Bay 12 Games Forum

Please login or register.

Login with username, password and session length
Advanced search  

Show Posts

This section allows you to view all posts made by this member. Note that you can only see posts made in areas you currently have access to.

Messages - Frumple

Pages: 1 ... 519 520 [521] 522 523 ... 1929
7801
Yeah, been some talking about it over in the other thread. Aimed at a single airbase, 50 off-coast launched tomahawks, I think (already forgotten details, as it's half 'till midnight for me). Congress apparently got no warning, it looks like russia probably got a warning but details are kinda' muddled, the actual damage probably helped local extremists more anything. It's... something of a clusterfuck, tbh. Won't be for a day or two until we know more about what the hell happened. Going to get real interesting if russia gets pissed, or congress decides to not sanction the attack, or any number of other things.

7802
They'll do whatever gets attention, mostly, serg. Evocative words that are mostly accurate and just happen to catch attention, even if they cut out some fairly important stuff, well... welcome to the fourth estate, mate.

E: Any case, it looks like warning might have actually been given, with part of the panic being gov't spokesfolks fucking up the whole "can talk" thing. Apparently when someone mentioned a deconfliction warning (which kinda' isn't what you send ahead of time when you're about to bomb something, it seems -- more a "hey, we'll be around here, lets not shoot each other"), they meant warning was given over the already established deconfliction line.

7803
I hear ya' mang. Unannounced offshore missile attack on an air base is exactly like pressuring for a no-fly zone after further attempts at diplomatic outreach.
"Diplomatic outreach"? She lied about any "diplomatic outreach"!
Here. Have the context. About five minutes past was what you quoted from the article. The statement saying with or against was literally about talking to fucking putin, and stated framed under the belief that would putin would listen.

It was fairly aggressive, but that article also stripped and rearranged shit, and it was fairly in line with her previous stance.

E: Would have offered a transcript, but at least at this point in time I couldn't find any that had made it online, yet.

7804
I hear ya' mang. Unannounced offshore missile attack on an air base is exactly like pressuring for a no-fly zone after further attempts at diplomatic outreach.

7805
I can't say amusing is the right word, but it's something that one of the top comments in that AP twitter thing is a link to a post back in 2013 of trump coming out against exactly what he just did. Sodding 2017 took 2016 as a challenge, apparently.

7806
... well, maybe we'll luck (?) out, congress won't retroactively approve the attack, and impeachment hearings start? Even if intervention is a good idea I can't think of many less qualified to oversee it than trump.

I doubt it, but eh. It'd be a silver lining in the shitstorm. Might even have a chance of diplomacy happening instead of unhesitating escalation.

... yeah, this is going to go to hell, isn't it?

7807
Welp. Hey serg, I think someone just called the bluff :-\

I guess the question now is if we're about to be in open conflict with russia or if they'll suddenly swing in favor of their american connections, if only by not responding.

7808
So there is a regular audit, yeah, and the report and summary both mention that it happens. That's not what this report was commissioned for. This audit was called because actual scrutiny showed the original audits were, as nenjin says, in pretty bad shape.
Actually missed nenjin's bit (was it edited in, or did I just miss it?), but yeah, I'm aware of why the report was commissioned -- I was making the note because I noticed a lot of people (off b12, obviously enough) in passing attributing this to carson, when not even the stuff related to the restatement had sod all to do with him. As noted, I made the mistake of thinking there could be a connection as well.

That said, the thing that's standing out to me is that from what I can tell it looks like more or less the exact same thing happened previously -- the 2015-2016 report wasn't the first with restated numbers, i.e. another go was called in 'cause the first was pretty shit. Looks like years before had similar problems, checking a little. And in those? It doesn't appear like the cumulative total of the data errors were reported on, despite the identified issues being nearly identical.

On one hand, I can understand why that might have happened, particularly considering this is clearly a multi-year issue (though for what that's worth, I can also understand why it would take many years to fix, particularly in a federal program where workers cling to their positions like someone on a ship mast in the middle of the ocean). Someone could have totally wanted to give the folks apparently dragging ass around a kick in the rear. On the other the change happening to be in this report, released just before carson came in, with an opinion that (as lots of the initial reporting seem to be seizing on) can easily be construed as saying there's a half-trillion dollar fraud case sitting under the HUD's financial work and making both no apparent effort to clarify the actual import of what they're saying and a fair go at pointedly not... I'm not saying there's foul play going on, exactly. Just that it's sketchy.

There's definitely a problem going on, mind you. It's just the problem doesn't appear to be of the magnitude or nature that people (including yourself, as per your comment related to their actual budget size) seem to be seizing on.

Quote
You also seem to be parsing 3.4 billion as 3.4 million, which is... a pretty substantial difference, either that or I'm just missing where you're getting that number from.
Appendix A, the very first thing in the appendix.

