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Messages - Maximum Spin

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31
25x lower
Noting that this phrasing can be ambiguous.  The thing you quote ("25 times better") sort-of-maybe supports the use of "1/25th of", or 4%[1], but can I just say that that's a horrible phrasing, and the kind of one that gets me almost shouting at the radio/TV for lazy (if not misleading) terminology.

Not your fault, but... <shudder>.

[1] Or very close (exactly 5% would be a 1/20th, 3% a ratio of 33⅓:1, so if the rounding is to the nearest whole number (after conversion of an exact fraction/percentage) then it's probably pretty accurate to convert back). That's if the "25 times reduction" actually meant that, in context, when it actually could mean so many other things, from the utterly miraculous to mere tweaks, as I'm sure you don't need me to explain.
What else could it possibly mean? Getting n times more computations per watt means a given number of computations takes 1/n the watts.

Of course, the reality is that it's "up to 25 times" which means that you'll never see anything close to that in real-life conditions, but that's not the part to which you objected.

32
Some Russians do have this agreement but I firmly believe that a huge majority of Russians largely enjoy their country as it is, it fits their values and beliefs.
All the evidence from previous western research and journalism in Russia suggests this is the case, yes.

33
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: March 21, 2024, 03:00:30 am »
Shame on me for having referred to the topic without reiterating it completely...

When people tried to say that a14.s3 can only be enforced by Congress, I said that Colorado did have the right to bring the case forward because nothing had been done at the federal level. I also said that, had something been done at the federal level, the Colorado case could have been shut down in its infancy while in Colorado by Trump's team.
How? What would Trump's team do? I don't think you understand the process here. There's no escape valve to "shut that whole thing down", the process for deciding cases like this is for it to work its way through the courts and up to the Supreme if necessary.

Quote
My question to you was, "If things were as you say, the Colorado case would have been stopped before it left Colorado's Supreme Court. Why wasn't it?"

What is your answer?
It wouldn't be, because that's not how the process works. You haven't explained why you think it would be.

34
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: March 20, 2024, 06:41:41 pm »
This is incorrect. States are not, and cannot be, obliged to enforce federal law. That would be commandeering, which SCOTUS has considered verboten. Persuaded, certainly, by e.g. tying highway funds to drinking age, but not forced to enforce it.
Fair enough, I should have said "follow it". I meant, in this case, by removing Trump from the ballot if he were indeed judged unelectable by Congress. It's not in the same category of thing as the commandeering issue.

35
General Discussion / Re: Israel-Gaza/Palestine war thread
« on: March 20, 2024, 03:53:07 pm »
I was making a half-joke, it's probably not literally an intentional campaign by anyone in particular. If I had to blame anyone in particular, though, xkcd would be right up against the wall, making people dumber mondays, wednesdays, and fridays. Or whatever the schedule is.

Everyone tends to use advantageous representations of data,
That's called "effective communication".

36
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: March 20, 2024, 03:50:50 pm »
Wait, what? If the economy "collapses" because the interest rates change (or don't) then I would be genuinely amazed.  Or was there something else on the horizon?
No, I was talking about the fed meeting. It's a bit of an exaggeration, but it really is the difference between stagflation going out of control or a Vollker shock short-term recession, after all. :P
And I see (I just got back in just now) we got a push, that's what I figured, but man, it would have been better to just bring rates up a little more at this point. Drawing things out is just... eh.

If things were as you say, the Colorado case would have been stopped before it left Colorado's Supreme Court. Why wasn't it?

Congress was authorized the power to decide "yes or no", but they also failed to start or to conclude the process. Why didn't Congress tell Colorado "hey this is our job, you need to stop..."?
What? That's not Congress' job, that's the Supreme Court's job, and they did it. What would "stop" it? The Supreme Court is the one who has the power to decide when state action is in violation of the Constitution, and they did what they're supposed to do. And they do that job AFTER state courts have their say, as happened here - it's an established process.

Quote
Texas... Texas is challenging the federal level. Don't try to tell me that Texas is following all the federal laws.
Again, not how this works. Not how any of this works. Texas is "challenging", if anything, the Executive branch for not following the laws enacted by Congress. You had the whole civics unit, checks and balances, in school, right?

37
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: March 20, 2024, 11:54:52 am »
The point I was making about "Colorado had the right to bring the case forward because the federal government did not" is similar to the point Texas is making with their new immigration law. Texas is saying that they have the right to enforce border law because the federal government is not. Are these both examples of a state taking action to enforce federal laws when the authority was already delegated to the federal level?
No. Colorado did not have any right to bring the case forward because it was intruding on a power specifically provided to Congress by the Constitution, with no obligation on the part of Congress in any way created. Since Congress had made no law in any way providing for Donald Trump to be removed from any ballot, no state could act to enforce any such law, nor does any state have the power to make such law on its own (which, besides, Colorado never attempted to do, as the legislature was never involved). If Congress had made such a law, states would in fact be obliged to enforce it; similarly, if Congress has made laws providing for border enforcement, which they have, states have the responsibility to enforce them, just as the Executive does as well. The difference is that Texas is following the established law while Colorado was not.

