's findings will be about, and if there's actually volcanic activity (could cause glowing lights on the surface and plumes of gas and ash ejecta that resemble smoke) somewhere on the surface their infrared systems picked up.

I remember that was the first thing that came to mind when we were watching that show. "Oh that sounds like volcanic activity, not aliens, you dipshits"
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on October 22, 2020, 02:12:02 am
or evidence of tectonic activity.
Who's speculating that? The Flat Earth Society? How would that even work?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on October 22, 2020, 02:18:46 am
Pieplate earth exerts uneven gravitation against pieplate moon, causing it to vibrate and get hot!
(bonus if they use math.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on October 22, 2020, 02:47:38 am
Pieplate earth exerts uneven gravitation against pieplate moon, causing it to vibrate and get hot!
(bonus if they use math.)

Little-known fact, most Flat Earthers believe that the Moon and other planets are indeed round, it's only Earth that is flat.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cthulhu on October 22, 2020, 10:53:58 am
Probably just nations getting eyes on each others' spy planes. Those you can't even let the world know that they exist, or they'll have some idea of what to look for. And weird shapes are an advantage since they can throw off things looking for the signature of a plane, ala the B2.
Even if it's a known shape, it can be misinterpreted.

There was this photo I recall of a 'UFO' being refuelled by a USAF tanker plane. It was quite clearly a not-at-that-time-unknown F117a (at an angle similar to this photo (https://hips.hearstapps.com/hmg-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/images/an-american-f-117a-nighthawk-stealth-fighter-one-of-the-news-photo-1595446919.jpg), as I recall, except from underneath - an angle the tanker aircraft was clearly heading), but someone had decided to interpret it as a "flying saucer" by misinterpretting nose for one side, wing for the other, the other wing as the central bulge. It's not even as unconventional as the B2 (prime 'saucer' material, especially head on).

And videos taken by pilots (in planes travelling at speed, and not necessarily constant velocity - including direction) of othervl aircraft are subject to so much closing/departing changes even to steadily moving 'bogies' that all the pan/tilt/dolly/truck camera motion effects (which the remote viewer can't feel or appreciate the effects of) can utterly disguise the absolute motion, and heading, of the unknown airframe trying to being focussed (or, usually, 'blurried') upon.  But if you "want to believe" (or want others to, by redubbing the pilot commentaries accordingly) it's far too easy.

This is what I always tell people, a picture of a flying object against the backdrop of the sky has exactly zero frame of reference for size, distance, speed, heading, really any property that could help you figure out what it is.

If you don't know what shape an object is or which way it's going, you can't make any inferences about the way it's flying.  A lot of UFO shit like hard 90 degree pivots, stopping in mid-air, etc. could easily be normal flying behaviors, you just can't tell what it's doing.

There was an experiment once where they had somebody sit in a pitch-black room with a laser pointer on the wall, and they had to report what the laser point did.  They reported it moving around the room, but it was bolted to the wall.  With no frame of reference, the brain started reading saccades and small head movements as the laser itself moving.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: McTraveller on October 22, 2020, 01:45:45 pm
You know I recall one aliens mystery thing mentioning Apollo astronauts supposedly seeing "camp fire" like lights and smoke coming off the moon and saying "oh yeh they're covering it up because it's clearly aliens". I wonder now, if that's what NASA's findings will be about, and if there's actually volcanic activity (could cause glowing lights on the surface and plumes of gas and ash ejecta that resemble smoke) somewhere on the surface their infrared systems picked up.

I remember that was the first thing that came to mind when we were watching that show. "Oh that sounds like volcanic activity, not aliens, you dipshits"

Why wouldn't it be meteor(ite) impacts? That seems even more plausible and probable to me. Smoke/Debris in low gravity? Check. Heat? Check.

I guess that doesn't sound as interesting though.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Eric Blank on October 22, 2020, 02:48:20 pm
Yeah, that's a possibility too, but definitely not as interesting
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 22, 2020, 03:43:17 pm
Moon Nazis.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: voliol on October 23, 2020, 12:45:05 am
Is that a reference to Star Wars, or to the Finnish 2012 film Iron Sky with actual nazis (as opposed to the empire/first order) having a base on the dark side of the moon, being isolated there since the 40ies?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on October 23, 2020, 05:32:14 am
Moon nazis is always a reference to Iron Sky
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on October 23, 2020, 11:27:48 am
No, it's a reference to the actual Moon Nazis (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JAYwW0M9k0I), sheeple.

I mean, this is on the Science Channel, so it MUST be real.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sirus on October 23, 2020, 02:30:59 pm
Don't be ridiculous, the Moon Nazis were defeated years ago in a mahjong game of the highest stakes imaginable.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: delphonso on October 23, 2020, 04:46:39 pm
The stakes were so high, they were on the moon.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Eric Blank on October 23, 2020, 04:53:37 pm
But even higher; atop a two mile high tower on the far side of the moon, on the back of a stoned heifer that nearly OD'd.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: bloop_bleep on October 23, 2020, 06:24:27 pm
Clearly the Moon Nazis were the magma man partisans who espoused the political ideology that the denizens in the center of the moon are more desirable than the supposedly less civilized crater-dwellers.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Loud Whispers on October 24, 2020, 04:59:44 am
If we subscribe to flat moon theory, it makes sense as to how the moon nazis haven't been able to return from their banishment to the dark side of the moon yet
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on October 24, 2020, 05:31:40 pm
If we subscribe to flat moon theory, it makes sense as to how the moon nazis haven't been able to return from their banishment to the dark side of the moon yet

They tried to hide from observation on the back of the moon but fell off the other side
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 25, 2020, 12:36:26 pm
/still awaits any comments about Osiris-Rex apparently biting off more than it could chew...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dostoevsky on October 26, 2020, 11:42:01 am
Here's that moon news: https://www.washingtonpost.com/science/2020/10/26/water-on-the-moon/

Per the web address, (signs of) water on the moon.

Quote
There is water on the moon’s surface and ice may be widespread in its many shadows, according to a pair of studies published Monday in the journal Nature Astronomy. The research confirms long-standing theories about the existence of lunar water that could someday enable astronauts to live there for extended periods.

Oh, and here are links to the actual published articles: one (https://www.nature.com/articles/s41550-020-01222-x), and two (https://www.nature.com/articles/s41550-020-1198-9).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 26, 2020, 12:17:53 pm
To reference a bit of article (that I thought I'd put in my paste-buffer, to quote, but apparently not), unless it's being replenished, of course it's likely to be stable (especially statically so).

There's a lot of water in many of the smaller 'rocks' out there, and clearly was a whole lot more . While there's probably re-escape of water whose original dirty-snowball impacted the Moon, there's a high chance that masses of it spattered into dark bluffs, got overtopped by crater-gouged regolith, etc...Comparative dryness might be worth talking about, but I'm not sure that, once we got past the simpler views of space, the 'dry Moon' hypothesis ever (NPI!) held water.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Teneb on October 26, 2020, 02:46:50 pm
*cocks gun* Moon's wet.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on October 26, 2020, 03:42:22 pm
Moon sweat.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Eric Blank on October 26, 2020, 07:58:28 pm
One day, we will hold ice skating and hockey championships on the moon.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cthulhu on October 29, 2020, 09:47:27 am
Quote from: Starlink Terms of Service
For Services provided to, on, or in orbit around the planet Earth or the Moon, these Terms and any disputes between us arising out of or related to these Terms, including disputes regarding arbitrability (“Disputes”) will be governed by and construed in accordance with the laws of the State of California in the United States. For Services provided on Mars, or in transit to Mars via Starship or other colonization spacecraft, the parties recognize Mars as a free planet and that no Earth-based government has authority or sovereignty over Martian activities. Accordingly, Disputes will be settled through self-governing principles, established in good faith, at the time of Martian settlement.

On one hand, this is true.  On the other, do not live on a planet.  Never live on a planet.  If you're in a gravity well you can't escape with compressed air, you've fucked up.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on October 29, 2020, 09:56:56 am
Arguably, given that Mars' gravity is quite a bit less than on earth...  Items weigh only 1/3 what they do here.

If you could somehow get enough of it, you very well might be able to compress the CO2 atmosphere into dry ice surrounding an electro-resistive heating element, and use that to generate lots of gas on demand, and use it to leave orbit...

Let me get some figures real quick.

--

Mars' escape velocity is approximately 5km/sec.

CO2 has a density of 0.001977 g/mL of volume, at 1ATM, at 0C, in gaseous form. (at earth's gravity.  Since this is Mars, we should take roughly 1/3 of that value for our Delta-V computation)
It has a density of 1.56 g/mL in ice form. (again,  when on earth)

That means it expands ~789.07 times in volume, going from solid to gas, when at 1ATM of ambient pressure.

Mars has an ambient pressure of .088psi (610 pascals). (Earth's pressure at 1ATM is 101325 pascals), which is 1/166th the pressure.
If we keep exhausted gas at 0c, that means the degree of expansion is 166 times that on earth, so 1cm^2 of dry ice will expand to fill a volume of 130,985.62cm^2

--

If somebody else is actually more interested in this, that should get them started.  As I sit here collecting trivia, and looking up online calculators to do the math for me, I am getting more and more sleepy and I have learned the hard way that I make stupid assed errors when in that condition.  Somebody more awake can finish it if they really want to know if a solid fuel CO2 decomposition rocket is sufficient to get the delta-V needed to escape martian orbit.




Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cthulhu on October 29, 2020, 10:04:56 am
Yeah but will Tesla-Grumman RaytheonTM's loitering kill vehicles knock you back out of orbit?

Asteroid habitat or bust, get off my space-lawn.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on October 29, 2020, 10:11:18 am
Quote from: Starlink Terms of Service
For Services provided to, on, or in orbit around the planet Earth or the Moon, these Terms and any disputes between us arising out of or related to these Terms, including disputes regarding arbitrability (“Disputes”) will be governed by and construed in accordance with the laws of the State of California in the United States. For Services provided on Mars, or in transit to Mars via Starship or other colonization spacecraft, the parties recognize Mars as a free planet and that no Earth-based government has authority or sovereignty over Martian activities. Accordingly, Disputes will be settled through self-governing principles, established in good faith, at the time of Martian settlement.

On one hand, this is true.  On the other, do not live on a planet.  Never live on a planet.  If you're in a gravity well you can't escape with compressed air, you've fucked up.
I forsee a Mars dotted with the estates of uber-wealthy libertarian tech magnates seeking safe harbor from all the Earth governments they've fucked with. John Galt of Mars.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on October 29, 2020, 10:36:12 am
nwabudike morgan has to start somewhere...


Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bralbaard on October 29, 2020, 10:46:20 am

I forsee a Mars dotted with the estates of uber-wealthy libertarian tech magnates seeking safe harbor from all the Earth governments they've fucked with. John Galt of Mars.

It would be useful for tax evasion as well. So you have to pay taxes for every kg. of stuff you sell/produce/own? Just make sure you are legally based in the asteroid belt where everything weighs 0 kg.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cthulhu on October 29, 2020, 10:51:07 am
Obviously the tax laws are going to go by mass, they're not that stupid.

But also I'm on an out-of-plane asteroid so I'm not paying taxes and you can't make me.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on October 29, 2020, 10:51:36 am
Don't be silly LW.  It will never actually be 0.  Just very very close to 0.  (Since every object with mass, very so gently gravitates to all other objects with mass. This means that your object's attraction to the scale you are using, would depress the scale slightly, thus making it always >0)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: RedKing on October 29, 2020, 11:18:55 am
Obviously the tax laws are going to go by mass, they're not that stupid.

But also I'm on an out-of-plane asteroid so I'm not paying taxes and you can't make me.
That'd be an interesting tax evasion concept. "Sir, the cost in fuel alone to climb above the ecliptic is seven times what he owes."
"What are our options?"
"Well, taking into account estimated fuel costs, required delta-V for intercept, and interest rates, his asteroid will reach a Pareto-optimal intercept point in 221.63 years. Sooner if fuel prices come down or interest rates go up."
"Get the DOE on line 1, and the Federal Reserve on line 2."
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on October 29, 2020, 11:23:07 am
"What is the iron content of his asteroid?  It might be possible to nudge it closer a little sooner with well timed deployment schedules of the local itinerant mag-scoops used to scoop up the local ferrous space-gravel. "

"How much sooner?"

"Depends on how efficiently you can manage the mining crews."
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bralbaard on October 29, 2020, 11:26:13 am
Obviously the tax laws are going to go by mass, they're not that stupid.


I would not be so sure. Current tax laws make it possible for someone with the wealth and income of Trump to pay 0 taxes, I personally do not hold much hope for improvement in the future.

Don't be silly LW.  It will never actually be 0.  Just very very close to 0.  (Since every object with mass, very so gently gravitates to all other objects with mass. This means that your object's attraction to the scale you are using, would depress the scale slightly, thus making it always >0)

Hmm. So if the mass of what you are trying to weigh is actually higher than the weight of the scale it would lift the scale, thereby you would technically have negative weight being registered. You could argue that the tax services need to pay you for all that negative weight.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 29, 2020, 12:17:23 pm
Just make sure you are legally based in the asteroid belt where everything weighs 0 kg.
Obviously the tax laws are going to go by mass, they're not that stupid.

*raises hand*

The kilogram is mass. Mass doesn't go away in microgravity/reduce on the surface of smaller bodies, it just has less non-inertial external force acting upon it (and the same inertial force[1]).


Next: Whether a lorry full of canaries can get over a slightly too weak bridge by thumping on the side of the container, and how your helium balloon behaves if you're holding it in a bus swerving round a corner. 

(Was going to do a "The chances of anything coming from Mars..." thing, but I just had to point this out.)



[1] Which is incidentally how they were going to measure OSIRIS-REX’s collected sample of Bennu(/whatever it's called). Close the sampler, extend it back out on its arm and then spin the spacecraft to work out how much mass it has in it. I haven't seen that they've managed to do that, yet, having apparently overfilled their container, with such a good grab of sample, that they couldn't close the capsule properly.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: McTraveller on October 29, 2020, 12:33:23 pm
If you start with compressed CO2 hot enough, you might be able to escape Mars; at 2000K temperature and exhausting to a vacuum you can get an exhaust velocity of about 2340 m/s* (Isp about 239).  For a delta-V of 5km/s in a single stage, you can do it with a full-to-empty ratio of about e^(5000/2340) = 8.5 (about 89% fuel mass).  So it's mathematically possible, but it's probably not feasible with real-world materials.

Spoiler: * (click to show/hide)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 29, 2020, 12:44:21 pm
Double-post rather than re(re)edit. (Or was a DP when I started.)

Plan: Drift slowly onto Bennu, Sample, Drift slowly away, Photo sampler head, Stop drift away, Spin to check mass, if not enough mass (60g) then drift back for another go (maybe at alternate site), if enough then get around to stowing sample in return-capsule, checking, disconnect collector head and stow arm, set off back to Earth.

Actuality: Drift, Sample, Photo, ...cancel away-drift-stop and spin... sample stowed and checked, and the rest.


@McTraveller: It's got to be green gas. Bright green flare (combustion? Copper compound?) drawing a green mist behind it (could be anything, including uncoloured mist still lit by the remains of the flare compounds).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dostoevsky on October 29, 2020, 02:00:44 pm
@McTraveller: It's got to be green gas. Bright green flare (combustion? Copper compound?) drawing a green mist behind it (could be anything, including uncoloured mist still lit by the remains of the flare compounds).

The chances of anything coming from Mars, were a million to one, he said (https://youtu.be/6YwFvmnbj3E?t=370)...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 30, 2020, 11:15:27 am
(Sample door closed. Mark 24/Sep/2023 in your diaries. If Utah still exists.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on November 23, 2020, 06:03:56 pm
..talking of samples, Chang'e 5 (Chinese sample-return mission to the Moon (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chang%27e_5)) has been launched.

((Well, it makes a change from SpaceX stuff, although I also held off double-posting on several other things of note I now forget about. So obviously not of note.))

(edit: Lander/re-ascender now on the surface. Seems the Chinese media/officials were cautious about its success and only announced it later rather than blitzing with live news.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Jopax on December 01, 2020, 01:46:38 pm
Speaking of space, F for the Arecibo telescope. What was left of it collapsed earlier today, before they could do a controlled thing. Fairly unlikely it'll be restored anytime soon, if ever.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: delphonso on December 01, 2020, 09:44:59 pm
F
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Duuvian on December 02, 2020, 04:21:15 am
..talking of samples, Chang'e 5 (Chinese sample-return mission to the Moon (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chang%27e_5)) has been launched.

((Well, it makes a change from SpaceX stuff, although I also held off double-posting on several other things of note I now forget about. So obviously not of note.))

(edit: Lander/re-ascender now on the surface. Seems the Chinese media/officials were cautious about its success and only announced it later rather than blitzing with live news.)

From what I've heard on the radio, this landing is in an area of the moon much younger in astronomical terms than the portions landed on in the manned missions. I don't know if they are the first unmanned craft to touch down in that area as well, but either way the achievements of a science mission are generally worthy of congratulations in my opinion should it be successful.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on December 02, 2020, 10:01:10 am
That's my impression of the plans. (And it'll never be bad to get a broader cross-section of the selenology than before.)

Interestingly, it was a couple of hours after I posted my edit update (a chance spot of an obscure news site, but already an hour or so old) before the App I was trying out that (annoyingly[1], at times!) announces *every* *single* *rocket-launch* bothered to let me know it had happened.


On the Arecibo, it was a technological marvel in its day and I rue its demise. We'll probably not see another like it (without some need unfilled I can't currently imagine) with synthetic aperture technology and 'dish the size of the planet[2]' signal recombination. Though my thoughts have long been turning to what to do with the end of the garden. Perhaps I could try a very small-scale rockery version? ;)



[1] "24 hours ahead, less hours ahead... 5 minutes to go... Watch Live Now!" At least when weather delays don't reset the whole thing, or a planned SpaceX hopper has to be defuelled for 'reasons'.

[2] Which will probably evolve to 'dish the size of an orbit', and '...the Moon's orbit' if/when they can get some of the bandwidth issues (sneakernet?) easily fulfilled.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on December 02, 2020, 10:52:51 am
I will laugh from wherever I am in 200 years when some agressive aliens show up replying to the arecibo message and find the thing in ruins.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on December 16, 2020, 11:33:49 pm
Just a note, as nobody else bothered to update with it yet, that Chang'e 5 has returned with bits of the Moon.  (And we have confirmed bits of asteroid from Hayabusa 2.)

I'm also quite a bit intetested in the Capella Sequoia satellite radar imagery of Earth. 50cm squares (or even better resolution, maybe 5cm-ish, for US government purposes), day or night, cloudy or clear. The sample images of human structures (buildings, ships, etc) have, obviously I suppose, an 'X-ray' quality, which will make even 'cut and cover' installations that much less covert. Built-in countermeasures will be troublesome and possibly even attract attention[1], if I read it correctly, though of course it won't easily pick up people. And not the only such synthetic-aperture system going/gone up around now.




[1] I'm tempted to lay out some aluminium foil in large letters in my loft, or maybe some wire mesh under my garden, as an easter-egg. I suppose with the right configuration and material one could 'augment' something into a less suspicious form.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TomJo on January 19, 2021, 11:09:17 am
Speaking of space, F for the Arecibo telescope. What was left of it collapsed earlier today, before they could do a controlled thing. Fairly unlikely it'll be restored anytime soon, if ever.

https://spacenews.com/puerto-rico-government-supports-rebuilding-arecibo/

Here's some pretty good news for you. The restoration decree was signed on December 28. So Arecibo has a chance to return. Although if you read the news carefully ...
It says that it may be a new version of the radio telescope with improved performance. This definitely makes sense. I think this will take a long time. But it is still possible that there will be something even better than Arecibo.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on January 19, 2021, 12:52:19 pm
I already spent some time considering how I'd rebuild the structure.

Design-item #1, have more than three suspension pylons/linkages. Four is possible (but edgy), five would suffice, six would be optimal. It allows for the detensioning and (if necessary) restringing or even re-towering in the event of any single important failure, while still supported (if not quite as stabilised for high-precision reception/transmission).

The four-tower option would require two opposite legs to be capable of enduring the load as the counter-opposite ones were slackened (temporary swing-proofing anchorages set up just for lateral support). Six would be the best though.

And modern materials and hardware (and bridge-deck design experience in real/virtual wind-tunnels) ought to make the receiver platform lighter, stabler and less of a stress on the whole structure as well. A sleaker, more versatile and significantly more weatherproof design. A covered access walkway (as unused as it normally would be) might be handy, too.

And a set of smaller outlier dishes (that can be planned, but not funded until there's enough further slack in the funding if necessary) can directly be slaved in for VLBI/MERLIN-like purposes or retasked in pairs for binocular use, or singly for less fine sideline tasks like additional simultaneous Deep Space Network transeiving[1] tasks. But that's more wish-list than naturally assumed improvements and refining of the old infrastructure.


[1] A proper DTN link could easily involve a different antenna(-combination) setting up to retrieve a Newer Horizons-type craft's return signal from the one(s) that sent a schedule update to it in the first place.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TomJo on January 20, 2021, 09:21:37 am
I already spent some time considering how I'd rebuild the structure.

Design-item #1, have more than three suspension pylons/linkages. Four is possible (but edgy), five would suffice, six would be optimal. It allows for the detensioning and (if necessary) restringing or even re-towering in the event of any single important failure, while still supported (if not quite as stabilised for high-precision reception/transmission).

The four-tower option would require two opposite legs to be capable of enduring the load as the counter-opposite ones were slackened (temporary swing-proofing anchorages set up just for lateral support). Six would be the best though.

And modern materials and hardware (and bridge-deck design experience in real/virtual wind-tunnels) ought to make the receiver platform lighter, stabler and less of a stress on the whole structure as well. A sleaker, more versatile and significantly more weatherproof design. A covered access walkway (as unused as it normally would be) might be handy, too.

And a set of smaller outlier dishes (that can be planned, but not funded until there's enough further slack in the funding if necessary) can directly be slaved in for VLBI/MERLIN-like purposes or retasked in pairs for binocular use, or singly for less fine sideline tasks like additional simultaneous Deep Space Network transeiving[1] tasks. But that's more wish-list than naturally assumed improvements and refining of the old infrastructure.


[1] A proper DTN link could easily involve a different antenna(-combination) setting up to retrieve a Newer Horizons-type craft's return signal from the one(s) that sent a schedule update to it in the first place.

An interesting plan. After a while, we will see if the real plan matches yours. And will there be any work in this direction?
Today it would probably be more relevant to discuss something that took off about half an hour ago. For the 8th time. How many satellites will we receive in total this year? Almost every day satellites are launched in one or another part of the planet.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on January 20, 2021, 10:01:25 am
Ok, for the other stuff going up there[1] in recent days, I thought I'd missed my chance (without double-posting, once I remembered) to mention that LauncherOne was finally successful for Virgin, the other day. Plane-to-Orbit commercial rocket platform... Coming to Cornwall soon?

While the Shetland isles (opposite end of the UK, 60°N vs the above possible 50°N and the freedom to fly down to lower latitudes) have just submitted their much heralded proposal for a spaceport of their own, for ground-launches. I'm envisaging wildlife concerns might nix that, though.


But back with the big guys, the early SLS static test abort was put down to 'conservative' test parameters sending an abort from the hydraulic system, and apparently no damage done... Whether that means they can reprep for a new multi-minute test burn without entirely tearing down and rebuilding for the next go, I haven't heard yet.


There's also movement in the development of the SNs, and even the NS, for the Musk/Bezos fans out there, but I'm seeing more noise than action at the moment.


[1] Of particular, non-'routine' note. I only just dismissed a whole lotta 'normal' satellite launch notifactions...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TomJo on January 22, 2021, 07:10:48 am
A whole bunch of satellites. Which will have to be removed from orbit or serviced. There have been more non-working satellites in orbit than working ones for a long time. As recently as last year, this caused security concerns among specialists. In various interviews, it was mentioned that the greatest danger is not even the fragments, but the explosions of the remnants of fuel and batteries that are onboard.
I have seen a lot of news that space tugs (https://www.skyrora.com/space-tug) and other similar equipment are under development to solve this problem. But does any of this work?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Telgin on January 22, 2021, 11:10:04 am
All still theoretical and experimental as far as I know.  I don't see any reason it can't be done, but it's going to take a while to perfect the technology, and probably a while before serious tests are even done since there isn't much financial incentive for it yet.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on January 22, 2021, 02:30:35 pm
There was the harpooning test early last year (if I didn't post it here, probably riffing on the phrase "we're whalers on the moon!", then I know I meant to), and other controlled remote contact/grappling of one of other kind.

There were even worries that some of those Russian satellites that got a bit close to US ones weren't even going to threaten them with destruction (self-kinetic attack, or by detonation) but actually close quarters to 'capture' them, for unknown further purposes.

The big problem is that the cost-to-orbit for a 'recovery' unit to get there is not trivial, and risks leaving its own debris. Maybe smart cube-sats packed into 'spare' launch-fairing space might be a solution, especially to persuade the de-/re-orbitting of a predecessor of the one being sent up, being not (relatively, in both orbital parameters and position) far off from where the new one is being stationed, so can be set to 'drift' over at leisure before docking (clamping on) and firing retros in lieu of the old one that had ceased to be able to for whatever reason.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TomJo on January 26, 2021, 08:20:42 am
Nevertheless, I think risks like the ones you described are taken into account when developing such devices. Although, maybe I'm wrong.
Yes, now there is no significant financial incentive for such developments.
But still, some companies are working on it.
Taking into account the above factors, it is possible that in the future they will look for other ways to solve this problem. For example, reusable satellites with a controlled descent.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on January 26, 2021, 08:54:29 am
I say we give the ISS astronauts a shotgun, let them roll down a window and start blowing old sats out of orbit, getting a bonus payment for every one they manage to put down.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on January 26, 2021, 11:54:28 am
"I say we land and nuke the entire orbit from ground level. It's the only way to be sure!"
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TomJo on January 27, 2021, 06:19:08 am
"I say we land and nuke the entire orbit from ground level. It's the only way to be sure!"

