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Messages - hector13

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721
The difference is that the current war in Gaza has gone on for 6 weeks. If we were to project that to a year you’ll get ~40k dead.

Still comparable to other modern wars. Still nothing "unprecedented". Still manipulation with statistics if not an outright lie.

It’s not manipulating statistics. It’s sensationalizing, at worst.

The war in Ukraine has been going on for a little over a year and a half, and we know Russia has actively targeted civilians. 10k civilians killed in that period, which is less than the total number killed in the six weeks of the Gaza war.

Are we going to account for population density as well?

Just means Israel has to be more careful. Or it makes it easier for their “damage, not accuracy” policy, depending on how cynical you want to be.

722
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: November 21, 2023, 12:58:27 pm »
Adopting a foreign currency when your economy is in shambles.

What to do they plan on trading for that currency?
Bitcoin and beef?
Is this like Netflix and Chill?
It could certainly fuck Argentina’s economy…

723
The difference is that the current war in Gaza has gone on for 6 weeks. If we were to project that to a year you’ll get ~40k dead.

724
General Discussion / Re: Things that made you go "WTF?" today o_O
« on: November 21, 2023, 12:19:58 am »
Speaking of marketing I got a very cheeky letter today. Looked like a pay stub kinda deal with the stupid little things at the side and the top you need to peel off along perforations.

We took out a loan recently, and this thing had the amount of the loan and who it was through, and some shite about something very serious they needed to talk to me about… and the small print guff at the bottom was like “yeah we’re not associated with any lender, you call the number and you give us permission to look your shit up and sell you stuff”.

Piss off mate.

725
General Discussion / Re: what tv shows are you currently watching?
« on: November 17, 2023, 10:17:39 pm »
Just finished that last night myself.

I personally enjoyed the nod to Pratchett with the bit about seamstresses.

726
General Discussion / Re: Things that made you mildly upset today thread
« on: November 17, 2023, 07:46:59 pm »
… and his daughter (who I was separately implementing on this trip)…

Is that what they’re calling it these days? ;D

727
General Discussion / Re: Things that made you sad today thread.
« on: November 17, 2023, 05:05:22 pm »
I had a sociology lecturer who sent me to sleep.

Admittedly that could also be because it was the first class of the morning after a 90-minute bus journey.

728
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: November 17, 2023, 02:34:27 am »
Pretty sure the ATF isn’t even allowed to use computers to track gun owners. It’s all paper.

Any records they do have on computers aren’t allowed to be formed into a database, and they can’t be searchable. It’s pictures of forms. Basically like they’ve boxed up the forms in a different way.

729
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: November 16, 2023, 04:18:00 pm »
George Santos has been found to have defrauded his campaign by the House Ethics Committee.

Quote
The panel found the Republican congressman from New York "blatantly stole from his campaign" and exploited "every aspect of his House candidacy for his own personal financial profit".

Quote
In its report, the ethics committee, which is split evenly between Republicans and Democrats, found that Mr Santos reported fictitious loans to his political committees in order to induce donors to make further contributions to his campaign.

He then diverted campaign money to himself as "repayments" of those fictitious loans, it found.
According to the report Mr Santos also:

  • Spent campaign money on Botox treatments, luxury fashion purchases, trips to Atlantic City and Las Vegas, vacations in the Hamptons, and even his own rent
  • Recorded 37 expenses of exactly $199.99 - one cent below a threshold set by law that requires campaigns to keep receipts
  • Was "frequently in debt, had an abysmal credit score, and relied on an ever-growing wallet of high-interest credit cards to fund his luxury spending habits"
  • Hired one of his own companies to work for his campaign. The company, RedStone, paid Mr Santos at least $200,000, which he used to pay credit card debt and make purchases from companies including Hermes, OnlyFans and Sephora
  • Claimed to own multiple properties and a luxury car. The report states: "At no point does Representative Santos appear to have owned a Maserati, despite telling campaign staff otherwise."

He won’t stand for re-election next year, but hopefully his colleagues decide to oust him long before then. Two Republicans and a Democrat have brought forward motions to expel him.

730
We each need the last word too.

731
lol @ being lectured about nuance by you, smh

732
Yeah ‘cause there’s no non-Jewish Israelis, and all Jews support the Israeli government ::) are the Jews calling for a ceasefire also anti-Semitic?

There’s obviously no difference between a people under a military occupation from a foreign power that hates them and the German war effort in the 40s with their professional army, navy, and air force.

The Israeli’s literally said they were being indiscriminate with their bombing. How do you need more evidence than that?

Israel has fired back when Hamas has fired missiles into Israel over the last 18 years. If it’s a numbers game you’re after, Israel is already miles ahead in the body count score, and the Palestinians in Gaza don’t have any way to fight back. They had the audacity to protest at one point, and nearly 200 of them were killed over a 5-month period..