E: Though it did just occur to me there's something morbidly hilarious about people attributing this to trump's lot, when the guy's basically promised to kneecap accounting standards for corporations at the least and had little to nothing to do with the report to begin with. Sudden and inevitable betrayal in X minutes and counting :V

7809
... actually, as I skim over that report more and eyeball around a bit, I think I'm starting to develop a burning urge to strangle whoever wrote that report summary. Whoever decided to add up the results of compounding account errors -- which, from what I can tell from the HUD response and what the auditor(s) are actually saying, looks to be the primary problem with the total -- and present them without qualification or clarification is someone I would perhaps be willing to give a solid kick to the nethers on behalf of all accountants in the USA.

What seems to have actually happened of material note we could rely on, instead of possibly unreliable financial data and whatever the fuck was going through that auditing group's head, is that the HUD had a (probably not terribly major in any substantiative sense) problem with sloppy accounting, which when combined with system migration and the process of integrating legacy accounts into the system led to data entry errors, probably mostly of the misplaced decimal or typo sort, that when corrected caused compounding errors to propagate through the financial reports. The 500 billion value -- most of the discrepancies period, really -- appears to be almost entirely comprised of that, from what I can parse* of what the report actually says.

Basically, the numbers were wrong, but there doesn't appear to be substantial money or material actually missing, and what caused it, while there and needing redress, wasn't actually major and has mitigating circumstances besides. That huge amount was a data error, not a financial or management one (though there's issue with the latter overseeing the errors happening to begin with). If there's money actually missing, misused, or defrauded, it's probably a much, much smaller number -- the HUD itself says around three million (somewhere in the very rough range of about .006% of their budget over those two years) -- than what the report is intimating (and the news bits that are starting to kick up) even if it's being fairly careful to not actually say it.

... also, it's probably worth noting (both to myself, who was suspicious of the connection, and to those holding it as an achievement), that carson (and by extension trump's administration) had precisely fuck all to do with the audit, which was procedural, has been going on annually since somewhere in the 90s, was done under obama's presidency, and published the day before carson assumed the position. So for all those worried about either flawless accounting practice or possible fraud, say it with me: "Thanks, Obama."

*Though, to be fair, I've only got fairly low level accounting training, little field experience, and only basic introduction to auditing principles -- basically, there's definitely nuances and whatnot I could be misinterpreting or missing. Enough exposure to go, "Yo', hold up." without being entirely confidant they actually need to hold up, or in what manner or to what degree. That said, that report is very "Yo', hold up."

7810
Carson's independent audit of the HUD's finances for 2015 and 2016 came back earlier, and found that compliance with financial regulation and basic accounting practice had been lacking. The corrections are pretty significant when you consider that HUD has an operating budget of ~$35bn. I wonder if similar audits of other departments would turn up similar results?

https://www.hudoig.gov/reports-publications/audit-reports/hud%E2%80%99s-fiscal-years-2016-and-2015-restated-consolidated-financial
Interesting bit to me is the auditee reply in the report, tbh. Especially considering the plausibility of it, which for those with no accounting exposure isn't exactly a difficult situation to encounter, particularly when migrating systems. Probably going to hold out a major opinion until someone with better training than me can go over it, though, and lay out exactly how the report's numbers were reached and whether the statement regarding the actual impact of those mistakes are accurate or not.

'Cause you're either looking at a half-trillion dollar funds misplacement and what's likely fairly serious fraud of one sort or another -- that somehow managed to go at least two years under multiple audits and who knows how much third+ party scrutiny without being noticed -- or you're looking at a three million dollar one and someone blowing the importance of mid-migration and legacy accounting integration errors up about a hundred and sixty-ish thousand times what it warrants, when the department head just happens to be part of an administration that's got something of a questionable relationship to things like honesty, accuracy, or truth.

Be really neat if the actual audit work was squirreled away somewhere accessible, though. Something more detailed about methodology and finds and whatnot could be an interesting read, from an accounting perspective.

7811
Hell, it's not even really how it's always worked. Previous administrations at least tried to keep that kind of thing limited to nonessential or largely harmless positions when the person in question was likely unable to manage the work involved, and/or generally made at least something of an attempt to make sure some or most of their related support staff was competent and knew what the hell they were doing. There was at least a modicum of attempt to have a functioning government, even if there was some favor trading of one sort or another.

That damn sure ain't what's happening with this one.

7812
I guess if you squint real hard you could sorta' make the argument? It's just that said subjugated bunch have figured out how to largely dictate what that will is despite being dependent on ground level workers for their own lifestyles, and the collectivization is managed through largely capitalist methodology. As desired by the workers. Also parts of the proletariat hates both other parts and/or themselves, so conditions for said proles are not exactly consistent.