I like the idea. But laser cannons are better. So that there are no fragments left. Otherwise, it is ineffective to remove the fragments, leaving even more fragments. Or maybe we should just think about self-degradable materials?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: voliol on January 27, 2021, 06:52:14 am
What kind of materials self-degrade in oxygen-free environments, and are sturdy enough to build satellites out of? This is a genuine question, I have very little knowledge in material science.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on January 27, 2021, 10:00:19 am
Interestingly, though it does not answer the above question[1], there was talk about a month ago about using wood in satellite construction. Though that doesn't solve many of the problems some people thought it might. (https://www.universetoday.com/149495/japan-to-launch-wooden-satellite-in-2023/)

[1] Because, really, nothing answers the above question[2] unless you go for some sort of exotic material made of... let's say... baryonic matter tuned to near simultaneously undergo its proton-decay shortly after the extremely well-planned lifetime of the mission has completed.

[2] Nothing self-contained. I suppose theoretically you could send up a small tank of acid capable of eating away exactly the whole of the vehicle into liquidised then gaseated molecules that quickly disperse to become nothing more than a neutralised cloud of vapour upon a command to the pump/valve... Except that the acid-tank/valve (and maybe the pipework, though that could be cleverly just resistant enough) wouldn't dissolve/disperse (otherwise it would from the moment of filling) so you need another strategy there... maybe cryogenically stabilised low-MP/BP, but acid-proofing, wax kept in check by the fluids held to it by the acid-susceptible exterior.  ...if manufactured in orbit, I suppose you could just freeze-cast your 'wax-sat', or other cryogenically-stable structure/etc, coat with foil as you fill with your supercool fluid and plug with the small 'charge' that (connected to the minimal and 'spaghetti-distributed' active components) you could later command to pop, release the coolant that remains (doubtless you'd need a boil-valve anyway) so that eventually the spaghetti is revealed and disentangles into a form that drifts free of itself... although how you'd make sure that all surviving useful components are effectively less damaging than a paint-chip, all across the orbital cross-section of the debris field (until retarded into the atmosphere or blown away by solar wind) I'll leave you to work out. Mercury used as the primary conductive material? How does that behave in vacuum pressures, at various degrees kelvin?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MrRoboto75 on January 27, 2021, 12:57:34 pm
If you have enough storage mass/volume for some sort of acid bomb to melt the entire satellite, couldn't that space just be a fuel tank with enough deltaV to deorbit the satellite?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on January 27, 2021, 01:21:47 pm
But that might explode and create an orbital hazard!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MonkeyHead on January 27, 2021, 01:35:03 pm
If you have enough storage mass/volume for some sort of acid bomb to melt the entire satellite, couldn't that space just be a fuel tank with enough deltaV to deorbit the satellite?

Swapping a satellite for a glob of metal salts, hydrogen gas, and feck knows what other resulting compounds seems somehow worse.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: bloop_bleep on January 27, 2021, 02:04:53 pm
If you have enough storage mass/volume for some sort of acid bomb to melt the entire satellite, couldn't that space just be a fuel tank with enough deltaV to deorbit the satellite?

Swapping a satellite for a glob of metal salts, hydrogen gas, and feck knows what other resulting compounds seems somehow worse.

I think MrRoboto75 was arguing for instead of an acid dispenser, the use of a fuel tank that could deorbit the satellite.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on January 27, 2021, 02:47:21 pm
What if satelites start being designed with recuperation in mind? Like, the last year of its service life it manouver to be recaptured to an orbiting space dump truck?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on January 27, 2021, 02:57:32 pm
They already ARE-- the dumptruck is "earth's atmosphere"
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MonkeyHead on January 27, 2021, 03:15:30 pm
If you have enough storage mass/volume for some sort of acid bomb to melt the entire satellite, couldn't that space just be a fuel tank with enough deltaV to deorbit the satellite?

Swapping a satellite for a glob of metal salts, hydrogen gas, and feck knows what other resulting compounds seems somehow worse.

I think MrRoboto75 was arguing for instead of an acid dispenser, the use of a fuel tank that could deorbit the satellite.

Yeah, quoted the wrong post. Whoops.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on January 27, 2021, 04:09:48 pm
Right now most satellites are designed to just deorbit themselves when their service life is up. It's usually easier. Well, deorbit or move to a "graveyard orbit" where they're not in anybody's way.

Recycling them sounds cool and all, but the materials in a satellite aren't worth all that much compared to the cost of deorbiting them safely, as opposed to deorbiting them such that they burn up in the atmosphere.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on January 27, 2021, 04:31:15 pm
They already ARE-- the dumptruck is "earth's atmosphere"
But doesn't itself brings another whole set of dangers too? The dump truck would be soft retrieval.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MrRoboto75 on January 27, 2021, 04:57:15 pm
They already ARE-- the dumptruck is "earth's atmosphere"
But doesn't itself brings another whole set of dangers too? The dump truck would be soft retrieval.

It works for most space rocks.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on January 27, 2021, 05:25:28 pm
Back to seriousness (if you hadn't twigged), ideally at the moment every sat would have an end-of-life action (deorbit from low-enough orbits, shift to a graveyard one for the high up ones[1]). Though anything that arrives dead-in-(wrong?)-orbit or fails-in-mission might well be subject to staying up for as long as the vagaries of space allow (I wonder how many are drifting in one or other of the frozen orbits indefinitely?) without the benefit of station-keeping.


The tech to (safely) grapple and deorbit dead stuff is ongoing in development, as already posted, but you still need
 to send that stuff up (hopefully not go wrong itself) and down again (it might be able to do several visits before it does - if that's to attach a solar/atmospheric-sail as a drag-anchor to hasten the degrading, it won't mean dragging awkwardly-tethered loads between each vendezvous).

Dumprecoverytrucks to fully soft-retrieve hardware back to ground add complexity not usually used beyond the returning man-cans (or the subunits of spy-film, sample-returners, etc). In the future, some handy space-station/workshop could be set up as an orbital destination for the recovery, for in-situ handling, but that's not gonna be soon. (Nearest equivalent is sending the Shuttle up to manhandle, refurb, refurb and perhaps boost the Hubble in-situ, but that wasn't a cheap or rapid option.)




[1] Includes GEO, which it's expensive to get to and proportionally so to de-orbit. (Similar fuel needs to return, less the difference of the Rocket Equation premium outwards, but you also wouldn't need to maintain accuracy/reserve adjustment propellant once you're destined to deorbit (ideally firmly onto the SPOUA?) So they generally go for 'up and further out', which doesn't get as crowded as quickly with dead hardware (even in the supra-Geostationary annular ring, and I expect the merely Geosynchronous oblique and eccentric ones (like those in a Tundra orbit) to have a suitably compatible disposal option.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: TomJo on January 28, 2021, 04:31:18 am
However, reusable space tugs (https://www.skyrora.com/space-tug) are already in development. Perhaps engineers will come up with something much simpler and more efficient solution. By the way, I really liked your idea about the station. I think this is a pretty elegant solution to the problem. It would be possible to deliver the necessary equipment once to a station like the ISS and maintain it from there. Still, I agree that not everything that is in orbit requires additional intervention.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bumber on January 29, 2021, 04:17:06 am
What if satelites start being designed with recuperation in mind? Like, the last year of its service life it manouver to be recaptured to an orbiting space dump truck?

They maneuver to a satellite retirement home.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on January 29, 2021, 04:43:22 am
I was told they went to the satellite farm up in the galactic north to play with other satellites.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: bloop_bleep on January 29, 2021, 09:44:17 pm
What if you have a bunch of magnetic junk-collecting satellites orbiting outside of normal operating radius near where dead satellites would maneuver and be sucked radially into a closer-to-atmosphere orbit where they would deorbit. Theoretically they'd be traveling at a slower tangential speed than the junk-collectors so they would deorbit and the junk-collectors wouldn't. There wouldn't necessarily be physical contact between them.

In fact you could have two magnets in the satellite with opposite orientations. Then you can rotate one of them and boom, you have a magnetic satellite that can be better attracted to any junk-collector magnetic satellite. In fact they would naturally want to align so maybe you just release some latch holding them in opposite orientations. The point being you use less resources per satellite launch than using rocket fuel to deorbit. Is that the problem with deorbiting by thrusters, the extra launch cost?

I guess a problem could be the sheer size these magnets would be. Plus maybe interference with operating satellites' sensors.

Now it kinda just seems like a dumb idea, but I'm just theorycrafting here.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on January 29, 2021, 10:30:12 pm
Magnetism is a pathetic force vs. gravity for your purposes[1]. Once you prise a fridge magnet off the fridge, throw it a long way away from anything ferric. Even on a frictionless surface, it's in no hurry to return. Go to it and try to throw it the same distance from the planet (i.e. up). It'll return to it as much as physically possible. (And directly hitting and sticking to a fridge you'd hoisted up there in advance is cheating!)

Also I don't fully understand your orbital mechanics, so I'm not sure where conservation of momentum, or potential+kinetic energy, is happening and thus what's happening to the magnet-equipped 'collector'.

I suspect you're trying to use some sort of exchange of orbital momentum (to the disadvantage of the non-magnet item(s) flying by) but I can't see it being more than a micronudge unless you're practically docked with it already.


What you might want to look into is electrodynamic tethers. Doesn't (overly) act as a magnet itself, but with its interactions with the planet's magnetic field (with 'free' solar electrical power going to delta-V, or being recovered from its loss) and a clever system to not only navigate through orbital layers to 'catch' handy co-orbitting stuff at either end but also to induce spin (slowly, to prevent wrapping itself up) could turn it into a 'thing-flinger' by releasing the grabbed stuff into less pro-grade (and decaying) orbits... Or higher ones. I suppose you could make the ends electromagnets instead of/as well as any other netter/grabber/harpooner solution, but that'd mostly only be useful at near-contact ranges and near-matching velocities of ends for enough cumulative time to perturb the target into proper contact.



[1] Yes, the usual analogy is the reverse. The magnetic force is 1030-odd times stronger than gravity, all else being equal, that's why a tiny magnet can hold up a suitable object against the force exerted by the whole mass of the Earth. But in orbit you're still being influenced so, so much by the Earth at a distance of Re plus the orbital altitude, and you somehow need to get a magnet effectively bigger (at inter-orbital ranges) than even that great big Earthly magnetic field or all you're doing is adding smaller magnetic purturbations to a satellite than it's already likely experiencing.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cthulhu on January 29, 2021, 10:33:54 pm
I mean you're not gonna be able to just sit a bunch of magnetized satellites in space and have them scoop up debris, no, but there are movements in similar directions.  A big limitation is fuel.  You gotta synchronize with your debris, grab it, then either maneuver it into graveyard orbit or re-entry course, which is multiple burns for each removal mission.  Even if you have enough fuel, you also need helium to pressurize the fuel, and that system needs its own tanks and plumbing, and it all gets very expensive very quickly if you're going for longevity.

ULA's IVF system (https://www.ulalaunch.com/docs/default-source/upper-stages/aces-overview-25may2018-isdc.pdf) was designed to increase upper stage longevity by replacing all the plumbing with an integrated system based on an old straight-six car engine modified to work in space, and one of the proposed applications was debris cleanup.  Launch your rocket, drop off your satellite, and the upper stage can go around doing other things like servicing old satellites or cleaning up junk.  I have no idea what's going on with that now, I haven't heard anything in a long time, but they are doing stuff with debris cleanup, just not with magnets.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: bloop_bleep on February 02, 2021, 01:42:39 am
Hold on, S, I think you’ve contradicted yourself there. You said a tiny magnet is able to pull an object against gravity, but you also said that magnets in space wouldn’t do that. I guess the big difference is distance there. But what if the magnets were really close, orbiting a few meters below? And the satellite you’re trying to deorbit is highly magnetic as well? Also you should consider magnetic potential energy in this situation as well. The idea is that the magnetic satellite would orbit closer to the earth than the main satellite, and would pull it radially inwards. Yes, the main satellite would accelerate and gain momentum, but it would be designed so that it’s mostly radial acceleration and not tangential acceleration. Once the satellite is in that closer orbit where orbiting bodies have higher tangential speeds it finds it has a relatively small tangential speed to sustain that orbit, having nearly the same tangential speed as in its original farther orbit, so it deorbits from there.

What if the magnetic satellites had long vertically extending arms that could bring magnets closer to any orbiting satellites they want to deorbit? It’s essentially grabbing them out of orbit but without clunky grips you might do it mechanically with, and additionally could deorbit multiple objects, including tiny objects, at the same time. Plus if you put activatable magnets on satellites, they could tend to coalesce together once they use their fuel and shed their orbital momentum on their own.


Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 02, 2021, 06:17:28 am
Hold on, S, I think you’ve contradicted yourself there. You said a tiny magnet is able to pull an object against gravity, but you also said that magnets in space wouldn’t do that.
I was qualifying 'for your purposes'.

A mere child's toy magnet[1] will hold a steel can up from falling to Earth. If in contact. It will also lift that can up from the Earth it might have been in contact with, but needs to be (practically) touching before it does so. It doesn't do much if it's held away from the can (either time) by a few centimetres. Either with an actual gap or a (non-magnetisable) buffer material. That's because it's a gradient down from the little (but effective) force vs a similar gradient down from a huge (but subtle, by direct comparison) one.

Orbitting 10m above/below each other? You're finely tuning your magnasat to travel in near-matching orbit (inclination, eccentricity and the appropriate set of major/minor/semi-major axes too). The difference in velocity is ~0.5cm/s, or making up/lagging about 1/50th of a second, per orbit, over an orbit of maybe 1.5-2 hours (depending upon the orbit, but assumed low-ish, for our purposes), so you'd also be orbitally-inserting at an extremely accurate time in order not to be a significant angle of the orbit away for hundreds of thousands of their slightly different orbital periods, which could mean you'd wait up to 50 years between being actually just 10m away (if I've not misplaced a magnitude or two, somewhere in that rough calculation.

If you've got that much control (or accuracy of launch such that you no longer need to adjust anything once orbital insertion is complete) you might as well unfurl a physical (yes, perhaps magnetic, but could as easily be grabbing) arm while you're effectively stationary next to your target. I doubt you've got a string of 'dead' satellites all doing exactly the same orbit as each other that you can afford to skim your '10m lower' magnasat past over 50 years to save sending more than one magnasat up.

Also think what happens when magnasat passes magnatarget. As the force becomes significant between the two, on approach, magnasat slows already slightly slower magnatarget (perhaps before the vector even includes significant 'up/down' components). Magnasat is bent towards a higher orbital profile, rushes (slightly!) past no longer 'parallel', radially-speaking then is retarded (as it drags magnatarget faster again) as it starts to slowly move away. It messes up your expensively-obtained fine-tuning somewhat[2], unless you somehow create a resonant co-orbit (taking into account periodic lunar and solar influences, and the complicatedly oblative and heterogenously dense nature of the Earth's mass, including the pull of the tide-pulled oceans themselves lumped up by Sun and Moon periods and land-mass/ocean-floor undulations). Fifty years later, if that's what you're content with (and nothing like solar particles or even other, unrelated, debris has further made your passive and patient rendezvous even more chaotic[3]) it perturbs both (all of..?) the magnacraft yet again and you've perhaps got to wait until the century anniversary before you know how.

Nor could you expect subtly imperfectly-aligned orbits to gently coalesce their group together. Perhaps enough stuff up there going all Kessler-like would eventual form rings (afted generally bashing together, sending far more random bits back to Earth or even entirely ejecting them outwards in the process) but by then you've already failed to clean up the orbits to some quite spectacular degree... Gently sticking together would be the exception, not the rule. The relative scale of things just isn't on your side, sorry.



[1] N.B.: these days you're clearly asked to keep magnets away from small children. Maybe because they've got too much iron in their diets already. /s

[2] As anybody with KSP, or similar, experience knows, thrust applied in orbit doesn't always dump straight into perigee/apogee (or perikerb/apokerb?) adjustment, or straight-forward orbital interception even of a craft in easy visual range.

[3] Assuming that 50 years already isn't enough for the orbit to decay completely or intersect something far less gentle in its relative approach velocity.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on February 02, 2021, 08:02:25 am
This is a convoluted way of pointing out that magnetism obeys the inverse cube rule, while gravity obeys the inverse square rule.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 02, 2021, 08:43:05 am
That needs the explanation that, in the absence of magnetic monopoles, the combined force felt from the simplest dipole magnet falls off because the inverse-squared effect of the idealised point of the near pole combines with the inverse-square from the (increasingly marginally/less significantly different) more distant far pole, such that they become proportionately less distinct and therefore as a sum-total you effectively feel the dominent one less at a quicker rate than you'd feel when retreating from a gravitational/optical/electrical monopole single point magnitude where the flux is just a single 2d surface 'dilution' out into 3d space as radius increases. (Give or take the tiny hidden dimensions that may be progressively leaching a significant additional bit of gravity away at galactic-halo distances, etc.)

But there were other far more interesting, and demonstable, problems (IMO) to dwell on, so I skipped on to them.  :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cthulhu on February 02, 2021, 11:14:07 am
There's lots of things, but I think you don't really need anything more than the distances and velocities involved meaning you're going to need lots of disposable vehicles or vehicles that can maneuver through multiple orbits, or both (hence something like centaur/ACES with IVF, which is literally just an upper stage that can keep operating after it deploys its payload), and if you're doing that then there's no reason not to use regular robot grabby arms which we already have.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: bloop_bleep on February 02, 2021, 05:58:03 pm
I didn't mean gently coalescing, I specifically meant smashing into each other in an inelastic collision to shed significant amounts of orbital energy and deorbit. There'd be bits flying off but overall there's now significantly less space junk in orbit and those bits might be picked up by future magnetic junk satellites floating by.

Also with the magnetic arm, I outlined above why a magnetic arm might be better than a gripping arm. Maybe the magnetic satellites could just be giant wide rotating + signs in orbit (with the arms extending vertically). They could tessellate the sky at multiple orbit levels and could slowly use fuel to gradually shift their orbits to get even more coverage.If magnetism's inverse cube law is a concern we could also just try heavily charging the junk-collector satellite's arms once it's in orbit.

Also the point is it won't necessarily need to be in contact and it won't be combating gravity. In fact if the junk-collector is in a lower orbit it'd be in tune with gravity. If it gets it to drift down even some small amount that's progress; also since I imagine the junk collector would be in front of and behind the junk for roughly equal amounts of time, then the tangential momentum change would probably be rather small, even despite orbital speed difference between the two bodies.

I understand a big problem is just the large distances between objects, and that this method is more useful for high density Kesslery situations like you mentioned, but I'm expecting there to be more and more satellites launched in coming years and hopefully statistically over time these rare occurrences could add up to some meaningful cleanup.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MonkeyHead on February 02, 2021, 06:04:53 pm
Large numbers of fast moving impossible to track small bits are orders of magnitude worse than larger, fewer, slower, predictable objects.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: bloop_bleep on February 02, 2021, 06:16:13 pm
Except each single one of the tiny ones won't necessarily explode every operating orbiter it touches. Again the total mass is smaller.

And I think a uniform cloud of small bits would be easier to clean up as well. Imagine catching a couple rabbits vs sweeping up a bunch of ants with a broom.

Actually I would say a uniform cloud of small bits is way more predictable as well. There'd be some set amount of abrasion that a spacecraft could reasonably experience on its way to orbit and in orbit that scientists could engineer for, rather than just hoping a big 'un doesn't strike it at random and blow it up.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 08, 2021, 12:18:19 pm
The proposed UK[1] spaceport in the Shetland Isles seems to have chosen ABL Space Systems to provide its launch systems.

With the actual proposed site of the launchpad being upon the isle with the name of Unst, I might as well be (one of?) the first to comment about the imminent possibility of us seeing some Unst ABL rockets.


[1] Or Scottish, if no longer applicable at the time of it starting...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 09, 2021, 12:16:11 pm
It looks like the United Arab Emirates have successfully entered Mars orbit with its Hope platform.

(Tomorrow, China arrives, and in just over a week the US's latest lander has its go with another skycrane landing. Fingers crossed - but hopefully not trajectories!  :P )
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on February 09, 2021, 12:26:28 pm
Mmm, if we keep going like this there will be a customs on Mars.

A robot planet.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on February 09, 2021, 12:35:59 pm
The US will need to put the pedal to the metal, or they will be late to the Intergalactic Tribunal on the Fate of Humankind.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on February 09, 2021, 06:16:06 pm
Mmm, if we keep going like this there will be a customs on Mars.

A robot planet.

Legit von neumann probes (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Self-replicating_spacecraft) need to get there first.

Oh wait (https://www.sfchronicle.com/business/article/Game-changer-This-Silicon-Valley-space-14379776.php).....


Clearly these folks never played star control II.  (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QxPfnTXaENU)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 10, 2021, 09:38:14 am
...China ✓
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 18, 2021, 04:09:10 pm
Perserverence landed, apparently safe. Next milestone is probably Ingenuity taking off...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Mephansteras on February 18, 2021, 04:10:51 pm
I always love seeing how excited and happy the NASA folks get when a mission goes as planned.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 19, 2021, 02:23:24 pm
Action photos! (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-56133281) (with more material promised soon)

I'll probably spend a lot of tomorrow on the NASA site, or other direct science affiliates, but that's a newsy snippet for now.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: bloop_bleep on February 19, 2021, 02:57:33 pm
It feels so weird looking at terrain and thinking that's it's not on earth.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bumber on February 19, 2021, 03:40:58 pm
It feels so weird looking at terrain and thinking that's it's not on earth.

Think how easy it will be for NASA to fake the Mars landing. Just film some dudes out in the desert.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 19, 2021, 04:40:10 pm
Film it on Ganymede. Apply filters.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MonkeyHead on February 19, 2021, 07:33:23 pm
Perserverence landed, apparently safe. Next milestone is probably Ingenuity taking off...

I am stoked to see how well it works. Truly a paradigm shift.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Strife26 on February 19, 2021, 09:06:47 pm
Except each single one of the tiny ones won't necessarily explode every operating orbiter it touches. Again the total mass is smaller.

And I think a uniform cloud of small bits would be easier to clean up as well. Imagine catching a couple rabbits vs sweeping up a bunch of ants with a broom.

Actually I would say a uniform cloud of small bits is way more predictable as well. There'd be some set amount of abrasion that a spacecraft could reasonably experience on its way to orbit and in orbit that scientists could engineer for, rather than just hoping a big 'un doesn't strike it at random and blow it up.

I mean, you're free to say that. You're incredibly wrong, but you do you.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: bloop_bleep on February 20, 2021, 01:54:05 am
Except each single one of the tiny ones won't necessarily explode every operating orbiter it touches. Again the total mass is smaller.

And I think a uniform cloud of small bits would be easier to clean up as well. Imagine catching a couple rabbits vs sweeping up a bunch of ants with a broom.

Actually I would say a uniform cloud of small bits is way more predictable as well. There'd be some set amount of abrasion that a spacecraft could reasonably experience on its way to orbit and in orbit that scientists could engineer for, rather than just hoping a big 'un doesn't strike it at random and blow it up.

I mean, you're free to say that. You're incredibly wrong, but you do you.

Please, offer more witty passive aggressive passes in lieu of an actual response.  ::)

If you think I'm wrong about something I'd welcome it if you'd at least explain it to some reasonable degree.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on February 20, 2021, 02:01:41 am
He is correct though Bloop.  The small cloud of debris is much harder to effective "bag and tag" than an intact spacecraft.

Due to the extreme costs of putting something into orbit, a great deal of the outer skin of orbiting spacecraft is essentially made of mylar coated aluminium foil.  It is very easy to tear, and once torn, it allows EM and solar radiation to enter the spacecraft, which can kill it in hours. 

Small bits of debris can have sufficient kinetic energy to shred that material ferociously, and thus, can wipe out whole constellations of craft.


Small bits of space debris is really really bad juju.

https://www.sciencealert.com/the-space-debris-problem-is-getting-worse-not-better

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Arx on February 20, 2021, 02:15:46 am
It's not about being correct, it's about the fact that it'd have taken about the same amount of time to write a condensed version of your post as to write what he did write. He chose to randomly sling insults instead.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 20, 2021, 03:21:16 am
We'd already seen...
Large numbers of fast moving impossible to track small bits are orders of magnitude worse than larger, fewer, slower, predictable objects.
...to which bb effectively responded "on the contrary, I think...". And I'm not sure weird's clarification is any more convincing (though it should be) against that miscomprehension.

You had bb not thinking of conservation of mass, now smeared over a larger and less confined danger-'zone' in a probability curve that potentially impacts (NPI) more and more operational targets, etc. Even if a 'catcher's mitt' (or ant-broom) can be hardened to inelastically absorb any small fragments with possibly counter-orbitting velocities (polar orbits would be the worst), many more fragments will miss that (or glance off a possibly more fracturable edge of the 'mitt') and continue(/increase) their danger to unmittable craft.


I don't think my expansion helps, but if it does it does...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: thompson on February 20, 2021, 04:03:38 am
I’d put it like this: what volume of space are you trying to clean with that broom? If you can put a number on it, the rest will be obvious.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: bloop_bleep on February 20, 2021, 01:07:54 pm
You mentioned conservation of mass, but remember in my example the majority of the mass would be deorbiting after the inelastic collision between two orbiting defunct satellites having shed orbital energy. The bits would just be stray offshoots that incidentally are in an orbital trajectory as a result of the collision. EDIT: In fact thinking about it, I'm not sure whether there'd be an appreciable number of bit offshoots at all... most would be shooting off radially (perpendicular to the collision) and so probably won't be in an orbital trajectory.

Though I suppose the volume of space covered by the broom is a concern.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on February 20, 2021, 01:32:17 pm
If the bits shooting upwards do not have sufficient energy to do a full escape, they will fall back into the well, and gain kinetic energy as they do so. They could end up with highly elliptical orbital paths.

The same would be true of particles shot "downward", if their angle of approach to the earth causes them to "miss" the atmosphere.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: bloop_bleep on February 20, 2021, 01:36:32 pm
But I was thinking that most of the time their elliptical orbit paths would intersect the earth. Because they would have mostly radial velocities.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on February 20, 2021, 01:40:06 pm
The paths they take before the hit the atmosphere on the way back down (since in both scenarios, particles would be shot 'up', then fall back down again, and continue doing so until they hit the atmosphere, or something else) could have them crossing paths with healthy satellites.  This causes the mylar sheet death scenario.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 20, 2021, 01:54:26 pm
(Ninjas as I was researching this...)

Top of my search for "typical satellite collision" for actual details was: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_satellite_collision

"...until then, all accidental hypervelocity collisions had involved a satellite and a piece of space debris."

