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Messages - Frumple

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1651
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: June 02, 2022, 12:00:39 am »
Oh I know that most mentally ill people don't shoot up schools. I have borderline personality disorder myself.

But I'd say 99.9% of mass shooters are mentally ill. That was my point.
Going by the linked report, it's closer to 66% with a documented history, or about two thirds (which sounds higher than it is -- the base rate for the US population is around 50% for developing a history of it at some point in their life, so it's higher than the general population for the shooters in question, but not wildly so). Even if identification rates got better, I doubt it'd get much higher -- a lot of mass shootings are spur of the moment things, which don't take having lingering psyche troubles to occur. The issue they have is easy access to a particularly deadly weapon, full stop.

Extremely pointedly, though, the number of cases where it's directly linked to a symptom of mental illness (i.e. hallucination, delusion, etc.) is closer to a 6th or so -- only 16-ish percent. It's not mental illness causing this stuff. Correlating, but not causing.

... though so far as practicality goes, you'll note I already chimed in on that. There's nothing practical that can be done stateside, with the way things currently are. The precondition to any meaningful improvement on the gun violence front is to break the american right wing as a substantive political force, because without that you're not going to accomplish much of anything with them actively attacking every possible avenue of improvement, even the goddamn ones their own politicos are suggesting. Until their horseshit can be stopped, fuckall is going to occur on this front.

1652
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: June 01, 2022, 11:40:06 pm »
That's not exactly the point vec's making, max. Plenty of folks (i.e. the wild majority) who are mentally ill don't shoot up schools, or even anything else. Something like a quarter of the US has an active mental illness diagnosis during any given year, and far all there's too goddamn many of them the number of school shootings is only about one a week (i.e. 50-55 out of something like 82 million, which is a percentage so low the calculator on this computer gives up and resorts to scientific notation).

Nevermind that the vast majority of gun violence happens outside of schools, quite a lot of it inflicted by people that would pass through a psyche screening like greased owl shit, disproportionately on people who wouldn't or haven't. Vec's 100% correct when they say someone mentally ill is more likely a victim than a perpetrator of gun violence.

Like, frankly, it's one of the complications with the intersection of mental health and gun violence -- while many folks committing the latter are mentally ill to some degree, the vast, vast majority of folks who are mentally ill are not even violent, much less murderously violent and willing to resort to shooting people. Much of what mental health services do aren't going to have anything to do with folks that are a shooting risk, because even if absolutely no one slipped through the (underfunded, hamstrung by conservative shitheels) cracks there's just not that many of them, and the way mental healthcare works just... isn't super good at identifying the ones that are.

It's one of several reasons why improved mental health services just wouldn't be a silver bullet, even if somehow conservatives stopped trying to sabotage it across the board and instead threw full throated support behind it in an effort to mitigate gun violence. It's just not very effective at identifying and preventing the problem in question. Good for a massive fuckton of other reasons, but... not that one.

... all that said, if you're looking for the most effective mental health service to provide to mitigate mass shootings in particular, well... studies have found (link to a vice report on one of them) that the single most pervasive commonality between shooters is that they're extremely likely (something like 70% or up, iirc) to be suicidal. So... suicide prevention would be the way to go, more than basically any and every thing else.

Coincidence that's one of the named and explicit targets of anti-school efforts by the GOP? One would hope it's just a coincidence, I guess...

1653
General Discussion / Re: Things that made you go "WTF?" today o_O
« on: June 01, 2022, 11:13:22 pm »
Solution: only the Bible is real. :P
I mean, if we're going that route I'd probably give the dub there to the Vedas instead -- they're both older and often more interesting :P

... plus it's more or less just sanskrit, iirc, instead of three other languages. Minimalism in existentially substantial linguistic mediums! It's good stuff.

1654
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: June 01, 2022, 11:08:06 pm »
It's been actively attacked by the GOP in particular (followed by insurance fuckers and their ilk, when they aren't one and the same) for at least as long as I've been alive. Falling apart isn't quite the right words for something buckling in the face of persistent and pervasive sabotage hitting the effects of a system wide plague like a barrel of shit thrown into a hurricane fan, y'know? Not that it isn't fairly literal for some of the more neglected hospitals, ha.

... that said, I actually haven't noticed much worse waits than what's been pretty usual most of my life? Like, it's definitely there and it's probably worse in some areas or specific specialties, but wait time has been weeks to months for most things as far back as I can remember. It's worse these days, but it's worse relative to a previous situation that was regularly pretty shit anyway, heh.

1655
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: June 01, 2022, 10:18:46 pm »
If people didn't have guns to kill people, they'd use cars to kill people. If people didn't have cars to kill people, they'd use knives to kill people.
In far fewer numbers with far lower lethality. Guns are uniquely deadly and easy to use (among methods of both homicide and suicide), unfortunately.

