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Messages - wierd

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181
General Discussion / Re: Solutions to the Fermi Paradox
« on: August 29, 2022, 06:55:58 am »
Note that the Fermi paradox is not "why are we not seeing Aliens?".
The Fermi paradox is: "If aliens have had hundreds of millions of years to spread, why aren't they here yet?"

The answer basically has to be a variant of one of these:

  • they're here, but they stay quiet / only allow themselves to be photographed in blurred images
  • interstellar travel is too hard / impossible
  • all civilizations like ours kill themselves with nukes once they reach that level of technology
  • Life is extremely rare / unique within the galaxy
  • Intelligent life is extremely rare / unique within the galaxy

And we simply do not know which of these it is. There are convincing arguments (but no hard evidence) for each of these answers.

No, it's literally "Where is everyone?"

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fermi_paradox

Consider: 

We cannot effectively tell if a planet is even a planet outside our solar system unless it transits its star.
Even then, being able to directly measure its atmosphere is only possible based on a number of assumptions about its parent star, and its light absorption profile.
Our most HotShit telescope was able to do this for a nearby transiting planet, but that's the limit of what it was able to accomplish-- we cannot tell if the planet has abnormal heat signatures. We cannot tell if the planet's atmosphere is artificially polluted or not-- etc.  In short, we cannot determine if the planet has a civilization on it or not.


If we assume space travel is expensive (which is likely), and that interstellar comms are expensive (energy being blasted out into space is not free yo), combined with the above musings about gravity based comms being more efficient/desirable, along with EM comms being unable to overcome inherent difficulties with traversing the interstellar medium with sufficient fidelity-- It totally DOES become "We cannot detect them!"

In order for aliens to come visit us, we have to be interesting in some way-- Space travel being expensive--  If they cannot see us (because of our shitty EM based comms), then they have no reason to visit. If our planet is not in an orbital plane that is directly in the same plane of ecliptic as theirs, our planet won't appear to transit our star: They might not even see there is a planet at all here.

The notion that aliens should have already been here is hubris; It requires a level of energy and information gathering capability that prevailing physics says is not achievable.

Some pundits preen and crow that a species capable of interstellar colonization should have been able to spread through the stars by now.  I will give a dashing blow to that idea:
We have been able to go to the moon for greater than 60 years, but have elected to not do so, because of the high cost of doing so, the low perceived rewards of doing so, the greater opportunities presented by spending those resources on more terrestrial projects, and a general desire by politicians to stay popular, and in power.  If such things are also true of other species, the theoretical capacity to colonize the galaxy has no bearing on the actual impetus to do so.  Much like our theoretical ability to colonize our solar system has had no actual bearing on the impetus for our species to do so.

Again, the notion of "we cant see them! THEY MUST NOT EXIST!!" relies on the assumption that the methods we use to detect them, and the methods we use to communicate, are conserved with them.  As I pointed out, this need not be the case, and that advanced aliens are quite likely to have abandoned EM based communications and scanning, due to the issues I cited--- We are not emitting what they are looking for, and we are not looking for what they are emitting.  We dont see each other, and neither of us has the resources to just pick a direction and "Just see what we find there."


182
General Discussion / Re: Solutions to the Fermi Paradox
« on: August 29, 2022, 03:52:31 am »
I prefer my view:

We are looking for the wrong things.  (more accurately, what we are able to look at gets attenuated too much to be useful, unless the aliens are literally burning up whole goddamn suns to try and talk to us.)


Any civilization that is as advanced as we are would have their radio frequency emissions attenuated after just a short (in terms of interstellar distance) radius around their planetary system, simply because of the inverse cube law.   It would become just a bath of random chaotic signals intermixed with the much louder signals produced by quasars, feeding black holes, magnetar pairs, neutron star binaries, et al.

Unless they were absurdly close to us, such as in the Alpha Centauri system, we would never be able to communicate with them using the technology we currently possess.  James Webb is a fabulous telescope, and has very good IR sensing capabilities, but is not sufficiently large of an aperture to be able to directly scan distant star systems in the manner required to detect thermal signatures from alien species' industrial operations.   We would need to create an entire constellation of Webb Telescopes at the Lagrangian point, and use them as a large array telescope to have any chance of it.

