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« on: December 29, 2023, 04:09:37 pm »
Footnote: These thoughts are specifically about players NOT being Mafia, not whether they're Town or not.
Likelihood of Being Mafia:
Most Likely Not Mafia
Imp - they're not
NQT - they would have had to pull some absolutely stupid double-kill gambit between themselves, Egan, Sofanthiel, and a fourth Merger/Double-Action player on N1, also Imp inspected them as Town on N3
Probably Not Mafia
Max - threw Egan (and Sofanthiel) under the bus
Canadian Kitten - threw Sofanthiel under the bus
Knightwing - got banished by Sofanthiel, probably not to protect them?
Crystalmire - got banished (twice now), probably not to protect them unless they're mafia with maybe BlackHeart? less sure than Knightwing about Not Mafia status
Jim - was very happy to lynch Egan on D2, don't think Jim got the skill to fake that
Secretdorf - hammered the shit out of Sofanthiel, could be to look good but...
Lenglon - proooobably not mafia, has been helping town more than hurting town but I can't think of a really strong reason why they couldn't be besides "nah"
Possible Mafia
Hector - I can't think of any reason why they couldn't be Mafia, but I don't have a reason why they would be either
Elephant Parade - I can't think of any reason why they couldn't be Mafia, but I don't have a reason why they would be either
BlackHeart - like Jim pointed out they may have banished Crystal for some reason? their Marked by Death feels like an independent thing to me though, but they could be Mafia still. I still really don't like how they didn't claim their role-block of Imp on D2, but waited until D3.
I'll need to look at Day 1 behavior between Egan and Sofanthiel with other players.
If anyone wants to chip in on my thoughts or have their own thoughts then feel free.