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Messages - redwallzyl

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226
That's right any time is as likely as any other. But the issue is that "not recently" is much longer than "recently". So if the aliens could have been around any time in the last 100 million years and visited us once, then there's only a 5% chance they did so in the last 5 million years, and if you get that down to civilization time, it's a very low chance, e.g. the last 10,000 years would then be a 0.01% chance.

That's why the ancient alien people claim the aliens caused civilization, since it would be too much of a coincidence if they just happened to visit say at 3000 BC, right as we happened to be starting towards civilization.
Given my formal education in the subject of archeology/anthropology and as such my knowledge of the growth of humanity over time the assertions of various stuff concerning aliens and other mystical stuff and anything relating to conspiracy involving it see patently absurd. On of the key bits of this type of stuff is that it only works on those who are ignorant enough about a subject to not spot the many flaws but instead get caught by misinformation presented as reputable and possible they they do not have the tools to identify as wrong. That confidence in such fringe stuff has a lot to do with being ignorant of them completely so that the seeds of misinformation can grow unhindered.

227
General Discussion / Re: Things that made you go "WTF?" today o_O
« on: May 27, 2018, 03:06:41 pm »
I just saw a Amish kid with light-up up roller skates zipping down the side of the highway.
The Amish are not opposed to technology. They are just selective about it.

228
Someone linked these "American" names from a 1990s Japanese baseball game:
https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/448853329028710401/450247046281297950/Gyncah6RqVQIykEL0wH18S0Lp17pl2cH28OJJ2nTYb4.png

Actually, rather than hand-written Engrish, it looks like they used Markov Chains but with a short sequence length (e.g. last two characters, at most), to generate unlimited "English" sounding names.

e.g. "Sleve McDicheal" is one of the names.
"Bobson Dugnutt" you can feel the freedom flowing out of that one.

229
Basically the opposite of the scientific method. If you find yourself adding assumptions to an argument stop and throw out your argument, it's pseudo science.

Or stop, identify which assumptions are falsifiable, test those, and carry on.

Scientific theories tend to react to contrary evidence by getting smaller in scope; conspiracy theories get bigger instead.
psuedo science does not revise the hypothesis, or attempt to disprove it. That's what makes it psuedo science. If it stopped doing that it would be regular science.

230
The alien stuff always seems to involve an absurd amount of contrived circumstances and assumptions. It's a feature of pseudo science to start with what the person wants the answer to be and work backwards to justify it. They must keep adding more absurdly complicated and unlikely aspects as time goes on and people point out holes in there assertions. Basically the opposite of the scientific method. If you find yourself adding assumptions to an argument stop and throw out your argument, it's pseudo science.

231
I'll take the easy route here and say that obviously the Egyptian pyramids were grain silos.
Do you happen to be named Ben Carson by chance?

232
Oh hey, I think I remember what the thing was that I was thinking of.

It was during my time at Skiringssal (Sandy Fjord), and our philosophy teacher (a street musician who started each philosophy semester with a showing of The Matrix) decided to introduce us to a little something called "Zeitgeist". Yes, that Zeitgeist.

Now, before hitting play, he took the time to chat with us about how the film specifically used editing and filmography techniques along with concepts from hypnosis in order to lull viewers into a more "receptive" state of mind, which is really what he wanted to explore with the viewing... He just wanted to talk about the methods used by the film and other ideas on propaganda and convincing people over to your side.

So, after the preamble, we all sat down to watch part 1 of Zeitgeist: the Movie.

I was prepped and ready for something that was going to try and pull a fast one on me. So I just sat back and laughed at all the provably wrong and factually incorrect statements being made in the production...


Once part 1 was finished and the class was over, everyone filed up to have a quick chat with the teach... Things like "wow, I'd never thought of it that way!", "I feel like my eyes have really been opened!" and "this was some heavy shit" were proclaimed in front of a respectably silent, sagely nodding teacher (who was getting ready for blues band class afterwards).

Then it was my turn. I walk up to him with a shit-eating grin on my face. He asks me if I've learned anything tonight. I say "not really, but it was certainly entertaining!". He smiles, nods, gives me a wink and sends me on my way.

I looked it up. Oh my, conspiracy under a clever veneer of real issues. That could certainly manipulate the well meaning but ignorant.


Also, getting the thread back on track some more, if anyone wants to throw some archeological conspiracy at me I can debunk it. People throw all kinds of ignorant shit around. Seriously guys were not covering up anything.

