Bay 12 Games Forum

‘Tis the season for respiratory illness also.

Probably wise to get tested though.

Quote from: hector13 on February 05, 2022, 10:44:26 pm

They’re so in the minority that a leading Republican had to go on a major conservative talk show to apologize for calling the rioters on January 6th terrorists.

Teddy boy walking back them comments.

The thing about a vocal minority is that their complaints are always the loudest.

They’re not a minority if a leading politician and a major news network feel the need to pander to them in order for their continued existence in those roles, was my point.

Quote from: JoshuaFH on February 04, 2022, 08:25:29 pm

Please don't tease me with your Dutch Paradise, I live in America

There's that youtube channel 'Not Just Bikes' about bicycling and urban planning, where the 95% of the content is the guy gushing over how much better the Netherlands are than North America.

He’s a cyclist so he’s obviously wrong in everything else about his life.

Yeah, they seem to be pretty ridiculous. Why go to the expense of a hiring process and possibly training a new manager, risking a bad fit for the culture of the company in the process,  when they have someone they know can do the job already on staff?

Probably a good time to update your CV.

All vote King Willy! We'll not sink your entire navy this time, promise. 

You can’t see the eyes of the demon, ‘til him come callin’.

It explains it all in the spoilers you provided.

The first one is about what you do with the data after it appears, specifically whether or not it can appear later. The example of a deck of cards is used: if you draw a Jack and the take it out, it makes it less likely that a Jack will appear later (52 cards total, 4 jacks. If you draw the Jack, there are now 51 cards with 3 jacks left, reducing the chances from 4/52=1/13 to 3/51=1/17) but if you put it back in there’s no change in the odds of a Jack showing up.

The second one is around predicting outcomes. It doesn’t take into account genetics or anything. Basically the example they use is that the four possible outcomes of two children (boy-boy, boy-girl, girl-boy, girl girl) are influenced by the information you know, so if, as in their example, you know one of the two children is a girl, you know for suresies the boy-boy outcome is impossible, meaning there are only three outcomes left, meaning a 33% chance of the other child being a girl as girl-girl is only 1 possibility out of the remaining 3 outcomes.

The two fallacies don’t really have anything to do with the other.

The game sounds interesting, though I don’t want to be part of the giveaway as I have too many other games that I will be playing (and others I should be playing) but perhaps the people who receive the game will post of their experiences here.