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[Cryxis, Prince of Doom]

I'm telling you
PERADON IS CLONE
I have yet to lie on game
I have mixed him up with hector a couple times but I promise I'm not lieing and you will lose if you shoot hugo

[Elephant Parade]

I don't know, seems like a good idea to assume that Peradon is lover this time. Although Gambler's fallacy itself may not be true, it's not complete garbage. let's take a coin for example, the odds are 50/50 once. Now if I flipped it 4 times the odds of it landing on heads all 4 times is some arbitrary number which is less than 50 (don't have the time to do the math in my head at the moment). So I think it's safe to assume Peradon is lover

I finished reading your post before I remembered that you're a confirmed clone. Nice try.

Also, I don't think gambler's fallacy is relevant right now. I've explained why at least twice.

[Peradon]

I don't know, seems like a good idea to assume that Peradon is lover this time. Although Gambler's fallacy itself may not be true, it's not complete garbage. let's take a coin for example, the odds are 50/50 once. Now if I flipped it 4 times the odds of it landing on heads all 4 times is some arbitrary number which is less than 50 (don't have the time to do the math in my head at the moment). So I think it's safe to assume Peradon is lover

Like I said earlier though, the odds only work like that before the fact. We are after the fact, and because they arent dependent on eachother, the odds are litterally 50/50 here.

But thats just talking in statistical terms.

[hector13]

I don't know, seems like a good idea to assume that Peradon is lover this time. Although Gambler's fallacy itself may not be true, it's not complete garbage. let's take a coin for example, the odds are 50/50 once. Now if I flipped it 4 times the odds of it landing on heads all 4 times is some arbitrary number which is less than 50 (don't have the time to do the math in my head at the moment). So I think it's safe to assume Peradon is lover

4 times in a row is 2x2x2x2=16 to 1.

But this isn't about flipping a coin 4 times in a row, it's about being assigned roles at random at the start of every game. The remaining players all have the same chance of being the Lover as everyone else did.

[Elephant Parade]

* Elephant Parade kills Peradon

Hopefully I picked correctly.

[Cryxis, Prince of Doom]

You did

[hector13]

Depends what EP was going for. I know who's who, but won't ruin it for everyone. I got Hugo's role in my PM.

[Cryxis, Prince of Doom]

And I got Peredon's

[WillowLuman]

Depends what EP was going for. I know who's who, but won't ruin it for everyone. I got Hugo's role in my PM.

Oh, now you tell me. Why didn't you speak up before?

[WillowLuman]

Oh, right. You're a clone.

[hector13]

Oh, right. You're a clone.

I was going to reveal it earlier, but like I say, I don't understand the whole clone-outing-clone thing.

[WillowLuman]

Without clone voting, a clone has no reason to out the lover.

[Cryxis, Prince of Doom]

......
I feel like a flying retard right now

[hector13]

That's why I was doing all the WIFOM nonsense. I knew EP wouldn't trust me.

Perhaps there should be two or more teams of clones in the next one?

[MeimieFan88]

* Elephant Parade kills Peradon

Hopefully I picked correctly.

Peradon is the lover!

The clones win! (Everyone except ele, kevak, and peradon. Sry I'm on mobile atm)