234
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol: new thread subtitle pending
« on: May 26, 2018, 06:47:46 pm »
Well, we could look into how other countries do it successfully, Asian countries too (going to have to take cultural differences into account though) I know we Americans are all like “No! We must have our own solution!", which is fine, but nothing wrong with learning (irony intended) from others. Though obviously if you don’t find them, it won’t do any good.

Going off of frumples comment on the US being more like 50 countries than one (which is true in many ways), what about looking at countries with similar levels of federalization as ours if they have better education systems than ours?
I would be wary of using Asian countries as an example. They go so far to the rote memorization direction they totally lack actual problem solving skills. It produces great test results and people that can memorize anything but cant solve anything outside of there narrow memorized area.

235
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol: new thread subtitle pending
« on: May 26, 2018, 11:35:23 am »
I don't think schools' main problem is a lack of proper funding. I think it's a lack of discipline on how to spend the available funding. Or maybe that's what you meant?

The most effective spending is actually on parental involvement programs.  I'd much rather see that, and a reversal of the recent trend for pay-to-play extracurricular activities, than more computer programs or administrative overhead stuff.
No, schools in most places are almost totally locally funded. That has been in place of a long time and severely disadvantages poor areas. This is also kind of deliberate for rather unpleasant historical reasons. We need national level school funding.

https://www.npr.org/2016/04/18/474256366/why-americas-schools-have-a-money-problem
https://www.npr.org/sections/ed/2017/06/09/531908094/devos-says-more-money-wont-help-schools-research-says-otherwise
https://www.npr.org/sections/ed/2018/01/11/577000301/americas-schools-are-profoundly-unequal-says-u-s-civil-rights-commission
https://www.npr.org/2016/05/01/476224759/is-there-a-better-way-to-pay-for-americas-schools

So many problems in society and government could be solved and made more efficient if we properly funded them. The cutting of funding the the name of cost saving is totally counter productive. I have observed its mostly a ploy to sabotage programs.

236
General Discussion / Re: Things that made you go "WTF?" today o_O
« on: May 26, 2018, 11:32:24 am »
So I apoligize to anyone who wants to know what the hell a "lotion bar" is.

Moisturize me!
It rubs the lotion on its skin


Lotion Bar sounds like something a middle-class brothel would call itself.
Reminds me of the Clockwork Orange milk bar. Not sure if that is better or worse.

237
If that's the case then why the fuck would anyone even buy those seeds in the first place? e.g. they talk about Monsanto prosecuting those who keep their seed for replanting, but ... if the seed suck so bad apparently then who would even bother? If traditional seeds are just an all-round better deal, then it wouldn't be hard to make a farm that just specializes in producing the traditional seeds to sell them to other farms, for less money than the inferior Monsanto seeds. If everything costs more with the Monsanto seeds, and there's no benefit, and they're way more disease-prone, and you need to label them GMO, why would you even? In fact, anyone who touched such seeds should immediately go out of business since they couldn't compete.
Farmers don't really need to buy traditional seeds from other farmers, since they can just reuse them. People have to continually buy seeds from Monsanto because they sell terminator seeds, which won't yield fertile seeds (if all goes right at least - means bad business for Monsanto and a high likelihood of GMO crops propagating in the wild, affecting natural biodiversity). The business models aren't really comparable. The ostensible advantage that Monsanto's GMO crops provide is not increased yield per plant (I'm being very specific here, as other biotech companies are explicitly pursuing increased yield), but resistance to roundup herbicide. You can spray a field of Monsanto's GMO cotton with roundup and it'll wipe out every plant that's competing with it, increasing overall yield.

Which kind of makes sense. A farmer's specialty is farming, it's not to be genetics specialists and run a seed-lab / seed processing/drying and storage operation on each and every farm. It just makes more sense that there's one big farm somewhere which specializes in mass-producing seeds, and each other farm buys the seed from them, in convenient bags, and specializes in just producing the food crop. Which also gives you much more flexibility: since you can decide what you're planting every year.
Doesn't make sense to me at all, especially when it comes to European farmers who are highly educated agronomists, not uneducated subsistence farmers; nor does it make sense when understanding how farmers started the green revolution with selective breeding and infrastructure alone. The move from farmers saving their own seed and sharing it with their neighbours to a world where this basic practice we've been doing since the dawn of agrarian civilization is illegal or liable to incur government taxation which renders the very cheapness of it pointless, to a world where seed supplies are dominated by three corporations who sell infertile seed where the fragility of an entire global farming system is measured in the time it takes for one disease to eliminate the sole dominant industrial variety in lieu of the innumerable local varieties - strikes me as senseless obedience to a harmful trend. I am enthusiastic about biotech firms seeking to increase yields of useful shit like cotton, but the manner of mass adoption renders desired benefits... Problematic. Much like how the mass adoption of Monsanto's GMO cotton in India got fucked when all the various local varieties were replaced by one industrial variety, seeing an initial rise in yield followed by a crisis after it emerged that the cotton adopted by millions of farmers had no resistance to white fly.