Note the debris patterns shown as quickly developing in the illustrations. Each satellite effectively fired a narrow shotgun (choked!) blast very much in the direction they were already going as they crossed.  Not any significant down-and-up component because there was much orbital velocity involved. (You have to nudge an orbit up or down quite a lot to easily reach air-scraping perigree, or get sufficiently raised apogee, and I doubt even head-on there'd be a neat total velocity nullification (https://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/ShootTheBullet) for most of the fractured and thrown-off fragments.)

"By December 2011, many pieces of the debris were in an observable orbital decay towards Earth, and were expected to burn up in the atmosphere within one to two years. By January 2014, 24% of the known debris had actually decayed.[citation needed] In 2016, Space News listed the collision as the second biggest fragmentation event in history, with Kosmos-2251 and Iridium 33 producing respectively 1,668 and 628 pieces of catalogued debris, of which 1,141 and 364 pieces of tracked debris remain in orbit as of January 2016 [needs update]"

Two years, five years, seven years and counting, there were still 65% of the (large enough to know about) bits.


(And, at the bottom, a link to a Laser Broom. Not sure if there's any further development on that concept.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: bloop_bleep on February 20, 2021, 02:17:50 pm
Huh. So turns out it was mostly an elastic collision which kept a lot of the orbital energy. I guess perhaps at those velocities the inelastic properties of metal don't really matter as much anymore?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 20, 2021, 03:10:17 pm
At those velocities, not very much does matter as much any more, I suspect... ;)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on February 20, 2021, 04:09:37 pm
The physical properties of material matter very little at those speeds, yes. Chips of paint and the remnants of explosive bolts become bullets capable of punching holes in sheet metal. Collisions at orbital velocity don't obey any rules you're familiar with except maybe "with a hard enough hit, something interesting is bound to happen" which, of course, is always true :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MonkeyHead on February 20, 2021, 05:20:19 pm
... I mean , I have literally worked on this and inspected solar panel segments returned from the ISS held at the UK space centre in Leicester. Some have holes cleanly punched in them the size of a small coin made by sand sized grains. The sheer velocity of the small debris fragments makes them highly penetrating, and you simply can't see them coming. The very nature of spacecraft makes them very vulnerable to the sort of shrapnel we woukd make by blowing anything apart. That was rather why I made the point in the first place. We know where satellites are, and can track\predict orbital paths. Swapping that for hypersonic orbital swarf is madness\a brilliant weapon (delete as appropriate).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on February 20, 2021, 05:39:43 pm
Develop force fields instead.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on February 20, 2021, 05:46:25 pm
Develop force fields instead.

Instructions unclear, developed farce fields instead.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on March 06, 2021, 06:44:32 pm
I'm just properly going through some footage of SN10 (from the usual YouTube 3rd-parties who have got their output down to a fine art) and its... post-landing disassembly.

Finally think I confirmed what the spinning thing was, right at the end[1]. Looks like it was a pressurised-gas cylinder that was flung away, maybe itself undamaged, but outgassing anyway by the now severed tubing, making it rotate rapidly along its axis (and perpetuating this) as it flies out of shot.

A bit of a "badoom.. tish!" to the event, I suppose. Certainly makes me laugh!

(Also, I wish I could get the YouTube app to work like it used to, and not go into (sideways) portrait mode when I went into the video in landscape, having had the Watch Later list that way, and I want to just go back and manually choose my next chosen Watch Later!  There's probably some setting. Not relevent to Space, but... Grrrrr!)


In other space-hardware news, elsewhere I've seen a slightly heated discussion start about whether Ingenuity should be called a "Mars Rover". ((Sparked by its mention in https://xkcd.com/2433/ ...)) And, if not, what it should be called. (Assuming it gets to be a Mars Anything, of course.) Any (non-heated) thoughts from the far more sensible Bay12 crowd?



[1] First the whole thing shoots up in flames, scattering lower debris; then the majority of it lands again, obviously rupturing the header tank, with loads more bits shooting off, and there is a whole new lot of debris, including something that was "fluttering" away (debris, not a foreground bird).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on March 06, 2021, 08:52:48 pm
Several of the flying bits were COPVs, at least one of which was being propelled by its own escaping gas through some point of failure or another. I highly recommend Scott Manley and his video on SN10 as he does mention this and does some analysis of the high-speed footage.

Why, exactly, is there a question about whether Ingenuity is a rover? It's going to rove around Mars, at least a little bit. I guess the other argument is that it's merely a science experiment package of the main rover?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on March 06, 2021, 10:25:52 pm
...one of the "It's not a Rover" suggestions was that it was a "PUP". Purposefully Unattached Peripheral.

As a UAV for use on Mars, someone suggested Martian Aerial Unmanned Vehicle Extending Reconaissance or "Mauver". But I think they were trying too hard for a 'rhyme'. (And it stopped me revealing my FIDO idea. ;) )


(It was just someone raging a bit, originally, but sides were taken in the fight by others that followed. I just thought it might be interesting, as a tag-on to the last post, but it probably wasn't so this should close it back down again.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on March 22, 2021, 07:55:20 am
For those previously interested, the Elsa-D craft have just been launched (as part of a multi-item soyuz payload). A pair of target/targetting sats that are going to be trying various catching operations (by magnet, but only as an on-again-off-again grapple, not a distance/orbit reducer) to get a feel of how easy it might be to handle stray objects.

Both will be fully controlled (the target will 'move' to various levels of awkwardness to catch, including initiate a tumble for later tests but can self-nullify that as needed) and will deorbit themselves on their own (ideally!) after all their fun'n'games. Most of the prior attempts at something similar (to my knowledge) tended to be "firing a harpoon at a self-held target extended on a boom", or possibly at a passive target released from the 'targetter' (both elements in guaranteed decaying orbits) so this should be interesting.

(Also maybe some miltech interest, in both the capabilities and otherwise that might be demonstrated. If that isn't secretly already somewhere at the front of the team's minds. ;) )
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Cthulhu on March 22, 2021, 08:47:05 am
Develop force fields instead.

We do have whipple shields on some stuff.  Super thin layers of armor over the main body of a craft with a gap between them, hypervelocity bits of shit are going so fast they vaporize on impact with the shielding and the body of the craft just absorbs the impact of hot gas and dust, which isn't as nasty as the bit itself.

Ablative so it wears down over time and it's not gonna save you from a dead satellite crashing into you, but hey.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 14, 2021, 04:04:14 pm
I see New Shepherd 4 worked well enough go be apparently ready to prepare for its first crewed launch, later next month... Probably worth an anticipatory note.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: bloop_bleep on April 16, 2021, 01:28:48 am
I see New Shepherd 4 worked well enough go be apparently ready to prepare for its first crewed launch, later next month... Probably worth an anticipatory note.
lol @ "well enough"
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 16, 2021, 02:14:43 am
(Urgh... It's the rest of the sentence that I wish I'd written differently. No idea how it ended up with such contorted syntax. And "New Shepard", I must have badly autocorrected myself.)

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: bloop_bleep on April 16, 2021, 03:01:56 pm
I mostly meant it's funny to call something working "well enough" for a crewed launch...  :)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 16, 2021, 05:42:18 pm
Oh I know.

I really said that bit that way because, at the time I decided to mark the success, I hadn't seen much more than it had been a success. (Still not much more to say about this attempt. But you've reminded me I've got some Yotube footage marked to Watch Later, which I'll probably Watch Now, thanks for reminding me!)

But pretty much every other bit I used was inaccurate and/or just phrased in a weird/ugly way.  "Anticipatory note"? Sheesh.  I can't even blame it on being a 3:45AM post.

Quote from: What I maybe should have said
Hey, everybody! It looks like Bezos is finally going to be able to send humans into space next month!

(Or perhaps something riffing on an Amazon delivery date.)


I should say something actually Spacey, though, rather than be self-critical. Loads of stuff going up there, though a lot of it is very nearly yadda-yadda-yadda. All kinds of sats going up, Crew Dragon getting ready to launch its Crew 2, SLS is now getting there, SpaceX will be involved in the Artemis landings (apparently despite the current "SNs tend to go Boom" thing), Percy's doing Ok, Ingy's still getting ready...


So, instead, something I heard announced earlier today...

RIP Glynn Lunney (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glynn_Lunney), a key Flight Director during the Apollo 13 emergency.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 22, 2021, 05:46:47 am
I didn't want to double-post, but nobody else said anything, and everybody will already know the first flight went well. (No Loop-the-Loop (https://xkcd.com/2452/) yet... Maybe later!)

But now they've also successfully run MOXIE, the oxygen-generator experiment. Which leads the way to various future missions without having to take all the supplies (probably mostly the oxidiser for the departure stage) down to the surface.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Telgin on April 22, 2021, 11:04:48 am
That's pretty cool.  I don't know exactly how much the oxidizer weighs in proportion to any proposed landers, but every gram saved matters.

I'm sure it's much more challenging but in principle you should be able to extract oxygen from regolith as well, so this could theoretically have some distantly related applications on the moon or other solar system bodies with no atmosphere.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on April 22, 2021, 02:48:25 pm
There's well-studied methods to produce hydrogen or methane (hello, SpaceX and also Blue Origin, if they matter all that much given the pace of SpaceX innovation) on Mars as well, so you can deal with fuel.

As to the weight of the oxidizer in proportion, it depends quite heavily. Different fuels are burned at different ratios to oxidizer depending on the densities and molecular weights of each propellant as well as the resulting temperature and chemistry of the outputs. Most systems that use liquid oxygen as an oxidizer (that is to say, most rocket engines), for instance, don't run anything oxygen-rich even in preburners and the like, if they can avoid it, because the resulting hot oxygen gas does Not Nice ThingsTM to any, say, rapidly spinning metal components that the designers would prefer not literally catch fire whenever they turn on the engine.

Anyway saving the mass of oxidizer would be a HUGE bonus, though not as much as saving the mass of both fuel and oxidizer. Not needing to haul the water and oxygen and hydrogen for fuel cells, humans, cooling, hydroponics, etc. is also a huge benefit.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on April 22, 2021, 02:52:09 pm
The Moxie is a nice proof of concept, and a first step towards creating self refueling space expeditions to Mars in the future.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 28, 2021, 12:22:32 pm
Michael Collins[1], at one time arguably the most isolated single human being there had ever been (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Collins_(astronaut)#Apollo_11), has died, aged 90.



[1] Sometimes known as "Not even the most famous Michael Collins". Even right now, for me, the other one (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Collins_(Irish_leader)) still leads on a trivial web-search!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bumber on April 28, 2021, 10:23:08 pm
[1] Sometimes known as "Not even the most famous Michael Collins". Even right now, for me, the other one (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Collins_(Irish_leader)) still leads on a trivial web-search!
[2] Who I just mistook for Phil Collins
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on May 05, 2021, 09:16:09 pm
Well, SN15 (Musk) didn't explode.

And NS4 (Bezos) is slated to go up on 20/Jul, as its first manned suborbital/superKarmen flight, it was announced shortly beforehand.

(I'm not entirely sure which of them is trolling the other, but the "Starship Mk3 'Serial Number' <n>" nomenclature did arise later than than the established New Shepard project.)

Just to explain the edit, for those who notice this: the "L" key is bordered by the <Backspace> key on this device's on-screen keyboard, with absolutely no haptic feedback possible to tell me when words like "established" become "estaished", etc, by miskeying. Mostly I spot this sort of thing before posting, but sometimes it's annoyingly spotted only when rereading long afterwards.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: delphonso on May 06, 2021, 03:05:59 am
Hopefully the astronauts are allowed to use the restroom.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Flying Dice on May 08, 2021, 04:53:25 pm
Long March 5B is on course to crash if any debris survives re-entry.

There are several live-trackers of it going if anyone wants to watch. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ysxMsuNXaIM)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on May 08, 2021, 05:45:17 pm
If it lands on the Côte d'Ivoire again, some people might suspect it's a definite grudge... ;)

edit: From a few minutes following the track and decreasing Altitude value, and a little (maybe slightly optomistic) expeience with KSP and the like, I'd lay relatively high odds on it doing a Skylab but probably further somewhere between there and NZ.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on May 08, 2021, 06:59:52 pm
Seems to have traded just enough height for velocity to fool me,. It really looked like it'd at least get below the Karman Line before crossing the Sea Of Tasman, but the visible rate of decent slowed. Maybe it was approaching a perigee point (atmosphere excepting)...

But I suppose a SPOUA landing is still on the cards. (I stopped watching it a few minutes back... I'll see what news there is tomorrow. I'm well outside anybpersonal danger-zone.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on May 09, 2021, 10:28:22 am
(So it ended up in/on/scattered over the Indian Ocean.  And, yes, I learnt later that the perigree at that point was over Australia, obviously when I saw it rapidlly fall through (IIRC) 170km, 160km, towards 150km altitude I was indeed seeing it as it was converting height for sufficient velocity for another swing up and round (or three). That'll teach me for only taking a few minutes to make a snap decision. But, in my defence, I was also deprived of a ground-speed or other indicator of instantaneous orbital velocity, on that tracker, which intrinsically and severely impeded my attempts at accurate guessing! ;) )
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on May 14, 2021, 10:17:40 pm
Change of subject...

Red China is on the Red Planet, apparently. After having surveyed the LZ thoroughly since the mothercraft/orbiter arrived, their rover/lander-combo (the more traditional 'perched atop the rocket-table, needs to drive down ramps to dismount' type of setup) is reportedly landed, making them only the second country to achieve that particular feat.

Not quite sure when the wheels touch dust (if I didn't mishear the news, and they perhaps already did that too) but if they've done the difficult bit that's claimed so many other scalps in the race for Mars they should be laughing...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Duuvian on May 16, 2021, 02:00:43 am
Congrats

One step closer to a Star Trekky future I guess (hopefully without the nuclear war part of that fictional setting of course, seems unlikely Cochrane would have been able to build a spaceship after that in addition to being no fun in general one can assume)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on July 20, 2021, 05:34:51 pm
Just to mark, as if anybody isn't already more than aware, that Bezos became the second self-launching space-tourist today (if Branson counted as the first, the other day, give or take the whole Karman line thang...).

I think I'm most pleased about Wally Funk (who hopes to get another go, I think).


What else has been happening in the theatre of space?

Well, everyone who recently got to Mars seems to be working still. (And China is also manning its fledgling Space Station core module.)

There were plans put forward the other day to switch power supply/regulator/whatever units in Hubble to get it back up and Sciencing again. Which I must really follow up on.

There also is an open invitation to retrieve Prospero (UK's first and so far only self-launched satellite, from decades ago), and possibly also its launcher's upper stage which is also floating around up there still. Ideally a soft-capture and graceful deorbit to put on show, but at the very least to officially declutter its orbit by forcing it down at last. (A mixed feeling about that.) I'm personally pondering the concept of an ablative-shield, drag-chute then enclosing airbags approach, a la Beagle 2 but an ocean-landing unless you want to try to land it back on a remote stretch of Australia as a bookending. But first you need to catch and enclose it, which is something that is already being investigated for other decluttering experiments.
 
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on July 20, 2021, 08:42:14 pm
There were plans put forward the other day to switch power supply/regulator/whatever units in Hubble to get it back up and Sciencing again. Which I must really follow up on.
They succeeded, by the bye.  The backup hardware is running normally and the sciencing has now resumed. (https://hubblesite.org/contents/news-releases/2021/news-2021-044)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on July 23, 2021, 06:56:48 pm
(Cheers for the Hubble update. I hadn't seen anything like that when I posted, and your post got there before I did a more extensive look at less generalised/more spacey news sites.)

Just to mark, as if anybody isn't already more than aware, that Bezos became the second self-launching space-tourist today (if Branson counted as the first, the other day, give or take the whole Karman line thang...)

#insert simpsons-nelson_muntz-haha (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-57950149)

Of course, the term "space tourist" still applies as unofficially as before. And "spaceflight participant" was already something they didn't qualify for, despite the apparent slack in the description (it involves NASA/Roscosmos-sponsored passage to the ISS, so is beyond the current ability of either's own craft, though possibly could apply if Elon took a jaunt in his). Expect a whole lot more shake-ups, I suppose, until the point at which everyone is going everywhere every-which-way just for the "100 Mile High Club" bragging rights, then it'll be quietly forgotten about beyond the first few thousand individuals, or so.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Magistrum on August 04, 2021, 11:29:39 pm
PBS SpaceTime dis a video on the densest white dwarf to date. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QLSIZg0npuA)
It's the one they found last month and I was very eager to see when they would cover. Everyone should check out that channel, it's one of the few pop-science channel that actually explains the phenomenon instead of only showing pretty graphics and making analogies.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 02, 2021, 04:10:43 pm
Looks like Virgin Galactic are 'grounded' for a while, with the authorities investigating reports that they didn't entirely stick to their intended/authorised flight-profile on its pioneering passenger space-scraping trajectory. (Nothing particularly/more dangerous than expected, when at height, but it was outside the parameters filed in advance, and could apparently have easily been too shallow a rise to have then safely glided onto their landing zone...)

Nothing for certain, yet, but obviously enough to need official checking.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bralbaard on September 03, 2021, 01:46:32 am
Two launch failures by new space companies over the last week. Let's hope they get there for their next attempts.

The first by Astra is quite amazing. I watched it live, and did not quite believe that it got as far as it did. It is a good thing someone left the gate to the launch site open, so the rocket could get off the pad.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kfjO7VCyjPM (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kfjO7VCyjPM)

The second failure by Firefly happened last night. Only their first attempt, and most new launch companies need a few before succeeding:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4iUdm-gLjho (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4iUdm-gLjho)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 04, 2021, 01:54:03 pm
You'll maybe have heard by now, but William Shatner has been officially confirmed as one of Bezos's imminent space-tourists, as long rumoured. And allegedly he turned down Branson's offer to join that other waiting list, last decade, because that chance wasn't a freebie. It'll make him the oldest person in space, so good luck to him!

(And fingers crossed in general, with the recent issues about safety with both Blue Origin and Virgin Galactic. Both seem to be back, continuing with their suborbital sauntering.)

SpaceX's recent "all-amateur" Dragon crew/tourists went higher than Hubble. I'm sure it's been suggested that this would be an opportunity to go and do some fixing[1], but nowhere I've been recently has said anything about it, so... Elon? NASA? Call me, I'll happily act as liaison.

Further up and out, BepiColombo has made its first contact with Mercury. Looking forward to how that goes.


[1] Not that spacewalking capability has been exhibited, yet, but there's some options available.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on October 04, 2021, 02:17:25 pm
Dragon doesn't have a manipulator arm or anything like the infrastructure the Space Shuttle had to facilitate on-orbit operations so, no, unfortunately it is very much not really possible to effect repairs/upgrades/anything of that sort to the Hubble or other unmanned satellites using Dragon. Starship could do it, should it get some form of manipulator arm, though. It's big enough, has the cargo space for the arm and repair materials, and could have actual airlocks and a large enough crew to run any number of EVAs over a long enough duration to make serious repairs or upgrades.

It'd be nice to have that capability again, for sure.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 04, 2021, 05:32:46 pm
For both that and the spacewalks (without resorting to the old Voskhod/Gemini technique of just complete depressurising) I was thinking of what is effectively a modified docking node also being sent up (seperately, for rendezvous, or Apollo-LEM-like in the Crew Dragon aft-trunk) that could have attached manipulator arm(s) as well as act as the proper EVA lock, there should be spare APAS/ODS units, as well as

Although if it is at all possible to conceivably do the necessary actions without EVAs at all[1], just manipulators, then it could even be a telepresence operation with an unmanned service-vehicle. I know this was a prior (even pre-postshuttle) idea, and has its own problems, but even without full Boston Dynamics autonomy there probably have been a few good mechanical developments that could now be fed into such a product.

A non-trivial problem to solve, but truly a plethora of potential solutions which I'd have trouble narrowing down. I'm sure there's engineers already fully on top of  each and every one, of course, vying to produce something definitive for this or similar purposes. As far as finance and other pressures allow.


[1] Current suits for Crew Dragon use are IVA-rated only. Bulky NASA-vintags EVA suits, including free-flight backpack, might not be best launched within the Dragon cabin anyway. The issues involved are why the Quest airlock was needed for US egress and Zvezda required for Russian egress on the ISS (and I don't think there's been much more than incremental changes since). I don't know how far Dragon-EVA has been planned, and Starship is a little too far off, while there's a proven hardware that could augment Dragon, without too much tinkering. And a bespoke solution is surely also onnthe cards, possibly even mocked up.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on October 04, 2021, 07:03:37 pm
The problem with doing that is that you're talking about MILLIONS of dollars to design and build a module to be launched on its own rocket (+ several hundred million dollars in cost) for a single use and it's probably not a good solution anyway. The Shuttle could field a team of at least three astronauts on an EVA and they didn't have to launch, maneuver to Hubble's altitude and orbit, rendezvous, then perform the repairs and return to Earth without ever leaving their spacesuits...which you'd likely have to do in Dragon because the internal volume is probably not going to be large enough to allow changing into and out of suits. Everything from the oxygen pre-breathe to the suit storage is just not there on Dragon because it's not MEANT to be. And any sort of repairs are going to require too much dexterity for ANY robot. No manipulator arm is capable of popping open an access panel on Hubble (since it's, y'know, not designed to be accessed by a robot) and then doing delicate interior work.

For all that the Space Shuttle had serious problems, THIS is the sort of capability it had. In order to replicate it you need more than a space capsule.

It's certainly possible to make that capability again. It's possible to build a vehicle on-orbit (which I wish somebody would do) capable of executing the plane changes and maneuvers and the like (ion thrusters to maneuver around, anyone? Just maneuver while there's no crew on board and the months it takes you don't matter) and carrying the airlocks and crew space and manipulator arms and EVA suits and spare parts and all. But it isn't something SpaceX will EVER do for Falcon 9 because Starship will obsolete it within, hopefully, a year or two. It's not something NASA will likely do because it'd become obsolete and because they've got a different priority set, what with Artemis.

In short: while possible, I guarantee it won't actually happen. If it does, I'll say I was wrong. Unlike Peter Beck, I'm more willing to be wrong and less willing to promise something drastic :P

Also, somebody please convince the people that be to start producing space station modules and a powerful enough bank of electromagnetic engines to move it around Earth orbit or further because seriously it's about time we started producing that sort of infrastructure. The possibilities would be incredible and all the technology exists. What is the ISS if not a way to test the long-term use of habitable spaces in, er, space?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 05, 2021, 02:23:00 am
[...I believe I covered all this bit I snipped... Rather more tongue-in-cheek about pure robotic repair, but haptic feedback might be much more developed these days.]

For all that the Space Shuttle had serious problems, THIS is the sort of capability it had. In order to replicate it you need more than a space capsule.
I also regret its retirement, though it arguably delayed other developments in the US space program (covered by the Soviet-as-was one, but even they did quite a lot for the arguably better Buran, which got just one unmanned flight before mothballed/roof-collapsed.

Quote
It's possible to build a vehicle on-orbit (which I wish somebody would do) capable of executing the plane changes and maneuvers and the like (ion thrusters to maneuver around, anyone? Just maneuver while there's no crew on board and the months it takes you don't matter) and carrying the airlocks and crew space and manipulator arms and EVA suits and spare parts and all.
Which orbit? The one Hubble is in? Or what will eventually become the transfer-orbit to Hubble - hopefully to be met by the manned flight that still has to match it in the same trajectory as it is about to make its way to the Hubble rendezvous, then burn to match Hubble for everyone to work then reverse that to get everyone back to Earth (wherever you leave the repair-station, unmanned again)...

If they can't LEM-like the EVA/manipulator adapter with the Crew Dragon, for size/weight reasons, then indeed send up such a tin-can separately, but it wouldn't (especially with dedicated rocketry allowing it to be larger without the bag of humans on its tip) need to be of a size needing orbital pre-assembly (yes, something that would be useful to do, at some point, but not for this), but could certainly be equipped with a Shuttle-Arm/Canadarm (without needing the travelling rails across strut-segments, or even any travelling capabilities) or three for heavy 'lifting' or man-platforming where EMU/MMUing is not possible.

Docking with the human-lifter should be enough assembly to still give a 'station' with camp-out pre-EVA facilities and airlock. The single connector in use during heavy orbital adjustments may need to be more robust than the more passively-orbitting ISS ones, though they clearly survive trash-avoidance and decay-delaying manouvers, plus Nauka's thruster-error which spun the station all the way around and more and I think there's not much more problem for a planned, in-line reboosting stress. At both ends of the transfer (and maybe back) of the combined unit.


The other big alternative is capturing Hubble (safely, remotely) and bringing it to ISS (or ISS levels), before reboosting, but I'd be more scared of its fragility than of a sevicing crew and their vessel.


(I'm all very pro-Starship as an idea, but I can't see it being used to help Hubble soon enough. This all arose from having had Inspiration demonstrate the wherewithall to at least reach the right sort of apogee, the first manned craft to do so since the shuttle mission on the last Hubble-repair, everyone else since then has only ever visited the ISS or the new Chinese one, that went into orbit at all. Even at SpaceX development speeds, and Muskite perserverence, I'm not sure they'll get a fully capable Starship up there soon enough to be Shuttle 3.0.)

edit:
...didn't feel like adding as a (new) new post, but it's now out of order and repetitive.

Editedit:...aaaand I'm wrong on one point, already. Soyuz MS-19 is about to blast up with a Russian actor and actress (no non-Russians! ...which might be the first time for Soyuz for yonks) so they are taking 'tourists'.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on October 05, 2021, 03:16:12 am
(putting this where it belongs)

IIRC, given that we have the ISS (and that it is due to be officially discontinued soon), which is designed to have modules attached to it---

Rather than de-orbit it, sell it on the open market and let Elon buy the fucker.  THEN, semi-permanently dock a special service vehicle to it.

Said service vehicle would have a canadarm, and a service bay, as well as beefy maneuvering thrusters.  It can be sent on capture missions for service and repair, and would need occasional fuel shipped to it on dragon cargo pods every so often.  Service and repair could be carried out on board the repurposed ISS, after the module docks again.

Crew is rotated like ISS crew normally is.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on October 05, 2021, 10:34:20 am
You can't move Hubble to the ISS. Plane change maneuvers are extremely costly and Hubble is in a very different orbit to the ISS. My suggestion is that you just have an autonomous spaceship in orbit using highly efficient ion thrusters to move itself around orbit from repair target to repair target (or whatever other use it may have), sending crew up to meet it only after it has rendezvoused with the target vehicle, meaning your much-less-capable crew vehicle never performs a plane change (which it probably couldn't do anyway, due to the delta-V requirements).

