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General Discussion / Re: You wanna rescue the world?
« on: April 21, 2015, 01:35:34 pm »Doesn't that sort of feed into the point however?Society is all about implementation, not design; and societal design-flaws are caused by insufficient data, not deficient intelligence. And what is a counter-intuitive solution to a social problem, anyway? If Multivac tells us that the optimal, utterly counter-intuitive solution is to SMASH CAPITALISM, will people believe it? If, on the other hand, Multivac tells us that the optimal, utterly counter-intuitive solution is to KILL EVERYONE, would we be willing to implement that plan? No doubt sociologists would be better off using more Big Data and neural networks in their research, but why would they listen to Multivac?
I was pointing out that your "every scientist (individually) with advanced software" model is missing the point. Less and less is going to about some individual person having some insight and more and more is going to be about building systems where no one really knows the internals. We're already seeing a lot of this. Not only are there systems where no person understands everything, there are more and more black-box systems designed by a machine that nobody really knows why they work. It's not just that nobody has taken the time to check them out, these systems have so many variables it's impossible to comprehend everything in there.
It's sort of a religious belief that nothing is too complex for one human to understand, but that's plain bullshit. Dynamic systems with thousands of units, thousands of states per unit and complex rules of interoperation exist, and even experts are often stumped by what comes out of them. These things are optimized by machine learning and nobody really understands what they are doing internally.
FAKEDIT: A black-box society that humans cannot comprehend? That's starting to sound downright scary...

EDIT: I'm sure you've read The Machine Stops by E.M. Forster?