Quote
In developing countries, saving food plant seed - a traditional practice for which farmers and growers have been criminalised - is tied to the politics of globalisation through issues such as food sovereignty and intellectual property rights: whoever controls seeds controls a people's ability to feed themselves. In Europe and America, vegetable seed conservation is more about the custodianship of genetic and cultural heritage.
"Seed conservation is important, but if we keep growing these old varieties - many of which have adapted to very local conditions - we will understand more about their adaptability to changes in climate, pests and diseases," Slack says. "For example, peas prefer cooler conditions, and if you're growing them in the north of England and the climate is warming, you might find that varieties such as Glorious Devon or Kent Blue will do better in the future than Lancashire Lad. We are losing older and tougher varieties before we understand their adaptation to climate change.
Seems that everyday we go backwards, poisoning our environment with roundup just to get a comparable yield from crops better adapted to the locality. Also doesn't help that the one advantage of plants immune to roundup disappears when weeds develop immunity to it

To that end this kinda stuff will pose a big problem for biotech seed companies, and is a very interesting read, highly recommend
Quote
“The biotech industry is taking us into a more pesticide-dependent agriculture when they’ve always promised, and we need to be going in, the opposite direction,” said Bill Freese, a science policy analyst for the Center for Food Safety in Washington.
Pretty much the whole debate in a nutshell.

There's also a rather painful note of how many European nations had their own public services dedicated to the impartial breeding and testing of crop varieties - conducted with total transparency, they earned public trust by serving public interest, with no conflicts of interest requiring the greasing of palms or lining the pockets of politicians, it's easy to see why they were popular. This makes more sense to me too, not to leave such a vital strategic sector of the nation in the hands of the private sector; rather pitifully, the UK had arguably the world's best public institute in Cambridge for the study, development and experimentation of plant breeds. Margaret Thatcher privatized the Cambridge Plant Breeding Institute, selling it to Unilever on the argument that this would provide greater funds and the magic of market efficiency in developing new strains - the PBI was then sold from Unilever to Monsanto, who had the PBI demolished.

Basically bring back integrated public biotech, deregulate farm saved seed oversight & taxation, seize the means of seed production

Oh neoliberalism, fucking things up sense day one. The west really needs to kill the free market obsession it has before we implode.

It's my understanding that the round up ready crops would be sustainable is used on a longer cycle as part of a larger stratify of weed and pest control. Instead companies just pour on the pesticide with though only for profit.

238
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol: new thread subtitle pending
« on: May 26, 2018, 09:50:54 am »
People keep talking about controlling guns, another guy suggested that if there weren't so many doors in schools it would be easier to screen out potential shooters, but I think everyone is missing the point here.

The real problem isn't guns or doors, if we want to stop school shootings we need to get rid of schools.

DeVos was right?
Genius /s

I know this is meant to be sarcastic and funny, but I think we're approaching the point where liquidating schools might be a good choice in all seriousness. There'd have to be an alternative, obviously, and it would require an enormous cultural shift that would additionally require the removal of deeply entrenched complacency within tradition, obviously, the real question is what it could and should be.

The number one problem behind many of the issues in schools and any parts of government in general is severe lack of proper funding. The american education funding system is first off setup to be unfair and privilege rich areas. In addition funding is perpetually low for most schools and they are run to pump out as many students for as little as possible. This leads to a cyclical cycle of closing schools and stuffing more people into fewer larger schools. The whole thing is just fucked. I happen to have gone to a good well funded public school, coincidentally right next to Betsy's house, so take that as you will.

239
General Discussion / Re: BACK IN ACTION, BABY [DPRK Thread]
« on: May 25, 2018, 06:33:10 pm »
The talks need to go ahead, otherwise the sales of the commemorative Trump-Kim conference coins will tank. Sure, they're the most ghastly-looking things since whenever, but that only adds to the charm.
Wow those are ugly.

240
General Discussion / Re: Things that made you sad today thread.
« on: May 25, 2018, 06:15:58 pm »
TotalBiscuit has died. :(

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