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General Discussion / Re: 2012
« on: October 12, 2009, 08:04:35 am »However, the biggest reason for this scare was the fact that the black hole, at the predicted rate of expansion, would take 4 years to completely devour the earth, and the experiment was undertaken in 2008... Coincidence?No. They quite obviously said "Hmm, I'm convinced the world's going to end in 2012, I'm also convinced that the LHC is going to end the world with a singularity, which gets switched on in 2008. Thus I must necessarily calculate a 4 year timespan in-between the black hole creation and its final consumption of the Earth."
And I suspect that this is the total limit to the mathematics applied in order to derive any "predicted rate of expansion". i.e. 2012-2008=4.
(IMO, a picoscale-singularity that forms and does not evaporate will exponentially grow in size, as it consumes the planet, so to last an entire four years inbetween creation and devouring the Earth it must basically sit there doing (virtually) nothing for 1460.95 days, or thereabouts, with imperceptible increase in size (perhaps barely fighting the avaporation by Hawking Radiation) until the rate of mass increase becomes immediately and radically noticable in the last few minutes or so of the Earth's existence, as the growth rate finally accelerates out of control as more and more mass finds itself accreted. You can probably do some maths to come up with any growth curve you like, as long as you don't mind having to make wild assumptions due to surprisingly little practical study of black holes at the short-range/small-scale relevent to this situation... Not that some won't suggest that someone hasn't already 'tamed' a black hole, that it's sitting in a jar (metaphorical or otherwise, this isn't my conspiracy theory...) on a shelf in some lab, but that in four years' time some over-eaget assistant will knock the jar over while dusting, thus initiating The End Of The World.)

