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Messages - Durin

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16
Also this

Although this study finds China a modest gainer in
agriculture under business as usual warming (increase in agricultural capacity by about 7 percent with carbon fertilization),
the estimate turns to a loss (7 percent reduction in agricultural capacity) if carbon fertilization effects
do not materialize or are offset by excluded damages. For India, prospective losses are massive (as large as about
40 percent in the absence of carbon fertilization).

http://www.iie.com/publications/briefs/cline4037.pdf

China can add a lot and still be way behind in terms of green energy sources given the amount of coal they burn and the manner in which they burn it.

I'm not sure how many more times I am going to have to address the comment about war with China. Scare tactics about global warming coupled with the reality that developing nations cannot be expected to abandon cheaper energy sources simply means demonetization of the energy market, and ultimately policy that will damage developing nations. It's not something I made up out of a hat.

My original post, and pretty much every one since then, has been pretty much pro left with the caveat that it is not productive to demonize fossil fuels. It wold be nice if someone, somewhere, would actually read my posts at some point in this discussion.

17
Also this

Although this study finds China a modest gainer in
agriculture under business as usual warming (increase in agricultural capacity by about 7 percent with carbon fertilization),
the estimate turns to a loss (7 percent reduction in agricultural capacity) if carbon fertilization effects
do not materialize or are offset by excluded damages. For India, prospective losses are massive (as large as about
40 percent in the absence of carbon fertilization).

http://www.iie.com/publications/briefs/cline4037.pdf

China can add a lot and still be way behind in terms of green energy sources given the amount of coal they burn and the manner in which they burn it.

I'm not sure how many more times I am going to have to address the comment about war with China. Scare tactics about global warming coupled with the reality that developing nations cannot be expected to abandon cheaper energy sources simply means demonetization of the energy market, and ultimately policy that will damage developing nations. It's not something I made up out of a hat.

18
I'm talking about leftist politicians. The scientific community is pretty leftist, sorry to disturb your world view, but I am specifically talking about leftist politicians scare tactics on the issue. If we are inches from global disaster, and China is a gigantic source of the kinds of environmental damage that is leading us there, whereas the U.S.  and other western nations mitigate a lot of their CO2 footprint with more modern practices in fuel consumption and agriculture, then we need a war with China.

Because those backwards Chinese people don't bother with alternative energy sources. It's not like they're at the forefront of expanding the use of those technologies, they aren't modern like the USA.  ::)

Nevermind that "the politicians" who're advocating about global warming might think it's just a teensy-bit INSANE to declare war on a country whose population numbers in the billions and whose economy is irrevocably linked to ours. I mean, there are no ethical or practical ramifications at all! /insane troll logic

This is the sort of thing I am referencing.

http://bases.bireme.br/cgi-bin/wxislind.exe/iah/online/?IsisScript=iah/iah.xis&src=google&base=REPIDISCA&lang=p&nextAction=lnk&exprSearch=76314&indexSearch=ID

19
.... Since what i said was a belief that the left isn't even a thing.

20
Certainly a more aggressive approach to China's various human rights violations would be a good idea. I do think though that we tend to overlook our own role in sustaining China as it exists today, and economic sanctions tend to hurt the population more than the people that need to be replaced.

What I said was that we in the West need to get our own house in order and do what it takes to force some austerity and sharing of resources on that small percentage of our population that is consuming resources in a hugely disproportionate manner all the while claiming to be the source of all work, progress, and anything else of any value. Specifically, human resources are finite, and we need to be employing far fewer people in pampering the rich and far more of them in developing our energy infrastructure and enabling developing nations to do so for themselves rather than making things cheaply for us.

The whole war with China diatribe was meant to be hyperbole, but then if you are going to argue that there is no "left wing" to politics I think it is safe to say we are not going to have a lot more productive to speak about. That's just silly talk. So I suppose we can just drop the war with China issue altogether.

21
http://beta.local.yahoo.com/news-home-vandalized-given-back-woman.html

All too common....

Background and Procedural Facts:
So, when the bank forecloses, they often give you an incentive to leave and just get out so they don't have to go through the longer disputed foreclosure process. It's called "Cash for Keys." Or, they just boot you out sooner or later.

Usually, when you leave the house and let the bank know, they come around and winterize the place so the pipes don't burst, etc, etc. It's part of a duty to mitigate damages so they can sell the house at sheriff's sale and apply the money they get there towards paying off the loan balance. In some states, you can have what's called a "deficiency judgment" against you if you owe more on the loan than the house brought in at Sheriff's sale. Note: in Ohio, they have deficiency judgments, but the bank has a 2 year SOL to come after you for them. So, it's really important that the bank take care of the house when you let them know you're leaving it, and they're required to....

