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Messages - McTraveller

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3031
I think the issue is that "people" didn't have the willpower to save during the times of plenty, and instead increased their spending levels.  This meant that when a downturn did come, there was no longer any savings on which to fall back.  Of course, it's not surprising that this happens at high levels of government when the majority of the population doesn't even have $500 in savings.  (And yeah I know that would be hard for some portion, but not the majority...)

3032
I was actually looking for actual ideas, not just the usual "if you can't do it through taxes, it can't be done" kind of thing.

I mean, could something like the Mana (short story) approach work, where every citizen gets one and only one bank account and every year the balance is reset to (say) $50k, along with abolishing loans?

Could you do it by mandating that a condition for incorporation that 10% (so it's not a controlling share) of a company's stock must be owned by the country and all companies must issue a minimum dividend, so that you can fund UBI based on actual productivity of companies instead of by some other arbitrary taxation scheme?

3033
So how would you folks "fix" the problem?

As a bonus challenge, how would you do it without resorting to overt property confiscation and redistribution?

3034
For me I can't resolve these inconsistencies in beliefs and I have no idea how some of these people sleep at night....but then again I'm not religious.
What's probably the most sad thing about this is that all Christians get painted with a terrible brush because of that type of inconsistency.  And it's hard to separate yourself with cries of "No true Scotsman fallacy" - that is you can't say "well they aren't really Christians because x y z" without just digging a deeper hole.  No amount of apologetics is likely to deal with it either.  It's kind of like any kind of thing - the hardest corruption (of ideas, of physical things, whatever) with which to deal is corruption from within.  So when you have different groups within Christianity (or any religion for that matter) displaying vastly different worldviews, it's no wonder that people question the veracity of any aspect of the belief.

I think this even applies to politics - entire parties get associated with the most "media-worthy" members of the party, even if that type of behavior is in such a minority of the overall ideology.

Overall it's just sad... but at the end of the day I do have hope that it will all get better one day, even if I (or even my children, or grandchildren) don't happen to be around to see it.  And I take steps personally to try and affect things in my local sphere as I can... but I know that the "public" spotlight is not the place for me, so I just deal with the bit of sadness I get from watching what's happening.

3035
Interesting article.  It seems to be related to the idea about "what is the computational power of the universe, to be able to make the universe work".  Most people would say "the universe doesn't compute its state - its state simply evolves."  So the brain doesn't "compute", its state merely "evolves" due to physical laws, not a program.

At least, I think that's what the paper means by the point that physics is not syntactical.

Perhaps a less abstract example: consider the piston and crankshaft in the cylinder of a car.  This system doesn't "compute" the current air volume in the cylinder - the volume in the cylinder is just a direct result of the configuration.  To get more fundamental: when you put two charged particles near each other, the universe doesn't "compute" the force between them - the force just is what it is.

(Maybe.)

3036

This interpretation only holds for small businesses...

A major example where this idea of the owner lessening effort clearly doesn't hold would be a modern corporation, where shareholders typically exert zero effort in the goings on of production, and indeed often ownership of the company is itself essentially only a traded speculative commodity.
It doesn't "hold" only for small businesses - that's just steeped in the modern impression of what a 'corporation' is.  Consider that a valid reason for forming a corporation is that some enterprises require more resources than a single individual can acquire but a group of people could do it.  That enterprise could be something like a major infrastructure project, where the output of the company itself is the thing that benefits the owners - not just the "shareholder returns."

Corporations today are kind of a mishmash of this, but lean heavily toward the "we're just a company to shield ourselves from liability and to make stupid piles of cash" instead of the "we want a big project that will make all our lives better" side.  But there is nothing to say a company can't do that.  Often you see things like today that are more like co-ops than corporations though, and sometimes non-profits.

Now I realize some of this is hypothetical and academic, because reality seems to show that while that is a "mathematical possibility" it doesn't play out much in real societies.  A large part of it I think is that barriers to entry to most industries are so high that new competition can't come in easily, which means oligopolies in most industries.  So companies in those industries just enjoy increased profits when they increase productivity because there is no effective competition - the benefits of productivity no longer spread around.  This is shown by many studies of wage and wealth growth versus productivity growth versus corporate profits over the past several decades.

So I guess yeah I agree that most companies don't use productivity to reduce work required but instead just increase profits... which is arguably not going to turn out pleasant if larger and larger industries do no longer require workers.

3037
Maybe "they" are hoping that at some point it's like when you let your kids keep acting like idiots they suddenly realize how immature they are and will start to wise up and act with some maturity.

And I meant that for all things politics - everyone acts more like immature emotional adolescents than mature adults willing to make reasoned compromises - or even reasoned decisive actions when necessary.

3038
Well, that's the "modern" interpretation of capitalism.  There's another version, which apparently isn't en vogue any more.  It says there isn't a "sole" purpose of capitalism, but a couple.  The main alternative being that instead of using the capital goods to facilitate the appropriation of a greater share and quantity of produce you use capital goods to maintain a constant share or quantity of goods for less and less effort on the part of the owner.

Of course, that is the root of the entire modern debate about wealth inequality isn't it?  Cultural norms (not anything inherent to private ownership of capital itself) say that you keep what's yours and try to get more instead of just being content with what you have and simply try to make it sustainable with as little effort as possible.  I'm personally very lazy, so I'd much rather just be allowed to maintain my standard of living with less and less effort.  But instead we have a society that institutionalizes inflation and a host of other things like how benefits are tied to how many hours you work that means you are basically forced to maintain a constant level of work and increase output instead.

