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Author Topic: American Election Megathread - It's Over  (Read 720995 times)

Nadaka

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #5535 on: September 20, 2012, 12:36:20 pm »

Senate:
http://www.electionprojection.com/2012elections/senate12.php
Last week it looked like the democrats were going to lose 3 seats with the republicans gaining 3. This upset would have flipped congress to be controlled by the republicans in both houses.

This week, it looks like the democrats are only losing one seat and maintain a bare minimum majority.

House:
http://www.electionprojection.com/2012elections/house12.php

democrats are looking to gain 8 seats and republicans to loose 8. Republicans are likely to retain a notable majority.

Electoral College:
http://electoral-vote.com/

No notable change on this front from the perspective of vote totals, though the gaps in some close states have trended slightly in Obama's favor.
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Leafsnail

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #5536 on: September 20, 2012, 12:50:26 pm »

So at least 2 more years of deadlock basically?
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Nadaka

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #5537 on: September 20, 2012, 12:54:46 pm »

So at least 2 more years of deadlock basically?

probably. Unless enough republicans forsake the Norquist pledge and are capable of compromising on tax reform.
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RedKing

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #5538 on: September 20, 2012, 02:13:24 pm »

So at least 2 more years of deadlock basically?

probably. Unless enough republicans forsake the Norquist pledge and are capable of compromising on tax reform.
Riiiight. And I'll just start filling orders for saddles to go with all those magic ponies that are going to descend from the heavens while I'm at it.</cynic>


I mean, if you look at the last several election cycles, when the GOP loses, the lesson they take away from it is not "Maybe we should throttle back on the batshit crazy aspect", it's "We weren't batshit crazy enough."

At this rate, they'll be putting up Reagan's corpse for a candidate in 2016, with the chair that Clint Eastwood yelled at as Vice-President. All while issuing confusing demands from their heavily-fortified West Texas bunker. In haiku.
« Last Edit: September 20, 2012, 02:16:45 pm by RedKing »
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Frumple

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #5539 on: September 20, 2012, 02:28:31 pm »

Could be a decent strategy. I know if the haiku was good enough I might be tempted to vote in that direction.

Well... probably not, but still. It'd be an improvement in presentation in some areas! Both sides should have like, a month of the election cycle where they can speak only in haiku or be disqualified as a candidate for... whatever. Not only would it be more entertaining, it'd require a candidate pool with a higher quality of mental flexibility. Win-win!

Other forms of poetry might be acceptable, as well.
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Jervill

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #5540 on: September 20, 2012, 02:45:05 pm »

House:
http://www.electionprojection.com/2012elections/house12.php

democrats are looking to gain 8 seats and republicans to loose 8. Republicans are likely to retain a notable majority.

I'm not sure how much stock can be put in house polls considering how few are actually made public; the data points are so few (compared to Presidential & Senate polling) it is hard to draw an accurate conclusion.
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Owlbread

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #5541 on: September 20, 2012, 02:49:22 pm »

All this said, who exactly do the Democrats have right now besides Obama that would be decent in a presidential campaign? Who can they rely on beyond Obama?
« Last Edit: September 20, 2012, 02:51:56 pm by Owlbread »
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Nadaka

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #5542 on: September 20, 2012, 02:55:38 pm »

http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/romney-univision-campaign-100-percent-america-234334429--election.html

Just days after saying he doesn't care about 47% of Americans, he now says his campain is about 100% of Americans. Romney flip flops again. ;)

All this said, who exactly do the Democrats have right now besides Obama that would be decent in a presidential campaign? Who can they rely on beyond Obama?

No one. Of the big names in democratic national politics, he is probably the least bad option. The alternative would probably be Hillary Clinton.
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GreatJustice

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #5543 on: September 20, 2012, 02:56:09 pm »

Eh, Romney's a terrible candidate and a terrible person. What else is new.

Again, this isn't going to come down to Romney doing something clever because Romney is a humanoid robot designed by MIT to run in elections and pander.  It's going to come down to whether Obama screws the pooch in such a way that even Romney-haters want him out. A gigantic economic crisis would do it, or a war going in a bad way (say, the Iranians sinking a US Carrier during an American strike). Other than that, Obama's probably safe.
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Owlbread

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #5544 on: September 20, 2012, 02:57:06 pm »

http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/romney-univision-campaign-100-percent-america-234334429--election.html

Just days after saying he doesn't care about 47% of Americans, he now says his campain is about 100% of Americans. Romney flip flops again. ;)

All this said, who exactly do the Democrats have right now besides Obama that would be decent in a presidential campaign? Who can they rely on beyond Obama?

No one. Of the big names in democratic national politics, he is probably the least bad option. The alternative would probably be Hillary Clinton.

Isn't a certain Kennedy boy being groomed for great things? I've only seen him once or twice.
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Nadaka

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #5545 on: September 20, 2012, 03:03:14 pm »


Isn't a certain Kennedy boy being groomed for great things? I've only seen him once or twice.

Which one? the last one I noticed who was heading towards politics died in an airplane crash in 1999.
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MetalSlimeHunt

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #5546 on: September 20, 2012, 03:08:14 pm »

At this rate, they'll be putting up Reagan's corpse for a candidate in 2016, with the chair that Clint Eastwood yelled at as Vice-President. All while issuing confusing demands from their heavily-fortified West Texas bunker. In haiku.
"Nowhere in the Constitution does it state that the President must be alive."-Scalia's and Thomas's originalist reasoning overruled by socialist Supreme Court majority. Obama still not US citizen, Reagan 2016, Fox News, Fair and Balanced.
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MonkeyHead

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #5547 on: September 20, 2012, 03:43:45 pm »

Corpse/Chair 2016 - it makes more sense than you know.
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Owlbread

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #5548 on: September 20, 2012, 03:51:04 pm »


Isn't a certain Kennedy boy being groomed for great things? I've only seen him once or twice.

Which one? the last one I noticed who was heading towards politics died in an airplane crash in 1999.

Very young chap. Red hair. Joseph P Kennedy or something.
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penguinofhonor

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #5549 on: September 20, 2012, 04:11:47 pm »

Man, I thought we were past the Kennedy dynasty.
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