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Messages - Lord Shonus

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256
But it's just like that 1918 strain, many still call it "the Spanish flu" even though it didn't really hav any thing to do with Spain. But it's easier for human brains to remember things like that than alphanumeric strings like HPAI A(H5N1) or A/H1N1/1918.

Well, it did have something to do with Spain, as that's where the outbreak was first reported. Primarily because Spain was one of the very few countries in Europe where "stabbing some other guy in a trench" was not the latest fad, and thus they were not subject to wartime censorship. Most of Europe was also getting hit (that's probably how it made it to the US - military traffic back and forth), but major disease outbreaks are the kind of thing you really don't want your enemies to know about.

257
General Discussion / Re: Order of the Stick
« on: April 27, 2023, 05:33:28 pm »
Your wording made me expect a shift to Oona, and now I'm disappointed.

258
It is very important to remember that intelligence agencies work by grabbing up every fragment of information they can find, sifting through it, and trying to figure out what is and isn't real. When Ibternet detectives decide to grab every nit of information they can, sift through it, and construct a narrative determining what is 9r is not real, you are doing a lot of the intelligence agencies' work for them.

Which is likely why a number of war trackers on Google and other services have very abruptly been deleted.

259
Nobody's going to know much more than you do, because the Ukrainian military is being extremely heavy-handed with operational security. The only information getting out to civilian hands is tiny snippets of report, and it is likely that a fair number of said snippets are deliberate disinformation, because Russia reads the same newspapers as everybody else.

260
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: April 26, 2023, 07:25:23 pm »
Disney isn't merely the biggest employer in his state. They're the biggest employer in his state, a financial juggernaut with economic power that rivals some nations, a beloved cultural icon for the last century, and have long maintained a level of legal firepower that can crush just about anybody into a thin paste. Even if Culture War was the winning strategy he thinks it is (which it is not - all evidence points to it being basically suicide politically), only a complete lunatic tangles with the Mouse.


EDIT because I just saw this:

The Biden administration has filed a Federal lawsuit against the State of Tennessee, claiming that the recently past ban on gender-affirming care violates the Constitution.

261
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: April 26, 2023, 03:18:25 am »
https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/jy1441


A US Treasury department determined that British American Tobacco made $250 million in carefully laundered profit from doing business with North Korea between 2007 and 2017 in violation of sanctions. A fine of over $500 million has been levied in response.

262
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: April 25, 2023, 04:06:25 am »
Regardless of what the ruling is, exploring and defining how the 1st Amendment applies to the very new technology of social media is valid. It is particularly valid to try doing so with a fairly basic case, on the principle that tough cases make bad law.

263
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: April 24, 2023, 06:28:00 pm »
China is so important to the global economy that heavy sanctions would be extremely painful for everybody that isn't China. It would take years to fully replace China's products from other sources (note, Biden and others are pushing hard to start doing that now, for this reason, which is one of the reasons there's so much investment into vital manufacturing sectors under the various economic policies), and probably cause a major recession if not an outright depression. So everybody that isn't China would like to avoid that if they can.

The global economy is so important to China that heavy sanctions would mean no more China. Despite their size, they aren't economically set up in a way that they can cruise fully internally for a while to tough things out, and the shock of suddenly losing all their major export customers would make Black Thursday look like a minor hiccup. China really wants to avoid that fate.  Note that this is also a disincentive for the rest of the world to avoid heavy sanctions, because a nation in those straits is all too likely to decide that a Short Victorious War is their only possible way out.

What this means is that sanctioning China would be akin to a duel of flamethrowers at ten paces, except one guy's got moderate protective gear and the other doesn't. It isn't a situation that the rest of the world is going to enter into unless they have literally no choice, such as China launching a Short Victorious War without the sanctions.

