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Messages - Frumple

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10861
General Discussion / Re: 2016 Orlando Shooting Discussion Thread
« on: June 16, 2016, 11:11:00 am »
If its not about crime and fatalities... Even now after Orlando, absolutely nobody is worried about gun accidents and suicides.
Not... not so much. There is a great number of suicide prevention organizations out there that would disagree with the latter, and so far as I'm aware getting firearms away from those identified as suicidally depressed is pretty common practice and given a fair amount of emphasis, even beyond all the rest involved with that. There is a great number of gun control advocates in the US that would disagree with the former; it's been a substantial chunk of the point behind local advocacy for gun safes and firearm storage regulation of the last few decades. Certainly neither get much news coverage, because, y'know, one side of this issue is throwing a lot more money at it (among other things, of course... suicide in general doesn't get nearly as much attention as it probably should in the US, no doubt in part due to our continuing attempts to stick our fingers in our ears and whistle dixie about mental health issues), but there is a hell of a lot of people that are, in fact, worried about gun accidents and suicides, particularly the latter, and have been for quite a long time.

EDIT: Reelya, I provided very detailed statistics from an official source for England and Wales' homicides and violent crime on page 4 or 5 or something. There is NO CHANGE in gun use % in homicides since the law change, and the total homicide rate is on a rise still.
Doesn't look like it? Not on the total, at least. Homicide rate's been dropping pretty steadily in england and wales since a peak in '02. Both the rate and the raw number have actually been dropping (though the rate more slowly), near as I've been able to tell, and a good chunk of that peak in '02 was actually due to extraordinary events (~ a tenth of; 172 of 1041 were attributed to a single person and recorded in that year). This seems to be the data they're drawing from, if you're like to check something closer to the source. Gun use in % of homicides also seems to be down from a decade ago by a bit, and not spiking as high to boot. This looks to be just about the best summary of data I've found yet, insofar as presentation and ease of use, though I can't speak for the rest of the site in the least.

Actually think the suicide rates data is more interesting, though; both are lower than the earliest point they were both tracked in that data, but total is down significantly more than just firearm. Considering one of the common statements is that reducing firearm access reduces total suicides beyond just lowering gun ones... though the data is a few years out of date, and iirc the UK's having a bit of a suicide spike at the moment. Could be outdated to some degree.

10862
Yeah, it's a fun sentiment until you actually live with it. I'll take the lesser evil, thanks. It's less likely to have me starving to death in the streets, among any number of other bad ends. I care about the future generations, but not enough for that, and I'd much rather live for them than die for them.

If y'all want to suffer and/or die for them, well. Good luck, have fun, please stay away from me, my family, friends, any other bystanders, etc., when you go out in a blaze. I support most self-destructive behavior so long as no one besides the individual in question is in the blast radius. Please don't try to put me and the rest of the country/world in the blast radius.

10863
General Discussion / Re: 2016 Orlando Shooting Discussion Thread
« on: June 16, 2016, 07:17:27 am »
really, all this talk about protectionism etc needs to be split up in bigger buckets.

there's gun terrorism attack like this one, there's directed gun violence, mostly in the form of passion crimes, then there are the generic turf wars between tugs, then there's the robberies and home invasion etc.

gun control would likely address a minority of these situations, and would only remove the means, but not the causes, which would NOT reduce crime.
Folks, if we're going to be doing this, please stop doing this.

Stopping or reducing crime is a secondary effect of gun control. It's always been a secondary effect of gun control. Gun control is about reducing fatalities, crime related or not, and reducing opportunity (to easily kill, to commit suicide, to accidentally shoot yourself or others, to have reason to break into peoples'  homes, etc., etc., etc.), no more, no less. Whether or not total crime is reduced is pretty much entirely bloody irrelevant. It also pretty rarely calls for, y'know, actual full out bans. Most proponents would be pretty much entirely comfortable with you having whatever sitting at the nearby shooting range, ferex. Stateside, many are just looking for better (or any) licensing, training (would it help any to get across this is an issue if I relay the fucking joke that was florida's concealed carry program, again?), and maybe tracking.

It should be remembered that non-crime gun related fatalities are roughly on par in number as the state's entire homicide count, and we're pretty damn sure at this point that reducing firearm saturation or, if nothing else, making it more difficult to get at them (delays on purchasing, regulation on storage, etc.) contributes to reducing that to some degree, and probably a notable one. It doesn't prevent it entirely! Of course not. No one but madmen and slanderers are claiming it would. But as is repeatedly stated, means matter, and there are few means available that are as easy and effective than a gun.