A good example is how mobile companies say "For the same price, now get 4GB a month data instead of 3GB" and what I'd much rather have is "no, give me 3GB for 75% the price you used to charge me - I don't want more data!"  That's not the only industry that does it either; about the only industry that you can get the same thing for lower price than you used to is consumer electronics, and even that I think is starting to change.

3039
Its just using capital to get more capital for those with capital. therefor standard capitalism. I wont cry when it comes crashing down.
Yo dawg, I heard you liked capital in your capital...

But more seriously, that's the thing though isn't it? They aren't using capital to get more capital. They are using money to get more money.  You can use money to buy capital, but they aren't the same thing.  It's a subtle and important distinction, and forgetting it (or having a system like we currently have that purposely confounds the two) leads to things like the recent recession.

3040
The most interesting thing I find about bitcoin is that people say "look, it's not controlled by a central authority."  The only thing worse than being controlled by a central authority is being controlled by a distributed authority. At least with a central one you can rebel against it or overthrow it or whatever. If it's distributed, good luck with that - you've basically given up control to a hydra.

Other observations:

People are mad or jealous about the people making massive returns on bitcoin because they are getting massive amounts (if they cash out) and yet they didn't actually produce anything for society*.  It's kind of the same with stock market millionaires - and probably why people don't complain as much about entertainers making massive incomes. At least with the entertainers, they had to actually do something; for the people who lucked out on an "investment" they just managed to ride an appreciation wave - they didn't (generally) actually produce goods or services which corresponded to that increase in value.

It's somewhat astonishing that people are piling all this money into an unregulated market. At least with the "traditional crooked banks" you have some deposit insurance.

*There is probably some argument that these people "produced" a more viable bitcoin network by making early "investment", so their gains are related to that, but that isn't how most people view massive gains.

3041
As a Michigander I disagree with your assessment of cause. Democrats have wanted infrastructure for a long time but republicans, one of which is the governor, don't want to pay for it although both want it. just because part of the state is blue doesn't mean they have the money. the SE has rather a lot of problems what with the collapse of Detroit and all and it got hit hard by the recession and then bankers were put in control to forcibly extract money form many poor and black communities, "emergency managers" my ass.
First of all I think maybe you misunderstood - I wasn't blaming Democrats or Republicans (although both are easy targets in their own ways). I was blaming the general lack of integrity in terms of facing hard situations.  And it goes back way before the 2008 downturn.

And look at the "recovery" we have now, where a few wealthy real-estate moguls are "investing" in Detroit.  That's only investing in their pocketbooks, not in a true economic sense. It literally is bread and circuses there - restaurants, retail, and entertainment venues. Those things produce no productivity-improving capital; instead they just shuffle wealth around that is produced in other places.  Yes, there is some immediate short-term influx of capital into the area, but it's not productive capital.  Maybe there is hope that industry will return, but I wouldn't hang my hat on it -

And the auto industry is currently riding high on a bubble, there's no way annual sales volumes can be sustained where they are, and that's not even counting the upcoming stuff with ride sharing and the demographic shifts away from personal vehicle ownership.

ALSO because I'm slow to post . . . yeah all the stuff in the news about all those politicians on both sides of the aisle: integrity.

3042
Dems will tax you and use that money to pave your roads, build a park, fund your schools.
Have you ever been to southeast Michigan?  One of the bluest-of-blue voting histories - I'm talking Wayne, Oakland, and Washtenaw counties here (you can probably add Genesee county where Flint is, too).  We have an astonishing number of dirt roads, and the ones we paved would often actually be better if they were dirt instead of the concrete rubble they are...and I'll leave it as an exercise for the reader to look up on the condition of public education in these counties (and you can't blame the current state administration either - these problems have been generations in the making, and will likely take generations to fix).

Anyway my point is actually to say: whatever party label you have, you are not going to get what you think you're going to get from your taxes.  What will get you what you want from your tax dollars is people of integrity - regardless of their party label.  Sadly, "integrity" is not something that is all that common in politics...

3043
Taxes will always be a mess, no matter how they are passed or by whom, because they are always a ridiculously political mishmash of both funding services the public wants as well as behavioral manipulation (possibly "good" like discourage pollution, or "bad" like certain subsidies. See the unexpected detrimental side effects of federal government involvement in college loan funding, which was supposed to be a "good" thing but is actually very questionable), self-interest protection, funding bread-and-circuses, and probably a dozen other less obvious things.

3044
Curious here - why do you think that it is the Constitution that is wrong, and not modern sentiment?  Or put another way - how would you make an unbiased determination of which is which?

It's as dangerous a thing to think "old is outdated" as it is to think that "old is perfect and we just misinterpret it."

3045
General Discussion / Re: Science Thread (and !!SCIENCE!! Thread!)
« on: December 02, 2017, 09:46:07 pm »
Ahhh.... yes ok, that helps - that wasn't the direction I expected for the lines of constant time.

That whole "the order of events occurring at different locations is actually relative" thing... fun.

Also - don't be afraid to throw equations in here. I, at least, tend to understand those easier than images.

And yeah, I've got to really dust the cobwebs off my relativistic physics.  It's only been 21 years since I had to know that stuff...

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