Bay 12 Games Forum

Please login or register.

Login with username, password and session length
Advanced search  

Show Posts

This section allows you to view all posts made by this member. Note that you can only see posts made in areas you currently have access to.

Messages - Trekkin

Pages: 1 ... 102 103 [104] 105 106 ... 210
1546
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: July 11, 2018, 11:30:29 am »
Meanwhile, USCIS is trying to get rid of H-1Bs and foreign students, sounds like: Forbes Link

Hm, regarding that required TA time, my University has a lot of work-study type things with various companies, and the model is certainly a helpful one. (Filthy STEM major here) The model definitely should be more widespread, and helps defray the costs of college a little bit.

Or we could go the STEM grad school route and make it free provided you work as an RA/TA, albeit at the cost of significantly shrinking the applicant pool.

1547
I would totally smuggle you into the country mate. I wonder what it costs to rent a small private plane and how I'd go about getting your family visas and green cards...

Most small planes lack the range, I'm afraid; it's about 2500 km from Miami to the middle of Venezuela. I suppose you could use something like a King Air 200, which if I recall correctly charter for about $2000/hr (and could make the trip in 4-5 hours, possibly?), but you might have to fill a good bit of the interior space with additional fuel tanks and even then might be over MTOW*. There's also the question of where you want to try landing such a plane in Venezuela.

*Unless of course one could refuel at the pickup point somehow.

1548
Right, my bad. My civics is rusty. So, theoretically, we could pass amendments revoking the Bill of Rights amendments?

Yes, theoretically we could.

As for question 2, per Texas v. White, states cannot legally secede from the Union.

1549
No, they're technically amendments. Much like prohibition, they could be repealed legislatively. I'm wondering if the Bill of Rights has any special protection from normal repeal.

Prohibition was repealed by the 21st Amendment, though.

1550
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: July 11, 2018, 10:12:49 am »
The question is, should people be able to support a good quality of life without an expensive, time-consuming, and possibly-bankrupting degree?

That is not a question education can answer; although it is a favorite scapegoat of the left and right alike, particularly as regards STEM education, the fact of the matter is that we cannot educate pupils into jobs that do not exist and there are vastly more pupils than there are "good" jobs. We may expect automation to increase this gap faster than declining birth rates decrease it, although this may end up being a self-solving problem.

We are, at present, trapped in a cycle where every level of education is oversaturated with pupils whose parents saw it as a path to a well-paying job, at which point the resultant surfeit of qualified workers drives wages down and creates a surplus of redundant, unemployed graduates who look enviously at people who reached the next rung and decide that their children must attain a still higher degree. Meanwhile, of course, the high-performing pupils are accomplishing themselves beyond the remit of sanity and everyone else is bored silly and increasingly hopeless, which makes teaching absolutely hellish.

So perhaps the question should be "what are we to do with huge numbers of people for which there is no readily apparent need"?

1551
General Discussion / Re: Things that made you go "WTF?" today o_O
« on: July 10, 2018, 11:15:43 pm »
Weirdly, it is; a fice is a little dog, apparently.

Clearly all the really creepy chains of coincidences are caused by a global conspiracy of corgis.

1552
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: July 10, 2018, 10:49:16 pm »
Oh Oh Oh... can I join in the shitting on Neil Degrasse Tyson?
That sort of attitude ("this should never see the light of day so let me show and tell you all about it") is part of why he took the trajectory he did, though. Derision is more or less our primary means of self-expression now, so anything he says that sounds smug and snappy and anti-those-dumb-other-people gets amplified like crazy and then re-amplified when people come rushing in to point out how wrong the first group are for being smug. That's not to say he didn't roll with it rather too readily, but if we're going to claim Sagan was better for not talking down to people, it's probably worth asking how much talking down Tyson has done for him.

That actually plays into something I've been trying to push pedagogically for a while: part of the reason there's this kind of cultural divide is that we tend to measure the success of our outreach efforts in terms of how many new STEM graduates or enrollees or other dedicated people we get, which I think incentivizes the wrong behavior if we want everyone to be more scientifically literate/appreciative of science generally -- not least because not everyone who likes science can or should become a PhD scientist like they usually push, if only because it's a small, mostly mediocre job market. I can't imagine our current "get 'em young and never let go" attitude endears us to many parents, either.

