Bay 12 Games Forum

On D2, NJW made a post where he compared my case and Web's case on Tric and determined that I was a more likely hit than Web between the two.

On D2, Web yelled over and over that mechanically the scum had to be inside me, Roden, and Max.

Let me share a little bit of speculation I have as part of my larger post as a teaser, although let me state again that behavioral analysis is more valuable than mechanical guessing:

Web's target becomes poisoned the following day.
Jack's target is primed concurrently with their inspect.

Web targets Vector N1
Jack targets Vector N1

Vector becomes primed, will become poisoned on D3

Web targets Max N2
Jack targets NJW N2

Vector's poison kicks in, still primed
Max has their Ember Track copied, will become poisoned on D4
Jack primes NJW


This post has just as much value as any of Web's shitty posts that don't scumhunt.

I am not voting Roden. I roleblocked him last night and I believe the motivation and logic behind both of his night-actions. If Roden is mafia there's no partner that makes sense, so Web is correct that he would have to be solo scum, but that would also mean he bypassed my block and I strongly don't believe this is a solo mafia game.

Quote from: ToonyMan on November 14, 2021, 06:50:51 pm

Quote from: EuchreJack on November 14, 2021, 06:39:26 pm

Quote from: ToonyMan on November 14, 2021, 01:17:54 pm

@Jack:
You're miscounting primes. Vector was the N1 prime so at most two players will be primed on D4, with one being primed right now besides already dead Vector.

@Toonyman:
You're believing NJW2000.  While I respect his logic, I am unwilling to trust him.  What if NJW2000 is lying?
You're smarter than this, Toonyman.  I mean, you really are.  You have to look at all the options.

I have. I believe NJW over Web. If that means town loses then that just means NJW is the better player and I accept that.

Really?  That is it?  You're our confirmed townie, and you're just giving up?

Hardly. I'm writing a post for tonight why you and Web are the mafia team so I can gloat if I'm right after the game is over. If I'm wrong then I can learn where to improve, such as with my misunderstanding of Tric on D1.

Web is a Supersaint, or at least has been hinting about it for quite a while.  Scum team of Vector and whomever (maybe NJW2000) don't want to quickhammer Web, as it means one of them could die.

What.

Also, I'm pretty sure Jack primed NJW last night.

So let's go through some statistics.

Web/Max - 0% - Web wouldn't need to copy Max's ignite if they're both mafia.
Web/Vector - 0% - NJW would need to be mafia too.
Web/NJW - 0% - As I said at the start of D2, only one of these players is mafia. Call this an intuition after seeing Tric flip town and reading D1.
Web/Roden - 20% - It's possible, but I find unlikely right now.
Web/Jack - 80% - This is the one.

I'll be doing Web/Jack first in my looksie as they are the most likely pairing, followed by Web/Roden.


PPE:

waah I'm a baby

Vote me bitch.

On a more serious note, you're still posting like a jester. I don't sense an ounce of sincerity out of you, because you can't. For three days you've played the clown. Ignoring me on D1, sitting a vote on me D2 and doing nothing, crying like a baby on D3 because my logic fucking owns, yeah, you're scum.

@NJW:
Man you're right, I wasn't even thinking about that.

Why would Web target Max on N2? There's a huge reason why. On D2 Max admitted his track can cause primed people to die. Mafia don't start with this ignite so that's why Web can copy invest abilities. Neither of Web's targets on N1 or N2 make a lick of sense unless they're mafia.

Web should have targeted Jack on N1 since he was heavily hinting he was an invest role, Web did not. He targeted Vector the implied doctor.

Web should have targeted NJW on N2 since a vouyer that doesn't accidentally kill people is better than what Jack or Max claimed, Web did not. He targeted Max the one with the igniter.