They didn't here. The place went to hell, and all of it was foreseeable. Thieves and drug addicts hung around, ruined the place and stole nearly everything, pipes, and pretty much whatever. 

To review, bank was taking house, did nothing to safeguard or winterize it, and screwed up so badly that they just let her have what was left of the place. It's now uninhabitable from the bank's neglect. Her life is turned upside down, and nobody's gonna do much of anything.

Argument:
This is really why we need something that actually modifies mortgages in a meaningful way that keeps people in these houses. First, on average these places were simply never worth what they were purchased for to begin with. Second, foreclosure leaves a bunch of vacant houses going to hell and ruining property values for everyone in the area. Third, speaking of vacant, these places aren't doing anyone any good sitting empty (separate and aside from the second argument), we've got a bunch of people who need a place to live and empty houses.... Fourth, who fixes this gutted house, or does it stay gutted and blighted? Fifth, it just looks like neither the bank nor this woman, as owner, are going to get anything out of this; it's become a zero sum game. Sixth, let's look at it from the taxpayer standpoint for a second, locally, we're gonna have to pay to condemn and bulldoze a lot of buildings like this (and in worse conditions). This could be avoided by letting the woman stay in the house so it doesn't go to hell. Moreover, this place was a haven for crime and drugs for years under the bank's neglectful stewardship.

Counter:
You could say that this is all or mostly the owner's fault, that she shouldn't have taken out a loan she couldn't pay back etc.

Counter to Counter:
She bought the house in the 1980s, and then she certainly could make the payments. She had no reason to think she ever wouldn't be able to and it is kinda hard to predict almost 30 years out into the future. This isn't an irresponsible person in my eyes, and as someone who deals with foreclosures in a boots on the ground sense, that often isn't the case. How do you plan for losing your job 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, or more years down the line? You really can't if home ownership is on the table. Fact is without a job, the overwhelming majority of people out there couldn't afford their mortgage or rent or whatever. The only way these people can "plan" for not being able to make a payment due to job loss is to never buy a home, but even then, you can't plan for the rent without a job either.

Basically:
No to vacant houses, no to people being thrown out of homes, no to setting up havens for crime and drugs, no to pawning off the bank's bad investment on local taxpayers, no to ruining the property values of entire neighborhoods. Yes to a responsible foreclosure modification program.

It might be a good idea to rethink the depreciation rules for property. People I know in the industry point out that the best thing about "investing" in property is the tax write off due to depreciation of the value of the home, even when the value of the property is actually going up. I'd like to see either doing away with it entirely, or else doing away with it for properties not being occupied by the owner as a primary residence.

Call me crazy, but I do not think it is the first, best destiny of property to be owned and leased out by landlords. It's a complicated issue, but the fact that the system is designed more or less from the ground up to have huge amounts of property owned by people who do not live there is a bad thing.

22
Yeah because war with china or let the earth burn are the only possible avenues...  ::)

Seriously?

My post is just one page back. Just three or four posts back in fact. Only one out of three responses so far make any sense at all in relation to what I actually wrote.....

Wow...

23
I was recently poking around concerning solar myself, and the problem is that it is not cheap to make the panels. Oh, they are easier to make than semiconductor CHIPS, but they are still not cheap, and they do wear out over time, meaning that there is a continual cost of maintaining an already expensive physical structure.

So that's why that is not working out as hoped.

The hard truth concerning fossil fuels is they represent millions of years of stored energy, they are relatively easy to get at, and if we do not use them other countries will. So this idea that we should artificially make them expensive in order to drive energy innovation is basically self destructive.

If fossil fuels are as bad for the environment as the left says, then we really have almost no choice but to go to war with China and then suffocate the developing world. I somehow doubt that is the appropriate way forward. I suspect the real issue is that the rich in America and Europe are going to have to start sacrificing a lot of their affluence in order to share clean energy with the rest of the world and help build the worldwide energy infrastructure. Places like China and India also need help with other industries as their agricultural practices are part of what make them such horrific places for the environment compared to western countries.

The more you look, the more it seems unrestrained wealth accumulation in the hands of a tiny western minority has led to mismanagement of worldwide resources. When western working class folks finally snap to that, hopefully sooner than later, we can begin the somewhat daunting task of determining in what manner to also lift the working men and women of the so called "third world" out of the cesspool our leaders have made out of their lands.

We'd have to break the power that the interests tied into energy control have over the government, fund alternate energy research, and hope desperately that it gets cheaper and better. If research gets alternate energy sources competitive with fossils, and developing nations can be made to change over through the use of other incentives (popular pressure, government planners persuaded to take environment into account, less economic imperialism by the World Bank), market forces should facilitate the shift on their own.

Of course, that's a really big IF. ;P

Well, we need to work together to get that big IF turned into a WHEN. Because right now things are not looking good, you know?