The Buran was inarguably better than the Space Shuttle. To be fair, this is partly because it was developed later and with many of the lessons of the Shuttle learned. No solid boosters, a launcher that had uses other than carrying the orbiter, an orbiter that didn't have to haul heavy engines about on-orbit, and a somewhat more robust heat shield IIRC. Also, it was fully autonomous and could

Also, don't worry about the fragility of these things when it comes to altering orbits. They were put into orbit at first using the same accelerations you'd need to move things pretty much anywhere and the ISS regularly moves to avoid things and it's designed as a pure space "station"...AKA "a spaceship that doesn't have much delta-V".


Anyway, fundamentally with regards to Crew Dragon being used for repairs you'll never overcome the rapid obsolescence of the repair airlock/manipulator arm/servicing thing, especially since it'd need a solid amount of development and investment and would fundamentally be hideously expensive since you'd basically have to throw it away after every mission.

Hubble might be on its way out, eventually, but hopefully that would galvanize producing a replacement with greater capability...like the one NASA is working on and has been working on for far too long.


Sell the ISS to SpaceX? That would be...interesting...I doubt it'd happen, though. Musk and SpaceX in general are highly focused on multiplanetary operations and given their vessels' design it's unlikely such an awkwardly-placed (highly inclined orbit) waystation would have serious utility.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on October 05, 2021, 12:44:02 pm
Once the ESA gets their telescope up into space (after how many delays now?) I think the hubble deserves a retirement.

It'd be great to salvage something out of it as a historical souvenir but that's so hilariously difficult as mentioned above that it's not at all worth it with our current tech.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 05, 2021, 01:01:32 pm
Aside from the multinational title-deeds/treaties needed to rework in a mutually agreeable manner, the ISS is very much a patchwork of tech and legacy. I don't know what would even be the best end-of-life/second-owner use for it/bits of it, apart from whatever dismantling can be done, limited repurposing if there's somewhere to repurpose it to, perhaps some recoverable de-orbitting for lucrative elements (that can be given/put inside a heatshield and some form of aerobraking package[1]) and otherwise arrange for the rest to go to the Pacific in whatever burnt and melted bits come out of the unprotected re-entry. It couldn't really be left unmanned where it 'is', and the effort to boost into a higher garbage-orbit (or a similar 'museum-' one, with an eye to future legacy?) wouldn't currently be justifiable.

Some fictional treatment might have some billionaire or other (with one obvious expy) buy it and arrange for it to go to form part of his Phobos-orbitting base, or something. But probably not in this reality.
 

Russia had intended to dedock a number of its modules to transfer to its proposed OPSEK station, but aborted that plan for the ROSS one (to be built from, once they exit the ISS project later this decade). I think "oh, they're old and broken anyway" might be partially behind their downplaying of the safety of the ROS section of ISS. It seems uncharacteristic, although whether other more recent failures fit into their narrative/it into them, I don't know. Well beyond my non-existant paygrade. Would again make a good base synopsis for a technothriller, though.


I think it's probably still a matter of crossing that orbit when we get to it, if things aren't forced some direction by uncontrolled events of some kind. Minds greater than mine, or at least more influential, will have their own ideas and contingencies.


(Space-related xkcd, BTW: https://xkcd.com/2524/ ...not really relevent, but it came out last night and also involves 'tidying things up'. ;) )

@Gentlefish: Aye, and as you ninja re: Hubble itself. Would be a prize recovery, but... as already written below.



[1] If we can get Starships/similar up there capable of 'Jonah And The Whale'ing like in You Only Live Twice, in time, I'd be more surprised than with the Hubble-repair scenario. Can't rule out it happening, and getting places like the Smithsonian/wherever an extra special set of new exhibits, but I don't think there's much potential willpower/funding out there for it. YMMV. And they need to try it all out with the likes of Prospero, first, I'd suggest.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on November 11, 2021, 04:51:57 pm
SpinLaunch completes first test flight gentleman. While this is a no no for manned flights this can replace the space elevator on a way to build up a mature orbital infrastructure by providing a cheaper way to put the first raw materials and robots needed.

If ever want to achieve something like 100% sustainable industry we need to transport the mining infrastructure to space. But for that a lot of equipment and fuel is needed up there first. This could help boosting that.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Telgin on November 11, 2021, 05:03:41 pm
That's pretty cool, and I had no idea anyone was even attempting to build something like it.  If it starts to get used very much then that will pave the way for versions that can launch larger payloads, which will really open up the possibilities.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on November 11, 2021, 06:09:35 pm
Allegedly they only used 20% of the power in this test and the rocket had no propellant. The complete power would in theory reach 50.000 meters or roughly half way to space,  then ignite the boosters.

However there is still a long way to LEO. Guess bigger devices with smaller payloads could help.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on November 11, 2021, 06:12:46 pm
The full-scale version is trying to effectively replace the first stage of the rocket with a giant centrifuge---accomplish that, and you've cut out most of the rocket. Like, up to 75-80% of the rocket by volume and/or mass, depending on how the rocket is configured.

It's only for durable payloads, of course, and so is highly limited in that regard. But it is very interesting and will be very cool if it works.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: delphonso on November 11, 2021, 06:27:55 pm
Yeah, any progress in cutting fuel is like a huge leap in potential distance and payloads. It might actually be beneficial to have bulky, rough launching for things like dried food and building material and then use traditional rockets to send sensitive instruments and sentient meatbags up - cutting the weight of their rockets slightly.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Telgin on November 12, 2021, 12:35:13 am
I didn't see much detail on their website, but some back of the napkin math tells me that this is imparting about 2km/s at the time of launch.  That's about a quarter of the velocity needed for low earth orbit and probably not oriented properly anyway, so it's not as much as I hoped.  Still, for an early design I'm sure it helps a lot.  Just getting up into the upper atmosphere before igniting secondary engines to achieve orbit has to save a lot of fuel, not to mention the disproportionate benefit to launch mass that any fuel savings provides.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on November 15, 2021, 06:37:43 pm
Russia conducted an anti-satellite test on an old one-tonne-or-so Kosmos ELINT satellite, not long ago. 1500 'trackable fragments', countless untrackable ones. It is/was at an altitude of 410±10 miles, in a near-polar inclination.

The ISS is at 260ish miles altitude, and yet its controllers saw fit to send the astronauts (and cosmonauts!) to the on-board shelters for a while when it became known. With orbits of 97.80 minutes and 92.68, respectively, the 'beat frequency' should mean that the specific threat as their paths cross (almost at right-angles) is rare enough, between peak encounters, but it's quite hard to know how the spreading/smearing debris field (those bits now with sufficiently lower perigee, and/or decaying that way, for as many orbits they get before the atmosphere reclaims them) will potentially interact. (This isn't just a two-body-problem!)

I wonder if the Russians fully appreciate the Gravity of the situation.

(Actually, to those concerned, demonstrable capability was probably more important than the consequences. Both interally and externally, but that's probably more <Foo>Pol thread fodder.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on November 15, 2021, 06:55:15 pm
Will people please stop spreading their idiotic desire to litter into space? We've got enough safety problems with space travel without riddling space with tiny bullets, thanks very much.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on November 16, 2021, 07:45:47 am
Littering space is fine. Is our orbit the one we need clean. But in general lines, sure, we must not litter anywhere.

Although this had nothing to do with littering as much as dick measurement show, which is idiotic. Everyone knows major and former powers, or basically anyone with the capacity to send crap to orbit can in theory destroy a satellite. By this measure Musk is this close of becoming Hank Scorpio or whatever.

Very relevant (https://youtu.be/yS1ibDImAYU)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: delphonso on November 16, 2021, 06:17:26 pm
Has anyone been following the delays and speed-ups of the upcoming NASA moon mission? I haven't paid much attention to it and have just seen headlines of delays and then...not delays.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on November 16, 2021, 06:54:06 pm
First Artemis/SLS launch is some time early next year, February I think? Maybe March?

SpaceX is probably going to make it to Mars before ANY administration funds NASA enough (and lets them off the established-contractors leash) for them to actually accomplish any deep-space exploration goals.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on November 16, 2021, 07:29:47 pm
Starship has to be ready and proven so that Artemis-3 can dock with it and use its landing capability (unless Bezos can revive his bid, which is unlikely) so SpaceX will probably be at least as well placed (disasters being avoided, that is) and probably more so, in the business of beyond-lunar man-capable flight, as any of their obvious competitors, private or national (though I wouldn't take my eyes off China pulling a Tsien out of the hat).

But back in the early '90s I predicted that the return to the Moon would be in 2019 (for various good reasons, as well as the obvious), so you could probably find a better prognosticator than me on this subject. ;)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bralbaard on November 17, 2021, 03:38:14 am
But back in the early '90s I predicted that the return to the Moon would be in 2019 (for various good reasons, as well as the obvious), so you could probably find a better prognosticator than me on this subject. ;)

That must have been a terribly pessimistic prediction at the time. But reality has been worse, so I'd say your prognosticating skills are not too far off.  At least there is some momentum right now. If it were not for the rise of SpaceX and China, I think there would still be no realistic plans for a return at all right now.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MaxTheFox on November 17, 2021, 09:46:43 am
PTW.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Duuvian on December 08, 2021, 07:07:13 am
https://www.space.com/nasa-moon-nuclear-fission-reactor

The article is requesting ideas for how to build a uranium fission plant on the moon if I understand it correctly.

IIRC a number of years ago there was discussion here that a thorium breeder reactor might be the best sort of reactor to use, but I can't remember if that was on the moon or Mars. There does seem to be a large amount of Thorium on the moon, but I'm not sure if the large concentratrations are all on the dark side which is where at least one major source would be.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thorium-based_nuclear_power

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compton%E2%80%93Belkovich_Thorium_Anomaly

The spectrograph said there is about 3% iron oxide there too, so if you send a small foundry system with the reactor you could test that out too. If you could have it make spare parts it could prove the idea of a much larger automated foundry making things like construction component stockpiles like metal beams or plating or whatnot from native materials.

I found the following link, it's interesting though I don't know if it's up to date or an old page:

 https://www.permanent.com/lunar-geology-minerals.html

Average composition of Apollo and Luna samples:
(https://www.permanent.com/img/average-compositions-of-apollo-and-luna-samples.jpg)

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: wierd on December 08, 2021, 07:23:19 am
The reactor's heat should be used to heat the base/colony, with passive heat radiating into the walls of the base and into the surrounding regolith.

Active heat dissipation with a closed loop buried in the regolith should also be present for any excesses, or for situations where emergency shutdown is required.  Due to the pressures involved, i would suggest a working fluid other than water. Perhaps mineral oil?  The cooling loop is not part of power generation; it is there to ensure condenser efficiency. (Eg, the contents of that loop never boil, and never enter the reactor's core. It should be able to circulate at low pressures, and not have a pressure related vapor point. This is to minimize the issues of a ruptured pipe in the regolith. ( you dont want a high powered steam explosion out into space on the moon.)

Basically, you have reactor water, which heat exchanges with a mineral oil filled heat radiator network, which circulates the hot oil around the complex and is used to heat rooms.  The ams oil based coolant can be shunted into a reverse-heatpump outside the complex, which is buried in loose rock.  This is used to quickly bring down reactor temps, and to deal with "station too hot" situations.

Mineral oil wont boil if exposed to vacuum the way water does, and also wont freeze in that circumstance.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: EuchreJack on December 09, 2021, 04:34:22 am
Nah, they need to put their first Industrial Fusion Power Plant on the Moon.  So, you know, it fails catastrophically there instead of here.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on December 09, 2021, 05:03:12 am
What if we nuke the moon? (https://youtu.be/qEfPBt9dU60)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on December 21, 2021, 04:59:47 pm
Latest JWST launch estimate: 12:20 (UTC) 25/Dec.

Closer and closer, but still simultaneously continuing the observed trend (https://xkcd.com/2014) of being later and later...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on December 21, 2021, 05:47:20 pm
Unless the mission controller is Zeno, they'll run out of possible steps in delaying sooner or lkater
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Telgin on December 22, 2021, 01:00:57 am
I wonder what the expected odds are that the rocket will fail catastrophically during launch.  A quick googling implies it's about 5% in general, but that also seems to be related to the success rate of SpaceX so I'm not sure if it's a global trend or one otherwise applicable to whatever launch vehicle they're planning to use.

I'd be absolutely terrified to be part of this mission with a 5% failure possibility.  As much as I'm sure they could build a second telescope a lot cheaper than the first one due to the nonrecurring engineering costs, I can't envision they'd get the budget for it at this point.

Even as a lay enthusiast, it would be pretty terrible.  I don't expect that the JWST will be totally revolutionary in what it discovers, but I'm hopeful it will help settle a number of open questions about the old universe that will probably remain open questions for a long time if it blows up or fails once it's in space.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Frumple on December 22, 2021, 02:21:00 am
One crit failure away from kaboom isn't particularly comforting, no. Probably pretty decent in some sense or another, but anyone that's spent much time gaming with anything involving probability is likely just looking at that number and wincing at memories of xcom or fire emblem or anything using a d20. It's a distorted impression due to how human memory functions, but my oh my does knowing that do remarkably little for the metaphorical stomach butterflies.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: McTraveller on December 22, 2021, 08:21:56 am
It's important to note that with rocket failures it's always special-cause failure, not random failure, so saying things like "5% chance of failure" doesn't mean what most people think it means.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on December 23, 2021, 07:25:24 am
To the average Baal it means 5 out of 100 rockets will light the night sky.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on December 24, 2021, 07:42:16 am
(Just got the "24 hours before launch" alert for JWST. Finger's crossed, and remind me to check my super-secret cloaked orbital weapons platform isn't in the way the news tomorrow...)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Dorsidwarf on December 25, 2021, 11:20:33 am
JWST launch went fine. Just one month before we find out whether the damn thing works for sure.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: PTTG?? on December 29, 2021, 10:53:42 pm
Screaming the entire time.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sirus on December 30, 2021, 07:31:59 pm
First time watching a launch? Don't worry, a certain amount of fire and noise is totally normal.  ;)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on December 31, 2021, 12:26:48 pm
China has filed a formal complaint with the US about Elon Musk, claiming his space launches endanger chinese sattelites.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on December 31, 2021, 01:46:16 pm


China has filed a formal complaint with the US about Elon Musk, claiming his space launches endanger chinese sattelites.
Did not they just made a live anti-satellite weapon test not long ago? They can go and eat a dick.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Ziusudra on December 31, 2021, 05:29:47 pm
Did not they just made a live anti-satellite weapon test not long ago? They can go and eat a dick.
No, that was Russia.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on December 31, 2021, 05:56:24 pm
Did not they just made a live anti-satellite weapon test not long ago? They can go and eat a dick.
No, that was Russia.
Russia did it (most recently) in November this year. India in March 2019.

China definitely did in 2007, but demonstrated something in Feb 2018 (a follow-up to a 2013 episode) that might have ASAT capabilities to hit things in geostationary orbit. Hard to know of true intentions, though.

The US last notably (SFAIK!) did it in 2008, and are probably more than thoroughly equipped in the event of necessity.

Israel is thought to have tested the equipment capable of doing it, too. Not yet to full ASAT testing levels, but some experts think that's just because they know they can if they want to, whether that's with locally developed and/or US-fed knowhow.



On Musk, his excuse is that "space is big" (he didn't quite go for the full H2G2 quote... we know he listened to that show, and was inspired by it, when young). Though I guess we won't know how right he is until it becomes obvious how much stuff we can't cram into orbit.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Gentlefish on January 04, 2022, 10:09:17 pm
So far, the deployment of the JWST is going as smoothly as can be hoped for!

So, so very excited to see what sort of pictures we'll be able to get way out at the Lagrange point.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on January 05, 2022, 06:52:00 pm
So far, the deployment of the JWST is going as smoothly as can be hoped for!

So, so very excited to see what sort of pictures we'll be able to get way out at the Lagrange point.
Spoiler (click to show/hide)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on January 05, 2022, 07:18:05 pm
Did not they just made a live anti-satellite weapon test not long ago? They can go and eat a dick.
No, that was Russia.
Then they can also go to heck if ever complain.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on January 06, 2022, 09:31:49 am
So far, the deployment of the JWST is going as smoothly as can be hoped for!

So, so very excited to see what sort of pictures we'll be able to get way out at the Lagrange point.
Apparently the thing is sensitive enough, that if it were placed on earth, it would be able to spot a bumblebee-sized heat signature on the moon. Out there in space, without atmospheric interference, it's going to give us amazing pictures, I'm sure.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on January 06, 2022, 10:42:46 am
Apparently the thing is sensitive enough, that if it were placed on earth, it would be able to spot a bumblebee-sized heat signature on the moon. Out there in space, without atmospheric interference, it's going to give us amazing pictures, I'm sure.

Are they going to use the flash (https://xkcd.com/2564)?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on January 24, 2022, 08:09:14 pm
Webb has succesfully maneuvered into orbit around L2. Let the calibrations begin!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on January 26, 2022, 09:46:14 pm
SpaceX is going to the Moon this year!

An expended Falcon 9, left to drift in high orbit for half a decade, will hit somewhere on the far side on 4th March. While many things have been deliberately sent to the Moon, others (including the final boosters used to send the first things there) have been allowed to crash there, this may be the first thing that we tracked to just drift that way.

Of course, countless other abandoned high-orbit things probably got there first, but until we have a closer look at any suspiciously fresh craters for tell-tale wreckage, we won't know about them. And even when they do, it'll be probably not linkable to any given mission.

From the size and more immediate observational(/radar) history of the Falcon, we'll probably have a reasonable idea where to look (if a current lunar-surveyor doesn't catch it in more immediate action/aftermath), but bear in mind that there's still a lot of doubt about where some of the Apollo hardware (from a number of the various trans-lunar boosters to the six LEM ascent-stages that were not needed any more) actually fell. (Or at least that was the case when I last mapped everything left on the Moon for an uncompleted project of my own. Maybe some of the latest radar-mappers have spotted metallic signatures in likely spots.)

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Magmacube_tr on January 30, 2022, 05:03:55 am
This is maybe a bit offtopic, but I guess this is the best place to put it.

If you had the chance to visit any, I mean any place in the solar sytem for a full Earth day, where would you choose to go? You are guaranteed to come back home unharmed, and there is no travel time, you just appear there.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on January 30, 2022, 05:13:53 am
DISNEYWORLD!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on January 30, 2022, 05:15:08 am
Your mum!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Sirus on January 30, 2022, 10:10:51 am
Charon. I'll find that mass relay and become the most famous human of all time (until some jerk named Shepard outdoes me in a hundred years or so).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on January 30, 2022, 04:06:12 pm
I've been thinking about this a lot.

[spoiler=First, second and third thoughts...]I was originally thinking Deimos. Because most people would probably say Phobos, so I'd avoid the rush. (At least for those not more interested in a day relaxing in the Sun.  Or messing about with (and around) some currently active lander.)

But it's really got to be interesting. Given any apparent invulnerability, maybe a volcanically-active moon (no preference what of, but of course either Jupiter or Saturn in the sky would add something to the view). Cryovolcanoes are no problem. Might even be a bonus.[/quote]

After a little extra time to mull it over, though, perhaps a seat on the comet C/2021 O3 some day not too long before the 21st of April, if you can arrange that quick enough?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on February 12, 2022, 05:25:01 pm
I don't know this will be of any interest to anyone, but here's a little nerdy project I've done recently.
I wanted to recreate Hubble's original graph - the celebrated, seminal one suggesting expansion of the universe - from the data in his 1929 paper, and compare it with modern data for the same set of objects:
Spoiler: mid-sized image (click to show/hide)

It's interesting to see how hilariously underestimated (compare the scale of the x-axes), or flat out in the wrong order, most of the distances were back then. But that the trend still shows all the same.

Here's the associated spreadsheet (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1WWlfiEW9Wno-M-g31gt4z-0EF8bBeCMWgI9XWy--91M/edit?usp=sharing). The calculations are mostly just to remove solar motion through the Galaxy from the raw data in the paper, which Hubble only does off-screen, so to speak.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: EuchreJack on February 14, 2022, 11:24:05 am
Nice!
Thanks for sharing.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 14, 2022, 05:22:20 pm
(Yes, I appreciated that also, but couldn't think of anything interesting to add about it. I like that kind of re-analysis.  Talking of which...)


SpaceX is going to the Moon this year!

An expended Falcon 9, left to drift in high orbit for half a decade, will hit somewhere on the far side on 4th March.
...apparently, the person who said this was happening has recently changed his mind. It's actually a rocket stage that was used in the Chang'e 5 mission, from 2014. There's (further) expert agreement with this, though still some uncertainty.

I actually saw an astronomical photo of the whatever-it-is, the other day (when we still thought it was the Falcon), against the background of stars, and so while there remains some mystery if we rewind the timeline, the immediate future path is pretty much solid, so there's no real doubt that whatever-it-is is definitely where-it-is and moving-as-it-is to crash-where-it-will. ;)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on February 18, 2022, 01:28:06 pm
So, the divine algorithm has blessed me with this video out of the blue:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EgiMu8A3pi0
And it's a wonder. What it is, is an almost 2h long educational video on the inner workings of the V2 missile, from the engineering perspective. It's very specifically about the turbopump, but that's pretty much where the magic happens. So in a sense it's a general 'how rockets work' thing, really. The first few minutes sound like the ad for the turboencabulator, but it quickly follows with a clear, very detailed, step-by-step, hands-on analysis. Original schematics, real parts, rendered images and physical cut-outs, a bit of chemistry experiments and mockup models.
A lovely thing overall.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on March 01, 2022, 10:47:45 am
I did a(n all too) brief summary in the Not Yet WW3 thread (http://www.bay12forums.com/smf/index.php?topic=179592.msg8355545#msg8355545) of how the current events sparked by Russia, and the resulting sanctions, might affect impending launches by Roscosmos/etc. I meant to scan further ahead, but never got round to it.

However, it's been publically announced that the 2022 launch of British-built Rosilind Franklin rover, which was due to be sent on the ExoMars joint ESA/Russia project, is now unlikely to go ahead. All the bits are built (including the Russian components for landing it) but, well... now messy in various ways, not the least politically.

Theoretically, a different launch system could be sourced, there are a few obvious providers with the right sort of capabilities to get heading Marsward. A different descent (and possibly pre-descent) system would need to be built from scratch, though. Unless, if we're lucky, an adapted version can be cobbled together from prior mission 'spares' for similar setups!

I haven't checked to see if the RF is currently still 'in the west' or is already in Russia (depends on where in the remaining pre-flight testing/rigging cycle it is) so that could be an active problem too. I think it's a few months off needing to be married to the Russian hardware, though.

(Not a huge thing, on the human scale, but definitely a problem when you've got optimal Mars-transfer slots only coming round every few years.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Magmacube_tr on March 03, 2022, 12:02:10 pm
Verona Rupes (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Verona_Rupes), the highest cliff in the solar system. It's about 20 kilometers in height.

Found this very interesting. Thought you would too.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Quarque on June 08, 2022, 02:03:18 am
The James Webb space telescope is about to become operational. It is a sort-of new, improved Hubble, but it is focused on the infrared part of the spectrum. Basically the best infrared camera ever made. Can't wait to see what it discovers.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Quarque on June 08, 2022, 02:07:10 am
This is maybe a bit offtopic, but I guess this is the best place to put it.

If you had the chance to visit any, I mean any place in the solar sytem for a full Earth day, where would you choose to go? You are guaranteed to come back home unharmed, and there is no travel time, you just appear there.
Absolutely Titan. (Moon of saturn, the only moon with an atmosphere. It has a weather system with rain of liquid methane.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on June 11, 2022, 05:54:33 am
If its pure magic, would love to see what's under the ice of Europe.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on June 11, 2022, 06:42:17 am
If its pure magic, would love to see what's under the ice of Europe.
Presumably, Europeans. :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: EuchreJack on June 11, 2022, 07:28:21 pm
If its pure magic, would love to see what's under the ice of Europe.
Presumably, Europeans. :P
Alternatively: Eurotrash  :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Loud Whispers on June 27, 2022, 06:44:43 am
Once you pierce the ice you unleash millions of years of carbonated Eurobeat
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MonkeyHead on July 27, 2022, 02:19:44 pm
If its pure magic, would love to see what's under the ice of Europe.

Eurovision.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on July 27, 2022, 03:36:02 pm
While we're here, you'll have heard that Russia has announced that it will[1] stop being part of the ISS as of 2026 and go off and build their own one, with blackjack and hookers...

Which will make it the fourth country to do so, after the USSR (albeit tailing off into the Russian Federation), the US and most recently China. But just like the US has had to reinvent the Apollo Program(me), they can't expect to just dust off the soviet-era stuff and get back to their full stride.


I can't see this being more than posturing, right now. They're upset that they've lost their monopoly on man-rated launches (we now have SpaceX, maybe Boeing coming up; and there's the Chinese, but already only for and by themselves) and I've no doubt that the non-Russians can quickly get some of the robotic supply missions (at least) to act as orbit-raisers if they disconnect the Mir-2 modules[2].

I'd say no real loss if they organise a proper de-docking from Unity. And, by their own admission, the ROS modules are on the edge of their design-life anyway so I can't see them drifing it off to act as the (initial) backbone for any neo-Mir they will have to start afresh with. It's probably going to happen anyway, hopefully before anything fails so critically that they can't bodge a repair in time (https://www.space.com/cosmonauts-seal-space-station-air-leak-cracks).


(Really, there are far more physical dangers associated with human habitation in space than 'mere' political ones. Unless there's an active act of sabotage[3], I expect the end of the ISS to be pretty much a natural end of either unseen disaster or abandoned as no longer fit for purpose. Russia is no longer a necessary partner, from an engineering perspective, if diplomacy cannot keep them on board.)


[1] Well, by their rhetoric. It's going to be either an empty threat or a costly one.

[2] Zarya: Now mainly storage; Zvezda: Living/propulsion; (Pirs, then) Poisk: Russian EVA facilities; Rassvet: Cargo space/docking; Nauka: Russian laboratory; Prichal: General docking; ...all pretty much duplicated (or derussified) in every facette other than propulsion with the US/Other-nation modules and nodes, which also does the heavy lifting in the Power department.

[3] Which is probably less likely than when there are 'competing' space-habitats and some 'accidental' ASAT-like action is made upon the opposition by one or other or both beligerant parties.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: EuchreJack on July 27, 2022, 03:36:41 pm
If its pure magic, would love to see what's under the ice of Europe.

