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Messages - smjjames

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286
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: August 04, 2019, 01:15:14 am »
Isn't any religion vulnerable to logical fallacy? I really doubt Christianity (or Abrahamic religions in general) have any sort of monopoly on being vulnerable to logical fallacy, it's just the religion you and I are the most familiar with.

287
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: August 04, 2019, 12:30:19 am »
it is not required to be a bible-beater to be a shameless capitalist.

I know, and that's not what I was saying.

You can find this divide in the GOP. The former simply accept the latter as their own. The thing they have in common is shameless capitalism, not the bible beating.

You can point out shameless rent seeking is admonished HARD by the bible all you want, or how it says that rich people have a harder time getting into heaven than camels have fitting through the eyes of needles, or even point out that in revelation, the thing that the survivors praise as the 7th seal is opened is the destruction of those that were destroying the earth.  It does not matter.

I was just going off on a tangent over socialism=environmentalism (or rather =/= ) anyways. As much as they'd like to believe, environmentalism isn't the sole domain of any specific political ideology.

288
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: August 03, 2019, 11:15:57 pm »
I didn't see anything about it back then, but a brazilian newspaper got hold of an internal telegram of the national diplomatic corps (the Itamaraty) about a climate change intergovernmental meeting that happened on the last 25th in Washington.

Here be the link, run through google translate, with the transcript

tl;dr: "They are endangering our way of life. The debate is not about climate change or carbon dioxide. It's not about climate or science. It's about socialism versus capitalism."
I didn't see anything about it back then, but a brazilian newspaper got hold of an internal telegram of the national diplomatic corps (the Itamaraty) about a climate change intergovernmental meeting that happened on the last 25th in Washington.

Here be the link, run through google translate, with the transcript

tl;dr: "They are endangering our way of life. The debate is not about climate change or carbon dioxide. It's not about climate or science. It's about socialism versus capitalism."

*sigh* Sometimes I wish socialism didn't even exist as a word so that people would actually say wtf they actually mean because to me, 'socialism' has no meaning anymore in politics.

I also fail to see how protecting the environment=socialism. If they don't like the 'socialism' framing, how about a Bible framing, I believe it says in there that we're supposed to be the custodians of the planet* (not in those specific words, but that's the gist of it), in multiple places even. I'm somewhat surprised that the Church doesn't embrace environmentalism harder. I know there are definetly churches with a focus on environmentalism, but if the Catholic church put their weight into it, they'd probably be a force.

*Of course, the Bible being the Bible, theres probably passages that people would interpret as God mandating consuming the Earth like locusts, to be overly dramatic.

/end minirant

289
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: August 01, 2019, 12:45:33 am »
Honestly, I just don't know anymore. Personally, I support Warren for the trust-busting stuff in tech, but I cannot actually envision what that presidency would look like after 4 years. I can't envision what it would look like after any one of these candidates, or even Trump, win and hold power for 4 years.

You get rhetoric from Republicans that paint Democrats as attempting to destroy democracy itself, and that their dismantling of checks and balances are necessary to safeguard the foundation of the Republic from that threat. Then you get rhetoric from Democrats saying that they need to actually respond to the threat of Republicans for once as they attempt to destroy this country's foundations by sacrificing certain checks and balances to keep Republicans from enacting their agenda. I mean, hell, how many candidates have a position on goddamn court-packing?

The worst part is that I can't even say that they're wrong in taking up that rhetoric. The whole situation is a hellish loop- both sides, accusing the other of destroying democracy and saying what parts of the system they must dispose of so that they can keep the other from accomplishing their goals of... disposing parts of the system to keep the other from doing the same. Democrats packing the Supreme Court in retaliation against Republicans packing the entire judicial system to prevent Democrats from pushing through laws that would remove Republican gerrymandering, et cetera.

It's a spiral, and I can't see the bottom. I don't even think the election matters anymore- clearly there are more than enough scapegoats in the House and Senate to vilify entire halves of the country, and checks and balances are holding up well enough that the whole country remains in deadlock rather than collapsing in either direction. However, I don't think who specifically holds the Presidency will matter; the only thing that does is whether there's enough political support for them in the House and Senate to start eroding those checks and balances in their favor, to defend themselves from the opposition doing the same the moment they can.

The whole thing is the collapse of the iterated prisoner's dilemma. At this point, the only winning option is to betray, betray, betray, because that's what the other side expects and will betray you back before you have the option to not do so. No candidate can run on cooperation because no one on the other side actually believes them, and will sink any attempts at cooperation before they can even begin just to be certain that they can keep things in deadlock long enough that they can wipe out the opposition for good. As far as things are concerned in the Capital, deadlock is better than passing anything that favors the other side, even a little. This isn't Trump's fault; this isn't Obama's fault. We've been trending in this direction for a long time, but only now is it apparent that this is no aberration. The US political system is in a full-on death spiral, and I don't see any way out beyond just hitting the bottom.

