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Author Topic: Untamed Virus Containment Thread: COVID-19: Ride the Wave, Dude! Edition  (Read 87493 times)

Iduno

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Re: Untamed Virus Containment Thread: COVID-19: Ride the Wave, Dude! Edition
« Reply #3585 on: July 09, 2020, 01:09:18 pm »

I also think early on a lot of cases went undiagnosed until people came into the hospital because they were already very ill. Today there's a lot more testing with mild symptoms, so that would definitely give you a longer delay. Let's hope they can avoid capacity problems at hospitals this time around.

Already a week too late for that hope, depending on where you are.
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Max™

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Re: Untamed Virus Containment Thread: COVID-19: Ride the Wave, Dude! Edition
« Reply #3586 on: July 09, 2020, 09:50:29 pm »

Two days of 60k+ cases, been sitting around 900 deaths a day, but those deaths got infected back when we were just restarting the climb past 20k cases in june.

I wish I could see a reason to think the multiple 50k+ case days over the last two weeks won't result in a terrifying new jump in deaths that we're just seeing the edge of...

...I really wish I could.
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scriver

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So yesterday the news on my news was that covid, according to an as of yet unpublished Italian study, is "getting weaker". What do you think, reliable or media hyperbole?
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MetalSlimeHunt

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Strains are popping off all over the place as viruses do, but no I don't think so. This may be a statistical illusion created by more infections of young people, who are more likely to have mild symptoms and survive.
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andrea

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More younger people, better treatment, not overwhelmed hospitals. Plus many vulnerable groups have been hit already.
There are a lot of reasons why we would expect a lot less deaths (at least in Italy) compared to march.
Of course it is possible that a weaker strain is spreading and perhaps they have proven that in the study. Just, there are many reasons for lower lethality besides a weaker virus.

misko27

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US death rate just spiked, from 200+ to 900+ 2 days in a row, so I wouldn't put any money on a guess that the virus has gotten weaker just yet.
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ChairmanPoo

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So yesterday the news on my news was that covid, according to an as of yet unpublished Italian study, is "getting weaker". What do you think, reliable or media hyperbole?
For what I've read all along its not significantly changing one way or the other, nor is it expected to do so. Any supposed behavior changes are more likely related to changes in human behavior.
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