Eurovision.
That sounds like the device that would be used to peer under the ice of Europa.
Although now, I like to imagine there are aliens performing Eurovision songs.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on July 27, 2022, 03:44:00 pm
I like to imagine there are aliens performing Eurovision songs.
They do. Every year... Have you seen all those entries!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MaxTheFox on July 27, 2022, 11:28:08 pm
This is maybe a bit offtopic, but I guess this is the best place to put it.

If you had the chance to visit any, I mean any place in the solar sytem for a full Earth day, where would you choose to go? You are guaranteed to come back home unharmed, and there is no travel time, you just appear there.
Absolutely Titan. (Moon of saturn, the only moon with an atmosphere. It has a weather system with rain of liquid methane.)
This TBH. Or yeah, Europa.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: bloop_bleep on July 28, 2022, 11:49:19 am
Titan has smaller gravity (by ~7x) but a denser atmosphere (by ~1.5x). Which makes me wonder if you could fly there by flapping your arms hard enough.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MonkeyHead on July 28, 2022, 12:22:30 pm
Titan has smaller gravity (by ~7x) but a denser atmosphere (by ~1.5x). Which makes me wonder if you could fly there by flapping your arms hard enough.

With a few square meters of wing, yes. Though, you would get tired pretty quickly. Some Titan analogue of hang gliding would be pretty awesome.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on July 28, 2022, 04:39:47 pm
Titan has smaller gravity (by ~7x) but a denser atmosphere (by ~1.5x). Which makes me wonder if you could fly there by flapping your arms hard enough.

With a few square meters of wing, yes. Though, you would get tired pretty quickly. Some Titan analogue of hang gliding would be pretty awesome.

You remind me (fondly... I think I'll read through a few of the other old ones there) of the WhatIf..? A you tried to fly a cessna out there on other solar system bodies (https://what-if.xkcd.com/30/), and its punchline. A bit out of date (there are actual electric planes, designed as such, and they got the Inginuity helicopter... both things that weren't anywhere near happening/imagined when it was written), but otherwise still very factual+funny (do check the hovertext of the images). And the punchline paragraphs near the end deal with Titanic human-flight in a bit more detail.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Magmacube_tr on July 29, 2022, 05:30:40 pm
Titan has smaller gravity (by ~7x) but a denser atmosphere (by ~1.5x). Which makes me wonder if you could fly there by flapping your arms hard enough.

With a few square meters of wing, yes. Though, you would get tired pretty quickly. Some Titan analogue of hang gliding would be pretty awesome.

Forget the flying. We all know that everyone actually just wants to swim in the fart lakes.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MonkeyHead on July 30, 2022, 03:52:23 am
Titan has smaller gravity (by ~7x) but a denser atmosphere (by ~1.5x). Which makes me wonder if you could fly there by flapping your arms hard enough.

With a few square meters of wing, yes. Though, you would get tired pretty quickly. Some Titan analogue of hang gliding would be pretty awesome.

Forget the flying. We all know that everyone actually just wants to swim in the fart lakes.

Good luck: the low densities of hydrocarbons mean this would be a cold and smelly way to drown in toxic alien ass juice.

No doubt thats probably someones ideal way to die, though. *Shrug*
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: bloop_bleep on August 08, 2022, 08:04:50 pm
I present

https://youtu.be/yrc632oilWo

SpinLaunch.

I really like the approach. It excites me. I have a few (untrained layman) ideas pertaining to what was laid out in the video.

Firstly, for the rebalancing of the centrifugal arm after releasing the spacecraft. I was wondering whether you could have the arm slide along its center of rotation, so immediately after the launch vehicle is released it can rapidly rebalance the arm by sliding it in the direction of the spacecraft -- the counterweight just needs to get close to the center of rotation. The question then becomes if you can do it without punching a hole in the side of the vacuum chamber. To get it to have to travel less you need a counterweight closer to the center of rotation, which means a heavier counterweight, which means denser materials. Then there's also the problem where if the center of rotation can move, it will tend to move in the direction of greater imbalance, since the heavier side will pull the arm towards it by its inertia exacerbating the imbalance. This, however, stops occurring if the rotating object is placed in a denser medium, because then the whole thing becomes essentially a centrifuge and the less dense rotating object will like to move back to the center if it goes out of alignment. They can't put some dense fluid in the vacuum chamber, though, of course, but I think they can simulate this self-correcting effect by having rollers running along the circumference of the vacuum chamber attached to the arm via springs, which can apply this correcting force. I'm just coming up with ideas here, I'm not sure if they make sense or are practical. Feel free to let me know your thoughts.

The second piece which I had ideas about is the airlock doors. They say they have a major engineering challenge in getting them to rapidly open to let the spacecraft out then rapidly close to preserve the vacuum. They apparently have hinged doors. I was wondering, what if they have a sliding door, a solid piece 3x1 relative to the dimensions of the opening with a 1x1 hole in the middle, such that the closed section is obscuring the opening when the spacecraft is spinning up, so that when it starts sliding in the release sequence it first becomes open, then keeps moving at the same velocity, in the same direction to rapidly close again after? No need for massive forces to reverse the door velocity in milliseconds, no need to fight atmospheric pressure, and no need to have it slam against a bumper in such a way that it bouncing would compromise the vacuum. Let me know what you think of this too.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on August 08, 2022, 11:43:16 pm
It wouldn't be a 1:1 size hole in the sliding portion; it'd have to be an oval to account for the size of the spacecraft and the finite (though large) speed with which it is moving. And at least one, and I think several, of the doors are going to be open at start and just close behind the spacecraft. The only one that opens in front of the spacecraft is the outermost door. Getting a seal on a sliding door would, I think, be trickier than a good seal on a swinging door, so swinging doors it is.

As for springs and counter-moving masses and whatnot...the double-spacecraft or "just throw something at the wall" options definitely seem simpler and probably better than messing with that sort of stuff.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on August 12, 2022, 06:45:09 pm
Didn't we talked about this a while ago?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on September 26, 2022, 08:06:09 pm
One Hundred and EIGHTY!!!! (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-63039191)

(...another bit of coverage, headed up by a nosecam view (trigger warning?)... (https://www.space.com/dart-asteroid-impact-spacecraft-last-photos))
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 11, 2022, 02:03:30 pm
Just to insert other news... I wonder if this is a prelude to not needing the Russian bits (https://www.space.com/superconducting-magnet-thruster-tested-space-station) (as well as the earlier switching to visiting Dragon thusters instead of Soyuz ones).

But, back to that asteroid... ...it has apparently worked (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-63221577), and hence we probably won't die from a sufficiently predicted car-crash.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on October 11, 2022, 03:54:38 pm
Quite the accomplishment. With a significant impact on the target's orbital velocity. Very nice shot.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on December 23, 2022, 03:53:36 am
Talking of the Russian bits (well, not really, but they do feature in the posts immediately before this mild necro), what with the existing Soyuz MS-22 craft apparently having leaked coolant (and not because of micrometeroid damage, apparently[1]), it might be that Russia sends MS-23 up empty, in February, to act as the ride home for those that would otherwise have come back in 22 in March.

I hope things don't get much more interesting, because there's already more than enough precarious situations just about keeping the ISS going...


[1] But whether it's more akin to the "mysteriously drilled holes", from a year or three back, I have no idea. Only heard third-hand conclusions.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on January 10, 2023, 10:58:00 am
If you're bothered about it, you'll already have heard that the UK's first home-based (rather than Australian, etc) satellite launch, courtesy of Virgin Orbit's plane-launched LauncherOne, went awry. Currently seems to be a second-stage 'anomaly'.

It's still a maturing technology, so the occasional glitch is not unexpected. Still, an inauspicious start. If at least safely away from all the actual human-driven bits of the launch.


Additionally funny is the political revisionism (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-64223974) (nearly necroed the UK thread, just for this) surrounding the attempt. The hilarity being in the obvious photoshopping-style artefacts in the revised photo (I think too much clone/smear use, and too little tidying up after that.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on January 26, 2023, 05:35:16 pm
Everybody duck! (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-64411469)

(So, there's always seems to be a lot of Space-stuff to talk about (like stacking of Spaceships, etc) but this aint an irregularly updated LiveJournal thing, so I've been resisting double-/triple-posting with everything I've been keeping track of. Until now, just because. But please forgive me. ...I shall now go off to hibernate again. At least once the minibus has safely passed by.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: JoshuaFH on January 26, 2023, 06:00:49 pm
That was quite the dramatic article for a minibus-sized meteor. A meteor that size might be able to survive entry and actually hit the ground, but it wouldn't do much damage most likely. There is the nigh-infinitely small chance it could hit-and-run a satellite though, and the astronomers couldn't see a license plate on it so there's no chance the space police could track it down after it gets slingshotted away.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Ziusudra on February 17, 2023, 04:32:52 am
Scientists find first evidence that black holes are the source of dark energy (https://phys.org/news/2023-02-scientists-evidence-black-holes-source.html)
Quote
The researchers looked at a particular type of galaxy called giant elliptical galaxies, which evolved early in the universe and then became dormant. Dormant galaxies have finished forming stars, leaving little material for the black hole at their center to accrete, meaning any further growth cannot be explained by these normal astrophysical processes.

Comparing observations of distant galaxies (when they were young) with local elliptical galaxies (which are old and dead) showed growth much larger than predicted by accretion or mergers: the black holes of today are 7—20 times larger than they were nine billion years ago.
...
This is the first observational evidence that black holes actually contain vacuum energy and that they are 'coupled' to the expansion of the universe, increasing in mass as the universe expands
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 17, 2023, 04:53:42 am
Odd final phrasing. Given the headline, I would have expected "the universe expanding as they increase in mass". Which rather calls into question the true causation/correlation they're trying to put forward.

(Also, they will stop/slow forming stars because of less remaining material available to, it won't be that the lowered star formation means a reduced amount of "new mass" to feed the holes, in any meaningful way.)

I shall read the full article later ("larger" is in size/extent, not mass, I assume, and they ruled out other reasons why later populations could be seen to be shifted up the scale a bit), when I have the time, but you'd have thought even the summaryised language on a science site wouldn't be so... confusing.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: McTraveller on February 17, 2023, 08:47:46 am
Yeah my educated layman's impression is that the article at least is playing fast and loose with definitions. There's no rigor there.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Telgin on February 17, 2023, 09:40:02 am
That was my initial impression too, but found an explanation on Reddit that at least gives an attempt at explaining it based on the paper: Reddit Link (https://www.reddit.com/r/worldnews/comments/113casc/comment/j8qpyvc/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3).  The thread there has a few other good comments too.

The comment there says that blackholes growing with the expansion of the universe cause spacetime to dilute to conserve energy.  That kind of makes sense, but I'm not going to pretend to know the math or physics well enough to say more than that.  I haven't read the paper directly and suspect I'd get very little out of any attempt for the same reasons.  I'm a computer scientist, not an astrophysicist.

I'm also not really sure what the implications are if the paper turns out to be accepted by the scientific community.  It seems most people agree that we won't get any new physics out of this, but it sounded to me like this is a pretty big improvement on our understanding of blackhole evolution and should be pretty profound.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on February 17, 2023, 09:41:43 am
That is super interesting.

Odd final phrasing. Given the headline, I would have expected "the universe expanding as they increase in mass". Which rather calls into question the true causation/correlation they're trying to put forward.
It's not odd. The causative chain goes like this: universe expansion - leads to - black holes gaining mass - leads to - acceleration of the expansion setting in.
I.e. it's not that dark energy causes expansion. In the FLRW model of the universe expansion would occur even without dark energy. The latter is not causative of the former. DE is almost negligible in the initial stages of the expansion.

Quote
(Also, they will stop/slow forming stars because of less remaining material available to, it won't be that the lowered star formation means a reduced amount of "new mass" to feed the holes, in any meaningful way.)
But it does mean just that, at least in part. The accretion disc is mostly gas. Compact objects, like stars, are more difficult to accrete, as the can only drag through which they can feasibly lose orbital energy is gravitational. So depletion of interstellar gas quenches both star formation and black hole accretion. Additionally, there is tentative evidence of a feedback mechanism, where active galactic nucleus (i.e. accreting black hole) blows the free gas away through a number of processes, stopping both star formation and further accretion.

Quote
I shall read the full article later ("larger" is in size/extent, not mass, I assume, and they ruled out other reasons why later populations could be seen to be shifted up the scale a bit), when I have the time, but you'd have thought even the summaryised language on a science site wouldn't be so... confusing.
Larger in mass. Which happens to necessitate increase the size, but it's the mass that's being measured and important for the proposed mechanism.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: McTraveller on February 17, 2023, 10:17:21 am
If energy is conserved, how much is there in the universe? Is it a finite amount?

Entropy is always increasing, but what was the initial entropy?

Would ChatGPT know the answer?  ;D
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Telgin on February 17, 2023, 10:43:56 am
I've read that energy isn't conserved on a universal scale, which always felt odd to me but I don't know enough physics or math to truly understand why.  Naively, I'd expect redshifting of photons due to expansion of the universe to imply that they lose energy and that energy really isn't conserved, but I'd be surprised if it really was that simple.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 17, 2023, 07:20:24 pm
Having read and cogitated, I'm not really convinced...
Quote from: The article
The new result shows that black holes gain mass in a way consistent with them containing vacuum energy, providing a source of dark energy and removing the need for singularities to form at their center.[/url]
...maybe I'm odd in actually prefering that there be a singularity, and finding it the neatest obvious solution. However beyond the usual maths/physics understandings.

Odd final phrasing. Given the headline, I would have expected "the universe expanding as they increase in mass". Which rather calls into question the true causation/correlation they're trying to put forward.
It's not odd. The causative chain goes like this: universe expansion - leads to - black holes gaining mass - leads to - acceleration of the expansion setting in.
I.e. it's not that dark energy causes expansion. In the FLRW model of the universe expansion would occur even without dark energy. The latter is not causative of the former. DE is almost negligible in the initial stages of the expansion.
I clearly don't get this, properly. This sounds dangerously close to the "infill" version of the Steady State theory ("yes, things are clearly moving away from each other, but new stuff is spontaneously happening to fill the gaps..."). Maybe my head is in the wrong place, though.


I shall have to revisit it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on February 21, 2023, 08:43:24 am
Due to a micrometeorid (debris?) impact with the Sojoez-MS22 re-entry vessel in december last year, the craft has now been deemed too dangerous for human beings to re-enter the atmosphere.
The impact struck a radiator, allowing radiator fluid to leak.
Due to this, the inside of the vessel will reach temperatures over 40C on re-entry. Combined with high humidity inside making it too dangerous for human beings, Roscosmos decided to send a replacement, the Sojoez-MS23, which will depart without crew.
The damaged MS22 will return to earth carrying only equipment that can stand the temperature and humidity.

The MS23 was scheduled to launch last weekend. However, when a Russian cargo vessel also developed a coolant leak at the ISS, the launch was delayed for an extra inspection. It is scheduled to launch this friday.

For the astronauts aboard the ISS, missing their flight means a half year delay.

Either Russia makes bad radiator parts, or we are starting to see the effects of space debris.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on February 21, 2023, 08:45:10 am
oops double post instead of edit
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 21, 2023, 08:57:14 am
Given that we think (though the Russians want to say otherwise (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soyuz_MS-09#Air_leak)) the 2018 Soyuz leak may have been a manufacturing error[1], I'm inclined to go with the same view of this other. After already having pondered a little since the original coolant leak, etc. Not sure any clearer evidence will make its way out into the armchair space-community (maybe even not enough find its way to NASA, other concerned space partners or the kind of intelligence analyst who specialises in this area of operations).


[1] Or ground-based sabotage? Probably not. Or, at least, if Moscow has evidence of that kind then they've clearly gone on to deal with what they found out whilst maintaining their blame on external factors in currently typical self-serving manners, playing politics.

edited for tyops
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jipehog on February 21, 2023, 10:46:13 am
Any news on the new space race ?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 21, 2023, 11:21:37 am
Any news on the new space race ?
New? Well, Voyager 1 is still ahead, and not going to be passed any time soon. Pioneer 10 is about 26AU behind, in second place (and losing ground on first) but Voyager 2 is only in 3rd by about ¼AU and going almost a third as fast again as its nearest rival, so may well gain 2nd quite soon. Pioneer 11 trails these to hold a solid 4th, on paper, but New Horizons has so far reached half as far in nearly 17 years as the former has gotten in a full half century. Not actually much faster (currently about midway between the Pioneer velocities and those of the Voyagers) but sent on on a trajectory without so much deliberate loitering around the planets in the initial years of the mission

Then there's various final boost stages and released counterweights, in partly associated trajectories as uncounted placings slotted and interleved into the above list, but I'd class all of them the same as riderless horses or unhorsed riders! ;)


(If, instead, you're looking for something like the Starship/Superheavy launch, they're promising a possible full launch test in the next month or maybe not, last I checked, but that might depend upon the FAA, et al, regardless of SpaceX's feelings on the matter. There's both optimism and pessimism aplenty, in the 'expert' places that chatter about this sort of thing. Hard to narrow down the realistic answer to this question, especially given the timing by Musk always seems to keep sliding... )
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Great Order on February 21, 2023, 12:31:04 pm
I think they may be referring to the Artemis program.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 21, 2023, 12:57:42 pm
Yeah, which is why I, eventually, mentioned Starship (a planned element of it). But I'm not sure there's really a race yet. The famous chinese, russian and/or sino-russian plans are not obviously even on the starting-blocks, so only NASA (and SpaceX) seem to be doing anything solid insofar as the manned flight around/to the Moon, and it's more a cooperative than competitive thing.

There is a chance of a "before the decade is out..." possible shift into gear, like the US overcame its own lagging behind to be the one to burst through the finishing tape. And it wouldn't actually surprise me too much if a Tiangong (3+?) also seemed suddenly capable of upwardsly leaving orbit, by demonstrably doing so one day without even a heralding press-concerence beforehand... ;)

This is one reported summary of the known future, that might help (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-64002977), or keep an eye on public updates and confirmations to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_missions_to_the_Moon#Crewed perhaps...


(But I'd also recently read up on the status of 'departing' probes, so I really couldn't resist a narrative summary of that interesting info for fun and profit.  :P )
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jipehog on February 21, 2023, 01:29:40 pm
I was talking about China starting to nibble at your feet, it is a long march..
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 21, 2023, 05:54:02 pm
Well, yes, but it's into the 2030s when anything (manned) is likely to happen, unless they do something surprising with their Celestial Palaces. Just the Rabbits, until then.

But a decade could be a long time in space science. And it might not take until 2063 (and a 'spare' nuclear missile in Montana, left over from an intervening worldwide conflict) for more advanced space transportation systems to be developed by some genius or other...


(BTW, I meant to give these three (https://voyager.jpl.nasa.gov/mission/status/) links (http://pluto.jhuapl.edu/) earlier. For those interested in what I'd been looking at. Had to go elsewhere for estimates on the two-decades-dead, or thereabouts, Pioneers.)

ETA: Meant to also say that unless my country has a hidden (https://tardis.fandom.com/wiki/Spitfire) capability (https://ironsky.fandom.com/wiki/Spitfire), my own personal feet aren't even anywhere where they might be at risk of being nibbled..!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jipehog on February 21, 2023, 06:29:29 pm
I don't see the new space race as manned race to the moon but more down to earth affair.

In recent years China's space program has rapidly advanced, and while SpaceX have been a game changer allowing USA to claim a huge foothold before anyone else, I would not discount Chinese industrial might yet.

The USA certainly don't seem to: https://spacenews.com/space-force-considers-public-private-partnerships-to-respond-to-crises/
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Duuvian on February 21, 2023, 10:06:10 pm
Some things in space are limited by treaty for possibly obsolete reasons (not talking about the ban on weapons in space that should be expanded imo outside of the emergence of hostile aliens or space pirates to justify the massive expense). If that was changed perhaps it would give more reasons for encouragement to a nascent space industry to expand outward.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: delphonso on February 22, 2023, 12:06:13 am
The news here only occasionally mentions the Space Station. I learned that they have finished setting up equipment and did the first space-walk at the station from Western news sources. I think it's just a sort of side note in the public's point of view.

This is a bit frustrating. I remember only a few of my students were aware of the first rabbit landing when it happened. But then again, no one here thinks the moon is fake, so maybe there's just less discussion of it in general.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 22, 2023, 08:35:38 am
China is very much Russia v2, space-wise. The cross-pollination of Soyuz-like and Mir-like inspiration in its current crop of manned projects is clear, even if you didn't know that they were nudged in that direction at times of closer technical union. Though updated, and without the zee-rust, somewhat.

Yes, China is doing a lot. Has done since the seventies (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dong_Fang_Hong_1) (I remember hearing a recording of that satellite's broadcast[1], basic synthesised tune very much like a stylophone, but the context of the source made it somewhat haunting, as I recall). I think they're both ambitious and capable enough to progress, and (separate from the necessary military refocus of Russia) seem destined to be the "second place space power" quite soon. If they aren't already, in an insular way. But the US (with SpaceX to take up the man-rated slack it had to surrender to on retiring the remaining Shuttle fleet, at least until the Boeing capsule gets used for real) is probably going to keep its edge for at least the time that Artemis takes to deliver its major milestone (severe and unavoidable upcoming problems with that excepted).

In two decades, though, who knows? And the current footing of quite recent manned missions and space-station building could well be judged (in hindsight) by far the most successful technical development of this time. But that's a long time, with more than one down-to-Earth issue that could interrupt any (or all) country's(/ies') space ambitions. Or favouring them (you shouldn't ignore the likes of India, for example). And with around half a dozen or more prominant private launchers out there that might join SpaceX in getting from mere hardware delivery to manned missions in their own dight.


I really think that the various races on the ground (technological, political, social, arms-, etc) are the first worry. They'll dictate how long the current space trends continue, before some game-changer makes for something I wouldn't know how to predict. Imagine something like the Cuban Missile Crisis could have made the original race a moot thing. Or what happened as the collapse of the Soviet Union basically froze the Russian space effort[2a]. Basic failings/bad luck/bad management (to not predict and mitigigate the specific instances of bad luck!) with Colombia and Challenger vastly changed the US plans[2b] for its manned space-program. There are all kinds of other inflection points I might mention that did or didn't happen that might have turned out otherwise[3], most of which don't initially rely upon either the sharp or blunt end of an actual rocket and yet have logical ramifications in how these things go.

(And space-treaty stuff. For starters, US, Ru and Ch, if not also others, could deliberately Kesslerise ourselves, in response to surface politics. Heck, Musk could be (inadvertently?) setting up the feedstock for what is (initially) something like a Starlink constellation catastrophy. If things tip the wrong way at some point. But active militarisation of space and/or blanket space-denial could be further out there. Lets see who lands at Shackleton Crater first and (de facto) claims the Lunar ice, for example. Or who gets to nudge a handy asteroid much more into Earth's orbit (or a handier and more artifical NEO) for Fun And/Or Profit?)


((Delphonso, I get the feeling that your adopted nation will probably ramp up the coverage when it's into less of a "catch up" mode. Getting a possible "space first" under the belt. But possibly also they have so much other need to keep the wide and diverse nation happy that while more Earthly matters are needing addressing/repressing to support the Party it is still a side-note to the rest of the news. It's not as ground-breaking as the Two Nukes One Satellite, even. Compare and contrast with NK currently internally shouting about its (military) missiles?))


[1] I also remember being told it was the first music in space... But maybe I was told it was the first "broadcast only" music, as I no know that NASA had played music in space, and on the Moon, in various manned missions in the '60s.

[2a+b] As both of these prevented Buran from taking an operational place in space history...

[3] And ones that did? What if CERN did not support Tim Berners-Lee, and we had no Web, would that then not create the rise of Paypal and Amazon so we never got super-rich Musk and Bezos doing their various things as they have done. Where are we then? All else being equal, Russia is the only place the US can go to for man-launching, for so long, China (as with us) not yet at a stage to be that option, political ramifications reverberate well beyond merely space. Or, through a different quirk of fate, music and airline magnate Branson doesn't get into Scaled Composites and LauncherOne, but somehow revives the Hotol spaceplane for the UK and perhaps (still, because social media didn't create the conditions for Brexit) EU dominance? What situation would I be discussing on Bay12's Gopher pages (or BBS, or rec.games.dwarffortress, or whatever was the near-universal Internet front-end/backbone/whatevertheanalogy)?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: delphonso on February 22, 2023, 09:24:20 am
((Delphonso, I get the feeling that your adopted nation will probably ramp up the coverage when it's into less of a "catch up" mode. Getting a possible "space first" under the belt. But possibly also they have so much other need to keep the wide and diverse nation happy that while more Earthly matters are needing addressing/repressing to support the Party it is still a side-note to the rest of the news. It's not as ground-breaking as the Two Nukes One Satellite, even. Compare and contrast with NK currently internally shouting about its (military) missiles?))

I reckon you're right. I'll be happy to see it when it happens, as space is one of those deep rooted loves of mine, and I'd love to talk to my students and see that excited sparkle in their eyes over the possibilities. Though, the purpose of space travel is more explicitly military here than it was in the US (we all knew it was about superiority, we at least didn't talk about it that way.) Alas, time will tell.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jipehog on February 25, 2023, 06:35:26 pm
Some things in space are limited by treaty for possibly obsolete reasons (not talking about the ban on weapons in space that should be expanded imo outside of the emergence of hostile aliens or space pirates to justify the massive expense). If that was changed perhaps it would give more reasons for encouragement to a nascent space industry to expand outward.

Hopes against space militarization are optimistic I think. All that space treaty boom de yada nonsense will get thrown out of the window as soon as spaces activity grows big, accessible and profitable enough with competing interests resulting in same ol same ol legalistic and jurisdiction everywhere else.

That why USA right now is in its proverbial rush to plant its flag everywhere controlling space infrastructure. This is essentially the reason why China is building its own space station, because USA can and have barred China from the "International" Space Station and similarly could bar any other competitor from using any of its infrastructure.

But that's a long time, with more than one down-to-Earth issue that could interrupt any (or all) country's(/ies') space ambitions. Or favouring them (you shouldn't ignore the likes of India, for example). And with around half a dozen or more prominant private launchers out there that might join SpaceX in getting from mere hardware delivery to manned missions in their own dight.