7813
General Discussion / Re: Things that made you go "WTF?" today o_O
« on: April 06, 2017, 08:59:45 am »
But thats why you employ things such as body cams, proper training, periodical psych evaluations, etc. People who work in security and are armed for that end need that sort of structure, after all, they're just people, so there needs to be safeguards against their misbehavior. When someone trusted with that kind of onus fucks up, intentionaly or not, there needs to be swift and strong mechanisms to deal with that, something thats not always present.
Often not present. The nature of police unions and departments has meant that punitive or corrective measures are rarely taken and even more rarely of such a nature that they look like actual substantiative measures to the public that gets years of mandatory jail time for transgressions that aren't nearly as severe. We've been trusting cops to police their own for a long time, and it's been made increasingly obvious that trust was misplaced at worst and entirely too lenient at best.

Quote
And yet, these cases get a fuckhuge coverage, meaning everyone gets that image of cops imprinted into their skull cavity, thus creating a general feeling of tension in cop x civilian situations.
They get fuckhuge coverage because both the police and judicial system protect that minority to the point of what looks to anyone sane like outright maliciousness. The minority that actually performs the actions are only a minority of the problem; the mechanisms and culture that protects them is the primary issue. The cop that shoots someone trying to surrender or knocked unconscious or is unarmed or [insert continuing list] is more a symptom, and as near as the public can tell the cause of it is barely treated when it's acknowledged at all.

Quote
Having to shoot a perp that attacked you nowadays is good recipe for social suicide, so cops start to come up with MORE reasons to justify their actions, which can lead to rather shady situations.
This, however, is largely untrue. We've seen repeatedly that things like bodycams and whatnot (even purely social measures, such as instituting third party watchdogs) cut the reasons given to justify their actions, or reduce their actions entirely. Scrutiny isn't causing bad behavior, it's exposing what was already there -- and it's strongly suggested by practical implementations that more scrutiny would cut down on that, not make cops more inventive about finding excuses to get away with killing or maiming people.

Quote
Its a vicious cycle in which cops are only one of the factors, and not even the driving one.
It's a vicious cycle, but it's absolutely the police and judicial system that are driving it, and has been since the start. Media and awareness has catalyzed things so it's actually being noticed as a problem by more than particularly abused communities, but the problem damn sure isn't being largely invented. If the blue line wasn't so insistent and cops didn't get more legal largess in court than a bloody saint, there wouldn't be much to drive. But it is and they do, and until that stops there's little chance the public reaction to that is going to do anything but become worse.

Though it's still got a long damn way to go before it even gets bad, mind you. We'll hit that point around the time officer testimony in a court isn't given extra weight and legitimacy, and that's still a ways off.

7814
General Discussion / Re: Things that made you go "WTF?" today o_O
« on: April 06, 2017, 08:09:22 am »
TA, cops can and have straight up lied about the reason and never seen meaningful legal repercussion for it, if any official consequences at all. Legally, they do need one. Practically, they can goddamn invent one and it'll pass through quite a few of our courts and/or grand juries. Folks have been shot for complying. Folks have been shot for doing nothing but laying there. Folks have been shot for being so injured they couldn't comply. With many of the cases of shit like that, if it even made it to court the cop was not found guilty and received no censure besides maybe paid leave.

Again. Legally, yes, the cops need more of a reason than just resisting arrest. In practice, even with the increased scrutiny in recent years and (not even remotely complete) erosion of the trust given to police officers, any reason invented or not will be accepted as justification. "Likely" fine does not mean fine. There's nothing obscure about the mechanisms involved. We trust officers to honestly report the justification they used. Officers that tend to get in the crosshairs of this sort of thing seem to have this odd -- and rather effective -- habit of not doing that. They're fortunately a minority, but it very easily explains where the fiction trope of shooting a fleeing individual comes from.

7815
Blocking ads on TV was never an option though. It kinda sucked, but what could you do besides turn the volume down until your show came back?
Not strictly true! There's been subscriptions, or specific packaging or programming, or specific hardware, that actually rendered your experience commercial free. Most are/were pretty expensive, though, near as I can recall.

In any case, beyond all you pointed out, I'd say the biggest difference so far as frustration and hostility goes is in the means of interaction. TV is very... sessile. You have little to no interaction with the system itself, and most of your agency comes from choosing channel or turning it off, which you're probably only doing intermittently at best. Meanwhile, most means of access to internet content is much more dynamic and direct; you're not just choosing specifically what, but where, format and resolution, what parts you're watching and so on, all on top of anything else you might be doing with the computer/phone/whatever. The TV ad is interrupting your show (in a way most are specifically designed to accommodate), whereas the internet as is interrupting your everything and interfering with your actions to boot. It's much, much more jarring and intrusive, even if the absolute amount is smaller per unit of content. Ree notes it fairly well, really. Missed it before typing all that at, or I would have just quoted it, ha.

Pages: 1 ... 519 520 [521] 522 523 ... 1929