And yes, people. Everyone involved here is aware that there is more to crime, suicide, and everything else involved with this than just firearms. We know that better firearm control would not be a silver bullet for all the ills they're involved in. We know other things have effects, and we know quite a few things have significantly larger ones on those sorts of issues. The reason it gets as much focus on is because it's a much simpler thing to deal with. Regulating (and even enforcing) better storage or various weapon limitations or etc., so forth, so on, is much smaller and much simpler of a task than reducing poverty, combating mental health issues, and managing the drug trade, among whatever other issues are involved. That's why it's not the only thing people wanting to deal with all that mess focus on! Gun control isn't the cure for the problems it's intended to help with, it's an attempt at a bloody seatbelt, put in place to make all the other efforts to keep more people alive that much easier.

10864
General Discussion / Re: 2016 Orlando Shooting Discussion Thread
« on: June 15, 2016, 11:21:19 pm »
Pretty sure that was actually touched on a fair bit during the initial discussions on it, before this thread was made. It has been mentioned a bit here, too.

That said, more discussion on the firearm angle kinda' makes something approaching sense. Doing stuff about it involves a lot less... everything. Logistics, political capital, etc., etc., etc. Makes it easier to get invested in the discussion.

Mostly just been the flow of conversation, though.

10865
You forgot to mention it was built by hitler after he faked his death, time traveled to the future, and gene-spliced himself with stalin and mao.

10866
General Discussion / Re: Jihadi stabs Police Officer in France
« on: June 15, 2016, 09:09:34 pm »
*shrugs* They're an armed organization, by and large, and often are pretty involved in fighting insurrectionists and whatnot. More or less a militia/military dedicated to combating domestic threats, really. Would say they'd be pretty legitimate, especially in areas where they're substantially involved in various harms to the population.

No clue how they're considered insofar as international law et al is concerned, though.

10867
Nonono, I mean the killing the best ones specifically--sport hunters usually go after the bucks with the most magnificent, er, antlers? Horns? Which generally signify the deer's overall physical capabilities. If a disease starts taking out the deer, then leaving only females and the weakest of the males could lead to a localized extinction.
... thing is, we could honestly kinda' do with a fair number of localized extinctions right now, so far as I'm aware. It could improve things for a fair chunk of the country vis a vis deer population. Others migrate in once the local population is dead, usually, which thins out saturation and whatnot, and the deer population density is a pretty significant ecological problem in some areas. And for some idea of the scope of things, we have more deer than we have asians in this country. More deer than every non white, black or latino demographic combined. Nearly as many as we have black folks. We have a lot of deer, and best conditions can see the local population double in two years.

That said, it does seem like we're starting to come down a bit, which I actually wasn't aware of, heh. There's still more than enough room for some pretty massive die back, though.

... though beyond all that, the largest point bucks are usually relatively old. Not always, but it's pretty likely. They tend to spread the genes around just fine before sport hunters start going after them. Antler size also isn't really the best indication of health, particularly genetics wise. S'mostly just indicative of available diet, s'far as I'm aware.

And yes, folks, when the estimated carrying capacity (i.e. the number that can inhabit an area before it starts becoming more likely to cause damage) for deer is around eight per kilometer and there's regions in the US where the actual density approaches a hundred per km, it is, in fact, something of a stateside political issue. Far from the largest, but it's definitely there.

10868
Other Games / Re: Dawn of War 3
« on: June 15, 2016, 06:52:55 pm »
in fact, that particular genre is responsible for bringing much of what we consider acidic and bad to the world of computer gaming communities.
Oh, ohohoho, no, no. Having, y'know, been there for much of the development of online multiplayer (particularly in the period leading up to DotA strangling WC3's custom games list), no, it was not. It has been one of the genres better at bringing it out than most, but all that nastiness has been an aspect of multiplayer gaming since before WC3 and/or starcraft even existed, nevermind the first AoS-style maps or the ones that would ultimately spawn DotA.

Does seem like people like to claim it was, these days, and, as stated, the nature of the common designs involved do seem to be really damn good at bringing out the worst, but the worst was very much there before the competitive AoS map was. At the most, the gaming scene in general just wasn't as popular at the time, so not as many people were exposed to it, heh. But y'don't really get to blame the AoS map for general (oft well earned) stereotypes of gaming communities. We had that shit on lockdown for years before they came about.