USA have many partners all over the world, the civilian space drive with spaceX at the helm gave it the lead (and I suspect that Putin's war will further improve USA and allies market share) but still China has become a dominant player in recent years and India despite our attempt to leverage it as China counter is not there (rough and likely inaccurate but useful for scale graphic (https://sites.breakingmedia.com/uploads/sites/3/2020/10/Space-Launches-2020-Q1-Q3.jpg))

Right now the race isn't to the moon. The race is to develop space infrastructure. That why I like Musk, his humanity dreamer stuff has their purpose, but more importantly he has solid development economical plan on multiple vectors to establish the infrastructure to get there under this civilian boom de yada idealism.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: King Zultan on February 26, 2023, 04:30:14 am
So does this mean that we're having a Space Race 2: Electric Boogaloo?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jipehog on March 01, 2023, 12:15:56 pm
We can hope so, but meanwhile China also leaning into the commercial sector. Upgrading its small sat production capabilities, and is underway with its own starlink-like constellations, with planned upgrade to its space port and space station.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jipehog on March 07, 2023, 11:06:35 pm
Some interesting points: Developments in Asia-Pacific’s Space Industry
https://thediplomat.com/2023/03/developments-in-asia-pacifics-space-industry/
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on March 08, 2023, 05:37:45 am
For some reason, I find it interesting/amusing that Russia never even gets a namecheck, unless I missed it, in that article. The closest it gets is clearly being one of "the six countries in the world that can reliably launch satellites," but otherwise it's really only the US that (as competition or cooperation) is mentioned in conjunction with the various AP actors.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jipehog on March 08, 2023, 07:51:13 am
Yeah, in recent years Russia have been crowned as the first former space power. A stark change from as recently as 2013, when Russia controlled around half of the global commercial launch industry. 

At the time US and Russian space programs were tightly coupled, and much of the world relied on Russian hardware. However, in 2014 Russia annexed Crimea and subsequently threatened USA with counter sanction in the realm of space, since then US has been working to reduce its reliance on Russian hardware, which gave rise to private space-launch competitors, such as SpaceX which has become dominant player, reducing cost and lead to much innovation.

Here some recent launch statistics for reference to see how things changed and considering Russia most recent aggressive actions against Ukraine Russian prospects isn't likely to improve.

Orbital: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_in_spaceflight#By_country
Suborbital: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_in_spaceflight#By_country_2
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on March 08, 2023, 10:27:17 am
March 2022 itself probably put the brakes on far more than the whole time from 2014 until then. There were some OneWeb satellites, and some other european payloads, almost about to be launched when the whole invasion started. They first of all stopped things to paint out the UK/EU/whatever flags (trying to shame the initial sanctions away) then brought the whole stack back in to unload the relevent packages. (And possibly get a screwdriver to them, looking at them to see if they could get any useful technical info or at least justify a propoganda claim thst they'd be used to spy against the Motherland.)

Last I heard, after effectively being written off at our end, Russia was attempting to barter a swapsie for Soyuz stuff currently 'stranded' in ESA's spaceport. Which smells of desperation (and add that to the mysteriously malfunctioning Soyuz) if they actually want to try and hand back potential payload in return for their own bits of actual rocket.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jipehog on March 08, 2023, 02:28:40 pm
Meanwhile today we have the first 3d printed rocket launch to space by Relativity space, a possible challenger to SpaceX
If anyone interested: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DR8I6BdgxQU
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: McTraveller on March 15, 2023, 02:24:34 pm
Arghghghg I can't stand the way media is reporting the "2046 Valentines Day asteroid."

They keep saying "the odds of a collision have increased to 1 in 320" or "they have now decreased to 1 in 1600."

THE ODDS OF IT HITTING HAVE NOT CHANGED. ONLY THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE PATH HAS CHANGED. THESE ARE NOT THE SAME THING!

Sorry, I just needed to vent.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on March 15, 2023, 03:23:30 pm
I wonder if it's heart shaped
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on March 15, 2023, 05:09:46 pm
I haven't seen much odds-talk (beyond the actually usually reliable technically-assured places that don't go quite so hyperbolic), but I wouldn't be surprised to see some sort of "odds of 1 in 320 increase to 1 in 1600" or "odds of 1600 decreased to 1 in 320" style of description, either, due to the way that ambiguity often works in everybody's minds.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: King Zultan on March 16, 2023, 01:36:02 am
Nothing says valentines day like being hit with an asteroid.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jipehog on March 16, 2023, 03:22:25 am
Who knows it might rock your world. What it's named for? I hope nothing so doomy and gloomy like Apopis, god of Chaos.

Also in the upcoming month we might see a starship launch attempt, there is a good chance it might end up in a boom, so even Musk haters might enjoy it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jipehog on March 23, 2023, 02:34:52 am
Relativity's 3D-printed rocket successfully completed its proof of concept. The rocket got off the launch and made through the highest stress stage but failed to reach bonus milestones to reach orbit when its upper stage engine malfunctioned.

Personally, I believe that traditional manufacturing is superior, however, additive manufacturing has its advantages and would be critical if we want to establish manufacturing in space or the moon.

https://www.youtube.com/live/pg8v7XRcTXc?t=5295
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: King Zultan on March 23, 2023, 04:01:08 am
Seems like 3D printing is the future of manufacturing.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on March 23, 2023, 07:56:47 am
Developing flexible remote manufacturing would be very useful for bootstrapping the 'advanced guard' missions ahead of other landings an dockings (manned and unmanned). Even if it just sets up the gross framework of native materials to bolt more specialist components to, having shipped in the higher-tolerance bits.

Plus, how else are we going to allow our AIs to turn the whole universe into paperclips?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: delphonso on March 23, 2023, 08:33:32 am
Manufacturing is similar to infrastructure - you have to build machines to make parts of other machines, which obviously grow depending on the size/complexity of the final product. 3D printing for rocketry is a good idea because rockets were single-use (until recently) and even so, you cut down on the investment by just making a huge 3D printing rig instead of 7 steps of machines just to make the rocket housings.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on April 02, 2023, 09:14:17 am
Each type has is advantages. Traditional machine tooling is superior for control and scale. 3D printing is good for insitu and flexibility.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on April 02, 2023, 03:30:50 pm
3D-printed parts are universally inferior to traditionally manufactured parts because the technology to ameliorate the defects induced by 3D printing hasn't matured as much as the science of working with traditionally manufactured parts. Defects like voids in the material, differential heat stresses, faults, etc. are all very common in 3D-printed parts and so their strength is compromised.

BUT; you can do things with 3D-printing that other options just can't. There are engineering solutions to problems that it is physically impossible to manufacture with standard methods.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on April 03, 2023, 10:54:29 pm
It doesn't seem it was posted, but following on the Roscosmos discussion a month back, we can expect even less coming out of them due to events that also occurred around a month back.  Back on March 8, Kazakhstan seized the Baiterek launch complex at Baikonur (https://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2023/03/seized-property-baikonur/) as well as other ground control facilities for Roscosmos.  While it's not expected to interfere with current Roscosmos space-directed operations (yet), it's put a giant wrench in any theoretical progress on the Soyuz-5/Irtysh LV, and the hard export restrictions will affect Russia's ability to retrieve produced goods for domestic, terrestrial use. 
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: EuchreJack on April 10, 2023, 11:37:47 am
They're still looking for Planet X (actually Planet IX)
https://www.sciencealert.com/a-giant-planet-seems-to-be-lurking-somewhere-in-our-solar-system

Frankly, I think it's more likely to be either Dark Matter, a Black Hole, or someone forgetting that the Solar System also orbits something as well, which would have a minor pull to it, since it's enough to keep the Sun from flying off into the Ether.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Telgin on April 10, 2023, 01:24:30 pm
Dark matter would be exciting but probably impossible to prove with anything remotely close to modern technology.  I wonder if we could even detect gravitation lensing from a dark matter object of planetary mass.

A black hole should be impossible with that mass, shouldn't it?  At least with the current age of the universe.  That would be at least as exciting if we detected it I suppose.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: McTraveller on April 10, 2023, 01:37:42 pm
I like to be problematic and say the reason we can't find dark matter is because we are actually the dark matter, and should be looking for the light stuff instead.  ;D
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 10, 2023, 02:28:06 pm
They're still looking for Planet X (actually Planet IX)
Intetesting fact: The term "Planet X" was coined as being 'X for unknown', not 'X for Ten', as the theoretical next planet out from Neptune. This was from before (1906, vs 1930) Pluto came along and took up its temporary tenure as the ninth.

Though Pluto was "Planet Nine" for long enough to give everyone the impression that Planet X would be the tenth, and so anyone aged under 93 (and over 15) can probably be forgiven.  And they are now looking in a different 'place' for the next body out, based upon additional Pluto-era mesurements, and tends to be called "Planet Nine" in (post-Pluto) literature.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jipehog on April 10, 2023, 02:48:18 pm
If men are from Mars and women are from Venus, then humanity is from Earth in Sol and Dwarfs are from Planet X in Sagittarius B2.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on April 10, 2023, 03:54:36 pm
It can't be dark matter, as in made out of those hypothetical weakly-interacting particles, because it being dark implies not being able to clump.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: EuchreJack on April 10, 2023, 04:46:20 pm
I was meaning Dark Matter more in the "Humanity is too primitive to understand" context.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: King Zultan on April 11, 2023, 02:24:09 am
Planet X sounds like the prefect place to go for vacation, let's gather all the people we hate and send them there on an all expenses payed trip!

Also why isn't Pluto show on maps of the solar system anymore, I mean even though it's a dwarf planet that doesn't stop it from being a planet, it's just a small one.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 11, 2023, 04:43:42 am
Also why isn't Pluto show on maps of the solar system anymore, I mean even though it's a dwarf planet that doesn't stop it from being a planet, it's just a small one.
The answer's in the question. It's not a planet because it's a dwarf planet, in the current system.

If you show Pluto at all (either for legacy reasons or possibly just pure sympathy), by all rights you should also show the near-dozen others (currently known) of its class. Or at least also Eris (larger than Pluto), and/or Ceres (the first such body discovered, being also numbered "1" in the "minor planet" listings, which includes pretty much anything identifiable orbiting the Sun (or co-orbiting the Sun with another body) that is not a definite planet or a moon or a comet or effectively just dust), and/or whatever else makes it more worthwhile to show than Pluto itself.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jipehog on April 11, 2023, 05:25:44 am
I was meaning Dark Matter more in the "Humanity is too primitive to understand" context.
Speak for yourself, I am developing the theory of everything :P What is in common between the forces behind dark matter, the illusive Planet X and our bearded friends? they are all small and mysterious. And where else would they be if not in the midst of the interstellar alcohol cloud stockpile. Worst of all we don't even realize that universe is suffering from late game lag.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: EuchreJack on April 11, 2023, 09:53:23 am
... that's why yesterday's one day of work feels like two.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jipehog on April 13, 2023, 07:37:16 am
European space agency is about to lunch a mission to Jupiter's icy moons including Europa, Ganymede and Callisto. Apparently they have one second launch window (https://www.space.com/jupiter-juice-mission-one-second-launch-window)

... that's why yesterday's one day of work feels like two.
You are on to something, Mondays.. are like black holes sucking away all the energy, could be that they are the source of dark energy?

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: McTraveller on April 13, 2023, 08:20:05 am
One second? That doesn't pass the plausibility smell test.  Surely there's more than one second uncertainty band in the trajectory computations.  I mean seriously, on an eight year trip, 1 second is one part per 250 million or so.  Heck if you get the winds aloft incorrect, that's going to eat up that 1 second (and more) right there. I mean even slight changes in air temperature and humidity are going to likely change the time through the atmosphere by more than 1 second due to changes in drag.

I feel like the one second window was derived by physicists or mathematicians, not engineers.  ;D

(More likely is the media is not reporting it properly.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 13, 2023, 09:51:47 am
It's punching straight into solar-orbit from take-off (no intermediate Earth-orbiting before boosting onwards), which means its increasing velocity probably renders minor fluctuations in the upper-atmosphere far less significant, and a lot of the adjustment needed is just subtle aiming (especially while the boosters are still boosting).

But it'll need to keep full throttle (staging changes aside) to have a similar sort of fuel-efficiency as an idealised suicide-burn landing hopes to achieve, to even reach the needle that it hopes to thread (the first Earth-Moon encounter, passing in exactly the right way to emerge onwards in order to thread the next needle, and the rest after that), without having to adjust too much using precious boost/manoevering fuel.

And it'll be the most massive during lift-off, from the classic "rocket-equation" of needing fuel to lift the fuel, fuel to lift the fuel to lift the fuel, etc. Making anything less than a ground-level storm (into which they wouldn't launch) a more insignificant impact upon the calculated momentum of trajectory... Or so I would think.

Can't speak for the one-second, but I could believe that they'd rather try to hit such a precise mark each day, or await an equivalent (slightly shifted) day on the day(s) after rather than submit to wasting any more of the initially lofted fuel thaj necessary by finding themselves with a subtly different intra-solar trajectory that needs to waste propellant that they could have saved for later (when other planned burns had reduced the craft-mass significantly, so even more 'sponteneity' could be achieved by the same amount of reserve).


Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jipehog on April 17, 2023, 03:03:41 am
Looks like its going to be a fun day monday for a change, with SpaceX first test launch of its super heavy rocket, the most powerful rocket ever built

https://www.space.com/spacex-starship-first-orbital-launch-explainer
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jipehog on April 20, 2023, 06:40:42 am
another attempt today after the first launch attempt was scrubed.

Any bets on how long it will until a launch on how far will they get on their goal list? can't recall how many attempts where with flacon9 but there were many scrubs and later test flight before it made.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bralbaard on April 20, 2023, 09:42:11 am
another attempt today after the first launch attempt was scrubed.

Any bets on how long it will until a launch on how far will they get on their goal list? can't recall how many attempts where with flacon9 but there were many scrubs and later test flight before it made.

That was exiting to watch.

Too late for bets now, but they said beforehand that if the pad infrastructure survived, they'd consider it a success. That's putting the bar quite low, but it got close to not making that!
Quite a few engine failures at lift of, it seemed to barely have the power to clear the launch pad. Despite more engines failing during flight it somehow made it to the point were stage separation should occur. The remaining engines however did not appear to shut down, and the first stage failed to separate. The whole thing then started to tumble down untill the termination system kicked in and the thing exploded.

can't recall how many attempts where with flacon9 but there were many scrubs and later test flight before it made.

If I recall correctly the first falcon 9 launch was successful.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Telgin on April 20, 2023, 09:48:30 am
That's a surprising number of failures.  I haven't been keeping up with these rocket systems, but even though it's a different rocket I would have expected enough engineering experience to transfer that it would have performed better.

Hopefully they got enough data to fix many of the problems for their next try, whenever that is.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: McTraveller on April 20, 2023, 09:56:40 am
It is surprising. I don't know how many engines are required for successful operation, but the more of anything you have, the more likely you are to have at least one failure.  If you have that many (5 of 33?) fail, it implicates a systematic design error not random failures.

That kind of failure rate is very concerning from an engineering standpoint if you ask me, but I don't know what their internal target for acceptable risk was.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bralbaard on April 20, 2023, 10:10:08 am
Well, it looks like the pad suffered very significant damage due to the power of all those engines lifting off. It left a huge crater below the pad.

 link  (https://twitter.com/LabPadre/status/1649062784167030785?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1649062784167030785%7Ctwgr%5E3c4f7f1364099ca5ec5e9c9c36c972f8b211ef30%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fforum.nasaspaceflight.com%2Findex.php%3Ftopic%3D58671.180)

There are videos circulating of cars parked quite far away from the launch site getting obliterated by flying debris, possibly from that crater.

 link (https://twitter.com/jerrypikephoto/status/1649052722698784771)

It might well be that the root cause for those engine failures is due to damage because of debris bouncing up and destroying the rocket, so not a design flaw of the engines themselves. Nevertheless, more seemed to fail later in the flight. 
The rocket was much lower than it should be when separation should have occured, so the higher atmospheric density and different speed at that point may have been enough reason for that to fail.
It certainly was exciting to watch!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on April 20, 2023, 11:21:33 am
Musk should rename SpaceX to Kerboom Space Program
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jipehog on April 20, 2023, 03:03:25 pm
Indeed exciting. It is the tallest most powerful launch vehicle ever flown and it has so much promise

Well, it looks like the pad suffered very significant damage due to the power of all those engines lifting off. It left a huge crater below the pad.

 link  (https://twitter.com/LabPadre/status/1649062784167030785?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1649062784167030785%7Ctwgr%5E3c4f7f1364099ca5ec5e9c9c36c972f8b211ef30%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fforum.nasaspaceflight.com%2Findex.php%3Ftopic%3D58671.180)

There are videos circulating of cars parked quite far away from the launch site getting obliterated by flying debris, possibly from that crater.

 link (https://twitter.com/jerrypikephoto/status/1649052722698784771)

It might well be that the root cause for those engine failures is due to damage because of debris bouncing up and destroying the rocket, so not a design flaw of the engines themselves. Nevertheless, more seemed to fail later in the flight. 
The rocket was much lower than it should be when separation should have occured, so the higher atmospheric density and different speed at that point may have been enough reason for that to fail.
It certainly was exciting to watch!

Good spot. They had this issue with launchpad dissolving in previous testing, clearly all the measures they used didn't help. I guess flame diverter is in the cards for next time.

Btw I now realized why the Starship designed for NASA to land on the Moon has none of the reusability features, because there is no way in hell it can launch again after landing on moon surface. I wouldn't be surprised if the landing create some sort of "shogun" effect. Any dream of reusability on Mars and Moon would require to build launch pad. 

Musk should rename SpaceX to Kerboom Space Program

You had skyscraper over 30 story's tall doing flipflops in the air! That why it is fun.

Unlike NASA fast iteration has been part of process for SpaceX, they aren't afraid to fail trying different things and adapting with each test. Btw the starship used was already outdated in many respects, they have another one ready to go, the launchpad would probably be a delay though.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Robsoie on April 20, 2023, 08:35:13 pm
using some text generator (https://app.inferkit.com/demo) with for starting :
Quote
After the rocket exploded, Elon Musk
it explained the reason of the rocket problem :
Quote
After the rocket exploded, Elon Musk said the team behind SpaceX was not expecting to see such a shark in the ocean, but the clown is a joke that keeps on giving.

After a rocket exploded on a test launch in Florida on Saturday, Musk tweeted, "Just heard the news. Apparently, a shark jumped out of the water and chased the submarine, which then exploded. It's pretty weird, but I guess that's what the ninja shark has to do to be a ninja shark."

He then followed up with a tweet saying, "I have no clue if this is true or not, but I think it's pretty damn cool."

I have no clue if this is true or not, but I think it's pretty damn cool. — Elon Musk (@elonmusk) September 29, 2018

According to the International Shark Attack File, there have been 72 shark attacks in the United States this year
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on April 20, 2023, 10:36:33 pm
Good spot. They had this issue with launchpad dissolving in previous testing, clearly all the measures they used didn't help. I guess flame diverter is in the cards for next time.

Btw I now realized why the Starship designed for NASA to land on the Moon has none of the reusability features, because there is no way in hell it can launch again after landing on moon surface. I wouldn't be surprised if the landing create some sort of "shogun" effect. Any dream of reusability on Mars and Moon would require to build launch pad.

Everyone in the rocket space (no pun intended) who said that SpaceX should probably have a flame diverter was, surprise surprise, absolutely right. Although looks like this very first launch went and carved one out for them...

Starship has 6 engines, not 33 or whatever they're up to on Super Heavy. AND DOESN'T USE THEM ON THE MOON. It's going to use a set of additional engines (I don't understand the engineering decisions for Starship but oh well) near the top of the spacecraft so that it does not spray lunar regolith everywhere. It will be perfectly reusable and this is in the plans. The features it lacks are the Earth-recovery features: Heat shield, sea-level engines, grid fins, header tanks, etc. Lunar Starship lacks them because it doesn't need them, it will be reused in-orbit; flying back to Earth orbit and being refueled for another go out to the Moon, most likely.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jipehog on April 21, 2023, 01:38:33 am
deleted
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jipehog on April 21, 2023, 02:28:33 am
Everyone in the rocket space (no pun intended) who said that SpaceX should probably have a flame diverter was, surprise surprise, absolutely right. Although looks like this very first launch went and carved one out for them...

Any idea what shape it might take? There is a rumor that because the site is at seal level you can't dig a trench and local regulation prevent raising huge mound, which led SpaceX trying to play with various concrete types. Any idea of there is any truth to that?

Starship has 6 engines, not 33 or whatever they're up to on Super Heavy. AND DOESN'T USE THEM ON THE MOON. It's going to use a set of additional engines (I don't understand the engineering decisions for Starship but oh well) near the top of the spacecraft so that it does not spray lunar regolith everywhere. It will be perfectly reusable and this is in the plans. The features it lacks are the Earth-recovery features: Heat shield, sea-level engines, grid fins, header tanks, etc. Lunar Starship lacks them because it doesn't need them, it will be reused in-orbit; flying back to Earth orbit and being refueled for another go out to the Moon, most likely.

I definitely mixed these two, it was a poor thought late night realization. The upper thrusters is an interesting solution, both with its placement and as way to use gaseous propellants instead of dumping it overboard.

Btw I can't find the step by step explanation of how that mission would go. Will starship need another refuel before landing on earth? because I can't imagine that it will have any lox left after all that time.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 21, 2023, 03:05:03 am
The Moon-landing version of Starship will not be returning to Earth(-goundlevel). The various things mentioned above that aren't going to be on it are necessary (or at least very useful!) for atmospheric re-entry, but entirely superfluous for lunar-landing.

The upper-section landing thrusters (doing a "solid state sky-crane" job?) might well be the reverse (not really useful on Earth-re-entry, if not an awkward element), unless they are getting enough thrust from the usual top-end manoevering thusters to settle down in 1/6th G... Haven't looked at that much, myself, I'd have to check their latest plans more carefully.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: King Zultan on April 21, 2023, 03:42:11 am
Glad to see space launches are still as interesting as they used to be.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on April 21, 2023, 10:27:48 am
SpaceX is building a new type of engine, running methalox, for the lunar landing engines on lunar Starship. They are not the same as the RCS thrusters used on-orbit on all Starship variants. They'll almost certainly be using the liquid component of the fuel and not the gaseous component since IIRC SpaceX is still going to use autogenous pressurization in Starship which would require them to not siphon off the gas components. That and it's just easier to pump the liquid propellants.


I hadn't heard that they weren't allowed to dig there; just that the wetlands made it a pain. Not sure what they'll do, maybe they'll give up and move to offshore launches lol. That or just dig themselves a lake.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jipehog on April 21, 2023, 11:10:47 am
Does anyone have a step by step overview of the current plan for land on the moon using starship HLS?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 21, 2023, 03:11:22 pm
Does anyone have a step by step overview of the current plan for land on the moon using starship HLS?
From memory:
1) Starships launch to Earth orbit, accumulating quantities of fuel. One designated as 'orbital fuel-station' (doesn't need to re-enter intact), the others may be the fins-and-all relanding/reusable versions.
2) Starship HLS (lunar-landing version) goes up, gets refuelled by the fuel-station one.
3) HLS transfers to lunar orbit, in time for...
4) Orion launches manned Artemis, sends that into lunar orbit, rendezvous with HLS
5) Crew transfer to HLS.
6) HLS deorbits, lands on Moon, the Next Small Step happens, relaunches, re-rendezvouses with Artemis (...all the most dangerous bits, I'd say, but forgive me if I lump this bit all into one section).
7) Artemis returns home, delivers astronauts back to the relative safety of Earth, general adulation, maybe a full on ticker-tape parade.
8) HLS sticks arond in lunar orbit (rectilinear whossisname), or not, depending on whether or how there will be further refuelling, ready for Artemis 4? Either along with or docked to the proposed Lunar Gateway. But there's probably still a lot of luminiferous æther to pass across LEO before that detail is nailed down...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jipehog on April 21, 2023, 05:09:41 pm
...
Thanks!

SpaceX is building a new type of engine, running methalox, for the lunar landing engines on lunar Starship. They are not the same as the RCS thrusters used on-orbit on all Starship variants. They'll almost certainly be using the liquid component of the fuel and not the gaseous component since IIRC SpaceX is still going to use autogenous pressurization in Starship which would require them to not siphon off the gas components. That and it's just easier to pump the liquid propellants.

My thinking is that
* Starship is going to spend around 10days flying to the moon and then on its surface. Absent dedicated cooling system all its liquid oxygen should boil off.
* In the absence of ground infrastructure on the moon, Starship would have to rely on the thrusters for both landing and launch.
* I recall that Starship would be using hot thrusters, and think that using the boiled off propellent can be used to fuel the thrusters. If after reaching the moon you have no use for the regular engines and huge proponent tanks, why not dual use them for this purpose

I hadn't heard that they weren't allowed to dig there; just that the wetlands made it a pain. Not sure what they'll do, maybe they'll give up and move to offshore launches lol. That or just dig themselves a lake.

Not dig but raise a mound. But yeah it could be, even likely, a complete horseshit.

Even if they had offshore platform (they sold oil rigs iirrc) offshore launches at this stage of development would be a tremendous inconvenience. I believe that digging a 20m trench would be easier than raising/rebuilding the whole complex (you need to maintain steady elevation between the production and launch site) still it would be a big infrastructure project (they would also need to reinforce the tower foundations)

I am curios if something like this is an option: https://www.teslarati.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/12/Saturn-I-launch-mount-overview-NASA-1.gif
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 21, 2023, 06:06:27 pm
Reminds me a little bit of: https://youtube.com/watch?v=BZbRf-X5XfE  :P

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on April 21, 2023, 11:43:27 pm
My thinking is that
* Starship is going to spend around 10days flying to the moon and then on its surface. Absent dedicated cooling system all its liquid oxygen should boil off.
* In the absence of ground infrastructure on the moon, Starship would have to rely on the thrusters for both landing and launch.
* I recall that Starship would be using hot thrusters, and think that using the boiled off propellent can be used to fuel the thrusters. If after reaching the moon you have no use for the regular engines and huge proponent tanks, why not dual use them for this purpose
To quote (from memory) the book Ignition!: "Space is a pretty good insulator, and when you have, in effect, a Dewar flask the size of the universe, you can store a low-boiling liquid a very long time". Yeah, they'll be able to keep more than enough LOX around for the purpose. Apollo was able to store liquid HYDROGEN of all things for the entire duration of every mission so storing the much-easier-to-store liquid methane/LOX shouldn't be an issue.