Waste of time continuing this brah. You think I’m an idiot, I think you’re an idiot. Nothing we say to each other will change it.

733
The Palestinian flag represents the Palestinian people.

Palestinians /=/ Hamas.

The same Palestinian people under the Israeli air strikes for ”damage, not accuracy, those under blockade who can’t get basic necessities, while Hamas’ smuggling links allow them to get them for themselves. If Hamas are not being punished by the blockade, who is? Palestinian civilians, that’s who. That’s what the protestors find unacceptable, not Israel’s victory or existence.

The foreign protests are addressed to their own government because they want their government to change their position on the war to discourage Israel from the indiscriminate bombing or starving the civilian populace of Gaza, not to reconsider viewing Hamas as a terrorist organization or allow them to continue their terrorism unmolested.

There you go making predictions again, and that’s a whole heck of a lot of assumptions being made about some complex geopolitics there. Given your failure to predict the direction of this conflict and politics in Europe and NA, I’m quite willing to believe you’ll be wrong about a lot of those predictions too.

You also complained about my use of a strawman - I didn’t but whatever - and that is a huge one there. How does a ceasefire in Gaza end in Israel’s destruction along the lines you set out? It doesn’t, is the answer.

Even if Hamas won this conflict it won’t result in the destruction of Israel. It’ll result in a hugely emboldened Hamas, and possibly result in more overt support from anti-Zionist nations, but it will also probably result in an increase of support for Israel from the West to balance that out. The conflict will certainly end Netanyahu’s policy of appeasement toward Hamas.

Your analogies had grey in them, while anti-Semitic has an established meaning, which is “hatred of Jews”.  Anti-Semitic elements doesn’t mean there’s hatred within a protest, particularly a large enough one that they can be ejected from one part, and re-enter it at another point.

Equally so, the police are able to arrest people shouting racist abuse and endorsing violence from within the protest. Bearing in mind the police can’t be everywhere, they can’t arrest everyone who shouts that shit, but they do try to identify them and arrest them later.

If there was any resistance to that I’d be willing to say there’s acceptance of those views within protests, but there isn’t. If the main protest broke away from their route and protested in front of the Israeli embassy, I’d agree with you, but they don’t.

Edit: also I forgot to mention I have never once argued “from the river to the sea…” doesn’t have an anti-Semitic meaning, just that’s not the only meaning, and the people marching for peace aren’t using it to mean the destruction of the Jews and Israel.

734
For not wanting to talk about something, you’re talking about it an awful lot.

I already know your position, and I already reject your position, in much the same way as you know and reject mine.

Again, though, before the main point, the protests aren’t calling for an Israeli loss. Will a ceasefire allow Hamas to re-arm? Probably. Do you think they’re going to be able to have the same quality of weapons and supplies as the IDF, a modern, well-funded, professional state military, which is receiving support from other modern, well-funded, professional state militaries? Probably not.

You’re analogies don’t work. You can have lung cancer without it metastasizing. You can have different types of trees in a forest. Different levels of wealth in a rich country.

Labelling an entire protest anti-Semitic doesn’t separate the majority who were at the protests for peace and the minority who were there to spout hate. It also flies in the face of what you’re saying about “the river and the sea…” phrase only meaning a call for the extermination of Jews, while simultaneously saying “anti-Semitic” - meaning someone who hates Jews - doesn’t mean that everyone at an anti-Semitic protest hates Jews.

Unfortunately, all that position does is dilute what “anti-Semite” means, which is what the bigots want. If they can point to examples of it being erroneously used, they can say it gets used erroneously all the time.

Also, I’ve never presented myself as an expert or made predictions, beyond a continued suffering of civilians in the conflict. Perhaps, as an amateur who understands less than the experts you claim make predictive errors, you should refrain from doing the same?

735
Huh? This prominent Iranian talks not about the West but about Iranian plans and goals regarding Israel and Zionism(read Jews) which includes supporting anti-Zionist protests in the Western World.

You may say that it is wrong for them to expect that protests will continue should Israel start losing but my statement is about what Iran expects, not what will actually happen.

I didn’t say anything beyond implying that Iranian talking points aren’t useful.

The protestors aren’t there because they want Israel to lose though, but considering you also think they’re demanding the extermination of Israel and the Jews, it’s not surprising you don’t understand what they want.

Quote
I do think that antisemitic crowds aren't going anywhere no matter how this current war will progress. When this kind of stuff starts and it is unopposed - it tends to grow larger. Composition may change but the core will stay the same. But it is merely my subjective prediction.

It is funny how what is happening in Israel goes far better(less badly) than my most optimistic predictions and how I failed to even assume what will happen in EU and NA.

It’s almost as though you’re not an expert and have little understanding of what you’re talking about, Nostradamus.

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