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Messages - ToonyMan

Pages: 1 ... 270 271 [272] 273 274 ... 1978
4066
Mafia / Re: Supernatural 10 - Day 2 has a full house
« on: March 02, 2021, 11:45:44 pm »
Haven't seen anything particularly suspicious with Vector, the main thing is this bizarre TricMagic vote. I feel like their vote cases have all been policy lynches. Feel pretty confident they've been scum since D1. This means the D1 scumteam would at least include Vector. That's what I'm feeling.
So ... voting Jim Groovester (D2), Toaster (D1), Webadict (D1), ICT (D1) and NQT (D1 and D2, current vote), are all policy lynches? *nod nod*, *strokes invisible beard*
Yeah, OK. LOL. Says the man toonying tunneling LuckyOwl.
Your votes on Lucky and TricMagic were policy lynches.

As far as I can tell your vote on NQT is just waiting for them to post more delicious analysis.

You've lifted your vote off of Jim multiple times and so quickly that it hardly counts.

I'll give you the Toaster, Web, and IcyTea votes I guess since I'm tired and need to sleep, can't really check fully...

Your vote on Blue was a mislynch:
The Scribe's Tally Sheet
BluarianKnight: 5: Jim Groovester, juicebox, Luckyowl, Toaster, Vector
juicebox: 3: 4maskwolf, notquitethere, webadict
Luckyowl: 3: BluarianKnight, IcyTea31, ToonyMan
Toaster: 1: Persus13

I see a lot of vote hoping and indecision, Vector the Converter.

Regarding the Tric point, I thought that Tric was claiming a third role with an actual action now, as opposed to flavor-actioning. You know, from Werebear to Knight to WTF. And I lost my temper. Oops.
Fair enough, I believe this.

4067
Mafia / Re: Supernatural 10 - Day 2 has a full house
« on: March 02, 2021, 10:42:51 pm »
@ToonyMan: If Luckyowl is scum, then there definitely wasn't a conversion last Night unless you think Meph gave a two-man scumteam a conversion and a rez, which is a two person swing. That's on top of the two other third parties in the game. Is that what you're proposing? Because I think that's pretty unbalanced if it is.
Fair point...I am willing to vote not Lucky if they play the game. This would at least show to me they aren't staying quiet for scum's benefit. A town player shouldn't be afraid of posting.

(Also, while I am not getting enough sleep, I would prefer you just assume I am and don't cut me slack for it.)
If it's any reconciliation I suspect you over Jim as a convert.

4068
Mafia / Re: Supernatural 10 - Day 2 has a full house
« on: March 02, 2021, 10:14:22 pm »
Spoiler: Day 1 Reads (click to show/hide)

Spoiler: Night 1 Reads (click to show/hide)

Day 2 Reads

Not as much movement as between Day 1 and Night 1, but there's a couple things.

Webadict is who I feel is most likely converted if it's not Jim or Luckyowl. Their play in Day 2 has been very odd and aloof. At least they're making reads now. Leaving where they are for now...could genuinely just be not getting sleep.

Jim is in the same boat as Web. If it's not Lucky or Webadict I think the converter would nab Jim. Similarly to Web they haven't had anything to say. They're keeping their case on Persus (similar to me keeping my case on Lucky).

Lucky has been incredibly anti-town this entire game. The converter would get a possible twofer if they converted Lucky, but I'm more convinced they've been scum since D1. Most of my points are here. It's also been shown that Lucky is lying about information he supposedly received from Meph. Even if it's a misunderstanding he won't even try to clear it up, it's bad dude.

Juicebox/Caz is very scummy and can't provide any Dreamwalker info. I have a case on them. This is meta but I think replacing out silently is a scumtell too.

I've liked NQT so far this day...I sussed them but I think they're leaning town. Stays in weak town.

I've agreed with IcyTea this day and I think they're trying. Stays.

TricMagic...dumb town, I'm going to put them at the bottom of my weak town list though so slightly down.

I've been okay with Toaster so far, they seem town, going to move up to Neutral. Still suspect enough to lynch. I would probably convert them, but I don't think most players would.

Still have no read on Persus...I'm willing to believe they aren't scum, but I'm okay with their lynch, same boat as Toaster.

Haven't seen anything particularly suspicious with Vector, the main thing is this bizarre TricMagic vote. I feel like their vote cases have all been policy lynches. Feel pretty confident they've been scum since D1. This means the D1 scumteam would at least include Vector. That's what I'm feeling.

Still confident 4maskwolf is a Wererat like they claim. They're the first player to vote me in this game which I generally find to be a towntell...or in this case a notscumtell.

BluarianKnight is either a Lone Vampire like they claim or lying third-party/scum. I'm willing to believe they're a Lone Vampire for now. Having two survivors is pretty groan-inducing since they'll betray us if we play bad.

My Devil pick would be either IcyTea, NQT, Persus, or less likely Toaster.