Of course, that does raise the question of what measurable markers positively correlate with good science-related social trends, but that's definitely a problem we have the informatic capacity to solve.

1553
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: July 10, 2018, 06:10:52 pm »
I'd say his own personal statements as to his opinion matter more than the statements of opinion of his appointer (who he did not actively choose).

Well, I would agree, particularly with regard to the statements he made to his appointer as to his position. Since we can't know those, the political climate in which he was appointed is well worth considering.

1554
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: July 10, 2018, 04:15:26 pm »
The problem is that scientists look down on 'laypeople' and think their opinion carries more weight on subjects that they don't study either simply because they're scientists. I work in a laboratory and I see that sort of smarmy condescension almost every day even from people who are otherwise fairly personable. It's extremely annoying, and the realization that knowing everything there is to know about membrane kinetics or whatever amounts to exactly zero expertise in economics, or geophysics, or home repair, or any other subject you could name is depressingly rare.

There is a tiny grain of truth to that line of thinking, though, insofar as training in any form of hard science involves more statistical literacy than you might expect to find in a random member of the population. You don't need to be an epidemiologist to raise your eyebrows when 4 cases this year of a disease with 2 cases last year in a population of millions is billed as a 100% increase.

Unfortunately, we don't tend to hear from statistically literate nonscientists (of which there are many), because they aren't the ones claiming amethysts can cure autism or whatever -- and those are also the people most volubly interested in talking to scientists about it. That's not to say it's a sensible worldview, mind you, only that the problem is larger than snooty scientists.

It shouldn't be surprising to scientists that the public will reject them if scientists adopt a paternalistic outlook as a distinct social class with a monopoly on the dissemination of truth (whether the public is right for thinking that or not).

Did anyone say we're surprised?

1555
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: July 10, 2018, 04:05:14 pm »
Carl Sagan had a great way of speaking with authority on a subject without talking down to people.

Which was mostly to speak in pleasant if banal generalities about things that really don't fit accurately into commonly used English. There's nothing wrong with that, at least for entertainment purposes and general outreach, but it's not sufficient when someone asks where their jetpack is, so to speak.

1556
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: July 10, 2018, 02:29:45 pm »
Oh, you meant the standard conflation of science fiction tropes and movie references that laypeople try to 'envision' low-speed interstellar spacecraft out of. At least you didn't mention an Alcubierre drive, I guess.

1557
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: July 10, 2018, 01:56:33 pm »
What do you mean "if we get the tech?" Cryopreservation of mammalian cells in glycerol and liquid nitrogen is decades-old technology; it's just lethal to the majority of the cells, which isn't really a problem for our purposes. I'm not suggesting we actually try to revive and culture them or anything, just that we keep the genomes on hand in the cheapest, most compact available format for bioinformatics use that also happens to future-proof it against new ways of extracting epigenomic data. There are logistical challenges in curating it, but these require no new technologies, just careful consideration of which samples to keep for how long.

1558
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: July 10, 2018, 01:06:41 pm »
While keeping a total genetic database of man would probably be beneficial in some capacity, it's already been explained why that's unlikely to be fiscally feasible. I could see it being done to exceptional and notable people though, people like Einstein and Hawking, or Martin Luther King Jr. and Ghandi, or Adolf Hitler and Josef Stalin - all of them deserve to be catalogued and recorded for future analysis, as best we can provide. People with a notable impact on society.

That's what 23AndMe does: it's not total, but it's a giant dataset of SNPs with attached medical data, which is very useful statistically. Unfortunately, a database of the genomes of historical figures would not be so useful. Problems with the Great Man theory of history aside, a set so tiny would have a huge false positive rate in any association study you might want to do even if historicity were heritable.

Actually, you could feasibly fund a project to store cryopreserved tissue samples of everyone whose body you can reach in time, ideally with other samples from regular intervals throughout their lifespan, in some central repository together with medically interesting data and make publication of the sequence data a precondition for access to the repository by investigators. That'd be really useful, especially if we could make compliance compulsory for everyone.

That said, I'm not sure which political party would support a giant underground vault of frozen baby blood and corpse flesh.

1559
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: July 10, 2018, 12:11:33 pm »
I had a thought a while back.