I can't see the bottom from here.

More importantly though, will we recognize that we’ve hit rock bottom when we hit it? Or rather, do we know what rock bottom looks like? I know there have been many comparisons to the collapse of the (Western anyway, the Eastern trundled on for another thousand years) Roman Empire, but it’s far from a perfect parallel. We aren’t going to be invaded by barbarian hordes (and no! bad Republicans! immigrants are not the Roman barbarians!) for one.

290
Man, that Brexit stuff is so amazing to watch. It's like a trainwreck in slow motion. Beautiful.

I mean it, it's not always that you can take the time to appreciate it not just the cause and result like that, but also indulge in the feeling of inevitable horror during the development of catastrophe. Breathtaking, really.

Yea, I read an article saying that they wouldn't budge on no-deal until the EU dropped the NI border backstop and reopened for negotiation, which they aren't going to do. Then a diplomat mentioned there said that EU leaders (or at least their diplomats) need to get into contact with Johnson and his team to clarify what they really want vs what's for domestic consumption.

However, what they really want is Brexit and as per Theresa May, Brexit is Brexit, whatever Brexit means. It's like saying x=x without defining x.

It’ll all be ending soon.

Well, after the politicians come back from their Summer holiday, ‘cause that’s seriously wtf Summer holidays now you morons maybe it would be a good time to suspend parliamentary recesses you idiots.

You're talking about hardcore Brexiteers here who would rather go for no-deal Brexit than use the plan that currently exists. Besides, they can't actually start voting on the stuff until Johnson feels he is ready to submit it to Parliament and have them vote on it.

291
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: July 29, 2019, 06:15:06 pm »
Trolldefender is referring to the two suspects in the triple 'murder mystery'.

292
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: July 29, 2019, 05:54:41 pm »
Um, I thought the two kids were Canadian. Either way, the thing is that Americans (and I suspect, every other country in the world) largely don't vote (in the places that do vote) based on foriegn policy (unless it's in some way connected to domestic policy), they by and large vote based on domestic matters.

The Democratic candidates have said stuff about China, but I haven't really seen anything pro-China. It's just that the focus has been on domestic policy, mostly healthcare and immigration, though the shooting in California yesterday is going to thrust gun policy back into the spotlight for sure.

293
General Discussion / Re: Order of the Stick
« on: July 29, 2019, 01:16:35 pm »
True, but it's trajectory looks like it would miss the roof entirely when it comes down, that is, if it didn't have the ability to return to the owners hand.

294
General Discussion / Re: Order of the Stick
« on: July 29, 2019, 10:49:08 am »
Yeah, I'm reading that people are saying that they predict a roof collapse, possibly via returning hammer.

295
General Discussion / Re: Order of the Stick
« on: July 29, 2019, 10:33:42 am »
Rules lawyering, right? Also, lol on the ex-exarch realizing he can just move.

One can only hope that they have plan C, whiiiicchhhh, just might be C as in Clan. I've seen predictions on the GITP forum that it'd be a chance for Clan Thundershield to assert itself, thus making a tie and deadlocking it. Hopefully Durkons mom knows some things about council procedure.

296
General Discussion / Re: Things that made you go "WTF?" today o_O
« on: July 28, 2019, 10:25:22 am »
Lol you guys XD

297
I was referencing the fears that some had which Johnson might do and I was trying to make a distinction between a more active forcing and a more passive (or maybe passive-aggressive) forcing. Running out the clock is probably the most he can do as far as forcing anyway.

As I said though, it’s only as inevitable as the government allows it to be. Definitely won’t stop Labor and others from trying their hardest to stop a no-deal Brexit from happening.

298
Sounds like they're treating no-deal Brexit as inevitable despite Johnsons promises to make a deal and fears about him 'forcing'* through no-deal Brexit.

Still a good idea to prepare just in case though since it's only inevitable to the extent that the government allows it to be inevitable.

*I say 'forcing' because there’s the whole prorogung Parliament in order to force no-deal and then there’s letting the clock run out.

299
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: July 25, 2019, 04:26:06 pm »
The two headed eagle ould also be HRE, but in context it's definetly a reference to Russia.

You'd think they would have a standard image ready to go, but apparently it was a last minute thing, like almost literally last minute, I think I read they had like five minutes to get it up. Either way, absolute fail on their A/V department.

It's also funny that Trump didn't even notice, though I suppose he'd have to turn around first.

300
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: July 25, 2019, 12:06:32 pm »
IMO the best way the wage should work is have it be above the living wage for an area since it'll vary from area to area and state to state.

So the real answer is - nobody really knows how much minimum wage increases will cause prices to increase, we know it's not zero but it may not quite be 100%.


I wonder if that's in part due to the wage not keeping pace for so long that they've forgotten what the economy looks like during a wage increase.

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