There are two kinds of gaseous propellant in a rocket: the kind you might want and the kind you don't. The kind you might want is what SpaceX is thinking of doing, pressurizing their tanks with some of the hot exhaust from their gas generators. i.e., a mixture of CO2 and H2O (the end products of the reaction that goes on in their engines) and unburnt methane (in the fuel tank, coming from the fuel preburner) OR excess O2 (in the oxidizer tank, coming from the oxidizer preburner). This is going to be there in Starship but can't be used for fueling the lunar landing thrusters A. because it's gaseous and you DON'T build a system that can only pump a gas when there's a liquid in the tank and B. because it's partly composed of things that aren't useful propellants anymore.

The kind you DON'T want is "ullage", where fuel or oxidizer evaporates to maintain vapor pressure over the propellant; for LOX boiling at the temperature of "very, very cold" this vapor pressure is fairly high and therefore a lot of the propellant tries to evaporate into the ullage. Methane is a bit better off but still has a high vapor pressure. This is why SpaceX wants to use autogenous pressurization; to keep pressure in their propellant tanks without having it all evaporate and be more difficult to handle.


The "regular engines" are still being used to change orbits, boost Starship into earth orbit after the first stage is exhausted, etc. They're not optional even if they're only necessary for the launch. The fuel tanks are carrying the propellants for every kind of thruster (attitude control, main propulsion, lunar landing) on the Starship, so they're not unnecessary. So Starship uses main propulsion to reach the Moon and then the specialized lunar landing thrusters to make the final descent and touchdown so as not to do exactly what Super Heavy just did to itself. But in all cases these thrusters are fueled by LIQUID propellants because pumps don't like to pump a mixture of gas and liquid propellant and liquids are denser, therefore you use liquid and actively try to avoid the gaseous propellants.


Sorry for the massive post but I like this stuff. And also I'm too tired to trim it down so have fun reading the disorganized thoughts of an exhausted madman :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jipehog on April 22, 2023, 03:43:18 am
Space is a pretty good insulator but starship is not, as evident by the condensation and ice patches forming immediately upon prop load, its tanks are the hull and a lot of heat is generated through radiation from the sun (on ISS sun side get up to 120c). So unless starship HLS tanks are designed with additional insulation and refrigeration equipment like for the planned orbital propellant depot (and I believe that Apollo had both with much smaller tanks inside) this 10 day journey would have a huge impact. Can't say more without seeing numbers.

How certain you are that co2 is pumped from exhaust? according to wikipidea Autogenous pressurization (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autogenous_pressurization) simply heats a small amount of propellant to maintain pressure.

Are we talking about these thrusters: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SpaceX_rocket_engines#Methox_thruster wouldn't these be strong enough to allow Starship landing/departure from the lunar surface and rendezvou with Orion ?

Sorry for the massive post but I like this stuff. And also I'm too tired to trim it down so have fun reading the disorganized thoughts of an exhausted madman :P

No need to, on the contrary I love these, and they are helping figure out stuff myself and I enjoy learning new things.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on April 22, 2023, 11:13:28 am
Space is a pretty good insulator but starship is not, as evident by the condensation and ice patches forming immediately upon prop load,
Starship has good enough insulation for the purpose; remember that that is formed in air which conducts heat a lot more readily than vacuum and it's due to the substantial time it takes to load the Starship, which lets the whole thing cool down dramatically. Once in space, that stainless steel hull will reflect most of the sunlight striking it, while on the dark side the temperature in earth orbit is like 20 Kelvin or something like that? It's not quite the universal background 3 K but it's close.

In short, the actual rocket scientists who set this up do in fact know what they're on about. They won't lose all their propellants no matter how long the mission goes.

Autogenous pressurization is just "use the propellant to pressurize the propellant tanks" but IIRC the precise way SpaceX is doing it relies on the exhaust from their gas generators, which is a great place to get hot gas to pressurize the propellant tanks, which does bring along some CO2 and H2O because those are the products of the reaction. I could be wrong there, I'd have to go back to whatever EverydayAstronaut or Scott Manley video mentioned it.

The reaction control/attitude control (same thing) thrusters use the gaseous component of the tanks, but as far as I have heard the larger methalox thrusters that are going to use the liquid component to aid in thrust, because even in 1/6 gravity you do still need a good amount of force to land the 120+ ton (depends on how much fuel it's burned at this point) Starship on the lunar surface.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 22, 2023, 03:57:04 pm
ISTR early (Starhopper? Falcon 9?) "rapid self-disassembly" was caused by the internalised helium tank failing and/or being failed by another element, causing overpressures.

There's pros and cons in all the different solutions to the pressurisation problem (including feeding 'waste' gases back in and using header-tanks), but I suppose I have to trust the people who have actually been building and launching these things (mostly) successfully as having done their homework/etc to do it in one of the least-worst ways...  :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on April 22, 2023, 09:32:02 pm
There was a Falcon 9 launch (CRS-7) that failed when liquid oxygen infiltrated the carbon composite laminate of a liquid helium tank, and then froze solid, forcing apart layers of the carbon composite until the helium tank failed and overpressured the oxygen tank, causing that to fail, which destroyed the vehicle.

Liquid helium is EXTREMELY cold (~20K) which is why it can freeze liquid oxygen which is already very cold (~80K), and the COPVs (Composite Overwrapped Pressure Vessel) are kept under incredible pressure so they can keep the main propellant tanks pressurized without being too huge.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 23, 2023, 09:39:14 am
Sounds about right. I also recall a different instance (not SpaceX, I think) when an internally-slung helium tank came entirely loose from its mountings/vent-valve within the larger tank (launch forces upon manufacturing insufficiencies?) and thus vented improperly into the outer-tankage to similar effect. (All this determined from secondary sensors and/or by examining the bits that were recovered, either and both of which are technical feats in themselves, when you think of it...  :P )
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jipehog on April 23, 2023, 03:59:49 pm
The reaction control/attitude control (same thing) thrusters use the gaseous component of the tanks, but as far as I have heard the larger methalox thrusters that are going to use the liquid component to aid in thrust, because even in 1/6 gravity you do still need a good amount of force to land the 120+ ton (depends on how much fuel it's burned at this point) Starship on the lunar surface.

If so, then Starship would have to use its main engines to launch from the lunar surface. Without a launchpad, we would have to deal with the same situation we saw in the recent launch with destructive regolith bits flying that could damage the ship.

Autogenous pressurization is just "use the propellant to pressurize the propellant tanks" but IIRC the precise way SpaceX is doing it relies on the exhaust from their gas generators, which is a great place to get hot gas to pressurize the propellant tanks, which does bring along some CO2 and H2O because those are the products of the reaction. I could be wrong there, I'd have to go back to whatever EverydayAstronaut or Scott Manley video mentioned it.

I think I understand now. They are utilizing the residual ullage gas for control authority cold gas thrusters venting, however, for the landing they would need higher thrust for which hot gas thrusters combustion engines are utilizing for which you argue that ullage gas --which include exhaust from the oxideizer pump gas generator spin up process-- will not be useful or instead that feeding lox --of which should be in abundance-- directly to the hot thrusters would be far more efficient. That make sense.

Once in space, that stainless steel hull will reflect most of the sunlight striking it [..] They won't lose all their propellants no matter how long the mission goes.

I assume the last sentence is hyperbole. Heat would be added to the system from ambient and onboard sources, which would eventually cause the oxidizer to heat.

For common missions, like injecting satellites into orbit, it is much more cost-effective to just accept the boil-off and save on insulation weight or added complexity from active cooling. While it is possible that for the 10-day journey (3 in transit + 7 on the lunar surface ?), the only adjustment that Starship HLS would need to do is to top off its tanks (or add some insulation for the header tanks). I am curious as to what is their estimation for daily boil off get a sense of perspective.

There's pros and cons in all the different solutions to the pressurisation problem (including feeding 'waste' gases back in and using header-tanks), but I suppose I have to trust the people who have actually been building and launching these things (mostly) successfully as having done their homework/etc to do it in one of the least-worst ways...  :P
This isn't an exercise in trust, but fun time of figuring something new with no up to date readily available documentation. Unless you are holding on me :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on April 23, 2023, 04:47:00 pm
If Starship's lunar landing engines can land it on the surface safely, then they're powerful enough to lift it back OFF the surface. Basic physics, after all. At absolute worst (just barely greater than 1-to-1 thrust-to-weight when on the lunar surface) the landing engines can still lift Starship high enough above the surface to let the main engines light without blasting rocks into themselves.

Eventually the propellants (NOT just the oxidizer) will evaporate...but it will take a long time if the vehicle is designed reasonably. Also, the lunar missions planned for Artemis are I think 3-4 weeks total? Up to two on the ground plus a longer transit to and from Gateway.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jipehog on April 25, 2023, 06:06:24 am
According to Musk (https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1649523985837686784) they are building a "massive water-cooled, steel plate to go under the launch mount". Any how it would look like, or if it would be sufficient?

Eventually the propellants (NOT just the oxidizer) will evaporate...but it will take a long time if the vehicle is designed reasonably. Also, the lunar missions planned for Artemis are I think 3-4 weeks total? Up to two on the ground plus a longer transit to and from Gateway.
Do anyone have any info on Artemis mission (detailed is good, I enjoyed reading and going over the engine schematics before) same with any data that would allow to quantify how long is long time?

Btw does starship has any hidden radiators on its exterior or plans to add them (like with apollo), if not what it would do for heat management? Any sense in tapping those huge tanks full of freezing material to dump heat into?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jipehog on May 02, 2023, 05:47:38 pm
Any thoughts on aerospike rotating detonation engine?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RVxgyz_avQM
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jipehog on May 20, 2023, 02:59:04 pm
NASA selects Blue Origin to develop second Artemis lunar lander
https://spacenews.com/nasa-selects-blue-origin-to-develop-second-artemis-lunar-lander/
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on May 20, 2023, 05:37:35 pm
I had a soft-spot for the Dynetics ALPACA, but... hey. Mass problems.

(It maybe reminded me of some of the games (https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.puppetbox.lunarmission&hl=en&gl=US) that I've played far too much in the past.)

...and if SpaceX can't sort its issues out, who knows if Artemis 3 also has to use it/be kept back until it can be. Not that we can be sure New Glenn is even viable for the job yet, either.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jipehog on May 23, 2023, 06:02:12 pm
From what I hear they fixed the problems, its now just matter of price point and Blue origin was able to incorprate much of their advantage and with Bezos deep pockets offer a more attractive option.

Is there any major advantage to Blue Origin proposal over spaceX? it seem like smaller a starship an unnecessary duplication of effort.

----
Quote
continues to be an important partner to AFRL as we build hypersonics capabilities and remove America’s dependence on foreign propulsion systems for launch
https://spacenews.com/air-force-research-lab-to-fund-development-of-ursa-majors-rocket-engines/

Any notion of what foreign dependence they try to shave off? Two engines are mentioned 4k and 200k pound force, so some sort of missile smaller than MLRS, and some sort engine weaker than Raptor presumably for a small launch vehicle.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on May 23, 2023, 10:33:07 pm
Any notion of what foreign dependence they try to shave off? Two engines are mentioned 4k and 200k pound force, so some sort of missile smaller than MLRS, and some sort engine weaker than Raptor presumably for a small launch vehicle.
They're almost certainly referring to Lockheed/ULA's Atlas V which uses RD-180s sourced from Ukraine and Russia.  Between the war and the sanctions, both suppliers are no longer supplying, which means that once we use them up, there will be no replacements.  Likewise, the Northrop-Grumman's Antares was a joint venture with Pivdenne Design Bureau in Ukraine.  The Antares 100 uses AJ26s repurposed from Kuznetsov NK-33 engines imported in the 1990s, and the Antares 200 series was intended to use RD-181s manufactured in Dnipro.  As such, the war and resulting disruption of production put the brakes on plans for the 200 series, and the replacement will use American-built replacements.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on May 23, 2023, 11:39:19 pm
Atlas V is gone; all remaining launches are sold and I think all the boosters for them are built.

What they're talking about is the previously existing (and already rapidly vanishing, the war has just hastened the process) dependence, and those ventures using Ukrainian parts since obviously the supply of those parts is now in jeopardy.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jipehog on May 24, 2023, 12:56:43 am
I am confused these engine seem to be very different, both in size and thrust, from RD-180 and is far from being complete certified (or did I get my metrics wrong?). And USA already have the tried and true raptor, and several other space engines in various stages of completion/testing.

Meanwhile this articles says that
Quote
The engine would be used to build target vehicles simulating hypersonic missile threats.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on May 24, 2023, 06:59:10 pm
I am confused these engine seem to be very different, both in size and thrust, from RD-180 and is far from being complete certified (or did I get my metrics wrong?). And USA already have the tried and true raptor, and several other space engines in various stages of completion/testing.

Meanwhile this articles says that
Quote
The engine would be used to build target vehicles simulating hypersonic missile threats.
Two different engines, two different roles. The Draper is the hypersonic missile engine to "build hypersonics capability".  The Arroway is the staged combustion engine for medium and heavy launch vehicles to "remove America's dependence on foreign propulsion systems."

Otherwise, it is worth remembering that this is being said by someone who is selling something, specifically rocket engines.  As I said and as Madman concurred, the Atlas V is down to what we have left to use up over the course of the next six years; no new ones are being constructed, and once the last of the Kuiper Systems and Boeing Starliner orders are launched, that will be the last of them.  The Antares 100 was likewise used up in 2014, and the very last Antares 200 series is slated for use July this year.  To my recollection, all other US launch vehicles already use domestic engines.  The Arroway can conceivably replace the RD-180 or RD-181 if clustered once certified, but more likely, it's just a combination of an appeal to patriotism and supply security.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jipehog on May 24, 2023, 07:12:17 pm
Yes, but USA have funded both AR1 and BE-4 engine as replacement for RD-180 (https://www.americaspace.com/2016/03/03/air-force-funds-both-ar1-and-be-4-rocket-engine-development-to-replace-ulas-russian-rd-180/) close to a decade ago.

Is something gone wrong with that investment? And or what does Arroway engine brings to the table?

Alternatively could the statement about removing dependence on foreign propulsion refer to the Draper engine? What did the USA used so far in this role? Or what else can this engine be used for? (that might be relevant in say.. any logistical issues related to Ukraine war)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jipehog on May 26, 2023, 01:44:31 pm
Japanese Moon Lander Crashed Because of a Software Glitch
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/26/science/moon-crash-japan-ispace.html
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on May 26, 2023, 02:16:29 pm
Japanese Moon Lander Crashed Because of a Software Glitch
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/26/science/moon-crash-japan-ispace.html
(I read it elsewhere, so not making effort to get beyond the NYT's RegisterWall... Presume same details, though.)

Perhaps they ought to have tried a three-method altitude mix, to resolve the 'surprise' out-of-range disagreement in a way that might not have scuppered the mission by choosing the wrong one (it turns out) of the two disagreeing measurements they did have. Lessons learnt, hopefully. Sounds like the organisation can ride over this failure and try again, having done 80% of the hard targets of the mission.

But it also has shades of the metric/imperial Mars mess-up (except that the different landing site with substantially unchanged inertial expectations probably did most to cause the unanticipated mismatch). Design/specification-glitch, like the Mariner 1 "R-bar" one, rather than a proper software-glitch.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Culise on May 26, 2023, 05:24:09 pm
Yes, but USA have funded both AR1 and BE-4 engine as replacement for RD-180 (https://www.americaspace.com/2016/03/03/air-force-funds-both-ar1-and-be-4-rocket-engine-development-to-replace-ulas-russian-rd-180/) close to a decade ago.

Is something gone wrong with that investment? And or what does Arroway engine brings to the table?

Alternatively could the statement about removing dependence on foreign propulsion refer to the Draper engine? What did the USA used so far in this role? Or what else can this engine be used for? (that might be relevant in say.. any logistical issues related to Ukraine war)
Nothing's gone wrong with either, per se. The BE-4 is being used on the Vulcan Centuar (2 engines, first stage), and construction of the test vehicle is complete.  The first static test was just called off earlier today due to a response delay from the engine ignitors (https://www.space.com/ula-vulcan-centaur-rocket-first-static-fire), but these kinds of hiccups are not unexpected.  The AR1 is functional from what I've heard, but suffers from being a product in want of buyers; they lost the bid on the Vulcan Centaur, and while there was talk of Firefly adopting the engine for their next rocket (MLV, nee Beta), the company since went with their own in-house Miranda.  As far as Ursa Major is concerned, presumably, the problem is that these engines were not made by Ursa Major and are not putting money in Ursa Major's pocket.  That to them is the major benefit of the Arroway, a new entry for a competitive market.  As far as the USAF is concerned, likewise: it's a sweetheart deal that the USAF can later hope to take advantage of.  They've wanted for a while to develop rapid space launch capability to go from order to launch in 24 hours, and having an engine developed with their money is likely something they would be interested in to have an "in" for follow-up contracts if it is successful.

As far as US hypersonic missiles are concerned, there aren't any right now; everything still in development or testing.  For the USAF specifically, they declined procurement of Lockheed's AGM-183A in March due to regular ignition failures and cost overruns, and also awarded a bit shy of a billion USD to Raytheon for a new hypersonic missile, which is still in testing.  Likewise for the Army's and Navy's hypersonic missile project (LRHW for the Army and CPS for the Navy), which is a completely separate project and is being tested this year.  As LeMay once put it, the Soviets are the adversary and the Navy (or Army) is the enemy.  Service rivalry aside, the USAF wants an air-launched missile for obvious reasons; the Army wants ground-launch and Navy wants ship-launch capabilities for similar reasons.  Presumably, besides the usual pork-barreling, this is also being justified as a way to avoid putting all eggs in a single basket.  If the only remaining hypersonics project the USAF is pursuing fails as the AGM-183A just did, they would be left to start from beginning. 

Ultimately, though, space launches are now a part of the private sector.  The existence of the Arroway, Miranda, or Merlin don't imply something is wrong with the AR1 or BE-4, any more than the existence of Pepsi suggests something wrong with Coca-Cola.  It's a brave new world, that has such corporations in it.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jipehog on May 30, 2023, 08:21:11 am
I had a soft-spot for the Dynetics ALPACA, but... hey. Mass problems.

China sets sights on crewed lunar landing before 2030
https://spacenews.com/china-sets-sights-on-crewed-lunar-landing-before-2030/

Looks like they also went with phallos lander design.

Is NASA still plans to land on the moon in 2024? I admit I have doubts about blue origin and starship being ready in time.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on May 30, 2023, 10:02:26 am
I haven't heard a formal update but it's almost unthinkable yeah.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Telgin on May 30, 2023, 10:37:22 am
Have they even done transfers to the moon yet?  It seems like there are many milestones left before even thinking about landing people on the moon in a year, but maybe I just haven't been keeping up with things.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on May 30, 2023, 11:17:43 am
Artemis I launched awhile ago and Artemis II should send people back around the Moon, no landing. I don't remember what the plan is after Artemis II, but I believe there's some lunar lander tests and then Artemis III should be an actual all-up Moon landing with crew. I think.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on May 30, 2023, 02:08:48 pm
Artemis (itself delayed by Artemis I preperation delays, but mostly the pre-Artemis I issues) just isn't a complete landing program in itself, so relies on SpaceX succeeding in creating its bit for the mission (or, I'd suggest as a very stop-gappy contingency, bringing Blue Origin in to replace them). And certainly SpaceX has nailed orbital insertion of cargo, booster-landing, manned-to-orbit(-and-safely-back) and sent a Tesla far beyond the Moon, so it wasn't exactly a complete shot in the dark that they can engineer their piece of the puzzle.

But with Spaceship edit: Starship![4] not yet demonstrating itself as even getting close to the Moon, before then having to show as 'solved' the landing and then unsupported take-off again, it's probably getting finger-bitingly close to various reserve deadlines in the planners' office. (And BO hasn't even gone so far as to fail to launch its own option, for this trip.)

Artemis 2 is as proven workable as it can be, given that it's equivalent to Apollo (7?/)8, with maybe six or seven[1] successful tests up to that point (and one very notable ground-failure), to put this "new race" into perspective with the old one.

Artemis 3 is planned to be (part of) the Apollo 11-equivalent mission, conflating three stages of Apollo (with 9=undocking/redocking tests in LEO and 10=all-but-landing rehearsal). Obviously SpaceX, once it proves it can launch Starship, has its own side-program of proving a Moon-tuned Starship can do the landing (automated, as it will probably mostly be anyway), take-off (likewise) and any necessary docking tests (but with Dragon/Dragon-Crewed and the ISS already in its back pocket on that issue), so it may not need (or be seen as cost-efficient practical) to still take the original project's exact steps.

Which might mean one or two mangled (or just un-relaunchable) Lunar Starships get left on the Moon in the gaps between Artemis missions, in trying to perfect (and man-rate) the landing phase in time for 3's crew to take the plunge. But it does seems awfully close to next year, already, watching it all unfold from out here on the bleachers... (Apollo had its delays, and not just because of Grissom, et al, which shoved things back a year or two at times. And that was Space Race time with Space Race pressures.)

Apart from maybe something like Biden wanting to be sure that he was in the Whitehouse to do the famous phonecall (which is a thing his predecessor would have wanted even more[3]), I think the same haste isn't in play. It'd probably be nice for them to get back there before China (or anyone else!) reaches it for the first time, but "hope for 2026, plan for <2030" is a viable amount of slack if the budget can cover the delays at least as much as the alternative of throwing money at things to get them to happen sooner.


[1] Depending on how you count. But before Apollo 1 were three main tests for the hardware (but one not including the Apollo CSM), and after it were unmanned Apollo 4, 5*, 6 and manned 7*. Those marked * were not on Saturn Vs, but 5 was the first with the LM loaded, and 7 was the first crewed CSM flight (so, Artemis 2-like), so probably these definitely[2] count.

[2] By all other relevent measures anyway, even if they hadn't been given full Apollo numbers (even 'unused' ones). Like the various pre-1 tests weren't that I would count, as well as technical tests that I wouldn't.

[3] I'm tempted to go back into the archives and see if it was buttoned down as a schedule within his first term as something that would happen before the end of his presumed second term, so maybe pressure/hints about how nice it would be happened.

[4] I have been known to get SpaceX and Scaled Composites names mixed up! And there was a SpaceshipTwo (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/VSS_Unity) launch the other day, so maybe that will have caused my error there. ;P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on May 30, 2023, 11:55:03 pm
The National Team (Blue Origin leads this group but it also includes most of the former "usual suspects" for spaceflight operations, from before SpaceX shook things up) has in fact recently been re-selected for the backup lunar lander; there were originally going to be 2 selections and NT beat out Draper's group in the first selection round. However Congress didn't want to pay enough for even ONE lunar lander program so SpaceX's largely privately-developed Starship got slotted in as the most capable and easiest to fund option. After all, it literally requires no NASA funding for 85% of the vehicle to be developed, any NASA funds for making the lunar lander version are just a bonus to SpaceX's development of all the most important components of the vehicle. Recently the funds for a second selection were shaken out and the second selection was formally announced.

Unfortunately, Draper's much more interesting lander proposal had issues like "being 20% over the design mass limits even before leaving the drawing board" which was going to require some intensive engineering and hefty redesign or an investment in negative mass, neither one of which is conducive to a project remaining on time, within budget, and in spec.

At least the new NT proposal has ditched the nonsensical 3-part tug-descent-ascent lander setup for a single-piece reusable vehicle (and they even got rid of the 40-foot ladder required to make it to the top of their originally proposed lander).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: jipehog on June 20, 2023, 06:50:03 am
The space race is heating up as China attracts moon base partners, outlines project timelines (https://spacenews.com/china-attracts-moon-base-partners-outlines-project-timelines/)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on June 20, 2023, 03:13:30 pm
...it all looks like they're planning a bit of an "Asteroid-Belt And Road" th8ng. Nothing too extraordinary, in principle, but the proof of the pudding really is how many bits of the composite plan come together (and how many other plans get thought up/implemented, as well, to boost or confound the project).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: LordBaal on June 23, 2023, 08:10:30 am
Yay! A few months ago Venezuela was formely invited as the first partner for the moon base. Is merely a gesture of course, well, they'll need test subjects...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: EuchreJack on July 21, 2023, 07:32:12 pm
So, I was gonna boot up Kerbal Space Program and test out this whole "We can't launch satellites because we risk collision with other satellites."

I've played plenty of Kerbal Space Program, and that hardly seemed a danger.  So hey, how many satellites do I need to simulate this?

https://history-computer.com/how-many-satellites-are-in-space-right-now/#:~:text=How%20Many%20Satellites%20Are%20in%20Orbit%20Right%20Now%3F,amount%20of%20objects%20in%20orbit. (https://history-computer.com/how-many-satellites-are-in-space-right-now/#:~:text=How%20Many%20Satellites%20Are%20in%20Orbit%20Right%20Now%3F,amount%20of%20objects%20in%20orbit.)

...uh, I'm reasonably sure that would crash the program.  Oh well.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on July 21, 2023, 08:06:35 pm
IIRC, you also need to be focussed (i.e. 'controlling') one space-whatever (ship/probe/ejected component) for it to consider testing for if it clips any other such thing (the exception being hitting planets/muns, where unattended stuff should still get destroyed, unless it's going so fast that it leapfrogs the 'collision-zone' entirely across simulation-ticks).

Real Life™ doesn't care about how many calculations it needs to do (if anything demands vastly more Universal Processing Unit time to do, it'll just not calculate anything until it's sorted, so the universe itself doesn't know that the universe went slow due to working out what happened when those two neutron stars collided, even, down to every subatomic particle and every relativistic differentation between every possible observers' frames of references), so things that can collide will collide, on cue. Double the objects in the system you might get roughly four times the crash-possibilities. Triple, and it's 9x, etc.

KSP (unless they've 'improved' it, since I last dabbled) is purely focussed on you. Double the objects, that means the focal one 'only' has double-ish the potential crash-partners out there, to get 9x you actually need nine times as many loose objects. Maybe they've sorted the "save from re-entry drag by switching off the stratosphere-skimming craft until it's looped back up into proper space again" cheaty-'bug, but even if you dispatched a whole host of kris-krossing orbiters around Ike, you probably still will only get the currently 'active' one to crash with any any others you had allowed to fly through the same spot at the same time by pure chance.


Although Kerbal-space was also somewhat more compressed, too. If KSP2 hasn't decided to be more realistic about that, it might yet make it somewhat easier than than it might be, to get a collision.

