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Author Topic: Murrican Politics Megathread 2016: There Will Be Hell Toupée  (Read 1495223 times)

Egan_BW

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Re: Ted Cruz's Netflix and Chill 2016 Megathread
« Reply #9480 on: January 11, 2016, 01:06:54 pm »

That's exactly the sort of thing you'd say on opposite day.
You are exactly right. Now, does that clear all that up? I am absolutely in favor of shipping and 1 + 1 = 2 is true.
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It is good to choose your battles. It is better to choose your wars.

mainiac

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Re: Ted Cruz's Netflix and Chill 2016 Megathread
« Reply #9481 on: January 11, 2016, 01:18:41 pm »

Hard to make a pantheon if it's just one guy with a bunch of alts.

Sure there is, just adopt a subordinatist theology.  First there existed Grisha.  Grisha created Toady to watch over the forums.  Toady was equal in power and divinity to Grisha but was created by him so was distinct.
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Ancient Babylonian god of RAEG
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« Last Edit: February 10, 1988, 03:27:23 pm by UR MOM »
mainiac is always a little sarcastic, at least.

RedKing

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Re: Ted Cruz's Netflix and Chill 2016 Megathread
« Reply #9482 on: January 11, 2016, 01:25:41 pm »

That's exactly the sort of thing you'd say on opposite day.
You are exactly right. Now, does that clear all that up? I am absolutely in favor of shipping and 1 + 1 = 2 is true.
How dare you disagree with me??!

Hard to make a pantheon if it's just one guy with a bunch of alts.

Sure there is, just adopt a subordinatist theology.  First there existed Grisha.  Grisha created Toady to watch over the forums.  Toady was equal in power and divinity to Grisha but was created by him so was distinct.
Ah, the ever-famous "begotten of himself". In the name of the Dev, the Brother, and the Holy Shitposter. Amen.
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mainiac

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Re: Ted Cruz's Netflix and Chill 2016 Megathread
« Reply #9483 on: January 11, 2016, 02:39:19 pm »

Well, the "now I'm depressed" part was more in referring that I started thinking about the economy after the movie, and realized that we're in for another recession soon.

A recession is always possible but I'd say it's much less likely then usual right now in North America.  The great recession made people risk averse and there is a lot of overdue investment.  Europe will continue to be a drag on the economy but the US economy has been growing in spite of that for a long time.  Chinese imports from the US aren't a big enough factor to derail the US economy for more then perhaps a quarter unless there is a truly epic meltdown like a civil war.  Plus a slowdown in Chinese manufacturing means cheap commodities which is a boost for the American economy.

You know, what with the tech bubble and the Vancouver housing bubble which I'm not entirely sure are unrelated (the housing bubble in Canada is primarily the cause of Chinese investors worrying about the instability of the yuan and investing money elsewhere in a more stable medium i.e. Canadian property; the tech bubble is overzealous investors creating an ever-growing pool of "unicorns" or billion-dollar evaluations for companies that wind up not turning a dime in profit).

I am not closely familiar with this but my quick googling indicates to me a 30% increase over 3 years for Vancouver prices.  While that is a rapid expansion, it's not so rapid that it couldn't reflect an increase in demand rather then a bubble.  And it's not terribly unlikely to think that prices were low 3 years ago so this just represents a price correction.  For instance if we compare this series:
https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/ATNHPIUS38900Q# (not just vancouver but it's longer term for best I could find quickly).
Compare the gains of the past 12 years to the 12 years before that.
2015-07-01   250.36
2003-07-01   153.19
1991-07-01   75.01

Past 12 years, increase by %63.4
12 before that, increase by %104.2

So the gains are not outlandish in the context of a strengthening economy.  Furthermore we have strong anecdotal evidence for where the demand is coming from, a tech sector that is hiring yuppies and chinese people with money.
« Last Edit: January 11, 2016, 02:41:31 pm by mainiac »
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« Last Edit: February 10, 1988, 03:27:23 pm by UR MOM »
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FearfulJesuit

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Re: Ted Cruz's Netflix and Chill 2016 Megathread
« Reply #9484 on: January 11, 2016, 02:43:50 pm »

Hard to make a pantheon if it's just one guy with a bunch of alts.