24
It's not "the left" making claims of environmental damage, it's almost all scientists who are in the fields of climate, ecosystems etc. Global warming is based on scientific, not political roots. And the vast majority of working scientists are not "lefty" hippie types. It really doesn't go with the research scientist lifestyle (working for large universities or large corporations).

Everything you think is bad is from this mythical "the left"? That means as much as saying "they" did it or "it's the system, maaaan".

It's not the left, it's people who read the science journalism and since we're not scientists in those domains (specialists in a particular field) we need to assume that the people who do work in a field are actually the people who know more about that than "john doe" you or me. If there are credible people within a field disputing the findings then you can weigh what they're saying (STILL with a lot more FAITH than knowledge, because just reading a debate doesn't make you an expert able to judge) and see who seems more credible.

Politicians and other people who aren't experts in a field, are not credible to talk about it.

I'm talking about leftist politicians. The scientific community is pretty leftist, sorry to disturb your world view, but I am specifically talking about leftist politicians scare tactics on the issue. If we are inches from global disaster, and China is a gigantic source of the kinds of environmental damage that is leading us there, whereas the U.S.  and other western nations mitigate a lot of their CO2 footprint with more modern practices in fuel consumption and agriculture, then we need a war with China.

Or are you arguing we need a war with China?

Or did you just not care to address the rest of the post at all and wanted to whine about people identifying leftist political agendas?

I guess the funniest part of this is that a lot of what I expressed is supportive of a lot of what comes from the left. Just apparently not quite leftists enough to suit you.

25
I was recently poking around concerning solar myself, and the problem is that it is not cheap to make the panels. Oh, they are easier to make than semiconductor CHIPS, but they are still not cheap, and they do wear out over time, meaning that there is a continual cost of maintaining an already expensive physical structure.

So that's why that is not working out as hoped.

The hard truth concerning fossil fuels is they represent millions of years of stored energy, they are relatively easy to get at, and if we do not use them other countries will. So this idea that we should artificially make them expensive in order to drive energy innovation is basically self destructive.

If fossil fuels are as bad for the environment as the left says, then we really have almost no choice but to go to war with China and then suffocate the developing world. I somehow doubt that is the appropriate way forward. I suspect the real issue is that the rich in America and Europe are going to have to start sacrificing a lot of their affluence in order to share clean energy with the rest of the world and help build the worldwide energy infrastructure. Places like China and India also need help with other industries as their agricultural practices are part of what make them such horrific places for the environment compared to western countries.

The more you look, the more it seems unrestrained wealth accumulation in the hands of a tiny western minority has led to mismanagement of worldwide resources. When western working class folks finally snap to that, hopefully sooner than later, we can begin the somewhat daunting task of determining in what manner to also lift the working men and women of the so called "third world" out of the cesspool our leaders have made out of their lands.

26
Since no one has posted any numbers, I'm stepping up, along with my personal thoughts at the end. Source: http://www.gallup.com/poll/1651/gay-lesbian-rights.aspx

62% of those polled said "Should be legal" to "Do you think gay or lesbian relations between consenting adults should or should not be legal?", with 33% saying not, 5 no opinion. That was from a few months ago.

"Do you think marriages between same-sex couples should or should not be recognized by the law as valid, with the same rights as traditional marriages?" got an even split, 48% for yay and nay, 4 no opinion. Same date.

After that one, there is a comparison trend, to account for bias in the marriage question, since the question was preceded by one about rights. In this question, the question was asked on it's own. And in fact, -more- people said "Yes" to marriage, compared to it's equivalent dates, around May 2005. "Dual Question" got 37% yes on august, 2005. Single Question got 39% yes on may, 2005. Not significant, but worth noting since there is no real difference.

The rest of the article is interesting in it's own right. But I posted this because your main point has been that the "vast majority" of people dislike homosexuality? That's disproven outright. People who dislike homosexuality (NOT people who want less homosexual rights, just people who dislike it in general!) are in the minority. Not a LARGE minority, but it exists none-the-less.

What I have been pointing out is that the stigma seems to come from people having an intrinsic revulsion to PARTICIPATING.

Please, please at the very least pay enough attention to what I am saying to know what to talk about. I think in recent years the majority of Americans are supportive of gay marriage too, for the first time. There has been a massive swing in opinion polls on this issue, but I think what you are going to find it that these opinions are based on the promulgation of the theory that there is no choice, and that when people find out just how much politics has influenced this supposedly scientific concept, there will be a backlash.

Still, I was raised with gays around and taught very explicitly to be a kind and decent person to all other people. Americans in general often are live and let live kinds of folks. What I do not like is that this issue increasingly is discussed in terms of Christian bigotry and the holes in the logic behind actively promoting homosexuality are suppressed in a very dishonest manner.

27
How did it GET stigmatized?

Did God come down out of heaven and stigmatize it?

