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Author Topic: American Election Megathread - It's Over  (Read 720767 times)

palsch

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #5460 on: September 18, 2012, 01:38:21 pm »

Check out the current party ID breakdown comparison with past election years:
http://datechguyblog.com/2012/09/17/demoralized-as-hell-the-poll-the-media-isnt-talking-about-edition/
From the post;
Quote
That shows a GOP advantage in registration this year but you might say: “Hey, Datechguy, you’ve been hitting polls all year, why can’t THIS poll be wrong?”

That’s a good question, we can answer it by asking another question: Does this poll of party identification correspond with the results of national elections?
"I have a question about accuracy." "I'm going to answer that question with a question about what happens if I assume this is accurate."
Also;
Quote
There is no example of the Democrats winning since 2004 with an advantage less that 6.9.
Winning in federal elections since 2004. So that's a sample size of four.

Thanks for posting that. I really needed the laugh.

And I wouldn't trash Rasmussen too much. They have cleaned up their act considerably in the last few years. Still Republican leaning, but it's a mildly partisan house effect compared to their past biases.
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GlyphGryph

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #5461 on: September 18, 2012, 01:38:59 pm »

I ver much doubt he's a bot. Drive-by poster, maybe.
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FearfulJesuit

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #5462 on: September 18, 2012, 01:45:10 pm »

All hail our new spambot overlords; in this case, they are actually our overlords.
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Descan

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #5463 on: September 18, 2012, 01:47:08 pm »

If only it wasn't BelieveInAmericaSon. What an acronym that'd make for!
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RedKing

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #5464 on: September 18, 2012, 01:48:36 pm »

And I wouldn't trash Rasmussen too much. They have cleaned up their act considerably in the last few years. Still Republican leaning, but it's a mildly partisan house effect compared to their past biases.
I've touched on this before. It's not that Rasmussen is all that heavily partisan, it's that they're heavily wrong. Any time there's a momentum trend, Rasmussen seems to overemphasize it. If there's a stagnant period, they seem to overemphasize the front-runner. It's like this:

Gallup: Obama gains by +1
CNN: Obama gains by +2
Pew: Obama gains by +4
Rasmussen: DOMINANCE, Obama gains by +12

Next month--
Gallup: Romney gains by +4
CNN: Romney gains by +2
Pew: Tie.
Rasmussen: STAGGERING COUNTERATTACK, Romney +30

Their polls just seem to take any poll trend and kick it to 11.

I ver much doubt he's a bot. Drive-by poster, maybe.
Well, yeah there's too much direct response to previous post to pass for most bots (although with the right predictive algorithm...)
But still essentially a spambot, even if human-piloted.
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nenjin

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #5465 on: September 18, 2012, 01:59:52 pm »

Or it's just an alias someone created so they can express their viewpoint in anonymity. (i.e. someone that wants to participate in political discussions without having their main account getting a reputation as [insert political leaning here]).

I seem to recall shenanigans like that around here previously.
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Moghjubar

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #5466 on: September 18, 2012, 02:31:44 pm »

So... one of the obvious campaign dudes comes in and makes a post... with that name even... is this thread hitting top google results?

Also.... hahahahahahahahahahahaha!!!!!

Edit: yea, it may be more likely to be just someone on the boards trying to express an opinion... or with that name... something else.
« Last Edit: September 18, 2012, 02:34:43 pm by Moghjubar »
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scriver

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #5467 on: September 18, 2012, 02:34:38 pm »

I admit, I'm actually an American rightwing conservative sent here undercover to undermine the pursuit of your Liberal Agenda.

...I'm also Pathos.
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RedKing

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #5468 on: September 18, 2012, 02:36:48 pm »

I think it's mainiac, coming out of his star-spangled closet to show his true colors.
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Mictlantecuhtli

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #5469 on: September 18, 2012, 02:37:33 pm »

It's probably just another of those forum and comment trawling pro-mitt bots that he's bought to spam the internet with lies.
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Scelly9

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #5470 on: September 18, 2012, 02:40:38 pm »

Ah, politics. You are so crazy.
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Nadaka

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #5471 on: September 18, 2012, 02:41:15 pm »

I admit, I'm actually an American rightwing conservative sent here undercover to undermine the pursuit of your Liberal Agenda.

...I'm also Pathos.

I am really Pat Buchanan.

Tentacle monster brothers got to stick together.

And we are also Pathos.
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kaijyuu

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #5472 on: September 18, 2012, 02:44:00 pm »

If I'm Pathos, I am without realizing it. Maybe that's how it works.
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Zrk2

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #5473 on: September 18, 2012, 02:52:09 pm »

We're all Pathos. We just haven't held your induction ceremony yet.
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Owlbread

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Re: American Election Megathread
« Reply #5474 on: September 18, 2012, 03:09:38 pm »

In this day and age, political parties have people that they hire to go on forums and websites and look for debates like this so they can make comments or tilt things in a particular direction. It's one of the many techniques the SNP used to gain an overall majority in Scotland and it is also (supposedly) being used by Scottish Labour on websites like the Scotsman Newspaper's (a very staunchly Unionist paper). If I'm correct techniques similar to it were used by the democrats in the run up to the 2008 election in the US of A.

Aside from them, there are also your run of the mill party activists who have gone cyber.
« Last Edit: September 18, 2012, 03:15:03 pm by Owlbread »
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