ETA: By the way, in about an hour we get to find out how the economy collapses. Stay tuned!

38
General Discussion / Re: Israel-Gaza/Palestine war thread
« on: March 20, 2024, 11:25:02 am »
Indeed, if the grapher isn't completely disingenuous (or incompetant), you can probably work out what reality is. Though the unwary or willingly misled can find themselves drawn to wrong conclusions, and others might cynically allow that to happen, one way or another. The exact choice of graph format can be a bonus or a problem, for each party. It may be what you don't include, as much as what you do.
No, this is a campaign to reduce data literacy while making people feel like they're smart.

39
General Discussion / Re: Israel-Gaza/Palestine war thread
« on: March 20, 2024, 10:23:20 am »
seemingly aware of common 'graphing tricks' like non-linear axes that might mean either an objection is raised or that you whould raise one yourself (although, in the right circumstances, something like a log-normal or log-log layout showing a linear trend is exactly what you'd expect from perfect data) but missing all kinds of other issues that were at least a problem with the view being presented.
Just as an aside, I'd be happy if I could never hear this dumb take again as long as I live. Non-linear axes are not a "graphing trick". There are no "graphing tricks". When people complain about "misleading graphs", it is usually because they did not understand what the graph was trying to convey.

The level of data literacy out there is depressingly low.

ETA: Anyway, look. You can look for reasons to believe the suspicious-looking data coming out of an arm of a terrorist organization while convincing yourself you're engaging in skepticism by doing so, or you can accept that there's room for doubt and we should not necessarily trust either party. You do not HAVE to take a side. And no, the UN (who trusts the UN, anyway?) or the Lancet (who trusts the Lancet?! Why would a medical journal even have an opinion on data forensics?!?) saying that they can't prove the data is wrong doesn't convince me of anything.

40
To return back to the topic of the thread...

What do you need to see to conclude that an AI has agency, sentience, creativity, etc?
I don't think any of those items are strictly definable with our current knowledge, but, just as a minimum ask, to say that something has creativity I'd have to at least see it make something unexpected (unasked-for) but immediately accessible - something you can look at and instantly recognize what it means - and demonstrate, as it is doing so, knowledge of what it is doing in detail, so that you know it intends the meaning you read into the work.

I don't really think the other two concepts are relevant. Since modern AIs are made with unpredicted (not necessarily unpredictable, but not explicitly specified) factors and not strictly designed, you could try to pare apart a definition of "agency" which includes an AI making decisions that the designers didn't foresee, but it's always going to be philosophically weak in the domain of a construct with an explicit telos. And sentience is really just for science fiction as it stands.

41
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: March 19, 2024, 06:12:54 am »
I definitely think the UK's parliamentary system is worse on several important properties. In fact, it seems like you basically have a two-party system anyway, with the lib dems mainly a factor in which side they decide to swing to. The proportional representation countries are even worse, because you don't even get to choose *people* there. I do think there's something to be said for the historical way the US did things, where the state governments, not the Congress (as would be the equivalent of the UK system), choose the President, but it was changed for a reason, ultimately.

When it comes to types of voting, though, IRV is the categorical worst of all. Nobody should ever use instant runoff. It can be shown mathematically to disobey important intuitive rules (monotonicity, for example) and also excludes third parties worse than plurality/FPTP. FPTP behaves fairly reasonably, all things considered, despite its bad academic reputation which isn't based on any evidence.

ETA: In fact, I should say, the main reason that America has a two-party system is because most people genuinely prefer one "major" party or the other over any third party that currently exists. Third-party voters are a Very Online Phenomenon. There are voting systems that specifically give smaller parties a mathematical leg up, like range voting, but that leg up mostly comes as a benefit of people outside the hard core not having heard of them. Is that really desirable, to prefer a candidate nobody hates because that candidate is a total cipher? I personally don't think so.

42
You should update your action, by the way.
Done.

43
Hold on, isn't CrystalizedMire also in error? Can we make two ships in a turn? You said:
Shipyard: Produces ships on demand using. Takes up 1 slot. Produces 1-3 ships per turn, depending on shipwright tech level. Built with 2 Alloys and 3 Minerals.
And presumably nobody has more than starting shipwright tech, yes?

44
General Discussion / Re: Israel-Gaza/Palestine war thread
« on: March 18, 2024, 05:25:24 am »
That genuinely is an unrealistically low level of variation in the context of combat deaths, and you are now arguing that self-described Jewish sources are inherently untrustworthy because of their presumptively compromised loyalties.

45
What is weaponized speech I'm not talking about the strict definition meant to point at forms of demagogery, exclusionary and demeaning rhetorics, but in a broad sense: treaties imposed on indigenous people conquered, taxlaws meant to be convoluted,
Those aren't speech, they're military action. Laws and treaties are enforced by, well, force. The force is what does the weaponizing - without it, the words are nothing.

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