We already have the ability to record an entire strand of DNA into a computer file. At around 1.5Gb, it's a large but not unmanageable file size. We also have gene printers, capable of producing DNA strands from file.

If we determine that a fetus has not acquired meaningful experience (and it can't, until it has a complex brain), then the only feature of it that is meaningfully human is the future potential it has to become one. In my experience, it is that potential that anti-abortion campaigners see as worthy of protection.

I propose that abortion be fully legalized and access to it provided around the country, with the addition of the storage of genetic code as a digital file. Stored potential humans would be provided to interested couples around the nation.

An interesting side effect of this is that because the DNA is still on file, in the case of a miscarriage it could simply be duplicated and retried, allowing for an (eventual) 100% success rate, far superior to normal conception rates.

Finally, a way to preserve bodily autonomy and the rights of potential humans.

Oh, that reminds me, potential future humans will want to have a nice environment to live in, and would do well to have medical care (pre- and post-natal). Pro-life arguments can now turn to forcing the government to protect these other rights of the unborn.

Well, no, because none of that works at all the way you think it does.

For one thing, reading lengthy strands of DNA is neither cheap nor error-free; all of the really affordable ways to sequence DNA, like Sanger sequencing, strain to go much farther than a kilobase per read. What you get from next-gen sequencing -- and bear in mind, these processes are expensive even in a research context, let alone a medical one -- is not a single genome-length read, but rather a whole series of short reads of varying depth which must be reassembled computationally. There are regions where that process works ambiguously and more than a few where it generally fails outright unless still more expensive measures are taken, and even then there's still a reasonable objection that the genome is almost certainly not correct. But okay, say you get your file and persuade yourself/wish it's accurate.

Now, "gene printers" do not meaningfully exist as a distinct technology except in the minds of excitable amateurs; what we actually have, including in what you have read about called "gene printers" in garbage popsci articles, are ever more high-throughput means of doing variations on the same oligonucleotide syntheses we always have, and that is error-prone even at lengths of only a few hundred bases. Nobody even tries to go beyond about 2.5 kb. So, okay, let's run 1.2 million reactions in parallel at a total cost of some $21 million per fetus even assuming a tenfold reduction in cost per base because magical thinking about scaling. Now we have to put them together. Remember the assembly problem from above? Let's do that at the bench with an even higher cost in time and reagents for failure and the added risk of misannealing and complicated secondary structure! Sounds great; you're welcome to try. With someone else's thermal cycler, to be clear.

But okay. Say we get this cobbled-together Frankenstein genome together. How exactly do you intend to put it into a zygote? CRISPR and cre/lox and flp/frt can't do it, and somatic cell nuclear transfer is expensive and failure prone -- and remember, we've not a lot of DNA to spare, we can't replicate it easily, and it's terribly nicked if it even packages at all (which we only kind of speculatively know how to do.) But let's keep going; if mere impossibility stopped us we'd have given up long ago. Now we have, at last, a cell with a genome in it. It may not be the genome we want, of course, because every process in this is error-prone, and these errors might well give rise to a viable fetus that is a whole new problem, albeit one far more likely to die because SCNT kind of does that a lot. But let's go farther and say we luck out and get exactly the genome we want.

It's still missing all the methyl marks and histone acetylations and literally every epigenetic mark it's supposed to have, so the abortion crusaders are free to say we've lost information and potential and wasted millions of dollars per baby for nothing. Congratulations.

1560
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: July 10, 2018, 09:53:02 am »
However, this appointment is likely a blessing in disguise for the Democrats since he has a HUGE paper trail. Even doing the normal stuff before confirmation is going to take a long time, Chuck Grassley (Chair of the Senate Judicial Committee) said he couldn't promise a hearing or something by September. And the Democrats can easily drag this out. Whether they can drag it out into January, no idea.

That might be enough, actually. Once the Court is solidly conservative, a whole block of single-issue anti-abortion donors and voters don't really need a Republican majority in Congress with the same urgency any more. Kavanaugh's nomination is a core issue for them now; actually putting him on the Court would both infuriate their opponents and let a large part of their base give/vote on other priorities on which they may be less unified.  McConnell could well calculate that handing the issue to a Democratic Senate to vote down would reenergize the base for 2020, at which time he is personally up for reelection. It would be in line with his prior cynicism.

Pages: 1 ... 102 103 [104] 105 106 ... 210