(Ok, so I'm not current on the game mechanics, but just thought I'd chip in anyway. Waiting to be told where I'm wrong, about at least one of the abstractions/sumultaneous-calculations.. ;) )
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on July 21, 2023, 10:48:46 pm
KSP 2 probably doesn't simulate collisions on inactive vessels because there's no need. KSP also doesn't simulate the generation of debris from a satellite collision, so there's no real point to actually testing the Kessler Cascade/orbital overpopulation in KSP.

The problem is not launching one satellite, it's launching the one satellite that gets hit and then sprays debris all over the overpopulated LEO and brings down all of Starlink one collision at a time or whatever.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: EuchreJack on August 01, 2023, 12:40:40 am
Musicians can be smart too: Queen legend Brian May helped NASA ace its asteroid-sampling mission, new book reveals (https://www.space.com/queen-brian-may-osiris-rex-asteroid-book)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 01, 2023, 01:12:42 am
The author of the doctoral thesis "A Survey of Radial Velocities in the Zodiacal Dust Cloud"? Who'd've thunk! ;)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: martinuzz on August 23, 2023, 07:44:17 am
The Indian moon lander Vikram succesfully landed on the moon's south pole.
It is carrying the Pragyan moon rover that will explore the moon's surface.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 23, 2023, 09:44:50 am
(...becoming just the fourth nation to soft-land on the Moon. Maybe Russia will become the fifth..?)


Looking forward to the results (yay or nay) about the possible ice there.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Madman198237 on August 23, 2023, 10:01:15 am
Russia has already landed probes on the Moon. Multiple times. If in the guise of the Soviet Union, which I suppose might count as different enough.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on August 23, 2023, 10:34:00 am
...that was rather my point. ;) Either USSR or Kazakhstan, depending upon which nation you would currently count it as.

After that and the US, China and now India, it's possible that Israel and Japan (having previously failed but in line for further attempts) might even succeed before Russia (or Kazakhstan, again!) flies the next one.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: King Zultan on August 24, 2023, 04:37:09 am
Strange to think about how far they've fallen since the collapse of the Soviet Union, you'd think they'd improve on their situation.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: A_Curious_Cat on August 26, 2023, 02:51:09 am
The “Zero-G Indicator” for the SpaceX Crew 7 mission is a three-toed sloth plushie.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: EuchreJack on October 03, 2023, 03:21:34 pm
Dish Network fined over space junk (https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-66993647.amp)

They're certainly not going after SpaceX...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on October 03, 2023, 04:30:38 pm
When I read that earlier, it struck me[1] that they didn't really explain that 'only' going a little bit away from geostationary(/-synchronous) leaves it a long long way from threatening the ISS and its spacewalkers.

In fact, the trouble caused by rogue GEO/near-GEO objects is relatively small for a number of reasons[2], which makes the decision to first deal with a partly Graveyard-orbitted item slightly puzzling. (Might just be because it was easier to deal with than objects that are technically in decaying orbits after LEO and even high-LEO manouverability failures, that are likely to 'solve themselves' quicker than the legal process dealing with the still theoretical risk and need to steer 'live' items around a bit for the duration.) But perhaps we'll see more, soon, now that they've plucked this fruit from a surprisingly high branch.


In other Space news, I nearly posted here about the JuMBOs discovered by JWST in Orion's 'sword' nebula. Everyone's trying to work out why we can see so many nomad-pairs of that kind being thrown about (and out) by nascent planetary discs.

[1] But not at (counter-)orbital speeds, obviously.

[2] Fewer things are being sent there than with LEO. Which has a volumetric footprint much larger (even accounting for mostly concentrating them in a narrow torus). Most items are orbitting pretty tightly to the same plan (drift from being off '-stationary', and the small figure-of-8 movement by being eccentric in various ways are the major issue) making intersections slow, in an already slower or it, and not anything like the problems of similarly concentric polar orbits (and/or heliostatic semi-polar ones) allowing objects to be regularly encountering each other at a relative speed double that of the orbit alone), though there might be some risk from those in an actual Tundra orbit
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Ziusudra on December 03, 2023, 12:46:00 am
https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/news/view/513/20231202-coronal-hole-faces-earth.html
(https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/images/news/513-header.jpg)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: McTraveller on December 03, 2023, 08:25:52 am
Well, crap.

(https://www.thedigitalfix.com/wp-content/sites/thedigitalfix/2022/10/why-is-sauron-eye-lord-of-rings-1-1.jpg)

EDIT: ah heh, @Robsoie had the same thought, over in the WTF thread.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Il Palazzo on December 03, 2023, 08:29:41 am
That's an outline of a boot. I.e. Somebody kicked the Sun in the backside. I.e. there are aliens hiding behind the Sun. QED.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on December 03, 2023, 01:35:06 pm
We are not. That's a scurrilous lie!

We're behind the...  never you mind.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Eric Blank on December 15, 2023, 08:56:17 pm
I was on imgur last night and came across a discussion on the legality of extracting minerals from the seabed, which led to a comment by someone who did their masters thesis years ago (pre-2016) on the international space treaty and read the ISA notes in regards to its application to extraction in space, and they posted their thesis for public viewing here:

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1C6DG5pXNo84rek1eBcmNPyuMW8QmGXko/view

I read through it and thought about this thread, and thought you all would like Iike to see it too. I think they do make a good point that a new treaty is necessary (I didn't realize the existing one was so limited in scope and lacking exact definitions) and liked their ideas for how that could be handled. But, I noticed where they detailed how profitable ventures were concerned with dividing up returns between interested nations/parties equally (as the common heritage of all humanity), they didn't consider allowing setting a flat cost between all interested buyers, so say 100 parties are interested, each party would pay 1/100 of the total for their portion, with the total based on the cost of the venture and agreed upon profit margin for the undertakers of the endeavor. If the parties allowed to sign on included corporations/businesses, that could quickly get divided into thousandss of pieces with each paying the appropriate portion, but if it's limited to nations, it could only be a few hundred at most. Then you could see distribution within those states according to their laws/intended uses, for instance further materials science or manufacturing, auctioning to other parties or public monuments/museum or arts pieces, or potentially distribution to the population for private use/collection. By clearing up the legality of who gets to use materials, and enforcing law and regulations on their collections (not to mention launches and tracking objects), we'd be a lot closer to actually having space exploration and exploitation than on the current paradigm, where it seems it's either illegal or a lawless free-for-all with inevitable Kessler syndrome grounding us for eternity.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on December 16, 2023, 06:37:12 am
"Unable to connect" to the Google Drive ..no wait, it's loading on a redo, just before posting. Must have just been a glitch at my end. (But I haven't read the item iteslf yet, just replied below based upon existing background knowledge.)

Whatever that treatment is, AIUI the problem is that the current OST binds nations only, not private/corporate individuals outwith the aegis of such nations.  Technically, a nation could internally coerce its own citizen/company to stick to the laws it wishes to obey, but there's limited possibility of any other country doing so. And already there was scope for the then-unforseen possibility of a non-govenmental effort being ...'allowed' to do things that the nation itself could not, and then 'oops, sorry" at the mosst on the international scene.

There's also the issue of whether the OST is indeed strong enough to prevent (as a NASA official posited, recently) China claiming the Lunar South Pole "just like the Sprattley Islands" (and no doubt the US would also like to engineer its own irrefutable claim to the choicest crumbs available, assuming that there are crumns). It'd have to be done by setting up an actual manned 'research' base and complaining mightily about 'encroachment' and 'safety issues' if another nation's research team started to try to 'claim jump' their non-claim-honest.

Enforcing an egalitarean shareout from all corporations to all (interested) Earth-parties is... hmmm... Would a member of one block of nations be forced to allow a member of another block of nations (e.g. US and Russia) to fairly participate in such a scheme if there's currently sanction schemes on terrestrial resources and business? If there's a ban on Unobtanium deposits being exported, then the same company obeying such Earthwise controls surely cannot be allowed to provide space-Unobtanium without any further comment?

((But now I need to actually see if that linked-thing covers this sort of issue, and the other things I might or might not be considering. Apologies for the precipitate reply, now that I see that it's not a dead-link after all...))
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on December 25, 2023, 03:50:53 pm
Ok, it has taken a while to actually get through those 50ish pages, due to distractions. (EB knows that I was also a bit diverted by the writing style of it... ;) )

Boiled down, though: Considering the ESA as a likely legal arbiter of 'space exploitation' is clearly pie-in-the-sky. It would need to be UN-level. Or better, if there is a 'better', given the UN's less than total control over even Earthly matters. That's without even going into the actual issue of national/supranational beligerance. Though it would appear that this is the conceit around which the paper is written (when it isn't reference either down to the existing ISA or up to the propsed ISA2), so obviously that's the slant.

It's also a bit out of date. Some of the things (being written between 2011 and 2016, going by a references and forward-looking dates) are upended by more recent developments.


Oh, and I'm a little wary of having mass-launching cannons set up to deliver off-Earth materails to Earth, in bulk, as matter of course. If anything it's more effective than just 'releasing' a so-called-Crowbar from orbit. Given that this (if taken literally) will just result in Crowbars also in orbit.




My hoped-for contribution to the exploitation of space, by the way, is a concept that I have called many things in the past but (on this occasion) I shall call "ViSAGE".
Spoiler: VISAGE... (click to show/hide)

...I suppose that tallies more with the 'special responsibility' aspect, though.


I also have a plan for distributing any arbitrary extraterrestrial territory (that is allowed to be released from 'communal use') to avoid land-grab-by-occupation or any related shaningans. But that can probably wait for another day...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Loud Whispers on December 27, 2023, 07:50:21 pm
Whatever that treatment is, AIUI the problem is that the current OST binds nations only, not private/corporate individuals outwith the aegis of such nations.  Technically, a nation could internally coerce its own citizen/company to stick to the laws it wishes to obey, but there's limited possibility of any other country doing so. And already there was scope for the then-unforseen possibility of a non-govenmental effort being ...'allowed' to do things that the nation itself could not, and then 'oops, sorry" at the mosst on the international scene.
I always knew Elon was going to beans it for humanity
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on January 25, 2024, 09:52:03 pm
In the last day or two, it's been revealed that Japan's main lunar landar toppled over[1] and Inginuity seems to have had a rotor-mishap on Mars, putting an end to its ability to fly[2].

...just thought it interesting to note the two semi-related failures of otherwise disparate missions. Can't think of another (separate) mission that could make it a rule-of-three, though. (Fingers crossed against a more general coincidental failure in one of the other concurrent missions going on, just for the universe granting some sort of rhetoric fulfilment.)


[1] Though it proved the capability of the 'companion rover' to act as communication relay, and images were taken, so didn't become an actual Beagle 2-like failure. With the exception of the unbalancing (because of or despite its efforts) it also seemed to prove the viability of autonomous assistive self-control.

[2] After an amazingly long time as the first and only off-Earth UAV. But the ground-roving mission goes on, and apparently that was going to travel quite fast so might have been torn between holding back to let helicopter hops keep up with it or saying goodbye to it anyway...
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on February 22, 2024, 07:05:37 pm
Following on, the rule of three actually came to pass with Peregrine (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peregrine_Mission_One) failure, which I could have anticipated.

But the next one's the charm! (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intuitive_Machines_Nova-C#IM-1_mission) (Not yet updated on that page, but will be soon if the news is correct. And also if the news is prematurely optimistic.)
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Ziusudra on April 19, 2024, 12:45:23 pm
Second-biggest black hole in the Milky Way found (https://arstechnica.com/science/2024/04/second-biggest-black-hole-in-the-milky-way-found/)

Quote
... with a mass 33 times that of the Sun. And, in galactic terms, it's right next door at about 2,000 light-years distant, meaning it will be relatively easy to learn more
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Robsoie on April 19, 2024, 01:57:42 pm
The ESA article about it for those interested :
https://www.esa.int/Science_Exploration/Space_Science/Gaia/Sleeping_giant_surprises_Gaia_scientists
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: King Zultan on April 20, 2024, 01:51:50 am
Quote
And, in galactic terms, it's right next door at about 2,000 light-years distant
Dear god, should we start panicking now or should we wait a bit then panic?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Ziusudra on April 20, 2024, 08:05:13 pm
NASA Veteran’s Propellantless Propulsion Drive That Physics Says Shouldn’t Work Just Produced Enough Thrust to Overcome Earth’s Gravity
 (https://thedebrief.org/nasa-veterans-propellantless-propulsion-drive-that-physics-says-shouldnt-work-just-produced-enough-thrust-to-defeat-earths-gravity/)

I'll believe it when they prove it, though.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 20, 2024, 08:26:28 pm
NASA Veteran’s Propellantless Propulsion Drive That Physics Says Shouldn’t Work Just Produced Enough Thrust to Overcome Earth’s Gravity
 (https://thedebrief.org/nasa-veterans-propellantless-propulsion-drive-that-physics-says-shouldnt-work-just-produced-enough-thrust-to-defeat-earths-gravity/)

I'll believe it when they prove it, though.

I don't have much faith in this being what is suggested, based upon the reporting style. Even tested in a hard-vacuum chamber, this is not a substitute for space (where there's no physical connection to any test-stand, either conductive or not), and I can't help feeling, from all my attempts to extract useful info from this report (and there are no 'other' reports, that I've seen, merely repeats/restatements of this one) that this is just a fancy self-deflecting magnetic compass of some kind, not actually producing the alleged asymmetric capacitance-force effects.


I mean, I can see possible practical applications for any sufficiently powerful electrical 'jet engine', as well as electromagnetic tether-through-magnesphere options for propellant-free adjustments/trade-offs once in orbit, but consider me extremely sceptical about the 'science' behind whatever it is that's not being well described in this report (or anywhere else that I poked around in, to fill in the gaps).
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Telgin on April 20, 2024, 11:20:00 pm
I'd say I'd eat my hat before this turned out to be a legitimate discovery, but I don't have a hat.

Until it's tested in a vacuum in deep space, I'm going to believe this is an effect from the Earth's magnetic field or something like that.  The scientists and engineers working on it must know that's a possibility so... they must have tried to account for it, but it's got to be something in that vein.

This doesn't feel like real science, even aside from the blatant violations of known laws of physics.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: bloop_bleep on April 21, 2024, 02:52:44 pm
The discovery of a "fundamental new force" by a guy selling something does stretch my belief. Like, a pretty large amount.

Most likely it's just an error in controlling the experiment which he spun.

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Ziusudra on April 22, 2024, 03:19:39 pm
NASA’s Voyager 1 Resumes Sending Engineering Updates to Earth (https://blogs.nasa.gov/voyager/2024/04/22/nasas-voyager-1-resumes-sending-engineering-updates-to-earth/)

Quote
NASA’s Voyager 1 spacecraft is returning usable data about the health and status of its onboard engineering systems. The next step is to enable the spacecraft to begin returning science data again.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Telgin on April 22, 2024, 03:51:00 pm
It's honestly incredible that the probe still works, and equally incredible that they were able to reconfigure it remotely to bypass the faulty part.  I guess there's almost no such thing as overengineering on something like that.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Frumple on April 22, 2024, 05:33:26 pm
Oh, there is, but only in the sense that at some point you stop having the lift capacity to get it out of atmo :P

If at some point we get some decent orbital industry going on, well... suddenly the new breakpoint starts when it starts having so much mass it's causing singularities, heh.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Robot Parade Leader on April 22, 2024, 09:38:37 pm
The voyager probe still somehow working gives me hope. I really don't get how it does, but I am glad it does. I guess they really built it right.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Eric Blank on April 22, 2024, 10:39:16 pm
Apparently the necessities of its function are all redundant; they've got backups. But not the science instruments. And the tape recorder.

I've been listening to the Event Horizons podcast on YouTube. The guy interviews a lot of scientists about various space topics. One of them concerned the voyager probes. I'll see if I can find it again later.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: MaxTheFox on April 23, 2024, 12:54:41 am
Quote
And, in galactic terms, it's right next door at about 2,000 light-years distant
Dear god, should we start panicking now or should we wait a bit then panic?
Nope. Even if it was moving at 99.999% lightspeed directly at us, it'd take 2000 years to reach us. And it definitely isn't. This is like being in Europe and worrying about having your city destroyed by a volcano in Hawaii.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: King Zultan on April 23, 2024, 02:32:17 am
Quote
And, in galactic terms, it's right next door at about 2,000 light-years distant
Dear god, should we start panicking now or should we wait a bit then panic?
Nope. Even if it was moving at 99.999% lightspeed directly at us, it'd take 2000 years to reach us. And it definitely isn't. This is like being in Europe and worrying about having your city destroyed by a volcano in Hawaii.
Sounds like a wait then panic situation, even if the wait is thousands of years.

Also I said as a joke.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 23, 2024, 08:20:08 am
This is like being in Europe and worrying about having your city destroyed by a volcano in Hawaii.
Probably less so.

Increased vulcanism in Hawaii could cause or provoke worldwide effects that concern us all (though perhaps we should worry more about Yellowstone, on that front[1]). The creation of a black hole might be a problem, but the discovery of one (already created) shouldn't have any additional effects[2].

In truth, even the sudden 'magical' transformation of the Sun into a stellar-mass black hole would not suck us into gravitational doom, as we'd still be orbiting the same mass at the same distance. Though we would have a big problem with no longer having our usual dose of sunlight. Unless there was enough other new mass to feed it, no new increase in 'hard' radiation, so even that might end up less. Perhaps a wonderful opportunity to try to understand  what Hawking Radiation might actually be (once we set aside who snapped their fingers to transform the Sun, in the first place, and dealt with the immediate issues of survival from the rapid cooling).

There are other subtle potential problems with extrasolar black holes, but a newly discovered (yet 'established') one at that distance (and not itself obviously heading this way, in any substantial manner) is more just an interesting thing to know about[3]. What I'd be more worried about is a more subtle one, not so large but perhaps actually travelling directly towards us (alone, so with no tell-tale glowing disc) still in a particularly empty/unstudied slot of sky (where any lensing hasn't yet been realised for what it is). And even that probably isn't as 'immediately' likely to cause us problems as a rogue planet/failed-brown-dwarf looming up out of the cosmic-biege (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cosmic_latte), which probably number far greater than 'stealth' black holes in our local neighbourhood.

(Though, of course, there's always a chance. Or "sufficiently advanced aliens" intervening. Or probably many other things that science just doesn't know about yet. And, of course, humorous (as well as humourless?) hyperbole.)


[1] Not sure about the potential Krakatoa-like issues of extremely ready seawater, though, on top of even a 'smaller' mega-eruption. Loads of variables there.

[2] There's black hole 'ejection flares', from a glut of accretion material being forced away from the rotational poles of the new material, but that's a rather aimed effect, and to be hit (eventually) by the maximum possible effects of one (over any interstellar distance) is extremely unlikely.

[3] Instead of "Second-biggest black hole in the Milky Way found", I would have said "Black hole is second-biggest found in the Milky Way", or similar. And, for scale, we're talking Sagittarius A* at ~4 million solar masses, this one at ~32, Cygnus X1 at ~15 and then other candidates at ~12 (but could be up to 26, from the manner of its discovery), ~11, ~10, ~9s, an ~8, ~7s, ~6s, a ~5, (no obvious ~4s), ~3s and ~2s, numbering to 20 examples. And Gaia BH3 is the second closest discovered (Gaia BH1 is at ¾ the distance, with a high 9-stellar-mass size). In truth, BHs are hard to find/pin down, unless they're quite close or very large.

edit(s): I just couldn't get "Sagittarius" spelt correctly first(/second/third) time!
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on April 23, 2024, 08:57:59 am
Quote
And, in galactic terms, it's right next door at about 2,000 light-years distant
Dear god, should we start panicking now or should we wait a bit then panic?
Nope. Even if it was moving at 99.999% lightspeed directly at us, it'd take 2000 years to reach us. And it definitely isn't. This is like being in Europe and worrying about having your city destroyed by a volcano in Hawaii.
Well, it could have spectacularly exploded 1999 years ago and we just haven't observed the light from that event yet. Still pretty unlikely to affect us.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Bralbaard on April 24, 2024, 07:04:44 am
Black holes can't explode. Nothing can escape from them.

Not counting cheating by Hawking radiation.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Robsoie on April 24, 2024, 07:53:04 am
related interesting article from a few years ago about why scientists are often losing their hairs after repeatedly scratching their head from the amount of contradictions coming in theoretical or established physic laws, all because of those black holes and particles not willing to cooperate with them ;)

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/escape-from-a-black-hole/
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 24, 2024, 08:30:12 am
That aside, it could merge with another black hole, sufficient to increase the resulting Schwarzschild radius to the best part of that 2kly distance that it needs to touch us... ;)

(But then the problem wouldn't really lie with the 32-sol BH, any more, just the added presence of the... hmmm... 6 quadrillian-sol one? Outweighing the whole Milky Way by a factor of nearly 4000 (and Sag A* by 1.4bil), if I've done my sums right. And, even if I haven't, it'd probably be still 'significant', with BH3 barely the thinnest icing on the resulting cake.)

Luckily, it's a leap year, which gives us some additional breathing space (https://xkcd.com/2897/)!  :P
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Egan_BW on April 24, 2024, 05:24:56 pm
Black holes can't explode. Nothing can escape from them.

Not counting cheating by Hawking radiation.
What if every single particle inside the event horizon happens to tunnel out at the same time? What then huh?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Eric Blank on April 24, 2024, 06:14:33 pm
Then the black hole wouldnt exist anymore.

My question would be, can we still detect the gravitational waves of two blackholes orbiting each other once one has passed within the schwartzchild radius of the other, but has not yet fallen into the singularity. The merger of the singularities shouldnt be instantaneous, right? and they can't travel faster than light towards each other. The effect of their gravity, separately, should still be detectable on objects outside the event horizon, right?

We'd need two sufficiently ginormous black holes about to merge, though, and instrumentation that allows us to tell at what point they enter one-another's event horizons.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 26, 2024, 09:25:57 am
"I'll huff, and I'll puff and I'll blow off your spin... (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-68903801)"

(Three little pigs meets rocket science...)

Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Eric Blank on April 26, 2024, 03:23:44 pm
That's an interesting technique. I wonder if they would attempt to fully deorbit something by doing the same. Or grab it, slow it down to an unstable low orbit, then push off it, fully deorbiting it and sending their capture vehicle back up to catch another.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on April 26, 2024, 04:53:49 pm
My reading is that this is the "we haven't built the bit that can grab the other object" yet. But by using up some propellant[1], they can refine their ability to get (and stay) in close enough proximity to try these tricks.

Once they have an appropriate gripper, magnetetic grapple, tethered throw-net or harpoon (https://futurama.fandom.com/wiki/Whalers_on_the_Moon) system then probably much more efficient to just make actual firm contact[2] and then do whatever it is they do next (attach thruster packs and/or keep attached as you drag it along to de-orbit, graveyard-orbit, the 'recycling space station' or even just the next target in a list of objects[3]).

But they've got to get used to how to get close (but not dangerously close), and it would be interesting to see how effective a bit of judicious and coordinated thruster-plume can be (a bit like the Double Asteroid Redirection Test's impactor was just an emperical try-out of how much could be done).


(And I find that part at least as fascinating as the more 'practical' (or at least currently presumed as more useful) operational modes.)



[1] Twice, probably, some directed onto the target, whilst the opposing thrusters make sure that the forces balance and the testing craft doesn't zoom off...

[2] For spinning objects, this will probably be propellent-intensive to match the frame of rotation whilst converging, and not getting side-swiped by extended bits of the target in the process. But I'm sure the "waft it stationary" method will use even more fuel.

[3] Takes more delta-v to do multiple targets, and drag around more stuff to be useful when finding the targets, but might be cheaper than dedicating a single 'disposal drone' to each item of interest, given that you have to avoid dumping more awkward booster-stuff along the way, beyond the point of immediate/easy deorbiting. But perhaps a few low-hanging fruit could be rounded up for the cost of one disposal-bot deplyment.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Robsoie on April 27, 2024, 04:10:08 am
Quote from: chatgpt
Scully: Mulder, I know you love a good conspiracy theory, but I'm not sure where you're going with this one. Black holes are a scientific mystery, not a government cover-up.

Mulder: Hear me out, Scully. Think about it. Black holes challenge everything we think we know about physics. Maybe they're intentionally being kept mysterious to hide something bigger.

Scully: What exactly do you think is being hidden, Mulder? Black holes are perplexing because they push the boundaries of our understanding, not because of some elaborate cover-up.

Mulder: What if there's a whole new branch of physics that's being concealed? Imagine the implications if we could harness the power of a black hole or understand their true nature.

Scully: That sounds like science fiction, Mulder. The laws of physics as we know them are based on rigorous observation and testing. Black holes are a puzzle precisely because they challenge these laws, not because they're part of a grand conspiracy.

Mulder: But isn't it strange that we know so little about them? It's like there's a deliberate effort to keep us in the dark.

Scully: Sometimes, Mulder, the unknown is just that - unknown. It doesn't mean there's a conspiracy behind every cosmic phenomenon. Our job is to uncover the truth, not create wild theories.

Mulder: Fair point, Scully. Maybe I'm just seeing shadows where there are none. But mark my words, there's more to black holes than meets the eye.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: King Zultan on April 30, 2024, 02:17:27 am
Reminds me that I need to finish watching the X-files.
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Duuvian on May 03, 2024, 02:37:44 am
Russia proposes UN resolution on banning weapons in space, after vetoing similar UN-Japan draft

https://apnews.com/article/nuclear-arms-space-un-russia-us-japan-561ab8ae569afd7ee79789588ca34033

Spoiler: From the article (click to show/hide)

Listen. I am sort of an idiot and I don't want to be terribly useful. However isn't this kind of a good thing? Is there some very good reason that this would not be desirable?
Title: Re: Space Thread
Post by: Starver on May 03, 2024, 04:42:21 am
A good principle, but so is the nuclear non-proliferation treaty, and that hasn't entirely stopped proliferation. Plus there's always the 'accidental' dual-use of otherwise perfectly benign (or not (https://xkcd.com/1992/)) space hardware.

My bet is either that this is an attempt to try to curb the US's use of superior military reconnaisance hardware (by some subtle wording that includes conflict-purpose hardware rather than just full on weapons) into the ban or (more likely) it's a gambit where they get a sure diplomatic win out of the attempt (one way, they get vetoed by US and can then accurately claim that the US/whoever was 'against peace'; the other way they force support/non-opposition from their greatest rivals, which they can also bend to their advantage and dine out on for at least the foreseeable future).


I'd have to fully read the replective texts to rule out some of my other (admitedly crazier) ideas as to "why them, why now?"