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« on: April 21, 2023, 05:52:30 am »
The articles you've read might not have been wrong, per se. Just alarmist.
In that the farmers are indeed pissed off by the current grain situation and the opposition parties are trying to cash in - including the vaguely Putin-friendly one. Vaguely, because in the current climate any overt mention of dealing with Russia is a political suicide. And it might even gain more support riding on that internal crisis de jour. We're talking numbers around 10% support here as of today, up from ~7% in the previous elections. In our political system the 7% means they currently have something like 10 seats in the parliament, and may get to about 30 with 10%. Out of 460. This is marginal, and will remain so even if the popularity gains prove to be more than a blip.
And, again, the political climate is such, that there is absolutely no way the support for Ukraine goes away. Any party that'd try to pressure their coalition members in that direction would be regarded as utterly toxic.
Of all the EU states with similar pro-Russian parties (and which country doesn't have one), the Polish incarnation has probably been rendered the most toothless by the invasion.