Strong Town
Webadict (0, strong suspect as possible N1 convert)
Jim Groovester (0, strong suspect as possible N1 convert)

Weak Town
IcyTea (0)
NQT (0)
TricMagic (-0.5)

Neutral
Persus13 (0)
Toaster (+0.5)

Scum
Vector (0, don't have a solid case but suspicious nonetheless)
Juicebox/Caz (0, built case)
Luckyowl (-2, built case)

Third-Party
4maskwolf (0)
BluarianKnight (0)

4069
Mafia / Re: Supernatural 10 - Day 2 has a full house
« on: March 02, 2021, 05:34:44 pm »
I think that's pretty clever if it worked. Doesn't seem like Caz has anything to add though...

Caz, no flavor to give at all? Really?

4070
Mafia / Re: Supernatural 10 - Day 2 has a full house
« on: March 02, 2021, 05:10:47 pm »
Gonna read this thread more closely before I make some real posting. One thing I will say though is that I don't have any dream to report, it was just random and unremarkable dreams last night.
...Great.

I will add that I'm rereading Supernatural 6 because of Toony's question and there's a lot of similarities to that game and this one. The town Dreamwalker got lynched D1, no one died N1, and the dreamwalker got resurrected.
Hah, wow if I squint it looks like the same Day 2 start.

My thinking is that a Vampire Lord is such a red alert all hands on deck situation that D2 needs to steer in the direction that such a thing happens.  If there's a scum-looking kill tonight, feel free to point and laugh at me, then we can all lynch Lucky.  Until that happens, though, I'm assuming the worst.
I quit if there's a Vampire Lord. *cuts wrists*

So... can't we check LO's alignment by lynching BluarianKnight again? :D
We can't check Lucky's alignment that way. It goes both way between them.

If Lucky flips town then Blue is most likely third-party, possibly mafia.
If Lucky flips mafia then Blue could be either third-party or mafia.

Blue has claimed Lone Vampire so they can't be town in any situation.

I don't believe there's ever been a case of a full alignment switch, but Meph has confirmed it's possible (probably the least likely outcome).

4071
Mafia / Re: Supernatural 10 - Day 2 has a full house
« on: March 02, 2021, 04:40:33 pm »
Individually it's WIFOMy, yes. I'd say getting a sense of the thread's consensus on who optimal conversion targets are might be useful if we're facing a dark magus team, though less useful against charismatic cult (and pointless if it was just that a kill got blocked).
@MOD:
Will a player be notified if somebody tried to kill them?
For example, if somebody tried to kill a Knight and failed or somebody that was being protected was targeted for a kill and it failed.

Is a player notified if they are redirected?

4072
Mafia / Re: Supernatural 10 - Day 2 has a full house
« on: March 02, 2021, 04:35:07 pm »
ToonyMan: Fine, you want to think I'm scum because I'm a compulsive liar. Sure. go ahead. luckyowl let's see if I'm lying.
Spoiler (click to show/hide)

I want answers to my questions Lucky, not for you to zip your lips and self-vote.

What's up with your question to Meph?
Why is NQT a better target than you?

4073
Mafia / Re: Supernatural 10 - Day 2 has a full house
« on: March 02, 2021, 02:12:11 pm »
@NQT:
How does activity for players compare to this time on Day 1?

@Conversions:
I probably would have converted me to. :(

I guess it's worth humoring, if I was a converter I would have hit Toaster > Jim > Web I think. It might be worth asking everybody to say their top conversion pick if they were a converter.

@4mask:
I still trust your survivor claim. While it's possible for third-party to be converted I see someone who is actively searching for scum in a day where most players aren't.

4074
Mafia / Re: Supernatural 10 - Day 2 has a full house
« on: March 02, 2021, 11:51:10 am »
People have lives outside of mafia. You yourself are using that to explain why you've barely posted, same as Jim, but you're attacking someone else for doing the same.
I wouldn't have blinked if juicebox provided no response to the CFD, but they were present enough to jump and draft a claim minutes after its start.
Yes. Juice is my second pick because of this.

Also you know...quietly replacing out without telling town his results.

Right, trying harder. I did bring a read list for day 1.
shakes head

Right now I have a few theories. ToonyMan hasn't really been giving townenergy today, so them being converted makes sense. On the other side is LO not actually reading as town to me now, particularly that one post I quoted. And being caught in a lie is kinda bad. NQT still reads negatively to me. So that really leaves Juicebox and Persus as the other two suspects.

So, the setup is one Converter, two Mafia, 1 Devil, 1 Survivor, 9 Town. Would that be a potential setup for this game? Or rather.. Wouldn't 4mask end up being the devil? That brings it to 10 town, 1 cult leader, a Devil, and 2 mafia. The kill failing could be them getting redirected. Granted, if Luckyowl is town that could mean the devil targeted me while Mafia targeted Lucky, so the two targets got reversed. Which is why there would be no kill last night.

Of course, we could also have 2 Mafia with one of them having a Convert, so we have a 3 person team now Either way it's a theory that I think holds some merit.
You would know if somebody tried to kill you, Tric.

4075
Mafia / Re: Supernatural 10 - Day 2 has a full house
« on: March 02, 2021, 11:12:57 am »
@4mask:
I see your first point and agree with it. If Lucky is scum he would definitely take the deal. I'm not sure what optimal play is which is why I used your name.

