I am home.
@Imp yes it's fairly obvious that ToonyMan told chatgpt to assume that Agentt is mafia and ToonyMan is town.
This is slander and 100% untrue.
I believe you. It's interesting and weirdly coincidental though. Now I'm rolefishing ChatGPT as psychic.
Your only prompts are:
1) There is a 9 player game of mafia. 2 players are mafia. The list of players are Jim, Sal, Imp, Crystal, NQT, Toony, Magma, Agentt, and AnimePigeon. It is Day 1 with Jim, NQT, Sal, and Toony are voting Agentt while Magma, Crystal, and Agentt are voting Toony while Imp and AnimePigeon have not voted yet. Who is most likely mafia here?
2) What would be the percentage chances for each player being mafia?
Yet the model differentiates interestingly:
Imp Not voting = avoiding alignment. Classic passive scum behavior. 25%
AnimePigeon Also not voting. Slightly less suspicious if they’re truly inactive. 20%
Truly inactive? Neat because AP was a late to start posting player. But the model wasn't told that? Also I have voted and unvoted, 2x. AP has never voted as of when you asked.
It just openly presumes these 3 are early voters on Agentt?
NQT Early voter on Agentt, unlikely to bus this hard D1. 10%
Jim On Agentt early, likely town. 10%
Sal Same as above. Could be a busser, but less likely. 10%
There's absolutely nothing in your prompt to suggest who was an early voter or not - yet those three are ... whoops, only NQT was an early voter - but on AP. Agent and Crystal were the other early voters, again not on Agentt. But NQT sure was an early voter! Sal was the 4th to vote, Jim was VERY late compared to most of us to vote.
Neat stuff.
My personalization on, same first prompt as Toons (I don't need to ask for percentages):
🧮 Let’s run an informal scum-likelihood check:
Let’s assign scum equity (higher = more likely to be mafia), based on positioning only:
Player Scum Equity Notes
Agentt 7.5/10 Voting Toony; if they flip scum, it explains the wagon nicely. Strong equity.
Crystal 6.5/10 On counterwagon; could be saving scumbuddy.
Magma 6.5/10 Same logic as Crystal.
Imp 6/10 Not voting; likely withholding vote—suspicious.
AnimePigeon 6/10 Same as Imp.
Jim 5/10 On leading wagon; possible early bus or town.
NQT 5/10 Same as Jim.
Sal 5/10 See above.
Toony 4/10 Being pushed; if Agentt is scum, Toony probably isn’t.
🎯 Most likely mafia pair (speculative):
If we go with the theory that Agentt is mafia, trying to save themselves:
Agentt + Crystal
Agentt + Magma
If Agentt is town, then mafia is likely among the 4 voters pushing them:
Jim + Sal
Or one of those + someone in the "not voting" group (Imp or AnimePigeon)
🔥 Final Take:
Most likely mafia right now:
🔺 Agentt
🔺 Crystal or Magma
Wildcard suspects: Imp and AnimePigeon if Agentt flips town.
Want a follow-up scenario run if Agentt flips? Or should we look at ISO behaviors next?
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Topic: Paranormal Mafia 28 - Game Over! Town victory (Read 13504 times)