I have shown several examples from several different cultures where it somehow repeatedly gets stigmatized. How is that, do you suppose? "I don't know" is not a particularly heartening argument for forcing the normalization of a behavior that has collected a lot of stigma all over the world for millenia.

The answers to all your questions are tucked away in the answer to that question, and yet you studiously avoid it. And yet you assert your view is the correct one.

You could pretend this post is about racism and it would be equally valid. Think about that for a second.

Turns out humans are pretty good at stigmatizing/getting intolerant over similar issues time and time again. Interesting how that happens. Finding similar intolerances throughout many different cultures does not validate those intolerances.



Oh, and I didn't respond to this earlier:
I'm waving between reporting for homophobia and hate-speech or letting G-Flex carry the torch, because I do not have the tolerance for discussing with someone not even reading the posts before repeating his hateful circular speech.

I actually already did report this, a while back. Just for the record.

Racism can be a pretty handy thing if a specific race is trying to enslave you, such as the Romans conquering and enslaving those around them. But where racism becomes bigotry is when people judge an individual purely by color to the exclusion of other, more rational measures.

Racism has causes and cures. If you want to "cure" homophobia, start by understanding where it comes from and stop demonizing people for not leaping up and down to agree with you on every aspect of this issue.

28
I find myself agreeing we Lysabild, for once. We can't really do anything here.

Frankly, you are quite clearly TRYING not to achieve anything here. It is obvious that all opposition has been harried and insulted out of the discussion. None of you have much of anything to say other than repeated name calling and affected emotionalism.

There is a difference between being insulted and merely taking offense. I have yet to say a single thing personal to any of you. In return the vast majority of you have chosen to make this personal toward me. This post is just one more in a series of meaningless little jabs that convey absolutely nothing other than a lockstep attachment to a cause without rational basis.

29
I am not the one denying anything, nor do I misunderstand. You are making assertions you cannot back.

Then why do you keep connecting them, when they are totally different things?

They can be totally separate, or they can be related. You are demanding that they be permanently separated, but I do not agree that that is necessarily the case. Completely separating them is necessary for your viewpoint that it is a civil rights issue. Making it a civil rights issue is the path toward creating a permanent schism between the church and state that eventually leads to the state destroying all churches and substituting medical mandates for freedom of conscience.


Okay, do you guys read this? Because by now I'm honestly speechless.

Yeah that's it, I'm done, this is just mind blowing.

You're mind blown that I can see how you look at it but don't agree, and that anyone would require of you any proof that the two are totally unconnected in any way?

You can't imagine how the issues could be connected at all?

Well, then by all means, be amazed and wonder greatly at the mystery of it all.

30
While refusing to acknowledge the obvious difference between handedness and sexuality, and very specifically choosing not to answer the question directly.

I did answer it directly: I don't know the exact causes for variation in sexual orientation. That is my answer to your question. It is a direct answer. I do not know exactly why homosexuality is less common than heterosexuality. As far as why people seem to intentionally avoid it, I attribute that to negative social attitudes toward homosexuality; people avoid that which is stigmatized.

In addition to this very direct answer, I also stated reasoning why you can't assume that an inherent repulsion toward homosexuality is the reason why so many people avoid it or aren't homosexual.

Quote
I know what you did and I know why you did it, and that is why I do not have a lot of concern for your opinion. You clearly are not interested in addressing the hard questions. It is easier for you to demonize those with whom you disagree, make cutesy little snippy remarks, and then posture.

I did address the "hard question", and I"m not trying to demonize you.

Quote
If homosexuality is a behavior that can be chosen, as prison behavior, past cultures, and pretty much all the REAL evidence apart from a handful of opinion polls given for and by pro-gay activist researchers indicates

I already explained why a culture or situation influencing sexual orientation does not necessitate that sexual orientation is a choice. Things can influence a person's cognition, preferences, and behavior in ways that are not under their direct control. "Situation X causes Individual Y to develop a preference for Behavior Z" does not imply "Situation X causes Individual Y to choose to enjoy Behavior Z".

Quote
then what you are doing is pushing a behavior that actually has an intrinsic harm -- that of being inherently noisome to a significant majority

How is bothering the majority "intrinsic harm"? At one point, interracial marriage was bothersome to the majority of people in the US. Does that mean interracial marriage had "intrinsic harm"? The fact that it depends on what the majority thinks means it clearly isn't intrinsic at all!

How did it GET stigmatized?

Did God come down out of heaven and stigmatize it?

I have shown several examples from several different cultures where it somehow repeatedly gets stigmatized. How is that, do you suppose? "I don't know" is not a particularly heartening argument for forcing the normalization of a behavior that has collected a lot of stigma all over the world for millenia.

The answers to all your questions are tucked away in the answer to that question, and yet you studiously avoid it. And yet you assert your view is the correct one.

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