264
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: April 24, 2023, 03:20:02 pm »
Tucker Carlson was increasingly too far right for Fox News (if you watch their main coverage and even their other pundits, there's a marked difference), and there's been a lot of rumors that most of the company wanted him gone long before this. He was also one of their highest rated personalities (largely because he actually had charisma and the ability to sound convincing), and the company's powers-that-be were afraid of taking a huge viewership hit without him. So he not only lingered, but grew more and more extreme as he realized he was untouchable.

Now, he's got them into a major lawsuit (which they lost, even if a settlement helped to stem the bleeding), they're staring down the barrel of multiple more, and they've got a colossal PR disaster going with it. That's enough "cons" to flip his "pros" right off the board.

There's no chance in hell that he'll wind up on CNN or MSNBC. The dying OANN and Newsmax networks, maybe, but they're in such poor shape right now that even that's chancy because he's a huge liability.

265
Russia is very good at exploiting Useful Idiots and sneaking their narratives into popular discourse. They're not nearly as good at direct propaganda, at least in places where people have the ability to call them on their bullshit.

266
Other Games / Re: Aurora - The Dwarf Fortress of 4X Games
« on: April 22, 2023, 04:21:55 am »
You can set it to autohide, but with Win 11 Microsoft finally decided to stop letting people move the taskbar to places it doesn't belong, such as the the top or (horrors) the side of the screen. It is fixed firmly at the bottom now.

267
Other Games / Re: Aurora - The Dwarf Fortress of 4X Games
« on: April 21, 2023, 08:25:57 pm »
I can only reproduce that issue by dropping resolution down to 1600x900, and that's not Windows's fault - the game itself (still) doesn't quite work properly at that resolution.

Unless you've got some strange scaling issue, it isn't a Windows problem.

268
Other Games / Re: Aurora - The Dwarf Fortress of 4X Games
« on: April 20, 2023, 07:20:02 pm »
It is a windows native program. Barring any oddities, it is download, patch (unless he's merged the latest patch into the distro) and run.

269
Russia and China are very much at the forefront of organized social media misinformation campaigns. That doesn't necessarily mean they're the most dangerous vectors. Arguably, a much bigger problem is that a lot of misinformation is spread not by deliberate "push this narrative" decisions by anybody in power, but by the way social media algorithms operate to boost "engagement". Fringe crap and conspiracy theories tend to get a lot of views and a lot of reactions (largely negative... at first), which has made Facebook and Twitter and the like decide people want to see more content like that, which drives more engagement which gets more content pushed in an escalating spiral. And, over time, the garbage starts to look less and less crazy through sheer exposure - the first time you hear about Evil Pedo Tunnels it gets dismissed entirely because it is so obviously bullshit. But you keep seeing it, until you start reacting less with "what are these people smoking" and more "ah, this nonsense again". Then it gradually becomes less "ah, this nonsense again" and "You know, I've been hearing a lot about this, am I sure there's nothing to it?". Especially if you are also seeing a lot of other, crazier stories that have popped up and shifting your credulity window. This is not a conscious process, but rather a slow mental erosion that it is far too easy to sink into, especially if it aligns with your existing biases.

This is made worse by grifters, politicians, and foreign agents (circling back around, Russia's provably dumped a lot of garbage intended to appeal to every political faction (their alignment with the far right has been known for awhile, and a number of leftist personalities were just arrested as Russian agents) in the US into the datastream for the sole purpose of increasing partisanship) catching on and deliberately exploiting it, but the pure mechanical grind is really scary.

270
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: April 18, 2023, 04:42:22 pm »
That represents close to half the yearly profit for the entire Fox Corporation (as in everything - their broadcast stations, their sports networks, etc - not just Fox News), and nearly a tenth of the company's publicly-declared financial assets. It is far from a slap on the wrist, and is completely impossible to appeal because any attempt to get out of it would break the settlement and head things straight to trial. This is also essentially a confession in any derivative lawsuit against FOX from other parties, virtually guaranteeing that any such derivative suit will succeed. At least one such suit is already in progress, and there's clear grounds for an uncertain but significant number more. Fox will survive this, but it is a body blow, not a flesh wound.

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