So, what about hyper advanced aliens?

Our very limited gravitational telescope tech has shown there to be a very small, but important incongruity between the speed of Gwaves and radio waves through space.  This is because space is not empty: There is a very fine soup of energetic particles all suffusing it, which slow down EM radiation, but not gravitational waves.  As such, Gwaves arrive first, and unless they interact with a very large gravitating body, they do not get attenuated by that 'stuff' in the way.  This means that a gravitational telescope array would permit FAAAAAAR more clear and accurate scans of distant systems, especially when combined with the fact that Gwaves lose energy in the inverse square relationship, not inverse cube, like with EM.

Assuming a civilization could produce high intensity, highly directional gravitational waves, they would be a FAR superior carrier for interstellar communication than EM radiation. Such as for instance, a GASER Such communication would require precision calculation of time dilation effects between source and destination, and would have to be aimed into regions of space into which the target "Will pass at the time the wave arrives", rather than simply pointing at the target. It would have far higher fidelity than EM communication, due to the lack of attenuation by intervening matter, and the order of magnitude less energy loss over distance due to the inverse square holding sway.  It would however, still be effectively "Light speed" communication.

It is important to stress that until the last decade or so, Gravitational Waves were considered "Theoretical", and we had no means of accurately detecting them.  Our best instrument, LIGO, is both massive, and low resolution. (It is essentially "A single pixel" sized sensing device.) Should an alien civilization be encoding data in G waves, we would likely not be able to tease it out unless they were sending it as morse code.  This is not very efficient as a transport; Polarization based communication stratagems normally used on laser optical communication would apply to gravity wave based communication as well (since gravitational waves exhibit polarization), and would permit many orders of magnitude greater density to be transmitted and received, assuming suitable sensors and broadcast equipment.

It is quite possible that the reason we don't see any aliens, is thus:

1) The thing we are able to search for gets turned into a smear of EM radiation that we can't discern from the background.
2) The thing we might be able to search for eventually, and that appears to be a better candidate for interstellar comms, we currently lack the resolution to receive with enough fidelity to tease out intelligent messages.
3) Due to the need for the communication to be directional, we would need to be "Very lucky" to be in exactly the right place and the right time, to intercept a transmission not meant for us, should we have the technology to collect and analyze gwave data at sufficient fidelity.

Assuming that all advanced intelligence must be hobbled by EM communication, like we are, is hubris.
Assuming that just because we cannot detect them, they must not exist, is likewise-- pure hubris.



183
How dare you sir! They prefer neutral pronouns!

184
This part

185
Strawberry Fields

186
Call the zombies. They got this.

187
Forum Games and Roleplaying / Re: Losing Is Fun - Part II
« on: August 26, 2022, 01:59:04 am »
What? Why? What happened to Edi :(

He got hurt pretty bad some time ago. Surprised he is still alive, honestly.

188
What happens in Vegas stays in Vegas!!

189
Sodium silicate 'liquid glass' is mostly harmless!

190
Revolutionary device made from babies, for babies, that protects against babies!

The modest proposal for the 21st century!

191
Fuck around and find out!

192
Not really.

This CAN be run on a mesh network of ordinary computers.

It may be difficult to scrounge that much hardware together with energy prices and with the chip shortage, but building a local compute farm is totally doable for an enthusiast.

It could in theory be compiled for use with something like DIET.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/DIET

OpenHPC
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/OpenHPC

Etc.

The hardware is not as important as you think, due to the fundemental interoperability provided by turing completeness. You just need enough parallel 'oomph', and you can get that with brute compute, using such software.

This isn't a war to see who can get it done fastest, like bitcoin. It might take several minutes to run the compute, to several hours to run the compute, depending on what trash you have strung together, but it not being in reach of 'small people' is simply untrue.




193
quickly forgotten PSP titles, episode 1

194
Forum Games and Roleplaying / Re: Losing Is Fun - Part II
« on: August 07, 2022, 01:44:26 am »
While an undead mummy is indeed an interesting roomer, i advise against suggesting they live (ahem) with us.

Ask if the treasure is shiny.

195
Assigned cop at birth

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