As for your second point, I don't see what's different. I've hated Lucky most of this game. If I see something I don't like I say something, doesn't matter who.
That doesn't really explain why one moment you were pressing him because "you made what I consider the best play and I don't believe you're a good enough player to do that" and the next minute you're pressing him because "why didn't you make what a highly mechanical player considers to be an optimal play". Those things are straight up contradictory, Lucky can't both be too incompetent to make a theoretically optimal play and so competent that he should have considered making a different theoretically optimal play before it was even brought up. It seems like you're just grasping at anything to attack Luckyowl regardless of whether your case has any internal consistency.
Okay, I get it. My current guess is that Luckyowl is overly competent in decision making. I'll retract my question here.

I still hold onto everything else I've stated.



@MOD:
Which third-party can be converted?
You don't know. (This is a hidden set-up for Scum and 3rd parties, after all)
So we can't keep third-party converts off the table.

@MOD:
A conversion wouldn't stop a priest from performing their resurrection the same night, correct?
Correct. A kill could stop it, but not a conversion.
Lucky is a confirmed liar.

I ask Meph if my ability will trigger if I'm night killed and he gave more than what I asked and said that my night action is low on the pirority list so If I'm interuppted my night action won't go through. So if I were converted then Blu wouldn't be here.
Did you really ask this Lucky? Why isn't it actually true?



2. Someone else on his team could be the priest, meaning Lucky is still a possible converter (being completely puppeteered by his partners but still).
Why is the exact role-per-player composition of the scumteam important, especially when we don't know what else they might have?
I don't think my 2 point is very strong, but yes you're right. We don't know what scum can do, but a res did happen at least and nobody else is counter claiming.

Quote
5. Claims a Devil visited them on Night 1 and they declined the offer. Lucky doesn't even fully read threads he's in as town, there's no way he would read other games. This smart-tell from Lucky makes me believe his scummates are assisting heavily.
Why wouldn't Lucky, a complete newb, accept a Devil deal?
"I just used up my priest revive, having another ability would surely help town."
The whole thing is fishy.
Why wouldn't the scumteam accept the same deal?
I think they would, my guess is that Lucky is lying about declining.



ToonyMan, there's merit in your case on Luckyowl, but he's almost certainly not the converter, so why are you focusing on him?
There's a lot we don't know and are assuming. I'm just going to scumhunt. I think it's likely there's a converter but only one-shot. I will vote someone else if I find them scummier.



PPE:
-sigh-
I agree with this.

... This isn't really better than secretdorf's list. Try harder.
The pot calls the kettle.

4076
Mafia / Re: Supernatural 10 - Day 2 has a full house
« on: March 02, 2021, 10:37:02 am »
I asked Tric that because I still find it incredibly stupid. I wanted more of an explanation to read them. Same for Lucky and Blue.

4077
Mafia / Re: Supernatural 10 - Day 2 has a full house
« on: March 02, 2021, 10:34:01 am »
@Tric:
You were not up to be lynched at all. You claimed for no reason. Any flak you got was your own fault from claiming roles in the first place.

@4mask:
I see your first point and agree with it. If Lucky is scum he would definitely take the deal. I'm not sure what optimal play is which is why I used your name.

As for your second point, I don't see what's different. I've hated Lucky most of this game. If I see something I don't like I say something, doesn't matter who.

4078
Mafia / Re: Supernatural 10 - Day 2 has a full house
« on: March 02, 2021, 10:20:39 am »
@Lucky:
If I'm misguided town then why is NQT a better target?

As for the Devil deal, fair enough. I don't think you're lying about being visited.

4079
Mafia / Re: Supernatural 10 - Day 2 has a full house
« on: March 02, 2021, 10:07:36 am »
@4maskwolf:
That's true. I also retract my statement that the Devil should claim, it's better for town if they stay quiet about who they are.

I think only having one townie accepting a deal is good, but I don't see how we can make sure of that. Plus scum would have to risk taking significant loses if every remaining town player refuses deals after the first player accepts.

@Luckyowl:
According to 4mask optimal play would have been to accept the first Devil deal as a townie, why selfishly hold onto your life when we could get rid of two scum after via Devil?

4080
Mafia / Re: Supernatural 10 - Day 2 has a full house
« on: March 02, 2021, 09:24:42 am »
Well, that pretty much cross me off as a possible suspect. Since I brought Blu back from the dead. Sadly, it seems not as townie. From my understanding from meph explanation on how my one shot ability works. Is that I don't know if I'm pure or not. Which has nothing to do with my alignment. Also another tidbit. I ask Meph if my ability will trigger if I'm night killed and he gave more than what I asked and said that my night action is low on the pirority list so If I'm interuppted my night action won't go through. So if I were converted then Blu wouldn't be here.
I think someone else said up-thread that conversion is even lower in priority and so happens after resurrection. You're quite right that no one thinks you're the converter. People are just wondering if:
No, conversions and kills happen right before disturbing the dead. Look at the action order in the OP.

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