E: Any case, there's no solution until something can be done to break the back of the US conservative political sphere, in some way that (eventually) opens up the possibility of improvement on any front. As is, that's the driving force behind firearm proliferation and opposition or non-cooperation to any and all means of mitigation of its effects. Mental health proposals are a nonstarter -- they're actively opposed to those and will block or sabotage any efforts, and will not fund them. Hardening schools is a non-starter -- for all the current mouth noises, they will actively oppose and sabotage any efforts to actually do so, and will not fund them. Firearm regulation and enforcement is a nonstarter -- they're actively opposed to that and will block and sabotage any efforts, and will not fund them. Even further arming the population is a nonstarter, because even in cases where it's theoretically possible they will not fund and support people trying to do so. The list goes fucking on. They will oppose and sabotage any efforts by any level of government to improve the state of things, and will either do the same or just leave out in the cold any non-government efforts, too.

There is no solution while the state of US politics, and especially anything GOP aligned, is in the state it is. There'll be about a school shooting a week and a mass shooting every couple of days, and it will continue until that state changes.

1656
General Discussion / Re: Things that made you go "WTF?" today o_O
« on: June 01, 2022, 10:16:45 pm »
None of these words were written in the Bible...
Technically accurate, as nothing in the english language was. That saying should have pretty long legs in any conversation not in hebrew, greek, or aramaic :P

Meanwhile none of it is sanskrit, so we've all reciprocally fallen afoul of the vedas. With two non-overlapping holy texts, all words are outside their preview and we're collectively up the Holy Shit Creek of Quietude, with no words to describe a paddle and none to be seen.

1657
General Discussion / Re: Things that made you go "WTF?" today o_O
« on: June 01, 2022, 01:54:37 pm »
That feeling when you call to make an appointment with someone and find out scheduling may be erratic for a bit because one of their parents is currently dying in the hospital.

It's not quite upset or sad ('cause, like, the person on the other end isn't exactly a close acquaintance or whatever), it's definitely awkward as hell, it's hard to put this sentiment in words, yeah. You think about not going through with it but with a funeral and whatnot in the near future they're probably going to need the money and the work often helps with the aftermath anyway, but... yeah. Yeah.

1658
I've had dreams where I came out of them staggeringly pissed off, yes, if quite rarely. Dreams for me are mostly pleasant things, though, so it's rare in general that I feel nasty shit in them (I do not like being angry, even a little, so it definitely would count).

I can't really think of any emotional state I haven't experienced in a dream, thinking on it. It's run the gamut at one point or another, for better or worse.

I definitely have memory of feeling the same sort of thing as when dealing with inhibitions, though, so I'd hard disagree we have no inhibitions in dreams. It's possible to have a dream like that, but it's not a guaranteed thing. You're going to be hard pressed to find many absolutely always there components beyond the very bare bones to a process that varies as much as it does between individuals.

1659
I mean, a virus which turns us all into monke would solve alotta problems, you have to admit.
Sadly, the monkeypox makes no one gayer than a barrel of bonobos. Instead it makes you miserable and appears to have something like a 1-3% fatality rate, so. Here's to finding out if the US can lose another million to a new plague!

1660
i'm apparently getting too old for sleep scheduling interruptions

grandparent woke me up at 4:30 this morning, thinks they might have caught a stomach bug and doesn't need to be close to other grandparent, the one with fairly advanced dementia that can't go to the bathroom alone without, like, trailing shit everywhere afterwards

so like, i'm awake now, i don't get to sleep anymore

but in trying to email boss people 'cause like, not going to drive on sub 3 hours sleep and possible contagious illness, it took multiple tries to get the fucking email address right and I'm just like

i cannot human right now, please check back later

frumple needs their sleep, damnit, the more I run into stuff like this the more I'm finding I just do not have nearly the tolerance for sleep disruption like I used to, and it sucks really fucking hard because it's becoming more common instead of less :-\

1661
I was watching Prehistoric Planet this week. I think that was the best dinosaur animation I've ever seen.
do they have feathers now?

1662
Which one of y'all would be a good villain and why?
Obviously I am as I steel all the toilet paper from gas station bathrooms!
metal plating bathroom toilet paper is a weird flex, but it's definitely in line with old school supervillainy, so...

1663
General Discussion / Re: The Scum and Villainy Thread
« on: May 29, 2022, 12:50:06 am »
I can only imagine hypnotoad would approve of sending putin a letter full of adders. Honestly, the world could probably use more weird shit like that...

1664
General Discussion / Re: Profoundly Dumb ideas
« on: May 28, 2022, 05:49:59 pm »
Playing League of Legends in 2022.
/thread

pack it up folks, we're done here

1665
General Discussion / Re: AmeriPol thread
« on: May 28, 2022, 03:49:20 pm »
I'm roughly 90% sure LGBT stuff's been tried under obscenity laws already, probably several times given how persistent bigots are on the subject, with the obvious results of the general subject not qualifying.

The issue with that would be that the current conservative majority in the SCOTUS largely doesn't give a single sodden shit about precedent, so, y'know.

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