Sure there is, just adopt a subordinatist theology.  First there existed Grisha.  Grisha created Toady to watch over the forums.  Toady was equal in power and divinity to Grisha but was created by him so was distinct.

I welcome our new crypto-Arian theocratic overlords.
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@Footjob, you can microwave most grains I've tried pretty easily through the microwave, even if they aren't packaged for it.

Twi

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Re: Ted Cruz's Netflix and Chill 2016 Megathread
« Reply #9485 on: January 11, 2016, 05:26:07 pm »

crypto-dorf?
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Loud Whispers

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Re: Ted Cruz's Netflix and Chill 2016 Megathread
« Reply #9486 on: January 11, 2016, 06:31:36 pm »

make america mugs again

Spehss _

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Re: Ted Cruz's Netflix and Chill 2016 Megathread
« Reply #9487 on: January 11, 2016, 06:52:49 pm »

make america mugs again
Urist McTrump cancels craft stone mugs: interrupted by bald eagle.
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smjjames

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Re: Ted Cruz's Netflix and Chill 2016 Megathread
« Reply #9488 on: January 11, 2016, 07:29:18 pm »

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/01/paul-fiorina-excluded-from-main-stage-in-thursdays-gop-debate-217594

So, yeah, it's narrowing somewhat at least. Rand Paul said that he won't attend the undercard debate, his loss.

Also, is it wrong to want to see Fiorina's reaction to being dumped back into the undercard? XD

Oh yeah, in RCP and HuffingtonPost's averages, Kasich is actually behind Paul and Fiorina, nationally anyway. The lineup hasn't been officially announced yet I don't think, dunno.

Also, I may have heard that Paul would drop out if he went back to the undercard, or maybe it just sounded to me like he was implying 'I quit'. *shrug*
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TheDarkStar

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Re: Ted Cruz's Netflix and Chill 2016 Megathread
« Reply #9489 on: January 11, 2016, 07:30:14 pm »

So who is still a serious contender? Trump, Carson, Cruz?
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inteuniso

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Re: Ted Cruz's Netflix and Chill 2016 Megathread
« Reply #9490 on: January 11, 2016, 07:30:43 pm »

All I know is that Sanders is finally ahead of Clinton in Iowa. Within the statistical mean but Sanders' support has only been growing.
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Baffler

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Re: Ted Cruz's Netflix and Chill 2016 Megathread
« Reply #9491 on: January 11, 2016, 07:49:32 pm »

All I know is that Sanders is finally ahead of Clinton in Iowa. Within the statistical mean but Sanders' support has only been growing.

Spoiler (click to show/hide)
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Spehss _

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Re: Ted Cruz's Netflix and Chill 2016 Megathread
« Reply #9492 on: January 11, 2016, 07:57:51 pm »

So who is still a serious contender? Trump, Carson, Cruz?
Trump is still going strong, Cruz is second behind Trump, last I heard about Carson he was dropping out and his supporters were going to Cruz instead.
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nenjin

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Re: Ted Cruz's Netflix and Chill 2016 Megathread
« Reply #9493 on: January 11, 2016, 08:01:17 pm »

I don't think he's dropped out yet, although he's probably seriously considering it. Can't happen soon enough. The things he says and the way he says them drive me absolutely bonkers, he's so out of his depth. Trump may be scum but at least the way he projects himself doesn't make me want to cover my face like Carson does. (The way he projects. What he actually says is still cause for covering the face in shame.)
« Last Edit: January 11, 2016, 08:03:47 pm by nenjin »
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mainiac

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Re: Ted Cruz's Netflix and Chill 2016 Megathread
« Reply #9494 on: January 11, 2016, 08:06:32 pm »

Trump is still going strong, Cruz is second behind Trump, last I heard about Carson he was dropping out and his supporters were going to Cruz instead.

Has he?  If so this will blow the predictions game wide open.
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« Last Edit: February 10, 1988, 03:27:23 pm by UR MOM »
mainiac is always a little sarcastic, at least.
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