Bay 12 Games Forum

Your argument is that BK is scum because... he voted you and thinks you're a convert?

No, it's that I think Lucky is scum and now Blue sees an opportunity to flip off scum...or he's just a claimed survivor doing what they do.

Quote from: ToonyMan on March 03, 2021, 05:51:05 pm

I would be less paranoid if Lucky was here!!

Quote from: Toaster on March 03, 2021, 05:47:36 pm

I think you're a convert too, Toony.  Are you going to vote me?

It doesn't matter, every scum member is going to push this narrative as well as hapless town. The way rumors work is you just say them over and over. I'm just glad it means scum will have to worry about me at night...

You have literally been saying Luckyowl and Vector over and over, so why did you vote NQT?

Because I'm dumb and listened to the voices in my head after getting back from work.

So Blue did get converted to scum.

The way I see it:

If Lucky is town then I'm in trouble and Webadict is either town or completely played me as scum. Blue is most likely just third-party.
If Lucky is mafia then I'm going to have unpleasant guests tonight, Webadict is probably scum...hmm..., and Blue is either third-party or also scum.

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Just gonna shit this out here

I plan on posting a D1 analysis when I'm at a computer.

I wanted to look at the Day 1 end vote count some more when I had the time, which is now hopefully.

It's Day 1 here so just looking for initial scum, everybody on Day 2 should be the same alignment besides one person at most.

Blue was confirmed town so we can make the tally look like this:

The Scribe's Tally Sheet
BluarianKnight: 5: Jim Groovester, juicebox, Luckyowl, Toaster, Vector
juicebox: 4: 4maskwolf, notquitethere, webadict, TricMagic
Luckyowl: 3: BluarianKnight, IcyTea31, ToonyMan
Toaster: 1: Persus13

*TricMagic was voting Juicebox, they unvoted to prevent ties apparently.

My reads on Day 1 would look like this:

The Scribe's Tally Sheet
BluarianKnight: 5: Jim Groovester, juicebox, Luckyowl, Toaster, Vector
juicebox: 4: 4maskwolf, notquitethere, webadict, TricMagic
Luckyowl: 3: BluarianKnight, IcyTea31, ToonyMan
Toaster: 1: Persus13

Which doesn't feel right at all. This would mean town had most of the scum team on the chopping block, only being bested by every scum player voting Blue.

It does make me more confident in the Lucky lynch though. It also makes me more townlean Juice...plus if Juice/Caz is town then that's more evidence that CFDs are complete trash garbage.

4maskwolf and Blue are going to support the Lucky lynch because they're claimed survivors.

Luckyowl is self-voting.

I'm me.

That leaves NQT and Tric as the weird people voting Lucky.

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I suppose I'll reiterate my case on Lucky one last time.
If Lucky was converted by a charismatic cultist, today is MYLO unless Blue revived as an SK.
The very existence of that possibility means we have to play like we're in MYLO to avoid an instant-loss.
The most reliable way to head off this scenario is to launch Lucky.
Thus, Lucky must die to avoid losing to the worst case scenario.
QED

It's a tough choice for me.

Can properly post now. There's an obligation I want to fulfill before EoD gets inevitably hectic.

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@NQT:

Quote from: ToonyMan on March 03, 2021, 01:11:28 pm

I'm okay with launching Vector if Lucky decides to play or is dead.

Whyyy though? What are people seeing in Vector that NQT is not seeing?

I've said a few reasons why.

I don't have a full case which is why I'd rather vote Lucky (or Caz).

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@The Scum Team (whoever you may be):

My galaxy brain take is that Vector converted Toony last night.

Toony has a sudden shift of scuminess. If I was the convertor, he would have been my pick N1.

ToonyMan I think is a convert.

This is sort of good for us because I would consider the role I have to be very useful for town. I don't know who's actually scum trying to throw shade on me, but it works in town's favor if you choose not to kill me because of this narrative you've crafted. If I play my cards right I could ruin's scum day.

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PPE:

The Scribe's Tally Sheet
Jim Groovester: 1: Persus13
Luckyowl: 6: 4maskwolf, BluarianKnight, Luckyowl, notquitethere, ToonyMan, TricMagic
notquitethere: 3: Jim Groovester, Vector, webadict
Toaster: 1: IcyTea31
ToonyMan: 1: Caz
Vector: 1: Toaster

Hmhmhm, interesting.

NQT lol

If Jim, Vector, and Webadict are all scum then it's already over.

@IcyTea:
I wouldn't say I have a case on Toaster at all. The best thing I have is reading into the Secret/Tric stuff on Day 1.

Also, you're my top Devil pick.

I plan on posting a D1 analysis when I'm at a computer.