Can we talk about something else? We don't need to talk to any tom, dick or harry that pops in here saying "HAHAH LULZ YOU ARE TEH STUPIEDS!" We're allowed to ignore them and say, "How's the weather, Aqizzar?" or "How you doing, Kai?"
What we really need is to have a rule on page 1 that says we aren't allowed to argue with such people. Then when they appear people just start quoting the rule en masse. Continue quoting until they stop feeding the troll.
I think people feed the troll because they feel a need to be right. The quote spam would help soothe people's wounded pride. It would serve to remind them that we've all seen the trolls before. We know how this story ends. Remind them that this is so common that we need a procedure for it and maybe they'll feel the need to stop feeding the troll.
These all happened, I guess.
2^15=32768. That are far, far more then 32k binary events in the world. So it's not the slightest bit unusual that there aren't plenty of coincidence like these that correlate to the results through random noise for 15 straight elections. Some of them don't even do that well.
Take the poll of the kids for example. Well it's basically a very noisy poll. But a very noisy poll could actually predict a large number of elections very easily. Many elections are blowouts: 2008, 1996, 1988, 1984, 1980, 1972, 1964, 1956, 1952 would all qualify in my book. A poll would need to be pretty flawed or very unlucky to miss any of these. And they are more then half of the elections in the postwar era. So while it might seem like the kids getting the right result is impressive, 6 of those results were blowouts. The kids only predicted 4 competitive elections correctly. Winning 4 coin tosses isn't anything to write home about.
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Topic: American Election Megathread - It's Over (Read 721145 times)