10869
What utterly disgusts me about deer hunting is sport hunting. Hunting to eat I can live with on moral grounds, I suppose. But hunting the biggest and strongest, let alone with weapons that leave no chance of fairness in battle, for your own amusement? Cruel and ecologically disruptive.
Bit on the cruel side, yes, but... ecologically disruptive, not so much. Not with deer, not in most areas of the states. The US (among other places) has a pretty serious deer overpopulation issue, yeah. Not killing them is more disruptive than killing them, even if you're not going to eat it, at the moment.

10870
Vast majority of deer/elk meat probably end up on dinner plates in the US too.
Eeehhh, near as I can tell the vast majority actually doesn't. More around a plurality. A lot actually goes to waste, either rotting on the side of the road (last numbers were >1 million deer/vehicle collisions over the course of a year, and that's around the average near as I can tell*) or discarded for various reasons (seen the average harvest from a deer ballparked at ~22kg -- where the low end of an adult white-tail by weight is around 40kg). Fair amount of a deer's meat just going to be thrown out.

Hunting does probably get around two or three times (hunters kill ~6 million yearly, so estimating at ~half the weight per deer -- which is probably generous, as not every hunter even bothers to bring the meat back for eating at all, but whatever -- being brought back leaves their contribution ~3 million, pound for pound) what roadkill does (and, being fair, some of that roadkill actually gets eaten -- most states I'm aware of have programs where police or whathaveyou'll pick up deer if they get to them soon enough and let prisoners render them down), but between that and natural causes it probably only manages somewhere in the region of half or so.

*Fun fact, deer are basically the deadliest non-insect, non-human animal in the US, by a fairly substantial margin (mosquitoes appear to edge them out a fair bit if you're counting bugs, though). Over the course of a year, deer average something in a range of "every human death by bear in the 20th century" in body count (around 130), thanks to the little bastards turning roadways into impromptu collision testing venues.

For reference, it looks like the most consistent records we have for fatal wolf attacks comes from france, where they managed to average... about ten a year, over the period of 1200-1920. Asia looks like they're having the most trouble with actual bodycount in modern times, though... for all they still appear to be averaging about four a year (200 recorded in the 50 years leading up to '02).

E: Though, for the interested, this looks like a pretty nice breakdown of deer fatalities and whatnot. S'possible hunting in fact represents less than half the dead deer (nevermind the meat) in this country, maybe even fairly substantially.

---

And nah, you don't need a human on the battlefield. Controlling whatever's on it, maybe, but outside of various ethical/societal concerns about the human cost of war being too cheap, there's really no particular need to actually have flesh and blood being shot at. Even beyond airborne drones, there's already a fair amount of remote controlled or autonomous military devices under development and whatnot.

10871
I mean, to register with the SSS, it can be done online. You just have to notify them of any change of address. Fairly trivial stuff.
... y'know, now that I think about it has been a long while since I registered. They didn't really have as thorough internet saturation back then, and the automation and whatnot was even more shit. Things are probably a bit easier nowadays.

10872
General Discussion / Re: 2016 Orlando Shooting Discussion Thread
« on: June 15, 2016, 01:51:12 pm »
Eh, re: the homicide statement, at least, morg was pretty accurate. 1990-94 was about the last time in recent history both the rate and the raw number have done much more than slide pretty steadily downward, and that was 26-22 years ago.

10873
Little bit more to it than that, iirc, and there's also cards and whatnot involved. Usually do it in tandem with something else, sure, but in this case many of 'em will have already done said things. Unless it's only going to apply to people coming of age in the future, I guess. Haven't actually looked at any details, heh.

10874
General Discussion / Re: Jihadi stabs Police Officer in France
« on: June 15, 2016, 01:36:05 pm »
Among other reasons, yeah. The religious affiliation, the people being targeted by 'em, political/economic importance of the regions they're acting in, etc., etc., etc. Likely even frequency and scope and whatnot. Pretty unlikely it's just one thing leading to the relative lack of coverage.

10875
I'unno, I could see folks being easily irritated by previously unnecessary paperwork, regardless of the amount or strenuousness of it. S'also th'fact that it expanding to women will probably mean all that shit that's locked behind selective service registration will suddenly come clamping down for them, too.

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